AL East Money Line PLAY OF THE WEEK (Blue Jays -114) 

I love the value here with the Blue Jays as a short road favorite against the Rays. Toronto was able to snap their 5-game losing streak with a 5-1 win on Saturday and I like them to build off of that behind one of their aces in Alek Manoah. He's got Cy Young caliber stuff and we have seen it so far in 2022. Manoah is 4-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 6 starts. He's also 3-1 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.892 WHIP in 4 career starts vs the Blue Jays. Give me Toronto -114! 

Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10)

Sunday's MLB Free Pick: Brewers/Marlins OVER 7

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 7 in Sunday's series finale between the Marlins and Brewers. I think both of these teams have a shot at eclipsing this number on their own.

Milwaukee will be starting Brandon Woodruff and I'm not sure the market on him has been adjusted enough. Woodruff was outstanding last year with a 2.56 ERA and 0.96 WHIP (put up similar numbers in 2020). He's not that same guy. At least not yet. Woodruff has a 5.96 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 6 starts and in his 3 road outings, he's given up 16 ER on 21 hits in just 12 innings of work. 

Elisar Hernandez will get the ball for Miami. He's not been much better. Hernandez has a 6.37 ERA and 1.416 WHIP in 6 starts. Brewers offense has struggled the last two, but that was against two of the Marlins' better starters. Give me the OVER 7! 

Confidence Rating: 6 (Scale of 1-10)

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Mavericks/Suns Game 7 Vegas Insider (Mavs +6.5)

I'll gladly take my chances with the Mavs as a 6.5-point dog in Game 7 against the Suns. I love Dallas to at the very least make a game of this and give them close to 50/50 shot at winning the game outright. Suns are the better team, but the Mavs have the best player in Doncic. Phoenix has had no answer for him and I think they may have made a big mistake talking trash to Doncic earlier in this series. The other big story in this series is the Mavs defense on Chris Paul. After averaging 22 and 11 in their 1st round series with the Pelicans, he's averaging a mere 14 and 6. He's scored just 25 points combined in the last 3 games of this series. Give me the Mavs +6.5! 

Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10)

Bucks/Celtics Game 7 ATS No-Brainer (Bucks +5.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Bucks getting 5.5 in Game 7 on the road against the Celtics. While Boston avoided elimination with a 108-95 win at Milwaukee in Game 6, no team has been able to win back-to-back games in this series. The underdog has covered 5 of the 6 games to this point. Boston might have the better team, but Milwaukee has the best player in Antetokounmpo. Boston has no answer for him. He's averaging 40 ppg over the last 4 games of the series. I also like Milwaukee as a team in this spot, as they aren't going to be overcome by the moment. Give me the Bucks +5.5! 

Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10)