At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Seattle (6-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 34-31 loss at home to Atlanta last Monday as a 1-point underdog. The Seahawks have then gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Seattle has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. This defense is ravaged with injuries with Richard Sherman out the year with his ACL tear and Kam Chancellor out with a neck injury which pretty much dismantles their Legion of Boom. The Seahawks did generate 360 yards against the Falcons defense but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Seattle goes back on the road where they are just 2-6-1 ATS — and they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Seahawks are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November. And in their last 5 games against NFC West opponents, Seattle is just 1-3-1 ATS.

San Francisco (1-9) has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game after their 31-21 win over the Giants as a 3-point underdog back on November 12th. That was not only their first win of the season but also their first point spread victory in their last four games. The 49ers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Rookie C.J. Beathard looked very good as he completed 19 of his 25 passes for 288 yards with two TD passes. In fact, Beathard looked so good that there are no plans to start Jimmy Garappolo in this game — but he is likely available to play in relief (and back door point spread covers). San Francisco has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The 49ers played the Seahawks very tough in Seattle back on September 17th in a narrow 12-9 loss back in the Brian Hoyer quarterbacking days. San Francisco has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. 10* NFL Seattle-San Franciso Special with the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Carolina (7-3) is riding high coming off their bye week after a dominant 45-21 win on national television for Monday Night Football against the woeful Dolphins back on November 13th. But with a showdown with the Saints on deck next week, don’t be surprised if this Panthers’ team comes out a bit lethargic. As it is, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Cam Newton completed 21 of 35 passes for 254 yards and numerous Super Man poses — but the Panthers have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Tight end Greg Olsen is returning to the offense for this team — but they lost their rookie slot back Curtis Samuel to a season-ending injury last week which does take away an important weapon for Newton.

New York (4-6) comes off their bye week as well after their 15-10 loss in Tampa Bay back on November 12th. The Jets art then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. New York has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after their bye week. Head coach Todd Bowles has squelched any talk of this Jets team tanking this season after a host of questionable offseason moves as his group of players play hard every week. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. This season, the Jets have a winning 3-2 record at home while outgaining their opponents by +44.2 YPG. The New York defense is tough when playing on their home field as they limit their visitors to just 19.2 PPG along with totaling just 320.8 YPG. Their defense should keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-9-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Atlanta (6-4) returns home after their triumphant 34-31 win in Seattle for Monday Night Football. Don’t be surprised if this Falcons team suffers a big emotional letdown after that victory. The win was huge for this organization considering that head coach Dan Quinn is a disciple of Pete Carroll while playing an integral part in winning a Super Bowl with the franchise as their defensive coordinator. Teams are often flat the week after playing the physical Seahawks — and playing on a short week after the long flight back from the northwest part of the country does not help that situation. As it is, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 games at home after scoring at least 30 points. The Falcons have won and covered the point spread in two straight games after their 27-7 win over a free-falling Cowboys team without Ezekiel Elliott two weeks ago — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 home games after winning at least two straight games and they have failed to cover the point spread in 33 of their last 46 home games after covering the point spread in two straight contests. Additionally, the Atlanta run defense is a concern for this team as they are allowing opponents to average 4.5 Yards-Per-Carry — and their last three opponents have averaged a whopping 5.4 YPC. On the other side of the football, the Falcons will be without their top running back Devonta Freeman who remains out due to the concussion protocols. That makes Atlanta precarious favorites laying more than a touchdown. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points.

Tampa Bay (4-6) has won two straight games with their 30-20 win in Miami last Sunday as a 1-point favorite. The Buccaneers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after both a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games on the road after a game where at least 50 points were scored. The Bucs had lost five games in a row before their recent winning streak with Jameis Winston on the bench nursing his shoulder. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 road games after losing five or six of their last seven games. Lastly, the Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.