At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Oklahoma State, as Baylor falls into 58-24, 97-51 and 94-44 ATS systems of mine.  Baylor comes into this game with a 3-0 record, but has yet to cover the pointspread.  It should break through with an ATS win this week.  Indeed, since 1980, undefeated teams, with a 3-0 (or better) record, have covered 75% of the time as a favorite of less than 16 points, if they were winless ATS on the season.  That bodes very well for the Bears on Saturday.  Additionally, the Bears are a superb 25-3 straight-up and 21-7 ATS at home the past 6 seasons, while the Cowboys are an awful 1-13 ATS as road underdogs, priced from +7.5 to +11.5, against Big 12 foes.  Take Baylor. Big 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Trojans stunned Southern Mississippi, 37-31, last week, as 9.5-point road underdogs.  Off that big upset win, I look for Troy St. to blow out New Mexico State on Saturday.  One of the things I love to do is play on home favorites of a touchdown (or more), if they're off an away upset win as a dog of more than 7 points.  Such teams are 95-55 ATS since 1980!  That's one reason I favor Troy.  Another is that New Mexico State has covered just 25% of the time since 1999 off a loss, if it's playing on the road vs. .666 (or better) foes.  Lay the points with the Trojans.  Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Georgia Southern.  This is an interesting match-up between two undefeated teams that both have 3-0 records.  But the Broncos have played the MUCH TOUGHER schedule, as they have defeated two Big 10 opponents (Northwestern, Illinois) on the road, while the Eagles' best win was against South Alabama.  We played on Georgia Southern in that 24-9 victory (as a 13.5-point favorite) over South Alabama, but that was a GREAT situational spot for the Eagles, as South Alabama was ripe for a letdown following its upset win (as a 28-point underdog) vs. Mississippi St.  But in Georgia Southern's other two games (vs. Savannah State and Louisiana Monroe), it failed to cover the spread by an average of 13.5 ppg.  And its average pointspread differential on the season is a poor -8.5 ppg.  In contrast, W. Michigan has covered by an average of 12.5 ppg, and falls into a 143-79 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Finally, the Broncos play this game with revenge from a 43-17 loss in Statesboro last year, and Sun Belt Conference teams (like Georgia Southern) are an awful 36% ATS the past 17 seasons vs. non-conference foes that play with revenge from a double-digit loss.  Lay the points with the Broncos.  NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Penn St.  The Wolverines are scoring a whopping 53 ppg, while Penn State is surrendering 27.33 ppg.  Those two facts portend a Michigan blowout on Saturday afternoon, as teams that average 48.34+ ppg are 65.4% ATS at home vs. foes that give up more than 25.5 ppg (at Game 3 forward).  Even worse for the Nittany Lions:  they've struggled vs. elite competition since 1996, as they're 18-43-1 ATS vs. foes that outscore their opponents by 13.8+ ppg, including 0-13 ATS as dogs of +6 or more if the Nittany Lions are off a win.  Take Michigan.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Pittsburgh.  After losing its opener, as a 3.5-point underdog to Georgia, the Tar Heels have ripped off 2 straight blowout wins:  48-23 vs. Illinois, and 56-28 vs. James Madison.  I look for UNC to make it 3 in a row vs. a Pitt team which has given up an average of 42 ppg in its two FBS games this season (and 30.33 ppg, overall), as the Panthers fall into negative 73-143 and 63-123 ATS systems of mine.  More bad news for Pitt:  it has covered just 27% of the time on the road the past 36 seasons, if its defensive scoring average was greater than 30 ppg.  Take North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Colorado State.  These two teams met last season at Colorado State, and the Gophers won, 23-20, in overtime.  I look for Minny to win back to back seasons vs. the Rams, as Colorado State is a dreadful 5-26 SU and 8-23 ATS since 1986 on the road vs. .400 (or better) non-conference foes, including 0-5 ATS with revenge.  Additionally, Minnesota falls into 177-78, 290-193 and 192-107 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine, based on its 30-point win in its last game vs. Indiana State.  Lay the points with Minnesota.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners over Ohio State.  The Sooners stumbled out of the gate when they lost outright as a double-digit favorite in Week 1 to the Houston Cougars.  But this is a team which went 11-2 last season, and opened this year ranked in the Top 5.  