Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-15-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
Friday features Game #6 in this series with Golden State leading 3 to 2 and can send Memphis home for the year with a victory. ALL 5 of the games already played in this series have gone Under the Total, especially Gam3 #5, as Golden State clamped down on defense while winning, 98-78, at home and holding Memphis below 40% shooting from the field for the 2nd straight game. Golden State is the #1 seed in the Western Conference and was expected to roll through Memphis, but this has been a tough series as it was tied up, 2 to 2, after 4 games. Golden State has finally realized that they are no lock to win this series and have focused on defense the past two games- With a win ending this series for Golden State, expect them to stay defensive-minded and have a 6th STRAIGHT Under in this Playoff series. My personal NBA Total System tells us that 2nd Round Playoff Game #6s are usually the lowest scoring game in the series! |
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05-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 192.5 | Top | 94-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show |
My personal NBA Total System told us that Game #5s during Round 2 games with the series tied 2-2 are the highest scoring games in the series and to play the Over. That's exactly what happened in Monday's Game #5 when the Cavs beat the Bulls, 106-101. In that game the Cavs shot 50.6% from the field leading to the highest scoring game in the series and the highest shooting percentage allowed by the Bulls during this postseason. With the Bulls trailing the series 2 to 3 and in a "win or go home" situation, we're expecting a low scoring, defensive minded game for Thursday's Game #6. |
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05-13-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 195.5 | Top | 78-98 | Win | 100 | 34 h 25 m | Show |
Memphis had their 2 game winning streak snapped by Golden State in Game #4, with Golden State winning 101-84 to tie this Playoff series up 2 to 2. Wednesday's Game #5 heads back to Golden State, but expect Memphis to clamp down on defense after allowing the Warriors to shoot a series-high 47.5% from the field and put up 101 points. We find Memphis at 3-14 Over/Under after a loss in which they allowed 100 points or more this season, including 0-2 Over/Under in the Playoffs! With Memphis already going Under in 7 of their 9 Playoff games this postseason and Golden State posting a 1-7 Over/Under record during the postseason, we're expecting this tied series to be a closely played, defensive-minded Game #5. |
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05-12-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 191 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
After Game #2 and Game #3 both went Over the Total, Sunday's Game #4 was the lowest scoring game of this series when the Cavs won 86-84 to tie up this Playoff series at 2 to 2. Cleveland's Game #4 victory was just the 3rd time this season where the Cavs won a game while scoring 89 points or less and we fine them at 2-0 Over/Under in their next game. My personal NBA Totals System tells us to play the OVER in Playoff Game #5's that are ties 2-2 in Round, as they are often the highest scoring game in that Playoff series! |
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05-11-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 196 | Top | 101-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
Memphis pulled the upset in Game #3 as home Dogs, winning 99-89 and taking a 2 to 1 lead in this Playoff series. Monday's Game #4 remains in Memphis, but Golden State finds themselves in a "must win" situation and expect them to clamp down on defense tonight. Combine that with the fact that Memphis is 1-11 Over/Under after an outright victory as a Dog in their previous game and we're backing the Under in Game #4. While these two teams are known for their high powered offenses, we find Memphis posting a 2-6 Over/Under in their 8 Playoff games this season while Golden State is 2-5 Over/Under during the postseason. All 3 games in this Playoff series have gone Under the Total and my personal NBA Playoff System tells us to play the Under again in Game #4. |
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05-10-15 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 217 | Top | 95-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
All 3 of the games already played in this series have gone Over the Total, with Final combined scored of 223 points (124-99), 224 (115-109) and 218 (117-101). Both of these teams have been offensive mined during the Playoffs this season, as the Rockets have posted a 7-2 Over/Under record while the Clipper's Playoff games have been 7-3 Over/Under the Total. With the Clippers needing a victory to end this series as they are leading this series, 3 to 0, heading into Sunday's Game #4 my NBA Playoff System tells us that Game #4 will fly Over the Total. |
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05-08-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 96-99 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
After losing Game #1 at home, Cleveland regrouped with a solid 15 point victory, 106-91, Game #2. With the series now tied, 1 to 1, Cleveland needs to win Friday's Game #3 on the road knowing that the next two games are on the road and they've lost their home court advantage. Don't make too much out of that Game #1 loss, as it was the 1st game that the Cavs played without Kevin Love and they were making adjustments, especially on defense, where Gasol was allowed to make some easy shots (21 points scored). The Cavs took Gasol out of Game #2 with a new game plan, holding him to just 11 points. The Bulls head home for Game #3 knowing that they're a money burning 1-11 ATS at home after playing back-to-back road games as a Dog behind HC Thibodeau. My NBA Playoff System that has never lost tells us to "Play On" Cleveland in Game #3. |
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05-06-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -6.5 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
Houston failed to take advantage of their home court advantage in Game #1, losing to the Clippers by 16 points, 117-101. They remain home for Wednesday's Game #2 and are in a "must win" situation as a loss would drop them to 0-2 in this series and playing the next to games on the road in LA. Instead, we're expecting favored Houston to rebound with a home victory in Game #2 knowing that they're a money making 12-1 ATS off a loss as a favorite this season, including a PERFECT 7-0 ATS if that loss was by 10 points or more! Lay the lumber on Wednesday as we find Houston owning an 8-1 ATS record at home when playing with revenge from a loss in the same season- that includes their impressive 9 point, 103-94, victory over Dallas in Game #5 when they ended their 1st Round Playoff series last week after losing Game #4 to the Mavericks. Rockets take off in Game #2. |
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05-04-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 | Top | 99-92 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
It took the Bulls 6 games to handle an out-matched Milwaukee team in Round #1. They won Game #6 by an impressive 120-66 final score on the road in Milwaukee. The Bulls are tired from that 6 game series and now head to Cleveland knowing that they're a money burning 6-18 ATS off a road win this season. Cleveland opens the second Round of Playoff action against a Cavs after resting the past week since sweeping Boston in 4 games when the series ended back on April 26th. These Cavs have won 3 of the last 4 games of the regular season of Chicago, winning by 5, 6 & 14 points. Cleveland hosts Monday's Game #1 where they're 33-10 on their own court this season. LeBron and company are well rested and take advantage of their home court advantage in Game #1. |
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05-03-15 | Washington Wizards +4.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
Atlanta is the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference, but it took them the full 7 games to take care of Brooklyn in the 1st Round. On Sunday they'll open Round #2 against a well rested Washington squad that swept Toronto, 4-0, and has been resting since their April 26th Game #4 victory. Washington was 4-0 SU & ATS in that first Round and head into the 2nd Round owning an 8-0 ATS record on the road during the Playoffs since last year's postseason! Washington has been playing GREAT defense, holding 6 of their last 7 foes to 98 points or less and expect another solid defensive effort against an Atlanta crew that's coming off a tiring 7 game series! |
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04-30-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
