Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-14-20 | Bruins -138 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
8* Boston (7:05 ET): Essentially, the Bruins have spent the balance of the year in first place in the Atlantic Division. They’ve got 66 points, one less than Washington and St. Louis, who have the most in the league and their goal differential of +34 is a league best. But with reigning President’s Trophy winners Tampa Bay hot on their heels, they cannot afford any kind of letdown. They’d won three in a row before last night’s loss, which came in a shootout, at Philadelphia. But goal scoring certainly hasn’t been an issue with 19 in the past four games. Columbus is sixth in the Metro, not exactly an ideal place to be. Last night’s loss by the Bruins actually hurt the Blue Jackets as it allowed the Flyers to go up two points on them for what would be the final Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference. The Blue Jackets are coming off a 3-1 road trip that ended with a 3-0 shutout of Vegas. But this club isn’t anything more than mediocre in my eyes. They’ve given up three more goals than they’ve scored themselves this year. A win here would give Boston the most points in the league. But what’s crazy is that they should have even more points, if not for some poor luck. Last night’s loss dropped them to 0-7 in shootouts and their 12 losses beyond regulation are - by far - a league high. The way that last night’s game ended was very painful. It was a game they led 5-2 in the second period and “should have” won. They get it done here. 8* Boston |
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01-13-20 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -133 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
9* Washington (7:05 ET): The way things are going now, this could end up as a 1st round playoff matchup. That’s something the first place Capitals may want to avoid as the fourth place Hurricanes come in on a three-game win streak and off B2B shutouts. Lucky for the Caps, the playoffs are still three months away. But they’ve lost two in a row, the last one being a 5-1 shocker at the hands of last place New Jersey. I’m banking on the home team being motivated tonight. Another reason the Caps would want to avoid the Canes as a potential 1st round playoff opponent is that they’ve already lost twice to them this season. But they also won in Carolina last week. Interestingly enough, they were also coming off B2B losses going into that game. Even after being held to just three goals total in the last two games, Washington still ranks 3rd in the league in goals scored this year and averages 3.5 per game. While Carolina has won three straight and five of seven, every win has been at home. In fact, they haven’t even played a road game since December 27th. Their last road win was December 19th in Colorado. With the last seven games all being played on home ice, I’m not the least bit surprised the Hurricanes come into tonight streaking in a positive direction. But can that be sustained on the road against one of the league’s top teams? Not likely! 9* Washington |
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01-12-20 | Penguins v. Coyotes -110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
10* Arizona (6:05 ET): You can’t win if you don’t score. That adage applies to any sport and in the case of the NHL’s Coyotes, they’ve now been shut out in B2B games. It was a 4-0 loss to Tampa Bay, followed by a 3-0 loss to Carolina. Tonight the ‘Yotes will face another team from the Metro, but there’s a major difference in that this one is at home. Both shutout losses were on the road. Pittsburgh being the team that’s coming into visit tonight seems a bit scary, but this will be the Penguins third straight road game. Prior to being outscored 7-0 in its last two games, Arizona had no problems scoring. In fact, they were on a four-game win streak that produced 18 goals. Three of the wins came here on home ice, one of which was against reigning Stanley Cup Champion St. Louis. So the Coyotes have shown they can beat the “big boys.” As good as Pittsburgh has looked recently, the last three wins have all been by one goal and two of those required overtime. The Pens have been outshot over their last five games. Home ice advantage should be the difference in this one. Arizona getting blanked in B2B games happened at the end of a road trip, on consecutive nights no less. Pittsburgh now finds itself at the end of a road trip. Arizona has watched as an inferior Calgary team has passed them for 1st place in the Pacific, so expect them to come out very motivated. There are rumblings of a Sidney Crosby return for the Penguins coming soon, possibly as early as tonight, but it’ll take some time for him to be a factor on the ice. 10* Arizona |
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01-11-20 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
9* Chicago (8:35 ET): I played against the Blackhawks their last time out as they lost 5-2 to Nashville. Falling behind 3-0 in the first period was a killer for them, though they were able to climb back to within a goal in the third. But allowing Predators goalie Pekka Rinne to score an empty-net goal was the nail in the coffin as Chicago lost for the third time in its last four games and second straight at home. But Saturday I’m throwing my support behind them as they should pick up two points. Why the sudden change? Well, it helps that they’re hosting Anaheim, a team that just isn’t very good. The Ducks are in last place in the Western Conference with only 39 points. They’ve lost five of six and just got shutout, at home, 3-0 by Dallas. Lack of scoring has been a long-term issue. Aside from a recent 5-4 win (over Nashville ironically), the Ducks have scored two goals or less in seven of their last eight games. Overall, they are the second lowest scoring team in the sport, ahead of only lowly Detroit. The other end of the ice hasn’t been that kind either. The Ducks are giving up 3.6 goals per game on the road and 4.0 gpg the L5 overall. So look for a Chicago team that has found the back of the net pretty regularly over the last month to continue to do so tonight. I can’t see a third straight loss at home. Chicago won in overtime at Anaheim back in November. The Ducks’ lone All-Star, Jakob Silfverberg, has missed the last game and could be out again. 9* Chicago |
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01-10-20 | Senators v. Red Wings +100 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
10* Detroit (7:35 ET): Honestly, this might be the only time all year I take the Red Wings. They are at home and playing who I have ranked as the second worst team in the league (Detroit is obviously the worst). The opponent is Ottawa, a club that is 0-5 its last five games. While the Red Wings have been really bad this year, you can’t deny they’ve been playing better lately. They’ve won twice in the last four games including 4-3 over Montreal on Tuesday. The Senators have had major issues defensively during the current losing streak. They’ve allowed a total of 26 goals in the L5 games, giving up at least four every time out. Their most recent game, which was Tuesday, was the most lopsided of the bunch. They lost 6-1 at Washington, which hardly qualifies as a surprise as the Sens entered the game as +250 underdogs on the money line. Still though, it’s virtually impossible to want to take this team right now considering how they’ve been playing. The win over Montreal on Tuesday marked the third time this season the Red Wings have beaten the Habs. They have just 11 wins overall. An 0-2 record vs. Ottawa is what they are out to avenge tonight and I like their chances as both of the Red Wings’ recent victories were here on home ice. Ottawa’s last road win came all the way back on December 4th! They are just 5-15-3 SU on the road this year and giving up 3.9 goals per game. 10* Detroit |
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01-09-20 | Predators -134 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Nashville (8:35 ET): The Predators became the latest NHL team to make a coaching change as they fired Peter Laviolette on Monday and replaced him with John Hynes. Unfortunately the team was unable to win Hynes' debut, but that game was against the Bruins, one of the best teams in the league. I thought the Preds competed well in that game and tonight they should turn things around against Chicago, a last place team that has been beseiged by injuries all season long. The Blackhawks are the only team currently below Nashville in the Central Division standings. They had a chance to pass them Tuesday, but they too lost, 2-1 at home to Calgary. That performance came on the heels of a five game stretch where the club tallied four or more goals four separate times. But that's not something I expect to continue as Chicago ranks towards the bottom of the league, averaging just 2.9 goals per game. While these teams have split a pair of meetings in Nashville this year, those games have seen the Predators outshoot the Blackhawks 92-44! Coaching changes typically lead to short-term improvement and that's what I expect from the Preds, who have a better YTD goal differential than Chicago. Scoring is not a problem for Nashville, even on the road as they average 3.6 goals per game. That's the second highest average in the league for road games. 10* Nashville |
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01-09-20 | Canucks v. Panthers -143 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
8* Florida (7:05 ET): Vancouver's season-best seven-game win streak came to an ugly end on Tuesday as they were clobbered 9-2 by Tampa Bay. While that was just "one game," it's also the start of what will be a five-game road-trip for the Canucks and this team has simply not played well away from home all season. The disturbing trend sees them allowing 3.5 goals per game while seeing their own scoring average dip to 2.9 gpg. Only one of those seven straight victories came on the road and I don't see them winning tonight in Miami. Florida could really use a win as it looks like they may be relegated to nothing more than a Wild Card team at best. Currently, they are three points out of the top eight in the Eastern Conference. They are 4th in the Atlantic with 49 points, but they just don't compare favorably to any of the top three teams (Boston, Tampa Bay, Toronto). They'll host the Maple Leafs on Sunday, but before that they'll need to bounce back from a 5-2 loss here at home to Arizona their last time out. The good news is the Panthers are 13-8 SU this season after allowing 4+ goals. This play boils down to the simple concept of home ice advantage. I already touched upon Vancouver's road woes this season. Well, Florida sees its scoring average rise to 3.7 gpg here at home, which is 4th most in the league. The Canucks' goal differential on the road, not surprisingly, is bottom 10 in the league. There have been six instances this NHL season of a team scoring six goals in a period. Two of those have come against Vancouver, both of them road games! This is also a revenge game for the Panthers, who lost 7-2 up in Vancouver in October. Again, it'll be a much different story with the home ice flipped. 8* Florida |
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01-07-20 | Canadiens -160 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
7* Montreal (7:35 ET): Boy does Montreal have its back against the wall here. Last night, they suffered their sixth consecutive loss, the fifth of which was by one goal. It was 3-2 at home vs. Winnipeg, a game where I unfortunately backed the Habs. The difference ended up being a short-handed goal they allowed in the 2nd period. As bleak as things may look now, tonight they are facing the worst team in the league and this should be the spot they get back on track. Then again, it is a double revenge game for the Habs. They have shockingly lost twice to Detroit this year, something that cannot happen given the Red Wings have all of 10 wins all season. Both games were in Montreal too. Curiously though, the Canadiens have been a slightly better team on the road this year. They are averaging 3.5 goals per game. They've also won four straight times here in Detroit. No matter what way you look at it, it's been a trying season in the Motor City as the Red Wings are the worst team in the league by just about every metric. They've lost eight of nine coming into tonight, the lone win coming New Year's Eve against San Jose. They've scored just six goals the last four games while giving up 4 in each of the last two. They are a horrendous 3-23 SU this season after allowing 4+ goals the previous game. 7* Montreal |
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01-06-20 | Jets v. Canadiens -141 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -141 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* Montreal (7:05 ET): As the Habs are set to play their third straight home game, they need this one badly. They've dropped five in a row overall, four of them by one goal, and are coming off an overtime loss here to the Penguins on Saturday. A slew of injuries have definitely been a factor, but help is on the way as defenseman Marco Scandella (a Quebec native) has arrived via trade. The Canadiens are currently six points back of the Wild Card, so winning here is a must. I think they will. Over in the Western Conference, Winnipeg finds itself on the playoff fringe. They are one point back of the Wild Card, so this game is rather meaningful to them despite all the hockey that's still left to be played. But like the Canadiens, the Jets aren't exactly tearing it up lately. They've lost B2B games as well as 7 of 9. They too lost 3-2 in OT Saturday, falling at Minnesota. Though the game did got to overtime, the Jets were outshot badly in the contest, 44-21. It certainly seems as if Montreal "should" have a better home record than 8-9-4 SU. After all, they've outshot the competition here by a pretty considerable margin (36.9 SF per game vs. 29.2 SA). My view is that both the shooting percentage and save percentage have to start improving moving forward. Meanwhile, Winnipeg seems pretty lucky to have a 12-7-2 SU road record as they are giving up 35.0 shots per game, a high number. Their only two goals scored Saturday came via the power play. Habs step up big in a "must win" spot. 10* Montreal |
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01-06-20 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs -208 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -208 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
6* Toronto (7:05 ET): Edmonton just won as a big ML underdog in Boston Saturday night, pulling a somewhat shocking 4-1 upset at +190. I can't see them doing it twice in a row, not with this being their third road game in five nights plus they're up against a red hot Toronto club. The Maple Leafs are 9-0-1 SU L10 games, a run which has really solidified them in the Atlantic Division. They have completely dominated the Oilers through the years, winning five straight including 4-1 in Edmonton last month. They have won 16 of the past 20 head to head meetings here at home. The Oilers' season started strong, but I felt it was a bit of a mirage and sure enough they now find themselves on the fringes of playoff contention. There were a lot of come from behind victories in that strong start. Further evidence of that would be the fact they currently rank just 28th in Corsi For % (4th worst). They did not win B2B games once in December. The last time they did was right before Thanksgiving. Boston outshot them 36-26 on Saturday. As mentioned above, Toronto is trending in a very different direction lately. As it often does, a coaching change provided the necessary "spark" as the Leafs are 15-4-1 SU since Sheldon Keefe took over behind the bench. They are typically scoring first in games (15 of 20 games under Keefe) and speaking of scoring, a 3-0 win over the Islanders on Saturday was the first time in the L10 games they DIDN'T score at least four goals. That was just the second shutout win of the year, but they are 13-5 SU off a win by 2+ goals. 6* Toronto |
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01-04-20 | Sharks v. Blue Jackets -138 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -138 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
10* Columbus (1:05 ET): Both teams here are having disappointing seasons, but San Jose's situation is the one that seems more dire. The Sharks only recently escaped the basement in the Western Conference. They did so by going into Pittsburgh and shocking the Penguins with a 3-2 overtime victory. But even after pulling that upset, the Sharks still have just 39 points and they've been outscored by 29 goals, the worst differential in the entire conference. I don't see them pulling two upsets in a row. Columbus may not measure up to the top four teams in the Metro, but with 46 points they are only three back of the Wild Card. It's a two-game win streak for the Blue Jackets coming into Saturday's matinee as they defeated Florida here at home (4-1), then pulled an overtime shocker of their own Thursday, winning 2-1 as +190 ML dogs in Boston. The Blue Jackets are a pretty strong defensive club as they give up only 2.4 goals per game here at home. Meanwhile, San Jose is allowing 3.33 goals per game, placing them among the five worst defensive teams in the league. It's not just defense though. The offensive numbers on the road are pretty dire as they average only 2.26 gpg, which is ahead of only last place teams New Jersey and Detroit. Before the shocker in Pittsburgh, the Sharks had lost 11 of 12, all but two of those losses coming in regulation. They have not won B2B games since November. C-Bus is 8-0-4 its L12 games, the longest active point streak in the league. 10* Columbus |
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01-02-20 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10* Over Sharks/Penguins (7:05 ET): Pittsburgh just lost its leading scorer Jake Guentzel for the rest of the regular season. But following three straight wins where they tallied 16 goals, I think we can probably count on them scoring a good number of goals tonight. They are averaging 3.5 per game at home and there's no reason to believe that won't continue as they get off plenty of shots as well. Not all the scoring came from Guentzel. Despite injuries, this remains one of the top teams in the league. San Jose is having a down year. They went 2-9-2 in December, fired their head coach and now reside in last place in the Western Conference with just 37 points. Scoring has been difficult for the Sharks as they have scored two or less goals in five of the last six games. They come in averaging only 2.2 per game on the road and were just shut out by an awful Detroit club on New Year's Eve. While this matchup certainly looks lopsided on paper, I think it could be more competitive than you may think. San Jose did score six times in a home win over Philadelphia last week. The key here is them scoring 2-3 goals, which I think they can do. While the Guentzel injury is obviously big for Pittsburgh, this is a team that has scored at least four goals in six of its last seven games. There's plenty of remaining firepower. 10* Over Sharks/Penguins |
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12-31-19 | Blackhawks v. Flames -183 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -183 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
8* Calgary (9:05 ET): The Flames will be our last bet of 2019 as they look to avoid what would be a fifth straight loss at home. Fortunately, they are facing a team they've gone a perfect 6-0 against the L2 seasons. We played Calgary last time out and they really let us down in a 5-2 loss here at home to Vancouver. The Canucks were playing the second night of a back to back, yet they came out looking like the fresher team in taking a 3-0 first period lead. I can't see anything but a very motivated Calgary team getting two points tonight. Despite just getting hit wish a rash of injuries, Chicago has somehow posted B2B wins as an underdog. Five players are either on IR or out for the season, including Brent Seabrook, Brandon Saad and Calvin de Haan. Eventually that will catch up with the Blackhawks. Tonight seems like a logical spot for them to lose. This team is giving up a ton of shots per game (37.3 on the road!). Given all of the above, them winning a fifth straight time as an underdog just seems illogical. Calgary not only won the Pacific Division LY, they also finished first in the Western Conference. But like the top seed in the Eastern Conference (Tampa Bay), they got upset in the first round of the playoffs. I figured they'd regress some this season, but being in 4th place in the division and on the fringe of the playoffs is disappointing. Good news is they can still change that. This should be a bounce back game. 8* Calgary |
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12-31-19 | Jets v. Avalanche -201 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -201 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
8* Colorado (8:05 ET): It was just a few seasons ago that the Avalanche had one of the worst regular seasons in NHL history, finishing with just 48 points. How far they've come since 2016-17. Following B2B 90+ point campaigns, they already have 50 points entering New Year's Eve when they'll host division rival Winnipeg. But despite this great start, the Avs do come into the final day of 2019 on a two-game losing streak. I think they end it tonight on home ice. Winnipeg isn't exactly playing well either. They've dropped three straight and five out of their last six. They've allowed at least four goals in each of those five losses. A home and home w/ the defending Stanley Cup Champion Blues didn't go well. After losing 5-4 at home in overtime, they were beaten 4-1 Sunday in St. Louis. Colorado has lost three consecutive home games, something that has to be on the players' minds entering tonight. In their last home game, they lost as a -210 favorite to the Wild. Can't see them dropping another one in a similar price range. One of the reasons I'm so confident in the Avs' fortunes is their +28 YTD goal differential, which is the best in the Western Conference. While the power play has recently struggled to convert, this looks like a spot where that could change as the Jets' penalty killing has been atrocious (just 50% last 7 games). 8* Colorado |
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12-31-19 | Lightning -170 v. Sabres | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