The cupboard is far from bare for coach Bob Stoops.  If Oklahoma hadn't lost to Houston it would have opened as the betting favorite for this game.  But I believe that's created value for Oklahoma in this situation, and the Sooners fall into 61-15 and 127-63 ATS systems of mine.  And one of the things I also love to do is play on "Power Home Dogs" in non-conference games -- that is, teams that won more than 75% of their games the previous season (and who don't have a losing record in the current season).  Since 1980, these teams have cashed a whopping 75% of the time against opponents that have winning SU and ATS records.  With the Buckeyes coming into this game a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS, we'll fade Urban Meyer's crew and take the Sooners on Saturday.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over New Mexico State.  Last week, the Aggies upset their cross-state rival, New Mexico, as double-digit HOME underdogs.  But off that big, emotional win, I look for a letdown, as the Aggies will have to travel 1500 miles to play a road game against a non-conference foe.  And, generally speaking, double-digit dogs off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have been money-burners over the past 36 years against non-conference foes.  That doesn't bode well for Doug Martin's men in Lexington, on Saturday.  And neither does the fact that the Aggies' best running back, Larry Rose III, missed their first two games, and his playing status is in doubt for this week, as well, as he is recovering from a hernia.  It's true that Mark Stoops' squad has yet to win this season, or cover the spread.  However, winless teams are an awesome 82% over the past 36 years when favored by 16+ points in non-conference games vs. foes off a SU/ATS win!  Additionally, the Wildcats fall into an 80-33 ATS system of mine that also plays on certain double-digit favorites off an ATS loss.  Take Kentucky.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Colorado.  The renaissance has happened in Ann Arbor faster than even Michigan's most diehard fans could have envisioned.  Coach Jim Harbaugh was hired following the 2014 season, so with little more than 1 season under his belt at the Big House, he has his Wolves ranked in the Top 4 in the Country.  The QB position was supposed to be one of the question marks for this season, but Wilton Speight was just named Big 10 Offensive Player of the Week after throwing for 312 yards and four TDs against UCF last Saturday.  Through 2 games, Speight has completed 70% of his passes for 457 yards, seven TDs, and just one interception.  And he's ranked 7th nationally in QB efficiency.  Surprisingly, he's tied (with John Navarre) for the most TDs in school history thru the first two games of the season!  Michigan's also racked up 114 points in its two victories, and that's the most points a Michigan team has scored in the first two weeks in over 100 years!  Overall, the Wolverines are 4th in the country in scoring offense, and have shown tremendous balance between rushing (425 yards) and passing (534 yards), which is always good to see.  This week, they'll welcome Big 12 member Colorado to Ann Arbor, and I fully expect another blowout, as Michigan falls into a 142-78 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams that have scored a lot of points.  Of course, it must be acknowledged that Colorado comes into this game off impressive 44-7 and 56-7 wins over Colorado St. and Idaho St.  But neither of those games were played at the opponent's field.  And the Buffaloes have been awful at an opponent's venue over the past 11 seasons, as they've won just 8 of 58 and have covered just 18 of those 58 games (including 0-13 ATS after scoring more than 31 points in their previous game).  Lay the points with Michigan.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals over the Florida State Seminoles.  These two teams met last season, and the Seminoles won, 41-21, as 6.5-point favorites.  Overall, Florida State is 2-0 vs. the Cards since they began play as ACC Conference rivals, and 9-1 SU and 5-5 ATS dating back to 1981.  Last week, Louisville erupted for 62 points at Syracuse, and that followed a 70-point outburst in Week 1 vs. Charlotte.  Not surprisingly, the Cardinals lead all of college football with 754 yards per game, and 66 points per game.  And Louisville's offense is quite balanced, as it ranks #3 in rushing (343 ypg), and #6 in passing (411 ypg).  Faithful followers know that I absolutely LOVE playing on College Football teams that can score, and especially when they're installed as an underdog.  