Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Frank Sawyer
Frank Sawyer is on a 42 of 53 (79%) highest-rated 25* run -- and he furthers his 16 of 19 (84%) CBB Game of the Month mark with a 25* CBB Conference Underdog of the Month! DON'T MISS OUT!
Short-Term Subscription Options
7 Days All Sports GUARANTEED Subscription
$1,000/game players have cashed in
$30,330 on my All Sports picks since 12/09/20!
This subscription includes EVERY PREMIUM PICK I release for the next 7 days! If for any reason I don't see value on the day's card and pass, another day will be added to your account.
Join now for only $71.42/day and start cashing in on more winners!
Price: $499.95
No picks available.
Guaranteed to show a profit or you get an additional 7 days FREE!
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up |
Pick |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Analysis |
Pistons vs Heat |
Heat -6½ -105 |
Premium |
107-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (598) minus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (557). THE SITUATION: Miami (4-7) has lost three games in a row with their 120-105 upset loss at home to the Pistons on Saturday as a 5-point favorite. Detroit (3-9) had lost five games in a row before the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HEAT MINUS THE POINTS: Miami has been hit hard by COVID — and they will be without Jimmy Butler and Avery Bradley for this game. But they did get six players back from quarantine on Saturday including Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic. The Heat should get right in this game as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit loss at home. Miami is also 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 games after a straight-up loss under head coach Erik Spoelstra — and they are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 games after a point spread loss. And while the Heat have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Miami has seen at least 220 combined points scored in their last four games, they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 21 games at home after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home. Detroit shot 50.5% from the field on Saturday which was their best shooting effort all season. But the Pistons have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit win. And while the Pistons have covered the point spread in six of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games on the road after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight contests.
FINAL TAKE: Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in Miami against the Heat even after Saturday’s upset win. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Miami Heat (598) minus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (557). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
Bucks vs Nets |
Bucks -2 -103 |
Premium |
123-125 |
Loss |
-103 |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (563) minus points versus the Brooklyn Nets (564). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (9-4) has won four games in a row with their 112-109 win against Dallas on Friday as a 7.5-point favorite. Brooklyn (8-6) has won three straight games after they defeated Orlando on Saturday as a 9.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: The Buck defeated the Mavericks despite allowing them to make 46.4% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. Milwaukee has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss this season. And while the Bucks have not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after winning but failing to cover the point spread in their last two contests. The Bucks have won seven of their last eight games while getting great play from Kris Middleton and the newly acquired Jrue Holiday. They rank second in the NBA in net point differential. They are tops in the league in Offensive Efficiency and 9th in Defensive Efficiency. Take away the 29 shots from downtown they nailed against Miami in their outlier offensive performance and they still would rank fourth in the league in 3-point shooting. Now Milwaukee goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Brooklyn held the Magic to 46.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last four games. Getting James Harden in the mix will not help their defensive prowess. Harden scored 42 points while registering a triple-double in his first game in a Nets’ uniform — but I think his integration into this team while sharing the ball with Kevin Durant will be a work in progress. This is a team that ranks 15th in the league in Defensive Efficiency even before Harden’s arrival. Brooklyn has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games this season after a point spread victory. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 6 games this season with the total set at 230 or higher, the Nets have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee is 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games in Brooklyn against the Nets. The Bucks should be motivated to take on the challenge of Durant and Harden — and they have better team cohesion right now. 10* NBA Milwaukee-Brooklyn TNT Special with the Milwaukee Bucks (563) minus points versus the Brooklyn Nets (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
Suns vs Grizzlies |
UNDER 218½ -110 |
Free |
104-108 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
|
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR MONDAY, 1/18:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut in the NBA this afternoon is with Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns and the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis (6-6) has won four straight games with their 106-104 win against Philadelphia as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. The Grizzlies stay at home where they have played 9 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Memphis has also played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall. Phoenix (7-4) has not played since last Monday given quarantine protocols. The Suns have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. These two teams have also played their last 4 encounters Under the Total. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank. ** Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 10 of 16 (63%) NBA run that has continued their 43 of 68 (63%) NBA longer-term mark! Frank also enjoys a 41 of 51 (80%) mark with his highest-rated 25* plays in All-Sports — and now he furthers his 22 of 29 (76%) NBA 25* mark with his 25* NBA TNT Game of the Month for MLK Day! DO NOT MISS OUT! **
|
Suns vs Grizzlies |
Suns -3 +100 |
Top Premium |
104-108 |
Loss |
-100 |
Show
|
At 5:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Phoenix Suns (559) minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (560). THE SITUATION: Phoenix (7-4) takes the court again for the first time since January 11th when they were upset at Washington by a 128-107 score as a 6-point favorite. Memphis (6-6) comes off a 106-104 win against Philadelphia as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SUNS MINUS THE POINTS: Phoenix has not played in the last seven days because of the COVID outbreak in the Wizards’ organization which forced them to quarantine after exposure to their players in that game. This Suns team should be anxious to get the bad taste out of their mouth of what was probably their worst game of the season. They allowed Washington to make 52.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort so far in this campaign. They only made 44.8% of their shots which was their lowest field goal percentage in their last seven games. Yet Phoenix has covered the point spread in 7 straight games after an upset loss on the road where they were favored — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after an upset loss by at least 20 points as a road favorite. The Suns went from a talented upstart that went 8-0 in the bubble this summer to a legitimate threat in the Western Conference with the veteran Chris Paul guiding the emerging stars in Devin Booker, Mikal Bridges, and DeAndre Ayton. Second-year head coach Monty Williams is also getting valuable contributions from his bench from players like Cameron Johnson. Phoenix ranks sixth in the NBA in their net efficiency rating. They have scored at least 105 points in nine straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games on the road after scoring at least 105 points in four straight games. The Suns have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road. Phoenix has also coved the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after not playing more than three games in the last ten days. Memphis has won four straight games with their victory against the 76ers. They go Ja Morant in that game with their second-year superstar scoring 17 points with six assists. The Grizzlies did get out-rebounded by 15 rebounds in that game. This team misses Jaren Jackson and Justise Winslow who are both out with injuries — and they will be without Jonas Valuncianas for this game who is out due to COVID quarantining protocols. Ayton may be poised for a big night against what is left of the Memphis frontcourt. The Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after being outrebounded by at least 15 boards in their last game. Memphis has a great head coach in Taylor Jenkins who gets the most out of his talent. But the problem Jenkins faces is when his group goes against the top rosters in the league where the consistent effort from his players is not enough — and that is made even worse with all the players out for this one. The Grizzlies are playing their fourth game in ten days — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 21 games when playing no more than their fourth game in ten days. Memphis is only 2-5 at home this season with an average losing margin of -5.0 PPG — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 home games. And while the Grizzlies launch 31 shots from 3-point land per game, the Suns have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games against teams who attempt at least 18 shots from 3-point land per game.
FINAL TAKE: Phoenix is missing some bench pieces for this one with Dario Saric and Jalen Smith out still because of quarantine protocols — but they have their starting five intact. The Suns have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when favored. 25* NBA TNT Game of the Month with the Phoenix Suns (559) minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
Newcastle United vs Arsenal |
UNDER 2½ +100 |
Free |
0-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
Show
|
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR MONDAY, 1/18:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The final play on my cut list for Monday afternoon in All-Sports is with Under the Total in the match between Newcastle United and Arsenal. Arsenal (W7-D3-L8) displayed little energy on Thursday in a 0-0 draw against Crystal Palace. They generated only 0.62 expected goals (xG). Arsenal is averaging just 1.40 xG this season which helps explain why they have scored only 20 goals in their eighteen EPL matches. But that result was the Gunners’ fourth clean sheet in their last five matches. Newcastle (W5-D4-L8) was shutout in their last match last Tuesday in a 1-0 setback at Sheffield United. That was the Magpies' fifth time where they did not score in their last six matches across all competitions. These two teams just played on January 9th in FA Cup action where Arsenal won by a 2-0 score — but it was scoreless after 90 minutes before the Gunners scored their two goals in extra time. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports begins Monday on a 57 of 86 (66%) English Premier League run! Frank is on a 6 of 9 (67%) Soccer sides run — and his 41 of 51 (80%) mark with his highest-rated 25* plays in All-Sports includes a 7 of 10 (78%) EPL highest-rated 25* run! Now this afternoon’s Newcastle-Arsenal goal-line winner on the NBC Sports Network at 3 PM ET is Frank’s 25* EPL Monday NBC Sports Network Match of the Month! DON’T MISS OUT!
|
Newcastle United vs Arsenal |
Arsenal -1 -145 |
Top Premium |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Arsenal (200194) minus the goal-line versus Newcastle United (200193). THE SITUATION: Arsenal (W7-D3-L8) looks to rebound from a listless 0-0 draw at home against Crystal Palace last Thursday. Newcastle (W5-D4-L8) comes off a 1-0 loss at Sheffield United last Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE ARSENAL MINUS THE GOAL-LINE: The Gunners have been playing better as of late with three straight wins before their draw with the Eagles. Arsenal is unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions with four victories and four clean sheets — and they have a low expected goals allowed mark (xGA) of 1.24 in those five matches. This recent stretch all started at home last month with a huge 3-1 victory over Chelsea in English Premier League action. Manager Mikel Arteta was starting to hear whispers of him being on the hot seat — and he responded by turning to some youngsters to instill some energy and enthusiasm into the starting XI. Kieran Tierney, Emile Smith-Rowe, and Bukayo Saka have all offered breaths of fresh air — although Tierney did not play last week with a calf injury. Frankly, Arsenal was flat and very disappointing in their energy and effort on Thursday. That performance certainly got Arteta’s attention — it needs to be addressed in this contest. The good news is that Tierney’s calf has improved and he should be on the pitch for this game. The last time the Gunners did not win a match was on December 19th when they lost to Everton by a 2-1 score — and it was after that match that Arteta coaxed his best effort of the season from his team in that upset win against Chelsea. This remains a team that has scored eight goals in their last three EPL matches. Newcastle is winless in their last eight matches in all competitions with six losses. In their loss to Sheffield United, they allowed one of the worst attacks in the league to generate 2.13 expected goals (xG). Manager Steve Bruce is firmly on the hot seat — and he may have lost the support of his players. He continues to play five defenders in an uninspired system that is not even generating better defensive play. The Magpies are allowing 1.62 xGA this season which is the sixth-worst in the league. They have allowed more than one goal in three of their last six matches. It is even worse on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to achieve 1.93 xG — and they have surrendered eight goals in their last three road matches in the EPL. They have also allowed multiple goals in three of their last five road contests. Yet playing five defenders has resulted in the Magpies attack being almost non-existent. Over their last five matches, Newcastle is producing only 0.66 non-penalty kick expected goals — and they have not scored a goal from open play in that span. The Magpies have also been shutout in five of their last six matches.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played nine days ago on January 9th in the FA Cup with Arsenal winning by a 2-0 score. The Gunners needed extra time to score those two goals — so they did not walk away from that match brimming with confidence. I am very high on Arteta as a tactician — I expect him to make some adjustments to create earlier scoring chances. If (and when) Arsenal scores earlier in this match, Bruce will have to have his team open up more — and those conditions should lead to the Gunners winning comfortably. 25* EPL Monday NBC Sports Network Match of the Month with the Arsenal (200194) minus the goal-line versus Newcastle United (200193). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Jan 19 '21, 7:00 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
NCAA-B |
Ball State vs Miami-OH
Play on: Miami-OH +3½ -105 at all
[Won: $100]
Game Analysis
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) RedHawks (610) plus the points versus the Ball State Cardinals (609). THE SITUATION: Miami (OH) (4-4) looks to rebound from their 78-61 loss at Ohio last Tuesday as a 9-point underdog. Ball State (6-5) has won their last two games after their 78-58 win against Northern Illinois on Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE REDHAWKS PLUS THE POINTS: Miami allowed the Bobcats to make 57.4% of their shots last week which was their worst defensive mark of the season. The RedHawks made only 40.4% of their shots as well which was their lowest shooting percentage in their last three contests. Now having lost three of their last four games, this is a crucial game for head coach Jack Owens who is running out of time in his fourth year coaching the program. He has seen his team cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a double-digit loss to a Mid-American Conference rival. And while Miami has played their last two games Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games after playing at least two straight Unders. Returning home will help where the RedHawks are 4-1 this season. Miami has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 130s. They are also 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games as an underdog. This team leads the MAC in protecting their defensive glass as opponents only rebound 25.0% of their missed shots. The Redhawks also force turnovers in 21.1% of their conference opponent’s possessions which is also best in the MAC. The Cardinals can struggle in this area as they are turning the ball over in 18.6% of their possessions, 6th conference play. Ball State held the Huskies to just a 34.9% shooting mark on Saturday which was their best defensive performance of the season. But the Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games on the road after winning two games in a row — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after winning two in a row against conference opponents. And while Ball State has covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. Now this goes back on the road where they are just 3-4 this season. They have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 road games when favored by 3.5 to 6 points.
FINAL TAKE: Miami (OH) has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Look for this to be a close game with the RedHawks in a position to win. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Underdog of the Month with the Miami (OH) RedHawks (610) plus the points versus the Ball State Cardinals (609). Best of luck for us — Frank.
Pick Released on Jan 19 at 06:20 pm
Jan 19 '21, 3:15 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
Soccer |
Chelsea vs Leicester
Play on: Leicester PK +110 at Mirage
[Won: $110]
Game Analysis
At 3:15 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Leicester City (200162) with the goal-line versus Chelsea (200161). THE SITUATION: Leicester City (W11-D2-L5) is unbeaten in six straight matches across all competitions after their 2-0 win against Southampton on Saturday. Chelsea (W8-D5-L5) comes off a 1-0 win at Fulham on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE LEICESTER CITY WITH THE GOAL-LINE: The Foxes as good as they have all season right now. They have scored 15 goals while conceding just four times in their last six matches. They have won three straight matches across all competitions with two clean sheets, eight goals scored and just one goal conceded. And in their last five matches in the English Premier League, Leicester City has three wins and two draws — and they have won the expected goals (xG) battle by at least +0.50 xG In four of those five contests. It is amazing what getting healthy can do for a side. The Foxes do not have the financial clout to buy a complete roster that compares to the Big Six sides like Chelsea. But their starting XI when at full strength compares favorably to almost every team in the EPL. Getting midfielders James Maddison and Wilfred Ndidi back on the pitch healthy makes a significant difference. Maddison is the team’s second-best scoring threat to Jamie Vardy — he scored the initial goal against the Saints on Saturday. His presence takes much of the pressure off Vardy. The rub with this Foxes team has been that much of their offense was dependent on penalty kicks early in the season — and relying on getting penalties is unsustainable (especially with officials not being as liberal when interpreting the handball rule as they were early on). Yet since December 22nd, Leicester City is sixth in the EPL in non-penalty kick expected goals which is a testament to the impact of Maddison’s return to action. Ndidi is one of the most underrated holding midfielders in the world. Since losing 3-0 at Liverpool on November 22nd, the Foxes have an expected goals allowed mark (xGA) of 1.03 which is third-best in the league over that span. Ndidi and Maddison are probably the team’s second and third most important players after Vardy. Chelsea is in poor form right now with a W1-D1-L2 mark in their last four matches with eight goals conceded and just four goals scored. The Blues scored the winning goal against a weak Fulham side in the 78th minute despite holding a man advantage on the pitch after the 44th minute due to a Cottagers’ red card. Injuries have impacted the Chelsea defensive structure with Ngolo Kante and Reese James ailing. Since December 20th, the Blues rank 13th in non-penalty kick xGA with opponents have too much success with passes inside their penalty box area. This vulnerability caused manager Frank Lampard to overcompensate to help his defense — but that shift in tactics has led to the Blues offensive non-penalty xG to drop to ninth since December 20th. Lampard continues to be a work-in-progress as a manager. He has yet to push the right buttons to get the most out of all the talent that the franchise has developed and purchased over the last two years. Lampard expects to get James back on the pitch from his hamstring injury — but he will still be without Kante who remains one of the top-three holding midfielders in the world.
FINAL TAKE: Vardy has been dealing with a hip injury but he should be able to play in this important game this afternoon. These are two teams moving in opposite directions in terms of form — it is nice to be able to grab the Foxes at a pick ‘em for some insurance against a draw. 25* EPL Tuesday NBC Sports Network Match of the Month with the Leicester City (200162) with the goal-line versus Chelsea (200161). Best of luck for us — Frank.
Pick Released on Jan 19 at 01:15 pm
SERVICE BIO
Frank Sawyer offers unmatched handicapping analysis over a diverse array of sports for his Hollywood Sports clients. Frank combines his over twenty years of experience as a professional sports handicapper with the drive to outwork his competition. Why invest in a sports service? Frank answers that question with a proven methodology. His model for success starts by investing a significant amount of time analyzing each team in the sports he handicaps to serve as a foundation for that season. Frank then combines his team assessments with empirical situational handicapping angles along with the latest in cutting edge analytics to identify value in the betting line. Decades of handicapping experience along with his unrelenting focus are the qualities that Frank offers his clients. Frank produces extensive reports that detail his decisions. He does this for two reasons: (1) clients deserve to see the work that goes into a conclusion and (2) Frank’s attention to detail within these reports validates to his clients that he continues to work tirelessly to unearth winning angles. With that ambition in mind, Frank has expanded his areas of interest and scrutiny to include the English Premier League, the PGA Tour, the WNBA, and UFC/Boxing in recent years to go along with the major four sports of football, basketball, baseball, and hockey along with the Canadian Football League, Horse Racing, and World Cup Soccer that he has specialized in since he began Hollywood Sports in 1997. Frank believes long-term success involves not only continuing to dig deeper into the sports that he covers but also in expanding his horizons with new events that can provide additional tools in his handicapping toolbox with the goal of rewarding his clients for their loyalty over the years.
Frank uses a rating 10*, 20*, 25* rating system that also serves a guide for money management: 10* plays warrant a standard bet; 20* plays should see a doubling of that standard bet; 25* plays are Frank’s highest-rated play with the recommendation to invest 2.5 times the standard bet. For Frank’s futures reports or for events with odds such as PGA events or horse races, Frank usually offers three recommendations in his betting report: his Best Bet for the event; his Top Overlay Bet which presents his best value play relative to the odds for the event: and his Long Shot Bet for a big underdog offer value with its potential big payout. Frank’s signature play his “A-List* release which is reserved for rare and elite betting opportunities.
Follow Frank on Twitter: @FrankSawyerHS