Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-13-15 | Hornets v. Bulls -6.5 | Top | 97-102 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on CHICAGO (vs Charlotte) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Friday @ 8:05 ET - Nice situation for the Bulls as they come into this game well rested after having three days off following the pummeling they laid on the 76'ers on Monday. Look for Chicago to take advantage of a Charlotte team playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. The Hornets, as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points this season, have already failed to cover both games that fell into that range. Teams are shooting 46.5% from the field against Charlotte as their defensive effort has not nearly been on par with that of Chicago. The Bulls are only allowing opponents to hit 41% from the field so far this season. Of course the big story here for the Bulls is revenge as the one 'hiccup' they have had this season came at Charlotte on on the 3rd of this month when the Bulls normally stout defense got lit up for 130 points. Now it's payback time Friday. Chicago is a stellar 52-34 ATS the last three seasons combined when they are playing with revenge against an opponent. That's why Chicago should absolutely roll huge against the Hornets as my *10 Blue Marlin on Friday. |
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11-11-15 | Pacers +3 v. Celtics | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
I am playing on INDIANA (@ Boston) as my *10 NBA *BEST BET* Wednesday at 7:35 ET - Boston is in a tough back to back here as they were in Milwaukee last night. The Celtics also used up a lot of energy in holding the Bucks to just 83 points on the night. Though Boston has had a good ATS history when playing on back to back night in recent seasons, the Celtics have gone just 18-20 straight-up when playing the second night of back to back. That is a significant stat because Boston is the favorite in this match-up and the underdog value looks great with the Pacers. Unlike the Celtics, Indiana is not in a back to back spot. The Pacers got a much needed day of rest yesterday and this was after blowing out the Magic by double digits in their prior game. Indiana has now covered five straight games and should remain red hot here ATS as they have the scheduling edge over Boston. The Pacers have won 6 of their last 9 games with the Celtics. Indiana is also an incredible 25-8 ATS in November games the past three seasons combined. The Celtics are 11-17 ATS in home games with a total between 200 and 204.5 points. |
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11-11-15 | Raptors v. 76ers +8.5 | Top | 119-103 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
I am playing on PHILADELPHIA (vs Toronto) as my *10 BIG DOG *SHOCKER* on Wednesday @ 7:05 ET - While the Sixers have struggled out of the gate with an 0-7 mark on the young season there is no denying that his is a tough spot for the Raptors. Toronto is playing the 2nd night of a back to back and they have now lost three straight games both straight-up and ATS. The fact that the Raptors started the season 5-0 straight-up and ATS truly seems like a distant memory now. The Sixers are 10-6 ATS in home games with a posted total between 190 and 194.5 points. The 76'ers are off of a home loss to Chicago where they simply shot very poorly from the field. Look for Philly to bounce back in the finale of this homestand just like they did when hosting LeBron James and Company a little over a week ago and gave the Cavaliers a tough game. They did it again against the Cavaliers when they faced them last Friday. The Sixers can, and will, surprise tough teams in the right situation and this is another one of those prime spots right here as they catch the Raptors in the 2nd night of a back to back. Grab the big points with the hungry home dog here. |
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11-10-15 | Mavs v. Pelicans -1.5 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on NEW ORLEANS (vs Dallas) as my NBA *10 GAME OF THE MONTH Tuesday @ 8:05 ET - The Pelicans are winless on the season but this is a fantastic revenge opportunity which makes it the perfect spot for New Orleans to get that elusive first victory of the season. The Pelicans lost at Dallas on Saturday and now get a chance to turn the tables on the Mavericks at home on Tuesday. Comparing the Mavs and Pelicans, New Orleans certainly has played the tougher schedule so far this season. Also, despite the poor record, New Orleans has been shooting the ball better than Dallas this season. The Mavericks have gone 23-45 straight-up as an underdog the last 3 seasons. Tuesday they are a small dog at New Orleans so nearly any win for the Pelicans will also translate to an ATS victory. I certainly like these odds. Consider that a high scoring shootout is expected here and New Orleans is 4-1 (80%) straight-up the 5 times the last 3 seasons that they are at home in a game with a total of 210 points or more. The Pelicans are averaging 103 points per game this season while the Mavericks are averaging just 99 points per game on the young season. The last time these teams met in New Orleans the Pelicans came out on top in a high scoring match-up in January. I look for a similar result tonight as New Orleans gets their revenge. |
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11-09-15 | Magic v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 84-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
I am playing on INDIANA (vs Orlando) as my *10 Personal Favorite Monday @ 7:05 ET - The Pacers came up just short at Cleveland yesterday. It was an afternoon game so, although this is a back to back spot for Indiana, it certainly is not as bad as many back to backs. Additionally, the fact that the Pacers are back home now and that the travel was a short trip also certainly helps. The key in this match-up is the Pacers are likely to be the much hungrier team and this will translate to the play on the floor. Indiana is looking to bounce back off of a loss and the Pacers previously had won three straight. The Pacers are catching Orlando at the perfect time as the Magic are off of a road win at Philly. It is tough to go on the road and win back to back games but that is the challenge facing Orlando tonight. Though the Magic have a perfect ATS record so far this season, Orlando is still just 3-4 SU on the season. The Pacers have gone 24-8 ATS in the month of November the last 2+ seasons - including a perfect 4-0 ATS this season. The Magic have lost 68 of their last 86 road games and the Pacers are a very small favorite Monday. That should equate to a nice ATS victory in what I expect to be a solid home victory for Indiana. Laying the short number with the home team is my *10 Personal Favorite Monday. |
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11-07-15 | Pelicans v. Mavs -5 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
I am playing on DALLAS (vs New Orleans) as my *10 Personal Favorite @ 8:35 ET Saturday - Davis and the Pelicans truly "left it all on the floor" in last night's loss to Atlanta. That said, this is not only a back to back spot for New Orleans, it's also one where a little less energy may be left in the tank. With the Mavericks 0-2 at home so far on the young season, that makes this home game the perfect spot for Dallas to erupt and get a huge home win. The Mavs were resting last night while the Pelicans were doing battle with the Hawks. New Orleans straight-up record when playing the 2nd night of a back to back is 15-25 and, with the small spread here on Dallas, any straight-up win is quite likely to be an ATS win as well. Dallas generally takes advantage of weaker foes as the Mavs are 40-29-3 ATS and 57-15 straight-up in their last 72 games against teams with a losing record. Look for a home rout in this one. |
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11-07-15 | Nets +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 86-94 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
I am playing on BROOKLYN (@ Milwaukee) as my *10 Best Bet @ 8:35 ET Saturday - Both teams are in a back to back spot here. Though Brooklyn is the road team in this one there is a little extra value in this spot because both teams are essentially traveling from the same place anyway. Brooklyn was at home against the Lakers last night while the Bucks were on the road facing the Knicks in New York last night. While Milwaukee got a win yesterday, the Nets are off of a loss and are still seeking their first win of the season. Look for Brooklyn to have plenty of hunger in this game and the Nets are also grabbing about a half dozen points here which adds to the value for the road team. Brooklyn lost at home to the Bucks earlier this season and the Nets went 24-16 ATS the past two seasons when they're playing a game with home loss revenge. The Bucks , surprisingly, have won 3 straight games but they are 1-7 ATS the past two seasons and 47-84 ATS long-term when they enter a game on a winning streak of three games or more. From a situational perspective, this is the perfect value spot to grab the winless Nets. |
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11-06-15 | Lakers v. Nets -3.5 | Top | 104-98 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
I am playing on BROOKLYN (vs Los Angeles Lakers) as my *10 Personal Favorite Friday @ 7:35 ET - The Nets will be hosting the Lakers who make a tough cross country trip to the East Coast that begins here. Though they've had some extra time for the travel it is often still an adjustment for teams making the long trip and the Lakers have bigger issues than just travel. The Lakers defense has been atrocious as they are allowing opponents to shoot 49% from the field and score 117 points per game. Even though Brooklyn is also allowing a high shooting percentage from the field they are at least somewhat limiting of possessions and are allowing 104 points per game so far this season. Just like the Lakers, the Nets are winless on the season. However, having the home court edge here is big and Brooklyn has taken 3 of the last 4 meetings between the teams both SU and ATS. The Nets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against Pacific Division opponents. The Lakers are 22-61 straight-up in road games the past three seasons combined. With the low number on this game, a straight-up win for the Nets is likely to result in an ATS cover. |
