4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Tennessee +

The public is coming in on the #1 ranked Bulldogs at close to a 80% clip and I'm putting my trust in the books that they have set this line to where they are confident the Vols will cash. I'm on board, as I like Tennessee to win this game outright. 

The Vols are no pushover. They are 6-1 and their only loss is a mere 6-point defeat to Kansas on a neutral field. They only lost by 6 to the Jayhawks, despite shooting just 41% from the field and Kansas was a red-hot 50%. Gonzaga has a bunch of big wins on their resume, including that upset of Duke, but they are due for a loss and they were lucky to get by Washington 81-79 at home as a 16-point favorite in their last game. 

Vols are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games when the previous two were against non-conference opponents. They are also 210-8-2 ATS in their last 30 off a SU win by more than 20 points and 8-1 ATS in their last 90 after holding their previous opponent to 25 or less 1st half points. Take Tennessee! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on UNLV +

There's no reason for Illinois to be laying close to double-digits at home against the Rebels. I get the Illini have played a pretty tough schedule, but they are just 2-7 and have been way overvalued by the books in their slow start. Illinois is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. 

UNLV is 4-3 and off back-to-back losses to Valparaiso and Cincinnati, but they played both of them close and didn't shoot well in either game. Illinois has let opponents shoot 49% from the field, so good chance the Rebels get going offensively in this one. 

Rebels are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs a struggling defensive team that is giving up 77 or more points/game and are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs a team from the Big Ten. Illinois is 0-4 ATS last 4 at home and 1-4 ATS last 5 off a double-digit loss at home. Take UNLV! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida +

I cashed in on the Gators in their 10-point win over West Virginia and I'll gladly back them as a home dog here against the Spartans. Florida beat the Mountaineers by double-digits, despite shooting a mere 33.3% from the field. Note that game was played on a  neutral court. 

This has been a much different Florida offense at home, where they are averaging 85.3 ppg and shooting 53.1% from the field. It's not so much the offense, as it is the defense that has me liking the Gators here. Michigan State took won't have the same advantages against Florida as they did in their 22-point blowout win at home against Iowa, where they shot 52%. 

Spartans are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games after 2 or more wins and are a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games off a conference win by 10 or more points. Take Florida! 

4* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall +

I really like the value here with the Pirates catching a big number on a neutral court against the Wildcats, as these two get ready to face off at Madison Square Garden. Kentucky is 7-1 with the only setback being that ugly 118-84 loss to Duke in their season opener, but I'm still not quite sold on this team. 

The Wildcats have played absolutely no one since that game against Duke and are just 3-5 ATS on the season. Set Hall has one bad loss at Nebraska and a couple of close calls against St Louis and Louisville. No question the Pirates are going to put everything they have into pulling off the upset here and this is a tough spot for Kentucky. Wildcats last played on Dec. 1 and won't play again after this one until Dec. 15. 

Pirates are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Kentucky is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games after scoring 75+ in 4 straight. Take Seton Hall! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Santa Clara -

I got no problem laying the short number here with the Broncos, as I look for them to easily cover the small spread at home against the Bengals. Santa Clara got off to a brutal 0-4 start, but have rebounded to win 3 of their last 4 with the only loss during this stretch coming in a true road game at Cal. 

Idaho State is 3-3 and 2 of those wins have come against the likes of Bethesda-CA and Montana Western. Bengals are expected to finish near the bottom of the Big Sky and are simply outclassed here. Idaho State has failed to cover 4 of their last 5 vs teams from the West Coast and are 2-8 ATS last 10 off a SU win. They are also a mere 5-15 ATS last 20 road games after playing their previous game as a road dog. Take Santa Clara! 

4* NCAAB Rivalry GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -

Iowa State should have no problem going on the road and taking down in-state rival Iowa. The line really tells you all you need to know for this one, as the Hawkeyes are ranked No. 18 and getting points at home against a Cyclones team that isn't currently in the Top 25. 

The books are telling you who is the better team, as the public will be on the ranked team getting points at home. I really like what I have seen from Iowa State in their 7-1 start. They haven't even had their full compliment of players and yet still have wins over Missouri, Illinois and San Diego State. Their lone loss being by just 5-points on a neutral court. 

Iowa looked impressive in back-to-back wins over Oregon and UConn, but they have went ice-cold from the field since those two victories. They were lucky to escape with a 69-68 win at home over Pitt, as they shot just 36.5%. They shot 39% in a 6-point loss to Wisconsin at home and 32.8% in a 22-point loss at Michigan State. 

Cyclones on the other hand come in having scored 80 or more in 4 straight games and are an impressive 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 80+ in 2 straight games. Hawkeyes are also a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team that's won more than 80% of their games. Take Iowa State! 

4* NCAAB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Cal +

While the Golden Bears are one of the worst teams in the Pac-12, this is too many points for them to be catching at home against a team from the West Coast Conference. I get San Francisco is a quality team and have started out 7-1, but not a single one of those wins have come against a Power 5 opponents. 

Cal already has one win against a team from the WCC, as they defeated Santa Clara at home as a 7.5-point favorite. Now they are a 6.5-point dog against SF? I just think this number has been inflated a ton and there's just too much value to pass up. 

Note that while Cal is just 2-4 overall, they have only played 2 games at home and are 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS at home. It's also worth noting they come in off a 84-71 loss at St-Mary's, where they gave up 45 in the 1st half. Golden Bears are 24-8 ATS last 32 after giving up 45 or more in the 1st half. Dons are also 0-6 ATS last 6 road games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take California! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Long Beach State -

This line really tells you everything you need to know. Long Beach State comes in at 2-7 and riding a 4-game losing streak, yet are laying points against a Southern Utah team that is 4-1. The 49ers have played the much tougher schedule and that's easy to see as they have already logged 5 games against Power 5 opponents and have only played 2 of their 9 games at home. 

To give you an idea of how easy the schedule has been for Thunderbirds, the opponents they have faced give up on average 82.3 ppg, so don't be fooled by the 86 ppg that Southern Utah is averaging. Thunderbirds are just 4-10 ATS last 14 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and the 49ers are a perfect 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Take Long Beach State! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH  on Oklahoma -

This is a no-brainer for me. I think Oklahoma is the better team and it's not even close. While both teams come into this game with a 6-1 record, the Sooners' 6-1 record has been a lot more impressive. 

Oklahoma's only loss is to a Wisconsin team that figures to finish near the top of the Big Ten. They have impressive wins over Florida and Dayton and have only played 2 true home games so far this season. Notre Dame has a 2-point win over Illinois on it's resume, but also a loss at home to Radford. Irish have also played all 7 of their games at home. 

Both teams lost a lot from last year, but I think a lot more people wrote off Oklahoma because they lost a superstar in Trae Young. While Young was the talk of CBB, the Sooners went just 4-12 down the stretch. A lot of that was it was a one-man show. This year they are playing much better team basketball and a lot better defense. I look for them to win this one going away. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Penn State -

A lot of people wrote-off the Nittany Lions this year because they lost their star in Tony Carr. While that was a huge loss, there's plenty of talent still on board, including junior Lamar Stevens, who was the NIT's most outstanding player.

Stevens has been sensational, averaging 22.4 ppg and 8.6 rpg. He's got 3 guys around him who can all hit from deep and this team is holding opponents nearly 12 points below their season average on the defensive side. 

Indiana is a well-known program and there's a lot of hype with this year's team, but I haven't been all that impressed. They have lost both their true road games and barely held on to beat Northwestern at home, despite shooting 55.1% from the field. That's a major cause for concern, especially on the road, where it's a lot harder to score. Take Penn State! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Rutgers +

Really like the value here with the Scarlet Knights as a huge underdog against the Badgers. Wisconsin comes in over a big road win against undefeated and No. 14 ranked Iowa. The Badgers were No. 22 in their win over the Hawkeyes and are now the No. 12 team in the country. 

I think it has them getting way too much respect here against a quality Rutgers team. While the Scarlet Knights failed to cover as a 8-point home dog in a 78-67 loss to Michigan State, that was a 1-point game in the 2nd half. Prior to that loss, Rutgers went on the road and beat Miami, FL 57-54 as a 11-point dog. 

Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a double-digit loss at home and 4-0 ATS last 4 games on the road. Take Rutgers! 

5* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Ohio State -

I got no problem laying this number here at home with the Buckeyes against the Gophers. Minnesota is going to be a trendy pick here by the pubic, as this will look like too many points for them to be catching, as they are 6-1 with wins over Utah, Texas A&M, Washington and most recently Oklahoma State.