The LA Clippers find themselves trailing this series, 3-2, and having to play Thursday's Game #6 on the road in San Antonio. While it's a "must win" situation, as the Clippers end their season with a loss, it's not as bad as it seems as they're 27-16 away from home this season. In fact, these Clippers won Game #4 in San Antonio by 9 points. They'll try for another road win in this series after losing Game #5 at home, 107-111, and MUST TAKE the points knowing that they're 8-3 SU after a home loss! Clippers send it to a Game #7. |
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04-29-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies -5 | Top | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 32 h 25 m | Show |
Memphis returns home for Wednesday's Game #5 leading this Playoff series, 3-1, over Portland. Memphis had won 3 straight games to open this series before losing Game #4 in Portland. Their first two wins came at home in Memphis, where they won Game #1 by 14 points and Game #2 by 15 points. Memphis is now 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS during their last seven hosting Portland and expecting them to close out this Round #1 series on Wednesday with a similar performance to those double digit victories. Off that Game #4 loss at Portland, 92-99, we're laying the lumber with Memphis, who's a bankroll building 6-1 SU & ATS at home off a road loss this season. |
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04-26-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs -6 | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
After the Spurs opened the Playoffs with a 92-107 road loss, in a game where they shot just 36% as a team, which is their lowest offensive average in the last 6 weeks, they returned to easily take Game #2 in LA and then Game #3 at home. The Spurs now lead this series 2-1 and get home court advantage once again for Sunday's Game #4. They dominated at home in Game #3, winning by 27 points, 100-73. One of my strongest NBA Game #4 systems is to "play on" NBA home favorites that are leading a Playoff series. This is especially true for an experience, defending Champion squad like these Spurs will make the most of playing at home where they're 34-8 SU on their own court this year, including 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games. Knowing that Game #5 will be back on the road in LA, we're backing the Spurs to protect their series lead at home. |
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04-25-15 | Chicago Bulls -5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
The Bulls head into Saturday's Game #4 already posting a 3-0 SU & ATS record in the first three games in this Playoff series against Milwaukee. They won the first three games by 7, 9 & 12-points. With ALL of the pressure on Milwaukee- as a loss ends their season- there's no reason to think that these Bulls won't win by at least that much, or more, on Saturday. With #2 seeded Cleveland on deck, the Bulls will want to sweep this Round #1 series and get a few extra days of rest and preparation for LeBron and company in a much tougher Round #2. With Chicago 6-1 SU during their last seven trips to Milwaukee, let's lay the points in Game #4, their MOST important game they've played in Milwaukee during those previous 8 trips. |
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04-24-15 | Toronto Raptors +4 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 99-106 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
After losing BOTH Game #1 and Game #2 at home, Toronto trails this series 0-2 and finds themselves in a "must win" situation as they play the next two on the road in Washington. After taking two straight on the road, the public will be all over Washington on Friday as they'll now also get home court advantage, however, Washington has been better away from home as they're just 12-21 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. While a loss would drop Toronto to 0-3, the good news is that they're 4-1 SU & ATS during their last five trips to Washington. With Toronto needing the win, we're backing them knowing that they're a bank roll building 7-0 ATS on the road after playing back-to-back home games this season. |
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04-23-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -4 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
We cashed on Boston in Game #2 as I told you that after a double digit favorite covers the spread in Game #1 the second Playoff game is notoriously closer. Now, with Cleveland leading 2-0 and no pressure on them, they can open things up with ALL of the pressure on Boston, as a loss would drop them to 0-3 in this series. We love these favorites in Game #3 after not covering Game #2 and we're expecting a BLOWOUT effort from LeBron and company as they play at Boston on Thursday. Cleveland's a RED HOT 12-3 during their last 15 games, including 4 STRAIGHT wins heading into Thursday. Lay the lumber knowing that Boston is a money burning 3-11 ATS at home off 2 or more consecutive losses this season. |
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04-22-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 188.5 | Top | 82-97 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Sunday's Game #1 was won at home by Memphis, 100-86, just falling Under the posted Total of 189 by 3-points. The score at the Half was 58-39 (97) and the game looked like it was going to fly Over the Total, but then Portland "got cold," and ended the game shooting a terrible 33% from the field- well below their 45% season average! In Playoff games where the favorite won Game #1 and was not a double digit favorite, Game #2 is notoriously higher scoring and we're backing that trend knowing that Portland has allowed 5 STRAIGHT opponents to score 100 points or more and are 17-6 Over/Under as a road underdog this season. |
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04-21-15 | Boston Celtics +11 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
Word in Cleveland heading into Sunday's Game #1 was that LeBron James wanted his younger teammates, Irving and Love, who didn't have any Playoff experience to prove they could win in the postseason. While James laid back and put up 20-points, he let Irving score a game-high 30-points and Love to contribute 19-points more. That effort lead to an easy 13-point victory, 113-100, in Sunday's Game #1 in Cleveland. While the Cavs covered the 12-point spread, they only did so in the last few minutes of the game and were only leading 62-54 at the Half. Tuesday's Game #2 remains in Cleveland, but Game #2's in Round #1 of the Playoffs is notoriously much closer in games involving double digit favorites! There are many examples of this from last year's Playoffs, with the #2 seeded Heat opening the postseason with an easy 11-point victory over Charlotte, but then barley escaping Game #2, winning by only 4 points, 101-97. Even worse, #2 seeded Oklahoma City beat the Grizzlies in Game #1 by 14 points, only to lose Game #2 outright by 6 points in OT while allowing the Grizzlies to tie the series 1-1. MUST take the points with a Boston crew that out-shot Cleveland 48.6% to 45.1% from the field in Game #1, as well as a better Free Throw percentage, 82% to 79%. Cavs win Tuesday, but with a much closer Final score. |
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04-20-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +11 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
Golden State extended their current winning streak to 5 straight games after opening their postseason Saturday with a 7-point home win, 106-99, over New Orleans in Game #1. Golden State failed to cover the 12.5-point line, and the Vegas Oddsmakers have lowered the point spread for Monday's Game #2. That line drop isn't because Golden State didn't cover Game #1, but because Game #2 in the opening Playoff round is always a much closer in games involving double digit favorites! There are many examples of this from last year's Playoffs, with the #2 seeded Heat opening the postseason with an easy 11-point victory over Charlotte, but then barley escaping Game #2, winning by only 4 points, 101-97. Even worse, #2 seeded Oklahoma City beat the Grizzlies in Game #1 by 14 points, only to lose Game #2 outright by 6 points in OT while allowing the Grizzlies to tie the series 1-1. Doubt that Golden State will get upset at home where they own an NBA-leading 40-2 SU record, but we're taking the points with New Orleans as they keep Game #2 close to the final buzzer, especially knowing that they're a bankroll building 18-6 ATS after a road loss this season! |
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04-19-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies -4 | Top | 86-100 | Win | 100 | 74 h 39 m | Show |