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11-05-15 | Thunder v. Bulls -1 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
I am playing on CHICAGO (vs Oklahoma City) as my *10 TNT *MAIN EVENT* @ 8:05 ET Thursday - The Thunder are now reeling with two straight losses. This spot tonight is not only a back to back for Oklahoma City, it is also their 4th game in 5 nights. The Thunder are unlikely to have enough energy left in the tank to get the job done against a tough Bulls team. Chicago is not going to be a hospitable host as they are fired up after allowing 130 points in their most recent game, at Charlotte on Tuesday. The Bulls are 26-10 straight-up when they are off of a loss by a double digit margin. With this line being right around a pick'em a straight-up trend like that is absolutely in play and the Bulls are fired up to get back on track at home after such an embarrassing loss. Overall, in home games, the Bulls are 59-34 straight-up at home and they've won both their home games this season. The Thunder are 6-12 ATS when they are a road dog of 3 points or less and Oklahoma City is also 6-12 ATS when they enter a game on a streak of 3 or more consecutive unders. Play against a weary road team on Thursday. |
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11-03-15 | Magic v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -104 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
I am playing on NEW ORLEANS (vs Orlando) as my *10 Personal Favorite Tuesday @ 8:05 ET - Two winless teams match-up here in early season action on Tuesday. Though each team is 0-3 straight-up, the Magic have covered all 3 games so far this season and the Pelicans are winless at the betting counter so far this season. This is helping to sway the markets and is offering some nice value on the home team Pelicans laying a very short number at home Tuesday. In terms of straight-up wins, New Orleans has won 18 of their last 27 games hosting the Magic. Also, the Pelicans have won and covered each of their last two home meetings with Orlando. The Magic are 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS the past two seasons as a road dog of 3 points or less. The Pelicans are 12-7 SU and 12-7 ATS the past two seasons as a home fave of 3 points or less. New Orleans is also a solid 62-41 ATS longterm against southeast division opponents. This is all part of the longterm West over East dominance that has been prevalent in the NBA and I see great value with the Western Conference team laying a short number on their home floor Tuesday. |
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11-02-15 | Thunder v. Rockets | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
I am playing on HOUSTON (vs Oklahoma City) as my *10 NBA Best Bet - The whole world is jumping on the Thunder here at the time of this write-up. With Oklahoma City 3-0 on the season and the Rockets 0-3 so far this season, the betting markets seem to think tonight's result is already set in stone for an Oklahoma City victory. I beg to differ. The Rockets are expected to have Dwight Howard back after he rested up for this game by sitting out of the Miami game last night. Also, Houston is catching Oklahoma City in a back to back too and the Thunder just got a big home win over Denver last night. I look for a huge effort from a hungry Rockets team after the embarrassment of losing their first three games by a 20 point margin in each defeat. The last three seasons, when off of three consecutive losses, the Rockets have gone 4-0 straight up and 4-0 against the spread in their very next game following a 3 game losing streak. Howard and the Rockets are fired up and hungry here and they have knocked off the Thunder in each of their last three meetings. I expect that streak to reach 4 in a row tonight. *10 NBA Best Bet HOUSTON |
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10-31-15 | Jazz v. Pacers -3 | Top | 97-76 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
I am playing on INDIANA (vs Utah) as my *10 Personal Favorite Saturday @ 7:05 ET - Nice edge here for the Pacers based on the situation and schedule. While Indiana was resting up last night thanks to an off day, the Jazz were in Philly where they got a blowout win over the Sixers. The fact the win was so easy could leave Utah a little lackadaisical coming into this game on Saturday night. It's hard to be entirely focused when a victory comes as easy as that one did last night for Utah. This will open up the door for a hungry Pacers team to dominate the intensity level. Indiana lost their first two games this season and that included losing their home opener on Thursday. There is no doubt the Pacers are looking for a little payback here and they also have dominated the Jazz the past two seasons with wins in all 4 match-ups. Indiana has been known for getting off to solid starts to a season. In fact, in games in the first half of the season schedule, the Pacers entered this season with a 41-20 ATS mark. Having not covered either of their first two games this season (and with both being outright losses) there is every reason to expect a huge effort from Indiana tonight. The Jazz have gone 35-89 SU in games where they are the underdog (and this is a small spread for the Pacers to cover here). Also, Utah has gone 26-57 SU in road games the past 2+ seasons. Indiana covers the small number here. *10 Personal Favorite INDIANA |
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10-30-15 | Blazers v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX (vs Portland) as my *10 Personal Favorite on Friday @ 10:35 ET - This is the front end of a home and home set between these two teams and the Suns have revenge on their minds. Phoenix has lost three straight to Portland (including a rare home loss) and the three defeats came by a combined margin of 50 points. The Suns will undoubtedly bring some extra energy for this Friday night game which also is Portland's first road game of the season. The Trail Blazers are 21-37 straight-up in their last 58 games as an underdog. Considering how low the spread is here, a straight-up Blazers loss is likely to result in an ATS win for Phoenix. The Blazers also are a longterm 58-111 straight-up as a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points. The Suns are a sparkling 16-6 ATS in home games with a posted total between 205 and 209.5 points the last 3 seasons. Also, while Portland won big over New Orleans in their first game this season, the Suns were embarrassed by losing by double digits even though they were at home against Dallas. Phoenix is 16-8 ATS the last 3 seasons when off of a loss by 10 or more points in their prior game. |
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10-30-15 | Warriors v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
I am playing on HOUSTON (vs Golden State) as my *10 Main Event on Friday @ 9:35 ET - Playoff revenge for the Rockets after being eliminated in 5 games by the Warriors last spring. It looks like, based on the home opener results, Houston may have already been looking ahead to this game when they hosted Denver on Wednesday. That embarrassing 20 point home loss for the Rockets just fires them up even more for this big game with Golden State. The Rockets only scored 85 points against the Nuggets on Wednesday and they went 6-1 SU and ATS last two seasons when off of a game where they were held to 85 points or less. Also, Houston was 21-7 SU (and 19-9 ATS) the last two seasons when off of a loss by a margin of ten points or more. As home dog of 3 points or less the last two seasons, Rockets went 5-0 SU and ATS. With Dwight Howard back and listed as probable for Friday's game, look for Houston to be fully prepared to exact some revenge against the Warriors on Friday night. |
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10-29-15 | Hawks -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
I am playing on ATLANTA (@ New York) as my *10 NBA Game of the Month on Thursday @ 8:05 PM ET - Losing by double digits on their home floor while hosting a losing team from last season is certainly not the way the Hawks envisioned starting their season. That said, this is the perfect spot for the Hawks to respond in a huge way and impose their will against a lesser foe off of a shocking result. The Knicks won huge at Milwaukee by 25 points last night even though they were a 4.5 point dog. The Hawks are off of a loss by 12 points Tuesday even though they were a 5.5 point favorite. As you can see from these disparate results, a return to normality tonight would mean a big road win with Atlanta and I see plenty of value with them at this low number. The Hawks are 11-3 SU the past two seasons and a longterm 50-23 SU when they are a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Of course getting a straight-up win when playing on a favorite is half the battle. The other half is the all-important cover and with the low number and grabbing a solid Atlanta team knowing full well they will be motivated and ready to go here. getting such a low number on the favorite is certainly appealing. By the way, the Knicks have gone 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. *10 NBA Game of the Month ATLANTA |
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10-28-15 | Pelicans v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
