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Frank Sawyer Football Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
12-04-17 Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 43.5 Top 23-20 Win 100 6 h 52 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) and the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Cincinnati (5-6) exploded for 30 points last week with their 30-16 victory over the winless Bengals as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bengals generated 405 yards of offense which was far above their league-bottom 274.3 total YPG average this season. Cincinnati is scoring only 18.1 PPG which is 25th in the NFL. One of the league’s worst offensive lines is the biggest culprit for these problems on offense and helps to explain why they are 26th in the NFL with the pass (198.6 passing YPG) and last in the league with the run (75.6 rushing YPG). The Bengals have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight up victory. The Cincinnati defense has been solid this season — despite being on the field too much given their anemic offense. The Bengals are 10th in the NFL by allowing just 19.5 PPG. Cincy did give up 361 yards last week — but they have then played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bengals stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 16 games against fellow AFC North opponents, the Bengals have played 12 of these games Under the Total.

Pittsburgh (9-2) has won six straight games with their 31-28 win over Green Bay last Sunday night. The Steelers defense ranks 3rd in the NFL in yards allowed (289.4 total YPG) and 4th in points allowed (17.5 PPG) — so they will likely have a chip on their shoulder after letting QB Brett Hundley almost steal that game against them. Pittsburgh did gain 462 yards on offense — but they have then seen the Under go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Steelers have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Now Pittsburgh goes on the road where they have played 22 of their last 27 games Under the Total — and this includes playing ten of their last eleven road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, the Under is 13-4-1 in the Steelers’ last 18 games against AFC North opponents. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game has finished Under the Total 5 times. 25* NFL AFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) and the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-04-17 Steelers -4 v. Bengals 23-20 Loss -101 6 h 39 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Pittsburgh (9-2) has won six straight games with their 31-28 win over Green Bay last Sunday night as a big 14-point favorite. The Steelers now face a divisional rival in the Bengals that they defeated back on October 22nd. And while Cincinnati will be playing with revenge on their minds, Pittsburgh has won thirteen of their last fifteen trips to Cincinnati while scoring 26 PPG with Ben Roethlisberger starting under center. Furthermore, the Steelers are a whopping 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 games in Cincinnati against the Bengals. Expect a big game from Pittsburgh as they get a chance to redeem themselves on national television after almost getting upset on national TV last week. The are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Steelers offense did generate 462 yards of offense last week, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 350 yards. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games in the month of December.

Cincinnati (5-6) has won two straight games with their 30-16 win over Cleveland as a 7.5-point favorite last week. The Bengals cranked up their ground game by rushing for 152 yards against the Browns defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Cincy will have a difficult time coming close to replicating that rushing effort against this Steelers defense that is 6th in the NFL by holding opponents to just 96.0 rushing YPG. Cincinnati allowed 169 rushing yards against Cleveland — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last contest. Over their last six games, the Bengals are allowing their opponents average a whopping 146.2 rushing YPG. Lastly, Cincinnati is just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Eagles v. Seahawks +6 10-24 Win 100 6 h 34 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (378) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (377). Seattle (7-4) will be a home underdog for just the first time in five seasons tonight. The Seahawks have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 26 home games when getting 3.5 to 7 points. Seattle enters this game coming off their 24-13 win in San Francisco last week as a 7-point favorite. The Seahawks are on the outside looking in when it comes to the NFC playoff picture — so this is a game they really need to win. While they battered with injuries, this is still a veteran team with plenty of playoff savvy led by quarterback Russell Wilson. Seattle is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in the month of December.

Philadelphia (10-1) has now won nine straight games with their 31-3 victory over the Bears last week. The Eagles are certainly the toast of the NFL right now while ranking number one in most Power Rankings. But they have also benefited from a sweetheart schedule. Their last four opponents of Chicago, San Francisco, Dallas and Denver have a combined 12-32 record this season. Their best win this season was probably their 28-23 win at Carolina — and that is nice accomplishment but I am just not ready to book the hotel rooms for this team for the Super Bowl just yet. Seven of their first eleven games have been at home — so this is just their fifth game in a hostile environment. When playing on field turf as opposed to grass, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. Philadelphia has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 meetings with the Seahawks. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-18-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (378) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (377). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Eagles v. Seahawks OVER 46 Top 10-24 Loss -105 6 h 42 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (377) and the Seattle Seahawks (378). Philadelphia (10-1) has won nine straight games with their 31-3 win over Chicago last week. The Eagles offense is clicking on all cylinders right now — they generated 420 yards of offense against an underrated Bears defense. Philadelphia has then played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Eagles go back on the road where they have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total — and this includes playing four of their last five road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total in the month of December. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, Philadelphia has played 9 of these games Over the Total.

25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Year with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

12-03-17 Rams v. Cardinals +7.5 32-16 Loss -110 2 h 51 m Show

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (374) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (373). Los Angeles (8-3) has won five of their last six games with their 26-20 win over the Saints last week. The Rams generated 415 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC West opponents. Furthermore, LA has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games in the month of December. Additionally, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.

Arizona (5-6) enters this game coming off their 27-24 upset win over Jacksonville last week as a 6-point underdog. The Cardinals dominated this game in terms of yardage as they outgained the Jaguars by +125 yards due to a stifling defense that held Jacksonville to only 219 yards of offense. QB Blaine Gabbert played very well as he completed 22 of 38 passes for 241 yards with a two touchdowns. Arizona has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games in the month of December. Additionally, the Cardinals are looking to avenge a 33-0 loss to the Rams from their first meeting in London back on October 22nd. Arizona has covered the point spread in a decisive 40 of their last 63 games when playing with same-season revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when looking to avenge a loss where they did not score more than two touchdowns. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Arizona Cardinals (374) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (373). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Panthers v. Saints -5 21-31 Win 100 2 h 58 m Show

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (370) minus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (369). New Orleans (8-3) looks to bounce-back from their 26-20 loss at Los Angeles agains the Rams last Sunday. The Saints’ defense surrendered 415 yards in that contest — but they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The defense should be better this week with rookie Marcus Lattimore practicing this week and likely to take the field after missing last week. Now New Orleans returns home to the Big Easy where they have covered the point spread in a decisive 22 of their last 27 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Saints have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against NFC opponents — and this includes covering the spread in four straight games against NFC South foes.

