Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-30-22 | Padres +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
My 9* Daytime Dominator is on the SD Padres at 2:15 ET. (This side play is "action"). The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The StL Cards have been a postseason regular this century, making the playoffs 15 times since 2000. San Diego opens a three-game series in St Louis on Memorial Day, sporting a 30-17 record. The Padres opened the season just 5-5 but it's been a steady climb since, as they've gone 25-12 since that .500 start. The Padres are stuck in the NL West and are three games back of the 33-14 Dodgers, who own MLB's best record. The Cards have been steady in 2022 and open the series 26-21, 3 1/2-games behind the NL Central-leading Brewers. If the season ended today, the Padres would own the NL's No. 1 wild card spot and the Cards the No. 2 spot.
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05-29-22 | Astros -140 v. Mariners | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The third pick of my STP is a 7* on the Hou Astros at 4:10 ET. The Houston Astros entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The two NL West rivals (?) opened a three-game series Friday in Seattle, with Flexen (7 IP / 1 ER) out pitching Verlander (6 IP / 6 ERs) in a 6-1 Seattle win. The teams played again Saturday with Seattle winning 6-0, as Logan Gilbert pitched seven scoreless innings. |
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05-29-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -117 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the LA Angels at 4:07 ET.
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05-29-22 | Yankees +121 v. Rays | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
The second pick of my STP is a 9* on the NY Yankees at 1:40 ET. The Tampa Bay Rays lost the first two games of their four-game home series against the NY Yankee, 7-2 and 2-0. Nestor Cortes allowed just four hits and one run over eight innings in Thursday's 7-2 win and then Jameson Taillon faced just one batter over the minimum, allowing two hits and no walks over eight innings in Friday's 2-0 win. The Yankees became the first club to post consecutive eight-inning outings by a starter and with their fourth straight win, moved to 20 games over .500 at 33-13. Tampa Bay, which has won the AL East in each of the last two seasons, fell to 26-19, 6 1/2-games behind New York.
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05-29-22 | Rockies +105 v. Nationals | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The first pick of my STP is a 9* on the Col Rockies at 1:35 ET. The 21-25 Rockies will try to earn a split of their four-game series against the 17-31 Nationals on Sunday afternoon. Washington won 7-3 on Thursday and then after Friday's game was postponed, the teams played a split doubleheader Saturday, with the Nationals taking the first game 13-7 and the Rockies winning the nightcap, 3-2. The starting pitchers will be Kyle Freeland (1-4, 4.60 ERA) and Josiah Gray (4-4, 5.44 ERA).
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05-28-22 | Astros -119 v. Mariners | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -119 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Hou Astros at 10:10 ET. The Houston Astros entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The two NL West rivals (?) opened a three-game series last night in Seattle, with Flexen (7 IP / 1 ER) outpitching Verlander (6 IP / 6 ERs) in a 6-1 Seattle win. The teams play again Saturday with Houston sporting a 27-19 record and Seattle a 19-27 one (that's a 10-game gap!).
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05-28-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -109 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on the LA Angels at 10:07 ET. The Blue Jays missed a wild card spot by ONE game in 2021 but were a 'sexy' preseason pick to best the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in the brutally tough AL East in 2022. The Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). The Jays and Angels opened a four-game series Thursday night in Anaheim against the Angels but while Toronto was just 23-20, 7 1/2-games behind the NY Yankees in the AL East, the Angels checked in at 27-18, just TWO games behind the Astros in the AL West.
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05-27-22 | Blue Jays -109 v. Angels | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Tor Blue Jays at 9:38 ET. The Blue Jays missed a wild card spot by ONE game in 2021 but were a 'sexy' preseason pick to best the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in the brutally tough AL East in 2022. The Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). The Jays opened a four-game series last night in Anaheim against the Angels but while Toronto was just 23-20, 7 1/2-games behind the NY Yankees in the AL East, the Angels checked in at 27-18, just TWO games behind the Astros in the AL West.
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05-27-22 | Phillies v. Mets -134 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
My 8* Division Dominator is on the NY Mets at 7:10 ET. This side play is "action" (see below). The Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years, the second-longest active streak in MLB. The New York Mets contended in the NL East for most of the season but went 22-38 down the stretch to finish in third place at 77-85, 11 1/2 games out of first place. The Mets made the 2015 World Series (lost 4-1 to KC) and made a one-game wild card appearance in 2016, but they've been playoff-less the last five years. The NL East rivals open a three-game series Friday at Citi Field with New York leading the division with a 29-17 record, 7 1/2-games better than the 21-24 Phillies and Braves. |
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05-26-22 | Brewers v. Cardinals -115 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the StL Cardinals at 7:45 ET. The Milwaukee Brewers and St Louis Cardinals split a four-game series in Milwaukee earlier this season and will resume their battle for National League Central superiority Thursday night while opening a four-game series in St Louis. Milwaukee entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021. As for St Louis, the Cards have been a postseason regular this century, making the playoffs 15 times since 2000 (was a wild card in 2021). The 28-16 Brewers arrive in Busch Stadium with a 3 1/2-game lead over the second-place Cardinals, who check in at 24-19. Milwaukee will start Eric Lauer (4-1, 2.16 ERA) in the series opener, while the Cardinals will counter with Adam Wainwright (5-3, 2.87 ERA),
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05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves -137 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on the Atl Braves at 7:20 ET. The Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years, the second-longest active streak in MLB. The 2021 Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The NL East rivals opened a four-games series in Atlanta on Monday. Both owned 19-22 records, EIGHT games behind the Mets in the division. Philadelphia 7-3 on Monday but Atlanta bounced back with a 7-6 win last night. That leaves the teams right where they started on Monday (both are now 20-23), as they get set for the third game of the series. The Mets remain EIGHT game ahead of both teams, atop the NL East.
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05-25-22 | Brewers v. Padres -119 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* Getaway Day Game of the Week is on the SD Padres at 4:10 ET. The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021. Milwaukee was a preseason favorite to win its divisions again in 2022. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The teams opened a three-game series Monday in San Diego, with the Padres coming away with a 3-2 win in 10 innings. The Brewers bounced back last night with a 4-1 victory. The Brewers are on an 11-game road trip, as they play the rubber match of this series on Wednesday afternoon. The 27-16 Brewers are three games ahead of the Cards in the NL Central, while the Padres are now 28-15, falling 1 1/2-games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Aaron Ashby (0-3, 3.49 ERA) will start for the Brewers against the Padres' Yu Darvish (4-1, 3.91 ERA). Ashby made13 appearances (four starts) in 2021, pitching a modest 31.2 innings. He's made nine appearances in 2022 but just THREE have been starts. He's 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA in 13.2 innings during those contests (Phillies are 2-1). The veteran Darvish opened the season with six scoreless innings, taking a no-decision in a 4-2 team loss. He then got just FIVE outs in his second start, allowing nine ERs. However, over his last six starts, he's 4-0 and the Padres 6-0 with Darvish posting a 2.58 ERA. |
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05-24-22 | Brewers -129 v. Padres | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Mil Brewers at 9:40 ET. The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021. Milwaukee was a preseason favorite to win its divisions again in 2022. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The teams opened a three-game series last night in San Diego, with the Padres coming away with 3-2 win in 10 innings. It was the first contest of an 11-game road trip for the Brewers, who lost for just the FOURTH time in their last 12 games. It was the Padres' FIFTH straight win and the team's seventh win in eight games. The 26-16 Brewers are 26-16 (two games ahead of the Cards in the NL Central), while the Padres are now 28-14, closing within a half-game of the Dodgers in the NL West.
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05-23-22 | Phillies -120 v. Braves | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Phi Phillies at 7:20 ET. The Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years, the second-longest active streak in MLB. The 2021 Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. Heading into this four-game series in Atlanta which opens tonight, both own 19-22 records, EIGHT games behind the Mets in the NL East. Philadelphia was 10-10 through April and has hovered around .500 by going 9-12 in May. The Braves fell to 5-6 on the season with a 2-1 loss at SD and have yet to climb back to .500. The first game of the series features Philly's Zack Wheeler (2-3, 3.49 ERA) against Atlanta rookie Tucker Davidson (1-0, 5.87 ERA). Wheeler comes in on a roll, having allowed only three ERs over 26 innings in his last four starts (he's 2-0 with a 1.04 ERA and the team is 3-1). Wheeler is coming off perhaps his best start of the season when he threw seven scoreless innings in a 3-0 win over the San Diego Padres last Wednesday. Davidson is one of Atlanta's prized young arms and made his first start of the season on May 17, earning his first career victory. He threw five shutout innings against Milwaukee, allowing three hits, three walks and striking out three in a 3-0 win. That was quite an improvement over his only other 2022 appearance, when he allowed five ERs (2.2 IP) in an April 11th relief stint against the Nats. The 'jury is still out' on Davidson but as noted, Wheeler is in excellent current form plus in 21 career starts vs the Braves, he owns a 3.16 ERA. He made three starts against Atlanta in 2021, allowing just three ERs over 22 innings (1.23 ERA). Take the Phillies. Good luck...Larry |
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05-23-22 | Cubs -121 v. Reds | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Chi Cubs at 6:40 ET. The Brewers and Cardinals were expected to battle for the NL Central title in 2022 and that is what has played out as the season approaches Memorial Day. Milwaukee is 26-15 and St Louis is 23-18. The Reds were coming off an 83-79 season in 2021 and likely had some hopes of joining the Brewers and Cards in the 2022 division 'fight' but there was "No Joy in Wrigleyville'' entering 2022, as the Cubs were coming off a 71-91 season. Cincy's dreadful 3-22 start basically 'killed' the Reds' 2022 plans, while the Cubbies dipped below .500 with a loss on April (6-7) and have remained a sub-.500 team since. The two NL Central rivals open a four-game series Monday in Cincinnati, with the Cubs at 16-24 and the Reds at 12-28. Chicago will start left-hander Drew Smyly (1-5, 3.97 ERA) on Monday, while Cincinnati will turn to Vladimir Gutierrez (0-5, 8.65 ERA). Smyly was 11-4 with Atlanta last season (Braves won the World Series), with the Braves going 14-9 in his 23 starts. However, he's been a disappointment for the Cubs in 2022 since pitching 9.2 scoreless innings in his first two starts (Cubs won both games). However, he takes the mound tonight having lost FIVE in row, while posting a 5.55 ERA. That said, his Cincy counterpart (Vladimir Gutierrez) is making his first start since May 11, when he was demoted to the bullpen. He never saw action as a reliever and the second-year pitcher has not made it through five innings in any of his SIX starts this season. He owns a 1.96 WHIP to go along with his 'ugly' 8.65 ERA in six starts (team is 1-5) plus opponents are batting .317 against him. Excellent spot for Smyly to pick up his second win of 2022 against Gutierrez and a team in which he's made four career starts against, going 3-0 (teams are 4-0) with a 3.10 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Cubs Win! Cubs Win! Good luck...Larry |
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05-22-22 | Padres v. Giants -129 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* Signature 38-Club Play is on the SF Giants at 4:05 ET. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The 2021 Giants surprised all by winning a MLB-best 107 games last season, ending the Dodgers' run of eight straight NL West titles. However, they lost to the Dodgers in an NLDS matchup. Both San Diego and San Francisco are chasing the Dodgers in the NL West, as LA sits at 27-12 after winning SEVEN in a row. The Padres and Giants opened a three-game series in San Francisco on Friday and the Padres have come away with back-to-back one-run victories. San Diego won 8-7 (10 inn) on Friday and then 2-1 on Saturday, behind Joe Musgrove's seven scoreless innings. Musgrove improved to 5-0 and lowered his ERA to 1.90 with an eighth straight quality start to open the season (Padres are 8-0 in his starts). As the teams get set for the series finale, the Padres are 26-14 (1 1/2-games back of the Dodgers), while the Giants are now 22-17, FIVE games behind LA and 3 1/2-games back of SD.
