Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-15-18 | Nationals -128 v. Mets | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Nationals - I love the value here with the Nationals as a small road favorite against the Mets in Sunday's series finale before the All-Star break. Washington will be extra motivated here after dropping the last two games in the series and will have a big edge on the mound in this one. The Nationals send out Jeremy Hellickson, who is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 8 road starts. New York counters with Corey Oswalt, who is 0-2 with a 7.81 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in 3 starts. Hellickson is 16-6 in his last 22 starts agains the money line when facing an NL team with a OBP of .315 or worse. Take Washington! |
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07-14-18 | A's v. Giants -111 | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants - I like the value here with the Giants as a small home favorite against the A's. San Francisco won the series opener 7-1 on Friday and are now 4-1 in their last 5. I look for them to build off that big win yesterday. The Giants will send out Jeff Samardzija, who will be making his second start back from the DL. Samardzija should be in good form for this one. SF will counter with Brett Anderson, who is just 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.771 WHIP in 5 starts this season. A's are just 2-9 in Anderson's last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game and 3-7 in his last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take San Francisco! |
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07-13-18 | A's +149 v. Giants | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Oakland I like the value here with the A's as a decently priced road dog against the Giants. San Francisco is overvalued here as the public loves to back aces, especially a top name like Madison Bumgarner. While Bumgarner has been solid in his 7 starts since returning from the DL, he wasn't sharp in his last start at home against the Cardinals, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings. Oakland on the other hand is one of the hottest teams in the league going into the All-Star break. The A's have won 13 of their last 16 games and have started out 5-2 on their 10-game road trip with the first two series against the Indians and Astros. The A's will send out the red-hot Edwin Jackson for this game. Jackson has a 2.45 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in 3 starts and will be facing a Giants offense that managed just 7 runs in their last series at home against the Cubs. Take Oakland! |
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07-13-18 | Nationals +118 v. Mets | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals + I like the value here with Washington as a decently priced road dog against the Mets. New York is getting a lot of love here with Noah Syndergaard on the mound, but he's making his first start off the DL. Syndergaard last started a game on 5/25. There's a good chance he struggles to shake off the rust in his first start back. Washington will counter with Tanner Roark, who has posted a solid 3.34 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 9 road starts. Of even more Importance is how well Roark has pitched against the Mets in his career. He's 7-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in 13 career starts. Nationals are 20-7 in their last 27 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games, while the Mets are just 6-20 in their last 26 home games. Take Washington! |
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07-13-18 | Blue Jays +200 v. Red Sox | 13-7 | Win | 200 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a massive road dog against the Red Sox. Boston comes in having won 10 straight, but I think we could see that win streak snapped here with today's pitching matchup. Toronto will send out Ryan Borucki, who has really thrown the ball well since being added to the rotation on 6/26. Borucki has a 2.25 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in 3 starts and has not allowed more than 2 runs in a single start and pitched at least 6 innings in all 3 outings. Boston will counter with Rick Porcello, who has been struggling a bit of late with a 4.34 ERA and 1.553 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Porcello also owns a less than impressive 4.81 ERA in 22 career starts against the Blue Jays. Take Toronto! |
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07-12-18 | Blue Jays +170 v. Red Sox | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Blue Jays I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a massive road dog against the Red Sox in Thursday's MLB action. Boston comes in having won 9 straight, which I feel has them way overvalued here. The Red Sox will send out David Price, who has really struggled in his last two starts. Price has allowed 12 runs on 15 hits (6 HRs) in just 8 innings of work. Something clearly isn't right with Price and I think there's a good chance those struggles continue here. Toronto will counter with J.A. Happ, who has saved his best for the road this season. Happ is 4-1 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.113 WHIP in 7 road starts. Happ is also an impressive 7-3 with a 3.11 ERA in 17 career starts against the Red Sox. That includes an earlier start against Boston this season, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits with 10 strikeouts in 7 innings of work. Take Toronto! |
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07-11-18 | Cardinals -135 v. White Sox | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Cards - I love the value here with the Cardinals laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the White Sox. St Louis stayed hot at the plate with 14 runs in yesterday's 14-2 win over Chicago and are now averaging 6.9 runs/game and hitting .303 as a team in their last 7. The White Sox on the other hand have dropped 6 in a row and are hitting a mere .218 as at team over their last 7. I expect another comfortable win for the Cardinals in this one. ST Louis will send out Luke Weaver, who is coming off one of his best outings of the season at San Francisco. Weaver allowed just 2 runs on 2 hits in 8 innings against the Giants. Chicago counters with Carlos Rodon, who is just 1-3 with a 4.29 ERA in 6 starts. Take St Louis! |
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07-10-18 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
5* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels at home against the Mariners in Tuesday's MLB action. Los Angeles will send out Garrett Richards, while Seattle counters with Mike Leake. Richards has posted a strong 3.31 ERA and 0.949 WHIP in 6 home starts and is 7-3 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Mariners. Leake has put up decent numbers of late, but still comes in with a 4.11 ERA in 18 starts. Leake is also coming off a poor outing at home against these Angels, where he allowed 4 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings of work. Seattle is a mere 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a winning record, while the Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 home games. LA is also 8-2 in Richard's last 10 starts against an opponent who scored 5 or more runs in their previous game and 4-1 in Richard's last 5 starts in Game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles! |
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07-10-18 | Blue Jays v. Braves -119 | 6-2 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves - I like the value here with Atlanta as a short home favorite against the Blue Jays in Tuesday's MLB action. The Braves are coming off a disappointing finish to their 10-game road trip, as they lost 5 of their last 6 to finish 5-5. I think that's definitely playing into the value we are getting here, as Atlanta has gone 23-17 at home and the Blue Jays are just 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Both starters have struggled a bit of late, but I have a lot less confidence in Toronto's Marcus Stroman, who is coming off an outing at home against a bad Mets offense, where he gave up 6 runs on 6 hits and 4 walks with just 2 strikeouts in 4 2/3 innings of work. Stroman is now just 1-6 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in 10 starts and has a 0-3 record in 5 road outings. Take Atlanta! |
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07-10-18 | Reds +220 v. Indians | 7-4 | Win | 220 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Reds
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-10-18 | Phillies v. Mets +110 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Mets
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-07-18 | Cardinals -115 v. Giants | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Cardinals I love the value here with St Louis as a short road favorite against the Giants in Saturday's MLB action. San Francisco snapped their 4-game losing streak on Friday, but the offense continued to struggle. The Giants scored just 3 runs in the win and have now score a whopping 8 runs over their last 5 games. I don't see San Francisco getting out of their funk in this one. St Louis will send out Carlos Martinez, who has allowed just 4 runs with 15 strikeouts over his last 2 starts (12 innings). Martinez has also owned the Giants with a 1.80 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in 3 career starts. On the flip side of this San Francisco will be starting Jeff Samardzija, who is making his first start since May 29th and was just 1-4 with a 6.56 ERA in 8 starts earlier this season. Take St Louis! |
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07-06-18 | Cardinals v. Giants -108 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants - I love the value here with San Francisco as a short home favorite against the Cardinals on Friday. The Giants are due for an offensive explosion after scoring just 5 runs in their last 4 games combined and I like their chances of getting hot here against St Louis starter John Gant, who is just 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA in 5 starts. On the flip side of this San Francisco will send out the red-hot Dereck Rodriguez, who has a 1.96 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The most recent coming at Arizona, where he held a good Diamondbacks offense to just 6 hits over 6 1/3 shutout innings. Rodriguez also owns a rock solid 2.50 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in 3 home starts (Giants won all 3 starts). Take San Francisco! |
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07-06-18 | Orioles v. Twins -117 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the value here with Minnesota as a short home favorite against the Orioles on Friday. Baltimore has really struggled to get anything going in 2018 and they come into this one in quite the slump. The Orioles have lost their last 3 and have just 1 win in their last 11 games. Even with a solid starter like Dylan Bundy going, I still think there's a big edge here for Minnesota. Keep in mind the Orioles are just 12-33 on the road this season. However, the bigger issue here for Baltimore is their offense. The Orioles are averaging just 3.6 runs/game and hitting 2.26 as a team on the season. They are only scoring 2.6 runs/game in their last 7, a stretch in which they have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 games. As bad as Lance Lynn has been in his last two starts, he should be able to keep this offense in check and does own a strong 2.70 ERA over 7 home starts. Take Minnesota! |
