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Big Al McMordie Basketball Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
11-04-24 Magic +12.5 v. Thunder Top 86-102 Loss -110 14 h 42 m Show

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Thunder are off to a 6-0 start this season, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite tonight.  We'll grab the points with Orlando, as undefeated teams, with a 2-0 (or better) record, have gone 27-56-3 ATS when priced from -9.5 to -14 points.  Take the Magic.

11-04-24 Jazz +7.5 v. Bulls Top 135-126 Win 100 13 h 55 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Jazz have lost all 6 of their games this season, including their last 3 by margins of 17, 18, and 26 points.  We'll take Utah to bounce back tonight, as teams off 3 straight losses by 17+ points have gone 104-81 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, the Bulls are a brutal 49-87-1 ATS at home vs. Western Conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take Utah + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-04-24 Missouri +5 v. Memphis Top 75-83 Loss -110 12 h 24 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Memphis.  Memphis upset Missouri, 70-55, last season, as a 3-point dog.  We'll take Missouri + the points, as Memphis is a wallet-breaking 22-40-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded, non-conference foes.  Additionally, Missouri falls into a 50-21 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take Missouri + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

11-04-24 Lakers -6.5 v. Pistons Top 103-115 Loss -110 12 h 57 m Show

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Detroit Pistons.  Detroit blew out Brooklyn, 106-92, on Sunday.  We'll fade the Pistons at home tonight, as they're 15-41 ATS off a win by more than 7 points, including 1-14 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +10 points.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.

11-04-24 Bucks +9 v. Cavs Top 114-116 Win 100 1 h 3 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Cleveland.  This is the 2nd of two back-to-back meetings between these Central division rivals.  Cleveland won on Saturday, when Donovan Mitchell hit the game-winner with less than a second left in the game.  We'll take Milwaukee as the road underdog, as NBA teams playing back-to-back regular season games vs. a division rival, have cashed 63% since 1992 if they were off an upset loss in the first meeting.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-04-24 Bucknell +3.5 v. Delaware Top 85-73 Win 100 11 h 52 m Show

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison + the points over Delaware.  The Bison return 4 starters from last year's team, while Delaware only returns 1 starter.  Last year, the Blue Hens blew out the Bison, 78-57.  We'll take Bucknell to avenge that defeat, as Delaware is a soft 50-77-5 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Delaware was not off an ATS loss.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

11-02-24 Heat -8.5 v. Wizards Top 118-98 Win 100 19 h 55 m Show

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  This game will be played in Mexico City.  Washington is on a 2-game win streak, as it upset Atlanta twice, earlier this week, including a 133-120 triumph on Wednesday.  Unfortunately for the Wizards, they're a wallet-breaking 44-74-1 ATS off an upset win by more than 10 points.  Take Miami.

11-02-24 Cavs v. Bucks -2 Top 114-113 Loss -105 17 h 28 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Cleveland.  This is the first of a 2-game, home-and-home series between these Central division rivals.  Cleveland is off to a 6-0 start after its 11-point win over the Magic last night, while Milwaukee has lost its last four, including a 23-point loss at Memphis, on Thursday.  This will be Milwaukee's first home game following a 3-game road trip, and the Bucks have gone 31-10 ATS at home following 3 road games, if they were also off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Even better:  the Bucks are a solid 92-52-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 14-2 vs. unrested foes off a win.  Finally, Cleveland is a poor 9-27 ATS on the road, when playing without rest against a foe off a SU loss.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-02-24 Grizzlies v. 76ers +2 Top 124-107 Loss -108 17 h 54 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Memphis.  The 76ers were upset by Detroit, 105-95, on Wednesday, while Memphis upset Milwaukee, 122-99, on Thursday.  We'll fade the Grizzlies off that upset win, and grab the points with the Sixers, who are 37-24-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-1-2 ATS as a home underdog.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-02-24 Celtics v. Hornets +11 Top 113-103 Win 100 15 h 25 m Show

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Boston.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Charlotte between these two teams.  Last night, Boston won, 124-109.  We'll take the Hornets in today's rematch, as home teams have cashed 57% since 1990 in the 2nd of back-to-back home meetings vs. the same foe, if they lost the first game.  Grab the points.

11-01-24 Pacers v. Pelicans +4 Top 118-125 Win 100 14 h 46 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  Indiana won an emotional game its last time on the court, when it avenged a playoff series loss to the champion Celtics.  Meanwhile, the Pelicans enter off 3 blowout defeats, as they lost back-to-back games to Golden State by 18 and 15 points, and by 22 to Portland before that.  I look for the Pelicans to bounce back tonight, as teams off 3 SU/ATS losses by more than 10 points have cashed 57.1% vs. foes off upset wins.  Additionally, the Pacers fall into a negative 22-48 ATS system of mine (as well as an 0-13 subset) which fades certain teams off a revenge win over the team which ousted it from the previous season's playoffs.  Finally, the Pacers are a poor 27-60-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the line was 5 points or less.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-31-24 Suns v. Clippers +5 Top 125-119 Loss -108 15 h 21 m Show

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Suns come into this game off a 4-point home win over the Lakers, while the Clippers lost by a point, 106-105, to Portland last night.  We'll take L.A. to bounce back, and go against Phoenix, which is a poor 36-55-1 ATS on the road off a home win.  Additionally, the Clippers are 36-23 ATS vs. the Suns, including 10-1 ATS at home off a SU loss.  And, finally, dating back 35 seasons, unrested NBA home underdogs have cashed 64.7% off an upset loss, as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Grab the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-30-24 Knicks -1.5 v. Heat Top 116-107 Win 100 12 h 13 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Miami.  The Knicks were upset at home, 110-104, by Cleveland two nights ago, while Miami beat Detroit, 106-98.  We'll take New York to rebound at Miami, as the Knicks are an awesome 66-28-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when playing a .500 (or better) team, including 7-1 ATS as a favorite.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-30-24 Hawks -3.5 v. Wizards Top 120-133 Loss -110 12 h 46 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington.  These two teams faced off on Monday, in Atlanta, and the Hawks were upset, 121-119, as a 7.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Hawks to avenge that defeat, as teams off an upset loss as a 7.5-point (or greater) home favorite have bounced back to cover 69.4% of the time since 1994 in the regular season when they were playing the same opponent.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-28-24 Blazers v. Kings -12 Top 98-111 Win 100 16 h 38 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Trail Blazers blew out New Orleans, 125-103, as a 6.5-point home dog last night, while the Kings fell by 4 points at Los Angeles, on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Sacramento, as double-digit favorites off a SU loss have covered 62.3% since 1990 vs. unrested foes, if their foe was off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 5 points.  Moreover, the Kings are 28-10 ATS off back to back losses, including 8-0 ATS their last eight.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-28-24 Rockets -2.5 v. Spurs Top 106-101 Win 100 14 h 40 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  This is the 2nd of two back-to-back meetings between these Lone Star State rivals, with both being played in the Alamo City.  We played on San Antone in Saturday's game, and were rewarded with a 109-106 upset win.  We'll switch gears tonight, and take the road favorite, Houston.  Since 1990, in the regular season, teams have cashed 56% in the 2nd of back-to-back meetings if they were upset in the prior game.  Additionally, the Rockets are 19-10 ATS on the road vs. the Spurs when playing with revenge, while the Spurs are 0-6 ATS vs. division foes following an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-28-24 Nuggets -8 v. Raptors Top 127-125 Loss -110 13 h 7 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Toronto.  The Nuggets lost to the Clippers, 109-104, on Saturday, and are 0-2 on the season.  Meanwhile, the Raptors got the cover in their last game, as they lost 112-101, as a 15-point road underdog at Minnesota.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Denver is an awesome 71-43-5 ATS off back-to-back losses.  Additionally, the Nuggets are 37-19 ATS vs. Toronto, including 20-7 ATS on the road.  And the Raptors are 0-7 ATS their last seven (and 1-13-1 ATS their last 15) as a home dog off a point spread win.  Take Denver minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-27-24 Bucks -9.5 v. Nets Top 102-115 Loss -110 17 h 51 m Show

