11-22-24 |
Campbell v. Ohio State -25.5 |
Top |
60-104 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Campbell. The Buckeyes are 3-1 SU/ATS this season, and have covered the spread in their 2 home games by an average of 20 ppg. We'll lay the points with the Buckeyes, as they're 82-64 ATS as double-digit favorites vs. non-conference foes, including 37-24 ATS vs. foes off a SU win. Take the Buckeyes.
|
11-22-24 |
Lamar +10.5 v. Akron |
Top |
72-79 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Akron. Both of these teams are 1-2 on the season. Lamar fell by 13 at home, 85-72, to Sam Houston State, on Sunday, while Akron lost at St. Mary's, 87-68, in its last game. And that loss by the Zips to the Gaels moved their ATS record vs. non-conference foes to 8-16-1 ATS their last 25. The Cardinals, meanwhile, have made a lot of friends "in Vegas" lately, as they're 29-18-2 ATS their last 49. Lamar also falls into a system of mine, which is 882-650 ATS since 1990. Take the Cardinals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-22-24 |
UL - Lafayette +13 v. Liberty |
Top |
69-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns + the points over Liberty. The Cajuns were upset by Rice, 83-61, as a 3.5-point home favorite on Tuesday. We'll grab the points with LA-Lafayette, as it's 44-30 ATS off an upset loss. Take the Cajuns.
|
11-20-24 |
Idaho State v. UCLA -24.5 |
Top |
70-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Idaho St. The Bengals have gotten off to a 4-0 ATS start this season Unfortunately, underdogs of 20+ points, with a 3-0 ATS (or better) record, have covered just 39% over the last 35 seasons. Take UCLA minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-20-24 |
Pepperdine +17 v. UNLV |
Top |
59-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over UNLV. The Rebels have been installed as a double-digit favorite vs. the Waves. We'll grab the points, as UNLV is a soft 72-100 ATS as a double-digit favorite. And Pepperdine has cashed 61.1% since 1990 as a double-digit road dog off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Waves.
|
11-20-24 |
Coppin State v. George Mason -26.5 |
Top |
55-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over Coppin State. The Patriots fell by a point, 78-77, at East Carolina on Saturday. We'll take George Mason to bounce back this evening, as it's a super 66-35-4 ATS off a straight-up loss, when matched up against a foe without a winning record. Coppin State is 0-6 on the season. Lay the points.
|
11-19-24 |
Purdue v. Marquette -5 |
Top |
58-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the points over Purdue. The Boilers are 4-0, but all four wins came at home, in Mackey Arena. The Boilers will play Marquette in Milwaukee tonight, and have been installed as an underdog. Marquette is 13-4 ATS its last 17 as a home favorite, while Purdue is 25-40 its last 65 on the road. And the Boilers are also a horrible 57-93-7 ATS as an underdog priced from +2.5 to +12 points. Take Marquette. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-19-24 |
NC-Wilmington v. Kansas -23 |
Top |
66-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over NC Wilmington. The Jayhawks have been installed as a big home favorite vs. the 3-0 Seahawks. We'll fade Wilmington, as .833 (or better) underdogs of more than 16 points have gone 257-317 ATS in the regular season since 1990. And KU is a solid 34-17 ATS when favored at home by 22+ points. Lay the points.
|
11-19-24 |
Pennsylvania v. Villanova -14.5 |
Top |
49-93 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Penn. This is a revenge game for Villanova, which was upset by Penn, 76-72, last season. The Quakers have covered just 33% since 2012 vs. revenge-minded foes it upset the previous season. We'll lay the points with Villanova.
|
11-19-24 |
Evansville +25 v. Ohio State |
Top |
30-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Ohio State. The Purple Aces were upset here, at home, by Radford, on Saturday, while Ohio State lost at A&M by 14 points. We'll take Evansville to bounce back off its upset loss, as it's cashed 60% since 1990 as a double-digit road dog off upset home losses, when matched up against a foe off a SU loss. Grab the points with the Purple Aces. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-19-24 |
Wagner +5 v. Boston University |
Top |
60-58 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wagner Seahawks + the points over Boston U. We played against Wagner on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Seton Hall, which blew out the Seahawks by 26 points. Boston U., meanwhile, blew out Dartmouth, 78-50, on Saturday. Unfortunately for the Terriers, they're 0-8 ATS off a win by more than 10 points, while Wagner is 9-1 ATS its last 10 vs. foes off a SU win. Take the Seahawks + the points.
|
11-19-24 |
Buffalo v. Vermont -16 |
Top |
67-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vermont Catamounts minus the points over Buffalo. The Catamounts suffered their 2nd straight defeat, with a 62-59 loss at Iona, on Friday. The good news for Vermont is that it's cashed 57% as a favorite off back-to-back losses, while Buffalo has cashed just 35.7% as a double-digit road underdog vs. foes off back-to-back losses. Lay the points.
|
11-18-24 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Texas Tech -40 |
Top |
64-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff. The Red Raiders are off to a 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS start this season, and have covered the spread by an average of 5.5 ppg. Pine Bluff enters off 3 straight losses, and is 1-4 SU and 1-3 ATS on the season. The Golden Lions have also failed to cover the spread by 6.12 ppg. The Red Raiders have been strong at home vs. non-conference foes, with an 86-67 ATS mark, including 35-16 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss. And Pine Bluff is 2-17 ATS on the road off back to back losses, if they were an underdog of more than 16 points. Take Texas Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-18-24 |
NJIT +20 v. George Washington |
Top |
64-84 |
Push |
0 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Tech Highlanders + the points over George Washington. It's true that the Highlanders are not off to a promising start this season. They're 0-4 SU and 0-3 ATS. But the Revolutionaries have covered just 30% over the past 35 years as a big home favorite of -14+ points vs. non-conference foes, including 0-2 ATS already this season. GW was favored by 19.5 over Mercyhurst, but won by just 17. And in their most recent game, they were favored by 15.5 over NC A&T, yet won by just 5. Finally, the Revolutionaries are a wallet-busting 1-14-1 ATS when matched up against an opponent off 3 SU/ATS losses. Grab the points with New Jersey Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-17-24 |
Weber State +5 v. Hawaii |
Top |
68-73 |
Push |
0 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats + the points over Hawaii. Weber lost by 30 at Nevada on Wednesday. But the Wildcats generally bounce back off blowout losses as they're 35-13-2 ATS following a double-digit defeat, if they weren't favored by more than 3 points in their current game. Take Weber State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-17-24 |
Texas Southern +12.5 v. Samford |
Top |
82-97 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over Samford. Texas Southern lost SU/ATS to Georgia Tech, 81-62, on Tuesday, while the Bulldogs edged North Alabama, 97-96, in Florence, on Friday, as a 2-point road favorite. Samford is back home this afternoon. But it's a dreadful 14-37 ATS at home vs. losing opponents off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Tigers.