Memphis gets exactly who they wanted to host in the first round as they host Portland for Sunday's Game #1. Memphis easily handled Portland during the regular season, beating them 4 straight meetings, including an 11-point home victory, 97-86, when they last met on March 21st. They won the other three meetings by 4, 6 & 13-points, both home and on the road in Portland twice. Memphis went 31-10 SU on their own court this season and will make the most of their home court advantage against a Portland crew that ended their year with back-to-back road losses, losing by double digits to both Oklahoma City and Dallas. With Portland owning a money burning 6-15 ATS record off a road loss this season and now staying on the road to open their postseason against a Memphis team that they're 0-4 SU & ATS against during the last four meetings, we're backing Memphis to open with an easy home victory. |
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04-18-15 | Dallas Mavericks +5.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -102 | 52 h 38 m | Show |
Dallas heads into Saturday's Game #1 in Houston on a 4-1 winning streak to end the regular season. During the regular season Dallas went 1-3 SU against these Rockets, beating them by 11-points in Dallas during their only win on February 20th, but their 3 losses were close battles, losing by only 3, 5 and 7-points. The Mavs are road Dogs for Saturday's Game #1, but are a veteran crew that knows the difference between the regular season and the Playoffs and have rewarded their backers with a 20-7 ATS record in the first round of the Playoffs behind HC Carlisle. Dallas took the World Champion Spurs to the full 7-games last season in the first round, losing the series 4-3. With 3 days of rest, expect this veteran Dallas crew to keep this game close and must take the points in Game #1. |
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04-13-15 | Detroit Pistons +7 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
After a slow start to the season, Cleveland has earned the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference. LeBron James is a veteran that's gained valuable postseason experience while winning Championships in Miami and he knows that the Playoffs are grueling and last several months! He's resting his body for the long postseason haul and the Cavs aren't the same team without his talent- and leadership- on the court. In fact, these Cavs have now lost back-to-back games without Lebron on the court, losing by 9-points on Friday and again on Sunday by 39-points, 117-78! Even worse, starting PG Irving (hip) and Kevin Love (resting) are both expected to miss most, or at least some, of Monday's game against Detroit. Expect limited minutes from Cleveland's "Big 3" on Monday with the Playoffs starting this weekend. Detroit has rewarded their backers with a 4-1 SU & ATS record during their last five trips to Cleveland and with only 3 days left in the regular season, the Cavs will be the same losing squad they were before James returned to Miami- a non-Playoff contender. |
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04-12-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Indiana Pacers -3.5 | Top | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Oklahoma City lost their leader, Kevin Durant, and Forward Serge Ibaka and have fallen apart since. They head to Indiana on a 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS losing skid in their last nine games, but have been terrible away from home while going 2-7 SU on the road since losing Durant. Both teams have struggled lately, but can still make the Playoffs with victories this last week of the regular season. The Pacers get home court advantage and have won 4 straight games. It's late in the season and Oklahoma City has lost it's bench depth with those injuries, so expecting the Pacers to grind this one out late at home. |
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04-10-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Detroit Pistons +5 | Top | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Indiana heads to Detroit Friday on a 3-game win streak and the Oddsmakers have them listed as small road favorites. Their last win came Wednesday on the road in New York, 102-86, but these Pacers are just 2-5 in their last seven on the road and 14-25 SU away from home. These teams have met three times since December with Detroit winning 2 of those 3 games, both at home and on the road, with their only loss coming at Indiana by 5-points. With Indiana staying on the road, don't see them extending this winning streak knowing that they're only 2-9 SU in the second of back-to-back road games this season. |
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04-09-15 | Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 89-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
Miami hosts the Bulls on Thursday night knowing that they've struggled against the Central Division this season, burning their backers money with a 4-13 ATS record. One of those rare 4 wins came against this Bulls squad when they last met back on January 25th, as Miami won on the road, 96-84. That split the season series 1-1, as the Bulls won the in Miami by 18-points in the first meeting. Expect the Bulls to get revenge from that last loss knowing that they're 25-10 ATS against teams that beat them by 10 points or more in the previous match-up since last year. The Bulls know that the Playoffs start next weekend and are playing "postseason-caliber" basketball as they head into Miami on a 6-3 SU & ATS winning run! |
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04-08-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Charlotte Hornets +3 | Top | 92-74 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
Charlotte gets home court advantage on Thursday against a Toronto squad that they've beat in 4 STRAIGHT meetings, including the last one on March 6th, while winning at home by 9 points, 103-94. Including that most recent victory, Charlotte has won those last 4 meetings by 9, 8, 5 and 2 points while improving to 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS during the last nine meetings and a perfect 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS at home. Despite their series dominance, Charlotte finds themselves as slight home Dogs on Thursday and we're taking the points. |
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04-06-15 | Wisconsin v. Duke | Top | 63-68 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
Both Duke (34-4) and Wisconsin (36-3) are good teams- that's why they rolled through their Tourney competition and into Monday's Championship game. The difference is that Wisconsin has been ON FIRE while beating 3 straight quality opponents in North Carolina, Arizona and Duke. Wisconsin's Frank "the tank" Kaminski and Sam Dekker have been unstoppable, with everything bouncing in the right direction for them as they shot an incredible 47% from the field against a previously 38-0 unbeaten Kentucky team and 56% against #2 seeded Arizona. When a team is playing like Wisconsin has in this Tourney, it's almost impossible for them to lose. These teams haven't met this season, but Duke won on the road at Wisconsin last December. In a "Pick'em" match-up, we'll back Wisconsin to remain red hot knowing that they're 6-0 ATS on the road revenging a home loss behind HC Bo Ryan. |
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04-04-15 | Wisconsin v. Kentucky -5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 105 h 51 m | Show |
Vegas is making too much of Kentucky only beating Notre Dame by 2-points, 68-66, in the Elite 8 and have lowered the point spread against Wisconsin in Saturday's Final 4 game. Before that game, Kentucky had won 37-STRAIGHT games by 7-points or more, with the majority of their victories coming by double digits. That close effort came against a solid Notre Dame team that won 32 games this year (32-5) and owned the most efficient offense in College basketball. Notre Dame also has talent that runs deep enough to match-up well defensively against Kentucky. That isn't true of this Wisconsin team, which depends HEAVILY on their star, 7' foot Frank Kaminski. Kentucky owns this match-up on the court, especially covering Frank Kaminski with their 7' footer, Willie Cauley-Stein. Wisconsin can't count on Kaminski to be their leading scorer against Kentucky and the rest of their team DOES NOT match up against this all-star Kentucky squad. Wisconsin comes off an incredible offensive effort, shooting 56% against Arizona in the Elite 8, but don't expect that type of game on Saturday as Kentucky has held their Tourney foes to 24% (West Virginia), 28% (Hampton), 31% (Cincinnati) and 46% (Notre Dame) heading into the Final 4. With Kentucky beating 37 of their 38 foes by 7-points or more this season, we're backing them to do it again when it counts- in Saturday's Final 4! |
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04-04-15 | Michigan State v. Duke UNDER 139 | Top | 61-81 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 28 m | Show |
