3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on UCLA -

I like the value here with the Bruins laying a short number at home against the Trojans. USC comes in having won 6 straight games and are 4-1-1 ATS during this stretch. I think it has the Trojans way overvalue here on the road against a good UCLA squad that is playing with confidence after winning their last two games. The Bruins are also 11-2 on their home floor this season, where they are outscoring opponents by 12.5 ppg. 

Bruins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and are 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games overall. It's also worth noting the home team has consistently been the right side, going 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. Take UCLA! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching almost double-digits on the road against the Tribe. Drexel is playing well right now, as they come in having won 3 straight, and are going to be extremely motivated here to get revenge from an earlier loss at home to William & Mary. 

Needless to say the Dragons have been money in this spot. They are 50-28 ATS in their last 78 when revenging a home loss and a much better 24-9 ATS when revenging a home loss of 10 or more points. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Illinois State -

I like the value here with the Redbirds as a short home favorite against the Purple Aces on Saturday. Illinois State simply isn't getting enough respect here with this game being on their home floor. The Redbirds are 7-3 at home this season, while Evansville is just 3-7 on the road (getting outscored by nearly 10 ppg). 

Not only does Illinois State have a big home court edge here, but they have also already shown they matchup well with this Evansville side, handing them one of their two home losses earlier this season. Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on Saturday and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3 games. Take Illinois State! 

5* NCAAB West Coast GAME OF THE MONTH on Loyola +

I love the value here with the Lions at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pilots this Saturday. Loyola-Marymount is just 1-5 in their last 6 games, but are fresh off an impressive 76-69 win at home over BYU as a 10-point dog. They have been a lot more competitive than their recent run would suggest, as 4 of those losses were by 7 points or less. 

Not only are we catching the Lions playing with some renewed confidence off that upset win, but they will also come out highly motivated to get revenge from a recent loss to these Pilots. Another big key here is that Portland has a history of not playing well on their home floor. The Pilots are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and a mere 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Loyola-Marymount! 

3* NCAAB ATS Heavy HITTER on Wake Forest +

I like the value here with the Demon Deacons catching points at home against Clemson. Wake Forest snapped a 7-game skid with a 76-72 upset win at home over FSU on Wednesday. I think we see the Demon Deacons carry over that momentum for today's home game against the Tigers.

Clemson was able to hold on for a 82-78 win at home over UNC. Easily their best win since losing one of their better players in senior Donte Grantham. I don't think it will be as easy playing at that level on the road without Grantham. Keep in mind that the Tigers are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after playing a game as an underdog. Take Wake Forest! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats as a big double-digit road dog against the Gaels on Friday. Quinnipiac is more than capable of keeping this within the number. The Bobcats come inlaying extremely well, as they have won 3 straight with the last two being upsets over Marist and Fairfield.

I think we are seeing an inflated number here due to Iona being 6-1 at home, but Quinnipiac has gone 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Bobcats are also 10-3-1 ATS in their last 13 after a came where they covered the spread and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games after a game where they covered. Take Quinnipiac! 

5* NCAAB Ivy League GAME OF THE  MONTH on Dartmouth +

I love the value here with the Big Green catching points here on the road against the Big Red. The books are just begging for you to take Cornell here with this small number, which only makes me like Dartmouth that much more. The Big Green have lost their last 7 games, but only two of those were at home and they have been a lot more competitive than the skid would lead you to believe. 

The Big Red are getting some love for an upset win at home over Columbia, but let's not forget this is a team that had gone just 1-6 in their last 7 games. Cornell has also not done well in this spot, as they are just 15-32 ATS in their last 47 when listed as a home favorite of 6 points or less. They are also just 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 after a came where they covered the spread. Take Dartmouth!  

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Niagara +

I like the value here with the Purple Eagles catching points on the road against the Peacocks on Friday night. Niagara just won 105-89 at Canisius as a 8-point dog and are now 7-1 in their last 8 games overall.

I look for the Purple Eagles to ride that momentum to another win tonight. St Peters has lost 6 in a row and are just 1-5 ATS during this stretch. Purple Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and the Peacocks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games vs a team with a winning road record. 

Adding to all of this is a great system. Rod teams off a conference win as a dog of 6 points or more are 42-15 ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team off 2 or more road losses. That's a 74% system in favor of the Purple Eagles. Take Niagara. 

5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Elon +

I love the value here with the Phoenix catching points on the road against the Tribe. Elon comes in off a 83-76 win at Towson St as a 9-point and I look for them to carry over that momentum in tonight's showdown against William & Mary. The Phoenix will definitely be up for this game, as they have revenge from an upset loss at home to the Tribe a couple weeks back. 

