Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-25-21 | Louisville v. Florida State +1 | 31-23 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FSU. I like the Seminoles to score the minor upset this afternoon. With an 0-3 record for the first time since 1976, everyone is pretty down on the Noles at the moment. Yes, losing to Jacksonville State is pretty sad. However, "letdowns" do happen to college teams and the Noles had just left it all on the field in a heartbreaking loss against Notre Dame. Last game, the Noles were beaten up on the road against Wake Forest. As we saw last night, however, the Deacons have a strong team this season. So, the losses against Notre Dame and at Wake Forest weren't unexpected. And the loss against Jacksonville State, though inexcusable, still "made sense." Keep in mind that FSU brought back 17 players from last year's team and that their coach is in his second year here. One of last year's worst losses came at the hands of these same Cardinals, at Louisville. Unlike the Noles, the Cardinals lost quite a lot from last year's team. They got pounded in their lone road game; they're just 2-8 their last 10 on the road. I say the Noles dig deep, get some payback from last year, and avoid the dreaded 0-4 start. |
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09-24-21 | Wake Forest +4 v. Virginia | Top | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 69 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on WAKE FOREST. I won with the Cavaliers in their blowout win over Illinois. However, UNC brought them back down to earth last week and I expect them to have their hands full again on Friday night. Wake Forest beat Virginia 40-23 last season. This year's team is even better, as the Deacons returned 20 starters from last year's team. While the Cavs were getting beaten up by the Tar Heels last week, the Deacons are off a confidence-building 35-14 beatdown of Florida State. Indeed, this team is better than many may yet realize. Note that WF is 5-1 ATS its last six, when coming off a SU victory. Including last year's victory, the Deacons are a perfect 6-0 ATS the past six meetings in the series. (They've won the last four meetings outright and the two before that were losses of one point and three points.) The Cavs will eventually snap that streak. Just not on Friday night. Grab the points. |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers -11.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on GB. As you probably saw, or heard, the Packers got hammered by the Saints in their opener. The Lions showed a little more life; they still lost but rallied from a big deficit to earn a backdoor cover. We know that the Packers have been the much better team for many years. That's very unlikely to change this season. The big question is, how will they react to the Week 1 beating? History suggests that they'll "bounce back big." The Packers were money off an ATS loss last season. They're also a perfect 5-0 ATS the last five times that they had scored 15 or fewer points in their previous game. After scoring 10 points against Tampa last October, the Pack bounced back and scored 35 the next game, a 35-20 blowout win at Houston. Prior to that, after the 49'ers held them to eight points, the Pack responded with a 31-13 destruction of the Giants. A few weeks earlier, they had managed only 11 points against the Chargers. They immediately bounced back with a win and cover at Carolina. You get the idea. The "rebuilding" Lions are the perfect opponent to "bounce back" against. These teams met here exactly one year ago, to the day. The Packers doubled Detroit in that 9/20/20 game, a 42-21 rout. History repeats itself tonight. |
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09-19-21 | Titans +6.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on TENNESSEE. (First Half) The Titans were embarrassed by their Week 1 effort. They're going to come out swinging right from the opening kickoff. Note that they're 7-0 SU the past seven times that they were off a double-digit loss; four of those wins were on the road, too. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS their last six, when off an ATS win. These teams have met three times since 2010. All three meetings were within a field goal at halftime. Scores were 9-7, 10-7 and 7-7. We're working with more than a field goal and I expect this one to also be close, at the break. |
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09-18-21 | Arkansas State v. Washington -17 | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Red Wolves are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Huskies are going to be in a very angry mood. Arkansas State left it all on the field last game but ultimately came up short, a tough 55-50 loss against Memphis. The Red Wolves had a late rally and finished the game with an edge in stats. Still, to lose that type of game stings. Now, they travel West to take on a superior opponent that will show them no mercy. Keep in mind that the Red Wolves are 1-7 ATS the past eight times that they had allowed 40 or more points in their previous game. The Red Wolves' strength is their passing attack. However, the Huskies haven't given up a TD through the air yet and are only giving up 74.5 ypg (#1 in the country) through the air. Yes, the Washington offense has struggled thus far. The Red Wolves defense is weak against both the run and the pass though and provides a perfect opportunity to get healthy. Washington's superior offensive and defensive line play proves significant, the Huskies getting back on track in blowout fashion. |
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09-18-21 | Virginia Tech v. West Virginia -2.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WVU. I won with the Hokies when they upset UNC. So, I'm fully aware that they're a capable team. That was at home though, where the Hokies enjoy a great homefield advantage. Now, they're on the road, facing an upset and experienced WVU team. Yet, the Hokies are getting far fewer points than they were at home against the Tar Heels. Note that they're just 2-4 SU/ATS the past six times that they played a game where the line ranged from +3 to -3. They're also 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road and 0-4 ATS after allowing 280 or more passing yards in their previous game. Additionally, note that depth at receiever is a bit of an issue for the Hokies with tight-end Mitchell out with injury. Off its loss at Maryland, the Mountaineers took out some of their anger on LIU, delivering a 66-0 thrashing. That'll give them plenty of confidence going into this one but they're still mad from the Maryland loss. They're 9-1-1 ATS their last 11 as home favorites, 6-0-1 ATS ther last seven at home. Expect them to improve on those stats Sat. afternoon. |
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09-18-21 | Michigan State v. Miami-FL -6 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI. At first glance, it may appear that the Spartans are off to a much better start than the Hurricanes. They're 2-0 SU/ATS while Miami is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. Those records aren't surprising though. The Spartans beat Northwestern but they were catching the Wildcats playing their first game, after losing most of their offense from last year. So, a nice win, but not entirely shocking. Their next game was against Youngstown State. So, winning that game was obviously expected. Miami has played much tougher competition. The Canes first game was vs Alabama. So, a loss wasn't that surprising. Next was Appalachian State. Though they didn't cover, the Canes did a good job of bouncing back from the opening day loss, to earn the SU win. Now, that first victory under their belts and fully recovered from the Bama beating, they'll be ready to put it all together. Even with the win at Northwestern, the Spartans are still just 3-8 ATS their last 11 as underdogs, 0-4 ATS as underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 range. While many seem to be jumping on the bandwagon, expect the Spartans to receive a reality check on Saturday afternoon. |
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09-16-21 | Ohio +21 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 14-49 | Loss | -117 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on OHIO. Neither team is pleased with how its played so far. The Cajuns lost to Texas. No shame in that, except that they were blown out 38-18. They followed it up by only beating Nicholls by a field goal. Not good, when considering they were laying nearly four TDs. Ohio has been even worse. The Bobcats followed up a loss against Syracuse by losing outright to Duquesne. I'm of the mind that both teams are a lot better than they've shown and that both will be playing better on Thursday. That said, this is a lot of points for the Cajuns to be laying, considering they only just beat Nicholls by a field goal. Ohio has a veteran coach and a veteran team. The Bobcats are coming in desperate. Look for them to provide a much tougher test than many will be expecting. |
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09-12-21 | Dolphins v. Patriots -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -125 | 321 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW ENGLAND. After years of dominating the division, the Patriots finally stumbled last season. Its a new year though and I expect Bellichick to have his team absolutely ready for Week 1. The Pats are 6-1 SU in September the past couple of seasons. The Dolphins, on the other hand, are 1-6. We know the Pats are always stingy. This year's team has added some bigtime players to their defensive front. Miami was able to run successfully against New England but that figures to be much more difficult in this game. The Dolphins are also building a fairly strong defense and they're likely going to be tough to run against. Belichick knows their defensisve system well though and he'll know how to exploit the soft spots in it. On offense, I believe that the Pats have the edge. I expect Tua to have some issues with the pressure he will face and throwing against a tough NE secondary. Look for the Patriots to send an early message in this one. |
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09-12-21 | Seahawks v. Colts +2.5 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 313 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on INDIANAPOLIS. Wentz going down prior to the season obviously wasn't ideal. As of this writing on Monday, Wentz was getting a full team practice in. As long as he holds up - and he reportedly looked sharp in practice (7-on-7 and individual drills) the previous week - he'll be behind center on Sunday. Whether it's Wentz or Eason, the Colts are a quality team which is hoping for big things this season. While Seattle has been tough for years and should be again this season, there are some areas of concern. Note that Seattle was 0-6 ATS its final six road games of 2020. Though preseason games, of course, need to taken with a grain of salt, I like the fact that the Colts were 3-0 compared to Seattle's 1-2. Reich's Colts already have a winning attitude and they're going to bring that mentality into Sunday. The home team is 4-0 SU/ATS the past four times that these teams met. I see the Colts, 7-2 SU their last nine home games, improving on those stats in this one. |
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09-11-21 | Washington +7 v. Michigan | 10-31 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Huskies got caught looking ahead to this game and were upset as big favorites last week. As a result, not many are giving them a chance in this one. They're a much better team than they showed though and I'm confident we'll see that this evening. Last week's results have worked in our favor, in helping to create additional line value. Michigan was able to have its way on offense against Western Michigan but the Wolverines will have a much tougher time against a tough Washington defense. The Huskies are still 4-1 ATS their last five non-conf. games while the Wolverines are 2-3 ATS their last five. Going back further finds Michigan at 4-11 ATS its last 15 against the Pac-12. While I'm aware, they're banged up at the receiver position, I believe that the Huskies are going to surprise a lot of people and I'm grabbing the points. |
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09-11-21 | Georgia Southern +7 v. Florida Atlantic | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on GEORGIA SOUTHERN. While I respect the Owls, I also believe that Georgia Southern is better than many realize. The Eagles ran for 365 yards in winning their opening game. They controlled the clock for more than 35 minutes. On the other hand, the Owls allowed more than 400 yards on the ground, giving up nearly nine yards per carry. Obviously, FAU played a MUCH tougher opponent. So, those results need to be taken with a grain of salt. That said, the Eagles will still have success on the ground. While they didn't cover in their Week 1 win, the Eagles are 8-0 ATS their last eight, after an ATS loss. Having beaten FAU by a score of 20-3 last year, they're coming in confident. The Owls are 2-12 ATS their last 14, as home favorites in the 3.5 to 7 range. Grab the points. |
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09-11-21 | Ball State +22.5 v. Penn State | 13-44 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BALL STATE. The Nittany Lions are off a big upset win. They only scored 16 points though and they're laying more than that here. I believe that's asking a lot. Off its win at Wisconsin and with Auburn on deck, this is a very tough scheduling spot. Note that PSU is just 4-8 ATS its last 12 home games. The Cardinals are an experienced team. They put up 31 points in winning their opener by double-digits. They're 9-2 ATS their last 11 when getting points, 14-6 ATS over the years against Big Ten teams. Grab the points and look for this one to be much closer than many will be expecting. |
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09-11-21 | Illinois v. Virginia -9.5 | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 93 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VIRGINIA. The Illini scored an upset of Nebraska, only to then lose to UTSA. Keep in mind this is a team with a new coach, essentially in rebuild mode. Now, they're on the road to take on a stronger Virginia team. Off a 43-0 romp, the Cavs are full of confidence. They're 9-4-1 ATS their last 14, when laying points and they're 10-3-1 ATS (13-1 SU) their last 14 at home. That home field advantage should definitely be working in their favor for this 11am ET start. The Cavs defense was dominant last week. They didn't even allow a first down until their opponent was on its fifth possession. In the end, Virginia would surrender only 183 total yards. Eventually, the offense got going to the tune of 545 yards. I don't feel that the Illini are ready for what they'll find here; I'm expecting another double-digit win for the Cavs. |
