Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-22-18 | Stanford v. Oregon OVER 55.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing Stanford/Oregon OVER the total. The Ducks had trouble scoring at Stanford in last season's meeting. That game had 35 points at halftime but finished with only 56. However, in the most recent meeting here at Oregon, both teams were able to put up points. In fact, that game had an O/U line in the high 50s but finished with 79 combined points. I expect both teams to put up a fairly big number again Saturday evening. The Ducks have scored 58, 62 and 35 points, an average of 51.7 ppg (503 ypg). The Cardinal, meanwhile, have scored 30 or more in two of their three games. Including the 79-point affair here in 2016, the OVER is 11-5 the Ducks' last 16 home games. Expect those stats to improve Saturday night. |
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09-08-18 | Air Force v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 69 | Top | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 72 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on Air Force / FAU UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). I feel that this O/U number, which has risen from its opener, will prove to be too higher. While the opponent was obviously pretty weak, the Falcons are off a shutout win in their opener. They held Stony Brook to a mere 30 yards rushing and only 45 yards passing. The Seawolves would finish with just four first downs. Needless to say, it was among the best defensive performances ever by the Falcons and should give them plenty of confidence entering Saturday's game. FAU didn't fare so well defensively, getting lit up by Oklahoma. However, that effort notwithstanding, this IS a very experienced defense and we can expect a MUCH better performance this week. The UNDER is 8-6 in FAU home games the past couple of seasons. Expect those stats to improve Saturday afternoon. |
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09-03-18 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State UNDER 55.5 | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 81 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on V-Tech/FSU UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). Its true that both these teams are hoping and expecting to have improved offenses this season. However, that improvement isn't likely to be immediate and there's always plenty of athleticism and talent on the defensive side from both these teams. The Noles allowed just 15 ppg (280 ypg) their final three last season and 20.3 ppg at home on the season. The Hokies, meanwhile, allowed a mere 14.8 ppg on the season, 14.7 their final three. The UNDER is 2-0 the past couple of seasons, when the Hokies were listed as underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 point range, six of their 10 road games finishing below the total. As for the Noles, the UNDER is 10-5-1 their last 16 conference games. Overall, VT games averaged 43 points last season while FSU games averaged 49. All things considered, this number, which has climbed from its opener, is generously high. |
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09-01-18 | Michigan v. Notre Dame UNDER 46.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on Michigan/ND UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). While this should be an entertaining game, I don't expect there to be a whole lot of scoring. The Wolverines are loaded on defense and should be among the best in the nation on that side of the ball. They allowed 18.8 ppg and 281 ypg last year and this year's unit is far more experienced, bringing back 14 of their top 16 tacklers. Likewise, this should be the best Notre Dame defense that we've seen in several years, the Irish bringing back nine defensive starters. The Irish have seen the UNDER go 4-2 the past couple of seasons when the line ranged from -3 to +3. Look for points to be at a premium. |
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08-31-18 | Utah State v. Michigan State OVER 50.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on Utah State / Michigan State OVER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). I believe this number will prove to be too low. This is the best offense that Matt Wells has had in his six years here at Utah State, as they are loaded with experience on that side of the ball. Keep in mind that the Aggies averaged better than 30 ppg (30.3) on the road last season. The problem was that they allowed even more than that. Not surprisingly, eight of their past 12 road games have finished above the number. While the Spartans offense wasn't exactly intimidating last season, this is a great opportunity for them to start the season by padding their offensive stats. Expect the final combined score to finish above the low number. |
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08-30-18 | New Mexico State v. Minnesota OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on New Mexico State / Minnesota to finish OVER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). Admittedly, the Aggies offense didn't look too impressive against Wyoming. However, having a game under their belts will help and I expect them to move the ball more effectively. Stopping the Gophers, who are favored by more than 3 TDs for good reason, is an entirely different matter. The Aggies have seen the OVER go 10-4 on the road the past couple of seasons, as they rarely stop anyone, when playing away from home. Indeed, they allowed an average of 478.2 ypg on the road last season, well over six yards per play. Expect Minnesota to put up a big number and for New Mexico State to supply the rest, as this one finishes