Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-24 | Heat v. Magic UNDER 215.5 | Top | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
Southeast Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Orlando at 6:10 pm et on Sunday. If the Magic are going to shake out of their extended funk it's likely going to have to come on the strength of their defense. They've clearly lost their mojo offensively, making good on fewer than 40 field goals in six straight games. You would have to go back 14 games to find the last time they connected on more than 44 field goals. The good news is, Orlando continues to play tough defense having held seven straight opponents to 43 or fewer field goals. Miami is in a similar situation as it has connected on 41 or fewer field goals in an incredible 11 straight and 15 of its last 16 games. Also in a similar vein to the Magic, the Heat have held four of their last five foes to 40 or fewer made field goals. Note that the 'under' is 21-11 in Orlando's last 32 games following a double-digit home loss, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 11-4 in the Magic's last 15 contests when seeking revenge for a loss by three points or less against an opponent, which is also the situation against the Heat on Sunday. Miami has seen the 'under' go 6-2 in its last eight games following an upset loss against a divisional opponent. Take the under (10*). |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions OVER 49 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 51 h 49 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Detroit at 3 pm et on Sunday. This game has shootout potential. The same thing could have been said for the Lions matchup with the Rams last week but the scoring fizzled in the second half following a blazing hot start from the two offenses. Here, I expect both teams to score early and often. The Buccaneers draw a favorable matchup from an offensive standpoint but a tough one defensively. QB Baker Mayfield is playing the best football of his NFL career right now and were it not for a couple of drops on potential big plays to veteran WR Mike Evans last Monday, Tampa Bay probably would have approached 40 points against what was once considered an elite Eagles defense. Here, the Bucs draw a Lions defense that can't stop the pass. Yes, Detroit has snuffed out opposing ground attacks but that's not really what Tampa Bay is all about right now. We've already seen the Bucs offense thrive in previous indoor games this season, scoring 20 points in Minnesota, 26 in New Orleans, 37 in Houston, 20 in Indianapolis and 29 in Atlanta. QB Jared Goff and the Lions explosive offense should continue to cook in this plus matchup on Sunday. The Bucs will do what they do defensively and that involves plenty of blitzing. Goff should eat them up with quick passes, noting that the Lions possess a rock solid offensive line and one of the best blocking running backs in football in David Montgomery. It's a pick your poison type of situation for the Tampa Bay defense. The Bucs will have to hope their offense can keep pace all afternoon long. Note that the 'over' is 7-2 in Tampa Bay's last nine road games as an underdog of seven points or less, as is the case here at the time of writing. The 'over' is certainly flashing for the Lions noting that the 'over' has gone a perfect 5-0 in their last five games following a win by three points or less, 19-11 in their last 30 contests played indoors and a long-term 122-103 when coming off an 'under' result. Take the over (10*). |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
AFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Baltimore at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. This total has dropped considerably since opening in part due to weather concerns with cold temperatures and potentially gusting winds playing a factor. I'm not overly concerned. The first meeting between these two teams this season was a bit of a stinker as Baltimore rolled to a 25-9 victory. Needless to say, the Texans are a much different team now than they were then (that previous matchup came in Week 1). Rookie QB C.J. Stroud is the real deal. I like the way this Texans offense has evolved over the course of the season. As good as the Ravens defense is, it is by no means perfect. Baltimore has actually allowed 4.5 yards per rush this season. Going back to mid-October, the Ravens were torched for 120+ rushing yards in eight of their last 12 games. There's undoubtedly a path forward for the Texans offense here and I'm confident we'll see them play loose. Head coach DeMeco Ryans is defensive-minded without question but I like the way he let the offense cook down the stretch and certainly in last week's playoff opener against Cleveland. Note that Houston has scored 20+ points in nine of its last 11 games, only failing to reach that number in a game where Stroud suffered a concussion and then when he missed the next week. Of note, Baltimore will be without top CB Marlon Humphrey for this game, easing the matchup for Texans breakout WR Nico Collins as well. Enough about the Texans, let's talk about the Ravens electric offense. I don't think Houston is going to have many answers against a well-rested Baltimore offense. The Texans haven't performed particularly well against the pass, in fact they've been downright awful in that regard at times. They've also struggled to contain opposing quarterbacks on the ground, yielding seven rushing touchdowns over the course of the season. Everything is on the table for the Baltimore offense here and I don't expect it to take its foot off the gas pedal for one moment in this game. Note that the 'over' is 23-15 in the Texans last 38 games when seeking revenge for a loss by 14 points or more against an opponent. When that previous blowout loss came on the road the 'over' has gone 15-7 in their last 22 contests. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 6-3 in the Ravens last nine games following a loss against a division opponent, as is the case here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-19-24 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 237.5 | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and New Orleans at 8:10 pm et on Friday. I'm not buying the high posted total in this matchup as the Suns and Pelicans both come in rested in advance of Friday's matchup in New Orleans. Note that the Suns have been held to 46 or fewer made field goals in each of their last 10 games. On the flip side, they've limited 14 of their last 15 opponents to 46 or fewer made field goals. Of course, that's a reasonably high number of field goals to knock down in a game but not when we're dealing with a total approaching 240 points. The Pelicans have proven to be elite defensively this season. They enter Friday's contest having held an incredible 12 of their last 13 opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. That's no fluke. You would have to go back six games to find the last time a New Orleans opponent managed to get off more than 90 field goal attempts. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have knocked down 44 or fewer field goals in four straight games. Note that the 'over' has cashed in five straight meetings in this series. That's the longest streak since 2019-20. That previous 'over' streak ended at five games as the next meeting totalled just 197 points. Take the under (8*). |
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01-19-24 | St. Peter's v. Fairfield UNDER 135.5 | Top | 67-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
MAAC Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Peter's and Fairfield at 7 pm et on Friday. Fairfield is riding a six-game 'over' streak entering Friday's matchup against St. Peter's. I believe that streak is in serious jeopardy here, however, as the Peacocks roll into town sporting a top-100 defense (in terms of KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency rankings) but an exceptionally slow (and reasonably weak) offense. Fairfield's defensive play has been subpar for most of the season but I question whether St. Peter's can take full advantage. The Peacocks did score 81 points in their most recent game but that was against a lifeless Manhattan squad. Note that St. Peter's has been held to 22 or fewer made field goals in seven of its last eight games. On the flip side, it has incredibly held all 14 opponents it has faced this season to 24 or fewer made field goals. Note that the 'under' is 18-11 in the Peacocks last 29 games following an in-conference victory. The 'under' is also 13-8 in their last 21 contests following a double-digit win. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 13-4 in the Stags last 17 games following a double-digit win in an underdog role, as is the case here. When that win came on the road, the 'under' has gone a perfect 9-0 over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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01-18-24 | Rangers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. You would have to go back eight meetings in this series, all the way to December of 2018 to find the last time we saw an 'over' result. I expect goals to come at a premium on Thursday as well. New York checks in off consecutive wins, rebounding from its recent four-game losing streak. Note that the Rangers have gone 13-9 on the road this season, where they've allowed just 2.8 goals per game. The 'under' is 32-26 in their last 58 contests following a win by three goals or more, as is the case here. While the Golden Knights have struggled to find the win column lately they have continued to play tough defensive hockey. Note that Vegas has held the opposition to just 2.3 goals per game on home ice this season. The Knights will need to continue to lean on that defense with a number of key contributors sidelined, including Jack Eichel. Note that the 'under' is 27-19 in Vegas' last 46 games following a home win in which it scored four goals or more. Take the under (10*). |