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09-04-21 | Stanford v. Kansas State -2.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 110 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on K-STATE. While this game will be played at a neutral site, the Wildcats will have the majority of the fans in their favor. The early starting time stongly favors K-State and Stanford coach David Shaw is the first to admit it. He had this to say, when learning about the schedule: "This is either complete disregard, or lack of understanding how difficult it is to be a West Coast team, that travels east and gets forced to play an early kickoff game ..." More recently he added: "I still think it's ridiculous." While the venue and kickoff time should favor K-State, the Wildcats also have the more experienced offense. They've got 10 returning starters on that side of the ball compared to six for Stanford. The Wildcats should be better on both sides of the ball this season. The Cardinal are 3-7 ATS their last 10 as underdogs. During that span, the Cats are 5-2 ATS as favorites. I expect them to improve on those stats Saturday morning. |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on V-TECH. The Tar Heels are tough on both sides of the ball and deserving of their national ranking. This is a very tough opening game though. Blacksburg has never been an easy place to play. Now, the fans are back and the Hokies should be much improved. While the offense will be good again, the Heels lost some serious firepower from last year. Note that they're just 5-5 on the road under Brown. Last year, they lost at (3-6) Florida State and (5-5) Virginia. After missing out on a bowl game for the first time in 27 years, the Hokies are coming into this season with a chip in their shoulder. They're 4-2 ATS their last six getting points overall and 6-3 ATS their last nine, as underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range. I say homefield proves significant and that the Heels give the Hokies all that they can handle. |
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09-01-21 | UAB v. Jacksonville State +17 | 31-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on JACKSONVILLE STATE. The Blazers won the C-USA championship again last season. The Gamecocks have been dominating the Ohio Valley. Naturally, UAB is favored. There's a lot to like about the Gamecocks in this one though and this is a very generous spread. I really like the fact that they've had a spring season under their belts. I like that Jacksonville State has a senior QB with 61 career TD passes to his credit. UAB replaces its career leading rusher and the Gamecocks have held nine straight (reg. season) opponents to less than 100 yards on the ground. These campuses are close to each other, so both will want to play hard. That said, UAB could easily already be thinking about next week's showdown with Georgia. Finally, I like the fact that the coaches are friends. In fact, they were in the same graduating class and they've previously worked together. In a game that may well prove a lot closer than many will be expecting, I'm grabbing the points. |
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08-28-21 | Nebraska -7 v. Illinois | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 745 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEBRASKA. It sounds funny but a case can be made that this is one of Nebraska's most important games of the season. The Huskers absolutely need a positive start. Beating a team which embarrassed them last year is a great place to begin. Beating Brett Bielema, new coach of Illinois, will make it even sweeter. Nebraska coach Frost commented: "The one thing we need is momentum right now. There's so many good things that are happening in our program. These kids deserve a little wind under their wings, and that first game's going to be an opportunity for us against a Big Ten opponent. So that really is a big game." Frost has plenty of talent and now he's had plenty of time with his team. The cupboard isn't bare for Bielema either, thanks to his "super seniors." That said, its going to take some time. He can't be expected to work miracles overnight. The Huskers are 13-8 ATS their last 21, as road favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. I see them settling the score from last year with a double-digit win to start the season. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 9-31 | Loss | -113 | 298 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on KC. Talk about a dream matchup. Brady, considered by many to be the greatest of all-time, against Mahomes, arguably the greatest right now. With all due respect to Brady, I do believe that Mahomes is "currently" the better QB. He plays at a different level and does things that other QBs simply can't do. He doesn't get phased either. Unflappable. You saw them turn the ball over and fall behind early against Buffalo in the Conf. Championship game. Mahomes didn't blink. He calmly led them back. Remember last year's playoffs? The Chiefs were behind by double-digits EVERY game. Yet, they went on to win the Super Bowl. That includes the game against the Texans where they down 24-0. They won 51-31. While I don't expect the Chiefs to fall behind by double-digits in this one, its a comfortable feeling knowing that Mahomes is never out of it. Though Arians got the better of a young Matt LaFleur in the NFC title game, I believe that Andy Reid gives the Chiefs a coaching advantage. I firmly believe that he's a better coach than he was earlier in his career. Here's an excerpt of what I said about Reid prior to last year's SB: "... Sometimes you need to lose, before you can win. Andy Reid has felt the pain of losing. Of coming so close to winning it all, only to come up short. Recall the 24-21 Super Bowl loss by Reid and the McNabb led Eagles team in 2005. McNabb was among the first to congratulate Reid, stating 'thats my coach, best I ever had.' Indeed, most of his players, past and present, love Reid. I believe he's a better coach than he used to be. That he's learned from his failures. The Chiefs, as a team, have had a small taste of the pain that Reid knows all too well. Recall how close they were to reaching the Super Bowl, only to come up short, last season. They've felt what its like to lose and they know how hard it is to get here. Now, they've taken the next step and I believe they're ready to seal the deal. With all due respect to McNabb, who was a great QB in his own right, Mahomes is playing a different level. He can calmly pick defenses apart, beating them short or long. If thats not there, he beats you with his legs. In four playoff games, he's got 11 TDs and 0 interceptions. We've seen the Chiefs show the ability to come back. They fell behind against the Titans last game, no problem. Down 24-0 against the Texans. Whatever. They rallied to crush them. Sure, the 49ers ran all over the Packers. Henry ran all over everyone though and the Chiefs stopped him. While I obvsiously, respect the 49er defense, I feel that its Andy Reid's time ..." Mahomes outplayed Brady here back in November. I expect him to do so again, the Chiefs hoisting the trophy for the second straight year, while covering the small number along the way. |
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01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs -9 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on KC. The Browns were able to beat up on the Steelers. However, the Chiefs are an entirely different animal. The Chiefs score more points than the Browns and they allow less. They're experienced in the playoffs, well coached and they're well-rested. Mahomes plays the game at another level. This will already be the Browns' fourth road game since 12/20. The Chiefs, on the other hand, have been home since Christmas. While the Browns are 1-5 ATS their last six against teams from the AFC West, the Chiefs are 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) their last six against teams from the AFC North. The Chiefs are a perfect 5-0 SU the past five times that they were off a bye and they're 4-1 ATS their last five playoff games. Mahomes rarely makes mistakes and its going to take a near perfect game to beat him. I don't believe that the Browns are up for the task. KC wins by double-digits. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 128 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. Both these teams are hungry to take the "next step." I believe that it'll be the Bills who do so. Lamar Jackson certainly does some special things on the field. However, he's also liable to make mistakes. More so, at least, than Josh Allen. Lamar completed 64% of his passes this season, while Allen completed 69% of his. While he didn't fare well against Baltimore last year, Allen has come a long way since then. Indeed, Allen threw for a whopping 4500+ yards with 37 TDs against 10 interceptions. Jackson had an almost identical number (nine) of INT's with roughly 1800 fewer yards and 11 less TD passes. All Allen did last week was to become the youngest QB in NFL history to complete 70% of his passes, in a playoff game, while throwing for more than 300 yards. Not only did he throw for 326 yards, he ran for another 54 and a TD. Yeah, he can do that, too. While it may not be talked about much, I believe that the schedule gives the Bills and advantage. This will be the Ravens' third straight road game and they're playing on a short week. The Bills play with one extra day in between games (they played Saturday last week, while Baltimore played Sunday) and they're playing their third straight at home. The Bills are 7-1 ATS their last eight, when the line ranged from -3 to +3. With Allen getting the better of Jackson, expect them to improve on those stats Saturday evening. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama -7 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 229 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ALABAMA. I won with the Buckeyes against Clemson. However, this Alabama team is in an entirely different class. The Buckeyes were on a mission to avenge last year's loss against Clemson. Obviously, they want to take the next step and beat Alabama, too. However, even if they don't, they've already proven that they belong and have "accomplished their mission." Coach Day commented: " ... This was big for us. This was a statement for us as a program to win a CFP game, especially after what happened last year. And to play the way we did, it means a lot for our program." For Alabama, on the other hand, nothing has been accomplished. This is a team which is on a mission to win the National title. As impressive as they were in beating up on Clemson, the Buckeyes got beaten up themselves in the process. QB Fields, the hero of the Sugar Bowl win, had this to say after the game: " ... I took like a shot or two in the medical tent and just ran back out there. But I mean it's pretty much my whole right torso that's messed up, a little bit of my hip ... " As much as I respect the Buckeyes, the Tide are simply better on both sides of the ball. Alabama will put up a big number, as it has done every game this season; ultimately, Ohio State won't be able to keep up. |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | Top | 9-21 | Loss | -117 | 125 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Its true that the Bears "backed into" the playoffs. I'm not concerned about that though. They're here. While the betting public isn't giving them a chance, the Bears believe that they belong. Remember, the Saints beat them by only three (in OT) in the regular season. The Bears will play without any pressure. This is a Chicago team and offensive line which protects its QB and which opens up holes for its running backs. Thats the type of formula that can often be successful in the playoffs. While they struggled to run the ball early, the Bears have rushed for more than 100 yards in six straight games. They've also allowed only one sack in their past three games. With an O/U line in the high 40s, note that Chicago is 4-1 ATS its past five, when playing a road game with an O/U line in the 45 to 49.5 range. Look for them to give the Saints all they can handle. |
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01-09-21 | Colts +7 v. Bills | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on INDIANAPOLIS. No doubt about it, the Bills had a great season. However, the Colts were "quietly" very good, too. While the Bills outscored opposing teams by an impressive 7.9 ppg, the Colts weren't far behind. They outscored teams by an average of 5.6 points. Everyone expects the Bills to win and with those expectations, comes pressure. Keep in mind that this is unfamiliar territory for most of these Bills. On the other hand, Indianapolis shouldn't be feeling the same type of pressure. The Colts coach, former Buffalo QB Frank Reich, had this to say of his team: "We should be loose, we should be aggressive, we should be able to play our best football game of the year because no one's going to give us a chance. It's the us- against-the-world mentality. If you were around the team like I am day in and day out, you'd understand where I get the confidence to think we can beat anyone in this tournament.'' Reich went on to say: "It starts with what we believe, we have the team to win it all. We've got the right players, the right coaches and the belief and confidence in each other to win it all. I can tell you on a personal note, in my 26 years in the NFL, I've been on teams that have won 11 games eight times. Six of those eight went to the Super Bowl.'' Led by their veteran QB, look for Reich's Colts, 4-2 ATS their last six as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range, to give the Bills all they can handle, with a great shot at the outright upset. |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles +3.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. These teams in the NFC East hate each other. Don't think for a second that the Eagles don't want this game. Sure, a win would mean that another hated rival will get in. Still, the Eagles are a proud franchise which isn't about to hand over a playoff spot. As Eagles coach Doug Pederson had to say: 'We've got to have a no hat rule this week. We can't let opponents put division win hats on at the Linc.'' While they came up short on making the playoffs, the first time since Pederson's first season in 2016, I do believe that the Eagles are a better team now than they were earlier in the season. Having beaten the Saints last time on this field, certainly, they're capable of beating a 6-9 Washington team, which is off b2b losses. Note that Washington, 5-11-1 ATS (5-12 SU) its last 17 off b2b losses, is just 2-5 ATS its last seven as a favorite. In what'll likely be a close one, grab the points. |