Adding even more value is a great system in play on the Phoenix. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more are 27-7 (74%) ATS when facing an opponent off a road win by 3 points or less. Take Elon! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on James Madison +

I love the value here with the Dukes catching points on the road against the Dragons. While Drexel comes in off an impressive 68-67 upset win at home over Northeastern as a 6-point dog, I think it works against them here, as it puts in a major letdown spot against at team they lost to already once this season. 

James Madison is also a team that has thrived in the role of the road dog, going 7-1 ATS this season in this spot. Dragons are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after playing a game as a home dog, while the Dukes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home vs a team that is giving up 77+ points/game at least 15 games into the season. Take James Madison! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH  on Riverside +

I love the value here with the Highlanders catching points here on the road against the Mustangs. These are two equally bad teams and I just don't see a big enough home court edge for Cal Poly to be laying this many points. UC Riverside has started out 0-7 in Big West play and I see them being extremely motivated to get that first conference win against a team they can compete against. 

It wouldn't be anything new if the Highlanders pulled off the upset. They have done exactly that each of the last two years. They won 72-68 in 2016 as a 8-point dog and last year won 67-56 as a 5-point dog. Cal Poly is also just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take UC Riverside! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Baylor +

All the hype around Oklahoma's star freshman Trae Young not only has the Sooners overvalued in the betting market, but it also has put a target on their back. Teams are looking ahead to playing this team and it's hard when you get the best from every single opponent you face. I think this game had a lot to do with Baylor's lackluster showing on the road saturday at Florida, where they lost by 21 points. 

The Sooners are just 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS over their last 7 games. Baylor is a team that finds a way to play their best on the road in Big 12 play, especially against the top teams. They only lost by 3 at West Virginia as a 10-point dog and had Kansas on the ropes before losing by 3-pionts as a 8-point dog. This is a game the Bears are more than capable of winning outright, but should be able to keep it within the number. They are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 off a loss by more than 20-points. Take Baylor! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Marist +

I love the value we are getting here with the Red Foxes as a near double-digit dog at Manhattan on Tuesday. Marist is just 4-17 overall and 1-11 SU in road games this season, but are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games and have covered 3 of their last 4 on the road and barely missed out on a cover in the one that didn't go their way. 

Manhattan simply isn't a good enough team to be laying this many points. The Jaspers have lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 1-3 ATS during this stretch. Marist has failed to cover 2 of their last 3, but that's a positive, as they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games in this spot. 

Adding to all of this is a great system back a play on the Red Foxes. Underdogs who have won fewer than 20% of their games are 43-17 (72%) ATS when revenging a home loss to an opponent that has a losing record. Take Marist! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Nebraska +

This Cornhuskers team has been flying under the radar pretty much all season. They were being predicted to finish in the bottom of the Big 10 and some even thought they would be the worst team in the league. Nebraska is 16-8 SU and 16-6 ATS, which includes a 9-2 ATS mark inside Big Ten Play.

The Cornhuskers own the 4th best record in the conference at 7-4, while Wisconsin is 3-6. The Badgers weren't done any favors by the schedule makers, as they have played 5 of their last 6 on the road and have gone just 1-5 during this stretch. Could they bounce back with a win here, certainly, but I just think Nebraska is the much better team and don't feel Wisconsin deserves to be favored by this much. Badgers are 6-3 at home, but when faced against a good team they have struggle at home, losing by 10 to Xavier, by 25 to Ohio State and by 19 to Marquette. I think the Cornhuskers win outright here. Take Nebraska! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Santa’s Clara -

I cashed in on the Broncos on the road Thursday at San Diego and will fire back with them here catching points at Pepperdine. The Waves come in off a mere 1-point win at home over Loyola-Marymount for their first conference win of the season. That's nothing to get excited about, as they are now tied with Loyola-Marymount in the basement of the WCC at 1-8. 

The Broncos are 4-5 in league play and already took care of business against the Waves earlier this season at home and are now 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. Pepperdine is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when revenging a loss and 1-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons at home when playing on Saturday. Broncos are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games off a conference loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after scoring 25 or fewer points in the 1st half of their previous game. Take Santa Clara! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on San Diego -

I love the value here with the Toreros as a short road favorite against the Lions on Saturday. San Diego comes in off a 66-58 win at home over Santa Clara and I look for them to carry over that momentum here against Loyola Marymount.

This is a game San Diego needs to win with games against Gonzaga and St Mary's looming on deck. That shouldn't be a problem, as the Lions are a mere 1-8 in conference play and are just 4-5 at home this season. Toreros are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games, while Marymount is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take San Diego! 

4* NCAAB Non-Conf Game of the Week  on Alabama +

I like the value here with the Crimson Tide as a home dog against the Sooners on Saturday. I think we are getting a great price here on Alabama because of how much love Oklahoma is getting because of the play of Trae Young. The Sooners have lost 3 straight on the road and couldn't be in a bigger letdown spot after their huge win over Kansas earlier this week. 

Alabama on the other hand is very tough to take down on their home court. The Crimson Tide are a perfect 4-0 at home in SEC play and 9-1 overall. That includes a 22-point win over Texas A&M and a victory over Auburn, who is on top the SEC and has a 18-2 record overall. Adding to this is the fact that Oklahoma is a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when listed as a favorite. Take Alabama! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Duke -

I like the value here with the Blue Devils laying a short number at home against Virginia in Saturday's huge ACC showdown. Duke was widely considered the most talented team in the country coming into the season and they haven't disappointed. The fact that the Cavaliers are 19-1 is certainly helping us here and I'm not saying Virginia isn't a good team, I just don't think they can keep it this close against Duke on their home floor.

The Blue Devils are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, where they are averaging 96 ppg. As good as the Cavaliers are defensively, they haven't seen anything like what Duke is going to bring to the table on Saturday and I don't think they have the offensive fire-power to keep pace. 

Adding to all of this is a great system backing a fade of Virginia here. Road underdogs who are an excellent defensive team, allowing 63 or less points/game, and fresh off a game where they held their opponent to 50 or less are just 16-46 (26%) ATS when facing an average defensive team that allows 67-74 points/game. Take Duke! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dartmouth +

I like the value here with the Big Green as a decently priced road dog against the Bears on Friday. Dartmouth is getting zero love here due to the fact that they are just 4-11 overall and have lost 5 straight. The key here is that Brown is a team they can not only hang with on the road, but beat outright. 

The Big Green lost by just 5 points in their last game, but failed to cover as a 4.5-point dog. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a game where they didn't cover, 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 off a SU defeat and 13-4 ATS over the last 3 seasons when they come into a game having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take Dartmouth! 

5* NCAAB Small Conf GAME OF THE MONTH  on St. Peter's +

I love the value and the spot here with the Peacocks catching a big number here on the road against the Broncs.   St. Peter's comes in having lost 4 straight, but have been a lot more competitive than you would think for a team on a 4-game skid. All 4 losses came by 12-points or less, including a mere 4-point loss at home to Rider. Revenge is a big time motivator in college sports and I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Peacocks returned the favor and won this game outright. 

The road team has dominated this series, going 27-10-2 ATS in the last 39 meetings, with St. Peter's going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Rider. The Peacocks are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games off a loss. The Broncs are also just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games after 3 or more consecutive wins and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 off a close road win by 3 points or less. Take St. Peter's!

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Santa Clara +

I like the value here with the Broncos catching near double-digits on the road against the Toreros. While San Diego comes in with an overall record of just 7-13, they are 4-4 in conference play. The Broncos lost 60-75 at home to the Gonzaga in their last game, but did cover as a 20 point dog.

Santa Clara is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games off a conference loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off a loss by 15 or more points. San Diego on the other hand is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Broncos. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are off a cover where they lost outright are 66-33 (67%) ATS when facing a team off a road loss by 10 or more points. Take Santa Clara! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe catching what I feel is way too many points here against the Tigers. This line would suggest that Towson is the much better team. I don't think that's the case at all. William & Mary is 6-2 in conference play, while the Tigers are just 4-4 and fresh off a loss as a 5.5-point favorite at Wilmington. The Tribe on the other hand just won by 7 on the road as a dog against Elon and are now 6-4 away from home this season. 

Tribe are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after scoring 80 or more points, 7-0 ATS after a game where they shot 50% or better from the field and 10-0 ATS in their last 10 when revenging a loss. Take William & Mary! 

5* NCAAB CAA (Colonial) GAME OF THE MONTH on Northeastern +

I love the value here with the Huskies at basically a pick'em here against the Pride. Northeastern is tied with William & Mary on top the CAA and red-hot right now having won 3 straight, which includes a 20-point road win over William & Mary. I look for the Huskies to have no problem here coming away with a win against Hofstra. 

The Pride upset Northeastern on the road earlier this season, which only adds more fuel to the fire here for the Huskies. Hofstra failed to cover in their last game and that's worth noting, as they are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after failing to cover the spread. The Pride are also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games overall and 3-15 ATS over the last 3 seasonswhen playing for just the second time in a week stretch. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play on the Huskies. Road teams who are listed at +3 to -3 that are revenging a home loss and have won each of their last 2 games by 10 or more points are 30-9 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Northeastern! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Quinnipiac +

I like the value with the Bobcats at basically a pick'em here against the Red Foxes. While Quinnipiac is just 2-9 on the road, Marist is just 3-5 at home and have just 1 win in their last 6 games. They are also just 2-8 in their last 10 overall. 

Bobcats come into this one off a 76-69 win at home over Siena as a 2-point favorite and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a contest in which they covered the spread. The Bobcats are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record, while the Red Foxes are a mere 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Quinnipiac!