Indeed, consider that teams (like Florida State) playing away from home against a revenge-minded foe which scored 122+ points in its previous two games are 0-13 ATS since 1980!  And they've failed to cover by an average of 13.1 ppg.  I used this angle twice last season, and easily won both times, including Oklahoma State's upset of then-#5-ranked TCU, 49-29, as 6.5-point underdogs.  The Seminoles come into this game as the #2 team in the country.  But for all of their storied success, they've struggled greatly against teams that can score.  Dating back to 2006, the Seminoles are a pedestrian 15-14 SU vs. foes that average more than 35 ppg (even though they were favored in 21 of those 29 games), and a horrid 7-21-1 ATS.  And they're 0-7-1 ATS their last 8 vs. foes that score more than 7.9 ppg than the Seminoles.  Take Louisville.  NCAA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Akron, as Marshall falls into 170-74 and 61-15 ATS systems of mine, based on its 62-0 win last week against Morgan St, as well as a 65% ATS system (since 1980), which plays on home teams in non-conference games off wins by 60+ points.  Indeed, last week, there were 3 teams at home (Michigan, Ohio St., Miami-Fla) that were off wins by 60+ points (and involved in non-conference games), and all 3 covered the spread.  Even though Akron was in a great situational spot last week vs. Wisconsin, given that the Badgers were ripe for a letdown following their upset win over LSU, the Zips failed to capitalize, and were blown out 54-10.  Akron QB Thomas Woodson was awful, and completed just 9 of 19 passes for a meager 108 yards.  And the Zips' defense was massacred for the 2nd straight game.  Admittedly, giving up 586 yards of offense to the Badgers can be excused, somewhat, since Wisky is a Top 10 team.  But Akron also surrendered 386 yards and 24 points to the VMI Keydets (the same VMI team that only scored 17 points the next week vs. Morehead St).  So, it seems as if Akron has been unable to find replacements for its 7 defensive starters from last season lost to graduation (including MAC Defensive Player of the Year Jatavis Brown).  With Marshall having covered 71% of its non-conference home games since 1999, and Akron an awful 9-22 ATS as double-digit road dogs vs. foes off a win, we'll lay the points with Doc Holliday's men on Saturday.  High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Virginia Tech.  This game will be played at Bristol Motor Speedway, 110 miles from Knoxville.  And there should be 150,000 (mostly Tennessee) fans in attendance, which will shatter the current record for attendance at a college football game (115,109 (Notre Dame at Michigan, 2013)).  Neither the Hokies nor the Volunteers were especially impressive last week.  Tennessee trailed Appalachian State 13-3 at halftime, before putting the Mountaineers away, in overtime, 20-13.  Meanwhile, Virginia Tech overcame four fumbles to get by Liberty, 36-13.  I look for the Volunteers to blow out the Hokies, as Tennessee falls into 27-9, 29-7, 37-13 and 33-11 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, Tennessee is a solid 42-24-2 ATS off a pointspread defeat when playing away from home.  It's true that SEC Conference teams were gawd-awful last week (4-8 ATS in non-conference games), but SEC teams have gone 147-88 ATS away from home against .500 (or better) teams in the regular season, if our SEC team was off a win, but an ATS loss.  Look for Tennessee to win impressively in the "Battle at Bristol."  Lay the points.  Non-Conference Favorite of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Texas.  Perhaps no team had a more important victory for its program in Week 1 than did Texas, which avenged a 38-3 loss to Notre Dame in the previous season, by winning a thrilling game, 50-47, in overtime.  But even though the Longhorns were mightily impressive last week, we're going to fade them as big favorites this Saturday vs. the Miners.  Indeed, since 1980, home teams off an upset win as a home dog (of at least 2.5 points) in Week 1, have burned money in Week 2 a whopping 80% of the time.  And Texas has covered just 35.7% of the time over the past 36 years off an upset win, if their opponent is also off a win.  Take UTEP + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over South Alabama.  Last week, the Jaguars pulled the biggest upset when they stunned Mississippi St., 21-20, as a 27.5-point underdog.  Can the Jaguars make it two in a row?  Not likely.  Consider that Sun Belt Conference underdogs of more than 3 points, are an awful 5-21 ATS off an upset win, if they're matched up against a conference rival also off a win, including 0-7 ATS at home.  Additionally, the Jaguars fall into negative 20-66 and 61-140 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins.  