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01-03-21 | Cowboys v. Giants +2.5 | Top | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 91 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on the NEW YORK GIANTS. Only in 2020 would these teams still be alive for the playoffs. Yet, thats the situation. If Washington were to somehow lose on Sunday night, which is entirely possible, the winner of this game goes to the playoffs. I successfully played against the Giants in their very first game of the season, a loss against the Steelers. At the time, I stated the following: "....With quite a few years in the Patriots' organization and coming highly recommended from Belichick, its entirely possible that Joe Judge will go on to have a successful head coaching career. However, before that ever happens, I expect him to receive an unfriendly welcome to the head coaching fraternity by Mike Tomlin and the Steelers. Over the past few months, Judge has had to do a lot of things for the first time. He and the Giants very likely would have benefitted from the chance to get to know each other better over a few preseason games. Tomlin, on the other hand, knows his team well ..." Unsurprisingly, Judge and co. did go through some growing pains this season. However, fate has them still playing a meaningful game and now he's had plenty of time to get to know his team. While they had to face some tough teams down the stretch, the Giants are less than a month removed from winning outright at Seattle. Thats arguably a more impressive feat than anything Dallas has accomplished. Speaking of Dallas, the Cowboys are 0-4 ATS the past four times that they were road favorites of three or less. All four losses came outright. Though I like the Giants to also win this one outright, in what could be a close one, I'm grabbing the points. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina v. Texas A&M -7 | Top | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on TEXAS A&M. The SEC didn't fare too well at the betting window, in yesterday's egames. Auburn lost to Northwestern while Georgia nearly lost outright against Cincy. Then, Alabama failed to cover against the Irish. That may have some scratching their heads about why the SEC team is getting so much respect here. However, I'm projecting a double-digit win and believe that the Aggies could easily be favored by more. While the Tar Heels were certainly impressive in beating up on Miami, they also lost against Virginia, Florida State and Notre Dame. Texas A&M has just one loss all season and that came at Alabama. Since then, the Aggies have won seven straight, starting with Florida, all against SEC opposition. Their last six wins have ALL come by double-digits. Despite facing an SEC schedule, the Aggies allowed just 21.1 ppg compared to the Tar Heels' 28.4 ppg against an ACC schedule, one which didn't include a game against Clemson. Of course, it also needs to be mentioned that UNC has a number of players who chose to opt out of this game. Mack Brown said this of the missing players: "That's 4,000 yards worth of offense and our leading tackler on defense and two captains. This is new for me because I've never had a guy not play in a ball game ... " Texas A&M rolls. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss +10 v. Indiana | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OLE MISS. The SEC didn't fare too well at the betting window, in yesterday's egames. Auburn lost to Northwestern while Georgia nearly lost outright against Cincy. Then, Alabama failed to cover against the Irish. While I backed the Big Ten team (Northwestern) in yesterday's Big Ten vs. SEC showdown, I feel that its the SEC team which is providing us with excellent value in this one. The Hoosiers are 0-5 their last five bowl games. During that span, the Rebels are 11-2 in bowl games. The Rebels do have some issues as they're dealing with some injuries and covid-opt outs. Thats been reflected in the line though as Indiana is being asked to win by double-digits. Thats asking too much, in my opinion. Note that three of their seven games were decided by single-digits. The Hoosiers may be saying all the right things but they're still disappointed about not getting to play yesterday. The Rebels can score with the best of them. They scored 54, 59, 31 and 48 points, in their final four games. While Indiana averages 30 ppg, Ole Miss averages more than 40. Look for the Rebels to come "ready to play" as they give the Hoosiers a much tougher challenge than many will be expecting. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State +8.5 v. Clemson | Top | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 271 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on OHIO STATE. One can argue that the Buckeyes didn't deserve to be here, due to eligibilty reasons. However, there's no arguing the fact that they have the talent to be here. I like the way that the Buckeyes enter this one. The world against them - at least they can make a case for feeling that way - and off a non-cover, comeback win in the Big Ten championship game. All that sets them up well for this one; I like how they rallied to come back from a 10-6 halftime deficit to win 22-10. The comeback provides momentum and confidence, as does the ability to win a close game. The non-cover creates some additional line value, as this line could easily be less than a touchdown. QB Fields has had time for his thumb to recover and now he'll have one of his favorite receivers back, as Chris Olave missed the Northwestern game. Last year's game could have easily gone either way. The Buckeyes were up 16-0 but lost 29-23. Lawrence threw the game-winning TD with less than two minutes to go. Again, the Buckeyes were right there last year. They've been waiting and hoping for this rematch and I expect them to again give the Tigers all they can handle. Fields had this to say: "It's pretty self-explanatory that game hurt us a lot last year. So that has kind of been our whole motivation this offseason. Just getting the chance to play those guys again is a great opportunity ... " Ohio State's offensive lineman Wyatt Davis added: "It's everybody. I mean, we had a whole winter offseason program dedicated to this game. Clearly what we've seen and I'm sure all of you have seen this, we're going into this game not respected at all so that has a lot of motivations as well." Don't be surprised when this one comes down to the wire once again, the revenge-minded Buckeyes with an excellent shot at the outright win. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State +10 v. San Jose State | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on BALL STATE. While I respect San Jose State, I don't believe it should be laying double-digits against an undervalued Ball State team. I don't think the Cardinals are being given nearly enough respect or enough credit for beating Buffalo. Keep in mind that the Bulls had been crushing every team they faced all season. That was a very good Buffalo team and Ball State won by double-digits. That victory was arguably more impressive than anything that the Spartans did. That's six straight wins. The Cards only loss was in their first game and that was by just seven points. San Jose State does deserve credit but also benefitted from a down year in the Mountain West. Keep in mind that the Spartans are still just 2-10 SU their last 12 against teams with a winning record. In what should be a close one, I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State +1.5 v. Tulsa | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MISS. STATE. If one just looks at the records, Tulsa should be a bigger favorite. However, as Tulsa's TieNeal Martin had to say: "Records can be a little bit deceiving. When I look at Miss. State, I see a crazy talented team that has all the pieces ..." It should be noted that Tulsa will be without linebacker Zaven Collins (Nagurski Trophy winner) as he opted out. The Bulldogs have taken on the likes of Alabama and Georgia, not to mention teams like Texas A&M, Kentucky, LSU and Arkansas, Auburn and Ole Miss. They closed out the season with a momentum-building 51-32 beating of Missouri. Tulsa, on the other hand, comes off a loss to Cincinnati. Note that the Hurricane are 4-8 ATS the past 12 times that they were off a conference loss. While I'll grab the points, I expect the Bulldogs to win this one outirght, improving to 5-1 ATS their last six, when the line ranged from -3 to +3. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas -7 | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TEXAS. I'm projecting a double-digit win for the Longhorns in this one. Note that every Texas victory came by at least seven points this season, with the exception of a 4-point win over WVU. The Longhorns bring momentum into the game, having won four of their past five. They crushed K-State 69-31 last time out. The Buffaloes can't say the same. They lost 38-21 to Utah last time out, snapping a winning streak. The loss was costly. Not only did it cost the Buffs any chance at the Pac-12 South title, they also suffered numerous injuries including one to linebacker Nate Landman. His loss, and others, will hurt them here. The Longhorns are a perfect 6-0 SU the past six times that they were favored in the -3.5 to -10 range. I expect Ehlinger and co. to improve on those stats, picking up the cover along the way. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State -1 v. Miami-FL | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA STATE. Both these teams have mostly beaten the teams that they were supposed to beat. Both have similar records and both have similar numbers in that they've outscored opposing teams by roughly the same amount. (Miami outscored teams by 8 ppg while OSU outscored opposing teams by 7.1 ppg.) I like the way that the Cowboys come into the game a lot more though. After dropping two of three, they responded by thrashing Baylor (42-3) last time out. Conversely, Miami got crushed in its last game. The Canes were hammered 62-26 by UNC. Yes, they're saying all the right things about being motivated to bounce back - I'm sure that they want to - but that game exposed some vulnerabilities. It also cost them a spot in a major bowl which is a difficult pill to swallow and which will make "getting up" for this one that much more difficult. While they may be closer to home, the Canes are still 0-5 SU their last five on a 'neutral' field. Even without Hubbard, OSU can still pound the ball and control the clock. Expect the Cowboys to win their fourth bowl game in the past five years. |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots +7.5 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW ENGLAND. Nearly every site, analyst or person that I've looked at is predicting a Buffalo blowout. Yes, the Bills have been the better team. Yes, the Patriots are dealing with injuries. Yes, the Pats will also be home for the playoffs. Their reign is over. I believe thats exactly what will make them so dangerous tonight though. This is still their house and this is one final chance to "end the era" on a high note, reminding everyone that it wasn't just Brady that made this team so good, for so long. While they've struggled on the road, the Pats have remained tough at home. They've only played two home games since the start of November. Those games were against Arizona and Baltimore, both capable opponents, and the Pats beat both of them. They've only been beaten by six points once here all season. Even while struggling, the Pats have still only given up 63 points their past four games, an average of less than 16 ppg. The earlier meeting was decided by three points. If the Bills do manage to win here, I certainly don't expect it to be "easy." Grab the points. |
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12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers -3 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 131 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on GREEN BAY. Usually, the Packers are a "popular" team. However, the Titans are kind of the 'flavor of the week' these days, so that's allowed this line to come down lower than it normally would be. Indeed, with the Pack off b2b ATS losses and the Titans off b2b ATS wins, we're getting excellent value with the Rodgers and co. While the Pack may not have covered, they still won each of their last two games by seven or more points. In fact, 10 of their 11 wins have come by at least seven points and ALL 11 of them have come by a minimum of four points. (Three of Tennessee's four losses came by six or more and ALL of them came by at least a field goal.) While Henry is a load, the Packers run defense is improved from last season. I expect them to do a relatively good job at slowing down the Titans' big back. On the other hand, Rodgers should have a field day against a Titan pass defense that ranks among the worst in the league. The Pack, who are trying to lock down the #1 seed in the NFC, are 19-4 SU at home the past 2+ seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. |
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12-26-20 | Western Kentucky +4.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 21-39 | Loss | -110 | 169 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on WESTERN KENTUCKY in the Lending Tree Bowl. The Panthers got the better of the Hilltoppers when these teams met in a bowl game in 2017. Three years later, I expect the Hilltoppers to settle the score. While the Panthers have the edge on offense, the Hilltoppers have been much better on defense. I like the momentum that WKU brings into this game; the Hilltoppers have won three straight, winning by a bigger margin each time out. They've only got one loss by more than four points in the past two months and that came at BYU, which was undefeated at the time. The Panthers have been involved in five games decided by seven or fewer points. Likewise, the Hilltoppers have seen five of their games decided by seven or less. The Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS the past six times that they were underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 range. The Hilltoppers are happy to be here and they're coming in hungry. While I like the outright win, in what should be a close one, I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Saints | Top | 33-52 | Loss | -124 | 49 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. While their chances of making the playoffs are indeed slim, the Vikings aren't mathematically elmiminated yet. (They need to win both their games and get some help.) I expect their very best effort on Christmas Day. The Vikings have an offense capable of staying with the Saints. They've scored at least 27 points in four of their past five games. The Saints only recent win by more than five points came against a Denver team which was missing all of its quarterbacks. The Saints are just 2-5 ATS the past seven times that they were favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. They're also only 5-11 ATS the past 16 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 49.5 or greater. The Vikings are 5-1 ATS the past six times that they were off a division loss and 6-0 ATS the past six times that they were off b2b losses. Grab the points. |