8* Tampa Bay (7:05 ET): I'm on the record as saying the Lightning are going to make a move in the Atlantic Division. With a three-game win streak, they're already up to 4th place and they have the second best YTD goal differential in the division at +15. Getting into the top three in the division is critical because you get a guaranteed playoff spot. It's very likely that both Wild Cards in the Eastern Conference are going to go to the much deeper Metropolitan Division. Remember that the Lightning won a NHL record 62 games in LY's regular season. A stunning first round playoff exit took all the shine off that season, but this is a dangerous club that still deserves to be mentioned among the league's elite. As for tonight's opponent, Buffalo, we are again witnessing a quick decline after what was a strong start to the season. The Sabres started 8-1-1 but are just 9-15-6 since. That's a .333 win percentage. Last year was a similar type deal with a 17-6-2 record going into Thanksgiving only for them to miss the playoffs. The Sabres just got swept in a home and home by first place Boston. No shame in that I suppose, but before that they were beaten by the lowly Senators. Overall, Buffalo has won just once in its past seven games. They've been outscored 25-12. All three games in Tampa Bay's win streak were at home where they average almost 4.0 goals per game. But I have faith that they can get the job done on the road as they outscored those L3 opponents 13-6. They are already 3-0 vs. the Sabres this season and have beaten them six straight times overall. 8* Tampa Bay |
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12-29-19 | Canucks v. Flames -175 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
7* Calgary (9:35 ET): The Pacific is the most wide open division in the NHL with several teams already having spent time at the top. Right now it's Vegas in first place, but you've got four teams within four points of them. Two of those four meet here. Vancouver has won four in a row, all at home, as they're looking good again. But right ahead of them is Calgary, who is off a very impressive 5-1 win at rival Edmonton Friday night. The money line "tells the story" here and I'm backing the Flames. Part of the reason that the Canucks find themselves as such a prohibitive underdog for this matchup is the fact they just played last night. They outlasted the Kings, 3-2. Though they never trailed and even had a 2-0 lead after one period, it must be pointed out that Vancouver was outshot in the game 51-26. It took a "herculean" effort from goaltender Jacob Markstrom, who made a career-high 49 saves in the win. But on the road this club is giving up 3.3 goals per game. Though they're off a big win over their rival, don't expect the Flames to take this game lightly. Their previous homestand ended with three consecutive losses, so that's a streak they're certainly interested in ending. There's been only one prior meeting between these division rivals this season. It was here in Calgary and the Flames pulled off 3-0 shutout. They may not have to deal with Markstrom tonight with this being a B2B for the Canucks. 7* Calgary |
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12-28-19 | Canadiens v. Lightning -180 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
6* Tampa Bay (7:05 ET): I mentioned this in the analysis the last time I played the Lightning, but this team appears to be the proverbial "sleeping giant." That last play came Monday when Tampa Bay hosted Florida. It ended up being a convincing 6-1 victory right here at Amalie Arena. That was the first of what will be six consecutive games vs. Atlantic Division opponents and the Lightning took full advantage of the four power play opportunities they were afforded, scoring three times when having the man advantage. Part of the reason I feel the Lightning are a "sleeping giant" should be obvious. This club set a NHL record for regular season wins just last year (62). So you know what we're dealing with. The fact they are languishing in sixth place in the Atlantic is downright shocking, but keep in mind they also have a +13 YTD goal differential, which is better than every other team in the division besides first place Boston. I still consider TB one of the top teams in the entire Eastern Conference, especially at home where they average an impressive 3.9 goals per game. Montreal is the next division opponent Tampa will face. The Habs are currently third in the Atlantic, but only two points ahead of the Lightning. So TB's current standing in the division is a real thin line. Two points tonight could elevate them into a third place tie. Montreal is off a 6-2 win at Winnipeg Monday night, but is just 4-11 SU this year after a game in which it tallied 4+ goals. This is also their fifth straight road game after playing four straight in Western Canada. The Canadiens have lost 7 of 9 matchups to the Lightning the L3 seasons including all four on the road. 6* Tampa Bay |
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12-27-19 | Wild v. Avalanche -175 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
7* Colorado (8:05 ET): The Avalanche have a legit claim to call themselves the best team in the Western Conference. While they are five points back of the defending Stanley Cup Champion Blues, whom they've struggled against head to head, no other team in the West has more points than the Avs' 49. What sets Colorado apart though is their YTD goal differential of +31. It's easily the best in the West w/ St. Louis (+19) #2. I think it'll be an easy two points for the home team in Denver tonight. While Colorado is in second place in the Central Division, Minnesota is second from the bottom. The Wild can be a formidable club at home where their record is 10-2-3 SU. But on the road, they are just 8-13-2 SU. Those 13 regulation losses are tied for most in the league coming into tonight. Look no further than the last two games for evidence of the Wild's inconsistency. While they shut out Calgary 3-0 on Monday, that came on the heels of a 6-0 loss to Winnipeg. Both games were at home. The Avalanche won their last game 7-3 against Vegas and that was on the road. They should be motivated coming into tonight as prior to beating the Golden Knights, they'd dropped B2B home games. Making the Avs' season all the more impressive is that they've had to deal with lots of injuries. But they are pretty healthy now and should overwhelm an opponent giving up 3.7 goals per game on the road. The Avs average 3.7 gpg at home. 7* Colorado |
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12-23-19 | Panthers v. Lightning -174 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
7* Tampa Bay (7:05 ET): One of things I find to be most perplexing this NHL season has been the failure of the Lightning to ascend in the Atlantic Division. After all, this was a club that set a record last year with 62 regular season wins. We all remember their unceremonious 1st round exit at the hands of Columbus though and perhaps that's had a "carryover effect" because right now TB is only sixth in the division with just 38 points. But, even after B2B losses (to the Stars & Capitals), I'm not about to "give up" on this team. Look for them to get two points tonight in this all-Sunshine State matchup. Florida is one of the teams currently ahead of the Lightning in the Atlantic. They've won three straight and have 41 points. The offense is humming right now with 17 goals scored during the win streak. However, let's not get tricked by a small sample size. Prior to this win streak, the Panthers had lost 7 of 10. While they do rank near the top of the league in goals scored for the year, this team also isn't shy about giving up its fair share as well. In 15 road games, the Panthers have been outscored due to giving up an average of 3.53 goals per game. Only eight teams are allowing more goals per game on the road. Tampa Bay has no problem scoring at home. In fact, they lead the league in that department with an average of 3.83 goals per game. These B2B losses that they've suffered are some real "head-scratchers" as they outshot Dallas 48-20 (lost in OT) and then were 0 for 7 on the power play against Washington, which included a 2-man advantage in the third period when the game was tied. (Lightning lead the league on the PP). Florida needed 42 saves from backup goalie Driedger to beat Carolina its last time out. Last time these teams played was two weeks ago and TB won a low-scoring game (2-1) in Miami. It was their eighth time beating the Panthers in the last nine tries. 7* Tampa Bay |
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12-21-19 | Devils v. Blue Jackets -180 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
6* Columbus (7:05 ET): Already dealing with a long list of injuries, the last thing the Blue Jackets needed was to see Cam Atkinson go down with a lower-body injury on Thursday. Atkinson set career highs in goals, assists and points last season. He's out for at least the next two games. But while the Columbus injury report may be a bit longer than normal, the team is being given some relief Saturday with a visit from last place New Jersey. Not only are the Devils second to last in the league in points, this is a horrendous spot for them having played in Washington last night (lost 6-3). The Devils were tied 2-2 for most of the second period last night, but then came a four-goal blitz by the Capitals that put the game out of reach. Having recently traded Taylor Hall, morale is low in New Jersey even though they'd won two in a row prior to last night's setback. The team still has just 27 points and has been outscored by 39 goals. Only Detroit is worse in both regards. Columbus has won three games in a row, the last two coming against last place teams Detroit and Los Angeles. So this should be "old hat" for them. Also it should be noted that the win streak began w/ a very impressive 3-0 shutout of the Capitals. Prior to that, Washington hadn't been shutout this season. This is arguably the best stretch C-bus has had all season and I see it continuing at the expense of a very bad team playing in a bad spot. The Blue Jackets are 7-1 vs. the Devils over the last three seasons. 6* Columbus |
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12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
10* Under Stars/Panthers (7:05 ET): Dallas played last night and pulled off a surprise OT win in Tampa Bay by a score of 4-3. Outscoring the Lightning in TB isn't easy, especially when you're facing a 48-20 disadvantage in shots like the Stars did. Somehow they were able to overcome that disadvantage and basically all the credit goes to goalie Anton Khudobin, who made 45 saves. Maybe that shouldn't come as too big a shock as the Stars have the lowest goals allowed per game average in the league entering Friday (2.31). Tonight they are in Miami to face the Panthers. Florida put up six goals in their last game, an easy win over a lousy Ottawa club. It obviously won't be that easy tonight against the stingy Stars. Note in the three games prior to the win over the Senators, the Panthers totaled just four goals. All those were at home as well. Florida has been one of the league's highest scoring teams thus far, averaging 3.39 per game, which ranks 5th. But the Under is 4-1-2 in December for them, a sign that things may be about to change. Dallas had gone Under in five straight prior to last night. They were obviously pretty fortunate to score four goals on only 20 shots. Note they were down 3-2 going into the final five minutes of regulation, meaning it was very close to a sixth straight Under. They'll likely go w/ Ben Bishop in goal tonight (.950 save percentage L4 starts) while Sergei Bobrovsky is likely to be in between the pipes for the Panthers. Bobrovsky has a 1.69 GAA and .953 save percentage in December. 10* Under Stars/Panthers |
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12-19-19 | Islanders v. Bruins -180 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
7* Boston (7:05 ET): I was stunned as to how poorly the Islanders played Tuesday night (I had them). They lost 8-3 at home to the Predators by giving up the game's final seven goals. The Isles entered that game 13-2-1 SU at home. An equally stunning result that night was Boston losing on home ice to Los Angeles. The Bruins were -275 on the ML for the contest as they fell for the sixth time in the last seven games. Somebody's gotta bounce back here and I believe it's going to be the Bruins. While the Islanders are a worthy adversary, you have to remember it wasn't that long ago that it seemed as if Boston might run away with the President's Trophy (awarded to team w/ most regular season points). They still comfortably lead the Atlantic Division - with a 10-point advantage - and their +28 goal differential is tops in the Eastern Conference. Six of their seven home losses this year, including the one to LA on Tuesday, have come past regulation. It's hard to fathom a team this good being in this kind of prolonged slump. It's only a matter of time before they break out. The Islanders' loss Tuesday was their worst of the year and the eight goals allowed were obviously a season-high (previously had not allowed more than 5 in any game). They still lead the league in goals allowed (80), though Boston (90) isn't far behind and has played three more games. Head to head, the Bruins have had the Isles' number in recent years, winning 12 of the last 14 matchups including seven straight. NY isn't nearly as good on the road as their scoring average drops to 2.6 goals per game. They are 5-14 SU after giving up 5+ goals the previous game. 7* Boston |
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12-17-19 | Predators v. Islanders -139 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
8* NY Islanders (7:05 ET): Terrible spot for the Predators tonight as they played last night at MSG (did beat the Rangers 5-2) and are up against an Islanders team that has been tremendous at home so far, especially on the goals allowed side of the ledger. Not only that, the Isles have won three in a row overall (two of the wins on the road). They've got some revenge on the mind too after losing both games to Nashville last season. The Islanders are 6-1 when playing w/ exactly two days rest. New York is currently second in the Metropolitan, trailing only Washington. They are 13-2-1 SU at home this season. No team has given up fewer goals and it's really not even close as the next closest team has given up 12 more. They allow just 2.3 gpg and lately they've been even stingier, giving up just 1.8 gpg the last five contests. A 3-2 OT win over the Sabres on Saturday extended the Islanders' home win streak to six games. Consider that despite having played the fewest games in the league, the Islanders have the 7th most points. Nashville has had and up and down season to this point and currently sits in sixth place in the Central Division. They would not be in the playoffs were they to start today. The Preds are giving up 3.4 goals per game on the road, putting themselves at a big disadvantage here as the Isles are 4th in the league in goals allowed at home while that average has Nashville near the bottom on the road. Really, the Islanders couldn't ask for a better situation to pick up two points. Nashville lost the only other time this year it was in a back to back. 8* NY Islanders |
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12-16-19 | Avalanche +104 v. Blues | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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12-15-19 | Flyers v. Jets -145 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
10* Winnipeg (5:05 ET): The Flyers are one of the league's most improved teams this year, but all of a sudden they've dropped three of four, which has them in the precarious fifth position in the Metro. Improved goaltending has been a big key for Allan Vigneault's team (remember the Flyers infamously used SEVEN different goaltenders last season), but numbers on the road remain suspect. Tonight the Flyers are in Winnipeg where they'll encounter an angry Jets team. Winnipeg is off an embarrassing defeat as they lost to the league's worst team (Detroit) on Thursday. They had just beaten the Red Wings 5-1 here on home ice two days prior, so not being able to sweep them was definitely a shock. Now the Wings did win again last night. But before that they'd lost 12 in a row including 10 straight in regulation. My guess is the Jets are going to come out angry this afternoon. Before losing in Detroit, they had gone 6-1-1 the previous eight games. This is not a good spot for Philadelphia as they played last night in Minnesota (lost 4-1). While there's no shame in losing on the road, last night's result does unscore an issue w/ this Flyers club, that being they are simply not a very good road team. They are 7-8-1 (compared to 10-2-4 at home) and giving up 3.3 goals per game. Winnipeg has had two days off to stew over the Detroit loss where a number of "fluke plays" went against them. The Flyers had just 18 shots on goal last night and lost two forwards to injury. 10* Winnipeg |
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12-13-19 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* Over Devils/Avalanche (9:05 ET): Colorado is a team I've been wanting to speak on for awhile now. I just haven't had the right opportunity. Winners of seven of their last eight games (beat a good Flyers team 3-1 Wednesday night), the Avs now have - by far - the best goal differential in the Western Conference. It's at +29, more than double what any other team in the West has. In fact, it's the best goal differential in the entire league right now. Judging by the line, it should be another easy win this evening as New Jersey comes to town. The Devils have the second fewest number of points in the entire league right now, ahead of only hideous Detroit. It's a six-game losing streak for NJ, who has been outscored by 37 goals in 30 games. Only two teams - the Red Wings and Sharks - have allowed more goals this year. So, with their top line back intact, you have to think the Avs are salivating a bit at the notion of how often they should be lighting the lamp tonight. In the L8 games alone, Colorado has scored 33 times. The only team in the league w/ more goals on the season is Washington. They average 4.0 per game at home and are getting a lot of shots to boot. On the flip side, New Jersey gives up lots of shots and goals (3.9 per game on the road). The only concern the Avalanche should have going into this game is how rusty goaltender Philipp Grubauer might be if he does indeed make his return. If he doesn't, backup Francouz may not be able to continue his strong recent play. The Avs are also down a defenseman (Makar). The Devils' goaltending situation is dire. 10* Over Devils/Avalanche |
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12-12-19 | Rangers v. Sharks -150 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
8* San Jose (10:35 ET): Following a five-game losing streak, the Sharks fired coach Peter DeBoer. Tonight is their first game for interim Bob Boughner. It’s also a home game. The last four were all on the road. They face a weak Rangers team. Normally, after a coaching change, we see teams respond positively. That’s what I’m banking on here. The Sharks were outscored 15-3 the L3 games, causing DeBoer to be shown the door. Prior to the five game slide, they’d won five of six. So they are capable. This is a better team at home, as you might expect. They’re due to start scoring as well. The Rangers have 33 points, one more than San Jose. But they couldn’t beat the last place Kings their last time out. That was the third time in five games they were held to one goal. This boils down to the sense of urgency for the Sharks. I also noticed they’ve lost three straight times to the Rangers, something that won’t sit well with them either. Sharks are the better team here. 8* San Jose |
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12-12-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
8* Over Maple Leafs/Flames (9:05 ET): After finishing first in the West last season, Calgary started slow this year. But a coaching change seems to have done the trick as they’ve gone 7-0-1 the last eight games to get to third in the Pacific. They’ve won six straight, scoring 24 goals in the process. The last four games have all gone Over. Toronto has notched nine goals in its last two games, both road wins. It’s a difference of three points between 2nd and 6th place in the Atlantic right now and only the top three are guaranteed to make the playoffs. So the Leafs will have to keep it up as they play their next two games in Alberta (Edmonton Saturday). Toronto averages 3.5 goals per game on the road. Calgary is averaging 3.4 gpg on the road. Both are solid averages. Plus both are in good form offensively of late. It all adds up to a likely Over. 8* Over Maple Leafs/Flames |
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12-12-19 | Oilers v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
8* Over Oilers/Wild (8:05 ET): Edmonton has led the Pacific Division much of the season, but they’ve been far from a dominant first place team. They’ve scored only one more goal than they’ve allowed. It was not a stellar defensive effort on Tuesday when they lost 6-3 to Carolina. Scoring hasn’t been a real concern. Only two teams in the Western Conference have more goals scored this year. But only three have conceded more. It’s not difficult to figure Minnesota out. This is not a good road team as their record outside the Twin Cities is just 7-11-2. But at home, they are 7-1-3. They are averaging 3.55 goals per game here on home ice. That’s up from 2.6 on the road. But like the Oilers, the Wild give up their fair share. They are one of the three teams in the West that have allowed more goals than Edmonton. 8* Over Oilers/Wild |
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12-08-19 | Sabres v. Oilers OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Over Sabres/Oilers (8:05 ET): Though they continue to lead the Pacific Division, Edmonton has been struggling to score recently. In a five-game stretch where they are just 2-3 (including a bad 5-2 home loss to lowly Ottawa), they have scored a total of just 10 goals. But reinforcements are on their way as the club's top line figures to be back on the ice together for the first time in four games. Also, second line center Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is expected back here as well. You can look for the Oilers to get back on track tonight offensively. It also helps that they are facing Buffalo. The Sabres lost in overtime last night, 6-5. It was their second straight one-goal loss here in Western Canada as they fell 4-3 in Calgary on Thursday. Three of the Sabres last four road games have seen them allow at least four goals and they are giving up 3.5 gpg on the road for the year. On the bright side, they've scored 22 goals the last five games and 15 in the last three. So tonight's game has all the makings of a wild shootout. The Oilers won both times they played the Sabres last year. They scored 11 goals in the two games. They are averaging 3.4 gpg at home this season. With the Sabres having scored five or more goals four times in the last eight games, I am all aboard the Over tonight. 10* Over Sabres/Oilers |