above the low number! |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 46 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -105 | 156 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on Alabama/Georgia to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). You probably watched Georgia trade punches with Oklahoma on New Year's Day. The teams combined for a whopping 102 points. I don't expect to see even half that many on Monday. The Tide were absolutely dominant defensively against Clemson. In the two previous meetings, the Tigers had moved the ball with ease. Not against this year's team. In addition to having a dominant defense which is peaking at the right time, the Tide are a little more conservative on offense than they've been in the past. Georgia's defense, which ultimated stopped the Sooners when it needed to, held its previous three opponents to just 7, 7 and 13 points. In fact, the Bulldogs allowed 14 or fewer points 10 times this season. Look for points to at a premium. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 47 | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 341 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on Alabama and Clemson to finish UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). I won with Clemson (plus the points) AND the 'over' when these teams met on 1/11/16. Last season, I stayed away from the 'side' but again won with the 'over.' For Round 3, I'm switching things up and going with the 'under.' One of the biggest differences from last season is that Alabama now employs a more conservative offense. Both teams have outstanding defenses. The Tide allowed an average of only 11.5 points on the season, a paltry 257.8 yards. Clemson's numbers were very nearly as good. The Tigers allowed just 12.8 ppg and 277.9 ypg. Given those impressive defensive stats, its not surprising that both teams have seen the majority of their games fall below the number. The Tide have seen the UNDER go 7-5 on the season, 3-1 against non-conf. opponents. The UNDER was even more profitable for the Tigers. Nine of Clemson's 13 games stayed beneath the total. That includes a 5-1 UNDER record when they were matched up against a team with a winning record. While we have to go back a number of years, Clemson has seen the UNDER go a perfect 7-0 the last seven times that it played a neutral site game where the O/U line ranged from 45.5 to 49. That includes their last game, where the Tigers' defense dominated Miami and allowed just three points. Expect those stats to improve on New Year's Day. |
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12-09-17 | Army v. Navy OVER 47.5 | Top | 14-13 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 36 m | Show |
10* TOTAL MAIN EVENT over Army/Navy. Army comes in off a 52-49 loss to North Texas, while Navy fell 24-14 to Houston in its latest action. These are two teams looking to get back into the winners circle this weekend. Army broke a 14-game losing streak in the series with a 21-17 victory last year and it’ll be looking to add another win onto its already impressive 8-3 record this season. The Midshipmen will be bowling at 6-5, but they clearly can’t be happy with their record overall. The Black Knights are a good defensive team, but last week the unit gave up season high’s in points (52) and total yards (489.) QB Ahmad Bradshaw had 244 rushing yards and two TD’s in the loss. Navy though has in fact lost two straight. In the loss to Houston, QB Zach Abey was just 2 of 4 for 45 yards. Like Bradshaw though, Abey runs the ball, posting 1,322 rushing yards and 14 rushing TD’s this season. Navy’s weak point this year has been its defense, especially against the run. Which clearly doesn’t bode well facing Bradshaw and Army’s run heavy offense. These teams have something to prove and I expect that to result in a higher-scoring affair once it’s all said and done. Play the over. |
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11-21-17 | Bowling Green v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 60 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
10* TOP MAC TOTAL on the under Bowling Green/Eastern Michigan. Neither team will be playing in a bowl this year. Bowling Green is 2-9 and EMU is 4-7. The Falcons most recently were smashed 66-37 by Toledo last week, while the Eagles managed a 27-24 road victory over Miami Ohio. Bowling Green is averaging just 24.8 PPG this year. The Falcons looked horrible defensively against Toledo, giving up a season high 637 total yards. But with that disaster behind it, I think Bowling Green will look a lot better in the finale against this somewhat disinterested Eastern Michigan side. The EMU defense played well in last week’s win, holding the Redhawks to 392 total yards, including 141 rushing. The one bright spot for the Eagles this year has been their defensive play. I definitely think the conditions are right for a lower-scoring under as these two teams end their campaigns with a whimper. |
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11-18-17 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss UNDER 69.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 123 h 47 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the under Texas A&M/Mississippi. The Aggies finally posted their sixth win of the year in last week’s 55-14 destruction of New Mexico. Now Texas A&M can afford to take the foot off the gas, with two tough road games to end the campaign, in Mississippi this weekend and then finishing up the season at LSU. And for Ole Miss, it still needs one more win to become bowl eligible, as it’s won back-to-back games to keep its hopes alive. The Runnin’ Rebels beat Kansas 37-34, before then hammering Louisiana Lafayette 50-22. Ole Miss won’t be able to turn this one into a “track meet” with A&M though and expect to come out on the winning side. Ultimately I believe that A&M comes in flat-footed after becoming bowl eligible, while I believe that Mississippi’s game-plan will be to try and wear down the Aggies and take control from the get-go. It’s a perfect set of situational factors which all point to the under as the correct call. |