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  We cashed our Central Division Game of the Year on Chicago over Milwaukee on Friday, when the Bulls blew out the Bucks, 133-122, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  But off that blowout home defeat, we'll play on the Bucks to bounce back on Sunday evening.  Indeed, Milwaukee is an awesome 22-9 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 8 points, including 8-1 ATS on the road.  And Brooklyn is a brutal 10-22 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes off home upset losses.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-26-24 Kings +2.5 v. Lakers Top 127-131 Loss -110 17 h 50 m Show

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  LeBron James & Co. are off to a 2-0 start, with SU/ATS home wins over the Timberwolves and Suns.  We'll fade Los Angeles at home tonight, as it is a poor 103-142-7 ATS in the regular season off back-to-back wins and covers, including 13-29 ATS when playing its 3rd straight home game.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-26-24 Rockets v. Spurs +2.5 Top 106-109 Win 100 15 h 51 m Show

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Houston.  We had a big play on the Rockets last night, and were rewarded with a 20-point with over Memphis.  We'll fade Houston in the Alamo City tonight, as the Spurs are have cashed 63% at home off a SU/ATS loss, if the Spurs were rested, and playing an unrested foe.  Take San Antone.

10-26-24 Magic v. Grizzlies +1.5 Top 111-124 Win 100 14 h 21 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies over the Orlando Magic.  The Magic come into this game off a 116-101 victory over the Nets last night.  We'll fade Orlando on the road, as Memphis is 57-34 ATS at home vs. a foe off a SU win, when not laying 2+ points.  Take the Grizzlies.

10-26-24 Heat -3.5 v. Hornets Top 114-106 Win 100 13 h 23 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Heat were blown out by Orlando, 116-97, in their season opener.  They'll face another division rival this evening, and have been installed as a road favorite.  We'll lay the points with Miami, as it is 54-25 ATS as a road favorite of 5 or less points (or PK) when off exactly one loss.  Also, the Heat have cashed 60% as a road favorite in division games over the last 35 years following an upset division loss.  Finally, Miami falls into a 97-29 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-24 Grizzlies v. Rockets -2 Top 108-128 Win 100 23 h 18 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  Memphis won at Utah, 126-124, to tip-off its 2024-25 campaign.  It is back on the road for its 2nd game, and will take on a Rockets team which was upset at home, 110-105, by Charlotte in Game 1.  I like Houston to rebound off its loss, as NBA teams have cashed 62.0% as home favorites off an upset defeat in their home openers.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-24 Bulls +9.5 v. Bucks Top 133-122 Win 100 23 h 17 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks took advantage of an injury-riddled 76ers squad, and blew out Philly, 124-109, to open the season.  We'll fade Milwaukee here, at home, as it's a soft 44-67-3 as a home favorite of less than 12 points following a win by 15+ points.  Moreover, NBA teams that win their season openers by 15+ points have covered just 38.2%.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-24 Pacers v. Knicks -4.5 Top 98-123 Win 100 23 h 47 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  New York was blasted, 132-109, by Boston on Tuesday.  But off that 23-point loss, we'll back New York tonight, as the Knicks are 17-5 ATS off a loss by 15+ points, if they weren't getting more than 3 points in their current game.  Even better:  these two teams met in last year's Playoffs, and the 6th-seeded Pacers upset the 2nd-seeded Knicks, 4-games-to-3, in the 2nd round.  I like the Knicks to avenge that Playoff ouster, as they fall into an 83% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-24-24 Celtics v. Wizards +13.5 Top 122-102 Loss -115 23 h 38 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Boston Celtics.  This is Washington's season opener, and it's been installed as a double-digit home underdog vs. Boston, which won its season opener, 132-109, two nights ago.  We'll grab the points with Washington, as underdogs playing their season opener have cashed 64.5% since 1990 vs. opponents that already played their opener, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if its opponent scored 120+ points in its previous game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points have cashed 66.6% in their home openers, while favorites of -4+ points have gone 42.9% ATS in their road openers.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-22-24 Knicks +6 v. Celtics Top 109-132 Loss -115 9 h 45 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Boston Celtics.  We had Boston (at 4-1 odds) last season as our Preseason pick to win the NBA Title, and the Celtics rewarded us when they hoisted the Larry O'Brien Trophy in June.  And we came right back with Boston this month as our Preseason pick (at +325) to win the NBA Title in 2025.  But even though I have confidence in the Celtics over the long-term, I still want to go against them tonight, in this season opener, as division underdogs of +3.5 (or more) points have cashed 64% since 1991 in their season opener if they made the Playoffs the previous season.  Additionally, the Knicks are a solid 23-11 ATS in their road openers.  Take New York + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

06-17-24 Mavs v. Celtics -6.5 Top 88-106 Win 100 65 h 36 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Celtics were blown out, 122-84, on Friday by Dallas.  And the Mavericks are now down 3-games-to-1 in this NBA Finals.  We'll fade Dallas off that win, as the Mavericks are an ugly 31-53-1 ATS as an underdog off an upset win, including 5-19-1 ATS if they covered the spread by 17+ points in their previous game.  Even better:  NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 off a Playoff loss by more than 35 points.  And the Celtics are 9-0-1 ATS over the last 20 seasons following a loss by more than 30 points!  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-09-24 Mavs +7.5 v. Celtics Top 98-105 Win 100 64 h 31 m Show

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Boston Celtics.  We played on the Celtics and Under in Game 1, and were rewarded with a 107-89 blowout win by Boston.  But off that 18-point loss, we'll switch to the underdog Mavericks in Game 2.  Indeed, Dallas has yet to lose back-to-back games in these Playoffs, going 5-0 SU/ATS off a loss.  And it's also a reliable 124-83 ATS as a road underdog of more than 6 points vs. winning opposition.  Meanwhile, .672 (or better) teams (like Boston) have gone 1-11 ATS in Game 2 of NBA Playoff series when favored by more than 6 points following a double-digit win in Game 1.  Take the Mavericks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-06-24 Mavs v. Celtics -6 Top 89-107 Win 100 88 h 38 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  My NBA preseason futures pick was on the Celtics (at 4-1 odds), and they've done nothing to dissuade me from thinking they're going to win the Larry O'Brien Trophy.  I like them to get off to a great start in this Game 1.  Boston has absolutely dominated the Mavericks the last 2 seasons.  This year, Boston won by 28 points at home, and by 9 points on the road.  And last season, the Celts won by 13 at home, and 29 on the road.  Combined, then, Boston's average margin of victory was 19.75 ppg, and it was 4-0 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for Dallas, as underdogs that were swept 2-games-to-none in the season series have gone 2-11 SU and 4-9 ATS in Game 1 of the NBA finals, including 0-5 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +10 points.  And Dallas is also 3-16 SU and 6-13 ATS in Game 1 of a series when installed as an underdog vs. .666 (or better) opponents.  Finally, teams (like Boston) with average scoring margins greater than 8.75 ppg (Boston's is +11.15) have cashed 64% in Game 1 of an NBA series when not laying 12+ points.  Take the Celtics minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-27-24 Celtics v. Pacers +7.5 Top 105-102 Win 100 8 h 47 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  In 1999, Sean Elliott delivered his Memorial Day Miracle shot to defeat the Trail Blazers, and the Pacers certainly need another Memorial Day Miracle if they're going to win this series (or, more precisely, 4 miracles).  But even though no team has ever climbed out of a 3-0 series hole and won four games, we don't need Indiana to do that here.  Indeed, all we need it to do is cover a large point spread as a home underdog.  Certainly, Boston, with its 75-20 record, and 11.24 average margin, is an historically-great team.  But it's also a pedestrian 23-21-2 ATS on the road this season.  Indiana, meanwhile, is 27-20-1 ATS at home, including 9-3 ATS its last 12, and 9-3-1 ATS as an underdog, and 14-4-1 ATS off a loss.  Indiana is also 7-0 ATS at home this season off a home loss (and 103-73-6 ATS since 1997 at home off a home loss).  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-26-24 Wolves +3.5 v. Mavs Top 107-116 Loss -110 38 h 29 m Show