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01-17-24 | Canadiens v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Canadiens aren't rolling over for anyone right now, noting they've gone just 2-3 over their last five games but none of those losses came by more than a single goal. They should be feeling pretty good about themselves entering Wednesday's matchup in Newark as they're fresh off a 4-3 win over the Avalanche on Monday. The Devils will undoubtedly be in a foul mood following Monday's 3-0 shutout loss in Boston. Scoring hasn't really been an issue for the Devils lately, even without Jack Hughes among others. New Jersey had scored 21 goals over its previous five games prior to Monday's setback. The problem for the Devils here at home this season has been their inability to keep the puck out of their own net as they've allowed 3.7 goals per contest. Note that the 'over' is 13-8 in the Canadiens last 21 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 21-13 in the Devils last 34 contests following a road loss by three goals or more and 10-7 in their last 17 games following a loss of any sort. Take the over (10*). |
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01-16-24 | Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. These two teams just met in Arizona less than a week ago with the Flames skating to a 6-2 victory. The Coyotes rebounded nicely from that loss, opening their current road trip with a 6-0 rout of the Wild in Minnesota on Saturday. The Flames are locked-in defensively right now having held eight of their last nine opponents to three goals or less. Calgary has held opponents to just 2.9 goals per game at home this season and interestingly, Arizona has limited the opposition to an identical 2.9 goals per contest on the road. Note that the 'under' is 14-9 in the Coyotes last 23 games when seeking revenge for a loss by four goals or more against an opponent. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 19-9 in Calgary's last 28 contests after scoring three goals or more in four consecutive games, as is the case here. Additionally, the 'under' is 10-6 in the Flames last 16 games following consecutive road wins. Take the under (8*). |
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01-16-24 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson OVER 150.5 | Top | 93-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Georgia Tech and Clemson at 9 pm et on Tuesday. This one sets up as a high-scoring affair between two struggling ACC squads on Tuesday. Georgia Tech has lost five straight games, going 1-4 ATS over that stretch. The Yellow Jackets do play an entertaining brand of basketball if nothing else having knocked down 25 or more field goals in seven of their last eight contests. The problem is they've operated a matador-like defense, allowing their four ACC foes to date to connect on 31, 35, 24 and 27 field goals. They were fortunate in the latter two games as both Notre Dame and Duke shot poorly but actually got into the 60's in terms of field goal attempts. In fact, four straight and 12 of Georgia Tech's last 15 opponents have hoisted up at least 60 field goal attempts. Clemson snapped a three-game losing streak with an 89-78 win over Boston College last time out. The Tigers have been outstanding offensively, knocking down 30 or more field goals in five of their last seven games. On the flip side, they've allowed three of their four ACC opponents to make good on 30 or more field goals. Note that the 'over' is 17-13 in the Yellow Jackets last 30 games following an in-conference loss. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 24-19 in Clemson's last 43 contests off an ATS victory. Take the over (10*). |
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01-16-24 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 142.5 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
Big 12 Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Baylor and Kansas State at 8 pm et on Wednesday. Kansas State faces a tall task as it looks to avoid a two-game skid when it hosts Baylor on Tuesday. The Bears have been ultra-efficient offensively this season, ranking fourth in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency (according to KenPom). I do question whether we'll see Baylor thrive in this particular matchup, however, noting that Kansas State has held four straight opponents to 22 or fewer made field goals and seven of its last nine foes to 23 or less. In fact, the Wildcats check in 31st in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency (also according to KenPom). Neither team really pushes the pace with the Bears ranking 219th and the Wildcats' 267th in adjusted tempo. Note that the 'under' is 11-3 in Baylor's last 14 games following a win by six points or less, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 27-19 in Kansas State's last 46 contests off an ATS win but SU loss as an underdog. Take the under (10*). |
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01-16-24 | Nuggets v. 76ers OVER 227.5 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Philadelphia at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. This matchup features two of the league's better defensive teams to be sure but it hasn't necessarily looked like that lately. Denver enters this contest having allowed six straight opponents to knock down more than 40 field goals. While the 76ers have had their issues offensively over the last couple of weeks, we have seen them start to push the pace a little, hoisting up 90+ field goal attempts in six of their last 10 games. Denver has had no such issues offensively, connecting on 48, 48, 47, 37, 50 and 46 field goals over its last six contests. The scoring opportunities should be there on Tuesday, noting that Philadelphia, while generally stout defensively, has allowed five of its last six opponents to get off 88 or more field goal attempts. Note that the 'over' is 40-23 in the Nuggets last 63 games after losing four or five of their last six games ATS, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 53-39 in Philadelphia's last 92 contests as a favorite. Take the over (8*). |
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01-15-24 | Canucks v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Columbus at 1:05 pm et on Monday. The Blue Jackets have predictably struggled this season while the Canucks have been the talk of the league, in the conversation for the best team in hockey. This is admittedly a difficult spot for Vancouver as it wraps up a long seven-game road trip having already won five of the first six contests. The Canucks are coming off a 1-0 victory in Buffalo on Saturday. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 5-0 when Vancouver comes off a game in which it scored one goal or less this season. The 'over' is also 13-9 in the Canucks last 22 contests following a game that totalled three goals or less. The Blue Jackets limp into this matchup having lost three games in a row. They've giving up 3.6 goals per game on home ice this season. The 'over' is 31-16 in their last 47 games following three straight losses. Columbus has been downright sieve-like defensively over the last three weeks, allowing four goals or more in three straight and seven of its last nine games overall. The 'over' is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams in Columbus. Take the over (8*). |
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01-13-24 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. While I do think the Maple Leafs have the offense to keep pace with the Avalanche, I question whether their defense and goaltending can hang in this matchup. The Leafs let the Islanders off the hook two nights ago on Long Island and that's been a common theme this season. Toronto returns home on Saturday but has given up an average of 3.5 goals per game at Scotiabank Arena. The good news is, the Leafs have averaged 3.9 goals per contest at home. Colorado's offense has lagged at times this season, particularly on the road where it averages only 3.0 goals per game. It should be feeling pretty good about itself here, however, noting that it has scored 40 goals over its last 10 games. Note that the 'over' is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in this series. Take the over (10*). |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans OVER 44.5 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