I am playing on PORTLAND (vs New Orleans) as my *10 Personal Favorite on Wednesday @ 10:05 ET - The Pelicans were dominated on the glass in their loss at Golden State last night. New Orleans also did not shoot particularly well. Now the Pelicans face a tough back to back spot and their SU record in the second night of back to backs is 15-24 the past two seasons. With the low point spread on this game, any Pelicans SU loss is likely to result in an ATS win for the Trail Blazers. While New Orleans was battling hard with top team Golden State last night, the Blazers were able to prepare mentally and physically for this game. Portland is rested and ready and the Trail Blazers are 67-22 SU in home games the past two seasons. The Blazers have also done a great job in recent seasons of getting off to strong starts right out of the gate. Portland also has won 6 of their last 7 meetings with New Orleans and that includes 4 straight for the Blazers at home. |
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10-28-15 | Bulls v. Nets +5.5 | Top | 115-100 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
I am playing on BROOKLYN (vs Chicago) as my *10 Main Event on Wednesday @ 7:35 ET - Even though the Bulls failed to get the cash last night (Chicago blew a big late lead), this is still an ideal spot to fade them because they did get the straight-up victory and that was a huge revenge game for Chicago last night. The Bulls were seeking revenge for last season's playoff ouster at the hands of the Cavs and they got that sweet revenge last night. That makes this a particularly tough back to back spot for Chicago. While the Nets were resting up and going through preparation for this match-up, the Bulls are battling hard with LeBron James and company Tuesday. Brooklyn is a young team but they are hungry and they are also highly motivated about Derrick Rose and company paying a visit in their home opener. The Bulls have gone 18-25 ATS the last two seasons when off of a divisional game. Also, Chicago has gone just 20-17 SU when playing the second game of a back to back situation. Here they are not only being asked to win but to cover about a half dozen points. This is quite the challenge against the hungry and rested Nets in their season opener and on their home floor. New Jersey has gone a respectable 52-38 in home games the past two seasons and the Nets have won OUTRIGHT 6 of the last 10 times they've been a home dog of 3.5 to 6 points. |
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06-16-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 | Top | 105-97 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 5 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 10*. |
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06-04-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +6 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -105 | 180 h 19 m | Show |
CLEVELAND at GOLDEN STATE |
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05-26-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers -8 | Top | 88-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Cleveland Cavaliers as my 10* Main Event. |
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05-22-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks -1 | Top | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 46 m | Show |
CLEVELAND at ATLANTA |
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05-21-15 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -10.5 | Top | 98-99 | Loss | -107 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
HOUSTON at GOLDEN STATE |
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05-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks -1 | Top | 97-89 | Loss | -105 | 101 h 25 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as a 10* |
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05-19-15 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -10 | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Golden State Warriors as a 10*. The Warriors had a tough series with the Memphis Grizzlies, overcoming their size and dominating defense. Now, Golden State switches gears against the high-powered Houston Rockets in the Western Conference finals. This Rockets play more at the Warriors’ pace than the Grizzlies did and that might not be a good thing for Houston in Game 1. The Rockets are ripe for the letdown spot after battling back from 3-1 down to Los Angeles, including an improbable Game 6 comeback and a huge victory in Game 7. The Warriors have covered in five straight meetings with the Rockets and showed plenty of character in the previous series versus Memphis. They will set the tone with a big win in Game 1 Tuesday night. I’m playing on Golden State as a 10* Tuesday. |
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05-17-15 | Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 100-113 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers as a 10*. |
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05-15-15 | Atlanta Hawks +3 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 94-91 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
ATLANTA at WASHINGTON I am playing on ATLANTA. The Hawks played about as poorly as they can play on Wednesday night and they still managed to squeak out the win over the Wizards. I think we'll see a much better effort on Friday in Game 6 and I believe they'll not only cover the number, but could very likely end the series. The Hawks coughed up the ball a sloppy 25 times in Game 5, which should have been enough to doom them. However, I just feel they are the better team, and tougher in the paint, and Al Horford managed to haul in a big rebound and put back the basket needed to take the game. Nene continues to be sporadic for the Wizards down low (nine points and 40% shooting in Game 5) and as a result, Atlanta holds a big edge in the paint with Horford and Paul Milsap. The Hawks out-rebounded the Wizards 50-46 last game and I think we'll see that continue to give Atlanta a big edge down low in Game 6. I'm expecting Atlanta to finish this series off on Friday and as a result, I love the points here. 10* Best Bet |
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05-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +2 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 94-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
CLEVELAND at CHICAGO |
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05-13-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors -10 | Top | 78-98 | Win | 100 | 38 h 59 m | Show |
MEMPHIS at GOLDEN STATE |
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05-13-15 | Washington Wizards v. Atlanta Hawks -9 | Top | 81-82 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 60 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as a 10*. |
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05-12-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -5 | Top | 101-106 | Push | 0 | 34 h 43 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 10* PLAYOFF SIDE OF THE YEAR. |
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05-11-15 | Golden State Warriors -5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 101-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Golden State Warriors as my 10* Western Conference Main Event. |
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05-11-15 | Atlanta Hawks -4 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as my 10* Eastern Conference Main Event. |
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05-10-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 86-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Cleveland Cavaliers as my 10* Main Event. |
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05-09-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards -1.5 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 68 h 41 m | Show |
ATLANTA at WASHINGTON |
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05-06-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5 | Top | 91-106 | Win | 100 | 45 h 52 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Cleveland Cavaliers as my 10* Super Play. |
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05-05-15 | Washington Wizards v. Atlanta Hawks -6 | Top | 90-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as my 10* Main Event. |
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05-04-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -6 | Top | 117-101 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Houston Rockets as my 10* Main Event. |
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05-03-15 | Washington Wizards +5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Washington Wizards as my 10* Best Bet. |
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05-02-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers -2 | Top | 109-111 | Push | 0 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers as a 10*. |
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05-01-15 | Atlanta Hawks -4 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 111-87 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
ATLANTA at BROOKLYN |
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04-30-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
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04-29-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Atlanta Hawks -8.5 | Top | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
I am playing on ATLANTA. It was a bit of a stunner than Brooklyn managed to win both games it has played at home in this series but I think the series turns back around in Game 5 back in Atlanta. |