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05-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Chi Cubs at 2:20 ET. The Arizona D'backs joined the NL in 1998 and made the playoffs in THREE of the team's first five seasons (won 2001 World Series). However, since 2003, Arizona has missed the postseason in 16 of the last 19 years. The D'backs hit 'rock bottom' in 2021, earning the dreaded 'daily double,' as owners of MLB's worst record (52-110) and its worst moneyline mark (-$3,941). Here's how one preseason magazine summed up the Cubs' situation heading into 2022, coming off a 71-91 season last year. "Highly successful early in the 20th century, followed by 100 years of mediocrity, then a six-year burst of winning and now back into the abyss."
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05-21-22 | Twins -137 v. Royals | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout is on the Min Twins at 7:10 ET. The Twins went just 73-89 in 2021 (20 games behind the division-winning White Sox), after winning the AL Central in 2019 and 2020.The KC Royals began the current season having missed the postseason in each of the previous SIX years, after making back-to-back World Series in 2014 (lost) and 2015 (won). Minnesota posted a 6-4 victory in the series opener on Friday, moving to 23-16 (three games ahead of the White Sox for first place in the AL Central), while the Royals fell to 14-24 (can you say SEVEN straight missed postseasons?). The three-game series continues on Saturday, as Joe Ryan (4-2, 2.39 ERA) takes the mound for the Twins to face Brad Keller (1-3, 2.89 ERA) of the Royals. Both starters have excellent ERAs and WHIP's (Ryan's is 0.96 and Keller's is 1.01) but a closer look reveals the following.
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05-21-22 | Cardinals v. Pirates +123 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Note: This side play is "action" (see below). My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pit Pirates at 6:35 ET. The StL Cards have been a postseason regular this century, making the playoffs 15 times since 2000. St Louis opened a three-game series last night in Pittsburgh, beating the Pirates 5-3. The Cards are 21-18 to open the 2022 season (four games behind the 1st-place Brewers in the NL Central), while the Pirates, who are coming off three losing seasons (including going 61-101 in 2021) fell to 16-22. St Louis opened the week losing three of four to the Mets and are hoping to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that has now scored just 12 runs in its last eight games.
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05-20-22 | Padres v. Giants -107 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Division (NL West) Game of the Month is on the SF Giants at 10:00 ET. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The 2021 Giants surprised all by winning a MLB-best 107 games last season, ending the Dodgers' run of eight straight NL West titles. However, they lost to the Dodgers in an NLDS matchup. The 25-12 Dodgers are currently leading the NL West but the 24-14 Padres are in close pursuit, while the 22-15 Giants are hoping to close the gap when they host San Diego in this three-game weekend series in San Francisco. The series opens Friday night with Sean Manaea (2-3, 3.77 ERA in seven starts) pitching for the Padres against Jakob Junis (1-1, 1.79 ERA in four games, two starts). Both pitchers joined their teams this spring. Manaea had his moments with Oakland but was never really able to put together a full season. He opened 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA for the Padres but San Diego has lost his last four starts, with Manaea posting a 5.63 ERA. Junis signed with the Giants as a free agent in March after spending his entire career with the Royals, with whom he went 29-35 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 105 games (89 starts) over five seasons. He started the season in Triple-A Sacramento but in 20.2 innings with the Giants, has given up four ERs for a 1.74 ERA with 0.97 WHIP, an 18-4 KW ratio and a BAA of 2.13. It's early but this is an important series, especially for the Giants. The Giants won two of the three when the Padres last visited Oracle Park back on April 11-13. When San Diego leaves Oracle Park on Sunday, the two NL West 'chasers' will have 13 games remaining against each other in 2022, with 10 of those being played in San Diego. I will point out that the Padres are 14-7 on the road this year and are 5-1-1 in their seven road series to date. However, all five series wins have come against sub-.500 opponents. The Giants take a five-game home winning streak into tonight's game and I expect them to extend that winning streak to SIX in a row vs the struggling Manaea. Good luck...Larry |
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05-20-22 | Braves -117 v. Marlins | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Atl Braves at 6:40 ET. The 2021 Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The Marlins joined the National League in 1993 and entering the COVID-shortened season of 2020, had made the postseason just TWICE. However, the Marlins would capture the World Series each time, in 1997 over the Indians and in 2003 over the Yankees. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The two NL East teams begin a three-game series tonight in Miami with the defending champs sporting a 17-21 record, a half-game worse than the Marlins. 17-20 mark.
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05-20-22 | Cardinals -142 v. Pirates | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My 7* PERFECT STORM is on the StL Cardinals at 6:35 ET. The StL Cards have been a postseason regular this century, making the playoffs 15 times since 2000. St Louis is 20-18 to open the 3022 season and begin a three-game series in Pittsburgh vs the 16-21 Pirates, who are coming off three losing seasons, including going 61-101 in 2021. The Cards are hoping to turn their road trip around after losing three of four against the Mets in New York. Pittsburgh is 7-7 in their last 14 games but have recently really struggled to score runs, totaling NINE runs in its last seven games! The Cards' Adam Wainwright (4-3, 3.15 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh's Zach Thompson (2-3, 5.47 ERA) in Friday's series opener. Wainwright and Molina broke the major league mark with their 203rd victory as a starting battery last Sunday with a 15-6 win over San Francisco. They passed Warren Spahn and Del Crandall, who amassed 202 wins for the Boston and Milwaukee Braves from 1949-63. The 40-year-old Wainwright is like the Energizer Bunny and has made 48 appearances in his career vs Pittsburgh, including 44 starts. He's 24-7 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.17 in his starts, with the Cards going 32-12. Thompson pitched for Miami in 2021 as a rookie, going 3-7 with a 3.24 ERA in 26 appearances (14 starts). He's 2-3 in seven appearances (six starts) in 2022, but his ERA is up to 5.47 and WHIP to 1.52. Wainwright HAS to be the play here, when considering the following facts. He compiled a 0.30 ERA in four starts against the Pirates in 2021, and then blanked Pittsburgh over six innings in an Opening Day win this year. Wainwright comes into Friday with a 32-inning scoreless streak against Pittsburgh, dating to June 26, 2021. Here at PNC Park, he has pitched 20 straight scoreless innings dating to Sep 7, 2019. Challenging him tonight is a Pittsburgh lineup that ranks last in the National League in runs (122), next-to-last in HRs (28) and 12th in batting average (.224). "Case Closed," as Archie Bunkers used to say! Good luck...Larry |
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05-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -126 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
My 8* Daytime Dominator is on the Chi Cubs at 2:20 ET. The Arizona D'backs joined the NL in 1998 and made the playoffs in THREE of the team's first five seasons (won 2001 World Series). However, since 2003, Arizona has missed the postseason in 16 of the last 19 years. The D'backs hit 'rock bottom' in 2021, earning the dreaded 'daily double,' as owners of MLB's worst record (52-110) and its worst moneyline mark (-$3,941). Here's how one preseason magazine summed up the Cubs' situation heading into 2022, coming off a 71-91 season last year. "Highly successful early in the 20th century, followed by 100 years of mediocrity, then a six-year burst of winning and now back into the abyss."
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05-19-22 | Diamondbacks +116 v. Cubs | Top | 3-1 | Win | 116 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
My 9* Late Breaker is on the Arz D'backs at 7:40 ET. Here's how one preseason magazine summed up the Cubs' situation heading into 2022, coming off a 71-91 season last year. "Highly successful early in the 20th century, followed by 100 years of mediocrity, then a six-year burst of winning and now back into the abyss." The Arizona D'backs joined the NL in 1998 and made the playoffs in THREE of the team's first five seasons (won 2001 World Series). However, since 2003, Arizona has missed the postseason in 16 of the last 19 years. The D'backs hit 'rock bottom' in 2021, earning the dreaded 'daily double,' as owners of MLB's worst record (52-110) and its worst moneyline mark (-$3,941).
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05-19-22 | Reds v. Guardians -123 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -123 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* Getaway Day Play is on the Cle Indians at 1:10 ET. The Reds beat the Guardians 5-4 (10 inn) Tuesday night and will attempt to complete a sweep of Cleveland when the teams wrap of a two-game interleague series on Thursday (Wednesday's game was rained out). Cincinnati has won SEVEN of its last 11 games but the team's dreadful 3-22 start figures to leave them in the hole for most of the season. Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021. The Guardians won EIGHT of 10 to reach 15-14 through May 9 but have now lost FOUR of five to fall back to 16-18. The Reds will hand the ball to Tyler Mahle (2-4, 5.89 ERA), while Cal Quantrill (1-2, 3.93 ERA) will start for the Guardians. This is the same pitching matchup scheduled for Wednesday. Mahle opened the season 1-4 in six starts (team was 1-5) with a 7.01 ERA. He's been much better his last two, going 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA (Reds won both games) but both starts have come against Pittsburgh. Mahle enters tonight's game 0-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in four career starts against the Guardians (Reds are 0-4!). This is Quantrill's 4th MLB season, and he was 8-3 with a 2.89 ERA in 2021 (40 appearances, including 22 starts). His 3.93 ERA is not all that bad but Cleveland is only 2-4 in his six starts. He's only faced the Reds once, allowing three ERs over six innings in 2019. The Guardians won BOTH meetings in Cincinnati (10-5 and 7-3) back on April 12 & 13 and grab the "W" (one day later than planned) after a one-run loss on Tuesday night. Good luck...Larry |
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05-18-22 | Astros -136 v. Red Sox | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -136 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
My 8* ALCS Rematch is on the Hou Astros at 6:10 ET. The Houston Astros entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. The Red Sox have won four World Series titles since 2004 but Boston struggled to a 24-36 record in the 2020 season, before surprising most by going 92-70 in 2021. The Red Sox made it to the ALCS but lost 4-2 to the Astros. The teams met at Fenway Park starting on Monday for a three-game rematch of last year's American League Championship Series. Boston won 6-3 on Monday but Houston rebounded to win 13-4 on Tuesday. The rubber match" of the series goes Wednesday. |
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05-17-22 | Braves v. Brewers -110 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Mil Brewers at 7:40 ET. The 2021 Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021. Both were preseason favorites to win their respective divisions in 2022 but so far, only the Brewers are "holding up their end." The Brewers moved above .500 with an April 18th win (to move to 6-5) and opened this three-game series with the Braves on Monday 17-8 over their last 25 (.680). Milwaukee led the NL Central at 22-13, 2 1/2-games up on the Cardinals. The Braves started 2-1 but have been under .500 ever since. They came into Monday's game just 16-19, 6 1/2-games behind the Mets in the NL East. The brewers beat the Braves 1-0 last night, as Peralta outpitched Anderson. The series continues tonight with Milwaukee on an 18-8 run (a 23-13 record overall) and the Braves just 16-20, ahead of only the sad-sack Nationals in the NL East. Tucker Davidson (0-0, 16.88 ERA) will get the nod for the Braves on Tuesday in what will be his first start of the season. Milwaukee will counter with Adrian Houser (3-3, 3.86 ERA). Davidson made five starts in 2020 and 2021, lasting just 21.2 innings while allowing 10 ERs (4.15 ERA). His LONE appearance this season came back on April 11 against the Washington Nationals, allowing FIVE runs on five hits and two walks. Houser was just 7-13 (4.13 ERA) in his first four years with Milwaukee, before going 10- 6with a 3.22 ERA in 2021. The Brewers went 18-8 in his 26 starts, giving Houser MLB's 11th-best moneyline record (+$793 at $100/game). I expect Davidson to start but will make this side play "action," just in case the Braves change their minds before the first pitch! Houser is 3-3 in six starts and while he's yet to look as good as he did in 2021, he earns a HUGE advantage over Davidson (or whomever). He faces an Atlanta offense that never got going last night, managing just two hits. The last 17 Braves hitters were retired in order, and the bottom five batters in the lineup combined to go 0-for-15 with 11 strikeouts. Brewers move to 19-8 in their last 27 games with a "W." Good luck...Larry |
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05-17-22 | Mariners +135 v. Blue Jays | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Sea Mariners at 7:07 ET. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The Blue Jays also just missed a wild card spot (by ONE game!) in 2021 but were a 'sexy' preseason pick to best the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in the brutally tough AL East in 2022. Seattle lost the opener of this three-game series 6-2 in Toronto last night and currently stands 16-20. The Mariners are already SEVEN games behind the 23-13 Astros and 24-14 Angels in the AL West. Can you say 21 straight playoff-less seasons? The Jays moved to a modest 19-17 with last night's win and sits 7 1/2-games behind the first-place Yankees and two games behind the Rays in the AL East.