Carolina (8-3) has won four straight games with their 35-27 win in New York against the Jets last week. The Panthers defense did give up 391 yards in that contest as Carolina was actually outgained by 92 yards. Carolina is just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing at least 350 yards and they will be without defensive lineman Charles Johnson for tonight’s contest as he has been suspended by the league. The Panthers have scored 45 and 35 points in their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 30 points in two straight games. Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games in the month of December. Furthermore, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played in a dome. Lastly, while Carolina is looking to avenge a 34-13 loss to the Saints back on September 24th despite being a 5-point home favorite, they have then failed to cove the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when looking to avenge an upset loss to their opponents. 20* NFL Carolina-New Orleans Fox-TV Special with the New Orleans Saints (370) minus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (369). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Browns +14 v. Chargers 10-19 Win 100 2 h 46 m Show

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cleveland Browns (371) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (372). Los Angeles (5-6) seems to be everyone’s sleeper team in the AFC after winning their fifth game over their last seven games with their 28-6 win in Dallas back on Thanksgiving. But it is true that a team cannot be a “sleeper” if almost everyone go Woke on them. I still remember a Philip Rivers team that has blown eight 4th quarter leads since the 2015 season — so I do not consider them reliable double-digit favorites even against the lowly Browns. The Chargers held the Cowboys to just 168 yards in that last game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 250 yards in their last game. Now Los Angeles returns home to Stub Hub Stadium where they hold zero home advantage in an empty building. As it is, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And while the LA defense has been good at times this season, they still rank last in the league by allowing 133.5 rushing YPG. Furthermore, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of December.

Cleveland (0-11) showed some encouraging signs last week despite losing in Cincinnati by a 30-16 score. They were only outgained by 44 net yards which usually keeps teams within a touchdown or so margin of their opponents. They also won the first down battle so the biggest problem for the Browns was giving up big plays. Rookie quarterback had one of his best days in the NFL by completing 18 of 31 passes for 268 yards with no interceptions while adding 39 rushing yards with a touchdown. Kizer does get wide receiver Josh Gordon as a dynamic weapon at wide receiver — and it does sound like he has turned his life around. Head coach Hue Jackson has drawn up some plays to take advantage of Gordon’s great talent. Cleveland has covered the point spread in 5 straight games against the Chargers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 40-11 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, underdogs getting more than 10 points who have lost at least seven straight NFL games now facing an opponent that has won at least two straight games have then covered the point spread in 23 of the last 30 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Cleveland Browns (371) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (372). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Texans v. Titans -6.5 13-24 Win 100 3 h 43 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (362) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (361). Tennessee (7-4) enters this game coming off a 20-16 win in Indianapolis last week. The Titans defense flexed their muscles by holding the Colts to just 254 total yards while sacking Indy QB Jacoby Brissett eight times. Now this team returns home where their QB Marcus Mariota has won eight of his last ten starts. The Titans have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. This team will have something to prove this week as they look to avenge a rough 57-14 loss at Houston back on October 1st. The Texans’ DeShaun Watson did most of the damage on offense in that game but he is now lost for the season with his ACL injury. The home team has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams. And in the Titans last 4 games when avenging a loss by at least four touchdowns against their opponents, Tennessee has covered the point spread in 3 of those occasions.

Houston (4-7) has lost five of their last seven games with their 23-16 loss at Baltimore on Monday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Texans now stay on the road for the second straight week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. QB Tom Savage was serviceable last week by completing 22 of 37 passes for 252 yards — but he threw two interceptions without tossing a touchdown pass against the Ravens. Savage misses wide receiver Will Fuller who serves as a nice complement to take pressure of DeAndre Hopkins. Additionally, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC South opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 22-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Tennessee Titans (362) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (361). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Colts +10 v. Jaguars Top 10-30 Loss -115 2 h 30 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Indianapolis (3-8) looks to avenge a 27-0 shutout loss at home to these Jaguars back on October 22nd. The Colts have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when avenging a loss at home by at least two touchdowns to their opponent. Additionally, Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss by at least three touchdowns against their opponents. Furthermore, the Colts have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when avenging a loss where they failed to score more than 9 points — and this includes covering their last three games in that situation. Indianapolis has lost two straight games as well as five of their last six contests after their 20-16 loss to Tennessee last week as a 3-point underdog. The Colts have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a loss by 6 points or less. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in a decisive 32 of their last 44 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. The Colts have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after losing three of their last four games. Indy goes back on the road — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Jacksonville (7-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss at Arizona last week despite being a 6-point favorite. While this team has an outstanding defense, the Achilles’ heel of this team continues to be the play of QB Blake Bortles. The embattled quarterback completed 19 of 33 passes but for only 160 yards with zero touchdown passes and an interception. Overall, the Jags produced only 128 passing yards in that game when taking into account lost yards from sacks — and the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for at leas 150 yards in their last game. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Jacksonville returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. The Jaguars have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. And in their last 6 games after playing their last two games on the road, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. 25* NFL AFC South Underdog of the Year with the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Chiefs -3.5 v. Jets 31-38 Loss -103 3 h 50 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (367) minus the points versus the New York Jets (368). Kansas City (6-5) has lost five of their last six games with their 16-10 loss at home to Buffalo last week despite being an 8.5-point favorite. The Chiefs were practically anointed as the Super Bowl Champions early in the season — and now they are being left for dead during this current swoon. The answer is somewhere in the middle for this team regarding what are reasonable expectations. The offense is struggling under QB Alex Smith — but the problems are not really his fault under closer analysis. In that loss to the Bills last week, Kansas City receivers dropped four catchable balls in their first six drives while offensive players blew assignments and committed penalties. Quite simply, the Chiefs need to decrease their mental mistakes — which they can do this week. KC has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. The Chiefs have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not scoring more than 14 points in their last contest. And in their last 12 games on the road, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 9 of these games. Furthermore, these Chiefs are road warriors that have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games as the favorite. One last reason for optimism for this team: their Darrelle Revis Era starts this afternoon with their recently signed cornerback not only starting but assigned as one of Andy Reid’s captain’s for this game.