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11-11-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State UNDER 54.5 | Top | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 117 h 14 m | Show |
10* FOX-TV SUPER TOTAL on under Michigan State/Ohio State. Two 7-2 Big Ten teams collide on Saturday afternoon and I think that everything points to a classic lower-scoring defensive battle. Michigan State enters off a 27-24 win at home over Penn State, while Ohio State was humbled in a 55-24 setback to Iowa State in its latest action. Note that when these teams played last year, it was Ohio State that held on for the 17-16 victory. Last week MSU’s defense came to play, allowing only ten points over the final three quarters (466 yards total.) The Spartans also made three INT’s. QB Brian Lewerke was 33 of 56 for 400 yards, two TD’s and an INT. Clearly the Buckeyes will be out to atone after giving up 55 points last weekend. Ohio State QB JT Barrett was just 18 of 34 for 208 yards, three TD’s and four INT’s. If Michigan State is going to pull off another upset this weekend, then it’s going to have to bring its “A” game on the defensive side of the ball again. And as noted above, Ohio State will be on a mission today as well defensively. This number is a little high, play the under. |
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11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford OVER 49.5 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 104 h 12 m | Show |
10* TOTAL FIST FIGHT over Washington/Stanford. Neither team has played to many high-scoring affairs this year. Washington has seen the Over/Under go 3-6 so far, while Stanford has seen it go 3-6 as well. The Cardinal’s five game win streak was snapped to Washington State last weekend, while the Huskies are now 8-1 after back-to-back wins over UCLA and Oregon. The Huskies smashed Oregon 38-3 last weekend, behind great overall play from all three phases, including a punt-return TD from Dante Pettis. The Cardinal only gained 198 total yards of offense in their 24-21 loss at Washington State. QB KJ Costello was just nine of 20 for 105 yards, no TD’s and one INT. I think Costello settles down after getting thrust into the starters role and he’ll be leaning heavily on RB Bryce Love, who will also be looking to bounce back after posting just 69 yards on 16 carries last weekend, in his first game back from injury. I don’t think Stanford can sit back and hope that its defense can pull this one out for it. So with the home side pushing the pace, I expect this one to soar over sooner, rather than later. |
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11-08-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 49 | Top | 30-42 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 33 m | Show |
10* TOTAL ROAST is the under EMU/CMU. Eastern Michigan would have to run the table at a shot at a bowl, while the Chips need just one more victory to become eligible. Eastern Michigan has a tough task ahead of it and it looks set up for a letdown here after its 56-14 win over Ball State last weekend to move it to 1-4 in the MAC. The Chips though are surging towards the finish line, as they’ve won three of their last four, including a come from behind victory over Western Michigan last week. It’s been a tough year for the Eagles, who have lost their last four conference games by a grand total of 12 points. Last week QB Brogan Roback had a big game with 263 yards, three TD’s and no picks, but he’s been inconsistent all year. Just like his team. The Chips outscored the Broncos 21-0 in the fourth quarter last week and I think that defensive momentum gets carried over here. This one has the feeling of a “chess match,” rather than a “track meet.” This number is just a little high, play the under. |
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11-02-17 | Navy v. Temple OVER 54 | Top | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 8 m | Show |
10* BLUE CHIP on the over Navy/Temple. Perhaps surprisingly, these two teams have struggled to put points on the board at times this year. Navy has seen the O/U go 2-5, while Temple has seen it go 2-6. The Owls though come in off a hard-fought 31-28 OT loss at Army two weeks ago and suffice it to say, I think the team carries that momentum over here as it seeks its sixth win of the season. The Midshipmen also come in off a hard-fought setback, falling 31-21 to UCF on October 21st. Navy ranks as the No. 1 rushing offense in the nation, averaging a whopping 376.1 YPG, while owning the 24th ranked total offense with 470.7 YPG. Defensively though the Mids are a bit of a mess, allowing 410.3 YPG (ranked 84th). QB Zach Abey has 1,142 rushing yards, 606 passing and 13 major scores overall this season. The Owls ranks 93rd in the nation in total yards per game (372.6), while ranked 73rd defensively in conceding 398.2. Temple QB Frank Nutile replaced an injured Logan Marchi in the Army loss and looked superb, going 20 of 29 for 290 yards, one TD and no picks. RB Ryquell Amstead had 151 rushing yards and two TD’s in that one. This one has the feeling of a wide open “shootout” to me and I expect this total to eclipse the number sooner rather than later. Play the over. |