Duke is a well coached team behind their veteran leader, "Coach K," and that disciplined style on the court has them playing stingy defense. They've gone Under the Total in 5 STRAIGHT games (0-5 Over/Under), including ALL 4 (0-4 Over/Under) of their March Madness Tourney games and a perfect 0-8 Over/Under when including their ACC Conference Tourney games this season! They've held ALL 4 of their Tourney opponents to 57 points or less, starting with Robert Morris (56), San Diego State (49), Utah (57) and a highly-rated #2 seed Gonzaga (52) in the Elite 8 round. Duke is now 1-9 Over/Under in their ten neutral court games this season and don't see anything changing Saturday knowing that everything's on the line with the winner heading to the NCAA Championship game. With both teams well rested after 6-days since their last game, backing the Under as Duke's HC Mike Krzyzewski has fresh players and plenty of time implement a solid defensive scheme against Michigan State. |
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04-02-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Golden State Warriors -11.5 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
Golden State is the HOTTEST team in the NBA, winning 10 of their last 11 games, including 9 STRAIGHT outright and also against-the-spread (9-0 SU & ATS). With the NBA Playoffs just 2 weeks away, you can bet that Golden State isn't ready to let down as they'll want to take their winning momentum into the postseason. In fact, Golden State is an awesome 34-2 SU & 26-9-1 ATS on their home court this season and host a Phoenix squad on Thursday that they're 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS against at home. Golden State has won the last 2 meetings between these teams, beating the Suns by 18-points in Phoenix the last time they met on March 9th and by 19-points at home back on January 31st. That's trouble for a slumping Suns squad that's lost 4 straight (0-4 SU & ATS) the last 9 days and this will be their second of back-to-back road game after losing to Portland on Monday. Lay the lumber with a money making Golden State crew that's 13-3 ATS at home against Division rivals this year behind HC Kerr. |
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04-01-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Boston Celtics -3.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
Neither of these teams are currently in the NBA Playoffs, however Boston (33-41) is just 1/2 game behind Brooklyn for the final postseason position while Indiana (32-42) is 1 1/2 games behind Brooklyn. Boston has showed signs of life recently, posting an 8-5 record since March 9th. One of those victories came at Indiana, when Boston won on the road by 4 points, 93-89. Now they get home court advantage knowing that every win can earn them a Playoff position. They face an Indiana squad that's lost 8 of their last 10 games and dropped themselves out of the Playoff race. Expecting Boston to continue their improvement on Wednesday over a slumping Pacers crew that plays without rest after losing at Brooklyn last night. |
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03-29-15 | Michigan State -2 v. Louisville | Top | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
Michigan State HC Tom Izzo has his team in Sunday's Elite 8 behind a smash mouth defense that's held some very tough teams- Virginia (#2 seed), Oklahoma (#3 seed) and Georgia (#10 seed)- to 63 points or less and ALL 3 making 36% or less of their shots from the field. With Michigan State owning a 3-1 SU & ATS record during their last 4 Elite 8 appearances, expect HC Izzo to have his defense ready again on Sunday to handle a low scoring Louisville offense that's averaging only 68 points per game this season. While MSU has faced tough competition to get here, Louisville has had a much easier path, beating a #13, a #8 and a #5 seeded teams in UC Irvine, Northern Iowa and NC State. An aggressive Michigan State defense is too much for Louisville to handle- Spartans advance to the Final 4. |
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03-28-15 | Arizona -1.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-85 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
Saturday's Elite 8 features #1 seeded Wisconsin facing #2 seeded Arizona, with both teams owning a 34-3 SU record, but the Oddsmakers have installed the higher seeded Arizona squad as the slight favorite- Which also marks the FIRST TIME this season that Wisconsin will be in the Dog role, as they have been favored in ALL 37 of their previous games! Why is Arizona favored? Because they're a MUCH better team. While Wisconsin rolled through their BIG TEN rivals this year, Arizona showed that they could have too, easily beating Ohio State by 15-points, 73-58, when meeting them last week in their 2nd March Madness game. Arizona has already proven they can beat Elite 8 caliber teams, beating a tough Gonzaga squad earlier this year and "Zags" is still alive heading into this weekend's Elite 8 action. On the other hand, Wisconsin beat up on weaker BIG TEN crews and when they squared off against Elite 8 competition, they couldn't handle it, losing earlier to Duke by 10-points, 80-70. On paper this game might seem "even," but Arizona is clearly the better team and we're laying the small number knowing that they're a bankroll building 10-1 ATS playing on a neutral court and favored by 3 points or less behind HC Sean Miller. |
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03-27-15 | NC State +2.5 v. Louisville | Top | 65-75 | Loss | -106 | 98 h 47 m | Show |
#8 seeded NC State heads into Thursday's Sweet 16 after winning their first 2 games of the Tourney. After beating LSU in their opener, they pulled off the biggest upset to this point of March Madness, beating #1 seeded Villanova, 71-68, as 10-point Dogs. On Friday they'll face another highly regarded, lower seeded team in #4 Louisville and it's the perfect spot for State to continue their streak after upsetting the Cardinals on their own court in Louisville by 9-points, 74-65. Louisville wins with their stingy defensive play, holding foes to an average of just 59-points per game, including 7 of their last 9 foes to 59-points or less. That won't be trouble for an NC State team that will be confident on offense, knowing that they already put up 74-points in the first meeting on February 14, which is the 2nd most points scored on Louisville in their 34-games this season. MUST "take" here with an NC State crew that's 5-1 SU & 4-1 ATS this March. |
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03-26-15 | Xavier v. Arizona OVER 136 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 17 m | Show |
Arizona is known for their success in the NCAA Tourney and for their fast-paced, high scoring offensive style, that's averaging 76.8 points per game this season and guided them to an impressive 33-3 SU record. They head into the Sweet 16 after winning their first 2 games in easy fashion, beating Texas Southern by 21-points, 93-72, followed by Ohio State by 15-points, 73-58. Expecting a high scoring, fast-paced game on Friday against an Xavier crew that's averaging 73.7 points per game while taking an average of 54-shots per game. Backing these two offensive powerhouses to go OVER the Total knowing that Arizona has gone Over in 8 of their 9 trips to the Sweet 16! |
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03-26-15 | West Virginia v. Kentucky -13 | Top | 39-78 | Win | 100 | 75 h 57 m | Show |
It's NO secret that Kentucky is the best team in College Basketball as they bring an undefeated 36-0 record into Thursday's Sweet 16 round. Those 36 victories include 2-0 in this NCAA Tourney, rolling over Hampton University by 23-points, 79-56, followed by a 13-point victory over Cincinnati, 64-51. Kentucky wins by playing a stingy defense that gets better as the game moves on because their deep bench allows them to rotate so they don't get tired and can swarm for a full game while their opponent gets tired. They've held 8 of their last 12 foes to 39% or lower from the field and are allowing just 53 points per game this season. That's BIG trouble for a West Virginia squad that's struggled on offense all year, averaging just 41% from the field. We're laying the double digits with Kentucky as we find West Virginia a money burning 2-6 SU & ATS when held to 39% or lower shooting from the field this season...Kentucky pulls away late! |
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03-23-15 | Illinois State +3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 49-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
Illinois State heads into Monday's NIT second round on a RED HOT 7-1 winning streak, with their ONLY loss coming against Northern Iowa. Northern Iowa is a tough basketball team that was good enough to earn a #5 seeding in March Madness and easily beat Wyoming in their opening game to advance to the next round yesterday against Louisville. Now Illinois State is getting points from Old Dominion today, despite the fact that they beat them on Old Dominion's court by 19-points, 64-45, when they met last season. Illinois State played a tough schedule filled with teams in the major NCAA Tourney, so we'll back the classier, on fire team to advance in the easier NIT Tourney. |
