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Carlo Campanella NCAA-B Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-28-14 | Tennessee +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 79 h 43 m | Show |
Tennessee is playing their best basketball of the season right now, winning 8 of their last 9 games, including 3 straight wins, with their only loss coming against #1 seeded Florida by 7 points, 56-49. They'll face the Big Ten's Michigan Wolverines on Friday in the Elite 8 round on a neutral court in Indianapolis. This Tennessee squad has already beaten some of the best teams in the Big Ten, including a 13-point win over Iowa on March 19th. Michigan hasn't beaten much to advance to the Elite 8, getting an easy draw of Wofford followed by Texas. Must play on the "hot hand" of Tennessee, who's 7-1 ATS since March 1st and underrated by the betting public despite winning their Sweet 16 game in blowout fashion by 20 points, 83-63, over Mercer last Sunday.
20* Play On Tennessee |
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03-27-14 | Dayton v. Stanford -3 | Top | 82-72 | Loss | -106 | 55 h 28 m | Show |
Stanford heads to the Elite 8 winning 5 of their last 6 games with their only loss coming against UCLA, who has also advanced to this Elite 8 round. Stanford won their first 2 Tourney games over New Mexico and Kansas both in the Dog role. They won those 2 games behind a stingy defense, holding both of those foes to below 59 points and just 32% & 36% shooting from the field. Now they'll be favored on Thursday as they step down in class to face #11 seeded Dayton. During the season, these squads played several "common opponents," with Stanford posting a 3-1 SU record and Dayton posting 1-1 SU record against those common teams. Stanford has played a quality schedule and beaten some tough Tourney teams this season, including Kansas, UCLA & Oregon while only losing by 3 points to Michigan & Arizona- both still alive in the Elite 8 round. Expect that experience to get them through an over-match Dayton squad.
20* Play On Stanford |
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03-26-14 | San Diego v. Pacific -3 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 36 h 40 m | Show |
These teams met twice during the regular season, with each team winning on the road while pulling the upset on the other team's court. Pacific won the first meeting 84-67 at Pacific on February 1st and then San Diego won on the road, 70-55, on February 15th. They meet for the 3rd time on Wednesday for the College Insider Tourney Quarterfinal and they'll play at Pacific College. Pacific has won 3 of their last 4 games, including 2 straight wins heading into Wednesday's Quarterfinal. Expect Pacific to get the home win this 3rd meeting as they're 9-5 SU at home this season and 8-0 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss as a home favorite.
20* Play On Pacific |
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03-23-14 | Kentucky v. Wichita State -5 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This Wichita State team showed they were for real when beating Cal Poly by 27 points, 64-37, in their first Tourney game and improving to an UNDEFEATED 35-0 this season! This is nothing new for this Wichita State squad as they haven't just won 35 straight games, they've rolled over their foes, winning their last 10 games ALL by double digits- 27, 14, 25, 22, 23, 20, 29, 14, 16 & 11 point victories since February 11th. Taking a step up in class to face Kentucky won't be a problem as it would take a lot to break this squad's confidence as they're 6-0 ATS in a NCAA tournament games since last year! They'll meet on a neutral court in ST. Louis, but Wichita State might be the best "road warriors" in College Basketball, going 18-0 SU and a money stacking 17-1 ATS away from home this season! It's our last chance to load up on Wichita State because the betting public, and Oddsmakers, will know everything about them after beating an experienced Tourney team like Kentucky.
20* Play On Wichita State |
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03-22-14 | Connecticut v. Villanova -3.5 | Top | 77-65 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
Both teams won their first Tourney game, with U Conn beating St. Joes in Over-Time, 89-81, and Villanova winning impressively by 20 points, 73-53, over Wisconsin- Milwaukee while covering the 16 point spread as double digit favorites. That victory moves Villanova to 11-2 SU during their last 13 games and 6 of their last 7 overall. They'll face U Conn on Saturday on a neutral court in Buffalo, New York knowing that they already defeated them by 9 points this season on Connecticut's own court back on February 16th. While already winning on U Conn's home court, the neutral court shouldn't change anything as this Villanova are road warriors, posting a 14-3 SU & 11-6 ATS record away from home this year. Lay the lumber with Villanova as they'll sweep this series against U Conn this season on Saturday knowing that U Conn is a money burning 3-11 ATS on the road after a non-conference game.
20* Play On Villanova |
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03-21-14 | Kansas State v. Kentucky -6 | Top | 49-56 | Win | 100 | 52 h 59 m | Show |
Kentucky heads into the Tourney playing their best basketball of the year while winning 3 of their last 5 games with both losses coming against #1-seeded Florida, including a 1 point loss last Sunday. They'll play their Tourney opener against a Kansas State squad that backed into the Tourney losing it's final 3 games (0-3 SU & ATS) in their Big 12 Conference Tourney. Those 3 losses came against Okie State, Baylor and Iowa State. They step up in class to play a more talented Kentucky crew knowing that they're 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS as Dogs of 3.5 points or more this season. Kentucky is averaging 76 points per game this season and shooting 45.1% as a team from the field and they'll have no trouble putting point on the board against a K-State defense that's allowed 72 points or more in 9 of their last 13 games, including a 91-85 loss in their last game last Thursday against Iowa State. Lay the lumber against a K-State squad that's a money burner in the Dog role and just 5-13 ATS against teams making 45% or better of their shots.
20* Play On Kentucky |
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03-20-14 | Manhattan v. Louisville -16 | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 33 m | Show |
Louisville opens their NCAA Tourney on Thursday in Orlando, Florida against Manhattan. It's the perfect draw for Louisville, who is one of the hottest teams in College basketball, heading into the Madness on a 12-1 SU winning streak, including 5 STRAIGHT wins both SU & ATS (5-0 SU & ATS). Louisville is 2-0 SU & ATS against Manhattan, including a dominating performance the last time these two teams met in November of 2012 when winning by 28 points, 79-51. They led at the Half by 9 points and held Manhattan to just 35% shooting from the field while forcing 27 turnovers. Louisville has been rolling over every one in their path this season as well, winning their last 5 games by 10, 13, 29, 33 and 61 points! Expect a huge effort in their opening Tourney game knowing that they're 20-6 ATS on neutral courts the past 3 seasons. Lay the big number with one of the best crews in College hoops.
20* Play On Louisville |
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03-18-14 | Mount Saint Mary's v. Albany NY -2 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
Albany heads into this Tuesday NCAA Tourney game playing their best basketball of the season. They're 6-1 during their last seven games, including winning 3 STRAIGHT games both SU & ATS. Albany is winning with stringy defensive play, holding 6 of their last 7 opponents to 63 points or less! They'll face Mount St Marys on a neutral court in Dayton, Ohio on Tuesday knowing that St. Marys has struggled away from their own court this season- They're 10-3 SU at home, but own a money burning 6-13 SU road record! While these teams have not met this season, Albany has posted a 2-0 SU & ATS against Mount Saint Marys during the last two meetings. In fact, they have played 3 "common" opponents this year, with Mount St Marys going 1-2 SU in those game while Albany went 4-2 SU against those "common" foes. On a neutral court we're backing the red-hot Albany team and expect their tough defensive play to be too much for an outgunned Mount St. Marys.
20* Play On Albany |
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03-16-14 | Kentucky v. Florida -5.5 | Top | 60-61 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Florida swept the season series, winning on the road at Kentucky by 10 points, 69-59, and on their own court by 19 points, 84-65, just a week ago on March 8th. Both teams meet Sunday with no rest and each will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days. Kentucky does comes off a 70-58 victory over Georgia as 8 point favorites on Saturday, but they're not in good current form, heading into Sunday on a 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS losing skid. They'll face a Gator crew that also won on Saturday when beating a red-hot Tennessee squad, 56-49, and improving to a solid 14-2 SU away from home this season. With Florida the HOTTEST team in College basketball after making it 24 STRAIGHT wins on Saturday, we'll lay the points as everything points to them notching their 25th in-a-row on Sunday against a Kentucky squad that they're already 2-0 SU & ATS this year and handily defeated by 10 and 19 points and should have no trouble on a neutral court.
