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02-26-19 |
Canadiens v. Red Wings OVER 6 |
Top |
8-1 |
Win
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102 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
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ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON OVER: Montreal at Detroit, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET
The Canadiens are expected to have Jonathan Drouin back in the lineup tonight. Either way, this is a great spot to expect plenty from Montreal in the offensive zone. The Canadiens are off a tough 2-1 loss at Florida last night as they did manage 35 shots on goal. In fact Montreal has now totaled 110 shots on goal in their last 3 games. That is an average of 37 shots per game and, prior to the low-scoring loss to the Panthers, the Canadiens had scored 3 or more goals in 4 straight games. We are expecting each team to get at least 3 goals tonight and, of course, that would guarantee at least a 4-3 final at worst. Though we expect the Canadiens to score well in this one there are issues likely for them between the pipes. That is because their #1 goalie, Carey Price, was between in the crease last night. That means either Price has to go in the 2nd night of a back to back (which is not easy and rarely occurs) or Antti Niemi will be getting the call. The over is a fantastic 11-4-1 in Niemi's 16 starts this season! He has particularly struggled on the road where he has an .878 save percentage. He is likely to be opposed by the Red Wings Jimmy Howard tonight but he has been dealing with an illness. When Howard has played recently he has struggled. He has a poor .860 save percentage in his last 4 games (3 starts). If Jonathan Bernier gets the call in between the pipes the Detroit netminder has a rough .868 save percentage in his 5 divisional games (4 starts) this season. The over is 3-1 in those 4 starts. The Red Wings have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of their past 7 games. There have been no unders (3-0 and one push) the last 4 times the Canadiens have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Red Wings have a number of trends supporting this play as well. Detroit's over is 11-6-1 when revenging a home loss, 12-6-1 when off a defeat by a multiple goal margin in their prior game, and 11-5-1 this season when entering a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. Bet the OVER in Detroit early Tuesday evening.
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02-25-19 |
Panthers +130 v. Avalanche |
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4-3 |
Win
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130 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
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ASA 9* PLAY ON Florida over Colorado, Monday at 9:05 PM ET
The Panthers were swept by the Avalanche last season. In their first of 2 meetings this season, Colorado also beat them again at Florida. This is a triple revenge spot for the Panthers and the situation is set up perfectly. The Avalanche are off a huge win at Nashville in their most recent game. That sets this one up as a flat spot for the Avs while there is no shortage of motivation for a Florida team beginning a 3-game Western road trip that is critical to their playoff chances. Of course Colorado is fighting for a playoff spot too. However, the Avalanche are off that huge divisional shutout win and actually have lost 6 of their last 8 home games. The Panthers enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. Florida has won 23 of last 35 February games. Colorado has lost 17 of 26 games this season when off a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. Grab the underdog value here. Bet FLORIDA tonight
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02-24-19 |
Flames -1.5 v. Senators |
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2-1 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
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ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Calgary Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Ottawa, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET - The Flames are -250 favorites on the money line. Of course, we're not going there! However, there is great value with Calgary by laying the 1.5 goals on the puck line. That line is a available at a pick'em price and there is plenty of solid support for the expectation of this game being a Flames win by two or more goals. The Flames did win at Ottawa last season but they are also still seeking a measure of revenge for a 6-0 home loss to Ottawa last season. That defeat was one of the worst home ice defeats for Calgary in recent memory. Right now the Flames are surging and have won 4 straight games while the Senators have lost 3 straight games! Not only has Ottawa allowed an average of 5 goals per game in their last 3 games, they've lost their last two games by a combined score of 7-0. If you expect the Flames to win this game (as you well should as a -250 favorite) you can also reasonably expect them to win by a multiple goal margin. A solid 24 of Calgary's 38 wins this season have come by a margin of 2 or more goals. As for the slumping Senators - playing out the string on another disappointing season - 25 of their last 38 losses have come by a multiple goal margin. This revenge game has road rout written all over it. By the way, the Flames are 10-2 in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. It is payback time here. Laying the 1.5 goals for a small price with Calgary is the value play here.
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02-23-19 |
Penguins v. Flyers +120 |
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3-4 |
Win
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120 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
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ASA 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia Flyers over Pittsburgh Penguins, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET
Hopefully the rain showers will stay away (yes this is an outdoor game played at The Linc in Philly). We like the Flyers as a home dog here. Will be a crazy atmosphere as there is no one player (Sidney Crosby) or team (Penguins) that the Philly fans would rather jeer. There is real hatred in this rivalry and the Flyers "owe one" to the Pens for sure. Philadelphia has playoff revenge from April and the Flyers did win the first match-up (4-2) this season at Pittsburgh. However, earlier this month the Flyers lost at home despite a 51 to 28 edge in shots on goal! Now, in Saturday's Stadium Series outdoor game, it is payback time for the home dog. The Penguins have lost 6 of their last 9 games. The Flyers are off back to back losses but had previously won 12 of 14 games. Pittsburgh has lost 11 of 17 Saturday games this season. Bet PHILADELPHIA tonight
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02-22-19 |
Avalanche -109 v. Blackhawks |
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5-3 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
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ASA 9* PLAY ON Colorado Avalanche over Chicago Blackhawks, Friday at 7:35 PM ET
Colorado has won 3 of its last 4 games and allowed a total of only 5 goals in these 4 games. While Chicago has also been hot long-term, they have cooled off some recently. Not only are the Blackhawks a modest 3-2 in their last 5 games, they have allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game in their past 5 games. Defense and goaltending are key factors this time of year in the NHL as teams make their push for a playoff spot. That said, this is a huge edge for the Avalanche in this match-up. Colorado has allowed the same amount of goals TOTAL in their last 4 games that Chicago has allowed AVERAGE in their last 5 games. That is a massive difference right there and as far as home ice being a factor here, the home edge has not been a big edge in recent meetings. The Blackhawks have won each of their last two visits to Colorado and the Avalanche won their most recent visit to Chicago. We are forecasting the recent road dominance in this series to continue tonight. The Blackhawks have lost 21 of 33 this season when off a game where they allowed 4 or more goals. Bet COLORADO tonight
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02-21-19 |
Wild +103 v. Rangers |
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4-1 |
Win
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103 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
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ASA 9* PLAY ON Minnesota over New York Rangers, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
The Wild have been struggling and actually needed a change of venue. When you have lost 4 straight on home ice, as a team, you look forward to getting on the road and hitting the "reset button" and that is precisely what Minnesota. The Wild are still very much alive in the playoff race in the Western Conference and, on Thursday, they'll take advantage of facing one of the weakest teams in the league. Prior to the 4-0 home loss to Anaheim, Minnesota had been 7-2 this season when they entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games where the most recent defeat came by a multiple goal margin. Now after losing in that situation to the Ducks, the Wild will improve on that 7-3 mark on the season by getting back on track at New York, The Rangers, since their very first game after the All Star break, have gone 0-5 when off a win. After knocking off the Hurricanes at Carolina on Tuesday, look for the Rangers to now drop their 6th straight when in this situation. Bet MINNESOTA tonight
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