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12-23-20 | Georgia Southern v. Louisiana Tech +7 | 38-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA Tech. This line has climbed from its opener and I believe we're now getting excellent value with the underdog. Georgia Southern has lost three of its last four games. The Eagles have won only once, by more than seven points, in their last eight games. Playing fairly close to home, the Bulldogs are going to be fired up. Prior to losing at TCU, the Bulldogs were off wins against North Texas and UAB. The Bulldogs have dominated Sun Belt teams over the years, going a perfect 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS. In what could be a close one, I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +15 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CINCINNATI. Mike Tomlin said this of the Bengals: "We expect to get the very best of Cincinnati. That's a rivalry-type game. It's an opportunity for them to have a feel-good in the midst of a trying circumstance of a season for them.'' I expect that to absolutely be the case. Naturally, the Steelers would like a big win. However, they haven't played well recently and they've got much bigger games to come. For the Bengals, there won't be any bigger games. As Tomlin said, this is a hated division rival, one which already hammered them and this is a nationally televised Monday night game. We're getting some extra line value with Finley in at QB, instead of Allen. Yet, Allen was 0-3 as a starter and he wasn't exactly lighting it up. Finley will be out to prove that he should have been starting, once Burrow went down, all along. The Steelers are 1-4 ATS the past five times that they were favored by greater than 10 points and they're just 13-31 ATS their last 44 in that role. I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-21-20 | North Texas v. Appalachian State -19.5 | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on APPLACHIAN STATE. While this line may initially appear high, I believe that it could easily be even bigger. The Mountaineers, 5-0 in bowl games, are much stronger on the defensive side of the ball. While both offenses can score, North Texas allows a whopping 41.3 ppg compared to the Mountaineers' 19.3 ppg. The Mountaineers have thrived with eight day's rest in between games the past couple of seasons, going 3-0 when in that situation. I believe that they're going to come in with a chip on their shoulder. North Texas isn't immune to getting blown out having lost 49-21 vs. Charlotte and 49-17 at UTSA, just two of this season's four double-digit losses. The Mountaineers have six double-digit wins this season and four by 21 or more. I say this will be #5. |
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12-20-20 | Browns v. Giants +6.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NYG. The Giants didn't show up last week. Now fully in must win mode, I expect them to bounce back with their very best effort. This line went up, due to a week of headlines by the Giants and with McCoy taking over for Jones. I believe those extra points are providing us with excellent value. The Giants have the type of team that can beat Cleveland. I say that because the Giants are usually pretty good at stopping the run. Limit Cleveland's ground game and force Mayfield to throw and he can make mistakes. This may be McCoy's last chance to show the world that he can play and I expect him to give his team a chance to win. Remember, the last time that McCoy started, the Giants beat the Seahawks. Coach Judge said this of McCoy's effort: "I think he did a lot of things well. First off, I love the way he just controlled the flow of the game, the tempo of the game. Colt was on the line of scrimmage, identifying what the defense was in, putting us in the right place, made some big plays for us down the stretch with some key completions to continue drives." Having a start under his belt, with this offense, should help the veteran. While the Giants do have some injuries, the same is true of Cleveland which will be without its starting right guard and others. Before last week'd dud, the Giants had gone 5-3 their previous eight games and the three losses came by one, two and three points. As for the Browns, they haven't won a game by more than six points for more than two months. Grab the points. |
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12-20-20 | Texans +7.5 v. Colts | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. These teams recently played a close one at Houston and I'm expecting another relatively close affair this afternoon. Yes, the Texans are playing out the string. However, this is still a divsional game against an opponent playing a meaningful game. Interim coach Romeo Crennel commented: ''They're playing for the division lead .... as far as the way that we will respond, I hope we will respond like we did two weeks ago and play a tremendous game.'' The Colts have given up 31, 45, 20 and 27 points their last four games. Prior to getting blown out at Chicago, the Texans hadn't lost by more than six points since October. Expect them to bounce back with their best effort, giving the Colts all they can handle en route to at least a cover. |
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12-20-20 | Bucs v. Falcons +7 | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ATLANTA. While Tampa has more to play for, in terms of playoffs, I expect a highly motivated effort from Matt Ryan and the Falcons. Not only are the Bucs a division rival, but the Falcons haven't forgotten what Brady did to them in the Super Bowl. The last thing Ryan and co. want is Brady to come in and embarrass them. While Jones remains out, Ridley has stepped up. He had eight receptions (1 TD) last week for 124 yards. Thats six times he's broke the 100-yard mark. So, Ryan isn't without weapons. The Falcons are 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS the past couple of seasons, in the final four weeks of the reg. season. The Falcons have only lost by more than seven points three times this entire season, none of those losses in the laset three games. The last time that they lost by more than seven was on the road, at New Orleans. Prior to that, again, on the road, at Green Bay. The only time that they lost by more than seven at home was the very first game of the entire season, against Seattle. Since then, they've been competitive in every home game. With the line climbing from its opener, I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-19-20 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -14 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -106 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on CINCINNATI. The Bearcats have had a great season and I expect them to keep on rolling Saturday. With the exception of a 3-point win against UCF, Cincy beat every other opponent by a minimum of 14 points. It should be noted that that the game against UCF was on the road. This game, however, will be played at Nippert Stadium. The last three teams (ECU, Houston and Memphis) that have visited here have lost by scores of 55-17, 38-10 and 49-10. Going back further finds the Bearcats at 18-0 SU and 12-6 ATS their last 18 at home. While Tulsa allows 19.9 ppg, Cincy allows just 15 ppg. On the other side of the ball, the Bearcats' advantage is even bigger. Tulsa averages 27.7 ppg. Cincinnati averages 40.9. While I expect Tulsa to have trouble scoring, no team has kept Cincy to less than 36 points for more than two months. Bearcats roll. |
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12-19-20 | Boise State -6 v. San Jose State | 20-34 | Loss | -111 | 101 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing BOISE STATE on the money-line. Lose this game and the Spartans have still had a great season. Thats not the case for the Broncos. This will be the Broncos' fifth trip to the MWC title game in the past seven seasons, their fourth straight. They won the title in 2014, 2017 and 2019. Anything less than a victory here will be considered failure. As Boise receiver Khalil Shakir noted: "We haven’t done anything yet. Nothing has been accomplished." Remember, San Jose State went just 3-21 in 2017 and 2018. Last season, the Spartans were 5-7. So, a 3-year record of 8-28, before this season. Again, they can hold their heads high even with a loss here. Despite getting hammered by BYU, a team San Jose State didn't have to face, the Broncos still score an average of 36.2 points per game, as compared to the Spartans' 30.3 ppg. The Spartans are 6-16 SU their last 22 as underdogs. During that span, the Broncos are 24-4 SU as favorites. Going back further finds Boise at 45-9 SU when listed as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. All things considered, I feel that this line could easily be much higher. Broncos win. |
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12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos +7 | Top | 48-19 | Loss | -125 | 102 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. The Bills are having a great season and they're off an impressive win over the Steelers, on Sunday night. Everyone saw that nationally televised game. That's led to many jumping on the Buffalo bandwagon which, in turn, has created excellent value with the Broncos. The big win over Buffalo also may well have the Bills patting themselves on the back a bit. Now, they play a road game in altitude, on a short week. Its also important to note that Bills have a game against New England on deck. Last week, when playing against the Saints in their loss against the Eagles, I noted that the Saints had a huge game against the Chiefs on deck. For them, there was no bigger possible game to look ahead to then a date with the defending world champs. For Buffalo, however, a date with the 11-time defending AFC East champs is arguably an even bigger game to look ahead to. Even though the Patriot reign on top of the division will come to an end, a game against them is still a big deal for Buffalo. Yes, the Bills can clinch the AFC East with a win (or Miami loss) this week. However, there's still plenty of time for that, so there shouldn't be any absolute urgency. As for the Broncos, they're off one of their best games of the season, a 32-27 win at Carolina. Before that, they lost by only six, at KC. The last time that Lock started a home game, the Broncos beat Miami. Speaking of Lock, he was 21 of 27 last week, throwing for four TDs and 0 INTs. His 149.5 passer rating was third best (only Elway and Manning were better) in franchise history. With a chance to play a home game in front of a National audience and not wanting the Bills to clinch a playoff berth in their building, I say that Lock and the Broncos rise to the occasion and give their guests all that they can handle. |
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12-18-20 | UAB +5 v. Marshall | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UAB. These teams each have one CUSA championship in their history. UAB won by two points (27-25 over MTSU) two years ago while Marshall won by three points (26-23 over LA Tech) in 2014. Another close one won't surprise this evening, which makes getting more than a field goal very attractive. Keep in mind that Marshall hasn't won a game in more than a month. The Herd have only played one game during that span and they lost 20-0 against Rice. Their QB threw five INTs and they couldn't even manage 250 total yards. Yes, they're better than that and they'll be determined to prove that. However, the situation is far from ideal for them. Note that UAB won at Rice to get here, beating the same Owls that blanked Marshall. That game was a 21-16 final marking UAB's third straight decided by five or less. In fact, the Blazers have only lost by more than four points once all season and that was way back in September, at Miami. Grab the points. |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on BALTIMORE. The Browns have definitely gotten better since the Ravens hammered them earlier in the season. However, I don't feel that they're improved enough to take the next step and to beat the Ravens. When healthy, Baltimore, has handled teams not named KC or Pittsburgh. I mention that as the Ravens are now mostly healthy after having been hit hard by Covid-restrictions. Speaking of "missing players," you won't hear much about it, but the Browns will be without their top cornerback (Ward) for this one. I believe that his absence hurts them. The Ravens were 7-1 in the final four weeks of the reg. season the past two seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats Monday night, covering the small number along the way. |
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12-13-20 | Saints v. Eagles +7 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 148 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Saints have been on quite the run. I believe that it comes to an end Sunday though. The Eagles are a dangerous and desperate team. Amazingly, they're still alive. But this is absolutely must win time. The Rams were the only team to beat the Eagles by more than six points, at Philadelphia, all season. And that was way back in September. This, despite the Eagles hosting the likes of Seattle and Baltimore. The Saints are playing their third straight on the road, something you don't see too often. They've also got a showdown with the defending Super Bowl champs on deck. So, if there's ever a time to look ahead to a game, this is it. The Eagles have been great in the final four weeks of the regular season two years in a row, winning seven of those eight games. Expect them to give their potentially road-weary guests all that they can handle with a great shot at the outright upset. |
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12-13-20 | Chiefs -7 v. Dolphins | 33-27 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on KC. The fact that the champs haven't covered for awhile combined with the fact that the Dolphins have been covering, has kept the line lower than it easily could have been. I expect a double-digit win. Miami has been winning with a defense that blitzes, a lot. Mahomes is a different type of QB though and he tends to shred defenses that blitz him. The Dolphins offense took a hit when leading rusher Myles Gaskin was sidelined with Covid-19. That hurts more with Breida and Ahmed already out. The Chiefs, 5-1 ATS their last six against AFC East teams, beat New England by 16 and beat the Jets by 25. They also defeated the Bills by nine points, at Buffalo. Expect them to complete the sweep of the division this afternoon, picking up the cover along the way. |
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12-12-20 | San Diego State +17.5 v. BYU | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SDSU. This is a very tough spot for BYU, in my opinion. As you're probably aware, the Cougars elected to add a game to their schedule last week. They flew thousands of miles to go and squander their unbeaten record on a heart-breaking loss. While this is an excellent BYU team, that will be very tough to bounce back from. Keep in mind that the Cougars are being asked to lay a very big number here and that the Aztecs are a stingy team which allows a mere 16.3 ppg. None of the Aztecs' three losses came by more than 11 points. The Aztecs beat BYU last season and they lost by just three the last time that they played here. I believe they're catching the Cougars at the right time and I expect AT LEAST another cover Saturday night. |