|
11-17-24 |
Austin Peay v. Tennessee -28.5 |
Top |
68-103 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Austin Peay. The Governors pulled off their 2nd straight upset win, with a 67-61 victory over Chattanooga, as a 2.5-point home dog. We'll fade Austin Peay this afternoon off that win, as they've cashed just 42% as road double-digit dogs off an upset win since 1990. Even worse, undefeated teams off back to back upset wins have cashed just 33% as road underdogs over the past 35 years. Finally, the Vols are 18-8 ATS when laying 18.5 (or more) points, while the Governors are 11-20 ATS when catching more than 18 points. Take Tennessee.
|
11-17-24 |
Harvard +14.5 v. Colorado |
Top |
66-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Harvard Crimson + the points over Colorado. The Buffaloes are 3-0 with 3 home wins over Eastern Washington, Northern Colorado and Cal State Fullerton. We'll grab the points with Harvard, which is 18-4 ATS when priced from +6.5 to +21 vs. non-conference foes off back to back wins. Take the Crimson.
|
11-17-24 |
Canisius v. Western Michigan -5 |
Top |
69-92 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Cansisius. Western Michigan was upset, 79-60, by SIU-Edwardsville here, at home, as a 2.5-point favorite. Off that home upset loss, we'll play on the Broncos to bounce back, as they've cashed 55.8% since 1990 as home favorites vs. foes off back to back losses, including 66% if the Broncos were also off a home upset loss. Take Western Michigan.
|
11-16-24 |
Chicago State +23.5 v. San Francisco |
Top |
37-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over San Francisco. The Cougars are 0-3 after getting blown out, 105-58, by Texas on Tuesday, while San Francisco is 3-0. We'll take Chicago State as a huge underdog, and fade the Dons, who have covered just 5 of 20 when favored by 14+ points vs. a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Additionally, the Cougars are 10-1 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including 7-0 when getting 14+ points. Take Chicago State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-16-24 |
Siena v. Albany -4.5 |
Top |
60-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Albany Great Danes minus the points over Siena. These two teams will battle for the Albany Cup this evening. Last year's game was won by Albany, 86-51, behind 33 points from guard Amar'e Marshall. Marshall did sit out the two previous games, as he had a thumb injury, but should return for tonight's game. Siena's 3-0 SU/ATS after its 74-66 upset win over American, on Tuesday. But that triumph has triggered a negative 102-159 ATS system of mine which fades Siena in this game. Albany has won six of the last eight meetings between these cross-town rivals. And the Great Danes are also 8-1 ATS their last nine, as a favorite. Lay the points with Albany. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-16-24 |
Liberty +1.5 v. Florida Atlantic |
Top |
74-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Florida Atlantic. The Owls come into this game off a heartbreaking, 119-116, loss to the College of Charleston, as the Cougars buried a 3-pointer at the buzzer to win in double-overtime. And that was the 2nd straight game where the Owls allowed 100+ points on defense, as UCF won on Tuesday, 100-94, vs. the Owls. We'll fade Florida Atlantic, as teams playing away from home, that gave up 100+ points in each of their two previous games, have cashed just 42% as favorites since 1990. Take Liberty + the points.
|
11-16-24 |
Green Bay v. Providence -15.5 |
Top |
65-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars minus the points over Green Bay. The Phoenix went into Western Illinois on Wednesday, and upset the Leathernecks, 87-73, as a 2-point underdog. We'll go against Green Bay off that upset win, and take Providence, which is 60-34 ATS in the regular season vs. foes off upset. Take Providence.
|
11-16-24 |
Canisius +3.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville |
Top |
58-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Canisius Golden Griffins + the points over SIU-Edwardsville. The Cougars come into this game off an upset win, 79-60, over Western Michigan. We'll fade Edwardsville off that upset, as Canisius has gone 30-17 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off an upset win. Take the Golden Griffins + the points.
|
11-16-24 |
South Carolina v. Indiana -7 |
Top |
71-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks will travel to Assembly Hall, in Bloomington, this afternoon to take on #17-ranked Indiana. The Hoosiers won their previous game, 90-55, here last Sunday vs. Eastern Illinois. Assembly Hall has long been one of the country's strongest home courts. And Indiana has done its best work at home vs. non-conference foes, as the Hoosiers are 116-78 ATS since 1990, including 38-15 ATS off a win by 24+ points. Take Indiana minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-16-24 |
Wagner v. Seton Hall -12 |
Top |
28-54 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Wagner. These teams have met each of the previous seven seasons. The Pirates have won all 7 meetings by at least 21 points, and they've covered the spread in the last four. The Pirates come into this early afternoon game off back to back upset defeats. We'll lay the points, as they're a solid 31-20-1 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Seton Hall.
|
11-16-24 |
Wake Forest v. Xavier -6 |
Top |
60-75 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are 4-0 after narrowly defeated South Carolina Upstate, 85-80, as a 29.5-point home favorite, while Xavier moved to 3-0 with a 37-point blowout of Jackson State. I like Xavier in this battle of unbeatens, as Xavier is 22-12-1 ATS at home when matched up against an undefeated foe. And Wake Forest is a woeful 0-8 ATS its last 8 (and 6-21 ATS its last 27) vs. foes with a win percentage greater than .900, if Wake was an underdog of +5 to +11 points. Take Xavier. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-15-24 |
CS-Fullerton +12 v. Oregon State |
Top |
51-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Fullerton Titans + the points over Oregon State. The Titans come into this game off a 30-point loss to Colorado, while the Beavers blew out Western Oregon, 94-58. I'm going to grab the points with Fullerton, as I expect it will bounce back off its 30-point loss. Indeed, Big West Conference teams have gone 100-76-5 ATS off a loss by more than 28 points. Also, the Beavers have burned money as a favorite of more than 3 points, going 25-49 ATS their last 74. Even worse: they're 3-12 ATS vs. foes off losses by more than 25 points. Take the Titans + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-15-24 |
Nicholls State v. Cincinnati -23 |
Top |
49-86 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Nicholls State. In their last game, the Colonels upset Northern Kentucky, 61-59, as a 6.5-point road underdog. Tonight, they'll face a much stiffer test in the #17-ranked Bearcats, as Cincy's scoring margin is +41.00 on the season. And home favorites, with scoring margins north of 29.0 ppg, have cashed 62.8% over the last 35 seasons vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. Lay the points.
