Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Minnesota. These two teams also played here, in Oklahoma, 16 days ago, and the Thunder were upset, 114-112. We'll take the Thunder in this revenge situation on Tuesday, as the Thunder are 61.4% ATS since 1990 against losing teams, when OKC is playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and not favored by more than 9 points. Even better: the Thunder lost, 116-98, here vs. the Wizards on Sunday. But .625 (or better) teams have cashed 61% since 1990 at home off a home loss in which they failed to cover the point spread by 25+ points. Take OKC. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-07-19 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 95-114 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over New Orleans. The Grizzlies' promising start to the season is nothing but a memory at this point. Memphis started 12-5 SU and ATS. But it has gone 6-16 SU and 5-17 ATS since. It is currently riding a 5-game losing streak (and 6-game ATS losing streak). I look for the Grizzlies, though, to snap their point spread slide tonight. They're on the road at division rival, New Orleans, which is coming off a 35-point blowout of Cleveland. And since 1990, road underdogs of more than 4 points have cashed 60% vs. division rivals off a straight-up win. Even better: Memphis is 10-4 SU/ATS vs. New Orleans since April 2015. And New Orleans is an awful 9-31-1 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) win. Take Memphis. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-19 | Pacers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 105-121 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + over Toronto. The Pacers had last night off, while Toronto was in Milwaukee to play the Bucks. Toronto won that game, but now has to take on a revenge-minded Pacers team, which Toronto defeated by 3 points earlier this season. And Indiana also comes into this game on a red-hot roll, with six wins in a row. The Pacers are a fantastic 216-154, 58.4% ATS when rested and playing with revenge against an opponent off a win, and we'll back Indiana this evening. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-19 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over George Mason. The Patriots kicked off their Atlantic 10 campaign with an upset win over St. Joseph's, 85-60 to move their record to 7-7 this season. They'll try to make it two Conference wins in a row this afternoon. But the Patriots are a horrid 2-16-2 ATS at home in Conference games, including 0-11-2 ATS as a favorite, if they entered off an upset win in their previous game. That certainly doesn't bode well for George Mason today. Nor does the fact that two of my better systems -- with records of 402-247 and 299-187 ATS -- both go against the Patriots today. Finally, .500 (or worse) Atlantic 10 Conference teams have covered just 56 of 139 Conference home games off an upset win. Take the points with St. Bonaventure. Perfect 10 Club play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-19 | Warriors -7.5 v. Kings | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento. The Warriors were up BIG over the Houston Rockets at the half of Thursday's game, but fell apart in the 2nd half, and lost at the buzzer, 135-134. Golden State is now in the 3rd seed in the Western Conference -- just 2 games ahead of Houston. And the Warriors are only 2.5 games in front of the Clippers for the division lead. I love Golden State to rebound off that loss in this Pacific division game in Sacramento, as the Warriors are an awesome 45-19 ATS off a loss, if matched up against a division rival. It's true that Sacramento is much-improved this season. The Kings are 19-19 straight-up, and 21-16-1 ATS. But the Kings are doing a lot better vs. teams that don't score a lot of points, compared to the ones that do. Indeed, this season, Sacramento is 14-6 straight-up and 15-5 ATS vs. foes that average less than 110 points per game. Against the better offenses that score 110+ points per game, Sacramento is 5-13 straight-up, and 6-11-1 ATS. Golden State, of course, has one of the league's best offenses, and scores 116.2 ppg. Similarly, the Warriors are excelling against the league's lesser defenses and/or faster-paced teams that give up 110+ points. Golden State is a solid 11-8 ATS vs. those teams, but an awful 5-15 ATS vs. foes that don't surrender 110 points per game. Take the Warriors to blow out the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-19 | Southern Utah +13.5 v. Weber State | Top | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds + the points over Weber State. It's true that the Thunderbirds come into this game off four double-digit losses by 42, 30, 13, and 20 points. But this string of defeats have triggered two of my best systems, with records of 398-214 and 495-281 ATS since 1990. Moreover, the Wildcats have not performed well as a favorite, as they've covered just 21 of 54 games. Take Southern Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-19 | Elon +8 v. Delaware | Top | 65-77 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over the Delaware Blue Hens. Delaware comes into this game off back to back upset wins over Northeastern and William and Mary. The Hens have actually done quite well this season as an underdog, as they're 7-2-1 ATS. But, tonight, Delaware is a big favorite, and it is a relatively poor 1-3 ATS as a favorite this season, including two outright losses as an 11-point favorite (vs. Navy) and as a 21.5-point favorite (vs. Delaware St.). Delaware is a money-burning 13-23 ATS at home off back to back wins, and it is just 35% ATS since 2007 as a favorite off an upset win. Finally, Elon falls into 401-246 and 330-196 ATS systems of mine. Take Elon + the points. NCAA Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Colorado. The Sun Devils pulled off a big upset when they defeated then-No. 1-ranked Kansas, 80-76, two weeks ago. Somewhat predictably, the Sun Devils had a letdown and proceeded to get upset in each of their next two games -- vs. Princeton and Utah. But off those two upset losses, I look for Arizona State to right its ship this evening. Since Jan. 17, 2015, the Sun Devils are an awesome 9-0 SU/ATS at home off back to back losses. And they're 40-19 ATS at home off back to back losses since 2001. Meanwhile, the Buffaloes are a horrid 11-28 ATS their last 39 road games when installed as an underdog. Take Arizona State. Pac 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-19 | Kansas v. Iowa State -1 | Top | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Kansas. The Jayhawks have lost just once this season, but find themselves as an underdog at 11-2 Iowa State. We'll go against Kansas, as Big 12 Conference underdogs that have a better record than Iowa State have covered just 27% away from home vs. the Cyclones. Take Iowa State. |
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01-05-19 | Northeastern +7 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra. The Huskies were shocked, 82-80, as a 12-point home favorite last Sunday, while Hofstra won its ninth straight game (and covered its fifth in a row) with a 14-point blowout win over Drexel. But I look for the Huskies to bounce back on this Saturday afternoon, as NCAA teams off an upset loss as a 12-point (or bigger) favorite, have covered 62% over the past 29 years vs. teams with a winning SU/ATS record that were off back to back SU/ATS wins. And in this series, the underdogs has gone 13-1-1 ATS since February 23, 2010 if it was getting more than 2 points. Take Northeastern. Colonial Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-19 | Northern Kentucky -3.5 v. Detroit | Top | 95-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit. The Norse were upset on the road by the Oakland Grizzlies on Thursday, while Detroit won its 3rd straight game (and covered its fifth straight) with a 21-point blowout of Wright State. I look for Northern Kentucky to rebound off its upset defeat, as road favorites are 100%, 10-0 ATS, since 2008 off an upset road loss, if they're playing a conference foe off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Norse. |
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01-05-19 | Creighton v. Butler -4.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Creighton. Butler comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Florida (we had a big play against Butler in that game) and Georgetown, in which it was a 9.5-point home favorite. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are in off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. UMKC and an upset win at Providence. However, with Butler off an upset home defeat, and Creighton off an upset road win, we will fade the Blue Jays as a road underdog today. For technical support, consider that in conference games between winning teams, it's been extremely profitable (65.7% ATS) over the last 29 years to play on home favorites off an upset home conference loss, if their opponent was off an upset road conference win. Throw in the fact that Butler is 17-5 ATS at home off an upset loss to a conference foe, while Creighton is 2-12 ATS its last 14 as a road underdog, and we have all the ammunition to pull the trigger on the Bulldogs this afternoon. Lay the points. High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-04-19 | Ball State +6.5 v. Toledo | Top | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Toledo. The Cards have won and covered each of their last three games, including a 59-point blowout of Delaware State on Saturday (and 27 and 16-point wins prior to that). We'll grab the points with Ball State in this Mid-American Conference opener, as teams off back to back 25-point wins are 97-69 ATS vs. conference foes, if our team wasn't favored by 3+ points. And the Cardinals, since 2011, are also 9-0 ATS off a win by 12+ points, if they're getting more than 2 points. Take Ball State. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -8.5 | Top | 135-134 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston. The problem for Golden State in the regular season the last few years is that it (justifiably) cannot get motivated. It understands that all that matters is the post-season, which is why it had just the 3rd best record in the league last season (and a full 7 games worse than this Houston team). This season, it's much of the same, as Golden State is 25-13 straight-up and a poor 16-22 ATS. Thus, as a professional gambler, I try to pick my spots to invest in Golden State, as the team often goes through the motions and doesn't put forth its best effort. They may not come through tonight but, at the very least, one can rest assured that the effort will be there. And that's because they're playing James Harden & the Houston Rockets, who stretched the Warriors to seven games in the de facto NBA Championship last season. And the Warriors are also playing with revenge from a 21-point blowout loss at Houston on November 15, which ranks as the worst road defeat suffered by the Warriors this season. Tonight, though, Golden State is at home. And the Warriors are a super 39-8 straight-up and 29-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a road defeat, including 23-7 ATS when not favored by double-digits. And Golden State is 8-1, 89% ATS vs. Houston when playing with revenge from a loss to Houston earlier in the season. Take the Warriors to blow out Houston tonight. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-03-19 | Monmouth v. Iona -5.5 | Top | 84-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over the Monmouth Hawks. After starting the season with 12 straight losses, the Hawks finally broke into the win column on Saturday with an upset win, as a 14-point underdog, vs. Pennsylvania. Now, Monmouth gets to take on an Iona team looking to snap its own 7-game losing streak. Unfortunately for Monmouth, over the past 15 seasons, losing teams, off an upset road win as a 13-point (or bigger) underdog, have covered just 15.4% on the road vs. foes off back to back losses. Lay the points with Iona. NCAA HOOPS ROADKILL WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-19 | Colorado State v. UNLV -8.5 | Top | 76-78 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Colorado State. The Rebels were blown out by 25 points, 97-72, by Bucknell in their previous game, even though UNLV was favored to win. That game was in Honolulu, in the Diamond Head Classic, on Christmas Day. And UNLV was 0-2, overall, in that Holiday Tournament. But UNLV is back home tonight, and I expect it to bounce back strong in front of its home faithful. Indeed, over the past 14 years, NCAA home teams off 25-point (or worse) upset losses away from home have covered 69% of the time (and 74% if they also lost two games back). And the Rebels are 8-0 ATS the past four seasons at home off a non-conference loss. Take UNLV. NCAA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-19 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -8 | Top | 63-70 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oklahoma. The Sooners haven't won at Allen Fieldhouse in over 25 years, as they've lost the last 17 meetings. Of course, Kansas doesn't lose at home to any team very often, as it's 241-13 at home since Bill Self took over as head coach in 2003. Kansas did lose for the first time this season, on the road two games ago, when it fell, 80-76, at Arizona State. But it bounced back with a 24-point win (and cover) over Eastern Michigan on Saturday. I look for Kansas to blow out Oklahoma, as it's 64-1 straight-up and 44-18-3 ATS at home if it wasn't off back to back wins, including 26-6 ATS if it was favored by 15 points or less. And Oklahoma is a horrid 32-65-2 ATS away from home vs. Big 12 Conference opponents, when not getting double-digits, including 0-9 ATS its last nine. Take Kansas. Big 12 Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-19 | CS-Northridge v. San Diego State -15.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Cal State Northridge. The Aztecs threw in a clunker of a game on Saturday, as they were bombed, 82-61, at home by Brown, even though SDSU was favored by 11. But don't be surprised if Brian Dutcher's men bounce back in a big way on Tuesday in their last non-conference game before the start of the Mountain West season. Indeed, over the last 29 years, teams off double-digit losses as double-digit favorites have rebounded to cover the point spread 62% of the time in their next game, if they were matched up against a non-conference foe. Take San Diego State. NCAA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-18 | Mavs v. Thunder -8 | Top | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas. These two teams met last night in the Lone Star State, and the Mavericks upset OKC, 105-103, as 2.5-point underdogs. We'll lay the points with Billy Donovan's crew in this rematch, as the Thunder are 71-53 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss. And they've cashed 72% since 2010 when laying 6+ points in the regular season against a team off a SU/ATS win, if OKC lost earlier in the season to that opponent. Finally, the Thunder fall into 76-38 and 132-81 ATS revenge systems of mine. Take OKC. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-18 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington -2.5 | Top | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, on Monday afternoon, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles minus the points over Idaho State. The Bengals upset their rival, Idaho, 72-55, on Saturday, and I look for a letdown today, as they're a poor 20-35 ATS off an upset win. Additionally, this game is cut from a similar cloth to a play we had on Sunday. Yesterday, we played on Middle Tennessee State, which started the season with 10 straight ATS defeats, and I wrote how that was tied for the 2nd-worst ATS start of any team over the past 29 years. Well, the Eagles have also been just as historically awful in their start to the 2018 campaign, as they're 0-10-1 ATS in their 11 lined games, thus far! But the Eagles' lack of point spread success has provided us with decent line value tonight, and we'll lay the points with them in this Big Sky Conference game vs. Idaho State, as I have a terrific 80-41 ATS system on the Eagles in this contest. Moreover, Eastern Washington has won the last three meetings in this series, and six of the last seven. And it's 26-13 ATS off a home loss to a conference foe, and 20-12 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset wins. Take the Eagles minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-18 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the Sacramento Kings. The Lakers were in control of Thursday's game vs. Sacramento, as they led by 15 with under 7 minutes to play. But Bogdan Bogdanovic's 3-pointer at the buzzer earned the Kings the 117-116 victory. That was L.A.'s second straight loss, and both were to division rivals (they lost, 118-107, to the Clippers two games back). We'll play on the Lakers in the rematch, as L.A. is 67.8% ATS at home over the past 29 years when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season to a division rival, if priced from +2.5 to -6 points. And L.A. is also 18-4 ATS at home off back to back losses to division rivals, including 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points. Take Los Angeles. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-18 | Middle Tennessee +15 v. Rhode Island | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Rhode Island. Admittedly, the Blue Raiders have been as bad as a team could be to start the season. They've yet to cover the point spread in any of their 10 lined games, which ranks as the second-worst ATS start (tied with four other schools) of any team to a season in the last 29 years (the worse was in 2007-08 when Austin Peay started with 13 straight ATS losses). But we'll grab the points with Middle Tennessee today, as College Basketball road underdogs (or PK) off back to back SU/ATS losses, and on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, have cashed 58% ATS since 1990 vs. foes that weren't off back to back SU/ATS losses. And Rhode Island has won just eight of 26 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Blue Raiders. NCAA Road Warrior Winner! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-30-18 | Pistons +2 v. Magic | Top | 107-109 | Push | 0 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Orlando. The Magic upset Toronto in their last game. But off that upset win, we'll look for a letdown and fade Orlando, and take the points with Detroit, which was bombed, 125-88, by Indiana on Friday. Indeed, NBA road teams off a SU/ATS loss are 138-95 ATS in the regular season vs. .499 (or worse) foes off an upset win, if our road team isn't getting more than 6 points, including 45-26 ATS if our road team lost by 15 or more in its previous game. Take Detroit. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-18 | Portland v. CS-Fullerton -9 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fullerton State Titans minus the points over Portland. The Pilots come into this game off a 54-39 blowout of Florida A&M. But that game was at home. On the road this season, the Pilots haven't had much success, as they're 1-3 SU/ATS thus far. Even worse: Portland's covered just three of 20 road games as underdogs of six (or more) points, if they won their previous game by eight (or more) points. Tonight, the Titans will be looking to snap a 4-game SU/ATS slide. And since 1990, they've cashed 70.3% as favorites off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Fullerton minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +3 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Kentucky. The Wildcats come into this Bluegrass State rivalry game off a huge upset win over then-No. 9-ranked North Carolina. Kentucky was a 2.5-point home underdog in that contest, and upset the Tar Heels, 80-72. Louisville, meanwhile, enters off back to back wins, though it failed to cover the 23-point spread in its last game, a 14-point home win over Robert Morris. I look for Kentucky to have a letdown off its upset win this afternoon, as .818 (or better) road teams off upset wins have covered just 81 of 211 games vs. .500 (or better) home teams off back to back wins, including 0-10 ATS if our home team failed to cover the spread by more than 6 points in its previous game. Take Louisville. |