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04-27-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trailblazers -3 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Portland Trail Blazers as my 10* Annihilator. The Trail Blazers are backed up against a wall, facing a possible four-game sweep at the hands of the Memphis Grizzlies Monday. We expect Portland to come out fighting in Game 4 and see solid line value with the Blazers. Portland tried to change the tempo of the series in Game 3 at home. The Blazers pushed the pace and tried to overwhelm Memphis with a high-scoring attack, which backfired when the Grizzlies matched Portland’s offensive efficiency and scored 39 of their total 115 points from the foul line. That was the most amount of points scored by Memphis since a 122-point effort in overtime back in January. The Blazers do catch a break with Grizzlies point guard Mike Conley out for Game 4 with an eye injury. Conley is the motor behind the Memphis offense and an underrated defender. Portland should try to up the tempo again and challenge the Grizzlies’ backcourt depth and ball handling with Conley out of action. Damian Lillard, especially, will be looking to test Memphis after being hounded by Conley all series. The Blazers desperate and upping the tempo on a shorthanded Grizzlies backcourt are why I’m playing on Portland as my 10* Annihilator Monday. |
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04-26-15 | Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks +2.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Dallas Mavericks as my 10* Western Conference Main Event. |
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04-26-15 | Toronto Raptors +6 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 94-125 | Loss | -113 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Toronto Raptors as my 10* Eastern Conference Main Event. The Raptors are facing an embarrassing sweep at the hands of the Washington Wizards, despite standing as the higher seed and taking all three meetings against Washington in the regular season. Toronto fell down 0-3 with a 106-99 loss in DC Friday night, trailing at the half and battling an off-shooting night. There is desperation with the Dinos in Game 4 and we see that providing plenty of pointspread value. Washington is a very young team and has never held a 3-0 stranglehold on the playoff series. Teams must learn to put opponents away when they have them on the ropes, and this Wizards squad just isn’t there yet. We expect Toronto to live to see another day with a gritty effort Sunday. The Raptors defense wasn’t able to translate 17 Washington turnovers into offense, despite 12 steals. Toronto had just nine fastbreak points and needs to do a better job in transition, breaking out and capitalizing on those errors. The Wizards have averaged 14.7 turnovers per game in this season while Toronto has coughed the ball up only 10.7 times per contest, including just nine turnovers in Game 3. The Wizards' inexperience closing out games and the Raptors turning turnovers into points are why I’m playing on Toronto as my 10* Eastern Conference Main Event Sunday. |
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04-25-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trailblazers -3 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
I am playing on PORTLAND. I expect the Blazers to be relieved to be heading back to home court, where they scored about two more points and allowed about three fewer points than they did compared to their overall averages this season. The Blazers are 14-8 against the spread versus winning teams at home this season and I think they’ll grab a big win at home in Game 3 and declare this series isn’t quite over yet. 10* Opening Round Game of the Year |
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04-23-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +3 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
CHICAGO at MILWAUKEE |
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04-22-15 | Portland Trailblazers +6.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 82-97 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Portland Trail Blazers as my 10* Best Bet. |
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04-22-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Atlanta Hawks -9.5 | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as my 10* Personal Favorite. The Hawks may have gotten a wake-up call from the Brooklyn Nets in Game 1 of this Eastern Conference opening round series. Atlanta edged Brooklyn 99-92 and failed to cover as 11-point favorites this past weekend, with the Nets fighting right until the final horn. The No. 1 seed in the East knows it has a poor history of early postseason exits and would be one of the most memorable busts if they were to fall to Brooklyn this season. We fully expect the Hawks to take zero chances with that in Game 2 and gladly give the points, predicting a big night for Atlanta. All eyes are on Hawks center Al Horford and his finger injury but Atlanta shouldn’t be worried. This team has some of the best scoring depth in the NBA, with six players averaging 10 or more points per game. Atlanta has shown an ability to absorb injuries to key players all season and won’t suffer as big a letdown as expected if Horford is unable to go. The Hawks waking up after a close call in Game 1 and their uncanny scoring depth are why I’m playing on Atlanta as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. |
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04-21-15 | Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -4.5 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 22 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Toronto Raptors as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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04-19-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers -1 | Top | 92-107 | Win | 100 | 55 h 36 m | Show |
I am playing on the CLIPPERS. Los Angeles soars into the playoffs on an eight-game winning streak and though the Clippers went 0-3-1 against the spread in their last four games, I like the fact they barely have a point spread to worry about covering here. |
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04-19-15 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 48 h 50 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Cleveland Cavaliers as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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04-18-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets -5 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show |
I am playing on HOUSTON. The Rockets finished with their third-best record in franchise history and they consistently proved to be a matchup problem for the Mavs this year. The Rockets went 3-1 straight up and against the spread in the four meetings this season and Houston often used a lightning transition game to get the jump on the Mavericks. Dallas gave up 15.9 points on average in transition on the season but against Houston that number jumped to a sloppy 23.3 points. The Rockets are also a much better defensive team than the Mavericks and they held Dirk Nowitzki to a disappointing 42 percent shooting in the four meetups and I'll think that's a great sign that points toward another Houston cover here. Center Dwight Howard finally appears healthy for Houston and I think that will be another big advantage for the Rockets – particularly when it comes to keeping Mavericks center Tyson Chandler in check, who has averaged almost 15 points over his last five games. Howard is averaging 10.5 rebounds per game and has at least two blocks in his last three games and I expect him to be a big presence in the paint. Then there’s James Harden, of course, who finished second in NBA scoring this year. He’s going to be the best player on the court pretty much no matter who Houston plays and I expect him to own a big role in leading the Rockets to the money in Game 1. Houston enters this contest on a three-game winning streak and the Rockets were also an incredible 26-15 against the spread on home court this season. They've also covered four of the last five meetings against Dallas and everywhere you look, this game is pointing to a Houston win and cover. 10* Saturday Main Event |
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04-15-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. New Orleans Pelicans +5 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
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04-14-15 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers -7 | Top | 95-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Indiana Pacers as my 10* NBA Personal Favorite. Indiana is still battling for the playoffs, sitting behind the Brooklyn Nets for the eighth and final postseason ticket in the Eastern Conference. That motivation has pushed the Pacers to five straight victories heading into Tuesday’s action, going 4-1 ATS in that span. Indiana could get some help from the Wizards, who are locked into the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference and could choose to limit their stars in the final two games of the season. Washington found out Monday night, following Chicago’s win over Brooklyn, that they would finish fifth in the conference, which rendered Tuesday’s tangle with the Pacers meaningless to the Wizards. The Pacers' offense has been the motor for this team’s late surge, averaging almost 104 points per game in their last 10 outings – a major improvement from their season scoring rate of 97.5 points per game. The return of Paul George has also given Indiana some scoring depth off the bench, with George averaging 10.3 points in his first four games back from a broken leg. The Pacers’ postseason push and the Wizards not having any stake in this game are why I’m playing on Indiana as my 10* NBA Personal Favorite Tuesday. |
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04-13-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings -4 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Sacramento Kings as my 10* NBA Personal Favorite Monday. |
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04-12-15 | Sacramento Kings v. Denver Nuggets -10 | Top | 111-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Denver Nuggets as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. |
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04-12-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Milwaukee Bucks +1 | Top | 73-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Milwaukee Bucks as my 10* Early Best Bet Sunday. |
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04-11-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +20 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
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04-10-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets +3 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
I am playing on HOUSTON. Keeping Houston down isn't an easy thing to do, as I believe the Spurs will find out tonight after beating the Rockets 110-98 last night. I don't expect them to make the same mistake tonight. The Rockets are 12-8 against the spread against winning teams at home this season while the Spurs are 7-12 ATS against winning teams on the road. 10* Main Event |
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04-08-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Memphis Grizzlies -5 | Top | 74-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
I am playing on MEMPHIS. This game has the feeling of a classic letdown spot for New Orleans, who is coming off a big upset win last night over the best team in the NBA, Golden State. |
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04-05-15 | Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -2 | Top | 101-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Sacramento Kings as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. |
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04-04-15 | Utah Jazz v. Phoenix Suns -1.5 | Top | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. I successfully offered a play on the Suns when they played Thursday night and they covered the spread by 11.5 points in a last-second loss to the best team in the NBA, the Golden State Warriors. |
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04-03-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Sacramento Kings +6.5 | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Another reason I like the Kings here is they have won four of the last six meetings against the Pelicans. Throw in the points they're getting and I believe this makes for a fantastic Friday play where oddsmakers are being far too generous to the home team. 10* Best Bet |
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04-02-15 | Phoenix Suns +11.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. I think the Suns are getting too many points in a spot where I feel they will catch Golden State in a letdown spot. |
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04-01-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz -4 | Top | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah Jazz as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. |
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04-01-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic +9 | Top | 103-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Orlando Magic as my 10* Best Bet Wednesday. |
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03-31-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -2 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers as my 10* TNT Main Event Tuesday. |
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03-30-15 | Houston Rockets v. Toronto Raptors -1.5 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Toronto Raptors as my 10* Personal Favorite Monday. |
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03-28-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Milwaukee Bucks +5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
I am playing on MILWAUKEE. You may not have guessed it but the Bucks actually love playing Golden State when it comes to covering the spread. Milwaukee is 7-1-1 against the number in the last nine meetings including covering the last two times these teams met despite the fact the Warriors won. |
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03-25-15 | Sacramento Kings v. Phoenix Suns -8 | Top | 108-99 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Suns are suddenly a bettor's best friend with four straight wins and covered spreads and I like them to continue that trend Wednesday night against Sacramento. |
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03-24-15 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Sacramento Kings -8 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Sacramento Kings as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. |
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03-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Brooklyn Nets -4 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Brooklyn Nets as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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03-21-15 | Phoenix Suns +8.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Suns have quietly turned into a scorching hot bet and that has flown under the radar because of their straight up record. |
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03-19-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Phoenix Suns -1 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Suns haven't played since Sunday and enter this game fully rested and prepared. I think they'll earn a valuable win against the team one spot ahead of them in the chase for the final playoff spot. Phoenix has the toughest closing stretch of schedule of any team in the NBA where only two of its opponents own sub-.500 records. So games at home with this kind of rest and preparation time are ones the Suns can't afford to lose. Besides the prep time and home court, one big reason I like the Suns is the Pelicans enter this one shooting on the cold side from 3-point range. They went 8-of-25 against the Bucks last game and just 6-of-22 against the Nuggets two games ago. Another reason I like Phoenix is the Suns have won four of the last five meetings straight up against the Pelicans for a 3-2 against the spread record. The Pelicans won the only meeting this year 110-106, but I think the Suns learned from that meeting. With Brandon Knight's status in doubt, hobbled on an injured ankle, the Suns may go with a bigger lineup than usual. I believe that's a better way to go against a bigger Pelicans squad and with Phoenix shooting slightly better from 3-point range right now, I think the Suns manage to pull this one out. 10* Personal Favorite |
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03-18-15 | Boston Celtics v. Oklahoma City Thunder -7 | Top | 118-122 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on OKLAHOMA CITY. Boston may be on a hot run overall right now with five straight wins, but win it comes to playing the Thunder, the Celtics are nothing but ice cold. |
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03-17-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Los Angeles Clippers -9.5 | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show |
I am playing on the CLIPPERS. The Clippers are simply a more talented team than the Hornets and I feel they’ll cover here on home court. |
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03-16-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat +4 | Top | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
I am playing on the HEAT. I think we have an inflated line here with what I perceive to be a public perception that leans to have LeBron’s Cavs having a big showing against his former team. |
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03-16-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Washington Wizards -2 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
I am playing on WASHINGTON. I feel the Wizards are getting a great line here, maybe in part because the Blazers blew out a couple of bad teams in their most recent games. |
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03-15-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Toronto Raptors -1.5 | Top | 113-97 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Toronto Raptors as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. |
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03-13-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks -1.5 | Top | 99-129 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on DALLAS. The Mavs have been in a funk recently, which means we're dealing with a small spread here, but I think they're about to break out of their losing ways with a big win on Friday. |
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03-13-15 | Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors -5.5 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on TORONTO. I think the Raptors are going to come out on fire against the Heat in hopes of shaking off what is one of the worst team-vs-team losing streaks in pro sports right now. |
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03-10-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Brooklyn Nets -3 | Top | 111-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on BROOKLYN. There are two main factors I like here in taking the Nets and those are that the Nets catch the Pelicans in a back-to-back spot and Tyreke Evans is expected to miss tonight's game for New Orleans. |
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03-09-15 | Memphis Grizzlies -3 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 101-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
I am playing on MEMPHIS. In this battle of division leaders I’m going to take the team that’s better on defense and in my opinion is playing on fresher legs. The Grizzlies own the best scoring defense in the league with just 95.6 points against per game and I love taking a strong defensive team against a team playing on jello legs. That’s how I expect the Bulls to come into this game in what will be their fourth game in five nights in one of their worst stretches of schedule of the season. It’s not just the number of games in that short stretch, it’s the quality of opponents. Chicago will have faced the Wizards and Pacers on back to back nights followed by the Spurs and Grizzlies on back to back nights by the time it’s over with just one day of rest in between. And the Bulls aren’t exactly the greatest on short rest. They are just 7-10 against the spread this season on zero rest, their worst spot in terms of days rest this campaign. While the Grizzlies are also playing their sixth game in eight days, I also like the fact the away team has won and covered the spread in the last four meetings between these squads. And I feel the Grizz have more depth and can handle tough stretches of schedule a little bit better. The addition Jeff Green, who was acquired in a three-team trade in January, is a big reason why. They are 18-7 since he switched squads and 15-6 when he starts. Green gives the Grizzlies a little more depth down low and in transition and I think it will give the Bulls a look they haven’t seen before or will be able to handle on Monday in this tough spot. 10* Personal Favorite |
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03-08-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Detroit Pistons -1 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 21 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. If the Pistons have any hope of making the playoffs ,Charlotte is a team they can’t afford to lose to and I think they’ll come up with a big effort here at home on Sunday. The Pistons trail the eighth and final playoffs spot by just four games and they trail the Hornets by 4.5 games. There are six teams fighting for the last couple of spots right now and beating those teams on home court should bring out some desperation in this Detroit squad that has had a roller coaster ride of a season. I think oddsmakers are underestimating the Pistons here in setting a tiny spread. I feel they’ve been adjusting with a new look in the back court with the addition of Reggie Jackson back there and their transition woes showed up on their recent three-game road trip. The Pistons lost three in a row – albeit they covered in two of those despite getting only a small handful of points – and the thing I like is that it was cold shooting that cost them. Detroit is still getting great looks at the hoop and plenty of solid chances to score and I think the cold shooting will turn around as soon as the team is back at home on Sunday. Jackson is averaging 15.8 points and 7.0 assists and is helping to open up the floor through his first six games with his new club. The problem is that he’s shooting just 36.7 percent. I believe we’ll see things heat up Sunday afternoon. The Pistons hammered Charlotte by 28 points last month in the only meeting of the season and I think the Hornets will struggle again here in a game where I feel oddsmakers are giving us a soft line. 10* NBA Personal Favorite |
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03-07-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers +10 | Top | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Philadelphia 76ers as my 10* Best Bet Saturday. Philadelphia plays host to the Atlanta Hawks, who are coming off a massive win over the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday night. We see major letdown potential from the Hawks in this overnight trip to Philly. And with oddsmakers handing over a truck load of points, this should play out as an easy cover for a Sixers team that has covered in back-to-back games heading into the weekend. The 76ers fell short against the Utah Jazz Friday, losing 89-83 at home, but did manage to cover the 7.5-point spread. Philadelphia played Atlanta tough in its last meeting, losing 91-85 as a 16-point road underdog and seems to rise to the occasion against the NBA’s elite. It’s coming off solid efforts versus Oklahoma City, Toronto, and even stood toe-to-toe with Golden State last month. The Hawks have played three straight games against tough opposition and will be looking to catch their breath against the lowly Sixers Saturday. Before the win over Cleveland, Atlanta took down Houston and Miami. The Hawks haven’t been a good bet as big chalk, failing to cover in each of their last four games as double-digit favorites. The Hawks ripe for a letdown and the Sixers rising to the occasion are why I’m playing on Philadelphia as my 10* Best Bet Saturday. |
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03-06-15 | Boston Celtics v. New Orleans Pelicans -7 | Top | 104-98 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New Orleans Pelicans as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday. |
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03-05-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Chicago Bulls +3 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Chicago Bulls as my 10* TNT Main Event Thursday. |
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03-03-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Charlotte Hornets -8 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Charlotte Hornets as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. |
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03-02-15 | Toronto Raptors -7.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Toronto Raptors as my 10* Personal Favorite Monday. |
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02-28-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns -1 | Top | 101-74 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Phoenix Suns as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. |
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02-27-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Toronto Raptors +1.5 | Top | 113-89 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Toronto Raptors as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday. |
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02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers +3.5 | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Indiana Pacers as my 10* Best Bet Friday. |
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02-26-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns +5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Suns could definitely use some wins to help their fans and bettors forget about having to trade away Goran Dragic. I think one of those wins will come against the Thunder Thursday night. The Suns have been scoring lately, which hasn't slowed since Brandon Knight joined the team over the weekend from Milwaukee. Phoenix has scored 227 points in the two games since Knight came to town and the Suns are averaging 111 over their last four games. Unfortunately, that hasn't resulted in wins in any of those games but I don't feel the Thunder will be able to keep up with that kind of pace - not without Kevin Durant, anyway. Durant has missed the last three games with a foot injury and is out indefinitely. Although the Thunder won and covered all three of those games, they were against the Denvers, Charlottes and Indianas of the world. Phoenix isn't the No. 1 team in the NBA, but the Suns are better than those squads and they are the third-highest scoring team in the NBA. Knight becomes the third former Kentucky player on the Suns roster to go along with Eric Bledsoe and Archie Goodwin. I think he'll be good for chemistry once this team finds some on the court and the Suns have a great starting backcourt with Bledsoe and Knight. I feel this is too many points for the Durant-less Thunder to have to give away on the road, especially against a somewhat desperate Suns team that is going to get more comfortable every game with its new teammates. 10* TNT Main Event |
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02-25-15 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Milwaukee Bucks -10.5 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on the BUCKS. I think Milwaukee finally covers its first spread as a new-look team since shipping out leading scorer Brandon Knight three games ago. Nevermind the fact the Sixers have the most road losses in the NBA with 24 this season. Or the fact the Bucks have won and covered the last four meetings with them. Those are nice-to-haves but the Bucks are starting to find a little more comfort with their new teammates and a big reason I like Milwaukee to win handily against the Sixers is turnovers. The Bucks have been shooting themselves in the foot lately with bad turnovers, including 24 against the Hawks two games ago. Why that could be a positive here is that I don’t think Milwaukee will be as penalized by any turnovers it makes Wednesday night against the Sixers because the Sixers cough the ball up more than anyone in the NBA at an average of 18.5 times per game. The Bucks may even get a chance to show off new point guard Michael Carter-Williams, who is expected to play after missing his first three games with his new team with a toe injury. Carter-Williams is a big, do-everything kind of point guard and I think he can get this Bucks offense rolling again after they failed to reach 90 points in any of the three games since they traded Knight. Milwaukee has only lost three games in a row once this season, which was in early December. I don’t anticipate that pattern repeating itself Wednesday against a Sixers team that has lost its last 10 road outings. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-25-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -3 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