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07-04-18 | Mets +168 v. Blue Jays | 6-3 | Win | 168 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Mets + I like the value here with the Mets as a big road dog against the Blue Jays. New York has continued to struggle to win games and let one get away on Tuesday. The Mets led 6-1 and ended up losing 8-6. The positive in defeat was the offense has now scored 13 in their last 2 games. I think the offense can stay hot here. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who is making only his 3rd start since returning from the DL. Stroman has not fared well at home this season, as he's got a 6.85 ERA and 1.388 WHIP in 4 starts at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays bullpen is also taxed right now, as they had to use 7 relievers in yesterday's win. It's also worth noting that Toronto is just 5-15 in their last 20 after scoring 5 or more runs. Take New York! |
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07-04-18 | Padres +170 v. A's | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Padres I like the value here with the Padres as a massive road dog against the A's in Wednesday's MLB action. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with San Diego. The Padres will send out Luis Perdomo, who will be making his first start since the middle of April when he was sent down to Triple A. Perdomo went 6-2 with a strong 3.10 ERA in 11 starts in the minors and has earned himself another shot in the rotation. I think he makes the most of the opportunity and San Diego's offense does just enough here to get the win. Note the Padres have gone an impressive 6-2 in their last 8 during Game 2 of a series and the A's are a mere 1-6 in Sean Manaea's last 7 interleague starts. Take San Diego! |
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07-03-18 | Padres +130 v. A's | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Padres + I like the value here with the Padres as a decently priced road dog against the A's on Tuesday. Oakland had their 6-game winning streak snapped in a 15-3 loss to the Indians on Sunday and I look for them to struggle to get back in the win column, as it's never easy to rebound from a loss after a lengthy winning streak. San Diego will send out Clayton Richard, who has a strong 3.79 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Padres have won 5 of Richard's last 6 starts overall and are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Oakland will counter with Chris Bassett and the A's are just 1-5 in his last 6 home starts and 1-6 in his last 7 after he posted a Quality Start in his last outing. Oakland is also a mere 2-9 in their last 11 interleague home games vs a team with a losing record. Take San Diego! |
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07-03-18 | Astros -168 v. Rangers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Astros - I like the value here with Houston even as a big road favorite in Tuesday's series opener against the Rangers. The Astros are going to be chomping at the bit to take the field after losing the final 3 games of their 4-game series at Tampa Bay over the weekend. Texas has been playing better of late, but a lot of that has to do with a soft schedule. Their last 4 series have come against the Royals, Twins, Padres and White Sox. They haven't had much luck against these Astros. Houston has won 10 of the 14 meetings this season, including 7 of 8 at Texas and I see no reason why they won't continue to dominate the Rangers with Dallas Keuchel facing off against Austin Bibens-Dirkx. Take Houston! |
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07-03-18 | White Sox v. Reds -182 | 12-8 | Loss | -182 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Reds - The Reds come into this game having won 3 straight and are 12-3 over their last 15 overall. The White Sox on the other hand have lost 4 of 5, including yesterday's 5-3 loss in the series opener. I got no problem laying the big juice here with Cincinnati on the money line at home in the second game of the series, as I look for the Reds to win this one going away. Chicago's not a great offensive team and I look for them to struggle to get much going here against Reds' starter Anthony Desclafani, who has a strong 3.93 ERA and sensational 0.927 WHIP in his last 3 starts. On the flip side of this, the Reds are lighting it up offensively and should continue to do so against White Sox starter Lucas Giolito, who has an ugly 6.59 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in 16 starts this season. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-03-18 | Braves +175 v. Yankees | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a massive road dog against the Yankees in Tuesday's MLB action. The Braves followed up their 3-game sweep at St Louis by taking the series opener 5-3 over New York on Monday. Atlanta has the best record in the National League and a shot to be the first NL team to reach 50 wins. This is simply too much value to pass up on with one of the best teams in the game, especially when you factor in the starting pitching matchup. Atlanta will send out Sean Newcomb, who is 8-2 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 16 starts. He's also 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 9 road starts and owns a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Yankees will counter with Domingo German, who has a 5.88 ERA in 9 starts and 5.62 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Atlanta! |
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07-02-18 | Cardinals +142 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 142 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Cardinals + I like the value here with St Louis as a big road dog against the Diamondbacks. The Cardinals come in having lost 4 straight, but Arizona isn't playing much better as they were just swept at home by the Giants over the weekend. I just don't see that big of an edge on the mound here for Arizona that they should be favored by this much. The Diamondbacks will send out Robbie Ray, who has a 6.55 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in 2 home starts. St Louis will counter with Carlos Martinez, who is coming off a great start against Cleveland in his last outing, allowing just 2 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings of a 11-2 win. Arizona is just 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a winning road record and Ray is a mere 3-10 in his last 13 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Take St Louis! |
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07-02-18 | Red Sox +165 v. Nationals | 4-3 | Win | 165 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Red Sox + I like the value here with Boston as a big road dog in Monday's series opener against the Nationals. Washington is getting way too much respect here with Max Scherzer on the mound, especially given that today's conditions really favor the offense with the heat index expected to be north of 100. On top of that, the Red Sox have a pretty good starter of their own on the mound in Rick Porcello, who appears to have returned to his Cy Young form from a couple seasons ago. Porcello is 9-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.133 WHIP in 17 starts and has gone 5-1 with a 3.42 ERA in 9 road starts. He's also facing a Nationals lineup that has been slumping. Washington has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. Take Boston! |
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07-01-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -176 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational Money Line SMASH on Yankees I'm backing the Yankees at home in Sunday's series finale against rival Boston. New York is going to come out pissed off and looking to make a statement after betting embarrassed 11-0 in Saturday's matchup. Good news for New York is they have one of the best starters in the game on the mound in Luis Severino, who is 12-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 17 starts. Severino is also 7-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.898 WHIP in 9 home starts (9-0 team record). Boston will turn to David Price, who has been pitching well, but owns a 3.69 ERA in 9 road starts and allowed 4 runs in just 1 inning of work in his only start against the Yankees this season. Take New York! |
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06-29-18 | White Sox +134 v. Rangers | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on White Sox + I like the value here with the White Sox as a decently priced road dog against the Rangers in Friday's MLB action. Chicago has won 4 of 6 and will have a massive edge on the mound in this one. The White Sox will send out Dylan Covey, who is 3-2 with a 2.84 ERA in 8 starts. Covey has also been really strong on the road, where he has a 2.95 ERA in 4 starts. Texas on the other hand will send out Yovani Gallardo, who has give up 9 runs on 12 hits and 5 walks in his first two starts of 2018 (10 1/3 innings). Look for the White Sox to put up a big number here and coast to a win behind another strong performance from Covey. Take Chicago! |
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06-29-18 | Brewers v. Reds +102 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds I like the value here with Cincinnati at basically a pick'em at home against the Brewers on Friday. The Reds lost the opener on Thursday 6-4 to Milwaukee, but are still a strong 9-2 over their last 11 games. I like their chances of bouncing back here behind the red-hot Sal Romano, who has a 2.70 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not only do I like Romano to pitch well, but I think we could see the Reds offense go off. Cincinnati's offense has been on point during their hot streak and Milwaukee starter Chase Anderson has given up 7 runs on 7 hits (3 HRs) and 6 walks in his last 10 1/3 innings of work. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-27-18 | Padres +128 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres I love the value here with San Diego as a decently priced road dog against the Rangers on Wednesday. The Padres snapped a 3-game skid with a 3-2 win over Texas last night and are in a great spot to add to that with the surging Clayton Richard on the mound. Richard is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts. All of which have come on the road. Texas will counter with Mike Minor, who has been hit or miss all season. Minor has a 5.06 ERA in 14 starts and a 3.94 ERA at home. Texas is just 2-6 in their last 8 off a loss, while the Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 during Game 3 of a series and 5-0 in Richard's last 5 starts. Take San Diego! |
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06-27-18 | Blue Jays +195 v. Astros | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Toronto + I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a massive road dog against the Astros on Wednesday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with how well Toronto starter Marco Estrada has been throwing the rock. Estrada has a 1.83 ERA and 0.763 WHIP over his last 3 starts. During this stretch Estrada's allowed just 4 runs on 10 hits with 20 strikeouts in 19 2/3 innings of work. Houston will counter with Dallas Keuchel, who comes in with a 2.76 ERA in his last 3 starts, but that's a bit misleading as he has an awful 1.715 WHIP during this stretch. It's pure luck that Keuchel has allowed only 5 earned runs on 25 hits in his last 16 1/3 innings of work. Keuchel is also just 1-4 with a 4.33 ERA in 7 home starts this season. Take Toronto! |
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06-26-18 | Angels +181 v. Red Sox | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued Underdog on Angels + I like the value here with the Angels as a massive road dog against the Red Sox on Tuesday. The price here is simply too good to pass up, as LA has a more than decent shot at winning this game. Boston will send out David Price, who is a respectable 8-5 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.214 WHIP, but most of that success has come on the road. Price is just 3-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.307 WHIP in 6 home starts. Angels will counter with lefty John Lamb, who has been up and down in his first two starts. I think Lamb has a decent shot of keeping Boston's potent lineup in check, as the Red Sox are hitting a mere .256 vs left-handed starters this season. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-26-18 | Pirates +116 v. Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a short road dog against the Mets on Tuesday. The Pirates snapped their 5-game losing streak in a 6-4 win over New York on Monday. Pittsburgh's finally got their offense going after managing just 9 runs in their previous 6 games and it came after some tweaks to the top of the lineup. I look for the Pirates to carry over that momentum an add to the struggles of the Mets, who have lost 7 straight. Pittsburgh will send out Chad Kuhl, who is coming off a horrible outing at home against the Diamondbacks, but I like him to bounce back. Prior to that, Kuhl had strung together 5 straight starts in which he'd allowed 3 or fewer runs. Pirates are also a perfect 4-0 in Kuhl's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. Mets on the other hand are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs a right-handed starter, 6-20 in their last 26 following a loss and 1-10 in their last 11 vs teams from the NL Central. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-25-18 | Padres +148 v. Rangers | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
5* Interleague Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres + I love the value here with San Diego as a big road dog against the Rangers in Monday's MLB action. The Padres have been struggling of late, but this is a great spot for them to get things turned around. Texas had won 7 straight before losing 0-2 on Sunday at Minnesota. It's never easy bouncing back from a loss after a long winning streak, especially when you don't score a single run and manage just 3 hits. I look for Padres' starter Joey Lucchesi to keep the Rangers offense in check, Lucchesi has a strong 3.94 ERA on the road and should get some help from the offense. Texas will turn to Cole Hamels, who is a mere 1-5 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.341 WHIP in 7 home starts (1-6 team record). Rangers are also just 8-20 in their last 28 games played on Monday, 7-21 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series and 1-6 in their last 7 following a loss. Take San Diego! |
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06-25-18 | A's +107 v. Tigers | 5-4 | Win | 107 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
3* MLB Afternoon Money Line SMASH on Oakland I like the value here with Oakland at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. I know the A's are calling up Edwin Jackson for a spot start, but the veteran has had more than his fair share of success at the big league level and it shouldn't surprise anyone if he throws well here. He put up a respectable 3.40 ERA in 10 starts for Syracuse at the minor league level. There's also a good chance the A's offense bails him out. Oakland is seeing the ball well at the plate as a team right now. They come in averaging 6.7 runs over their last 7 games. Detroit's Jordan Zimmermann has an impressive 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts, but wasn't sharp in his last outing, giving up 4 runs in just 5 innings at the White Sox. Take Oakland! |
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06-24-18 | Diamondbacks +102 v. Pirates | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Arizona I like the value here with the Diamondbacks at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pirates. Arizona is playing extremely well at the moment. They have won 3 straight and are 17-7 in their last 24. Pittsburgh has lost 4 straight and have gone 5 straight games where they have scored 3 or fewer runs. I don't see the Pirates offense coming to life in this one. The Diamondbacks will send out Clay Buchholz, who has a 2.14 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 6 starts since joining the rotation. Take Arizona! |
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06-23-18 | Cardinals -105 v. Brewers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE (Cardinals -105) I like the value here with St Louis at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pirates. The Cardinals will send out one of the best stories of 2018 in Miles Mikolas, who is 7-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 14 starts. Milwaukee will counter with Chase Anderson, who is just 5-6 with a 4.54 ERA in 14 starts. Anderson has not been good at home, where he's got a 5.70 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 8 outings. He also wasn't good at all in his lone start against the Cardinals this season, giving up 4 runs on 8 hits (3 HRs) in just 4 innings of work. Take St Louis! |
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06-22-18 | Marlins +215 v. Rockies | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Marlins
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.
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06-22-18 | Cubs v. Reds +145 | 3-6 | Win | 145 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Reds
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.
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06-22-18 | Dodgers v. Mets +145 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Mets
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.
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06-22-18 | Diamondbacks -114 v. Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Diamondbacks - I like the value here with Arizona as a short road favorite against the Pirates on Friday. The Diamondbacks will have Pat Corbin on the mound, who is 6-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 15 starts. Corbin is also 2-0 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 6 road starts. Pittsburgh will counter here with Ivan Nova, who is just 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 13 starts. Nova is also 1-3 with a 3.48 ERA in 5 road starts and owns a 4.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Take Arizona! |
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06-20-18 | Mets v. Rockies -102 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockies I like the value here with Colorado at basically a pick'em at home against the Mets. The Rockies snapped their 8-game home losing streak with a 10-8 win on Tuesday and I see no reason why they won't build on that with another win at home tonight. The Mets will send out Seth Lugo, who has a strong 3.00 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 3 starts since joining the rotation on 5/31. However, Lugo is coming off a miserable start at Arizona, which was the only one of the 3 on the road. Lugo allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in 5 innings. Now he has to make his first ever start at Coors Field, which is arguably the toughest place to pitch in the majors. Whether or not the Rockies get a strong outing from starter Chad Bettis, the offense should put up a big enough number here to secure the victory. Take Colorado! |
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06-19-18 | Mariners v. Yankees -161 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
5* MLB No Limit GAME OF MONTH on Yankees - I love the value here with New York at home against the Mariners on Tuesday. This might seem like a big price to lay with the Yankees, but they come into this contest with a 26-11 record at home and a 11-3 record in their last 14 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. They have also gone 16-5 this season when facing a left-handed starter and Seattle will send out lefty Marco Gonzales for this one. New York will counter with Domingo German, who has pitched much better than his 5.77 ERA would suggest. That's evident by German's 1.179 WHIP in his 7 starts. He's also got an impressive 19 strikeouts in his last 12 innings of work. Take New York! |
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06-18-18 | Cardinals v. Phillies -101 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Phillies - I like the value here with the Phillies at basically a pick'em at home against the Cardinals. I think this is a tough spot for St Louis on the road after playing last night against rival Chicago on Sunday Night Baseball. Even with the win the Cardinals have dropped 4 of 5. Philadelphia just took 2 of 3 at Milwaukee and have won each of their last 2 series. I look for them to stay hot at home, where they are 22-12 on the season. Phillies' starter Nick Pivetta has a 3.13 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 8 home starts. They are 5-1 in his last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning, while the Cardinals are 9-19 in their last 28 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-17-18 | Angels -110 v. A's | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels as a short road favorite against the A's on Sunday. Oakland was able to snap their 4-game losing streak with a 6-4 win on Saturday, but I look for them to go right back to their losing ways with the struggling Daniel Mengden on the mound. Mengden is 6-6 with a 3.90 ERA in 14 starts, but comes into this contest with an awful 8.10 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 outings he's given up 12 runs on 13 hits (6 HRs) and 7 walks over just 8 2/3 innings of work. LA will counter with Andrew Heaney, who has a solid 3.68 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 11 starts and is just 2 outings removed from throwing a complete game shutout. Heaney also owns a 3.79 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 3 starts against Oakland and Mengden is 0-2 with a 13.49 ERA in 2 starts vs the Angels. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-16-18 | Rockies v. Rangers +107 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 107 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Rangers I love the value here with Texas at basically a pick'em at home against the Rockies in Saturday's interleague action. Colorado is getting way too much respect on the road with Kyle Freeland on the mound. Freeland has an ugly 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 4.15 ERA and 1.238 WHIP in 8 road starts this season. Rangers have hit left-handed starting well, as they are averaging 4.5 runs/game when facing a southpaw. I don't see Freeland going deep in this game and that's important to note, given the Rockies' bullpen owns a 5.28 ERA and 1.432 WHIP. The Rangers will counter with Mike Minor, who has pitched much better at home than his 4.17 ERA would suggest. Minor owns a 1.171 WHIP in 7 home starts. Colorado is not the same team offensively on the road as they are at home. Rockies come in hitting just .224 as a team in away games this season. Take Texas! |
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06-16-18 | Astros v. Royals +200 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a massive home dog against the Astros on Saturday. The betting public is going to want absolutely nothing to do with the Royals in this one. KC is one of the worst teams in the league and Houston has won 9 straight. The reason the price here is too good to pass up, is Astros starter Dallas Keuchel hasn't been that good. Keuchel is 3-8 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 14 starts. He's been really bad of late, giving up 17 runs on 27 hits in his last 3 starts (16 innings). KC will counter with Danny Duffy, who has been much better of late after a poor start. Duffy allowed just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings in his last start and has allowed 1 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 starts overall. Take Kansas City! |
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06-15-18 | Rockies v. Rangers +104 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas at basically a pick'em at home against the slumping Rockies. Colorado is just 3-10 in their last 13. The Rangers have lost their last 6 games, but 4 of those came against the Astros and the other 2 were on the road against the Dodgers. Two of the best teams in the league. I think we see Texas snap that losing streak here. Colorado will start Chad Bettis, who has not been throwing it well. Bettis has given up exactly 5 runs in each of his last 3 starts, a stretch in which he's posted an awful 8.62 ERA and 1.532 WHIP. Rookies are also just 17-38 in their last 55 interleague road games and 5-16 in their last 21 interleague road games vs a left-handed starter. The Rangers on the other hand are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague home games. Take Texas! |
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06-14-18 | Padres +130 v. Braves | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Padres + I like the value here with the Padres as a big road dog against the Braves on Thursday. San Diego has been playing well. The Padres just took 2 of 3 against the Cardinals and have now won each of their last 5 series. That includes a recent series at home against the Braves, where they took 2 of 3. San Diego will send out Tyson Ross for this one, who is a respectable 5-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in 13 starts. Ross hasn't faced Atlanta since 2015, but is 9-3 in his last 12 starts against a team who strikes out 7 or more times a game (Braves avg. 7.8). It's also worth noting the Padres are a perfect 6-0 when they are listed as an underdog with Ross on the mound this season. Take San Diego! |
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06-13-18 | Reds v. Royals +115 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the Reds on Wednesday. The Royals will be motivated to salvage a split in this short 2-game series after dropping the opener 5-1 in extra innings on Tuesday. I like their chances of doing just that with a red-hot Jason Hammel on the mound. Hammel has a 2.59 ERA over his last 4 starts. A stretch that has seen him lower his ERA from 6.28 to 5.12. I also think we are going to see the Royals offense come to life in this one, as the Reds send out Tyler Mahle, who is just 4-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 13 starts. Take Kansas City! |
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06-13-18 | Twins -145 v. Tigers | 2-5 | Loss | -145 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the value here with the Twins as a decently priced road favorite against the Tigers on Wednesday. Minnesota won the series opener 6-4 on Wednesday and have now won back-to-back games. Detroit has lost 7 of their last 10 and now will have to play the rest of the season without veteran first baseman Miguel Cabrera. I just don't think the Tigers have enough offensive fire-power to pull out a win here against Twins' ace Jose Berrios, who is 7-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 0.920 WHIP over 13 starts. Berrios was sensational in his only start so far this season against Detroit, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits in 8 innings. Matt Boyd will start for the Tigers and he's having a great season, but owns a mere 4.01 ERA in 12 career starts against the Twins and Detroit is an awful 1-11 in Boyd's last 12 starts against division opponents. Take Minnesota! |
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06-13-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -135 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -135 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Phillies - I like the value here with the Phillies at home against the Rockies on Wednesday. Philadelphia won the series opener 5-4 on Tuesday and are now 21-11 at Citizens Bank Park this season. While the Phillies are starting to heat up, Colorado comes in having lost 5 straight and are just 2-9 in their last 11 overall. Philadelphia will turn to Nick Pivetta for game two and he's been outstanding at home. Pivetta has a 2.20 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 7 home starts. Colorado on the other hand will send out Tyler Anderson, who has a mere 4.81 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 13 starts this season and comes in with a 5.00 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-12-18 | Twins -105 v. Tigers | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Twins - I like the value here with Minnesota at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. Detroit has started out better than most expected, but this is not a good team and will likely keep regressing as the season wears on. The Tigers come in having lost 6 of their last 9. Minnesota is the exact opposite, as the Twins have underperformed early in 2018. I like Minnesota's chances in this one with Jake Odorizzi on the mound against converted reliever Blaine Hardy, who just gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in his last start at Boston. Hardy lasted just 5 innings in a 2-4 loss to the Twins back on 5/21 and Odorizzi has a 2.28 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Tigers. Take Minnesota! |
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06-12-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +170 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Orioles + I like the value here with Baltimore as a massive home dog against the Red Sox on Tuesday. The Orioles had their chances against Boston in the series opener, but ended up losing 2-0 in extra innings. Baltimore has now dropped 5 straight and I think we are getting a great price here because of it. I think they have an excellent shot at snapping their losing streak with David Hess on the mound. The rookie has been throwing the ball extremely well since joining the rotation. He's got a 3.07 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 5 starts and a 0.93 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Boston's offense is one of the best in the game, but they are in a major funk right now. The Red Sox have scored just 8 runs in their last 5 games, scoring 2 or fewer in 4 of the 5 contests. Look for Hess to keep them in check, while the offense provides enough run-support for the victory. Take Baltimore! |
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06-11-18 | Giants v. Marlins +161 | 5-7 | Win | 161 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG Marlins + I like the value here with Miami as a massive home dog against the Giants on Monday. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with the Marlins. San Francisco will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but this is only his second start of 2018, as he missed the first two months recovering from a broken pinky finger on his pitching hand. Bumgarner pitched well in his first start back, but did give up 8 hits in 6 innings and only struck out 3. What is getting overlooked in this matchup is how well Miami starter Wei-Yin Chen has been when he takes the mound at Marlins Park. Chen has a 1.06 ERA and 1.001 WHIP in 3 home starts and is catching the Giants at a great time, as this is a big letdown series after taking 2 of 3 agains the Nationals, including yesterday's 2-0 win against Washington ace Max Scherzer. Take Miami! |
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06-11-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +112 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles + I love the value here with Baltimore as a home dog against the Red Sox on Monday. This is a huge game for the Orioles, who were just swept in a 4-game series at Toronto over the weekend, including an embarrassing 13-3 loss on Sunday. The good news for Baltimore is they are catching the Red Sox at an ideal time. Mookie Betts isn't quite ready to return from the DL and the offense isn't quite the same without him in it. Boston comes in having lost 3 of 4 against the Tigers and White Sox. Orioles starter Dylan Bundy is hot at the moment, as he's got a 2.45 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has pitched effectively in his 2 outings against Boston this season. Red Sox will counter with Steven Wright, who pitched well in his first start of 2018, but owns an ugly 7.17 ERA in 4 career starts against the Orioles. Take Baltimore! |
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06-10-18 | Braves v. Dodgers -148 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Dodgers - I like the value here with the Dodgers at home against the Braves on Sunday. LA ended up on the short end of a 5-3 loss on Saturday, but are still a red-hot 6-2 in their last 8 games. The 3 runs scored on Saturday was the low-point offensively during this impressive run, as the Dodgers had scored 5 or more in each of their previous 7 games, a stretch in which they have averaged 7.7 runs/game. I look for LA to stay hot at the plate and come away with a win here behind another strong effort from starter Ross Stripling, who is 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.079 WHIP in 7 starts. It's also worth noting that Stripling is 2-0 at home with a 1.42 ERA and 3-0 with a 0.48 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-09-18 | Angels -107 v. Twins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
5* AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels - I love the value here with the Angels at basically a pick'em on the road against the Twins. LA is on a roll right now, as they have won 5 straight. They won 4-2 over Minnesota on Friday and the Twins have now lost 3 of 4. I'll gladly take my chances with the team playing the better baseball at this price, especially with the starting pitching matchup we have going. LA will send out Tyler Skaggs, who is just 4-4 with a 3.27 ERA in 12 starts, but it's all about pitching away from home for Skaggs. He's 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in 6 road starts. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson, who is 1-3 with a 3.54 ERA in 12 starts. Gibson would also rather be on the road, as he's 0-2 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in 6 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-09-18 | Cardinals v. Reds +108 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Reds + I like the value here with the Reds as a home dog against division rival St Louis on Saturday. Cincinnati is just 1-5 in their last 6 games, but a lot of that has been a result of poor pitching. The Reds are hitting .298 with a .369 OBP over their last 7 games. They have recorded 10 or more hits in 5 straight games. I know the history isn't great for Cincinnati against Cardinals' starter Michael Wacha, but I think they are poised to break through against him. Keep in mind Wacha isn't nearly as effective on the road as he is at home. Wacha has a 1.85 ERA in 8 home starts and a mere 3.63 ERA in 4 road starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-09-18 | Pirates +170 v. Cubs | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive road dog against the Cubs on Saturday. This line is simply inflated to the point, where it's just too much value to pass up on with the Pirates. Pittsburgh has been struggling of late, but are starting to heat up at the plate with 28 hits over their last 3 games. I know the Cubs will have Jon Lester on the mound, but they have actually hit him pretty well the two times they have faced him this season. Pittsburgh has scored 8 runs on 15 hits in 11 innings against Lester this season. Look for the Pirates offense to be the difference in this one. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-08-18 | Astros v. Rangers +186 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas as a massive home dog against the Astros on Friday. Houston will have Justin Verlander on the mound and while the Astros should be favored given the starting pitching matchup, the price here on the Rangers is simply too good to pass up. Texas will counter Verlander with veteran Doug Fister, who is coming off back-to-back strong outings on the road against the Mariners and Angels. Fister held Seattle to just 2 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings and allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 6 innings against the Angels. I like his chances of keeping it going and getting just enough run-support to pull out the victory. Take Texas! |
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06-08-18 | Yankees v. Mets +104 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Mets + I like the value here with the Mets at basically a pick'em at home against the Yankees on Friday. The Yankees are clearly the better of the two teams, but any time you have a rivalry like this, you can throw the records out the window. It certainly doesn't hurt that the Mets will send out Jacob deGrom, who has been putting up Cy Young like numbers to start the season. deGrom is 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 12 starts and comes in with a 0.86 ERA over his last 3 outings. Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka, who hasn't quite pitched as good as his 7-2 record would lead you to believe. Tanaka has a mere 4.88 ERA in his 11 starts this season, including an ugly 5.13 ERA in 6 road starts. I know the Mets offense has been slumping of late, but I like their chances of breaking out and doing just enough here to get a win behind a strong outing from deGrom. Take the Mets! |
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06-07-18 | Dodgers +130 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line MASSACRE on Dodgers + I like the value here with the Dodgers as a decently priced road dog against the Pirates on Thursday. Most will hesitate to back Los Angeles with Dennis Santana taking the mound for his first big league start, especially after how bad it went for Caleb Ferguson in his MLB debut yesterday. Unlike Ferguson, Santana has already got his feet wet, as he came on in relief last Friday. While Pittsburgh scored 11 runs in yesterday's win, they had been shutout in their previous two games and it wouldn't come as a surprise if they struggled to get going in this one. As for the Dodgers' offense, they continued their recent onslaught with 9 more runs on Wednesday. LA has now scored 47 runs in their last 5 games. They'll be up against Jameson Taillon, who despite a couple strong outings, is still just 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 12 starts. Taillon also owns an ugly 9.00 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-06-18 | White Sox v. Twins -162 | 5-2 | Loss | -162 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the price here with Minnesota at home against the White Sox. There's really not a bad time to fade Chicago on the road. The White Sox are a mere 9-20 away from home this season, where they are getting outscored by an average of 1.6 runs/game. The Twins lost Game 2 of yesterday's double-header, but are 4-1 in their last 5 and will have a big edge on the mound in this on. Minnesota will send out Jake Odorizzi against Hector Santiago of the White Sox. Odorizzi owns a solid 3.29 ERA in 5 home starts and a respectable 3.86 ERA in 4 career outings against Chicago. Santiago on the other hand has a 6.59 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in 6 starts this season and a 6.54 ERA and 1.863 WHIP in 7 career starts against the Twins. Take Minnesota! |
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06-06-18 | Mariners v. Astros -182 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Astro’s - I got no problem laying the big juice with the Astros at home against the Mariners on Wednesday. Houston will be all business when they take the field in this one, as they aren't a team that takes kindly to losing and have dropped their last 3. They have just the guy on the mound to get them out of their funk, as they will send out Lance McCullers, who is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. McCullers is also 7-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Mariners. Take Houston! |
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06-06-18 | Phillies +123 v. Cubs | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Phillies + I like the value here with the Phillies as a short road dog against the Cubs on Wednesday. Philadelphia bounced back in a big way after getting swept in a 3-game series at San Fransisco over the weekend with a 6-1 win in their series opener against the Cubs on Tuesday. The win snapped Chicago's 4-game winning streak and I think the pitching matchup sets up well for another Phillies win. Philadelphia will send out Aaron Nola, who is 7-2 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in 12 starts. Chicago will counter with Jose Quintana, who has been a major disappointment so far. Quintana was expected to pitch like an ace, but instead has a 4.30 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also been miserable at Wrigley Field, posting a 6.66 ERA and 1.644 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-06-18 | Yankees -127 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Yankees - I like the value here with New York as a short road favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. The Yankees won the series opener 7-2 on Tuesday, as they continue to dominate the opposition. Playing on the road hasn't been a problem for New York. The Yankees are 17-9 away from home and have started out their current 9-game road trip by winning 4 of 5. The 7 runs scored on Tuesday was the third time in the last 4 games that New York has scored 7 or more runs and I like their chances of laying another big number on Toronto in this one. The Yankees will counter with Sonny Gray, who is starting to heat up. Gray has a mere 5.50 ERA in 11 starts, but owns a 3.57 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's given up just 2 runs on 8 hits in 14 innings of work. Take New York! |
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06-06-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB Afternoon Money Line NO-BRAINER on Giants - I like the value here with San Francisco as a short home favorite against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. The Giants came up short in a 2-3 loss on Tuesday, but had won their previous 5 games and I look for them to get right back to their winning ways in this one. It's been a great first 3 starts for Arizona starter Clay Buchholz, but those 3 outings have come against the likes of the Mets, A's and Marlins. While the Giants aren't a great offensive team, they are red-hot at the plate right now. San Francisco is averaging 5 runs/game and hitting .295 as a team over their last 7. They also average 5 runs/game and are hitting .275 as a team at home this season. Giants will send out Chris Stratton and they have won each of his last 3 starts and 5 of his 6 starts at home this season. Stratton also owns a strong 2.63 ERA in 4 career starts against Arizona. Take San Francisco! |
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06-05-18 | Marlins +200 v. Cardinals | 7-4 | Win | 200 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Marlins + I think the value here is too good to pass up with Miami as a massive road dog against the Cardinals. St Louis will be sending out one of their better starters in Carlos Martinez, but he hasn't pitched in 4 weeks, as he will make his first start off the DL. More times than not, guys who haven't pitched in this long have to shake off some rust and aren't in top form that first start back. Not only do I think Miami can put up some runs, but I also like who they have on the mound. Jose Urena has been much better than the 0-7 record and 4.41 ERA he has through 12 starts. That's evident by Urena's solid 1.168 WHIP. He was sharp in his most recent outing, giving up just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings and has given Miami 6 solid innings in each of his last 4 starts. He'll face a St Louis offense that has managed just 15 hits in their last 5 games. Take Miami! |
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06-05-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +155 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Toronto + I like the value here with Toronto as a big home dog against the Yankees on Tuesday. The Blue Jays snapped their 5-game losing streak on Sunday with a 8-4 win against the Tigers to conclude a 9-game road trip. Toronto not only will be riding some momentum off that win, but they also got a breather with an off day on Monday. New York on the other hand had to play a make-up doubleheader at Detroit on Monday. While they didn't play Sunday due to a rain out against the Orioles, they have had to travel from Baltimore to Detroit to Toronto in the last 3 days. I think that's a big edge here for the Blue Jays, who should be able to keep their offense going against the struggling C.C. Sabathia, who has a 7.54 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a mere 4.64 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Take Toronto! |
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06-04-18 | Braves v. Padres -110 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres - I like the value here with the Padres as a short home favorite against the Braves on Monday. Atlanta just took 3 of 4 at home against the Nationals after taking the series finale 4-2 on Sunday. They are certainly going to be feeling good about themselves after that big series against Washington and I could see them coming out flat here against the Padres after having to travel clear across the country for this one. San Diego is also playing some of their best baseball of the season right now. The Padres just took 2 of 3 against the Reds and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. A big reason for their success has been their offense coming to life. Padres are averaging 5.4 runs/game over their last 7 and I like their chances of staying hot here against struggling Braves starter Julio Teheran, who is 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Diego! |
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06-03-18 | Marlins +120 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Marlins + I love the value here with the Marlins as an underdog on the road here against the Diamondbacks. Miami is the worst team, but have a big time edge on the mound in this one. The Marlins will send out Daniel Straily, who has a 2.78 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 4 road starts and a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Arizona will counter with Matt Koch, who has a 5.19 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in 6 home starts and a ugly 8.59 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Miami! |
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06-03-18 | Rangers v. Angels -170 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational DESTROYER on a Angels I like the value here with the Angles even at this big price at home against the Rangers on Sunday. LA will send out Tyler Skaggs, who has a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.284 WHIP in 11 starts. Texas will counter with Doug Fister, who is a mere 1-5 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in 10 starts. Rangers won on Saturday, but are just 7-19 in their last 26 following a win. They are also 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs a left-handed starter and 1-4 in Fister's last 5 road starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-03-18 | Dodgers -130 v. Rockies | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers - I like the value here with the Dodgers as a short road favorite against division rival Colorado on Sunday. LA's offense has enjoyed the thin air at Coors Field. They scored 11 runs on Friday and 12 more on Saturday. I look for them to stay hot in this one against Rockies starter Chad Bettis, who has a 5.29 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 7.06 ERA and 1.661 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-03-18 | Brewers -145 v. White Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Brewers - I like the value here with Milwaukee at this price on the road agains the White Sox on Sunday. On paper it might look like Chicago has the edge on the mound in this one, but the Brewers are clicking offensively right now. Milwaukee is scoring 6.4 runs/game and hitting .288 as a team over their last 7 games. The Brewers are also 14-3 in their last 17 against bad teams who have won less than 40% of their games and are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-03-18 | Nationals v. Braves +110 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a short home dog against the Nationals on Sunday. Washington is getting way too much respect here on the road. The Braves have taken 2 of the first 3 in the series and will send out Animal Sanchez, who is 9-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Nationals. Washington will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who has pitched well in 2018 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 8 starts, but the Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record on their home field. Take Atlanta! |
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06-02-18 | Nationals -127 v. Braves | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
5* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Nationals - I love the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Braves on Saturday. The Nationals will be all business here after losing the first 2 games of the series and they definitely have the edge on the mound to win this one going away. Washington will send out Gio Gonzalez, who is 6-2 with a 1.97 ERA in 10 starts. He's also got a 2.10 ERA in 5 road outings and 2-0 with a 1.31 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in his last 3 home starts. Atlanta will counter with Brandon McCarthy, who has an ugly 5.02 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in 11 starts and has a 6.04 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Washington! |
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06-02-18 | A's -145 v. Royals | 4-5 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Oakland - I like the value here with the A's on the road against the Royals Saturday. Oakland laid it on KC Friday in a 16-0 win and have now scored 23 runs on 24 hits in their last 2 games. They should have no problem staying hot here against Jason Hammel of the Royals. Hammel is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also 0-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 4 home starts. A's will counter with Trevor Cahill, who has been a big addition to their rotation in 2018. Cahill has a 2.25 ERA and 0.886 WHIP in 7 starts and a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 overall. Take Oakland! |
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06-01-18 | Rangers +155 v. Angels | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas as a massive road dog against the Angels on Friday. While the Rangers lost the series finale yesterday at Seattle, they split their 4-games against a red-hot Mariners squad. Texas has won 6 of their last 9 overall and are simply not getting enough respect in this one. The Angels lost 6-2 at Detroit yesterday and have now dropped 4 of their last 5. A big reason for the slump is the lack of production offensively. That's now 4 out of 5 games where LA has failed to score more than 3 runs. I look for them to continue to struggle here against veteran Bartolo Colon, who is still dealing at 45. Colon has a 3.70 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 9 starts. He's also been at his best away from home, as he owns a 1.59 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in 4 road starts. Take Texas! |
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06-01-18 | A's v. Royals +119 | 16-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the A's. The Royals took the final two games at home against the Twins in their previous series and are a solid 6-3 in their last 9 overall. I look for them to stay hot here at home. Oakland is also simply a team that shouldn't be favored on the road, especially when they don't have a decisive edge on the mound. While the A's won 7-3 against Tampa yesterday, runs have been hard to come by. That was the first time in their last 10 games that they scored more than 4 runs and have scored 2 or fewer 6 times during this stretch. There's also an edge here for the KC in terms of rest. The Royals got the day off yesterday, while the A's had to play. Oakland is also going on the road for the first time since they ended a series in Toronto back on 5/20. Take Kansas City! |
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06-01-18 | Nationals v. Braves +130 | 0-4 | Win | 130 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against division rival Washington on Friday. The Braves cooled off the Nationals' bats and snapped their 6-game winning streak with a 4-2 win in the series opener on Thursday. Washington only managed to rack up 5 hits in the loss and I look for Atlanta starter Mike Foltynewicz to do the same. Foltynewicz has been a big surprise early on. While he's just 4-3, he owns a strong 2.55 ERA. He's also been trending up, as he's got a 1.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I know the Nationals have been great on the road and will send out Strasburg, but the Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 6-1 in their last vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Atlanta! |
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05-31-18 | Rays +138 v. A's | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Rays + I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a decently priced road dog against the A's on Thursday. The Rays come in having won 5 straight and have done it with an unconventional approach with their pitching. Whatever they are doing is working right now, as Tampa has only allowed 7 runs during their 5 game win streak. Today they will send out Ryan Stanek who started this past Saturday against the Orioles. Stanek didn't allow a hit or a walk in 1 2/3 shutout innings, but was pulled after that. I expect another short outing here with the bullpen finishing this thing out. It's also worth noting that while the Rays are surging, Oakland has lost 3 straight and have gone ice-cold at the plate. The A's have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games, getting shutout on 3 separate occasions. When you can't score runs it's extremely hard to win games and that's why I think Oakland is way over-priced here even with a quality starter like Daniel Mengden on the mound. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-30-18 | Mets +165 v. Braves | 4-1 | Win | 165 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Mets + I really like the value here with New York as a big road dog against division rival Atlanta on Wednesday. The Mets stayed hot at the plate in yesterday's 6-7 defeat to the Braves and have now scored 30 runs in their last 5 games, scoring 6 or more in 4 of the 5. I'll take my chances with the Mets hot offense against the struggling Julio Teheran of Atlanta. Teheran has a mere 4.20 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 11 starts overall, a 5.54 ERA in 5 home starts an a ugly 6.88 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take New York! |
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05-29-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog HEAVY HITTER on Pirates + I like the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against the Cubs on Tuesday. Big bounce back game for Pittsburgh, after getting embarrassed in the series opener on Monday 7-0. Even with the win the Cubs are still just 2-6 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and they are 2-5 in their last 7 following a win. Chicago will have veteran Jon Lester on the mound, who has been throwing it well, but the Cubs are just 1-5 in Lester's last 6 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Pirates will counter with Nick Kingham, who has a 2.08 ERA and 0.538 WHIP in his two home starts and I look for him to keep this inconsistent Cubs offense in check. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-29-18 | Astros v. Yankees +110 | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Yankees + I like the value here with the Yankees as a home dog against the Astros on Tuesday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with New York at home, where they have gone 20-9 so far this season. Houston will send out Charlie Morton, who is overdue for a bad outing. Morton is 7-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 10 starts. While he got the win at Cleveland in his last outing, he only struck out 5 in 6 innings, while walking 3 hitters. In his previous 2 starts he had struck out 22 and walked just 1 hitter over 14 innings. Yankees will counter with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP at home. Take New York! |
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05-28-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh at basically a pick'em at home against the Cubs on Monday. Chicago is simply getting way too much respect here on the road. The Cubs are being forced to pull Mike Montgomery out of the bullpen for a spot start. Montgomery has experience as a starter, but isn't going to be able to pitch deep in this one. He's also coming off a miserable outing, where he gave up 6 runs in 2 1/3 innings against the Indians. Pittsburgh will counter with Chad Kuhl, who is coming off a strong start at Cincinnati, where he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Kuhl's last start against the Cubs came at home back in September of last year and he allowed just 4 hits over 7 scoreless innings. Look for another good showing from Kuhl and for the Pirates offense to provide more than enough run support. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-28-18 | Blue Jays +182 v. Red Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto + I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a huge road dog against the Red Sox on Monday. Toronto just took 2 of 3 on the road against the Phillies and I like their chances of keeping it going here. The Blue Jays will send out Aaron Sanchez against Boston's David Price. The books are suggesting that the Red Sox have a massive edge on the mound here with this line and I'm not buying it. Sanchez has a respectable 3.80 ERA in 4 road starts this season and is 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 9 career starts against Boston. Price has pitched well in his last two starts, but is still just 4-4 with a 4.08 ERA overall and has a 4.37 ERA in 4 home starts. Another big key here is the Red Sox aren't expected to have Mookie Betts for this contest. Take Toronto! |
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05-27-18 | Royals v. Rangers -163 | 5-3 | Loss | -163 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rangers - I like the value here with the Rangers at home against the Royals on Sunday. Texas is playing some of their best baseball right now. The Rangers have won 4 of 5 and are locked in at the plate, averaging 6.2 runs/game over their last 6. Texas should have no problem keeping the offense going, as KC will send out Jason Hammel for the start in this one. Hammel is just 1-5 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 10 starts. He's also got an ugly 6.37 ERA in 6 road starts and a 8.10 ERA in his last 3 outings. Rangers will counter with Cole Hamels, who has been sensational of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! |
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05-27-18 | Cardinals +105 v. Pirates | 6-4 | Win | 105 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Cardinals + I like the value here with St. Louis at basically a pick'em on the road against Milwaukee on Sunday. The Cardinals snapped a 3-game skid with a 4-1 win on Saturday and are in great shape here to build off of that victory. St Louis will send out one of the most underrated starters in the game in Miles Mikolas, who is 6-0 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 9 starts. He's throwing like a legit Cy Young contender, but still isn't getting the respect of the books. Pittsburgh will counter with Jameson Taillon, who I think is overrated. Taillon is just 2-4 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 10 starts and was just rocked for 6 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings at Cincinnati in his last start. Take St. Louis! |
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05-27-18 | Angels v. Yankees -139 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
5* MLB Big Favorite PLAY OF THE MONTH on Yankees - I love the value here with New York at home on Sunday. The Yankees are one of the best teams in baseball at 32-16 and are going to be motivated here to take the rubber match against the Angels. New York will send out Masahiro Tanaka, who is also due for a strong outing. Given his history against LA, it's hard to not like Tanaka's chances of throwing a gem, as he's got a 1.60 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in 5 starts against the Angels. All 5 of those starts resulting in wins for the Yankees. It's the exact opposite story for Los Angeles starter Garrett Richards. He has had zero success against New York, posting a 8.46 ERA and 1.611 WHIP in 5 career starts against them. All 5 of those starts resulting a loss. The most recent came on 4/28, where he allowing 9 runs (5 earned) in just 1 2/3 innings before getting pulled. Take New York! |
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05-26-18 | Twins +122 v. Mariners | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Twins + I like the value here with Minnesota as a decently priced road dog against the Mariners on Saturday. The Twins offense has struggled in their last two against the Tigers Michael Fulmer and Seattle's James Paxton, but I like their chances of breaking out of that slump tonight. I also think the Marines offense is going to continue to struggle here against Jake Odorizzi. Seattle has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games, yet are 4-1 in this stretch. You just can't keep winning without scoring and Odorizzi comes in red-hot with a 1.08 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Minnesota! |
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05-26-18 | Mets +146 v. Brewers | 6-17 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Mets + I like the value here with New York as a decently priced road dog against the Brewers on Saturday. Milwaukee is simply getting way too much respect here from the books. The Brewers will send out Chase Anderson, who has an ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.275 WHIP in 5 home starts and a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. The Mets will counter with Jason Vargas, who finally got on track in his 4th start of the season. Vargas allowed just 2 hits with 7 strikeouts over 5 scoreless innings in his last start against the Marlins. While Milwaukee has won 4 of 5, the offense hasn't been great of late. The Brewers are averaging just 3.4 runs/game over their last 7 and are hitting a mere .216 against left-handed starters this season. Take New York! |
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05-26-18 | Braves v. Red Sox -118 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird HEAVY HITTER on Red Sox - I like the value here with Boston as a short home favorite against the Braves on Saturday. Boston owns the best record in the big leagues at 35-16 and have won 7 of their last 9 after taking the series opener against Atlanta 6-2 on Friday. This is simply too good a price to pass up regardless of the pitching matchup. That's definitely where we are getting the value here. Atlanta will send out Sean Newcomb, who is 5-1 with a 2.39 ERA in 9 starts. Boston will send out Drew Pomeranz, who is 1-2 with a 5.96 ERA in 6 starts. I just think it's only a matter of time for Pomeranz to get this turned around and he's facing an Atlanta offense that has been shutout twice in their last 4 games and scored just 5 runs during this stretch. Take Boston! |
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05-25-18 | White Sox +109 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on White Sox + I like the value here with the White Sox as a short road dog against the Tigers. While Chicago comes in off a loss at home to the Orioles, they split the series 2-2 with Baltimore and are 4-2 in their last 6 overall. Detroit comes in off a win, but are a mere 1-5 in their last 6. Chicago has what I feel is a big edge on the mound. The White Sox send out Reynaldo Lopez, who has thrown much better than his 1-3 record would suggest. Lopez owns a 2.98 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 9 starts. The Tigers will send out Michael Fiers, who hasn't pitched as well as his 4-3 record. Fiers owns a mere 4.57 ERA in 8 starts and just gave up 4 runs in 5 innings in his last start at Seattle. Take Chicago! |
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05-25-18 | Astros +137 v. Indians | Top | 11-2 | Win | 137 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Astros + I like the value here with the Astros as a decently priced road dog against the Indians. Houston has the second best record in the major behind only the Red Sox at 33-18. I know Cleveland has one of the best starters in the game on the mound in Corey Kluber, but the price is simply too good to pass up. It's not like the Astros are throwing out a scrub here. They are sending a former Cy Young winner of their own to the mound in Dallas Keuchel, who has a 3.43 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 10 starts. Keuchel is also dealing of late with a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention he's 4-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 6 career starts against the Indians. The other big key is the Astros have a lot more offensive fire-power than Cleveland and are swinging the bat much better than the Indians of late. Houston is averaging 5.1 runs and hitting .279 as a team over their last 7. The Indians are averaging 3.7 runs and hitting .237 as a team. Take Houston! |
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05-24-18 | Royals +115 v. Rangers | Top | 8-2 | Win | 115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
5* MLB Underdog GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a short road dog against the Rangers on Thursday. The Royals just took the final 2 games of their 3-game set at St Louis, so they are coming into this one confident and I think they could catch the Rangers a bit flat after their big series against the Yankees, which saw them rally late for a 12-10 win on Wednesday. Kansas City will send out Danny Duffy, who has been a major disappointment in 2018. Duffy is just 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in 10 starts. Duffy is too good to keep pitching this poorly and given how well he threw against the Rangers last season, this could be his time to breakout. Duffy faced Texas twice last year and allowed just 1 run on 9 hits in 15 2/3 innings of work. Texas will send out Austin Bibens-Dirkx, who will be making his first start of 2018. Bibens-Dirx was called up from the minors and I just don't expect a lot from him. He was just okay in his stint with Triple-A and had a 4.67 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 24 appears (6 starts) last year. Take Kansas City! |
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05-24-18 | Mariners v. A's -108 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Oakland - I like the value here with Oakland as a short home favorite against the Mariners on Thursday. The A's will be extra motivated to avoid getting swept after dropping the first two games of the series in painful fashion. Oakland lost the series opener on Tuesday 2-3 in extra innings and lost by a final of 1-0 on Wednesday. Most will look to back Seattle here with veteran Felix Hernandez on the mound against Josh Lucas, who will be making his first career big league start. The thing is, Hernandez gets way too much respect for what he's done in the past. He's got an ugly 5.53 ERA and 1.428 WHIP in 10 starts this season, which includes an ugly 7.27 ERA in 5 road starts. Lucas has pitched well in relief and the Seattle offense is in a funk, scoring just 3.1 runs/game and hitting .203 as a team in their last 7. Take Oakland! |
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05-23-18 | Red Sox -120 v. Rays | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Red Sox - I love the value here with Boston as a short road favorite against Tampa Bay on Wednesday. The Red Sox come in having won 3 straight after a 4-2 victory in yesterday's series opener against the Rays. I like their chances of keeping it going here with what looks like a very favorable pitching matchup. Boston will send out David Price. While Price hasn't lived up to expectations so far in 2018, he's coming in off his best start of the season. Price threw a complete game against the Orioles, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits, while striking out 8. He'll be up against his Chris Archer, who has had an even worse start to the season. Archer is 3-3 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 10 starts. He pitched well in his last start, but has been extremely inconsistent. He's also had a miserable time when facing the Red Sox, going a mere 2-12 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.647 WHIP in 20 career starts. Take Boston! |
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05-23-18 | Angels -127 v. Blue Jays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels as a short road favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. Toronto won the series opener yesterday being another strong outing from veteran starter J.A. Happ. The thing is the Blue Jays haven't had much success of late without Happ on the mound. Toronto is 2-7 in their last 9 games and both wins have come with Happ on the mound. Great spot here for Los Angeles to bounce back an even up the series, as they will have a clear edge on the mound in this one. The Angels will send out the red-hot Tyler Skaggs against the struggling Aaron Sanchez. Skaggs has a strong 2.88 ERA in 9 starts and has saved his best for the road, where he's 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 4 starts. Sanchez is 2-4 with a 4.47 ERA in 9 starts and owns a miserable 5.06 ERA in 5 home starts (1-4 team record). Take Los Angeles! |
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05-22-18 | Angels -101 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels at basically a pick'em on the road against the Blue Jays. LA snapped their 5-game losing streak with a 5-2 win behind a dominant performance from Ohtani on the mound. I like the Angels chance of carrying over that momentum and securing a win on Tuesday. A big reason for that is Los Angeles will send out the red-hot Garrett Richards, who has a 1.42 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his most recent outing he held the loaded Astros lineup to just 4 hits and 0 earned runs over 7 innings. Toronto will counter here with J.A. Happ, who is coming off a strong showing against the Mets, but has been a disappointment overall. Happ owns a mediocre 4.15 ERA in 9 starts and owns a 5.40 ERA in 6 road outings. On top of that, Happ has a poor history against the Angels. He's 1-6 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 7 starts. Look for LA to have a big day at the plate and bring home the win. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-20-18 | Indians +129 v. Astros | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Sunday Night Baseball HEAVY HITTER on Indians + The value here is too good to pass up on Cleveland with ace Carlos Carrasco on the mound. Carrasco has 2.78 ERA and 0.925 WHIP over 5 road starts and is 3-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Astros. Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who has thrown the ball well so far in 2018, but there is some concern with his command. McCullers has walked 9 over his last 18 innings of work. His only work against the Indians came in Cleveland last year and it wasn't pretty. McCullers lasted just 5 innings after giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks. Astros are an elite team, but are just a mere 1-7 this season at home when faced against a starting pitcher that is allowing 5.5 or fewer hits/start. Cleveland has also gone 23-8 in Carrasco's last 31 road against an AL team that has a team average of .255 or worse. Take Cleveland! |