Wild Card Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Houston at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I think the Browns can score at will in this game as they look to continue their upward trajectory with veteran QB Joe Flacco under center. Cleveland was a run-first team earlier in the season, rushing the ball more than 30 times in eight of its first nine games. It was a much different story down the stretch, however, as the Browns ran the football at least 30 times just once in their final eight contests. They'll undoubtedly deploy a similar strategy here as the Texans simply don't have the personnel in place to stop the pass. On the flip side, I don't think we can rule out the Texans staying competitive in this game. When they faced the Browns on Christmas Eve they scored 22 points despite accomplishing very little with Case Keenum and Davis Mills running the offense. The Browns defense simply hasn't travelled well this season, allowing at least 22 points in all eight road games with the 'over' cashing at a perfect 8-0 clip. Note that the 'over' is 29-15 in the Texans last 44 home games following consecutive 'under' results, as is the case here. I also strongly believe this game has the potential for 'splash' plays from the two defenses, potentially leading to points on the board. Flacco has admittedly been turnover-prone. C.J. Stroud, while the front-runner for offensive rookie of the year, will be up against a ball-hawking Browns secondary that looks like it will have the services of CB Denzel Ward after he tweaked his knee at practice earlier this week. Take the over (10*). |
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01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets UNDER 229.5 | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Denver at 9:10 pm et on Friday. Few are paying nearly enough attention but the Pelicans continue to dominate defensively having held an incredible nine straight opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals and 13 consecutive foes to 41 or less. Yes, the Pelicans have gone off offensively in their last two games, knocking down 50 and 54 field goals in wins over the Kings and Warriors but they'll face a more difficult challenge against the defending champion Nuggets in Denver on Friday. The Nuggets will undoubtedly be in a foul mood after getting blasted by the Jazz in Utah two nights ago. The Jazz quite simply shot the lights out in that contest. Denver has still held 10 of its last 11 opponents to 90 or fewer field goal attempts. At home, the Nuggets have limited the opposition to an average of 41-of-88 shooting. Note that the 'under' is 40-25 in the Pelicans last 65 games off a double-digit victory. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 13-9 in the Nuggets last 22 contests following an upset loss by double-digits. Take the under (8*). |
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01-12-24 | Quinnipiac v. Marist UNDER 139.5 | Top | 66-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
MAAC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Quinnipiac and Marist at 7 pm et on Friday. This game features a contrast in styles as Quinnipiac ranks 30th in the nation in adjusted tempo according to KenPom while Marist checks in 303rd in that same category. It won't be easy for the Bobcats to bait the Red Foxes into an up-and-down affair here, however, noting that Marist has hoisted up 60 or more field goal attempts just twice this season. Meanwhile, the Red Foxes have held the opposition to just 17, 21, 16 and 19 made field goals in their four home games this season. I do think Marist can control the tempo here as a short home favorite. Note that the Red Foxes are coming off three straight losses while Quinnipiac made the most of its two MAAC home games last weekend, going 2-0. While the Bobcats have proven rather vulnerable defensively this season, they should benefit from facing Marist here. The Red Foxes have knocked down more than 23 field goals just twice in their last seven contests. The 'under' is 16-10 in the Bobcats last 26 games following consecutive wins. The 'under' is also 9-3 in the Red Foxes last 12 contests following consecutive ATS defeats. Finally, the 'under' is 62-46 in Marist's last 108 games after giving up 80 points or more in its previous contest. Take the under (10*). |
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01-11-24 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 237 | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Lakers may have scored 132 points in Tuesday's controversial win over the Raptors but they actually got off just 81 field goal attempts in that contest, continuing a recent trend. Los Angeles has hoisted up 85 or fewer field goal attempts in five straight games. The 44 field goals they knocked down on Tuesday marked a high point over their last six contests. The Suns have had two full days to digest an ugly defensive showing in a 138-111 loss to the Clippers on Monday. They've still limited four of their last five opponents to 85 or fewer field goal attempts. Given the pieces they have in place you would think that Phoenix would be lighting up the scoreboard this season but that simply hasn't been the case. They enter this game having connected on 44 or fewer field goals in five of their last six contests. On the road this season they're averaging only 40 made field goals per game while the Lakers are giving up an average of just 41 at home. Note that the 'under' is 31-26 in Phoenix's last 57 games following consecutive 'over' results, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 14-7 in its last 21 contests after losing its previous game by 15 points or more. Meanwhile, the 'under' is a long-term 45-24 in the Lakers last 69 home games with a total set at 230 points or higher. The 'under' is also 33-26 in their last 59 contests after scoring 130 points or more in their previous game. Take the under (8*). |
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01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. Vegas skated to a stunning 7-0 home win over Colorado in the first meeting between these two teams this season. I expect a game played much closer to the vest in Wednesday's rematch. Note that you would have to go back six meetings here in Colorado to find the last time a game went 'over' the total. The Avalanche are coming off a string of high-scoring games but we'll note that the 'under' is 7-1 in their last eight home games after scoring three goals or more in five consecutive games, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 13-4 in the Avs last 17 contests after allowing three goals or more in four straight games. The Golden Knights have posted an all-time 110-124 o/u mark when coming off a game that totalled seven goals or more, which is the situation here. The 'under' is also 42-34 all-time with the Knights off a home win by three goals or more. Take the under (8*). |
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01-10-24 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 233.5 | Top | 141-105 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Golden State at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Warriors were embarrassed on their home floor against the Raptors on Sunday, allowing 133 points as they suffered their fifth loss in their last seven games. I expect them to tighten the screws against a familiar opponent on Wednesday as they host the red hot Pelicans. Note that Golden State has held New Orleans to 42 or fewer made field goals in seven of eight meetings going back to the start of the 21-22 season. The Pelicans are quietly as locked-in as it gets defensively right now. They've allowed 42 or fewer made field goals in an incredible 14 straight games. They've also held seven of their last 10 opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts. The Warriors have been a mixed bag offensively and check in averaging just 41-of-90 shooting at home this season. While the 'over' did cash in the first meeting between these two teams this season, we haven't seen consecutive matchups go 'over' the total since the 2018-19 season. Take the under (10*). |
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01-09-24 | Raptors v. Lakers OVER 233.5 | Top | 131-132 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Los Angeles at 10:40 pm et on Tuesday. While few are paying much attention, the Raptors have gone on an offensive tear lately, knocking down 44 or more field goals in six of their last eight games with the 'over' cashing at a 6-2 clip over that stretch. The Lakers were fortunate to catch the Clippers on an off shooting night on Sunday as they allowed 91 field goal attempts but the Clips could only make good on 36 of them. While the Lakers have generally been able to slow down the opposition this season, we've seen a bit of a sputter lately as two of their last three foes have hoisted up more than 90 field goal attempts. The Raptors don't always play fast but they're definitely making the most of their scoring opportunities right now and I like the rhythm they're in having played every second night going back to December 30th. On the flip side, you would have to go back 11 games to find the last time Toronto held an opponent to fewer than 40 made field goals. Of their last 10 opponents, seven have knocked down at least 43 field goals. Their last two foes have reached the 100 mark in terms of field goal attempts. For the Lakers, this will be their fourth straight home game and I expect them to come out with plenty of energy following an off day on Monday. While Sunday's game against the Clippers did stay 'under' the total, the Lakers haven't produced consecutive 'under' results since a four-game streak from December 2nd to 9th. Take the over (10*). |