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05-16-22 | Angels -133 v. Rangers | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Angels at 8:05 ET. The Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). The Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017.
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05-16-22 | Braves +128 v. Brewers | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error is on the Atl Braves at 7:40 ET. he 20221 Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021. Both were preseason favorites to win their respective divisions in 2022 but so far, only the Brewers are "holding up their end." The Brewers moved above .500 with an April 18th win (to move to 6-5) and enter this game 17-8 their last 25 (.680). Milwaukee leads the NL Central at 22-13, 2 1/2-games up on the Cardinals. The Braves started 2-1 but have been under .500 ever since. They come into this game just 16-19, 6 1/2-games behind the Mets in the NL East. Ian Anderson (3-1, 4.20 ERA) is slated to start for Atlanta, while Milwaukee counters with Freddy Peralta (2-1, 4.40 ERA). Anderson lasted just 2.2 innings (allowed 5 ERs) in his season debut but over his last five, he's allowed a modest nine ERs over 27.1 innings for a 2.96 ERA (he's 3-0 and the Braves are 4-1). Peralta was 16-8 with a 4.67 ERA for Milwaukee in his first three season, with just 23 of his 70 appearances coming as a starter. However, he made 27 starts last season, going 10-5 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.97 WHIP (Brewers were 18-9 in his starts). Peralta lasted just seven innings in his first two starts of 2022 (allowed nine ERS!) but over his last four, has allowed just five ERs in his last 21.2 innings, good for an ERA of 2.08 (he's 2-0 and the team is 3-1). Bottom line here is I'm backing Anderson over Peralta. The Braves really like Anderson and why not? He's 4-0 the last two postseasons, posting a 1.28 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. I really like Anderson as well and he comes in pitching VERY well plus in two career starts vs Milwaukee (both last season, winning each one) he's allowed one ER (on 5 hits) over 11 innings for an ERA of 0.82 and a WHIP of 0.82). Great price on Anderson and I'm taking it! Good luck...Larry |
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05-16-22 | Astros +107 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
My 9* ALCS Rematch is on the Hou Astros at 7:10 ET. The Houston Astros entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. The Red Sox have won four World Series titles since 2004 but Boston struggled to a 24-36 record in the 2020 season, before surprising most by going 92-70 in 2021. The Red Sox made it to the ALCS but lost 4-2 to the Astros. A rematch of last year's American League Championship Series is set for a three-game set at Fenway Park starting Monday, when the Houston Astros visit the Boston Red Sox.
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05-15-22 | Guardians v. Twins -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Min Twins at 2:10 ET. Full, detailed analysis Sunday morning by 9:30 ET. |
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05-15-22 | Reds v. Pirates -131 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Month (NL Central) is on the Pit Pirates at 1:35 ET. The Reds opened the season 3-22, so they had nowhere to go but up. The Reds won the first two of this four-game series with the Pirates in Pittsburgh (4-0 and 8-2) and had won a season-high three straight, five of six and six of eight before Saturday's 3-1 loss. A win Sunday could further boost the 9-25 Reds' confidence with a third straight series win, after Cincinnati went 0-7-1 in its first eight series. Pittsburgh will try to get away with a series split. Pittsburgh is coming off three losing seasons, including going 61-101 in 2021 (Pirates are 14-19 to open 2022). The pitching matchup sure favors Pittsburgh on Sunday, as Cincinnati rookie Hunter Greene (1-5, 7.62 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh veteran Jose Quintana (1-1, 2.70 ERA). Greene has allowed 32 hits in 26 innings (he's yet to throw six full innings), as well as 22 ERs. Adding to his 'ugly' 7.62 ERA, there is his 1.81 WHIP and a BAA of .291! Quintana has been around since 2012 and had 13-win seasons in 2016, 2018 and 2019, However, he made just 33 appearances (just 11 starts) in the 2020 and 2021 seasons combined, going 0-3 with 6.16 ERA. That said, Quintana makes this SEVENTH start of 2022 here, coming off one of the more impressive starts by a Pirates pitcher this season. He picked up his first win this past Monday when he shut out the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers for six innings, allowing two hits, five strikeouts and four walks, in Pittsburgh's 5-1 win. Quintan finally got some help from his lineup, as he had received poor run support in three of his first five starts, masking the fact that he has allowed two runs or less in FIVE of his first six starts. I don't usually make a "big play" on a team playing .424 baseball, but Quintana earns a HUGE edge over Greene and remember, the Reds check in with a 'winning percentage' of .265! Pardon the pun. Good luck...Larry |
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05-14-22 | Guardians -125 v. Twins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Note: This side play is "action" (see below for details). My 10* Signature 38-Club Play is on the Cle Indians at 7:10 ET. Cleveland began a new era in 2022 (no longer the Indians, now the Guardians). Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021. The Twins went just 73-89 in 2021 (20 games behind the division-winning White Sox), after winning the AL Central in 2019 and 2020. The teams opened a three-game series in Minnesota last night, with 15-15 Cleveland having won EIGHT of 11 and the 18-14 Twins having just got swept 3-0 by Houston, which outscored them 21-3. Friday's game was tied two-all entering the bottom of the 6th, when Minnesota broke it open by scoring NINE times on its way to a 12-8 victory. The teams play again Saturday, with Minnesota leading in the AL Central (19-14), while Cleveland and Chicago are both three games back at 15-16. Sane Bieber (1-2, 4.13 ERA) will take the mound for Cleveland, while the Twins have decided to promote Devin Smeltzer to make his season debut. Smeltzer is 4-2 with a 4.26 ERA in 19 career games (seven starts) with the Twins over parts of the previous three seasons. One can't be sure if Smeltzer will definitely go, and that's the reason I'm making this side play "action!" |
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05-14-22 | Padres v. Braves -121 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Atl Braves at 4:05 ET. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The Padres are off to a good start in 2022, while the defending champs are struggling. The teams opened a three-game series last night in Atlanta with San Diego winning 11-6. The Padres scored four runs (in six innings) off the red-hot Fried and then added SEVEN more runs (wound up with 16 hits for the game) off three relievers. Darvish gave of five ERs but it didn't matter much.
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05-14-22 | Giants v. Cardinals -105 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on the StL Cards at 2:15 ET. The SF Giants surprised all by winning a MLB-best 107 games last season, although they lost to the Dodgers in an NLDS matchup. The StL Cards have been a postseason regular this century, making the playoffs 15 times since 2000. The teams opened a three-game series last night in St Louis, with the Giants defeating the Cardinals 8-2 to extend their winning streak to SIX games, while the Cards lost for the FIFTH time in six games. The Giants are now 20-12, right on the heels of the 21-12 Padres and 20-11 Dodgers in the NL West, while the 17-15 Cards have fallen 3 1/2-games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Giants have outscored opponents 49-20 during their winning streak, while the Cards have scored three runs or less in four of their last five games. However, I'm backing St Louis in this one, taking Dakota Hudson (2-2, 3.56 ERA) over Jakob Junis (1-0, 1.20 ERA). Hudson was 16-7 back in 2019 but injuries have limited him to just 15 stars since that season, with SIX of those starts coming here in 2022. He made four April starts and posted a 2,75 ERA (team was 3-1) but the Cards have lost both of his May starts. He hasn't been that far off in May, allowing three ERs in each outing, including last Sunday in San Francisco when he allowed three runs on five hits and four walks in 4.2 innings. He struck out four in a no-decision during a game the Giants won 4-3. Take note that he had won both of his previous career starts vs the Giants, posting a 2.45 ERA. Junis was 9-3 in 2017 but entered this season 20-32 with 4,94 ERA since that season. He's got a 1.20 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and a 15-3 KW ratio this season but that's over just three starts, lasting a modest 15 innings. He's made four career starts vs the Cards without a decision, posting a 3.20 ERA while his teams are 2-2. The Giants are surging, while the Cards are in an offensive slump but I REALLY like Hudson over Junis in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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05-13-22 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks -120 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Arz D'backs at 9:40 ET. Here's how one preseason magazine summed up the Cubs' situation heading into 2022, coming off a 71-91 season last year. "Highly successful early in the 20th century, followed by 100 years of mediocrity, then a six-year burst of winning and now back into the abyss." The Arizona D'backs joined the NL in 1998 and made the playoffs in THREE of the team's first five seasons (won 2001 World Series). However, since 2003, Arizona has missed the postseason in 16 of the last 19 years. The D'backs hit 'rock bottom' in 2021, earning the dreaded 'daily double,' as owners of MLB's worst record (52-110) and its worst moneyline mark (-$3,941). Good luck...Larry |
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05-13-22 | Padres v. Braves -145 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Atl Braves at 7:20 ET. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The Padres are off to a good start in 2022 at 20-12, just ONE game behind the 1st-place Dodgers in the NL West. In contrast, the Braves started 2-1 but have been under .500 ever since. The 15-17 Braves open this three-game home series with the Padres 6 1/2-games behind the 22-11 Mets in the NL East.
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05-12-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -136 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -136 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the LA Dodgers at 10:10 ET. The Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years, the second-longest active streak in MLB. Philly heads to LA tonight to open a four-game series with the Dodgers, after taking two of three in Seattle. The Phillies are just 14-17 to open the season and find themselves 6 1/2-game behind the Mets in the NL East (11 straight non-playoff seasons?). The Dodgers saw their streak of EIGHT straight NL West titles end in 2021 (Giants won 107 games to LA's 106) but made the postseason for the NINTH consecutive season (did beat the Giants 3-2 in a NLDS matchup). The Dodgers just lost TWO of three in Pittsburgh (?) but are back home to begin an eight-game homestand. LA is 20-9 on the season, 1 1/2-games better than the Padres and two games ahead of the Giants in the NL West (tough division).
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05-11-22 | Red Sox v. Braves -122 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas is on the Atl Braves at 7:20 ET. The Red Sox have won four World Series titles since 2004. Boston struggled to a 24-36 record in the 2020 season but surprised most by going 92-70 and reaching the ALCS before losing 4-2 to the Astros. The Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The Red Sox and Braves opened a two-game interleague series Tuesday in Atlanta with both teams coming in with losing records. The Red Sox had lost FIVE straight (and 12 of 15!), giving them a 10-19 record (LAST in the AL East). The Braves started 2-1 but have been under .500 ever since. The Braves were coming off winning TWO of three over Milwaukee) and entered having won three of four. At 14-16, the Braves sat in 2nd-place in the NL East but SIX games behind the Mets.