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12-29-18 | Butler v. Florida -4 | Top | 43-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Butler. The Gators and Bulldogs met in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament in the Bahamas over the Thanksgiving holiday, and Butler won, 61-54, in that tourney game. We'll take Florida in the re-match, as this will just be Butler's 2nd true road game of the season. And the Bulldogs were blown out in their first road game, 64-52, as a 3.5-point favorite at St. Louis. Over the last two seasons, Butler's an awful 2-9 ATS on the road, including 0-8 ATS against .636 (or better) clubs. Take Florida. |
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12-28-18 | Austin Peay v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Austin Peay. The Governors come into this game, in Fayetteville, off six straight wins, and three straight covers, while Arkansas has dropped its last four games to the point spread. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on red-hot Austin Peay and against the ice-cold Razorbacks. But consider that SEC Conference home teams, off four (or more) ATS defeats, have covered 71% over the last 29 seasons vs. foes off ATS wins in their last three games. Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into an 83-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off a point spread defeat. Take Arkansas to blow out Austin Peay. NCAA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-18 | 76ers +5 v. Jazz | Top | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Utah. The 76ers lost a heartbreaker, in overtime, on Christmas day, at Boston. But I love them to bounce back in this underdog role, on Thursday. Over the last 3 seasons, Philadelphia is 41-16-2 ATS off a road defeat, including 30-9-2 ATS as an underdog (and 12-1 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +6 points). Meanwhile, Utah is a poor 5-12 ATS off a win over a division rival, including 0-5 ATS vs. .585 (or better) foes. Take the 76ers + the points. NBA Underdog Shocker! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-18 | Pelicans +3 v. Mavs | Top | 119-122 | Push | 0 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Dallas Mavericks. Through their first 32 games, the Mavericks are 13-3 (.812) at home, and 2-14 (.125) on the road. Their .687 win percentage differential between home and road is the largest such differential since 1990 for any team through its first 31+ games. However, this differential has caused this point spread tonight to be a bit inflated, by my numbers. Dallas has lost its last six games straight-up, and is also 0-2 ATS its last two home games. The Pelicans won the previous meeting this season by 26 points, and that game ranked as the Pelicans' best win of the season, and Dallas' worst defeat. New Orleans also won the last two meetings last season by 10 and 17 points. Let's take the better team in an underdog role this evening. Take New Orleans + the points. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-18 | Cavs +10.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 87-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies nsapped a 5-game slide with an upset win over the Lakers on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers come into tonight's game off three straight double-digit defeats. And they've been installed as a double-digit road underdog. We'll grab the points with Cleveland, as rested double-digit dogs off 3 straight double-digit losses have covered 68.1% since 1990 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Take Cleveland tonight. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-18 | Indiana State +12 v. TCU | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores + the points over TCU. The Sycamores and Horned Frogs met just nine days ago in Fort Worth, and the Frogs blew out Indiana State, 90-70. Let's grab the points with Indiana State in this rematch, as the Sycamores are a terrific 37-19-1 ATS away from home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 19-6 ATS if they lost that previous meeting by more than 10 points. Take the Sycamores. NCAA Non-Conference Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-18 | Thunder +1 v. Rockets | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over Houston. Chris Paul is out with an injury, and the Rockets have not stepped up with him on the sidelines this season. Paul has missed six games, and the Rockets are a miserable 1-5 SU/ATS without him on the court. And Houston was favored in four of those six games. That doesn't bode well for Houston this afternoon. And neither does the fact that OKC was upset at home by Minnesota in its previous game, as OKC is a super 68-34-1 ATS on the road in the regular season off an upset defeat at home. Take the Thunder. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-18 | Colorado -14 v. Charlotte | Top | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Charlotte. The Buffaloes come into this game off back to back upset losses to Indiana State and Hawaii and three straight point spread losses, overall. But Colorado is 22-8-2 off an upset defeat, and 56-31-2 ATS off back to back losses. And the Buffaloes are 17-4 ATS after losing ATS in each of their three previous games, including 13-1 ATS if they also lost their two previous games straight-up. Lay the points with Tad Boyle's men. NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-18 | Clippers v. Warriors -10.5 | Top | 127-129 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the LA Clippers. Since Steve Kerr took over as head coach in 2014, the Warriors have been the league's dominant team. And that means they don't lose very often. This season, Golden State is having another great campaign, and it is 22-11 through its first 33 games. One of its 11 defeats, though, came vs. tonight's opponent, the Los Angeles Clippers. However, that game was back in November when Steph Curry was sidelined with an injury. He's back on the court now, and that should spell t-r-o-u-b-l-e for the Clippers. Indeed, the Warriors are a poor 43-65 without Curry in the lineup, but are one of the historically-best teams with him on the floor. Golden State is a powerful 72% ATS when playing with revenge, and favored by 10 or less points in the regular season under coach Kerr. Take the Warriors to blow out the Clippers tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-18 | Drake v. San Diego -5 | Top | 110-103 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros minus the points over Drake. This game is the Championship game of the Las Vegas Classic tonight, and matches up two teams playing very good basketball. The Toreros are 10-3 straight-up, and check into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Northern Colorado and Washington State. Meanwhile, Drake is 9-2 SU and 9-1 ATS, including point spread wins in each of its last nine games. Unfortunately, though, for the Bulldogs, NCAA basketball teams struggle mightily away from home as underdogs of +4 or more points, after covering the point spread in 8 (or more) straight games, as they've cashed just 34.4% of the time since 1990. Take San Diego minus the points. NCAA Hoops XMAS Holiday Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-18 | Hornets v. Celtics -7 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Charlotte. After winning and covering eight straight games, the Celtics have now lost their last three -- both SU and ATS. And they had their worst home defensive performance of the season in their last game, as they allowed Milwaukee to shoot 51.2% from the floor, and score 120 points. Since 1990, the Celtics have cashed 69.7% at home when favored by 3+ points, if they lost SU/ATS at home in their previous game, and their opponent was off a win. Take Boston minus the points. |
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12-23-18 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Kings | Top | 117-122 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Sacramento. These two teams met earlier this year, and the Pels won by 20 points, 149-129. That 149-point total has been the most points scored by a team this season (equaled by the Warriors and Wizards). And the 278 points ranks as the highest-scoring non-overtime game this season. The Pelicans come into this game off 3 straight defeats, including a 112-104 setback against the Lakers on Friday. Meanwhile, Sacramento enters off a SU/ATS win over the Memphis Grizzlies. I love New Orleans to once again blow out Sacramento this evening, as the Kings are an awful 11-32 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win, if they are playing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Pelicans minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-18 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 101-126 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Toronto. These two teams have met twice already this season, and the Raptors came away with wins in both games. Toronto won 129-112 on October 30, and then defeated Philly 113-102 on December 5. But BOTH of those games were played in Toronto. This will be the first meeting between these two Atlantic Division rivals in Philadelphia. And the 76ers have been dominant at home. Indeed, since January 1, the Sixers are 41-7 straight-up, and 32-16 ATS at home. Philadelphia will play this game with much more rest than Toronto, which had to play last night vs. Cleveland. And double-revenging NBA home teams, that lost the season's first two meetings on the road, have cashed 69% over the last 25+ years if they were playing with at least two days' of rest, while their opponent was unrested. Take Philadelphia to blow out Toronto. NBA Division Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-18 | Texas State v. Arkansas -10.5 | Top | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Texas State. The Razorbacks were upset here, at home, by Georgia Tech, on Wednesday. We'll take Arkansas to bounce back this afternoon, as it's 9-0 ATS at home off a loss as a favorite (or PK) in its previous game, if it's now playing a non-conference opponent. And the Razorbacks also fall into 60-19 and 83-49 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off upset defeats. Lay the points with Mike Anderson's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-18 | Arkansas State v. Syracuse -20 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Arkansas State. The Orange come into this home game vs. the Red Wolves off back to back upset home losses to Old Dominion and Buffalo. But I love Syracuse to rebound this afternoon, as it's cashed 100% (10-0 ATS) since 1990 as a favorite of -2.5 (or more) points off back to back upset losses. And ACC Conference favorites of -20 or more points are 39-19 ATS vs. non-conference foes, if our ACC team is off a loss. Take the Orange |
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12-22-18 | CS-Fullerton +19 v. Nebraska | Top | 62-86 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fullerton State Titans + the points over Nebraska. The Titans have dropped their last five games to the point spread, and have lost their last three games, straight-up. Meanwhile, Nebraska has won and covered its last two games. Since 1990, though, road teams have cashed 59% off 3+ losses and 5+ ATS losses, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, Fullerton falls into 141-56 and 74-37 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine based on their recent losing streak. Take the Titans + the points. |
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12-21-18 | Southern Utah v. USC -11.5 | Top | 49-91 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Southern Utah. Andy Enfield's Trojans were stunned, 102-92, here at home this past Tuesday by Santa Clara. However, Enfield's teams have cashed 69% in his career off an upset loss. And the Trojans might catch a break tonight, as the Thunderbird's second leading scorer -- Dwayne Morgan (13.0 ppg) -- is questionable to play due to pneumonia. Regardless, we'll lay the points with the Trojans, as they're 34-17 ATS when favored off an upset loss, including 14-2 ATS when priced at -8.5 or higher. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-18 | Oklahoma v. Northwestern -1 | Top | 76-69 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats over Oklahoma. Last year, the Sooners blew out the Wildcats by 26 points in Norman, OK. But tonight's game is in Chicago, and I love Northwestern to avenge last season's defeat. Indeed, Big 10 Conference teams are a perfect 16-0 ATS since 1995 when playing with revenge from a 13-point (or greater defeat) if they're off a 12-point (or greater) win in their previous game, and not getting more than a point in their current game. Take Northwestern. |
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12-21-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -4 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
AT 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Minnesota. This season, the Spurs are 7-0 SU/ATS when playing with same season revenge. Tonight, they'll be looking to avenge a 128-89 defeat to Minnesota. Lay the points with the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-18 | Furman v. LSU -8 | Top | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over the Furman Paladins. Furman has been the surprise of this young basketball season, as it's 12-0, and has been ranked among the Top 25 for the last three polls. And prior to this season, Furman had never before been ranked Nationally in its 106-year men's basketball history! But all good things must eventually come to an end. And I expect Furman's undefeated season will vanish tonight in Baton Rouge. Indeed, undefeated teams with a 9-0 (or better) record, priced from +5.5 to +10.5 points, have cashed just 11 of 41 games vs. opponents off a straight-up win. And over the last 22 years, SEC Conference teams have cashed 61.1% at home in non-conference games vs. undefeated foes (with a 3-0 or better record). Take LSU. Shockeer of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-18 | Ole Miss v. Middle Tennessee +13 | Top | 74-56 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + the points over Ole Miss. The Blue Raiders have gotten demolished in each of their last three games, with losses by 28, 22 and 22 points. I look for Middle Tenn to bounce back on Friday, as NCAA teams off three SU/ATS losses by 21+ points have cashed 61 of 98 since 1990. Take Middle Tennessee plus the points. |
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12-21-18 | Oakland +26 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-99 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Grizzlies + the points over Michigan State. Last season, the Grizz lost to their cross-state rival, 86-73, as an 18.5-point underdog. But I love Oakland to come within this large point spread tonight, as it is 22-11 its last 33 revenge games, including 13-3 ATS as an underdog. Take Oakland + the points. |
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12-21-18 | Cal-Irvine v. Butler -8.5 | Top | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Cal Irvine. Since 1990, the Bulldogs are a solid 39-20 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes when priced from -12 to +15 points. And the Bulldogs also fall into 133-54, 290-184 and 167-85 ATS systems of mine. Take Butler. |
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12-19-18 | Cavs v. Hornets -12 | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Cleveland. The Hornets come into this game off back to back SU/ATS Home losses, while Cleveland pulled off a huge upset last night when it went into Indiana and won outright as a 12.5-point underdog. Off that big win, and playing without rest, we'll fade the Cavaliers on the road tonight. A major factor for me in this game is the fact that Cleveland upset these Hornets, 113-89, as an 8.5-point underdog back on November 13. However, rested NBA teams (like Charlotte), off a home loss, are 61.3% ATS since 1990 when playing with revenge from a road upset defeat as a favorite of -6.5 (or more) points. Take the Hornets to blow out Cleveland. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-18 | Texas-Arlington v. Gonzaga -27 | Top | 55-89 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Arlington. The Mavericks have the unenviable task of playing the Bulldogs immediately after the Bulldogs lost back to back games to Tennessee and North Carolina. Certainly, Texas Arlington was never going to beat this Gonzaga team, even if the Bulldogs hadn't lost its last two games. But the fact that it did will surely add to Gonzaga's intensity tonight. Since 2009, the Zags have cashed 71% off back to back SU/ATS losses. Even better: big NCAA home favorites of -20+ points have cashed 70.8% off back to back SU/ATS losses the past nine years. Lay the points with the Bulldogs. College Hoops Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-18 | North Dakota State v. Montana -11.5 | Top | 53-60 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over North Dakota St. The Bison come into tonight's game off back to back wins (1-0-1 ATS) vs. Eastern Washington and Missouri State, while Montana checks in off a loss nine days ago vs. Cal Irvine. But Montana's loss was away from home, while North Dakota State's two wins were both at home. Indeed, North Dakota State is 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS on its home court this season. But away from home, it's a completely different story, as it's 1-7 straight-up and ATS. Even worse: the Bison are a horrid 0-20 ATS off back to back wins, when not laying 7+ points! Meanwhile, Montana's a perfect 3-0 straight-up at home this season. And it's 14-0 straight-up and 9-3-1 ATS (with one non-lined game) its last 14 at home. Finally, Montana falls into 50-18 and 59-25 ATS systems of mine, based on its play this season. Take the Grizzlies. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-18 | Kings v. Wolves -8 | Top | 105-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Sacramento. The T-wolves had won and covered six of seven to go over the .500 mark. But they've lost their last four games, including an upset loss at Phoenix on Saturday, to fall three games under .500. And one of those four defeats was to this Sacramento Kings club five days ago. Minnesota was favored by 3 points in that game, yet lost by 11, 141-130. The Kings did have to play last night in Dallas, and won outright as a 5-point underdog, so they'll be playing without rest, while Minnesota will be rested. This is a great situation for the T-Wolves, as they're off a huge upset loss, while Sacramento is off a big upset win. And NBA favorites of -6 or more points, off an upset loss, have covered 63% since 1991 vs. foes off an upset win, if our home favorite was also playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Lay the points with Minnesota. NBA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-18 | Cleveland State v. Illinois State -9 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Cleveland State. Illinois State is just 6-5, but has played a relatively tough schedule thus far. In their last three home games, they invited teams like BYU (a 92-89 upset win), San Diego State (75-65 loss) and Mississippi (81-74 loss) to Redbird Arena, and were underdogs in all three games. Sandwiched in between the SDSU and Ole Miss games was a road game at Illinois Chicago, which they also lost (as a 2-point underdog). So, yes, the Redbirds are on a 3-game losing streak, but they're also 4-4 in their last eight games, even though they were an underdog in ALL 7 GAMES that had a point spread on it (one game was against a Division II school, and non-lined). Thus, today will be the first time that Illinois State has been a favorite since it played Chicago State in its 3rd game of the season, and just its 3rd game of 12, overall. The Redbirds are 20-10 ATS off back to back point spread defeats, and they also fall into one of my favorite NCAA systems, which is 83-32 ATS since 1990, which plays on certain teams off 3+ ATS losses. Take Illinois State. NCAA Non-Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-18 | Celtics v. Pistons +2 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons over Boston. The Celtics have won eight straight, while Detroit has dropped six in a row. Yet Boston is favored by a scant margin in this game. This is a classic example of a sucker bet. Indeed, consider that NBA road teams on win streaks of 5+ games that are not favored by more than 5 points against an opponent on a 5-game (or worse) losing streak have gone just 2-17 ATS over the past 11 years (and just 31% ATS over the past 29 years). Take the points with Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee +14.5 v. Toledo | Top | 62-84 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Toledo. Nick McDevitt's first season as the Blue Raiders basketball coach hasn't gone as smoothly as he had hoped. The Blue Raiders are 3-7 straight-up, and 0-8 ATS following their 22-point loss at Murray St. last weekend. Tonight, they'll travel to Toledo, which is 9-1 SU and 5-4 ATS after its upset win at Marshall last Saturday. Overall, the Rockets have won and covered two straight. But Middle Tennessee is 59-35 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins, if that foe owns a winning point spread mark. And the Rockets are a money-burning 3-11 ATS at home off an upset win in their previous game. Finally, Middle Tennessee State falls into 492-279 and 395-213 ATS systems of mine that play on certain double-digit underdogs off a loss. Take the points with the Blue Raiders. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-18 | Bucks -10.5 v. Cavs | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland. These two teams met earlier this week, and Milwaukee routed Cleveland by 16 points in a game which it never trailed. Giannis Antetokounmpo didn't suit up for that game, but he'll be back on the court tonight. He also played this past Wednesday, but Milwaukee was blown out by Indiana, 113-97, in that game. I love the Bucks to bounce back tonight, as they're 6-2 ATS this season off a loss, while the Cavaliers are an awful 1-5 ATS this season off a win. The Cavs pulled an upset in their previous game, here, at home vs. the Knicks. Unfortunately, double-digit underdogs are a poor 13-39 ATS at home off an home upset win. Take Milwaukee. NBA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-18 | Raptors v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 113-93 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Toronto. In the Steve Kerr era, the Warriors have been terrific at home in the regular season when playing teams off wins, if their opponent had to play the night before, as they've cashed 73%. Even better: the Warriors lost in Toronto to the Raptors last month. But Golden State is 76.1% in the Kerr era when playing with revenge in the regular season vs. a foe off a straight-up win. Take Golden State to blow out Toronto. |
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12-12-18 | Wolves -2 v. Kings | Top | 130-141 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves minus the points over Sacramento. The Kings come into this game off a blowout win over Chicago, while Minny has lost its last two games. However, Minnesota was an underdog in each of those games (road tilts at Portland and Golden State), so those defeats weren't wholly unexpected. Tonight, Minnesota is favored. And the Kings are an awful 18-38 ATS at home when they won their previous game, and their foe is off a loss. Additionally, Minnesota falls into a super 71.05% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses. Take the T-Wolves. |
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12-12-18 | LSU +6.5 v. Houston | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers. Analysis to follow. |
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12-12-18 | Celtics v. Wizards +3.5 | Top | 130-125 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Boston. The Wizards return home tonight off a 2-2 road trip. And Washington is 4-0 SU/ATS its last four home games. We actually played on Washington in two of those four games (vs. Clippers and vs. Nets), and will come right back with the Wizards as a home underdog, tonight. Point guard John Wall has been battling bone spurs in his heel, but he's going to give it a go in this game, so that's good news for the Wizards. Meanwhile, the injury bug has afflicted Boston, as it could be without Aron Baynes, and will definitely play without Al Horford and Gordon Hayward tonight. Finally, Washington falls into 39-19 and 58-31 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-18 | Blazers v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Portland. The Trail Blazers started the season red-hot, as they won 10 of their first 13 games thru November 11, and were the 2nd best team in the Western Conference. Then, on November 14, we had our NBA Game of the Week on the Lakers against Portland, and I wrote that, "Portland is nowhere near the 2nd best team. Indeed, its gaudy record has more to do with its schedule than its true talent. The primary reason for Portland's record is that it has played nine of its 13 games at home. And three of its four road games were played against teams that currently sport losing records!" Those words were fairly prescient, as the Trail Blazers lost that night to the Lakers, and have now lost eight of their last 13 games to fall to sixth place (tied with Memphis) in the West. Of course, the Rockets would LOVE to be tied for sixth place, as they're currently out of the playoff picture, with an 11-14 record. But by season's end, I wouldn't be surprised if Houston is in the Playoffs, and the Trail Blazers are not. Dating back to December 1996, Houston is a solid 63% ATS as a favorite of -5 or more points, if the Rockets are off back to back losses, while its opponent is off back to back wins. Lay the points with Houston. NBA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-18 | Morehead State v. Marshall -13.5 | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on Marshall (Analysis to follow.) |
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12-08-18 | Murray State v. Middle Tennessee +5 | Top | 64-42 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + the points over Murray State. The Blue Raiders have lost each of their last five games -- both straight-up and against the spread -- including a 79-51 blowout at Vanderbilt on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Murray State is riding a four-game ATS win streak. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the "ice cold" Blue Raiders. But consider that NCAA teams on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak have cashed 70.5% since 2004 against foes off back to back covers, including a perfect 9-0 ATS if our team lost by 27+ points in their previous game. Take Middle Tennessee State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-18 | Green Bay v. Bowling Green -2 | Top | 68-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons minus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay. The Phoenix come into tonight's game off back to back wins and covers, with home wins over Northern Illinois and Belmont. But Green Bay is an awful 10-28-1 ATS away from home off back-to-back covers, if they were priced as an underdog of +13 or less points, including 0-9 ATS if they covered their previous game by more than 12 points. Take Bowling Green. |
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12-08-18 | Louisville v. Indiana -6 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Louisville. Over the last four years, these two teams have met three times, and the favorite has covered each of the three games. And, dating back to 1990, they've met seven times, with the favorite covering each of the seven. I look for Indiana to blow out the Cardinals this afternoon to stretch this streak to eight games in a row. Key stat: Indiana is 25-5 ATS at home when favored between -5.5 and -12.5 points vs. non-conference foes, including 8-0 ATS since 2010. Lay the points. |
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12-07-18 | Nuggets v. Hornets +1 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Denver Nuggets. The Hornets will look to snap their 3-game SU/ATS losing streak tonight, as they come into this game off losses to Utah, New Orleans and Minnesota. And the Hornets failed to cover the spread in each game by 10+ points. Meanwhile, Charlotte's opponent tonight -- Denver -- currently has the Western Conference's #1 record, and the league's 2nd best record, overall. And the Nuggets have been red-hot in Vegas, with seven straight point spread covers (as well as seven straight wins). Unfortunately, NBA teams on a 7-game (or greater) point spread win streak have cashed just 17 of 68 regular season games vs. foes that failed to cover their previous game by more than nine points, including 1-13 ATS when the point spread was 3 points or less! Take Charlotte tonight. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -1.5 | Top | 80-95 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Utah State. The Cougars are 5-4 this season and have lost their last three games (both SU and ATS). But three of their four losses came on the road, where BYU is 0-3 on the season. At home, BYU is a solid 5-1 straight-up and 2-1 ATS. Utah State, meanwhile, is 6-1 this year, but only one of its wins (Cal Irvine) came on its opponent's home court. Tonight, the Aggies will travel to Provo to battle its Beehive State rival, BYU. Unfortunately, BYU has dominated this rivalry, of late, with wins in each of the last six meetings (and point spread wins in each of the last five). Also, the revenge-minded team in this series is a poor 3-13 ATS as an underdog, and 1-8 ATS on the road, so each of those stats does not bode well for Utah State tonight. Admittedly, Utah State has looked great over its last two games, with blowout wins over Cal Irvine (89-65) and Northern Iowa (71-52). However, the Aggies are a money-burning 0 for 12 since 1995 after winning their previous game by double-digits, if they're off back to back SU/ATS wins, and their opponent is off back to back SU/ATS losses. And, finally, BYU is an awesome 31-0 straight-up, and 20-11 ATS as a home favorite, if it is off back to back losses (and it's 8-1 ATS its last nine as a home favorite off 3+ losses). Take BYU. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-18 | St. Peter's v. Clemson -21.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over St Peters. The Tigers started out with five straight wins, but stumbled in their last two games vs. Creighton (87-82 loss) and Nebraska (68-66 loss). But Clemson will bounce back on Tuesday, as it's 100-59-4 ATS off back to back losses, including 56-26 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win! And the Tigers also fall into 56-18 and 101-45 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses. Finally, ACC Conference teams are an awesome 41-0 SU and 31-10 ATS off a loss, when favored by 20+ points vs. a non-conference opponent. Take Clemson. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +2 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Houston. Minnesota's 4-game SU/ATS win streak was snapped here, at home, vs. Boston on Saturday. But I love the T-Wolves to bounce back and upset Houston, tonight. Minnesota will be looking to avenge its Playoff series defeat last Spring at the hands of the Rockets, and fall into a 74-43 ATS revenge system of mine. Minnesota is 28-10 straight-up and 24-13-1 ATS its last 38 home games, while Houston is a poor 4-11 ATS its last 15 off back to back wins. Take the T-Wolves. |