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Dallas.  The T-Wolves lost both home games to start this semi-final series, including a 1-point loss in Game 2, and now must win this game, or face elimination on Tuesday.  I like the T-Wolves as an underdog, as .625 (or better) NBA teams have covered 73% as road underdogs since 1991 when down 2-games-to-none in a playoff series.  Additionally, road teams have gone 25-12 ATS following a 1-point Playoff defeat.  Meanwhile, Dallas is a dreadful 11-27-1 ATS when playing a team with double-revenge, and 22-31 ATS off back to back upset wins.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-25-24 Celtics v. Pacers +7 Top 114-111 Win 100 40 h 47 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  The Pacers let Game 1 slip away when they failed to in-bound the ball successfully, up 3 points, with just seconds remaining.  They then got blown out, 126-110, in Game 2, and now face a quasi-must-win game on Saturday (given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-games-to-0 deficit).  We'll grab the points with the Pacers, as NBA teams have gone 92-65-5 ATS when down 2-games-to-none, if they lost their previous game by 10+ points.  Additionally, the Pacers have gone 33-14-2 ATS in the Playoffs following a double-digit loss.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-24-24 Mavs v. Wolves -5 Top 109-108 Loss -110 40 h 4 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks went into Minneapolis on Wednesday, and upset the T-Wolves, 108-105, behind stellar performances by Luka Doncic (33 points 8 assists) and Kyrie Irving (30 points, 5 rebounds).  I like the Timberwolves to rebound in Game 2, as they've gone 11-6 ATS this season off an upset loss.  Moreover, Minnesota is 19-2 ATS vs. foes it lost to at home in the prior meeting.  Even better:  #3 seeds have cashed 69.4% since 1991 off a home playoff defeat, if they were favored by 4+ points in the current game.  And, finally, sub-.625 teams (like Dallas) have cashed just 1 of their last 18 games in the Conference Finals off an upset win if they were not getting more than 7 points.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-21-24 Pacers v. Celtics -9 Top 128-133 Loss -115 41 h 54 m Show

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana.  The Celtics have won two 5-game series to reach the Eastern Conference finals.  In both prior series, the Celts have blown out their opponent in Game 1 (by 20 and 25 points) while then losing Game 2 outright (by 10 and 24 points).  I expect a similar strong showing in Game 1 on Tuesday night against a Pacers team coming off a grueling 7-game series.  Indeed, teams that came back with wins in Games 6 + 7 to win a 7-game series have struggled in Game 1 of their next series, going 0-8 ATS their last eight.  Even worse for Indy:  it's 0-8 ATS its last eight off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-19-24 Wolves v. Nuggets -4.5 Top 98-90 Loss -110 67 h 43 m Show

On Sunday, in Game 7 of the quarterfinal series between the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points.  The T-Wolves brought their A+ game on Thursday, and held the defending champs to just 70 points, in a 45-point blowout win at home.  However, notwithstanding their 2023 championship season, the Nuggets have NOT been a strong road team the last two seasons.  This season, they've been 2.90 points per game WORSE against the spread on the road than at home.  Last season, the number was 5.55 ppg worse against the spread on the road than at home.  We'll take Denver to rebound in Game 7, as rested home teams have gone 67.4% ATS since 1991 at home when favored by more than 4 points off a loss by more than 35 points.  And in match-ups between teams with .500 (or better) win percentages, the Timberwolves are a soft 38-70 ATS when they won the previous matchup by 9+ points.  Finally, Denver is 31-14 ATS at home when rested and playing with revenge, if its win percentage was .600 (or better).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-18-24 Thunder +4.5 v. Mavs Top 116-117 Win 100 67 h 15 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Dallas.  The Mavs have pushed the Thunder to the brink of elimination with a 104-92 upset victory in Game 5.  Off that loss, we'll fade Dallas as a home favorite on Saturday.  Indeed, .667 (or worse) teams have gone 1-9 ATS when favored by more than 2 points at home, if they were off an upset win, and led 3-games-to-2 in the series.  Additionally, the Thunder have been terrific off a straight-up loss, when playing with revenge, as they've gone 60-33-2 ATS.  And Dallas is 32-57-2 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-17-24 Knicks v. Pacers -5 Top 103-116 Win 100 68 h 23 m Show

On Friday, in Game 6, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  We played on New York on Tuesday, and were rewarded with a 121-91 blowout win.  We'll switch gears and lay the points with the Pacers on Friday.  Indiana has been great at home this season, as it's covered the spread by an average of 3.90 ppg at Gainbridge Fieldhouse (compared to a -0.90 ppg figure on the road).  That bodes well for the Pacers in Indianapolis.  As does the fact that Indy is a super 24-9-2 ATS this season when rested, and off a straight-up loss, including 14-4 ATS off a double-digit defeat.  Finally, Indiana is an awesome 160-95-10 ATS off a loss when rested, and playing with revenge vs. a foe off a SU win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-14-24 Wolves +4.5 v. Nuggets Top 97-112 Loss -110 41 h 45 m Show

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  We had our 5* NBA Game of the Year on Denver in Game 3 at Minnesota.  And I mentioned then that the road team was 52-20-1 ATS in this series.  Well, fast forward to Game 5, and the road team is now 54-20-1 ATS in the Nuggets/T-Wolves series, including 4-0 in this year's playoffs.  As my mom used to say, 'If it ain't broke, don't fix it," and we'll continue to ride the road team.  Add to that the fact that Minnesota is now 13-0 ATS on the road when playing an opponent which defeated it in Minnesota in the prior meeting.  And the T-Wolves are also 8-0 ATS their last eight road games off an upset loss.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-14-24 Pacers v. Knicks -2 Top 91-121 Win 100 38 h 6 m Show

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  New York dropped both games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, including a 121-89 defeat on Sunday, and are now knotted up at 2-games-apiece in the quarterfinal series.  We'll take New York to bounce back at home, as it is 31-11 ATS as a single-digit favorite when playing with revenge.  Moreover, home favorites with a .605 (or better) win percentage, off a loss by more than 23 points, have cashed 60% ATS since Dec. 4, 1991.  Take New York.