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12-12-20 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech -2 | Top | 15-33 | Win | 100 | 145 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on V-TECH. Virginia is rolling. Virginia Tech is reeling. No brainer on the visitors, right? Not in my opinion. A closer look at the Hokies' 4-game skid shows that the first was an unlikely 3-point loss against Liberty. That was followed by a 1-point loss against Miami. Each of those games absolutely could have gone either way. Getting stuck on the wrong side of both was tough to take though and the Hokies delivered a dud at Pittsburgh. Not a great effort but understandable, all the same. That was followed by a loss against Clemson. So, there's no shame in that. In other words, I'm not ready to write the Hokies off due their current slide. Coach Fuente summed it up by saying: " ... we've lost two heartbreakers then didn't play very well on the road and came home against the No. 3 team in the country and right in the middle of the game had some of the weirdest events I've ever seen occur. There's a little bit of context .... The bottom line is that I love what we are teaching, what they are retaining and where we are going." Beating their bitter instate rival won't get them a winning record but it will sure go a long way in getting rid of the bad taste in their mouths. With a bowl game lookling unlikely, this game is even more important. The Cavs haven't played a road game since way back on 10/24, when they lost by five, at Miami. In fact, a closer look shows that Virginia is 0-3 on the road this season, getting outscored by a combined score of 100-60. Speaking of road woes, the Cavs haven't won here since 1998. I expect a highly motivated V-Tech team to deliver its very best effort, continuing its homefield dominance in this series while covering the small number along the way. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -4.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing LA on the money-line. The Patriots have been on quite a roll and have brought themselves back from the dead. I say the Rams cool them off tonight though. Obviously, the Rams haven't forgotten that the Patriots beat them in the Super Bowl. Coach McVay had this to say: ''It was a very humbling night for myself. I didn't think that I did nearly a good enough job for our football team to give us a chance to be crowned world champs.'' This is just the second time that the Pats have played b2b road games this season. They failed to cover in the first instance, nearly getting beaten by the winless Jets. Obviously, the Rams present a much tougher challenge. The Pats have a very good defense but the Rams' defense is arguably even better. LA allows 20.3 ppg. NE allows 21.3. On the other side of the ball, LA has a bigger advantage. The Rams average 25.1 ppg compared to the Pats' 22.8. Why the moneyline instead of the pointspread? While I do like the Rams to also cover, I like them more to win. Consider that the Pats are 47-25-1 ATS over the years, as underdogs in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. Yet, they're just 27-46 SU in the same games. Huge difference. Likewise, the Rams are 49-51-2 ATS over that span, when listed as favorites in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. Yet, they're 70-32 SU in the same games. Rams win. |
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12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers -1.5 | 45-0 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the LA CHARGERS. The Chargers won't be going to the playoffs. However, a visit from the Patriots should still provide them with plenty of motivation, especially as they can deal Belichick's team's playoff chances a blow by beating them. Note that New England is just 2-6 SU/ATS the past eight times that it played a game where the line ranged from the -3 to +3. The Chargers have only played three games here since the start of October. They won two of those and nearly won the other. In those three games, they scored a total of 99 points, an average of 33. That might make it tough for the Pats to keep up. They've scored less than 24 points in seven of their past eight. I expect the Chargers to rise to the occasion with a big win in this one. |
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12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. While I respect the Rams, I believe homefield will give Arizona the advantage. Note that the Rams are 3-5 ATS the past eight times that they were road favorites of three or less, 0-2 ATS this season. Laying three points at Miami, they lost 28-17. Laying two points at SF, they lost 24-16. The Cards are happy to be back home, after dropping two in a row on the road. Last time here, they beat Buffalo. They've also beaten Seattle here. So, the Cards are confident that they're capable of being any team on this field. Note that their two losses here both came by a field goal. Arizona is 10-5 ATS its past 15 after b2b SU losses. Expect the Cards to improve on those stats with AT LEAST a cover on Sunday afternoon. |
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12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets +8 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 117 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. I know some of you are probably thinking, "The Jets?" Yes, I know, we're talking about the Jets. I know that picking a winless team for my "GOY" won't make me popular. I'm not worried about that though. Only about cashing a ticket and I love how this one sets up for the home team. The Jets defense is playing hard. The offense, admittedly, has struggled. However, the pieces are back and I believe that this will be a defense that they will have success against. Keep in mind that the Raiders are off a 43-6 loss.. They've allowed 78 points the past two games. Gruden knows the Jets will be tough. He had this to say Monday, after the Sunday beating by the Falcons: "...We're still really young. We are missing some key players. I'm not going to worry about anything down the road except the Jets. And if you watched the Jets play yesterday, they're a handful. They're going to be hard to move the ball on. Gregg Williams and this defense give people problems, we've got to take better care of the ball, we've got to play better collectively on defense and we've got to make some timely plays in the kicking game. This will be a fistfight no doubt about it. I've got a lot of respect for the way the Jets are competing ..." The Jets defense was especially stingy in the second half last week, forcing two turnovers and three punts. Darnold, now with all his receivers, has a game under his belt. He's highly motivated for a better performance and I believe that the team is highly motivated for that first victory. I think they're catching the Raiders at the right time and I expect them to take this game down to the wire with an excellent shot at getting that elusive first win. |
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12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -12.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WISCONSIN. The Hoosiers have had a nice season but I expect the Badgers to bring them back down to earth on Saturday afternoon. While Indiana averages a healthy 32.8 ppg, Wisconsin averages even more at 33.7 ppg. However, its on the other side of the ball where the Badgers really have the advantage. The Hoosiers allow 21.7 ppg. Wisconsin allows a mere 11.7 ppg. Of course, it doesn't help matters that Indiana is without star QB Michael Penix Jr, the biggest of several injuries. The Badgers are a profitable 36-21 ATS over the years, when playing with two week's worth of rest in between games. Their last five games (all wins) against Indiana have had scores of 45-17, 51-3, 62-14, 59-7 and 83-20. Lay the points and expect another blowout. |
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12-05-20 | Arkansas v. Missouri -2.5 | 48-50 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MISSOURI. While the Razorbacks are off b2b losses, the Tigers are off b2b wins. Last time out, they won 41-0. That type of dominating effort will provide plenty of momentum and confidence coming into this afternoon's game. The Razorbacks are just 1-12 on the road the past 2+ seasons, going 5-8 at the betting window. During that span, the Tigers are 12-5 SU and 11-5-1 ATS at home. The only team to beat them here this season was Alabama. Note that Arkansas is just 1-13 SU its past 14 The Tigers have only been favored twice this season and they won and covered both times. Lay the small number. |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on APP STATE. This is a big game between two good teams. While the Cajuns have the higher ranking, I believe that the Mountaineers are favored for good reason. After losing to Coastal Carolina, the Mountaineers didn't hang their heads. They went out and hammered Troy. Now, they get a chance to redeem themselves by beating a ranked team. I expect them to make the most of the opportunity. The Mountaineers have dominated this series in recent seasons. I believe that the Mountaineers have the better defense and that will ultimately lead to them contininuing their series dominance. Coastal Carolina was the only team to score more than 21 points against them. Each of the past five, besides Coastal Carolina, has scored 17 or less. While the Cajuns may get more than that, they won't get enough. Lay the small number. |
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12-03-20 | Air Force v. Utah State +12.5 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH STATE. I won with the Aggies in their last game, a 41-27 win over New Mexico. That was a huge win for them, as it was their first of the season. Now, with that monkey off their back, I expect the Aggies to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. With last week's win, Utah State is now 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS its past 15 home games. During that span, Air Force is just 5-8 SU on the road. In this season's lone road game, the Falcons managed only six points, a 17-6 loss at SJ State. While the Falcons did beat up on New Mexico last time out, that was awhile ago now; they haven't been playing much, due to covid cancellations. I expect that to work against them here, as the suddenly confident Aggies are coming "ready to play." Grab the points. |
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12-02-20 | Ravens +10.5 v. Steelers | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BALTIMORE. While the Steelers have been "unbeatable" this season, I believe that the Ravens are the team capable of beating them. In fact, I believe that they will. Not only are the Ravens 8-2 ATS their last 10 as underdogs, but they've won seven of those games outright. This year's team has won four of five on the road, the lone loss coming when they were playing the second of b2b road games, which is not the situation here. Going back further finds Baltimore at 7-1 SU/ATS its last eight road games with an O/U line in the 45 to 49 range. While the Steelers eked out a 4-point win in this season's earlier meeting, the Ravens had won the previous two in the series, including a 3-point win here last season. Note that each of Pittsburgh's last three wins against Baltimore have been by seven or less. In fact, Baltimore has won its past two visits here and the last time that Pittsburgh beat the Ravens here, it was by a single point. In a game that could well be decided on the final play, I'm grabbing the points with the desperate, revenge-minded Ravens. |
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11-29-20 | Saints v. Broncos +6.5 | Top | 31-3 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. The Broncos are obviously in a tough spot with their QB situation. That said, they're off a momentum-building win, their defense and running game getting it done. The Denver secondary is very good and they were getting plenty of pressure on the QB last week. They also held the Dolphins to just 56 yards on the ground. They won't have to contend with Brees and I believe that they could easily catch the Saints looking past them. New Orleans is just 2-4 ATS the past six times it was favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. Grab the points and expect the Broncos to come ready to play. |
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11-29-20 | Browns v. Jaguars +7 | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 100 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on JACKSONVILLE. It was always expected to be a tough year in Jacksonville and that has proved to be the case. The Jags haven't won since Week 1. They've continued to fight hard abd remain competitive though, last week's loss notwithstanding. I like that Glennon is getting the start. I also feel that the fact that both teams are missing numerous players will work to Jacksonville's advantage. This game will have an exhibition feel to it -with numerous backups on both sides and with the Jags playing out the string - and thats exactly the type of game that Cleveland may look past and that Jacksonville can step up and steal. While the Browns have won three of their past five, none of those three wins came by more than five. I'm grabbing the points. |
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11-29-20 | Dolphins v. Jets +7.5 | 20-3 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. This season's earlier meeting, at Miami, was a blowout (24-0) as the Jets couldn't score. I'm expecting a much better showing from NY this afternoon. While they still came up short, the Jets' offense has gotten rolling the past couple of weeks. Their past two games have had scores of 34-28 and 30-27. Darnold returns and unlike before, his receivers are healthy. In fact, this is the first time all season that all three of his starting receivers will be available. Don't be shocked if they rise to the occasion and score the outright upset. |
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11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. With Bridgewater expected to play against his former team, this line came down from its opener. I believe thats providing plenty of value with what I believe to be the superior team. Note that the Vikings are a profitable 30-17-1 ATS (34-14 SU) over the years, as a home favorite of three or less. I believe this line move is an over-reaction to last week's results. Yes, the Panthers looked good. However, their win came against the Lions. Before that, they'd lost four straight. Likewise, before last week's loss, the Vikings had won three straight. The Vikings convert very well when they get into the red zone. They also average more yards per play than any team in the league. Additionally, they've arguably got more to play for. Lay the small number and expect the Panthers to be unable to keep up. |
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11-28-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo -7 | 41-70 | Win | 100 | 75 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. This is a huge game in the MAC, as both the Golden Flashes and the Bulls are undefeated. While both teams can put up points, Buffalo is far better defensively. While Kent State is 4-11 its last 15 on the road, the Bulls rarely lose at home. During that span, they're 11-2 at home They've gone a highly lucrative 10-3 ATS in those games, too. In addition to needing the win to remain undefeated, the Bulls have a score to settle. Last year, they blew a 24-6 fourth quarter lead and lost 30-27 to these same Golden Flashes. They haven't lost since and all six of their wins have been by double-digits. Buffalo head coach Lance Leipold had this to say: "I think everyone knows about the loss last year. It's part of our film watching. Finishing, playing four quarters, being alert, special teams, sustaining momentum, all those things are constantly talked about. But, to sit there and dwell on it, it's not going to make it. We've acknowledged it, and I think that the guys that were in the game, they remember it and want to make sure we don't have any repeat performances." Expect the Bulls to keep the pedal to metal the entire way in this one, en route to their seventh straight double-digit win. |
