At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama.  After an uncharacteristic 1-6 start to the 2020-21 season, the Wildcats have righted themselves in SEC Conference play with 3 straight wins to start the SEC schedule.  And Saturday's win in Gainesville was their most impressive, as they upset Florida, 76-58, as a 5.5-point road underdog.  The Wildcats are back home tonight to take on an Alabama team which has gotten off to a 4-0 SEC start.  We'll take the home team, as Kentucky is a reliable 67-31-2 ATS at home when not favored by more than 14 points, if its opponent was off back to back wins!  Meanwhile, Alabama falls into a negative 34% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 5+ wins.  And the Crimson Tide are a poor 19-40 ATS off 5+ wins.  Take Kentucky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City.  San Antone was blown out by Minnesota in the 2nd of a back-to-back series in Minneapolis.  But off that blowout loss, we'll take Gregg Popovich's crew tonight, as they're 65-42 ATS as a road favorite off a SU loss where they failed to cover by double-digits.  Meanwhile, the Thunder return home off a 5-game road trip in which they went 4-1 (including 3 upset wins over the last week).  Unfortunately for the Thunder, underdogs off 3 upset road wins have covered just 40% over the past 31 years.  Take San Antonio minus the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Los Angeles.  The Rockets lost round 1 in this 2-game series vs. the champs, but we'll take them to win round 2 tonight.  On Sunday, the Lakers blew out Houston here at the Toyota Center, 120-102.  But Houston has covered 64% since 1990 as a home dog off a home loss, if their foe was off back to back wins.  And the Lakers have covered just 29 of 94 regular season games vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, if that foe was playing with revenge from a home loss earlier in the season to the Lakers.  Take Houston in this home underdog role.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  Oh, how the mighty have fallen.  The 2019 Champion Raptors are now 2-7 SU/ATS after losing to the 2018 Champion Warriors last night, 106-105.  But at least the Warriors are a respectable 6-4 SU/5-5 ATS.  The Raptors will now travel up to Portland to take on a Trail Blazers team which won and covered two straight games for the first time all season, with SU/ATS wins over the T-Wolves and Kings.  But it's worth noting that the point spread for tonight's game is the biggest underdog spread for Toronto all season.  And the Raptors are 12-4 ATS over the last 4 regular seasons when getting 5+ points in a game.  Meanwhile, Portland has covered just 6 of 21 off back to back ATS wins.  And it also falls into a negative 35-91 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. foes off upset losses.  Grab the points with Nick Nurse's men tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Los Angeles.  We played on the Rockets in their previous game, and were rewarded with a 42-point blowout win over Orlando -- Houston's best game of this young season.  Going into Friday's contest, the Rockets were 2-4 SU/ATS, and had yet to win by double-digits.  The Lakers also haven't been making too many friends "in Vegas," as they've only covered the spread in four of their 10 games, including 0-3 ATS their last three.  These two teams met in last year's post-season tournament, and the Lakers won the 7-game series, 4-games-to-1 after the Rockets took the opening game.  But Houston won 2 of last year's 3 regular season games, and I look for it to upset Los Angeles this evening, as well, as it falls into several of my very best post-season revenge systems.  Even better:  this will be Los Angeles' 3rd game in four nights, and LeBron James' teams have covered just 43% in his career when playing their 3rd game in four nights, if favored vs. winning opponents, while NBA teams have covered just 30 of their last 80 when playing their 3rd game in four nights, if they won the previous two games.  Finally, the Rockets are a solid 26-14 ATS as rested home underdogs if they lost the previous meeting to their opponent.  Grab the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Army.  These two Patriot League rivals met yesterday in Worcester, Mass. and the Black Knights got the better of Holy Cross, with a 15-point road win, 83-68, as a 5.5-point favorite.  That lowered Holy Cross' season point spread record to 2-1 ATS.  But unlike many conferences this season, which are having their teams play two straight games against an opponent in the same location, the Patriot League has scheduled its back to back meetings in the traditional manner, with one home, and one away game.  So, this game will be played at Army.  We'll take the Crusaders in this afternoon's rematch, as they've covered 34 of 59 road games, and also fall into an 87-41 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road underdogs off SU/ATS losses.  Even better:  since 1991, teams off a loss in the first meeting of a "back-to-back" have covered the spread in the 2nd meeting 59% of the time, if they owned a winning ATS record on the season, including 10-1 ATS in 2021 if they failed to cover the spread in the first meeting by more than 8 points.  Take Holy Cross.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over San Antonio.  We played on the Spurs in each of their last two games, and were rewarded with upset wins over both the Clippers and Lakers.  But off those two big upset wins, we will fade the Spurs as a road favorite tonight.  Indeed, teams off back to back upset wins are a soft 42% as favorites vs. foes with losing SU/ATS records.  And the Spurs have covered 12 of their last 39 when favored, including 1-9 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets come into this game off back to back upset wins over the Pelicans last night, and these Hawks on Wednesday.  But off those two upset road wins, we'll fade Charlotte tonight, and take the revenge-minded Hawks.  Since 1990, teams off back to back upset wins on the road have covered just 28% as a home underdog vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Southern Utah.  The Thunderbirds have won eight straight, while the Vandals have lost eight straight after Thursday night's game between these two teams, won by Southern Utah, 85-80, as a 14.5-point favorite.  Still, Idaho easily covered the double-digit spread.  But these two teams' divergent won/loss streaks have worked to create point spread value for the underdog.  And we'll happily step in and take the points with Idaho, as it's 64-35 ATS on the road off a road loss, including 23-6 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Meanwhile, Southern Utah is a horrid 14-36 ATS at home off an ATS defeat.  I look for the Vandals to easily cover the spread here again this afternoon.  Take Idaho + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over the LA Clippers.  We played on Los Angeles on Wednesday, as a 4-point road favorite, and were rewarded with a 7-point victory.  But we will take Golden State in this rematch, as it's 52-27-1 ATS vs. division rivals if it lost its previous game, while the Clippers are 13-35 ATS off a SU/ATS win, when favored by 4+ points vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Sacramento.  The Raptors have (unbelievably) gotten off to a 1-6 start this season.  But there's no reason to panic.  Their slow start is partly due to bad luck, as they could have won/covered three of their six SU/ATS losses.  And a difficult schedule also hasn't helped.  But tonight, the Raptors will play a team they're significantly better than, and I believe they'll take out their frustrations tonight, and blow out Sacramento.  For technical support, consider that Toronto is 15-6 ATS off 3 ATS losses, including 12-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Kings are 11-22 ATS as a home dog of more than 2 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points with the Raptors.