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03-22-15 | Northern Iowa -2 v. Louisville | Top | 53-66 | Loss | -111 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
Despite the fact that Louisville (#4 seed) is coached by legendary coach Rick Pitino, is a lower seed in the Tourney and plays in a tougher Conference (the ACC), Vegas has them in the Dog role against Northern Iowa (#5 seed) on Sunday. We agree and are laying the points with a Northern Iowa team that rolled over Wyoming in their Tourney opener by 17-points, 71-54, improving to 6-0 ATS in Tournament games this year and 7-0 ATS in neutral court games. Norther Iowa was my "10* free play" in that opener due to the fact that they're 31-3 SU on the season- With 2 of those 3 losses coming against fellow Tourney teams, Wichita State (who won their opening round game over Indiana) and VCU (who lost opening game to Ohio State). It should be noted that Northern Iowa also defeated ALL 3 teams that beat them this season when meeting them for the second meeting of the year. This is a tough match-up on the court for Louisville, who wins by playing stingy defense and has no offense to speak of. That lack of offense will be a HUGE issue against a Northern Iowa squad that's allowing just 54-points per game this year and holding an amazing 19 of their last 21 opponents to 60-points or less! Northern Iowa shuts down a low scoring Louisville crew. |
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03-21-15 | Ohio State v. Arizona -8.5 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
#2 seeded Arizona cruised to an easy 21-point victory, 93-72, to open Thursday's Tourney action. Arizona now heads into Saturday on a 12-game winning streak and hasn't lost in almost 2 months. For their 2nd Tourney game they catch a #10 seed in Ohio State, who barely snuck by VCU in their Thursday opener, winning by just 3-points, 75-72, after trailing by 12-points at Halftime. This is a MAJOR step up in class for Ohio State, who now faces an Arizona team that's 15-3 SU away from home while these Buckeyes are a money burning 1-8 ATS when playing on a neutral court. Arizona is one of those teams that gets better as the Tourney progresses, as they're 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS in their 2nd Tourney game, including 2-0 SU & ATS the last two years while beating BOTH Gonzaga (last year) and Harvard (2013) by 23-points each. Lay it again. |
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03-20-15 | Robert Morris v. Duke -22 | Top | 56-85 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
While the Tourney selection committee does it's best to evaluate smaller Colleges in order to include them in March Madness, Robert Morris is one of the teams they're WRONG about. Despite playing an easy schedule that was filled with small Conference opponents, they only managed a 20-14 SU record. When they did play teams from the 5-major Conferences, they couldn't keep it close, losing to teams like Clemson (not in the Tourney) by 7-points and Georgetown (a #4 seed) by 14-points. Now they open the Tourney on Friday against a much tougher foe they they faced all season, playing against a #1 seeded, 29-4 SU, Duke squad, on a neutral court in Charlotte, North Carolina. While that's not home court advantage for Duke, the stadium will be packed with their fans who will only need to make a short drive from Durham, North Carolina. #1 seeds are now 30-0 SU against the #16 seeds during March Madness and expecting Duke to take Robert Morris seriously after Duke was upset by Notre Dame in their final game of the year and had their 12-game winning streak snapped. Lay the lumber knowing that Duke is 14-4 ATS after losing as Favorites by 10 points or more behind HC Krzyzewski. |
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03-20-15 | Indiana v. Wichita State -5.5 | Top | 76-81 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
Wichita State (28-4) had their 9-game winning streak snapped when losing their last game by 3-points, 65-62, against Illinois State. Wichita State posted that 9-1 run behind stingy defensive play, holding 9 of those 10 opponents to 62-points or less, including 6 of those 10 foes to 39% or lower shooting from the field. That's bad news for Indiana (20-13), who backed into the Tourney while losing 4 of their final 5 games. Don't see Indiana turning things around Friday on a neutral court in Omaha, as they're a money burning 2-6 SU away from home during their last 8 road games. On the other hand, this Wichita State squad has been road warriors while going 13-4 SU away from home this year, but also rewarded their backers during Tourney play, going 13-3 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less behind HC Gregg Marshall. 20* Play On WICHITA STATE |
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03-19-15 | Ohio State v. VCU +4 | Top | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
Because of their reputation on the football field, including winning the National Championship, Ohio State's basketball team has an inflated line in their Thursday March Madness opener. The truth is that OSU is a money burning 2-9 ATS in March games the last two years, including 0-3 SU & ATS as Favorites in their opening Tourney game! They find themselves favored this season even though they catch a RED HOT Virginia Commonwealth crew that heads into Thursday on a 5 game winning streak (5-0 SU & 3-2), including blowout wins in their last two games while beating Dayton by 6-points and Davidson by 20-points. Both teams will travel across the country for this Tourney game, which will be played on a neutral court in Portland, Oregon. Taking the points with Virginia Commonwealth knowing that OSU is a money burning 5-8 SU & 4-9 ATS away from home this season and a winless 0-7 ATS playing on a neutral court game with a posted Total between 130 amd 139.5. Your 1st Thursday upset? |
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03-19-15 | UAB v. Iowa State -13.5 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
#3 seeded Iowa State has been an ATM machine for their backers during March Madness, posting a 4-0 SU & ATS record in their Tourney opening games, including last year's 93-75 victory over NC Central while easily covering the 9-point line. Despite their 25-8 SU record, this Iowa State crew flies under the public's radar and opens their Tourney on Thursday as the #3 seed in the South bracket, played in Houston, Texas. They catch their perfect opponent to open against, as they'll face UAB knowing that they're 7-0 ATS against Conference USA foes. ISU heads into Thursday on a RED HOT 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS winning streak, beating fellow Tourney-teams like Kansas (#2 seed) and Texas (#11 seed) during their BIG 12 Conference Tourney last week. The #3 seeds are 27-3 SU & 19-11 during March Madness and Iowa State rolls over an over-match UAB squad to open with an easy victory. |
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03-18-15 | Boise State v. Dayton -4 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -106 | 54 h 7 m | Show |
Dayton faces Boise State for Wednesday's Tourney "play-in" game owning a 16-0 SU home record. Unbeaten at home this year, must expect Dayton to take advantage of this Tourney game being played on their own court and back them to win their most important home game of the year- and earn a birth into March Madness where they made an Elite 8 run last year! Before playing on a neutral court for their Conference Tourney, Dayton was destroying foes on their court, winning their final home game of the regular season by 16-points over Rhode Island and previously beating George Mason by 13-points. Dayton rolls into the Tourney in front of their home fans. |
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03-17-15 | Ole Miss +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
BYU ranks second in the country in scoring while averaging 83.6 points per game this season, however at 25-9 on the season they're only 1-3 SU against top 50 teams this year, with their only victory coming when they beat Gonzaga by 3-points on February 28th. (Note: In their second meeting on March 10th, Gonzaga won by 16-points). They'll step up in class when facing Mississippi for Tuesday's "play-in" game at Dayton, Ohio. Mississippi (20-12) played a tough SEC schedule this season, including a 3-point loss to undefeated and #1 ranked Kentucky. When playing outside of their tough SEC schedule, Ole Miss rewarded their backers with a 6-0 ATS on the road against non-conference opponents. must take the points with a Mississippi team that's 3-1 in neutral court games this season and have already proven they can play tough defense against some of the best offensive units in the country. |