|
11-15-24 |
Monmouth +20 v. Rutgers |
Top |
81-98 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Rutgers. The 24th-ranked Scarlet Knights' may get one of its freshman phenoms -- Ace Bailey -- on the court tonight. Bailey missed the Knights' first two games after suffering an undisclosed injury in practice earlier this month. Rutgers' other highly-touted freshman, Dylan Harper, shined in the first two games, averaging 22.0 ppg. The Scarlet Knights are favored by a very large number tonight vs. a Hawks team which enters off 3 SU/ATS losses. However, Coastal Athletic Association teams have cashed 57.3% since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS losses, when getting 9+ points. And Rutgers is a wallet-busting 16-27-1 ATS when favored by 14+ points. Take Monmouth + the points.
|
11-13-24 |
Fresno State v. UC-Santa Barbara -13.5 |
Top |
86-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal-Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over Fresno State. The Bulldogs won their season opener, 64-57, at home over Sacramento State. Fresno will now travel to Santa Barbara to play the 2-0 Gauchos, who blew out Portland by a whopping 41 on Saturday. The Bulldogs are a brutal 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS on the road off a home win, while the Gauchos are 9-1-1 ATS in Non-Conference games off a 30+ point win. Take Cal-Santa Barbara. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-13-24 |
Queens NC v. BYU -29 |
Top |
55-99 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Queens, NC. Kevin Young has brought in big-time talent to this year's BYU team. The prize recruit was Egor Demin, who will be a lottery pick in next year's NBA draft. And four-star recruit, Kanon Catchings, was also landed by the BYU's new head coach. In Tuesday's 38-point blowout of Central Arkansas, the young Cougars displayed their promise. Demin had 18 points and 11 assists, while Catchings poured in 17. I expect BYU to roll tonight over Queens, as BYU is 11-2 ATS when favored by more than 22 points. Take the Cougars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-13-24 |
Wyoming v. Texas Tech -22 |
Top |
49-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Wyoming. The Red Raiders won their first two games by 33 and 21 points, and are favored by double-digits over the Cowboys. Texas Tech is a terrific 57-15 SU and 40-22 ATS off back to back double-digit wins. Lay the points.
|
11-13-24 |
Central Michigan v. George Mason -14 |
Top |
70-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over Central Michigan. George Mason comes into this game with a 2-1 record, as it won and covered its two home games, and lost on the road to Marquette. The Chippewas do come into this game off an 8-point loss to Marquette, but they covered the 27-point spread by 19 points. We'll take George Mason here, at home, as the Patriots are 30-5 SU and 21-13 ATS at home, including a perfect 5-0 ATS vs. foes that covered their last game by double-digits. Take George Mason.
|
11-12-24 |
North Florida v. Georgia -14.5 |
Top |
77-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over North Florida. The Ospreys went into Atlanta, and upset the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 105-93, on Sunday. They'll play back to back road games in Georgia, as they're in Athens tonight to face the Bulldogs. We'll fade North Florida, as it's a poor 2-9 ATS as an underdog away from home off a road upset win. Take Georgia.
|
11-12-24 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Clemson -23 |
Top |
62-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Eastern Kentucky. The Tigers are 2-0 after blowout wins over Charleston Southern (91-64) and St. Francis PA (88-62). We'll lay the points with Clemson tonight, as home teams off back to back 24-point home wins have gone 446-376-15 ATS. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-12-24 |
Tarleton State +19 v. Florida State |
Top |
52-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton State Texans + the points over Florida State. The Texans are 0-2 ATS to start the season, including a home loss to Sam Houston St. in their previous game. But we'll grab the points with the Texans on the road, in Tallahassee, as Florida State is 0-9 ATS vs. non-conference foes on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, if FSU wasn't favored by 20+ points. Additionally, the Texans are 6-0 ATS their last six off a home defeat. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-12-24 |
Drexel v. Temple -8 |
Top |
61-69 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over Drexel. The Owls have dominated this cross-town, Philadelphia rivalry, going 9-1 the last 10 meetings, including 5-0 ATS when favored by 11 or less points. Even better: The Dragons come into this game off an upset win over Colgate. But Drexel is a poor 9-26 ATS off an upset win. Take the Owls.
|
11-12-24 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore v. Miami-OH -17 |
Top |
70-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Maryland-Eastern Shore. The RedHawk were upset here, at home, by Wright State on Saturday. We'll take Miami-Ohio to bounce back off that upset loss, as it's cashed 60% since 1990 at home off a home upset defeat. Lay the points.
|
11-12-24 |
Cornell v. La Salle -3.5 |
Top |
77-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers minus the points over Cornell. Jon Jaques' first year at Cornell head coach is off to a 2-0 start, with wins over Marywood and Samford. But those two games were at home; this game will be in Philadelphia, at La Salle. The Explorers are also 2-0, with double-digit wins over American and Lafayette. And they covered the spread in those victories by an average of 10.5 ppg. Over the last 35 years, the Explorers have cashed 57% of its non-conference games, when it was favored, and off a double-digit, SU/ATS win. Take La Salle minus the points.
|
11-11-24 |
Coppin State +26 v. Virginia |
Top |
45-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers saw long-term head coach Tony Bennett surprisingly retire last month, so Ron Sanchez will serve as Interim Head Coach for this season. Sanchez was formerly the head coach for Charlotte for 5 seasons, and went 72-78 in his tenure there. In his career, his teams have burned money as a favorite, going 28-35 ATS. We will fade Virginia, which will be playing its 2nd game after not covering the spread in its first against Campbell. UVA was favored by 16, yet won by just nine, 65-56. Meanwhile, this will be Coppin State's 4th game, already. It is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS on the season. Still, Coppin State is a solid 23-9-1 ATS off 3+ losses, when getting 10+ points. Take the Eagles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-10-24 |
Texas Southern v. Georgia -17 |
Top |
64-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Southern. The Tigers blew out A&M-San Antonio, 100-66, on Wednesday, while Georgia got by Tennessee Tech on Monday, 83-78, but failed to cover the double-digit spread. We'll play against the Tigers as a double-digit dog this afternoon, as dogs of +13 (or more) points, of a win by 34+ points, have covered just 44% on the non-conference road over the last 35 years when matched up against a foe off an ATS loss. Additionally, Georgia is 8-2 ATS its last 10 off a point spread loss, while the Tigers are 2-7 ATS off a win by 30+ points. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Kennesaw State v. California Baptist -10 |
Top |
84-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers minus the points over Kennesaw St. Both of these teams won their season openers. The Owls routed Toccoa Falls, 110-61, on Tuesday, while the Lancers edged, Incarnate Word, 83-78, as an 11.5-point favorite on Monday. We'll fade Kennesaw tonight, as road underdogs off a season-opening win, in which they scored 105+, have cashed just 33.7% since 1990, including 1-9 ATS this season. Lay the points with the Lancers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Bucknell v. Kentucky -28.5 |
Top |
72-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Bucknell. We played on the Bison in their first two games, and they rewarded us with back-to-back wins and covers, including an overtime victory over Southern Indiana on Thursday. But off those two SU/ATS wins, we'll fade the Bison in Lexington this afternoon, as .666 (or better) teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, have covered just 34% as underdogs of 20+ points since 1990. Take Kentucky minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-08-24 |
Princeton v. Duquesne +6 |
Top |
75-68 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 8:30pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes + the points over Princeton. This game will be played in Trenton, as part of the Jersey Jam tournament. The Dukes lost their season opener, 77-72, at home to Lipscomb, which was their first game under new head coach, Dru Joyce. We'll take the Dukes, and go against Princeton, which has cashed just 27% over the last 35 years as a winning team vs. a non-conference foe off an upset loss. Meanwhile, the Dukes have gone 17-2 ATS their last 19 off an upset loss, when priced from +4 to +16.5 points. Take Duquesne + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-08-24 |
South Carolina State v. South Carolina -18 |
Top |
64-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over South Carolina St. The Gamecocks lost by 3 in their season opener, 74-71, as an 20-point home favorite vs. N. Florida, while the Bulldogs blew out Morris College, 137-55. It's not often an NCAA team loses outright as a 20-point favorite in its season opener, but when they do, consider going with them in their next game, as NCAA teams off upset losses as 19-point (or greater) favorites to start the season tend to bounce back in their next game, and have covered 60.0% since 1990.
|
11-08-24 |
Iona v. Hofstra -4.5 |
Top |
76-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hofstra Pride minus the points over Iona. Hofstra got its season off on the right foot, with a 27-point blowout win over SUNY-Old Westbury, on Monday, while The Pride are on a 68.5% ATS run, when priced from -3 to -18 points -- and 72.2% vs. an opponent off a SU loss. With Iona in off a 1-point loss to Princeton, we'll fade the Gaels, and take the Pride minus the points.
|
11-08-24 |
Austin Peay v. Butler -16.5 |
Top |
68-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Austin Peay. Both teams enter this game off wins in their season opener. The Bulldogs downed Missouri State, 72-65, but failed to cover as a 17-point favorite, while Austin Peay blew out Union, 95-75. We'll take Butler tonight as a big favorite to bounce back off its ATS loss, as NCAA teams, priced from -13.5 to -18.5 in Game 2 have cashed 68% the past 35 years if they were off a win in Game 1, but an ATS loss by 10+ points. Take Butler.
|
11-08-24 |
St. Peter's v. UMass Lowell -10 |
Top |
74-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Lowell River Hawks minus the points over St. Peter's. UMass Lowell blew out Rivier, 115-59, on Monday. We'll lay the points with the River Hawks tonight, as favorites of 4+ points have cashed 63.2% over the last 35 years off a win by 55+ points in their season opener. Take the River Hawks.
|
11-07-24 |
Prairie View A&M v. DePaul -15 |
Top |
59-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Prairie View A&M. DePaul won its opener, 80-78, vs. Southern Indiana, while Prairie view routed the College of Biblical Studies, 111-90. Since 1990, DePaul has cashed 63% as a double-digit favorite vs. non-conference foes off a win by more than 20 points. Lay the points with the Blue Demons.
|
11-07-24 |
Bucknell -2.5 v. Southern Indiana |
Top |
75-69 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison minus the points over Southern Indiana. We played on Bucknell, Monday, as a road underdog at Delaware, and were rewarded with an 85-73 upset win. Tonight, the Bison have been installed as a small road favorite, and we'll come right back with John Griffin's men, as Bucknell has gone 9-0 ATS off a SU win, when installed as a road favorite of -6 (or less) points (or PK). Take the Bison. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-07-24 |
Southern Miss v. UAB -13 |
Top |
84-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Southern Mississippi. The Blazers were upset on Monday, 67-62, here, at home, vs. Vermont, while Southern Miss won its opener, 77-68, vs. Bowling Green. These two teams met last season in Birmingham, and Southern Miss came away with an 85-82 victory. Over the last 35 seasons, UAB has cashed 64% when playing at home with revenge vs. non-conference foes. Lay the points with the Blazers.