I am playing on the ROCKETS. Houston has won its last two games by an average of 16.5 points, taking their backers to the ticket window to collect both times. I like them to continue their moneymaking efforts in a revenge situation at home against the Clippers tonight. The Clippers have won and covered in six straight meetings against Houston which includes two meetings this season. League-leading scorer, James Harden, had a combined 25 points in those two games in what were two of his worst shooting performances of the season and I think we’ll see him a little extra motivated to correct that tonight. Harden is a wrecking ball right now and has been a triple-double threat in just about every game he's played lately. He picked up his second triple double of the season against the Timberwolves last game with 31 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists. I think he’ll have an absolutely huge game against the Clippers tonight and lead Houston to the win and cover. The Rockets are on fire at home where they've covered six of their last seven games and have covered their last four against the spread there against winning road teams. Houston is one of the few teams in the NBA that can keep pace with the Clippers, with both teams ranking in the top five in the league in scoring. The Rockets love to rain 3-pointers with an NBA record 40 games with at least 30 3-point attempts this season. The Clippers don't exactly defend the three-ball well, allowing opponents to shoot 34.4 percent from downtown this season and 36.2 percent on the road. 10* ESPN Main Event |
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02-25-15 | New York Knicks +12.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 94-115 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
I am playing on the KNICKS. The Knicks may have lost seven games in a row but they are right where they want to be on Wednesday: anywhere but MSG. When you look at the numbers, New York is actually a better team on the road than at home and it's not much wonder. It can wear on a team, taking the abuse from fans, media - and oh yeah, Phil Jackson - while they stink up the Big Apple. Jackson was taking rips on Twitter about his team after it got humiliated on home court by the Cavs. The Zen Master said the Knicks were giving the basketball gods heartburn after losing by 18. Well, New York can thank the basketball gods for road games. The Knicks are just 3-23 straight up on the road this season but are 12-12-2 against the spread. Compare that to 9-19 against the number at home and you can see the difference in value here. As odd as it is, the Knicks shoot better on the road from 2-point range, 3-point range and on free throws than they do overall this season. Boston, meanwhile, is just 13-14 ATS at home and 17-10 ATS on the road. The Celtics apparently don't like playing at home any more than the Knicks do. I think we'll see a big response from New York Wednesday night if the team has any pride left at all. The road team has actually won both meetings this year between these two squads and the Celtics have sloppily allowed at least 109 points in each of their last three games. 10* Best Bet |
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02-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Phoenix Suns -7.5 | Top | 115-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Suns love beating up on the Celtics at any time but I especially like them here where they catch the C's on back-to-back nights after Boston went to OT with the Lakers last night. Phoenix has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 meetings with the Celtics and I am thinking the Suns face the Celtics on some tired legs tonight. Boston's top six players played at least 30 minutes last night and four of those players played at least 35 minutes. Boston lost 118-111 and played some terrible defense, allowing the Lakers to shoot 51.2% from the field and 38.9% from long range. That's two straight games where Boston has lost and failed to cover in games where both teams scored more than 100 points, which is exactly where I expect Phoenix to try to push Boston Monday night. Phoenix has shot at least 50 percent from the floor in 18 games this season, which ranks second in the NBA. The Suns are also the third highest scoring team in the NBA with 106 points per game and I think we’ll see them push the pace tonight. Brandon Knight makes his second appearance at point guard for Phoenix and I feel he could be a fantastic addition in the desert. Knight is shooting 40.9 percent from 3-point range this season, which is an added threat that should help spread the floor for Phoenix and I believe will help them score even more. Knight doesn't mind leading the fast break either with 5.4 assists per game and is a steal machine who can score in transition. I expect Knight to see more minutes tonight against Boston than the 24 he saw in his debut for the Suns and I think he'll spark them to a much needed win and cover. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-22-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks +4 | Top | 97-86 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Milwaukee Bucks as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. The wheels are coming off the Atlanta Hawks' red-hot run, with the NBA All-Star break disrupting the team’s momentum into the second half of the season. Atlanta fell 89-88 to the Boston Celtics before the break and was thumped by the Toronto Raptors, 105-80, in its first game back Friday night. The Hawks have come back to earth and there is value to be had fading the Eastern Conference’s top team. The Milwaukee Bucks are the perfect team to kick Atlanta when it’s down. The Bucks have won four straight contests – picking up where they left off with a victory against Denver Friday – and are an impressive 9-1 in their last 10 overall. Milwaukee’s brand of smothering defense will attack the Hawks' offensive issues and avenge a 90-85 loss to Atlanta in their most recent tangle on Dec. 27. The Bucks beat the Hawks the day before that loss in the opening game of a home-and-home set. The Bucks are giving up just under 97 points per game on the year – ranked third in the NBA – and have limited opponents to just 42.4 percent shooting at home, including a 33.3 percent clip from beyond the arc. That comes in handy against a 3-point-dependent Hawks offense that can’t seem to find its stroke from outside. Atlanta is just 15 for 67 from outside in the last two games – 22.3 percent shooting for a team that sits second in the league from distance (38.5 percent) and knocks down 9.9 3-pointers a night. The Hawks’ ice-cold shooting and the Bucks’ defense taking advantage of a reeling Eastern rival are why I’m playing on Milwaukee as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. |
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02-21-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Houston Rockets -2.5 | Top | 76-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Houston Rockets as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. The Rockets are back home looking to rebound from a flat outing against the Dallas Mavericks in their first game back from the All-Star break. Houston opens the doors of the Toyota Center to the Toronto Raptors, who are ripe for a letdown spot after clashing with the Atlanta Hawks Friday night. Toronto blasted the NBA’s top team 105-80 and now travels overnight to Texas for this non-conference clash. The Raptors rolled Atlanta, checking the Hawks for just 33 percent shooting including an 8-for-38 night beyond the arc. Toronto had the hot hand from outside in that win, knocking down 13 of its 30 shots from downtown. But the Raptors will be playing with fire if they want to get into a shootout with the Rockets' sharp shooters. Heading into Friday’s game, Houston topped the NBA in 3-pointers made – 11.8 per game – and percentage of points from 3-pointers (34.3 percent). The Rockets have a much more perimeter orientated offense with Dwight Howard on the shelf until March, and aren’t afraid to get into a 3-point war with opponents. On the defensive side, the Raptors are a favorable matchup for the Rockets at this point. Toronto doesn’t present a dominant big man like most Western Conference foes, and not having Howard down low isn’t as exposed as it would be against a conference rival. The Rockets have a bevy of solid on-the-ball defenders – Patrick Beverly, Trevor Ariza, Corey Brewer – and will challenge the Raptors’ drive-and-dish offense. The Rockets' ability to knock down the 3-pointer and defend the ball and the Raptors ripe for a letdown are why I’m playing on Houston as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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Ben Burns NBA Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-13-15 | Hornets v. Bulls -6.5 | Top | 97-102 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
11-11-15 | Pacers +3 v. Celtics | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
11-11-15 | Raptors v. 76ers +8.5 | Top | 119-103 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
11-10-15 | Mavs v. Pelicans -1.5 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
11-09-15 | Magic v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 84-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
11-07-15 | Pelicans v. Mavs -5 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
11-07-15 | Nets +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 86-94 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
11-06-15 | Lakers v. Nets -3.5 | Top | 104-98 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
11-05-15 | Thunder v. Bulls -1 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
11-03-15 | Magic v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -104 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
11-02-15 | Thunder v. Rockets | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
10-31-15 | Jazz v. Pacers -3 | Top | 97-76 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
10-30-15 | Blazers v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
10-30-15 | Warriors v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
10-29-15 | Hawks -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
10-28-15 | Pelicans v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10-28-15 | Bulls v. Nets +5.5 | Top | 115-100 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
06-16-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 | Top | 105-97 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 5 m | Show |
06-04-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +6 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -105 | 180 h 19 m | Show |
05-26-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers -8 | Top | 88-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