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03-15-15 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -6.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
These teams met 2 weeks ago on March 1st with Wisconsin beating MSU by 7-points, 68-61. Wisconsin led most of the game by double digits as MSU couldn't stop Wisky's Frank Kaminsky, who scored 31-points. Don't see anything changing Sunday as these teams met for the BIG Ten Tourney, as Wisky heads into the game winning 15 of their last 16 games (15-1 SU) and MSU still has NO ANSWER for Kaminsky. Wisky has been getting stronger with every Tourney game- winning 3 STRAIGHT games by double digits- including a 20-point victory over Purdue yesterday and Michigan by 11-points on Friday. MUST lay the lumber with one of the hottest teams in the country as Wisky's Kaminsky is a big time player and dominates when it counts most. |
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03-14-15 | Purdue +9.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Wisconsin won the first meeting of the regular season, but that doesn't mean we're backing them in Saturday's Big Ten Tourney over Purdue. Wisky only won at home by 7-points, 62-55, but were outplayed by Purdue, who shot 51% from the field compared to Wisky's 43% in that first game. With Wisky on an 11-1 SU streak during their last 12 games, the Oddsmakers have inflated the point spread on their games as they're money burning 5-7 ATS record indicates. The books have once again inflated Saturday's line against Purdue, who's been an ATM this season in BIG TEN play while posting a 14-4 ATS against conference opponents! Both teams will be tired as they play off Friday night victories, without a day of rest, so we're "taking" with a Purdue crew that's aleady proven they can score on this Wisky squad this year. |
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03-13-15 | North Carolina v. Virginia -2.5 | Top | 71-67 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
Virginia's one of the HOTTEST teams in the country, winning 10 of their last 11 games, including last night's 14-point shellacking of Florida State. On Friday they'll face a North Carolina team that they already beat twice this season while winning the first meeting by 15-points at home and the second meeting by 11-points on the road at North Carolina on February 2nd. Virginia is now 3-1 SU & ATS during the last four meetings as they face off with North Carolina for the 3rd time for Friday's ACC Conference Tournament Semifinals. With Virginia on their RED HOT 10-1 winning run against a team they already beat twice vy double digits, we don't see any reason for North Carolina to turn the tables on Friday. MUST back Virginia knowing that North Carolina is a money burning 1-8 ATS as a neutral court Pick, or Dog of 6 points or less. |
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03-12-15 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -3.5 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
Oklahoma swept this seasons series with instate rival, Oklahoma State, winning the 1st meeting at home by 17-points and then winning on the road at Okie State by 9-points, 64-56, in last January. Oklahoma went 2-0 SU & ATS in those meetings behind a stingy defense that dominated on the court while holding State well below their 44.3% team shooting average in BOTH games, allowing State to make just 37.3% in the 1st meeting and 39.6% on Okie State's own court! Those victories improved Oklahoma to 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS during the last six meetings as these two teams square off for the 3rd time this season for the BIG 12 Conference Tourney quarterfinals on Thursday. Oklahoma State backs into the Tourney on a 1-5 SU & ATS losing skid since February 14th and doubt they'll get any revenge in this 3rd meeting as we find them at 2-9 ATS against teams they were favored against- And lost to- On their own court. Backing favored Oklahoma knowing that State has been a money burner in Tourney play as they burned their backers with a 1-8 ATS record on the road in March behind HC Ford. |
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03-11-15 | Pittsburgh v. NC State -3 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
These teams met back on January 3rd on NC State's home court and State rolled over Pitt by 18-points, 68-50. NC State led at the Half, 27-20, and led by as many as 21-points during a game that was NEVER CLOSE! State dominated on defense, holding Pitt to just 32% shooting from the field- Pitt's LOWEST team shooting percentage of the season. They'll meet for the second time on Wednesday for the second round of the ACC Tourney. No reason for this second meeting to be any closer, as NC State enters ON FIRE, winning 5 of their last 6 games (5-1 SU & ATS). While this Tourney game will be played on a neutral court, it will be played in Greensboro, North Carolina, giving NC State a "home crowd" advantage. MUST lay the points with NC State's smothering defense, that already shut down this Pitt squad and has held 5 of their last 7 foes to 37% shooting or worse from the field. |
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03-10-15 | Virginia Tech +4.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 81-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Wake Forest won the 1st meeting between these teams by only 3-points, 73-70, at home on January 31st. They meet for the second time for Tuesday's 1st round ACC Tourney game in North Carolina.. Wake Forest is favored Tuesday despite the fact that they come off back-to-back road losses at Boston College and Duke. We find Wake at 2-8 ATS after a road game this year, including a money burning 0-3 ATS after back-to-back road games! With Wake Forest limping into this Tourney on a 1-5 losing skid, MUST "take" with V-Tech on a neutral court, as Wake Forest is just 2-11 SU away from home this season. |
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03-09-15 | Pepperdine +14 v. Gonzaga | Top | 61-79 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
With March Madness just around the corner, the public has #7 ranked Gonzaga (30-2) on top of their radar, causing the Oddsmakers to inflate the line of their games. That's exactly the case on Monday's West Coast Conference semifinal game against Pepperdine (18-12). Gonzaga won both meetings during the regular season while winning at home by 8-points, 56-48, on February 14th and on the road by 2-points, 78-76, in January. Even though they only won those two meetings by 2 & 8 points, and this third Tourney meeting is on a neutral court in Vegas, the books have opened Gonzaga as double digit Favorites! With emotions running high during Tourney play, expecting both teams to play more conservatively than the regular season and have another close battle. Pepperdine is 3-1 SU & ATS during their last four games, with their only loss coming by only 2-points, so MUST take the points knowing that Gonzaga is a money burning 0-7 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 points or more. |
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03-08-15 | Tulsa v. SMU -8.5 | Top | 62-67 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
SMU easily won the first meeting on the road at Tulsa by 11-points, 68-57, back on February 7th. They'll host this second meeting on Sunday knowing that they're 15-2 SU on their own court this season. SMU has won 13 of their last 15 games (13-2 SU & 10-5 ATS) and are playing their best basketball of the season, so don't see any reason for Tulsa to turn the tables on the road for this second meeting on Sunday. Backing SMU to easily handle this second meeting with their added home court advantage as they've been at money machine at home against Conference foes while posting a 13-3 ATS. |
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03-07-15 | Marist v. Manhattan -7 | Top | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
Manhattan won the first meeting this season on the road, at Marist by 13 points, 67-54, on February 23rd. That win improved Manhattan to 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS during the last six meetings in this series, including sweeping both games played last year, winning by 22-points at home and 7-points on the road. This second meeting will be played on a neutral court in Albany, New York, as the quarterfinal game in the Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament. Marist couldn't beat Manhattan when playing on their own court less than 2 weeks ago and see no reason for improvement on Saturday knowing that they're on a 2-6 SU losing skid and only 4-15 SU away from home this year. On the other hand, Manhattan heads to Tourney play on fire, winning 8 of their last 11 games (8-3 SU & 7-4 ATS) and have been nothing but bankroll builders for their backers during Tourney play, posting a 6-0 ATS record in Conference Tourney games. |
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03-06-15 | Evansville v. Illinois State -4 | Top | 67-71 | Push | 0 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