Take Georgia Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  Last week, Miami scored 70 points in its 70-3 blowout win over Florida A&M, while the Owls won 38-30 over Southern Illinois.  And that offensive explosion by Miami has triggered several of my best systems, with records of 12-0, 83-26, 152-71 and 332-229 ATS since 1980.  Let's take a look at our 12-0 angle.  It hasn't lost in 36 years, and it simply plays on home favorites, priced from -20 to -40 points in Week 2, after scoring 63+ points in their season opener.  That bodes very well for the Hurricanes on Saturday.  And so does the fact that Miami annihilated the Owls, 44-20, last season, as Florida Atlantic is an awful 9-20 ATS when playing with revenge (including 1-8 ATS off a SU win).  Take Miami to rout the Owls.  NCAA Roadkill.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips + the points over Wisconsin.  Last week, the Badgers were a 12.5-point underdog, but stunned then-5th-ranked LSU, 16-14, at Lambeau Field.  Wisconsin was unranked entering the game, but now sits at #10 in the AP Poll.  Unfortunately for the Badgers, favorites that won as a 6-point (or greater) underdog in their season opener have only covered 24.3% of the time in non-conference games the past 36 years!  And teams that won outright as a double-digit dog, but scored 17 points or less in the victory, have gone just 57-86 ATS their next game.  These two teams have met twice in the previous 13 years.  Wisky was favored similarly in both of those games (-24.5 in 2003; -26.5 in 2008), and each time, the Badgers failed to win by more than 21.  Take the points with Akron.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  It's true that Wake Forest struggled last week in its 7-3 win over Tulane.  But don't expect the Deacs to have a poor offensive showing this Saturday against the Blue Devils.  Indeed, Wake Forest has scored at least 21 points in each of the past 9 seasons vs. Duke (the only opponent against which Wake Forest has done that).  Last week, Duke took care of business vs. an out-manned NC Central team, as the Dukies won 49-6 against the Eagles.  But this will be a much more difficult test for David Cutcliffe's crew, especially as it will have to play this season with a redshirt freshman (Daniel Jones) at quarterback.  Unfortunately for the Blue Devils, their senior QB, Thomas Sirk, reinjured his Achilles tendon last month, after initially tearing it in February.  Sirk led the Devils in rushing (803 yards) AND passing (2625) last season, and accounted for 24 touchdowns.  Overall, the Devils returned just 11 starters (Wake returned 16), and also lost to graduation their best player on defense, Jeremy Cash.  Cash recorded at least 100 tackles in each of the past 3 seasons, including a staggering 18 tackles for loss last year, and will be suiting up for the Carolina Panthers this fall.  Wake Forest falls into 53-19 and 27-9 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in Week 2, and we'll grab the points with the road underdog on Saturday.  ACC Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Cowboys returned 10 offensive starters from last season's team which averaged over 39 points per game.  And Okie State picked up where it left off last season by busting out for 61 points last week vs. Southeastern Louisiana.  And when the Cowboys get rolling offensively, they tend to keep it going, as they're 34-7 ATS after scoring 50+ points in their previous game, including 8-0 ATS since November 17, 2012.  This week, Mike Gundy's men will welcome the Chippewas to Stillwater following the Chips' 49-3 victory last Thursday against the Presbyterian Blue Hose.  However, I expect it to be a rude welcome, as Mid-American Conference teams have been huge money-burners when playing away from home vs. the Big 12, as they’re 4-41 SU and 13-28 ATS the past 21 years.  Take Oklahoma St.  High Noon Hanging!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over NC State.  Both of these teams opened their 2016 campaign with blowout victories.  NC State walloped William & Mary, 48-14, while East Carolina crushed Western Carolina, 52-7.  The Wolfpack have been installed as a road favorite, but they've been dreadful over the years when favored on the road.  Since 2002, NC State has covered just 5 of 20 times as road chalk.  Meanwhile, East Carolina has been at its best as underdogs in the regular season vs. non-conference foes.  Since 1985, the Pirates are 72-46 ATS including a perfect 8-0 ATS since 2013.  Finally, East Carolina falls into 96-39 and 60-12 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Pirates + the points.