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11-27-20 | Oregon -13 v. Oregon State | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 109 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON. They no longer officially call this game the "Civil War." That title was dropped several months ago. There's still no love lost between the two teams though and there's still a big class difference between them. Oregon is better on both sides of the ball. I like that the Ducks were tested by UCLA last week and how they responded and came through with a victory. Off that "close call," I believe they'll follow it up with a blowout win. The Ducks, who already covered at Washington State, are 6-2 ATS the past 2+ seasons, as road favorites. Their last visit here, almost exactly two years ago, saw Oregon, which was laying 18 points, win by 40, a 55-15 destruction. Including that result, the Beavers are just 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 home games, 0-3 ATS when listed as home underdogs in the 10.5 to 14 range. Oregon coach Mario Cristobal said this of last week's win: "We were a little bit out of sync, and like we told those guys, ‘Look, when you win, you don’t apologize for winning, you don’t get down for winning, you just recognize where you got to get better.' And we weren’t at our very best, and we know that we have to improve certain things." Expect the Ducks to "get better" and for them to deliver their biggest blowout of the season, thus far. |
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11-27-20 | UMass +40 v. Liberty | 0-45 | Loss | -123 | 102 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UMASS. The Flames are off their first loss of the season. Now, they step down in class to take on a weaker team. Many will expect a blowout. Certainly, Liberty is the much stronger team. However, winning big and winning by more than five touchdowns are two entirely different matters. Losing that first game is tough to bounce back from, when that first loss comes this late in the season. That's particularly the case when the loss was by only one point, which was the case. The players are still thinking about "what might have been." Focusing on lowly UMass will be tough. The Minutemen have already played some tough teams (Marshall) and all of their games have come on the road. None of their losses were by more than 41. They're 4-2 ATS the last six times that they were underdogs of 31 or more. Only one of Liberty's seven wins came by more than 33. I'm grabbing the points. |
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11-26-20 | New Mexico v. Utah State +5.5 | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 80 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UTAH STATE. Not exactly the best matchup, as both teams are 0-4. That doesn't mean we can't find ourselves excellent value though. Utah State isn't used to starting 0-4. It hasn't done so since 2007. The Aggies are going to be extremely motivated to get a win for their new coach. Last week's postponed game wasn't what they wanted, obviously, but may well benefit them this week. New Mexico didn't score a single point last game, getting blanked 28-0. Yet, the Lobos find themselves laying points on the road. Note that the Lobos are 4-10 ATS over the years, when listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. The Aggies are still 39-13 SU their last 52 home games. They've beaten the Lobos five of seven times since joining the MWC. They won at Albuquerque last year and they crushed the Lobos 61-19 here at Logan in 2018. Grab the points. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -2.5 | 41-16 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Funny as it may seem, with both teams winning last week and the Eagles losing, this is a huge game in the NFC East. I believe that the Cowboys will be the team which carries the positive momentum forward into Thursday's showdown. I like that they showed they haven't quit for McCarthy. I also like that the Dallas offense got healthy last week. Dalton threw for three TD's. Elliott ran for more than 100 yards, for the first time all season. While they still gave up quite a few yards, the defense improved by holding a dangerous Minnesota to 28 points. Washington's offense isn't nearly as good as Minnesota's. The Football Team won when these teams met at Washington. However, this game is at Dallas and Washington has yet to win a road game this season. The Cowboys are quietly 5-0-1 ATS (6-0 SU) their last six, when facing a sub-500 team in the second half of the season. I say they get some payback here. |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs -4 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Both these teams came through for me in their last game. I won with the Rams when they beat the Seahawks and I won with the Bucs when they beat Carolina. So, I'm aware that both looked very good. Playing at home, I expect the Bucs to be the team which keeps on rolling this week. While I really respect the Rams, I believe that they're at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Yes, Tampa bounced back with a big win last week. However, that wasn't on "primetime." The Bucs still have a bad taste in their mouths after getting smacked around by the Saints on Sunday night football. I did successfully play against Tampa in Brady's MNF debut as a Buc. That was against the Giants though and it was a case of the situation favoring NY and the Bucs laying too many points. Then, there was the Week 5 game where Brady forgot what down it was at the end of the game. My point is, that the Bucs haven't exactly shined in primetime and that I expect that to be a motivating factor for them in this one. This is a chance to make people forget, a convincing win tonight and everything is forgotten. Of course, they're also chasing New Orleans in the division and can't afford to fall further behind. The Bucs are 4-1-1 ATS (5-1 SU) their last six, as favorites in the -3.5 to -9.5 range. I really liked the way that they bounced last week and I expect them to follow it up with a "statement win" tonight. |
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11-22-20 | Dolphins v. Broncos +3.5 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 141 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. Off a few big wins and with a couple of winnable games (Jets, Bengals) on deck, I believe that this will prove to be a letdown spot for the Dolphins. Yes, they've been winning but the stats show that they've been somewhat fortunate to be doing so. I don't think they're ready to go on the road and defeat what figures to be a desperate Denver team. Not only that, the Dolphins are being asked to lay points. Its possible that Drew Lock's ribs will force him to the bench. That's not necessarily a bad thing though, as the offense could use a spark. You may recall Rypien leading the Broncos to a win on Thursday night football earlier. A look at the yards for/against for both teams shows the gap isn't nearly what the records suggest. Not only does Denver average more passing yards than Miami, the Broncos also average more rushing yards. Additionally, the Broncos allow fewer total yards on defense. I'll grab the points but I'm expecting the outright win. |
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11-22-20 | Eagles +3.5 v. Browns | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 114 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. A look at the Browns' last month shows that they're 0-4 ATS. Two double-digit losses and two 3-point wins. Facing what figures to be a desperate Philadelphia team, I expect the Browns to have their hands full the entire way, once again. At 3-5-1, remarkably, the Eagles are still on top of the NFC East. However, they've got the 3-7 Giants, a team which just beat them, "breathing down their necks. In other words, the Eagles can't afford to drop another. With the Giants on a bye, this is their chance to regain a firmer grip on the division. Considering that the Eagles' next three opponents are the Seahawks, Packers and Saints (followed by a road game at Arizona) winning this one becomes that much more important. Indeed, while the Browns are no slouches, those next four opponents are a combined 26-10. Expect the Eagles to play with a sense or urgency, en route to AT LEAST the cover. |
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11-22-20 | Patriots v. Texans +2.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. I waited on this one in the hope that Houston go all the way up to +3. That hasn't happened yet but the reality is that I expect the Texans will win this one outright. I had been planning on playing them all the way up to -2.5. So, any points are added bonus. To their credit, off b2b wins, the Pats have managed to keep themselves alive in the race. I'm not a believer though. Both those wins were at home, one was against the winless Jets. This team is not evern close to what it used to be. Newton, while playing better of late, is not Brady. The Pats are just 1-4 ATS (and SU) the past five times that they were listed as road favorites of three or less. Houston comes in hungry and I won't consider it an "upset" when it comes away with the victory. |
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11-21-20 | USC -2.5 v. Utah | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 135 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on USC. The Trojans have failed to cover in each of their first two games, nearly getting upset in each. However, in both cases, they found a way to win. Those type of wins build character and momentum. Having gotten a couple of close calls out of the way, I expect the talented Trojans to put it all together in this one. They're facing a Utah team which lost a lot of players from last season and which will be playing its first game of the season. Not playing is hard enough but all the added stress related to the virus situation has to be hard on the Utes. USC won by seven when these teams met last season. Given the situation, I expect an even bigger margin of victory in this one. |
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11-21-20 | Arizona v. Washington -10.5 | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 107 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. This is going to prove a tough spot for the Wildcats. They left it all on the field last week and nearly upset USC. However, they fell short in the end. Those type of losses are deflating. Now, they're on the road against what will be a hungry Husky team. Making matters worse, the Cats are playing their first road game of the "pandemic era" and they're going to be dealing with some nasty Pacific Northwest weather. Never very good on the road, the Cats will also be dealing with a very capable Washington defense. The Huskies didn't play great in their first game under their new coach, but still found a way to beat OSU by six. A game under their belts and with the positive momentum that comes from winning, I expect them to follow it up with a big effort here. The Huskies won 51-27 last year and they won 49-3 the last time that the teams played here in Seattle. Lay the points and expect Washington to pull away for another double-digit win. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | Top | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 93 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCF. The Bearcats are having a great season and won't be easy to beat. However, I believe that the Knights are peaking at the right time and feel that they have the offense to do so. Indeed, UCF leads the nation with 619 yards and 44 points per game. The UCF offensive line has been playing great and will be the first team this season capable of handling the physicality of Cincy's defensive front. UCF took a bit to get going, understandable with all the pandemic stuff going on. The Knights are firing on all cylinders now though. UCF tackle Ed Collins noted: "The bye week after the Tulsa loss, we came together as a unit pretty good ..." Last year's game at Cincy was decided by just three points. The Knights won the previous three meetings, all by double-digits. Grab the points. |
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11-21-20 | Appalachian State +6 v. Coastal Carolina | 23-34 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on APPALACHIAN STATE. The Chanticleers are one of the biggest stories of the season. So far. They deserve all the credit they're getting. However, with all that hype comes inflated lines. In this case, they're laying a pretty big number against a really good Appalachian State team. I believe that's asking too much. Coastal Carolina could have some rust, after last week's game was postponed due to Covid-related issues. While Coastal Carolina is undefeated, the Mountaineers are 7-1 and have won five straight. While their QB is day-to-day, the Mountaineers have a highly capable senior backup, Jacob Huesman. This season's Mountaineers have been winning but not covering, as favorites. When listed as underdogs, they're a perfect 4-0 ATS the past 2+ seasons. They've allowed 17 or fewer points in four straight games. No opponent has scored more than 21 against them all season. Expect them to give the Chanticleers all they can handle with a great shot at the outright upset. |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 58 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on SEATTLE. While I've played against the Seahawks in each of their last two games, I like them to bounce back here. For the first time in awhile, the Hawks aren't coming off a flight through different time zones. I've pointed out that they've been going back and forth from from coast to coast for awhile now. While it may be a short week, they're finally staying in the Pacific time zone for consecutive games. Speaking of the short week, without much time in between games, I feel that homefield will provide Seattle with a big edge. Note that Arizona has played three straight at home and before that it played road games against the Jets and Cowboys, a pair of teams who are a combined 2-16. Their previous road game was at Carolina and the Cards lost by double-digits. Obviously, this is a much tougher venue. The Hawks are 6-1 SU and 4-1-2 ATS their past seven, when off a division loss. During that span, they were also 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS when off b2b SU losses. Wilson and co. haven't forgotten the Cards' comeback against them last month. Tonight, they get some payback, covering the small number along the way. |
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11-18-20 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State -13.5 | 25-31 | Loss | -115 | 59 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BALL STATE. While the schedule maker hasn't done them any favors, the Huskies aren't a good team right now. They lost 49-30 against Buffalo. That wasn't that bad. But they followed it up with a 40-10 loss vs. Central Michigan. Both those games were at home, too. Now, they take to the road to face a Ball State team which is off a momentum-building 38-31 win over Eastern Michigan. With their next two games both coming on the road, both against quality opponents, the Cardinals know that they absolutely need to take care of business in this one. After years of abuse at the hands of the Huskies, they ended the drought last season, winning at NIU. Now, they'll look to deliver a blowout to a longtime nemesis. The Cardinals have the offense to exploit the inexperienced NIU secondary. Expect them to do exactly that. |
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11-18-20 | Toledo -6.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing TOLEDO on the money-line. I see this game going one of two ways. Either Toledo wins big. Or, Toledo wins a close one. Either way, I see Toledo winning. I suggest the possibility of a "close one," as Toledo is off a 3-point game and as both of EMU's games have been decided by a touchdown or less. Note that the Eagles lost both of those SU, while winning both ATS. Going back further finds that the Eagles are 5-11 SU as underdogs but 11-5 ATS. Again, one would be much better off playing against them on the moneyline. Toledo suffered a very tough loss against Western Michigan last time out. However, the Rockets also destroyed Bowling Green by a 38-3 score. In terms of talent, I believe that Eastern Michigan is closer to Bowling Green than it is to Western Michigan. Yes, the WMU loss was a heartbreaker. However, while not as dramatic, the Eagles' loss against Ball State was also pretty "heartbreaking." (EMU was up 24-13 in the second half and gave up winning TD with six seconds left.) I believe Toledo, better on both sides of the ball, will prove more capable at bouncing back. Rockets win. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Talk about no respect. The Bears have the better record. They're playing at home. They've had their way with the Vikes. Cousins never wins on MNF. Yet, the Vikes are favored? Some will suspect a "trap" and think the Vikes are the way to go. There's no trap though. Its just a matter of the books needing to balance the action and they know that the betting public is really down on Chicago. I've had success both playing on and playing against the Bears. In this case, that public sentiment has provided us with excellent value and I believe they're absolutely in a "play on" spot. Sure, Cousins wants to finally win a Monday night game. However, the Bears want the game every bit as much and they typically do a great job in shutting down Cousins. The Bears have also done a great job at slowing down Cook. Indeed, Chicago is 4-0 its past four against the Vikings, 3-0 since Cousins took over. The Vikes have managed a mere 29 points in those three games combined, Cook averaging only 29 ypg. Cousins will eventually get his MNF win. Just not this week. Grab the points. |
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11-15-20 | 49ers +10 v. Saints | 13-27 | Loss | -125 | 124 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SF. Off their huge win over Brady and the Bucs, the Saints are feeling pretty good about themselves. They celebrated afterwards as if they'd won a really big game. I believe they'll be ripe for a letdown against the defending NFC champs. SF has dealt with a ton of injuries this season but continues to play hard. Off b2b losses, their season slipping away, I expect the well-coached 49'ers to deliver their very best effort. The Saints are just 4-10 ATS the past 14 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 49.5 or greater. During that span, they're also only 3-8 ATS when off a division win. I'm grabbing all those points. |
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11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -1 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 124 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. I played on both of these teams last week. The Bills came through for me against Seattle. Arizona let me down against Miami. Catching the Bills away from Buffalo, I expect the Cardinals to bounce back this week. The Bills are 0-2 ATS their last two on the road. They won but didn't cover against the Jets. Prior to that, the last time that they faced a non-divisional opponent on the road, they lost 42-16 at Tennessee. The Cards have scored 30 or more points in four straight games. A closer look at the stats from the Miami game shows that Arizona actually outgained the Dolphins in both the air and on the ground, a total of 442 yards to 312. The Cards had a solid edge in yards per play, as well as having the advantage in first downs and time of possession. Indeed, it easily could have gone the other way. While the Bills did them a favor by beating the Hawks, don't expect the Cards to do them any favors Sunday. Look for Arizona to bounce back, improving to 7-2 ATS the past nine times it played a game with an O/U line of 49.5 or greater. |
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11-15-20 | Broncos +5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 12-37 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER for the first half. The Broncos have gotten off to some slow starts and that's led to them having to play from behind. (In three straight weeks, they've been behind by double-digits by halftime.) They're determined to avoid that happening again. QB Lock commented: ''There's a lot of football left and we just have to hit our stride earlier in games.'' The Broncos secondary figures to get a boost as starting corners Bouye and Callahan are expected back. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS the past four times that they were off two or more consecutive wins, 1-4 ATS the past five times that they were off a divisional win. Expect them to have their hands full right from the get go and don't be surprised when the Broncos start fast and take a lead into the lockerroom. |
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11-15-20 | Bucs -4.5 v. Panthers | 46-23 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB. The Bucs were humiliated last week, a 38-3 destruction at the hands of Drew Brees and the Saints. While I was humbled along with them, I fully expect them to bounce right back on Sunday afternoon. The Panthers also lost. However, unlike the Bucs, who got blown out, Carolina lost a heartbreaker. The Panthers very nearly upset the defending World Champs but ultimately fell short, a 33-31 setback. That was their fourth straight loss and it had to really sting. That would have been the highlight of their season and for them to leave it all on the field, only to come up short, will be tough to bounce back from. Note that Carolina was 0-8 SU (1-7 ATS) the past two seasons, in Week 10-13. Off this season's only previous division loss, also against New Orleans, the Bucs answered by beating these same Panthers by a 31-17 score. Expect more of the same here as Brady and the Bucs bounce back again, sweeping the season series while covering the relatively small number along the way. |
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11-15-20 | California v. UCLA +4 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UCLA. Needless to say, the circumstances are a little different for this one. Both teams were supposed to play a different opponent. Cal, which had its first game postponed too, was set to face Arizona State. UCLA was scheduled to host Utah. Both games had to be canceled due to those teams having Covid concerns. That means that neither team has had much time to prepare for the other. I like the fact, however, that UCLA has already played a game. That would already be an advantage but potentially more so, given the situation. While the Bears won last season, the Bruins have won five of the past seven meetings. Two of those seven games were decided by a field goal or less. While I expect the outright upset, in a game which could also come down to the wire, I'm happy to grab the points. |
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11-14-20 | Hawaii v. San Diego State -10 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on SDSU. This is already Hawaii's third road game in the past four weeks. They got crushed (at Wyoming) last time away from the island and this figures to be an even tougher venue. I expect the travel to catch up with them. Off last week's loss, the Aztecs are going to be in an angry mood. Last week's loss notwithstanding, the Aztecs have a very stingy defense. Expect Hawaii, which managed only seven points last time on the road, to have trouble finding the end zone. The Aztecs have additional motivation in this one as Hawaii has actually beaten them in b2b seasons, including a 31-30 upset, as double-digit underdogs, last time here. Its payback time today, the Aztecs keeping the pedal to the metal the entire way. |
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11-13-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +10 | 38-19 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FIU. Since a 33-31 win by the Panthers in 2016, the Owls have had their way in this series. I believe that the Panthers are ready to give them a challenge tonight though and feel that the generous line is providing us with very fair value. Keep in mind that the O/U line for this game is very low. So, there aren't many points expected, yet the Owls are being asked to lay double-digits on the road. That's asking a lot. Indeed, the Owls are averaging only 16 ppg. (FIU averages 24.) The Panthers, who are very well rested for this game, have quietly gone 7-3 ATS the past 10 times that they were getting points. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +4 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Coach P.J. Fleck has turned the Gophers around, since his arrival in 2017. However, he has yet to beat Iowa. Even last year's team, which went 11-2, lost to the Hawkeyes. Needless to say, Fleck and the Gophers are extremely motivated to finally get a win in this series. They've got the offense to do it and they're playing at home. Last year's game was at Iowa and was decided by just four points. Yes, the Hawkeyes looked really good in beating up on Michigan State. However, they also lost by four points (at Purdue) in their lone road game. Additionally, Northwestern beat them by a point. Minnesota, young but talented, is getting better each time out. The Gophers are off a big win of their own and have scored more than 40 in b2b games. I expect Fleck to have them ready to play and look for them to give their guests all that they can handle, taking the game down to the wire and earning AT LEAST the cover. |
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11-12-20 | Colorado State v. Boise State -13.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOISE. The Rams are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off their worst home loss in 24 years, the Broncos are going to be in an extremely foul mood. The last time (9/15/18 vs. OSU) that they lost a regular season game by double-digits, they responded by hammering Wyoming by a 34-14 score, as -15.5 point favorites, their next game. CSU won at home last week but lost its lone road game, 38-17 at Fresno. The last time that the Broncos hosted the Rams, they won by 28. Expect the angry Broncos to pull away for another win and cover. |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -8 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -117 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on BALL STATE. The Cardinals lost a tough one, at Miami Ohio, in their opener. While they would have liked to have it, they can afford that loss. They can't afford to lose this one though. That Cardinals improved last year and narrowly missed a bowl game. They lost each of their final three games by four or less to finish at 5-7. Thats a bad taste that they're still trying to get rid of. This is the perfect opportunity to do just that. The Eagles earned a somewhat fortunate cover (SU loss) in their opener. However, they're one of the weaker teams in the conference and now they're playing their second straight on the road. Ball State believes it can take the next step this season. If thats to be the case, the Cardinals need to take care of business on Wednesday. The Cardinals can and wil score a lot of points. Ultimately, I don't expect the Eagles to be able to keep up. |
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11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -7 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. These teams both took care of buiness in week 1. Miami won 38-31 against Ball State. Buffalo won 49-31 at NIU. While the RedHawks are a good team, I don't think they're as good as the Bulls. While they gave up a lot of points on the road in their opener, the Bulls were excellent on defense last season and they brought back a lot of players on that side of the ball. Really, the defense was actually pretty good against the Huskies the problem was that it had to defend some short fields, due to turnovers. The Bulls are very well-coached and we saw what the offense can do. The home team is 3-0 SU/ATS the past three years in this series. Miami won 34-20 last year but Buffalo won 51-42 here two seasons ago. Expect the Bulls to put up big numbers on the ground and for their superior defense to lead them to a double-digit win. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4 | 38-3 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB. While I have a lot of respect for both these teams, I successfully played against both of them last week. Both were tested. Both won but failed to cover. I won with the Saints (first half) when these teams met earlier in the season. I thought the Bucs were a little overhyped and that they might struggle out of the gate, at a very tough venue. Now, however, Brady has had time to gel with his new team. Now, revenge-minded Brady is playing at home. The last time that the Bucs played here, they hammered the Packers by a 38-10 score. They were dominant on both sides of the ball. While they may not have played their best, I like the way that the Bucs found a way to win a close one Monday, after dropping their previous close one. Expect Brady and co. to build momentum from that win, avenging the earlier loss while covering the small number along the way. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Dolphins are off an "impressive" win over the Rams, the "Tagovailo era" starting on the right foot. However, that was at home and they were catching LA having gone back and forth across the country and playing its third road game in four weeks. Also, while earning a victory was indeed impressive, a look at the stats shows that the Miami offense actually managed only 145 total yards. That was the fewest number of yards, by a team which won by double-digits, since way back in 2006. On the other side, the Dolphins gave up 471 yards. No, thats not a misprint. The Dolphins were outgained by a 471 to 145 margin. Needless to say, thats not a recipe for success. Off three straight wins, most recently a big comeback win against Seattle, Arizona is playing great. The Cards know they can't afford to take their foot off the gast though. Not in the ultra competitive NFC West. Prior to the narrow win over the previously undefeated Seahawks, Arizona had won its previous two games by a combined score of 68-20. The Dolphins are 1-6 ATS (0-7 SU) the past seven times that they were road underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range. Lay the small number and expect the superior team to pull away for a double-digit win. |