20* Play On Florida |
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03-15-14 | Ohio State v. Michigan -3 | Top | 69-72 | Push | 0 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Michigan swept their Big Ten rival Ohio State this season, beating them by 10 points at Ohio State in their last meeting on February 11th and by 2 points at home back on February 5th. They meet for the 3rd time on a neutral court in Indianapolis, but that won't help OSU to turn the tables on Saturday. Ohio State is 7-5 SU on the road, however, they lost their last 2 road games both straight-up and against-the-spread (0-2 SU & ATS) just two weeks ago at Penn State and Indiana, also Big Ten Conference foes. Michigan heads into Saturday's meeting ON FIRE, winning 5 STRAIGHT and 6 of their last 7 games- all against Conference teams! Laying the short number with Michigan as they'll dominate OSU in the Semifinals Saturday as they're 21-9 ATS on a neutral court as favorites of 6 points or less behind Head Coach Beilein.
20* Play On Michigan |
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03-14-14 | South Carolina v. Tennessee -9.5 | Top | 44-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
Tennessee is rolling over their opponents in the SEC Conference Tourney, beating Missouri Saturday by 27 points, 72-45, after beating Auburn by 28 points, 82-54. With 27 & 28 point victories in the first two rounds, Tennessee faces a South Carolina team that they already beat SU & ATS in BOTH meetings this season- Winning at home by 19 points and in S. Carolina by 5 points- are are now 4-0 SU & ATS during the last four meetings. In this year's two wins, they dominated on defense in both games, holding South Carolina to just 39% & 35% shooting from the field, which is well below their season average of 41.8% shooting as a team. This 3rd meeting between these teams will be played on a neutral court in Atlanta and South Carolina's offense has struggled away from home this year, owning a 4-12 SU road record and losing by an average of 8 points per game! Expect nothing to change on Friday as Tennessee has held their SEC Conference Tourney opponents to only 54 & 45 points and just 37% and 31% shooting from the field in the first 2 Tourney games. Backing a very stingy Tennessee defense.
20* Play On Tennessee |
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03-13-14 | Penn State v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
The Big Ten Conference Tourney tips off Thursday and Minnesota gets Penn State in the 1st round. It's a great draw for Minnesota, as they're 4-0 SU & ATS during the last four meetings, including 2-0 SU & ATS this season while winning on the road at Penn State by 3 points and on their own court by 18 points! They match-up very well on the court with Penn State and shut down the Penn State offense in both games, holding them to 40% & 38% shooting from the field. Thursday's meeting will be played on a neutral court in Indianapolis, and everything points to Minnesota sweeping this series.
20* Play On Minnesota |
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03-12-14 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech -1 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Georgia Tech swept the season series over Boston College while winning by 3 points at home and by 8 points on the road. Boston College could NOT stop G-Tech's offense in either game, allowing them to shoot better than 50% in BOTH games this season. This 3rd meeting will be played on Wednesday for the 1st round of the ACC Conference Tourney on a neutral court in North Carolina. Moving to a neutral court won't help Boston College earn their first win over G-Tech this season as they're just 4-14 SU away from home this year, including a a 10 point road loss at North Carolina State on Sunday and we find them at 0-7 ATS after a double digit road loss this season. Boston College heads into this game on a 2-9 losing skid and that losing will continue Wednesday as they're a money burning 0-7 ATS on the road in the 3rd game of a series when playing with "double revenge" from back-to-back losses in the series.
20* Play On Georgia Tech |