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12-06-19 | Coyotes v. Penguins -162 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
7* Pittsburgh (7:05 ET): The last time the Penguins took the ice, I made them my 10* Game of the Week. They made short work of the Blues, winning 3-0 and gaining a measure of revenge for a loss in St. Louis the game prior. Despite a myriad of injuries, the most notable one being to Sidney Crosby, the Pens have stayed strong. Their YTD goal differential of +18 is third best in the Eastern Conference. They are only 5th in the Metropolitan Division right now, but that goal differential is slightly better than tonight's opponent despite the Coyotes leading the Pacific. Back Pittsburgh again tonight. Winning in shutout fashion Wednesday was certainly a welcome reprieve for a Penguins team that had just given up 16 goals its previous three games. But the goals allowed side of the ledger has not been an issue here at the Igloo where they are only allowing 2.3 gpg. Scoring is also not an issue as they average 3.6 gpg. Only two teams in the league have a better home goal differential (Boston, Philadelphia). I also like Pittsburgh's 10-4 SU record vs. the Western Conference. Arizona has Darcy Keumper, who leads the league in both save percentage (.937) and goals against average (1.92). He made 28 saves in last night's 3-1 win at Philadelphia. But with this being a back to back, there's a decent chance Keumper may not be back between the pipes tonight. Regardless, the Coyotes were fortunate to win last night's game as they only managed 18 shots on goal. The 'Yotes have lost the last two times they've been in a back to back. Pittsburgh is 7-0-2 its last nine home games and has a clear edge here. 7* Pittsburgh |
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12-04-19 | Blues v. Penguins -118 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* Pittsburgh (7:05 ET): The Penguins have dropped two in a row, one of those coming to the team they're facing tonight, St. Louis. The front end of this home and home took place in St. Louis with the Blues walking away the victors by a score of 5-2. The Pens lost by that same score the night before in Columbus. But now they are back home and have the advantage of three days off while St. Louis had to play a game in Chicago Monday night. I'm calling for revenge here. St. Louis is hot right now. The defending Stanley Cup Champs have won four straight and continue to lead the Central Division w/ 42 points. The win streak has even opened up a 7-point gap between them and the rest of the field. A 10-2-3 SU road record is "nothing to sneeze at," especially considering some of the places they've recently won at (Tampa Bay, Dallas). But the Blues are still being outshot on the year, a troubling sign as they can't continue to convert on 11.6% of their shot attempts like they have the L5 games. Also, those same L5 games have seen Blues' goalies post a .949 save percentage. Compare that to the .873 posted by Pittsburgh during the same time. Over the course of the season, the Blues' save percentage on the road is identical to that of the Penguins at home. The teams also have identical YTD goal differentials (+15). There are injuries, but the last time Pittsburgh took the ice at home, they scored 8 goals. They've won three in a row at home. 10* Pittsburgh |
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12-03-19 | Senators v. Canucks -152 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
8* Vancouver (10:05 ET): This is almost a "must-win" for a Canucks team that seems to be "wasting away" what was a fine start to the season. After 14 games, the club was standing tall at 9-3-2. Now they are 13-11-4 after losing 10 of 14. The most recent defeat came Sunday night, here on home ice, against Edmonton. That loss cost them what would have been a home and home sweep of the first place Oilers, who are now seven points up on Vancouver in the Pacific. Ottawa is not a good team as they have only 23 points on the season. Only two teams have less points, those being Detroit and New Jersey. The Senators have lost four in a row coming into tonight while being outscored 13-4. Its their third consecutive road game and while they've had a two-day break, they're in Edmonton tomorrow night. The road has generally been a disaster for the Sens thus far as they are 4-10-1 while getting outscored by 1.4 goals per game. Meanwhile, Vancouver is averaging a healthy 3.9 gpg at home this season. You'd expect them to be sporting a better home record than 5-3-3 right now. The next four games can change that as they are all here in British Columbia. The Canucks' 92 goals scored are most in the Pacific Division and well ahead of Ottawa's scoring pace (only 68 goals scored). I thought they played better than Edmonton Sunday night, but giving up two PP goals proved costly. Won't happen again tonight. 8* Vancouver |
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12-03-19 | Coyotes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
9* Under Coyotes/Blue Jackets (7:05 ET): Decent amount of juice to lay here to play the Under, but that's for good reason as neither side is known for doing a ton of scoring. Columbus is 28th in the league at 2.54 goals per game while Arizona isn't too far ahead, sitting at only 24th at 2.64. The teams played to a 3-2 final out in the desert last month with the Blue Jackets coming out ahead. The Under is now 4-0-1 in all five meetings over the last three seasons. Take the Under. Columbus was just shutout its last time on the ice. They were blanked 2-0 by the Islanders, making it the 7th time this year they were held to one goal or less. That's not good news when facing a Coyotes team that is among the league leaders in fewest goals allowed. The 'Yotes are giving up just 2.32 gpg on the season. Only league-leading Boston has allowed fewer. By the way, the Under is a perfect 5-0 for the Blue Jackets at home this year when the O/U line is 5.5. Arizona is coming off a tough loss in which it surrendered four unanswered goals. Early on it was looking good as they scored on their first two shots of the game. But that 2-0 lead was short-lived as the Sharks stormed back for four of their own and the 'Yotes never scored again. They figure to not have too many scoring opportunities tonight as C-bus is giving up only 27.2 shots per game, which is among the fewest in the league. Luckily, Arizona will have Darcy Keumper in goal. The league leader in GAA (1.97), Keumper was not in goal for the loss to San Jose. 9* Under Coyotes/Blue Jackets |
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12-01-19 | Oilers v. Canucks -123 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* Vancouver (10:05 ET): This is the second game of a home and home between two of Western Canada's teams. The first took place last night in Edmonton w/ visiting Vancouver winning 5-2. While that result showed that home ice isn't always all it's cracked up to be, I also don't see the road team winning both of these games. I've stated my issues w/ the Oilers in the past as they've been living dangerously, posting an irregularly high number of come from behind wins. Look for the Canucks to sweep this home and home. This is not a great bit of scheduling for the road team. Edmonton had just played five straight on the road before losing at home last night. Now it's back on the road. The Oilers have lost two straight, getting outscored 9-3 in those games. This is not a team that scores a ton on the road (just 2.8 gpg) and they continue to be outshot over the course of the whole season. Vancouver just wrapped up a six-game road trip last night and will now be at home for the next five. It's a favorable stretch w/ some bad teams coming in (like Ottawa on Tuesday) and the Canucks have been a high-scoring club here in B.C. by averaging 4.1 goals per game. It's a little amazing that they are just 5-2-3 SU on home ice considering they've outscored opponents here by over a full goal per game. My view is that this is going to be a good week for Vancouver and it starts tonight with two points. 10* Vancouver |
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11-29-19 | Blues v. Stars -148 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -148 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
8* Dallas (8:35 ET): A 3-0 loss in Chicago Tuesday night ended a very impressive 12-game run for the Stars. During that time, they went 11-0-1 and scored 47 goals. The run has them in second in the Central Division, trailing only the team they'll face Friday, the defending Stanley Cup Champion Blues. St. Louis has also been hot of late, going 10-2-3 SU its L15 overall and 6-0-2 its L8 on the road. But this game being in Dallas, where the Stars haven't lost this month, absolutely matters. The Stars may be four points back of the Blues in the division, but I feel they are the better team. Both teams have the same number of wins and losses, the only difference is that six of St. Louis' 11 losses have come beyond regulation. But Dallas has the slightly better YTD goal differential and unlike the Blues, they're actually outshooting their opponents. The Stars also are among the league leaders in fewest goals allowed. They are allowing just 2.0 per game at home. You have to give St. Louis credit for beating Tampa Bay twice in an eight-day span. The second win came Wednesday. But before that they'd also been swept in a home and home by slumping Nashville. The Blues have dropped five of eight overall. This is a rematch from October 5th, the second game of the season, where the Blues won 3-2 at home. That game saw St. Louis rally from a 2-1 third period deficit. This time they are at home and out for revenge. 8* Dallas |
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11-29-19 | Maple Leafs -167 v. Sabres | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -167 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
7* Toronto (4:05 ET): A couple days ago, I wrote about what a jumbled mess the NHL's Atlantic Division seems to be. Boston has raced out in front, but after that it's "anybody's ball game." You have to expect Tampa Bay will be surging up the standings at some point and the same can probably be said for Toronto. The Maple Leafs just won their last game 6-0 (over lowly Detroit) and have now won three straight, all on the road. I like them Friday as big favorites in Buffalo. The Sabres seem to be trending in the opposite direction. They are just 2-8-2 SU this month and have dropped 11 of 13 overall. This would be the second year in a row the Sabres are quickly fading after a strong start. Last year, they opened 17-6-2 SU only to be well out of playoff contention down the stretch. This year, the start was better and the fade faster. They just lost to a Calgary team that's having all sorts of trouble - on and off the ice - right now. Coaching changes happen a lot more in this sport and Toronto recently made one. A six-game losing streak led to the dismissal of Mike Babcock and the Leafs haven't lost since. It's now Sheldon Keefe's team and he'll look to continue a streak set by his predecessor as the Leafs have beaten the Sabres five straight times. Goalie Frederik Andersen has been really strong of late between the pipes w/ a .956 save percentage his L3 starts. He has a 10-3 SU career record vs. Buffalo. 7* Toronto |
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11-27-19 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings OVER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
10* Over Maple Leafs/Red Wings (7:05 ET): Compared to the Metro, the Atlantic Division seems a lot more wide open. Well, Boston (37 points) looks to be running away w/ things and I think it's fair to say you can expect Tampa Bay to be near the top by season's end. But after that, the division is a wide open mess w/ no other team sporting a positive YTD goal differential. The only team you should "write off" at this point is Detroit, who is - objectively speaking - the worst team in the league. Their involvement in this game has me on the Over for one simple reason. They've allowed the most goals in the league. The Red Wings also carry a six-game losing streak into tonight. During that time, they've been outscored 23-13, which actually isn't as terrible as one might think. But the number of goals they allow is a massive problem. They've allowed 13 more than every team but one (Florida). Having allowed the most goals in the league is compounded by the fact Detroit has also scored the fewest. They were shutout in their last game, a 2-0 loss to Carolina Sunday that found us on the right side. But, as I'm about to get into, they should have their chances to score tonight. Toronto has given up the third most goals in the league. They also are allowing plenty of shots per game (33.4), which obviously lends itself to giving up goals. That's the fifth most shots allowed in the league on a per game basis. But the Leafs did score five times in their last game and also tallied five goals the last time they faced Detroit. That 5-2 victory in the Motor City marked the fourth time in the past five meetings that the Over hit. All four Overs saw at least seven total goals scored. Should be a similar deal tonight. 10* Over Maple Leafs/Red Wings |
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11-27-19 | Panthers v. Capitals -158 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
7* Washington (7:05 ET): Florida is currently second in the Atlantic w/ 29 points, but that is not something you should put much stock into here, or moving forward. The Panthers have a -1 YTD goal differential, owed to the fact they have allowed the second most goals overall. Only the worst team in the league (Detroit) has let more in the back of the net. This would seem to be a major problem when getting ready to face a Capitals team that leads the NHL in goals scored. Expect this to be an easy two points for the home team. The Caps have lost two in a row for the first time in a well over a month. Before the B2B losses, they had gone 14-2-2 over an 18-game stretch. They still lead the Metro mind you w/ 37 points. While they were thoroughly outplayed in a shocking 4-1 loss to the Rangers seven days ago, the 2-1 loss to Vancouver on Saturday (went to a shootout) clearly was a game they should have won. Adding to the Caps motivation here is the fact they've lost three straight time to the Panthers at home. That's not something you'd expect. Florida also comes into tonight having dropped two straight. Par for the course, they allowed nine goals in losses to Carolina and Buffalo. Both teams may be in similar situation, but the favorite is clearly better positioned to bounce back. Washington also has had three days off, a situation where they are 2-0 SU this year. This is an elite offensive club facing one of the worst defensive clubs in the league. 7* Washington |
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11-25-19 | Flames v. Penguins -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Philadelphia (7:05 ET): Just when you thought Vancouver's hot start to the season had been exposed, they go out and pull B2B upsets on the road. They won at both Nashville and Washington, the latter coming in a shootout. Speaking of shootouts, this is a rematch of a game that went to one as Vancouver ended up winning 3-2 back on October 12th. The Flyers have struggled all season in shootouts (league leading 8 losses in them), but at the same time they've only been beaten in regulation one time here at home. Off a tough loss to Calgary (in a shootout, of course), I look for the Flyers to bounce back and get two points tonight. The Canucks were big underdogs on the ML in these last two victories. Cashing in at +145 and +160 may look nice, but both wins were somewhat fluky. Beating Nashville 6-3 on Thursday saw Vancouver tally FIVE power play goals in a game they were outshot 48-23. The 2-1 win over Washington on Saturday not only went to a shootout, it also marked the 1st time all season that the Canucks won a game in which they scored two or fewer goals. Bottom line: I don't see them pulling a 3rd straight upset on the road. Philly has dropped five of six overall w/ three of those five losses a part of those league-leading eight in shootouts. Saturday's 3-2 setback at the hands of a Calgary team that had NOT been playing well saw the Flyers blow a late lead in regulation. They outshot the Flames 38-27. It was a game they should not have lost, plain and simple. The Flyers are averaging 3.4 goals per game at home while the Canucks only average 2.6 on the road. That's a more sizable difference than you think. 10* Philadelphia |
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11-24-19 | Hurricanes -172 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Carolina (7:05 ET): Two teams moving in vastly different directions meet tonight in the Motor City. Carolina, who won last night, has gone 5-1 in its last six games. Meanwhile, Detroit has lost five in a row, including last night’s 5-1 setback in New Jersey. The Hurricanes have already blown out the Red Wings once this year (7-3) and I see no reason why it won’t happen again on Sunday. The Canes have scored at least four goals in each of their last five wins. It was a 4-2 win over Florida last night. Considering they scored seven the last time they played the Red Wings, it should be another big night offensively here. This is one of the top scoring teams in the league for the season (3.5 goals per game) and they also get off plenty of shots on a per game basis. Detroit is giving up 3.8 goals per game as well, which is the worst average in the league. As if this matchup wasn’t already unfavorable enough for the Red Wings, they’ll also be playing without their leading scorer tonight. Anthony Mantha, who has 12 goals and 23 points, left the game in the first period last night. While the injury remains undisclosed at press time, it is known that Mantha is going to miss “at least a week.” Detroit gave up four goals in the third period of last night’s 5-1 loss, so their collective spirit probably couldn’t be any lower coming into this second game of a back to back. They already have the fewest points (17) and worst goal differential (-37) in the entire league. 10* Carolina |
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11-20-19 | Capitals v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Rangers (8:05 ET): I think it's safe to call Washington the best team in the league right now. They have 36 points, which is five more than anybody else. They've also scored a league-high 89 goals, contributing to a +20 goal differential (2nd best behind Boston). They just beat the Bruins on Saturday, 3-2, and then followed that up w/ a 5-2 win over Anaheim on Monday. Hitting the road does not bother this team as they are 10-1-1 away from the Nation's Capital. The Over is 14-2-1 their L17 games. The Rangers enter tonight at 8-8-2 overall. There is a distinct pattern to their results as they are 1-7-1 this year when allowing 4+ goals but 7-1-1 when allowing three or less. Unfortunately for them tonight, they are facing a team that leads the league at 3.74 gpg. The likelihood of the Caps scoring 4+ goals here would seem to be strong as it's something they have done in over half their games this season. One such time was against these Rangers, a 5-2 win back on October 18th (in D.C.). Fortunately for the Rangers, they can score too. They've tallied at least three goals in six consecutive games. I had the Over when they met Florida on Saturday and that was a 4-3 game before the end of the second period. (Rangers lost w/ 4-3 being the final score). Unfortunately, the Blueshirts have given up 4+ goals in three of their last four contests and 6+ four times in the L10 games. They allowed NINE in a loss to Tampa Bay last week. This has all the makings of another high-scoring shootout. 10* Over Capitals/Rangers |
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11-19-19 | Jets v. Predators -175 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
7* Nashville (8:05 ET): You can bet the Predators will be eager to take the ice Tuesday after they were embarrassed here at home their last time out. Friday's 7-2 loss to the Blackhawks was the Preds' fourth straight setback and sixth in the last seven games. Goaltending, once considered a major strength, has been real shaky of late w/ 22 goals allowed in the four games. Uncharacteristically, Pekka Rinne has been pulled in two different times in the past week. I expect a big bounce back from the Preds in this spot as the team has an 8-1 record the last nine times it has been off a home loss by 3+ goals. Winnipeg comes in off B2B road wins. They defeated Florida & Tampa Bay by identical 4-3 scores to start what will be a four-game trip (ends in Dallas Thursday). The Jets have won six of eight overall, but interestingly enough have lost both times they've been off B2B wins. They've won three in a row just one time all season. A four-game road winning streak has seen them prevail by a one-goal margin every time. In fact, the Jets are a very fortunate 9-1-1 SU in all one-goal games this season, a win percentage that cannot be maintained in that situation. On the year, the Jets are still giving up 3.5 goals per game away from home. Despite the recent results, Winnipeg has still been outscored on the season while Nashville has a positive goal differential. Should he be back in goal tonight, Rinne is too good to have these struggles continue. The most shocking thing of all about that 7-2 loss to Chicago is that Nashville finished w/ a substantial edge in shots on goal (41-24). The Jets tend to give up a far higher volume of shot attempts compared to the Predators. Nashville certainly remembers losing three of four to Winnipeg last season, which adds to their motivation here. 7* Nashville |
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11-17-19 | Sabres v. Blackhawks -130 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
9* Chicago (7:05 ET): After a fast start to the season, Buffalo has cooled off considerably. If this narrative sounds familiar, well, they did the exact same thing last season. The Sabres came into Saturday as losers of six in a row, all but one of the losses coming in regulation. But they were fortunate to draw a terrible Ottawa team last night. The Sabres beat the Senators 4-2, snapping that ugly losing skid. But now they've got to hit the road and play a suddenly hot Chicago team. The Blackhawks have won 5 of 7 and just scored 7 times in an impressive win at Nashville last night. The game before that, they went to Vegas and won as +220 ML underdogs! This is the first time all season that Chicago has been above .500 and they've tallied 5+ goals in 4 of their last 5 games. While they still have many of the core players that led them to three Stanley Cups, Chicago has "gone young" w/ the call-ups of 18-year old Kirby Dach and 19-year old Adam Boqvist. It has paid off so far. Both teams are playing the second night of a back to back, but that's about all they have in common coming into this one. Chicago is clearly the hotter team and playing at home. They just beat two of the West's best teams on the road and did so in impressive fashion. Buffalo's only win in its last seven games came against a team that is tied for the 2nd fewest points in the league. All four of the Sabres goals last night came from Jack Eichel (new career-high). He can't carry the team like that every night. 9* Chicago |