Illinois State won the first meeting between these teams at home by 26 points, 77-51, back on February 3rd. Just 6 days ago they won the second meeting on the road in Evansville by 2-points, 69-67, and outplayed Evansville on the court most of the game while heading into the Half with a 4 point lead. On Friday they meet for the 3rd time this year, on a neutral court in St. Louis, for the quarterfinals of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. This 3rd meeting will be the Illinois State's final game of the season and they're ending it on fire, winning 9 of their last 13 games, including 4 STRAIGHT (4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS) since mid-February. Illinois State is 4-2 SU during the last six meetings with Evansville, including 2-0 SU this year as they head into Friday's meeting and they're solid road warriors that went 9-6 SU away from home this season. Must back an Illinois State squad that already dominated the first two meetings and know that this 3rd meeting is by far the most important, as it opens up their MVC Conference Tourney! |
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03-05-15 | Arkansas -2 v. South Carolina | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
Arkansas is one of the hottest teams in the country, posting a 10-1 winning streak since January 22nd and had their 7-game winning streak snapped in their last game by unbeaten, and #1-ranked, Kentucky on Saturday. On Thursday Arkansas heads to South Carolina for an SEC Conference battle knowing that they won the first meeting between these squads at home by 20-points, 75-55, in early February. South Carolina has been a money burner during their SEC Conference games, going 4-9 SU & 3-10 ATS during their last 13 SEC games. This is the perfect spot for the Razorbacks to return to their red hot form, as they only have 2 games remaining on their schedule before the March Madness Tourney begins. |
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03-04-15 | Colorado State -7.5 v. Nevada | Top | 78-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
Colorado State destroyed Nevada in the first meeting in Colorado by 56 points, 98-42, easily covering the 11 point spread. They dominated the entire game, leading at the Half, 55-12, and out-shooting Nevada 57% to 33% from the field. On Wednesdsay CSU heads to Nevada for the second meeting, but Colorado State is peaking for March Madness and is on a 5-1 SU winning streak, including 3 straight wins, winning their last game 72-56 hosting San Jose State last Wednesday in their final home game of the season. Colorado State heads into their last 2 games of the year well rested and you can be sure that they'll be focused with the Tourney starting in less than 2 weeks. |
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03-03-15 | West Virginia +10 v. Kansas | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
West Virginia won the first meeting on their own court by a point, 62-61, just two weeks ago on February 16th. Now they're heading to Kansas on Tuesday as big Dogs, despite that earlier victory and the fact that they're on a 3-1 SU & ATS winning streak. West Virginia lost their last game Saturday at Baylor, 78-66, but they're 10-2 ATS on the road of a double digit road loss behind HC Huggins. Those numbers aren't surprising as 22-7 West Virginia has only lost back-to-back games ONCE this season. With Kansas owning an unbeaten 14-0 record at home, the Oddsmakers have inflated the line on this game. We're taking those points as West Virginia matched up well during the first meeting and they never play poorly in 2 straight games. |
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03-02-15 | Baylor +2.5 v. Texas | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
Baylor is one of those teams that's peaking just in time for March Madness as they're on a 9-3 winning streak, including 4 straight wins (4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS). One of those victories came in the 1st meeting between these squads on January 31st, as Baylor won on their own court by 23-points, 83-60. On Monday they head to Texas for the 2nd meeting and expecting them to sweep the series this season as Texas is in a major slump, posting a 3-8 losing record since mid-January and host this on a 4 game losing skid. 2 of those 3 wins came as very large favorites of 10 and 17-points when beating outgunned opponents, Texas Tech & TCU. Must take the points with a Baylor team that's been solid on the road lately, winning 3 of their last 4 road battles, beating West Virginia by 18-points, Iowa State by 9-points and Texas Tech by 5-points and only losing at #8 ranked Kansas. |
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03-01-15 | Purdue +9 v. Ohio State | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
These teams met on February 4th in Purdue, with the home squad winning at home by 2-points, 60-58. That was a big win for a Purdue team that's getting better as the season moves forward, as they head to OSU on an 8-1 SU & ATS winning streak. Even with their recent success, Purdue is flying under the public's radar and has quietly amassed a 19-9 record. They meet for the 2nd time on Sunday with Ohio State struggling after losing 2 of their last 3 games outright, including a 57-64 loss at Michigan as 8-point Favorites. The last 2 meetings between these teams were decided by exactly 2-points and expecting another closely played game between BIG 10 rivals that known March Madness is just two weeks away! Must take the points knowing that Purdue is a money making 12-3 in BIG 10 Conference play this year. |
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02-28-15 | Villanova -3 v. Xavier | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
Other than #1-ranked, unbeaten Kentucky, Villanova is the hottest team in College Hoops righ, as they head into Saturday on a 9-0 SU & ATS winning streak since January 25th. With March Madness right around the corner, we're backing Villanova to get that 10th STRAIGHT win Saturday- both SU & ATS- as they face a Xavier squad that they've handled in each of the last three meetings while posting a 3-0 SU & ATS record in this series, including a 13-point victory, 88-75, in their first meeting in mid-January. Xavier comes off a heartbreaking 1-point loss at St. Johns and return home knowing that they're 2-8 ATS after playing on the road this season. At 18-11, Xavier hasn't been in the Dog role much this year, however, they haven't fared well facing those better teams, burning their backers with a 2-4 SU & ATS record as a Dog. Off that road loss, Xavier won't be ready to handle a more talented Villanova squad that's 11-2 SU on the road and hitting their peak just in time for March Madness! |
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02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers +5.5 | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
The Cavs are 17-2 SU since January 15th and are by far the hottest team in the NBA. One of those 2 losses came at Indiana back on February 6th, 103-99. It's no secret that King James and company will want to beat the Pacers Friday, which is their 3rd meeting of this season, to prove that they're not a threat to knock them out of the upcoming NBA Playoffs. However, that victory will be tougher to earn than the public might think, as the Pacers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS hosting Cleveland. Indiana has dominated this series on their own court and host Friday's meeting playing their best basketball of the season while winning 6 of their last 8 games (6-2 SU & ATS last 8). Must take the points with Indiana in the home Dog role with their proven dominance in this series on their own court. |
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02-26-15 | Arizona State v. Utah -12 | Top | 41-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
Utah hosts Arizona State on Thursday for their second meeting of the season knowing that they dominated the first meeting in Arizona, winning by 17-points, 76-59. The game was never close, as Utah led at the Half, 40-23, and shot an impressive 54% from the field while holding ASU to 39% shooting as a team. Utah moves home for this second meeting, where they're an unbeaten 15-0 SU this year and own a 4-0 SU & ATS record at home against this ASU squad the past four seasons. Utah has success against "slow down offenses," like the style ASU runs- averaging just 53 shots per game- As Utah HC Krystowiak is a money making 11-1 ATS at home against teams averaging 53 shots per game or less in his coaching career! Willing to lay the lumber with a Utah team that's 10-3 ATS as double digit Favorites this season. |
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02-25-15 | Baylor v. Iowa State -6 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