New York (4-7) has lost five of their last six games with their 35-27 loss to Carolina last week. The Jets have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after losing at least three of their last four games. QB Josh McCown did complete 19 of 36 passes for 307 yards against the Panthers defense last week — but they are then 5-15-3 ATS in their last 23 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Lastly, in their last 8 games during Week 10 through 13 of the regular season, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-24-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Kansas City Chiefs (367) minus the points versus the New York Jets (368). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-03-17 Vikings v. Falcons -2.5 14-9 Loss -115 3 h 38 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (356) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (355). Atlanta (7-4) has won three straight games with their 34-20 win over Tampa Bay last week. The Falcons offense is starting to hum again like it did last season as they racked up 516 yards of offense against the Buccaneers defense. Over his last five starts, QB Matt Ryan has a 9:2 touchdown to interception ratio while generating a QB Rating over 107. He completed 26 of 35 passes for 317 yards with a TD pass last week — and Atlanta has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last contest. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Atlanta has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, the Falcons have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC opponents. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, Atlanta has covered the point spread 5 times.

Minnesota (9-2) has won seven straight games while covering point spread expectations in six straight contests after their 30-23 win at Detroit back on Thanksgiving. This might be the stumbling block for this team to see their winning streak snapped. The Vikings held the Lions to just 53 rushing yards in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. On offense, QB Case Keenum led an offense that generated 408 yards against the Detroit defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 road games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. While Keenum has been a pleasant surprise, he does not seem capable to outduel Ryan playing in his house if it comes down to that in the 4th quarter. He is also missing his starting right tackle Mike Remmers who is out due to the concussion protocol. Furthermore, the Vikings have an issue with their place kicker Kai Forbath who has already missed five extra points this season — so he is not particularly reliable if this is a close game. Lastly, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after winning at least six straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in six straight games. 10* NFL Minnesota-Atlanta Fox-TV Special with the Atlanta Falcons (356) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (355). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 Ohio State v. Wisconsin UNDER 50.5 27-21 Win 100 4 h 42 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) and the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) has the best statistical defense in the entire FBS. The Badgers have the best total defense in the nation by allowing only 236.9 total YPG — and they are 2nd in the nation by giving up only 12.0 PPG. What is impressive about this unit is that they are balanced. Wisconsin ranks 2nd in the nation against the pass (156.4 passing YPG) while topping the nation by allowing only 80.5 rushing YPG. The Badgers enter this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota as an 18.5-point favorite in a game where they held the Golden Gophers to just 133 yards of offense. Wisconsin has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games are a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, the Badgers have played 15 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after double-digit win on the road. Furthermore, Wisconsin has not allowed more than 234 yards of offense in three straight games — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in two straight games.

10* play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

12-02-17 Ohio State -3 v. Wisconsin 27-21 Win 100 4 h 51 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) remains the last undefeated football team representing a Power Five Conference — but they have also benefited from a very favorable schedule. The Big Ten West Division is by far the weaker of the two divisions in that conference with Northwestern and Iowa being the most competitive teams to the Badgers. Wisconsin’s non-conference schedule may have appeared more of a challenge when the games were negotiated a few years ago — but in 2017, a slate of Utah State, BYU and Florida Atlantic was not nearly as difficult as it might have appeared even during the summer with Lane Kiffin’s Owls now considered the best team of that trio (by far). So while the Badgers have the second best scoring defense in the nation while allowing the least YPG (236.9 total YPG) in the entire FBS, this light strength of schedule should provide context to those numbers. This will be by far the most powerful offense that Wisconsin has faced all season. They returned seven starters on defense from a group that lost by a 30-23 score on their home field last season to the Buckeyes while giving up 411 yards of offense. Now this Championship Game will be played on a neutral field at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis — and the Badgers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games played on a neutral field. Wisconsin enters this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota last Saturday in a game where they went into halftime with a 17-0 lead. But the Badgers have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least four touchdowns — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after leading by at least 17 points at halftime of their last game. QB Alex Hornibrook did not throw an interception in that game which was the first time that did not happen in eight contests. The sophomore’s 13 interceptions this season is a significant concern for this team. Hornibrook did lead an offense that averaged 7.6 Yards-Per-Play in that game against the Gophers — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 6.75 YPP in their last game.