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11-16-19 | Capitals v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Bruins (7:05 ET): Boston snapped a four-game losing skid last night by beating Toronto 4-2. But they're not "out of the woods" yet as tonight they've got to host Washington, who has again been the best team in the league this season. Not only do the Capitals lead the NHL in points w/ 32, but they are the highest-scoring team as well with 81 goals (3.9 per game). This matchup should produce plenty of scoring as the Bruins happen to average 4.0 gpg themselves at home. Take the Over. The Caps actually lost last night, 5-2 at home to Montreal. It was their second loss in three games, but before that they'd won six in a row. Pretty shocking is that the Caps have been held to just two goals in B2B games. They'd previously scored at least three goals in 16 consecutive games. It was the defense that failed them last night, giving up five goals to the Habs, four of them coming in the second period. They also allowed 40 shots. Goalie Braden Holtby will be back between the pipes tonight, but keep in mind the Over is still 11-3 in his 14 starts this season. His goals against average is a subpar 3.06. Last February, Boston snapped a 14-game losing streak against Washington w/ a 1-0 win in D.C. Don't expect this game to be anything like that one. The Bruins are going w/ a backup netminder, Jaroslav Halak, who has surrendered 4+ goals in three of his last four starts. The Capitals have scored 10 more goals than every other team in the league and already have eight games w/ 5+ goals. But as last night proved, they'll give up their fair share as well. Boston is #4 in the league in goals per game, so expect this to be a wild one Saturday night in Beantown. 10* Over Capitals/Bruins |
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11-16-19 | Rangers v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
10* Over Rangers/Panthers (7:05 ET): These teams have gone Over the L7 times they've met, including a 6-5 Panthers victory at MSG this past Sunday. That game was a wild one w/ both teams getting 34+ shots on net and there were a total of seven power play goals scored. Scoring hasn't really subsided for either team since that game as Florida has now gone Over in three straight following a 5-4 win at Boston and a 4-3 loss (here at home) to Winnipeg. The Rangers just gave up a frightening NINE goals to Tampa Bay in their last game. Definitely take the Over here. Despite losing here to Winnipeg on Thursday night, the Panthers have to like their chances coming into tonight. They have the league's 5th best power play (at 25%) and over the L8 games they are hitting at a league-best 33% w/ the man advantage. Going against a team that just allowed nine goals, including five on the power play, has to have Florida licking its proverbial chops here. Thursday's embarrassing loss to the Lightning may have been a "new low" for the Rangers, but it was also the 4th time in the L9 games they've allowed 6+ goals. Even at 5 vs 5, you should expect Florida to score plenty tonight. This team is averaging 3.53 goals per game (tied for 6th overall) while getting off the 2nd most shots (34.8) per game. Here on home ice, both of those numbers go up. The Rangers allow the 2nd most shots per game. But there's hope for the Rangers here as well w/ the Panthers giving up 3.58 goals per game, 4th most in the league. The Blueshirts have scored at least three times in each of the last five games, scoring a total of 20 goals. 10* Over Rangers/Panthers |
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11-15-19 | Penguins -134 v. Devils | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -134 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* Pittsburgh (7:05 ET): The Penguins aren't just off a loss here, they're also w/o superstar Sidney Crosby for the next six weeks. This is a banged up team right now w/ not only Crosby out, but some other key players as well. But through it all, they've managed to outscore opponents by 13 goals this season. That's a top four margin in the Eastern Conference. It's not like playing w/o Crosby is anything new. He's missed substantial time before and yet the Pens have always seemed to be successful. Perception of this team will now change, but I think they're a great value tonight in New Jersey. The Devils have the fewest points in the league (14) as well as the worst goal differential (-21). So objectively speaking, it is fair to call them the worst team in the league. I know that this club has generally been competitive despite losing most of its games. But they've still lost six of nine. They just lost to lowly Ottawa (here at home) on Wednesday after allowing three goals in a 6 1/2 minute span in the third period. The Devils are 2nd to last in the league in goals scored and have found the back of the net only eight times in the last five games. The Penguins were able to battle back from a 2-0 deficit to earn a point against the Rangers on Tuesday. That was their first game w/o Crosby. Though Crosby is the team leader in points, Pittsburgh can still lean on its goaltending as they are 5th in the league in goals allowed per game. That's significantly better than New Jersey, who is 30th in that department. It's pretty shocking to see NJ is 6-1-1 the past eight head to head meetings w/ the Pens. With people doubting them, I look for Pittsburgh to go out and pick up two points tonight. 10* Pittsburgh |
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11-14-19 | Stars v. Canucks -145 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
8* Vancouver (10:05 ET): Dallas comes in on an 8-1-1 hot streak, but is also playing the second night of a back to back. They won 3-1 last night in Calgary, a game in which they never trailed and only allowed 25 shots on goal. But the task is tougher tonight in British Columbia and not just because of the schedule. The Canucks are off to a solid start this year and despite losing four of their last five games, they still own the West's 2nd best goal differential. I'm backing the home team in this one. After scoring just five goals total in four straight defeats, Vancouver busted loose for five goals in a win over Nashville Tuesday. That was a nice rebound following a loss to the lowly Devils on Sunday. The Canucks have played quite well at home this year, losing just one time in regulation and outscoring their visitors by an impressive 1.9 goals per game. No team in the league can match the Canucks' scoring average here at home, which is 4.25 goals per game. Before this 8-1-1 hot streak, Dallas had started the year 1-7-1. So it's been a total reversal of fortune for them. A true representation of where the team is at probably is somewhere "in the middle" of those two disparate streaks. They've got a goal differential of 0 on the year. This is already the 4th B2B for the Stars this year and it's also the third road game in five nights. The schedule should finally start catching up w/ them tonight as Vancouver looks to flash the form that had them off to a 9-3-2 start to the season. 8* Vancouver |
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11-14-19 | Coyotes v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
9* Under Coyotes/Wild (8:05 ET): Arizona will look to make it a clean sweep on this three-game road trip w/ the final stop taking place tonight in Minnesota. Considering they've already won in Washington (league's best team?) and St. Louis (defending Stanley Cup Champs), beating a Wild club that is dead last in the Central seems like an easy task for the Coyotes. But I expect the 'Yotes to struggle to score a little bit this evening. That doesn't mean they won't win, but it does mean you should look for this game to stay Under. Minnesota is not having a good year as their 13 points are tied with Los Angeles for fewest in the Western Conference. They just lost to the Kings Tuesday night, 3-1, making it five losses in the past seven games. Perhaps the Wild can blame a lack of home games on this slow start to the season. Of their 18 games played so far, only five have been here at the XCel Center. That's a little odd. This 2-4-1 slide that they're currently on saw them play just once here on home ice. They lost 4-3 in overtime to the Blues. While you may notice the Wild are averaging 3.8 gpg here at home, keep in mind that's a small sample size. These teams just met on Saturday and it was a 4-3 win for Minnesota out in the desert. The game went to OT after the Wild battled back from an early 3-1 deficit. Shocking is that they were the team to snap Coyotes' goalie Darcy Kuemper's streak of 23 straight games w/o allowing more than three goals and they did so w/ only 24 shots. The last time Kuemper allowed 4 goals in a game was March 11th. Kuemper has since bounced back w/ a 33-save effort against the Blues Tuesday night, which gave the Coyotes the first ever B2B road sweep of the previous year's Stanley Cup Finalists in league history. Keumper has a .931 save percentage and the Under is 9-3 in his 12 starts. He'll be much better tonight than he was on Saturday. 9* Under Coyotes/Wild |
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11-14-19 | Hurricanes -134 v. Sabres | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
9* Carolina (7:05 ET): Buffalo started the season like a house of fire, but has cooled off considerably, which was to be expected. After all, this is a franchise that hasn't finished a season w/ more than 89 points since 2010-11, which (not coincidentally) was also the last time they made the playoffs. They've lost five in a row entering tonight's home date w/ Carolina, a team that the Sabres are 0-6 against the previous two seasons. The losing streak continues in upstate NY. Carolina was dealing w/ its own four-game slide entering play on Monday. But they got to face a sorry Ottawa team for a second straight time and won 8-2, thereby avenging a loss to the Senators that took place just two days prior. Now it's back on the road. As they usually do, the Hurricanes are getting the puck on net. They average 34.1 shots per game, which is top five in the league. For awhile, they couldn't find the back of the net, but that all changed on Monday w/ their highest scoring game of the season. There was also a game earlier in the year where they finished w/ 7 goals. So this team definitely can score. Buffalo has not been able to score much recently. They've been outscored 18-8 during the five-game losing streak and the last four losses have all come in regulation. The last two took place over in Stockholm, Sweden against Tampa Bay. We've seen teams struggle after returning from Europe this year, even though they get ample time off. The Sabres last played Saturday when they lost a wild 5-3 game that saw 83 total shots on goal. So far this year, the team is 0-2 when taking the ice w/ three or more days rest. 9* Carolina |
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11-13-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -217 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -217 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
6* Vegas (10:05 ET): Even though it's the Golden Knights that are having the better start to the season, they are the ones off a loss here while the Blackhawks are off a rare win. I think this situation creates an excellent 'play-on' opportunity, even at this high price. By this point, everybody knows what a strong home-ice advantage Vegas has here at the T-Mobile Arena. They have gone 57-25-9 SU all-time in regular season home games (this is their third year of existence). It's something not to be underestimated. Nor is the Golden Knights 7-0 all-time record vs. Chicago. While history is on the side of the Golden Knights coming into tonight, I have to admit that their recent play leaves a lot to be desired. They didn't just lose their last game. They've dropped three in a row and five of six. Three of those losses were in OT however and the last three were all on the road. Two of the three road losses came against Toronto and Washington, which is excusable. But losing to Detroit is not. Though that loss on Sunday to the Red Wings did come at the end of the trip and it was the second night of a back to back. Some positive news is that the Golden Knights are 9-4 SU all-time when on a 3-game losing skid. Chicago has won just once on the road this year, so they seem like an unlikely team to crack the code that is the "Vegas flu." The Blackhawks have alternated wins and losses over their last five games and have won B2B games only one time this season. That one time saw them cash in on a pair of home games that were played four days apart. They are averaging just 1.9 goals per game on the road so far, which is second fewest in the league. Also, they are off a 5-4 win (against Toronto). This season Chicago is 0-3 SU after scoring 4+ goals in its last game. All signs point to the home team bouncing back here. 6* Vegas |
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11-12-19 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens -171 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
7* Montreal (7:05 ET): The Canadiens are playing well right now. They've gone 5-1-1 their last seven games. The lone regulation loss came in Dallas at the end of a three-game trip out West. Saturday saw the club pick up two points here at home as they held on for a 3-2 win over the Kings (led 3-0 in the 1st period). Tonight is another home game against a bad team, that being Columbus, who has lost six of their last seven games. Look for the Habs to win again. The Blue Jackets have been outscored 26-14 in a 1-5-1 slide that has them near the bottom of the Metropolitan Division. This slide has resulted in C-bus having one of the YTD goal differentials in the league. Only three teams - the Red Wings, Devils and Kings - have been outscored more this season. Making matters worse, the team is going to be w/o forward Nick Foligno tonight as he has been suspended for three games due to elbowing Colorado's Pierre-Edouard Bellemare. Columbus is also turning to a backup goalie in this spot, Elvis Merzlikins, who was just recalled from the AHL affiliate in Cleveland. Merzlikins has started three games so far this season and has a poor .882 save percentage. It just so happens the Blue Jackets have lost all three of those games as well. The backup goalie situation, the fact this is the finale of a three-game road trip for C-bus and the respective play of the two teams recently have me "all in" on the Canadiens here. Montreal is capable of scoring plenty and often does here on home ice. 7* Montreal |
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11-09-19 | Predators -126 v. Sharks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -126 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
10* Nashville (10:35 ET): You can bet the Predators will be eager to take the ice here after being embarrassed in Colorado Thursday night. They lost 9-4 to the Avs, a shocking result for a team that had outscored its first 15 opponents by 17 goals. It was also their third loss in the last four games. But they get a reprieve tonight w/ this matchup against the Sharks. Despite posting B2B wins, San Jose has not been good this season as they've been outscored by 17 goals so far. Earlier in the week, I took Nashville on the road against a lesser opponent (Detroit). They won 6-1 and that's what I'm expecting here. This will be the 5th game on a 6-game homestand for San Jose. They lost the first two. But now they're back to 2-2 through four games. However, the two wins were against Chicago and Minnesota, the two weakest teams out of the Central. Plus, both situations were favorable. The Sharks got to play the Blackhawks at the end of a long road trip while the Wild were also in the 2nd of B2B road games. They still are allowing the 4th most goals per game in the league entering tonight. Everyone is talking about Washington's offense right now, but Nashville actually averages the same number of goals per game (4.00). But it obviously wasn't offense that was the problem Thursday at Colorado. The nine goals allowed were a franchise record. Most shocking of all is how it happened. They actually led the Avalanche 3-2 in the second period before giving up SIX goals in an eight-minute span. Needless to say, such a thing won't be happening for the rest of the year. The Preds are simply the much better team here and already beat San Jose once, 5-2 back on October 8th (despite being outshot 35-25). 10* Nashville |
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11-07-19 | Canucks -129 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -129 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
9* Vancouver (8:35 ET): Our last NHL play (Tuesday) was on the Canucks and unfortunately they lost, 2-1 in overtime to the St. Louis Blues. But remember some of what I wrote in that analysis. The Canucks came into that game sporting the best goal differential in the entire Western Conference. This is a team that's still gone almost two weeks w/o losing in regulation. In fact, a 1-0 loss in New Jersey on 10.19 is the ONLY Vancouver loss in regulation since the 2nd game of the season! Let's come back w/ the Canucks here as they play a pretty weak Chicago side. The Blackhawks have won just four games this season, tied for the fewest in the league. This club just isn't what it used to be. It's 33 goals scored actually ranks LAST in the league coming into Thursday, which is a bigger problem than usual as only one team in the Western Conference (Nashville) has scored more goals this season than Vancouver. Even when the Canucks weren't winning much the last couple seasons, they generally handled their business against the Blackhawks. They've taken five of the previous six head to head matchups. There's another issue for Chicago heading into this game and that's the number of shots they've been allowing recently. The previous five Blackhawks' opponents have averaged 41.3 shots per game, a very high number indeed. Vancouver did outshoot St. Louis in its last game, 34-27, and hasn't dropped B2B games since starting 0-2. The Canucks are a perfect 3-0 this season following a game in which they scored 1 goal or less. Chicago has lost 7 of 9 and this is the first game back after a long-road trip. They're set to hit the road again Saturday (playing in Pittsburgh), so there may not be a lot left in the tank late in this game. 9* Vancouver |
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11-05-19 | Blues v. Canucks -125 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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11-04-19 | Predators -185 v. Red Wings | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
6* Nashville (7:35 ET): The Predators are certainly not in the best of moods as they set out to embark on a four-game road trip. They've lost two in a row, both at home, and really those are games they should have easily won. Halloween night, it was all trick and no treat as they blew a 4-1 third period lead against Calgary and ended up losing 6-5 in overtime. They gave up the game-tying goal in the final minute of regulation in that one. Then on Saturday, the Preds lost 2-1 to the Rangers, a game where they were -260 on the money line! My view for tonight is that they'll look across the ice, see a weak opponent and "smell blood." Look for a bounce back Monday. The Preds may be steaming after suffering B2B losses, but that's nothing compared to what the Red Wings are going through right now. This once proud organization has fallen on hard times. The team has lost 10 of 11 (all but one loss in regulation) and has the worst the goal differential (-24) in the sport. They have the 2nd fewest points (9), only two ahead of division rival Ottawa. As badly as October ended, November has started even worse in the Motor City w/ the Wings being outscored 11-3 in two games. They lost 7-3 at Carolina and then were shutout (4-0) at Florida. Getting last night off was just a momentary reprieve, not enough time to recoup. Following a loss by two or more goals, Detroit is 17-42 SU the L3 seasons including 1-7 to start 2019. Despite the B2B losses, Nashville isn't in terrible shape. They have the best YTD goal differential in the Central Division (+12). Adding to their motivation here is the fact that this is a triple revenge spot. Not only did they drop a home game to the Red Wings back on Oct 5 (where they were -255 on the ML!), but they lost both meetings LY as well. Those head to head results just don't make much sense to me as the Preds are pretty obviously the better team here. They get their revenge - and back on track - tonight. 6* Nashville |
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11-02-19 | Flames -130 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Calgary (7:05 ET): The Flames finished first in the Western Conference last year, but "flamed out" (terrible pun!) in the 1st round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. They figured to regress a bit this year and have started somewhat slow 7-6-2. They're coming to the end of a long road trip (5 games), which concludes tomorrow night in Washington. Halloween night brought a much needed 6-5 win in Nashville as the trip started w/ B2B losses. When they win, the Flames often score a lot, so I like tonight's matchup against a Columbus team that has really struggled on the goals allowed side of the ledger recently. I was very disappointed in the Blue Jackets' performance Wednesday night. They were at home vs. Edmonton and lost 4-1, a game they managed only 24 shots and trailed 4-0 early in the 2nd period. The Jackets' losing streak hit three last night w/ an OT loss in St. Louis. All overtime losses are pretty painful, but this one in particular had to sting C-bus as they were ahead 3-1 in the third period. Being in the second game of a B2B here does the Jackets no favors whatsoever. They've allowed 3+ goals in seven straight games, losing five of them. At the same time, they are averaging just 2.3 goals per game at home, which is tied for 2nd fewest in the league. The Flames have had some issues scoring on the road, but did just score six times in the win in Nashville Wednesday night. The GW goal came w/ just 1.2 seconds remaining in OT, courtesy of Matthew Tkachuk, and may be the prettiest goal you see all year. It was a game the Flames trailed 4-1 heading into the third period, so the two teams here have very different emotional mindsets coming into tonight. Calgary swept Columbus LY, scoring 13 goals in the two games, including NINE in the win here! The last time C-bus had to play the second game of a B2B, it was here at home and they lost 3-2 to the Islanders. Their -13 goal differential is 3rd worst in the East and 6th worst overall. 10* Calgary |
