40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Kings +12.5) 

I will take a shot with Sacramento as a big road dog against the Jazz on Saturday. I just feel like Utah is being way over-priced in this spot. The Jazz have had quite a week. They played at Dallas on Monday, at Phoenix on Wednesday and then home against the Blazers on Thursday. All 3 of those are playoff caliber teams. 

I think they are going to have a tough time getting up for the Kings, who come in losers of 5 straight and fresh off a double-digit loss at Minnesota on Monday and double-digit home loss to the Kings on Thursday. Sacramento was favored to win in both of those games. The books really got no choice but to inflate this number with how much the public likes backing Utah right now. Give me the Kings +12.5! 

FREE PICK - Kansas City Royals +130
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 966

I will take my chances with the Royals as a decently priced road dog in Saturday's matchup with AL Central rival Chicago. Big bounce back spot for Kansas City after losing the series opener 6-0 on Thursday (off day Friday). Royals just couldn't get anything going against veteran Lance Lynn on Thursday. 

Scoring runs shouldn't be a problem on Saturday, as the White Sox will send out Dylan Cease. There's a lot of upside for the 25-year-old, but the numbers kind of speak for themselves. Cease has a 5.03 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 27 career starts. He allowed 3 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks with just 3 K's in his first outing of 2021 at the Angels. 

Kansas City will counter with 33-year-old veteran Mike Minor, who has a 3.99 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over 249 big league appearances (182 starts). While Minor has a not so great 6.00 ERA after giving up 4 runs in 6 innings in his first start against the Rangers, he only gave up 4 hits and 2 walks for a 1.00 WHIP. He's also got a 3.46 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 2 career starts against the White Sox. Give me the Royals +130! 

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40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Cubs -148) 

I will take my chances with the Cubs as a decently priced road favorite against the Pirates on Saturday. While both of these teams have struggled offensively in the early going, Chicago has still managed to post a winning record at 4-3. Pittsburgh on the other hand is just 1-6. 

While the Cubs offense only scored 4 runs in Thursday's 4-2 win over the Pirates in the series opener, they did rack up a season-high 11 hits in the process. First time this season they put up double-digit hits in a game. 

I think there's a good chance we see that offense spark carry over to this game. Pittsburgh will send out Mitch Keller, who in his first start, against these same Cubs, lasted just 3 innings after giving up 3 runs. His command was awful, walking 4 guys in 3 innings. 

Cubs will counter with Zach Davies, who really pitched well in his start against Pittsburgh, giving up just 2 runs on 4 hits in 5 2/3 innings. Davies hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in each of his last 10 starts against the Pirates. Keller on the other hand has a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Cubs. Give me Chicago -148! 

50* (MLB) - NL East PLAY OF THE MONTH (Braves -130) 

I love the value here with Atlanta as a mere -130 home favorite against the Phillies on Saturday. The Braves have won 3 straight after losing their first 4 games to start the season. They swept their double-header with the Nationals on Thursday and cruised to a 8-1 win in Friday's series opener against the Phillies. 

I also love Atlanta starter Ian Anderson, who I think doesn't get the respect he deserves. Anderson has a sensational 1.93 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in his first 7 big league starts. He was really good in his first outing against Philadelphia, giving up just 2 run on 4 hits with 7 Ks in 5 innings of a tough 1-2 loss. 

The same opposing pitcher will be going here, as Zach Eflin takes the mound for the Phillies. While he too was really good in that first start, I don't have the same confidence with him as I do Anderson. Give me the Braves -130!