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01-09-24 | Houston v. Iowa State UNDER 131.5 | Top | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Big 12 Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Iowa State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Iowa State has been able to force the issue offensively this season to generally positive results. It ranks 88th in the country in adjusted tempo according to KenPom. The Cyclones figure to face a stiff challenge here, however, as they host undefeated Houston. The Cougars sit 325th in the nation in adjusted tempo and no team ranks higher in terms of adjusted defensive efficiency. In fact, only one of Houston's 14 opponents this season has managed to knock down 20 or more field goals. As I mentioned, Iowa State has shown out offensively at times but when stepping up in class (in games where the pointspread has closed at six points or less) it has been held to 62 points against Virginia Tech, 69 points against Texas A&M and most recently 63 points against Oklahoma this past Saturday. For Houston, this will be just its second true road game this season. In the Cougars lone previous road tilt they scored just 66 points in a six-point victory at Xavier. Note that the 'under' is 22-12 in the Cougars last 34 games following a double-digit home win, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'under' has gone 22-13 in Iowa State's last 35 contests following an ATS loss and 14-8 in its last 22 games after a loss against an conference opponent. Take the under (10*). |
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01-07-24 | Canisius v. Rider OVER 147 | Top | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Canisius and Rider at 2 pm et on Sunday. While a track meet between two struggling MAAC squads is probably the last thing on the mind of most bettors on a busy Sunday of sports action, I think we have an excellent spot to play the 'over' in this matchup. The Golden Griffins opposition has been stuffing the boxscore lately, knocking down 33, 31, 28 and 30 field goals in their last four games and Rider figures to take full advantage. The Broncs have lost three games in a row and are desperate for their first victory in conference play following another loss - by an 88-84 score - on the road against Quinnipiac on Friday. Like Canisius, Rider has been vulnerable defensively, allowing 28, 29, 27, 30 and 30 made field goals in its last five contests. Both teams are capable offensively. Rider knocked down 33 field goals in Friday's defeat while Canisius had an off shooting night but still got off a whopping 68 field goal attempts. The last time these two teams met last February they combined to score 159 points. Note that the 'over' is 17-6 in Rider's last 23 home games following three straight losses. The 'over' is also a long-term 116-84 with Canisius playing in a road underdog role. Take the over (10*). |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 46 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
NFC North Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Detroit at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Vikings defense held up better than most expected over the course of the season with Brian Flores' blitz-happy packages stemming the tide for much of the campaign. That hasn't been the case over the last three games, however. It seems that the book may be out on this incarnation of the Purple People Eaters. Minnesota has been smacked for 27, 30 and 33 points over its last three contests. The Vikes three opponents over that stretch - Cincinnati, Detroit and Green Bay - posted respective passing lines of 29-42-298, 30-40-246 and 25-34-193. According to head coach Dan Campbell, the Lions will play their starters on Sunday, despite being locked into the third spot in the NFC. Regardless who takes the field, I expect them to find success against the Vikes sagging defense. On the flip side, Minnesota will be going for it with a slim chance of reaching the postseason despite its embarrassing home loss against the Packers in primetime last Sunday. Teams haven't even bothered running against the Lions lately and the Vikings don't figure to stray from that strategy (they've run the football just 27 times over their last two games). More passing equates to more clock stoppages. I don't envision Minnesota possessing the football for long stretches on Sunday but I do think it can punch through with some big plays against this struggling Lions secondary. Take the over (10*). |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 34.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
AFC North Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Baltimore at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. This is obviously a must-win game for the Steelers and they'll also need help in the form of a Dolphins win over the Bills tomorrow night to clinch a playoff spot. While Baltimore will be resting its starters, I'm not convinced it will simply roll over in this divisional revenge game after dropping a 17-10 decision in Pittsburgh earlier this season. While the Ravens won't play the majority of their starters you can be sure they would still like nothing more than to end the Steelers season here. I do think it's in both teams best interest to effectively shorten this game. For the Steelers, they'll be looking to take the crowd out of the game and make this one as boring as possible in my opinion. The last thing they want to do is awaken the sleeping giant in this case. QB Mason Rudolph has been ultra-efficient through his first two starts but regardless who he is facing on the Ravens defense on Saturday, they'll be scheming up to stop him. Note that Baltimore has forced a whopping 10 turnovers over its last three games. For the Ravens, they simply want to get through this game unscathed. Backup QB Lamar Huntley has only appeared in mop-up duty so far this season. Last year, the final scores in his five games of extended action totalled just 19, 30, 16, 26 and 29 points. While the 'over' has cashed in each of Pittsburgh's last four games, the 'under' is a long-term 149-114 when it plays away from home. The 'under' is also 12-4 in the Steelers last 16 games following a victory. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 42-22 in the Ravens last 66 contests after scoring 25 or more points in consecutive games, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). |
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01-05-24 | Heat v. Suns UNDER 229.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Phoenix at 9:10 pm et on Friday. The Heat are coming off a lopsided win in upset fashion over the Lakers two nights ago. In that contest, they scored 100 or more points for the 12th straight game, extending their season long streak. Note that their previous longest such streak lasted just nine games. Of course, in today's NBA perhaps that's not such an accomplishment but for a team like the Heat, which I consider to be rather limited offensively, not to mention one that doesn't play at an incredibly fast pace, it's worth noting. The Suns do figure to test the Heat offense here, noting that Phoenix has held five straight and 13 of its last 15 opponents to 44 or fewer made field goals. Also of note, the Suns have limited five of their last eight opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts. On the flip side, most expected the Suns to be one of the league's most explosive offensive teams with the additions of Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. Both have dealt with injuries, however, and have been in and out of the lineup. As a result, the Suns have been lukewarm offensively. They've knocked down 42 or fewer field goals in back-to-back and 16 of their last 20 games overall. In fact, Phoenix has had a tough enough time getting shots off let alone making good on them, hoisting up 82 or fewer field goal attempts in four of its last five contests. Note that the 'under' is 7-3 in the Heat's last 10 games following a road win and 9-5 in their last 14 contests after an ATS victory. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 8-4 in the Suns last 12 games after giving up 130 or more points in their previous contest, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 42-34 in Phoenix's last 76 games following a loss. Take the under (8*). |
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01-03-24 | Pelicans v. Wolves UNDER 223.5 | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. This will be the fourth meeting already this season between these two teams and we're inexplicably working with the highest total of the bunch. It is worth noting the 'over' has cashed in all three previous matchups this season. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday. The Timberwolves were already one of the slowest paced teams in the league this season but they've taken it to another level lately, hoisting up an unheard of (by today's NBA standards) 76 field goal attempts or fewer in each of their last four games. They've also held four of their last five opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. The Pelicans have gotten off 88 or fewer field goal attempts in six of their last seven games. On the flip side they've held the opposition to just 35, 39, 36, 39 and 35 made field goals over their last five contests. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 45-28 with the Pelicans checking in as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the 'under' has gone 35-21 in the Timberwolves last 56 home games with the total set at 220 points or higher. Take the under (10*). |
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12-31-23 | Washington State v. Colorado OVER 144.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington State and Colorado at 2 pm et on Sunday. As long as Washington State keeps playing at the pace it has, the points will come. The Cougars have hoisted up 64 or more field goals attempts in five of their last nine games and figure to be afforded plenty of scoring opportunities against Colorado on Sunday as well. The Buffaloes allowed Washington to get off 65 field goal attempts in Friday's narrow victory - the Huskies simply had an off shooting night. In that vein, the Buffaloes didn't shoot particularly well either but should rebound here. Washington State has gotten progressively worse defensively, most recently allowing Utah to connect on 29-of-61 field goal opportunities in Friday's 80-58 loss. Take the over (8*). |
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12-31-23 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 42 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
NFC South Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Saints have defied expectations from a totals perspective, at least on the road in recent weeks as the 'over' has gone 3-1 in their last four games played away from home. This is another promising spot for the Saints offense on the road against what has turned out to be a very beatable Buccaneers defense. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay offense has thrived with Baker Mayfield at the helm. With the Saints missing CB Marshon Lattimore once again, it's all systems go for the Bucs offense again. Note that the 'under' has cashed in four straight meetings in this series. We haven't seen four straight 'unders' between these two teams previously since 2014-16. In their next matchup on that occasion they combined to score 55 points. The 'over' is a long-term 63-54 with the Saints coming off a road loss, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 46-40 in Tampa Bay's last 86 games following an upset win. Take the over (10*). |
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12-29-23 | Hornets v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 119-133 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Phoenix at 9:10 pm et on Friday. It sounds like Bradley Beal will take the floor for the Suns on Friday and that has given this total a bump. It generally takes two teams to topple a total this high, however, and this is a miserable spot for the road-weary Hornets. Charlotte got drummed again last night, allowing 130+ points in a game where the Lakers simply couldn't miss (they shot 52-of-97 from the field). Note that the Hornets have now been held to 43 or fewer made field goals in eight of their last nine games. Meanwhile, Phoenix has allowed 44 or fewer made field goals in an incredible 14 of its last 17 contests. On the flip side, the Suns went off two nights ago in Houston, connecting on 47-of-82 field goal attempts. While I'm not saying that performance is necessarily a one-off, I also don't think it's sustainable. Note that the 'under' is 44-32 in the Suns last 76 home games with a total set at 230 points or higher, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 47-41 in Phoenix's last 88 home games as a favorite of 12.5 points or more. Take the under (8*). |
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12-29-23 | Washington v. Colorado OVER 155 | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
Pac-12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Colorado at 9 pm et on Friday. You would have to go back to January of 2021 to find the last time these two teams eclipsed the total we're working with on Friday night. I think that changes here. Washington doesn't figure to pose much of a defensive threat against the high-flying Buffaloes. The Huskies have allowed opponents to hoist up an average of 64 field goal attempts per game this season with that number rising to 67 on the road. There is reason to believe Washington can keep pace to a certain extent. The Huskies didn't turn in their best performance last time out against Eastern Washington but still scored 73 points on just 23 made field goals. They're averaging 30 made field goals per contest this season. Colorado plays at a faster tempo at home, where it has yielded an average of 61 field goal attempts per game to the opposition this season. Both teams rank inside the top-90 in adjusted tempo according to KenPom. Take the over (10*). |
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12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Golden State at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. The Heat saw their most recent game on Christmas Night sneak 'over' the total as they outlasted the 76ers on their home floor. Note that Miami has still held nine of its last 10 opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. On the flip side, you would have to go back five games to find the last time the Heat connected on more than 41 field goals. The 'under' is 17-6 in the Warriors last 23 home games when playing on two of more days' rest, as is the case here. They covered but lost 120-114 in Denver on Christmas. Golden State has held seven of its last eight opponents to 45 or fewer made field goals and its last two foes to just 38 and 40 made field goals. Take the under (10*). |
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12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 129-113 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets were involved in a relatively high-scoring game last night but what else would you expect against the Pacers. Houston ended up hoisting up an uncharacteristic 97 field goal attempts in that game, largely due to the fact it was playing from behind much of the way. I expect a different game script to unfold against the struggling Suns on Wednesday. While Phoenix has had a tough time winning games it has continued to limit its opponents' opportunities, allowing fewer than 90 field goal attempts in five of its last six and nine of its last 14 games. On the flip side, the Suns have knocked down 42 or fewer field goals in 14 of their last 15 contests. Houston limited Indiana to only 82 field goal attempts last night but the Pacers quite simply shot the lights out, as it often does. The Rockets have been incredibly stingy at home this season, holding the opposition to an average of just 36-of-86 shooting from the field. Houston has seen the 'under' cash in 17 of its last 23 games as a home underdog of six points or less. Take the under (10*). |
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12-27-23 | Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
Metropolitan Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and New York at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams are coming off wild, high-scoring 5-4 affairs with the Penguins losing in Ottawa and the Islanders winning in Carolina. Keep in mind, the Pens are just one game removed from a 2-1 win over the Hurricanes and the Isles just lost 3-2 in Washington two games back. Note that the 'under' is 32-12 in Pittsburgh's last 44 road games after giving up four goals or more in its previous contest. Similarly, the 'under' is 11-3 in the Isles last 14 home games after allowing four goals or more in their previous game. We haven't seen the 'under' cash in any of the last six matchups in this series. That marks the longest 'over' streak in this series since 2003-04. Take the under (10*). |
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12-26-23 | Hornets v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Los Angeles at 10:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Clippers are coming off back-to-back dreadful defensive efforts against the Thunder and Celtics but this looks like an ideal 'get right' matchup against the Hornets on Tuesday. Note that Charlotte has made good on fewer than 40 field goals in three of its last four games. The last time these two teams squared off was just over a year ago and on that night, the Clips held the Hornets to 37-of-92 from the field. Los Angeles will look to get going again offensively against a Charlotte squad that has at least been able to slow its opponents' pace. The Hornets have allowed 88 or fewer field goal attempts in nine of their last 13 games. With the Clips averaging only 87 FG attempts per contest at home this season, I'm not convinced the pace will get this one to the posted total. Take the under (8*). |
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12-25-23 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 31 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Miami at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Heat's four-game 'over' streak came to an end last time out against Atlanta while Philadelphia enters Monday's contest riding a two-game 'over' streak. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair than most in this Christmas Night matchup. Note that the 76ers remain an elite defensive team. They've held eight straight and 11 of their last 12 opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals - that's an accomplishment by today's NBA standards. Miami can also hold its own defensively having allowed 42 or fewer made field goals in four straight and eight of its last nine games. Add in the fact that the Heat have been scuffing their heels offensively, knocking down just 41, 40 and 40 field goals over their last three contests but check into this one in a near pk'em range and you can understand why I'm favoring the 'under' in Miami on Monday. Take the under (10*). |