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11-08-20 | Bears v. Titans -6 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing TENNESEE on the money-line. These teams have both treated me pretty well. I'm 4-0 in Bear games and 2-0 in Titan games, 3-0 if factoring in last week's 'free play' on the Bengals. I won with the 'under' in their game against the Broncos and I backed the Titans when they crushed the Bills. With the Bears, I successfully played on them in their game against the Saints last week and also in their win over Tampa. I played against them when they lost to the Rams and the Colts. I like how this one sets up for the home team. The Titans are going to be hungry, off b2b losses. They're 5-1 SU (4-1-1 ATS) the past couple of seasons, when off b2b SU losses. While the Bears have also dropped b2b games, last week's loss was particularly deflating. They're now playing their third road game in the past four weeks. The Bears are 3-6 SU their past nine against teams from the AFC. The Titans, meanwhile, are 7-2 SU their last nine against teams from the NFC. While they haven't done a great job of covering as favorites (except against Buffalo!) the Titans have won four of six, straight-up, when favored. I fully expect another victory here. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks v. Bills +3 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. Obviously, I respect Wilson, Carroll and the Seahawks. I had a big play on them just last week. Wilson has absolutely been deserviing of all the praise he's receiving. Still, this team has been through a lot. Injuries. Numerous trips back and forth from Seattle to other parts of the country. Though I'm aware that the West Coast based Hawks typically thrive in these early games, I believe this will be a tough spot. The Bills come in with a lot to prove. The last time that they faced an "elite" team, they lost against the Chiefs. This is their chance to show that they'll be able to compete with the top tier teams, come playoff time. I expect them to rise to the occasion. With last week's win but ATS loss, they're 6-2-1 ATS the last few Novembers, winning seven of those outright. I'll take the points but I like their chances at the upset here. |
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11-07-20 | South Alabama +18 v. Coastal Carolina | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SOUTH ALABAMA. The Chanticleers are one of the biggest stories of the season. So far. They deserve all the credit they're getting. However, with all that hype comes inflated lines. In this case, they're in unfamiliar territory, laying more than two TDs. The only previous time that they were asked to lay double-digits this season (Campbell on 9/18) resulted in their lone ATS loss. As impressive as they've been, I don't believe that they're more than 17 points better than the Jaguars. While South Alabama is only 3-3, two of those three losses came by a TD or less. Speaking of close games, these teams met in 2018 and the game was decided by a field goal, a 31-28 win for USA. Don't be "shocked" when the Jags take this game down to the wire with a shot at the upset. |
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11-07-20 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -113 | 51 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on TENNESSEE. The Razorbacks have arguably overachieved. However, they're still one of the weaker teams in the conference. I feel that the Vols have an edge in talent. I also really like the fact that they had last week off. They'd had a tough stretch of games, so the bye absolutely came at the right time. Its given them a chance to regroup and to focus on taking care of business in this winnable game. While the Vols are slight favorites, as of this writing, its a small enough line that a SU win should also equal an ATS win. Thats noteworthy as Tennessee is 52-11 SU as a road favorite over the years. This season, the only time that they were favored on the road, the Vols took care of business by winning (and covering) at South Carolina. While Pittman is in his first season with Arkansas, this is year 3 of the "Pruitt era" in Tennessee. If the Vols want to get to .500, this is a game they absolutely need to win. The Vols are 4-1 SU the last five under Pruitt, after losing their previous two games. (The loss came at Alabama.) Desperate for a victory, expect them to bounce back. |
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11-07-20 | West Virginia v. Texas -6 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TEXAS. It took the Longhorns a bit to get going this season. They have now though. Off a double-digit win against Baylor, they won outright at Oklahoma State last week. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into Saturday's game. West Virginia is 4-0 at home but 0-2 on the road this season, losing by seven at Texas Tech and by 14 at OK. State. Going back a bit further finds that the Mountaineers are 5-9 ATS over the years as road underdogs in the +3.5 to +7 range. Meanwhile, during the same span, the Longhorns are 13-6-1 ATS (18-2 SU!) as home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. The Longhorns won by 11 last season. I see them pulling away for another double-digit win on Saturday afternoon. |
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Ben Burns Football Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-25-21 | Louisville v. Florida State +1 | 31-23 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
09-24-21 | Wake Forest +4 v. Virginia | Top | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 69 h 4 m | Show |
09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers -11.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Titans +6.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
09-18-21 | Arkansas State v. Washington -17 | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
09-18-21 | Virginia Tech v. West Virginia -2.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show | |
09-18-21 | Michigan State v. Miami-FL -6 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
09-16-21 | Ohio +21 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 14-49 | Loss | -117 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Dolphins v. Patriots -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -125 | 321 h 35 m | Show | |
09-12-21 | Seahawks v. Colts +2.5 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 313 h 0 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Washington +7 v. Michigan | 10-31 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Georgia Southern +7 v. Florida Atlantic | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Ball State +22.5 v. Penn State | 13-44 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Illinois v. Virginia -9.5 | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 93 h 42 m | Show | |
09-04-21 | Stanford v. Kansas State -2.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 110 h 28 m | Show | |
09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
09-01-21 | UAB v. Jacksonville State +17 | 31-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
08-28-21 | Nebraska -7 v. Illinois | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 745 h 20 m | Show |
02-07-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 9-31 | Loss | -113 | 298 h 26 m | Show |
01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs -9 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 128 h 41 m | Show |
01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama -7 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 229 h 26 m | Show | |
01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | Top | 9-21 | Loss | -117 | 125 h 45 m | Show |
01-09-21 | Colts +7 v. Bills | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles +3.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 27 m | Show | |
01-03-21 | Cowboys v. Giants +2.5 | Top | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 91 h 8 m | Show |
01-02-21 | North Carolina v. Texas A&M -7 | Top | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
01-02-21 | Ole Miss +10 v. Indiana | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
01-01-21 | Ohio State +8.5 v. Clemson | Top | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 271 h 15 m | Show |
12-31-20 | Ball State +10 v. San Jose State | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
12-31-20 | Mississippi State +1.5 v. Tulsa | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas -7 | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
12-29-20 | Oklahoma State -1 v. Miami-FL | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots +7.5 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers -3 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 131 h 42 m | Show |
12-26-20 | Western Kentucky +4.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 21-39 | Loss | -110 | 169 h 9 m | Show |
12-25-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Saints | Top | 33-52 | Loss | -124 | 49 h 9 m | Show |
12-23-20 | Georgia Southern v. Louisiana Tech +7 | 38-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +15 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
12-21-20 | North Texas v. Appalachian State -19.5 | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
12-20-20 | Browns v. Giants +6.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
12-20-20 | Texans +7.5 v. Colts | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
12-20-20 | Bucs v. Falcons +7 | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
12-19-20 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -14 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -106 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
12-19-20 | Boise State -6 v. San Jose State | 20-34 | Loss | -111 | 101 h 17 m | Show | |
12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos +7 | Top | 48-19 | Loss | -125 | 102 h 14 m | Show |
12-18-20 | UAB +5 v. Marshall | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
12-13-20 | Saints v. Eagles +7 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 148 h 16 m | Show |
12-13-20 | Chiefs -7 v. Dolphins | 33-27 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
12-12-20 | San Diego State +17.5 v. BYU | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
12-12-20 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech -2 | Top | 15-33 | Win | 100 | 145 h 3 m | Show |
12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -4.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers -1.5 | 45-0 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets +8 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 117 h 7 m | Show |
12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -12.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
12-05-20 | Arkansas v. Missouri -2.5 | 48-50 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
12-03-20 | Air Force v. Utah State +12.5 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
12-02-20 | Ravens +10.5 v. Steelers | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
11-29-20 | Saints v. Broncos +6.5 | Top | 31-3 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
11-29-20 | Browns v. Jaguars +7 | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 100 h 59 m | Show | |
11-29-20 | Dolphins v. Jets +7.5 | 20-3 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
11-28-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo -7 | 41-70 | Win | 100 | 75 h 18 m | Show | |
11-27-20 | Oregon -13 v. Oregon State | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 109 h 15 m | Show |
11-27-20 | UMass +40 v. Liberty | 0-45 | Loss | -123 | 102 h 41 m | Show | |
11-26-20 | New Mexico v. Utah State +5.5 | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 80 h 18 m | Show | |
11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -2.5 | 41-16 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 28 m | Show | |
11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs -4 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
11-22-20 | Dolphins v. Broncos +3.5 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 141 h 9 m | Show |
11-22-20 | Eagles +3.5 v. Browns | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 114 h 21 m | Show | |
11-22-20 | Patriots v. Texans +2.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
11-21-20 | USC -2.5 v. Utah | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 135 h 52 m | Show | |
11-21-20 | Arizona v. Washington -10.5 | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 107 h 5 m | Show | |
11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | Top | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 93 h 37 m | Show |
11-21-20 | Appalachian State +6 v. Coastal Carolina | 23-34 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 31 m | Show | |
11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 58 h 38 m | Show |
11-18-20 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State -13.5 | 25-31 | Loss | -115 | 59 h 38 m | Show | |
11-18-20 | Toledo -6.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 40 m | Show |
11-15-20 | 49ers +10 v. Saints | 13-27 | Loss | -125 | 124 h 1 m | Show | |
11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -1 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 124 h 41 m | Show | |
11-15-20 | Broncos +5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 12-37 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 57 m | Show |
11-15-20 | Bucs -4.5 v. Panthers | 46-23 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show | |
11-15-20 | California v. UCLA +4 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
11-14-20 | Hawaii v. San Diego State -10 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
11-13-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +10 | 38-19 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +4 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
11-12-20 | Colorado State v. Boise State -13.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -8 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -117 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -7 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4 | 38-3 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 17 m | Show | |
11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 15 m | Show |
11-08-20 | Bears v. Titans -6 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 33 m | Show | |
11-08-20 | Seahawks v. Bills +3 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
11-07-20 | South Alabama +18 v. Coastal Carolina | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
11-07-20 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -113 | 51 h 14 m | Show |
11-07-20 | West Virginia v. Texas -6 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 49 m | Show |