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05-10-22 | Rays -107 v. Angels | Top | 0-12 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error is on the TB Rays at 9:38 ET. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances, winning the AL East in both 2020 and 2021. The Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). The teams began a three-game series in Anaheim on Monday night with LA coming away with an impressive 11-3 victory. The win gives the Angels a 20-11 record, ONE game better than the 18-11 Astors in the AL West. The blowout loss Monday night was Tampa Bay's second consecutive setback following a six-game winning streak. The Rays are 18-12, three games behind the Yankees in the AL East.
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05-10-22 | Astros -131 v. Twins | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on the Hou Astros at 7:40 ET. The Houston Astros entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. The Twins went just 73-89 in 2021 (20 games behind the division-winning White Sox), after winning the AL Central in 2019 and 2020. The Astros visit the Twins to open a NINE-game road trip Tuesday night in Minneapolis. Both teams are 18-11 but note that Houston has won SEVEN in a row to close within ONE game of the Angels in the AL West. As for the Twins, after stumbling to a 4-8 start, they have won 12 of 15 to reach 18-11, giving them a three-game lead in the AL Central over Cleveland and a 3 1/2-game lead of the defending AL Central champion White Sox.
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05-10-22 | Red Sox v. Braves -130 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout is on the Atl Braves at 7:20 ET. Full, detailed analysis Tuesday morning by 10:00 ET. |
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05-09-22 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks +108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 108 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
My 9* Oddsmaker's Error is on the Arz D'backs at 9:40 ET. The Marlins joined the National League in 1993 and entering the COVID-shortened season of 2020, had made the postseason just TWICE. However, the Marlins would capture the World Series each time, in 1997 over the Indians and in 2003 over the Yankees. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The D'backs joined the NL in 1998 and made the playoffs in THREE of the team's first five seasons (won 2001 Worlds Series). However, since 2003, Arizona has missed the postseason in 16 of the last 19 years. The D'backs hit 'rock bottom' in 2021, earning the dreaded 'daily double,' as owners of MLB's worst record (52-110) and its worst moneyline mark (-$3,941).
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05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners -118 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* IL Game of the Month is on the Sea Mariners at 9:40 ET. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years, the second-longest active streak in MLB. Philly ended April 11-11 but are just 1-5 in May (two rainouts) and at 12-16, don't look much like a playoff contender in the early going. Seattle was 11-6 through April 26th but has lost 10 of 12 to fall to 13-16. With the 19-11 Angels and 18-11 Astros off to good starts, Seattle needs to get things straightened out. The Phillies open a seven-game road trip this week with three games in Seattle. The team is currently without starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Zach Eflin (COVID-19 injured list), but the Phillies said both might rejoin the squad on the seven-game trip (the last four games are in Anaheim against the Angels). Ranger Suarez (2-1, 4.63 ERA) will make his sixth start Monday and his first career appearance against the Mariners. He made 39 appearances (12 starts) last season, going 8-5 with a 1.36 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. However, while he's 2-1 in five starts in 2022 (team is 4-1), his ERA has 'jumped' more than THREE runs (from 1.36 to 4.63) and his WHIP is up from 1.00 to 1.63! Chris Flexen was 14-6 (3.61 ERA and 1.25 WHIP) in 2021 and with the Mariners going 22-9 in his starts, owned MLB's best moneyline mark at +$1,597. Yes, he's 1-4 in five starts in 2022 but note that both his ERA (3.10) and WHIP (1.14) are lower than last year's numbers! Excellent opportunity here for Flexen to pick up a "W" against a Philly team that's 3-7 on the road. Good luck...Larry |
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05-08-22 | Marlins v. Padres -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
My 7* Weekend Wipeout is on the SD Padres at 4:10 ET. The Marlins joined the National League in 1993 and entering the COVID-shortened season of 2020, had made the [postseason just TWICE. However, the Marlins would capture the World Series each time, in 1997 over the Indians and in 2003 over the Yankees. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants.
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05-08-22 | White Sox v. Red Sox -143 | 3-2 | Loss | -143 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
My 7* Afternoon Delight is on the Bos Red Sox at 11:35 am ET. Full, detailed analysis Sunday morning by 8:00 ET. |
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05-07-22 | Brewers v. Braves -102 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Signature 38-Clib Play is on the Atl Braves at 7:20 ET. The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021. The 20221 Braves won the NL East for the FOURTH straight season last year and then captured the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. Both were preseason favorites to win their respective divisions in 2022. The Brewers won the series opener 6-3 on Friday in Atlanta and have won NINE of their last 10 games. Milwaukee has won 18 of its last 23 and at 19-8, is tied with the NY Mets for the most wins in MLB. In contrast, the Braves fell to 12-16, leaving them SEVEN games behind the aforementioned Mets in the NL East. The ONLY time Atlanta has been above-.500 this season was back on April 9, when the Braves were 2-1!
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05-07-22 | Cardinals +135 v. Giants | Top | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the StL Card at 7:15 ET. |
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05-06-22 | Rays v. Mariners -125 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Sea Mariners at 9:40 ET. Note: This an "action play," as one can't be sure which pitcher Tampa Bay will use as an 'opener!"
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05-05-22 | Rays v. Mariners +121 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* Non-Division Game of the Month is on the Sea mariners at 9:40 ET. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances, winning the AL East in both 2020 and 2021. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The two teams are meeting for the second time in two weeks, as they open a four-game series tonight in Seattle. Last week at Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay won the set by taking two of three from the Mariners - dropping the first game 8-4 before earning a pair of one-run victories to close the series. The Rays then lost a home weekend series against the Minnesota Twins, before rebounding to sweep the A's in a three-game series to open this week in Oakland. Seattle returns home after a 2-7 road trip which included losing all three at Houston Monday through Wednesday (Seattle is now 4-25 in Houston since the 2019 season opened, a span during which Seattle has been outscored 190-77). The Mariners have fallen to 12-13 but will be home for seven games (Phillies arrive Monday for a three-game series).
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05-05-22 | Nationals v. Rockies -135 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout is on the Col Rockies at 3:10 ET. The Washington Nationals won the World Series in 2019 but then went 26-34 in the 2020 COVID season and 65-97 in 2021. They have opened 2022 at 9-17, as they get ready for their 'rubber match: of this three-game series with Colorado at Coors Field. The Rockies have missed out of the postseason in each of the last three seasons and are currently 14-10. That ties them with the Giants but has them 'looking up' at both the 16-9 Padres and 16-7 Dodgers. The Rockies look improved, but the NL West is brutally tough!
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05-04-22 | Cardinals -135 v. Royals | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My 8* Getaway Day Game of the Week is on the StL Cards at 1:10 ET. The StL Cards have been a postseason regular this century, making the playoffs 15 times since 2000. Meanwhile, the Cards' Missouri rivals, the KC Royals, began the current season having missed the postseason in each of the previous SIX years. The two in-state rivals opened a three-game IL series Monday, with the Royals wasting a strong pitching performance by Zack Greinke (6 IP / 3 hits / one ER) while falling 1-0 to the Cardinals. That game was played in St Louis (rescheduled game) but the teams moved to KC (Kauffman Stadium) for a two-game set Tuesday and Wednesday. The Royals snapped a four-game losing streak with a 7-1 Tuesday win, collecting a season-high 15 hits.The team are back at it Wednesday afternoon, as Adam Wainwright (2-3, 4.00 ERA) squares off against Kris Bubic (0-2, 10.50 ERA). Wainwright went 17-7 with a 3.05 ERA last year and received Cy Young Award votes for the fifth time in his career, finishing seventh in voting. He finished 3rd in 2009, 2nd in 2010, 2nd in 2013 and 3rd in 2014. Wainwright is 6-3 with a 3.90 ERA in 12 career starts vs the Royals (Cards are 7-5). Bubic was 6-7 with a 4.43 ERA in 2012, making 29 appearances (20 starts). However, in four starts so far in 2022, he's lasted only 12 innings, allowing 14 ERs. His ERA is an abysmal 10.50 and his WHIP an ugly 2.08. Before scoring seven runs last night, the Royals had scored just SIX runs during their four-game losing streak and enter this game just 3-9 over their last 12 games. Expect the veteran Wainwright to give the Cards an effort good enough for St Louis to get a "W" over the Royals and the STRUGGLING Bubic! Good luck...Larry |
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05-03-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -135 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
The 3rd pick of my STP is an 8* on the LA Dodgers at 10:10 ET. The Los Angeles Dodgers had won EIGHT straight NL West titles heading into 2021 but despite winning 106 games, the Dodgers finished ONE game behind the 107-win SF Giants. However, the Dodgers did beat the Giants in an NLDS matchup, 3 games-to-2. The Dodgers/Giants is one of MLB's great rivalries (back to the days when both teams played in New York) and the two rivals open a brief two-game series Tuesday night in Los Angeles, meeting for the first time in 2022. The Dodgers are 14-7 to open the season while the Giants are 14-8 (Padres squeeze in at 15-8).The Giants will send left-hander Carlos Rodon (3-0, 1.17 ERA) to the mound, while the Dodgers counter with lefty Jose Urias (1-1, 2.50 ERA). Rodon was 13-5 (2.37 ERA) for the White Sox in 2021 but he signed a two-year, $44 million contract with the Giants in March. Urias was MLB's lone 20-game winner in 2021 (20-3 with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 32 starts). Rodon has allowed one run or less in all four of his Giants starts and has at least eight strikeouts in all of them (38-8 KW ratio on the season). Urias was roughed up in hsi 2022 debut (6 runs allowed but just three earned in two innings at Coors Field) but in his last three, has gone 16 innings while allowing just two ERs on only four hits, for a 1.13 ERA, Both pitchers enter in excellent form but I favor the home team, expecting the Dodgers to make an early 'statement' that the NL West is still their 'domain!' Good luck...Larry |
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05-03-22 | Cardinals -108 v. Royals | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
The 2nd pick of my STP is a 10* on the StL Cardinals at 8:10 ET. The StL Cards have been a postseason regular this century, making the playoffs 15 times since 2000. Meanwhile, the Cards' Missouri rivals, the KC Royals, began the current season having missed the postseason in each of the previous SIX years. The two in-state rivals opened a three-game IL series Monday, with the Royals wasting a strong pitching performance by Zack Greinke (6 IP / 3 hits / one ER) while falling 1-0 to the Cardinals. Yesterday's contest was played in St louis (rescheduled game) but now it's two games at Kauffman Stadium Tuesday and Wednesday. The Royals have scored just SIX runs during their four-game losing streak and have lost nine of 11 heading into this two-game set in KC. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have won four of their last six, but they have scored two or fewer runs in SIX of their last nine games. |
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05-03-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -128 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
The first pick of my STP is a 9* on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:07 ET. The New York Yankees opened their series at Toronto with a 3-2 victory on Monday night, on a tiebreaking single in the ninth. New York now owns 10 straight wins and a 17-6 record, 2 1/2-games better than Toronto (15-9) and four better than Tampa Bay. New York is on a double-digit winning streak for the second straight season, and its 17-6 start is the team's best since 2003 (19-4). The Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 games but need to do much more offensive than last Night, when Toronto hit into three double plays and went 1-for-8 with runners in scoring position.
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05-02-22 | Braves -104 v. Mets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Month (NL East) is on the Atl Braves at 7:10 ET. The Atlanta Braves continue a seven-game road trip Monday in New York, after losing 7-3 on Sunday afternoon in the rubber game of a three-game series against the Texas Rangers 7-3. Meanwhile, the Mets extended their franchise-record, season-opening streak of series wins to seven by beating the visiting Philadelphia Phillies 10-6 on Sunday night. This four-game series is the first meeting of the 2022 season between the two teams. It's the first meeting since July 29. The Braves were 51-53 at that time but went 37-20 the rest of the way and won the NL East (for the FOURTH straight season) before capturing the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. In stark contrast, New York went 22-38 down the stretch to finish in third place at 77-85, 11 1/2 games out of first place. The Mets made the 2015 World Series (lost 4-1 to KC) and made a one-game wild card appearance in 2016, but they've been playoff-less the last five years. The 10-13 Braves will send Max Fried (2-2, 3.00 ERA) to the mound, while the 16-7 Mets counter with Chris Bassitt (3-1, 2.25 ERA). Fried entered this season with a 38-13 (.745) record from 2019-21 and the Braves were also an OUTSTANDING 50-19 (.724) in all of his starts. He opened the current season 0-2 (5.72 ERA) but owned a 9-1 KW ratio. He has rebounded to win his last two starts, allowing just one ER over 13 innings with a 12-0 KW ratio (that's 21-1 through four starts). Fried is 4-3 with a 2.78 ERA in 16 career games (11 starts) against the Mets. Chris Bassitt was traded to the Mets prior to the start of this season, coming off a 12-4 (3.15 ERA) 2021 season with the A's (team was 17-10 in his starts). He's had one poor outing (allowed five ERs in a 5-2 loss to the Giants but in his other three (all wins), has allowed just one ER over 18 innings. Bassitt has never faced the Braves. The Mets rank first in the majors in on-base percentage (.344), second in batting average (.262) and third in ERA (2.99), stats the current Braves can't match. The Mets' SEVEN straight series wins is an impressive accomplishment, but the Braves have already fallen SIX games behind them, and the season is not yet FOUR weeks old. No series prediction for me here but I will make a HUGE play on Fried and the Braves in Game 1 of the series! Good luck...Larry |
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05-02-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +116 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
My 9* Rivalry Rout is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:07 ET.
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05-01-22 | Guardians v. A's +107 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Oak A's at 4:07 ET. Both Cleveland and Oakland have been playoff regulars in recent years but both sat out in 2021, Cleveland with an 80-82 record and Oakland with an 86-76 mark. The two teams wrap up a three-games series Sunday in Oakland, with Cleveland winning the first two (had entered the series on a 7-game slide). Oakland has now lost FIVE of seven to fall to 10-11, while Cleveland's back-to-back wins only gets them to 9-12. The Guardians will turn to Triston McKenzie (0-2, 3.71 ERA) for the conclusion of their 10-game trip, while Oakland's James Kaprielian will take the mound for his season debut on Sunday in the finale of a three-game series.
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05-01-22 | Angels v. White Sox +110 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Chi White Sox at 2:10 ET. The Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). The White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. They then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games. Chicago expected even more in 2022. However, as the Angels and White Sox get set to play the third game of this four-games series on Sunday, the Angels' 14-8 record has them in first place in the AL West, while the 8-12 White Sox are in third place in the AL Central, 3 1/2-games behind the Twins. The Angels won Friday's opener 5-1 but the White Sox responded with a 4-0 victory on Saturday.
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05-01-22 | Astros v. Blue Jays -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout is on the Tor Blue Jays at 1:37 ET. The Houston Astros entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. The Blue Jays missed a wild card spot by ONE game in 2021 but were a 'sexy' preseason pick to best the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in the brutally tough AL East. Houston opened 4-1 but then lost EIGHT of 11 to fall to 7-9. However, after winning 11-7 in the series opener at Toronto on Friday, will took a four-game winning streak and an 11-9 record into Saturday's contest. Friday's loss dropped the Jays to 13-8, 1 1/2-games behind the first-place Yankees and a half-game ahead of the third-place Rays. The Jays won 2-1 on Saturday, led by George Springer's two solo HRs. The 11-10 Astros and 14-8 Jays play the "rubber match" of this three-games series on Sunday. Framber Valdez (1-1, 3.15 ERA) starts for Houston and Kevin Gausman (1-1, 2.19 ERA) for Toronto.
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04-30-22 | Braves -108 v. Rangers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Atl Braves at 7:05 ET. The Atlanta Braves won the NL East for the fourth straight year in 2021 with just 88 wins. They entered the postseason with the fewest wins of ANY of MLB's 10 playoff teams but went on to win their second-ever World Series title since the franchise moved from Milwaukee to Atlanta in 1966 (previous WS win was in 1995). Speaking of the World Series, the Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973. The Braves and Rangers opened a three-game IL series last night in Arlington. The Braves came away with a 6-3 win to get within a game of .500 at 10-11 (Atlanta is chasing the 15-6 Mets in the NL East). As for the Rangers, they fell to 6-14 and aren't chasing ANYONE.
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04-30-22 | Mariners -101 v. Marlins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Month is on the Sea Mariners at 6:10 ET. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The Marlins joined the National League in 1993 and entering the COVID-shortened season of 2020, had made the postseason just TWICE. However, the Marlins would capture the World Series each time, in 1997 over the Indians and in 2003 over the Yankees. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The teams played the opener of this three-game series in Miami last night, with the Marlins winning 8-6. Miami has now won SIX straight games, its longest streak since 2020. It's also the longest active win streak in the National League but at 11-8, the Marlins are three games behind the 15-6 Mets. It was Seattle's third straight loss and at 11-9, the Mariners find themselves 'looking up' at the 14-7 Angels in the AL West. Seattle will send Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.91 ERA) to the mound, while Miami counters with Jesus Luzardo (1-1, 3.71 ERA).
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04-30-22 | Astros v. Blue Jays -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
My 9* Afternoon Delight is on the Tor Blue Jays at 3:07 ET. The Houston Astros entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. The Blue Jays missed a wild card spot by ONE game in 2021 but were a 'sexy' preseason pick to best the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in the brutally tough AL East. Houston opened 4-1 but then lost EIGHT of 11 to fall to 7-9. However, after winning 11-7 in the series opener at Toronto on Friday, will take a four-game winning streak and an 11-9 record into Saturday's contest (note: The Angels have opened 14-7 in the AL West). Friday's loss dropped the Jays to 13-8, 1 1/2-games behind the first-place Yankees and a half-game ahead of the third-place Rays. Saturday's starters are Luis Garcia (1-0, 4.60 ERA) and Jose Berrios (1-0, 4.91 ERA).
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04-29-22 | Braves -130 v. Rangers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
The 3rd pick of my STP is an 8* on the Atl Braves at 8:05 ET. Note: This play on Atlanta is "action," as it is possible the Rangers could switch their "opener." Either way, Atlanta is the choice.
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04-29-22 | Twins v. Rays -129 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
The 2nd pick of my STP is a 9* on the TB Rays at 7:10 ET. The Twins went just 73-89 in 2021 (20 games behind the division-winning White Sox), after winning the AL Central in 2019 and 2020. However, after a 4-8 start in 2022, Minnesota has won SEVEN in a row and is atop the division after three weeks, at 11-8. The Tampa Bay Rays are off three straight postseason appearances and back-to-back AL East titles but while their 11-8 record matches Minnesota's, the Rays are third in the AL East behind the 13-7 Blue Jays and 13-6 Yankees.
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04-29-22 | Red Sox -135 v. Orioles | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
The 1st pick of my STP is an 8* on the Bos Red Sox at 7:05 ET. The Boston Red Sox visit Baltimore for a three-game series with the Orioles starting Friday night. The Red Sox are just 8-12, after losing SEVEN of their last nine games. Meanwhile, the Orioles are 6-13 and open the series on a four-game slide. Boston has FIVE one-run losses this season, including four in the last eight days. The latest came Thursday, when the Red Sox were held to four hits in a 1-0 defeat to the host Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox have scored two or fewer runs in SEVEN of their last 10 games. However, this weekend it's the sad-sack Orioles, who have lost 100-plus games in THREE of the last full seasons and while it's early, are on pace to do so again in 2022.
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04-28-22 | Guardians +145 v. Angels | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Cle Guardians at 4:07 ET. Cleveland began a new era in 2022 (no longer the Indians, now the Guardians). Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021 and opened the current season looking for a return to the postseason. Meanwhile, the Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). It's early but Cleveland fans have to be disappointed with the team's 7-11 start, while Angel fans have to like their team's 12-7 start. The Angels are looking to complete a four-game sweep of the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday afternoon in Anaheim, with Cleveland having lost SIX in a row while Los Angeles has won four in a row. Cal Quantrill (1-0, 3.94 ERA) will make his fourth start of the season for the Guardians, while Reid Detmers (0-1, 6.57 ERA) will also make his fourth start of the season for the Angels. This marks Quantrill's fifth season, and he was a career-best 8-3 last season (40 appearances, including 22 starts), posting a 2.89 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Reid made five starts for the Angels last season, going 1-3 with a 7.40 ERA and 1.79 WHIP. Quantrill is coming off his longest outing of the season, going 6.1 innings against the New York Yankees on Saturday, when he got a no-decision after allowing three runs and six hits. He's made just one start vs LA and that was last season, pitching seven scoreless innings of a 3-0 win. Detmers is coming off his best start of the 2022 season, giving up two runs on three hits and one walk in five innings but was tagged with the 5-3 loss against the Baltimore Orioles on Friday. He made his only start against Cleveland in 2021, allowing three ERs on seven hits in just 3.2 innings of a 5-1 loss. I believe Quantrill owns a solid edge over Detmers on the mound and I'm not convinced the Angels are any better than the Guardians, despite both teams currently headed in opposite directions. Great price on the road underdog. Good luck...Larry |
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04-28-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +156 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
My 9* Getaway Day Game of the Week is on the Pit Pirates at 12:35 ET. The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the AL Central in 2021. The Pittsburgh Pirates have missed the playoffs in each of the last SIX years, with the lone winning season in that stretch came when they went 82-79 in 2018. Milwaukee went 95-67 last season, while Pittsburgh finished 61-101 (34 games behind). The Brewers look to sweep their series in Pittsburgh on Thursday, which would make them 6-0 against the Pirates after sweeping them in a home series last week. The Brewers outscored the Pirates 15-5 during that 3-game sweep in Milwaukee and won 12-8 on Tuesday, before winning 3-1 on Wednesday. In this "Getaway Day Game," it's Freddy Peralta (0-1, 7.50 ERA) for Milwaukee and Jose Quintana (0-1, 3.86 ERA) for Pittsburgh. Peralta was 10-5 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.97 WHIP (195-56 KW ratio) last season in 27 starts (Brewers were 18-9). Peralta is still looking for his first win of 2022, as he makes his fourth start. He is coming off a no-decision Friday in the Brewers' 4-2 loss at Philadelphia, when he allowed one run and three hits in five innings with six strikeouts and two walks. That was more like the Peralta of 2021, as he had an 11.75 ERA after his first two starts and has been working on some mechanics. "It's a good sign for me," Peralta said. "It's what I've been working on, and finally I was feeling a little more comfortable than the last two games." Peralta is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA in 14 games, five of them starts (team is 3-2 in his starts, with Peralta posting a 2.17 ERA), against Pittsburgh. Quintana's career began back in 2012 and he won 13 games in 2016 with the White Sox and 13 games for the Cubs in both 2018 and 2019. However, he's done almost NOTHING since. The Pirates signed him to a one-year deal in the offseason and this marks his fourth start. He's pitched a modest total of 14 innings, but his ERA is 3.86 and the Pirates have won TWO of his three starts. What's more, Quintana is 9-4 with a 2.78 ERA in 18 games, 17 of them starts vs Milwaukee, with those nine wins being his most against any team. His teams are 12-5 in his 17 starts against the Brewers and that includes him going 3-0 against Milwaukee back in 2019. He hasn't faced them since. I've got some good 'vibes' here with Quintana and will take the 'juicy' home underdog. Bow Wow! Good luck...Larry |
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04-27-22 | Astros -114 v. Rangers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Hou Astros at 8:05 ET. The Astros remain the team everyone 'loves to hate.' Houston won the AL West last season with a 95-67 record, capturing the division for the FOURTH time in the last five years. Houston won the 2017 World Series (over the Dodgers), lost the 2019 World Series (to the Nats) and then lost it again last season to the Braves. The Astros opened the current season winning FOUR of five but have gone 3-8 since, after losing 6-2 last night to the Rangers in Arlington. Texas appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973.