However, their lone loss came in their only true road game against Boston College and they got rolled by 12-points and shot a miserable 29.2% from the field. Ohio State can really lock teams down defensively and were playing extremely well (won true road games at Cincinnati and Creighton) before a setback at home against a quality Syracuse team. 

Buckeyes lost to the Orange by a final score of 72-62 and that's worth noting, as they are a prefect 5-0 ATS last 5 times they have come off a double-digit home loss. Gophers on the other hand are 0-4 ATS last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 1-9 ATS last 10 off a cover. Home team has covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and Gophers are 1-10 ATS last 11 trips to Columbus. Take Ohio State! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Arizona 

I really like the Wildcats to go on the road and take down UConn. This might not be your Final 4 caliber Arizona team, but I think because they aren't quite what they have been the last couple of years they are flying under the radar. 

Arizona's only two losses this season have come against Gonzaga and Auburn and the loss to the Tigers came the day after they laid it all on the line against the Bulldogs. They had an impressive win over Iowa State and their two losses are a lot better than UConn's loss to Iowa, who I think is a bit overrated right now. 

Wildcats are 13-4 ATS last 17 road games off a home win and the Huskies are 0-7 ATS last 7 after 2 straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers. 

We also find a strong system in play backing a fade of the Huskies. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 and are coming in off 4 straight high-scoring games where 155 or more points were scored are a mere 19-45 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Wildcats covering. Take Arizona! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Temple +

The Owls only loss this season is a mere 6-point defeat against VCU, where they shot a dreadful 32.3% from the field. I think another one of those awful shooting performances is the only thing that will keep Temple from not just covering but winning this game outright. 

Since losing to VCU, the Owls have destroyed Cal 76-59, shooting 54.4% from the field and most recently won 79-77 at Missouri on 51.6% shooting. One of the big reasons I don't think the Owls will struggle with their shot, is St. Joe's has allowed 3 of their last 4 opponents to shoot at least 50% from the field. 

Temple is 7-2 ATS last 9 off a game where they covered the spread and a perfect 7-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons in road games after a game with a combined score of 155 or more. Take Temple! 

3* NCAAB Monday Line ANNIHILATOR on San Diego State 

I'll take my chances here that the Aztecs leave Illinois State with a victory. This is a really good San Diego State team, but are off to a bit of a slow start with a 4-2 record early on. However, the two losses have both come away from home against the likes of Duke and Iowa State. While they struggled against those two Power 5 teams, they did knock off Xavier. 

Illinois State has won 4 straight, but I just think this is a big step up in class for the Redbirds, who lost by double-digits to Georgia and Belmont earlier this season. Illinois State is also a mere 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team from the MWC. 

Aztecs are 8-2 ATS last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 7-2 ATS last 9 off a SU win. Take San Diego State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Georgia Tech +

The Yellow Jackets are showing tremendous value here as a 4.5-point dog against the Red Storm. St John's is simply getting way too much respect from their 6-0 start to the season. While it's a nice way to start the year, the schedule has been very favorable. 

Georgia Tech is 4-2, but their only two losses have both come in true road games against Power 5 opponents in Tennessee and Northwestern. The big key here will the Yellow Jacket's defense, which is only giving up 59 ppg and holding opponents to 36% shooting. I look for them to slow the  Storm way down, while the offense does more than enough against a St John's defense that gives up 76.7 ppg on the road. 

Red Storm are a mere 3-11 ATS last 14 neutral site games and are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 after 3 or more consecutive wins. Yellow Jackets are 14-5 when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days and a perfect 10-0 ATS last 10 off a cover where they lost outright as a dog. Take Georgia Tech! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Dayton +

The public is going to be all over the ranked Bulldogs, but I don't think Mississippi State should be favored. I wasn't all that impressed with the Bulldogs showing in Las Vegas. They lost outright to Arizona State as a 4.5-point favorite and barely held on for a 4-point win against St. Mary's. 

Dayton on the other hand is a team I think is flying under the radar. The Flyers struggled in the first year under head coach Anthony Grant, but return 4 starters and outside of an awful 10 minutes stretch against Oklahoma, I've liked what I have seen. 

Dayton only lost by 7 on a neutral court to Virginia and shot 54.3% from the field, which is outstanding against that Cavaliers' defense. They were up decent on Oklahoma in the 2nd half, but went ice cold and scored 2 points in a 10-minute stretch. 

With the Bulldogs not quite as good as people think and this being Mississippi State's first true road game, I like Dayton to win this matchup. Flyers are 13-5 ATS L18 vs a team from the SEC, while Bulldogs are 1-11 ATS last 12 off a SU win by 20 or more (beat Alcorn St by 23 last time out). Take Dayton! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Maryland +

The betting public is going to be all over No. 4 ranked Virginia, as the books are begging for action on the Cavaliers as a short road favorite against the Terps. While Maryland comes into this game with an identical 6-0 record and are now ranked No. 24 in the country, I think people are sleeping on this team. 

While they are starting to get some respect, I don't think people realize just how talented and how well Maryland is playing right now. They got two experienced playmakers who can both score in bunches in Cowan and Fernando and a trio of freshmen that are playing at a high level. 

We know Virginia is going to be tough to score on, but the offense can be dreadful at times. Maryland is has shot 50% or better in each of their last 3 games and we saw the Cavaliers allow Dayton to shoot 54.3% a couple games back. Terps aren't just all offense, as they are only giving up 66 ppg, while holding teams to 39% from the field and 29% from deep. Take Maryland! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Line MISTAKE on Old Dominion -

I like the value here with Old Dominion as a short home favorite against the Rams. Jeff Jones has really turned the Monarchs into a consistent threat in C-USA and it's because of the emphasis that is put on the defensive side of the ball. ODU is once again locking down opposing teams, as they enter this game allowing just 58.3 ppg and 37.2% from the field. They get even more stingy at home, where they allow just 54.5 ppg and 32.7% shooting. 

VCU is a quality team and while Shaka Smart is no longer with he Rams, they are still a household name. I think that's playing into the number here, as I think this is a really tough spot for VCU against this caliber a defense in their first true road game of the season. Note they don't exactly come in shooting it well, as they have hit a mere 42% in each of their last 2 games. 

Rams are just 4-9 ATS last 13 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 as an underdog. Clearly when the books make VCU a dog it's for good reason. Take Old Dominion. 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER  on Temple +

I really like the Owls to go into Mizzou Arena and take down the Tigers. I've just not been impressed at all with Missouri, as they can't score the basketball. Tigers come into this game averaging a mere 63.6 ppg. I get they have played Iowa State, Oregon St and Kansas St, but they only had 68 points vs Central Arkansas and a mere 55 in a 3-point win over Kennesaw State. 

Temple is a very strong defensive team, which is bad news for the Tigers. Owls had one bad offensive game against VCU where they shot 32% and scored 51 points (only loss this year). Every other game they have scored 75 or more, including 81 against the likes of Georgia. I just don't see Mizzu being able to keep pace. Take Temple! 

5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Loyola-Chicago +

Expectations were sky-high for Loyola-Chicago coming into this year after that Cinderella run through the NCAA Tournament a year ago. I think a lot of people are off this team though after their 4-2 start, which includes a double-digit loss to Boston College last time out. 

I still think the Ramblers are a very dangerous team, especially on their home floor and Nevada is simply getting too much respect. The Wolf Pack come in with a perfect 6-0 record and averaging 92 ppg. They aren't a bad team, but they have played a soft schedule and will get knocked off at some point. I think there's a good chance it happens tonight, as this will be their first true road game of the 2018 season. 

Ramblers are 15-6 ATS last 21 as an underdog and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 off a loss by 10 or more points. Take Loyola-Chicago! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Boston College -

It's been quite the impressive start to the season for Minnesota, who has started out 5-0 and just took home the Vancouver Showcase title with a win over Washington in the finale. They also have early victories against the likes of Utah and Texas A&M. 

I believe all that has the Gophers getting a little to much respect here on the road against a talented BC team that off to a strong 4-1 start of their one. They too are coming off an impressive win, as they took down Loyola-Chicago 78-66 as a 4-point dog. 

I also don't love the spot for Minnesota, who has to be a bit jet-lagged from their recent trip to Vancouver, plus all the distractions with Thanksgiving. Now back on the road in what figures to be a hostile environment for the ACC/Big Ten showdown. Simply put, there's just too much value with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home. Take Boston College! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Florida

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Memphis +

I'lll gladly take the points here with Memphis in this neutral site showdown with Oklahoma State. There's a buzz around this Tigers team with Penny Hardaway the new head coach. He's going to turn Memphis into a powerhouse with his ability to recruit and I think they will be showing a lot of value this year. 

They already went on the road and covered against a very good LSU team, losing by just 9 as a 11.5-point dog. They did so despite a red-hot shooting night for LSU, who hit on 54% of their shots.

I think they are the better team here. Oklahoma State also has a road loss, but there's was at Charlotte as a 13-point favorite. This team is going to struggle this year, as they only returned 3 scholarship players. Take Memphis! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago -

I'll gladly back the Ramblers at this price. Loyola-Chicago should have zero problem here covering the number against the Eagles in this neutral site showdown in Fort Myers, Florida. Ramblers laid an egg out of the gates and lost at home to Furman, but have rolled off 3 straight wins, including a 82-66 victory over Richmond as a 7-point neutral site favorite. 

The Eagles are headed in the right direction and will surprise some teams in ACC play, but still got a ways to go. We already seen them lose at home to IUPUI as a 16-point favorite. Ramblers are 9-2 ATS last 11 neutral site games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing on 1 or less days of rest. Take Loyola-Chicago! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wisconsin -

I got no problem laying this number with the Badgers against the Cardinal. Wisconsin is a team that I think was highly undervalued coming into the year. While they are starting to get some love (ranked #25), I still think there's a lot of value backing them. 

Big reason Wisconsin is undervalued is they are coming off a season in which they went just 7-11 in the Big Ten and failed to make the NCAA Tournament fro the first time in 20 years. A big reason for their struggles was injuries. They got all 5 starters back and have already won on the road over Xavier by 9-points. Stanford just lost at UNC by 18 and was lucky to keep it that close. Should be an easy double-digit win here for the Badgers. Take Wisconsin! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bradley +

I'll take the points with the Braves in this neutral site showdown with the Mustangs. Bradley is a dangerous team in the MVC, as they bring back 4 starters from a 20-win team. They are 3-1 to start the year with the only loss coming to Illinois-Chicago by a mere 1-point. 

SMU is off a miserable 2017-18 campaign, where injuries derailed what could have been a special season. A lot of people will expect the Mustangs to bounce back, but I'm not so sure that will be the case. They lost another NBA talent in Shake Milton, their third pro in the last two years. Two of their key guys back this year are both questionable to play in Everertt Ray and Jarrey Foster.

SMU has already lost by 10 as a 9.5-point home favorite to Southern Miss and by 6 as a 10-point home favorite to Lipscomb. The Braves are better than both of those teams. Take Bradley! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arizona -

Iowa State is getting way too much love here against the Wildcats. This might not be your typically Arizona team that has the talent to be a serious national title contender, but this is still one of the most talented teams in the country. I like that they are flying under the radar coming into the year, as they should be playing with a chip on their shoulder. 

Iowa State is going to be a dangerous team come March if they can get healthy, but they are playing without preseason All-Big 12 guard Lindell Wigginton, who is out with a foot injury. On top of that, returning starters Cameron Lard (suspension) and Solomon Young (Groin) are also not playing. 

I get the Cyclones have looked great so far without those key pieces, but all 3 games for them have come at home, where they have quite the home court edge. This one is being played in Hawaii at the Maui Invitational. Take Arizona! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on William Mary +

Big time value here with the Tribe as a double-digit dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame has really shot the ball poorly to start the season. They are shooting just 38.7% from the field thru three games. Last time out they went 22 of 61 (36.1%) in a 63-60 loss at home to Radford. 

Irish are a mere 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games vs a bad team that's won between 20%-40% of their games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a game with a combined score of 125 or less. 

Tribe are 10-2 ATS last 12 road games after allowing previous two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 road games after a game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take William & Mary! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Niagara +

It's been quite the impressive start for the Purple Eagles. They opened the year with a 80-72 win at home as a dog against St. Bonaventure, then proved it was no fluke with a competitive loss and cover at Loyola-Chicago. 

I go ahead and take the points for insurance, but I like Niagara to win this game outright. Wyoming has been overvalued in each of their first three, as they haven't covered a spread yet and I think the books just haven't made the proper adjustments on this team. 

Cowboys are a mere 5-13 ATS last two seasons as a favorite. It's also worth noting that in that closer than expect loss to the Ramblers, the Purple Eagles shot a dreadful 29.2% from the field. Under head coach Chris Casey they are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after a game where they shot 33% or worse. Take Niagara! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on St. John’s -

The Red Storm should have no problem securing a win on the road against Rutgers. St. John's is a team to watch out for. This is now year three under head coach Chris Mullin and the team showed some promise late last year. They get back arguably the best player in the Big East in junior guard Shamorie Ponds and got a huge boost when Auburn transfer Mustapha Heron was cleared to play. Both are averaging 20+ ppg early on. 

I like the direction Rutgers is going and they won't go down without a fight a home, but I just think the Red Storm are the far superior team in this one. Rutgers just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to compete with the likes of Ponds and Heron. Take St. John's! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NCAAB No Doubt Vegas ATS BLOWOUT on Ohio State -

The value here is with Ohio State as a short favorite against the Bluejays. The Buckeyes surprised a lot of people last year and I think they are going to do it again, as a lot of people are expecting a step back after they lost their star duo of Keita Bates-Diop and Jae-Sean Tate. Not me. 

Last year's surprise run came in the first year under former Butler head coach Chris Holtmann, who is known for getting the most out of the talent he has to work with. He had to work extra hard with the talent he was able to get at Butler. Not so much at Ohio State, where they get big time recruits. This year's freshman class, mixed with some talented veterans will be tough to beat. 

We already seen them go on the road and beat Cincinnati by 8 as a 4.5-point dog and then absolutely annihilate Purdue-Ft Wayne by 46 as a 18.5-point favorite. Creighton is in a very similar spot, having lost their top two scorers and only returning 2 starters, but they don't have the talent that the Buckeyes do. Take Ohio State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play  on Niagara +

I really like the value here with the Purple Eagles as a big dog against everyone's favorite Cinderella story from last year in Loyola-Chicago. Last year the Ramblers surprised everyone all the way to the Final Four. With that success comes expectations, as well as a pretty big target on your back. 

We have already seen them stumble, as they lost their second game of the season to Furman at home as a 8.5-point favorite. Loyola shot just 37% from the field. All Niagara did in their first game is upset a St Bonaventure team at home 80-72 as a 4.5-point dog. A team that you might recall won 26 games last year. 

The biggest thing for me with the Ramblers is last year's success came in year 7 under head coach Porter Moser, so it's not like he just arrived and flip the script. It tells me last year's success was about the talent on hand and while they got some nice pieces back they lost three seniors who played big roles. I'm not saying they won't win this one, I just don't seem them winning by double-digits. Take Niagara! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois -

I love the Illini at this price against the Hoyas. I think this Illinois team might be one of the biggest sleepers in the country. Brad Underwood had a great track record of improving teams in his first year on the job, but Illinois actually got worst in his first go of things last season. 

Underwood could have had basically the same team back, but instead got rid of the players that didn't fit his system and added in a bunch of talent (6 freshmen, 2 transfers). One of those freshman is 5-star point guard Ayo Dosunmu, who now gives them 3 playmakers in the backcourt with the return of senior Aaron Jordan and sophomore Big Ten All-Freshman guard Trent Frazier. 

Georgetown had similar struggles in the first year under head coach Patrick Ewing. I don't see the same upside with the Hoyas in year-two. Georgetown is 2-0, but only beat Maryland Eastern Shore by 15 as a 30.5-point favorite then had to hold on for a 7-point win at home against Central Connecticut. Illinois put up 99 in a 36-point win over Evansville as a mere 16-point favorite and that same Evansville team only lost by 6-points the next time out at Xavier. 

I just don't see Georgetown being able to keep pace offensively with this Illini team, especially on the road. Take Illinois! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on UMASS -

Really like the value here with the Minutemen laying a short number at home against the Crimson. I like the direction this UMass team is headed under Matt McCall. They got a legit scorer in junior Luwane Pipkins (21.2 ppg last year) and a sharp-shooting sophomore guard in Carl Pierre (47% from 3's) to lead the way. They also got a big who can dominate in Rashaan Holloway and a couple of transfers in Curtis Cobb and Jonathan Laurent who are starting. 

Harvard is a team that has high expectations this year of making the the NCAA Tournament, but we just saw them lose 81-71 at home to Northeastern. Until they get back their two studs from injury in Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns, this team will struggle to win games. Take UMass! 

4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Xavier +

I'm not buying the Badgers being a road favorite over the Musketeers. Xavier was a No. 1 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but lost head coach Chris Mack and a trio of playmakers in Trevon Blueitt, J.P. Macura and Kerem Kanter. I just think the assumption here is that the Musketeers will take a big step back this year. 

I don't think that's the case at all. Mack's assistant Travis Steele is taking over a team that not only returns a lot of talent, but added in some experienced grad transfers and solid freshmen. I get Wisconsin gets everyone back from a team that was decimated by injuries last year, but these are Bo Ryan's Badgers any more. I'm not saying Wisconsin won't be a  strong team, I just think they are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Big East power. Take Xavier! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Troy +

I look for the Trojans to go into Pittsburgh and give the Panthers all they can handle. Pitt has started out 2-0, but there's nothing to be excited about wins over Youngstown State and VMI. There's still a long way for these Panthers to go before they can be taken seriously.

Pitt won just 8 games all of last year, going winless (0-18) in ACC play. They fired head coach Kevin Stallings and several key players either graduated or transferred out of the program. The future figures to be bright under Jeff Capel, but this figures to be a long rebuilding season. 

Troy is one of the top teams out of the Sun Belt and showcased some of their potential in a mere 4-point loss at St Louis as a 12-point dog last time out. Trojans nearly won on the road as a double-digit dog, despite shooting just 38.9% from the field. If they can hit some shots tonight, I definitely could see them winning this outright. Take Troy! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY  on Bowling Green +

I like the value here with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Rams. Bowling Green comes in at 1-1, but the lone loss is nothing to be ashamed of. The Falcons lost 84-80 at St. John's as a 18.5-point underdog. Bowling Green shot 50% against the Red Storm and if they are hitting their shots they are a very difficult team to beat. 

VCU is a program that still gets respect nationally from their success under Shaka Smart and last year the Rams missed out on the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010. While VCU has opened up 2-0, neither win has been all that impressive. They have beat Gardner-Webb and Hampton, each by a final score of 69-57. They failed to cover as a 14-point favorite against Garder Webb and there wasn't even a line against Hampton. 

Falcons are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after covering the spread in their last game. Take Bowling Green! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Southern Miss +

I love the value here with the Golden Eagles as a double-digit dog against the Mustangs. Southern Miss is a team you want to look out for early on this season. They are now a few years removed from the NCAA sanctions and will have basically their entire roster back from last year's 16-win team. They are a legit sleeper in C-USA and will be out to make a statement here against a quality program like SMU. 

The Mustangs won their opener at home against Northwestern State, but it wasn't pretty. SMU only won by 11-points as a massive 25.5-point favorite. They shot just 39% from the field, which is a bit concerning given the level of competition they were playing. SMU did lose their go-to-guy in Shake Milton, who led the team with 18.0 ppg). They will also be without projected starting guard Jarrey Foster. Look for Golden Eagles to hang around and maybe win this game outright. Take Southern Miss! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Northern Iowa -

Really like the value here with UNI as a short favorite against UT Arlington. Both teams come in off wins against teams they were all but guarantee to beat. I just think this is a complete mismatch in terms of talent. 

The Mavericks went 21-13 last year, but fired head coach Scott Cross because the AD was upset about not making any NCAA Tournament appears. Cross had won 72 the past 3 seasons. Arlington not only will be adjusting to a new coach (Chris Ogden), but they have to replace all 5 starters, including two of the best players to ever play at the program. 

UNI went just 16-16 last year and 7-11 in the Missouri Valley. First time since 2002 that they were under .500 in conference play. They were better than their record (KenPom had them rated 3rd best team in the MWC). I like head coach Ben Jacobson and he's got the Panthers flying under the radar in 2018. Take Northern Iowa! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Columbia +

I think the books have the wrong team favored in this one. Marist might be one of the better teams in the MAAC, but that's not saying much. The Red Foxes went on the road and lost at Army in their opener, doing so despite shooting 51.9% from the field.

Columbia is a team that could surprise in the Ivy League this year. They have 4 starters back, as well as several of their top reserves. Last year a young team struggled to win away from home (1-14), but now they should start beating these teams on the road where they have the edge. Look for the Lions to pull off the minor upset. Take Columbia! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Cal-Irvine +

I fully expect UC Irvine to a be a team people are talking about as a sleeper in the NCAA Tournament. The Anteaters are absolutely loaded in terms of experience and talent for a team of their size. Irvine gets back all 5 starters, their top 3 reserves and talented redshirt freshman Collin Welp. 

It's why the Anteaters are as short a dog as they are against a Power 5 program in Texas A&M, who has two starters back from last year's Sweet 16 team. The thing with the Aggies is they figure to be down a few notches after losing one of the best frontcourts in the country with Tyler Davis, D.J. Hogg and Robert Williams all gone. In total they lost 4 guys 6-9 or taller who averaged at least 6.7 ppg and 4.4 rpg. 

I not only think the Anteaters will keep this thing close enough to cover, but I like them to win this one outright. They already won and covered as a 15-point favorite in their season opener (shot 54% from the field). Aggies on the other hand won by just 15 as a 29-point favorite. Take UC-Irvine! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on LSU -

I got a lot of respect for the UNC-Greensboro program. I know they got 3 starters back from a team that gave Gonzaga a scare in the NCAA Tournament, but I just don't see them being able to keep this within 15 points against a very talented LSU team on the Tigers home floor. 

LSU cruised to a 94-63 win at home over SE Louisiana, easily covering as a 20.5-point favorite. it could have been even worse if the Tigers wanted. They called off the dogs on defense after taking a 45-18 lead at the half. 

As for the Spartans, they had to rally from a 1st half deficit to beat North Carolina A&T. Winning by a final score of 74-66 as a 16-point favorite. They shot 50% from the field and barely won against an inferior team. That's a bad sign, as they aren't going to be shooting anywhere close to 50% on the road vs LSU. Look for the Tigers to have the cover in the bag early. Take LSU! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on George Washington -

I like the value here with the Colonials. George Washington was upset in their season opener at home by Stoney Brook. That's not as bad a loss as you might think. As for Siena, they went on the road and lost by just 10 as a 19.5-point dog to Providence. 

Those results would have most tempted to take the points with the Saints in this one, but I look for the Colonials to bounce back in a big way at home. Georgia Washington really beat themselves in their game against Stoney Brook. They shot 47.3% from the field to Stony Brook's 38.6%. What killed the Colonials is that they went 16 of 34 (47.1%) from the free throw line and turned it over 17 times. Both areas I expect to see major improvement in tonight. Take George Washington! 

3* CBB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Eastern Kentucky +

I like the value here with Eastern Kentucky as a near double-digit dog at home to Marshall. Many will recall the Thundering Herd upsetting No. 4 seed Wichita State in the opening round of last year's NCAA Tournament. Head coach Dan D'Antoni runs a similar run-and-gun offense to that of the Houston Rockets, where his younger brother coaches. This will be a very public team and I don't think the books will hesitate to inflate the number on them. 

The Colonels decided it was time for a change and fired head coach Dan McHale. They replaced him with A. W. Hamilton, who actually played at Marshall. This is one of those special games, where you put a little more into getting a win, especially with it being the season opener. Eastern Kentucky will need to find some new guys to compliment their star in Nick Mayo, who might be the best player in the Ohio Valley. I believe they will and this could be a surprise team in the OVC. I think they keep it closer than expected and got a legit shot at winning the game outright. Take Eastern Kentucky! 

5* NCAAB Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR on San Fran +

I'm shocked the Dons are a dog in this fight, but I'll gladly take some insurance points in a game I see San Francisco winning rather easily. The Dons have won 42 games in the first two seasons under head coach Kyle Smith and made it all the way to the CBI Finals last March. 

This year's team looks even stronger than the one that went 22-17 and finished 4th in the WCC behind the likes of Gonzaga, St Mary's and BYU. They probably can't challenge Gonzaga for the title, but I could definitely see them surprising and finishing higher in the standings. 

UC Davis is also off a strong season and et back Big West Player of the Year T.J. Shorts, but lost two key starters, including China Moneke, who nearly averaged a double-double (18.4 ppg, 9.6 rpg). I just don't see them keeping pace with the Dons in this one. Take San Francisco! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on UCLA -

The Bruins should have no problem here covering this short humber at home against Purdue Fort Wayne. The Mastadons posted a winning record last year and get back 3x All-Summit 1st Team guard John Konchar, while UCLA never reached their full potential and were knocked out in Dayton in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. 

This year there are no distractions and the Bruins are loaded with talent that's ready to make a run at a Pac-12 title. I fully expect them to win here by 20+ and have this line covered by halftime. Take UCLA! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Wofford +

A lot of people are going to think this line is a mistake. The No. 8 ranked Tar Heels are barely a double-digit favorite on the road against Wofford from the Southern Conference. Those that have done their homework will understand this line and the value that comes with the Terriers. 

Wofford brings back all 5 starters from last year's team that went 21-13, including a 79-75 win at North Carolina last year. I get the Tar Heels will be out for revenge, but it means every bit as much to the Terriors to win again. UNC has the chance to be good, but must work in a lot of new pieces and replace one of the ACC's best point guard is in Joel Berry, as well as one of their best all-around players in Theo Pinson. 

I expect this one to go right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Terrior did in fact pull off the upset. Take Wofford! 

5* NCAA Championship Game VEGAS INSIDER on Michigan/Villanova UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Monday's National Championship Game between Villanova and Michigan. The Wildcats just put up 95 in a convincing win over Kansas that flew over the total of 155 and to no surprise the public is pounding the OVER in the title game tonight. 

Those who have watched Villanova, know this is a team that loves to shoot the 3-pointer and they couldn't have been hotter from deep to start their Final Four game against the Jayhawks. The Wildcats hit 13 of 26 3-pointers in the 1st half, as they exposed Kansas big man Azubuike and his inability to guard the 3-pointer. Michigan is a much better defense team than the Jayhawks and are much better equipped to defend the 3-pointer. 

I expect the Wolverines to try and slow down the game, as the last thing they want to do is get in a shootout with Villanova. The problem here for Michigan is they aren't a great offensive team and the Wildcats are a much better defensive team than people think. This matchup reminds me a lot of Villanova's Elite 8 matchup with Texas Tech, which finished with just 130 points. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB 'Final Four' VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago +

I like the value here with the Ramblers in their Final Four showdown with Michigan. I think the perception is that Loyola-Chicag's Cinderella run will come to an end against the Wolverines, but I not only think the Ramblers can keep it close enough to cover, but I like their chances of winning this game outright. 

By now it's no secret that Loyola has gotten to this point because of their defense. I just don't know that people realize how good the Ramblers are on that side of the ball. They have held all 4 of their opponents to this point under 70 points, holding 3 of the 4 to exactly 62 points. It's not just effort, the coaching staff of Loyola has done a tremendous job gameplanning for their opponent. Michigan had one great offensive game against Texas A&M, where they shot 62% from the field. The other 3 weren't all that good. They shot just 35.6% in their last-second win over Houston and a mere 38.8% in their 4-point victory over Florida State.

What gets over looked with the Ramblers and that elite defense, is how efficient they are on the offensive side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago's worst shooting performance in the tournament came in their first game against Miami, where they shot just 47.3%. They hit 50% against the Vols, 56% against Nevada and 57.4% vs the Wildcats. Ramblers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a dog and 8-1 ATS in their 9 tournament games played this season. Take Loyola! 

5* NCAAB 'CBI' Champ Game VEGAS INSIDER on North Texas -

I like the value here with the Mean Green in Friday's CBI Championship Game. Unlike the other postseason tournaments, where it's win or go home, the CBI plays a best of 3 series for the title. These two teams have split the first two games of the series with the home team dominating in each matchup.

San Francisco won Game 1 at home 72-62. North Texas responded with a 69-55 win in game 2. The Mean Green were a similar 3.5-point home favorite in Game 2 and I just don't see any reason not to back North Texas in the rubber match at home. 

San Fran is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mean Green are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Take North Texas! 

4* NCAAB 'NIT' Championship Game NO-BRAINER on Utah +

I like the value here with the Utes as a decently priced dog in Thursday's NIT Championship Game against Penn State. Utah hasn't just caught fire in the NIT, this is a team that really turned a corner   in the final month and a half of the regular-season. The Utes went 99-3 over their final 12 games. They would lose their only game in the Pac-12 Tournament, but it could have easily went their way, as they fell 66-68 to Oregon.

They picked right up where they left off and have been a force in the NIT. They won by 9 at St Mary's to get to New York and won by 5 as a 2-point dog in the semifinals Tuesday against WKU. Penn State has won 5 of 6, but I just don't see a big enough gap that the Nittany Lions should be favored by nearly 5-points. If anything, this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me. Take Utah! 

5* NCAAB 'CIT' Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Illinois Chicago +

I like the value here with Illinois-Chicago in Wednesday's matchup against Liberty in the semifinals of the CIT. I just feel like UIC isn't getting near enough respect here and I think a lot of that has to do with the fact that they are without leading scorer Dikembe Dixon. He didn't play in either of their first two games in this tournament and they won by 23 as a mere 5-point favorite against St Francis-PA and followed that up with a 83-81 win at Austin Peay as a 4-point dog. UIC put up 80+ in both wins and have now scored 75 or more in 10 of their last 11. 

Liberty put up 84 in their most recent game against Central Michigan, but that was more of a result of them taking advantage of a bad Chippewas defense. They also shot lights out, hitting on 56% of their attempts. Prior to that Liberty had eclipsed 70 points just once in their previous 7 games. UIC is allowing just 72.6 ppg on the season and have held opponents to 40.7% from the field. Keep in mind UIC played the much tougher schedule this season. I actually think this should be closer to a pick'em. Take Illinois-Chicago! 

4* NCAAB 'CBI Championship' ANNIHILATOR on San Fran -

I like the value here with the Dons laying a short number at home against the Mean Green. North Texas has had the more impressive run to the CBI Championship Series, but I think it has them overvalued here on the road. San Francisco is a quality team that has played it's best basketball at home, where they are 15-6 on the season. 

The other big key here is defense and that's what I believe will be the difference in this one. North Texas has put up 90 or more in all 3 of their wins in this Tournament. Those all came against some bad defensive teams. San Francisco has allowed 68, 73 and 62 in their 3 games in the CBI and are only giving up 66.2 ppg at home, where they are also holding opponents to just 41.9% shooting. 

North Texas is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games after scoring 75 or more points in 3 straight games. Take San Francisco! 

3* NCAAB 'Elite 8' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech +

I like the value here with the Red Raiders as a decently priced underdog against Villanova. Texas Tech continued their impressive run through the tournament with a 78-65 win over Purdue and this is simply a different team when Keenan Evans is healthy. Had he not been hurt late in the regular season, the Red Raiders may have very well won the Big 12 title. When Evans has been on the floor, Texas Tech has played like one of the best teams in the country. 

I think the fact that Villanova has won and covered all 3 of their games and will be the popular public side, has this line a lot higher than it should be. Keep in mind West Virginia was only a 5.5-point dog in the previous round and this Texas Tech team is more talented than the Mountaineers and arguably the best defensive team the Wildcats will have seen to this point in the tournament. I don't think it's out of the question that the Red Raiders can win this one one outright. Take Texas Tech! 

4* NCAAB 'Elite 8' VEGAS INSIDER on Florida State +

I like the value here with the Seminoles as a decently priced underdog in Saturday's Elite 8 action against Michigan. Both of these teams come in off impressive wins. The Wolverines cruised to a 99-72 win over Texas A&M, while Florida State made easy work of Gonzaga in a 75-60 win.

The Seminoles have now knocked off Xavier and Gonzaga in back-to-back games, yet no one is giving this team much of a chance to beat Michigan. I think that's a big mistake and my numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me on Florida State at this price. 

This is a situation in which the Seminoles have absolutely thrived at the ticket window. FSU is 20-5 ATS in their last 25 as a neutral court dog of 6 points or less. They are also working on a 10-2 ATS run over their last 12 non-confernece games. Take Florida State! 

5* NCAAB 'Sweet 16' NO LIMIT Top Play on Villanova UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's Sweet 16 action that has No. 1 seed Villanova taking on No. 5 seed West Virginia. Both of these teams have been impressive on the offensive side of the ball. The Mountaineers put up 85 on Murray State and 94 against Marshall. As for the Wildcats, they hung 87 on Radford and 81 on Alabama. 

I believe those high outputs have created some great value here with the UNDER. Not to say these aren't strong offensive teams, I just feel the level of competition played a big role in those high offensive outputs. I expect to see both sides struggle to find a rhythm offensively in this one. While Villanova has the guards to handle the West Virginia pressure, it's likely to still cause some problems just because they haven't really played against it. The Mountaineers simply aren't going to shoot 50% from the field against this Villanova defense like they did in the first two rounds. 

Note that UNDER is 8-2-1 in the Mountaineers last 11 games after they scored 90 or more points. The UNDER is also 12-3 in West Virginia's last 15 as an underdog and 9-1 in their last 10 vs teams that average 84 or more points/game. Take the UNDER!  

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB 'Sweet 16' VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on A&M/Michigan OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's Sweet 16 matchup between Texas A&M and Michigan. The Wolverines came out flat offensively in their first round game against Montana (didn't score in first 4 minutes, trailed 10-0), which was to be expected after the long layoff between that game and the Big Ten Tournament. They then were matched up with an elite Houston defense in the Round of 32 and ended up needing a last-second 3-pointer to pull out a 64-63 win. 

Prior to these two Tournament games, Michigan had scored 75+ in each of their previous 5 games and I look for the offense to return to form here against Texas A&M. The Aggies limited UNC to just 65 points and 33.3% shooting, but put up 86 on the Tar Heels. Simply put this total has been set too low given the talent offensively on both sides. 

OVER is 13-4 in Michigan's last 17 road games after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of each of their last 2 games and 9-2 in their last 11 road games after playing 2 straight as a favorite. OVER is also 9-2 in the Wolverines last 11 vs a team that is shooting 45% or better from the field at least 15 games into the season and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 on the road vs teams who average 17 or fewer fouls/game. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAA Tournament ATS HEAVY HITTER on UMBC +

I like the value here with UMBC as a double-digit dog in their attempt to keep this incredible Cinderella story going. The Retrievers pulled off the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history, as they became the first ever No. 16 seed to take down a No. 1 seed. What's remarkable is they didn't just win on a miracle 3-pointer at the buzzer, they absolutely dominated the No. 1 overall seed in a 20-point win. 

There is some concern here with UMBC suffering a letdown off that massive upset, but I think there's more fight in this team and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. This Kansas State team isn't anything special and could be without one of their best players in Dean Wade, who leads the team in scoring at 16.5 ppg. Wade is questionable with a foot injury and even if he does play, he doesn't figure to be at 100%. Take UMBC! 

5* NCAA Tourn Rd of 32 GAME OF THE YEAR on Auburn -

I love the value here with Auburn at basically a pick'em against Clemson in Sunday's Round of 32 action out of the Midwest Region. Auburn won their opener 62-58 over Charleston. That was a lot closer than most expected, as they were a 9.5-point favorite, but that's a much better Charleston team than most people realize. It didn't help that Auburn shot about as poor as they could, hitting just 35.6% from the field. 

Clemson had a little easier time in their first game, as they beat New Mexico State 79-68 behind a red-hot 55.9% shooting. I just think the contrasting victories have created some big time value here with Auburn. I look for Clemson to have a much tougher time offensively against this Auburn defense, while I expect Auburn to be much more efficient from the offensive side of the ball. 

Clemson hasn't exactly excelled in this spot. They are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 when playing on the road in their 2nd game in a week. Take Auburn!

5* NCAA Tournament NO LIMIT Top Play on Cincy OVER

I love the value here with the OVER in Sunday's Round of 32 action that has Nevada taking on Cincinnati. It's no secret that the Bearcats are a great defensive team and I think that is definitely playing into this low number. 

The key here is the matchup and unfamiliarity with this explosive Nevada offense, which features 3 big time offensive players in Jordan Caroline and the Martin twins. This is a team that scores 83.2 ppg and doesn't play at a really fast tempo, which speaks to how efficient they are. The other big key is they don't turn the ball over and shoot close to 40% from behind the 3-point line. 

While I could see the Bearcats struggling to contain this Nevada offense, they should be able to put up a big number of their own against this Wolf Pack defense. Nevada hasn't allowed fewer than 74 points in each of their last 6 games. 

OVER is 5-1 in the Wolf Pack's last 6 non-confernece games, and 8-2 in their last 10 games played on a neutral site. OVER is also 33-15 in Nevada's last 48 vs great defensive teams that are giving up 64 or fewer points/game at least 15 games into the season. Take the OVER! 

3* NIT Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Oregon/Marquette UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NIT action that has Marquette hosting Oregon. The Ducks come in off a 99-86 win over Rider in the opening round of the NIT. That game flew over the total of 159 and I think it has the number here inflated. The Golden Eagles are a team that averages 80.8 ppg, but aren't in great form right now, as they have scored 72 or fewer in each of their last 3 games. 

While Oregon gave up 86 to Rider, the Ducks had held each of their previous 4 opponents to 74 or less and I expect a big effort here defensively on the road. Keep in mind that both teams can score well into the 70s and we can still cash a winning ticket with this high number.

UNDER is 9-2 in the Ducks last 11 off a home win by 10 or more points, 15-5 in their last 20 road games off a home game and 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 80 or more points. UNDER is also 16-5 in Marquette's last 21 home games with a total in the 150's. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAA Tournament Vegas INSIDER on Loyola +

I like the value here with the Ramblers as a decently priced dog against the Volunteers, as I think there's a decent chance they win this game outright. A lot of people simply don't realize just how good this Loyola-Chicago team is. Not only because of the small conference they play in, but they haven't really been in this spot before. 

One of the reasons that Tennessee had such a great season is the defense they played, but the Ramblers are every bit as good on that side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago only gave up 62.7 ppg on the season and were right on point, limiting the Hurricanes to 62 points in the first round. They forced Miami into 16 turnovers and did an excellent job keeping them off the line, as the Hurricanes only attempted 13 free throws. 

The other big key here is the Ramblers can stroke it from long-distance. They shot 40% as a team from behind the 3-point line and have 5 different players who shoot 38% or better. I simply trust their offense more in this one and I feel this line is inflated by a good 3-4 points because of how good the Vols looked in their opener with Wright State. Take Loyola-Chicago! 

3* NCAA Tournament Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls catching a decent number against the Wildcats. Buffalo pulled off a big upset in the first round and did so in impressive fashion. The Bulls defeated Arizona 89-68 as a 9-point dog. A lot of people credited the win more on how bad the Wildcats played and while they didn't play their best game, this Buffalo team is no joke. 

The Bulls have 3 dynamic scorers in Jeremy Harris (15.6 ppg), C.J. Massinburg (17.3 ppg) and Wes Clark (14.1 ppg). These 3 combined for 67 points and were 11 for 22 from long-distance. That 3-point shooting is a huge factor here, as Kentucky is one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country and failed to make a single 3 in their win over Davidson in the first round. While the Wildcats will be able to score inside on the Bulls, trading 2 for 3 will allow Buffalo to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Buffalo! 

4* NIT Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Penn State OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's NIT action that has Notre Dame facing off against Penn State. While Notre Dame put up 84 in their first NIT game against Hampton, the Nittany Lions played a very low-scoring game against Temple, which the won 63-57. I think that combined with the fact that the Irish only allowed 63 to Hampton has this number a lot lower than it should be. 

Penn State is a much better offensive team than they showed in their game against the Owls and should have a much easier time scoring here against the Irish. Keep in mind that Notre Dame allowed Duke to shoot 55.4% from the field in their final game of the ACC Tournament. The other key here is I don't see the Nittany Lions defense being able to slow down the Irish offense, which is averaging 82 ppg at home. 

Note the OVER is 14-4 over the last 2 seasons when Penn State is listed as a road dog and 8-1 in Notre Dame's last 9 home games as a favorite of 6 or less. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAA Tournament ATS NO-BRAINER on Missouri +

I like the value here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em against the Seminoles in Friday's first round action out of the West Region. Missouri is one of the bigger wild card teams in the field, as Michael Porter Jr basically didn't play the entire season until the Tigers SEC Tournament game. He's a special talent and a for sure lottery pick in next year's NBA draft. He's the kind of player that can put a team on his back. 

To no surprise Porter Jr was a bit rusty in his first game back, but he certainly wasn't lacking any confidence, as he hoisted up 17 shots off the bench in just 23 minutes of playing time. I think that was huge for the Tigers to get a warm-up game with Porter Jr. in the mix. They now have had a few days to put together a game plan and I think they are going to have their way with Florida State. 

The Seminoles have some nice pieces and were a solid team, but they aren't playing well down the stretch. FSU went just 4-6 over their final 10 games. I also don't love the matchup for the Seminoles. Florida State relies a lot on penetration to get their offense going and this Missouri team can lock you down defensively. The Tigers also are a great 3-point shooting team, which is huge given all the size and athleticism the Seminoles have inside. Take Missouri! 

5* NCAA Tournament No Limit TOP PLAY on UMBC +

I love the value here with the Maryland-Baltimore Country catching a huge number against No. 1 overall seed Virginia. Most people probably didn't even know UMBC was a school and that unfamiliarity combined with the Cavaliers being ranked No. 1 overall will have the public backing Virginia. I think the books were well aware of this action and have inflated this line to where there's tremendous value with the underdog. 

You hear it all the time, great guard play is critical in the NCAA Tournament. Well the Retrievers are led by their backcourt of Jairus Lyles and K.J. Maura. Both of which are very quick off the dribble and have great instincts on defense. They create a lot of easy looks from deep with their penetration and generate a lot of steals on the defense, allowing UMBC to get out in transition. 

I know Virginia doesn't have a ton of holes, but I think the pressure of the Retrievers and the Cavaliers potentially not giving this team their full amount of respect with much bigger games looming, will allow UMBC to keep this game a lot closer than most expert. Take Maryland-Baltimore County! 

4* NCAA Tournament VEGAS INSIDER on Creighton -

I like the value here with the Bluejays at basically a pick'em in Fridays' first round action out of the South Region. Bruce Weber did another masterful job at Kansas State this year, as many experts had them pegged near the basement of the Big 12 standings. Martin forces effort from his players on a nightly basis and that played a big part in the Wildcats regular-season success. 

The thing is, effort can only get you so far and we saw this team really struggle against the top tier teams in the Big 12. In fact, they were 0-7 against the likes of Kansas, West Virginia and Texas Tech. I think we are going to see a similar struggle for them against a very good Creighton team that is extremely efficient offensively and plays at a frantic pace. The Bluejays put up 84.3 ppg. K-State simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace, as they really only have to legit scoring options in Dean Wade and Barry Brown. Take Creighton! 

3* BEST BET on Murray State +

I like the value here with the Racers catching double-digits against the Mountaineers in Friday's first round action out of the East Region. It's no secret that West Virginia is a tough team to prepare for in the NCAA Tournament, but I think Murray State has the pieces in place to handle the Mountaineers pressure. 

The Racers have two good ball handlers in their backcourt in Jonathan Stark and Demetrius Morant. The two combined to average 34.4 ppg and 10.3 apg. While they are great at sharing the ball on the offensive side of the ball, they were also one of the best teams in the country in forcing teams to beat them one-on-one. If they can keep from turning it over and not allowing the Mountaineers to get out in transition, this team can make it extremely hard for West Virginia to score. If the outside shot is falling for Murray State, they not only will keep this within the number, but they will have a legit shot at pulling off the upset. Take Murray State! 

3* NCAA Tournament TOTAL ANNIHILATOR  on Butler UNDER

I like the value with the UNDER in Friday's East Region action that has No. 7 Arkansas taking on No. 10 Butler. Those that just look at the numbers from the regular-season will think this is gong to be a high-scoring game. Both teams average right around 80 ppg and both are allowing on average in the high 70's. 

The thing is, the defensive intensity is taken to a different level in the NCAA Tournament and teams also simply don't shoot as well because of all the hype and pressure that comes with these games. The other thing is both offenses weren't exactly clicking down the stretch. 

While Arkansas put up 80 in a win over Florida in the SEC Tournament, that was the only time in their last 4 games they reached 70 points. Same thing with Butler, who scored 70 or fewer in 3 of their final 4 games. I think we get enough defense here to keep this well below the mark. Take the UNDER! 

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5* NCAA Tournament Rd of 64 GAME OF THE YEAR on Marshall +

I love the value here with the Thundering Herd as a big dog against the Shockers in Friday's first round action out of the East Region. Marshall's head coach is Dan D'Antoni, who is the brother of Houston Rockets head coach Mike D'Antoni. As you might have guessed the two have similar philosophies on the offensive side and want to try and outscore teams by outshooting them from long-distance. 

It worked really well down the stretch for Marshall, who punched their ticket to the Big Dance by winning the C-USA Tournament. The Thundering Herd average 10-made 3-pointers a game and have 7 different players who shoot 33% or better from deep. That long-range attack helped them average 84.3 ppg. 

While Wichita State has the offensive fire-power to hang with Marshall and likely ultimately win this game, they are definitely on upset alert. That's because the Shockers aren't as good defensively as they have been in years past. One of their biggest weaknesses was defending the 3-point shot, making this a horrible matchup out of the gates. I think the Thundering Herd give them a scare and maybe win this one outright. Take Marshall! 

3* NCAA Tournament TOTAL MASSACRE on Marshall UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's first round action out of the East Region that has Marshall taking on Wichita State. There's no denying that these are two explosive offensive teams. The betting public is going to simply look at the offensive numbers of these two teams and run to the window to take the OVER. The books are well aware of this and have certainly inflated this total to a price where I think the value is on the other side. 

One thing to keep in mind with teams like Wichita State and Marshall, who rely a lot on the 3-point shot, is that first game of the tournament can prove to be difficult for teams to shoot well. The defensive intensity is also at it's highest, so there's not going to be as many easy looks like their will be in the regular season. 

Note that Marshall has seen the UNDER cash in 23 of their last 31 games when they are up against a dominant rebounding team like Wichita State that's outrebounding opponents by 7+ boards/game. UNDER is also 15-5 in the Shockers last 20 games as a neutral court favorite and 16-5 in their last 21 tournament games overall. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAA Tournament BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls catching a big number against the Wildcats. There's been plenty of talk about how Arizona got the shaft on their seed and I think it has a lot of people jumping on the Wildcats laying single-digits here. As good as Arizona is, this Buffalo team is no joke. 

The Bulls cruised to the MAC Tournament title, winning all 3 of their tournament games by double-digits. They also showed extremely well in non-conference against the likes of Cincinnati, Texas A&M, Syracuse and St Bonaventure. The Bulls are also 12-2 ATS in their last 12 neutral court games with a perfect 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog. Take Buffalo! 

5* NCAA Tournament VEGAS INSIDER on Stephen F Austin +

I love the value here with the Lumberjacks catching double-digits against Texas Tech in Thursday's first round action out of the East Region. Stephen F. Austin has a lot of great qualities for success in the NCAA Tournament. The Lumberjacks have great depth and balance on the offensive side of the ball. They also bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball and as a result led the nation in turnover percentage and steels. That pressure often leads to a lot of good looks on the offensive side of the ball, especially from long-range, where Stephen F. Austin is deadly from. 

As for Texas Tech, this is a team that really lost its mojo down the final leg of the season. The Red Raiders went just 2-5 over their final 7 games and the two wins could have easily been losses, as both came by 4-points or less. Rarely do you see a team that comes into the Big Dance struggling flip the switch and go on a deep run. If Texas Tech struggles with the pressure of the Lumberjacks, they not only aren't going to cover, but they may lose this game outright. Take Stephen F. Austin! 

3* NCAA Tournament ATS HEAVY HITTER on Miami

I like the value here with the Hurricanes on the money line, as the Ramblers continue to get a lot of love in your classic 12 vs a 5 upset. Miami has a lot more talent than people realize and are extremely athletic. Not to take anything away from Loyola-Chicago, but I just think they are going to have a really hard time against this Hurricanes team. 

I also don't think that Miami head coach Jim Larranaga gets near enough credit for how he can impact a tournament game. Larranaga is one of the best in the business at breaking down the Xs and Os and will have his team ready for anything the Ramblers throw at them. Take Miami! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL DESTROYER on Gonzaga UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Thursday's first round action out of the West Region between No. 4 seed Gonzaga and No. 13 seed UNC-Greensboro. Gonzaga is an offensive juggernaut. The Bulldogs ranked 10th in the country in offensive efficiency while averaging 84.5 ppg. 

The problem here is I don't think Gonzaga is going to be able to put up a big number here against the Spartans. UNC-Greensboro is a team that is built around it's defense and will do whatever they can to slow down the pace of the game to take the other team out of their offensive rhythm. They know their only shot of pulling off the upset is to do exactly that and I just don't think there's going to be enough possessions to push this over the mark. Keep in mind Gonzaga is no slouch on the defensive side of the ball. They only gave up 67.1 ppg and Greensboro is not a very good offensive team. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAA Tournament ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Wright State +

I like the value here with the Raiders catching double-digits against the Volunteers in Thursday's opening round action out of the South Region. Wright State got to the big dance behind one of the better defenses in the country. The Raiders ranked were just outside the top 50 in the nation in defensive efficiency. They are especially good at defending inside the arc behind big men Loudon Love and Parker Ernsthausen. 

With Tennessee also being an elite defensive team, points are going to be at premium, which only adds more value here with the Raiders at this price. Keep in mind the Volunteers aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut. A big reason for that is they don't have an elite guard who can create his own shot when needed. This is also a primarily a jump shooting team and if the shots aren't falling for the Vols they not only won't cover, but could lose this game outright. Take Wright State! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Oklahoma +

I like the value here with the Sooners as a dog against the Rams in Thursday's 1st round action out of the Midwest Region. There's been all kinds of talk about how Oklahoma didn't deserve to make the field of 68 due to their poor finish. I think the Sooners will use that as motivation and come out with a huge chip on their shoulder here. 

Rhode Island wasn't exactly playing great down the stretch either. The Rams were just 4-4 over their final 8 games, which included an ugly 30-point loss at home to St. Josephs. I know teams in the Big 12 seemed to figure out freshman sensation Trae Young, but let's not forget how dominant he was in non-conference play to start the year. Oklahoma has the best player on the court and I think the long break between their early exit in the Big 12 Tournament and this game will do wonders for the Sooners. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NIT Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Washington OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's late night NIT action that has Boise State taking on Washington. The Broncos defense really slipped down the stretch, as they allowed 79 ppg over their final 3 games.

I know the Huskies aren't a great offensive team, but they should be able to put up a big number here at home against this defense. On the flip side of this, I don't think Washington will be able to slow down the Broncos attack, sending this one well over the mark set here by the books. 

OVER is 19-9 in the Huskies last 28 non-conference games and 9-1 in their last 10 when playing on 5 or 6 days of rest. Take the OVER! 

3* CBI No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Grand Canyon -

I like the value here with the Antelopes laying what I think is a short number against the Bears in the opening round of the CBI Tournament. Grand Canyon won 22 games this season and were on a 5-game winning streak before getting knocked out of the WAC Tournament by regular-season champ New Mexico State. 

A huge factor here is the Antelopes get to host this game, as they went an impressive 16-2 at home this season. I think the fact that Mercer had won 8 straight before losing to Wofford in the Southern Tournament has them getting too much respect here.

The Bears are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, while the Antelopes have covered 5 of their last 6 games outside conference play. Take Grand Canyon!  

5* CBI Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on New Orleans -

I love the value here with the Privateers laying a short number against the Vaqueros in Wednesday's CBI action. Both of these teams finished the season poorly, but I still think New Orleans is the far superior team here. Looking back at non-conference play, we see both teams played at SMU. While both teams lost, the Privateers kept it respectable in a 13-point defeat, while the Vaqueros got annihilated by 31 points. 

The other big key here is UT-Rio Grande Valley was not good on the road and they come in a mere 1-9-1 ATS over the last 11 road games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games The Privateers were a solid 9-3 on their home court and are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss by more than 20 points (lost by 22 to Sam Houston St in conference tournament). Take New Orleans! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Asheville +

I really like the value here with the Bulldogs catching a big number against USC in the opening round of the NIT. This is all about motivation and I just have a hard time seeing the Trojans being all that excited about even playing in this tournament. USC had their eyes set on the NCAA Tournament and had to feel like they did enough to make it. They won 23 games, finished 2nd in the Pac-12 regular-season standings and reached the Pac-12 Tournament title game. 

Asking this team to get up for this game is asking a lot, especially given the opponent. As for UNC-Asheville, they are going to relish in the opportunity to showcase their talents against a Power 5 opponent. The Bulldogs have two dynamic scorers to help them at least keep this within the number in Ahmad Thomas and Marcio Teague, who both average right around 16.5 ppg. 

The other big key here is the Trojans head into the NIT at less than 100%. Bennie Boatwright was lost for the season back in the middle of February and leading scorer Chimezie Metu is questionable for this game because of rest, which speaks volumes to how little this game means to this team. Take Asheville! 

4* NIT Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Western Kentucky -

I like the value here with the Hilltoppers laying a short number against the Eagles. The betting public is all over BC, as they come from the much stronger conference, but this Western Kentucky team is no joke. The Hilltoppers went 14-4 in a strong C-USA and just missed out on an automatic bid, losing to Marshall in the C-USA Tournament title game. 

Western Kentucky did more than prove they can hang with the big boys in non-conference play. They knocked off Purdue and SMU in back-to-back games and only lost by 8 to Villanova. The fact that the Hilltoppers are the better seed and get to host this game is also a huge factor in why I like them to win and cover. Western Kentucky was 13-3 at home this season, while the Eagles were a dreadful 5-12 away from their home court. 

Hilltoppers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Take Western Kentucky! 

4* NIT No Doubt ATS HEAVY HITTER ON Wagner +

I like the value here with the Seahawks as a big double-digit dog against the Bears in Tuesday's first round action of the NIT. Baylor received a No. 1 seed, but I just don't think they are going to be all that motivated to play in the NIT. Keep in mind this was one of the last few teams left out of the Big Dance. 

A big reason they were left out is they went just 1-4 over their final 5 games. Not playing well and no real motivation are two keys to a team like Baylor getting knocked off by a lessor opponent in Wagner. 

While the Seahawks lost in the NEC finals to miss out on a trip to the NCAA Tournament, these small conference schools have a much easier time putting that disappointment behind them and focus on the opportunity to showcase their talents against some quality opponents. Look for the Seahawks to come out swinging and give the Bears all they can handle. Take Wagner! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Central Michigan OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's early CIT action that has Fort Wayne hosting Central Michigan. The Mastodons averaged 82.1 ppg and were even better at home, where they put up 89.5 ppg. I don't think the Chippewas will be able to slow down this attack. Central Michigan wasn't a great defensive team and allowed 77.7 ppg away from home. 

The key here is the Chippewas have the offensive fire-power to keep pace with the Mastodons and push this well over the mark set by the books. Central Michigan closed out the season averaging 78.0 ppg over their last 5 contests. Fort Wayne allowed 83.8 ppg over their final 5 games. 

The OVER is a perfect 8-0 in the Mastodons last 8 games and 7-1 in the Chippewas last 8 games. OVER is 9-2 in Central Michigan's last 11 road games with a line and 8-1 as an underdog this season. OVER is also 14-4 in Fort Wayne's last 18 as a home favorite and 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 75+ in 3 straight games. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Houston +

I like the value here with the Cougars catching points in Sunday's AAC Tournament title showdown. Houston showed they are more than capable of hanging with the Bearcats during their two regular-season meetings. The Cougars did more than hold their own in a 10-point loss at Cincinnati earlier in conference play and later defeated the Bearcats 67-62 at home. 

Both teams took great care of the basketball in their semifinal matchups. Houston turned it over just 7 times, while the Bearcats committed just 3 turnovers. Houston has gone an impressive 30-16 ATS in their last 46 after a game with 8 or fewer turnovers, while Cincinnati is just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 in this same scenario. I think there's a great chance the Cougars don't just cover but win this game outright. Take Houston! 

3* Kentucky/Tennessee ATS ANNIHILATOR on Tennessee

I like the value here with the Volunteers in Sunday's SEC Tournament title game. Tennessee had the Wildcats number this season, sweeping the season series, and I look for them to add to it with another win here. 

The Volunteers have been one of the big surprises this season and Just don't think this team gets the respect they deserve. They certainly shouldn't be an underdog here, but Kentucky is playing well and are the bigger name, so the books are shading where the public money will be coming in. 

The Wildcats are a mere 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games after 2 straight conference wins and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a blowout win by more than 20 points. Take Tennessee! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Arizona -

I love the value here with the Wildcats laying a short number against the Trojans in the Pac-12 Tournament title game on Saturday. You have to give USC props for how well they have played without one of their best players in Bennie Boatwright, but I don't see the run continuing here against one of the best teams in the country, especially now that the Trojans are playing their 3rd game in 3 days.  

Arizona has won 4 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8. Any concerns about this team being hurt by all the off the court drama that's going on can be thrown out the window. If anything, it has brought this team together and have them playing with a bit of a chip on their shoulder.

The Wildcats made easy work of the Trojans in the lone meeting this season, winning by 14 on their home floor. It could have been a lot worse, as Arizona shot 56% from the field and finished with a +18 edge on the boards. Those are two great signs that the Wildcats are the far superior team and will have no problem getting the win here. Take Arizona! 

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4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rhode Island -

I like the value here with the Rams laying single-digits against the Hawks in Saturday's A-10 semifinals. Rhode Island was hands down the best team in the conference and they did just as expected and snapped a 2-game skid to end the regular-season with a 76-67 victory over VCU yesterday. While St. Joe's defeated George Mason by 19 as a 6.5-point favorite, I don't see the Hawks being able to keep this one close. 

That's because the Rams are going to be 100% locked in for this game. The only meeting between these two teams came at Rhode Island in the final week of the regular season. St. Joe's won that game 78-48 as a 13.5-point dog. The Hawks took advantage of a Rams team that wasn't locked in with the A-10 regular-season title already in the bag. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Rhode Island flipped the script and ended up winning here by 20+. 

With yesterday's cover over VCU the Rams are now 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. They are also a dominant 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games off a conference win and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 when playing only their 2nd game in a 8-day stretch. Take Rhode Island!