|
11-04-24 |
Missouri +5 v. Memphis |
Top |
75-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Memphis. Memphis upset Missouri, 70-55, last season, as a 3-point dog. We'll take Missouri + the points, as Memphis is a wallet-breaking 22-40-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded, non-conference foes. Additionally, Missouri falls into a 50-21 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Missouri + the points. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-04-24 |
Bucknell +3.5 v. Delaware |
Top |
85-73 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison + the points over Delaware. The Bison return 4 starters from last year's team, while Delaware only returns 1 starter. Last year, the Blue Hens blew out the Bison, 78-57. We'll take Bucknell to avenge that defeat, as Delaware is a soft 50-77-5 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Delaware was not off an ATS loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
04-08-24 |
Purdue +7 v. Connecticut |
Top |
60-75 |
Loss |
-112 |
16 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Similar to the 2021 championship game between Baylor and Gonzaga, which pitted the top two teams in the country, this is the match-up that most basketball aficionados wanted to see. Connecticut is the defending champion, and has gone 11-0 SU/ATS in the NCAA Tournament the past two seasons. And Purdue has Zach Edey, the best NCAA Basketball player for the past two seasons. There's no doubt that UConn is the better team, with its five starters all projected to go among the top 44 players drafted in the upcoming NBA draft (with Donovan Clingan projected at #14, and Stephon Castle at #8). But I believe Purdue is uniquely positioned to give the Huskies a supreme battle. The Boilers combine the interior play of 7'4" Edey with outside marksmen that ranked #2 (of 362 NCAA teams) in three-point FG percentage this season, at 40.8%. Dating back to 1991, this is the 18th NCAA Tournament game between two #1 seeds. The underdog has gone 10-7 in the prior match-ups, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when getting 7+ points. Also, Purdue has generally delivered as an underdog, as it's 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 when getting 1.5 (or more) points. The Boilermakers fall into 48-11, 20-2, 26-5 and 88-48 ATS systems of mine, and we'll grab the points with Matt Painter's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-06-24 |
NC State +9.5 v. Purdue |
Top |
50-63 |
Loss |
-120 |
77 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Purdue. The Wolfpack have been the best point spread team in this tournament, as they've covered the point spread by an average of 13.37 ppg. Even better, the Wolfpack have won nine straight games, including a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS as an underdog. And those included ACC Tourney victories over Duke (as an 11-point underdog), and North Carolina (as a 10-point dog). They blew out Marquette and Duke (again), as 7.5-point underdogs in each game, last weekend in the Sweet 16/Elite 8 Rounds to reach this semi-final game. It's true that Purdue was my preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the Championship. And Purdue was also the team I selected to win this tournament in my March Madness bracket. But the last thing I want to do is lay points to this NC State club. For technical support, consider that teams seeded #4 (or worse), off 4+ wins, have gone 15-0 ATS their last 15 as underdogs vs. top-3-seeded teams at the Sweet 16 Round forward. Take North Carolina St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-04-24 |
Indiana State -2.5 v. Seton Hall |
Top |
77-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Thursday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Seton Hall. We played on both the Pirates and Sycamores in their respective semi-final games, and got the $$$ with each. We will roll with Indiana St. in this championship game, as it will be playing in front of a very home-friendly crowd in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute. Indiana St. erupted for 100 points on Tuesday night vs. Utah, and that bodes well for it in this title game, as it has gone 60-31-2 ATS following a victory where it scored more than 78 points. Meanwhile, the Pirates have played much better at home this season than away from home, as they've covered the spread by 3.67 ppg at home, but have failed to cover by 1.88 ppg away from home, going 6-10 ATS. We'll lay the points with Indiana St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-02-24 |
Georgia v. Seton Hall -4 |
Top |
67-84 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Georgia. The Pirates' last game was a 23-point blowout of UNLV, as a 6.5-point cover. And that 23-point win was the biggest margin of victory by any team so far in this NIT Tournament. And its 16.5-point cover was the 2nd biggest point spread margin. We'll ride the Pirates off that huge game, as they're 27-4 ATS following a game where they covered the spread by 12+ points, if they were matched up against a foe off a SU win in their current game (including a perfect 10-0 ATS as a favorite). Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-02-24 |
Utah v. Indiana State -2.5 |
Top |
90-100 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over the Utah Utes. This game will be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse, on the campus of Butler University, in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute. So, expect a crowd squarely in the Sycamores' corner. We'll lay the points with Indiana St, and go against a Utah team which has had its problems away from home. The Utes earned their trip to the NIT semifinals with 3 home wins, and they covered the spread in each by 11.5, 4 and 1.5 points. For the season, Utah went 18-2 SU and 14-6 ATS at home, and covered the point spread by an average of 6.17 ppg. Unfortunately, it was a completely different story away from Salt Lake City, as Utah went 4-12 SU, 5-11 ATS, and FAILED to cover the point spread by an average of 4.73 ppg. And Utah's road travails haven't been just this season. Dating back to 2019, they're 17-51 SU and 21-46-1 ATS away from home, and failed to cover by an average of 4.59 ppg. Indiana State, meanwhile, has held its own away from home, with a 15-5 SU record, and a 10-10 ATS record. And it's covered the spread, on average, by 1.21 ppg away from home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-31-24 |
NC State v. Duke -7 |
Top |
76-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over NC State. The Blue Devils sent #1-seeded Houston packing on Friday night. And teams that eliminated #1 seeds have gone on to a sweet 18-6 ATS record in the Elite 8 Round. Over the first three rounds of the tourney, the Blue Devils have covered the spread by an average of 14.83 ppg. I won't step in front of Duke here, and especially not when it's playing with revenge from a 74-69 defeat in the ACC Tournament. Key stat: NC State is a woeful 1-7 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. an opponent it upset in the season's prior meeting. Lay the points with the Blue Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-30-24 |
Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
52-77 |
Loss |
-107 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Admittedly, the Huskies are deserving of their #1 ranking. They've won and covered all three NCAA Tourney games, including a 30-point blowout of San Diego State on Thursday. But top-3-seeded favorites of more than 5 points have gone 0-10 ATS at the Sweet 16 Round forward, off a cover by more than 7 points, if they were matched up against a foe off an upset win. That certainly doesn't bode well for UConn this evening against an excellent Illinois team checking in off an upset win over the Big 12 Tourney champs, Iowa St. The Illini, for their part, won the Big 10 Conference tournament, and have now won 10 of 11 games, including their last seven in a row. And they've covered 5 straight. Here, they've been installed as a huge underdog vs. the defending champion Huskies. And we'll happily grab the points, as top-3-seeded teams have gone a perfect 7-0 ATS as underdogs of 8+ points, dating back to March 28, 1998. Moreover, since the Big 10 started its post-season tourney, its champs have been terrific as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament, as they've gone 10-5 ATS, including a perfect 3-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round. Likewise, the Illini have been stellar as underdogs this season, going 5-1-1 ATS. And they're 21-10-1 ATS their last 32 as underdogs, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS when getting 6 or more points. Finally, this season, the Illini have gone 14-4 ATS away from home, and have covered the spread in those 18 games by an average of 6 ppg (UConn has not done as well away from home, as it's covered the spread by an average of 2.43 ppg). Take the Illini. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-29-24 |
Gonzaga v. Purdue -5 |
Top |
68-80 |
Win
|
100 |