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12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears OVER 43 | Top | 16-27 | Push | 0 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Chicago at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. On a surprisingly pleasant Christmas Eve in Chicago weather-wise, we'll call for plenty of points in this NFC matchup. The Cardinals dropped a 45-29 decision at home against the 49ers last week and draw a similar matchup against an improved Bears defense here. With that said, Arizona has scored 24 or more points in consecutive games and it positioned quite well to thrive with the Kyle Murray-to-Trey McBride connection working wonders for the offense. Chicago has the potential to light it up as well as it looks to bounce back following last week's blown opportunity in Cleveland. The Bears didn't keep their foot on the gas against the Browns and ultimately let Cleveland off the hook. Against a reeling Cardinals defense we can anticipate Bears QB Justin Field going off in this matchup. Note that the 'over' is 17-10 in the Bears last 27 games following an ATS loss. The 'over' is also 15-11 in the Cards last 26 games after giving up 40 or more points in their previous contest. Take the over (10*). |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans OVER 41.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Tennessee at 1 pm et on Sunday. With the Seahawks low-scoring victory over the Eagles on Monday Night Football still fresh in the minds of most bettors, we're working with a relatively low total in Sunday's matchup in Tennessee. The Seahawks will turn back to Geno Smith at quarterback for this contest. There's reason to believe Seattle's offense can thrive with a run-first mindset against a Titans defense that quite simply has no answers against the run right now, allowing 158 and 148 rushing yards in their last two games. Keeping the Titans defense honest with Kenneth Walker at the ground attack should serve to open things up for a red hot D.K. Metcalf and the Seahawks passing game. Speaking of turning back to veteran quarterbacks, the Titans will go back to Ryan Tannehill under center on Sunday. Much like the Seahawks against the Titans defense, Tennessee's ground game should roll against a very beatable Seattle run defense. Tennessee also catches a break with Seattle missing standout rookie CB Devon Witherspoon. Note that the 'over' is 40-23 in the Titans last 63 home games after losing two of their last three games ATS, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 21-10 in Seattle's last 31 games following an upset win at home. Take the over (8*). |
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12-22-23 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Sacramento at 10:10 pm et on Friday. On paper, this sets up as a track meet as both teams are brimming with offensive talent. However, a closer look leads me to believe we're in for a lower-scoring affair than most are anticipating. Note that Phoenix generally plays at a fairly methodical pace (by today's NBA standards). Last time out, the Suns did hoist up 94 field goal attempts as they were trying to rally against the Blazers in an eventual defeat. Prior to that, Phoenix had gotten off 90 or fewer field goal attempts in eight straight games. On the flip side, the Suns continue to play well defensively despite having little to show for it in the win column. Phoenix has held seven of its last eight opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. The Kings obviously pose a stiff challenge but the Suns did hold them to 114 points on 42-of-92 shooting in their most recent meeting on December 8th. Sacramento clearly got caught looking past an undermanned Celtics team that was playing the second of back-to-backs two nights ago, allowing Boston to knock down a whopping 51 field goals in the blowout loss. Prior to that, the Kings had held six straight foes to 44 or fewer made field goals. The fact that Sacramento took the first matchup between these teams this season is notable as the 'under' is 26-14 in the Suns last 40 games when seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored 110 or more points. Take the under (10*). |
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12-22-23 | Bruins v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I expect goals to come at a premium as both the Bruins and Jets enter Friday's clash in Winnipeg rested. Boston hasn't played since a disappointing 4-3 loss at home against the Wild on Tuesday, marking its second straight loss. Note that the 'under' is 33-20 in the Bruins last 53 road games following an 'over' result. The Jets check in off a 5-2 win over the Red Wings on Wednesday. The 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 in Winnipeg's last seven games following a home victory by two goals or more. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season but last season's two matchups produced just five and three total goals. Take the under (8*). |
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12-20-23 | Red Wings v. Jets OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Red Wings got off to a slow start against the Ducks on Monday and it ultimately cost them as their rally fell just short in a 4-3 loss. Perhaps Detroit was caught looking past Anaheim as the Ducks were in a difficult back-to-back spot away from home. The Wings have held their own on the road this season, averaging 3.5 goals per game. Winnipeg is coming off a disappointing loss as well as it dropped a 3-2 overtime decision against Montreal on Monday. Note that the 'over' is a long-term 118-79 with the Jets coming off a home loss and 52-29 when that loss came by a single goal. Better still, the 'over' is 12-4 in Winnipeg's last 16 games following an overtime loss. The Jets took the first meeting between these two teams by a 4-1 score in Detroit back in late October. The Wings fired 36 shots on goal in that loss, unable to solve Jets goaltender Connor Hellebuyck. The good news is, they're expected to face Jets backup goaltender Laurent Brossoit on Wednesday. Detroit could certainly take that decision as a sign of disrespect with the Jets saving Hellebuyck for a presumably tougher matchup against Boston on Friday. Take the over (8*). |
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12-19-23 | Spurs v. Bucks OVER 249.5 | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Spurs enter this game riding a three-game 'over' streak while the 'over' has cashed in each of the Bucks last four contests. I expect more of the same on Tuesday. San Antonio had an off shooting night at home against New Orleans on Sunday, connecting on just 40-of-94 field goal attempts. It still scored 110 points. While facing the Bucks may appear to be a difficult challenge, Milwaukee hasn't exactly been an elite defensive team - far from it, in fact. The Bucks check in having allowed nine straight and 13 of their last 14 opponents to knock down at least 43 field goals. Of course, that's mattered little as the Bucks offense is on a torrid pace having connected on 44 or more field goals in 14 of their last 16 games. The Spurs have risen up defensively on occasion this season but are giving up an average of 44 made field goals per game on the road, despite the opposition attempting an average of only 88. Note that the 'over' is a long-term 210-156 with the Spurs coming off a double-digit loss, as is the case here. The Bucks have seen the 'over' go 10-1 in their last 11 December home games with those contests totalling an average of 250.3 points. Milwaukee will continue its homestand with a game against the Magic on Thursday so there's no reason to think it will keep anything in reserve here. Take the over (8*). |
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12-18-23 | Panthers v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Calgary at 9:35 pm et on Monday. While the Panthers are known for their offense, it's been their defense that has really shone on the road this season. Florida enters Monday's contest in Calgary having allowed just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. While the Cats did produce five goals in Saturday's win in Edmonton, the 'under' has cashed on five of eight occasions when they've come off a 5+ goal performance this season. The Flames snapped a four-game losing streak with a 4-2 win over the Lightning on Saturday. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 57-36 in Calgary's last 93 home games after losing six or seven of its last eight contests, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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12-18-23 | Bulls v. 76ers UNDER 230 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Monday. The Bulls are coming off consecutive high-scoring games against the Heat in Miami but I look for a different story to unfold as they continue their road trip in Philadelphia on Monday. Note that Chicago still held Miami to just 83 field goal attempts last time out. The Heat quite simply shot the lights out. The Bulls have limited five straight opponents to 86 or fewer field goal attempts. The 76ers are in terrific defensive form right now having held four straight opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. While they are currently red hot offensively, it's worth noting that Chicago had their number last season, limiting them to 40 or fewer made field goals in all four matchups. The 'under' is 13-3 in the 76ers last 16 games when coming off four straight victories by 10 points or more, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills OVER 49 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Buffalo at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams delivered 'under' results last Sunday with the Bills upsetting the Chiefs on the road and the Cowboys laying waste to the Eagles at home. No offense is hotter than that of Dallas and QB Dak Prescott in particular. Ordinarily the Bills would pose a stiff defensive test but right now they're far too banged-up, missing key contributors at all three levels. Unless this game gets out of hand and the Cowboys take their foot off the gas, they should be able to get whatever they want on offense on Sunday. Buffalo's offense has been largely disappointing this season and while this is by no means a layup against a fierce Cowboys defense, I do think the Bills can find some success as they continue to build under the guidance of new coordinator Joe Brady. Brady has taken a different approach to the offense than we saw from Ken Dorsey. QB Josh Allen has been running more (effectively) and that's likely to continue against the Cowboys on Sunday. There's certainly a path for the Bills to stay competitive in this must-win game at home and that should lend itself to a high-scoring affair on Sunday afternoon. It's worth noting that the Cowboys haven't posted consecutive 'under' results all season. Take the over (8*). |
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12-16-23 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 217 | Top | 116-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Miami at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. The Bulls have incredibly held 24 of their 26 opponents to 90 field goal attempts or less this season. That's quite an accomplishment by today's NBA standards. The first game of this two-game set in Miami was actually high-scoring, resulting in 240 total points. I expect a much different story to unfold on Saturday. The Bulls have been performing well offensively in Zach LaVine's absence. They knocked down 45 field goals in Thursday's win over the Heat. With that being said, they're just one game removed from connecting on only 36 field goals in Denver. The Heat have been held to exactly 37 made field goals in three of their last four contests. They're unlikely to push the pace against the Bulls, noting they've gotten off fewer than 90 field goal attempts in 19 of their last 20 games. Thursday's game snapped a streak of five straight contests in which Miami had held the opposition to 87 FG attempts or fewer. Finally, we'll note that the 'under' is 26-13 in the Bulls last 39 road games following an 'over' result. Take the under (10*). |
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12-16-23 | Avalanche v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Jets slipped four goals past the Avalanche when these teams met on December 7th in Colorado, winning that contest by a pair. I look for a lower-scoring affair this time around as Colorado heads to Winnipeg on Saturday. The Jets have allowed two goals or less in six straight games. They're giving up only 2.8 goals per game at home this season. Colorado had allowed a whopping 10 goals in its last two games before holding the Sabres to one goal last time out. Note that the 'under' is 21-7 in the Avs last 28 road games seeking revenge for a same-season loss against an opponent. The 'under' is also 39-17 in Winnipeg's last 56 home games following a victory. Take the under (10*). |
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12-15-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies UNDER 212 | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Memphis at 8:10 pm et on Friday. This is a rematch of the Rockets 117-104 win at home two nights ago. Houston continues to get it done, riding a four-game SU and ATS winning streak, despite a rather limited offense that has made good on 40 or fewer field goals in five straight contests. Defensively, Houston has been on point, limiting 10 of its last 12 opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals with its last two foes knocking down only 31 and 35 field goals. Jaren Jackson picked up the offensive slack in Desmond Bane's absence in Houston, pouring in 44 points. It remains to be seen whether Bane will return on Friday but if he does, we can anticipate Johnson taking a bit of a backseat offensively so that essentially results in status-quo in terms of point production. The Grizzlies have gotten off 90 or fewer field goal attempts in nine of their last 10 games. The only time they topped that mark they hoisted up 91 FG attempts in a 116-point performance against the lowly Pistons. Defensively, Memphis has held Houston to 40 and 39 made field goals in two previous meetings this season and has limited the opposition to just 82 FG attempts per game here at home. Note that the 'under' is 18-7 in Memphis' last 25 games following consecutive losses, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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12-15-23 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and New York at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Bruins are coming off an overtime loss in New Jersey two nights ago but they still held the opposition to three goals or less for a sixth straight game. Note that the 'under' is 13-3 in their last 16 road games following a loss by a single goal. The Islanders have seen two straight and seven of their last eight games go 'over' the total. I certainly don't think that's a sustainable trend. Note that the 'under' is 21-10 in New York's last 31 games after its previous two contests both totalled seven or more goals, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 28-22 in the Isles last 50 games when seeking revenge for a road defeat against an opponent, which is the situation here as well. While the last two meetings in this series have gone 'over' the total, we haven't seen three consecutive 'over' results between these two teams since 2010-11. Take the under (10*). |
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12-14-23 | Lightning v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. The Oilers are coming off consecutive 'under' results but I look for a different story to unfold as they host the Lightning on Thursday. Tampa Bay should be in a foul mood after scoring just one goal in a lopsided defeat in Vancouver on Tuesday. Note that the 'over' is 21-11 in the Bolts last 32 games following consecutive road contests, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 13-2 in the Oilers last 15 home games after winning consecutive games by two goals or more, which is also the situation here. The 'over' is 22-11 in the Oilers last 33 contests after holding consecutive opponents to two goals or less as well. The last two meetings in this series have produced eight and 10 total goals. Take the over (8*). |
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12-14-23 | Wolves v. Mavs UNDER 229.5 | Top | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Dallas at 8:40 pm et on Thursday. I'll admit my first reaction was to grab the points with the Timberwolves in this game as they look to bounce back following Monday's lopsided defeat in New Orleans. After taking a deeper look, I think the better play is on the 'under' on Thursday night in Dallas. Minnesota has really clamped down defensively in recent games, holding six of its last seven opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. In three meetings with the Mavericks last season, the T'Wolves held them to just 84, 75 and 76 field goal attempts. Dallas is no better-suited to take advantage of Minnesota here with a number of key contributors either sidelined or banged-up. I do like the fact that both teams come in rested with the T'Wolves idle since Monday and the Mavs having last played on Tuesday here at home against the Lakers. While Minnesota has been rolling, it hasn't necessarily been blowing the doors off the opposition, knocking down 44 or fewer field goals in 15 consecutive games. While the 'over' has gone 8-3 in its 11 road games this season, those contests have averaged just 226.6 total points. Take the under (10*). |
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12-13-23 | Sabres v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Buffalo and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. While the Avalanche did snap their two-game losing streak with a wild 6-5 win over the Flames on Monday, head coach Jared Bednar couldn't have been happy with his team's defensive play. I look for Colorado to tighten things up in that department as it hosts Buffalo on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' is 14-2 in the Avs last 16 home games after giving up three goals or more in three straight contests, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 7-1 with Colorado seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent this season, which is also the situation here after the Sabres defeated the Avs 4-0 on October 29th. Buffalo is coming off a 5-2 win over Arizona on Monday and that's notable as the 'under' is 8-2 with the Sabres following a game that totalled seven goals or more. Take the under (8*). |