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11-01-19 | Sabres v. Capitals -177 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
7* Washington (7:05 ET): The ML for this matchup of division leaders should tell you a lot. Normally, when you envision two division leaders meeting, the thought is of a hard-fought battle between two evenly matched teams. Not here though. It's still early in the NHL season mind you, which means "division leader" doesn't necessarily hold as much water as it would ... say in January or February. Buffalo is 9-2-2 right now, but you have to wonder if they are capable of maintaining that kind of pace. This is a team that finished w/ only 76 points last season. Washington, on the other hand, is a proven commodity, and the right side here. We've already seen the Sabres start to regress a bit as they've dropped two of their last three games. They haven't exactly faced a "murderer's row" of opponents either: the Rangers, Red Wings and Coyotes. The first two are right near the bottom of the league in points. Buffalo was held to two goals in each of those three games as its early season scoring blitz seems to have subsided. Perhaps playing 13 games in 26 days has started to take its toll? Monday (vs. Arizona) was the first home loss of the season. They have lost 11 of the last 14 times they've faced the Caps, including an 0-5-2 mark here in D.C. Conversely, the Capitals started slow, but now look like the best team in the league. They've won 7 of 8 w/ the only loss coming in Edmonton, a game in which the Caps held a 3-1 third period lead. They've scored 4+ goals in the L7 wins, putting them on top of the league in scoring (3.9 goals per game). Defenseman John Carlson had himself a record-setting October w/ 23 points. But perhaps the most impressive thing of all is that most of the Caps' games so far have been on the road where they are now 7-1-1. This will be just their sixth game at home and they welcome back Braden Holtby between the pipes. Holtby sat out Tuesday's 4-3 OT win in Toronto. He is 4-0-1 his L5 appearances. 7* Washington |
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10-30-19 | Oilers v. Blue Jackets -145 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10* Columbus (7:30 ET): I've previously run through some of the issues w/ Edmonton. Their 7-1 start to the season was somewhat of a "mirage" as they had to come from behind to win each of the first five games and were also being outshot rather dramatically. Things have definitely come back "down to Earth" for the Oilers in the L5 games w/ them losing four times and the only win being yet another come from behind effort where they rallied from a 3-1 third period deficit to beat Washington 4-3 in OT. Losses to Detroit and Florida over the previous three days were not all that surprising on this end and a clear sign this club is predictably regressing to the mean. This will be the second game of a back to back for Edmonton (more on last night's game in a moment). For Columbus, they've had three days off to recoup from a 7-4 loss at Philadelphia. That was the second time this year that the Blue Jackets allowed 7 goals in a game, but both times came on the road. Something else to keep in mind is that the Blue Jackets were actually up on the Flyers (4-2) in the third period before giving up five unanswered goals. Prior to that game, they'd won B2B games and hadn't lost in regulation in more than two weeks. The situation is totally in the Blue Jackets' favor tonight as they are coming in well-rested. They are also 35-17 SU off a loss by 2+ goals. So Edmonton was in Detroit last night where they lost 3-1. That came on the heels of their worst defensive effort of the season, Sunday's 6-2 home loss to Florida. The Red Wings had lost eight in a row before beating the Oilers, so that's a bad loss for Edmonton. Something I first wrote about weeks ago was that the Oilers' shooting percentage was set to go down. It has. They are still 28th in the league in shots per game, so that decrease should continue. It's just the opposite for C-bus, who averages a healthy number of shots per game (33.6), but is only 21st in goals per game. The Jackets have some revenge here after dropping both games to Edmonton LY. 10* Columbus |
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10-29-19 | Lightning -187 v. Rangers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -187 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
6* Tampa Bay (7:35 ET): The Lightning lost their last time out, 3-2 at home to Nashville (in OT), but tonight seems like a good landing spot as they visit MSG to face the struggling Rangers. At 5-3-2 overall, it's been a bit of a disappointing start for TB, who were 7-2-1 at this time last year en route to a record-setting 62-16-4 regular season (of course, we all remember what then happened in the playoffs). My view is that you'll have to "pick and choose" your spots w/ the Lightning this year, but this is a spot where I definitely love them as they've gone 3-0 off their previous three losses. The Rangers have lost six of seven, their only win coming against a Buffalo team that's been the biggest early season surprise. So the Lightning definitely should still take this game seriously and they will. But the bottom line is that the Blueshirts still only have 7 points on the year, which is second fewest in the entire league. They've only been outscored by 5 goals, but giving up 7 was definitely not a "good look" Sunday against Boston. That loss came here at home where the Rangers are now 2-3-1. They are 0-3 SU this season off a loss by 2+ goals. As you might have guessed, the Lightning have had the Rangers' number the last couple years, winning five of the last six meetings. That includes a 3-0 record here at MSG, two of those wins coming last season. Something to keep in mind when it comes to the Lightning's start to the year is that they've played a lot of road games so far. Earlier in the year, they were able to go 3-2-1 on a six-game trip and they faced a lot better teams than the one they'll face off w/ tonight. The Rangers are giving up lots of shots (36.9 per game), the most in the league in fact, and that's led to them also giving up the second most goals. With all their firepower, the Lightning should certainly take advantage. 6* Tampa Bay |
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10-25-19 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights -153 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -153 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
8* Vegas (6:05 ET): Colorado is 7-1-1 to start the year and leads the Central Division w/ 15 points. But tonight they'll venture into perhaps the most challenging venue for opposing teams in the entire NHL. That would be T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas where in just 2+ years, the Golden Knights have built one of the strongest home ice advantages in the league. Colorado has never won here in three all-time tries. In fact, the six times these two teams have met, the home team has never won period! Vegas has already lost twice at home this year, but don't expect them to here as this will be treated as a game w/ the utmost importance. Vegas is 7-4 SU and coming off a 2-1 win in Chicago that went to a shootout. The Golden Knights had both Wednesday and Thursday off to recover and now return home where they are 56-24-7 all-time in the regular season. That's obviously a very strong record and it also helps that Colorado has been a poor road team each of the last two years. Also, tonight's game marks the end of a six-game road trip for the Avs. They lost Monday in St. Louis, which was their first regulation loss all season. It's a trip that started out on the East Coast 11 days ago and now concludes w/ a special early start time. Tough spot. Making matters tougher for the Avs is the fact they won't have Mikko Rantanen. Something we've harped on in the past is that the Avs aren't a particularly deep group and instead rely heavily on the line of Rantanen-MacKinnon-Landeskog. Well, a key component from that fierce line is now gone. Rantanen set career highs in goals, assists and points last season and was tied for the team lead w/ 12 points this year. He was the only player to have at least one point in every game. So his absence is clearly significant. Given the circumstances, there won't be a more "excusable" loss for Colorado all season. 8* Vegas |
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10-24-19 | Capitals -128 v. Oilers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -128 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
10* Washington (9:05 ET): We've had some success playing on/against these teams recently and our respective reads have not changed. In the case of the Capitals, they won for us both last Friday (5-2 over the Rangers) and then again Sunday (5-3 at Chicago). They made it four straight wins for themselves Tuesday by beating Calgary 5-3. As for the Oilers, we first played against them 10 days ago in Chicago (they lost 3-1) and then again Tuesday when they were shutout by Minnesota (3-0). Those happen to be the Oilers' only two losses in regulation this season, but as we're about to get into, there are some real flaws w/ this team. Back the Caps and fade the Oilers yet again. So Washington has scored a total of 19 goals during its four-game win streak and has scored 4+ goals in six of its last seven games overall. So this is a team clearly "in the zone" right now. They are 5-1 on the road w/ a power play that's converting 38.9% of the time in those games (despite going 0 for 3 in Calgary). As mentioned in previous writeups, the Caps are getting their offense from a multitude of contributors right now. T.J. Oshie scored twice in that win over the Rangers last Friday, but the big story has been John Carlson's team high 20 points. Carlson had two goals and an assist against Calgary. Of course, there's that guy named "Ovechkin" that's still here as well. Edmonton has now been shutout in B2B games. Both were on the road. Simply returning home - where they've scored 17 goals and are 4-0 - might sound like an easy recipe to bounce back, but if only it were that simple. This is a team that has five come from behind victories already and the offensive decline from the L2 games was inevitable w/ a shot percentage that was simply unsustainable moving forward. The Oilers are actually dead last in the league in shots per game (26.9), so them maintaining a top 10 gpg average wasn't tenable. Their 7-1 start to the season should be considered a "mirage" and they haven't faced a team the caliber of the Capitals yet either. 10* Washington |
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10-23-19 | Red Wings v. Senators -124 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* Ottawa (7:35 ET): It may seem strange to take such a strong position on a team with the fewest points in the league right now, but the situation is right for an Ottawa win on Wednesday night. The Senators will be hosting the Red Wings, a team that’s lost five in a row and finds itself in a dreadful scheduling spot. Not only did Detroit play last night, losing 5-2 at home to Vancouver, but prior to that they were out West for a three-game trek through Western Canada. Now it’s back on the road. Look for the Sens to get the two points here. Ottawa is just 1-6-1, giving them only three points, which is the fewest in the league right now. They do have the same goal differential as Detroit though (-12). The Sens have lost four in a row, the last three coming out West, but now they’re at least back at home, which is where their only win of the season transpired. It came as a huge +215 ML underdog (against Tampa Bay). One area where Ottawa does seem to have a clear advantage here is between the pipes as Anders Nilsson has made 93 saves his L3 starts. The problem for the Ottawa goalies is that they are facing too many shots. But the Red Wings don’t average that many shots per game (29.2), so that shouldn’t be a problem here. Detroit has given up 33 goals in nine games so far. They have the 2nd worst average goals allowed per game average in the league right now. They’ve allowed 5 goals in four of the last five games while scoring a total of just seven themselves. The scheduling spot is brutal and it speaks volumes that Ottawa comes in as the ML favorite here despite having the fewest points in the league. 10* Ottawa |
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10-22-19 | Oilers v. Wild -121 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (8:05 ET): Edmonton’s 7-1-1 record is a bit misleading when you consider they had to come from behind in each of their first five victories. In one of the two they didn’t, they were outshot 52-22 (by the Flyers). Back when we faded the Oilers two Sundays ago in Chicago (that’s where they suffered their 1st loss), I called the team’s current shooting percentage a “Houdini Act” and that it wouldn’t be sustainable. I still feel that way. Despite being LAST in the league in shots per game, the Oilers are 9th in goals. They can’t keep that up. Minnesota is a team that happens to rank near the bottom of the league in goals per game. Not much was expected from the Wild coming into the season w/ many going so far as to project them for last place in the Central, which is the toughest division in the sport. Sure enough, they are 2-6 and have the worst goal differential (-14) in the entire league. But the Wild are coming off an OT win over Montreal on Sunday, so hopefully that creates a spark. Edmonton lost its last game in a shootout (1-0 at Winnipeg Sunday). Tonight marks just the 3rd home game for the Wild. This play simply boils down to us still being highly skeptical of Edmonton. While 7-1-1 on the year, their other numbers don’t paint the picture of a dominant team. We played against them in their lone regulation loss so far and that’s been the only time we’ve either played on or against them so far in 2019. Remember Chicago was winless at the time. Consider tonight the next in what could be a long line of fades, unless something really changes. Minnesota’s biggest problem so far has been on the goals allowed side of the ledger. But w/ Edmonton averaging so few shots, let’s call for Wild goalie Devan Dubnyk to step up tonight. 10* Minnesota |
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10-20-19 | Capitals -131 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10* Washington (7:05 ET): Both of these teams have been winners for us recently. The Capitals beat the Rangers 5-2 on Friday while the Blackhawks downed Edmonton back on Monday. Washington has played a lot more games this year (9 vs. 5) than Chicago, which was the same thing as the most recent matchup against the Rangers. The Blackhawks have won B2B games since opening with three straight losses, but the Caps are better and get the job done Sunday. They are averaging 4.2 goals over the L5 games. Washington has also won B2B games and they are getting contributions from a variety of players in the recent scoring barrage. John Carlson continues to lead the team w/ 17 points. T.J. Oshie scored twice against the Rangers, giving him six goals for the season. Of course, Alex Ovechkin is still skating as well. Between the pipes, Braden Holtby is 8-3 w/ a 2.88 GAA in 12 career starts vs. Chicago. The Caps are 48-26 when facing a team w/ a losing record. Chicago will debut 18-year old prospect Kirby Dach tonight. That’s exciting and certainly makes the Blackhawks’ future seem promising. But they’ve still got to worry about winning in the present and that means beating a Capitals team that is just plain better right now. After opening the year in Prague, the ‘Hawks have exclusively played home games. Just don’t think they have the firepower to keep up here. Goalie Corey Crawford has lost 7 of his 10 career starts vs. Washington. The Blackhawks are 30-53 vs. .500 or better foes. 10* Washington |
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10-18-19 | Rangers v. Capitals -200 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
6* Washington (7:05 ET): In terms of workload, it's been two completely different starts to the season for these two Metropolitan Division teams. Wednesday's 4-3 win over Toronto was the Capitals' eighth game this season. Meanwhile, the Rangers have played only four games and that includes last night's 5-2 loss to previously winless New Jersey. But things are set to get a lot "busier" for the Blueshirts as they're about to play five games in eight days, including their first back to back tonight in the Nation's capital. No doubt as to who the stronger side is here and we can't say we're surprised at all to see the line get steamed up. Washington is 4-2-2 and has given up the same number of goals (26) that they have scored. So it's been a pretty mediocre start (by their standard). John Carlson, not Alex Ovechkin, leads the team in points (14). That's definitely not a bad thing and really not that big of a surprise either. Carlson had a career-best 70 pts last season. While it's been a pretty pedestrian start for the team, including a 1-1-2 record at home, the Caps should enter Friday's game w/ plenty of confidence seeing as they've defeated the Rangers six straight times, including a 4-0 sweep last season (three of the wins coming after regulation). They've also won 9 of the previous 10 head to head matchups. The Rangers have actually scored 1st in all four games this season. But after totaling 10 goals in the first two games (both wins), they've managed only three in the last two (both losses). A 4-1 win over Ottawa is the only game where they haven't surrendered at least four goals. That's a bad sign. So is the situation tonight. New York has lost 28 of the last 36 times they've had to play a game w/o rest. They are also 6-21 SU their L27 times coming off a loss by 3+ goals. They are 5-16 SU their L21 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. The trends, the situation and talent all favor one side here and that's who we're (obviously) going with. 6* Washington |
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10-17-19 | Wild v. Canadiens -155 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
8* Montreal (7:05 ET): The Wild are struggling mightily right now as they've opened 1-5 SU. The end of a three-game swing through Eastern Canada is probably NOT the time we'll see them "get right," even though this happens to be an opponent they have defeated NINE straight times. That nine-game losing streak is probably not lost on those in the Habs' locker room as they too are looking to bounce back from a loss. Hosting Tampa Bay, the Canadiens lost 3-1 Tuesday even though they had a 34-22 edge in shots on goal. This being their fourth consecutive home game, the spot is so much better for Montreal here and they're playing w/ some serious revenge to boot. For a team that's lost four of its first six games, the Canadiens have played better than you might think. They've only been outscored by two goals. Their first two losses both came past regulation and were on the road. Finishing this homestand w/ a .500 record would seem imperative as they'll hit the road twice this weekend, including a rematch in Minnesota. The goals allowed side of the ledger has been a bit of a problem so far for the Habs w/ them allowing at least three goals in every game. But here they'll be facing one of the league's lowest scoring teams (just 14 goals in six games). Only one time has the Wild scored more than twice in a game this year and they lost 7-4. Other than their one win, which was 2-0 over an Ottawa team that is really bad, Minnesota has had major issues stopping their opponents from scoring. In five losses this year, they've allowed 25 goals. Not sure what HC Bruce Boudreau is doing sitting some of his key forwards in every game. What we do know is this Montreal losing streak to Minnesota dates back to December 2014. It's not like the Wild have been substantially better these last five years, so really the head to head streak makes little sense. Look for the Habs to snap in tonight. 8* Montreal |
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10-15-19 | Predators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* Under Predators/Knights (10:05 ET): Vegas is looking like one of the league's better teams in the early going, which was expected. They are our call to win the Pacific Division this year and they've started 4-2 w/ 24 goals scored. The season started w/ a home and home sweep of rival San Jose, followed by two straight losses to Boston and Arizona. But the Golden Knights have bounced back w/ convincing wins over Calgary and Los Angeles where they notched 11 goals. Whether or not the team is successful tonight vs. Nashville remains to be seen, but we like the goal scoring pace to slow down a bit here. Take the Under. The Preds are perennially one of the better teams in the Western Conference. They won the Central Division LY, but were then unceremoniously bounced in the 1st round of the playoffs by Dallas. This year has seen them start 3-2, but the "real story" is how high-scoring the games have been as all five have seen at least seven total goals scored. Their last one resulted in a 7-4 loss to the Kings. The Over is now 5-0 in all Nashville games this season, a trend worth noting as it's likely to come to an end a lot sooner rather than later. Vegas is often a difficult place for the visiting team to score, so tonight seems like just as good a spot as any for the Predators to see their first Under of the 2019-20 campaign. This will be Nashville's 4th ever venture into Sin City and the previous results demonstrate what we were talking about earlier, that being it's hard to score when you're visiting here. The Predators have managed just three goals in the three previous trips here. But the big issue for Nashville right now has been the goaltending as they have an overall save percentage of .861, which is 29th out of 31 teams. That'll improve over time w/ Pekka Rinne between the pipes. Vegas has one of the top save percentages in the league (.928) as Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 69 of the 74 shots he saw in the L2 games. One area where the Knights will regress is the power play, which was a perfect 3 for 3 against the Kings. That will be difficult, if not impossible, to repeat. 10* Under Predators/Knights |
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10-14-19 | Oilers v. Blackhawks -135 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
9* Chicago (8:35 ET): We're looking at a couple of very different starts to the season here w/ the Oilers and Blackhawks. Edmonton is 5-0, one of three remaining unbeatens in the league (Buffalo, Colorado). That's not something we saw coming as the Oilers finished w/ just 78 and 79 pts respectively the L2 years, putting them near the bottom of the Western Conference. It seems like forever ago that this team had its breakout campaign (103 pts in 2016-17) as superstar Conor McDavid had almost been toiling in obscurity, wasting his best years on a non-contender. Maybe this year is going to be different? Regardless, we're fading Edmonton tonight in a must-win spot for the opponent. The Blackhawks are 0-2-1. They join New Jersey and Minnesota as the only three teams in the league yet to have tasted victory this season. The reason for Chicago having played only three games so far is that they opened the season in Prague (Czech Republic). They had a full five days off before they played again and obviously still haven't won. But all three losses have been by one goal, including an OT defeat at the hands of Winnipeg Saturday. Since losing 4-3 to the Flyers in Prague, it's been B2B losses here at home. The home opener against San Jose saw the Blackhawks blow a 1-goal advantage FOUR times before eventually losing 5-4. The overtime loss to the Jets was even worse as they wasted an early 2-0 lead, which included a short-handed goal. It speaks volumes that a winless team is favored to beat an undefeated one, even on home ice. Furthermore, we've seen the ML get steamed up. So Chicago definitely appears to be the "sharp" side in this Monday night matchup. Most bettors (rightfully) seem a bit wary of the Oilers at this point. One thing is for certain and that's they're not going to be able to maintain a 17.1 shooting percentage moving forward. Averaging 4.4 goals on just 25.8 shots per game is a real "Houdini act" if you know what we mean. Also, Edmonton has had to come from behind in all five wins! Both Chicago goaltenders have a good history when facing the Oilers. 9* Chicago |
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10-13-19 | Flames v. Sharks -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
9* San Jose (10:05 ET): Terrible spot for Calgary tonight. It's not just the second game of a back to back (lost 6-2 in Vegas last night), but also their third road game in four nights. It's not been a great start for the club that had the most points in the Western Conference last year. Not surprised by that; they were expected to regress some. Because it's the second night of a B2B, the Flames have to go w/ a backup goalie for the first time this year. It's Cam Talbot, who signed a one-year deal in the offseason. The former Oilers' netminder wasn't particularly effective last year, turning in an .889 save percentage. He was 11-17-3 in 30 starts. San Jose started 0-4, but was able to notch two points w/ a 5-4 win over Chicago Thursday. Credit the return of Patrick Marleau, who had missed the first four game. Marleau, who is in his second tour of duty here in San Jose, scored twice. It was a rusty Blackhawks team the Sharks were facing Thursday as Chicago had not played since opening its season in Prague. Now its a very different situation for the opponent, who is playing w/o rest. Yet both situations are conducive to the Sharks winning. They are 6-2 the L8 times hosting Calgary and not all those games were a situation as good as this. This is only San Jose's second home game. The first was a loss to Vegas, something they can converse about w/ Calgary, who just lost to the Golden Knights last night. It was not a strong 60 minutes of hockey, which should be apparent from the final score of 6-2. It was the third time in five games that the Flames surrendered at least four goals. San Jose isn't as bad as it looked the first four games and having Marleau back is huge. 9* San Jose |
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10-10-19 | Bruins v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Under Bruins/Avalanche (9:05 ET): Boston will look to complete an unbeaten Western road swing to start the year as they visit Denver tonight. Already, the Bruins have won in Dallas, Arizona and Vegas, the latter of which isn't easy to do. Right now a case could be made that the Bruins are the best team in the league, but it's too early for us to make any declarative statements like that. Plus, the Bruins aren't the only unbeaten team in this matchup. The Avalanche are 2-0 having scored nine goals in home victories over Calgary and Minnesota. Tonight, we look for a low-scoring game and are on the Under. Solid goaltending is nothing new in Beantown as it led the Bruins all the way to the Stanley Cup Finals last year where they eventually went down to the Blues in seven games. Between Tuukka Rask and Jaroslav Halak, the team save percentage this year is at .959 as the duo has allowed just four goals on 98 shots. Rask is likely to be the one in goal this evening and while it was Halak that turned in the 1-0 shutout of Arizona last Saturday, Rask remains the more reliable option. Interestingly enough, Rask did not start either game vs. the Avs last season. Colorado will quickly find out that they were lucky to have missed him twice. They won't be so fortunate tonight. The Avs come in shooting at a pretty high percentage the first two games (14.1%). That's simply not sustainable over any reasonable length of time, so we're looking at an offense due to regress facing one of the top goaltenders in the league. Also, the skaters might be a bit rusty for the Avs tonight as they've been off for the last four days. But the time off does allow for Philipp Grubauer to make his third start of the year. He made 29 saves in the win over Minnesota and 27 in the win over Calgary. The Under is 36-16 in the Bruins' last 52 games. 10* Under Bruins/Avalanche |
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10-09-19 | Kings v. Canucks -162 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
8* Vancouver (10:05 ET): Two also-rans from the Pacific Division collide late Wednesday. Normally, we might just sit this one out, but the situation really works to Vancouver's favor. Los Angeles is playing its third straight game in Western Canada and is in the second night of a back to back. The Kings pulled off a huge upset last night, beating Calgary 4-3 as +210 ML underdogs. But they needed overtime to do so, making this tough situation all the more challenging. We just don't see the Kings being able to win again tonight. Vancouver is 0-2, so there's already a sense of desperation here. Like the Kings, the Canucks season began w/ two games in Alberta. They lost 3-2 to Edmonton and then were shutout 3-0 by Calgary. But unlike LA, the Canucks have had three days off since their last game. Disheartening for Vancouver is they outshot their first two opponents. Coming off a shutout loss, there are rumors that they may "tinker" w/ their top line tonight. Free agent signing Micheal Ferland was dropped to the third line on practice Tuesday. Usually, in the short term, these line changes provide a temporary boost. The Canucks won three of four meetings LY w/ the Kings. Let's not forget how bad the Kings were last season as they finished w/ the fewest points in the Western Conference. They came out unusually strong last night, outshooting Calgary 20-3 in the first period en route to eventually taking an early 3-0 lead. That held up, but we don't envision a similar performance tonight. Both goaltenders have save percentages below .900. The Kings lost the opener to Edmonton, giving up six goals. We're likely to see a performance more closely resembling that than what we saw last night. 10* Vancouver |
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10-08-19 | Oilers v. Islanders -155 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
8* NY Islanders (7:05 ET): The Oilers are one of three teams in the Pacific to open 2-0, but both wins were of the one-goal variety, at home and against bad teams (Kings, Canucks). We see a much different result unfolding tonight as the hit the road for the first time. They travel cross-country to face the Islanders, who have yet to leave Uniondale this season. After dropping the opener (2-1 to the Capitals), they came back w/ a 4-1 win over Winnipeg on Sunday, a game in which the Isles never trailed and got 35 saves from goaltender Thomas Greiss. Look for them to get two more points Tuesday. Greiss had a career-year last season, turning in a 2.27 GAA. Last season's turnaround on the goals allowed side of the ledger was really stunning. Barry Trotz inherited a team that had given up the most goals EVER in an 82-game season the year prior. But in 2018-19, the Isles gave up the FEWEST goals in the league! They probably won't be that stingy again this season, but we like them to be up to the challenge tonight. While Edmonton did score six goals in its last game, they did so against a Kings team that has fallen on hard times. The Oilers are just 21-31 after scoring 4+ goals in their previous contest. While Edmonton is 2-0, both games saw late comebacks in which they scored twice in the final 10 minutes. Against the Kings, they overcame a one-goal deficit four separate times before getting the go-ahead goal late in regulation. That sounds like an unsustainable blueprint for success to us and it should be noted the Oilers have not started a season w/ three straight wins in 11 years. If you give up five goals to a team like the Islanders, you have virtually zero chance of winning. The better team is underpriced here. 8* NY Islanders |
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10-08-19 | Stars v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Under Stars/Capitals (7:05 ET): So far, every Capitals' game has stayed Under the total. They've won two of three, including an Opening Night victory over the reigning Stanley Cup Champion Blues. But they're off their 1st loss as they dropped the home opener Saturday to Carolina, 3-2. While it might seem natural to expect them to bounce back w/ a win tonight (facing an 0-3 team), we don't feel that confident taking a Caps team that has yet to score more than two goals in regulation and is really struggling on the power play (2 for 11 so far). Take the Under instead. Dallas is off to its first 0-3 start since 1998. The games have gotten progressively higher scoring, but all have been one-goal defeats (1-2, 2-3 and 3-4). The most recent setback came in Detroit Sunday when they blew a two-goal lead (the Caps did the same against Carolina). In that loss, the Stars managed only 22 shots on goal, which simply won't get it done. One positive for the Stars though is they've really seemed to have Washington's number through the years. They've taken 24 of the previous 31 head to head matchups, including 11 of 14 here in D.C. Neither team is giving up many shots in the early going. Washington is allowing just 25.3 per game, which is #1 in the league. Dallas isn't too far behind at 27.7 per game, tied for fifth. As alluded to earlier, the Capitals have been ineffective on the power play so far this season. Typically a strong team w/ the man advantage, they were 0 for 6 against Carolina. Evgeny Kuznetsov will return tonight from a suspension (for testing positive for cocaine), but who knows how effective he'll be. We know Dallas comes in desperate. They are 31-17 Under the L2 years after allowing 4+ goals in the previous game. With both teams starting their #1 goaltenders, this should be a low-scoring game. 10* Under Stars/Capitals |
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10-04-19 | Jets v. Devils -141 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -141 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
10* New Jersey (7:05 ET): The Devils are a very trendy choice to improve in the 2019-2020 season. They have a point projection of 91 points and are even money (-110) to make the playoffs according to oddsmakers. That may sound a "little rich" for a club that finished in last place w/ 72 points (2nd fewest in the East) last season. While we're not sure that we're "all in" on the Devils at this point (to reach the playoffs that is), they do find themselves in quite the advantageous spot to open their season. They are hosting Winnipeg, who lost a hard fought game last night to the Rangers. Good situational play on a team that's probably under the radar right now. The Jets led the Rangers 4-3 last night after Kyle Connor struck w/ a power play goal early in the 3rd period. But from there, things all went downhill as they gave up three goals, the final one coming w/ a two man advantage in the final 20 seconds. It was a brutal loss, not just because they blew a lead on the road, but also because they outshot the Rangers 47-32 and had five power play opportunities. They converted just the one. Losing in the fashion they did (gave up game winner in final five minutes) and then turning around to play another road game the following night is a pretty brutal spot for any team. While the Jets did finish w/ 99 points last season, let's not forget that they had a terrible finish to the regular season and then were bounced in the first round by St. Louis. While the Blues did go on to win the Stanley Cup, remember it was Winnipeg that had the home ice advantage in that series, so it was considered an "upset" at the time. Perhaps the biggest reason for optimism w/ New Jersey is former MVP Taylor Hall's presence on the roster. But they also made several key additions in the offseason while Winnipeg lost some key pieces. 10* New Jersey |
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10-03-19 | Sabres v. Penguins -160 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
8* Pittsburgh (7:05 ET): Surprisingly, Buffalo took two of the three head to head meetings w/ Pittsburgh last season. It's surprisingly because the Sabres finished w/ only 76 points, well out of playoff contention, while the Penguins were a solid playoff team that finished w/ 100 points. Now it did end up being a quick postseason exit for the Pens as they got swept by the Islanders. But that ending to the year should have them motivated as they are set to hit the ice for the first time in 2019. This should be an easy two points for the home team Thursday night. The longest postseason drought in the league belongs to Buffalo, who has not made it in eight years. Our projections have them sitting out a ninth straight year. While they have Jack Eichel, the roster remains shallow and there's really nothing from the offseason to indicate any kind of significant improvement is on the horizon. Only two teams - Ottawa and New Jersey - had fewer road wins last year. They hired a 60-year old coach (Ralph Krueger) that has been out of the league for six years. There was some concern over Sidney Crosby's status for the opener, but the Penguins superstar will be on the ice Thursday as his foot checked out just fine. He was hit by the puck in the final preseason game (which was against Buffalo). On the topic of "concern," we expect Evgeni Malkin to bounce back from a career-worst year in 2018-19 (just 21 points). The offseason swap of Kessel for Galchenyuk should end up being a net positive. Give us Matt Murray over Carter Hutton in the battle of goalies in this one. Hutton had a horrible 4-20 SU record in road starts last year for Buffalo. 8* Pittsburgh |
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10-02-19 | Capitals v. Blues -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
8* St. Louis (8:05 ET): The previous two Stanley Cup Champions meet on Opening Night with the Blues hosting the Capitals. Whereas Washington took a more "traditional" (i.e. dominant) path to winning their Cup in '18, it's still hard to wrap your head around what the Blues pulled off last season. As late as January 2nd, they were dead LAST in the league in points. From that point forward, they went 30-10-5 to finish the regular season and then of course went on to hoist the franchise's 1st ever Stanley Cup. Repeating in this league is quite hard to do (just ask the Caps), but we feel there's value on St. Louis in the early going this year, particularly Wednesday night's opener. Obviously, there's going to be a lot of emotion in the building Wednesday night. Sometimes that can be a distraction. Other times, it can work to the defending champs (who always open the season w/ a home game) benefit. It was definitely the latter LY w/ the Caps, who obliterated Boston 7-0 on Opening Night. Not saying it'll be that one-sided for the Blues, but we do think they'll have the edge. They were 24-15-2 at home LY in the regular season, winning 20 of the last 29 games here at the Enterprise Center. We also happen to think they are one of the more undervalued defending champs in recent memory. It is difficult to repeat as champs in this league as only three teams have pulled off the feat in the last 30 years. That and the path the Blues took to winning LY is what have them undervalued coming into the year. Keep in mind they largely bring back the same roster, plus Justin Faulk, who should be a boon to the power play. They also now get a full season of Jordan Binnington in goal. It was his emergence LY that keyed the turnaround. For Washington, Alex Ovechkin is listed as day to day. He's expected to play (returned to practice Tuesday), but it's worth noting he is battling a lower-body injury. The Capitals have lost the last six times they've been an underdog. 8* St. Louis |
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06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 46 h 50 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): St. Louis may very well end up rueing Game 6 forever as they blew a golden opportunity to win the franchise's first Stanley Cup. They the Bruins at home, but a third period onslaught resulted in a 5-1 victory for the visitors. Ultimately, that will mean nothing if the Blues are able to win Game 7. But Game 7 is in Boston, which means (theoretically) things will be tougher. Then again, the Blues are 9-3 on the road this postseason (as opposed to 6-7 SU at home!). The road team has won four of the six games in this series so far. The Bruins are just 7-5 SU at home in the playoffs, though they did win a Game 7 here (back in Rd 1 vs. Toronto). I had this as a pretty even series coming in, thus I've almost exclusively been playing the total on a game by game basis. Oddsmakers have been "tipping their hand some" w/ the juice and obviously the number itself. Four of the six games have gone Over, but I say that's a bit misleading even as someone who had the Over in Game 6. That was a 1-0 game entering the third period before a wild barrage of scoring took place. There were four goals scored over an eight minute span, the final one coming on an empty net. That was the third time in the series an empty net goal sent the game Over. My condolences to anyone who had the Over in those spots (I did in Game 1). Hopefully, we won't be in a situation here where either goalie has to be pulled late. Even so, I see Game 7 being a very low-scoring battle where the total won't be in question late. I see this one being shades of Game 5 here in Boston, which was a 2-1 final. Both goaltenders have been strong throughout the playoffs. Including the regular season, Jordan Binnington is 13-2 SU off a loss w/ a 1.83 GAA and .934 save percentage. When facing elimination this postseason, Tuukka Rask is 3-0 w/ a 1.33 GAA and .953 save percentage. Tension will be high here and I expect the opposite of a wide open game. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show |
10* Over Bruins/Blues (8:05 ET): St. Louis returns home w/ a chance to win their first ever Stanley Cup. Playing Game 6 on home ice bodes well as they've closed out each of their previous three series here at the Enterprise Center. But Boston won't go down easy and it's the O/U line that's caught my eye here. The oddsmakers moving the number to 5.0 is significant because four of the five previous games in the series have seen at least five total goals scored. We've cashed the Under twice (Games 2, 5) thanks to 5.5 goal totals. The only other time a game in the series opened w/ a 5.0 goal total was Game 3 and that went way Over (and we had the Over). Play the Over here. That Game 3 happened to be the highest scoring game in the series (so far). The Over cashed midway in the second period and when it was all said and done, nine total goals were scored (7-2 Bruins' win). That was also the last time the Bruins won a game. They've since lost 4-2 and 2-1. They badly outshot the Blues (39-21) in Game 5, but it didn't matter. There was a controversial no-call in the third period and St. Louis scored right after to take a commanding 2-0 lead. Though they've closed out all three previous series here on home ice, the Blues are just 6-6 SU at the Enterprise Center this postseason. There have been seven playoff games that St. Louis has allowed four or more goals. Four of them have come at home. The Over is 8-3 in the L11 meetings here in St. Louis. Both goaltenders have seen their respective save percentages drop in this series. With every game in the series prior to the last one seeing at least five total goals scored, I see this one following suit. 10* Over Bruins/Blues |
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06-06-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 54 h 60 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): I look to make it 4 in a row in the Stanley Cup Finals as this time it's back to the total after St. Louis came through for us so big in Game 4. Before that, it was the Under in Game 2 and the Over in Game 3, the latter being particularly easy as it cashed midway through the 2nd period and nine total goals were scored in the game. It's interesting that the only time the Under has cashed in the first four games came when four goals were scored in the first period. But then the only other goal scored was the game winner (by St. Louis) in overtime. Perhaps though, that was a necessary receipt for the way the Over cashed in Games 1 & 4. Both times it was a goal scored on an empty net in the final two minutes. I'm looking to go Under here as I think we can hopefully avoid either goalie getting pulled late. Also, the 1st period barrage of scoring we've seen in each of the L3 games should hopefully subside. There have been at least three total goals scored in the first 20 minutes of each of those last three games. Considering how well the two goaltenders have performed in the playoffs, that shouldn't be happening. The Blues definitely took advantage of Zdeno Chara's absence in Game 4, scoring twice in the third period. Chara reportedly broke his jaw and thus isn't likely to play here. Despite what happened to the Bruins w/o their captain on Monday, I think they're better suited to overcome any potential absence here. Tuukka Rask has faced a lot more shots than Jordan Binnington has in this series. While it might be hard to limit shots w/o Chara, Boston can do it. They are 12-6 Under this season off a loss by 2+ goals. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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06-03-19 | Bruins v. Blues -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
10* St. Louis (8:05 ET): The Blues were absolutely humiliated at home Saturday night, losing Game 3 by a score of 7-2. Rookie phenom Jordan Binnington got pulled (for the 1st time in his career)after allowing the first 5 goals and by that point (2nd period), the game was over. It was quite the embarrassing effort from St. Louis, which was hosting its first Stanley Cup Finals game in 49 years. But the good news is that it was just "one game." The Blues have generally been outstanding off a loss this postseason (5-1 SU) and I expect them to be in Game 4 as well. I've yet to play either side in a game, thinking this series was pretty evenly matched. The better team won in both Games 1 & 2, IMO, as each time (Bruins in Gm 1 & Blues in Gm 2) the winning side enjoyed a rather decided edge in shots on goals. St. Louis even had a 2-0 lead in Game 1 before eventually wilting and getting outshot 38-20. Despite being dominated Saturday, they are in no way that bad nor that inferior compared to Boston. They even finished w/ a slight edge in shots on goal (29-24). This is a great value here on the Blues at home. Yes, they're just 5-6 SU at home in the playoffs, which is somewhat shocking, especially considering they ended the regular season on a 14-2 SU run at the Enterprise Center. When off a SU loss this postseason, the Blues have not allowed more than two goals in any of the six games. So a bounce back effort from Binnington in particular, should be in order. Remember that he led the league in goals against average (1.87) in the regular season. After HC Craig Berube complaining about the officiating, I'd look for the Blues to spend less time in the penalty box here. The Bruins going 4 for 4 w/ the man advantage was absolutely huge in Game 3. That will not be happening again. The Blues are 7-3 SU the L10 times they've been off a loss by 3+ goals. That includes a win at San Jose in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals, a very similar spot to this. 10* St. Louis |
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06-01-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
8* Over Bruins/Blues (8:05 ET): Surprise! After going w/ the Under in the first two games, it's time to play the Over in Game 3 as the Stanley Cup Finals move to the Gateway City. Much of this has to do w/ the number changing. The Over hitting in Game 1, then the Under hitting in Game 2 definitely came in non-conventional ways. Game 1 was pretty low-scoring early on (1-0 Blues after 1st period), but then things picked up a damn empty-net goal cost us the Under. Game 2 looked bleak early w/ the game knotted 2-2 after the 1st period. But then there was no more scoring until the GW goal in OT. In each of the first two games, the winning side has enjoyed a rather drastic edge in shots on goal. It was 38-20 Bruins in Game 1, then 37-23 Blues in Game 2. Wednesday was Boston's 1st loss since April 30th (true!) as they'd been 8-0 this month. They've lost B2B games only once in the playoffs, that being Games 2-3 in Round 2 vs. Columbus. But after that is when the eight-game win streak came into play. There still have been only two games, both in the first round series vs. Toronto, that the Bruins surrendered more than three goals. But might Tuukka Rask's ridiculous playoff save percentage (.939) be set to regress? St. Louis has scored multiple goals in all but two games this postseason, one of those coming way back in the first round. But they are dealing w/ a Boston side that scored three or more goals seven times during the eight-game win streak. Perhaps Jordan Binnington, a rookie, is prepared to hit a similar "wall" like Rask. The Over is 4-1 the L5 times the Blues have allowed two or fewer goals their previous game. 8* Over Bruins/Blues |
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05-29-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): I'm still a bit upset from losing my *10* Total of the Year (Under) in Game 1. Not that I couldn't see it coming once St. Louis made the decision to pull the goalie. Still, that doesn't make the end result any less painful. I firmly believe Under was the right call for Game 1 and it sure was looking good early when it was a 1-0 game after the first period. But two quick goals at the start of the second changed the trajectory. But the Blues still only finished w/ 20 shots on goal and you have to think they have a bounce back game defensively here. I'm sticking w/ the Under for Game 2. There have been five previous instances of St. Louis allowing 4+ goals in a game this postseason, all of them ending up as losses. But after all four times they've bounced back defensively. They haven't always won, mind you, losing games to both Winnipeg and Dallas in Rounds 1 and 2. But in those five games after surrendering four or more goals, the Blues have allowed just 10 total goals or an average of only 2.0 per game. That's what I am expecting here as Jordan Binnington made 35 saves in Game 1 to up his save percentage from the L4 games to a sick .956. The Blues are 4-1 Under this postseason when trailing in the series. Boston is 4-1 Under when up in the series this postseason. Goalie Tuukka Rask has been great throughout the playoffs, posting a .940 save percentage, including .951 the L4 games. Going back to the second round, the Bruins have now allowed two goals or less in six straight games. They have not allowed more than three in any of the last 14 games and just twice the entire playoffs. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 77 h 25 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): St. Louis made the Stanley Cup Finals each of its first three years of existence (1968, '69, '70) as the playoff format back then was quite weird. Ironically, they have not made it back since... until now. Further irony is the team that they are facing in 2019 is the same one that beat them back in 1970, Boston. You've almost certainly read about this elsewhere by now as it led to the iconic Bobby Orr photo when the Bruins won the Cup. Despite being the only team in the league to make the playoffs every season in the 1990s, the Blues are the oldest franchise never to hoist Lord Stanley's Cup. Unlike many of the series in this NHL postseason, I do not have a firm position on who will win here. But I sure do like the Under for Game 1 Monday night in Beantown. The Bruins will have been off for a very long time (10 days!) when the puck finally drops at the TD North Bank Garden. They swept Carolina in the Eastern Conference Finals, holding the Hurricanes to just five goals in the four games. Appropriately, it was a 4-0 shutout in the close out game. Overall, the Bruins have won seven in a row and during that time they have given up just nine goals. In all but one of the seven games, they allowed two goals or fewer. Not to be outdone, St. Louis shut the door on San Jose in the Western Conference Finals, holding them to just two goals over the final three games. Their five days off between series would normally be substantial, but is quite modest compared to the amount of time Boston has had off. There was some rough defensive play early in the WCF, but the bottom line is the Blues have allowed two goals or fewer in seven of their last nine games. Rookie goalie Jordan Binnington has led the league in GAA (1.89) during the regular season. Boston's Tuukka Rask has a .942 save percentage in the playoffs. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues -156 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* St. Louis (8:05 ET): The Blues turned in a completely dominant performance in Game 5, battering and blanking the Sharks, 5-0. Having followed them throughout the playoffs, this is a little reminiscent of the last round where they picked up a huge road win in Dallas (won 4-1) before getting to close the series out at home in Game 7. St. Louis has closed out both previous series here on home ice, so while they may actually have a losing record here at the Enterprise Center in the postseason, they've won when it matters most. That trend continues tonight as I'll call for them to close out San Jose and move onto their 1st Stanley Cup Finals since 1970 (never won). The Game 5 loss was quite costly to the Sharks. Not only are they now down 3-2 in the series, but they are likely w/o three key players as their season is on the line tonight. Tomas Hertl and Joe Pavelski both suffered in-game injuries, the latter's coming on a big hit in the third period. Hertl was not only 2nd on the team in goals scored this postseason, but 3rd overall in the league. Then you have defenseman Erik Karlsson, who aggravated a groin injury that limited him in the regular season. Neither he nor Hertl played in the third period Sunday. All three injured players may miss tonight's game. Game 5 was a completely one-sided affair w/ the Blues outshooting the Sharks 40-21. Incredibly, the Blues were last in the league in points back on January 2nd. They are now one win away from their 1st SCF appearance in 49 years after making each of their first three years of existence (playoff rules were weird back then). While the Blues were the only team in the league to make the playoffs every year in the 1990's, they are also the oldest existing franchise never to win the Cup. So tonight's game definitely means a lot. I've written previously on how San Jose's scoring dips dramatically on the road. In the playoffs, they've scored just 18 goals in eight road games (been shut out twice). At home, they've scored 39 goals in 10 games. 10* St. Louis |
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05-19-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
10* Over Blues/Sharks (3:05 ET): I'm 2-1 in this series and quite frankly should be 3-0. Were it not for the Blues getting jobbed in overtime in Game 3, the record would be perfect. I came back w/ the Blues in Game 4 and they delivered a 2-1 win to tie the series up at 2-2. Of course, the easier winner was Game 1 where I had the Over and that was a winner midway through the second period as San Jose was able to take advantage of numerous defensive lapses by St. Louis and wound up winning 6-3. Game 4 is the only game in this series not to go Over so far. The first three games of the series saw 9, 6 and 9 total goals scored. I can't say that I'm surprised that the first two games went Over as San Jose home games have a habit of doing that. They are 31-18-2 Over this season, including 13-3 the L16. A big key in that is that the Sharks' scoring goes up dramatically at home to 3.7 goals per game. That's something we've noted numerous times throughout the playoffs whether playing on them or the Over here at home. Maybe Blues goalie Jordan Binnington has hit a rookie wall as his save percentage has dropped to .884 in this series. San Jose's Martin Jones is right around that number as well at .882. Jones had a sub-.900 save percentage in the regular season anyway. San Jose is going to be tough to stop here at home, but I also feel St. Louis is going to score a few goals as well. The Over is 4-0-1 the Blues' last five games as an underdog. 10* Over Blues/Sharks |
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05-17-19 | Sharks v. Blues -136 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
9* St. Louis (8:05 ET): The curious case of the Blues losing at home in the postseason continued on Wednesday in the most excruciating way possible as they lost in overtime to the Sharks, 5-4. It was bad enough that the Blues gave up the game-tying goal w/ just over a minute left in regulation. But then in OT they were hosed by the officials, who missed a hand pass that set up the winning goals for San Jose. Now St. Louis did trail early, 3-1, before storming back to score three straight goals. But I don't see them falling into any kind of similar hole for Game 4. In fact, I think it will be quite the opposite as they come out as the hungrier and more motivated team. The Blues are now just 3-5 SU on home ice in these playoffs, which I find it hard to wrap my head around. They ended the regular season on a 14-2 SU run here at the Enterprise Center. But I just can't see them losing again here, not w/ their season basically "hanging in the balance." Were they to fall down 3-1 in the series, which heads back to San Jose for Game 5, that would be big-time trouble. I talked about this in my Game 3 analysis, but the Sharks are not nearly as potent offensively on the road compared to at home (where they average 3.7 gpg for the year). Going into Game 3, San Jose was just 2-4 SU in playoff road games and had been outscored 21-12. So I was definitely surprised to see them strike early and often Wednesday night w/ three goals less than two minutes into the second period. In two of their four playoff losses on the road, the Sharks had been shutout. It was just the second time scoring more than three goals. Note that the first was Game 3 of the Colorado series and then they were shutout in the next game. Blues' goaltender Jordan Binnington led the league in GAA (1.89) in the regular season and bounces back here. 9* St. Louis |
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05-15-19 | Sharks v. Blues -131 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -131 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -105 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
10* Carolina (8:05 ET): The Hurricanes find themselves down in an 0-2 hole in the Eastern Conference Finals, but it's not as if they haven't been here before. Back in Round 1, they dropped Games 1 and 2 at Washington before storming to take back that series in seven games. They came into the ECF having won 8 of 9 overall. They allowed just five total goals in sweeping the Islanders in the last round, so the fact they have allowed *11* in two games to the Bruins is definitely downright shocking. Throughout the playoffs, I've leaned on Carolina's Corsi For % (best in the league during the regular season) and I won't deviate from that script here. Take them in Gm 3. I though the final score of Game 1 (5-2 Bruins) was pretty misleading. Carolina led going into the third period, but Boston scored four times in the final 20 minutes to take the 1-0 series lead. Two of those four goals came on the power play, just 28 seconds apart, and another was on an empty net. Game 2 was far more decisive w/ the Bruins scoring the game's first six goals (two per period) before the 'Canes struck for two late meaningless ones. The good news though is that Carolina is now back home where they have yet to taste defeat in these playoffs (5-0). They're also favored on the moneyline, another good sign here considering they are 23-5 the L28 times they've taken the ice as a ML fave. Carolina had only 23 shots on goal in Game 2, which is a very low number for them. They led the league in the regular season w/ an average of 34.4 shots per game. In Game 1, they actually outshot Boston. To go back to Corsi For %, it is a measure of how much time a team possesses the puck relative to its opponents. The Hurricanes also led the league in this department during the regular season. Because of that, I very much bought into this club as a "darkhorse" coming into the playoffs. Again, I'm not about to "abandon ship" now. 10* Carolina |
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05-12-19 | Hurricanes +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -201 | 28 h 16 m | Show |
6* Puck Line Carolina (3:05 ET): Please note that this is a puck line play only where I am taking the Hurricanes +1.5. Carolina is a team that has been kind to me in the past in these playoffs and if there's one key indicator of their "surprising" success, it would be Corsi For %, a metric that takes into account how much time a team is possessing the puck compared to its opponent. The Hurricanes were #1 in the league in this department during the regular season. Game 1 got away from them late here in Boston. I say they'll do no worse than a one-goal loss here. Game 1 was a 5-2 loss for the 'Canes, but note they actually led going into the third period, 2-1. The Bruins struck for four goals in the third period, a shocking output considering they allowed all of five goals total in the Islanders series (a 4-game sweep). The loss also snapped a 6-game win streak for Carolina, a streak which had seen them give up only nine goals total. After falling down 0-2 in the 1st round series to Washington, Carolina has won 8 of 10 and only once allowed more than three goals in a game before Game 1 of this series. They have gone a perfect 4-0 after the L4 times they allowed 5+ goals in a game. Boston has now won four straight and seven of its last nine games. Note that Game 1 turned w/ the Bruins scoring on back to back power plays, just 28 seconds apart. Note the Bruins' 4th goal came on an empty net. Petr Mrazek was back in goal for Carolina and made 23 saves and I don't think showed any ill-effects from the injury suffered in Game 2 against the Islanders. The Hurricanes outshot the Bruins in Game 1, nothing new for them as they led the league in shot per game differential in the regular season. Take the +1.5. 6* Puck Line Carolina (+1.5) |
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05-11-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 112 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
10* Over Blues/Sharks (8:05 ET): Home ice advantage figures to be vital in this year's Western Conference Finals between St. Louis and San Jose. After all, the home team has won the last five times these teams have played. Both teams also just won Game 7's at their respective rinks. I won with both in those winner take all spots, but now it's a new series where we are starting from scratch. Something I've stressed in previous analysis - as it pertains to the Sharks' home ice advantage - is how their goals per game average rises pretty dramatically when at home. Because of that, I'm on the Over in Game 1. For the record, San Jose averages 3.7 goals per game at home. The Over is 29-18-2 in all Sharks' home games and overall they were one of the top Over teams during the regular season. So even though the stakes are now as high as they've been all year - and St. Louis can be an excellent defensive team - an Game 1 going Over would be far from "out of the ordinary." Now, all three regular season meetings w/ the Blues did stay Under. The teams exchanged 4-0 shutouts, each winning on home ice, and then San Jose won the rubber match - in overtime - 3-2 on March 9th. But those first two games showed both teams are more than capable of scoring on the other. You'd actually have to go all the way back to the last time these teams met in the playoffs - May of '16 - to find the last matchup that produced an Over. Since then, it's been six Unders and three pushes in nine overall meetings. That said, the Over remains 10-2 in the Sharks' last 12 home games and those two Unders came in the last two games in the last series w/ Colorado. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Blues' last five road games. 10* Over Blues/Sharks |
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05-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Under Hurricanes/Bruins (8:05 ET): Given the importance I place on Corsi For %, it's no shock to me that Carolina has made the Conference Finals as they rank #1 in that key metric, which is a measure of puck possession. The 'Canes had a huge advantage in Corsi For % over their last opponent, the Islanders, so (again) it wasn't all that surprising to see them sweep that second round series. Since falling down 0-2 in Rd 1 to Washington, the Hurricanes have won 8 of 9 overall (including 6 straight). But the Bruins should prove to be their toughest opponent yet and I'm not yet willing to back Carolina on the road. Boston went the full seven games in Round 1 in order to oust Toronto. They needed only six to eliminate Columbus in Round 2. The Bruins are 6th in Corsi For %. They come into the Conference Finals on a three-game win streak. It was a 3-0 shutout in the series clincher (Monday) as they've done an outstanding job this postseason at stopping their opponents from scoring. Since losing 4-1 in Game 1 of the Toronto series, the Bruins have given up more than three goals only one time in the last 12 games. Goaltender Tuukka Rask has been playing out of his mind w/ a .955 even strength save percentage the L4 games. That's really not new for Rask and Boston as they were tied for 3rd in the regular season in fewest goals allowed. As for Carolina, they allowed just five goals - total - in the entire series w/ the Islanders. Something to monitor here is the only "rest vs. rust" debate as the Hurricanes have not played in almost a week. My view is that time off is more likely to adversely effect their play at the offensive end. There's some debate as to whom will start between the pipes here, but both Petr Mrazek and Curtis McElhinney have proven to be fine goaltenders. Both teams are top six in the league in fewest shots allowed. 10* Under Hurricanes/Bruins |
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05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -134 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* San Jose (9:05 ET): It wasn't until Game 5 of this series that I made a play on either side (did win w/ the Under in Game 4). I took San Jose, here at home, and they came through for me then as last week's top moneyline selection in NHL. I then called for them to close out the series in Game 6 Monday, but that proved to be a mistake as they lost in overtime, thus keeping alive the pattern that has seen the team alternate wins throughout the first six games. San Jose won a Game 7 in the first round, beating Vegas, and my view that the Sharks are the better team here hasn't changed. That previous Game 7 victory (over Vegas) was here at home and in my analysis for Game 5, I spoke of how important home ice advantage has been to the Sharks this season. The most obvious benefit has come in scoring as they average 3.7 goals per game at home. Now it was a low-scoring Game 5 (won 2-1), but the bottom line is that in seven home games this postseason, the Sharks have tallied 28 goals. Compare that to the six road games where they have managed only 12 goals (and been shutout twice). For the year, San Jose is 30-13-5 SU at home. Colorado has a losing road record (20-27 overall). Just like I have throughout the playoffs, I'll continue to cite Corsi For % as a key metric. It's a measure of how often a team controls the puck and in this regard, the Sharks are a far superior team to the Avs. They rank 3rd in the league in that metric while Colorado is only 17th, the only team remaining in the playoffs outside the top 10. The Avs are pretty fortunate to be 3-0 in overtime games this postseason. But I don't see them getting the job done here as they are averaging just 27 shots per game in the series. 10* San Jose |
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05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues -135 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show |
10* St. Louis (8:05 ET): The Blues were the hottest team in the league during the second half of the season. It was a remarkable turnaround for a team that actually had the fewest number of points (in the entire league!) on January 2nd. But, spurred on by a coaching change and a rookie goaltender, they've gone 31-15 SU the L46 games. The rookie goaltender (Jordan Binnington) led the league in goals against average (1.89) during the regular season. One thing that has surprised me though in these playoffs is that St. Louis has lost four times on home ice. But they closed out the Winnipeg series here at the Enterprise Center and now have a chance to do the same against Dallas here in Game 7 of Round 2. History will repeat itself here. Take the Blues. While they have lost four times here at home in the playoffs, the Blues have been proverbial road warriors, going 5-1 SU away from home. That includes a Game 6 victory in Dallas that kept them alive. They didn't just win Sunday afternoon either, they dominated. It was 4-1 final. What makes the home ice thing perplexing is that the Blues were a very good home team in the regular season, winning 14 of their last 16 times here heading into the playoffs. Dallas has managed to win 4 of 6 games on the road this postseason, including the last two here in the Gateway City, but they had a losing road record in the regular season and were outscored in the process. I continue to cite Corsi For % as a key metric this time of year. For those unaware, it is a measure of how long a team possesses the puck compared to its opponent. The Blues rank 9th in Corsi For % while the Stars are just 24th, which is the lowest among all remaining playoff teams. Then there is the matter of scoring. Dallas was only 28th in the league in goals per game during the regular season and only averaged 2.24 goals per game on the road, one of only three teams below 2.4 gpg. The Blues are 6-1 SU after scoring 2 goals or less their previous game. 10* St. Louis |
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05-06-19 | Sharks +105 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
10* San Jose (10:05 ET): I'm calling for the Sharks to end this series and move on to the Western Conference Finals where they'll await the winner of tomorrow night's Game 7 between Dallas and St. Louis. The Sharks delivered for me in Game 5 at home, beating the Avs 2-1 in a come from behind effort. They are now 6-2 SU vs. Colorado this season. Neither team has been able to win consecutive games in this series yet, but that changes here as the better team asserts itself. Though they did give up the game's first goal on Saturday, San Jose really dominated, outshooting the Avalanche 39-22. In my Game 5 analysis, I cited home ice advantage as a key reason to play San Jose. Game 6 is in Denver, but Corsi For % is a metric I like to focus on and in this key area, San Jose still has the advantage over Colorado. Corsi for % is a measure of how much time a team possesses the puck compared to its opponent and San Jose comes in ranked 3rd in the league. If you are skeptical of the metric, be aware that it foretold Columbus' history-making upset over Tampa Bay in Round 1 and Carolina ranks #1 in the league and we see how well they are doing right now. For the record, Colorado is just 17th in Corsi For %, which is third worst among the eight conference semifinalists. San Jose lost all 20 games it failed to score more than two goals in the regular season. But the good news for them is that here in the playoffs, they've already won two such games. They've done a good job defensively in the series, holding Colorado to an average of 2.4 goals and 27.4 shots per game. They've outshot them in four straight games. The really good news is that the Sharks have won four straight times after being held to two games or less the previous game. The Avs have actually lost five of the last seven times they've been a ML home favorite of -150 or less. 10* San Jose |
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05-05-19 | Blues +111 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 111 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
10* St. Louis (3:05 ET): I had the Blues as the better team coming into the series, but after losing Game 5 at home, they are facing elimination on Sunday, down 3 games to 2. Making the challenge even more difficult is the fact they now have to win Game 6 in Dallas. But winning on the road has not been a problem for the Blues this postseason as the took all three games in Winnipeg back in Round 1, then split w/ the Stars here in Games 3 and 4. I haven't given up faith yet and will take the Blues to stay alive. I'll continue to cite Corsi For % as the basis for me thinking St. Louis is the better team here. In this key metric, the Blues rank 9th in the league, which is vastly superior to Dallas, who are just 24th. For those unfamiliar, Corsi For % is a measure of how often a team possesses the puck compared to its opponent. The Stars were also just 28th in the league in scoring during the regular season, so I'm surprised to see that they have scored 15 times in the five games vs. St. Louis. They were the lowest scoring team among all playoff entrants. Yes, the Stars were 2nd in the regular season in goals allowed, but the Blues weren't far behind at 5th. Over the second half of the season, St. Louis was arguably the hottest team in the league. So I don't think they're ready to bow out just yet. Even after losing Games 4 & 5, they are still 30-15 SU in their last 45 games. Rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington led the league in goals against average (1.89) during the regular season and was arguably the key reason the team was able to go from having the fewest # of points in the league on January 2nd to making the playoffs. The Blues are 6-1 the L7 times they've been priced as the underdog, so I'll take them again here. 10* St. Louis |
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05-04-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -128 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
10* San Jose (10:05 ET): Similar to the St. Louis-Dallas series, I view one of the teams (San Jose) as vastly superior in this series. But after mainly concentrating on the Under here (cashed it in Game 4), I'm finally ready to play on the Sharks. The series is now tied at two games apiece after the Avs won Game 4 by a score of 3-0. But if the regular season and playoffs have taught us anything, it's that we should expect more scoring from the Sharks here in San Jose. They average 3.7 goals per game on home ice and given they are still 5-2 this season vs. the Avs, I like them in this spot quite a bit. Corsi For % is a metric I like to focus on and in this key area, San Jose has the advantage over Colorado. Corsi for % is a measure of how much time a team possesses the puck compared to its opponent and San Jose comes in ranked 3rd in the league. If you are skeptical of the metric, be aware that it foretold Columbus' history-making upset over Tampa Bay in Round 1 and Carolina ranks #1 in the league and we see how well they are doing right now. For the record, Colorado is just 17th in Corsi For %, which is third worst among the eight conference semifinalists. Home ice advantage is also crucial here w/ the Sharks getting two of the next three (if necessary) games here in San Jose. While the Sharks are a strong home team, Colorado has a losing road record. Another key trend is that San Jose is 38-18 SU following a loss by 3+ goals. While they have scored just nine goals in five road games so far in the playoffs (shut out twice), the Sharks have scored 26 goals in the six home games. In goal, I feel Martin Jones has outplayed Philip Grubauer in this series. That's backed up by the former having a slightly higher save percentage. Sharks win this critical Game 5. 10* San Jose |
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05-03-19 | Stars v. Blues -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* St. Louis (9:35 ET): I came into this series believing that St. Louis was the better team. I had them in Game 3 - a wild 4-3 win at Dallas - that had them take a 2-1 series lead. But now things are tied up a two games apiece after Game 4, which was won by the Stars 4-2 on Wednesday. It may sound a little bit odd to think the Blues are definitely the better team here. After all, they have a losing record (3-5 SU) vs. Dallas this season. But I'll continue to cite their Corsi For %, which is vastly superior to Dallas. The Blues rank 9th in that key metric while the Stars are just 24th. St. Louis entered the playoffs as arguably the hottest team in the Western Conference. Even after losing Game 4, they are still 30-14 SU in their last 44 games. Rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington led the league in goals against average (1.89) during the regular season and was arguably the key reason the team was able to go from having the fewest # of points in the league on January 2nd to making the playoffs. Binnington hasn't exactly been at his best the L3 games, but the Blues have still won 75% of the time (30-10) when he's between the pipes, including a 16-5 SU mark at home. Dallas ranked just 28th in the league in goals per game during the regular season, so I'm definitely surprised that they've been able to find the back of the net 11 times in the last three games. They were the lowest scoring team entering the playoffs. While #2 in goals allowed, the Blues weren't far behind at #5. The Stars are just 19-39 SU their L58 games as a ML road underdog of +150 or less. I think this is a good price to fade them in what shapes up as the key game of this series. The Blues have won four straight times after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Seeing as I think they're the better team, I almost have to take them here. 10* St. Louis |
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05-02-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
10* Under Avalanche/Sharks (10:05 ET): Each of the last two games in this series, I've felt "ripped off" on an Under play. Game 2 was ridiculous. Four goals were scored in the final 10 minutes, the last two coming in the final 62 seconds of regulation. Then in Game 3, the "knife" was again stuck in late w/ San Jose tacking on an "insurance" goal w/ just 30 seconds left to make it a 4-2 win. Again, three goals were scored in the final 10 minutes of regulation. The Over has now hit in all six meetings between the teams this season. Enough is enough already. I'm playing the Under again. In what has turned into a wide open Stanley Cup Playoffs (all 4 division champs from reg season eliminated in 1st round), the Sharks are now the betting favorite to hoist the Cup according to the oddsmakers. They're not an overwhelming favorite by any means, but being up 2-1 in this series definitely helps. They are now 5-1 vs. Colorado this season. While it may feel like "beating my head against the wall" when it comes to playing the Under here, it should be noted that the Under is 4-1-1 in their last six road games. In three games in Vegas in Round 1, they were held to only five goals total. They don't score nearly as many goals per game on the road as they do at home. The Avs have been held to just two goals in each loss so far in the series. Despite what happened in Game 3, the Under is still 4-1-1 the L6 times they have been favored to win on home ice. In Game 2, they certainly showed they are capable of slowing the Sharks down as they held them to just 1 goal for almost 55 minutes. In Game 3, they held them to two goals for nearly 52 minutes. Remember that in the Game 7 vs. Vegas, the Sharks were able to take advantage of a controversial power play (5 min major) by scoring four times. In baseball, we'd call this cluster luck. Whatever you want to call it, I feel that this game stays Under. 10* Under Avalanche/Sharks |
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04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
10* Under Avalanche/Sharks (10:05 ET): Sunday night, I appeared all set to finish off a perfect 8-0 weekend w/ the Under on Game 2 of Avs-Sharks. It was a 2-1 game w/ less than 10 minutes left in regulation and the total (for most) was 6.0. (I'd personally bet it at 6.5). Imagine my surprise then when I clicked over after watching "Game of Thrones" and saw the final score was 4-3! That's a really bad break, especially considering each team scored in the final minute and the final goal came w/ just 11 seconds left. I'll stick w/ the Under for Game 3 as it should more closely resemble what we saw for the first 2 1/2 periods on Sunday. The Over is now 5-0 in head to head meetings between these teams this season. There has been at least seven goals scored in every game. But there's a "first time for everything," just like there was for the Avs finally beating the Sharks on Sunday. Prior to that, they were 0-4 vs. San Jose this season. So now it's the Under's "turn" to deliver as we should see the game "tighten up" as the stakes get higher. The next two games are in Colorado where the Avalanche allowed just two goals in each game in the first round series vs. Calgary. Overall, San Jose has been one of the top Over teams in the league this year (53-35-3 all games), but they don't score as much on the road. In the three first round games at Vegas, the Sharks scored all of five goals and were shut out once. Prior to Game 2, they had scored exactly five goals in three straight home games. I think the offense is about to start to subside. The same holds true for Colorado. Going back to last season, the Over is 8-1 the L9 head to head meetings, but look for this one to be different as we've already seen the matchup being capable of producing a low-scoring game (just look at those first 2 1/2 periods in Game 2). 10* Under Avalanche/Sharks |
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Bryan Power NHL Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-14-20 | Bruins -138 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
01-13-20 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -133 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
01-12-20 | Penguins v. Coyotes -110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
01-11-20 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
01-10-20 | Senators v. Red Wings +100 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
01-09-20 | Predators -134 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
01-09-20 | Canucks v. Panthers -143 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
01-07-20 | Canadiens -160 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
01-06-20 | Jets v. Canadiens -141 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -141 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
01-06-20 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs -208 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -208 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
01-04-20 | Sharks v. Blue Jackets -138 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -138 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
01-02-20 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
12-31-19 | Blackhawks v. Flames -183 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -183 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
12-31-19 | Jets v. Avalanche -201 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -201 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
12-31-19 | Lightning -170 v. Sabres | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
12-29-19 | Canucks v. Flames -175 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
12-28-19 | Canadiens v. Lightning -180 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
12-27-19 | Wild v. Avalanche -175 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
12-23-19 | Panthers v. Lightning -174 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
12-21-19 | Devils v. Blue Jackets -180 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
12-19-19 | Islanders v. Bruins -180 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
12-17-19 | Predators v. Islanders -139 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
12-16-19 | Avalanche +104 v. Blues | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
12-15-19 | Flyers v. Jets -145 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
12-13-19 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
12-12-19 | Rangers v. Sharks -150 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
12-12-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
12-12-19 | Oilers v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
12-08-19 | Sabres v. Oilers OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
12-06-19 | Coyotes v. Penguins -162 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
12-04-19 | Blues v. Penguins -118 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
12-03-19 | Senators v. Canucks -152 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
12-03-19 | Coyotes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
12-01-19 | Oilers v. Canucks -123 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
11-29-19 | Blues v. Stars -148 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -148 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
11-29-19 | Maple Leafs -167 v. Sabres | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -167 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
11-27-19 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings OVER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
11-27-19 | Panthers v. Capitals -158 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
11-25-19 | Flames v. Penguins -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
11-24-19 | Hurricanes -172 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
11-20-19 | Capitals v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
11-19-19 | Jets v. Predators -175 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
11-17-19 | Sabres v. Blackhawks -130 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
11-16-19 | Capitals v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
11-16-19 | Rangers v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
11-15-19 | Penguins -134 v. Devils | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -134 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
11-14-19 | Stars v. Canucks -145 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
11-14-19 | Coyotes v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
11-14-19 | Hurricanes -134 v. Sabres | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
11-13-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -217 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -217 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
11-12-19 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens -171 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
11-09-19 | Predators -126 v. Sharks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -126 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
11-07-19 | Canucks -129 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -129 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
11-05-19 | Blues v. Canucks -125 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
11-04-19 | Predators -185 v. Red Wings | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
11-02-19 | Flames -130 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
11-01-19 | Sabres v. Capitals -177 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10-30-19 | Oilers v. Blue Jackets -145 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10-29-19 | Lightning -187 v. Rangers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -187 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10-25-19 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights -153 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -153 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
10-24-19 | Capitals -128 v. Oilers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -128 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
10-23-19 | Red Wings v. Senators -124 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10-22-19 | Oilers v. Wild -121 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10-20-19 | Capitals -131 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10-18-19 | Rangers v. Capitals -200 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10-17-19 | Wild v. Canadiens -155 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
10-15-19 | Predators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10-14-19 | Oilers v. Blackhawks -135 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10-13-19 | Flames v. Sharks -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10-10-19 | Bruins v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10-09-19 | Kings v. Canucks -162 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10-08-19 | Oilers v. Islanders -155 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
10-08-19 | Stars v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10-04-19 | Jets v. Devils -141 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -141 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
10-03-19 | Sabres v. Penguins -160 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10-02-19 | Capitals v. Blues -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 46 h 50 m | Show |
06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show |
06-06-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 54 h 60 m | Show |
06-03-19 | Bruins v. Blues -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
06-01-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
05-29-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 77 h 25 m | Show |
05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues -156 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
05-19-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
05-17-19 | Sharks v. Blues -136 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
05-15-19 | Sharks v. Blues -131 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -131 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -105 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
05-12-19 | Hurricanes +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -201 | 28 h 16 m | Show |
05-11-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 112 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
05-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -134 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues -135 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show |
05-06-19 | Sharks +105 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
05-05-19 | Blues +111 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 111 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
05-04-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -128 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
05-03-19 | Stars v. Blues -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
05-02-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 59 m | Show |