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04-27-22 | Mariners v. Rays -134 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on the TB Rays at 6:40 ET. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances, winning the AL East in both 2020 and 2021.Seattle won the opener of this three-game series at Tropicana Field 8-4 last night and the teams continue their three-game series tonight. The victory was Seattle's fourth straight and at 11-6, sit atop the AL West (Angels are 11-7). The Rays fell to 9-8 with the loss and are 2 1/2-games behind the 1st-place Blue Jays in the AL East (two games behind the Yankees).
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04-26-22 | Royals v. White Sox -144 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -144 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Chi White Sox at 7:10 ET. The Royals played in back-to-back World Series in 2014 (lost to the Giants 4-3) and in 2015 (beat the Mets 4-1) but six playoff-less seasons have followed. The 2016 team went 81-81 and the 2017 team went 81-81. However, the last four seasons have seen KC go 217-329 (.397). KC fans may be sensing some "deja vu," as after the 1985 team won the franchise's first World Series crown, the Royals didn't make the playoffs again until 2014 (that's a span of 28 years!). The White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. They then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games. Chicago expected even more in 2022.
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04-25-22 | Guardians +109 v. Angels | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
My 9* Late-Breaker is on the Cle Guardians at 9:38 ET. Cleveland began a new era in 2022 (no longer the Indians, now the Guardians). Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021 and opened the current season looking for a return to the postseason. Meanwhile, the Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). The Angels feature not only Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon but also the defending American League MVP Shohei Ohtani. Trout and Rendon missed most of last season because of injuries, with Trout playing in just 36 games and Rendon in 58. Trout didn't play at all after May 17, while Rendon's last game was July 4. Ohtani hit 46 HRs with 100 RBI (also 26 SBs) plus went 9-2 with a 3.18 ERA, striking out 156 batters in 130.1 IP. The 7-8 Guardians and 9-7 Angels open a four-game-game series in Anaheim on Monday. The starters for tonight will be Shane Bieber (1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three starts) and Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 4.82 ERA in two starts). Bieber was a rookie in 2018 and in 2019 went 15-8 and was the All-Star Game's MVP. In the COVID-shortened 2020 season he went 8-1 in 12 starts (team was 10-2), leading the AL in wins, ERA (1.63) and Ks (122), while posting an 0.87 WHIP and .167 BAA. He won the AL's Cy Young award. Bieber missed a chunk of the 2021 season (7-4 with a 3.17 ERA but 134 Ks in 96.2 IP) with a strained throwing shoulder. He was expected to be back at full strength this season and that looks like the case. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three starts (team is 2-1) with a 16-3 KW ratio and a 0.69 WHIP. Lorenzen spent his previous six seasons as a reliever but the Angels decided to make him part of their starting rotation in 2022. He has had one good start and one not-so-good one. He held the Miami Marlins to one run in six innings in his first start on April 11 (to earn a 6-2 win) but last Monday he gave up four runs and was knocked out of the game after 3.1 innings against Houston (took an 8-3 loss). Lorenzen is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in eight career games against Cleveland, all relief appearances. Meanwhile, Bieber is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in three career starts vs the Angels starts. He's native of Orange County, Ca. (attended Laguna Hills High School). Bieber vs Lorenzen gives Cleveland a BIG edge plus note that SIX of LA's nine wins have come against 5-10 Texas, 6-10 Baltimore and 7-8 Miami. The Guardians are the play. Good luck...Larry |
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04-25-22 | Astros -130 v. Rangers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Hou Astros at 8:05 ET. The Astros remain the team everyone 'loves to hate.' Houston won the AL West last season with a 95-67 record, capturing the division for the FOURTH time in the last five years. Houston won the 2017 World Series (over the Yankees), lost the 2019 World Series (to the Nats) and then lost it again last season to the Braves. The Astros opened the current season winning FOUR of five but had gone 2-7 before salvaging the final contest of a three-game home series with the Blue Jays on Sunday (8-7 in 10 Innings). The 7-8 Astros remain in Texas but not in Houston, as they open a four-game series in Arlington against the Rangers. Texas appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973. The Rangers won the first two contests of their three-game series in Oakland against the A's but fell 2-0 on Sunday to fall to 5-10 on the season.
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04-24-22 | Dodgers -140 v. Padres | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
My 8* Rivalry Game of the Month is on the LA Dodgers at 4:10 ET. The San Diego Padres see the LA Dodgers as their No. 1 rival but for the Dodgers, it's the Giants, dating back to their days in New York. That said, the Dodgers can't deny that this is a rivalry and it's growing. The Dodgers have opened 10-4 (best record in MLB) and the Padres are not far behind at 10-6, after the teams split the first two contests of this three-game series. The Dodgers finished with a 12-7 record against the Padres in 2021, a year in which the Dodgers won 106 games and competed in the postseason for the NINTH consecutive season (longest active streak in MLB). As for the Padres, after ending a 13-year playoff drought in 2020 (37-23 in a COVID-shortened season), they finished 79-83 (27 games behind the Dodgers!).
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04-24-22 | Rangers v. A's +112 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 112 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on the Oak A's at 4:07 ET. The Texas Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973. The Oakland Athletics had a run of three straight playoff appearances snapped in 2021 with an 86-76 record. The two AL West rivals will complete a three-game series today in Oakland. Texas won Friday's game 8-1 and I had a HUGE play on the A's in Saturday's second game of the series. Here's part of what I wrote in my analysis.
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04-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Astros -126 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Hou Astros at 2:10 ET. The Blue Jays finished just ONE game behind the Yankees for the AL's second wild-card spot in 2021 and many (most?) think Toronto is "the team to beat'' in the AL East in 2022. The Blue Jays are off to a 10-5 start, after taking the first two contests (4-3 and 3-2) of this three-game series in Houston. The Astros remain the team everyone 'loves to hate.' Houston won the AL West last season with a 95-67 record, capturing the division for the FOURTH time in the last five years. Houston won the 2017 World Series (over the Yankees), lost the 2019 World Series (to the Nats) and then lost it again last season to the Braves. The Astros opened the season winning FOUR of five but have gone 2-7 since. They look to avoid the home sweep here, as well as snapping a four-game losing streak.
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04-23-22 | Rangers v. A's -123 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* 'Signature' LEGEND play is on the Oak A' at 4:10 ET. The Texas Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973. The Oakland Athletics had a run of three straight playoff appearances snapped in 2021 with an 86-76 record. The two AL West rivals opened a three-game series last night in Oakland, with Texas winning 8-1. The Rangers moved to 4-9 with the win, while the A's fell to 8-7 The Rangers are averaging 5.31 RPG (2nd-best in MLB) but Texas has been an all-or-nothing team this season. The eight runs Friday gave them eight or more five times this season. They've gone 4-1 in those games. However, they are 0-8 when scoring six or less, and have been held to three or less six times. The Rangers will send left-hander Martin Perez (0-2, 6.75 ERA) to the mound, while the A's counter with Frankie Montas (2-1, 3.63 ERA). This marks Perez's 11th season and while he has three seasons of 10 wins plus had a career-best 13-12 record in 2017 (4.82 ERA and 1.54 WHIP), he remains a journeyman (career record of 63-71 with a 4.72 ERA and 1.46 WHIP). He has allowed six ERs in eight innings in losses to the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Angels to open this season. Montas began his career in 2015 but last year was the first season he made more than 16 starts. He was 13-9 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.18 ERA in 32 starts. Montas was Oakland's Opening Dat-y Starter on April 8th in Philly. He pitched poorly in a 9-5 loss, allowing five ERs in five innings. However, he has won back-to-back starts, 4-2 at Tampa Bay and 5-1 at home to Baltimore. He's gone 12.1 innings in the two wins, allowing two ERs (1.46 ERA) on seven hits with a KW ratio of 11-2. Really 'LOVE' Montas here over Perez, who can't expect much help from a bullpen that owns a 4.73 ERA (2nd-worst in MLB). Good luck...Larry |
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04-22-22 | White Sox +100 v. Twins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Chi W Sox at 8:10 ET. The White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. They then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games. Chicago expected even more in 2022.The Twins, who won World Series titles back in 1987 and 1991, entered last season off back-to-back years of winning the AL Central but IMPLODED in 2021, finishing 73-89, 20 games behind the division-winning White Sox! Chicago opened 6-2 but visits Minnesota for this three-game series on a four-game slide, As for the Twins, they a have started 5-8.
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04-22-22 | Red Sox v. Rays -137 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -137 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the TB Rays at 7:10 ET. The Red Sox have won four World Series titles since 2004. Boston struggled to a 24-36 record in the 2020 season but surprised most by going 92-70 and reaching the ALCS before losing 4-2 to the Astros. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances, winning the AL East in both 2020 and 2021. We are 15 days into the current season with Boston checking in at 6-7 and Tampa Bay at 7-6. Toronto leads the AL East at 8-5 and the Yankees are tied with the Rays at 7-3. The Red Sox and Rays meet for the first time in 2022, with a three-game series which starts Friday night in St. Petersburg, Fl. Michael Wacha (0-0, 0.96 ERA) will make his third start of the year for the Red Sox, while Corey Kluber (0-0, 1.86 ERA) will do the same for the Rays. Wacha made a big 'SPLASH' for the Cards back in 2013 as a rookie and then went 17-7 in 2015. However, from 2016-2021 he's gone just 37-34, while battling injuries. Corey Kluber won 18 games three times and 20 games once for the Indians from 2013 thru 2018, capturing an AL Cy Young award in 2014 and 201=8. However, arm problems have limited him to just 24 starts from 2019-2021 (he was 7-6 with a 4.40 ERA). However, both have looked sharp in their first two starts this season (see above). That said, while Klueber is 4-4 with a 3.91 ERA in 11 career starts against Boston (teams are 6-5), Wacha has lost all three of his starts against the Rays, posting an 8.16 ERA and 1,75 WHIP. The Rays have been an excellent home team these last three playoff seasons, going 120-71 (.628) and I'll back them here with Kluber looking as if he's fully recovered. Good luck...Larry |
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04-22-22 | Brewers +111 v. Phillies | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
My 9* Oddsmaker's Error is on the Mil Brewers at 7:05 ET. The Milwaukee Brewers opened 2022 as favorites to win the NL Central, having made the playoffs in each of the last four years. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years! Even with Christian Yelich off to a slow start (.195 BA with one HR after the opening two weeks, the 8-5 Brewers will look for their fifth consecutive victory when they open a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday. Philadelphia is 5-8 and already in last-place in the NL East, 4 1/2-game behind after playing only 13 games. The Brewers will hand the ball to Freddy Peralta (0-1, 11.57 ERA), while the Phillies counter with Ranger Suarez (1-0, 5.87 ERA). Short and sweet. No reason to give up on Peralta after two bad outings, as he was 10-5 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.97 WHIP (195-56 KW ratio) last season in 27 starts (Brewers were 18-9). Suarez has been with the Phillies since 2018 and has been used mostly in relief, as entered this season with just 15 starts in his 83 appearances. He's made two starts in 2022, lasting only 7.2 innings, while allowing five ERs in 11 hits for a 5.87 ERA and 1.96 WHIP. He shouldn't last long and bullpen help should NOT be expected, as Philadelphia's 4.97 bullpen ERA is the second-worst in MLB. Milwaukee gets that FIFTH straight win at a 'bargain price!' Good luck...Larry |
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04-21-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -125 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Larry's 9* Late Show play is on the Sea Mariners at 9:40 ET. The Texas Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973. Seattle finished second in the American League West with a 90-72 record in 2021, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001, when the team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The Rangers and Mariners complete a three-game series tonight in Seattle, with the Mariners having won the first two by scores of 6-2 and 4-2. Texas is now 2-9 to open the season, while Seattle has moved to 7-5.
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04-21-22 | Cardinals v. Marlins -122 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Mia Marlins at 6:40 ET. The Marlins joined the National League in 1993 and entering the COVID-shortened season of 2020, had made the [postseason just TWICE. However, the Marlins would capture the World Series each time, in 1997 over the Indians and in 2003 over the Yankees. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The St Louis Cardinals have a LONG history of winning and have been a playoff team in 15 of the 21 seasons this century (won World Series titles in 2006 and 2011). The Cards and Marlins opened a three-game series in Miami on Tuesday, with St Louis winning the first two by scores of 5-1 and 2-0. The 7-3 Cards go for a series sweep in Miami on Thursday against the 4-7 Marlins with the starting pitchers expected to be Jordan Hicks (1-0, 0.00 ERA and Pablo Lopez (1-0, 0.87 ERA). Like St Louis has done many times before with its pitching staff, the Cards are turning Hicks from reliever to starter. He has made 114 major-league relief appearances but ZERO starts. Hicks has 20 major-league saves and a 3.52 career ERA. He opted out of the 2020 season due to COVID concerns and lasted just 10 innings in 2021 before an elbow injury ended his season in early May. Hicks has pitched twice in relief for a total of four innings in 2022, but StL manager Oliver Marmol feels this is the right time to put him into the rotation. Miami's bats have been stifled by Wainwright (5.2 IP / 5 hits / 1 ER) and Mikolas (5 scoreless innings / 4 hits) but let's see how they fare here against someone making his first major league start. Hicks draws a tough mound opponent in Miami's Lopez, who has grown the previous two seasons. In 31 starts, he's allowed 139 hits in 160 innings with a 174-44 KW ratio and a 3.26 ERA. He's been excellent in his two starts this season, both Miami wins. He's pitched 10.1 innings, allowing just one ER on seven hits with an 8-3 KW ratio. His ERA is 0.87 and his WHIP is 0.97. He's made two career starts against the Cards (Marlins are 0-2) but he's allowed a modest four ERs on seven hits with an 11-3 KW ratio (2.563 ERA and 0.73 WHIP). Miami avoids the home sweep behind the pitching of Lopez. Good luck...Larry |
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04-21-22 | Orioles v. A's -123 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
My 9* Getaway Day of the Week is on the Oak A's at 3:35 ET. The Baltimore Orioles began the 2022 season on a streak of FIVE straight losing campaigns, having lost 100-plus games in THREE of the four full seasons. The Oakland Athletics had a run of three straight playoff appearances in 2021 with an 86-76 record. The teams began a four-game series in Oakland on Monday, with the A's winning the first two (5-1 and 2-1) but the Orioles earned a 1-0 victory on Wednesday. Wednesday's win was Baltimore's first on the road this season (1-5) and one should take note that Baltimore has scored just one run in all THREE games of this series. The Orioles are averaging 2.00 RPG, LAST in all of MLB. The 2022 A's won't remind anyone of the Canseco and McGwire teams but they are averaging 4.62 PPG (ranks 8th). Right-handers Tyler Wells (0-1, 6.35 ERA) of the Orioles and Paul Blackburn (1-0, 1.80 ERA) of the A's are the expected starters. Wells made 44 appearances last season (zero starts), going 2-3 with a 4.11 ERA. He made two starts in 2022, lasting only 5.2 IP with a 6.35 ERA and 1.76 WHIP (Orioles are 0-2). Blackburn has been around since 2017 but entered the current season with a modest 30 appearances (27 starts). He's opened this season with two solid outings, allowing just two ERs over 10 innings (1.80 ERA) with a 10-1 KW ratio (0.90 WHIP). Blackburn won't remind anyone of Dave Stewart but he should have little trouble with this 'punch-less' Orioles team. Good luck...Larry |
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04-20-22 | Rays -110 v. Cubs | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the TB Rays at 7:40 ET. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances (the team has won the AL East in both 2020 and 20210). Meanwhile, here's how one preseason magazine summed up the Cubs' situation heading into 2022. "Highly successful early in the 20th century, followed by 100 years of mediocrity, then a six-year burst of winning and now back into the abyss." The Rays and Cubs play the "rubber match" of their three-game series tonight at Wrigley. The Cubs won 4-2 on Monday but Tampa Bay rebounded to win 6-5 last night. The 6-6 Rays will send Drew Rasmussen (0-1, 5.00 ERA) to the mound, while the 6-5 Cubs counter with Marcus Stroman (0-1, 6.00 ERA). Rasmussen was not credited with the win in his first start of 2022 (Rays beat the Orioles 5-3 back on April 9) but he kept his record perfect at 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA in 11 career starts, extending his run without a loss to the 15th-longest in major-league history. That streak ended last Friday in Chicago, as the White Sox won 3-2. Rasmussen did not pitch all that poorly, allowing three ERs in five innings. This will be his first start vs the Cubs. The Cubs are counting on Stroman this season and he pitched well in his Chicago debut on April 10, allowing just one run on two hits against Milwaukee (took a no-decision in a 5-4 Brewers win). He did NOT fare well last Friday at Coors Field, allowing five ERs in four innings in which he took the loss in a 6-5 Colorado win. Stroman has a lengthy history against the Rays, but it isn't a good one. He's 5-7 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 15 starts (teams are 7-8). A "W" would allow the Rays to finish 3-3 on a trip that started with three games against the White Sox. More importantly, since opening the season on April 8, the Rays have not had a day off. They will get one Thursday and another Monday sandwiched, around a three-game home series against the Boston Red Sox. The Rays are just a better team than the Cubs in every aspect of the game and I say, Cubs Lose! Cubs Lose! Good luck...Larry |
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04-19-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -128 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Sea Mariners at 9:40 ET. The Texas Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973. Seattle finished second in the American League West with a 90-72 record in 2021, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001, when the team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. Texas has opened the current season 2-7 and after a Monday "off day," will open a three-game series Tuesday night in Seattle against the Mariners, who have started 5-5. Texas can score (5.44 RPG ranks 2nd) but its pitching staff owns a MLB-worst 6.19 ERA (starters' ERA is 6.96). Jon Gray (0-0, 6.75 ERA) will take the mound for Texas and Seattle will counter with Robbie Ray (1-1, 4.73 ERA). Gray spent his first seven seasons with Colorado and from 2016-19, reached double digits in wins. However, in 2020 and 2021, he was 10-16 with a 5.03 ERA. Gray signed as a free agent in the offseason and started on Opening Day in Toronto for the Rangers. He retired the side in order in the first three innings but ran into trouble in his fourth and final inning, giving up three runs. He was placed on the 10-day injured list after that game because of a blister on his right middle finger and makes his return here. Seattle signed reigning American League Cy Young Award winner Robbie Ray (13-7 with a 2.84 ERA in 32 starts in 2021) away from the Toronto Blue Jays to a five-year, $115 million contract in the off season. Ray triumphed in his Opening Day start, limiting host Minnesota to one run on three hits in seven innings but he took the loss last Wednesday at Chicago, giving up six runs in 6.1 innings to the White Sox in a game delayed by rain. Looking a little closer, FOUR of those runs came in the second inning during a downpour. "It was a little muddy. It wasn't the greatest conditions," Ray said. "But we're professionals and I'm not wanting to make excuses. After that second inning, I told myself, ‘Get as deep as you can into this ballgame and just don't crush the bullpen. The Mariners pulled within a run before losing 6-4. "Robbie really competed his tail off," Mariners manager Scott Servais said. "He really settled down to give us a chance to get back into the game." I have to like Ray (and Seattle) over Gray (and Texas) in this one! Good luck...Larry |
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04-19-22 | Cardinals -105 v. Marlins | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on the StL Cardinals at 6:40 ET.
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04-17-22 | Astros +100 v. Mariners | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
The 3rd pick of my STP is a 9* on the Hou Astors at 4:10 ET.
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04-17-22 | Giants v. Guardians +115 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
The 2nd play of my STP is a 9* on the Cle Indians at 1:40 ET. The Giants' franchise has been around since the late 1880s and has a rich history. Jumping ahead to this century, the Giants won THREE World Series titles in a five-year span from 2012 through 2014 (won in 2012, 2014 and 2016) but entered the 2021 season off four straight losing years. However, the Giants surprised all by going a MLB-best 107-55 and ending the Dodgers' streak of EIGHT consecutive NL West titles, although they lost 3-2 to the Dodgers in the NLDS. Cleveland began a new era in 2022 (no longer the Indians, now the Guardians). Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021 and looks for a bounce-back season in 2022.
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04-17-22 | Nationals -104 v. Pirates | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
The 1st pick of my STP is a 9* on the Was Nats at 1:35 ET. The Washington Nationals went 65-97 last season (last in the NL East) and the Pittsburgh Pirates finished 61-101, finishing last in the NL Central. The Nats and Pirates conclude a four-game on Sunday, with the Nat looking to salvage a 2-2 split, after Pittsburgh won 6-4 on Saturday (Pirates won 9-4 on Thursday, with the Nats winning 7-2 on Friday). Washington enters 4-6 and Pittsburgh 4-4 (neither are expected to be playoff teams).
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04-16-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers -112 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Month (NL Central) is on the Mil Brewers at 7:10 ET. The Milwaukee Brewers opened the 2022 as favorites to win the NL Central, having made the playoffs in each of the last four years. However, the St Louis Cardinals are not exactly "also-rans," as they've been a playoff team in 15 of the 21 seasons this century (won World Series titles in 2006 and 2011). The Brewers held on to win the NL Central title last season by going 95-67, while the Cards' late season surge gave them a wild card spot at 90-72. The Brewers won 5-1 on Thursday but the Cards pounded out 14 hits in Friday's 10-1 win. St Louis has dealt with some bad weather and are 4-2, while the Brewers check in at 4-4. |
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04-16-22 | Twins v. Red Sox -118 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Bos Red Sox at 4:10 ET. The Red Sox have won four World Series titles since 2004. Boston struggled to a 24-36 record in the 2020 season but surprised most by going 92-70 and reaching the ALCS before closing 4-2 to the Astros. The Twins, who won World Series titles back in 1987 and 1991, entered last season off back-to-back years of winning the AL Central but IMPLODED in 2021, finishing 73-89, 20 games behind the division-winning White Sox! The teams meet tonight in Fenway (second contest of a four-game series) with each looking to get to .500 on the season. The Twins won Friday's series opener 8-4, getting them to 3-4, while the Red Sox fell back to 3-4 with the loss. Sonny Gray (0-0, 3.86 ERA) gets the nod for the Twins, while Tanner Houck (0-0, 8.10 ERA) takes the mound for the Red Sox.
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04-16-22 | Rays +123 v. White Sox | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
My 9* Daytime Dominator is on the TB Rays at 2:10 ET. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances (the team has won the AL East in both 2020 and 20210). The Rays opened the current season 4-3 and starting last night, will be in Chicago for six days, playing the White Sox (Fri-Sun) and the Cubs (Mon-Wed). The White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. Chicago then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games. Chicago opened its season 4-2 and improved to 5-2 with a 3-2 win last night in the first contest of this three-game series with Tampa Bays (Rays fell to 4-4 with the loss). |
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04-15-22 | Astros -123 v. Mariners | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error is on the Hou Astros at 9:42 ET. The Houston Astros remain the team everyone "loves to hate." Houston won the AL West last season with a 95-67 record, capturing the division for the FOURTH time in the last five years. Houston won the 2017 World Series (over the Yankees), lost the 2019 World Series (to the Nats) and then lost it again last season to the Braves. Seattle finished second in the American League West last season with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001, when the team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season.
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04-15-22 | Rays v. White Sox -131 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The 2nd pick of my STP is an 8* on the Chi White Sox at 7:10 ET. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances (the team has won the AL East in both 2020 and 20210). The Rays have opened the current season 4-3 and will visit Chicago over the next six days, playing the White Sox Friday-Sunday and then the Cubs, Monday-Wednesday. The White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. The White Sox then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games. Chicago is 4-2 to open the 2022 season. The starting pitchers for this series opener will be Drew Rasmussen (0-0, 4.50 ERA) of Tampa Bay, opposed by Chicago's Dylan Cease (1-0, 1.80 ERA).
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04-15-22 | Giants v. Guardians +138 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The 3rd pick of my STP is an 8* on the Cle Guardians at 7:10 The Giants' franchise has been around since the late 1880s and has a rich history. Jumping ahead to this century, the Giants won THREE World Series titles in a five-year span from 2012 through 2014 (won in 2012, 2014 and 2016) but entered the 2021 season off four straight losing years. However, the Giants surprised all by going a MLB-best 107-55 and ending the Dodgers' streak of EIGHT consecutive NL West titles, although they lost 3-2 to the Dodgers in the NLDS. Cleveland began a new era in 2022 (no longer the Indians, now the Guardians). Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021 and looks for a bounce-back season in 2022.
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04-15-22 | Nationals +102 v. Pirates | 7-2 | Win | 102 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The 1st pick of my STP is a 9* on the Was Nationals at 6:35 ET. The Washington Nationals went 65-97 last season (last in the NL East) and the Pittsburgh Pirates finished 61-101, finishing last in the NL Central. The Nats are in Pittsburgh for a four-game series which began last night. Both teams had struggled at the plate, with Washington averaging 3.71 RPG (20th) and the Pirates averaging 3.60 (21st). However, I used a free play on the OVER (9), noting that both teams have had pitching struggles, as Washington's team ERA was 5.37 (28th) and Pittsburgh's 4.81 (24th). The Pirates won 9-4, evening their record at 3-3, while the Nats fell to 3-4. Washington will send right-hander Erick Fedde (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the mound, while Pittsburgh will counter with Mitch Keller (0-1, 9.00 ERA).
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04-14-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -112 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the NY Yankees at 7:05 ET. The Blue Jays finished just ONE game behind the Yankees for the AL's second wild-card spot in 2021 and many (most?) think Toronto is "the team to beat'' in the AL East in 2022. The Blue Jays scored 20 runs (had seven HRs) in their season-opening three-game series with the Orioles but failed to complete a 3-0 sweep on Sunday when they blew a 5-run lead in a 12-6 loss. Monday marked the start of a stretch where 20 of the next 23 games would come against the Yankees, Astros and Red Sox, whom the Blue Jays were 22-22 against last season. The Yankees began the season with a three-game home series with the Red Sox, winning 6-5 (11 inn.) on Friday and 4-2 on Saturday, before losing 4-3 in the 2022 debut of Sunday Night baseball.
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04-14-22 | Braves +100 v. Padres | Top | 1-12 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
my 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Atl Braves at 8:10 ET. The Braves entered last season having won THREE straight NL East titles but the Braves were still under .500 (52-55) through Aug 1. However, a 36-18 surge to end the season gave them a FOURTH straight NL East title. The Braves then won just the franchise's second World Series crown since moving to Atlanta in 1966. The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. As the Braves and Padres get set to open a four-game weekend series in San Diego, both teams have reached the midpoint of season-opening schedules that have them playing games on 14 straight days before their first day off. That said, while the 4-3 Padres will be celebrating their home opener, the 3-4 Braves are going on their first road trip. Charlie Morton (1-0, 3.38 ERA) gets the nod for the Braves, while the Padres counter with Joe Musgrove (0-0, 3.00 ERA).
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04-14-22 | Angels -133 v. Rangers | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* Division Dominator (AL West) is on the LA Angels at 8:05 ET. The Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. It seems like even more than two decades to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS).The Angels feature not only Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon but also the defending American League MVP Shohei Ohtani. Trout and Rendon missed most of last season because of injuries, with Trout playing in just 36 games and Rendon in 58. Trout didn't play at all after May 17, while Rendon's last game was July 4. Ohtani hit 46 HRs with 100 RBI (also 26 SBs) plus went 9-2 with a 3.18 ERA, striking out 156 batters in 130.1 IP. The Texas Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017, including the team losing 100-plus games in 2021 (60-102) for the first time since going 57-105 in 1973. The Angels open a four-game series tonight in Arlington at 3-3, while the Rangers have opened 1-4. The starters will be Shohei Ohtani (0-1, 1.93 ERA) and Dane Dunning (0-0, 5.40 ERA). Dunning first full season in the majors was 2021 and he made 27 appearances (25 starts) for Texas last year, going 5-10 with a 4.51 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Dunning's first start of 2021 was decent, as he gave up three runs and five hits in five innings in Toronto, getting a no-decision in a 4-3 Blue Jays victory. Dunning has made three career starts vs the Angels, going 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Ohtani pitched 4.2 innings in the Angels' season-opener, allowing four hits, just one ER and nine Ks! Ohtani has struggled at the plate (,160 BA, without a HR or RBI) but I will back him here on the road, against a team he's gone 3-0 against in four career starts (Angels are 4-0), posting a 2.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Good luck...Larry |
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Larry Ness MLB Money Lines Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-30-22 | Padres +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
05-29-22 | Astros -140 v. Mariners | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
05-29-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -117 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
05-29-22 | Yankees +121 v. Rays | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
05-29-22 | Rockies +105 v. Nationals | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
05-28-22 | Astros -119 v. Mariners | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -119 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
05-28-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -109 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
05-27-22 | Blue Jays -109 v. Angels | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
05-27-22 | Phillies v. Mets -134 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
05-26-22 | Brewers v. Cardinals -115 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves -137 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
05-25-22 | Brewers v. Padres -119 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
05-24-22 | Brewers -129 v. Padres | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
05-23-22 | Phillies -120 v. Braves | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
05-23-22 | Cubs -121 v. Reds | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
05-22-22 | Padres v. Giants -129 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
05-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
05-21-22 | Twins -137 v. Royals | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
05-21-22 | Cardinals v. Pirates +123 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
05-20-22 | Padres v. Giants -107 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
05-20-22 | Braves -117 v. Marlins | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
05-20-22 | Cardinals -142 v. Pirates | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
05-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -126 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
05-19-22 | Diamondbacks +116 v. Cubs | Top | 3-1 | Win | 116 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
05-19-22 | Reds v. Guardians -123 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -123 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
05-18-22 | Astros -136 v. Red Sox | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -136 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
05-17-22 | Braves v. Brewers -110 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
05-17-22 | Mariners +135 v. Blue Jays | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
05-16-22 | Angels -133 v. Rangers | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
05-16-22 | Braves +128 v. Brewers | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
05-16-22 | Astros +107 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
05-15-22 | Guardians v. Twins -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Reds v. Pirates -131 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
05-14-22 | Guardians -125 v. Twins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
05-14-22 | Padres v. Braves -121 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
05-14-22 | Giants v. Cardinals -105 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
05-13-22 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks -120 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
05-13-22 | Padres v. Braves -145 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
05-12-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -136 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -136 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
05-11-22 | Red Sox v. Braves -122 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Rays -107 v. Angels | Top | 0-12 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Astros -131 v. Twins | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Red Sox v. Braves -130 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
05-09-22 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks +108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 108 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners -118 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
05-08-22 | Marlins v. Padres -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
05-08-22 | White Sox v. Red Sox -143 | 3-2 | Loss | -143 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
05-07-22 | Brewers v. Braves -102 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
05-07-22 | Cardinals +135 v. Giants | Top | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
05-06-22 | Rays v. Mariners -125 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
05-05-22 | Rays v. Mariners +121 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
05-05-22 | Nationals v. Rockies -135 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
05-04-22 | Cardinals -135 v. Royals | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
05-03-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -135 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
05-03-22 | Cardinals -108 v. Royals | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
05-03-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -128 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
05-02-22 | Braves -104 v. Mets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
05-02-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +116 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
05-01-22 | Guardians v. A's +107 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
05-01-22 | Angels v. White Sox +110 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
05-01-22 | Astros v. Blue Jays -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
04-30-22 | Braves -108 v. Rangers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
04-30-22 | Mariners -101 v. Marlins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
04-30-22 | Astros v. Blue Jays -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
04-29-22 | Braves -130 v. Rangers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
04-29-22 | Twins v. Rays -129 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
04-29-22 | Red Sox -135 v. Orioles | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
04-28-22 | Guardians +145 v. Angels | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
04-28-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +156 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
04-27-22 | Astros -114 v. Rangers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
04-27-22 | Mariners v. Rays -134 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
04-26-22 | Royals v. White Sox -144 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -144 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
04-25-22 | Guardians +109 v. Angels | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
04-25-22 | Astros -130 v. Rangers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
04-24-22 | Dodgers -140 v. Padres | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
04-24-22 | Rangers v. A's +112 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 112 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
04-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Astros -126 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
04-23-22 | Rangers v. A's -123 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
04-22-22 | White Sox +100 v. Twins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
04-22-22 | Red Sox v. Rays -137 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -137 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
04-22-22 | Brewers +111 v. Phillies | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
04-21-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -125 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
04-21-22 | Cardinals v. Marlins -122 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
04-21-22 | Orioles v. A's -123 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
04-20-22 | Rays -110 v. Cubs | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
04-19-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -128 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
04-19-22 | Cardinals -105 v. Marlins | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
04-17-22 | Astros +100 v. Mariners | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
04-17-22 | Giants v. Guardians +115 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
04-17-22 | Nationals -104 v. Pirates | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
04-16-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers -112 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
04-16-22 | Twins v. Red Sox -118 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
04-16-22 | Rays +123 v. White Sox | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
04-15-22 | Astros -123 v. Mariners | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
04-15-22 | Rays v. White Sox -131 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
04-15-22 | Giants v. Guardians +138 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
04-15-22 | Nationals +102 v. Pirates | 7-2 | Win | 102 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
04-14-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -112 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
04-14-22 | Braves +100 v. Padres | Top | 1-12 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
04-14-22 | Angels -133 v. Rangers | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 44 m | Show |