Iowa State is known as one of the toughest courts to win at for visiting teams. This season is no different, as Iowa State brings an unbeaten 14-0 record when they host Baylor on Wednesday. ISU doesn't just win at home, they dominate, winning their last home game by 20-points over a solid West Virginia crew, easily covering the 7-point point spread. Before that victory, they beat up on Texas Tech, 75-38, and TCU by 17-points, 83-66, while covering the spread in ALL 3 of those home games. Their a MUCH better team at home, showing what their home court advantage means as they beat West Virginia on the road by just 2-points, but routed by 20-points in Iowa and Texas Tech, who beat Iowa State in Texas by 5-points, but then lost on the road to them by 37-points! Iowa State is 10-0 SU & 9-1 ATS at home against Baylor during the last ten meetings, including last year's 9-point home win (74-65), but losing at Baylor by a single point. Iowa State heads into Wednesday on a red hot 6-2 winning streak, including 3 straight games, so we're backing them to remain on fire on their home court tonight! |
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02-24-15 | Wisconsin v. Maryland +6.5 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
It's rare to find a team that's 16-1 at home, but in the home Dog role getting plenty of points. That's exactly the case we have on Tuesday when Maryland hosts Wisconsin. Wisky is 25-2 this season and the public is expecting big things from them in the March Tourney, so the books are making their backers pay, even on the road against a solid squad like Maryland. While Wisky is a solid 11-1 on the road, they're only 7-5 ATS in those games and have struggled to put their opponents away when they're not playing on their own court. Sources close to the team says Maryland views this game as their biggest test of the year and need to play well to build the confidence they need heading into March Madness- expect a well executed, close game to the final buzzer. |
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Carlo Campanella Basketball Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-15-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
05-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 192.5 | Top | 94-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show |
05-13-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 195.5 | Top | 78-98 | Win | 100 | 34 h 25 m | Show |
05-12-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 191 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
05-11-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 196 | Top | 101-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
05-10-15 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 217 | Top | 95-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
05-08-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 96-99 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
05-06-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -6.5 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
05-04-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 | Top | 99-92 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
05-03-15 | Washington Wizards +4.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
04-30-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
04-29-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies -5 | Top | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 32 h 25 m | Show |
04-26-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs -6 | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
04-25-15 | Chicago Bulls -5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
04-24-15 | Toronto Raptors +4 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 99-106 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
04-23-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -4 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
04-22-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 188.5 | Top | 82-97 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
04-21-15 | Boston Celtics +11 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
04-20-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +11 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
04-19-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies -4 | Top | 86-100 | Win | 100 | 74 h 39 m | Show |
04-18-15 | Dallas Mavericks +5.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -102 | 52 h 38 m | Show |
04-13-15 | Detroit Pistons +7 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
04-12-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Indiana Pacers -3.5 | Top | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
04-10-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Detroit Pistons +5 | Top | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
04-09-15 | Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 89-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
04-08-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Charlotte Hornets +3 | Top | 92-74 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
04-06-15 | Wisconsin v. Duke | Top | 63-68 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
04-04-15 | Wisconsin v. Kentucky -5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 105 h 51 m | Show |
04-04-15 | Michigan State v. Duke UNDER 139 | Top | 61-81 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 28 m | Show |
04-02-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Golden State Warriors -11.5 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
04-01-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Boston Celtics -3.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
03-29-15 | Michigan State -2 v. Louisville | Top | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
03-28-15 | Arizona -1.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-85 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
03-27-15 | NC State +2.5 v. Louisville | Top | 65-75 | Loss | -106 | 98 h 47 m | Show |
03-26-15 | Xavier v. Arizona OVER 136 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 17 m | Show |
03-26-15 | West Virginia v. Kentucky -13 | Top | 39-78 | Win | 100 | 75 h 57 m | Show |
03-23-15 | Illinois State +3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 49-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
03-22-15 | Northern Iowa -2 v. Louisville | Top | 53-66 | Loss | -111 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
03-21-15 | Ohio State v. Arizona -8.5 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
03-20-15 | Robert Morris v. Duke -22 | Top | 56-85 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
03-20-15 | Indiana v. Wichita State -5.5 | Top | 76-81 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
03-19-15 | Ohio State v. VCU +4 | Top | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
03-19-15 | UAB v. Iowa State -13.5 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
03-18-15 | Boise State v. Dayton -4 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -106 | 54 h 7 m | Show |
03-17-15 | Ole Miss +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
03-15-15 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -6.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
03-14-15 | Purdue +9.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
03-13-15 | North Carolina v. Virginia -2.5 | Top | 71-67 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
03-12-15 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -3.5 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
03-11-15 | Pittsburgh v. NC State -3 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
03-10-15 | Virginia Tech +4.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 81-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
03-09-15 | Pepperdine +14 v. Gonzaga | Top | 61-79 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
03-08-15 | Tulsa v. SMU -8.5 | Top | 62-67 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
03-07-15 | Marist v. Manhattan -7 | Top | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
03-06-15 | Evansville v. Illinois State -4 | Top | 67-71 | Push | 0 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
03-05-15 | Arkansas -2 v. South Carolina | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
03-04-15 | Colorado State -7.5 v. Nevada | Top | 78-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
03-03-15 | West Virginia +10 v. Kansas | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
03-02-15 | Baylor +2.5 v. Texas | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
03-01-15 | Purdue +9 v. Ohio State | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
02-28-15 | Villanova -3 v. Xavier | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers +5.5 | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
02-26-15 | Arizona State v. Utah -12 | Top | 41-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
02-25-15 | Baylor v. Iowa State -6 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
02-24-15 | Wisconsin v. Maryland +6.5 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |