Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-02-17 | Suns +13 v. Celtics | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Boston. Yes, the Celtics are the league's best team -- record-wise -- and own a 19-4 SU record, and 18-4-1 ATS record. But they're laying too many points to the Suns on this Saturday afternoon (notwithstanding the fact that the Suns just got blown out by 24 in Detroit). Indeed, Boston's only been favored by more than 8 points ONCE this entire season. And that was when they laid 11 points to Sacramento on November 1. So, this will be Boston's biggest point spread yet this season, by a full two points. And the Celts are a dreadful 18-38-2 ATS when favored by more than 9 points vs. an opponent off a loss. Meanwhile, the Suns are 82-47-3 ATS off a loss by 20+ points. Take Phoenix. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-02-17 | Georgia Southern v. Costal Carolina +2 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia Southern. After starting the season 0-9, the Eagles are off back to back upset wins over South Alabama and Louisiana Lafayette. And they've now been installed as a road favorite in their final game of the season. Unfortunately for the Eagles, favorites (or PK) off back to back upset wins, are an awful 3-21 ATS in their final game of the season, including 0-7 ATS if they weren't a winning team. Take the points with Coastal Caroiina. |
|||||||
12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Oklahoma. It's often said that defense wins championships. And, based on my data, there's a whole lotta truth in that saying. In this match-up, the Horned Frogs own the better defense, and it's not close. TCU is giving up just 15.6 ppg, while Oklahoma's stop unit is 10 points worse. And it's not a wise move to lay points in a post-season game to a much better defensive club. Indeed, College Football teams getting more than a field goal have covered a whopping 68.4% since 1980 if their defense was at least 9.2 points better than their opponent's, including a perfect 9-0 ATS since 2009. Grab the points with the Horned Frogs. HIGH NOON HANGING. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-01-17 | Illinois v. Northwestern -6 | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Illinois. The 'Cats were upset not once, but twice last season by Illinois. In this, their Big 10 Opener, the Wildcats will look to avenge those two defeats. And, if history is any indication, they will, as College teams have cashed 68.8% since 1991 in their Conference openers when playing with revenge from two upset losses the previous season! Take Northwestern. PAYBACK PAYDAY. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-01-17 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over Utah. This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to play last night in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Pels are well-rested following their upset defeat on Wednesday at the hands of Minnesota. But New Orleans is 6-3 ATS off a loss this season, and 3-0 ATS off back to back defeats. And it's also 9-1 SU/ATS vs. non-winning teams this season, including a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS on the road (compared to 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS this season vs. winning opposition). Take the Pelicans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-01-17 | Wolves v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 107-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Minnesota. The criticism of Oklahoma City has reached its highest point after the team lost to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. That was Orlando's first win in a 10-game span, and also moved the Thunder's road record to 0-7 in November. The good news for the Thunder is that they're back home tonight. More good news: teams that were upset as a 6-point (or greater) favorite by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak have generally bounced back from that upset defeat. Dating back to 1993, they've covered 62.3% of the time. Take the Thunder to rebound on Friday night. |
|||||||
12-01-17 | Warriors -11 v. Magic | Top | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Orlando. The Magic upset the Thunder, 121-108, in their last game to snap their 9-game losing streak. Faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games. And I won't make an exception here, as Orlando falls into negative 47-105 and 11-43 ATS systems of mine based on that general principle. Take the Warriors. |
|||||||
11-30-17 | Northern Arizona v. Santa Clara -13.5 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Northern Arizona. The Broncos come into this game off back to back upset losses to Alaska Anchorage and Sam Houston State. So they will no doubt be happy to take on the 0-6 Lumberjacks. And, yes, it's true that Northern Arizona is 3-2 ATS this season. Unfortunately, underdogs of +13 or more points, with a winning ATS record, are an awful 0-17-1 ATS if their win percentage is less than .160, and their opponent is off an upset loss. Lay the points with Santa Clara. NCAA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles. The Warriors lost at home to Sacramento on Monday, 110-106, as a 12.5-point favorite. And that dropped their point spread record this season to 9-12 ATS. But I love them to rebound tonight, as NBA road favorites, with a losing ATS record, have cashed 71% dating back to 1991 if they were upset as a 9-point (or greater) favorite in their previous game. Take the Warriors to blow out L.A. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Northern Colorado +4.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 51-56 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears + the points over Cal Davis. The Bears and Aggies actually met earlier this season, in Greeley Colorado. And the Aggies upset the Bears, 74-59, as a 7-point underdog. We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bears, as they fall into 59-18, 19-2 and 92-53 ATS revenge systems of mine. Additionally, the Aggies are a poor 7-19 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge. Take Northern Colorado. |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Duke v. Indiana +11.5 | Top | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Duke. The Hoosiers have won 69 of their last 71 home games vs. non-conference foes, straight-up, and gone 36-16 ATS in those games, including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from -12.5 to +12.5 points! And they're 27-13 ATS as a home underdog since 1990, if they owned a win percentage greater than .415. Take the Hoosiers + the points. |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Evansville v. New Mexico -3 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Evansville. The Lobos have dropped their last four games (though three of the four were on the road). But they're back home this evening, where they've gone 113-9 straight-up and 51-33-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes since Dec. 8, 2003 (including 20-5 ATS as a favorite of -8 points or less). We'll lay the points with the Lobos, as they've also cashed 71% over the last 28 years as a home favorite off 3+ losses. Take New Mexico. |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -23 | Top | 56-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Long Beach State. The Wildcats are off to a miserable 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS start this season, and come into tonight's game off three straight upset losses, at the hands of North Carolina State, SMU and Purdue. But those three upsets have triggered very strong systems of mine, with records of 77-33, 93-44, 21-6 and 69-22 ATS. Moreover, those three upsets were on the road. The Wildcats are back home tonight, where they're a perfect 3-0 SU, with all three wins coming by 25+ points. I look for the Wildcats to bounce back strong tonight. Lay the points with Arizona. NCAA Basketball Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Thunder -6 v. Magic | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Orlando. The Magic are mired in a 9-game losing streak. But don't expect the Thunder to be complacent tonight, as OKC will be coming into this game off back to back upset losses to Detroit and Dallas. And the Thunder are just 8-11 on the season, so they need to string together some wins to get back into the Playoff picture. OKC is a super 140-93 ATS in the regular season off a straight-up loss, when not favored by 10+ points (including 62-31 off back to back losses). Take the Thunder minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-28-17 | South Dakota State v. Ole Miss -8.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Dakota State. The Rebels are 4-1 on the season, while the Jackrabbits are 6-2. It's true that Ole Miss has failed to cover its last four games, but it's a solid 52-28 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, when it was on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak (and 9-0 ATS its last nine when it was on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak). Additionally, Ole Miss falls into a 64-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats. Take Mississippi. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Heat +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers won their 8th straight game last night, when they upset the 76ers in Philly. But they now have to return home to Cleveland, without any rest, and play the rested Miami Heat. Cleveland falls into a negative 20-57 ATS system of mine which goes against certain unrested home teams vs. rested foes off a win. Even worse for the Cavs: they're 0-11-1 ATS their last 12 games as a home favorite, dating back to last season. And Miami is 16-3 its last 19 as a road underdog. Take the Heat. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-27-17 | Texans v. Ravens -7 | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Houston. Baltimore's 5-5 on the season after shutting out Green Bay, 23-0, at Lambeau Field last week, while Houston comes in with a losing record, at 4-6. The Ravens return home to M&T Bank Stadium after being on the road for their two previous games, but they did blow out the Dolphins, 40-0, in their last game here in Baltimore. I look for another home victory on Monday, as NFL teams with a better record than their opponent have gone 45-7 SU and 38-12-2 ATS at home on Monday Nights, if they were on the road in their two previous games. And Baltimore's 22-1 SU and 20-3 ATS as a home favorite since 1995 off a win by more than 18 points. Lay it. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Portland State v. Stanford -6 | Top | 87-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 4-2 SU and 5-0 ATS this season, while Stanford is 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS. This will be the final round of the PK80 Invitational Tournament, held in Portland. And both Stanford and Portland State lost their two previous games in this tournament. Let's lay the points with Stanford, as Winning teams (like Portland State) off 4+ covers have cashed just 2 of 28 games as an underdog vs. non-Winning opponents, if both they and their opponent are off SU losses. Take Stanford. NCAA Hoops Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams -1.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over New Orleans. The Saints are off eight straight wins, and have scored 30+ points in each of their last three games, while the Rams come in off a loss to the Vikings. But the Saints should get blown out this afternoon, as NFL road underdogs off 3+ wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each of those three games, have lost 78% ATS vs. non-division foes in the regular season since 1980. Even better: the Rams lost last season to New Orleans, 49-21. But NFL teams off a straight-up loss, and playing with revenge, have cashed 78% since 1983 if they were favored (or PK), and gave up 44+ points to its opponent in the previous meeting! Take the Rams. NFL Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-26-17 | St. Joe's -15 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Joe's Hawks minus the points over Sacramento State. The Hawks come into this game off back to back losses to Washington State and Harvard, so they'll be thrilled to go up against an outclassed team like Sacramento State this afternoon. St. Joe's has been installed as as double-digit favorite, which bodes well for Phil Martelli's Hawks, as they've gone 34-8 ATS when priced from -12 to -19 points, including a perfect 14-0 SU/ATS away from home. St. Joe's also falls into 54-14 and 83-34 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with the Hawks. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +17.5 | Top | 31-0 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 31 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Wisconsin. This rivalry game -- at 127 meetings, it's the most played in Division 1 -- has been dominated by the Badgers of late, as they've won 13 straight years. However, don't be surprised if the Golden Gophers stun Wisconsin with an upset win on Saturday. Both teams, of course, need to win this game. Minnesota needs one more win to attain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Wisconsin still has hopes of reaching the 4-team College Football Playoff. Unfortunately for the Badgers, undefeated teams, with a 5-0 or better record, have covered just 35.7% over the last 38 years when priced as a road favorite from -11.5 to -21.5 points against a losing, revenge-minded foe. Even worse for Wisconsin: it's just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS its last seven when it was playing on the road with an undefeated record (of 5-0 or better). And it's just 2-10-1 ATS since 1984 vs. the Gophers when laying 12+ points. Take Minnesota. Big 10 Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wisconsin -16.5 | Top | 49-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Badgers are in the midst of a rare 3-game losing streak. And they were favored to win in each of those three games! But I love Wisky to bounce back, as it's 5-0 its last five when playing off 3+ losses; 3-0 ATS off three upset losses; and it's also 12-5-1 ATS at home since 1990 on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak. Meanwhile, College Basketball favorites have covered the spread more often than not off three or more upset losses, including 67% if they're a losing team favored over a winning team. Take Wisconsin minus the points. NCAA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia +7.5 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -130 | 62 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Virginia Tech. We played on the Cavaliers last week, and easily got the cash when Virginia covered the point spread "wire to wire" at Miami. Now, they return home for their final game of the regular season, and they'll take on their cross-state rival from Blacksburg, Virginia Tech. We'll grab the points with the Cavaliers, as they're 31-19-1 ATS their last 51 as home underdogs, and also 14-0 ATS their last 14 as single-digit underdogs, if they're off a loss, and play with revenge. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Western Michigan v. Toledo -13 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 54 h 49 m | Show |
At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan. The Rockets have won six of their last seven, and have covered five of their last six. Last week's victory at Bowling Green was one of their most impressive wins of the season, as they blew out the Falcons, 66-37, as a 16.5-point favorite. Toledo is a super 25-1 ATS as a favorite of 21 or less points, if Toledo is off a win by 17+ points, and it covered that previous game by 6+ points. Take the Rockets. MAC Conf. Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Minnesota. The Vikings have won and covered each of their last five games. And they've scored 24+ points in the last four of those. But this win streak sets up our play against Minnesota on this Thanksgiving, as unrested NFL road teams off 4 SU/ATS wins in which they scored 24+ points in each game, have gone just 36% ATS since 1980 vs. .500 (or better) teams. Even worse for Minnesota: it's just 22-46 ATS as a road favorite of -3+ points, and has lost the last three meetings (both SU and ATS) in this series. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Detroit v. St. Louis -11 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over Detroit, as St. Louis falls into a 129-59 ATS system of mine. I look for the Billikens to blow out Detroit, as the Titans have given up 100+ points in three of their four games this season. It's true that Detroit did win its last game, against Houston Baptist, 116-109. But College Basketball underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points have covered just 32.6% off a win in which they scored 112+ points. Take St. Louis. NCAA Hoops High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston. The Celts have now won 16 straight games. But since 1990, NBA teams on an 11-game (or greater) win streak have gone just 51-63 straight-up and 46-67-1 ATS if they weren't favored by more than four points. And Boston also falls into a negative 8-33 ATS system of mine which similarly fades certain teams on long win streaks. Finally, these two teams met earlier this season, and the Celtics came away with a six-point win. But the Heat are 16-3 ATS their last 19 when playing with revenge, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.. Take Miami on Wednesday. NBA Underdog of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Raptors v. Knicks +4.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Toronto Raptors. These two teams met last Friday at Air Canada Centre, and the Raptors blew out New York, 107-84. They then followed up that victory with a win vs. the Wizards, and have won four straight, overall. Thus, the Knicks will seek to avenge that defeat on this Wednesday. And New York's currently riding a 10-3 ATS run. That bodes well for New York tonight. As does the fact that Toronto is an awful 16-45 ATS off 4+ wins, if it also owned a win percentage of at least .550. Take New York. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-22-17 | NC State v. Arizona -14 | Top | 90-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over NC State. Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated records. NC State is 4-0, while Arizona is 3-0. But the Wolfpack has faced a soft schedule thus far, as none of its four victories came against a school from a major conference (and just one from a mid-major conference). NC State is an awful 5-16 ATS its last 21 as an underdog, including 1-9 ATS off a straight-up win. And it's covered just 19 of 56 off 4+ wins. Meanwhile, Arizona is a solid 75-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes with an .800 (or better) record, provided the game is played at Arizona, or on a neutral court. Lay the points. NCAA Hoops Game of the Week! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-21-17 | Bowling Green +13.5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons + the points over Eastern Michigan, as Bowling Green falls into a 93-56 ATS "stats-based" system of mine. The Falcons have been installed as double-digit road underdogs, but they're a fantastic 50-30 ATS on the Mid-American Conference road. And, yes, it's certainly true that Bowling Green was blown out by 29 points last Wednesday at home, vs. Toledo. However, the Falcons are 12-3 ATS off a conference blowout loss by 21+ points. Meanwhile, the Eagles upset Miami-Ohio in Oxford last week. Unfortunately, they're a wallet-busting 19-36 ATS off a straight-up win. Bowling Green has won 9 of the last 11 straight up in this series, including 2-0 SU/ATS the last two, here, in Ypsilanti. Take the points with the Falcons. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Atlanta Falcons. These two teams met in last year's NFL Playoffs, and the Falcons blew out the Seahawks, 36-20, as a 6.5-point home favorite. But I love the Seahawks to avenge that defeat, as teams playing on Monday Night Football with revenge from a Playoff defeat the previous season have cashed 79% since 1999, including a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. foes with W/L records between .250 and .750. Additionally, Seattle is 82-28 SU and 67-38-5 ATS at home since 2005, including 5-1-2 ATS on Monday Nights, and 16-8-1 ATS with revenge. Finally, Atlanta is an awful 0-9 ATS when not laying 3+ points against a winning team, if its foe is playing with revenge. Take Seattle. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-20-17 | Cavs -2 v. Pistons | Top | 116-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Detroit Pistons. We're one-fifth of the way through the regular season, and the surprising Detroit Pistons are 11-5, and atop the NBA's Central Division. But lurking just two games behind Detroit are LeBron James' Cavaliers, who have quietly won four straight games. Certainly, one of the problems for Cleveland -- after reaching the NBA Finals the past three seasons -- is motivation. But they'll be extremely motivated tonight, given that Detroit is ahead of them in the standings. The Cavs will also greatly benefit from the fact that they had the previous two days off, while Detroit had to play the Timberwolves on the road last night. So, Detroit will not only have to play this game without rest, but they also had to travel from Minneapolis back to Detroit overnight. Finally, Cleveland falls into a super 55-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back wins. Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets blew out Utah, 118-107, in their last game to move to 6-9 this season. But the Nets were favored to win that game, and they're 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Unfortunately, they're 4-6 ATS as an underdog. And they also fall into a negative 46-105 ATS System of mine which goes against certain losing teams off wins. Lay the points with the Warriors. High Roller Winner. Good luck as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Marshall v. Illinois -13.5 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Marshall. Illinois is off to a 3-0 start this season, and it's offense has hummed, with 102, 77 and 82 points scored (on 46% FG shooting) thus far. Meanwhile, Marshall has allowed 91, 74 and 86 points (on 46% FG shooting) against teams that average 70 ppg and 39.4% from the floor. That doesn't bode well for the Thundering Herd against Illinois. And neither does the fact that the Illini are 39-21 ATS at home after scoring 80+ in their previous game. Finally, the Herd is a poor 82-119 ATS as a road underdog. Take Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders +7.5 | Top | 33-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over the New England Patriots. Bill Belichick's men won by 25 points last week. And that blowout victory has triggered an angle of mine which fades defending Super Bowl champions off 20-point (or greater) wins. Since 1980, they've covered just 41% in this situation, including 2-13 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -7.5 points away from home. Take the Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Bengals v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Cincinnati. The Broncos are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, and have failed to cover the spread by 21 and 18 points in their previous two games. But it must be noted that the Broncos' last three games were played against three of the very best teams in the league (Philadelphia, New England and Kansas City). In contrast, Cincinnati has also been playing extremely poorly. It is 1-3 SU/ATS in its last four games, but has not played an overly difficult schedule. Indeed, Cincy's only win in its last four games was by a single point vs. Indianapolis, as an 11-point favorite. And the Bengals' only pointspread cover was also by a single point -- last week at Tennessee. Denver's recent failures have worked to create terrific betting value in this game, and the Broncos fall into a 105-53 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks. Lay the points. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | South Carolina v. Western Michigan +9 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over South Carolina. This is a tough situational spot for the Gamecocks, as they actually played (and defeated) these Broncos just six days ago, at home, in Columbia, South Carolina. So, the motivational edge seemingly would rest with the Broncos, who no doubt would like to avenge that 18-point defeat on this Sunday. Western Michigan falls into 69-36 and 33-13 ATS revenge systems of mine Take the Broncos + the points. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Redskins +8 v. Saints | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 88 h 49 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins + the points over New Orleans. The Saints have won and covered seven straight games. And Drew Brees & Co. are getting it done both on the offensive side, as well as the defensive. New Orleans is scoring 29.8 points per game, and giving up just 18.3. And its defense has been especially stellar the past three weeks. Last Sunday, New Orleans held the Bills to 10 points. And it defeated the Buccaneers (30-10) and Bears (20-12) in the two weeks prior to that. Unfortunately, for New Orleans, single-digit favorites that held each of their last three opponents to less than 13 points have covered just 26% in the regular season since 1980 vs. .363 (or better) foes, including 1-14 ATS their last 15. Take the Redskins. NFL Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Cardinals v. Texans -2 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Arizona Cardinals. Both of these teams are dealing with major injuries at the quarterback position. Houston's Deshaun Watson is out with a knee injury, while Arizona's Carson Palmer broke his left arm, and 2nd string QB Drew Stanton sustained an injury last week to his knee. Thus, the Cards will turn to 3rd stringer Blaine Gabbert, while Houston will use erstwhile starter Tom Savage. We'll take the homestanding Texans, as they fall into 155-85 and 139-61 ATS systems of mine that are based on season statistics. Also, Houston lost 33-7 last Sunday at the LA Rams. And NFL home teams off a loss by 23+ points are 82.1% ATS over the past 17 years vs. .416 (or better) non-division foes also off a loss, provided our home team is not favored by 2.5+ points. Take Houston. NFL Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Jaguars v. Browns +8 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville. The Browns may be 0-9 on the season, but they've actually been much more competitive against the pointspread of late. Last week, they reached the 4-yard line with a great opportunity to cover the spread in the game's final minute, but turned the ball over. Still, they only failed to cover the spread by 3.5 points. The previous week, they also failed to cover -- by 6 points -- so they were within one score. And three games ago, they did cover the spread by 2.5 points. This week, they're getting a sizable amount of points at home, and we'll grab all we can with Cleveland, as winless home dogs of +7.5 or more points have gone 37-16 ATS if their record was 0-7 (or worse). Take the Browns. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Warriors -8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Philadelphia. Both teams are playing really well: Philly is 8-6, and off back to back SU/ATS road wins over the Clippers and Lakers, while Golden State is 11-4, but did get upset by Boston on Thursday. We'll take Steve Kerr's men to rebound off that defeat, as the Warriors are 20-1 ATS off an upset loss, if they're playing an opponent off a win, and the Warriors are favored by at least 6 points. Take Golden State. NBA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Arizona University v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 40 h 46 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona. Oregon QB Justin Herbert has been upgraded to 'probable,' which is surely a welcome sight for the team. After all, without their 1st string QB under center last week, the Ducks struggled to score, and lost 38-3 at Washington. They'll host the Arizona Wildcats at Autzen Stadium on Saturday. And Arizona comes into this contest off a 21-point win (49-28) over Oregon State. Unfortunately for the Wildcats, they fall into a negative 15-45 ATS system of mine which goes against teams off 21+ point wins vs. foes off 21+ point losses. Moreover, the 'Cats are a poor 6-15 ATS their last 21 as an underdog, and 10-26 ATS on the road after scoring 37+ points in their previous game. Finally, Oregon is 44-22 ATS in 'win situation' games with a pointspread of 3 or less. Lay it. Pac 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Army v. North Texas -2.5 | Top | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army. These two teams last faced off against each other in the Heart of Dallas Bowl game, on December 27, at the Cotton Bowl. Army triumphed, 38-31, in that game. But I look for the Mean Green to avenge that Bowl game defeat. Indeed, home teams have cashed 75% over the past 17 years when playing with revenge from a post-season defeat, so long as they're not laying 5.5 or more points. Take North Texas. Non-Conf. Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Maryland v. Michigan State -15.5 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 7 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Maryland. The Spartans will be playing their final home game of the season. And they've dominated over the past 30 years in their final home games, with a 22-8 SU and 23-7 ATS record! The Spartans also play with revenge from an upset loss sustained last season in College Park. MSU was favored by 2.5, but lost to the Terrapins, 28-17. However, Michigan State's a solid 6-1 ATS its last seven when playing with revenge from an upset loss, while Maryland's an awful 2-11-1 ATS its last 13 (and 0-5 ATS on the road) if it upset its opponent the previous season! Take Michigan State. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | UAB v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 77 h 56 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over UAB. The Gators have had the proverbial "season from hell." It started off well enough, as the Gators won their first three conference games vs. Tennessee, Kentucky and Vanderbilt. But an onslaught of injuries and a resignation by their head coach, have made Gator fans want to put this season it the rear view mirror. Florida's now lost its last five games, and has failed to cover its last four. Still, I love Florida to get an easy win on Saturday vs. a UAB squad coming into Gainesville off an upset win over Texas San Antonio. Over the last 30 years, home favorites of more than nine points, off four or more losses, have covered 73.6% vs. foes off a win. And UAB is a wallet-busting 0-14 ATS on the road vs. .600 (or worse) opponents if UAB defeated a conference foe in its previous game. Take Florida. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Navy v. Notre Dame -17.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Navy. Notre Dame's 5-game win streak in this series was snapped last year when the Midshipmen upset the Irish, 28-27, as a 7.5-point underdog. But I love Brian Kelly's men to avenge that defeat, and especially since they're coming off a 41-8 loss to Miami-Florida last week. This also will be Notre Dame's final home game of the season, and NCAA favorites of more than 15 points have cashed 78% since 1980 in their final home game, if they were off a 20-point (or worse) defeat! Lay it. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern +5 | Top | 0-52 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over South Alabama. We played against Georgia Southern last week, and got the cash with Appalachian State, which defeated the Eagles, 27-6, as a 17.5-point favorite. That loss lowered Georgia Southern's season record to 0-9 straight-up and 2-6 ATS. But I love the Eagles in this home underdog role, on Saturday. They catch South Alabama coming off a big upset win at home over Arkansas State, as a 13-point underdog. And, unfortunately for the Jaguars, teams off home upsets as a 13-point (or greater) underdog have had huge letdowns in their next game as road favorites. Since 1980, they've covered just 32.1% of their games. Take the Eagles + the points. Sun Belt Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Rice v. Old Dominion -8 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 57 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Rice. The Owls are 1-9 on the season, with eight straight losses, and are clearly playing out the string. Old Dominion, on the other hand, is not playing out the string. It's 4-6, but it's won each of its past two games, including last week's 37-30 upset win at Florida International, as a 10-point underdog. I look for Old Dominion to keep its momentum going, at home, on Saturday, as teams (like Rice) that haven't won more than 1 game on the season, have cashed just 32% (at Game 11 forward) vs. conference foes off an upset win. Take the Monarchs. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 73 h 6 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Rutgers. Both of these teams are 4-6 on the season, but going in opposite directions in Las Vegas. The Scarlet Knights have covered each of the last five games, while the Hoosiers are on an 0-7 ATS skein. But before you open up your wallet for the "hot" Scarlet Knights, consider that teams off five straight ATS losses have covered 73% vs. foes off five straight ATS wins over the past 22 years! That doesn't bode well for Rutgers on Saturday. And neither does the fact that Rutgers has covered just 5 of 20 games vs. Conference foes playing their final home game of the season. After this home game, the Hoosiers will play Purdue on the road. And Indiana needs to win both to qualify for a Bowl game. Take Indiana minus the points. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Virginia +19 v. Miami-FL | Top | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 3 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Miami. In its last game, Miami upset the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and the Hurricanes are now ranked #2 in the Country. Unfortunately, they likely will have a letdown on Saturday vs. the Cavaliers. Indeed, undefeated teams, with an 8-0 (or better) record have gone 1-10 ATS off an upset win, if priced between -6 and -21 points. The Cavaliers are also 5-1 ATS their last six games at Miami, while college football teams are a horrid 12-27-2 ATS as a favorite (or PK) after upsetting the Fighting Irish in their previous game. Grab the points. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Fresno State v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 75-83 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Fresno State, as Arkansas falls into 119-70, 99-46 and 139-65 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine based on its two previous games -- wins by 28 and 39 points. Also, the Razorbacks are 67% ATS over the last 28 years at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss, and have covered their last 6 at home (and 19 of their last 31). Meanwhile, Fresno's 19-35 ATS off a straight-up win, if they're playing a non-conference foe off back to back wins. This will be a rout. Lay the points. |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Warriors -7 v. Celtics | Top | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Boston. This is a match-up of the NBA's two best teams. The Celtics have been the league's best team, record-wise. Boston is 13-2 straight-up, and 12-2-1 ATS on the year. It also owns the league's #1 adjusted defensive efficiency rating (99.13), and the #2 adjusted net rating (7.68). But the #1 net rating (13.07) is held by the league's defending Champs, Golden State. The Warriors also have the best adjusted offensive rating (117.99) and the 2nd best W/L record. So, clearly, this game will be a measuring stick for both teams. It's true that Boston has won 13 straight. Unfortunately, teams on an 11-game (or better) win streak are a soft 45-67 ATS if they're not favored by more than four points. Also, the Warriors will be well-rested, as they had Tuesday and Wednesday off. And Golden State's 62-40 ATS with at least two days' of rest. Lay the points. NBA GAME OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Buffalo v. Ball State +20 | Top | 40-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 52 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Buffalo. The Cardinals have lost their last seven games, straight-up, and failed to cover the pointspread in their last eight. And such a losing streak will keep most of the bettors off of them, here, in this game. But I love them as a home underdog vs. Buffalo, as Mid-American Conference home underdogs, off a SU/ATS loss (and an ATS loss two games back), have cashed 64% over the past 20 years vs. conference foes off a win! And the Cardinals also fall into a super 68.3% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks. Take Ball State + the points. MAC Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Illinois State v. South Carolina -10 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
|
|||||||
11-14-17 | NC-Wilmington v. Davidson -11 | Top | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over NC Wilmington. The Seahawks won the Colonial Athletic Association the past two years, but this will be a "down" season for them, as they only returned one starter to go along with returnee, Devontae Cacok, who was the CAA Defensive Player of the Year. And they also have a new head coach, as CB McGrath moved over from his assistant's job at North Carolina to take the reins from Kevin Keatts, who left for the greener pastures of North Carolina State. McGrath's goal is to push the pace, but I believe that will play into the hands of this perimeter-oriented Davidson team. Meanwhile, Davidson returned four starters from last year's squad. And it opened up this campaign with a 110-62 win over Charleston Southern. Davidson falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 138-65 ATS since 1990. And the Wildcats are also 36-19 ATS after scoring 80+ points in their previous game. Lay it. NCAA Hoops High Roller. |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Wolves -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Utah Jazz. The Timberwolves are off back to back losses at Golden State and Phoenix. So, they'll look to salvage their 3-game road trip with a win tonight in Salt Lake City. Certainly, Minnesota is certainly not a good defensive team. It ranks 28th in adjusted defensive efficiency. But the good news for the T-Wolves is that Utah's hardly a good offensive team (it ranks 27th in adjusted offensive efficiency), so I don't believe it will take advantage of Minny's shortcomings tonight. Now, Utah is a very good defensive team, but it won't have its very best defensive player -- Rudy Gobert -- on the court tonight, as he is out with a tibia injury. The Timberwolves had won five straight, and gone 4-0-1 ATS immediately prior to its current 2-game SU/ATS losing streak. And they fall into a 126-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off upset losses. I look for the T-Wolves to get back on track tonight. Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Raptors -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston. The Celts have won 11 straight, but they'll be missing their top three players today (Al Horford, Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward). Thus, they're not even favored at home vs. Toronto. The Celtics fall into a negative 44-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams that have won more than 10 games in a row. And Boston's also a poor 5-18 ATS off back to back home wins. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Arizona State v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into Pasadena off a 41-30 win vs. Colorado last Saturday, and are now 5-4 this season. Meanwhile, Jim Mora's Bruins are 4-5 on the season after getting blown out by Washington (44-23) and Utah (48-17) in their last two games. But UCLA's five losses have all come away from home, where the Bruins are 0-6 ATS their last six, and 2-11 ATS their last 13. UCLA is back home on Saturday night, which bodes well for it, as UCLA has won all four of its home games this season! UCLA is also a solid 44-27, 62% ATS at home when not laying more than 7 points. Finally, revenge-minded favorites off back to back 21-point losses have cashed 79% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Take UCLA. NCAA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Nets v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets pulled a big upset last night in Portland, and that was their third straight ATS win. Unfortunately for the Nets, they're 8-22 ATS on the road after three straight covers. And they'll also be facing a rested Jazz team tonight which is looking to rebound off 4 straight losses! Utah's 120-81 ATS at home after failing to cover its two previous games. And the Jazz also fall into a super 84-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested home teams vs. unrested foes. Take Utah. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Grizzlies v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Memphis Grizzlies. Houston's lost just three times this season. And it's been Memphis which has been Houston's thorn in its side, as the Grizzlies handed the Rockets two of those three defeats. But I love Houston to deliver a measure of PAYBACK on Saturday night, as the Grizzlies are 17-40 ATS vs. teams playing with double-revenge, provided that opponent isn't off back to back losses. Lay the points with the Rockets. And Houston also falls into a 129-62 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +14 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 43 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Alabama. Certainly, Alabama deserves its #1 ranking, as it's 9-0, with a 31.11 ppg margin of victory. On the other hand, the Crimson Tide are below .500 against the spread, which indicates they're a tad overvalued in Vegas. In contrast, Mississippi State has rewarded its bettors with a 6-3 ATS record to go along with its 7-2 SU record. And that doesn't bode well for Nick Saban's troops on Saturday, as undefeated teams (at Game 8 forward) have covered just 1 of 15 games as double-digit road favorites vs. opponents with a winning SU and a winning ATS record! Even better: Miss State has cashed 83% at home over the past 38 years if they were off a win the previous week, and are now getting double-digits. Finally, Miss State also falls into 32-1, 47-7, 84-32 and 21-0 ATS systems of mine. Take the Bulldogs + the points. SEC Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Florida State +16 v. Clemson | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 21 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Clemson. Last week, we played against Clemson, and got the $$$ with NC State, as a +7.5-point underdog. And we'll go against the Tigers once again this week, as they fall into a negative 27-65 ATS system of mine. Florida State is obviously having a "down" year, with a 3-5 record on the season (and 0-6-2 ATS), though it did get into the win column last week with a 27-24 triumph vs. Syracuse. The Seminoles also received some welcome news this week when they learned that running back Jacques Patrick will be able to get back onto the field on this Saturday (after missing extended time with a knee injury). We'll grab the points with Florida State, as winless ATS teams, with an 0-4 (or worse) ATS record, are 15-0 ATS since 2001 off a straight-up win if playing a winning opponent. Take the Seminoles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Virginia v. Louisville -11.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Virginia. We played against Louisville in its last game, a blowout loss in Winston-Salem against Wake Forest. The Cardinals had last week off to recover from that defeat, and that rest should serve them well against an unrested Cavaliers squad which is coming off a huge upset win vs. Georgia Tech. Unfortunately for Virginia, it's covered just 33% of the time away from home the past 38 years off an upset win, if matched up against an opponent off an upset defeat. Take Louisville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -16 | Top | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan St. Ohio State suffered an embarrassing beatdown at the hands of the iowa Hawkeyes last week, as it lost by 31 points, as 21-point favorite. And that 52-point differential between the final margin of victory and the pointspread was tied for the 20th worst pointspread differential in the past 38 years. However, I expect Urban Meyer's men to bounce back off that defeat, as Ohio State's 28-9-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference games off a loss. Take the Buckeyes. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Texas Tech -7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Baylor. The Bears opened this season with eight straight losses before finally getting a win -- against woeful Kansas. But they'll be hard-pressed to make it two in a row, as they will face a Texas Tech squad which looks to make amends from an upset loss last week at home vs. Kansas State. And the Red Raiders generally bounce back from losses, as they're 70-43 ATS vs. Conference foes. Take Texas Tech. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Rutgers v. Penn State -31 | Top | 6-35 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 39 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Rutgers. Penn State lost at Ohio State, 39-38, two weeks ago, and 27-24 at Michigan State last week. But off those two road defeats, I look for Penn State to bounce back on Saturday. Indeed, since 1980, teams that were undefeated through their first 7+ games, and then lost two games in a row, have bounced back strong (86.7% ATS) off those 2 losses, if they were playing a losing team! Moreover, Rutgers is an awful 16-36-1 ATS when priced from +20 to +33.5 points. Take Penn State. High Noon Hanging! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Hornets +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Boston Celtics. No team is hotter than Brad Stevens' Celtics, who have won their last 10 games. Tonight, they're matched up against the Charlotte Hornets, who are on a 3-game losing streak. Unfortunately for Boston, no less than three starters (Gordon Hayward, Al Horford and Jayson Tatusm) will be out of action for tonight's game. And a fourth -- Marcus Morris -- is questionable. We'll grab the points with the Hornets, as they fall into a 55% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a win, as well as a 65.7% ATS angle which plays on certain road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss. Take Charlotte. NBA ROAD WARRIOR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Hawks +9 v. Pistons | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Detroit Pistons. The Hawks have gotten off to a 2-9 start this season, so it's likely that their 10-year run (2nd in the NBA to the Spurs' 20-year run) of making the Playoffs will end this season. But if Mike Budenholzer's men can upset the 8-3 Pistons tonight, in Motown, he should send a 'thank you note' to the league office. After all, Atlanta has a big scheduling advantage tonight, in that it has had the last three days off, while Detroit will play with just having had Thursday off. And NBA road teams, off a loss, that had at least the three previous days off, have gone 60.8% ATS the last 24 seasons vs. foes that had just the previous day off. Additionally, Detroit's a poor 4-16 ATS off back to back wins (and 0-5 ATS its last five off three or more wins). Take Atlanta. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Temple v. Cincinnati +3 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Temple. The Owls stunned Navy last week, 34-26, as a 6-point home underdog! Now, the Owls travel to the Queen City to play Cincinnati, and the Owls have been installed as a road favorite. Obviously, it's not a common occurrence for College Football teams to be a home underdog one game, and a road favorite the next. And, not surprisingly, NCAA teams that won outright as a home dog have had big letdowns their next game if installed as a road favorite. Since 1980, they've cashed just 43% of the time. Even worse for Temple: it's defeated the Bearcats each of the past two seasons. But Cincy's 24-13 ATS when playing with revenge, if it also lost to its opponent two meetings back. And it's also 44-30 ATS at home when not favored by more than 5 points, including 4-1 ATS vs. foes off upset wins. Take the Bearcats. AAC Conference Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-09-17 | 76ers v. Kings +7 | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Philly comes into this game off ATS wins in its last seven contests, and a 6-1 SU record in those seven games. But they're now in unfamiliar territory, as they haven't been this big of a road favorite since April 23, 2012 -- a span of 436 games! The Kings come into this game off a huge upset win over Oklahoma City, as a 10.5-point home underdog. And the Kings are also 8-2 ATS their last 10 as home dogs of more than 6 points vs. .600 (or better) foes. I look for Sacramento to get the cash again tonight vs. this overpriced Sixers team. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-09-17 | Cavs +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets come into this game off three straight double-digit wins and three straight covers, including a 137-110 blowout of the Utah Jazz their last time out. Unfortunately for Houston coach Mike D'Antoni, his teams have gone 26-46 ATS off back to back double digit wins. And the Rockets are also a poor 2-12 ATS off three straight covers. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-09-17 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -17.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers minus the points over Georgia Southern. Appy State was upset last week at Louisiana Monroe, when the Warhawks won, 52-45, as an 8-point underdog. But NCAA Favorites of more than 15 points have covered 61.05% since 1980 off a road upset loss as an 8-point (or greater) favorite. Take the Mountaineers to blow out Georgia Southern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-08-17 | Knicks v. Magic -5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over New York. The Knicks won their 3rd straight game (and sixth of their last seven) with a 118-113 triumph at home last night vs. Charlotte. But this will be a tough task for them tonight to take down Orlando, as the Magic are well-rested, having not played for the past two nights following their loss to Boston on Sunday. Even worse for New York, NBA teams off three straight wins (both SU and ATS) that scored 117+ points in their previous game are 11-31 ATS in the regular season vs. foes off a loss. Take Orlando. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +4 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats + the points over Toledo. Ohio comes into this game off three straight wins and covers. And Ohio scored 48, 48 and 45 points in those three victories. Faithful followers know I love to play on College Football home dogs that can score, as since 1983, home dogs off two wins, in which they scored 90+ points combined, are 66.9% ATS in the regular season. Additionally, the Bobcats are 9-0 ATS their last nine when both they, and their opponent entered off a win. Take Ohio. MAC Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-07-17 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -7.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green. Buffalo certainly wants to give the Falcons some "payback" tonight, as Buffalo has lost the last six meetings to Bowling Green. And I think it will get its revenge, as Buffalo is 24-9-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe. And Buffalo also falls into 62-31 and 53-21 ATS revenge systems of mine. Lay the points with the Bulls. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-06-17 | Nets +1 v. Suns | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, on NBA TV, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Phoenix Suns. The Nets are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS on the season, while Phoenix is 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS. The Nets have a scheduling advantage tonight, as Brooklyn was off on Saturday and Sunday, while Phoenix had to play the Spurs in the Alamo City last night. Even worse for the Suns: this will be their fifth game in seven days. Phoenix has been installed, on the opening number, as a small favorite. But the Suns are a dreadful 9-23 ATS their last 32 as a favorite (or PK), including 0-12 ATS if they owned a .500 (or better) record against the spread on the season. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Raiders -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders minus the points over the Miami Dolphins. Both of these teams come into this game off blowout losses: Oakland fell, 34-14, at Buffalo, while Miami was annihilated by Baltimore, 40-0. The Raiders now sit at 3-5 on the season, yet have been installed as a road favorite at 4-3 Miami. We'll lay the points with Oakland as road favorites of -3+ points that have a worse record than their opponent, have covered 68.1% in the regular season (at Game 8 forward) over the past 17 years. Additionally, Miami's an awful 31-64 ATS at home when not getting 4.5 or more points, including 12-40 ATS if the Dolphins' W/L percentage wasn't worse than their opponent's. Take Oakland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Celtics v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 104-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Boston Celtics. Boston's won and covered its last seven games, while Orlando's in off a 22-points upset home loss to Chicago. But I look for the Magic to snap Boston's win streak on Sunday. Indeed, the Magic are a perfect 3-0 this season vs. the three best teams that they've played (Spurs, Cavaliers, Grizzlies) and defeated San Antonio and Cleveland by 27 and 21 points, respectively. Moreover, winning home teams off a SU/ATS loss are 110-81 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins, provided our home team isn't favored by more than 5 points. Take Orlando. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Wizards +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Toronto, as Washington falls into a 285-203 ATS system of mine, based on its season statistics to date. It's true that the Wizards' John Wall won't suit up tonight after hurting his shoulder in Washington's last game, but I'm still comfortable backing the Wizards this evening with the added points to compensate for his absence. And, in that last game, the Wizards were upset, at home, 130-122, by the Cleveland Cavaliers. But NBA teams generally bounce back from upset losses at home, if they scored a lot of points in that upset loss. Indeed, teams off a home upset loss have cashed 67% since 1990 if they scored 120+ points, and are now matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Take the Wizards. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Heat +5.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Clippers. We played on Miami on Friday, and got the cash when they lost, but covered against Denver. And that pointspread win extended Miami's record to 27-13 its last 40 as road underdogs! The Clippers were upset here at home yesterday by Memphis. And, unfortunately for Los Angeles, unrested home teams, with a winning record, off an upset home loss, have cashed just 29.4% since 1990 vs. losing teams. And the Heat are a fantastic 25-13 ATS on the road when rested, and playing against an unrested foe. Take Miami + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over New Orleans. These two teams are going in opposite directions, as Tampa Bay is 2-5, and is on an 0-5-1 ATS losing streak, while New Orleans is 5-2, and has covered its last five games. Of course, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Saints, and against the "cold" Bucs. But (as faithful followers might guess), that generally would be the wrong move. Indeed, since 1980, NFL favorites off 5+ ATS wins have covered just 16% ATS vs. foes off 5+ ATS losses! Also, New Orleans is a dreadful 39-78 ATS at home when not getting 6+ points, if they're playing an opponent off a SU loss (including 11-34 ATS vs. division rivals). Take the Buccaneers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Broncos +8 v. Eagles | Top | 23-51 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Philly. It's true that the Eagles are red-hot, with six straight wins and five straight covers, including 34-24 and 33-10 blowout wins in their last two games. And it's also true that Denver's offense has faltered lately, with three straight losses by scores of 23-10, 21-0, and 29-19. But such streaks often create value in going against the hot team. And Philly falls into a negative 40% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on 6-game win streaks (and 3-game ATS wins streaks). And NFL teams off back to back losses where they scored 23 or less points combined in their previous two games, are a solid 65-42 ATS as underdogs vs. foes off 2 wins that scored 58+ points combined in those two victories. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Bengals +6.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Jacksonville. These two teams each played the Colts in their last game. Jacksonville defeated Indy two weeks ago, 27-0 (and then had a Bye week), while Cincy barely got by Indy last Sunday, 24-23. The fact that Cincy struggled vs. Indy, while Jacksonville blew Indy out has motivated a lot of bettors to plunk down money on the Jaguars this week. But we'll go the other way, and take the points with the Bengals. Indeed, the Jaguars have only been favored by more than three points once this season. It was at the NY Jets, and we took the points with the Jets that game, and cashed when the Jets covered. Moreover, the last time the Jaguars have been favored by this many points was December 26, 2010 -- almost 7 years ago -- and they lost outright to the Redskins! And Jacksonville is 0-7 ATS its last seven when favored by 6+ points. Take Cincy. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Colts +7 v. Texans | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Houston. Deshaun Watson sustained a season-ending ACL injury in practice, on Thursday, so ex-Pitt Panther QB Tom Savage will get the start for Houston. Savage actually started on Opening Day vs. Jacksonville, and was sacked six times in the first half, before giving way to Watson in the 2nd half. His stats in that half of football were 7-for-13, for 62 yards passing, and two fumbles! Houston was scoreless in that first half (and ended up losing, 29-7). That doesn't bode well for the Texans on Sunday. And the Colts also fall into a 236-147 ATS sytem of mine. Take Indianapolis. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the NY Giants + the points over the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams weren't expected to be this good, while the Giants weren't expected to be this bad. But the NFL is often a topsy-turvy league, so here we are, in Week 9, and the Rams are favored on the road vs. New York. But the last time the Rams were favored by this many points on the road was over 12 years ago -- September 11, 2005 -- when the laid 7 points to San Francisco. And they lost outright, 28-25. Indeed, the Rams have lost outright each of the last three times they were installed as a road favorite of -4+ points (including once as a 12-point favorite). And they're 3-12 ATS when priced as a favorite (whether at home or on the road) of -3 to -6 points. Finally, rested home dogs (like New York) with a .333 (or worse) W/L percentage, are a super 47-27 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take the Giants. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Colorado v. Arizona State -3.5 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Colorado. We played against Todd Graham's men last week, and got the $$$ when USC blew out the Sun Devils, 48-17. But we'll switch gears, and take ASU on this Saturday, as it falls into 90-42 and 78-31 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses. Additionally, the Sun Devils are a fantastic 26-12-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes when not favored by 5+ points, if they're off a loss. And they're also a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS vs. the Buffaloes here in Tempe. Meanwhile, Colorado is a money-burning 10-23 ATS as a road underdog priced from +2.5 to +17.5 points. Take Arizona State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Central Florida v. SMU +14.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Central Florida. The Knights are 7-0 after thrashing Austin Peay last week, 73-33, and are now alone in first place in the American Athletic Conference's East Division (after South Florida was defeated by Houston). Central Florida is also just one of five remaining undefeated teams. But this will be a tougher-than-expected test against a 6-2 SMU squad. The Mustangs have also gone 5-3 ATS this year. And home dogs of more than 6 points, with a winning record (both straight-up and ATS), are 32-7 ATS since 1992 vs. undefeated teams with a 7-0 (or better) record. Additionally, the home team has covered five straight games in this series. Take SMU. American Athletic Conf. Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Kings +8.5 v. Pistons | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Detroit. The Kings have a big scheduling advantage tonight, as they've been off the past two nights, while Detroit is playing without rest after its 9-point win vs. Milwaukee yesterday. We'll grab the points with Sacramento, as underdogs of +7 or more points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, that had (at least) the two previous nights off, are 94-55 ATS since 1980 vs. foes that didn't have the previous two nights off. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Colorado State -4 v. Wyoming | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Wyoming. Last week, Colorado State was favored by 10 points vs. Air Force, but was upset 45-28, so it failed to cover the spread by 27 points. Meanwhile, Wyoming blew out New Mexico, 42-3, as a 2.5-point favorite. So, it covered by 36.5 points. Overall, Wyoming has gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS its last five, while Colo St is on a 3-game ATS losing streak. It may look tempting to take the points with the home dog Cowboys, but be careful, as home dogs that covered their previous game by more than 26 points are a poor 28% over the past 30 years vs. foes off a pointspread loss of more than 26 points. Even better for the Rams: they're 19-7 ATS their last 26 road games, including 9-1 vs. .625 (or better) foes, and 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 7 or less points. Take Colorado State in a blowout. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | South Carolina +24 v. Georgia | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Georgia. The Bulldogs are off a 42-7 blowout of Florida, and ranked #1 in the country, but I expect a very tough game in Athens, on Saturday. South Carolina has won three straight, and has held their last three foes (Arkansas, Tennessee, Vandy) to no more than 120 rushing yards. It's also giving up less than 20 ppg on the season. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs fall into one of their worst pointspread roles, as they have covered just 28 of 85 home games off an SEC Conference win, including 1-9 ATS when priced from -18.5 to -24 points. Even better for South Carolina: undefeated teams, with an 8-0 (or better) record, that covered the spread by 20+ points in their previous game, are an awful 1-15 ATS when priced from -7.5 to -28 points vs. conference foes. Take the Gamecocks. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Clemson v. NC State +7.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Clemson. NC State lost, 35-14, to an excellent Notre Dame squad last week, but I love it to rebound here, at home, vs. ACC rival Clemson, on Saturday, as NC State falls into a revenge system of mine which is 73-32 ATS since 1980. Moreover, the Wolfpack are 82.3% ATS the last 38 years as a home dog vs. conference foes, if NC State lost its previous game on the road SU/ATS. Take the Wolfpack. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Army +6 v. Air Force | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Air Force. Army will look to snap its four-game losing streak to its rival on Saturday. And Army will have a big advantage in that it had last week off to rest and prepare. The Knights won their fourth straight game their last time out, a 31-28 victory vs. Temple. And Army's now won nine of their last 11 games -- a hot streak not seen in Army football in over 20 years (since it won 11 straight games across the 1995 and 1996 seasons). Air Force is also coming into this game on a win streak, as it's won its last three, including an upset win as a double-digit dog at Colorado State last Saturday. Unfortunately for the Falcons, unrested favorites of 7 or less points, off upset wins as a dog of +7.5 (or more) points, are an awful 14% ATS since 1980 vs. rested foes off a win. And Air Force is 1-8 ATS its last nine as a favorite of 7 or less points off an upset win. Take Army. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Iowa State. We played on the Cyclones last week in their upset win over then-undefeated TCU, as a 7.5-point underdog. Iowa State is now 6-2, and ranked #15 in the country. Unfortunately, .666 (or better) underdogs, off wins over undefeated teams with a 5-0 (or better) record, have cashed a paltry 33% the past 38 years vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. With the Mountaineers, indeed, off a SU/ATS loss to Okie State, we'll take West Virginia as the small home favorite on Saturday. Lay it. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Syracuse v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
At 12:20 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoies minus the points over Syracuse. The Seminoles are mired in a horrible year, as they were upset, 35-3, on the road vs. Boston College last Friday. And FSU is also now 0-6-1 ATS! The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the Seminoles, especially since Syracuse is 5-0-1 ATS its last six games. But consider that .500 (or better) NCAA teams (like Syracuse) on a 5-game (or better) ATS win streak have covered just 15.3% of the time since 1980 vs. a foe with a worse W/L percentage, which was also on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. That doesn't bode well for Syracuse on Saturday. And neither does the fact that ATS winless teams (like FSU) are a perfect 10-0 ATS (at Game 8 forward) as a home favorite, priced from -3.5 to -13.5 in conference games. Additionally, FSU falls into 84-32, 88-29 and 52-15 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off losses. Take Florida State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-03-17 | Heat +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Denver Nuggets. Miami won, but failed to cover the pointspread, in its previous game -- a 6-point victory over Chicago. And it was upset by the New York Knicks in its game before that. But the Heat are a super 106-79 ATS on the road under coach Erik Spoelstra if they lost against the spread in their previous game. And they're also 10-0 ATS on the road in their last 10 off back to back ATS defeats, and 26-13 their last 39 as road underdogs! Finally, the Heat fall into a 284-203 ATS system of mine. Take the points with Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-03-17 | Marshall +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 25-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
At 6:00 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over Florida Atlantic. The Herd stumbled last Saturday when they lost, 41-30, at home, as a 15-point favorite to Florida International. But Marshall had won its five previous games before that, and has covered five of seven on the season. This week, Marshall will travel to play the Owls, and it's a critical game, as the two teams are separated by just one game atop the Conference USA East Division standings. We'll grab the points with Marshall, as it falls into 51-15, 61-8 and 83-34 ATS "bounce-back" systems of mine that play on certain teams off upset losses. Moreover, the Owls are 3-12-1 ATS their last 16 home games, including 0-4 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss. And they're 5-19-1 ATS their last 25 as a favorite of less than 14 points (including 1-9 ATS vs. foes off a loss). Take Marshall. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-02-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +7 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Golden State Warriors. The Spurs have played this season without Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker. After winning their first four games, they've dropped their last three (all on the road). They now return home to the Alamo City, where they have gone 70-13 straight-up and 46-35-2 ATS at home in the regular season off a loss. Last year, these two teams met in the Playoffs, and the Spurs were swept 4 games to none by the Warriors. But one of the things I love to do is play on certain teams with revenge from a Playoff series defeat the previous year. And the Spurs fall into my very best Playoff revenge angle, which is 30-1 ATS since 1991. Moreover, San Antonio lost its last game by 14 points to Boston. But it's 37-18 ATS in the regular season at home off a loss by 14+ points, including 17-3 ATS when not favored by more than 5 points. Take San Antone. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-02-17 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo -8 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Northern Illinois. Both of these teams come into tonight's game with identical 4-0 Mid-American Conference records, so this game will go a long way toward determining the West Division's representative in the MAC Championship game next month. Toledo blew out Ball State last week, 58-17, and is 11-1 ATS its last 12 off a win by 17+ points, including 8-0 ATS as a favorite. And it's 29-7 ATS as a favorite of less than 21 points after cover the spread in its previous game by 8+ points. Finally, home teams off a SU/ATS win, that average more than 38.63 ppg on offense (thru the season's first 7 games), are 173-106 ATS in the regular season in the past 25 years. Take Toledo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Kings +13 v. Celtics | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Boston. After covering their first two games to kick off the season, the Kings have lost their last five games -- both SU and ATS. But the Kings now fall into a 284-200 ATS system of mine. Meanwhile, the Celts are on a 5-game win streak, but are a poor 3-18 ATS when they've won their previous four games. Take Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -10 | Top | 124-107 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana. The Cavaliers have dropped three straight games, and now own a losing record, at 3-4 on the season. I love them to bounce back tonight, as LeBron James' teams have cashed 72% in his career as home favorites off back to back losses when matched up against foes off back to back wins. Take Cleveland. |
Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-02-17 | Suns +13 v. Celtics | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
12-02-17 | Georgia Southern v. Costal Carolina +2 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
12-01-17 | Illinois v. Northwestern -6 | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
12-01-17 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
12-01-17 | Wolves v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 107-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
12-01-17 | Warriors -11 v. Magic | Top | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
11-30-17 | Northern Arizona v. Santa Clara -13.5 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
11-29-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
11-29-17 | Northern Colorado +4.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 51-56 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
11-29-17 | Duke v. Indiana +11.5 | Top | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
11-29-17 | Evansville v. New Mexico -3 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
11-29-17 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -23 | Top | 56-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
11-29-17 | Thunder -6 v. Magic | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
11-28-17 | South Dakota State v. Ole Miss -8.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
11-28-17 | Heat +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
11-27-17 | Texans v. Ravens -7 | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
11-26-17 | Portland State v. Stanford -6 | Top | 87-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams -1.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
11-26-17 | St. Joe's -15 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
11-25-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +17.5 | Top | 31-0 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 31 m | Show |
11-24-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wisconsin -16.5 | Top | 49-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
11-24-17 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia +7.5 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -130 | 62 h 18 m | Show |
11-24-17 | Western Michigan v. Toledo -13 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 54 h 49 m | Show |
11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
11-22-17 | Detroit v. St. Louis -11 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
11-22-17 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
11-22-17 | Raptors v. Knicks +4.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
11-22-17 | NC State v. Arizona -14 | Top | 90-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
11-21-17 | Bowling Green +13.5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
11-20-17 | Cavs -2 v. Pistons | Top | 116-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Marshall v. Illinois -13.5 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders +7.5 | Top | 33-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Bengals v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
11-19-17 | South Carolina v. Western Michigan +9 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Redskins +8 v. Saints | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 88 h 49 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Cardinals v. Texans -2 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Jaguars v. Browns +8 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Warriors -8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Arizona University v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 40 h 46 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Army v. North Texas -2.5 | Top | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Maryland v. Michigan State -15.5 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 7 m | Show |
11-18-17 | UAB v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 77 h 56 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Navy v. Notre Dame -17.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 49 m | Show |
11-18-17 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern +5 | Top | 0-52 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Rice v. Old Dominion -8 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 57 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 73 h 6 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Virginia +19 v. Miami-FL | Top | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 3 m | Show |
11-17-17 | Fresno State v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 75-83 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
11-16-17 | Warriors -7 v. Celtics | Top | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
11-16-17 | Buffalo v. Ball State +20 | Top | 40-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 52 m | Show |
11-16-17 | Illinois State v. South Carolina -10 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
11-14-17 | NC-Wilmington v. Davidson -11 | Top | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
11-13-17 | Wolves -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
11-12-17 | Raptors -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Arizona State v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 52 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Nets v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Grizzlies v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +14 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 43 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Florida State +16 v. Clemson | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 21 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Virginia v. Louisville -11.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -16 | Top | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Texas Tech -7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Rutgers v. Penn State -31 | Top | 6-35 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 39 m | Show |
11-10-17 | Hornets +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
11-10-17 | Hawks +9 v. Pistons | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
11-10-17 | Temple v. Cincinnati +3 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
11-09-17 | 76ers v. Kings +7 | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
11-09-17 | Cavs +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
11-09-17 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -17.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
11-08-17 | Knicks v. Magic -5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +4 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
11-07-17 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -7.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
11-06-17 | Nets +1 v. Suns | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Raiders -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Celtics v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 104-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Wizards +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Heat +5.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Broncos +8 v. Eagles | Top | 23-51 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Bengals +6.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Colts +7 v. Texans | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Colorado v. Arizona State -3.5 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Central Florida v. SMU +14.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Kings +8.5 v. Pistons | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Colorado State -4 v. Wyoming | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
11-04-17 | South Carolina +24 v. Georgia | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Clemson v. NC State +7.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Army +6 v. Air Force | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Syracuse v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
11-03-17 | Heat +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
11-03-17 | Marshall +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 25-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
11-02-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +7 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
11-02-17 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo -8 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
11-01-17 | Kings +13 v. Celtics | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
11-01-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -10 | Top | 124-107 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show |