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12-03-18 | Clippers +2 v. Pelicans | Top | 129-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over New Orleans. Los Angeles has been the NBA's most pleasant surprise this season. At the start of the year, most believed the Clippers would not make the playoffs. But 22 games into the season, L.A. is not only firmly entrenched in the Playoff mix, but it owns the league's 2nd best record (tied with Denver and Boston). Tonight, L.A. will look to avenge a rare loss when it travels to New Orleans. The Pelicans upended the Clippers, 116-109, in October. But New Orleans was extremely well-rested (3 days) for that game. Here, they will be playing without any rest, as they battled in Charlotte last night. For technical support, consider that the Pelicans have covered just 7 of 37 games vs. .620 (or better) teams playing with revenge, if that opponent was off a straight-up loss. Additionally, LA falls into a very good 101-42 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-18 | Nuggets v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets have won (and covered) their last five games. But road underdogs of more than 6 points have cashed just 14 of 46 games vs. .610 (or better) foes. Take Toronto. |
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12-01-18 | California v. St. Mary's -11.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over California. The Gaels are on a 4-game losing streak, including back to back home losses as favorites of -7 and -9 points. I love the Gaels to snap their slide tonight, as NCAA home teams have cashed 73% in non conference games as favorites of -5 (or more) points, off back to back losses where they were favored by more than 4 points. Lay the double-digits with St. Mary's. |
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12-01-18 | Florida International v. Arkansas -16 | Top | 89-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Florida International. The Razorbacks have long been one of the best point spread-covering teams at home, including 59-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes, and 72-44 ATS on Saturdays. Florida International, meanwhile, has been poor vs. non-conference foes, including 4-16, 20% ATS as dogs of more than 11 if their foe was off an 11-point (or greater) win. This season, Arkansas is 4-1 ATS, and its only point spread defeat came when Montana State sank a 3-pointer to with 21 seconds left to end that game's scoring to cover by two points. Otherwise, it would be 5-0 ATS this season. Finally, the Razorbacks fall into a great 134-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites vs. foes off a SU win. I look for Arkansas to move its point spread record to 5-1 with a blowout win tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | Nets v. Wizards -5 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Brooklyn. The Wizards have started to turn the corner, somewhat, from their disastrous 2-9 SU/ATS start, as they've gone 6-5 SU/ATS since November 10. But you wouldn't know it from their last two games. The Wizards were blown out by 21 in New Orleans, and by 25 last night at Philly. However, those two games were on the road. Washington's won and covered its last three home games. And each was against very good teams (Rockets, Clippers, Pelicans). So, I look for Washington to rebound tonight against a Brooklyn team which also played last night, but which had to extend itself for an additional two overtime periods vs. Memphis. Moreover, the Wizards play with revenge from a loss suffered to these Nets just 15 days ago, and fall into a super Revenge system of mine. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | Northern Colorado v. Wyoming +1 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys over Northern Colorado. Last season, the Bears went into Laramie, and upset Wyoming, 91-84, as a 9-point underdog. But that loss has triggered a great 70-31 ATS revenge system of mine. Also, the Cowboys are 29-11-1 ATS off a straight-up loss when not laying double-digits. Take Wyoming to blow out Northern Colorado. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | Gonzaga v. Creighton +6.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays + the points over Gonzaga. The Gonzaga Bulldogs upset then-No. 1 Duke, 89-87, 10 days ago, in Maui, to ascend to the #1 ranking. But the Blue Jays are in a great position to hand the Bulldogs their first loss of the season. Creighton's on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, and also plays with revenge from a 17-point loss suffered at Gonzaga last season. I love playing on great teams with revenge and strong home courts, and Creighton meets the criteria for all three, as they're 6-1 this season, and have won 35 of their last 42 home games (23-15 ATS). Take the Blue Jays. |
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11-28-18 | Cal-Irvine v. St. Mary's -6.5 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over Cal Irvine. Randy Bennett's Gaels come into this home game off a rare home loss, 74-68, to Harvard. But the Gaels are an awesome 65-46-2 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 9-0 ATS their last nine off an upset loss, if the Gaels were favored by 6 or more points in the current game. Take St. Mary's. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-18 | Portland v. Colorado -15.5 | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Portland. The Pilots were blown out by Texas State, 91-68, as a 2-point home underdog on Saturday. But that's been "par for the course" for Portland as it's an awful 13-34-1 ATS as underdogs of 19.5 or less points vs. Non-Conference foes (and 2-16 ATS when priced from +9.5 to +19.5). Colorado routed Air Force, 93-56, and falls into a 101-48 ATS system of mine based on that victory. Take the Buffaloes. |
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11-28-18 | Virginia v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 76-71 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers were my preseason pick (at 22-1 odds) to win the College Basketball championship this season. But this is a great spot to fade Virginia and take the home underdog Terrapins. Maryland enters off a momentum-building, 37-point blowout win over Marshall (as a 9-point favorite). And the Terrapins are a terrific 60% ATS at home off wins by 15+ points over the last 29 seasons, including 7-1 ATS as a home underdog! Take the Terps. |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Toronto. The Raptors are 17-4 and are outscoring their foes by 8.95 ppg. But Memphis has excelled over the years vs. foes with an average margin of 6.10 (or better). Indeed, in the regular season vs. such teams, Memphis is a superb 56-21 ATS when the Grizzlies entered with a winning record, and their opponent was off a straight-up win. And, although, there's certainly nothing wrong with 56-21, we can improve our mark to 47-11 ATS by not going against teams playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (which Toronto is not). The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS their last 12 home games, and 21-9 ATS their last 30 as home dogs vs. an Eastern Conference foe. Take Memphis. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +5 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Milwaukee. These two teams actually met on Opening Night, and the Bucks eked out a 1-point victory, 113-112, here in Charlotte. However, Charlotte covered the 3-point spread. Tonight, they're getting more than that. And we will grab the points, as Charlotte is 6-3 SU and 6-3 ATS at home this season. Even better: none of its three home losses has come by more than 4 points. Last night, the Hornets suffered an embarrassing 124-123 defeat at the hands of the league's worst team, the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta had lost its previous nine games. But NBA teams upset by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak, when they were favored by 6+ points, generally bounce back in their next game, and have covered 92 of 154. Take Charlotte as a home dog tonight. NBA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-18 | Wofford v. South Carolina -7.5 | Top | 81-61 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Wofford. The Gamecocks snapped their four-game ATS losing streak with a 90-55 win over George Washington. And that blowout win has triggered a very good 'momentum' system of mine which has cashed 63% over the last 29 years. The Terriers are 4-2, but this will be just Wofford's second road game vs. a Division 1 school. It failed to cover its first one vs. the Sooners, back on November 18. And it's a poor 8-20 ATS its last 28 road games vs. teams from major and mid-major Conferences on the regular Vegas rotation (as opposed to schools on the Added board). Meanwhile, South Carolina is a solid 26-10 ATS as favorites of -6 (or more) points vs. teams from minor conferences NOT in Vegas' regular rotation, including 12-1 ATS vs. foes that had a .500 (or better) record. Take South Carolina. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Los Angeles. The Clippers are 12-6 this season, but all of their profit has been at home, where they are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. On the road, the Clippers are a pedestrian 4-5 SU/ATS. Likewise, the Blazers are 7-2 SU/ATS at home, but just 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS on the road. So, it wasn't much of a surprise when the Trail Blazers ended their 6-game road trip with back to back blowout losses at Milwaukee (143-100) and Golden State (125-97). But .630 (or better) home favorites are 95-55 ATS off back to back losses by more than 8 points. Coincidentally, this angle also applied to the Warriors in their 125-97 win over Portland this past Friday, as Golden State entered that game off double-digit losses to the Spurs and Thunder. I look for Portland to bounce back this evening. Take the Trail Blazers. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-18 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 103-98 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Knicks just pulled off back to back upsets. They earned the biggest upset yet this season when they knocked off Boston, as a 14.5-point underdog. Then they followed that up with a 114-109 win over New Orleans. But New York likely would have lost that game vs. the Pelicans had Anthony Davis not gotten injured in that game's 3rd quarter, and had been able to finish. Still, New York rides into Memphis on a 2-game win streak. But NBA teams off back to back upset wins as 8+ point underdogs have cashed just 36% since 1990. Take Memphis minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Celtics v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston. The Mavericks have been awesome over the last couple of seasons at home vs. opponents off a win, as they're 33-16-1 ATS their last 50 in this situation. The Celtics, on the other hand, have been dreadful on the road lately. Admittedly, Boston did win by 18 on the road last night in Atlanta. But the Hawks are the league's worst team, with a 3-16 (.157) record. And, speaking of 3-16, the Celtics are an awful 3-16 ATS their last 19 road games vs. opponents with a .200 (or better) win percentage. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder -5 | Top | 105-98 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets had to play last night, at home, and then travel to take on the Thunder tonight. Unfortunately, Denver has covered just 76 of 179 road games off a home game the previous night. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is an awesome 24-9 at home vs. opponents that played a home game the previous night, including 10-0 ATS vs. .600 (or better) opponents off a win. Take Oklahoma City. |
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11-24-18 | Rockets -10 v. Cavs | Top | 108-117 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on Houston minus the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers stunned the 76ers as a 13-point underdog last night. But that was just their 3rd win of the season. And bad teams rarely win back to back games. Indeed, double-digit home underdogs have cashed just 33% since 1995 off wins as double-digit dogs. Take Houston. |
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11-24-18 | Marist v. Buffalo -17 | Top | 49-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Marist. The Bulls are ranked #22 in the country, with a 4-0 SU record and a 3-0 ATS mark. Not to be outdone, Marist is now 4-0 ATS (though 1-3 straight-up) after covering the 7.5-point spread in a 64-60 loss at Stephen F. Austin. So, something will have to give today, with both teams entering the game with 100% ATS records. We will fade Marist, which is an awful 12-34-2 ATS as underdogs of more than 8 points off a point spread win. Meanwhile, Buffalo is a solid 21-7 ATS its last 28 as a favorite of more than 10 points, including a perfect 13-0 ATS if the Bulls won their two previous games. Lay the points with Buffalo. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Detroit v. Eastern Michigan -10 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles minus the points over Detroit. Eastern Michigan was blown out on the road, 63-36, by Rutgers, as a 7-point underdog, on Monday. But the good news for the Eagles is that they are back home this afternoon. And teams playing at home, or on a neutral court, have cashed 61% the past 29 years off a 23-point (or worse) defeat in which they scored 36 or less points. Take Eastern Michigan minus the points this afternoon. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-18 | Pelicans -7 v. Knicks | Top | 109-114 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks. New York pulled off the biggest upset yet this season when it won, 117-109, as a 14.5-point dog on Wednesday. And that was New York's second straight ATS win. Unfortunately for the Knicks, NBA teams off upset wins as dogs of more than 14 points, and also an ATS win two games back, have cashed their next game just 33% of the time. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-18 | South Alabama v. Texas A&M -13 | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over South Alabama. The Aggies have dropped four straight games. But three of those losses were on the road to #3-ranked Gonzaga (which just beat #1-ranked Duke), or at neutral sites against quality clubs from Power Conferences like Washington and Minnesota. This evening, then, will represent a major step-down in class for Texas A&M, and it should be able to re-enter the win column, here at home. The Aggies have done really well vs. non conference foes when playing at home (or on a neutral court) off a loss. And if Texas A&M was favored, or getting less than 9 points, then they've cashed 26 of 31 since Dec. 21, 2001. The Aggies also fall into 82-48 and 56-19 ATS systems of mine which play on certain favorites of more than 8 points off a defeat. Take the Aggies. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-18 | Rockets v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Houston. These two teams met on Tuesday in Houston, and the Rockets came away with a 2-point victory. Since 1990, in regular season home-and-home (i.e., "back-to-back") meetings between winning teams, underdogs have cashed 62.1% if they lost the first of the 2-game set. Take Detroit. |
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11-23-18 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the LA Clippers minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies have won their last five games -- both straight-up and ATS. But this game will likely end the win streak. The Clippers are a super 7-1 at home this season, including 7-0 after their loss to Denver on Opening Night. And road underdogs of more than 2 points, off 5+ wins and covers, have cashed just 63 of 150 games. Take the Clippers. |
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11-22-18 | Florida -6 v. Stanford | Top | 72-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Stanford. The Gators were upset, 65-60, by Oklahoma last night in this Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament. But that upset loss has triggered a very good 66% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Additionally, that was the 2nd straight ATS defeat suffered by Florida. But the Gators are 71-39-4 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 14-0-1 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes! Lay the points with Florida. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-18 | Villanova -13 v. Canisius | Top | 83-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Canisius. Jay Wright's men don't look like they will be defending their national championship this season. Last season, the Wildcats lost just four games the entire year. This season, after starting 2-0, they proceeded to lose their next two games. And they failed to cover the spread in those games by an average of 28.75 ppg! But off those two defeats, we'll play on Villanova, as they're 11-3 ATS their last 14 off an ATS loss. And Villanova also falls into a 62% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with a negative point spread differential. Take the Wildcats. NCAA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis. The Spurs have completely dominated this series over the last nine seasons, as they're 34-8 straight-up and 26-15-1 ATS since the 2011-12 season. San Antonio did lose its previous game, 140-126, to the Pelicans. But that wasn't a surprise to us, as we had our strongest play this month on New Orleans in that game. San Antonio is a solid 78-49 ATS off a loss when not installed as an underdog of more than 2 points, while the Grizzlies fall into a negative 6-32 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 3+ ATS wins. Take the Spurs. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Portland. The Blazers had to play last night in New York, while Milwaukee was resting at home. This will also be Portland's 3rd game in four nights. And Milwaukee will be playing with revenge from a loss in Portland on November 6. Portland's covered just 15 of 42 road games off back-to-back wins, if it's matched up against a revenge-minded foe with a .625 (or better) record. And the Bucks fall into a super 237-152 ATS revenge system of mine. Take the Bucks minus the points. |
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11-21-18 | Pistons v. Rockets -9 | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Detroit. This will be the first of a home-and-home series with the Pistons (they'll play in Detroit in Friday). The Rockets are finally playing up to their expectations, with four straight wins and covers. I look for them to make it five in a row, as home favorites off three straight double-digit wins, in which they scored 105+ points in each victory, are 109-69 ATS including 64-31 ATS vs. winning opponents. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-18 | Pelicans v. 76ers -4 | Top | 120-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over New Orleans. Dating back to last season, the 76ers are 35-4 straight-up and 27-12 ATS at home, including 15-0 SU and 13-2 ATS vs. foes with a losing ATS record (New Orleans is 8-9 ATS). Meanwhile, New Orleans is 3-20 ATS off a double-digit division win, if it's on the road, and not favored by 3.5. Take Philly minus the points. |
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11-21-18 | Pacers v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Indiana. The Pacers come into this game off an upset win as a 4-point underdog over Utah, 121-94, at home on Monday. But off that big win, we will fade the Pacers as a road dog tonight. Since 1990, underdogs have covered just 36.1% in the regular season after an upset win in which they covered the spread by more than 30 points, if they were on the road vs. an opponent also off a win. Take Charlotte. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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Big Al McMordie Basketball Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-08-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
01-07-19 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 95-114 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
01-06-19 | Pacers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 105-121 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
01-06-19 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Warriors -7.5 v. Kings | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Southern Utah +13.5 v. Weber State | Top | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Elon +8 v. Delaware | Top | 65-77 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Kansas v. Iowa State -1 | Top | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Northeastern +7 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Northern Kentucky -3.5 v. Detroit | Top | 95-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Creighton v. Butler -4.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
01-04-19 | Ball State +6.5 v. Toledo | Top | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -8.5 | Top | 135-134 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
01-03-19 | Monmouth v. Iona -5.5 | Top | 84-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
01-02-19 | Colorado State v. UNLV -8.5 | Top | 76-78 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
01-02-19 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -8 | Top | 63-70 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
01-01-19 | CS-Northridge v. San Diego State -15.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
12-31-18 | Mavs v. Thunder -8 | Top | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
12-31-18 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington -2.5 | Top | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
12-30-18 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
12-30-18 | Middle Tennessee +15 v. Rhode Island | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
12-30-18 | Pistons +2 v. Magic | Top | 107-109 | Push | 0 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
12-29-18 | Portland v. CS-Fullerton -9 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +3 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
12-29-18 | Butler v. Florida -4 | Top | 43-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
12-28-18 | Austin Peay v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
12-27-18 | 76ers +5 v. Jazz | Top | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
12-26-18 | Pelicans +3 v. Mavs | Top | 119-122 | Push | 0 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
12-26-18 | Cavs +10.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 87-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
12-25-18 | Indiana State +12 v. TCU | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
12-25-18 | Thunder +1 v. Rockets | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
12-25-18 | Colorado -14 v. Charlotte | Top | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
12-23-18 | Clippers v. Warriors -10.5 | Top | 127-129 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
12-23-18 | Drake v. San Diego -5 | Top | 110-103 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
12-23-18 | Hornets v. Celtics -7 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
12-23-18 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Kings | Top | 117-122 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
12-22-18 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 101-126 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
12-22-18 | Texas State v. Arkansas -10.5 | Top | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
12-22-18 | Arkansas State v. Syracuse -20 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
12-22-18 | CS-Fullerton +19 v. Nebraska | Top | 62-86 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Southern Utah v. USC -11.5 | Top | 49-91 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Oklahoma v. Northwestern -1 | Top | 76-69 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -4 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Furman v. LSU -8 | Top | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Ole Miss v. Middle Tennessee +13 | Top | 74-56 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Oakland +26 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-99 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Cal-Irvine v. Butler -8.5 | Top | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
12-19-18 | Cavs v. Hornets -12 | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
12-18-18 | Texas-Arlington v. Gonzaga -27 | Top | 55-89 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
12-17-18 | North Dakota State v. Montana -11.5 | Top | 53-60 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
12-17-18 | Kings v. Wolves -8 | Top | 105-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
12-16-18 | Cleveland State v. Illinois State -9 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
12-15-18 | Celtics v. Pistons +2 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee +14.5 v. Toledo | Top | 62-84 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
12-14-18 | Bucks -10.5 v. Cavs | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
12-12-18 | Raptors v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 113-93 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
12-12-18 | Wolves -2 v. Kings | Top | 130-141 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
12-12-18 | LSU +6.5 v. Houston | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
12-12-18 | Celtics v. Wizards +3.5 | Top | 130-125 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
12-11-18 | Blazers v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
12-10-18 | Morehead State v. Marshall -13.5 | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
12-08-18 | Murray State v. Middle Tennessee +5 | Top | 64-42 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
12-08-18 | Green Bay v. Bowling Green -2 | Top | 68-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
12-08-18 | Louisville v. Indiana -6 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
12-07-18 | Nuggets v. Hornets +1 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
12-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -1.5 | Top | 80-95 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
12-04-18 | St. Peter's v. Clemson -21.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
12-03-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +2 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
12-03-18 | Clippers +2 v. Pelicans | Top | 129-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
12-03-18 | Nuggets v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
12-01-18 | California v. St. Mary's -11.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
12-01-18 | Florida International v. Arkansas -16 | Top | 89-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
12-01-18 | Nets v. Wizards -5 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
12-01-18 | Northern Colorado v. Wyoming +1 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
12-01-18 | Gonzaga v. Creighton +6.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
11-28-18 | Cal-Irvine v. St. Mary's -6.5 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
11-28-18 | Portland v. Colorado -15.5 | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
11-28-18 | Virginia v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 76-71 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +5 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
11-26-18 | Wofford v. South Carolina -7.5 | Top | 81-61 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
11-25-18 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 103-98 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
11-24-18 | Celtics v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
11-24-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder -5 | Top | 105-98 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
11-24-18 | Rockets -10 v. Cavs | Top | 108-117 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
11-24-18 | Marist v. Buffalo -17 | Top | 49-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
11-24-18 | Detroit v. Eastern Michigan -10 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
11-23-18 | Pelicans -7 v. Knicks | Top | 109-114 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
11-23-18 | South Alabama v. Texas A&M -13 | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
11-23-18 | Rockets v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
11-23-18 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
11-22-18 | Florida -6 v. Stanford | Top | 72-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
11-22-18 | Villanova -13 v. Canisius | Top | 83-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
11-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
11-21-18 | Pistons v. Rockets -9 | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
11-21-18 | Pelicans v. 76ers -4 | Top | 120-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
11-21-18 | Pacers v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |