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Carlo Campanella NFL Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-03-10 | Chicago Bears v. New York Giants OVER 44 | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
The Giants (1-2) host an undefeated Chicago Bears (3-0) squad on Sunday Night Football while trying to avoid losing their 3rd straight loss, after winning their season opener over Carolina. They enter this off back-to-back losses, including a 10-29 home loss last Sunday to Tennessee. Expect QB Eli Manning and company to put some points on the board in front of a home crowd as we find them going "Over" in EVERY GAME (6-0 Over/Under) after being held to 10 points or less in their previous game since the 2005 NFL season. while those six games ended with an average of 55 combined points scored and ALL 6 games ending with at least 45 points scored (Note: 45, 51, 55, 59, 62 & 62 points scored).
10* Play On OVER (Chicago/NY Giants) |
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09-26-10 | New York Jets v. Miami Dolphins OVER 35 | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show |
The NY Jets (1-1) head to Miami (2-0) unexpectedly trailing the Dolphins in the Division race, as it was the Jets that just missed going to the Super Bowl by one game last season. However, the Dolphins won and covered the spread in both meetings last season, which is not surprising as Miami QB Henne is now 6-1 ATS in Division games. While the Jets are known for the stout defense, last year's 2 meetings ended going "Over" the Total, with 55 and 58 combined points scored! That's trouble for a Jets squad that already lost starting Nose Tackle Jenkins and now saw star CB Reavis pull a hamstring last week. Reavis is the Jets best man-to-man coverage back and without him, they must change schemes into a zone, especially to cover leading Dolphins WR Marshall. This will be Miami's home opener after 2 low scoring road victories, but expect a higher scoring game as we find the Fish going "Over" in 6 of 7 games as home Favorites after back-to-back road games and 16-6 (Over/Under) at home off a road win as Dogs.
10* Play On OVER (JETS/MIAMI) |
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09-20-10 | New Orleans Saints v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 44 | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
New Orleans returned to win their season opener at home, successfully defending their Super Bowl title off during last Thursday's 14-9 victory over Minnesota, winning a rematch of the NFC title game. While they walked away at 1-0, the Saints scored their fewest points in a win in Sean Payton's 4 seasons as Head Coach. New Orleans finished the game with 308 total yards, about 100 yards below their league-best average of 403.8 during the 2009 season. However, it was their first game in 7 months and they faced a very tough Viking's defensive unit, but QB Breese still managed to completed a very impressive 27 of 36 (75%) passes! Things should be easier against a 49ers crew that allowed 31 points to Seattle (lost 31-7) last Sunday, especially knowing that QB Breese is Brees is 4-0 against the Niners, passing for 1,221 yards, 10 touchdowns & only 2 Interceptions in the last four meetings. Playing the "Over" as these Saints have now gone "Over" in 10 of 11 (91%) games when playing a team that has not won a game yet that season (Week #1 games not included).
10* Play On OVER (Saints @ 49ers) |
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09-19-10 | New York Giants v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 48 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
The Colts opened their year with a 34-24 loss to Houston, marking just the 3rd time in the past 10 seasons that Indianapolis opened their year with a loss behind QB Peyton Manning. With QB Manning at the controls these Colts have always been an offensive minded club, but their defense showed how much work it needed when allowing 34 points and 257 rushing yards to Division foe Houston, who they had beaten 6 straight games since 2007. With the Colts needing a victory to avoid an 0-2 start, which has not happened in the past 10 years, they'll depend on QB Manning and company to trade points with a NY Giants squad that look solid while putting up 31 points against Carolina last Sunday. This Sunday Night game will fly over the Total as we find the Colts going "Over" in 15 of 19 games following a loss to a Division opponent.
10* Play On OVER (NY Giants @ Indianapolis) |
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09-13-10 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 42 h 4 m | Show |
Kansas City won 4 games last season, which doubled their 2 wins in 2008 behind new HC Todd Haley, GM Scott Pioli and QB Matt Cassel. With a full season under their belts, the "big 3" are feeling much more comfortable in their roles with the Chiefs and expect more improvement during 2010, including the addition of 1st round Safety Eric Berry. The Chiefs host division rival San Diego on Monday Night Football and it's important the "big 3" to put forth a good showing at home in front of a national TV audience and and they know exactly what to expect from QB Philip Rivers and company. We find Kansas City at an incredible 1-16 (Over/Under) in their first home game of the season, including solid efforts since 2005, with those 5 games ending with a combined Final scores of just 23, 31, 23, 33 and 30 combined points.
10* Play On UNDER (SD @ KC) |
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09-12-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins UNDER 40 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features an NFC East Division rivalry, as Washington hosts Dallas. The Cowboys enter as the reigning NFC East champs, winning their first Playoff game in 13 years last season and return 20 of 22 starters from that squad. Dallas Head Coach Wade Phillips enters his 4th season as Head Cowboy and has gone "Under" in his previous 3 road trips to Washington. Those 3 games have all been defensive battles, ending with 17 (17-0), 24 (14-10), and 33 (27-6) Total Points Scored. No reason for anything to change in front of a national television audience, especially as Washington begins their first campaign under former Broncos Head Coach, Mike Shanahan and former Eagles QB, Donovan McNabb and 8 other signed Free Agents. While Shanahan will no doubt improve this Redskins team, it won't happen overnight and Washington opened last season by scoring 17 points or less in their first 8 games. Sunday Night Football begins with a low-scoring Under.
10* Play on UNDER (Dallas@Washington) |