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11-01-17 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan OVER 48 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the “over” CMU/WMU. This is a big game for both teams. CMU is 2-2 in the MAC and 4-4 overall, while WMU is 3-1 in the MAC and 5-3 overall. Both teams are desperate for victories here as we come to the end of the season, of course needing to reach at least a sixth victory to become bowl “eligible.” Both teams also come in rested, as each last played on October 21st. Western Michigan won 20-17 over EMU in OT, while Central Michigan crushed Ball State 56-9. The Chips looked sharp defensively last time out, but that was against the lowly Cardinals. Clearly the unit faces a much stiffer test this week. The Broncos lost starting QB John Wassink in the win over Eastern Michigan early in the game, but freshman Reece Goddard was seviceable in reflief. In the end the Broncos rolled up 422 yards of offense once it was all said and done anyways (it must be noted though that they looked shaky defensively, allowing 459 total yards.) The Broncos scored the 49-10 win on the road at Central Michigan last year and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Play the over. |
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10-11-17 | South Alabama v. Troy OVER 48 | Top | 19-8 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on South Alabama/Troy OVER the total (10* O/U BEST BET). As both these teams enter on "under" streaks, we're being given a very low O/U line to work with. I believe it'll prove to be too low. Even though the Jaguars have been seeing their games finish below the total, they haven't seen any O/U lines this low. Four of their five games have produced a minimum of 50 combined points, the other resulting in a 45-0 win over a 1-AA team. That opponent (Alabama A&M) was the only one which didn't throw for big yards against the Jaguars. Other opposing QB's have torched them for 429, 342, 273, and 317 yards through the air. While they feature a balanced attack, the Trojans should be able to exploit that secondary; they've thrown for more than 300 yards in each of their two home games. Last year's game finished with 49 points, a 28-21 victory for Troy. The Trojans easily could have had more than 28 though, as they accumulated 585 yards of offense. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the final combined score finishing above the low number. |
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09-04-17 | Tennessee v. Georgia Tech OVER 55 | Top | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on Tennessee/G-Tech OVER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). This O/U line looks to be a little on the low side. Tennessee games averaged 65.2 points. When the Vols played away from home, that number climbed all the way to 67.2. In their final three games, the Vols' saw their games produce an average of 80.3 points. Those games produced an average of nearly 1100 total yards, too. True, the Vols no longer have QB Dobbs. However, their offense does return seven starters and should still be solid. As for the Yellow Jackets, they return eight starters on offense. They should be able to move the ball against a Vols' defense which allowed an average of 449 ypg last season. With this game being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium (new home of the Falcons) note that the Vols have seen the OVER go a perfect 4-0 their last four "neutral" field games. Expect those stats to improve Monday night. |
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09-01-17 | Boston College v. Northern Illinois UNDER 51 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 85 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC/NIU to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). This number is generously high. The last meeting between these teams had an O/U line of 44.5 and produced just 31 points. The Eagles would end up beating the Huskies by a 17-14 score. While that was two seasons ago and at Boston College, this one could well have a similar score. Boston College road games averaged only 42.4 combined points last season, the UNDER going 6-3. In fact, the UNDER has been money for years (62-35 L97!) when the Eagles take to the road. During that span and including the 2015 meeting, the Huskies have seen the UNDER go 37-20 when listed as underdogs, 6-4 the past couple of seasons. More of the same Friday. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 51 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 178 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on Clemson and Alabama to finish OVER the total 10* TOTAL OF MONTH. With both teams coming off dominant defensive efforts and the Tide having just gotten rid of offensive coordinator Kiffin, many are going to be expecting a low-scoring game. Many thought the same thing last year, when both these same teams also entered the final off low-scoring defensive games. In fact, besides the Kiffin situation, (more on that later) the setup is quite similar to last year. Last year, Alabama was off a dominant defensive performance against Michigan State. The Spartans, who came in averaging more than 32 ppg, didn't score a single point. Meanwhile, Clemson was off a game in which it held normally high-scoring OU to only 17 points. Oklahoma entered that game averaging 45.7 ppg and 542.9 ypg. With Alabama and Clemson having just kept teams to 28+ and 32+ points below their average, many were expecting a defensive final. As you likely recall, thats not what happened. I played on the 'over' and the teams combined for a whopping 85 points. The Tide put up 45 of those points while Clemson's Deshaun Watson carved up a #3 ranked Alabama