05-22-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks -1 | Top | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 46 m | Show |
05-21-15 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -10.5 | Top | 98-99 | Loss | -107 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
05-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks -1 | Top | 97-89 | Loss | -105 | 101 h 25 m | Show |
05-19-15 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -10 | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
05-17-15 | Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 100-113 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
05-15-15 | Atlanta Hawks +3 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 94-91 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
05-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +2 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 94-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
05-13-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors -10 | Top | 78-98 | Win | 100 | 38 h 59 m | Show |
05-13-15 | Washington Wizards v. Atlanta Hawks -9 | Top | 81-82 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 60 m | Show |
05-12-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -5 | Top | 101-106 | Push | 0 | 34 h 43 m | Show |
05-11-15 | Golden State Warriors -5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 101-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
05-11-15 | Atlanta Hawks -4 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
05-10-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 86-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
05-09-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards -1.5 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 68 h 41 m | Show |
05-06-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5 | Top | 91-106 | Win | 100 | 45 h 52 m | Show |
05-05-15 | Washington Wizards v. Atlanta Hawks -6 | Top | 90-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
05-04-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -6 | Top | 117-101 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
05-03-15 | Washington Wizards +5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
05-02-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers -2 | Top | 109-111 | Push | 0 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
05-01-15 | Atlanta Hawks -4 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 111-87 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
04-30-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
04-29-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Atlanta Hawks -8.5 | Top | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
04-27-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trailblazers -3 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
04-26-15 | Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks +2.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
04-26-15 | Toronto Raptors +6 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 94-125 | Loss | -113 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
04-25-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trailblazers -3 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
04-23-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +3 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
04-22-15 | Portland Trailblazers +6.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 82-97 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
04-22-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Atlanta Hawks -9.5 | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
04-21-15 | Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -4.5 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 22 m | Show |
04-19-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers -1 | Top | 92-107 | Win | 100 | 55 h 36 m | Show |
04-19-15 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 48 h 50 m | Show |
04-18-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets -5 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show |
04-15-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. New Orleans Pelicans +5 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
04-14-15 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers -7 | Top | 95-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
04-13-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings -4 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
04-12-15 | Sacramento Kings v. Denver Nuggets -10 | Top | 111-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
04-12-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Milwaukee Bucks +1 | Top | 73-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
04-11-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +20 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
04-10-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets +3 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
04-08-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Memphis Grizzlies -5 | Top | 74-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
04-05-15 | Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -2 | Top | 101-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
04-04-15 | Utah Jazz v. Phoenix Suns -1.5 | Top | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
04-03-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Sacramento Kings +6.5 | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
04-02-15 | Phoenix Suns +11.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
04-01-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz -4 | Top | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
04-01-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic +9 | Top | 103-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
03-31-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -2 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
03-30-15 | Houston Rockets v. Toronto Raptors -1.5 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
03-28-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Milwaukee Bucks +5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
03-25-15 | Sacramento Kings v. Phoenix Suns -8 | Top | 108-99 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
03-24-15 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Sacramento Kings -8 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
03-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Brooklyn Nets -4 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
03-21-15 | Phoenix Suns +8.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
03-19-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Phoenix Suns -1 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
03-18-15 | Boston Celtics v. Oklahoma City Thunder -7 | Top | 118-122 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
03-17-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Los Angeles Clippers -9.5 | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show |
03-16-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat +4 | Top | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
03-16-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Washington Wizards -2 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
03-15-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Toronto Raptors -1.5 | Top | 113-97 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
03-13-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks -1.5 | Top | 99-129 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
03-13-15 | Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors -5.5 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
03-10-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Brooklyn Nets -3 | Top | 111-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
03-09-15 | Memphis Grizzlies -3 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 101-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
03-08-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Detroit Pistons -1 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 21 m | Show |
03-07-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers +10 | Top | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
03-06-15 | Boston Celtics v. New Orleans Pelicans -7 | Top | 104-98 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
03-05-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Chicago Bulls +3 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
03-03-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Charlotte Hornets -8 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
03-02-15 | Toronto Raptors -7.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
02-28-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns -1 | Top | 101-74 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
02-27-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Toronto Raptors +1.5 | Top | 113-89 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers +3.5 | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
02-26-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns +5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
02-25-15 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Milwaukee Bucks -10.5 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
02-25-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -3 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
02-25-15 | New York Knicks +12.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 94-115 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
02-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Phoenix Suns -7.5 | Top | 115-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
02-22-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks +4 | Top | 97-86 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
02-21-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Houston Rockets -2.5 | Top | 76-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |