08-16-20 |
Royals +175 v. Twins |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Royals +175
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-16-20 |
Braves +115 v. Marlins |
|
4-0 |
Win
|
115 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Braves +115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-15-20 |
Mariners v. Astros -191 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Astros -191
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-15-20 |
Mets v. Phillies -165 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Phillies -165
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-14-20 |
Padres v. Diamondbacks +120 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
120 |
15 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Diamondbacks +120
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-14-20 |
Dodgers v. Angels +157 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Angels +157
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-13-20 |
Pirates +175 v. Reds |
Top |
9-6 |
Win
|
175 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Pirates +175
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-12-20 |
Cubs +115 v. Indians |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
115 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Cubs +115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-12-20 |
White Sox -115 v. Tigers |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on White Sox -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-11-20 |
Padres +155 v. Dodgers |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
155 |
15 h 6 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Padres +155
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-11-20 |
Mariners +125 v. Rangers |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Mariners +125
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-11-20 |
Orioles +174 v. Phillies |
|
10-9 |
Win
|
174 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Orioles +174
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-10-20 |
A's v. Angels +115 |
Top |
9-10 |
Win
|
115 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Angels +115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-06-20 |
Yankees v. Phillies +140 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
140 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Phillies +140 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-02-20 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +174 |
|
3-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Diamondbacks +174 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-01-20 |
Red Sox +180 v. Yankees |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Red Sox +180 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-31-20 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +130 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
130 |
14 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Diamondbacks +130 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-30-20 |
Royals -109 v. Tigers |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Royals -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-30-20 |
Rays +130 v. Braves |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Rays +130 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-28-20 |
Cardinals +120 v. Twins |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Cardinals +120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-27-20 |
Braves +135 v. Rays |
|
5-14 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Braves +135 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-26-20 |
Brewers v. Cubs -108 |
Top |
1-9 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Cubs -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-25-20 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -152 |
|
1-9 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Cardinals -152 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-24-20 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -180 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Cardinals -180 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-24-20 |
Blue Jays +148 v. Rays |
Top |
6-4 |
Win
|
148 |
32 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Blue Jays +148 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-24-20 |
Tigers +168 v. Reds |
|
1-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
32 h 59 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Tigers +168 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-30-19 |
Nationals +125 v. Astros |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
125 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - World Series Game 7 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +125 I love the value here with Washington as a road dog in Game 7. The road team has won all 6 games in the series so far and I expect that trend to continue with the Nationals sending out Max Scherzer against Zack Greinke. Scherzer was a late scratch for Game 4, but is ready to go for Game 7 and there's not a guy I would rather have on the mound in a winner take all than him. As for Greinke, he hasn't looked great in the postseason. He started Game 3 at Washington and only gave up 1 run in 4 2/3 innings, but gave up 7 hits and walked 3. I also think all the pressure is on the Astros being the heavy favorites to win it all when the series started. Nationals have been playing with house money since that epic rally in the Wild Card game and I'm confident they find a way to win this one. Take Washington!
|
10-26-19 |
Astros +106 v. Nationals |
Top |
8-1 |
Win
|
106 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Astros/Nationals WS Game 4 TOP PLAY on Astros +106 After nailing Houston in Game 3 last night, we are now a perfect 3-0 in the World Series. I love Houston again in Game 4, as I see this thing being tied up 2-2 going into Game 5. Astros won 4-1 on Friday. Most will assume Washington has the edge on the mound with Pat Corbin against rookie Jose Urquidy. I don't think so. Corbin has got just 2 starts this postseason. While he's struckout 21 hitters in just 11 innings, he's also allowed 6 runs and issued 8 walks. I look for Houston to get to him early and often in this one. Astros are 43-14 in their last 57 road games vs a left-handed starter, while Washington is a mere 8-17 in their last 25 at home vs a team that's won more than 62% of their games. Take Houston!
|
10-25-19 |
Astros -118 v. Nationals |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Astros/Nationals Game 3 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros -118 We cashed in on the Nationals in each of the first two games of the series. Most will be looking to stay on Washington after how impressive they looked in Games 1 and 2, but my money is on the Astros to make this a series and avoid going down 3-0. Houston definitely has the edge on the mound here with Greinke going up against Sanchez. After a couple poor starts to open up the postseason, Greinke pitched much better in Game 4 against the Yankees. Greinke has owned the Nationals, going 6-1 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.830 WHIP in 9 career starts. Take Houston!
|
10-23-19 |
Nationals +168 v. Astros |
Top |
12-3 |
Win
|
168 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - World Series G2 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +168 Most are going to want to take the Astros in Game 2, as they will just assume Houston is going to even up the series after losing Game 1 at home. I get it, but the value here is too good to pass up with Washington. We saw the Nationals offense get to Cole in Game 1 and he had been incredible before that outing. I think they stay hot against Verlander, who has not been elite of late. He's given up 5 HR's in his last 3 starts. Washington's Stephen Strasburg has been dominant in the playoffs and owns a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Washington!
|
10-19-19 |
Yankees +133 v. Astros |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Yankees +133
Analysis will be posted shortly
|
10-18-19 |
Astros -140 v. Yankees |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-140 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS Vegas INSIDER on Astros -140 We cashed in a Top Play on the Astros in Game 4 last night and will fire right back with Houston in Game 5. It's game over for the Yankees. This Astros team is too good and they aren't going to take their foot off the gas until the job is done. It certainly helps they got one of the best pitchers in the game on the mound in Justin Verlander, who you know is going to be 100% locked in, knowing he can end New York's season on their home field. I just think with how James Paxton has looked in his two postseason starts, the Yankees are going to behind the 8-ball from the get go. Paxton gave up 3 runs on 5 hits in 4 2/3 innings against Minnesota and lasted just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 of this series. Take Houston!
|
10-17-19 |
Astros +121 v. Yankees |
Top |
8-3 |
Win
|
121 |
29 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS G4 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros +121 I like the value here with Houston as a road dog in Game 4 of the ALCS. Astros are up 2-1 in the series and I just don't see them not advancing. I think we are getting value with Houston in Game 4 because of how Zack Greinke has struggled in his first two postseason starts. Greinke was really bad in his lone start against the Rays, but he was much better in Game 1 despite the Yankees winning 7-0. I think Greinke is poised for a great outing. I know Masahiro Tanaka was outstanding in Game 1 and has pitched well in the postseason, but with the wind blowing out tonight, I think Houston's lineup will get to him early. Note that one of the big problems for Tanaka is how teams are able to adjust to him after seeing his stuff. Tanaka has allowed opposing teams to post a ridiculous .309 average the third time through the order. I know this is a new start, but I think it definitely benefits the Astros having just seen Tanaka a few days ago. Take Houston!
|
10-15-19 |
Astros v. Yankees +150 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
30 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Astros/Yankees Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Yankees +150 Absolutely love this spot and price with the Yankees as a huge home dog against the Astros. Houston is without a doubt the consensus pick to win it all right now and it has them overvalued. Yankees are every bit as good as the Astros and simply should not be this big a dog at home. I know Houston has Gerrit Cole on the mound and he's been unbelievable of late, but this Yankees lineup is not like others. They got power up and down the order and have given Cole trouble in the post. He has a 4.15 ERA in 2 starts against the Yankees. It's also not like New York isn't in great shape on the mound. They will send out Luis Severino, who has a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and has a 0.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 2 home starts. In his 2 starts vs Houston last year, he threw a complete game 5-hit shutout and allowed 2 runs in 7 innings in the other. Take New York!
|
10-14-19 |
Cardinals +123 v. Nationals |
Top |
1-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL Champ Series PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cardinals +123 St Louis is worth a look here as a road dog against the Nationals in Game 3 of the NLCS. It couldn't have gone much worse for the Cardinals in Games 1 and 2 at home. Now no one is giving them a chance in Game 3 at Washington with the Nats sending out Strasburg. As good as Strasburg has been in the postseason, but I'm on the Jack Flaherty bandwagon. Guy has a ridiculous 0.91 ERA since the All-Star break. He was outstanding in both his starts against the Braves in the NLDS and both of those were on the road. Cardinals make this a series and avoid falling behind 3-0. Take St Louis!
|
10-13-19 |
Yankees +148 v. Astros |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees +148 We cashed in on the Yankees at a similar price in their easy 7-0 win in Game 1 and will fire right back with New York in Game 2. The Yankees got something going right now. They didn't miss a beat after a decent layoff following their sweep of the Twins. I'm betting on more of the same from New York's offense. Justin Verlander was not the same guy when he threw on 3 days rest in the ALDS. While he will be on the normal 4 days here, I don't think he will dominant here. New York also has a good starter going in James Paxton, who has a strong 3.24 ERA in 14 career starts against Houston. Yankees are 14-1 in their last 15 after allowing 2 runs or less in 3 straight games. They have won 20 of their last 29 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take New York!
|
10-12-19 |
Yankees +145 v. Astros |
Top |
7-0 |
Win
|
145 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees +145 I really like the value here with New York in Game 1 of the ALCS. Much different series for these two in the ALDS. The Yankees swept the Twins in convincing fashion. They won all 3 games by at least 4 runs and outscored Minnesota 23-7. Astros on the other hand were taken to a winner-take-all Game 5 against the Rays. I just think after all the emotion that comes with a winner-take-all matchup, there's got to be a bit of a letdown, especially given the Astros just played that Game 5 against Tampa Bay on Thursday. Let's also not ignore the horrible start by Houston's Zack Greinke in the ALDS, he gave up 6 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) in 3 2/3 innings. Take New York!
|
10-11-19 |
Nationals +115 v. Cardinals |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
115 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Nats/Cards NLCS G1 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +115 The Nationals are definitely worth a look here as a road dog in Game 1 of the NLCS against the Cardinals. Washington just took out the NL favorites in the Dodgers and I think this team has something special going. They rallied to win the Wild Card game against Milwaukee and had their backs against the wall in Game 5 at Los Angeles. Cardinals had that epic 10-run first inning in their Game 5 win over the Braves, but I just don't think St Louis stacks up with Washington. Anibal Sanchez might be the weakest of the Nationals postseason starters, but he pithed really well in his only start against the Dodgers, limiting them to 1 run on 4 hits with 9 K's in 5 innings. Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas has given up 8 runs on 27 hits with just 10 K's in his last 3 starts against the Nationals. Look for Washington to get up early and hold on for the win. Take the Nationals!
|
10-09-19 |
Nationals +142 v. Dodgers |
Top |
7-3 |
Win
|
142 |
35 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Dodgers/Nats Game 5 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +142 I love the value here with Washington in the winner take all Game 5 showdown with a lot of teams World Series favorite in the Dodgers. The Nationals came into this series playing with house money after that epic rally against the Brewers in the Wild Card game. As good as Max Scherzer is, Washington has to love that this start will go to Stephen Strasburg. The guy has been an absolute machine in the postseason. Strasburg has pitched 28 innings in the playoffs and has posted a 0.64 ERA. He allowed just 1 run on 3 hits with 0 walks and 10 K's in Game 2 at LA, improving his lifetime ERA to 2.57 in 12 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Washington!
|
10-07-19 |
Astros v. Rays +138 |
Top |
3-10 |
Win
|
138 |
23 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Astros/Rays ALDS Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Rays +138 Way too good a price here on Tampa Bay at home in Game 3 against the Astros. Rays will have their ace Charlie Morton on the mound, who was unable to pitch in Game 1 or 2 because he started the Wild Card win at Oakland. Morton was on his game in that outing. He didn't allow an earned run in 5 innings. He's got a 1.04 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in his last 3 outings, so he's in prime form. He also went 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 17 home starts. He seems to love the spotlight, as he's 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 5 playoff starts. Zack Greinke will go for Houston and he's one of the top starters in the league. However, he just 4-6 in 14 career starts against the Rays. He faced them once in 2019 (late August) and it didn't go well. He allowed 5 runs no 6 hits (2 HRs) in 5 2/3 innings. Rays are 14-8 last 22 as a home dog of +125 to +175 and Greinke is a mere 4-18 in his last 22 starts vs a team from the AL East. Take Tampa Bay!
|
10-04-19 |
Cardinals v. Braves +118 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
118 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Cardinals/Braves ML NO-BRAINER on Braves +118 No way I'm passing up on Atlanta as a home dog with them down 0-1 in the series. A loss here and they are basically done for. Jack Flaherty is going for St Louis and that's why they are getting so much love, but Cardinals are just 1-4 in his last 5 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Also, even with yesterday's win, St Louis is just 1-6 last 7 playoff road games. Braves will turn to Mike Foltynewicz. It took a little bit for Foltynewicz to get going, but he finished out the year with a 2.00 ERA and 0.722 WHIP in his last 3 starts. That includes 8 shutout innings in his last home start. He's only given up 10 hits in his last 18 innings of work. Braves 7-1 in his last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 at home. Take Atlanta!
|
10-03-19 |
Cardinals v. Braves -134 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-134 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Cards/Braves NLDS Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER on Braves -134 Atlanta is definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Cardinals in Game 1 of their NLDS matchup. Braves were 50-31 at home, while St Louis was just 41-40 on the road. Cardinals will start Miles Mikolas, who is just 4-8 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 17 road starts this season. Braves will counter with Dallas Keuchel, who has a strong 2.74 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 10 home starts. St Louis is 1-11 in their last 11 road games vs a team that's won between 54% and 62% of their games, losing in this spot by an average of 3.4 runs/game. Braves have won 13 of their last 17 at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Atlanta!
|
10-02-19 |
Rays v. A's -130 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-130 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - A's/Rays AL Wild Card VEGAS INSIDER on A's -130 Easy play here for me on the A's to find a way to advance in tonight's AL Wild card game. Oakland will send out Sean Manaea, who has been outstanding since his return to action. Manaea missed almost a year with a ton labrum. Manaea has gone 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA and a sensational 0.78 WHIP in 5 starts. Some might see this as a fluke given it usually takes guys some time to get back in the groove of things. However, we are talking about a guy that won 12 games in both 2017 and 2018. No reason not to ride the hot hand, especially pitching at home. Rays just 31-66 last 97 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 4-9 in their last 13 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. A's 13-3 last 16 home games vs a team with a winning record and have won 8 of Manaea's last 10 home starts. Take Oakland!
|
09-29-19 |
Braves v. Mets -105 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Mets -105 Mets are worth a look at basically a pick'em at home against the Braves. Atlanta's focus is on the playoffs, not winning the finale. Mets on the other have found some life late even while out of the race because of the record setting home run performance by rookie Pete Alonso. I expect New York to be 100% invested in ending their season with a win on Sunday and they got a good guy on the mound to help them do that in Noah Syndergaard. Braves will start Mike Soroka, who has had a great rookie season, but he's not going to go deep at all with a start in the NLDS looming. Take New York!
|
09-29-19 |
Marlins v. Phillies -160 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-160 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Phillies -160 Might not seem like there's much at stake for the Phillies in the regular-season finale, but Philadelphia can post their first winning record since 2011 with a win on Sunday. That should be more than enough motivation for them to beat Miami at home. They also got some incentive to finish off the sweep after winning the first two in the series. Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara and they are a mere 1-8 in his last 9 road starts, 1-6 in his last 7 vs a division foe and 0-7 in his last 7 after throwing a Quality Start in his last outing. Take Philadelphia!
|
09-28-19 |
Padres +149 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +149 Love the value here with San Diego as a big road dog against the Diamondbacks. I get Arizona is playing well, but there's nothing at stake here for the Dbacks. Arizona starter, Robbie Ray is also a guy worth fading right now. Ray has an ugly 7.50 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in his last 3 starts. That includes his last outing, which came against these same Padres. Ray gave up 4 runs in just 5 1/3 innings. He's got a mere 4.15 ERA in 15 career starts against the Padres. Ray is also the guy to fade when he's facing a bad team. Arizona is 1-7 in his last 8 starts when facing a team that's won between 38% and 46% of their games. Dbacks are also just 3-7 in his last 10 starts vs a division opponent. Take San Diego!
|
09-28-19 |
Brewers -140 v. Rockies |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-140 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers -140 The Brewers finally lost a game, but I don't see them dropping back-to-back contests. They still got a shot here to win the NL Central and avoid that Wild Card game. Offense wasn't the problem in yesterday's loss and they should put up another big number here. Rockies will send out Chi Chi Gonzalez, who has an awful 6.41 ERA and 1.830 WHIP in 5 starts at Coors Field this season. Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez has a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 3.07 ERA in 9 road starts. Take Milwaukee!
|
09-27-19 |
Padres +120 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Padres +120 The Padres are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Diamondbacks. Arizona just took 2 of 3 at home against St Louis, but there was motivation there to play spoiler against the Cardinals. There's zero to play for against the Padres and I could a big lack of focus in this final series of the season. Padres will have Eric Lauer on the mound and he's really enjoyed starting against Arizona. Lauer has a 2.88 ERA in 6 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Padres have won 6 of his last 8 against a division opponent and are 4-0 when he's on 6 days of rest. Take San Diego!
|
09-27-19 |
Brewers -154 v. Rockies |
|
7-11 |
Loss |
-154 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Brewers -154 Milwaukee can't be stopped right now. The Brewers just finished off a sweep of the Reds in Cincinnati with a 5-3 win on Thursday. Milwaukee has now won 7 in a row and I don't see them slowing down against a Rockies team that threw in the towel on 2019 a long time ago. Colorado is 2-6 in their last 8 and are not swinging the bats well. Milwaukee's Zach Davies has a 3.01 ERA in 15 road starts and comes in with a 2.70 ERA and 0.975 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Rockies will start Antonio Senzatela. he's got a 6.90 ERA in 24 starts this season. Take Milwaukee!
|
09-26-19 |
Rockies +122 v. Giants |
Top |
3-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL West PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rockies +122 Love the value here with Colorado as a decently priced road dog against the Giants. San Francisco will send out Tyler Beede, who has gone 5-9 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in 21 starts. Rockies have won 5 of their last 6 games vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or worse. Plus, Beede gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 3 2/3 innings in his only start against Colorado this season. Kyle Freeland will go for the Rockies and the numbers aren't great. He's just 3-11 with a 6.84 ERA in 21 starts. However, Freeland has enjoyed facing San Francisco. He's 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA in 11 career starts against the Giants. Colorado has also won 18 of his last 26 starts when he's throwing on the standard 4-days of rest and 14 of his last 20 vs a division opponent. Take Colorado!
|
09-25-19 |
Orioles +150 v. Blue Jays |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Orioles +150 Baltimore is worth a look here at Toronto. Orioles offense has been on a tear the last two days, scoring 21 runs on 31 hits. They are in a great spot to put up another big number, as Toronto's starter has been struggling. Blue Jays will send out Jacob Waguespack, who has an awful 8.31 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also just 1-3 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.882 WHIP in 4 home starts. Orioles starter, Gabriel Ynoa has been the exact opposite with a strong 3.78 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Blue Jays are 7-14 last 21 at home when revenging a loss as a home favorite and 3-13 in their last 16 at home after a game where the bullpen threw 7+ innings. Take Baltimore!
|
09-25-19 |
Brewers v. Reds +135 |
Top |
9-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds +135 I know the Brewers are rolling right now with a 16-2 run in their last 18 games, including a current 6-game winning streak, but no way am I passing up on this value with Cincinnati. Reds would love nothing more than to cool off their division rivals and they are in a prime spot to do so. Tyler Mahle will start for the Reds and he's coming off a great start at Chicago, where he allowed just 1 run on 1 hit in 6 innings. Mahle has had good fortune against the Brewers, posting a 3.24 ERA in 3 career starts against the Brewers (all 3 have come in the last 2 seasons). Teams (Reds) who are average offensively 4.0-4.5 runs/game that have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games are 38-18 (68%) since 1997 when facing a starter that has an ERA of 3.70 to 4.20. Take Cincinnati!
|
09-24-19 |
Braves -151 v. Royals |
|
6-9 |
Loss |
-151 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Braves -151 Even though Atlanta is pretty much locked into the No. 2 seed in the NL playoffs, I don't see them just throwing in the towel over the final week of the regular season. I do think we are getting a good price on them because there are those that think they won't show up with no real incentive to win. Royals are a team they can beat without their "A" game. KC has lost 8 of their last 10 and I could see them coming out flat after a lengthy 7-game road trip, which concluded with 4 against rival Minnesota. Braves are a perfect 9-0 in Teheran's last 9 starts against a team that is getting outscored by 1+ run/game, are 25-9 in their last 34 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 and 15-4 in their last 19 on the road after playing 6 or more in a row at home. Take Atlanta!
|
09-24-19 |
Brewers v. Reds -119 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-119 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Reds -119 As difficult as it may be to bet against the surging Brewers right now, no way am I passing up a play on the Reds at this price with Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has a 2.75 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in 30 starts. Cincinnati has won 12 of his 15 home starts this season and he's 2-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 5 career starts against the Brewers (5-0 team record). Milwaukee will counter with Adrian Houser and he's 1-4 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in 8 home starts. He's also got an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His only start against the Reds came on July 1st and he gave up 3 runs on 6 hits (2 HRs) in 5 innings. Gray is on decent rest here and has gone 13-3 on the money line in his last 16 starts when working on 5-6 days of rest. He's also 14-3 in his last 17 home starts with a money line of -100 to -150. Take Cincinnati!
|
09-20-19 |
Rangers v. A's -155 |
Top |
0-8 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on A's -155 Easy play on Oakland tonight at home against the Rangers. A's have been on fire of late, as they come in having won 10 of 12. Texas on the other hand has lost 5 in a row. Big key to note with the Rangers losing streak is how the offense has struggled to score. Texas has managed just 4 runs in their last 3 games. That's a big problem for the Rangers, as the A's will send out Mike Fiers, who has been on a Cy Young level at home this season. Fiers is 8-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 15 home starts. A's have won 18 of his last 22 home starts overall, 7-1 in his last 8 vs a division opponent and 10-1 in his last 11 vs a team with a losing record. Take Oakland!
|
09-19-19 |
Phillies +150 v. Braves |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Phillies +150 Love the value here with Philadelphia as a big road dog against the Braves. We played and won on the Phillies as a similar priced dog yesterday. Hard to not keep it going with Philly on Thursday, as they got ace Aaron Nola on the mound, who has owned the Braves. Nola is 10-4 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 17 career starts against Atlanta. Braves will send out Mike Soroka, who has been great in 2019 with a 12-4 record and 2.57 ERA in 27 stats. However, he does own a poor 4.18 ERA and 1.324 WHIP in 12 home starts and a 4.82 ERA and 2.141 WHIP in 2 starts against the Phillies, both of which came this season. Phillies are 5-1 in Nola's last 6 road starts vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in his last 5 after the team lost in his previous start. Take Philadelphia!
|
09-18-19 |
Phillies +141 v. Braves |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
141 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Phillies +141 I really like the value here with the Phillies at this price. Philadelphia needs every win they can get to stay in the Wild Card race and they opened up the series at Atlanta with a 5-4 win on Tuesday. Braves offense has really struggled to get anything going the last couple of games and will be up against the red-hot Zach Eflin. In Eflin's last 3 starts he's posted a 1.72 ERA and 1.021 WHIP. That includes a start against Atlanta in his last outing, where he didn't give up an earned run in 3 2/3 innings. Julio Teheran will go for the Braves and he's got a 4.50 ERA in his last 3 outings, in large part to his poor showing in his most recent start against the Phillies. Teheran gave up 5 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) and 3 walks in 4 innings. Take Philadelphia!
|
09-17-19 |
Mets v. Rockies +145 |
Top |
6-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Rockies +145 We played and won on the Rockies as our Top Play on Monday and will fire right back with another big bet on Colorado Tuesday. Rockies have found some new life as they close out a disappointing season. Colorado has won 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The offense has been on point of late. Rockies have scored 9 or more runs in 4 straight games and when this team gets going offensively at home, they are very tough to beat. I look for them to keep it going against Mets starter Marcus Stroman, who has slipped some of late with a 3.86 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rockies are 11-4 last 15 after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and the Mets are 19-31 in their last 50 after giving up 8 or more runs last time out. Take Colorado!
|
09-17-19 |
Reds +148 v. Cubs |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
148 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds +148 This is just too good a price to pass up a play on Cincinnati with ace Sonny Gray on the mound. I know the Cubs have scored a ton of runs during their current 5-game win streak, but a lot of that has come against poor starting pitching. Gray is one of the best starters in the game right now. He's got a 2.75 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 29 starts this season, which is really something given his home park is one of the most hitter-friendly places to play. Gray has a 2.71 ERA in 14 road starts and is on fire at the moment with a 1.89 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Darvish has been really good for Chicago in his last 3 starts, but he's not been the same guy at home. Darvish owns a poor 5.14 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 13 home starts. Take Cincinnati!
|
09-16-19 |
Mets v. Rockies +149 |
Top |
4-9 |
Win
|
149 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rockies +149 I love the value here with Colorado as a decently priced home dog against the Mets. New York is the better team, but should not be favored like this on the road with Steven Matz on the mound. Matz is 3-7 with an awful 6.07 ERA and 1.560 WHIP in 14 road starts. The numbers aren't great for Colorado starter Antonio Senzatela, but he was outstanding in his lone start against the Mets this year. Senzatela allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings of a 5-1 win over NY with deGrom starting. Rockies have won 5 of 6 at home and 6-2 in Senzatela's last 8 home starts (4-1 last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record). Take Colorado!
|
09-16-19 |
Orioles v. Tigers +137 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
137 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Tigers +137 I like the value here with Detroit as a decently priced home dog against the Orioles. Baltimore will have ace John Means on the mound, but he's just 1-5 with a 4.79 ERA in 9 road starts (2-7 team record). No way should the Orioles be laying that kind of juice on the road. Tyler Anderson has a 5.13 in 5 starts, but 3 of the 5 have come o the road. He's got a respectable 3.97 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in those 2 home starts. Take Detroit!
|
09-15-19 |
White Sox +117 v. Mariners |
|
10-11 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on White Sox +117 This is too good a price to pass up with Chicago. White Sox will have Ivan Nova on the mound and after a few shaky outings, he got back on track with a strong outing against the Royals. Nova's been a different guy the 2nd half of the season. He had a 3.16 ERA in 5 July starts and then posted a 1.95 ERA in 6 August starts. Seattle got the win on Saturday, but are 1-6 in their last 7 following a win and have dropped 4 straight in Game 3 of a series. White Sox are 7-3 in Nova's last 10 starts and a perfect 5-0 after the offense scored 2 or fewer last time out. Take Chicago!
|
09-15-19 |
Brewers +123 v. Cardinals |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
123 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers +123 Love the value here with Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog against the Cardinals. Brewers are on fire right now. They have won 8 of their last 9 and will send out Chase Anderson, who has owned St Louis in his career. Anderson has a 3.07 ERA in 11 starts against the Cardinals. Michael Wacha will start for St Louis and he's been better of late, but only made it 2 innings at SF on 9/4 and 4 innings on 9/10. Wacha has a poor 4.98 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in 9 home starts. Cardinals are just 4-12 in their last 16 starts during Game 3 of a series. Take Milwaukee!
|
09-15-19 |
Braves v. Nationals +103 |
|
0-7 |
Win
|
103 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Nationals +103 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Nationals at home against the Braves, especially with how Atlanta starter Max Fried has struggled on the road. Fried has an ugly 5.20 ERA and 1.521 WHIP in 14 road starts. Washington has won 8 of his last 10 at home against a lefty starter and are 23-10 in their last 33 after losing the first two games of a series. Take Washington!
|
09-14-19 |
Reds v. Diamondbacks -113 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Diamondbacks -113 I'm confident the Diamondbacks are going to snap their 6-game losing streak with a win at home over the Reds tonight. It feels like do or die time for Arizona, as they need to make a move right now to have any hope of a Wild Card. Look for Merril Kelly to play a big part in the victory. Kelly has been throwing the ball great of late with a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts. Red will have Anthony Desclafani going and h's got a 4.72 ERA in 15 road starts. Cincinnati has lost 5 of his last 6 starts on the road and 4 straight vs a team with a winning record. Dbacks are 4-1 in Kelly's last 5 home starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Arizona!
|
09-14-19 |
Padres v. Rockies +104 |
|
10-11 |
Win
|
104 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Rockies +104 Colorado is worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Padres. Rockies are wrapping up a disappointing season. While they don't have anything to play for, they come in having won 3 of their last 4. When this team is playing well they are really tough to beat at home with the way they can score runs at Coors Field (averaging 6.1 runs/game at home). I know the numbers aren't great for Rockies starter Lambert, but Padres are a miserable 2-15 in their last 17 road games against an NL team with a starter going that has an ERA of 5.40 or worse. Take Colorado!
|
09-14-19 |
Dodgers +123 v. Mets |
|
0-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers +123 Give me the Dodgers as an underdog all day. LA won the series opener over the Mets 9-2 on Friday and roughed up Syndergaard in the process. I think they keep it rolling against deGrom, who just keeps being overvalued by the books. Guy is great, but Mets are are a mere 3-7 in his last 10 home starts and have lost 7 of 8 at home against a team with a winning record.
Dodgers will counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is 12-5 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 26 starts. LA has gone 15-5 in his last 20 starts and have won 8 of his last 11 after scoring 5 or more runs the previous time out. Take Los Angeles!
|
09-13-19 |
Rays v. Angels +125 |
Top |
11-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - AL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Angels +125 Love the Angels at this price at home against the Rays on Friday. Tampa Bay has lost their last two and had to make the long trip out west after finishing up a 3-game series at Texas last night. Rays will send out Charlie Morton and he's got an ugly 5.87 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Angels will counter with Andrew Heaney and he's posted a sensational 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Rays. LA has also won 6 of Heaney's last 7 starts and are 12-5 in his last 17 at home. Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 road games and 1-4 in Morton's last 5 starts during Game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles!
|
09-13-19 |
Braves v. Nationals -154 |
|
5-0 |
Loss |
-154 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Nationals -154 Easy play here on the Nationals at home against the Braves with ace Max Scherzer on the mound. This is now the 5th start back from the IL and he's off his best outing, against none other than these same Braves. Scherzer allowed just 1 run on 2 hits with 9 K's in 6 innings. Atlanta will have Mike Soroka on the mound and he's been one of the better starters this season, but he's got a very mediocre 4.76 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 3.86 ERA in 4 career starts against the Nationals. Braves have lost 5 of his last 7 starts overall. Take Washington!
|
09-12-19 |
Braves v. Phillies +120 |
Top |
5-9 |
Win
|
120 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Phillies +120 Love the value here with the Phillies as a home dog against Atlanta. Philadelphia will have the red-hot Drew Smyly on the mound. Smyly has a 2.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and is coming off an outing at New York where he held the Mets to just 4 hits over 7 shutout innings. Julio Teheran has been good for Atlanta, but is just 4-4 with a 3.72 ERA in 15 road starts. He's also not been great of late against the Phillies. He's faced them 5 times over the last 2 seasons and given up 15 runs in 26 innings. He started one game at Philly earlier this year and the Braves lost that outing 10-4. Phillies lost on Wednesday, but are 7-3 in their last 10 following a loss. They have also won 4 straight starts by Smyly against a team with a winning record and are 5-1 in his last 6 outings overall. Take Philadelphia!
|
09-12-19 |
Red Sox v. Blue Jays +133 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays +133 Really like the value here with Toronto as a huge home dog against division rival Boston. No way should the Red Sox be this big of a favorite here. Blue Jays got a lot of young guys who are excited about playing and aren't going to just lay down the final few weeks of the season. I don't think the same can be said for Boston. Red Sox were expected to be one of the best teams in the league this year. They head into today's game having lost 4 straight and are now all but out of the playoff race, sitting 10-games back of the A's for the final Wild Card spot. Going to be real hard for this team to get up down the stretch, especially against bad teams like the Blue Jays. Adding even more value here is the Blue Jays have the edge on the mound with Clay Buchholz going for Toronto and Jhoulys Chacin starting for Boston. Buchholz has a 3.57 ERA in his last 3 starts and Chacin has 11.05 ERA in his last 3. Take Toronto!