05-13-24 Thunder +1.5 v. Mavs Top 100-96 Win 100 16 h 42 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over the Dallas Mavericks.  OKC lost narrowly, 105-101, in Game 3 at Dallas.  The Thunder, though, have been sensational off a straight-up loss, when playing with revenge, as they've gone 59-33-2 ATS.  Meanwhile, Dallas is 32-56-2 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  OKC has gone 9-5 ATS vs. the Mavericks since 2022, and 35-16-2 ATS off a loss by 6 or less points.  And NBA teams off narrow SU/ATS Playoff losses by 6 or less points have rebounded to go 44-19 ATS.  Take the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-11-24 Celtics -7.5 v. Cavs Top 106-93 Win 100 40 h 12 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Celts were shellacked at home, 118-94, by the Cavaliers on Thursday.  Unfortunately for Cleveland, the Celtics are an exceptional 93-54 ATS on the road off a home loss by more than 7 points.  Take Boston minus the points in Game 3.

05-11-24 Thunder +3.5 v. Mavs Top 101-105 Loss -110 35 h 13 m Show

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks leveled the series at 1-game apiece on Thursday, with a nine-point win over the Thunder.  We'll fade Dallas on Saturday afternoon, as the Mavericks are a wallet-busting 29-50 ATS off an upset win, while the Thunder are 23-15 ATS off an upset loss.  Moreover, the Mavs are a poor 31-56 ATS off a win, if they were playing a revenge-minded foe with a .333 (or better) win percentage.  And OKC is a fantastic 43-16-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win that covered the spread in that victory by more than 8 points.  Look for the Thunder to rebound on Saturday.  Grab the points.

05-10-24 Nuggets +4.5 v. Wolves Top 117-90 Win 100 17 h 14 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nuggets were annihilated, 106-80, in Game 2 and now trail 2-games-to-none in the quarterfinal series.  Denver shot just 34.9% from the field, which was its 2nd-worst FG percentage this season.  And its 80 points was the least amount that it scored in 4 years.  We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back tonight, as they've gone 33-18-2 ATS vs. .400 (or better) foes, if the Nuggets were on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  Additionally, .610 (or better) teams off a playoff defeat in which they scored 80 (or less) points, and 2+ losses overall, have covered 68.1% since 1991.  Even better:  .684 (or better) teams have covered 69% following a game where they failed to cover the point spread by more than 30 points.  Finally, this has been a division rivalry which has been dominated by the road team, as the road teams are now 52-20-1 ATS, including 23-3 ATS when priced from +1.5 to +7 points.  Take the Nuggets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-10-24 Knicks v. Pacers -6 Top 106-111 Loss -115 39 h 55 m Show

At 7:00 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  Rick Carlisle's men find themselves in a 2-games-to-none hole, as this quarterfinals series shifts to the Hoosier State.  The good news for Indiana is that it's dominated the Knicks at home, going 20-5 SU and 16-9 ATS the last 25 meetings.  And, off back-to-back losses, there's a lot more to like about Indiana in this Game 3.  First, the Pacers are 16-10-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  And, second, Indiana is an awesome 10-1 ATS its last 11 (and 25-12-2 ATS its last 39) off a straight-up loss.  Finally, sub-.663 teams are 0-7 ATS their last seven as underdogs on the road when up exactly 2 games in a Playoff series, losing by an average of 15.7 ppg, and failing to cover the spread by an average of 10.5 ppg in those games.  Lay the points with the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

05-07-24 Cavs v. Celtics -10.5 Top 95-120 Win 100 41 h 31 m Show

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  While the Cavaliers were stretched to 7 games by the Orlando Magic, the Celtics were resting comfortably following their 4-1 series triumph over Miami.  Boston was in championship form, for the most part, in that series, as its wins were by 20, 20, 14 and 34 points.  The Celtics were our preseason pick (at 4-1 odds) to win the NBA title, and they've done nothing to disappoint throughout the season.  Indeed, over the last 34 seasons, their current scoring margin of 11.58 has only been bettered by two teams at this juncture of an NBA season:  the Michael Jordan-led Bulls team which won 72 games, and the Steph Curry-led Warriors team in 2017.  Both of those other teams won NBA titles, and I believe the Celts will join them.  In this Game 1, we'll lay the points with Boston, as it is 79-45-3 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) home win.  And the Cavaliers are 7-20 ATS as road underdogs vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-06-24 Wolves v. Nuggets -5.5 Top 106-80 Loss -105 42 h 30 m Show

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  The T-Wolves handed the Nuggets a 106-99 home loss to open the series, so Denver will look to level the series at 1-game apiece with a win tonight.  The Nuggets don't lose back to back home games very often, and are an awesome 131-70-5 ATS at home, when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if they lost their previous home game, straight-up.  That bodes well for Denver on Monday.  As does the fact that teams down 1-game-to-0 in a Playoff series vs. a division rival, have gone 12-1-2 ATS in Game 2, if they weren't favored by 7+ points.  Finally, Minnesota comes into Monday's game off 3 straight upset wins.  Unfortunately, NBA teams have covered just 38% in the Playoffs the past 34 years following three straight upset victories.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-06-24 Pacers v. Knicks -6 Top 117-121 Loss -110 66 h 33 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  When these teams last met, Indiana came into Madison Square Garden and blew out the Knicks, 125-111.  But OG Anunoby, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Mitchell Robinson, were injured in that game.  We'll take New York in this Game 1, as it is 15-1 its last 16 as a revenge-minded favorite of less than 10 points.  And Indy is 2-20 ATS following a point spread win, if it was matched up against a foe it defeated by more than 5 points in the prior meeting.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-04-24 Wolves v. Nuggets -4 Top 106-99 Loss -110 64 h 41 m Show

On Saturday, in Game 1 of the series, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nuggets have dominated at home in Game 1 in the Playoffs, as it's 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS in that situation.  Last season, en route to its first championship, the Nuggets won their Game 1s by 29, 18, 6 and 11 points.  This season, Denver down the Lakers by 11 in Game #1.  The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are 1-9 SU in their Game 1s on an opponent's home court, including 1-6 ATS their last seven.  Finally, Minnesota won its last series, 4-games-to-none, vs. Phoenix.  But that series sweep has triggered a negative NBA Playoffs system of mine (35% ATS since 1990), which applies to Minnesota.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-02-24 Knicks +3.5 v. 76ers Top 118-115 Win 100 38 h 22 m Show

At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Knicks were upset in Game 5, as the 76ers won, 112-106, in overtime.  New York's lead in the 7-game series is now narrowed to 3-games-to-2.  We'll take the Knicks to bounce back in Game 6, as teams up 3-games-to-2 in the first round of the NBA playoffs have generally closed things out in Game 6, as they've won the game, straight-up, 63.8% of the time over the last 34 seasons.  And if they were playing on the road in Game 6, and off an upset defeat at home in Game 5, then they've covered the spread 80% of the time.  New York is 9-2 ATS this season off an upset loss.  And it is also 12-2 ATS in the NBA playoffs following an upset defeat, if the spread in the current game was less than 6 points.  Finally, Philly is a poor 0-11 ATS vs. .560 (or better) foes, if Philly was off an upset win.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-01-24 Mavs -2 v. Clippers Top 123-93 Win 100 68 h 54 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Dallas was a no-show early in Game 4, as it fell behind by 31 points, 55-24, midway through the 2nd quarter.  Amazingly, the Mavericks fought back to take a short-lived, 105-104 lead.  But Los Angeles ended the game on a 12-6 run to win, 116-111.  The Clippers have been installed as a home underdog for the pivotal Game 5.  We'll go against L.A., as home underdogs of 4 points or less (or PK) have covered just 31.8% since 1991 off an upset road Playoffs win.  Even better:  over the last 16 seasons, the Mavs have covered 64% as road favorites off an upset home defeat.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

04-30-24 Magic v. Cavs -4.5 Top 103-104 Loss -110 64 h 42 m Show

On Tuesday, in Game 5, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic have been terrific this season at home, as they've gone 31-12 straight-up, and 30-13 ATS -- covering the spread by an average of 5.44 ppg.  So, it was not a surprise that they swept Games 3 + 4 to level the series at 2-games-apiece.  But Orlando's not been a great team away from home, as it's failed to cover the spread by an average of 2.09 ppg.  And it's lost its last six road games ATS.  Meanwhile, Cleveland is 8-1 ATS its last nine when playing with revenge from losses in the two previous meetings vs. an opponent.  And it's 34-19 ATS as a favorite of 7 or less points in the Playoffs.  Take the Cavs in Game 5.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-29-24 Lakers v. Nuggets -7 Top 106-108 Loss -110 42 h 41 m Show

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Nuggets were upset in Game 4, 119-108, and now lead 3-games-to-1 in the 7-game series.  We'll take Denver to bounce back in Game 5, as it is 16-1 ATS its last 17 off an 8-point (or worse) upset loss, if it wasn't favored by 8.5 (or more) points in its current game.  Even better:  the Lakers are a horrid 14-41-2 ATS on the road when playing an opponent they upset in the prior meeting.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

04-29-24 Thunder v. Pelicans +4.5 Top 97-89 Loss -110 40 h 12 m Show

On Monday, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  New Orleans has its back against the wall, as it's down 3-games-to-none in the series.  We'll fade the Thunder, as they're 4-20 ATS in the Playoffs following back to back wins, if they won their previous game by double-digits, including 0-10 ATS when favored by more than 2 points.  And the Pelicans are 85-52 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they fell by 15+ points in their previous game.  Grab the points with New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

04-28-24 Wolves v. Suns +1.5 Top 122-116 Loss -115 42 h 14 m Show

At 9:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  I played on the Suns in Game 3, and they were blown out by double-digits for the 3rd straight game, 126-109.  I'll take Phoenix in this Game 4, as it has gone 121-87-5 ATS off back to back losses, when it's owned a winning record.  Additionally, .500 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 63% over the last 17 seasons after three straight double-digit losses, if they weren't getting more than 3 points in the current game.  It's true that NBA teams down 3-games-to-none have never come back to win a 7-game playoff series.  But Home Underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, and down 3-games-to-none have been profitable since 1991 in Game 4.  And home teams off 3 SU/ATS losses to start a series have gone 22-14-2 ATS in Game 4.  Take Phoenix.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-27-24 Celtics -8 v. Heat Top 104-84 Win 100 62 h 38 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Celts suffered one of the biggest upset losses in the Playoffs since 1991 when they fell, 111-101, to the Heat, on Wednesday, as a 14-point home favorite.  The good news for Joe Mazzulla's crew is that NBA teams have cashed 88% in the playoffs the past 21 seasons following an upset loss as a favorite of 12+ points.  We'll take Boston to bounce back in Game 3, as it is 21-4 its last 25 road playoff games, if it failed to cover the spread by more than 7 in its previous game, and didn't lead in the series.  And it's also 10-0 ATS when favored by 4+ points off a double-digit home loss, if its foe covered by 9+ points in its previous game.  Take the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  Don't miss my hockey and football winners, including my UFL Football Underdog of the Month on Saturday.  I've cashed 63% in Spring football the last 3 years, including 100% this season.

04-27-24 Thunder v. Pelicans +1.5 Top 106-85 Loss -105 59 h 9 m Show

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  OKC blew out the Pelicans, 124-92, on Wednesday to take a 2-games-to-none lead in this first round series.  Unfortunately for the Thunder, #1 seeds have covered just 35% in the Playoffs since 1991 following a win by 32+ points.  Even worse:  The Thunder are a horrid 3-20 ATS in the post-season off back to back wins, if they won their previous game by double-digits.  Finally, the Pelicans are a super 72-41-1 ATS as a home dog (or PK) vs. .600 (or better) foes, including 20-5 ATS when playing with double-revenge.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  Don't miss my hockey and football winners, including my UFL Football Underdog of the Month on Saturday.  I've cashed 63% in Spring football the last 3 years, including 100% this season.

04-26-24 Wolves v. Suns -3.5 Top 126-109 Loss -115 66 h 22 m Show

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  On Tuesday, Devin Booker & Co. were blown out, 105-93, by the T-Wolves, and are now down 2-games-to-none in the series.  We'll fade Minnesota at Phoenix in Game 3, as it is a wallet-lightening 16-39 ATS on the road in match-ups between .500 (or better) teams, if it was playing a foe it defeated by more than 8 points in the prior meeting.  Even worse for the T-Wolves: they are a woeful 1-19 ATS on the road vs. .500 (or better) teams, if the T-Wolves covered the spread by more than 8 points in their previous game, and weren't getting double-digits.  The Suns are 6-0 ATS their last six off back to back losses, and we'll take them minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-25-24 Knicks v. 76ers -4.5 Top 114-125 Win 100 62 h 22 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks won game three, 104-101, with the help of some favorable officiating, to take a 2-games-to-none lead in the 1st round series.  We'll take Philly to bounce back, as it's 22-5 ATS off back to back defeats, if it wasn't favored by 8+ points in the current game (including 5-0 ATS in division games, and 15-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win).  Take the 76ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-25-24 Cavs v. Magic -1 Top 83-121 Win 100 62 h 51 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The #5-seeded Magic have fallen behind the #4-seeded Cavaliers, 2-games-to-none.  We'll take the Magic in Game 3 as 5-seeds have gone 27-13-1 ATS vs. 4-seeds when down at least two games in a Playoff series.  Additionally, the Magic have been the best point spread team this season, with a 51-32-1 ATS record, including 27-11 ATS as a favorite, and 13-3-1 ATS off back to back losses.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-23-24 Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers Top 96-93 Win 100 42 h 3 m Show

At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clips pulled the upset in Game 1, with a 109-97 win.  We'll take Dallas to bounce back in Game 2, as it is 160-105-6 ATS off a loss, when matched up against an opponent off a win (including 24-9 ATS as a road favorite).  Even better:  the Clippers are a wallet-crushing 5-25 ATS in the Playoffs following a SU/ATS win, if the line in the current game was 6 points or less (including 1-15 ATS off a home win).  Finally, L.A. is a poor 78-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes that have a .589 (or better) win percentage.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-23-24 Suns +3 v. Wolves Top 93-105 Loss -110 64 h 30 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Minnesota.  We played on the T-Wolves in Game 1, and they rewarded us with a 120-95 blowout victory.  But off that big win -- which also snapped a nine-game ATS losing streak to the Suns -- we'll happily grab the points with Frank Vogel's men.  Phoenix is 28-18 ATS on the road off a 25-point (or worse) defeat, while Minnesota is a miserable 9-19-2 ATS at home off a 25-point (or greater) win.  And NBA road teams off 1st Round road losses by more than 21 points have covered 84.2% since 1991, provided they weren't off back to back losses to their opponent.  Grab the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-21-24 Pacers v. Bucks +1.5 Top 94-109 Win 100 16 h 3 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Bucks will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo this evening, and have been installed as a home underdog in this opening game of their 7-game series vs. the Pacers.  Admittedly, the Bucks have stumbled to a 3-8 SU/ATS record to end their season, including back to back losses at OKC and Orlando on the final weekend.  But Milwaukee is an awesome 29-9 ATS as a home underdog off back to back losses.  And Indiana is a dismal 5-26-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 5 or less.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-20-24 Suns v. Wolves -1.5 Top 95-120 Win 100 37 h 33 m Show

