At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (131) and the Philadelphia Eagles (132). Philadelphia (12-2) enters this game coming off a 34-29 win in New York against the Giants on the heels of a 43-35 win in Los Angeles against the Rams. Those two games went Over the Total by 22 and 31 points respectively which may make it tempting for some bettors to expect another Over tonight. There are a host of empirical situational angles that help inform my decisions that do not end up being documented in my Reports but I wanted to highlight this one that identifies the contrarian play regarding the Under with the Eagles. After the first month of the season in games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, when one team has played their last two games Over the Total by at least two touchdowns, these games finished Under the Total in 34 of the last 44 situations (77%) where these conditions applied. The Eagles should see a much better effort from their defense after giving up 64 combined points over their last two games. Philly has played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored — and they have also played 15 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 50 combined points were scored. Additionally, the Eagles have played 37 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored in two straight contests. Philadelphia has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after two straight wins on the road. Returning home after playing a rigorous three straight games on the road should help this defense. On their home field, the Eagles are allowing only 15.2 PPG along with just 278.3 total YPG — and they have not given up more than 24 points at home all season. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 11 of their last 18 home games Under the Total as the favorite which includes playing their last two games Under the Total when favored in the 7.5 to 14 point range.

Oakland (6-8) enters this game coming off their 20-17 loss to Dallas back on December 17th. The Raiders have then played a decisive 39 of their last 57 road games Under the Total after a loss at home. This team struggles to score when away from home. Oakland is averaging just 17.0 PPG while generating a mere 292.5 total YPG when on the road. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when on the road. And things are likely to get even tougher for Derek Carr and this offense with their Pro Bowl left tackle Donald Penn going on Injured Reserve with a foot injury. Penn will be missing his first game since the 2007 season after being a rock on the offensive line for this team. On the plus side, the Raiders are quietly playing much better on defensive side of the football. They are allowing only 334.3 total YPG over their last three contests. Lastly, Oakland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when on the road in the last four weeks of the regular season. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (131) and the Philadelphia Eagles (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (130) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (129). Pittsburgh (11-3) has spent the week not only recovering from their loss to the Patriots and all that it means in terms of home-field advantage in the AFC Playoffs but they are also dealing with the fallout of Ben Roethlisberger throwing an interception on the goal line that could have won (and covered the point spread) in that game. We are on a nice run right now — but things have been helped by seeing close games like that turn our way as we had a big play on the Patriots. Critics who think Roethlisberger should have just spiked the ball should have their Pundit Cards revoked permanently. Ask any New England bettor — or any Patriots player or coach — and they will tell you that they were praying for that game to go into overtime. The opportunity to win that game on one play — on the darn goal line — must be seized. Yes, bad things can happen when one takes risks — and we will always remember that play or the Russell Wilson interception in the Super Bowl. But the fact remains that even a high-risk pass into the middle of the field rarely results in an interception. Sure, in hindsight, Big Ben should not have thrown into double-coverage. But it is also a fact that these same pundits (along with the entire Football Analytics community) would be applauding Roethlisberger for pulling a Dan Marino fake-spike touchdown pass (just like they always call for on Twitter!) if the play would have worked. Rant aside, I think the Steelers’ suffered what we call a Deflating Loss that will negatively impact them now on the road as a big favorite. As it is, Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 14 points. They are also a mere 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Roethlisberger did have a good game against the Pats by completing 22 of 30 passes for 281 yards — but the Steelers have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games passing for at least 250 passing yards. Big Ben not having his superstar wide receiver Antonio Brown certainly does not help matters. Brown has simply been spectacular this year. Pittsburgh surrendered 283 passing yards to the Patriots — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of December. Pittsburgh has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC opponents. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, the Steelers are just 1-3-1 ATS.

Houston (4-10) looks to bounce-back from a humiliating 45-7 loss at Jacksonville last week. The Texans could do almost nothing on offense as they managed only 186 yards against the stout Jaguars defense. But look for head coach Bill O’Brien to get his offense working better back at home. O’Brien seems to always be ravaged with injuries — and he is dealing with his third-string QB in T.J. Yates. But there is a reason that Houston is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. The Texans are also 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. And while they have not scored more than 16 points in four straight games, O’Brien’s team has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after failing to score more than 17 points in at least two straight games. Defense has been a problem for this Houston team as well with injuries playing a big role — they are allowing 408.0 total YPG over their last three games. But Houston has covered the point spread in a decisive 19 of the last 24 games after allowing at least 400 YPG over their last three games. 10* NFL Pittsburgh-Houston NBC-TV Special with the Houston Texans (130) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (129). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (129) and the Houston Texans (130). Houston (4-10) managed only 186 yards of offense last week in their 45-7 loss to Jacksonville as a 10.5-point underdog. Backup quarterback T.J. Yates managed to complete only 12 of 31 passes for 128 yards. The Texans have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Houston has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. And the Texans have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Houston has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total in the month of December.

Pittsburgh (11-3) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped last Sunday with their heartbreaking 27-24 loss to New England. The Steelers have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while Pittsburgh gained 413 yards in that game, they have then seen the Under go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Their offense will be without the dynamic Antonio Brown for this game — and the speedster has been catching almost every literal ball thrown his way this season. While the Steelers still have weapons on offense, losing someone of Brown’s immense talent is a big blow. The team is getting cornerback Joe Haden back in their secondary — and that will help shore up a pass defense that has been porous in his absence. Now Pittsburgh goes back on the road where they have played 22 of their last 28 games Under the Total. The Steelers have also played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. and in their last 11 road games as the favorite, Pittsburgh has played 9 of these games Under the Total. 10* NFL Christmas Day Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (129) and the Houston Texans (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) in the Hawai’i Bowl. Houston (7-4) travels to Hawai’i after their 24-14 win over Navy as a 6.5-point favorite back on November 24th. The Cougars have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. The Cougars sport a strong defense that ranked 40th in the FBS by allowing just 23.0 PPG. They ave played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And Houston has played 5 straight games Under the Total against non-conference opponents.

Fresno State (9-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game in a 17-14 loss at Boise State as a 10-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Fresno State has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, the Under is 5-0-1. This Fresno State team also has a very good defense as they are holding their opponents to just 17.2 PPG along with 319.0 total YPG which is 9th and 16th best in the FBS respectively. Expect a lower scoring game. 10* CFB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) plus the point(s) versus the Houston Cougars (227) in the Hawai’i Bowl. Fresno State (9-4) looks to bounce-back from their 17-14 loss in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game at Boise State which was an immediate rematch from the game those two teams played the previous week in Fresno. The Bulldogs have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Fresno State did cover the 10-point spread as the underdog in that last game — and they are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last contest. And in their last 10 games after allowing at least 20 points in their last contest, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 9 of those games. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games against teams outside the MWC, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 4 of these contests.

Houston (7-4) has won three of their last four games with their 24-14 win over Navy back on November 24th as a 6.5-point favorite. The Cougars have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Trying to base Bowl game predictions based primarily on guessing the motivation of both teams has always been Fool’s Gold to me — but, that said, a trip to Hawai’i for this Houston team that did not meet their high expectations this season. The Cougars returned fifteen starters for first-year head coach Major Applewhite from last year’s team that finished 9-4 which included upset wins over Oklahoma and Louisville. But this team was upset four times this season to spoil their dreams of winning the American Athletic Conference and perhaps earn the Group of Five conference bowl bid in the New Year’s Six Bowl Games. Instead, a trip to Hawai’i to face another non-power conference opponent. The Cougars score only 20.2 PPG when playing away from home this season — and that is -8.2 PPG below their season average. Lastly, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games when playing on field turf. 25* CFB Hawai’i Bowl A-List Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) plus the point(s) versus the Houston Cougars (227). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (126) minus the points versus the New York Giants (125). Arizona (6-8) has lost four of their last six games after their 20-15 loss at Washington last week as a 4-point underdog. The Cardinals have bounced-back to win 27 of their last 40 games at home after a loss by 6 points or less. Arizona has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread setback. The team is turning back to QB Drew Stanton who is one of the better backups in the league. While the team has dealt with Blaine Gabbert under center, the Cardinals defense has been playing quite well. Since Week 10 of the regular season, Arizona is tops in NFL by allowing just 264.7 total YPG. During that span, the Cardinals are allowing just 183.7 passing YPG which is also best in the league — and they are third in the NFL by giving up only 81.0 rushing YPG.

New York (2-12) enters this game coming off their 34-29 win loss to the Eagles despite generating their highest scoring and yardage totals on offense since 2015. We had the Giants in that game as 7.5-point underdogs — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And while they gained 504 yards against the Eagles, the Giants have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 305 yards in their last game. New York has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 6 games against fellow NFC opponents, the Giants have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 10* NFL Giants-Cardinals Special with the Arizona Cardinals (126) minus the points versus the New York Giants (125). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (127) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (128). Seattle (8-6) might have experienced their most humiliating loss in the Pete Carroll era last week in their 42-7 loss to the Rams. The season began with locker room angst between the defensive and offensive units and while those issues appeared to have been put aside during the season, injuries have decimated their roster. Now that they are out of the playoff hunt, this Seahawks team is playing for pride. But I do expect that to be enough motivation for this team as they look to make amends to each other for last week’s terrible effort. Seattle is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. And while they have played two straight games Over the Total, they have then covered  the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after playing two straight games Over the Total. The team is getting back a healthier Bobby Wagner on defense who did practice this week after trying to take the field last Sunday. His presence on defense will be a big help. The Seahawks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. And in their last 29 games in the month of December, Seattle is 20-8-1 ATS.

Dallas (8-6) has won three games in a row with their 21-17 win in Oakland against the Raiders as a 3-point favorite. The Cowboys now get Ezekiel Elliott back after he completed his six-game suspension — and it looks like Dallas plans on giving him a ton of touches this afternoon. But the straw that stirs the drink is their left tackle Tyron Smith who is listed as questionable with the knee injury that has been slowing him down for the second-half of the regular season. Even if Elliott has been keeping in shape by running the beaches of the tropical locale from which he spent most of his suspension time, he might not have the endurance yet to be at 100% as he normally would be at midseason. As it is, Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The Cowboys have not enjoyed much of a home field advantage either in AT&T Stadium where they are just 3-4 this season while being outgained by -18.0 net YPG and being outscored by -1.1 PPG. Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 25* NFC Underdog of the Year with the Seattle Seahawks (127) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (128). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) in the Hawai’i Bowl. Houston (7-4) travels to Hawai’i after their 24-14 win over Navy as a 6.5-point favorite back on November 24th. The Cougars have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. The Cougars sport a strong defense that ranked 40th in the FBS by allowing just 23.0 PPG. They ave played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And Houston has played 5 straight games Under the Total against non-conference opponents.

Fresno State (9-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game in a 17-14 loss at Boise State as a 10-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Fresno State has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, the Under is 5-0-1. This Fresno State team also has a very good defense as they are holding their opponents to just 17.2 PPG along with 319.0 total YPG which is 9th and 16th best in the FBS respectively. Expect a lower scoring game. 10* CFB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (110) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (109). Los Angeles (10-4) was dominant last week in their triumphant 42-7 win in Seattle over the Seahawks last week that avenged an earlier loss to their NFC West rivals. But I look for a letdown for this team as they travel east for this non-conference clash in a game where their body clocks will feel like it is 11 AM at kickoff. I also think this is a challenging test for the Rams to face this Titans team whose formula for success is winning the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football by outmuscling their opponents. Furthermore, Tennessee endured a tough injury this week when placekicker Greg Zuerlein was placed on Injured Reserve with a back injury. Zeurlein played an important role in the Rams having one of the top two Special Teams units in the NFL — and they will be experiencing a big drop-off when going to the inexperienced Sam Thickett whose best experience is kicking in college for Penn State. As it is, Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Rams held the Seahawks to just 149 yards of offense — but they are then 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games are allowing no more than 250 yards in their last game. Furthermore, while LA gained 352 yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And in their last 7 games in the month of December, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Tennessee (8-6) looks to bounce-back from their 25-23 loss at San Francisco last week as a 2.5-point underdog. The Titans have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Now after playing two straight games on the road — as well as four of their last five away from home — Tennessee returns home where they are 5-1 this season. The offense improves greatly at home where the Titans average 26.0 PPG while averaging 376.7 total YPG. They also crank up their ground game as they average 151 rushing YPG along with 5.3 Yards-Per-Carry — and they will be facing a Titans’ team that allows opposing running backs to average 4.9 YPC when they are on the road. Tennessee is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on their home field. Together, these team trends produce our specific 43-15-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NFL Sunday Afternoon Special Feature with the Tennessee Titans (110) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (109). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (116) minus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (115). New Orleans (10-4) will be looking to avenge a 20-17 loss in Atlanta back on December 7th in this game. The Saints rebounded from that loss last Sunday with their 31-19 win over the Jets as a big 17.5-point favorite. New Orleans have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win. The Saints generated 412 yards of offense in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now New Orleans gets the Falcons back at home in the Superdome where they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. In his last four games at home against Atlanta, Drew Brees has thrown for 1358 passing yards along with seven TD passes — so don’t be surprised if the veteran QB has a big day this afternoon. The Saints have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC South opponents.

Atlanta (9-5) has won five of their last six games with their 24-21 win in Tampa Bay. The Falcons secondary showed vulnerabilities in that game by allowing the Buccaneers to pass for 289 yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Atlanta also limited Tampa Bay to only 84 rushing yards — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing no more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the biggest difference between this year’s Falcons and the one that made the run to the Super Bowl might very well be dropped passes. Led by Julio Jones’ seven drops, Atlanta leads the NFL in dropped passes. Last year, the Falcons led the NFL with only sixteen dropped passed combined amongst their wide receivers, tight ends and running backs. Perhaps the Regression Gods return to this team was inevitable when considering that they led the NFL the prior year with 32 drops. Those drops are most likely cost the team first downs. Lastly, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. 25* NFC South Game of the Year is on the New Orleans Saints (116) minus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (115). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (103) and the Green Bay Packers (104). One final check of the weather indicates it will be cold in Green Bay tonight with temperature in the teens — but there should not be any snow with only a 10% chance of precipitation. Generally, these weather conditions lead to Overs as Green Bay (7-7) has played 6 straight games Over the Total in the month of December. The Packers enter this game coming off a 34-21 loss in Carolina last Sunday as a 3-point underdog. Green Bay has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Packers gave up 387 yards in that loss to the Panthers, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Aaron Rodgers was placed on Injured Reserve after that game so it will be a Brent Hundley Joint tonight — but he has completed 69.1% of his passes over his last three starts while leading an offense that averaged 27 PPG. The Packers have played four straight games that finished Over the Total — and they have then played 11 of their last 14 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Over the Total. Additionally, Green Bay has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Packers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total at home in Lambeau Field. And in their last 14 games as the underdog, Green Bay has played 11 of these games Over the Total.

Minnesota (11-3) has won nine of their last ten games after their 34-7 win over Cincinnati as a 12.5-point favorite last week. The Vikings have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after both a straight-up victory as well as after a point spread win. Additionally, Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Vikings held the Bengals to just 161 yards of offense in that game — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. This team is getting sensational play from Case Keenum who started the year as the likely 3rd string quarterback when Teddy Bridgewater returned from his torn ACL injury. Now Keenum has made himself a boat load of money — and he actually leads the NFL in Passer Rating since Week 10 this season. Lastly, Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (103) and the Green Bay Packers (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (104) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (103). Green Bay (7-7) were eliminated from the playoffs last week after their 34-21 loss in Carolina. Now with Aaron Rodgers placed on Injured Reserve with this being a lost season, it would be easy to dismiss the Packers in this contest. But this proud Green Bay franchise has the opportunity to play spoiler against their rivals in the Vikings while avenging a 23-10 loss in Minnesota on October 15th. And this will be the final home game at Lambeau Field this year. The Packers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December. Green Bay has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 opportunities to avenge a loss to their opponents. And while the Packers have played their last two games on the road, they return home where they have covered the point spread in 40 of their last 62 games after playing their last two on the road. QB Brent Hundley has played significantly better before giving way to Rodgers return from Injured Reserve last week. Green Bay was 2-1 over Hundley’s last three starts with two of those games being on the road. The lone loss was a narrow 31-28 loss in Pittsburgh over the Steelers. In his last three starts, Hundley completed 65 of 94 passes for an impressive 69.1% completion percentage while tossing 6 touchdown passes to just one interception. He passed for 594 yards in those three games with a solid and improving 6.32 Yards-Per-Pass-Attempt average. Huntley also added 103 rushing yards over those last three games on 15 carries. He has helped the Packers play their last four games Over the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 21 of their last 30 home games after playing at least three straight games Over the Total. Green Bay allowed 387 yards last week in Carolina — and they have covered the point spread in 39 of their last 57 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest.

Minnesota (11-3) has won nine of their last ten games with their 34-7 win over Cincinnati last week. While this team is playing very well with Case Keenum ranked as the top statistical passer in the NFL since Week 10, asking them to cover the point spread of more than a touchdown on the road is simply too much to ask. The Vikings defense has been a bit more penetrable when on the road where they are allowing 21.7 PPG along with 312.6 total YPG as compared to their 17.3 PPG and 283.9 total YPG for the season. Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 44 of their last 71 games on the road as the favorite. The Vikings have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. Furthermore, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of the last 10 games when playing on grass. Lastly, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 trips to Green Bay to play the Packers at Lambeau Field. 25* NFC North Game of the Year with the Green Bay Packers (104) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Toledo (11-2) has the opportunity to avenge a loss to this Mountaineers team in last year’s Camellia Bowl where they lost by a 31-28 score — but they were small 1-point underdogs in that game. It is too much to ask this team to avenge that loss by around a touchdown that they are being asked to lay in this game. The Rockets won the Mid-American Conference Championship with their 45-28 win over Akron as a 20.5-point favorite back on December 2nd. Toledo has been cranking on offense as they enter this game as they have scored at least 37 points in three straight games while averaging at least 6.79 Yards-Per-Play in each of those games. But the Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after averaging at least 6.25 Yards-Per-Play in three straight games. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after scoring at least 37 points in three straight contests. Additionally, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams outside the MAC. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, the Rockets are just 1-4-1 ATS.

Appalachian State (8-4) has won three straight games with their 63-14 win over UL-Lafayette as a 14-point favorite. Look for the Mountaineers to build off their momentum in this Bowl game as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Appalachian State has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Mountaineers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. This Appalachian State team tied for first-place in the Sun Belt Conference but perhaps did not meet their high expectations when entering the season with fourteen starters back from their 10-3 team that upset Toledo in their meeting in the Camellia Bowl last year. But this will also be a host of senior’s last game including quarterback Taylor Lamb — so pulling an upset in this game would help make up for their two (net) upset losses this season. Lastly, the Mountaineers have coved the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. 20* CFB Appalachian State-Toledo Dollar General Bowl Special with the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Appalachian State (8-4) enters this bowl game having won three straight games with their 63-14 win over UL-Lafayette back on December 2nd. The Mountaineers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Appalachian State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to 20 points or less. This Mountaineers team once again has a stout defense as they ranked 33rd in the FBS by allowing 21.9 PPG — and they also ranked 39th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 358.9 total YPG. What helps the defense succeed is keeping them off the field by running the ball on offense. Appalachian State rushed for 357 yards again the Ragin’ Cajuns in that last game. Not only have they then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game but  they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Mountaineers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Appalachian State has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Toledo (11-2) has also won three straight games to close out the regular season with their 45-28 win over Arkon in the Mid-American Championship Game back on December 2nd. The Rockets were 20.5-point favorites in that game — and they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Toledo allowed 283 passing yards in that victory — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Rockets have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Toledo exploded for 561 yards of offense against the Zips in that game — but they have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Under is 23-9-1 in their last 33 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral field, Toledo has played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (101) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (102). Baltimore (8-6) has won four of their last five games after their 27-10 win in Cleveland last Sunday as a 6.5-point favorite. Now after covering the point spread in their last three games while playing their last two games on the road, the Ravens return home. It may be difficult for this Baltimore team to not be flat in this contest when considering that they are laying nearly two touchdowns. As it is, the Ravens are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Baltimore is also 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last contest. Additionally, Baltimore has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in at least two straight games. And in their last 6 games after playing their last two contests on the road, the Ravens have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games.

Indianapolis (3-11) has lost five straight games after their 25-13 loss to Denver as a 3-point underdog back on December 14th. Look for the Colts to play well with some extra days to prepare as they look to redeem themselves from that bad loss on national television. Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Colts have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, while Indy failed to generate more 228 yards against the Denver defense, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last contest. And in their last 29 games as a double-digit underdog, the Colts have covered the point spread in 18 of these contests. Hold your nose if you need to — but the sharp play here is to take all the points. 10* NFL Indianapolis-Baltimore NFL Network Special with the Indianapolis Colts (101) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (101) and the Baltimore Ravens (102). Baltimore (8-6) has won four of their last five games after their 27-10 win in Cleveland last Sunday. The Ravens have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Baltimore generated 376 yards in that contest — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens held the Browns to only 136 passing yards in that contest — but they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Furthermore, Baltimore has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the month of December. 

Indianapolis (3-11) has lost five straight games with their 25-13 loss to Denver as a 3-point underdog back on December 14th. The Colts have then played 24 of their last 35 road games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Indianapolis has also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total on the road overall. And while the Colts allowed a whopping 462 yards to the Broncos in that loss, they have then played 9 of their last 10 road games Over the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Over is supported by an empirical angle that has been 78% effective one the last five seasons that is particularly on point for this situation. Indianapolis scores only 16.1 PPG while not having scored more than 17 points in five straight games — and in games involving a road team that does not score more than 17 PPG and who has to topped 17 points in two straight games, these games finished Over the Total in 28 of the last 36 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the  Indianapolis Colts (101) and the Baltimore Ravens (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Army Black Knights (223) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (224). The Hot Take that many pundits are observing for this game has been the great success head coach Rocky Long has enjoyed when his defenses face spread triple option offenses. The numbers are impressive: Long’s teams are 11-1 straight-up against the twelve triple option offenses he has coached against with his team covering the point spread eight times. In the Aztecs’ 2014 Bowl game when they played Navy, they held the Midshipmen to a season-low 271 yards of offense. However, the problem with these numbers is that the oddsmakers have incorporated these facts into their number — it is one of the reasons why San Diego State (10-2) is a favorite in the touchdown range for this game. But the Aztecs do not tend to meet expectations when laying more than a field goal but not more than 10 points — they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when laying 3.5 to 10 points. San Diego State ended the season on fire by winning four straight games with their 35-10 win over New Mexico back on November 24th. But with a long 28 days off between contests, this Aztecs team may be flat in this game in an uninspiring contest against the Black Knights and an offense they have already faced twice this season. San Diego State has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least four of their last five games. The Aztecs have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after covering the point spread in three straight games. Additionally, while San Diego State has scored at least 35 points in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last two contests. They averaged at least 6.96 Yards-Per-Play in those last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in two straight games while failing to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in three straight games. This San Diego State team also won all three of their games decided by one scoring possession — so their final record could have easily been less impressive if a break or two does not go there way.

Army (9-3) has experienced a dream season after defeating Navy for the second-straight season back on December 9th by a 14-13 score. They should have benefit in playing this game with only two weeks off between that triumph. Some pundits have questioned the team’s motivation for this game while others have concerns about the short turnaround during semester exams. Dude, it’s Army. These guys thrive on discipline and compartmentalizing their varying responsibilities. And after winning the Commander-in-Chief Trophy, this team has the opportunity to close out their season as one of the most gloried in the program’s history to achieve a ten-win season with a victory in their bowl game. Fourth-year head coach Jeff Monken will have his team prepared and excited to win this game — just like he did last season when they defeated North Texas in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. With this game being played in Fort Worth, the Black Knights will enjoy a crowd advantage. They enter this game having won seven of their last eight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Army has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a game where neither team scored more than 17 points. Additionally, one of the intangibles that should help the Black Knights stay in this game is that they protect the football. Army has only committed five turnovers in their last eight contests — and they have not committed more than one turnover in any of those last eight games. The Black Knights have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after not committing more than one turnover in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after not committing more than one turnover in four straight games. Lastly, and to bring this Report full-circle, the qualities of this Army team has helped them cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. 10* CFB Army-San Diego State Armed Forces Bowl Special with the Army Black Knights (223) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (224). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (222) minus the points versus the Texas Tech Red Raiders (221) in the Birmingham Bowl. Texas Tech (6-6) closed out their regular season by erasing a four-game slide by winning two of their last three games which was culminated in a 27-23 upset victory at Texas as a 7.5-point underdog back on November 24th. The Red Raiders have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog of at least 6 points. This Texas Tech can score points — but they continue to struggle on defense as they ranked 94th in the nation by allowing 31.8 PPG and they finished 98th in the FBS by giving up 434.0 total YPG. This porous defense has contributed to them failing to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. With South Florida falling this morning to a favorite of less than a field goal in most spots, lets take the Bulls. The Red Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral field as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. And this Texas Tech team has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 appearances in a Bowl game.

10* CFB play on South Florida minus the points versu Texas Tech. Best of luck or us  -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wyoming Cowboys (220) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (219) in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Wyoming (7-5) is led by a quarterback who will be drafted high in next April’s NFL Draft in junior Jake Allen. But Allen lost almost all his skill players from the previous season and led an offense that mostly sputtered this season as they scored only 22.3 PPG. Allen’s status for this game was questionable with a shoulder injury that kept him out of the last two games of the regular season — but he will take the field to start in this showcase opportunity for himself before he likely declares himself eligible for the draft. I do think the offense should be improved with the extra weeks of bowl practice. But while the offense behind Allen has been a challenge this season, that dynamic obscured the fact that the Cowboys defense has been quite good this season. Eight starters returned for first-year defensive coordinator Scottie Hazelton who oversaw a unit that ranked 12th in the FBS by holding opponents to just 17.8 PPG while also ranking 22nd in the nation by limiting opponents to only 332.8 total YPG. Wyoming should also have the Special Teams edge in this game against the Chippewas. The Cowboys will be looking to bounce-back after losing their last two games of the season without Allen. They take the field again for the first time since their 20-17 loss at San Jose State as an 18-point favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss. This team has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after an upset loss as a road favorite. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with at least two weeks to prepare under head coach Craig Bohl. Wyoming has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after the first month of the season. In their last 11 games against teams with a winning record, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in 8 of these contests. And in their last 5 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, Wyoming has covered the point spread 4 times. Additionally, the Cowboys will enjoy both a geographical edge as well as an environment edge as they are already quite familiar with playing in the high altitude conditions that will be the case in Boise for this Bowl game.

Central Michigan (8-4) closed out the regular season with five straight victories with their 31-24 upset victory over Northern Illinois as a 2.5-point underdog. The Chippewas pulled off five upsets this season while winning all four of their games decided by one scoring possession. The team is led on offense by quarterback Shane Morris who was a graduate transfer from Michigan. Some pundits have queried about how good the Wolverines would have been if Morris would have stayed in Ann Arbor after he threw 26 touchdown passes this season. Those observers fail to realize that the southpaw was low on Jim Harbaugh’s depth chart for a reason. Putting up solid numbers against MAC competition when given the opportunity to pass the ball at least 35 times is not uncommon. But Morris’ 55% completion rate this season as well as his 13 interceptions (a big no-no for Harbaugh) that he put up this season are big reasons for concern when facing a quality defense. Central Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games outside the MAC. And while the Chippewas have played five straight Overs, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing at least five straight games that finished Over the Total. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year with the Wyoming Cowboys (220) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (219). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (218) minus the points versus the UAB Blazers (217) in the Bahamas Bowl. Ohio (8-4) enters this game looking to get the bad taste out of their mouth of two straight upset losses in Mid-American Conference play that ruined their opportunity to play in the MAC Championship Game. The Bobcats were riding high after they upset Toledo by a 38-10 score despite being a 3-point underdog. But Ohio fell flat the next week in a 37-34 loss at Akron despite being a 15.5-point favorite which put the Zips in the drivers seat to win the MAC East Division. The Bobcats then followed that up with a 31-24 upset loss at Buffalo in what was essentially a meaningless game. This one of the better football teams that head coach Frank Solich has had at Ohio in his 13 seasons with the program. Solich’s teams are usually solid on defense but what makes this team different is how dynamic they are on offense. The Bobcats found their answer at quarterback in Week 2 of the season with junior college transfer Nathan Rourke. The dual threat sophomore passed for over 2000 yards with a 15:7 touchdown-to-interception ration while adding another 877 rushing yards and 21 TDs on the ground. He led an offense that ranked 14th in the FBS by averaging 38.9 PPG while generating 430.9 total YPG which was 39th in the nation. Look for Ohio to come out with an inspired effort as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Turnovers has hurt this team as of late as they have lost the turnover battle in their last three games while suffering a -2 net turnover margin in their last two losses. But the Bobcats have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after losing the turnover battle in at least three straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after enduring a -2 or worse net turnover margin in two straight games. Additionally, Ohio has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games played in the month of December, the Bobcats have covered the point spread in 6 of these contests. Furthermore, Ohio has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games outside MAC play. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a neutral field. And while some may cite Solich’s 4-9 bowl record overall, he has led his Bobcats teams to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 Bowl game opportunities.

UAB (8-4) enters this bowl game coming off a 28-7 win over UTEP back on November 25th. The Blazers held the Miners to just 107 passing yards in that game — but they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. UAB has also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games away from home after a win over a conference rival. The Blazers have been one of the biggest surprises in College Football this season with head coach Bill Clark doing an outstanding job with this program that disbanded after the 2014-15 season. Many pundits thought that UAB should have transitioned into the FCS rather than dive into FBS competition — but Clark and his team decided intrude to pull off five upsets (three net upsets on the season) to reach eight wins and earn the right to compete in this bowl game. But this is also a football team that benefited from a very soft schedule that ranked 179th in the nation in the Sagarin rankings as compared to Ohio ranking 114th by those formulas. The Blazers will likely be dominated on both lines of scrimmage in this game. And the trip to the Bahamas may provide a distraction for this team that has already far exceeded preseason expectations. Lastly, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played on grass. 10* CFB Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Ohio Bobcats (218) minus the points versus the UAB Blazers (217). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take Over the Total in the Bahamas Bowl between the UAB Blazers and the Ohio Bobcats. UAB (8-4) enters this Bowl game coming off their 28-7 win over UTEP back on November 25th where they held the Miners to just 107 passing yards. The Blazers have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. UAB has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Ohio (8-4) comes off a 31-24 loss in Buffalo on November 24th — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. The Bobcats have also played 5 straight games Over the Total in non-conference play. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports EASILY DELIVERED their 25* CFB play on Temple last night to further a 19-4-1 Football run since Saturday that has furthered a 55 of 73 (75%) Football run! Frank is a RED HOT 8 of 10 (80%) in the Bowls this postseason to further a 18 of 24 (75%) College Football mark along with a 28 of 40 (70%) CFB run — and now he RAISES THE STAKES with his 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year for Friday afternoon! DO NOT MISS OUT!

Frank was a PERFECT 3-0 on Thursday — CA$HING WINNING TICKETS on Temple in CFB Bowl action while winning his 25* NBA play on the Chicago-Cleveland Over along with the Knicks — to further a 47 of 60 (78%) run in All-Sports over the last fourteen days along with a 82 of 113 (73%) HOT STREAK in All-Sports this month! Frank has the second Bowl Game ATS winner on Friday as well -- BANK on Frank!

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (215) minus the points versus the Florida International Golden Panthers (216). Temple (6-6) closed out their season winning three of their last four games with their 43-22 win at Tulsa as a 4.5-point favorite. The Owls should build off their momentum closing out the regular season as they have covered the pint spread in 7 of their last 9 games are a win by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread victory. The offense has raised its level of play over their last five games when first-year head coach Geoff Collins inserted QB Frankie Nutile into the starting lineup. The junior completed 20 of 28 passes for 262 yards and three touchdown passes. Futile is completing 61% of his passes while possessing an 11 to 7 touchdown-to-interception ration while leading his team to score 31.8 PPG in his five starts. In their last three wins, the Owls have combined to score 112 combined points. Temple generated 451 yards of offense against Tulsa — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after generating at least 450 yards in their last game. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. This should be a motivated group of players with 20 seniors and 24 juniors on the opening roster who will be looking to deliver a victory in a bowl game after experiencing upset losses in the last two seasons in their bowl game. Temple has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games when playing on field turf which the field here in St. Petersburg.

Florida International (8-4) pulled off their second straight upset victory this season with their 63-45 upset win over UMass as a 2.5-point underdog back on December 2nd. That win came on the heels of their 41-17 upset win over Western Kentucky the previous Saturday as a small 2.5-point underdog in that game. First-year head coach Butch Davis led his team to an incredible six upset victories this season — but his group may suffer a rude awakening in this game. FIU ranked last in the country for FBS teams in terms of strength of schedule according to the Sagarin ratings — and they will be facing a Temple team battled tested from playing in the American Athletic Conference that rated as the top Group of Five non-power conference. It is telling that Florida International has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games outside Conference USA play. I see two particular areas where mismatches are likely. First, the Golden Panthers’ small offensive line risks being overpowered by the big defensive line of the Owls. Secondly, FIU allowed 37.4 PPG along with 467.6 total YPG in their five games away from home — and they scored only 22.4 PPG while getting outgained by -144.4 net YPG in those five road games. The Golden Panthers do have a geographical advantage with this game being played in St. Petersburg — but they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral field. And in their last 5 games played in the month of December, FIU is 0-3-1 ATS. 25* CFB Temple-FIU Gasparilla Bowl Special Feature with the Temple Owls (215) minus the points versus the Florida International Golden Panthers (216). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (213) plus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (214) in the Frisco Bowl. SMU (7-5) will be a bit disorganized entering this bowl game with head coach Chad Morris leaving the program to take the Arkansas job. The players hoped that interim head coach Jeff Traylor would be offered the head coaching job — but the program offered former Louisiana Tech and Cal head coach Sonny Dykes the job. Traylor decided to leave with Morris to Arkansas to work on that staff leaving Dykes with a skeleton coaching staff for this game. Frankly, I think the impact of this turmoil to be likely overestimated — the players are being empowered to take more responsibility for the scheming for this game and they are all motivated to play well for their next head coach. But, I don’t like the situation for the Mustangs outside this relative chaos. SMU snapped their three-game losing streak in their last game back on November 25th after their 41-38 win over Tulane as a 7-point favorite. But the Mustangs have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, SMU has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a close win against a conference rival by 3 points or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a win by a field goal or less at home. And while the Mustangs have only covered the point spread once in their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least four of their last five games. If there is an impact on SMU given the changes in the coaching staff, it will likely be on defense as Dykes’ teams have always been high-scoring teams that lagged on defense. The Mustangs rank 121st in the FBS by allowing 486.7 total YPG — and when SMU is playing away from home, they allowed 548.6 total YPG. They have allowed at least 31 points in five straight games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 31 points in their last game.

Louisiana Tech (6-6) has won two straight games to become bowl eligible after their 20-6 win over UTSA as a pick ‘em back on November 25th. The Bulldogs have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Louisiana Tech has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win at home against a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a double-digit win against a conference rival. The Bulldogs could have had a better record this season but suffered three net close losses decided by one scoring possession. They did play well away from as they were 4-1 on there road with an averaging winning margin of +6.8 net PPG. Louisiana Tech has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. 10* CFB Louisiana Tech-SMU Frisco Bowl Special with the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (213) plus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (214). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (211) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (212). Florida Atlantic (10-3) has won nine straight games after winning the Conference USA Championship Game with their 41-17 win over North Texas by a 11-point spread. The Owls were looking to travel for their bowl game and perhaps flex their muscles against a Power Five conference team with a national reputation. But instead, they are staying at home to face a middling team from the Mid-American Conference while being installed as the biggest point spread favorite in a bowl game in the last 20 years. I expect this team to be very flat in this game that really does not mean much to them at this point of the season. Reports suggest that practices have been flat — and that is not a good sign for a head coach in Lane Kiffin who has never led any of college football teams to a bowl victory. And while FAU became a favorite with the betting public by putting up a lot of points, they faced a schedule ranked just 111th in the nation according to the Sagarin rankings. In this situation, home field may not offer much of an advantage since it will play into their complacency. As it is, the Owls have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games on their home field. And while FAU committed only one turnover against the Mean Green, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 home games after not committing  more than one turnover in their last game. The Owls have also failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 home games after playing a game against a conference opponent. Furthermore, FAU has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams outside Conference USA.

10* CFB play on Akron plus the points versus Akron. Best of luck  for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Akron (7-6) looks to bounce-back from their 45-28 loss to Toledo in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game back on December 2nd as a 20.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Akron has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Zips have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while Akron allowed 561 total yards to the Rockets, they have then played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Zips have played better defense over the second half of the season and it was that unit that stepped up to help them upset Ohio and win the MAC East title. Akron has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the MAC, they have played all 4 games Under the Total.

Florida Atlantic (10-3) won the Conference USA Championship Game on December 2nd with their 41-17 win over North Texas. The Owls passed for 352 yards in that game en route to 633 yards of offense against the Mean Green. But Florida Atlantic has then played 21 of their last 29 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Owls have played 6 straight games Under the Total in the month of December. And this game will be played on FAU’s home field — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 117-40 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (331) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (332). Tampa Bay (4-9) has lost three straight games with their 24-21 loss to Detroit last week in a pick ‘em game. The Buccaneers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Tampa Bay allowed 434 yards in that game — but they have then seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now the Buccaneers return home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. Tampa Bay has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 23 games in the month of December, the Under is 15-7-1.

10* NFL play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (332) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (331). Atlanta (8-5) enters this game after their triumphant 20-17 win over New Orleans two Thursdays ago. If you think this game looks eerily similar to last Monday night’s New England at Miami game, then you are not alone. The Falcons easily took care of the Buccaneers in the first meeting between these two teams back on November 26th in a 34-20 score in Atlanta. And with the rematch with the Saints in the Big Easy on deck this weekend, this Falcons team may be caught looking ahead. As it is, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 32 of their last 48 games after a home win against a divisional rival. And while Atlanta has won four of their last five games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after winning at least three of their last four games. The Falcons held New Orleans to just 50 rushing yards last night — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Atlanta did suffer a -2 net turnover margin to the Saints in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after having a -2 or worse net turnover margin in their last game. Moving forward, the Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 32 games as the favorite.

Tampa Bay (4-9) has lost three straight games with their 24-21 loss to Detroit last week. The Buccaneers have not only failed to cover in those three games but they have only paid off bettors in two of their last seven contests. But Tampa Bay has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after losing at least three of their last four games — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. This Buccaneers team entered the season with high expectations. While this year has been ruined, they can still play the role of spoiler against a divisional rival which should motivate them to play well without the burden of high expectations. Tampa Bay did allow 434 yards to the Lions in that loss — but they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Buccaneers did hold Detroit to just 53 rushing yards — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after not allowing at least 75 rushing yards in their last  game. Expect Tampa Bay to be inspired by the Miami Dolphins who pulled the upset last Monday night at home as the underdog against another divisional rival that played in last February’s Super Bowl. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Year with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (332) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (330) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (329). Oakland (6-7) looks to bounce-back from their 26-15 loss in Kansas City last week against what now appears to be a resurgent Chiefs team after their upset win over the Chargers last night. While the Raiders are likely out of the AFC playoff picture, they can still play the role of spoiler while playing well in front of a nationally televised crowd. Oakland has not covered the point spread in two straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The Raiders have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss to a divisional rival. And while they allowed the Chiefs to rush for 165 yards last week, they are then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game.

10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Oakland plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (329) and the Oakland Raiders (330). Dallas (7-6) looks to build off their 30-10 win in New York against the Giants last week. The Cowboys have found their offense again as they dialed up 454 yards of offense behind a rushing attack that generated 122 yards of offense. Getting Tyron Smith healthy again at left tackle has made a big difference for this team as they have rushed the ball 73 times over their last two games for 304 rushing yards. Rushing the football tonight will keep the clock moving and help our Under tonight. As it is, Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after they gained at least 350 yards in their last game. The Cowboys stay on the road where they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total. Additionally, Dallas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Cowboys have also played 8 of their last 10 games against teams from the AFC. And in their last 9 games in the month of December, Dallas has played 8 of these games Under the Total.

Oakland (6-7) looks to bounce-back from their 26-15 loss at Kansas City last week as a 4.5-point underdog. The Raiders have then played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Oakland is playing better on defense. Over their last three games, they have held their opponents to only 19.0 PPG along with just 297.3 total YPG. Now the Raiders return home where they have played 4 of their last games Under the Total. Oakland has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on grass. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, the Raiders have played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFL Non-Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (329) and the Oakland Raiders (330). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (327) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the San Francisco 49ers (328). San Francisco (3-10) secured their second straight upset victory with their 26-16 win at Houston as a 1-point underdog. The 49ers seemed to have found their answer at QB with Jimmy Garoppolo under center as he completed 20 of 33 passes for 334 yards with a touchdown pass. Hey, Garoppolo is undefeated as a starter in the NFL with his victory over the Bears two weeks ago along with two starts with New England last September when Tom Brady was serving his Deflate-gate suspension. But before Garoppolo is inducted into the Hall of Fame, lets remember that he is playing for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. And while the 49ers generated 416 yards of offense last week, they are just 11-24-1 ATS in their last 36 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now San Fran returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the 49ers are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 14 games in the month of December, San Fran is 4-9-1 ATS.

Tennessee (8-5) looks to bounce-back from a very flat effort last week when they were upset in Arizona by a 12-7 score as a 2.5-point favorite. The Titans have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after suffering an upset loss. Tennessee has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The team stayed out west this week for this game — and I heard Mike Munchak proclaim that it was his team’s best week of practice this week. The Titans need to get back to their foundation of running the football after they managed just 65 rushing yards last week after generating 198 yards on the ground the previous week against the Titans. Tennessee is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. The defense is playing very well — they have registered 20 sacks over their last three games. Lastly, the Titans have covered the point spread in 48 of their last 76 games against teams from the NFC. 10* NFL Tennessee-San Francisco Side Special with the Tennessee Titans (327) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the San Francisco 49ers (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (325) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (326). Pittsburgh (11-2) has had this date circled since the league office put out the schedule as they are looking to avenge last year’s 36-17 loss in New England in the AFC Championship Game. But the timing for their opportunity for revenge could not be worse. For starters, the Steelers have gutted through two very difficult games against AFC North rivals. After the their very physical game against the Bengals two weeks ago, Pittsburgh rallied from an 11-point deficit in the 4th quarter to eke out a 39-38 victory over Baltimore. Recovering from this stretch is difficult enough. As it is, the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And in their last fifteen games after facing their arch rival in the Ravens, Pittsburgh has lost eight of these games straight-up. The mental and physical toll of those two games will be difficult to sustain now — especially with all the pressure this team feels to step up for this game given the words of head coach Mike Tomlin over the last few weeks. A big emotional letdown may happen for this team. While they have won eight straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning eight of their last ten games. Furthermore, this Steelers’ defense is far from at full strength. The season-ending injury to Ryan Shazier takes away their best defender of short and intermediate routes that this Patriots team absolutely thrives in with tight end Rob Gronkowski leading the way. In the seven quarters this team has played since losing Shazier in the Bengals game, Pittsburgh has allowed 48 points and 654 yards. Even worse, the Steelers have allowed their opponent to score a touchdown in all six of their Red Zone appearances since that Shazier injury — as opposed to not allowing a TD in thirteen of their previous twenty-five Red Zone defensive situations. Pittsburgh is also missing cornerback Joe Haden with his broken fibula who was their best cover man in their secondary. Over their last three games without Haden, the Steelers defense has allowed 28.7 PPG along with 357.7 total YPG. Haden is listed as questionable for this game but is not likely to be close to 100% even if takes the field which will leave the Pittsburgh pass defense still vulnerable after Joe Flacco torched them for 269 yards and a 7.69 Yards-Per-Attempt average. Pittsburgh has allowed their last two opponents to average 6.09 and 6.77 Yards-Per-Play without Haden and Shazier (for all but one quarter) — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing each of their last two opponents to average at least 6.0 YPP. On offense, Big Ben Roethlisberger did complete 44 of 66 passes for 506 yards against the Ravens last week — but the Steelers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Pittsburgh is also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. And while the Steelers have not covered the point spread in their last three contests, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight games.

New England (10-3) should be angry and focused after they were flat on Monday in their 27-20 loss in Miami despite being a 10.5-point favorite. Casinos have been built on bettors leaving this Patriots team for dead in the Bill Belichick and Tom Brady era. New England is 42-18-1 ATS in their last 61 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games after a point spread setback. And I am not worried about the short week when considering that the Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on a Sunday after a game on Monday Night Football. Brady will be very happy to see Gronkowski return to the field after he served his suspension last week. New England managed only 248 yards against the Dolphins while only rushing the ball to 10 times for a measly 25 yards. The Patriots have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 31 games after failing to generate at least 350 yards in their last game. Brady should bounce-back as he thrives when facing a Mike Tomlin defense. When facing a team with Tomlin as either head coach or defensive coordinator, Brady has thrown 26 touchdown passes and only one interception — and that TD to interception ratio is a perfect 22-0 with Tomlin the head coach with the Steelers. Brady has won ten of his twelve career starts against Pittsburgh. Take last year’s AFC Championship Game where Brady faced a Cover-2 or Cover-3 zone defense in 39 of his 43 drop-backs. If the defense cannot create immediate pressure on Brady, he just picks the defense apart by finding voids in the zone defense. He completed 32 of 42 passes last year against the Steelers playing zone in 91% of his drop back passes. Like I said, Pittsburgh will really miss Joe Haden. On defense, this team is substantially better than they were in the first month of the season. Over their last three games, the Patriots are allowing only 15.7 PPG along with only 283.7 total YPG even after last week’s loss to the Dolphins where they allowed 362 yards (helped by having the football for over 36 minutes). New England’s seasonal defensive numbers or the analytics at sites like Football Outsiders simply fail to capture the quality of this unit at this point of the season (because they are unwilling and/or unable to the need for subjective analysis to their “objective” formulas that originate from subjective weighting systems). Lastly, the Patriots are very reliable in situations like this. New England has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They have covered the point spread in 7 straight road games as the favorite. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in Pittsburgh against the Steelers. They have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The Pats have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games with the Total set at least at 49.5. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, New England has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. The end. 25* AFC Game of the Year with the New England Patriots (325) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (324) minus (or plus) the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (323). Los Angeles (9-4) had a golden opportunity last week with a 4-point lead and the ball facing an Eagles team having to rely on their backup quarterback — and they blew their chance to seize control of the NFC Playoff race by losing by a 43-35 score to Nick Foles and Philadelphia. The stat guys over at Football Outsiders remain undismayed as their laptops still rate the Rams their top team in the NFL. Perhaps is because they have yet to find a formula to measure how teams respond to pressure. In this area, both quarterback Jared Goff and head coach Sean McVay (too often busy looking for more offensive plays than managing the game) are unproven commodities — and they are both at a huge disadvantage when playing on the road against Super Bowl Champions in QB Russell Wilson and head coach Pete Carroll. The Rams put up great efficiency numbers which they combine with an elite and complete Special Teams unit. And I do appreciate the Football Outside folks taking Special Teams seriously. But efficiency numbers do not tell the entire story (as that crew is beginning to realize in the face of Time of Possession numbers that are confounding their predictions). And it is hard to for teams to rely on big plays out of their Special Teams from week-to-week. The Rams blew that game with the Eagles despite earning a touchdown from a blocked punt last week. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in five of their last eight games on the road with the Total falling in that range. LA has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. They are just 8-18-1 ATS when playing of turf that rewards speed. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of December. Furthermore, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. And while this team is looking to avenge a 16-10 loss to Seattle at home back on October 8th, they have then failed to cover the point spread when playing with same-season revenge in 40 of those last 56 opportunities.

Seattle (8-5) looks to bounce-back from their 30-24 loss in Jacksonville last week. The Seahawks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a straight-up loss. Now this Seattle team returns home where they looked so good two weeks ago in defeating the supposed invincible Eagles (who just beat this Rams team). The Seahawks have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games after playing a game on the road where both teams scored at least 24 points. Seattle’s defense has allowed 425 and 414 points in their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games. Wilson needs to play better after throwing three interceptions last week. But Wilson also threw for 271 yards and added another 50 yards on the ground — and the Seahawks are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Lastly, Seattle is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games in the month of December. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (324) minus (or plus) the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (323). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (308) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (307). Philadelphia (11-2) bounced-back from their 24-10 loss in Seattle with a defiant 43-35 win on the road in Los Angeles against the Rams. The team have accrued a Pyrrhic Victory when considering that their star quarterback Carson Wentz suffered a season-ending knee injury in that game. I think Nick Foles will fill in just fine for Wentz — but he does not have the incredible, elite play-making skills that Wentz has displayed this season. This is an awfully tough situation for the Eagles to maintain their intensity for a third straight week after two straight grueling games. Even worse for this team, this will be their third straight week on the road as well as their fourth game in their last five away from home. With Wentz going down after the team already lost offensive lineman Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks for the season, this Philly team has lost some of their best talent on both sides of the football. There are warning signs that this team is beginning to crack. They have committed six turnovers over the last three weeks while committing 28 penalties. They have covered the point spread in nine of their last ten games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 43 games after covering the point spread in at least four of their last five games. Additionally, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing on field turf. And in the last 11 road games as the favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games.

New York (2-11) saw the triumphant return of Eli Manning to their starting lineup under center last week but it was the same ole Giants as they lost to the Cowboys by a 30-10 score as a 4-point home underdog. Somehow, I see head coach Steve Spagnola and Manning to lead this team to be very competitive as they try to play the role as spoilers in this contest. New York is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread loss. And while the Giants have lost three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing at least three straight games. Lastly, in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, New York has covered the point spread 6 times. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Giants (308) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (320) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (319). Arizona (6-7) has won two of their last three games after their upset 12-7 win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog. We had the Cardinals in that game — but this team looks due for a letdown having to travel out east for this early kick off where their internal body clock will feel like it is 10 AM. As it is, Arizona is just 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinals did hold the Titans to just 204 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after allowing less than 205 lads in their last game. Arizona is also just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Cards have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. And Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record.

Washington (5-8) was embarrassed last week in Los Angeles where they lost by a 30-13 score to the Chargers as a 6-point underdog. That was the second straight loss for this injury riddled Skins team. But Kirk Cousins is still healthy at quarterback — and he is the heartbeat of this team. Washington has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after suffering two straight losses. Defense has been an issue as they allowed 314 passing yards last week to the Chargers. But the Skins have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. And while they have allowed 68 combined points in their last two losses, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 25 points in two straight games. Lastly, Washington has covered the point spread in 6 off their last 9 games played on the last four weeks of the regular season. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-19-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Kickoff with the Washington Redskins (320) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (314) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (313). Miami (6-7) pulled off their second straight upset on Monday — and they played their best game in years — by picking off the Patriots as 10.5-point underdogs in their 27-20 victory as a 10.5-point underdog. The Dolphins are prime candidates for a big letdown in this spot after such an emotional win. As it is, they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a Sunday on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. Now this team goes on the road — and in the cold for these South Beachers with the temperate currently at 27 degrees as of this writing this morning — where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. Miami has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.

Miami (7-6) survived the blizzard last week by eking out a 13-7 win in overtime over the Colts. The good news for this team this week is that QB Tyrod Taylor has been upgraded to probable to take the field after going through the concussion protocol. Without Taylor available last week and in those challenging weather conditions, the Bills passed for only 92 passing yards — but they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. Buffalo did rush for 227 yards in that game led by LeSean McCoy who seems to love rushing in cold conditions —and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. The Bills have not scored more than 16 points in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after failing to score at least 17 points in three straight games. Lastly, Buffalo is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. 20* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Buffalo Bills (314) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (313). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Los Angeles (7-6) has won four straight games — as well as seven of their last seven games — with their 30-13 win over Washington last Sunday as 6-point favorites. The Under is then 25-9-1 in the Chargers last 35 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Los Angeles has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. And in the Chargers’ last 4 games after not allowing more than two touchdowns, the Under is 3-0-1. Since Week Five, their defense has held opposing quarterbacks to the second lowest Passer Rating in the league. And since Week 11, the Chargers boards the best scoring defense in the league by allowing just 13.3 PPG. LA did generate 484 yards in that game behind Philip Rivers — but the Under is then 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Chargers go back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. And in their last 8 games against fellow AFC opponents, Los Angeles has played 7 of these games Under the Total.

Kansas City (7-6) enters this game coming off a 26-15 win over Oakland last week as a 4.5-point favorite. The Chiefs had scored 31 points the previous week in their 38-31 loss in overtime in New York against the Jets — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. Kansas City got their defense going again in that contest by holding the Raiders to just 268 yards. The Chiefs stay at home where they have played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Under the Total. Additionally, KC has played 14 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 15 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the game finished Under the Total 12 times. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (306) plus (or minus) the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (305). Kansas City (7-6) was once the toast of the league early in the season when they rattled off five straight victories — and we were bearish on them then. But now most bettors have jumped off the ole bandwagon as they have lost six of their last eight games while also only covering the point spread twice over those last eight contests. But that is an overreaction as well — and this Chiefs team should be very feisty in this rare situation where they are a home underdog. To make things even saltier for this Kansas City team, they are underdogs at home to a Chargers team that they have defeated seven straight times. I like what I saw with this Kansas City team last week where they defeated the Raiders by a 26-15 score as a 4.5-point favorite. Dominating both sides of the line of scrimmage helped the Chiefs get back to their winning ways — perhaps the entire team responded to the message head coach Andy Reid sent when he suspended starting cornerback Marcus Peters for losing control the previous week when he tossed an official’s penalty flag into the crowd. Rookie Kareem Hunt broke out of his slump by rushing the ball 25 times for 116 yards while adding another 22 yards in the air. The Chiefs rushed for 165 yards against the Raiders which helped them control the clock for 36:40 minutes — and they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. KC held Oakland to just 70 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 90 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Chiefs ave covered the point spread in 5 straight games after both a straight-up win and after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And in their last 9 games against AFC West opponents, the Chiefs have covered the point spread 8 times.

25* NFL Network Game of the Year with the Kansas City Chiefs plus (or minus) the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (303) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (304). Chicago (4-9) built some momentum for themselves last week with their 33-7 upset win in Cincinnati as a 6-point underdog. The Bears controlled the clock for this game as they had the football for 38:09 of this game which helped them churn out 482 yards of offense. This Time of Possession advantage helped them keep the Bengals off the field — and Cincy had just 234 yards of offense in that contest. Running back Jordan Howard ran the ball 23 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns — and this will be the formula for success against the Lions for this game. Detroit allows 116.3 rushing YPG which is 20th in the league. QB Mitch Trubisky is also playing better football as he gets more experience as the starter. Over his last two games, Trubisky has a nice 113.9 Passer Rating — and he is facing a Lions’ defense that has allowed opposing quarterbacks to dial up a strong 99.6 Passer Rating against them over their last six games. With the Chicago offense stabilizing, their strong defense can flex their muscles. For the season, the Bears rank 11th in the NFL by allowing only 325.5 total YPG. On the road, Chicago is giving up 15.8 PPG along with 317.2 total YPG. The Bears have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. Chicago is also 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The Bears will be playing with revenge from a 27-24 loss in Detroit back on November 19th. Chicago is still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Lions which suggests this will be another close game.

Detroit (7-6) enters this game coming off their 24-21 win in Tampa Bay last Sunday. But the Lions are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Detroit did generate 434 yards of offense in that game — but they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. But the Lions defense surrendered 440 yards to the Bucs who averaged 6.1 Yards-Per-Play — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after allowing their last opponent to average at least 6.0 YPP. Detroit returns home where they are just 2-4 this season while being outgained by -43.8 net YPG. The Lions have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home in Ford Field. Lastly, Detroit is just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games in the month of December. 10* NFL Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bears (303) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (303) and the Detroit Lions (304). Detroit (7-6) enters this game coming off their 24-21 win in Tampa Bay last week in a pick ‘em game. QB Matthew Stafford was outstanding in that contest as he completed 36 of 44 passes for 381 yards — but the Lions have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. But despite that nice offensive effort, Detroit is scoring only 22.3 PPG over their last three games. One of the concerns for the Lions is their inability to run the football as they rank last in the league by averaging only 76.3 rushing YPG. Over their last four games, Detroit has not rushed for more than 78 yards — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in four straight games. On the other side of the football, the Lions allowed 267 passing yards to the Bucs in that victory — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Detroit has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

Chicago (4-9) enters this game coming off their 33-7 win in Cincinnati last Sunday as a 6-point underdog. The Bears have then played 17 of their last 26 ames Under the Total after a double-digit upset victory as an underdog. The Bears controlled the clock for this game as they had the football for 38:09 of this game which helped them churn out 482 yards of offense. This Time of Possession advantage helped them keep the Bengals off the field — and Cincy had just 234 yards of offense in that contest. Chicago won the first down battle in that contest as well by a 29-14 margin — and they have then played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a game where they dominated Time of Possession by holding the ball for at least 34 minutes while also generating at least 24 first downs. Additionally, the Bears have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after outgaining their opponents by at least +150 net yards. With the Chicago offense stabilizing, their strong defense can flex their muscles. For the season, the Bears rank 11th in the NFL by allowing only 325.5 total YPG. On the road, Chicago is giving up 15.8 PPG along with 317.2 total YPG. The Bears will need their defense to shine in this one when considering that they score only 16.0 PPG on the road while averaging just 314.8 total YPG. Chicago has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 range. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents. Lastly, Chicago has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog — including five of their last seven games Under the Total when an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. 25* NFL NFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (303) and the Detroit Lions (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Marshall Thundering Herd (207) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (208). Marshall (7-5) limps into this bowl game having lost two straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 28-27 upset loss to Southern Mississippi as a 2-point favorite back on November 25th. Expect 8th year head coach Doc Holliday to have his team ready to play in this bowl game with the opportunity to end their season on a high note after this disappointing second half of the season. The Thundering Herd have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games when playing on the road after a point spread setback. This team plays outstanding defense with a unit that returned seven starters and was infused with five impactful transfers in the offseason. Marshall ranked 17th in the nation by allowing 19.3 PPG — and they 25th in the FBS by holding teams to just 337.7 total YPG. This stout defense should keep them competitive as they outscored their six opponents when they played away from home by +5.4 PPG while outgaining these foes by +28.4 net YPG. This Marshall team also holds a significant edge in Special Teams for this contest. The Thundering Herd are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games against non-conference opponents. And Holliday has led his team to a perfect 4-0 record in his tenure in bowl games — and this team has covered the point spread in 5 straight bowl appearances.

Colorado State (7-5) also suffered a disappointing second-half of the season s they have lost three of their last four games while failing to cover the point spread in six straight contests (Jagermeister helped with the deletion of the brain cells regarding their game with Boise State where we were winning by two touchdowns as an underdog with just 1:41 left and then … blank). The Rams did rebound in their last regular season game to blowout a bad San Jose State team by a 42-14 score as a 32.5-point favorite. But Colorado State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. Their offense generated 606 yards of offense in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Colorado State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after playing at least two straight games against Mountain West Conference opponents. This team has not been a very team on neutral fields where they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 bowl games — and head coach Mike Bobo has lost his first two bowl games with the program. 10* CFB Marshall-Colorado State New Mexico Bowl Special with the Marshall Thundering Herd (207) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (208). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Boise State Broncos (206) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (205). Oregon (7-5) enters this game coming off a big 69-10 win over Oregon State as a 26-point favorite back on November 25th. Since that game, first-year head coach jilted the program by taking his dream job at Florida State. The Ducks have since named offensive coordinator Mario Cristobal as the new head coach which is fine — and I do not see that move impacting this team in either direction for this Bowl game. However, I am troubled by the decisions of running back Royce Freeman along with offensive linemen Tyrell Crosby and Jake Pisarcik to bypass playing in this game to not risk injury and their draft status as they hope to be picked high by an NFL team in April (and this is one of the reasons why I don’t like to be too hasty in picking these bowl games). As it is, Oregon has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread win — and they are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a straight-up victory. Additionally, the Ducks have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 13 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game, Oregon is just 3-9-1 ATS. The Ducks do have their talented sophomore QB Justin Herbert back under center — and they were much better on offense with him the starting quarterback. Yet that is one of the reasons why they are laying around a touchdown to a solid Broncos team — and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against non-conference opponents.

Boise State (10-3) has won eight of their last nine games after they won the Mountain West Conference Championship Game with their 17-14 win over Fresno State. The Broncos have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Boise State has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This a dangerous underdog because they play so good on defense. The Broncos allow 22.5 PPG while ranking 23rd in the FBS by limiting opponents to just 336.7 total YPG. Quarterback Brett Rypien is playing his best football of the year to close out the season. This team has only forced one turnover in their last two games — but the Regression Gods may be taking notice as they have then covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after failing to force more than one turnover in two straight games. And while this Boise State team has not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. 20* CFB Oregon-Boise State Las Vegas Bowl Special with the Boise State Broncos (206) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia State Panthers (203) plus the points versus the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Georgia State (6-5) has lost two straight games with their 24-10 upset loss to Idaho on December 2nd despite being a 7.5-point favorite. The Panthers should bounce-back with an inspired effort in just their second bowl game in the program’s history. The team also received a shot in the arm with sophomore wide receiver Penny Hart being upgraded to probable after dealing with a foot injury. As it is, Georgia State has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after suffering two straight losses — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 road games after losing two straight losses. Additionally, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Part of what did Georgia State in against the Vandals was a -4 net turnover margin — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a game where they had at least a -3 net turnover margin. And while the Panthers offense has scored only 20 combined points in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring no more than 17 points in two straight games. Moving forward, Georgia State has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 road games played on a Saturday. They were 5-1 away from home this season. They have a good QB in senior Connor Manning who was a former Utah player before transferring. And in their last 23 games as an underdog, the Panthers have covered the point spread 14 times.

Western Kentucky (6-6) has lost five of their last six games with their 41-17 loss at Florida International back on November 24th as a 3-point favorite. The Hilltoppers may have trouble rebounding from that loss as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Western Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And in their last 9 games after allowing at least 40 points, the Hilltoppers are just 2-6-1 ATS. This team has seen their offensive production regress this season under first-year head coach Mike Sanford despite his previous experience as the offensive coordinator at Notre Dame. The Western Kentucky offense returned senior QB Mike White from an offense that averaged 45.5 PPG — but they saw that production drop by almost 20 PPG as they are scoring just 26.2 PPG this season. The offensive line is certainly one of the factors in this decline as they lost three NFL caliber linemen from last year’s team. This season, the Hilltoppers are averaging just 2.1 Yards-Per-Carry while allowing 41 sacks. The lack of a credible rushing attack is a concern for this game: Western Kentucky is 129th in the FBS by averaging just 66.1 rushing YPG. The Hilltoppers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the Sun Belt Conference. Lastly, Western Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as the favorite. 10* CFB Georgia State-Western Kentucky Cure Bowl Special with the Georgia State Panthers (203) plus the points versus the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Western Kentucky (6-6) limps into this game having lost five of their last six games after suffering a 41-17 loss at Florida International on November 24th as a field goal favorite. The Hilltoppers have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Western Kentucky has also played 3 straight Unders after suffering an upset loss by at least 17 points. The Hilltoppers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This team has seen their offensive production regress this season under first-year head coach Mike Sanford despite his previous experience as the offensive coordinator at Notre Dame. The Western Kentucky offense returned senior QB Mike White from an offense that averaged 45.5 PPG — but they saw that production drop by almost 20 PPG as they are scoring just 26.2 PPG this season. Furthermore, the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against Sun Belt Conference opponents.

Georgia State (6-5) has lost two straight games after their 24-10 loss to Idaho as a 7.5-point favorite back on December 2nd. The Panthers have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Georgia State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring 20 points or less in their last game. Offense is certainly an issue for this team as they ranked 118th in the FBS by scoring just 19.7 PPG — and they also ranked just 86th in the nation by averaging 385.2 total YPG. Moving forward, the Panthers have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. Georgia State has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 5 games against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference, the Panthers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 73-17-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus Troy Trojans (202) in the New Orleans Bowl. North Texas (9-4) saw their five-game winning streak snapped in the Conference USA Championship Game in a rough 41-17 loss at Florida Atlantic in December 2nd as an 11-point underdog. Look for the Mean Green to be motivated to redeem themselves from that bad effort and secure a ten-win season for the football program. North Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while the Mean Green went into the locker room with a 27-0 half time deficit, they have then covered the point spread 10 of their last 12 games on the road after trailing by at least 24 points at the half in their last game. Additionally, North Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. The Mean Green did surrender 352 yards of offense to the Owls in that last loss — but they have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after allowing at least 325 passing yards in their last contest. North Texas likely has the edge at QB with Mason Fine who completed 64% of his passes while passing 28 touchdown passes to just 13 interceptions. He led his offense to 437 yards against FAU — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Mean Green has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against non-conference opponents.

Troy (10-2) has won six straight games which helped them tie for first place in the Sun Belt Conference after a 32-25 win at Arkansas State as a 1-point favorite. Frankly, the Trojans were outplayed by the Red Wolves as they lost the first down battle by a 32-14 margin while getting outgained by a horrendous 606 to 293 margin. Three interceptions — one returned for a 100-yard touchdown to create a 14-point swing — contributed to a +2 net turnover margin. Troy also returned a 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown to help overcome getting clobbered at the line of scrimmage. Most metrics give the edge to North Texas in the Special Teams Department for this game — so it is unlikely that the Trojans will benefit from Special Teams in this contest. The Trojans are the public team in this game with their high profile win over LSU this season. They also have a defense that ranked 11th in the FBS by allowing 17.5 PPG. But this team is riddled with injuries with safety Kris Weatherspoon and cornerback Blake Brown both out for this game. QB Brandon Silvers will also be without one of his best weapons in wide receiver Emanuel Thompson. Silvers seemed to regress this season as he tossed only 13 touchdown passes as compared to 23 TD passes last season. Troy has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Trojans have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against non-conference opponents. 20* CFB North Texas-Troy New Orleans Bowl Special with the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus Troy Trojans (202) in the New Orleans Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (302) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (301). Indianapolis (3-10) has lost four straight games after they lost in Buffalo on Sunday in that blizzard by a 13-7 score in overtime. The Colts did show grit in that game by rallying from those challenging conditions to tie the game in the 4th quarter to force overtime. The Colts have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 32 of their last 46 games after a straight-up loss. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. They have also 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last contest. Indy managed only 227 yards of offense in that setback on Sunday — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. This Colts team has still covered the point spread in 29 of their last 39 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 15 appearances on Thursday Night Football, Indianapolis is 12-2-1 ATS.

Denver (4-9) snapped their eight-game losing streak last Sunday with their 23-0 shutout upset win over the Jets as a 1-point underdog. Look for this Broncos team going absolutely nowhere this season to suffer a letdown on this short week. As it is, they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Denver is also 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. To compound matters, the Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a victory by at least two touchdowns. And in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game, Denver is just 0-3-1 ATS. Now the Broncos go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games. Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 7 games against fellow AFC opponents, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread 6 times. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Indianapolis Colts (302) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (301) and the Indianapolis Colts (302). Denver (4-9) snapped their eight-game losing streak on Sunday with their 23-0 shutout win over the Jets as a 1-point home underdog. The Broncos held the Jets to just 100 yards of offense. Denver has been a disaster on offense as they have not been able to develop a quarterback between Trevor Siemian, Payton Lynch and Brock Osweiler — but the Broncos defense remains outstanding. Despite little help on offense in staying off the field, the Denver defense remains number one in the league by holding their opponents to just 280.5 total YPG — and they rank 2nd in the NFL in passing defense (191.1 passing YPG) and 4th in the league in rushing defense (89.5 rushing YPG). The Broncos held the Jets to just 41 passing yards last week — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Denver has also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, the Broncos have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Denver has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 28 games as the favorite, the Broncos have played 19 of these games Under the Total.

Indianapolis (3-10) looks to bounce-back from their 13-7 loss in the blizzard in Buffalo on Sunday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Colts have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. QB Jacoby Brissett managed to complete only 11 of 22 passes for 69 yards in that game — and Indianapolis have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. While the snowy conditions made it difficult for both offenses in that game, the fact remains that this Indy offenses lack weapons at the skill positions as well as a decent offensive line to protect a backup albeit promising quarterback in Brissett. The Colts are 30th in the NFL by scoring 16.3 PPG — and they are 31st in the league by averaging just 290.7 total YPG. Now Indianapolis returns home where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. The Colts have also played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Indianapolis has played 29 of their last 27 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 5 games against fellow AFC opponents, the Colts have played all 5 games Under the Total. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (301) and the Indianapolis Colts (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (134) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (133). New England (10-2) enters this game coming off their 23-3 win in Buffalo last Sunday. But the team will be without tight end Rob Gronkowski in this game which takes away Tom Brady’s security blanket. Brady’s numbers are markedly better with Gronkowski on the field. In his career, Brady completes 66% of his passes while averaging a robust 8.0 Yards Per Passing Attempt with a 5.29:1 touchdown to interception ration and a QB Rating of 79. But in games without Gronkowski, Brady sees those numbers drop to a 62% completion percentage with a 7.0 YPA mark and a 2.95:1 TD to interception ratio and a QBR of 63. Furthermore, South Beach has not been Brady’s favorite place to play as the Patriots are scoring just 23.8 PPG in his fifteen starts in Miami while Brady has gotten sacked 32 times while throwing 13 interceptions. Brady was also limited in practice this week after taking some shots to the body by the Bills — and this game shapes up to be very physical after the Dolphins were very chippy a few weeks ago in their 35-17 loss in New England back on November 26th. Moving forward, the Patriots have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record on the road.

Miami (5-7) looks to build off their 35-9 win over Denver last week as a 1-point underdog. The Dolphins are then 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread victory. The Miami offense has steadily improved this season. They generated 367 yards against a still solid Broncos defense last week — and they are then 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Over their last three games, the Dolphins are scoring 25.2 PPG while averaging 349.0 total YPG. Some of the improvements on offense has been the improved play of QB Jay Cutler. But  some of this success can be attributed to the development of second-year running back Kenyon Drake. The former Alabama player ran the ball 23 times last week for 120 yards. Miami looks to avenge their loss to the Patriots a few weeks ago back on their home field where they are holding their visitors to just 20.8 PPG along with only 286.0 total YPG. The Dolphins have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 4 games in the month of December, Miami has covered the point spread all 4 times. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Miami Dolphins (134) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (133). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (133) and the Miami Dolphins (134). New England (10-2) enters this game coming off their 23-3 win in Buffalo last Sunday. The Patriots have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. New England generated 435 yards of offense in that contest with the Bills — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The team will be without tight end Rob Gronkowski in this game which takes away Tom Brady’s security blanket. Brady’s numbers are markedly better with Gronkowski on the field. In his career, Brady completes 66% of his passes while averaging a robust 8.0 Yards Per Passing Attempt with a 5.29:1 touchdown to interception ration and a QB Rating of 79. But in games without Gronkowski, Brady sees those numbers drop to a 62% completion percentage with a 7.0 YPA mark and a 2.95:1 TD to interception ratio and a QBR of 63. Furthermore, South Beach has not been Brady’s favorite place to play as the Patriots are scoring just 23.8 PPG in his fifteen starts in Miami while Brady has gotten sacked 32 times while throwing 13 interceptions. New England has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home The Patriots have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on grass. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, New England has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Miami (5-7) enters this game coming off their 35-9 upset win over Denver last week as a 1-point underdog. The Dolphins have then played 32 of their last 49 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game. Miami plays much better defense on their home field where they are limiting their opponents to just 20.8 PPG along with only 286.0 total YPG. The Dolphins have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-26 combined angle for this situation. 25* AFC East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (133) and the Miami Dolphins (134). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (131) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Baltimore (7-5) has won four of their last five games with their 44-20 win over Detroit last Sunday. The Ravens have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Baltimore generated 370 yards of offense in that contest — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens’ defense surrounded 372 yards of offense to the Lions — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, Baltimore has played all 5 of these games Over the Total.

Pittsburgh (10-2) has won six straight games with their 23-20 win in Cincinnati over the Bengals on Monday. The Steelers have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing a game on a Sunday on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. The Steelers defense gave up 353 yards in that game — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Defense is an issue for this team as of late — they really miss Joe Haden in their secondary. Over their last three games, Pittsburgh is allowing 238 passing YPG which is 40 yards more than their 198 passing YPG season average entering this game. Lastly, the Over is 12-5-2 in the last 19 meetings between these two teams in Pittsburgh. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (131) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (131) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Baltimore (7-5) has won three straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 44-20 win over Detroit last Sunday. This Ravens team is playing with confidence behind an outstanding defense and an improving offense that is finding themselves after being ravaged with injuries to start the season. Joe Flacco completed 23 of 36 passes against the Lions for 269 yards with two TD passes to lead the offense for 370 total yards. Baltimore is then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens defense has allowed only 400 yards only once this season — and that was their game in London with those unique travel situations. Baltimore will be playing their revenge on their minds after losing by a 26-9 score at home to the Steelers back on October 1st. Flacco has won two of his last three starts in Pittsburgh while leading his team to score 80 combined points in that contest. Baltimore has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against fellow AFC North opponents. The Ravens are also 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, Baltimore is 3-0-1 ATS.

Pittsburgh (10-2) comes off a physically and emotionally draining game with the Bengals last week which they survived by a 23-20 score in Cincinnati against the Bengals. And this team has a showdown with the Patriots on deck next Sunday which will likely determine the top seed in the AFC Playoffs. In fact, even if the Steelers lose this game, a win over New England next week likely gives them the tie-breaker over the Patriots. While that is not to say that Pittsburgh does not want to beat their arch rivals in this Baltimore team again — but it might impact how head coach Mike Tomlin views things if some players get hurt in this game. As it is, the Steelers are just 2-5-1 ATS when playing on a short week on a Sunday after a game on Monday Night Football. The Steelers are without some important players in this game as well. Star linebacker Ryan Shazier will not play for the rest of the season after he was carted off the field for his hit that injured his spine. The team is already without cornerback Joe Haden who has been dealing with a fibula injury for weeks — and his absence has exposed the Pittsburgh secondary to big plays that even Andy Dalton has been able to expose. Wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster is also out for tonight as he is serving his one-game suspension for his hit and taunt on Vontaze Burfict in that game on Monday. The absence of Smith-Schuster takes away a big-play option for Big Ben Roethlisberger while his defense is giving up more and more of these plays. The Steelers have allowed nine passing plays of more than 40 yards which is 6th worst in the league this season. They have allowed their last two opponents to average 6.14 and 6.09 Yards-Per-Play in their last two games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 6.0 YPP in two straight games. Roethlisberger does tend to struggle against the Ravens. In his last eleven starts, he has just a 4-7 record while tossing just 13 touchdowns and throwing just as many interceptions. And while Pittsburgh has won seven straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games along with failing to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after winning at least five straight games. With this being a very challenging sandwich situation for a team that has seemed to not meet their high expectations (despite their great record), expect this to be another close game for the Steelers. 25* NFL AFC North Game of the Year with the Baltimore Ravens (131) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (127) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (128). Philadelphia (10-2) looks to bounce-back from their 24-10 upset loss at Seattle as a 3.5-point favorite last Sunday night. The Eagles did not rush for at least 100 yards for the first time since the opening week of the season in that game. But this team should have benefited from the playoff atmosphere from that game. This is a business trip for this Philly team that stayed out west for this game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. The Eagles did dominate the yardage battle as they generated 425 yards against the Seahawks defense while outgaining them by +115 net yards. Philadelphia has then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Philly defense has been playing quite well as they have allowed only 69 combined yards for a 13.8 PPG average. The offense will get tight end Zach Ertz back on the field for this game after he was unable to finish the game on Sunday. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC opponents. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the Eagles have covered the point spread 8 times.

Los Angeles (9-3) looks to build off their 32-16 win over Arizona last week. The Rams won that game despite getting outgained by the Cardinals in that contest — a 41-yard interception return for a touchdown helped make the difference in that game. In this showdown for first place in the NFC, there a couple of concerns I have about this Los Angeles offense. For starters, QB Jared Goff lacks the mobility and athleticism of the Eagles’ Carson Wentz — and Goff will be facing a tough pass rush from the Eagles. Secondly, Todd Gurley’s productivity has decreases as he has not rushed for 100 yards in five straight games while managing only one touchdown over that span. Those are not encouraging items for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes three straight failures to cover the spread when that Over/Under range tightens to the 45.5 to 49 margin. Lastly, Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December. 20* NFL Eagles-Rams Fox-TV Special with the Philadelphia Eagles (127) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (128). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Los Angeles (6-6) has won three straight games with their 19-10 win over Cleveland as a 13.5-point favorite. The Chargers were actually outgained the lowly Browns by -138 net yards as they generated only 291 yards. A +2 net turnover margin helped make up for a defense that surrendered 429 yards of offense to DeShone Kizer and company. That defense allowed five big plays of at least 25 yards in that game. Los Angeles has then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Chargers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last contest. This team stays at home where they have little home field advantage given their still lack of familiarity with that field and few supporters in the LA area. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games.

Washington (5-7) has had extra time to rest and prepare for this game after their 38-14 upset loss in Dallas as a 1.5-point favorite back on November 30th. The Skins have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Now the Skins get to play the role of spoiler in the AFC Playoffs — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. And in their last 17 games on the road, Washington has covered the point spread in 12 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 95-29-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Los Angeles (6-6) has won three straight games with their 19-10 win over Cleveland as a 13.5-point favorite. The Chargers were actually outgained the lowly Browns by -138 net yards as they generated only 291 yards. A +2 net turnover margin helped make up for a defense that surrendered 429 yards of offense to DeShone Kizer and company. That defense allowed five big plays of at least 25 yards in that game. Los Angeles has then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Chargers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last contest. This team stays at home where they have little home field advantage given their still lack of familiarity with that field and few supporters in the LA area. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And int heir last 5 games in the month of December, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games.

10* NFL play on Washington. Best of luck for us-- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Cincinnati (5-7) plays this game coming off a short week in what resulted in a 23-20 loss at home to the Steelers. That was a very physical game with plenty of emotions involved in that heated rivalry. That sets this underachieving Bengals team to suffer a big letdown when now facing this mediocre Bears team. Cincinnati had won their previous two games to make their record look better — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Bengals have covered the point spread in four straight contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least contests. This is a banged up football team playing on a short week. Joe Mixon, Vontaze Burfict and Dre Kilpatrick have all been declared out for this game. Furthermore, favorites laying 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range who have won two of their last three games now facing a team with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of the last 37 situations (78%) where these conditions applied.

Chicago (3-9) has lost five straight games with their 15-14 loss to San Francisco last week. The Bears have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. And while they allowed 388 yards to the 49ers, they are then 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This Chicago team will challenge the Bengals physically — they have a solid defense with a good offensive line. Chicago has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range — and this includes covering the point spread in four straight road games with the Total set in that range. Lastly, the Bears have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against AFC opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 43-15-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Carolina Panthers (116) plus the point(s) versus the Minnesota Vikings (115). Carolina (8-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last week with their 31-21 loss in New Orleans as a 5.5-point favorite. The Panthers have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Carolina has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, New Orleans outgained them by 121 yards in that game — but this franchise has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 home games after being outgained by at least 100 yards in their last game. And while the Panthers allowed the Saints to pass for 252 yards, they are then 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. This team has been playing good football as of late with Cam Newton fully healed from a shoulder injury that slowed him down to begin the season. He is averaging a whopping 7.0 Yards-Per-Carry over his last seven contests while completing throwing to the wind those rumors in the offseason that he would not be running the ball anymore. A healthy Greg Olsen is back on the field to offer Newton his favorite passing target as well. Returning home will help after the Panthers have played their last two games on the road — and Carolina has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing their last two games on the road. And in their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 9 of these games. Carolina has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games as the underdog. Finally on the Panthers side of the equation, they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

20* NFL play with Carolina plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Cincinnati (5-7) plays this game coming off a short week in what resulted in a 23-20 loss at home to the Steelers. That was a very physical game with plenty of emotions involved in that heated rivalry. That sets this underachieving Bengals team to suffer a big letdown when now facing this mediocre Bears team. Cincinnati had won their previous two games to make their record look better — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Bengals have covered the point spread in four straight contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least contests. This is a banged up football team playing on a short week. Joe Mixon, Vontaze Burfict and Dre Kilpatrick have all been declared out for this game. Furthermore, favorites laying 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range who have won two of their last three games now facing a team with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of the last 37 situations where these conditions applied.

10* NFL play on Chicago plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (130) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (129). There will be plenty of emotion in the Meadowlands this afternoon as the proverbial Prodigal Son in Eli Manning returns to the starting lineup in a stadium that will be full of Eli jerseys in the wake of the firing of Giants’ head coach Ben McAdoo along with their general manager Jerry Reese. New York (2-10) has played two straight games on the road — as well as three of their last four contests. That long game at home was an upset win over the Chiefs. I look for this team to play inspired football under this situation — especially for interim head coach Steve Spagnola who represents Big Blue as the defensive coordinator for a Super Bowl Championship with Manning under center. This also is an opportunity for this team to play spoiler against the Cowboys while avenging a 19-3 loss in Dallas back on September 10th. The Giants look to bounce-back from their 24-17 loss at Oakland last week as a 10-point underdog. New York rushed for only 65 yards in that game after managing just 84 rushing yards in Washington the week before. But the Giants are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 tams after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in two straight games. Additionally, New York scored only 7 points in the first half of their game with the Raiders — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after failing to score more than a touchdown in the first half of their last game. Furthermore, the Giants have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as the underdog.

Dallas (6-6) snapped their three-game losing streak two Thursdays ago with their 38-14 upset win over Washington as a 1.5-point underdog. We had the Cowboys in that game so we were very happy with those results. However, without Ezekiel Elliott and his dynamic skills as both a runner but also a pass catcher and a blocker out of the backfield, this is a limited football team that depends on their ability to win the Time of Possession battle to keep their defense off the field. The Cowboys managed just 275 yards — and they were outgained by the Skins. QB Dak Prescott completed only 11 of 22 passes for 102 yards in that contest — and they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after failing to pass for more than 150 yards in their last game. Dallas also covered the point spread for the first time in four games in that contest — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Cowboys are a rough 10-23-1 ATS in their last 34 games played on field turf. Dallas is also 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in the month of December — and a loss in this one would probably ruin their playoff chances. That is an ominous sign when considering that the visiting team has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams. And in their last 6 trips to the Meadowlands to face the Giants, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 25* NFL NFC East Underdog of the Year with the New York Giants (130) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (129). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Navy Midshipmen (104) minus the points versus the Army West Point Black Knights (103). Navy (6-5) saw their fourteen-game winning streak in this series snapped last year with their 21-17 loss to Army despite being a 6-point favorite. We had the Black Knights in this game last year — but we will take the Midshipmen to earn their revenge on Saturday. Navy has lost five of their last six games which may scare off some bettors — but this was during a tough stretch of games in the American Athletic Conference. The Midshipmen lost their games to Memphis, Houston, Central Florida, Temple as well as their non-conference tilt with Notre Dame while defeating SMU. What all those teams have in common is that they earned the right to play in a bowl game. Navy has also defeated Tulane who beat these Black Knights two weeks later. The Midshipmen also defeated Lane Kiffin’s Florida Atlantic team before the betting public fell in love with that team. Despite their 6-5 record against a challenging schedule, Navy outgained their opponents by +38.8 net YPG. The Midshipmen take the field again looking to bounce-back from their 24-17 loss at Houston as a 6.5-point underdog. Navy is then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. The Midshipmen have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after failing to score more than 20 points. Navy has struggled on offense as they have scored only 31 combined points over their last two games. But the Midshipmen have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after failing to score more than 17 points in two straight games. Navy has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after losing three of their last four games. The extra time off should five junior QB Zach Abbey more time to recover from a concussion he suffered late in the season — although he did play against the Cougars. Head coach Ken Niumatalolu has also used slot receiver Malcolm Perry under center which gives his team more options to move the ball. Turnovers have been an issue at times for this team but they have only committed one turnover in each of their last two games. The Midshipmen have covered the point spread in 40 of their last 56 road games after not committing more than one turnover in at least two straight games. Furthermore, Navy is 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record this season.

Army (8-3) enters this rivalry game coming off their 52-49 win a North Texas back on November 18th. That loss snapped the Black Knights’ six-game winning streak — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. Army has also failed to cover then point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Additionally, the Black Knights have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 49 games after a bye week, Army has failed to cover the point spread 35 times. A weakness for this team is their utter lack of a passing attack as they rank 129th in the nation by averaging just 30.5 passing YPG. While both these teams run spread triple options, Navy has more a credible passing attack to account for as they average nearly three times as many passing YPG with 91.2 passing YPG. Lastly, the Black Knights are only outgaining their opponents by +12.4 YPG away from home which is far below the +29.1 net YPG average for Navy when on the road. Take the more battle-tested team playing with revenge on their minds a year after Army finally toppled their arch rival in their most important game of the season. 25* CFB CBS-TV Game of the Year with the Navy Midshipmen (104) minus the points versus the Army West Point Black Knights (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Army (8-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped in their last game back on November 18th in their 52-49 loss at North Texas. The Black Knights have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Army has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. The Black Knights did allow 386 passing yards in that game — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Army does have a strong defense as they ranked 30th in the FBS by allowing only 21.6 PPG. Their fundamentally sound defense has helped them see the Under go 34-16-1 in their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog.

Navy (6-5) takes the field again for the first time since November 24th after their 24-17 loss at Houston as a 6.5-point underdog. The Midshipmen have then played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played a decisive 36 of their last 53 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. These two teams have played thirteen of their last sixteen games Under the Total — but relying on those team trends along would be Fool’s Gold. The inner truth that that trend exposes is that the defenses have the advantage in this matchup when considering that both units practice against a spread triple option all the time since their offense deploys that scheme. Both these teams often enjoy an advantage over their opponent during the regular season as they are unfamiliar with defending this unique offensive style. I don’t think the number has adjusted enough given the fact that no more than 41 combined points have been scored in this rivalry game in each of the last five seasons. Navy has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Midshipmen have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the American Athletic Conference. And in their last 22 games played on a neutral field as a favorite, Navy has played 16 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). New Orleans (9-3) rebounded from their loss in Los Angeles to the Rams with their 31-21 win over Carolina last week. The Saints flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Panthers to just 279 yards of offense. Part of the success of the New Orleans defense is staying off the field. Drew Braes had his offense on the field for 33:21 of that game led by an effective rushing attack that ran the ball 28 times for 140 yards. The Saints will certainly a take a page or two from the Vikings defense that only allowed 9 points to the Falcons last week. New Orleans should commit themselves to running the football to control the Time of Possession — and that is a good formula for the Under. Tellingly, the Saints have played 9 of their last 14 games on the road Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. New Orleans has also seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games played on a Thursday night.

Atlanta (7-5) cannot blame their defense last week in a 14-9 loss to the Vikings where they held Minnesota to just 312 yards of offense. The Falcons offense managed to register only three field goals for those 9 points in their last four trips inside the Red Zone. Red Zone offense has been an issue for this team all season — and it is an area where first-year offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian has really struggled in dialing-up effective plays. Atlanta has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Falcons have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up defeat as well as after a point spread setback. And with that game with the Vikings falling way below the 48.5-point Total, Atlanta has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after their previous game finished Under the Total. The Falcons defense is playing well as they have held five of their last six opponents to no more than 20 points. Offense has been the issue for this team after their historic season on that side of the ball last season. After their 3-0 start, Atlanta has scored more than 17 points in just four of their last nine games. Moving forward, the Falcons have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Atlanta has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (102) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (101). Atlanta (7-5) faces a must-win situation as they find themselves outside the NFC Playoff picture after their 14-9 upset loss as a 2-point favorite to Minnesota on Sunday. But this Falcons team also had a 7-5 record at this point last season — and they, of course, went on to play in the Super Bowl. A tough strength of schedule has contributed to their disappointing results so far relative to their sky-high expectations. Atlanta has four NFC South opponents remaining to close out their schedule — so they still likely control their own destiny. The Falcons have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Atlanta has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games against NFC opponents — and they have also covered the point spread in five of their last seven games against fellow NFC South foes. Furthermore, the Falcons have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. And in their last 7 appearances on Thursday Night Football, Atlanta has covered the point spread in 6 of these games.

New Orleans (9-3) bounced-back from their 26-20 loss in Los Angeles to the Rams by defeating the Panthers last Sunday by a 31-21 score. The Saints have covered the point spread in ten of their last twelve games after covering that 5.5-point spread against Carolina — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after covering the point spread in at least six or seven of their last eight games. But there are some areas of concern for this team underneath their great run after dropping their first two games. Over their last three games, New Orleans has allowed 78 combined points as they are surrendering 26.0 PPG over that stretch. This Saints defense is middling against the run as they are 17th in the league by allowing their opponents to average 112.8 rushing YPG. The Falcons have a healthy Devonta Freeman back to join with Tevin Coleman in the backfield which should be able to exploit this Saints’ run defense. Furthermore, New Orleans has benefited from a favorable schedule since losing their first two games. While two games with Carolina were a challenge, they got to face the Packers with our Aaron Rodgers and the Lions completely beat up on both sides of the football along with non-playoff teams like Miami, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Buffalo and Washington. Lastly, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games played on Thursday Night Football. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Year with the Atlanta Falcons (102) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Pittsburgh (9-2) has won six straight games with their 31-28 win over Green Bay last Sunday night as a big 14-point favorite. The Steelers now face a divisional rival in the Bengals that they defeated back on October 22nd. And while Cincinnati will be playing with revenge on their minds, Pittsburgh has won thirteen of their last fifteen trips to Cincinnati while scoring 26 PPG with Ben Roethlisberger starting under center. Furthermore, the Steelers are a whopping 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 games in Cincinnati against the Bengals. Expect a big game from Pittsburgh as they get a chance to redeem themselves on national television after almost getting upset on national TV last week. The are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Steelers offense did generate 462 yards of offense last week, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 350 yards. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games in the month of December.

Cincinnati (5-6) has won two straight games with their 30-16 win over Cleveland as a 7.5-point favorite last week. The Bengals cranked up their ground game by rushing for 152 yards against the Browns defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Cincy will have a difficult time coming close to replicating that rushing effort against this Steelers defense that is 6th in the NFL by holding opponents to just 96.0 rushing YPG. Cincinnati allowed 169 rushing yards against Cleveland — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last contest. Over their last six games, the Bengals are allowing their opponents average a whopping 146.2 rushing YPG. Lastly, Cincinnati is just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) and the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Cincinnati (5-6) exploded for 30 points last week with their 30-16 victory over the winless Bengals as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bengals generated 405 yards of offense which was far above their league-bottom 274.3 total YPG average this season. Cincinnati is scoring only 18.1 PPG which is 25th in the NFL. One of the league’s worst offensive lines is the biggest culprit for these problems on offense and helps to explain why they are 26th in the NFL with the pass (198.6 passing YPG) and last in the league with the run (75.6 rushing YPG). The Bengals have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight up victory. The Cincinnati defense has been solid this season — despite being on the field too much given their anemic offense. The Bengals are 10th in the NFL by allowing just 19.5 PPG. Cincy did give up 361 yards last week — but they have then played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bengals stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 16 games against fellow AFC North opponents, the Bengals have played 12 of these games Under the Total.

Pittsburgh (9-2) has won six straight games with their 31-28 win over Green Bay last Sunday night. The Steelers defense ranks 3rd in the NFL in yards allowed (289.4 total YPG) and 4th in points allowed (17.5 PPG) — so they will likely have a chip on their shoulder after letting QB Brett Hundley almost steal that game against them. Pittsburgh did gain 462 yards on offense — but they have then seen the Under go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Steelers have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Now Pittsburgh goes on the road where they have played 22 of their last 27 games Under the Total — and this includes playing ten of their last eleven road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, the Under is 13-4-1 in the Steelers’ last 18 games against AFC North opponents. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game has finished Under the Total 5 times. 25* NFL AFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) and the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (378) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (377). Seattle (7-4) will be a home underdog for just the first time in five seasons tonight. The Seahawks have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 26 home games when getting 3.5 to 7 points. Seattle enters this game coming off their 24-13 win in San Francisco last week as a 7-point favorite. The Seahawks are on the outside looking in when it comes to the NFC playoff picture — so this is a game they really need to win. While they battered with injuries, this is still a veteran team with plenty of playoff savvy led by quarterback Russell Wilson. Seattle is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in the month of December.

Philadelphia (10-1) has now won nine straight games with their 31-3 victory over the Bears last week. The Eagles are certainly the toast of the NFL right now while ranking number one in most Power Rankings. But they have also benefited from a sweetheart schedule. Their last four opponents of Chicago, San Francisco, Dallas and Denver have a combined 12-32 record this season. Their best win this season was probably their 28-23 win at Carolina — and that is nice accomplishment but I am just not ready to book the hotel rooms for this team for the Super Bowl just yet. Seven of their first eleven games have been at home — so this is just their fifth game in a hostile environment. When playing on field turf as opposed to grass, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. Philadelphia has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 meetings with the Seahawks. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-18-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (378) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (377). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (377) and the Seattle Seahawks (378). Philadelphia (10-1) has won nine straight games with their 31-3 win over Chicago last week. The Eagles offense is clicking on all cylinders right now — they generated 420 yards of offense against an underrated Bears defense. Philadelphia has then played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Eagles go back on the road where they have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total — and this includes playing four of their last five road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total in the month of December. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, Philadelphia has played 9 of these games Over the Total.

25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Year with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (370) minus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (369). New Orleans (8-3) looks to bounce-back from their 26-20 loss at Los Angeles agains the Rams last Sunday. The Saints’ defense surrendered 415 yards in that contest — but they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The defense should be better this week with rookie Marcus Lattimore practicing this week and likely to take the field after missing last week. Now New Orleans returns home to the Big Easy where they have covered the point spread in a decisive 22 of their last 27 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Saints have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against NFC opponents — and this includes covering the spread in four straight games against NFC South foes.

Carolina (8-3) has won four straight games with their 35-27 win in New York against the Jets last week. The Panthers defense did give up 391 yards in that contest as Carolina was actually outgained by 92 yards. Carolina is just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing at least 350 yards and they will be without defensive lineman Charles Johnson for tonight’s contest as he has been suspended by the league. The Panthers have scored 45 and 35 points in their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 30 points in two straight games. Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games in the month of December. Furthermore, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played in a dome. Lastly, while Carolina is looking to avenge a 34-13 loss to the Saints back on September 24th despite being a 5-point home favorite, they have then failed to cove the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when looking to avenge an upset loss to their opponents. 20* NFL Carolina-New Orleans Fox-TV Special with the New Orleans Saints (370) minus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (369). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (374) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (373). Los Angeles (8-3) has won five of their last six games with their 26-20 win over the Saints last week. The Rams generated 415 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC West opponents. Furthermore, LA has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games in the month of December. Additionally, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.

Arizona (5-6) enters this game coming off their 27-24 upset win over Jacksonville last week as a 6-point underdog. The Cardinals dominated this game in terms of yardage as they outgained the Jaguars by +125 yards due to a stifling defense that held Jacksonville to only 219 yards of offense. QB Blaine Gabbert played very well as he completed 22 of 38 passes for 241 yards with a two touchdowns. Arizona has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games in the month of December. Additionally, the Cardinals are looking to avenge a 33-0 loss to the Rams from their first meeting in London back on October 22nd. Arizona has covered the point spread in a decisive 40 of their last 63 games when playing with same-season revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when looking to avenge a loss where they did not score more than two touchdowns. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Arizona Cardinals (374) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (373). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cleveland Browns (371) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (372). Los Angeles (5-6) seems to be everyone’s sleeper team in the AFC after winning their fifth game over their last seven games with their 28-6 win in Dallas back on Thanksgiving. But it is true that a team cannot be a “sleeper” if almost everyone go Woke on them. I still remember a Philip Rivers team that has blown eight 4th quarter leads since the 2015 season — so I do not consider them reliable double-digit favorites even against the lowly Browns. The Chargers held the Cowboys to just 168 yards in that last game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 250 yards in their last game. Now Los Angeles returns home to Stub Hub Stadium where they hold zero home advantage in an empty building. As it is, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And while the LA defense has been good at times this season, they still rank last in the league by allowing 133.5 rushing YPG. Furthermore, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of December.

Cleveland (0-11) showed some encouraging signs last week despite losing in Cincinnati by a 30-16 score. They were only outgained by 44 net yards which usually keeps teams within a touchdown or so margin of their opponents. They also won the first down battle so the biggest problem for the Browns was giving up big plays. Rookie quarterback had one of his best days in the NFL by completing 18 of 31 passes for 268 yards with no interceptions while adding 39 rushing yards with a touchdown. Kizer does get wide receiver Josh Gordon as a dynamic weapon at wide receiver — and it does sound like he has turned his life around. Head coach Hue Jackson has drawn up some plays to take advantage of Gordon’s great talent. Cleveland has covered the point spread in 5 straight games against the Chargers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 40-11 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, underdogs getting more than 10 points who have lost at least seven straight NFL games now facing an opponent that has won at least two straight games have then covered the point spread in 23 of the last 30 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Cleveland Browns (371) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (372). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (367) minus the points versus the New York Jets (368). Kansas City (6-5) has lost five of their last six games with their 16-10 loss at home to Buffalo last week despite being an 8.5-point favorite. The Chiefs were practically anointed as the Super Bowl Champions early in the season — and now they are being left for dead during this current swoon. The answer is somewhere in the middle for this team regarding what are reasonable expectations. The offense is struggling under QB Alex Smith — but the problems are not really his fault under closer analysis. In that loss to the Bills last week, Kansas City receivers dropped four catchable balls in their first six drives while offensive players blew assignments and committed penalties. Quite simply, the Chiefs need to decrease their mental mistakes — which they can do this week. KC has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. The Chiefs have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not scoring more than 14 points in their last contest. And in their last 12 games on the road, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 9 of these games. Furthermore, these Chiefs are road warriors that have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games as the favorite. One last reason for optimism for this team: their Darrelle Revis Era starts this afternoon with their recently signed cornerback not only starting but assigned as one of Andy Reid’s captain’s for this game.

New York (4-7) has lost five of their last six games with their 35-27 loss to Carolina last week. The Jets have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after losing at least three of their last four games. QB Josh McCown did complete 19 of 36 passes for 307 yards against the Panthers defense last week — but they are then 5-15-3 ATS in their last 23 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Lastly, in their last 8 games during Week 10 through 13 of the regular season, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-24-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Kansas City Chiefs (367) minus the points versus the New York Jets (368). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (362) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (361). Tennessee (7-4) enters this game coming off a 20-16 win in Indianapolis last week. The Titans defense flexed their muscles by holding the Colts to just 254 total yards while sacking Indy QB Jacoby Brissett eight times. Now this team returns home where their QB Marcus Mariota has won eight of his last ten starts. The Titans have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. This team will have something to prove this week as they look to avenge a rough 57-14 loss at Houston back on October 1st. The Texans’ DeShaun Watson did most of the damage on offense in that game but he is now lost for the season with his ACL injury. The home team has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams. And in the Titans last 4 games when avenging a loss by at least four touchdowns against their opponents, Tennessee has covered the point spread in 3 of those occasions.

Houston (4-7) has lost five of their last seven games with their 23-16 loss at Baltimore on Monday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Texans now stay on the road for the second straight week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. QB Tom Savage was serviceable last week by completing 22 of 37 passes for 252 yards — but he threw two interceptions without tossing a touchdown pass against the Ravens. Savage misses wide receiver Will Fuller who serves as a nice complement to take pressure of DeAndre Hopkins. Additionally, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC South opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 22-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Tennessee Titans (362) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (361). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (356) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (355). Atlanta (7-4) has won three straight games with their 34-20 win over Tampa Bay last week. The Falcons offense is starting to hum again like it did last season as they racked up 516 yards of offense against the Buccaneers defense. Over his last five starts, QB Matt Ryan has a 9:2 touchdown to interception ratio while generating a QB Rating over 107. He completed 26 of 35 passes for 317 yards with a TD pass last week — and Atlanta has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last contest. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Atlanta has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, the Falcons have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC opponents. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, Atlanta has covered the point spread 5 times.

Minnesota (9-2) has won seven straight games while covering point spread expectations in six straight contests after their 30-23 win at Detroit back on Thanksgiving. This might be the stumbling block for this team to see their winning streak snapped. The Vikings held the Lions to just 53 rushing yards in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. On offense, QB Case Keenum led an offense that generated 408 yards against the Detroit defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 road games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. While Keenum has been a pleasant surprise, he does not seem capable to outduel Ryan playing in his house if it comes down to that in the 4th quarter. He is also missing his starting right tackle Mike Remmers who is out due to the concussion protocol. Furthermore, the Vikings have an issue with their place kicker Kai Forbath who has already missed five extra points this season — so he is not particularly reliable if this is a close game. Lastly, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after winning at least six straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in six straight games. 10* NFL Minnesota-Atlanta Fox-TV Special with the Atlanta Falcons (356) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (355). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Indianapolis (3-8) looks to avenge a 27-0 shutout loss at home to these Jaguars back on October 22nd. The Colts have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when avenging a loss at home by at least two touchdowns to their opponent. Additionally, Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss by at least three touchdowns against their opponents. Furthermore, the Colts have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when avenging a loss where they failed to score more than 9 points — and this includes covering their last three games in that situation. Indianapolis has lost two straight games as well as five of their last six contests after their 20-16 loss to Tennessee last week as a 3-point underdog. The Colts have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a loss by 6 points or less. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in a decisive 32 of their last 44 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. The Colts have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after losing three of their last four games. Indy goes back on the road — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Jacksonville (7-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss at Arizona last week despite being a 6-point favorite. While this team has an outstanding defense, the Achilles’ heel of this team continues to be the play of QB Blake Bortles. The embattled quarterback completed 19 of 33 passes but for only 160 yards with zero touchdown passes and an interception. Overall, the Jags produced only 128 passing yards in that game when taking into account lost yards from sacks — and the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for at leas 150 yards in their last game. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Jacksonville returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. The Jaguars have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. And in their last 6 games after playing their last two games on the road, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. 25* NFL AFC South Underdog of the Year with the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) remains the last undefeated football team representing a Power Five Conference — but they have also benefited from a very favorable schedule. The Big Ten West Division is by far the weaker of the two divisions in that conference with Northwestern and Iowa being the most competitive teams to the Badgers. Wisconsin’s non-conference schedule may have appeared more of a challenge when the games were negotiated a few years ago — but in 2017, a slate of Utah State, BYU and Florida Atlantic was not nearly as difficult as it might have appeared even during the summer with Lane Kiffin’s Owls now considered the best team of that trio (by far). So while the Badgers have the second best scoring defense in the nation while allowing the least YPG (236.9 total YPG) in the entire FBS, this light strength of schedule should provide context to those numbers. This will be by far the most powerful offense that Wisconsin has faced all season. They returned seven starters on defense from a group that lost by a 30-23 score on their home field last season to the Buckeyes while giving up 411 yards of offense. Now this Championship Game will be played on a neutral field at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis — and the Badgers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games played on a neutral field. Wisconsin enters this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota last Saturday in a game where they went into halftime with a 17-0 lead. But the Badgers have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least four touchdowns — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after leading by at least 17 points at halftime of their last game. QB Alex Hornibrook did not throw an interception in that game which was the first time that did not happen in eight contests. The sophomore’s 13 interceptions this season is a significant concern for this team. Hornibrook did lead an offense that averaged 7.6 Yards-Per-Play in that game against the Gophers — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 6.75 YPP in their last game.

Ohio State (10-2) kept their National Championship hopes alive last week by defeating Michigan in Ann Arbor by a 31-20 score. The Buckeyes have won three straight games after their ugly loss at Iowa — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after winning three of their last out games. Senior QB J.T. Barrett will be available to play in this game after he suffered a freak knee injury before their game with the Wolverines which required minor surgery this week. If Barrett cannot go, I do have confidence in freshman Dwayne Haskins. Did you see this guy last week? Haskins competed 6 of his 7 passes for 94 yards while adding another 101 yards with a touchdown on 15 carries running the football against a stout Michigan defense that is probably better than this Badgers group (the Wolverines slightly inferior numbers have been against much better competition). Ohio State entered this season as one of the most talented teams in the nation. They have been the victim of their own mistakes too often than not. But like they overwhelmed Michigan State and dominated Penn State to pull off a miracle comeback after their mistakes put them in a almost insurmountable hole, this team is very tough to beat when playing sound football. Under head coach Urban Meyer, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. And in their last 9 meetings with these Badgers, the Buckeyes are 6-2-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Year with the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) and the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) has the best statistical defense in the entire FBS. The Badgers have the best total defense in the nation by allowing only 236.9 total YPG — and they are 2nd in the nation by giving up only 12.0 PPG. What is impressive about this unit is that they are balanced. Wisconsin ranks 2nd in the nation against the pass (156.4 passing YPG) while topping the nation by allowing only 80.5 rushing YPG. The Badgers enter this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota as an 18.5-point favorite in a game where they held the Golden Gophers to just 133 yards of offense. Wisconsin has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games are a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, the Badgers have played 15 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after double-digit win on the road. Furthermore, Wisconsin has not allowed more than 234 yards of offense in three straight games — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in two straight games.

10* play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) and the Clemson Tigers (326). Clemson (11-1) is the new number one team in the nation with their 34-10 win at South Carolina last Saturday. The Tigers defense has risen their play to another level as they have not allowed more than 14 points in their last three games. Clemson has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in three straight games. The Tigers crushed the Citadel in their previous game by a 61-3 margin — and they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games by at least three touchdowns. Additionally, Clemson has played 8 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Miami (10-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week in their 24-14 upset loss at Pittsburgh as a 12-point favorite. We had the Panthers in that game as we expected the Hurricanes to struggle in the cold weather up north. This Miami team tends to play up-and-down to their competition — which might be very bad news for the current number one team in the nation. Remember that the Hurricanes defeated Virginia Tech, Notre Dame and at Florida State by a combined score of 93-38. And while Miami is dealing with injuries on offense, they still have their junior QB Malik Rosier along with their stifling defensive front seven. Look for Mark Richt’s team to bounce-back with a very good effort. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on the road. Additionally, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.

10* CFB play on Miami plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 7:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Boise State (9-3) has the rare opportunity to extract immediate revenge an opponent as they host a Fresno State team that defeated them last week by a 28-17 score. That was a strange circumstance as this Mountain West Conference Championship Game was locked-in with only the location of the contest being in doubt. The MWC determines first place based off a mathematical algorithm which deemed Boise State the top team in the league after crunching all the conference results last week. It might be tempting for many bettors to take the Broncos in this revenge situation with them now hosting this rematch — but I am not sure if last week’s game really qualifies since both teams were likely holding some tricks under their sleeve. Furthermore, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on their blue field at home. And the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games in the month of December, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Fresno State (9-3) has an outstanding defense that should keep travel and keep them competitive in this rematch. The Bulldogs are 12th in the nation by allowing 17.3 PPG while ranking 16th in the FBS by giving up just 315.3 total YPG. Look for Fresno State to build off their momentum from last week as they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games on the road, Fresno State is 5-0-1 ATS. 10* CFB Fresno State-Boise State ESPN Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Auburn (10-2) registered one of their biggest wins in school history last Saturday with their 26-14 upset win over a previously undefeated Alabama team as a 6-point underdog. This Tigers team will be hard pressed to not suffer an emotional letdown now after that huge accomplishment. Even worse, they will be playing a Georgia team that they crushed less than a month ago in their 40-17 drubbing of the Bulldogs. We had the Tigers as the small 2.5-point underdog in that contest (our SEC Game of the Year) so those were great results for us — and that result also set up this outstanding situation in the rematch. It is human nature for teams to lack just a little bit of edge after their intense game with Alabama when now facing a team that you just easily handled. And as it is, Auburn has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after an upset victory as a home under. But the effort from that game may take a toll against this fired-up Georgia team. Running back Kerryon Johnson ran the ball 30 times for 104 yards against the tough Alabama defense which is a lot of work. Furthermore, both the Tigers’ wins against Georgia and Alabama were at home. This game will be played on a neutral field in Atlanta in the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both of Auburn’s losses were away from home this season — and they average almost 55 YPG (415.6 YPG) below their season average (470.2 total YPG) when playing on the road.

Georgia (11-1) has that rare opportunity for both revenge and redemption all in one-swoop while most likely earning the right to play for a National Championship with a victory in this contest. The Bulldogs did not suffer from possibly seeing their bubble burst two weeks ago as they throttled their in-state rival Georgia Tech by a 38-7 score last week. Georgia has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs are led by two dynamic running backs in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel who helped Georgia generate 247 yards on the ground against the Yellow Jackets — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after rushing or at least 200 yards in their last game. But the strength of this team is their defense that ranks 5th in the FBS by allowing 13.8 PPG and 4th in the nation by allowing only 271.9 total YPG. Since that bad loss to Auburn, Georgia has allowed only 20 points in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games after not allowing more than 14 points in at least two straight contests. The Bulldogs should have a geographical advantage with this game being played in downtown Atlanta — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when played on a neutral field. Georgia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of December. And in their last 7 games against Auburn despite their loss to them last month, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. 25* CFB Conference Championships Game of the Year with the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). TCU (10-2) looks to avenge a 38-20 loss to the Sooners back on November 11th. The Horned Frogs went into the locker room at the half throttled by a 38-14 score. And while the Sooners may have taken their foot slightly off the accelerator in the second half of that contest, lets take note of the fact that TCU held that powerful Oklahoma offense scoreless in the second-half. Head coach Gary Patterson is a defensive guru who makes a great adjustments. In fact, his defense has allowed only six combined points after halftime in their last seven games. Overall, the Horned Frogs are holding their opponents -122 YPG below their offensive season average this season. TCU enters this game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as 24.5-point favorites. Senior QB Kenny Allen enjoyed a great game by completing 26 of 36 passes for 325 yards with three TDs against the Bears — so he should be full of confidence entering this game. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. And in their last 4 games played on field turf, TCU has covered the point spread all 4 times.

Oklahoma (11-1) enters this game on fire after their 59-31 win over West Virginia as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners generated 646 yards of offense in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Defense remains an issue for this team — their opponents gained +3 yards above their season average this season. I also have lingering concerns about the inexperienced first-year head coach Lincoln Riley preparing his team for high-pressure situations like this. Lastly, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field. 10* CFB TCU-Oklahoma Fox-TV Special with the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Oklahoma (11-1) reached the Big 12 Championship Game with their 59-31 win over West Virginia last Saturday as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners did allow 250 rushing yards in that game to the Mountaineers — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The formula for success for this Horned Frogs team will be to run the football to move the chains and burn time off the clock to keep Baker Mayfield and this powerful Oklahoma offense off the field. The Sooners have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma has also played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total in the month of December. And with this game being played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, the Sooners have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at a neutral site.

TCU (10-2) enters the Big 12 Championship Game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as a 24.5-point favorite last week. The Horned Frogs have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win over a conference opponent. TCU has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Horned Frogs have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Moving forward, TCU has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games against teams with a wining record, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). FIU (7-4) enters this game coming off an upset victory over Western Kentucky by a 41-17 score as a 3-point underdog. The Golden Panthers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. FIU has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 32 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Golden Panthers enjoyed a +3 net turnover margin against the Hilltoppers — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a net turnover margin of +3 or higher. Now this team stays at home where they are 5-1 this season with an average winning margin of +7.3 PPG while outgaining these visitors by +73.3 YPG. FIU limits their guests to just 18.3 PPG along with only 352.2 total YPG. And while the Golden Panthers’ win over Western Kentucky just finished Over the 56.5 point Total, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their lsat 9 home games after a game that finished Over the Total.

UMass (4-7) has won four of their last five games after their 16-10 upset win at BYY two weeks ago as a 3.5-point underdog. But the Minutemen have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where less than 30 combined points were scored. And while UMass held the Cougars to just 42 rushing yards in their last game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing no more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Many pundits consider this team underrated given a host of close losses they endured earlier in the season. But the Minutemen have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, in their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 point range, UMass has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. 10* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Central Florida (11-0) looks to win the American Athletic Conference Championship while also clinching the Group of Five slot in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game this afternoon by defeating the Tigers for a second time this season after they easily disposed of them back on September 30th by a 40-13 score. The rematch will be harder sledding for this team. I worry about distractions for this team — particularly with their head coach Scott Frost who seems likely to take the Nebraska head coaching job soon to rejoin his alma mater. The Knights come off a 49-42 win over South Florida as a 10-point favorite last Friday — but they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Central Florida has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Knights were outgained in that contest by +120 net yards to the Bulls. They surrendered  653 total yards to South Florida including a whopping 503 passing yards in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, UCF is just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games against conference opponents, the Knights are 0-3-1 ATS.

Memphis (10-1) has won seven games in a row with their 70-13 victory over East Carolina last week as a 29.5-point favorite. The Tigers are then 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Memphis is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And this team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have defeated five of their seven opponents by at least three touchdowns after suffering their lone loss of the season to the Knights by a 40-13 score. Four turnovers did Memphis in for that game. But with Riley Ferguson under center, the Tigers have the offensive firepower to stay competitive with this undefeated UCF team if they do not make mistakes. Lastly, Memphis has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 44-8-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Memphis-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Toledo (10-2) is expected to roll this afternoon in the Mid-American Conference Championship after easily disposing of the Zips back on October 21st by a 48-21 score. Frankly, the Rockets were expecting to be getting a rematch against Ohio in this MAC Championship at Ford Field in Detroit but Akron ruined those plans by upsetting the Bobcats late in the season. Toledo lost to that Ohio team by a 38-10 score. Now as big favorites approaching three touchdowns, this Toledo team risks being overconfident. As it is, they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. The Rockets are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. Furthermore, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games played on a neutral field with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And while the Rockets have scored 66 and 37 points in their last two games after that loss to the Bobcats, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last two games.

Akron (7-5) has won three of their last four games after their loss to Toledo. The Zips clinched the MAC East Division Title with their 24-14 win over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite. This team will be a dangerous underdog with no expectations in this game under the veteran head coach Terry Bowden. Akron has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a straight-up victory. The Zips have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, while Akron held the Golden Flashes to just 246 yards of offense, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing 275 or fewer yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 9 games against conference opponents, Akron has covered the point spread 7 times. 10* CFB Akron-Toledo ESPN Special with the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Akron (7-5) will be playing the Mid-American Championship Game as a significant underdog considering that they were blown out by the Rockets back on October 21st by a 48-21 score in a game that they managed only 333 yards of offense. Since that game, the Zips have won three of their last four games due in large measure to improved play on the defensive side of the football. They clinched the MAC East Title in their last game back on November 21st with their 24-14 in over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite led by a defense that held the Golden Flashes to just 246 total yards. Over their last three games, Akron is allowing only 353.7 total YPG which is 67.8 YPG below their season average. The Zips have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 26 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Akron has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The offense is an issue with redshirt freshman Kato Nelson taking over for senior Thomas Woodson who was suspended a few weeks ago for violating team rules but will be available to play in this game. Nelson completed only 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards against Kent State last week. Over their last three weeks, Akron has averaged just 302.3 total YPG. Furthermore, this game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit as a neutral site — and the Zips score only 16.7 PPG while averaging 284.7 total YPG when away from home.

Toledo (10-2) reaches the Mid-American Conference Championship Game after their 37-10 win over Western Michigan back last Friday. The Rockets have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Toledo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 20 or less points in their last game. The Toledo defense flexed their muscles in that game by holding the potent Broncos offense to just 275 yards of offense. Moving forward, the Rockets have seen the Under go 23-8-1 in their last 32 games against teams with a winning record. Toledo has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral field, the Rockets have played all 4 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-26-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* College Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). USC (10-2) has the benefit of an extra week to prepare for the Pac-12 Championship Game as they take the field again after their 28-28 win over UCLA back on November 18th. The Trojans not only have a significant situational edge in facing a Cardinal team playing on a short week but they also have a huge advantage at quarterback with Sam Darnold dueling a freshman in K.J. Costello. USC is playing as good of football as they have all season having won six of their last seven games after losing at Washington State. The Trojans have covered then point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Over their last three games, the USC offense is clicking on all cylinders by scoring 38.3 PPG while averaging 527.0 total YPG. The Trojans held the Bruins to just 80 rushing yards in their last game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their last game. USC did allow 501 total yards against UCLA with the Bruins passing for 421 yards — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last contest. Potent passing attacks are typically the ones that give the Trojans the most trouble (with Notre Dame and their diverse rushing attack being the exception) as they rank 105th in the nation by allowing 251 passing YPG — but that is not the Stanford offensive approach. Against conference opponents, USC is allowing their opponents to complete just 56% of their passes while averaging only 3.5 Yards-Per-Carry. Furthermore, the Trojans have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when listed in the 3.5 to 10-point range. 

Stanford (9-3) will be playing on a short week after they pulled the upset last Saturday at home with their 38-20 win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog. The Cardinal has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Stanford is also 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinal did defeat the Irish despite gaining only 328 yards of offense and getting outgained by -87 net yards. Stanford’s +3 net turnover margin was the difference in that contest. But now this team goes on the road to the neutral field of Levi Stadium in Santa Clara — and the Cardinal is getting outgained away from home by -59.7 net YPG. In Pac-12 play, Stanford is getting outgained by -21 YPG. In comparison, USC is outgaining their conference opponents by +93 YPG. Lastly, USC needs as many style points as they can muster to hold out hope that if a bunch of crazy things happen tomorrow, then perhaps they can sneak into the four-team College Playoff. The Trojans will be very anxious to win this game by as many points as possible — so don’t expect them taking the foot of the proverbial gas pedal. 20* CFB Stanford-USC ESPN Special with the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (303) and the USC Trojans (304). Stanford (9-3) enters this game after their 38-20 upset win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog last Saturday. The Cardinal won that game despite gaining only 328 total yards — they benefited from a +3 net turnover margin in that game. Stanford has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Cardinal has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. Now this team looks to avenge their 42-24 loss to the Trojans back on September 9th where they allowed a whopping 623 yards of offense. Expect David Shaw to have his defense play much better in this rematch. Over their last three games, Stanford is allowing only 18.7 PPG along with 359.0 total YPG which is over 30 YPG better than their seasonal average. But on offense, the Cardinal generates only 323.3 total YPG which is more than 70 YPG below their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Cardinal has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

10* CFB Friday Discounted Deal with Under the Total. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Washington (5-6) enters this game coming off a 20-10 win over the New York Giants as a 7-point favorite on Thanksgiving last week — but this injury-riddled team has still lost four of their last six games. The Skins have then failed to cover the points spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Skins have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Furthermore, Washington out-gained the Giants by +153 net yards in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least +100 yards. This team is just 2-3 on the road where they are being outscored by -2.4 net YPG — and they are losing the yardage battle by -68.8 net YPG given their defense that is surrendering 420.8 total YPG.

Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take Washington (as most bettors are) — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Cowboys. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. The Cowboys rushed for only 79 yards against the Chargers last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. And while Dallas surrendered 434 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take the Under — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Over. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. But even if the Cowboys’ offense remains limited without Elliott, the defense presents another set of problems for this team. The Dallas defense has surrendered 92 combined points over their last three games. At home this season, the Cowboys are allowing 25.8 PPG along with 368.0 total YPG. Additionally, Dallas has played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and linebacker Sean Lee has been declared out for this game once again this week.

Washington (5-6) enters this game coming off their 20-10 win over the Giants last Thursday. The Skins have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Washington held the Giants to just 84 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushes in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they are allowing 26.2 PPG along with 420.8 total YPG. The Skins have played 20 of their last 28 games on the road Over the Total — and this includes playing five straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, Washington has played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog of 7 points or less. And the Skins have played 7 straight road games Over the Total against fellow NFC East opponents. Washington has also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against NFC East teams overall. Furthermore, the Skins have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 7 games in the month of November, Washington has played 5 of these games Over the Total. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total all four times. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Houston (4-6) snapped their three-game losing streak last week with their 31-21 win over Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite. The consistent characteristic of this Texans team continues to be that head coach Bill O’Brien always has this team prepared and usually gets the most out of his talent despite seemingly always being ravaged with injuries. QB Tom Savage made some very nice throws against the Cardinals defense — he was 22 of 32 for 230 yards with two touchdown passes. Overall, Houston generated 357 yards against Arizona — and they are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while the Texans have lost four of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 68 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, Houston has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on turf. And in their last 4 road games as the underdog, the Texans have covered the point spread in 3 of these games.

Baltimore (5-5) has won two of their last three games with their 23-0 shutout at Green Bay last Sunday. The Ravens are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. And while Baltimore has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. The Ravens allowed 75 rushing yards to the Packers which was actually the highest amount they have surrendered over their last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in at least two straight games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Baltimore returns home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last two games away from home. This team is not a reliable favorite when being asked to lay around a touchdown. The Ravens are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 10 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points, Baltimore has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (275) and the Baltimore Ravens (276). Baltimore (5-5) pitched their third shutout of the season — and second in their last three games — with their 23-0 win at Green Bay last Sunday. The strong Ravens’ defense has facilitated the Total being set at a low number below 40 (as of this writing) — so lets attack that Over. Baltimore has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Ravens have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after the first month of the season. And while this Baltimore offense looks anemic with their 21.3 PPG scoring mark which is 18th in the league, they are getting better on that side of the ball as they get healthier after suffering from a barrage of injuries. In their last three games, the Ravens are scoring 27.7 PPG while still not getting very aggressive with their play-calling with their two of those games being blowout shutouts. Their close game in their last three games was a 23-20 loss at Tennessee in a game where Joe Flacco aired the football out 53 times for 268 passing yards. Those are Over numbers. Moving forward, Baltimore has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against AFC opponents.

Houston (4-6) enter this game coming off their 31-21 win over Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite. The Texans have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games after a win by double-digits. Houston has also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory — and they have played 10 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory when playing on the road. Additionally, that game finished well above the 38-point Total in that game and not only have the Texans played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. Head coach Bill O’Brien always gets the most out of his offensive talent. Led by QB Tom Savage who completed 22 of 32 passes for 230 yards, Houston generated 357 yards of offense against the Cardinals. The Texans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while Houston held Arizona to just 48 rushing yards, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Texans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against fellow AFC opponents. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (275) and the Baltimore Ravens (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (273) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Green Bay (5-5) was shutout last week in their 23-0 shellacking at the hands of Baltimore as a 2.5-point underdog. It goes without saying that the Packers are a dramatically different team with QB Aaron Rodgers. But I do have confidence in head coach Mike McCarthy to scheme his way to points this week with the players he has left including QB Brett Hundley. Green Bay has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Packers have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Green Bay defense did limit the Ravens to just 219 yards in their loss — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Their defense could be in big trouble tonight against this powerful Pittsburgh offense — and they will likely be without linebacker Clay Matthews for this contest.

Pittsburgh (8-2) enters this game coming off their 40-17 win over Tennessee back on November 16th. The Steelers held the Titans to just 52 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played a decisive 26 of their last 34 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Pittsburgh themselves have not rushed for more than 88 yards in their last three games — and they have then played 27 of their last 46 games Over the Total after not rushing for at least 100 yards in their last game. And while the Steelers have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 27 of their last 46 games Over the Total. Lastly, while Pittsburgh has not allowed more than 17 points in their last five games, that helps place the Over into a historical angle that has been 76% effective since 1983. In games involving one team that has not allowed more than 17 points in five straight games now facing an opponent that did not score more than 3 points in the first-half of their last game, these games finished Over the Total in 40 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (273) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). These are too many points to pass up in this situation — even with Aaron Rodgers not playing for the Packers. Pittsburgh (8-2) finally demonstrated the vast potential that many pundits feel they possess back on November 16th when they crushed the Colts by a 40-17 score as 7-point favorites. Yet they only outgained Indianapolis by 27 yards. It was a +4 net turnover margin that helped the Steelers dominate that game. But Pittsburgh has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. And the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games when installed as a double-digit favorite. Additionally, Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the month of November.

Green Bay (5-5) has something to prove after being shutout last week in a 23-0 blanking at the hands of Baltimore. That Ravens team has shut out two other teams this season — so the Packers do have some company in that regard. Green Bay has lost four of their last five games as they continue to struggle without Rodgers — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing you of their last five games. The Pack has only covered the point spread once in their last five games — but they have also covered the point spread in 33 of their last 50 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. I am not sure how they will score points against this stout Steelers defense but that is the job of Super Bowl winning head coach and offensive coordinator Mike McCarthy. QB Brett Hundley three three interceptions in that loss so eliminating those mistakes will go a long way to keep Green Bay competitive in this game. Green Bay needs to commit to running the ball more as well after managing just 75 rushing yards against the Ravens. Remember, in their previous game in Chicago against a good Bears defense, the Packers ran the ball 37 times for 160 yards in a 23-16 upset victory. The Packers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Green Bay defense did limit Baltimore to only 58 rushing yards — and they are then 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Packers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games as the underdog. While it certainly looks scary to take this Packers team without Rodgers against the mighty Steelers, it is the sound fundamental play for this situation. Lets embrace the Philadelphia 76ers and “trust the process.” 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month on the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). New Orleans (8-2) won their eighth straight game this season in spectacular fashion as they rallied from an 18-point deficit at one point along with a 15-point hole with three minutes to go to eke out a 34-31 win in overtime over Washington. The Saints are the hottest team in the NFL but they cannot continue to live life on the edge like that. Now they play this game without their two starting cornerbacks with both Marcus Lattimore and Ken Crawley declared out for this game. Their absence will make things very difficult when facing this high-powered Rams offense that scores 30.3 PPG. The Saints may be due for a letdown here as they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least six straight contests. And while New Orleans has covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after covering the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. Furthermore, the Saints have scored at least 30 points in their last three games but have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after scoring at least 25 points in their last three games. New Orleans has averaged 474.7 total YPG over those three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after averaging at least 450 YPG over their last three contests. And in their last 4 road games when favored by no more than a field goal, the Saints have failed to cover the point spread 3 times.

Los Angeles (7-3) looks to bounce-back from their 24-7 loss in Minnesota last week that snapped a four-game winning streak. That setback should have afford rookie head coach Sean McVay a very attentive group of players this week in practice. The Rams had covered the point spread in their previous two games before that loss to the Vikings as a small 1-point underdog. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Additionally, the Rams are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 56-21-1 ATS team trends for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (270) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (269). Jacksonville (7-3) has won four games in a row after their 19-7 win in Cleveland last week as a 7.5-point favorite. The Jaguars have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games after a point spread victory. Jacksonville has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Defense has been leading the way for this team — they held the Browns to only 184 yards of offense. But the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after not allowing more than 200 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the points spread in 8 of their last 9 games against fellow NFC opponents.

25* NFL Game of the Month with Arizona plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Seattle (6-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 34-31 loss at home to Atlanta last Monday as a 1-point underdog. The Seahawks have then gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Seattle has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. This defense is ravaged with injuries with Richard Sherman out the year with his ACL tear and Kam Chancellor out with a neck injury which pretty much dismantles their Legion of Boom. The Seahawks did generate 360 yards against the Falcons defense but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Seattle goes back on the road where they are just 2-6-1 ATS — and they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Seahawks are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November. And in their last 5 games against NFC West opponents, Seattle is just 1-3-1 ATS.

San Francisco (1-9) has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game after their 31-21 win over the Giants as a 3-point underdog back on November 12th. That was not only their first win of the season but also their first point spread victory in their last four games. The 49ers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Rookie C.J. Beathard looked very good as he completed 19 of his 25 passes for 288 yards with two TD passes. In fact, Beathard looked so good that there are no plans to start Jimmy Garappolo in this game — but he is likely available to play in relief (and back door point spread covers). San Francisco has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The 49ers played the Seahawks very tough in Seattle back on September 17th in a narrow 12-9 loss back in the Brian Hoyer quarterbacking days. San Francisco has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. 10* NFL Seattle-San Franciso Special with the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Carolina (7-3) is riding high coming off their bye week after a dominant 45-21 win on national television for Monday Night Football against the woeful Dolphins back on November 13th. But with a showdown with the Saints on deck next week, don’t be surprised if this Panthers’ team comes out a bit lethargic. As it is, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Cam Newton completed 21 of 35 passes for 254 yards and numerous Super Man poses — but the Panthers have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Tight end Greg Olsen is returning to the offense for this team — but they lost their rookie slot back Curtis Samuel to a season-ending injury last week which does take away an important weapon for Newton.

New York (4-6) comes off their bye week as well after their 15-10 loss in Tampa Bay back on November 12th. The Jets art then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. New York has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after their bye week. Head coach Todd Bowles has squelched any talk of this Jets team tanking this season after a host of questionable offseason moves as his group of players play hard every week. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. This season, the Jets have a winning 3-2 record at home while outgaining their opponents by +44.2 YPG. The New York defense is tough when playing on their home field as they limit their visitors to just 19.2 PPG along with totaling just 320.8 YPG. Their defense should keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-9-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Atlanta (6-4) returns home after their triumphant 34-31 win in Seattle for Monday Night Football. Don’t be surprised if this Falcons team suffers a big emotional letdown after that victory. The win was huge for this organization considering that head coach Dan Quinn is a disciple of Pete Carroll while playing an integral part in winning a Super Bowl with the franchise as their defensive coordinator. Teams are often flat the week after playing the physical Seahawks — and playing on a short week after the long flight back from the northwest part of the country does not help that situation. As it is, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 games at home after scoring at least 30 points. The Falcons have won and covered the point spread in two straight games after their 27-7 win over a free-falling Cowboys team without Ezekiel Elliott two weeks ago — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 home games after winning at least two straight games and they have failed to cover the point spread in 33 of their last 46 home games after covering the point spread in two straight contests. Additionally, the Atlanta run defense is a concern for this team as they are allowing opponents to average 4.5 Yards-Per-Carry — and their last three opponents have averaged a whopping 5.4 YPC. On the other side of the football, the Falcons will be without their top running back Devonta Freeman who remains out due to the concussion protocols. That makes Atlanta precarious favorites laying more than a touchdown. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points.

Tampa Bay (4-6) has won two straight games with their 30-20 win in Miami last Sunday as a 1-point favorite. The Buccaneers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after both a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games on the road after a game where at least 50 points were scored. The Bucs had lost five games in a row before their recent winning streak with Jameis Winston on the bench nursing his shoulder. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 road games after losing five or six of their last seven games. Lastly, the Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.