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05-20-18 | Padres v. Pirates -119 | 8-5 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pirates - I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a short home favorite in Sunday's series finale against the Padres. The Pirates weren't expected to do anything this year, yet they are sitting 1.5-games back of the NL Central lead at 26-19 (4th best record in NL). Needless to say Pittsburgh has been a huge value play early on and I still think they aren't getting the respect the deserve. The Pirates will send out one of the most underrated starters so far in 2018. You don't hear much about Trevor Williams in the media, but he's 5-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in 9 starts. He's got an even better 2.22 ERA in 4 home starts. San Diego will counter with Jordan Lyles, who has created a bit of a buzz after his first 2 starts of 2018. Lyles has allowed just 1 earned run in 12 1/3 innings with an impressive 16-2 walk/strikeout ratio. However, both starts for Lyles came at home at spacious Petco Park. I think there's a good chance he takes at least a minor step back here. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-19-18 | Diamondbacks -122 v. Mets | 4-5 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Diamondbacks - I like the value here with Arizona as a short road favorite against the Mets. Both offenses come into this one struggling, so I'm taking the team with the much better starter. The Diamondbacks will give the rock to one of the big surprises this season in Pat Corbin. He's 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.860 WHIP in 9 starts. The most impressive stat is the strikeouts, as he's fanned 75 hitters in just 57 innings of work. He should have no problem here keeping the Mets in check. Arizona's offense is due to breakout and today could be that day, as the Mets send out Steven Matz, who is just 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 7 starts. Matz also has been worse at home, where he's got an ugly 4.66 ERA in 4 starts. New York as a team is a mere 1-12 in their last 13 games against NL starters with a ERA of 2.70 or better. Take Arizona! |
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05-18-18 | Rays v. Angels -131 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -131 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
5* MLB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels - I love the value here with the Angels at home against the Rays on Friday. Los Angeles is going to be extremely motivated here after losing their last 3, including yesterday's ugly 7-1 loss to Tampa in the series opener. Hard to not like their chances at home in this one. LA will give the rock to Nick Tropeano, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts at home. He threw 6 1/3 scoreless at home against the Orioles on 5/1 and followed that up by allowing just 3 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings in his most recent outing against the Twins. Tampa Bay will send out Blake Snell, who is coming off a poor outing at Baltimore. Snell gave up 5 runs on 6 hits (3 HRs) in just 3 1/3 innings of work. He's now got an ugly 5.06 ERA in 5 road starts and a 4.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Los Angeles! |
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Jimmy Boyd MLB Money Lines Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-15-18 | Nationals -128 v. Mets | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
07-14-18 | A's v. Giants -111 | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
07-13-18 | A's +149 v. Giants | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
07-13-18 | Nationals +118 v. Mets | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
07-13-18 | Blue Jays +200 v. Red Sox | 13-7 | Win | 200 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
07-12-18 | Blue Jays +170 v. Red Sox | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
07-11-18 | Cardinals -135 v. White Sox | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
07-10-18 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
07-10-18 | Blue Jays v. Braves -119 | 6-2 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
07-10-18 | Reds +220 v. Indians | 7-4 | Win | 220 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
07-10-18 | Phillies v. Mets +110 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
07-07-18 | Cardinals -115 v. Giants | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
07-06-18 | Cardinals v. Giants -108 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
07-06-18 | Orioles v. Twins -117 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
07-04-18 | Mets +168 v. Blue Jays | 6-3 | Win | 168 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
07-04-18 | Padres +170 v. A's | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
07-03-18 | Padres +130 v. A's | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
07-03-18 | Astros -168 v. Rangers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
07-03-18 | White Sox v. Reds -182 | 12-8 | Loss | -182 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
07-03-18 | Braves +175 v. Yankees | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
07-02-18 | Cardinals +142 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 142 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
07-02-18 | Red Sox +165 v. Nationals | 4-3 | Win | 165 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
07-01-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -176 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
06-29-18 | White Sox +134 v. Rangers | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
06-29-18 | Brewers v. Reds +102 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
06-27-18 | Padres +128 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
06-27-18 | Blue Jays +195 v. Astros | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
06-26-18 | Angels +181 v. Red Sox | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
06-26-18 | Pirates +116 v. Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
06-25-18 | Padres +148 v. Rangers | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
06-25-18 | A's +107 v. Tigers | 5-4 | Win | 107 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
06-24-18 | Diamondbacks +102 v. Pirates | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
06-23-18 | Cardinals -105 v. Brewers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
06-22-18 | Marlins +215 v. Rockies | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
06-22-18 | Cubs v. Reds +145 | 3-6 | Win | 145 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
06-22-18 | Dodgers v. Mets +145 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
06-22-18 | Diamondbacks -114 v. Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
06-20-18 | Mets v. Rockies -102 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
06-19-18 | Mariners v. Yankees -161 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
06-18-18 | Cardinals v. Phillies -101 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
06-17-18 | Angels -110 v. A's | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
06-16-18 | Rockies v. Rangers +107 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 107 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
06-16-18 | Astros v. Royals +200 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
06-15-18 | Rockies v. Rangers +104 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
06-14-18 | Padres +130 v. Braves | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
06-13-18 | Reds v. Royals +115 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
06-13-18 | Twins -145 v. Tigers | 2-5 | Loss | -145 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
06-13-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -135 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -135 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
06-12-18 | Twins -105 v. Tigers | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
06-12-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +170 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
06-11-18 | Giants v. Marlins +161 | 5-7 | Win | 161 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
06-11-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +112 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
06-10-18 | Braves v. Dodgers -148 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
06-09-18 | Angels -107 v. Twins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
06-09-18 | Cardinals v. Reds +108 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
06-09-18 | Pirates +170 v. Cubs | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
06-08-18 | Astros v. Rangers +186 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
06-08-18 | Yankees v. Mets +104 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
06-07-18 | Dodgers +130 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
06-06-18 | White Sox v. Twins -162 | 5-2 | Loss | -162 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
06-06-18 | Mariners v. Astros -182 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
06-06-18 | Phillies +123 v. Cubs | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
06-06-18 | Yankees -127 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
06-06-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
06-05-18 | Marlins +200 v. Cardinals | 7-4 | Win | 200 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
06-05-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +155 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
06-04-18 | Braves v. Padres -110 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
06-03-18 | Marlins +120 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
06-03-18 | Rangers v. Angels -170 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
06-03-18 | Dodgers -130 v. Rockies | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
06-03-18 | Brewers -145 v. White Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
06-03-18 | Nationals v. Braves +110 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
06-02-18 | Nationals -127 v. Braves | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
06-02-18 | A's -145 v. Royals | 4-5 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
06-01-18 | Rangers +155 v. Angels | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
06-01-18 | A's v. Royals +119 | 16-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
06-01-18 | Nationals v. Braves +130 | 0-4 | Win | 130 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
05-31-18 | Rays +138 v. A's | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
05-30-18 | Mets +165 v. Braves | 4-1 | Win | 165 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
05-29-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
05-29-18 | Astros v. Yankees +110 | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
05-28-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
05-28-18 | Blue Jays +182 v. Red Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
05-27-18 | Royals v. Rangers -163 | 5-3 | Loss | -163 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
05-27-18 | Cardinals +105 v. Pirates | 6-4 | Win | 105 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
05-27-18 | Angels v. Yankees -139 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
05-26-18 | Twins +122 v. Mariners | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
05-26-18 | Mets +146 v. Brewers | 6-17 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
05-26-18 | Braves v. Red Sox -118 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
05-25-18 | White Sox +109 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
05-25-18 | Astros +137 v. Indians | Top | 11-2 | Win | 137 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
05-24-18 | Royals +115 v. Rangers | Top | 8-2 | Win | 115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
05-24-18 | Mariners v. A's -108 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
05-23-18 | Red Sox -120 v. Rays | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
05-23-18 | Angels -127 v. Blue Jays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
05-22-18 | Angels -101 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
05-20-18 | Indians +129 v. Astros | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
05-20-18 | Padres v. Pirates -119 | 8-5 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
05-19-18 | Diamondbacks -122 v. Mets | 4-5 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
05-18-18 | Rays v. Angels -131 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -131 | 23 h 14 m | Show |