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Eagles have been installed as a double-digit home favorite following their back to back wins (and covers) at Nebraska-Omaha last weekend.  But they're an awful 15-36 ATS when favored by more than 5 points, and 24-46 ATS off back to back wins.  Grab the points with North Dakota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Orlando.  The Rockets check in off back to back SU/ATS losses to Dallas and Indiana, and have been installed as a home favorite vs. Orlando, which has won its last two games (both SU and ATS).  We'll lay the points with the Rockets, as they've covered 58% off back to back losses, if they failed to cover their previous game, and their opponent is off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Magic are a poor 52-74 ATS as single-digit underdogs vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Houston.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton St. Texans + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Antelopes have gotten out to a 6-0 ATS start this season.  But they're now favored by a significant amount on the road and, by my numbers, the line is inflated.  And, even more important, is the fact that Grand Canyon has only covered the point spread by, on average, 4.83 ppg.  And that number is exceptionally low for a team which has started a season with at least 6 ATS wins.  Indeed, there have been 221 events where a team was 6-0 (or better) against the spread.  And a 4.83 average line differential ranks 210th of the 221.  That low number indicates that the Antelopes 6-0 ATS record is due more to randomness than their superior play.  Not surprisingly, teams that start the season with a 6-0 ATS (or better) record have gone 8-24 ATS if their average line differential wasn't greater than 6.10.  Take Tarleton St. + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils + the points over Bryant.  This is a rematch of a game played yesterday, won by Bryant, 93-68.  But off that loss, we'll take the Blue Devils in the rematch.  This season, because of COVID-19, it's commonplace for conferences to schedule back-to-back meetings between schools.  And the team which lost the first meeting has covered the second 62 of 113 (55%).  Even better:  double-digit road underdogs are 146-109 ATS in the 2nd meeting when playing with revenge from a 25-point loss in the first meeting of the season.  Take Central Connecticut St.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Perhaps the third time will be the charm for Gregg Popovich's men.  They've played Los Angeles twice already this season, with both games in the Alamo City ending in defeat for the Silver and Black.  But after getting blown out in Game #1, Game #2 went down to the wire for a 109-103 Lakers victory.  We played on San Antone in that game as a 7-point underdog, and we'll play on them here, at Los Angeles.  The Spurs come into this game off an upset win over the Clippers on Tuesday, and are now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road this season.  They're also 57-36 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 14-7 ATS when playing with double-revenge.  Meanwhile, the Lakers are 26-43 ATS as a favorite in the regular season vs. a foe they defeated twice earlier in the season.  Finally, San Antonio falls into a 90-40 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over SMU.  The Bearcats lost at home, 70-66, to Tulsa this past Saturday.  And that was Cincy's fifth straight defeat (and fourth straight as a favorite).  Tonight, the Bearcats will be in Dallas to play an SMU team off a home loss to Houston (after starting the season with six straight wins).  We'll grab the points with Cincinnati, as it's 23-10 ATS as an underdog off back to back losses.  Even better:  NCAA Basketball teams off 4+ upset losses have cashed 73.9% over the last 31 years.  Grab the points with John Brannen's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Steve Kerr's men must like the number 137, as that's been their point total in each of their last two games.  They poured in 137 in a 31-point upset win over Sacramento on Monday, and also scored 137 vs. Portland the night before that, in a 15-point win.  But off those back to back upsets, we'll fade Golden State tonight.  And they will be welcoming a Clippers team in an ornery mood off an upset home loss yesterday to San Antonio.  That was Los Angeles' 3rd loss of the season.  In their previous defeats, they bounced back to win and cover vs. Minnesota (124-101) and Phoenix (112-107).  L.A. is now 34-13 ATS off a loss, while the Warriors are a poor 18-33 ATS off a win.  And NBA underdogs are a horrid 2-16 ATS after scoring 120+ in back to back upset wins.  Take the Clippers tonight to crush Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Seton Hall.  The Blue Jays have won their last four games, and are 8-2 SU on the season, though they failed to cover each of their last 3 games.  Meanwhile, the Pirates are 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS after winning their last 3 games SU/ATS.  We'll take Creighton to snap its ATS losing streak tonight as .800 (or better) home teams, at Game 11 forward, off 3+ wins, but 3+ ATS losses, have covered 69% since 1990 vs foes off an ATS win.  And the Blue Jays are also 30-15 ATS at home off back to back ATS defeats, if they weren't favored by more than 12 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over New Orleans.  These two teams met last Thursday in Oklahoma, and the Pelicans blew out the Thunder, 113-80, as a 6-point road favorite.  We'll take OKC in this re-match, as the Thunder are 18-7 ATS their last 25 when playing with revenge, including 8-0 ATS when priced from +4 to +10 points.  Meanwhile, the Pelicans have covered just 8 of 22 as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes, and are 8-21 ATS at home off a SU loss.  Finally, the Thunder fall into a 143-83 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points with OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over New York.  The Knicks have won two straight -- both as big underdogs -- while the Jazz were blown out last night by 34 points in Brooklyn.  It will be a short trip to Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks on Wednesday, and we'll lay the points with Utah.  Since 1990, .563 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 63% after losing their previous game by more than 28 points, if their opponent was off back to back wins.  And home dogs off upset road wins have cashed just 39% over the last 31 years vs. foes off upset road losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets blew out Minnesota, 124-109, on Sunday, in Minneapolis.  But we'll take Minnesota in the rematch tonight.  And, unlike Sunday's game, this will be played in Denver.  That's good news for the T-Wolves, who are 20-2 ATS their last 22 in Denver, when priced as an underdog of +1.5 to +15 points.  And, regardless of where the point spread is, the ROAD TEAM has gone 41-10-1 ATS its last 52 in this series!  That's one reason I love Minnesota tonight.  Another is that rested, revenge-minded double-digit underdogs are 300-234 ATS against division rivals.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers bested Memphis here, on Beale Street, on Sunday, by a 108-94 count.  That was the Lakers' 3rd straight road win.  Unfortunately for the defending champs, they're a dreadful 110-163-4 ATS when favored by 8+ points against a revenge-minded opponent, including 21-58 their last 79 if they won by more than 5 points in the previous meeting.  And the Lakers also fall into a negative 40-84 ATS system of mine which fades certain road favorites that were playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Ohio.  The Bobcats' Jason Preston (16.8 ppg, 7.4 assists) won't play today due to a lower body injury, and that's enough for me to pull the trigger on the double-digit underdog Huskies.  Northern Illinois is a fantastic 55-30 ATS as road underdogs of +8 (or more) points.  Take the Huskies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs minus the points over Campbell.  These two teams met here, in Boiling Springs, yesterday.  And the Fighting Camels came away with a 70-61 upset win.  Off that loss, we'll lay the points with the home team, as the Runnin' Bulldogs are 39-24 ATS their last 63.  And they also fall into a 153-101 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain home (or neutral-sited) teams that were upset by their opponent previously in the season.  Take Gardner-Webb.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Winthrop.  The Eagles won Round 1 yesterday, 85-69, and covered by a point.  We'll take Charleston Southern this afternoon in this rematch, as the Eagles have covered just 30.7% vs. foes off SU/ATS losses.  And Winthrop also falls into a negative 41-84 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams vs. foes off SU/ATS losses.  Take Charleston Southern + the points.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Golden State.  We had a big play on the Warriors last night, and were rewarded with an upset win by Steph Curry (62 points) and Co. against Portland.  But off that win, we will fade Steve Kerr's crew tonight, as Golden State falls into negative 99-143, 56-118 and 33-70 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins.  Even worse for the Warriors:  Golden State is 17-33 ATS off a straight-up win, while Sacramento is 26-11 ATS on the road off a road loss.  Lay the small number with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Wyoming.  This is a rematch of a game played here on Saturday.  The Cowboys upset the Bulldogs, 78-74, in that one, as a 2-point underdog.  We'll play on the home team tonight, as Fresno is 10-0 ATS its last 10 conference games off a home loss, while Wyoming is a wallet-busting 29-66 ATS off a win away from home, if their opponent is off a straight-up loss.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Houston.  The Mavericks lost their previous game, last night, at Chicago, 118-108.  And Dallas entered that game as a 4-point favorite.  Meanwhile, the Rockets downed Sacramento, 102-94, as a 2-point home underdog on Saturday.  We'll take the Mavericks to bounce back tonight, as they're 111-63 ATS off a loss, if matched up against an opponent which was off a win.  And the Rockets are a woeful 1-13 ATS their last 14 off an upset win at home, if matched up against an opponent which failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Finally, the Rockets fall into negative 2-29, 31-69 and 13-54 ATS systems of mine.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis + the points over Drake.  The Salukis lost here yesterday, 73-55, so they will get a 2nd opportunity this evening to hand the Bulldogs their first loss of the season.  We'll grab the points with the road underdog, as Missouri Valley Conference teams have gone 137-87 ATS when playing with revenge from an 18-point conference loss, provided they weren't favored by more than 3 points.  Take Southern Illinois + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Winthrop.  The Eagles are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS, while the Bucs are 1-5 SU and 0-5 ATS on the season after being upset twice by Hampton in their last two games.  But off those two upset losses, we'll grab the points with the Bucs, as home teams off back to back upset losses are 107-77 ATS, including 20-9 ATS as an underdog.  Take the Bucs.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Cavaliers were absolutely annihilated in their previous game -- a 119-99 defeat at Indiana on Thursday.  The Cavaliers had last night off, but Atlanta was in action at Brooklyn, and pulled off a big upset as a 6.5-point underdog, 114-96.  That sets up Cleveland well tonight, as they will be rested against an unrested foe.  And the Hawks are a dreadful 44-85 ATS vs. rested foes off 20-point (or worse) defeats.  Take Cleveland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Bowling Green.  The Huskies are at home this evening where they hope to get off the schneid "in Vegas," as they're a woeful 0-7 ATS.  They'll host the Falcons, who upset Ohio as a 6-point underdog on Thursday.  By my numbers, their poor performance has led to us getting value in this point spread, and we'll grab the points.  For technical support, notwithstanding their 7-game ATS losing streak, consider that the Huskies are 35-22 ATS long-term off back to back ATS losses, when installed as an underdog in Mid-American conference games.  And NCAA teams have gone 10-0 ATS at home, if they started the season on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, and their opponent was off an upset win.  Take Northern Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over George Mason.  The Patriots are off a 93-92 upset win over UMass, while the Flyers were upset by La Salle, 67-65, as an 11.5-point favorite.  We'll fade George Mason this afternoon, as it's a horrid 7-23-1 ATS off an upset win over a conference foe, while Dayton is 20-12 ATS off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Dayton.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Tulsa.  Cincy has lost its last four games, with the last three coming in the favorite role.  The good news for the Bearcats is that NCAA favorites off an upset road loss, and 3 upset losses overall, have cashed 60% over the past 20 years.  Take the Bearcats to blow out Tulsa.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  This is the 2nd of a back-to-back match-up here in San Antonio.  The Lakers won the first game on Wednesday, 121-107.  But we'll take the points with the Spurs tonight, as they're 21-4 ATS their last 25 at home when playing with revenge against .550 (or better) foes.  Take San Antonio.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Chicago.  This will be the 3rd time this season we played on Milwaukee after it lost its previous game.  We easily cashed the first two, as Milwaukee blew out Golden State (138-99) and Miami (144-97) after its first two losses.  Now, it gets to take out its frustration on an unrested Chicago Bulls squad.  The Bulls won their game last night in Washington.  But Chicago is 14-31 ATS off a win, while the Bucks are 29-10 ATS in the regular season off a loss.  Lay the double-digits with the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Gauchos will be playing their seventh game of the season, while Fullerton has played just once thus far (a game against non-Division I San Diego Christian).  So, Fullerton may be a bit "behind" UCSB when it comes to execution tonight.  And in this COVID environment, where some programs have gotten late starts, they've been poor ATS when playing away from home, if it was one of their first three games, while their opponent has played at least six games.  Our "less experienced" schools have covered just five of 19 games thus far (including 0-7 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +21 points).  Even worse for Fullerton:  UCSB has started its Big West Conference schedule with two upset losses at Cal Irvine.  But NCAA home teams have covered 70% over the last 31 years off back to back upset road losses to start a conference schedule.  With the Gauchos 8-1 ATS vs. the Titans when laying 6+ points, we'll back the home team on New Year's Day.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets come into tonight's game off back to back upsets of Brooklyn and Dallas.  And they were underdogs of +11.5 and +8 points, respectively, in those games.  Unfortunately, NBA teams off back to back wins as underdogs of +8 (or more points), have cashed just 3 of 21 games vs. .470 (or worse) foes.  Take Memphis + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks over the Miami Heat.  The Mavericks lost here, at home, on Wednesday to Charlotte.  And Dallas was an 8-point favorite in that game.  But, perhaps, that loss should not have come as a surprise.  After all, Dallas exacted revenge in their game previous to that when they blew out the Clippers by 51 points.  So, a letdown was certainly in order.  Now, however, the Mavericks are locked into their best point spread role.  The Mavericks are a powerful 110-63-5 ATS off a loss when they're matched up against an opponent off a win.  And Dallas also falls into a 52-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Pels are off a 25-point loss at Phoenix, but now fall into a 400-293 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites off road defeats.  Even better:  .345 (or worse) NBA teams have gone 83-136-4 ATS at home if they weren't favored by more than 5 points, and their opponent was off a loss by 24+ points.  Take New Orleans to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over New York.  Out of the many surprises so far this season, perhaps none is as surprising as Toronto's 0-3 start.  The 2019 Champs will try to get off the schneid tonight in this "home" game in Tampa.  And Toronto is 17-1 ATS at home in the regular season vs. division rivals when Toronto was favored by less than 10 points.  Lay the points with the Raptors.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  These two teams met on Tuesday, and the Bulls upended Washington, 115-107, as a 6-point road underdog.  But that game as placed the Wizards in 100-57, 165-101 and 213-133 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, as faithful followers know, I love to go against bad NBA teams off wins.  And the Bulls are a bad team.  Last season, Chicago won just 33.8% of its games.  And it's a dreadful 8-36 SU and 13-31 ATS its last 44 games off a victory. Take Washington.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Minnesota.  The Gophers are 9-1 this season, with their lone loss coming on the road, at Illinois.  At home, Minnesota is 9-0, with a 7-2 ATS record.  Unfortunately, this game on Thursday afternoon is on the road.  We played against Minnesota in that earlier game at Illinois, and got the $$$ with a 92-65 blowout win.  And we'll play against Minnesota again today in this road game.  Indeed, the Gophers are a wallet-busting 20-58 ATS on the Big 10 road when priced from -1 to +11 points!  Yikes!  And Wisky is 37-18 ATS vs. .810 (or better) Big 10 foes here, in Madison.  Take the Badgers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders + the points over Davidson.  The Spiders were upset at home in their last game, 76-71, by Hofstra.  And Richmond was a 12-point favorite in that ballgame.  But off that defeat, we'll take Richmond to bounce back on the road this evening, as it's 11-1 ATS in conference games off an upset loss, if it failed to cover by 9+ points in that defeat.  And Richmond also falls into a great 70-29 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in conference games off upset losses.  Take Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Baylor.  The Bears are undefeated -- both SU and ATS -- and ranked #2 in the country behind Gonzaga.  That's good news for us, as Baylor was my preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win this year's NCAA Championship.  But we will go against the Bears today, and take the points with Alcorn State.  The Braves will have an advantage this afternoon, as Baylor had to play less than 24 hours ago vs. Central Arkansas -- a game Baylor won by 37.  Additionally, the Bears fall into a negative 38-82 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off back to back ATS wins, while the Braves fall into a 92-44 ATS system which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the double-digits with Alcorn State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Chattanooga.  The Moccasins are 9-0 on the season, but they should taste defeat for the first time this afternoon.  Last year, the Paladins swept the season series, 2-games-to-none, and they've won the last 7, by an average of 12.4 ppg.  Moreover, unbeaten, revenge-minded teams, like Chattanooga, with a 9-0 (or better) record, are a horrid 5-24-1 ATS their last 30, including 0-12-1 ATS their last 13, when getting more than 4 points.  Take Furman.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas St Wildcats minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  The Wildcats played their best game of the season their last time out -- a 70-46 blowout of the Jacksonville Dolphins, as a 12-point favorite.  In that game, the Wildcats outshot Jacksonville, 45% to 34%, and outrebounded the Dolphins, 45-22.  We'll take Kansas State tonight, as it falls into a 'momentum' system of mine which is 411-305 ATS, which plays on certain home teams off wins by 22+ points when not favored in their current game by more than 13 points.  Even better:  the Wildcats are a dominant 34-14 ATS at home when favored by less than 24 points, if they won their previous game by double-digits.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  We played on Milwaukee on Christmas Day vs. Golden State, as the Bucks came into that game off a SU loss to the Celtics.  And, as I noted then, Milwaukee's been "money-in-the-bank" in the regular season off a loss ever since coach Mike Budenholzer was hired, as it's 33-5 SU and 28-10 ATS in this role.  I won't go against those numbers.  And especially not tonight when Milwaukee will be out to avenge its playoff series ouster by Miami last summer.  Take the Bucks to blow out the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers have burst out to a 3-0 SU/ATS start this season.  But the thing to bear in mind is that the Cavs were underdogs in each of those three games.  Now, for tonight's game vs. the Knicks, the Cavaliers have been installed as a favorite.  And, notwithstanding their current 3-0 record, the Cavs won just 29% of their games last seasons, and are NOT a very good team.  Similar to our play last night against the Atlanta Hawks as a big favorite vs. the Pistons, we're going to fade Cleveland tonight as it cannot be relied up to lay points -- even to teams like the Knicks.  Indeed, last season, Cleveland was a disastrous 0-7 ATS as a favorite (and it won just one of those seven games, straight-up)!  Take New York + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Indiana Pacers.  The Pacers won the first of this back-to-back series in Indianapolis, with a 108-107 upset victory on Sunday, which moved their record to 3-0.  But off their upset win, we'll fade Indiana in the rematch, as NBA teams with a W/L Pct > .600 have covered just 51 of 124 off an upset home win vs. foes off an upset loss.  And Boston's 20-11 ATS on the road off an upset loss.  Take the Celtics.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Philadelphia.  The Raptors are 0-2 SU/ATS after dropping their first two games to the Pelicans and Spurs.  But the Raptors are a solid 58-29 ATS off exactly 2 losses, which bodes well for them in Philly tonight.  Additionally, NBA teams off back to back upset losses to start a season have cashed 62% over the last 41 years.  And, finally, Philly has covered just 3 of 23 as a division favorite vs. foes off an upset loss that don't have a winning ATS record.  Take Toronto + the points tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wofford Terriers + the points over Mercer.  Last year, the Bears upset Wofford not once, but twice, en route to a 12-6 Southern Conference record.  But you know what they say about "paybacks."  And Wofford falls into a 68.1% ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain teams that were upset by their opponent in their previous meeting.  Additionally, notwithstanding its loss at Mercer last season, the Terriers are still 22-6 ATS their last 28 games away from home vs. Southern Conference rivals.  Take Wofford.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Purdue.  This is a horrible spot for the Boilermakers, who have to travel to Piscataway to face the #14-ranked Scarlet Knights immediately after they fell to Ohio State.  That game snapped Rutgers' 6-game win streak (and 3-game ATS win streak).  And the Knights are an awesome 16-1 ATS at home when priced from -9 to +8.5 points.  Meanwhile, the Boilermakers are a woeful 30-58 ATS as single-digit road underdogs.  Take Rutgers minus the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Jazz were upset, 116-111, at home by the Timberwolves on Saturday night.  And Utah was a 9-point favorite in that game.  Tonight, they're a big road favorite, and we'll lay the points.  For technical support, the Jazz are a solid 67-38 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points off an upset home loss when playing a .250 (or better) opponent, including 18-0 ATS their last 18 if the Jazz didn't own a winning record.  Take Utah minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Atlanta's off to a 2-0 start notwithstanding the fact that it won less than 30% of its games last season.  Now, it's a huge home favorite against the 0-2 Pistons.  But Atlanta can't be trusted to lay this number, as it has covered just 23 of 65 as a home favorite of -9 (or more) points.  We'll take the points with Detroit, as NBA home teams that are undefeated on the season (like Atlanta) have covered just 26.0% over the last 31 years if they had a sub-.400 record the previous season.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets were favored by 11 points last night at Charlotte, but were upset, 106-104.  Tonight, they're back home in Brooklyn, and the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Brooklyn to bounce back against the 0-2 Grizzlies.  But NBA home teams off an upset road loss in which they were favored by more than 9 points have covered just 29.6% since 1992 when playing a losing team off a SU loss.  Take Memphis + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores + the points over Drake.  The Bulldogs were the first team to reach 10 wins this season after they downed the Sycamores on Sunday, 81-63, here, in Terre Haute.  But we will fade Drake on this Monday afternoon, as revenge-minded Missouri Valley Conference teams have gone 137-85 ATS if they lost the meeting earlier in the season by 18+ points, and are not favored by more than 3 points in the current game.  Even better:  NCAA home underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have covered 71% against undefeated teams with an 8-0 (or better) record that both won and covered their previous game by 7+ points.  Take Indiana State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings upset Phoenix, 106-103, last night to move to 2-0 on the season.  The Pacific Division foes will face off in Sacramento once again this evening, and we'll lay the points with the Suns in the rematch.  Sacramento is a poor 16-39 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win, when playing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss.  And, finally, road favorites off an upset road loss have covered 70% since 2008 vs. foes off an upset win at home, if their foe also was off back to back wins.  Take Phoenix to blow out Sacramento.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Orlando Magic.  We played (and lost) on the Wizards last night vs. this Magic squad, but will come right back with Washington on this Sunday.  Like last night's game, this will also be played in Washington, D.C., as the NBA has scheduled back-to-back games at the same venue to limit travel in the COVID-19 environment.  The Wizards fall into a 96-51 ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain teams that were upset at home in their previous meeting.  And teams off a SU loss have covered 61.5% over the last 31 years vs. foes off back to back upset wins to start the season.  Finally, winning teams off back to back upset wins, that covered each of those two games by 10+ points, have gone 117-176 ATS, including 19-48 ATS vs. division rivals.  Take the Wizards.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  We played against both New Orleans and San Antonio in their previous games.  We cashed the Heat vs. the Pelicans, in a 111-98 Christmas Day win, but lost last night with the Raptors, who were outscored 9-0 down the stretch to fall to the Spurs, 119-114.  We will play against Gregg Popovich's crew again tonight, as they're 7-37 SU and 16-27-1 ATS as underdogs of +4 or more points vs. Western Conference rivals.  And they have also covered just 25.8% over the last 31 years on the road vs. .500 (or better) foes off a loss by more than 8 points.  Take the Pelicans.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the LA Clippers.  The Mavericks lost to the Clippers in last year's playoffs, 4 games to 2.  And that series defeat has triggered several of my best NBA Playoff revenge systems, with records of 76-45, 96-51 and 31-19 ATS since 1990.  It's true that Dallas has gotten off to an 0-2 start, while LA is undefeated after its first two games -- both on the road.  But the Mavs are 109-63-5 ATS off a SU loss when playing an opponent off a SU win, including 15-5 ATS when the Mavs lost by more than 20 in their previous game.  And undefeated NBA teams, that won 57+ percent of their games the previous season, have covered their home openers just 33.9% since 1991.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over the San Antonio Spurs.  The Raptors blew a 57-50 halftime lead against the New Orleans Pelicans in their season opener, and fell by 14, 113-99, at home.  Meanwhile, the Spurs upset Memphis on Beale Street, 131-119.  But off that win, we will fade Gregg Popovich's crew tonight, as the once-reliable Spurs are now a wallet-breaking 1-16 ATS at home off a win since March 20, 2019!   In contrast, over the last two years, the Raptors have been exceptionally reliable with Nick Nurse at the helm.  The Raptors were 53-19 (.736) last season, including a 27-9 record on the road.  Moreover, the Raptors are an awesome 12-1 ATS their last 13 off a loss by more than 11 points.  And their 26-11 ATS off an ATS defeat.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Indiana.  The Pacers won by 14, 114-107, vs. the New York Knicks on Wednesday, while Chicago was blown out by 20, 124-104, by the Atlanta Hawks.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to fade Chicago off that dismal performance.  But consider that NBA teams off a loss by 20+ points in their season opener have covered 70% since 1990 when not getting more than 7 points in Game 2.  Even better:  mid-priced NBA road favorites of -4 to -8.5 points have covered just 10 of 35 off a win in their season opener at home, including 1-11 ATS vs. division rivals.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset Miami, at home, 113-107, on Wednesday, while Washington lost by an identical score to the 76ers, but covered the spread as a 7-point road underdog.  The silver lining for the Wizards is that NBA teams that lost, but covered the spread in their season opener, have proceeded to cover 67.5% in Game 2 since 2008, including 75% when not favored by 3+ points.  Meanwhile, the Magic have covered just 7 of 23 off an upset home win. and they're also 13-21-1 ATS their last 35 vs. Washington.  Lay the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Pistons lost by 10, 111-101, at Minnesota, on Wednesday, while the Cavaliers won their home opener, 121-114, against Charlotte.  But the Cavs were the Eastern Conference's worst team last season, with a 19-46 record.  And NBA teams playing their home opener, like Detroit, have cashed 67% since 1991 if they were off a double-digit loss, and were playing an opponent off a win in its home opener, if that opponent had a worse record the previous season.  Take Detroit minus the points.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Hawks were a losing team last season, but opened their 2020-21 campaign with a road win at Chicago.  They will now play the Grizzlies who lost their season opener at home, 131-119, on Wednesday to the Spurs.  We'll take Memphis at home, as NBA teams have cashed 77% at home since 1991 off a loss in their home opener, if their opponent was off a SU win, and our home team owned a better record the previous season.  Additionally, the Hawks are a poor 11-24 ATS after winning on the road, if the Hawks weren't getting 9+ points in their current game.  Take Memphis on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the LA Clippers.  The Clips opened their season with a "road" win against the Lakers, while Denver lost at home to the Sacramento Kings.  But over the last 31 years, NBA home teams have covered 67% in Game 2, if they lost at home in their season opener, and their opponent was off an upset road win.  Moreover, the Clippers are a poor 7-20 ATS on the non-division road when priced from -2.5 to +9 points, if they were off a SU win.  Take Denver to bounce back on Christmas, and blow out the Clippers.  Good luck, a always...Al McMordie.

At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Golden State.  Both of these teams lost their season openers.  Golden State was blown out by Brooklyn on Tuesday, while the Bucks fell at the buzzer to Boston by a single point.  Since his arrival in Milwaukee, coach Mike Budenholzer's men have been exceptional in the regular season when coming off a straight-up loss.  They're 32-5 SU and 27-10 ATS, including 8-1 ATS at home when not laying more than 11 points.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.

At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  On Wednesday, Stan Van Gundy's Pelicans upset Toronto to kick off their 2020-21 campaign, while Miami lost as a road favorite against the Orlando Magic.  We'll play on the Heat on Thursday, as they've gone 43-23 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an opponent off an upset win.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans + the points over Utah State.  In our current COVID-19 environment, many conferences have adapted by scheduling back-to-back games between the same teams, on the same court.  So, after the Aggies blew out the Spartans, 107-62, here on Monday night, they'll face off again today.  And we'll take the Spartans + the double-digits tonight, as teams playing with revenge from a 40-point loss earlier in the season are 89-64-4 ATS their last 157.  And Mountain West Conference underdogs of more than 13 points have gone 109-61 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Spartans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens minus the points over Kansas City.  After going 6-0 SU/ATS to start the season (all six games were at home), the Billikens were upset on the road by Minnesota, 90-82, on Sunday.  But St. Louis is back home tonight.  And it has always been a strong home team, not just to start this season.  Indeed, the Billikens are 41-19-1 ATS their last 61 at home, and 217-164-4 ATS their last 385.  Additionally, the Kangaroos have covered just 38% as underdogs over the last 30 seasons off back to back wins.  Take St. Louis.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves minus the points over Cal Bakersfield.  The Waves were upset, 75-63, as a 2.5-point home favorite on Saturday by UCSB.  But off that loss, we'll take the Waves to blow out the Roadrunners, as Pepperdine falls into a 64% "bounce-back" system of mine.  Even better:  over the last 20 seasons, the Waves have cashed 69% at home off a home upset loss, while the Roadrunners have covered just 20% vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Pepperdine minus the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over East Tennessee State.  Nate Oats' men were upset here, at Coleman Coliseum, on Saturday by Western Kentucky.  The Tide were favored by 4.5 points, but lost 73-71 on the heels of a goaltending call which provided the final margin of victory.  But off that home loss, we'll lay the big number tonight with the Crimson Tide.  Alabama's a fantastic 29-13 ATS off a home upset loss, while Southern Conference teams have covered just 38% vs. SEC teams off an upset loss.  And Alabama also falls into a 63% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the NC Greensboro Spartans minus the points over NC A&T.  The 3-8 Aggies have been installed as a double-digit underdog this evening against their crosstown rivals in this 21st edition of the "Battle for the Boro."  But they're a dismal 0-14 SU and 3-10-1 ATS their last 14 when getting 11 or more points.  And the Aggies also were blown out by the Spartans last season, 83-50.  Even worse for NC A&T:  it may be without leading scorer (and the NCAA's top assist man last season), Kam Langley, tonight, as he's questionable to play.  Regardless of Langley's availability, we're going to fade the Aggies, as they fall into a negative 42-97 ATS system of mine.  Take the Spartans minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Tennessee-Martin.  After starting the season with 4 straight victories, the Rebels were upset, 65-62, at Dayton on Saturday.  And it was the first time the Rebels gave up more than 58 points in a game.  This afternoon, Ole Miss is back home at The Pavilion, where it will welcome a Skyhawks team which is also coming off its first loss of the season.  Tennessee-Martin fell, 81-63, at Western Illinois, as the Leathernecks shot 50% for the game.  Ole Miss is a solid 21-8 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off an upset loss, while the Skyhawks are a horrid 5-21 ATS their last 26 (and 15-36 their last 51) as a road underdog, including 1-12 ATS when they owned a winning record.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Murray State.  The Racers were favored by 3 points at home less than two weeks ago against Austin Peay, and won by 30, 87-57.  By my math, the oddsmakers have made too much of an adjustment to set the point spread at roughly the same price on the road.  And especially since Murray State is 4-0 at home, with an average margin of 40 ppg, but 0-2 on the road with a negative scoring margin of -10.5 ppg.  The Governors also fall into a revenge system of mine which is 149-99 ATS.  That angle plays on certain underdogs that have revenge from 20-point (or worse) defeats.  Finally, Murray State is 0-7 ATS its last seven road games off a home win.  Take Austin Peay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Arkansas-Little Rock.  The Trojans upset Missouri State here last season, 67-66, as a 12.5-point road underdog.  But you know what they say about 'paybacks!'  And the Bears fall into a super 172-119 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 70-32 ATS system which plays on certain home teams, not favored by 3+ points, off back to back wins.  Even better:  the Trojans are a woeful 4-13 ATS when facing a revenge-minded non-conference foe.  Take Missouri State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  The Runnin' Bulldogs have lost all three of their road games this season, and now have the misfortune of playing the Seminoles, who just dropped their first game of the season -- as a 14.5-point home favorite -- to Central Florida.  But I love FSU to rebound off that upset defeat, as it falls into a 70-37 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain home favorites after upset losses.  Additionally, ACC Conference teams have covered 62.6% as non-conference favorites of -20 (or more) points off a SU loss (and 76.4% ATS at home if they failed to cover by 10+ in their previous game).  Take the Seminoles.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over South Carolina State.  The Bulldogs are 0-9 SU this season (though they did cover their previous game at Presbyterian), and will be in for a tough task this afternoon in Greenville.  And that's because Furman was upset by Winthrop on Saturday, 87-71, as a 2.5-point road favorite.  That was also the 2nd straight loss for Furman (who were 25-7 last season), so Bob Richey's men will no doubt be happy to see the Bulldogs today so they can take out their frustration.  Furman has excelled in favorite role, and especially when laying a big number, as it is 45-18 ATS when laying more than 8, including 37-10 ATS if Furman owned a winning record, and its opponent had a losing record (and, then, 10-0 ATS in that set if its opponent was off an ATS win).  Take the Paladins minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Wildcats have had an unusually poor start to their season, as they're 3-5, including a 31-point loss (100-69) to #2-ranked Baylor on Saturday.  Their nadir, thus far, was of course their loss to Division II Fort Hays State.  Tonight, they'll face off against the Jacksonville Dolphins, who are 6-3 on the season.  We'll lay the points with K-State, as Big 12 Conference teams are 42-19 ATS as home favorites of more than 9 points after failing to cover the spread by 9+ in their previous game.  And the Wildcats are also 8-0 SU and 6-0 ATS at home after giving up more than 95 points in their previous game.  Lay it.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Xavier.  The Musketeers are undefeated after winning back to back upsets over crosstown rival Cincinnati, 77-69, and the Oklahoma Sooners, 99-77.  Unfortunately, undefeated teams have covered just 36.6% since 1990 as a single-digit home favorite off an upset win by more than 10 points.  Even worse, .850 (or better) teams, not favored by more than 13 points, have covered just 34.8% since 1990 at home off back to back upset wins.  Marquette has won and covered the last four games in this series, and plays this afternoon's game off an upset loss at home to Seton Hall.  And Marquette's a solid 43-27 ATS on the conference road off a SU loss when Marquette wasn't favored by more than 5 points.  Take Marquette + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers minus the points over Marist.  In their last game, the Jaspers upset Rider, 87-77, as a 1-point home underdog.  Off that win, we'll play on Manhattan this afternoon, as home teams, off double-digit upset home conference wins, have cashed 58% of conference games since 1990 (212-155 ATS) when not favored by more than 3 points.  That bodes well for the Jaspers today.  As does the fact that it's cashed 64.7% over the last 31 years at home off an upset win, if it was favored against a conference foe.  Finally, the Red Foxes have covered just 14 of 41 games off a SU win.  Lay the small number with the homestanding Jaspers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats + the points over Rhode Island.  The Rams come into this game off back to back road losses at Wisconsin and at Western Kentucky (though they covered each in defeat to extend their ATS win streak to 4 games).  Meanwhile, Davidson was upset, 63-52, as a 10.5-point home favorite in its last game.  But off that upset loss, we'll back the Wildcats in this underdog role tonight, as teams off double-digit losses, as double-digit favorites have covered 64% since 1990 vs. foes off back to back defeats.  Additionally, Bob McKillop's men are 24-11-1 ATS off a SU loss when not getting more than 3 points in a conference game.  And they're 21-10-1 ATS in competitively-priced conference games with a point spread of 3 points or less.  Meanwhile, the Rams are a poor 5-9 ATS as a home favorite vs. conference foes off upset losses.  And Rhode Island also falls into a negative 13-45 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off 4+ ATS wins.  Take Davidson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Dixie State.  These two Beehive State schools are located less than an hour apart from each other, and should begin to play with more regularity now that Dixie State has made the jump to Division 1 this season.  Both teams have gotten off to good starts this season.  Dixie is 3-0 SU and 2-0 ATS.  The Trailblazers pulled off an upset win in their last game, as they won, 73-70, at Denver, as a 2-point underdog.  But that upset victory has triggered a negative 39% ATS system of mine which goes against certain .818 (or better) teams off upset wins, if they're on the road vs. opponents also off a win.  Like Dixie State, the Thunderbirds have yet to lose against the spread this season, as they're 4-0 ATS.  And they've also cashed 62% at home vs. foes off upset wins.  Even better:  .720 (or better) Big Sky conference teams have cashed 67% of non-conference games (and 71% of games vs. foes off a SU win).  Lay the points with Southern Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Notre Dame.  In their last game, the Irish upset Kentucky, 64-63, as a 7.5-point road underdog.  Can Mike Brey's men make it two-in-a-row?  It's not likely, as Mike Krzyzewski's men fall into one of their best situations tonight.  The Blue Devils come into this game on an 0-4 ATS run, including an 83-68 blowout upset loss at the hands of Illinois eight days ago.  But the Dukies are a spectacular 26-8-1 ATS in the regular season when they were on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including 18-3 ATS as a favorite vs. ACC schools.  The Blue Devils are also 6-0 SU/ATS vs. the Irish since 2017, and 18-5 ATS off a double-digit upset defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Texas San Antonio.  Wayne Tinkle's Beavers have gotten off to a rough start this season, as they've lost their last three games -- all of the upset variety.  That streak should end this afternoon, as home favorites of more than 6 points -- off exactly 3 losses -- have covered 65% since 2000 if they were favored in each of those three defeats.  Even better:  Texas San Antonio has covered just 10 of its last 33 away from home when installed as an underdog.  Take Oregon State to blow out the Roadrunners.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Charlotte.  In this Mecklenburg County battle, we'll side with the homestanding Wildcats against the 49ers.  Even though Davidson's just 20 miles from Charlotte, this still counts as a road game for the 49ers.  And it will be Charlotte's first road game of the season.  Unfortunately, the road has not been kind to Charlotte, as it has gone 13-45 SU and 18-39 ATS since January 2016.  But that's not the worst part.  When the 49ers have been installed as a dog of more than 8 points, they've gone 1-19 SU and 2-18 ATS on the road!  Lay the double-digits with Davidson.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Minnesota.  The Golden Gophers are unbeaten, at 6-0, as they enter Big 10 Conference play.  But the Gophers were double-digit favorites in five of those six games, so the reality is that they're really not been tested.  Here, they're installed as a mid-sized road underdog against a 4-2 Illinois team ranked #13 in the country.  Over the last 20 years, teams that were undefeated in their non-conference games prior to starting conference play have covered just 41% as underdogs of more than 5 points in their first conference game.  Even worse for Richard Pitino's troops:  they're a dreadful 12-34 ATS their last 46 Big 10 conference road games when installed as a single-digit underdog (or PK).  And they're 16-36 ATS their last 52 vs. Illinois (including 0-11 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points).  Take the Illini minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Houston Baptist.  The Owls were upset here, at home, 72-61, on Sunday by New Mexico.  But off that double-digit upset defeat, the Owls now fall into several of my better bounce-back systems, including one with a 58-21 ATS record.  It's true that these two teams met a week-and-a-half ago -- a game which Rice won by 22, 86-64, as a 9.5-point favorite.  And it's also true that I will often take teams to avenge such blowout losses.  But it's hard to make a case for the Huskies this afternoon.  After all, they've lost their three road games this season by 24, 23, and 25 points.  And the fact that they come into this game off a SU win, while Rice checks in off an upset loss is enough for me to ignore the revenge angle.  Finally, the Owls have cashed 63% as a home favorite of -7 (or more) points off an upset home loss.  Lay the points with Rice.

At 7 pm, on the CBS Sports Network, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials minus the points over William & Mary.  GW comes into this game off back to back upset losses at UMBC and at Delaware, while William & Mary also comes into tonight's game off a loss at Old Dominion.  We'll lay the points with the Colonials, as home teams have cashed 62.3% since 1990 in non-conference games after being upset in two straight games.  And George Washington is a super 32-16 ATS off a loss when priced from -6.5 to -16.5 points, if their opponent is also off a defeat.  Take George Washington minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over New Mexico.  Rice is off to a perfect 4-0 start this season, and is 2-0 ATS in their two lined games.  Meanwhile, this will be the Lobos first game of the season, as COVID has greatly impacted their program.  Even worse, the state of New Mexico has issued an order which prohibits the team from practicing or playing games within the state.  So, UNM has created a "home away from home" in West Texas, and has been scrimmaging non-division I opponents like South Plains College and Lubbock Christian University.  Whether such scrimmages will have prepared the Lobos for their first Division I game of the season this afternoon remains to be seen, but we will bet against it.  One reason is that the Lobos have been dreadful on the road over the last few seasons, even without the COVID-related distractions.  Dating back to 2015, New Mexico is 26-60 SU away from home, and 31-52 ATS, including 16-40 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  And Rice is 27-15 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. non-conference foes.  Take Rice minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on North Carolina-Greensboro minus the points over Norfolk State.  In its last game, NC Greensboro was upset, 85-80, by Coppin St, as a 21.5-point road favorite!  That was the biggest upset loss sustained on an opponent's home court in the last 31 seasons.  And that was also the 3rd straight loss (both SU and ATS) suffered by NC Greensboro.  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as this is a great bounce-back spot vs. Norfolk St., which won and covered last Monday vs. Hampton.  For technical support, consider that home teams have covered 64% since 1990 off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite away from home when matched up against a non-conference opponent off a straight-up win.  Take NC Greensboro.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags + the points over Iona.  These two teams played last night, and the result was not pretty for the Stags, as they shot just 27% for the game, and were annihilated 70-42.  Last night, Fairfield was a 4-point home underdog; tonight, the line has been adjusted upwards by a few points to better reflect last night's score.  For some, it won't be enough of an adjustment, but for me it is, as I believe Fairfield will play a much better ballgame tonight.  For technical support, the Stags fall into a 90% 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off 20-point (or worse) losses.  And they also fall into a 63.5% revenge system of mine which plays on certain underdogs of +3 (or more) points that suffered a bad loss to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take the Stags + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  The Panthers are off to a solid 3-1 start after coming back from an early 10-point deficit to upset Northwestern, 71-70, in Evanston, on Wednesday.  The Panthers showed a lot of moxie and competitive spirit on the road, as they trailed for all but the last 5.6 seconds of the game, before Justin Champagnie's game-winning dunk gave them the final margin of victory.  The key for Pitt was its tough defense, as it held the explosive Wildcats to more than 31 points below their scoring average.  And they're getting terrific offensive production across the board, as they're the only ACC school with three players ranked among the ACC's Top 10 in scoring.  Those players are Au'Diese Toney (18.3 ppg), Xavier Johnson (18.0) and Champagnie (18.3).  And Champagnie is also the only ACC player who is averaging a double-double, as he has pulled down 11 rebounds a game to lead the entire conference.  This afternoon, Jeff Capel's men will welcome the Bulldogs to the Steel City, and the Bulldogs played two ACC member schools last season, and lost by 16 (N. Carolina) and 27 (Virginia Tech) points.  We'll lay the points with Pitt, as I believe the momentum gathered from Wednesday's game will carry the Panthers forward at home today against an overmatched Big South conference school.  Take Pitt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over the Milwaukee Panthers.  In its last game, Kansas State was stunned by Division II member Fort Hays State, 81-68.  And, to make the loss even more ignominious, the Tigers were 0-3 this season prior to the win, and became the first Division 11 team to defeat a major conference opponent on the road in 20 years!  The last team to pull off such a feat was Texas A&M Corpus Christi, when it bested Texas Tech, 86-80, on Dec. 18, 2000.  Of course, after that embarrassing loss, the Red Raiders bounced back to win their next game, and they also covered the point spread in their next four subsequent lined games.  I expect Kansas State to also bounce back tonight.  They'll have the distinct advantage of playing a Panthers squad which hasn't taken the court yet this season.  And Milwaukee ended last season on an 0-7 ATS run, and is 6-19-1 ATS its last 26.  Meanwhile, K-State is 9-5 ATS its last 14 at home off a home loss.  Lay the points with the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Gardner Webb.  The Runnin' Bulldogs are playing their first game of the 2020 season tonight, and will travel to Bowling Green, KY to take on the Hilltoppers, who are 3-2 SU but 2-3 ATS after dropping their 3rd straight game to the spread on Saturday (96-69, as a 42.5-point favorite).  The Bulldogs return just two starters from last season, so they'll be at a disadvantage tonight vs. a Hilltoppers squad which returned all five starters, and will be playing its sixth game of the season.  So, we'll play on Western Kentucky to get the $$$ tonight, as they're 28-1 SU and 20-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite following a game where they failed to cover by 6+ points.  Meanwhile, Gardner-Webb is a horrible 0-7 ATS as an underdog of more than 12 points in the regular season vs. a foe off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Hilltoppers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over San Diego.  The Toreros have had a late start to this 2020 campaign, as their early games -- in the Husky Classic -- were cancelled due to the coronavirus.  That will place San Diego at a disadvantage tonight, given this will be UCLA's 5th game of the season.  Even worse for Sam Scholl's troops:  they return just two starters, while UCLA returned all five starters.  The Bruins had a rough start to the season, as they lost, 73-58, at San Diego St. in their first game.  And then they needed triple overtime to get by Pepperdine in Game #2.  But they've gelled over their last two games -- 20+ point blowout wins over Seattle and California.  I look for UCLA to make it three BLOWOUTS in a row on this Wednesday, as Pac-12 teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have cashed 69% vs. West Coast Conference foes.  Lay the points with the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights minus the points over Central Connecticut.  These two teams played yesterday here, and the Blue Devils upset the Knights, 94-87, as a 9-point road underdog.  That was the Northeast Conference opener for both teams, and we'll take the homestanding Knights in the rematch this afternoon.  Dating back to 1990, home favorites have covered 56% off an upset home loss, if they were playing an opponent off an upset road win.  And the Knights also fall into a 146-95 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Syracuse.  To say that Rutgers has revenge would be an understatement.  After all, Syracuse has won the last 13 meetings (dating back to when both teams were Big East schools).  The good news for Rutgers -- at least for tonight's game -- is that teams have cashed 60.9% in non-conference games over the past 31 years if they had lost the last 7 games in the series, and were not getting 6+ points in the current game.  Take Rutgers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.