Ohio State (10-2) kept their National Championship hopes alive last week by defeating Michigan in Ann Arbor by a 31-20 score. The Buckeyes have won three straight games after their ugly loss at Iowa — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after winning three of their last out games. Senior QB J.T. Barrett will be available to play in this game after he suffered a freak knee injury before their game with the Wolverines which required minor surgery this week. If Barrett cannot go, I do have confidence in freshman Dwayne Haskins. Did you see this guy last week? Haskins competed 6 of his 7 passes for 94 yards while adding another 101 yards with a touchdown on 15 carries running the football against a stout Michigan defense that is probably better than this Badgers group (the Wolverines slightly inferior numbers have been against much better competition). Ohio State entered this season as one of the most talented teams in the nation. They have been the victim of their own mistakes too often than not. But like they overwhelmed Michigan State and dominated Penn State to pull off a miracle comeback after their mistakes put them in a almost insurmountable hole, this team is very tough to beat when playing sound football. Under head coach Urban Meyer, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. And in their last 9 meetings with these Badgers, the Buckeyes are 6-2-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Year with the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 Miami-FL v. Clemson UNDER 47.5 3-38 Win 100 3 h 21 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) and the Clemson Tigers (326). Clemson (11-1) is the new number one team in the nation with their 34-10 win at South Carolina last Saturday. The Tigers defense has risen their play to another level as they have not allowed more than 14 points in their last three games. Clemson has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in three straight games. The Tigers crushed the Citadel in their previous game by a 61-3 margin — and they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games by at least three touchdowns. Additionally, Clemson has played 8 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

12-02-17 Miami-FL +12 v. CLEMSON 3-38 Loss -109 3 h 8 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Miami (10-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week in their 24-14 upset loss at Pittsburgh as a 12-point favorite. We had the Panthers in that game as we expected the Hurricanes to struggle in the cold weather up north. This Miami team tends to play up-and-down to their competition — which might be very bad news for the current number one team in the nation. Remember that the Hurricanes defeated Virginia Tech, Notre Dame and at Florida State by a combined score of 93-38. And while Miami is dealing with injuries on offense, they still have their junior QB Malik Rosier along with their stifling defensive front seven. Look for Mark Richt’s team to bounce-back with a very good effort. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on the road. Additionally, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.

10* CFB play on Miami plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

12-02-17 Fresno State +10.5 v. Boise State 14-17 Win 100 2 h 51 m Show

At 7:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Boise State (9-3) has the rare opportunity to extract immediate revenge an opponent as they host a Fresno State team that defeated them last week by a 28-17 score. That was a strange circumstance as this Mountain West Conference Championship Game was locked-in with only the location of the contest being in doubt. The MWC determines first place based off a mathematical algorithm which deemed Boise State the top team in the league after crunching all the conference results last week. It might be tempting for many bettors to take the Broncos in this revenge situation with them now hosting this rematch — but I am not sure if last week’s game really qualifies since both teams were likely holding some tricks under their sleeve. Furthermore, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on their blue field at home. And the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games in the month of December, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Fresno State (9-3) has an outstanding defense that should keep travel and keep them competitive in this rematch. The Bulldogs are 12th in the nation by allowing 17.3 PPG while ranking 16th in the FBS by giving up just 315.3 total YPG. Look for Fresno State to build off their momentum from last week as they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games on the road, Fresno State is 5-0-1 ATS. 10* CFB Fresno State-Boise State ESPN Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 Georgia +3 v. Auburn Top 28-7 Win 100 19 h 48 m Show

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Auburn (10-2) registered one of their biggest wins in school history last Saturday with their 26-14 upset win over a previously undefeated Alabama team as a 6-point underdog. This Tigers team will be hard pressed to not suffer an emotional letdown now after that huge accomplishment. Even worse, they will be playing a Georgia team that they crushed less than a month ago in their 40-17 drubbing of the Bulldogs. We had the Tigers as the small 2.5-point underdog in that contest (our SEC Game of the Year) so those were great results for us — and that result also set up this outstanding situation in the rematch. It is human nature for teams to lack just a little bit of edge after their intense game with Alabama when now facing a team that you just easily handled. And as it is, Auburn has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after an upset victory as a home under. But the effort from that game may take a toll against this fired-up Georgia team. Running back Kerryon Johnson ran the ball 30 times for 104 yards against the tough Alabama defense which is a lot of work. Furthermore, both the Tigers’ wins against Georgia and Alabama were at home. This game will be played on a neutral field in Atlanta in the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both of Auburn’s losses were away from home this season — and they average almost 55 YPG (415.6 YPG) below their season average (470.2 total YPG) when playing on the road.

Georgia (11-1) has that rare opportunity for both revenge and redemption all in one-swoop while most likely earning the right to play for a National Championship with a victory in this contest. The Bulldogs did not suffer from possibly seeing their bubble burst two weeks ago as they throttled their in-state rival Georgia Tech by a 38-7 score last week. Georgia has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs are led by two dynamic running backs in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel who helped Georgia generate 247 yards on the ground against the Yellow Jackets — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after rushing or at least 200 yards in their last game. But the strength of this team is their defense that ranks 5th in the FBS by allowing 13.8 PPG and 4th in the nation by allowing only 271.9 total YPG. Since that bad loss to Auburn, Georgia has allowed only 20 points in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games after not allowing more than 14 points in at least two straight contests. The Bulldogs should have a geographical advantage with this game being played in downtown Atlanta — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when played on a neutral field. Georgia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of December. And in their last 7 games against Auburn despite their loss to them last month, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. 25* CFB Conference Championships Game of the Year with the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 TCU v. Oklahoma UNDER 65 17-41 Win 100 2 h 19 m Show

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Oklahoma (11-1) reached the Big 12 Championship Game with their 59-31 win over West Virginia last Saturday as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners did allow 250 rushing yards in that game to the Mountaineers — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The formula for success for this Horned Frogs team will be to run the football to move the chains and burn time off the clock to keep Baker Mayfield and this powerful Oklahoma offense off the field. The Sooners have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma has also played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total in the month of December. And with this game being played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, the Sooners have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at a neutral site.