|
09-12-19 |
Cubs v. Padres +138 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Padres +138 Every year it seems like there's a team that just can't handle the pressure of September. The Cubs feel like that team this year. Chicago has lost 5 of 6 and are now tied with the Brewers for the final Wild Card spot and just 2 ahead of the Phillies and Mets (Dbacks 2.5 back). I look for the struggles to continue in the finale against the Padres. San Diego won 4-0 on Wednesday and have now won 4 of 5. I like their chances of coming out on top with Dinelson Lamet on the mound. Lamet is coming off a strong outing, allowing just 1 earned run on 6 hits in 6 innings. Yu Darvish goes for the Cubs and Chicago is a mere 1-9 in Darvish's last 10 road starts with a high total of 8.5 to 10 runs. They are also just 4-11 in his last 15 road starts. Take San Diego!
|
09-11-19 |
Cubs -102 v. Padres |
|
0-4 |
Loss |
-102 |
16 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Cubs -102 Chicago is worth a look here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Padres. Cubs rolled in the series opener Monday before losing in extra last night. I like them to bounce back in a big way here. San Diego had lost 6 straight vs a team with a winning record prior to yesterday's win, while the Cubs had won their previous 6 vs a team with a losing record. It also helps to have Cole Hamels on the mound, as he has owned the Padres. Hamels is 9-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 18 career starts vs San Diego. Take Chicago!
|
09-11-19 |
Diamondbacks +102 v. Mets |
Top |
0-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Diamondbacks/Mets HEAVY HITTER on Diamondbacks +102 Love Arizona to cash in a win at New York tonight. Arizona will have Robbie Ray on the mound and he's owned the Mets in his career. Ray has a 0.82 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 4 starts against New York. Mets counter with Steven Matz, who has a 4.76 ERA in 4 starts against the Diamondbacks. That includes an ugly start at Arizona earlier this season (only start versus them in 2019), where he gave up 5 runs on 8 hits (2 HRs) in 6 innings. Matz is 0-9 on the money line in his last 9 starts in the 2nd half of the season vs NL teams averaging 5 or more runs/game. Dbacks are 11-4 in their last 15 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and a perfect 8-0 in Ray's last 8 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Arizona!
|
09-11-19 |
Braves -132 v. Phillies |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves -132 I got no problem back Atlanta as a decently sized road favorite against the Phillies. Braves will have Dallas Keuchel on the mound and the former Cy Young winner has been dealing of late. Keuchel has allowed a mere 3 earned run over his last 5 starts, pitching at least 6 innings in each outing. Phillies will turn to Zach Eflin to try and counter Keuchel. Eflin is just 5-8 with a 5.38 ERA in 16 night starts and he owns a 5.04 ERA over 13 starts against division opponents this season. He's got a 5.02 ERA in 5 career starts vs the Braves. Take Atlanta!
|
09-10-19 |
Cubs v. Padres +139 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
139 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Padres +139 Love the value here with the Padres as a big home dog against the Cubs. Chicago won the opener 10-2 on Monday with 15 hits. The thing is that offense can't be trusted. The Cubs scored 10 runs on 16 hits in last week's series opener at Milwaukee and the very next night scored 1 run on 3 hits. Padres will have Ronald Bolanos on the mound and the 23-year-old Cuban rookie was impressive in his first big league start. Bolanos allowed just 2 run on 5 hits in 6 innings at Arizona. Cubs on the other hand will have Jose Quintana on the mound and he's got a mere 4.11 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 13 road starts. He's also got a poor 4.91 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Cubs are just 3-10 in Quintana's last 13 road starts in the 2nd half vs a team that's getting outscored by 0.5+ runs/game. Take San Diego!
|
09-10-19 |
Reds v. Mariners +121 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
121 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Mariners +121 Seattle is worth a look here as a home dog against the Reds. I know the Mariners have not been playing great here of late, but no way should Cincinnati be a road favorite here. Tough spot here for the Reds going from playing 7 straight at home to traveling way out west for this series against a struggling seattle team. Speaking of struggling, Cincinnati starter Trevor Bauer has a 12.75 ERA and 2.333 WHIP in his last 3 starts. During this stretch Bauer has allowed a staggering 18 runs on 21 hits in a mere 12 innings of work. Mariners are 7-2 last 9 at home vs a team with a losing record. Reds are 15-42 last 57 interleague road games and 1-10 last 11 following an off day. Take Seattle!
|
09-10-19 |
Cardinals -143 v. Rockies |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-143 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Cardinals -143 Easy play here on the Cardinals in Tuesday's series opener at Colorado. St Louis is one of the hottest teams in the league down the stretch run. Cardinals are 23-7 over their last 30 games. Rockies are the exact opposite. Colorado is a mere 1-11 in their last 12. St Louis will have Michael Wacha on the mound and he's been throwing well of late. He's got a 3.29 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Colorado will counter with Chi Chi Gonzalez, who is 0-5 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 9 starts. All 9 starts the Rockies have lost. Take St Louis!
|
09-09-19 |
Cubs v. Padres +136 |
Top |
10-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +136 I love the value here with San Diego as a decently priced home dog against the Cubs. Padres will be up for a showdown with Chicago, who is fighting for a playoff spot. They are also catching the Cubs in a funk, as they just lost 3 straight to close out their series with the Brewers. The offense has gone ice-cold for Chicago at the wrong time. Cubs are hitting just .222 as a team in their last 7 and that's why I'm okay with backing a struggling starter in Cal Quantrill. It's also worth pointing out that while the Cubs have what looks like a good starter in Kyle Hendricks going, he's just 4-7 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 14 road starts. Take San Diego!
|
09-09-19 |
Pirates v. Giants -150 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-150 |
13 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants -150 Easy play here on the Giants with veteran ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound. San Francisco has won 9 of Bumgarner's last 10 starts and the lone loss came on the road. Bumgarner is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in 16 home starts. Pirates were playing decent, but just lost 4 of 6 at home to the Marlins and Cardinals. I think they just want to get this series over with and get ready for a big series at Chicago where they can play spoiler against the Cubs. Pittsburgh will send out Trevor Williams. He's pitched well of late against some bad teams, but still has a 5.23 ERA in 22 starts. Take San Francisco!
|
09-08-19 |
Rockies +150 v. Padres |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rockies +150 Really like the value here with Colorado as a big road dog against the Padres. These are two bad teams with not a lot to play for and neither has been playing great. No way should San Diego be this big of a favorite in a toss-up game. If anything, I would give a slight edge to the Rockies given the struggles of Padres starter Eric Lauer against Colorado. Lauer is 0-3 with a 11.21 ERA and 2.490 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Rockies. Take Colorado!