82 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Gonzaga. The Boilermakers were my preseason Futures pick to win the NCAA Title (at 15-1 odds), and they've done nothing to reduce my confidence. We played on the Boilers in their opening round game vs. Grambling, and got the $$$ in their 28-point win, but we stayed on the sidelines in their 39-point blowout win over Utah St. We'll jump back in and lay the points with Purdue against Gonzaga, as NCAA teams that won their first two tourney games by a combined 55+ points have covered 67% since 1990 in the Tournament's Sweet 16 Round. Gonzaga also won its two tourney games in blowout fashion by 21 points each. Unfortunately, it's an ugly 1-10-1 ATS its last 12 games after back-to-back wins by 15+ points. These two teams met earlier this season, and Purdue handed the Zags a 10-point loss, 73-63. The Boilers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games, while Gonzaga is 19-31-1 ATS in its last 51 non-conference games, including 0-11 ATS vs. non-conference foes on 2-game or better) ATS win streaks. Take the Boilermakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-24 |
San Diego State +11 v. Connecticut |
Top |
52-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
58 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Connecticut. This is a rematch of last year's championship game, won by UConn, 76-59. Both teams come into this game off big wins. UConn defeated Northwestern, 75-58, while San Diego State blew out Yale, 85-57. We'll take Brian Dutcher's men as double-digit dogs, as the Aztecs are a spectacular 102-49-2 ATS off a win by 14+ points, if they weren't favored by more than 10 points, including 46-15-1 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage > .750. And they're 44-22-1 ATS after scoring 85+ points. Finally, the Aztecs are 56-29-2 ATS on neutral courts, or at home, when playing with revenge. Take San Diego St. + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-27-24 |
UNLV v. Seton Hall -4.5 |
Top |
68-91 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over UNLV. Since its founding in 1999, the Mountain West Conference teams have had stark results in post-season tournaments depending on whether they were playing at home, or away from home. At home, the Mountain West has been great vs. non-conference foes, as its teams have gone 32-20 ATS. But away from home, it's been a different story, as the Mountain West has gone 50-92-2 ATS. The Big East Conference has also dominated the Mountain West in the post-season, going 12-3 ATS. Lay the points with Seton Hall. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-27-24 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 |
Top |
67-75 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, in the CIT Tournament championship game, our selection is on the Norfolk State Spartans + the points over Purdue-Fort Wayne. The Spartans will play at home in this Title game, and have been installed as an underdog vs. the Mastodons. Fort Wayne is a wallet-breaking 14-22-2 ATS its last 38 as road favorites. And it's 1-10 ATS its last 11 as a road favorite vs. a foe off a straight-up win. Finally, the Mastodons are 0-4 ATS on the road in the post-season when not getting more than 5 points. Take the points with Norfolk in this CIT Tournament title game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-25-24 |
Chicago State +5.5 v. Fairfield |
Top |
74-77 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over Fairfield. The Cougars come into this game off an upset win over UC San Diego, as a 10-point underdog. We'll take the Cougars this afternoon and fade a Stags team which has gone 30-45 ATS its last 75 as a favorite. And when matched up against a foe off a SU win, the Stags have gone 28-53-2 ATS their last 83, including 5-11-1 ATS in the post-season. Take Chicago State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-24-24 |
Yale v. San Diego State -5 |
Top |
57-85 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Yale. We played on the Bulldogs Friday vs. Auburn, and were rewarded with 78-76 win, as a 14.5-point underdog. Unfortunately for Yale, it's not getting double-digits today. And teams seeded 13 thru 16 have cashed just 24.2% in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament when priced from +4.5 to +9 points. We'll fade the Bulldogs, and lay the points with SDSU.
|
03-24-24 |
Northwestern +14.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
58-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Connecticut. Chris Collins' men have been installed as a double-digit dog vs. the defending champion Huskies. We'll grab the points, as NCAA tourney teams not seeded #16 have gone 65-43 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins. Additionally, the Wildcats are 17-6 ATS their last 23 as an underdog. Take Northwestern.
|
03-24-24 |
Grand Canyon v. Alabama -5.5 |
Top |
61-72 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Grand Canyon. The Crimson Tide have been great over the last couple of seasons as a favorite, and horrible as an underdog. When laying points, 'Bama is 29-16-2 ATS its last 47. But in the underdog role, it's failed miserably, going 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS its last 10. The good news, then, for Nate Oats men is that they're favored this evening vs. the Antelopes. Take the Crimson Tide. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-24-24 |
Evansville +2.5 v. Quinnipiac |
Top |
64-63 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 5:30 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Quinnipiac. The Bobcats lost to St. Peters, 62-60, in the Metro Atlantic Tourney, and finished with a 24-9 record. Unfortunately, for the Bobcats, they're a wallet-busting 17-34-2 ATS as a favorite following a straight-up loss. And they're a poor 4-13 ATS in post-season games when they've owned a win percentage > .450. Meanwhile, Evansville has gone 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 non-conference games. And Missouri Valley teams have been strong in the CBI Tourney, going 19-11 ATS. Grab the points with Evansville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-24-24 |
Minnesota v. Indiana State -7.5 |
Top |
64-76 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Minnesota. After narrowly missing the NCAA Tournament, the Sycamores showed they wanted to win this NIT Tourney with a strong victory (101-92) over SMU, on Wednesday. Indiana State is back home for this game against the Gophers. And Indiana State is 22-2 SU and 20-4 ATS at home off a straight-up win. Lay the points.
|
03-24-24 |
Presbyterian +8.5 v. Montana |
Top |
79-82 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 1:00 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Montana. Presbyterian played very well down the stretch, going 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games. The Grizzlies certainly had a good season, with a 21-10 record. However, the Blue Hose has gone 25-16-3 ATS their last 44 vs. winning opponents, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +11.5. Take Presbyterian + the points.
|
03-23-24 |
Oregon v. Creighton -4.5 |
Top |
73-86 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays minus the points over Oregon. The Ducks exploded for 87 points in their 87-73 win over South Carolina. And that was the most points Oregon has scored in its last 20 games. But off that win, we'll fade the Ducks, as they're 8-19 ATS off a high-scoring win, in which they tallied 85+ points. And they're also 4-13 ATS as an underdog, priced from +2 to +8, off a SU win. Meanwhile, Creighton is a stellar 37-14 ATS as a favorite of 8 or less points vs. non-conference foes off a win. Lay the points with the Bluejays. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-23-24 |
Washington State +7 v. Iowa State |
Top |
56-67 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Iowa State. We played on Wazzu on Thursday, and got the $$$ when the Cougars upset Drake. They'll try to make it two-upsets-in-a-row this evening when they take on the Big 12 champion Cyclones. Iowa State comes into this game off four SU/ATS wins. Unfortunately, it's a dreadful 7-23-2 ATS away from home when on a 4-game (or better) ATS win streak, including 1-11-1 ATS when priced from +2.5 to -7.5 points, and 0-12-2 ATS their last 14 when matched up against a foe off an ATS win. Even worse for Iowa State: Pac-12 teams are 38-20 ATS their last 58 as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament (and 8-0 ATS their last 8 as underdogs vs. the Big 12 in the Tourney). Finally, the Cougars fall into several of my favorites systems, with records of 34-5, 65-23 and 98-50 ATS. Take Washington State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-23-24 |
Delaware State +12.5 v. Seattle University |
Top |
66-79 |
Loss |
-109 |
27 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 5:30 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Delaware St. Hornets + the points over Seattle. The Redhawks are a soft 11-17 ATS their last 28 when laying 6+ points, and they're 2-9 ATS away from home vs. foes with a worse W/L record. We'll fade Seattle, and grab the points with Delaware St., which is 5-0 its last five neutral court games. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-23-24 |
Bradley v. Cincinnati -5 |
Top |
57-74 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Bradley. The Braves won their first-round NIT game, 74-62, vs. Loyola-Chicago. But that game was at home, where Bradley has gone 31-11-1 ATS its last 43 (and 69-37-5 ATS its last 111). On the road, the Braves have been brutal, going 55-87-2 ATS their last 144, including 12-28 ATS off a double-digit win. Take Cincinnati minus the points.
|
03-23-24 |
North Texas v. Seton Hall -3.5 |
Top |
58-72 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 am (note the early start), in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over North Texas. The Pirates won, but failed to cover the spread, on Wednesday vs. St. Joseph's. And that was the 3rd straight ATS loss for Seton Hall. The good news for the Pirates, here, is that they're a solid 43-22 ATS after 3 ATS losses in their 3 previous games. Take the Pirates.
|
03-22-24 |
Longwood v. Houston -23.5 |
Top |
46-86 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Longwood. The Cougars were blown out in the Big 12 title game, 69-41, by Iowa State. I expect Kelvin Sampson's men to bounce back in a strong way on Friday night, as they're 14-5 ATS off a double-digit loss. And they're also 38-15-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, provided the Cougars were not off back to back ATS wins, themselves. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-22-24 |
Grambling State v. Purdue -27 |
Top |
50-78 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Grambling. The Tigers upset Montana St, 88-81, as a 4.5-point underdog in the First Four round game, in Dayton. But Grambling's task will be much more difficult today, as it will have to take on Zach Edey & Co. Purdue was our preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the National Championship, and they'll start their title trek today in Indianapolis, just 71 miles from Mackey Arena. Gainbridge Fieldhouse will no doubt be on the side of the #1-seeded Boilermakers this evening, and we will lay the points. Matt Painter's men lost to Wisconsin, 76-75, in the Big 10 Tournament. But under Painter, the Boilermakers have gone 82-54-6 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including a spectacular 15-2 ATS in the post-season. And Grambling is 1-7 ATS off an upset win, when facing a winning foe. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-22-24 |
Yale +13 v. Auburn |
Top |
78-76 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 50 m |
Show
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At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs + the points over Auburn. The Bulldogs hit a buzzer-beater to defeat Brown in the Ivy League championship game, but failed to cover the 8-point spread. We'll take Yale to get the $$$ on Friday afternoon, as it's 37-17 ATS away from home off a point spread loss, including 4-1 ATS in the post-season. Grab the points.
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03-22-24 |
New Mexico v. Clemson +2.5 |
Top |
56-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
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At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over New Mexico. The Lobos won the Mountain West Conference Tournament with a 68-61 upset win over San Diego State. And that was New Mexico's 4th straight win (and 6th straight cover). The Lobos needed every one of those 4 wins, as they would not have qualified for the NCAA Tourney had they not won the Mountain West title. Today, they'll face a Clemson team looking to bounce back off a 76-55 loss to Boston College in the ACC Tourney. We'll fade New Mexico, as Mountain West teams are a woeful 10-34-1 ATS in the NCAA Tourney vs. a foe off a SU loss, including 2-13-1 ATS if our Mountain West team was off a SU win. Moreover, ACC Conference teams have gone 58-34-1 ATS away from home off a loss by more than 10 points, if they were an underdog of less than 3 points. And ACC teams have also gone 96-69-2 ATS off an upset loss, if they also lost two games back, and were matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win (including 19-8 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Grab the points with Clemson. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-22-24 |
UAB v. San Diego State -7 |
Top |
65-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
32 h 3 m |
Show
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At 1:45 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over UAB. Last year, Brian Dutcher's men lost in the championship game to Connecticut. The Aztecs will try to make another run to the Final Four this season, and their first game will be against the Blazers, who won the AAC Tourney with an 85-69 triumph over Temple. San Diego State is an awesome 99-56 ATS when favored (or PK) vs. a foe off a win by more than 8 points. Lay the points with the Aztecs.
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03-21-24 |
Drake v. Washington State +2 |
Top |
61-66 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 59 m |
Show
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At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Drake. The Bulldogs have struggled in non-conference games, as they've gone 12-24 ATS their last 36. Even worse: they're 1-11 ATS in non-conference tournaments. In contrast, the Cougars are 18-9 ATS in non-conference tourneys. Take Washington St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-24 |
NC State v. Texas Tech -5 |
Top |
80-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
39 h 45 m |
Show
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At 9:40 pm our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over NC State. Not since Xavier won the Atlantic 10 Tournament as a #10-seed in 2006 had such an improbable champion as NC State won its conference tournament. But the Wolfpack did the near-impossible by winning five straight ACC games as the #10 seed to earn the title. Unfortunately, teams that won their conference title games as underdogs of +6 (or more) points have not done well in their initial NCAA tourney game when not getting 17+ points, as they've covered just 36.1% since 1990. Take Texas Tech minus the points.
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03-21-24 |
St. Peter's v. Tennessee -21 |
Top |
49-83 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 10 m |
Show
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At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over St. Peter's. After winning seven straight games (6-1 ATS), the Vols had a disappointing end to their season with back-to-back upset losses to Kentucky (85-81) and Mississippi St (73-56). The good news for Tennessee is that it's a solid 47-17 ATS following 2+ losses, when matched up against a .571 (or better) foe. Take the Volunteers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-24 |
South Dakota State +16.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
65-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
36 h 23 m |
Show
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At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota St. Jackrabbits + the points over Iowa St. The Jackrabbits have been one of the best point spread teams, and they've been especially good against elite opponents, as they've gone 29-11 ATS vs. .777 (or better) teams with scoring margins > 8.0 ppg. We'll take South Dakota State + the double-digits, and look for a bit of a letdown by Iowa State following its 28-point upset win over Houston to win the Big 12 title. Unfortunately for the Cyclones, teams that win their conference tourney title game by double-digits as an underdog have generally underperformed in their initial NCAA Tourney game with a 39% ATS mark. Take the Jackrabbits. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-24 |
Oakland v. Kentucky -13.5 |
Top |
80-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
36 h 56 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Oakland. The Wildcats were upset by Auburn in the SEC Tourney. We'll lay the points with Kentucky on Thursday night, as it has gone 18-2 ATS its last 18 (and 40-14 ATS its last 54) as favorites of 15 or less points vs. .585 (or better) foes when Kentucky was off an upset loss. Take the Wildcats.
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03-21-24 |
Oakland v. Kentucky UNDER 162.5 |
Top |
80-76 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats and Oakland Golden Grizzlies to go Under the total. The Grizzlies defeated Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 83-76, in the Horizon League title game to reach the NCAA Tournament. But off that high-scoring win, we'll look for a lower-scoring game this evening. Indeed, Oakland is 39-16 Under away from home following a game where it scored > 75 points, if the o/u line was 146+ points. Additionally, the Wildcats also come into this game off a high-scoring affair, as they lost, 97-87, to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament. And NCAA post-season games have gone under 61.9% if the line was 150+ points, and each team scored > 80 in its previous game. Take Kentucky/Oakland Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-24 |
Oregon v. South Carolina -1 |
Top |
87-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 56 m |
Show
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At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Oregon. The Gamecocks (along with Iowa State) had the best ATS record (23-10 ATS) of any team which qualified for the NCAA Tournament this season. In contrast, Oregon was tied for the fifth-worst (15-18 ATS). Notwithstanding its Pac-10 Title, Oregon was 3-10 ATS down the stretch. We'll take South Carolina, as it's 11-0 ATS in non-conference tournaments when not laying 3+ points. And the Ducks are a dreadful 24-41 ATS their last 65 off a SU win. Take the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-24 |
Morehead State v. Illinois UNDER 148 |
Top |
69-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
32 h 12 m |
Show
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At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Illinois/Morehead State game. The Illini have played their last 7 non-conference tournament games UNDER the total, while the Eagles have gone 6-3 UNDER their last nine post-season games. We'll look for a low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into a 19-2 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-24 |
Wagner v. North Carolina -24 |
Top |
62-90 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 34 m |
Show
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At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Wagner. North Carolina was stunned by NC State in the ACC Championship game, 84-76. We'll take the Tar Heels to bounce back from that upset loss, as they're an awesome 74-39-4 ATS off a SU loss, if they were favored by 4+ points in their current game. Lay the points.
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03-21-24 |
Duquesne v. BYU -9.5 |
Top |
71-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 27 m |
Show
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At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Duquesne. It's been 47 years since the Dukes last qualified for the NCAA Tourney, but Keith Dambrot's men upset VCU in the Atlantic 10 Title game to punch their ticket. Their Cinderella story will likely end Thursday against a very good BYU team, which is 26-11 ATS its last 37 as a favorite (including 11-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Lay the points with the Cougars.
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03-20-24 |
Colorado -2.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
60-53 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
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At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Boise State. The Buffaloes had won eight straight games (6-2 ATS) before losing to Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship game. We'll take Colorado to resume its winning ways tonight as it plays with revenge from a 68-55 upset loss to the Broncos last season. And NCAA Tourney teams have cashed 68.7% vs. non-conference foes when they were playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Take Colorado. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-20-24 |
Alabama A&M +12.5 v. Austin Peay |
Top |
81-71 |
Win
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100 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs + the points over Austin Peay. The Governors have been installed as a huge favorite here, at home, vs. the Bulldogs. But the Governors are a wallet-busting 17-31-1 ATS when laying 11 or more points. Take Alabama A&M.
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03-20-24 |
UNLV v. Princeton UNDER 139.5 |
Top |
84-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 49 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Princeton/UNLV game. The Tigers come into this game off back to back high-scoring affairs. They defeated Penn, 105-83, at the end of the regular season, and then fell to Brown, 90-81, in the Ivy League Tournament. We'll look for a lower scoring game tonight, as teams have gone under 58.9% in non-conference post-season tourneys following back to back games where they scored 75+ points, that also went over the total. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-20-24 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Bowling Green -1 |
Top |
77-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons over IUPU-Fort Wayne. The Mastodons will play at Bowling Green in this opening round game, and we'll take the homestanding Falcons. Fort Wayne has covered just six of its last 19 post-season games. And it's also 12-20-1 ATS on the road vs. non-conference foes. Take Bowling Green.
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03-20-24 |
Abilene Christian +6 v. Tarleton State |
Top |
59-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Abilene Christian Wildcats + the points over Tarleton St. These two team have already met twice this season, as members of the Western Athletic Conference. The Texans took both meetings, including a 76-73 upset win in Abilene last month. We'll take the revenge-minded Wildcats this evening, as they've covered 60 percent when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, while the Texans have covered just 37% vs. foes it upset in the season's prior meeting. Additionally, the Wildcats fall into a 40-9 ATS tourney system of mine. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-19-24 |
Kansas State v. Iowa -5 |
Top |
82-91 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Kansas St. The Hawkeyes have been dominant at home, going 47-28-4 ATS their last 79 against all opposition, and 49-23-1 their last 73 vs. non-conference foes (including 9-1 ATS off a loss by 9+ points). Meanwhile, the Wildcats have stumbled badly vs. non-conference foes when priced from +3 to +7.5, as they've gone 8-23 ATS, including 0-5 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Iowa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-19-24 |
South Florida v. UCF -5 |
Top |
83-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 1 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over South Florida. After winning 15 straight games, the Bulls ended their season by losing two of their final three games, including a 93-83 upset loss (as the AAC Tourney's #1 seed) to UAB. We'll fade South Florida in this NIT Tournament game, as teams off double-digit upset losses, as #1-seeds, in their conference tourney, have covered just 39% in the NIT since 1990. Additionally, the Bulls are a poor 4-16-1 ATS off a double-digit upset loss to a conference foe, while Central Florida is 14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take the Knights. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-17-24 |
Brown v. Yale -7.5 |
Top |
61-62 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs minus the points over Brown. These two teams met at the end of the regular season, and Brown upset Yale, 84-81, as a double-digit road underdog. Revenge, however, is sweet. And it's especially sweet in a conference championship game. We'll lay the points with the Bulldogs, as NCAA teams have cashed 68.9% since 1990 in conference championship games when playing with revenge from a loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite. Additionally, the Bulldogs are 12-0 ATS their last 12 (and 20-2 ATS their last 22) as a revenge-minded favorite vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win. Take Yale. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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