TCU (10-2) enters the Big 12 Championship Game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as a 24.5-point favorite last week. The Horned Frogs have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win over a conference opponent. TCU has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Horned Frogs have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Moving forward, TCU has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games against teams with a wining record, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma 17-41 Loss -110 2 h 26 m Show

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). TCU (10-2) looks to avenge a 38-20 loss to the Sooners back on November 11th. The Horned Frogs went into the locker room at the half throttled by a 38-14 score. And while the Sooners may have taken their foot slightly off the accelerator in the second half of that contest, lets take note of the fact that TCU held that powerful Oklahoma offense scoreless in the second-half. Head coach Gary Patterson is a defensive guru who makes a great adjustments. In fact, his defense has allowed only six combined points after halftime in their last seven games. Overall, the Horned Frogs are holding their opponents -122 YPG below their offensive season average this season. TCU enters this game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as 24.5-point favorites. Senior QB Kenny Allen enjoyed a great game by completing 26 of 36 passes for 325 yards with three TDs against the Bears — so he should be full of confidence entering this game. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. And in their last 4 games played on field turf, TCU has covered the point spread all 4 times.

Oklahoma (11-1) enters this game on fire after their 59-31 win over West Virginia as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners generated 646 yards of offense in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Defense remains an issue for this team — their opponents gained +3 yards above their season average this season. I also have lingering concerns about the inexperienced first-year head coach Lincoln Riley preparing his team for high-pressure situations like this. Lastly, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field. 10* CFB TCU-Oklahoma Fox-TV Special with the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 UMass v. Florida International +2 45-63 Win 100 2 h 9 m Show

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). FIU (7-4) enters this game coming off an upset victory over Western Kentucky by a 41-17 score as a 3-point underdog. The Golden Panthers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. FIU has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 32 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Golden Panthers enjoyed a +3 net turnover margin against the Hilltoppers — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a net turnover margin of +3 or higher. Now this team stays at home where they are 5-1 this season with an average winning margin of +7.3 PPG while outgaining these visitors by +73.3 YPG. FIU limits their guests to just 18.3 PPG along with only 352.2 total YPG. And while the Golden Panthers’ win over Western Kentucky just finished Over the 56.5 point Total, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their lsat 9 home games after a game that finished Over the Total.

UMass (4-7) has won four of their last five games after their 16-10 upset win at BYY two weeks ago as a 3.5-point underdog. But the Minutemen have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where less than 30 combined points were scored. And while UMass held the Cougars to just 42 rushing yards in their last game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing no more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Many pundits consider this team underrated given a host of close losses they endured earlier in the season. But the Minutemen have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, in their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 point range, UMass has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. 10* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 Akron +21 v. Toledo 28-45 Win 100 2 h 53 m Show

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Toledo (10-2) is expected to roll this afternoon in the Mid-American Conference Championship after easily disposing of the Zips back on October 21st by a 48-21 score. Frankly, the Rockets were expecting to be getting a rematch against Ohio in this MAC Championship at Ford Field in Detroit but Akron ruined those plans by upsetting the Bobcats late in the season. Toledo lost to that Ohio team by a 38-10 score. Now as big favorites approaching three touchdowns, this Toledo team risks being overconfident. As it is, they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. The Rockets are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. Furthermore, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games played on a neutral field with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And while the Rockets have scored 66 and 37 points in their last two games after that loss to the Bobcats, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last two games.

Akron (7-5) has won three of their last four games after their loss to Toledo. The Zips clinched the MAC East Division Title with their 24-14 win over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite. This team will be a dangerous underdog with no expectations in this game under the veteran head coach Terry Bowden. Akron has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a straight-up victory. The Zips have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, while Akron held the Golden Flashes to just 246 yards of offense, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing 275 or fewer yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 9 games against conference opponents, Akron has covered the point spread 7 times. 10* CFB Akron-Toledo ESPN Special with the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 Akron v. Toledo UNDER 60 Top 28-45 Loss -113 15 h 16 m Show

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Akron (7-5) will be playing the Mid-American Championship Game as a significant underdog considering that they were blown out by the Rockets back on October 21st by a 48-21 score in a game that they managed only 333 yards of offense. Since that game, the Zips have won three of their last four games due in large measure to improved play on the defensive side of the football. They clinched the MAC East Title in their last game back on November 21st with their 24-14 in over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite led by a defense that held the Golden Flashes to just 246 total yards. Over their last three games, Akron is allowing only 353.7 total YPG which is 67.8 YPG below their season average. The Zips have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 26 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Akron has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The offense is an issue with redshirt freshman Kato Nelson taking over for senior Thomas Woodson who was suspended a few weeks ago for violating team rules but will be available to play in this game. Nelson completed only 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards against Kent State last week. Over their last three weeks, Akron has averaged just 302.3 total YPG. Furthermore, this game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit as a neutral site — and the Zips score only 16.7 PPG while averaging 284.7 total YPG when away from home.

Toledo (10-2) reaches the Mid-American Conference Championship Game after their 37-10 win over Western Michigan back last Friday. The Rockets have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Toledo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 20 or less points in their last game. The Toledo defense flexed their muscles in that game by holding the potent Broncos offense to just 275 yards of offense. Moving forward, the Rockets have seen the Under go 23-8-1 in their last 32 games against teams with a winning record. Toledo has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral field, the Rockets have played all 4 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-26-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* College Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-02-17 Memphis +7.5 v. Central Florida 55-62 Win 100 2 h 1 m Show

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Central Florida (11-0) looks to win the American Athletic Conference Championship while also clinching the Group of Five slot in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game this afternoon by defeating the Tigers for a second time this season after they easily disposed of them back on September 30th by a 40-13 score. The rematch will be harder sledding for this team. I worry about distractions for this team — particularly with their head coach Scott Frost who seems likely to take the Nebraska head coaching job soon to rejoin his alma mater. The Knights come off a 49-42 win over South Florida as a 10-point favorite last Friday — but they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Central Florida has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Knights were outgained in that contest by +120 net yards to the Bulls. They surrendered  653 total yards to South Florida including a whopping 503 passing yards in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, UCF is just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games against conference opponents, the Knights are 0-3-1 ATS.

Memphis (10-1) has won seven games in a row with their 70-13 victory over East Carolina last week as a 29.5-point favorite. The Tigers are then 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Memphis is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And this team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have defeated five of their seven opponents by at least three touchdowns after suffering their lone loss of the season to the Knights by a 40-13 score. Four turnovers did Memphis in for that game. But with Riley Ferguson under center, the Tigers have the offensive firepower to stay competitive with this undefeated UCF team if they do not make mistakes. Lastly, Memphis has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 44-8-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Memphis-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-01-17 Stanford v. USC -4 28-31 Loss -105 5 h 17 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). USC (10-2) has the benefit of an extra week to prepare for the Pac-12 Championship Game as they take the field again after their 28-28 win over UCLA back on November 18th. The Trojans not only have a significant situational edge in facing a Cardinal team playing on a short week but they also have a huge advantage at quarterback with Sam Darnold dueling a freshman in K.J. Costello. USC is playing as good of football as they have all season having won six of their last seven games after losing at Washington State. The Trojans have covered then point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Over their last three games, the USC offense is clicking on all cylinders by scoring 38.3 PPG while averaging 527.0 total YPG. The Trojans held the Bruins to just 80 rushing yards in their last game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their last game. USC did allow 501 total yards against UCLA with the Bruins passing for 421 yards — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last contest. Potent passing attacks are typically the ones that give the Trojans the most trouble (with Notre Dame and their diverse rushing attack being the exception) as they rank 105th in the nation by allowing 251 passing YPG — but that is not the Stanford offensive approach. Against conference opponents, USC is allowing their opponents to complete just 56% of their passes while averaging only 3.5 Yards-Per-Carry. Furthermore, the Trojans have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when listed in the 3.5 to 10-point range. 

Stanford (9-3) will be playing on a short week after they pulled the upset last Saturday at home with their 38-20 win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog. The Cardinal has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Stanford is also 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinal did defeat the Irish despite gaining only 328 yards of offense and getting outgained by -87 net yards. Stanford’s +3 net turnover margin was the difference in that contest. But now this team goes on the road to the neutral field of Levi Stadium in Santa Clara — and the Cardinal is getting outgained away from home by -59.7 net YPG. In Pac-12 play, Stanford is getting outgained by -21 YPG. In comparison, USC is outgaining their conference opponents by +93 YPG. Lastly, USC needs as many style points as they can muster to hold out hope that if a bunch of crazy things happen tomorrow, then perhaps they can sneak into the four-team College Playoff. The Trojans will be very anxious to win this game by as many points as possible — so don’t expect them taking the foot of the proverbial gas pedal. 20* CFB Stanford-USC ESPN Special with the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-01-17 Stanford v. USC UNDER 59.5 28-31 Win 100 5 h 51 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (303) and the USC Trojans (304). Stanford (9-3) enters this game after their 38-20 upset win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog last Saturday. The Cardinal won that game despite gaining only 328 total yards — they benefited from a +3 net turnover margin in that game. Stanford has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Cardinal has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. Now this team looks to avenge their 42-24 loss to the Trojans back on September 9th where they allowed a whopping 623 yards of offense. Expect David Shaw to have his defense play much better in this rematch. Over their last three games, Stanford is allowing only 18.7 PPG along with 359.0 total YPG which is over 30 YPG better than their seasonal average. But on offense, the Cardinal generates only 323.3 total YPG which is more than 70 YPG below their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Cardinal has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

10* CFB Friday Discounted Deal with Under the Total. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

11-30-17 Redskins v. Cowboys +2 14-38 Win 100 6 h 6 m Show

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Washington (5-6) enters this game coming off a 20-10 win over the New York Giants as a 7-point favorite on Thanksgiving last week — but this injury-riddled team has still lost four of their last six games. The Skins have then failed to cover the points spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Skins have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Furthermore, Washington out-gained the Giants by +153 net yards in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least +100 yards. This team is just 2-3 on the road where they are being outscored by -2.4 net YPG — and they are losing the yardage battle by -68.8 net YPG given their defense that is surrendering 420.8 total YPG.

Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take Washington (as most bettors are) — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Cowboys. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. The Cowboys rushed for only 79 yards against the Chargers last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. And while Dallas surrendered 434 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-30-17 Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 47 Top 14-38 Win 100 6 h 8 m Show

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take the Under — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Over. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. But even if the Cowboys’ offense remains limited without Elliott, the defense presents another set of problems for this team. The Dallas defense has surrendered 92 combined points over their last three games. At home this season, the Cowboys are allowing 25.8 PPG along with 368.0 total YPG. Additionally, Dallas has played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and linebacker Sean Lee has been declared out for this game once again this week.

Washington (5-6) enters this game coming off their 20-10 win over the Giants last Thursday. The Skins have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Washington held the Giants to just 84 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushes in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they are allowing 26.2 PPG along with 420.8 total YPG. The Skins have played 20 of their last 28 games on the road Over the Total — and this includes playing five straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, Washington has played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog of 7 points or less. And the Skins have played 7 straight road games Over the Total against fellow NFC East opponents. Washington has also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against NFC East teams overall. Furthermore, the Skins have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 7 games in the month of November, Washington has played 5 of these games Over the Total. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total all four times. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-27-17 Texans v. Ravens OVER 39 Top 16-23 Push 0 7 h 30 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (275) and the Baltimore Ravens (276). Baltimore (5-5) pitched their third shutout of the season — and second in their last three games — with their 23-0 win at Green Bay last Sunday. The strong Ravens’ defense has facilitated the Total being set at a low number below 40 (as of this writing) — so lets attack that Over. Baltimore has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Ravens have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after the first month of the season. And while this Baltimore offense looks anemic with their 21.3 PPG scoring mark which is 18th in the league, they are getting better on that side of the ball as they get healthier after suffering from a barrage of injuries. In their last three games, the Ravens are scoring 27.7 PPG while still not getting very aggressive with their play-calling with their two of those games being blowout shutouts. Their close game in their last three games was a 23-20 loss at Tennessee in a game where Joe Flacco aired the football out 53 times for 268 passing yards. Those are Over numbers. Moving forward, Baltimore has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against AFC opponents.

Houston (4-6) enter this game coming off their 31-21 win over Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite. The Texans have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games after a win by double-digits. Houston has also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory — and they have played 10 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory when playing on the road. Additionally, that game finished well above the 38-point Total in that game and not only have the Texans played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. Head coach Bill O’Brien always gets the most out of his offensive talent. Led by QB Tom Savage who completed 22 of 32 passes for 230 yards, Houston generated 357 yards of offense against the Cardinals. The Texans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while Houston held Arizona to just 48 rushing yards, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Texans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against fellow AFC opponents. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (275) and the Baltimore Ravens (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-27-17 Texans +7.5 v. Ravens 16-23 Win 100 6 h 22 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Houston (4-6) snapped their three-game losing streak last week with their 31-21 win over Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite. The consistent characteristic of this Texans team continues to be that head coach Bill O’Brien always has this team prepared and usually gets the most out of his talent despite seemingly always being ravaged with injuries. QB Tom Savage made some very nice throws against the Cardinals defense — he was 22 of 32 for 230 yards with two touchdown passes. Overall, Houston generated 357 yards against Arizona — and they are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while the Texans have lost four of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 68 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, Houston has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on turf. And in their last 4 road games as the underdog, the Texans have covered the point spread in 3 of these games.

Baltimore (5-5) has won two of their last three games with their 23-0 shutout at Green Bay last Sunday. The Ravens are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. And while Baltimore has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. The Ravens allowed 75 rushing yards to the Packers which was actually the highest amount they have surrendered over their last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in at least two straight games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Baltimore returns home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last two games away from home. This team is not a reliable favorite when being asked to lay around a touchdown. The Ravens are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 10 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points, Baltimore has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-26-17 Packers v. Steelers OVER 43.5 28-31 Win 100 10 h 57 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (273) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Green Bay (5-5) was shutout last week in their 23-0 shellacking at the hands of Baltimore as a 2.5-point underdog. It goes without saying that the Packers are a dramatically different team with QB Aaron Rodgers. But I do have confidence in head coach Mike McCarthy to scheme his way to points this week with the players he has left including QB Brett Hundley. Green Bay has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Packers have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Green Bay defense did limit the Ravens to just 219 yards in their loss — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Their defense could be in big trouble tonight against this powerful Pittsburgh offense — and they will likely be without linebacker Clay Matthews for this contest.

Pittsburgh (8-2) enters this game coming off their 40-17 win over Tennessee back on November 16th. The Steelers held the Titans to just 52 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played a decisive 26 of their last 34 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Pittsburgh themselves have not rushed for more than 88 yards in their last three games — and they have then played 27 of their last 46 games Over the Total after not rushing for at least 100 yards in their last game. And while the Steelers have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 27 of their last 46 games Over the Total. Lastly, while Pittsburgh has not allowed more than 17 points in their last five games, that helps place the Over into a historical angle that has been 76% effective since 1983. In games involving one team that has not allowed more than 17 points in five straight games now facing an opponent that did not score more than 3 points in the first-half of their last game, these games finished Over the Total in 40 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (273) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-26-17 Packers +14 v. Steelers Top 28-31 Win 100 10 h 7 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). These are too many points to pass up in this situation — even with Aaron Rodgers not playing for the Packers. Pittsburgh (8-2) finally demonstrated the vast potential that many pundits feel they possess back on November 16th when they crushed the Colts by a 40-17 score as 7-point favorites. Yet they only outgained Indianapolis by 27 yards. It was a +4 net turnover margin that helped the Steelers dominate that game. But Pittsburgh has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. And the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games when installed as a double-digit favorite. Additionally, Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the month of November.

Green Bay (5-5) has something to prove after being shutout last week in a 23-0 blanking at the hands of Baltimore. That Ravens team has shut out two other teams this season — so the Packers do have some company in that regard. Green Bay has lost four of their last five games as they continue to struggle without Rodgers — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing you of their last five games. The Pack has only covered the point spread once in their last five games — but they have also covered the point spread in 33 of their last 50 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. I am not sure how they will score points against this stout Steelers defense but that is the job of Super Bowl winning head coach and offensive coordinator Mike McCarthy. QB Brett Hundley three three interceptions in that loss so eliminating those mistakes will go a long way to keep Green Bay competitive in this game. Green Bay needs to commit to running the ball more as well after managing just 75 rushing yards against the Ravens. Remember, in their previous game in Chicago against a good Bears defense, the Packers ran the ball 37 times for 160 yards in a 23-16 upset victory. The Packers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Green Bay defense did limit Baltimore to only 58 rushing yards — and they are then 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Packers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games as the underdog. While it certainly looks scary to take this Packers team without Rodgers against the mighty Steelers, it is the sound fundamental play for this situation. Lets embrace the Philadelphia 76ers and “trust the process.” 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month on the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-26-17 Saints v. Rams -2 20-26 Win 100 3 h 51 m Show

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). New Orleans (8-2) won their eighth straight game this season in spectacular fashion as they rallied from an 18-point deficit at one point along with a 15-point hole with three minutes to go to eke out a 34-31 win in overtime over Washington. The Saints are the hottest team in the NFL but they cannot continue to live life on the edge like that. Now they play this game without their two starting cornerbacks with both Marcus Lattimore and Ken Crawley declared out for this game. Their absence will make things very difficult when facing this high-powered Rams offense that scores 30.3 PPG. The Saints may be due for a letdown here as they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least six straight contests. And while New Orleans has covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after covering the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. Furthermore, the Saints have scored at least 30 points in their last three games but have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after scoring at least 25 points in their last three games. New Orleans has averaged 474.7 total YPG over those three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after averaging at least 450 YPG over their last three contests. And in their last 4 road games when favored by no more than a field goal, the Saints have failed to cover the point spread 3 times.

Los Angeles (7-3) looks to bounce-back from their 24-7 loss in Minnesota last week that snapped a four-game winning streak. That setback should have afford rookie head coach Sean McVay a very attentive group of players this week in practice. The Rams had covered the point spread in their previous two games before that loss to the Vikings as a small 1-point underdog. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Additionally, the Rams are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 56-21-1 ATS team trends for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-26-17 Jaguars v. Cardinals +5.5 Top 24-27 Win 100 6 h 19 m Show

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (270) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (269). Jacksonville (7-3) has won four games in a row after their 19-7 win in Cleveland last week as a 7.5-point favorite. The Jaguars have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games after a point spread victory. Jacksonville has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Defense has been leading the way for this team — they held the Browns to only 184 yards of offense. But the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after not allowing more than 200 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the points spread in 8 of their last 9 games against fellow NFC opponents.

25* NFL Game of the Month with Arizona plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

11-26-17 Seahawks v. 49ers +7 24-13 Loss -110 6 h 6 m Show

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Seattle (6-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 34-31 loss at home to Atlanta last Monday as a 1-point underdog. The Seahawks have then gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Seattle has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. This defense is ravaged with injuries with Richard Sherman out the year with his ACL tear and Kam Chancellor out with a neck injury which pretty much dismantles their Legion of Boom. The Seahawks did generate 360 yards against the Falcons defense but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Seattle goes back on the road where they are just 2-6-1 ATS — and they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Seahawks are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November. And in their last 5 games against NFC West opponents, Seattle is just 1-3-1 ATS.

San Francisco (1-9) has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game after their 31-21 win over the Giants as a 3-point underdog back on November 12th. That was not only their first win of the season but also their first point spread victory in their last four games. The 49ers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Rookie C.J. Beathard looked very good as he completed 19 of his 25 passes for 288 yards with two TD passes. In fact, Beathard looked so good that there are no plans to start Jimmy Garappolo in this game — but he is likely available to play in relief (and back door point spread covers). San Francisco has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The 49ers played the Seahawks very tough in Seattle back on September 17th in a narrow 12-9 loss back in the Brian Hoyer quarterbacking days. San Francisco has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. 10* NFL Seattle-San Franciso Special with the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-26-17 Panthers v. Jets +6 35-27 Loss -110 3 h 28 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Carolina (7-3) is riding high coming off their bye week after a dominant 45-21 win on national television for Monday Night Football against the woeful Dolphins back on November 13th. But with a showdown with the Saints on deck next week, don’t be surprised if this Panthers’ team comes out a bit lethargic. As it is, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Cam Newton completed 21 of 35 passes for 254 yards and numerous Super Man poses — but the Panthers have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Tight end Greg Olsen is returning to the offense for this team — but they lost their rookie slot back Curtis Samuel to a season-ending injury last week which does take away an important weapon for Newton.

New York (4-6) comes off their bye week as well after their 15-10 loss in Tampa Bay back on November 12th. The Jets art then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. New York has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after their bye week. Head coach Todd Bowles has squelched any talk of this Jets team tanking this season after a host of questionable offseason moves as his group of players play hard every week. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. This season, the Jets have a winning 3-2 record at home while outgaining their opponents by +44.2 YPG. The New York defense is tough when playing on their home field as they limit their visitors to just 19.2 PPG along with totaling just 320.8 YPG. Their defense should keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-9-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-26-17 Bucs +10 v. Falcons 20-34 Loss -105 3 h 13 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Atlanta (6-4) returns home after their triumphant 34-31 win in Seattle for Monday Night Football. Don’t be surprised if this Falcons team suffers a big emotional letdown after that victory. The win was huge for this organization considering that head coach Dan Quinn is a disciple of Pete Carroll while playing an integral part in winning a Super Bowl with the franchise as their defensive coordinator. Teams are often flat the week after playing the physical Seahawks — and playing on a short week after the long flight back from the northwest part of the country does not help that situation. As it is, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 games at home after scoring at least 30 points. The Falcons have won and covered the point spread in two straight games after their 27-7 win over a free-falling Cowboys team without Ezekiel Elliott two weeks ago — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 home games after winning at least two straight games and they have failed to cover the point spread in 33 of their last 46 home games after covering the point spread in two straight contests. Additionally, the Atlanta run defense is a concern for this team as they are allowing opponents to average 4.5 Yards-Per-Carry — and their last three opponents have averaged a whopping 5.4 YPC. On the other side of the football, the Falcons will be without their top running back Devonta Freeman who remains out due to the concussion protocols. That makes Atlanta precarious favorites laying more than a touchdown. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points.

Tampa Bay (4-6) has won two straight games with their 30-20 win in Miami last Sunday as a 1-point favorite. The Buccaneers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after both a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games on the road after a game where at least 50 points were scored. The Bucs had lost five games in a row before their recent winning streak with Jameis Winston on the bench nursing his shoulder. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 road games after losing five or six of their last seven games. Lastly, the Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.

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