defense, setting the record for the most total yards (478!) in national championship game history. Off last year's game, both offenses are going to come in confident that they're going to score. Some may be down on the Bama offense after last week's admittedly less than impressive performance against Washington. Lets not forget that the Tide are still averaging 39.4 ppg (460.9 ypg) on the season including 40.9 ppg on the road. The firing of Kiffin, who was already on his way out, shows the type of urgency that Saban has. While the timing of that move may have been a bit out of the ordinary, Saban believes its the best move for the offense and I'm going to trust his judgement. While the Tigers were indeed impressive against Ohio State, don't forget that four teams scored 34 or more points against them this season. I'm confident that the Tide are also going to be able to move the ball and put it in the end zone with relative regularity. The Tigers were a profitable 'under' team against sub-500 teams. However, the OVER was 6-3 when they faced teams with a winning record. They check in averaging 39.5 ppg to go along with an impressive 502.1 yards per game. Off last year's performance, also against a very strong Alabama defense, they believe they can do it again. Including last year's game, Alabama has seen the OVER go 8-2 its last 10 neutral site games and 5-1 the last six times it was a neutral field favorite in the -3.5 to -7 range. While I'm not expecting as many points as last year, I AM expecting the final score to again finish above the low number. |
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01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State UNDER 59.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on USC and Penn State to finish UNDER the total 10* TOTAL OF WEEK. I believe that this O/U line is generously high. In fact, with the exception of their game against Indiana, which had an O/U line of 60.5, this is the highest O/U line that the Nittany Lions have seen all season. Sure, Penn State got into a high-scoring affair with Wisconsin in its last game. However, prior to that, the Lions had allowed a grand total of only 12 points in their previous two games. Even factoring in the Badger game, they're still allowing an average of just 14.3 ppg and 281.7 ypg their past three. The Trojans have been a profitable 'under' team all season and that's been particularly true, when they've been laying points. In fact, the UNDER is 7-1 when they were favored this season. The only time that the Lions played with one or more extra week's worth of rest this season was against Ohio State. That game stayed well below the total of 55.5, as the teams combined for only 45. USC also saw its game (Cal) stay below the total, when playing with extra rest. Don't be surprised when this one also proves lower-scoring than expected. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson OVER 59 | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 154 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on Clemson and Ohio State to finish OVER the total 10* TOP TOTAL OF 2016. While I respect both defenses, the facts is that both these teams can put big points on the board. The Tigers averaged over 500 yards of offense per game to go along with more than 40 ppg. They scored a minimum of 35 points in each of their final six games. The Buckeyes don't have a dominant aerial attack. However, they make up for it on the ground. And, while opponents may know they're going to run the ball, the Buckeyes still do a great job of disguising what type of run they're going to do. Ohio State finished the season averaging 42.7 ppg and 479.5 ypg, topping the 60-point mark in two of its final four games. The Buckeyes defense was very good - but still not unbeatable. They allowed 27 points in their final game and that marked the fifth time that they allowed 20 or more points. Clemson, meanwhile, gave up 35 points last time out and got lit up by Pittsburgh for 43 a few weeks before that. In fact, four teams scored 34 or more points against the Tigers. If Pittsburgh, Louisville, V-Tech and FSU can score 34 or more against the Tigers, the Buckeyes have an excellent shot at doing so, too. The only time that the Buckeyes played with more than a week's worth of rest this season was the game against Rutgers. They scored 58 points (themselves) and put up 669 yards of offense. While that game actually stayed below the total (thanks to Rutgers scoring 0) the OVER is still 4-2 the last six times that the Buckeyes played with two or more week's rest in between games. The only time that the Tigers played with more than a week's worth of rest this season was the game against Florida State, a game which had an O/U line quite similar to this one. The teams combined for 71 points. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than expected, the OVER improving to 3-0 the last three times that the Buckeyes faced a team from the ACC. |
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12-23-16 | Ohio v. Troy OVER 49 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on Ohio and Troy to finish OVER the total 10* TOW. While I'm well aware that the Bobcats have been an 'under' team all season, I believe that this line will prove to be too low. The Bobcats saw only one O/U line of less than 51 all season and that was at Kent State, against a team which averaged only 20.6 ppg this season. This evening, the Bobcats will face a far more potent team; the Trojans averaged more than 34 points per game, to go along with 438.6 yards per game. The Bobcats have seen the OVER go a perfect 4-0 against teams from the Sun Belt the past few seasons and their long-term 'over' stats against Sun Belt teams are even better. A 12/18 2010 meeting between these teams produced 69 points, a game which finished well above the number. Not surprising given that Troy has been flying 'over' the total against non-conference oppoosition for years. This season, the Trojans saw three of four non-conf. games top the total. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than most seem to be expecting. |
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12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho OVER 64.5 | Top | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on Idaho and CSU to finish OVER the total 10* BC. While its mostly been a low-scoring start to the bowls, I expect to see some fireworks tonight. The Rams' last three games had combined scores of 95, 80 and 94 points. They scored a minimum of 46 in all three games, while alllowing a minimum of 31 in each. Idaho was also busy piling up the points down the stretch. Over their final three games, the Vandals scored 47, 38 and 37. The Rams are heavy favorites and are likely to score plenty of points. I don't expect the Vandals, who are dropping down to the Big Sky Conference next season, to go down without a fight though. They'll have the fans on their side, at least the ones that show up - as the Rams have sold relatively few tickets for this game. Note that the OVER is 16-7-1 the last few seaons, when the Vandals have been listed as underdogs. Look for the Rams, averaging 45.4 ppg their last five, to put up a big number and the Vandals, averaging 40.7 their last three, to add enough to send 'over' the posted total. |
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12-20-16 | Memphis v. Western Kentucky OVER 80 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on Memphis and Western Kentucky to finish OVER the total 10* BC. Its been a relatively low-scoring start to bowl season and a profitable one for 'under' bettors. That figures to change this evening. Western Kentucky has scored 44 or more points in nine straight games. During that 9-game stretch, the Hilltoppers averaged a whopping 52. Their most recent game topped 100 combined points, a 58-44 win over LA Tech. In fact, that marked the second time this season that they combined with the Bulldogs for triple-digits. The Tigers can also score with the best of them. They're off a 48-44 win, the fourth straight time that they scored a minimum of 34 points. This is a team which scored 77 (themselves) in a game earlier this season. Look for both teams to put up a big number, the OVER improving to 6-1 the last seven times that the Hilltoppers palyed with two more week's worth or rest in between games. |
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Ben Burns NCAA-F Top Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-22-18 | Stanford v. Oregon OVER 55.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
09-08-18 | Air Force v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 69 | Top | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 72 h 8 m | Show |
09-03-18 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State UNDER 55.5 | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 81 h 11 m | Show |
09-01-18 | Michigan v. Notre Dame UNDER 46.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
08-31-18 | Utah State v. Michigan State OVER 50.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
08-30-18 | New Mexico State v. Minnesota OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 46 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -105 | 156 h 43 m | Show |
01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 47 | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 341 h 1 m | Show |
12-09-17 | Army v. Navy OVER 47.5 | Top | 14-13 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 36 m | Show |
11-21-17 | Bowling Green v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 60 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
11-18-17 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss UNDER 69.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 123 h 47 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State UNDER 54.5 | Top | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 117 h 14 m | Show |
11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford OVER 49.5 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 104 h 12 m | Show |
11-08-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 49 | Top | 30-42 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 33 m | Show |
11-02-17 | Navy v. Temple OVER 54 | Top | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 8 m | Show |
11-01-17 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan OVER 48 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
10-11-17 | South Alabama v. Troy OVER 48 | Top | 19-8 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
09-04-17 | Tennessee v. Georgia Tech OVER 55 | Top | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
09-01-17 | Boston College v. Northern Illinois UNDER 51 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 85 h 11 m | Show |
01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 51 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 178 h 3 m | Show |
01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State UNDER 59.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson OVER 59 | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 154 h 20 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Ohio v. Troy OVER 49 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho OVER 64.5 | Top | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
12-20-16 | Memphis v. Western Kentucky OVER 80 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |