FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 10/25:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday night is with Under the Total in Game Two of the World Series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto (102-72) took the opening game of this best-of-seven series last night with their 11-4 victory. The Blue Jays tap Kevin Gausman as their Game Two starting pitcher — and his teams have played 12 of their last 20 games Under the Total when he is on the mound pitching as a money-line underdog up to a +150 price. The Dodgers have a .439 slugging percentage this season — and Toronto has played 15 of their last 25 games Under the Total against NL teams with a slugging percentage of .430 or higher. Los Angeles (102-71) has played 32 of their last 46 road games Under the Total when priced as a money-line favorite up to -150. The Dodgers have also played 16 of their last 25 road games Under the Total in Interleague play. Take Under the Total. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 9 of 12 (75%) MLB run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after CA$HING their 25* MLB AL Total of the Year with the Seattle/Toronto Over last Sunday to continue their 15 of 22 (68%) MLB featured plays streak!  Now Frank furthers his 5 of 6 (83%) MLB sides run with featured plays and his 9 of 12 (75%) MLB Game of the Year mark with his 25* Major League Baseball Game of the Year for the 2025 season for tonight’s LA Dodgers-Toronto money-line side winner on Fox-TV at 8:08 PM ET! 

Frank, featured here at Sportscapping.com since 2016, improved his 9 of 13 (69%) All-Sports run with featured plays by CA$HING with Portland in the NBA last night to fuel his 43 of 67 (64%) All-Sports featured plays run! Frank is on a 12 of 13 (92%) College Football run with featured plays — and now he furthers his 27 of 41 (66%) Game of the Year/Month mark in All-Sports and his 9-0 (100%) CFB Game of the Month run with his 25* CFB SEC Underdog of the Month for Saturday! DO NOT MISS IT!

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 10/25:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with San Diego State minus the points versus Fresno  State. San Diego State (5-1) has won four games in a row after their 44-10 victory at Nevada back on October 11th as a 6.5-point favorite. The Aztecs have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games in October. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games on the road with the Total set in the 42.5-49 point range. Fresno State (5-2) saw their five-game winning streak snapped in a 49-21 upset loss at Colorado State as a 6-point favorite on October 10th. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after a bye week. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played in October. Take San Diego State minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 12 of 13 (92%) College Football run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays to fuel their 25 of 34 (74%) CFB run with featured plays in the regular season! Frank made it NINE STRAIGHT CFB GAME OF THE MONTH/YEAR WINNERS last Saturday by DELIVERING his 25* CFB Game of the Month on Notre Dame and his 25* CFB SEC Game of the Month on Alabama — and now he UNLEASHES his 25* College Football Underdog of the Month for Saturday afternoon! 

Frank, featured here at Sportscapping.com since 2016, is on a 9 of 12 (75%) MLB run with featured plays after CA$HING his 25* MLB AL Total of the Year with the Seattle/Toronto Over last Sunday to continue his 15 of 22 (68%) MLB featured plays streak!  Now Frank furthers his 5 of 6 (83%) MLB sides run with featured plays and his 9 of 12 (75%) MLB Game of the Year mark with his 25* Major League Baseball Game of the Year for the 2025 season for tonight’s LA Dodgers-Toronto money-line side winner on Fox-TV at 8:08 PM ET! DO NOT MISS OUT!

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (180) plus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (179). THE SITUATION: LSU (5-2) has lost two of their last three games after their 31-24 loss at Vanderbilt as a 1.5-point underdog last Saturday. Texas A&M (7-0) has won their first seven games of the season after their 45-42 victory against Arkansas as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINTS: The Aggies are primed to get exposed in this game after facing a soft schedule that has not included a ranked team from the SEC. They got outgained by the Razorbacks last week by -30 net yards after surrendering 527 yards in that game. Arkansas generated 8.4 Yards-Per-Carry against them while churning out 268 yards on the ground. They also gave up 13.1 Yards-Per-Play on passing downs. This was not the first time that an opponent exposed this Texas A&M defense. Notre Dame put up 440 yards and 40 points against them. The problems with the Aggies' defense starts with their tackling — they rank 115th in the Pro Football Focus tackling grade after missing 25 combined missed tackles in their last two games against Arkansas and Florida. They also rank 134th in Opponent Rushing Explosiveness Allowed. Texas A&M has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games on the road after a straight-up win. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring 37 or more points in their last contest. They stay on the road where they are just 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road against teams with a winning record. Additionally, they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their 9 games on the road when favored since Mike Elko became their head coach — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Aggies have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games in the second half of the season. LSU has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games against SEC rivals after a straight-up loss on the road. Head coach Brian Kelly can take some solace in that his offense generated 6.63 Yards-Per-Play despite only having the ball on offense for 23:29 minutes of that game. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 straight games at home after gaining 6.25 or more YPP. LSU has lost two games to Ole Miss and the Commodores last week — but they can keep their college football playoff hopes alive by winning the remainder of their games. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 straight games at home from Weeks Five through Nine. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, Kelly’s teams have covered the point spread in 13 of their 19 games at home as an underdog, including four of those six games played since taking over the LSU program. 

FINAL TAKE: The Aggies won last year’s meeting between these two teams in College Station by a 38-23 score as a 2-point home favorite — but the Tigers have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games when playing with revenge. 25* CFB SEC Game of the Month with the LSU Tigers (180) plus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (179). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (921) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (922) listing both starting pitchers Yashinobu Yamamoto and Kevin Gausman in Game Two of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (102-71) lost the opening game of the World Series last night with their 11-4 loss on the road to the Blue Jays. Toronto (102-72) has won five of their last six games. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Of course, there are never any guarantees (or “locks”), but Game Two was the opportunity I circled since I loved the pitching matchup for the Dodgers — and after the Blue Jays blowout victory, not only has the money-line price on LA dropped below my -150 price threshold, but manager Dave Roberts did not use any of the best Dodgers’ relievers in a game they fell far behind by in the middle innings. Let’s attack! It is no shame losing on the road to a very good Toronto team — and I did have some concerns about Blake Snell in this matchup (one of the reasons why I passed on the game). But Los Angeles remains a team peaking at just the right time after failing to meet their very ambitious expectations in the regular season (by “only” winning the NL West). This remains a team that has won 14 of their last 16 games. The Dodgers have won  5 of their last 7 games after a loss. They have also won 6 of their last 7 games after scoring four runs or less — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing eight or more runs in their last contest. After opening the season with a 36-40 record away from home, Los Angeles has won 9 of their last 10 games on the road even after last night’s setback. Yamamoto has been outstanding in the postseason with a 1.86 ERA, along with a 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .178. In 30 regular season starts, the right-hander posted a 12-8 record along with a 2.49 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. He was more effective on the road, where he had a 2.13 ERA along with a 0.89 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .168 in 18 starts as opposed to his 3.04 ERA along with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .205 in 12 starts at home. The deeper sabermetrics confirm his strong regular season. Both his SIERA and xFIP projected an ERA of 3.32 and 3.05. His expected ERA (xERA) from Statcast, which incorporates exit velocity and hard-hit rate into the otherwise fielding independent data, sits at 2.73. While those numbers are higher than his regular season ERA, it will work. The Blue Jays ranked fifth and fourth in the regular season in weighted On-Base Average and weighted Runs Created at home against right-handed pitchers, they did drop to 12th and 10th in those categories since August 1st. Toronto went on a scoring barrage last night. But they did not score at least a dozen runs — and when they have this season, they have then won eight of their next 11 games. But when the Blue Jays scored seven to 11 runs this season, they then lost 9 of their next 11 contests. Gausman takes the ball after posting a 2-1 record along with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in his three postseason starts. But both his SIERA and xFIP in these playoffs project an ERA of 5.15 and 5.19 moving forward — and this is consistent with his regular season numbers. In 32 starts in the regular season, the right-hander has a 10-11 record with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. His SIERA and XFIP called for an ERA of 3.77, respectively. His xERA was 3.70 in the regular season. He was not as effective at home either — he had a 3.86 ERA along with a 1.13 WHIP  and an opponent’s batting average of .236 in 16 starts at home in the regular season, as compared to his 3.33 ERA along with a 1.06 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .195 in 16 starts on the road. Since the beginning of September, when the Dodgers started turning up the volume, they rank seventh in MLB in weighted On-Base Average and weighted Runs Created against right-handed pitchers — and they also rank seventh in MLB since September in those categories when playing on the road. 

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have won 18 of their 24 games when Yamamoto is on the mound, and they are priced as a money-line favorite in the -115 to -165 range. 25* Major League Baseball Game of the Year with the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (921) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (922) listing both starting pitchers Yashinobu Yamamoto and Kevin Gausman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ball State Cardinals (157) plus the points versus the Northern Illinois Huskies (158). THE SITUATION: Ball State (3-4) has won two of their last three games after their 42-28 upset victory at home against Akron as a 2-point underdog last Saturday. Northern Illinois (1-6) has lost six games in a row after their 48-21 loss at Ohio as a 10.5-point underdog on Saturday. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS PLUS THE POINTS: Ball State upset the Bobcats team that just beat the Huskies by 27 points earlier this season by a 20-14 score despite being a 14-point underdog. Their opening two games were on the road at Power Four conference opponents Purdue and Auburn to begin the season. The Cardinals typically play better as the season moves forward. Ball State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games in the second half of the season. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games after an upset victory and now facing a fellow Mid-American Conference rival. Looking back, it turns out that the Cardinals’ Mid-American Conference championship in 2020 was simply an aberration in the unusual COVID-impacted season. Under head coach Mike Neu, Ball State had six straight losing seasons before that breakout campaign — but they have not had a winning season since. Neu was fired with two games left in a season where they finished just 3-9. The Cardinals posted an 18-31 record overall and a 12-20 conference mark in the last four years since that triumph. The administration appears to have made a good hire in Butler head coach Mike Uremovich, who turned that struggling FCS program around with a 23-11 record in his three seasons. The former Temple and Northern Illinois offensive coordinator is a familiar face for high school coaches in Indiana — and he has experience coaching in the MAC. He reunited with defensive coordinator Jeff Knowles, who took over running the Ball State defense last year after serving as the Bulldogs' DC under Knowles. That unit was a disaster last season, ranking 131st and 124th in the nation by surrendering 40.1 Points-Per-Game and 454.9 total Yards-Per-Game. Three starters are back from that group — and Uremovich brought in ten transfers. Uremovich gave the keys to the offense to senior Kiael Kelly, who started the final six games under center in 2023. With redshirt freshman Kadin Semonza returning for his second season after taking his redshirt after starting the first four games in 2023, the coaching staff wanted to utilize Kelly’s athleticism by moving him to the secondary and then the wide receiver room. Uremovich’s reputation is that he adapts his offensive schemes to his talent — so returning to the run-heavy RPO approach used with Kelly in those final six games is likely. While he only completed 53% of his passes, he ran for 724 yards and seven touchdowns. More importantly, Ball State went 3-3 in his six starts — and their three losses were all decided by one scoring possession. Running the ball more will certainly help the defense, with the offense burning more time off the clock. The Cardinals executed that game plan last week with Kelly running the ball for 58 yards and scoring three touchdowns. He added another 121 yards in the air with a passing touchdown. Ball State should continue to improve in the second half of the season under Uremovich. The Cardinals have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against MAC rivals. They have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games with the Total set in the 42.5-49 point range. They have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. Northern Illinois opens the season by beating an FBS opponent, Holy Cross. In their six losses since, all against FBS opponents, they are only scoring 11.2 Points-Per-Game. They have not been a resilient team following a setback under head coach Thomas Hammock. The Huskies have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a straight-up loss. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games after a straight-up loss on the road. Northern Illinois comes off an 8-5 season that was highlighted by their early September upset victory against Notre Dame. Their 4-4 record in the Mid-American Conference was a disappointment. Only three starters are back with the roster hit hard by graduation and transfers. Both coordinators are new as well. Division II Charleston head coach Quinn Sanders will run the offense after overseeing a 27-3 record the last three seasons and generating 44 Points-Per-Game in his four-year tenure. Northern Illinois moved away from their power running game approach to an up-tempo spread offense that may be a better fit for their eventual move to the Mountain West Conference, in the long run. Considering that the Huskies have ranked 115th in ESPN’s Bill Connelly’s SP+ offensive rankings in two straight seasons, perhaps a change in philosophy on that side of the ball was warranted. But in the short run, it’s not working. They only gained 293 yards last week against the Bobcats. After only bringing 15 transfers from 2022 to 2024, Hammock brought in 13 transfers this year, probably out of necessity, given all the roster turnover. That’s not working either. As it is, Northern Illinois is just 5-32-2 ATS in their last 39 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games at home. They have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home with the total set in the 42.5-49 point range — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home when favored. 

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals are getting outscored by -13.3 Points-Per-Game (much of that coming from their -70 net point differential against Purdue and Auburn) — but the Huskies have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games against teams that were getting outscored by -10 or more PPG. 25* College Football Underdog of the Month with the Ball State Cardinals (157) plus the points versus the Northern Illinois Huskies (158). Best of luck for us — Frank.