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  These two teams met here, at Target Center, last Sunday, in the final regular season game.  And the Suns walloped the T-Wolves, 125-106.  Still, Minnesota finished 56-26 (including 30-11 SU at home), and earned the #3 seed in the Western conference.  I like the T-Wolves to bounce back in this Game 1, as .600 (or better) teams have gone 20-4 ATS at home in the NBA playoffs following a home loss, provided they owned a better record than their opponent.  Even better:  the Timberwolves are 18-0 ATS when playing an opponent which defeated the T-Wolves in Minnesota in the previous meeting.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  Don't miss my big football winner, as I'm featuring my UFL Non-Division Game of the Month on Saturday.  I've cashed 62.1% in spring football the last 3 years, so pick it up right now.

04-16-24 Lakers v. Pelicans Top 110-106 Loss -110 19 h 59 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Los Angeles Lakers.  These two teams will be playing for the 2nd time in three days, as the Lakers blew out the Pels, 124-108, as a 1.5-point road underdog, on Sunday.  We'll take New Orleans to avenge that 16-point loss, as revenge-minded teams have gone 12-6 ATS in the Play-In Tournament, including 9-3 ATS if they lost the prior meeting by double-digits.  Even better:  NBA home teams that lost their regular season-ending game by 8+ points have gone 50-11 SU and 39-22 ATS in the Playoffs, including 9-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points.  The Pelicans have gone 23-14 ATS this season off a point spread loss, while the Lakers are a woeful 0-9 SU/ATS their last nine (and 8-23 ATS their last 31) off a win, when playing a foe off an upset defeat.  Take New Orleans on Tuesday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

04-14-24 Lakers v. Pelicans -3 Top 124-108 Loss -110 7 h 40 m Show

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Pels lost, 139-122, as a 2-point road favorite to the Lakers in the previous meeting.  We'll lay the points today, as the Lakers are a poor 27-52-1 ATS when playing a foe it upset in the season's prior meeting.  Take New Orleans.

04-14-24 Mavs v. Thunder -19.5 Top 86-135 Win 100 7 h 39 m Show

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas.  We played on Oklahoma City on Friday night vs. Milwaukee, and will come right back with the Thunder today.  OKC has won four straight games, and needs to win today to lock down the #1 seed in the West (though there's a remote possibility OKC would not be seeded #1 if it and Minnesota wins, and Denver loses).  OKC is 51-30 ATS at home its last 81, including 11-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  Take the Thunder.

04-14-24 Suns v. Wolves -1 Top 125-106 Loss -110 7 h 39 m Show

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun nine days ago, and Phoenix bested Minnesota, 97-87.  We'll lay the points with Minnesota today, as it's 26-15 ATS when playing with revenge, while Phoenix is 6-20 ATS as an underdog vs. .466 (or better) foes.  Take the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-14-24 Nuggets -13.5 v. Grizzlies Top 126-111 Win 100 1 h 59 m Show

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis.  Nikola Jokic has been upgraded to 'probable,' and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Denver.  The Nuggets were shocked, 121-120, on Friday by San Antonio.  And Denver was favored by 11 points in that game.  We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back today, as defending champs have gone 62-37 ATS on the road when favored off a SU loss, if they were rested, and playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-14-24 Nets v. 76ers -15.5 Top 86-107 Win 100 4 h 16 m Show

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Sixers enter today's game on a 7-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they've covered nine straight games, overall.  We won't step in front of this freight train today, as NBA teams have cashed 59.4% since 1990 when they've covered nine (or more) games in a row.  Even better:  the Sixers play with double-revenge, and they're 42-20 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't getting 7+ points.  Take Philadelphia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-14-24 Wizards v. Celtics -9 Top 122-132 Win 100 4 h 12 m Show

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Washington.  Boston blew out Charlotte here, at home, on Friday, 131-98.  We'll lay the points with the Celtics today, as they are 79-44-2 ATS off a 20-point home win.  Take Boston.

04-14-24 Hornets v. Cavs -12.5 Top 120-110 Loss -115 4 h 12 m Show

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Cavaliers play this game with revenge from a 118-111 loss last month to Charlotte.  We'll lay the points, as revenge-minded NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 when favored by more than 5 points, and playing their final home game of the season.  Take Cleveland.

04-14-24 Bucks v. Magic -4.5 Top 88-113 Win 100 4 h 11 m Show

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Milwaukee.  Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play today, so the Bucks will be a road underdog.  Unfortunately for Milwaukee, it's a poor 14-38 ATS when getting more than 2 points.  Take the Magic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-12-24 Pelicans v. Warriors -4 Top 114-109 Loss -115 16 h 36 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans.  When these two teams last met, the Pelicans destroyed Golden State, 141-105, as a 2.5-point home underdog.  We'll take Golden State to avenge that 36-point defeat, as it's 28-11-1 ATS at home vs. an unrested opponent off a SU win.  And it's also 46-24-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 21 points.  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-12-24 Bucks v. Thunder -14.5 Top 107-125 Win 100 14 h 37 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Thunder, Nuggets and Timberwolves are currently locked in a tight battle for the top seed in the Western Conference.  OKC is currently the #3 seed, so this is a must-win game.  Likewise, the Bucks can fall from the #2 seed to the #4 seed if they drop their last two games, so they're incentivized to win.  Unfortunately, Giannis Antetokounmpo is currently sidelined with a calf injury, and Damian Lillard is also unlikely to play tonight.  So, the Bucks have been installed as a huge underdog at Oklahoma City.  That doesn't bode well for Doc Rivers' crew, as Milwaukee is 14-37 ATS when getting more than 2 points.  Even worse:  the Thunder play tonight with revenge from a 25-point loss at Milwaukee last month.  And OKC is 54-30 ATS when playing with revenge vs. an Eastern Conference foe, provided such foe won its previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-10-24 Suns -2.5 v. Clippers Top 124-108 Win 100 16 h 12 m Show

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Last night, the Suns were buried early by the Clippers, as they trailed 53-16 midway through the 2nd quarter, and 66-33 at the half.  That brought back memories of another Phoenix no-show when it lost at home (as a 6.5-point favorite) in Game 7 of the 2022 playoffs to Dallas, 123-90 -- a game which it trailed, 57-27 at the half.  If there's a silver lining for the Suns, it is that they will have a chance to redeem themselves tonight (which they didn't have in that Game 7 loss).  Phoenix is 44-11 ATS vs. unrested division foes with a win percentage > .400, if Phoenix wasn't getting 5+ points.  And the Suns are also 63-34 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge from a home upset defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-10-24 Wolves v. Nuggets -5.5 Top 107-116 Win 100 16 h 41 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  The Nuggets, T-Wolves, and Thunder are locked in a tight battle for the #1 seed in the Western Conference, so this game will go a long way toward determining the seeds in this year's Playoffs.  The Nuggets lost here, at home, to Minnesota, 111-98, last month, so the Nuggs will play with revenge from that 13-point defeat.  And the T-Wolves are a terrible 35-68 ATS in match-ups between .500 (or better) teams when their opponent was playing with revenge from a loss by more than 8 points.  Take Denver.

04-10-24 Raptors v. Nets -9.5 Top 102-106 Loss -115 13 h 11 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Toronto Raptors.  The Raptors were blown out last night, 140-123, by the Indiana Pacers.  That was Toronto's final home game of the season, and they'll conclude their schedule with three road games starting with tonight's tilt at Brooklyn.  The Nets will play tonight's game with 2 days' of rest, and this will be their final home game.  They'll be looking to redeem themselves from a 30-point home loss to Sacramento on Sunday, and I think they'll get it.  Indeed, since 1990, NBA favorites of -9 (or more) points have covered 78% in their final home game of the season, if they were off a loss by 9+ points, and their opponent was unrested.  Take Brooklyn.

04-09-24 Clippers v. Suns -7 Top 105-92 Loss -107 19 h 36 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  This is the first of two back-to-back meetings between these Pacific division rivals.  When these teams last met, the Clippers blew out Phoenix, 138-111, as a 5.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Suns to avenge that defeat, as the Clippers are a woeful 76-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes with a .589 (or better) win percentage.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-09-24 Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies Top 102-87 Win 100 17 h 36 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Spurs lost a heart-breaker to the 76ers on Sunday, 133-126, in double-overtime.  And that defeat snapped the Spurs' 6-game ATS win streak.  We'll take San Antonio to bounce back off that loss, and snap its 14-game losing streak to Memphis.   San Antonio is 59-41-2 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite, while Memphis has covered just five of 20 as a home dog vs. a double-revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-09-24 Celtics v. Bucks +2 Top 91-104 Win 100 5 h 51 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the Boston Celtics.  The Bucks have shockingly lost their last four games -- all as a favorite -- and are now just one game ahead of the Orlando Magic for the #2 seed.  Tonight, the Bucks will welcome the top-seeded Celtics.  When these two teams last met here, in Milwaukee, the Bucks dealt the Celts their worst defeat of the season, 135-102.  Milwaukee is 91-50 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-08-24 Purdue +7 v. Connecticut Top 60-75 Loss -112 16 h 36 m Show

At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over the Connecticut Huskies.  Similar to the 2021 championship game between Baylor and Gonzaga, which pitted the top two teams in the country, this is the match-up that most basketball aficionados wanted to see.  Connecticut is the defending champion, and has gone 11-0 SU/ATS in the NCAA Tournament the past two seasons.  And Purdue has Zach Edey, the best NCAA Basketball player for the past two seasons.  There's no doubt that UConn is the better team, with its five starters all projected to go among the top 44 players drafted in the upcoming NBA draft (with Donovan Clingan projected at #14, and Stephon Castle at #8).  But I believe Purdue is uniquely positioned to give the Huskies a supreme battle.  The Boilers combine the interior play of 7'4" Edey with outside marksmen that ranked #2 (of 362 NCAA teams) in three-point FG percentage this season, at 40.8%.  Dating back to 1991, this is the 18th NCAA Tournament game between two #1 seeds.  The underdog has gone 10-7 in the prior match-ups, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when getting 7+ points.  Also, Purdue has generally delivered as an underdog, as it's 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 when getting 1.5 (or more) points.  The Boilermakers fall into 48-11, 20-2, 26-5 and 88-48 ATS systems of mine, and we'll grab the points with Matt Painter's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-07-24 Wolves +2.5 v. Lakers Top 127-117 Win 100 14 h 46 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves + the points over the Lakers.  Minnesota plays this game with revenge from an 11-point loss here, in L.A., last month.  Los Angeles is a poor 77-117 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take the Timberwolves.

04-07-24 Jazz +11.5 v. Warriors Top 110-118 Win 100 12 h 16 m Show

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Steph Curry won't play tonight, and the Warriors are laying double-digits to Utah.  We'll grab the points, as the Warriors are a poor 11-19 ATS as a home favorite this season.  And Utah also falls into several of my best systems, with records of 119-44, 86-54, and 179-102 ATS that play on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take the Jazz as a big underdog.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

04-07-24 Bulls v. Magic -7 Top 98-113 Win 100 10 h 46 m Show

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Magic suffered a brutal loss to the Charlotte Hornets, as they fell, 124-115, at Charlotte as a 12-point road favorite, on Friday. Still, the Magic are the league's best point spread team this season, with a 49-27-1 ATS record, including 25-9 ATS as a favorite.  We'll take the Magic to bounce back this evening.  Lay the points.

04-06-24 NC State +9.5 v. Purdue Top 50-63 Loss -120 77 h 21 m Show

At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Purdue.  The Wolfpack have been the best point spread team in this tournament, as they've covered the point spread by an average of 13.37 ppg.  Even better, the Wolfpack have won nine straight games, including a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS as an underdog.  And those included ACC Tourney victories over Duke (as an 11-point underdog), and North Carolina (as a 10-point dog).  They blew out Marquette and Duke (again), as 7.5-point underdogs in each game, last weekend in the Sweet 16/Elite 8 Rounds to reach this semi-final game.  It's true that Purdue was my preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the Championship.  And Purdue was also the team I selected to win this tournament in my March Madness bracket.  But the last thing I want to do is lay points to this NC State club.  For technical support, consider that teams seeded #4 (or worse), off 4+ wins, have gone 15-0 ATS their last 15 as underdogs vs. top-3-seeded teams at the Sweet 16 Round forward.  Take North Carolina St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-05-24 Warriors v. Mavs -5 Top 106-108 Loss -110 14 h 9 m Show

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Golden State.  Both of these teams played Thursday night.  The Warriors blew out Houston, 133-110, at the Toyota Center, while Dallas won here, at home, vs. Atlanta, 109-95.  This is a rematch of a game played Tuesday in San Francisco.  We played on Golden State in its 104-100 triumph over Dallas, but will fade the Warriors on the road tonight.  The Warriors have covered just 7 of 27 road games vs. revenge-minded foes when Golden State was installed as an underdog, and off a SU/ATS win.  Meanwhile, the Mavs are 46-27 ATS their last 73 games when playing with revenge, including 12-1 ATS when the Mavs were off a win by 12+ points.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-04-24 Indiana State -2.5 v. Seton Hall Top 77-79 Loss -110 30 h 59 m Show

At 7 pm, on Thursday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Seton Hall.  We played on both the Pirates and Sycamores in their respective semi-final games, and got the $$$ with each.  We will roll with Indiana St. in this championship game, as it will be playing in front of a very home-friendly crowd in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute.  Indiana St. erupted for 100 points on Tuesday night vs. Utah, and that bodes well for it in this title game, as it has gone 60-31-2 ATS following a victory where it scored more than 78 points.  Meanwhile, the Pirates have played much better at home this season than away from home, as they've covered the spread by 3.67 ppg at home, but have failed to cover by 1.88 ppg away from home, going 6-10 ATS.  We'll lay the points with Indiana St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-03-24 Grizzlies v. Bucks -13 Top 111-101 Loss -100 8 h 58 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Bucks were favored by 13 points last night, yet lost outright to the woeful Washington Wizards, 117-113.  That dropped Milwaukee's lead over Cleveland to 1.5 games in the race for the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference.  Milwaukee's last five games will be against top-level NBA clubs, so it needs to take care of business tonight (and Friday) vs. two bottom-tier teams (Grizzlies, Raptors).  Over the last 34 seasons, home favorites have covered 71% if they lost outright as a double-digit favorite the previous day, and were matched up against a foe off a win.  With Memphis, indeed, off a 110-108 victory over the Pistons, we'll fade Memphis, and lay the points with Milwaukee on Wednesday.