|
09-08-19 |
Angels v. White Sox +114 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
114 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on White Sox +114 Love the White Sox at home on Sunday against the Angels. Chicago has been really swinging a hot bat of late. White Sox put up 7 runs on Saturday and have scored 30 over their last 5. I look for Chicago to put up a big number here against LA's Jaime Barria, who is just 2-4 with a 5.45 ERA and 1.342 WHIP in 8 road starts this season. White Sox will send out Dylan Cease. I know the numbers don't look great for Cease, but he's coming off a really strong start at Cleveland. He gave up just 4 runs on 6 2/3 innings. He only gave up 4 hits and had 11 strikeouts in the performance. Angels are 5-16 in their last 21 road games and have lost 5 straight on the road with Barria listed as the starter. Take Chicago!
|
09-08-19 |
Nationals v. Braves +120 |
|
9-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Braves +120 Even with Max Scherzer taking the mound for Washington, I really like the value we are getting here with Atlanta as a home dog on Sunday. Braves have already won the first 3 games of the series and now have their winning streak up to 9 games. Washington on the other hand has lost 4 straight. Scherzer has also been limited a bit since returning to the rotation on 8/22. He's got a mere 4.40 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in those 3 starts. Atlanta will have Mike Soroka on the mound and he's definitely capable of going toe-to-toe with Scherzer. Soroka is 11-3 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 25 starts this season. In his last start for the Nats, he limited them to just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings. Take Atlanta!
|
09-07-19 |
Rockies v. Padres -159 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
3* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Padres -159 Easy play here on San Diego to cash in a win at home against the Rockies. Padres have a huge edge on the mound with them sending out Joey Lucchesi and Colorado turning to Jeff Hochman. Lucchesi has been really good of late with a 2.12 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's been great all season at home, where he's got a 2.84 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 14 starts. Hochman has a 9.00 ERA and 2.083 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 7.34 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in 10 starts overall. Take San Diego!
|
09-07-19 |
Phillies v. Mets -154 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-154 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* MLB - NL No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on Mets -154 Love the Mets to come away with a win on Saturday. New York won a thriller 5-4 over the Phillies last night and have won 5 of 7. Philadelphia has lost 3 straight and may not have Bryce Harper for this one. More than anything the Mets have a big edge on the mound with Marcus Stroman facing off against Drew Smyly. Stroman just held these same Phillies to a mere 2 runs in 6 innings on the road. Smyly is 3-5 with an awful 6.06 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 17 starts. Phillies are 6-20 in their last 26 as a dog of +125 to +175 and the Mets are 15-5 last 20 after scoring 5 or more and 9-3 last 12 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take New York!
|
09-07-19 |
Indians v. Twins -160 |
|
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Twins -160 Twins should have no problem coming away with a win at home over the Indians on Saturday. While Minnesota lost the opener last night, that's a rare loss of late. Twins are still 15-6 over their last 21, including a 10-3 run in their last 13. Twins will have Jake Odorizzi on the mound and he's gone 7-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 13 home starts. Odorizzi has really enjoyed pitching against the other teams in the AL East. He's 7-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 11 starts vs a division opponent this season. Twins also just don't lose often with him on the mound. They are 22-8 in his last 30 starts. They have won 8 of his last 11 vs a team with a winning record, 16-5 in his last 21 at home and 8-2 in his last 10 vs the AL Central. Take Minnesota!
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09-06-19 |
Nationals v. Braves +102 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
102 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
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5* MLB - Nats/Braves NL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Braves +102 Love the value here with Atlanta, as the Braves should have no problem winning at home an extending their winning streak to 8-games. Atlanta will have Dallas Keuchel on the mound and he's been dealing. Keuchel has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also got a strong 2.38 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 7 home starts. Speaking of home/away splits, National's Pat Corbin has not been the same guy when he's pitching outside of Washington. Corbin is 7-2 with a 2.00 ERA in 14 home starts and is just 4-4 with a 4.61 ERA in 14 road starts. No surprise given these numbers the Nats are just 3-7 in his last 10 road starts. Braves are 6-1 last 7 at home vs a team with a winning record and 6-0 in their last 6 vs a left-handed starter. Take Atlanta!
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09-06-19 |
Royals +118 v. Marlins |
|
3-0 |
Win
|
118 |
13 h 34 m |
Show
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3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Royals +118 Kansas City should have no problem winning on the road against the Marlins. Royals have feasted off similar NL teams, as they are 10-4 in their last 14 interleague road games against an opponent that gives up 4.5 or more runs/game. Not to mention that while the Royals are completely out of it, they come in having won 4 of their last 5. Marlins are coming off a win, but that's almost an automatic fade, as they are 7-20 in their last 27 off a win. Take Kansas City!
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09-06-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Reds +112 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
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3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Reds +112 Cincinnati is worth a look here as a home dog. Reds just took the last two in their series with the Phillies and I like them to win the opener tonight against Arizona. Cincinnati will have Tyler Mahle on the mound and he's coming off a great start at St Louis. Mahle held the Cardinals to just 1 earned run on 2 hits with 0 walks and 5 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings of work. While Mahle will be throwing with confidence, Diamondbacks Robbie Ray is off a poor showing, giving up 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in just 5 innings. Ray also owns a mere 4.09 ERA in 4 career starts against the Reds (Cinc 3-1 in those starts). Arizona has lost 4 straight starts by Ray on the road against a team with a losing record. Take Cincinnati!
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09-05-19 |
Twins +135 v. Red Sox |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
135 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
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4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Twins +135 I love the value here with the Twins as a decently priced road dog against the Red Sox. This line should be closer to a pick'em with the starting pitching matchup. If anything, I would trust Minnesota's Martin Perez a little more. Perez was rocked in his last start for 7 runs at Detroit, but prior to that outing had allowed just 4 earned runs over his previous 3 starts. Nathan Eovaldi will go for Boston and he's got a 8.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in his 3 starts since returning ton the rotation in the middle of August. Twins are 50-17 in their last 67 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Boston won yesterday, but Twins are 38-16 last 54 off a loss and a dominant 20-6 in their last 26 after scoring 2 runs or less. Take Minnesota!
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09-05-19 |
Phillies v. Reds -155 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
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5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds -155 Easy play here on Cincinnati at home Thursday. Reds will send out arguably the best pitcher going in the game right now. In Gray's last 6 starts he's allowed just 3 earned runs on 18 hits and has racked up 44 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings. That includes two starts against the Cardinals, 1 against the Cubs and 1 against the Braves, so he's not just doing this against bad teams. While Gray is on a different level right now, Phillies starter Jason Vargas is in bad form. Vargas has a 6.32 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also got a poor 5.23 ERA and 1.331 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. Reds are 13-3 in Gray's last 16 starts vs a team with a winning record and a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 starts at home. Take Cincinnati!
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09-04-19 |
Twins +125 v. Red Sox |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
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3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Twins +125 I like the value here with Minnesota as a decently priced road dog against the Red Sox. After struggling for most of August, Twins starter Jose Berrios finally put the pieces back together in his last start. I look for him to build off that outing tonight. Berrios has a strong 3.20 ERA in 4 career starts against the Red Sox. He pitched into the 7th inning in 3 of the 4 starts. In his lone start against Boston in 2019, he was dominant, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits with 10 K's in 8 innings. Minnesota took the opener last night and the Red Sox are now 2-8 in their last 10 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Twins have won 4 straight road starts by Berrios and are 38-16 in their last 54 road games overall. Take Minnesota!
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09-04-19 |
Giants +113 v. Cardinals |
Top |
9-8 |
Win
|
113 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
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5* MLB - NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants +113 I love the Giants to secure a win at St Louis tonight. San Francisco comes in having lost 4 straight, but will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound to stop the bleeding. Giants have won 8 of Bumgarner's last 9 starts. He was dominant last time out, limiting the Padres to just 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings. Cardinals will counter with Michael Wacha. While he's coming off a couple of decent outings, he's still a mere 5-6 with a 4.99 ERA in 19 starts this season. He's also got an awful 5.22 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in 8 starts at home. St Louis is 1-6 in their last 7 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Giants 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take San Francisco!
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09-03-19 |
Astros -155 v. Brewers |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-155 |
13 h 10 m |
Show
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5* MLB - Astros/Brewers VEGAS INSIDER on Astros -155 Love the Astros to secure another win on the road against the Brewers. We were on Houston Monday and they delivered a 3-2 win. I don't expect it to be that close tonight. Astros will have Zack Greinke on the mound and he'll be up against Milwaukee's Jordan Lyles. Needless to say this is quite the pitching mismatch. Greinke is 14-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 28 starts. Lyles is 9-8 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 23 starts. Greinke faced Milwaukee earlier this season and held them to a mere 2 runs on 6 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 innings. Astros are 36-17 in their last 53 interleague road games and have won 4 of Greinke's 5 starts since he came over in that big trade. Take Houston!
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09-03-19 |
Blue Jays +200 v. Braves |
|
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
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4* MLB - Situational DOG OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays +200 This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto. I know the Blue Jays have been struggling and the Braves come in having won 5 straight, but it's hard to not fade Atlanta's Mike Foltynewicz as a huge favorite. Folynewicz has been a little better of late, but is still 4-5 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in 16 starts this season. He's really been disappointing at home, where he's 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 8 starts. Wilmer Font will start for Toronto and he's got a strong 3.90 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 12 starts as the opener. He was the starter in the Blue Jays 3-1 win over Atlanta last week in Toronto. Blue Jays are 10-4 in Font's last 14 as a dog of +100 or more and 7-2 in his last 9 as a dog of +150 or more. Take Toronto!
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09-03-19 |
Mets v. Nationals -126 |
|
10-11 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
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3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Nationals -126 Washington is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Mets. Nationals come into this series on quite the roll. Washington is 9-2 in their last 11 overall. They will have ace Max Scherzer on the mound, who will be making his 3rd start back from the IL. While Scherzer only completed 4 1/3 inning in start number two, he increased his pitch count by almost 20 to 89. I think he will be real close to full go in this one (100 pitches). He's 10-5 with a sensational 2.51 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in 19 starts against the Mets. Washington is 9-1 in his last 10 starts and the Nationals are 20-8 in their last 28 after losing the last time out. Mets are a mere 8-17 in deGrom's last 25 starts and have gone a staggering 8-23 in his last 31 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Washington!
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09-02-19 |
Astros -173 v. Brewers |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
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5* MLB - Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros -173 I got no problem laying the big number here with Houston on the road. The Astros will be riding a wave of momentum into Milwaukee, as Justin Verlander threw a no-hitter in Sunday's series finale at Toronto. Now they turn to the potential AL Cy Young winner in Gerrit Cole, who enters this contest at 15-5 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in 27 starts. He's been on top of his game of late, striking out a ridiculous 36 hitters over his last 19 2/3 innings (36 of the 59 outs recorded were via K's) Brewers will have Adrian Houser on the mound and he's pitched well of late, but he's due for a bad outing. Houser is a mere 2-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in 12 starts. Milwaukee is 2-6 in his last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 to open a series. Take Houston!
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09-02-19 |
Twins v. Tigers +200 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
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3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Tigers +200 I just can't pass up on the Tigers as a +200 dog against the Twins on Monday. Veteran Jordan Zimmermann will take the mound for Detroit and he's been outstanding of late. Zimmermann has a 2.25 ERA and 0.625 WHIP over his last 3 starts. All 3 against potential playoff teams (Rays, Astros, Indians). Twins will turn to Jake Odorizzi, who has a strong 3.55 ERA in 26 starts, but he does own a very mediocre 4.32 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I also think this is a potential flat spot for Minnesota with the early start time and them heading to Boston for a big series against the Red Sox right after this one is over. Take Detroit!
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09-01-19 |
Red Sox v. Angels +101 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
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5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels +101 Love the Angels to win here at home against the Red Sox in Sunday's series finale. Boston will have David Price on the mound and he's been struggling. Price has a 9.69 ERA and 2.154 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Last time out he was torched for 7 runs on 9 hits in 2 2/3 innings. Angels will counter with Andrew Heaney, who has been lights out in his last 3 starts. Heaney has a 1.71 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in his last 3 starts. During this stretch he's given up a mere 4 earned runs on 12 hits with 30 strikeouts in 21 innings. Boston is 0-5 in Price's last 5 starts and 1-4 in their last 5 on the road vs a left-handed starter. Angeles are 5-0 in Heaney's last 5 starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Los Angeles!
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09-01-19 |
Pirates -102 v. Rockies |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
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3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Pirates -102 Really like the value here with the Pirates. While neither of these teams have a lot to play for right now, Pittsburgh has caught fire of late. Pirates have won 3 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9. They have scored an impressive 31 runs on 48 hits in their last 3 games. Rockies are the exact opposite. Colorado has lost 5 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Rockies will have Jeff Hochman on the mound for this one and he's got a 7.81 ERA in 9 starts and a 10.24 ERA and 2.275 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Steven Brault will go for Pittsburgh and he's got a strong 3.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pirates are 6-1 last 7 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and a perfect 5-0 in Brault's last 5 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh!
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