04-02-24 Mavs v. Warriors -1 Top 100-104 Win 100 15 h 5 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Dallas.  The Mavs are on an 11-1 SU/ATS win streak, but we'll fade them here, at Golden State.  The Warriors play with revenge from not 1, but 2 losses earlier this season to Dallas.  And Dallas is a dreadful 27-54 ATS off a win, if it was playing a revenge-minded foe with a .333 (or better) win percentage.  Additionally, the Warriors are 66-32 ATS at home when not laying 9+ points, if they were matched up against a .400 (or better) foe.  Take the Warriors to blow out Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-02-24 Georgia v. Seton Hall -4 Top 67-84 Win 100 41 h 47 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Georgia.  The Pirates' last game was a 23-point blowout of UNLV, as a 6.5-point cover.  And that 23-point win was the biggest margin of victory by any team so far in this NIT Tournament.  And its 16.5-point cover was the 2nd biggest point spread margin.  We'll ride the Pirates off that huge game, as they're 27-4 ATS following a game where they covered the spread by 12+ points, if they were matched up against a foe off a SU win in their current game (including a perfect 10-0 ATS as a favorite).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-02-24 Lakers v. Raptors +12.5 Top 128-111 Loss -113 12 h 14 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Raptors have managed just one win in their last 16 games, while covering just three times.  But I like Toronto getting double-digits at home tonight vs. a Lakers team playing the first of back-to-back games.  The Lakers are a soft 18-40 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS win, including 3-12 ATS on the road.  And they're 36-64-2 ATS when laying double-digits.  Meanwhile, the Raptors fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 229-138-8 ATS, which plays on certain teams off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raptors + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-02-24 Utah v. Indiana State -2.5 Top 90-100 Win 100 38 h 9 m Show

At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over the Utah Utes.  This game will be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse, on the campus of Butler University, in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute.  So, expect a crowd squarely in the Sycamores' corner.  We'll lay the points with Indiana St, and go against a Utah team which has had its problems away from home.  The Utes earned their trip to the NIT semifinals with 3 home wins, and they covered the spread in each by 11.5, 4 and 1.5 points.  For the season, Utah went 18-2 SU and 14-6 ATS at home, and covered the point spread by an average of 6.17 ppg.  Unfortunately, it was a completely different story away from Salt Lake City, as Utah went 4-12 SU, 5-11 ATS, and FAILED to cover the point spread by an average of 4.73 ppg.  And Utah's road travails haven't been just this season.  Dating back to 2019, they're 17-51 SU and 21-46-1 ATS away from home, and failed to cover by an average of 4.59 ppg.  Indiana State, meanwhile, has held its own away from home, with a 15-5 SU record, and a 10-10 ATS record.  And it's covered the spread, on average, by 1.21 ppg away from home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-01-24 Hawks +3.5 v. Bulls Top 113-101 Win 100 15 h 21 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  Chicago upset Minnesota, 109-101, as a 9-point road underdog last night.  Off that upset win, we'll fade Chicago, as it's a horrid 7-27-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset road win as an underdog of more than 5 points.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-01-24 Blazers +16.5 v. Magic Top 103-104 Win 100 14 h 21 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Blazers were blown out by 60 points, 142-82, in their most recent game.  And that was just the 7th time a team has lost by 60+ points over the past 34 seasons.  Teams off huge blowout losses > 40 points tend to play much better their next game, and have gone 113-87-3 ATS, including 61-37-2 ATS on the road.  Take Portland + the points.

04-01-24 Grizzlies +3.5 v. Pistons Top 110-108 Win 100 14 h 21 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  Detroit defeated Washington, 96-87, on Friday.  We'll fade the Pistons tonight, as they're a wallet-breaking 4-23 ATS at home off a win by more than 5 points.  Even worse:  the Pistons are 6-21-1 ATS their last 28 vs. Memphis, including 0-12 ATS when Detroit was not getting more than 4 points.  Here, of course, the Pistons are a favorite.  Take Memphis + the points.

03-31-24 Thunder v. Knicks -3.5 Top 113-112 Loss -110 12 h 13 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Knicks were an 8.5-point favorite on Friday night vs. San Antonio, but lost in overtime, 130-126, despite 61 points from Jalen Brunson.  We'll take New York to bounce back at home off that upset defeat, as it's 19-3 ATS when not laying 4.5 (or more) points, if it lost its previous game as a favorite of more than 8 points.  Even better:  the Knicks are 14-1 ATS their last 14 (and 30-10 ATS their last 40) when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and favored by less than 10 points.  With the Knicks, indeed, playing with revenge from a 129-120 setback in Oklahoma City, we'll lay the short number with New York this evening.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

03-31-24 NC State v. Duke -7 Top 76-64 Loss -110 10 h 8 m Show

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over NC State.  The Blue Devils sent #1-seeded Houston packing on Friday night.  And teams that eliminated #1 seeds have gone on to a sweet 18-6 ATS record in the Elite 8 Round.  Over the first three rounds of the tourney, the Blue Devils have covered the spread by an average of 14.83 ppg.  I won't step in front of Duke here, and especially not when it's playing with revenge from a 74-69 defeat in the ACC Tournament.  Key stat:  NC State is a woeful 1-7 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. an opponent it upset in the season's prior meeting.  Lay the points with the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-30-24 Bucks -4 v. Hawks Top 122-113 Win 100 6 h 37 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Milwaukee dropped its second straight game, with a 7-point road loss to the New Orleans Pelicans.  We'll take the Bucks to bounce back in Atlanta, as the Bucks are a staggering 90-48-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 11-1 ATS their last 12 when they didn't own a losing record, and their foe was off back to back wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-30-24 Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut Top 52-77 Loss -107 13 h 15 m Show

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Admittedly, the Huskies are deserving of their #1 ranking.  They've won and covered all three NCAA Tourney games, including a 30-point blowout of San Diego State on Thursday.  But top-3-seeded favorites of more than 5 points have gone 0-10 ATS at the Sweet 16 Round forward, off a cover by more than 7 points, if they were matched up against a foe off an upset win.  That certainly doesn't bode well for UConn this evening against an excellent Illinois team checking in off an upset win over the Big 12 Tourney champs, Iowa St.  The Illini, for their part, won the Big 10 Conference tournament, and have now won 10 of 11 games, including their last seven in a row.  And they've covered 5 straight.  Here, they've been installed as a huge underdog vs. the defending champion Huskies.  And we'll happily grab the points, as top-3-seeded teams have gone a perfect 7-0 ATS as underdogs of 8+ points, dating back to March 28, 1998.  Moreover, since the Big 10 started its post-season tourney, its champs have been terrific as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament, as they've gone 10-5 ATS, including a perfect 3-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round.  Likewise, the Illini have been stellar as underdogs this season, going 5-1-1 ATS.  And they're 21-10-1 ATS their last 32 as underdogs, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS when getting 6 or more points.  Finally, this season, the Illini have gone 14-4 ATS away from home, and have covered the spread in those 18 games by an average of 6 ppg (UConn has not done as well away from home, as it's covered the spread by an average of 2.43 ppg).  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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