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12-11-23 | Flames v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Monday. I think we'll see the Avalanche clamp down defensively on Monday after an ugly 5-2 defeat at home against the Flyers on Saturday - the team's second straight loss. Calgary needs to sort things out as well following a 4-2 home loss against the Devils on Saturday - its third defeat in its last four contests. This hasn't exactly been a high-scoring series with the last three meetings producing 5, 5 and 4 total goals including a 3-1 Avs home victory earlier this season. Note that the 'under' is 17-4 in Colorado's last 21 home games following a home loss with that spot producing an average total of only 5.6 goals. Take the under (8*). |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy UNDER 28.5 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Army and Navy at 3 pm et on Saturday. The long 'under' streak in this storied rivalry came to an end in 2021 and last year's game found its way 'over' the total as well thanks to overtime (only 20 points were scored in regulation time). While we're dealing with an incredibly low posted total for the 2023 edition, I'm still willing to take a flyer on the 'under'. Between these two teams during the regular season we saw six shutouts pitched one way or another. Both teams actually opened up their offenses a little more this year, electing to sling it around the field a little bit rather than strictly operating option-based attacks. With that being said, Army comes into this game on a three-game winning streak and it essentially took passing out of its vocabulary in those three contests, connecting on just 8-of-17 throws for 119 yards. Last time out against Coastal Carolina, the Black Knights attempted just two passes (and didn't have a completion). This has all the makings of a chess match. Navy showed incredible patience over the course of the season, relying on its knack for turning over its opponents while methodically wearing down the opposition on offense. Even though the Midshipmen did throw it a lot more than we're accustomed to seeing, they still topped out at 163 passing yards and that came against an FCS opponent in Wagner. Take the under (8*). |
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12-08-23 | Penguins v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Florida at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The 'under' is 9-1 in the Penguins last 10 games including a perfect 2-0 on their current road trip. While a date with the Panthers could generally be considered a potential breakout spot for an opposing offense, I'm not sure there's a quick fix for the Pens right now. Note that Florida is actually giving up just 2.6 goals per game this season. The Panthers have scored 13 goals over their last three games but that scoring tear actually helps our cause here, noting the 'under' is a long-term 81-56 with Florida having scored three goals or more in three consecutive games. Meanwhile, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Penguins coming off a road loss this season and a long-term 23-6 when playing on the road off a loss by two goals or more, which is also the situation here. Since the start of 2019, nine of 12 meetings in this series have totalled six goals or less. While these two teams are known for their offense, they actually qualify as having two of the worst power plays in the entire league. The Pens are 7-for-71 with the man advantage this season while the Panthers check in 15-for-81. Take the under (8*). |
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12-06-23 | Hurricanes v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Edmonton at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Hurricanes will likely be in a foul mood as they head to Edmonton following Monday's lifeless 2-1 defeat in Winnipeg. Make no mistake, the Canes can score as they average 3.4 goals per game on the season. In a game where both teams have question marks between the pipes (neither has a goaltender on the roster with a save percentage .900 or higher this season), I'm anticipating plenty of offense. The Oilers have been scoring at will, finding the back of the net 21 times during their current four-game winning streak. Like the Canes, they're also averaging 3.4 goals per game this season. Keep in mind, this has been a high-scoring series with three meetings going back to the start of last season producing 10, 9 and 9 total goals. Take the over (8*). |
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12-05-23 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Tuesday. I just don't see the sort of track meet developing that most are expecting as the Suns and Lakers do battle in the quarter-final round of the in-season tournament on Tuesday. The Lakers have already taken the first two meetings between these teams this season and if the Suns want to change the outcome here, they'll likely have to win ugly, noting they've knocked down fewer than 40 field goals in five of their last six games. The good news is, the Lakers don't figure to really push the pace. They've hoisted up 90 or fewer field goal attempts in an incredible 18 straight games. They've managed to connect on more than 40 field goals just once in their last four contests and that came against the hapless Pistons. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 123-93 in Lakers home games with the total set at 220 points or higher. The 'under' is also a long-term 33-23 with the Suns seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored 110 or more points, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). |
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12-03-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I expect the Blue Jackets to have a miserable time trying to break through offensively against the Bruins on Sunday, noting that Boston has allowed just 2.1 goals per game on home ice this season and despite the victory in Toronto last night, should be in a foul mood after blowing a 3-2 lead with seconds remaining in the third period. Columbus is coming off a 4-2 win over the Senators on Friday but continues to struggle on the season, averaging just 2.9 goals per contest. Meanwhile, Boston's offensive ceiling hasn't been all that high lately as it has produced four goals or less in seven consecutive games. Take the under (8*). |
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12-03-23 | Broncos v. Texans OVER 47 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Houston at 1 pm et on Sunday. It's all systems go for the Texans with breakout wide receivers Tank Dell and Noah Brown expected to play on Sunday in this critical home matchup against the Broncos. We know what the Houston offense is capable of and it should push the Broncos defense much harder than either of their last two opponents did in the banged-up Vikings and Browns (both of those games were played in Denver). On the flip side, Denver's offense is no longer the plodding, methodical unit taking what it can get. The Broncos have reeled off five straight wins, scoring 24 or more points in three of their last four contests. Finally with at true RB1 in Javonte Williams and a rejuvenated WR duo in Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton, the Broncos can give the Texans defense some problems in this game. Note that the 'over' is 29-14 in the Texans last 43 home games following consecutive 'under' results, as is the case here. Take the over (10*). |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 44 | Top | 31-13 | Push | 0 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
NFC West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Seattle at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. The 49ers are coming off consecutive 'under' results, a curious outcome considering they've gotten as healthy as they've been all season on offense over that stretch with Trent Williams and Deebo Samuel among those returning. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are fresh off a very low-scoring affair against the Rams as they dropped a 17-16 decision in Los Angeles. I expect a different story to unfold on Thursday with a higher-scoring result than most are expecting. The Niners should feast on a Seahawks defense that has been relatively soft against the run and in the middle of the field. Yes, Seattle boasts a tremendous cornerback duo in Tariq Woolen and Devon Witherspoon but that hasn't stopped opponents from attacking it relentlessly through the air. On the flip side, the Seahawks offense is admittedly banged up. QB Geno Smith is expected to play but is certainly at risk of sitting at some point due to his shoulder injury. As strange as it sounds, I like Seattle's offense with backup QB Drew Lock at the helm - especially as an 'over' bettor as his presence generally leads to plenty of 'splash' plays, often to his team's detriment. Seahawks home games have been considerably higher-scoring (47.2 points per game) than their road affairs (39.6 ppg) this season and I look for that trend to continue here. Take the over (10*). |
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11-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State OVER 54 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 27 m | Show |
SEC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Ole Miss and Mississippi State at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. This matchup produced only 46 total points last season in a game that had a closing total of 63 points. So that potential shootout fizzled but I don't believe this one will. Ole Miss has been involved in its share of high-scoring affairs this season but its most recent contest reached only 38 points in a blowout win over Louisiana-Monroe. In general, most of the Rebels games have either involved them lighting it up or the opposition doing so. There's really been no in-between. Here, Ole Miss should break off its share of big plays on the ground against a Mississippi State defense that has been matador-like against the run when it's mattered most - for example it is just one game removed from getting ripped for 246 yards on 45 rush attempts against Texas A&M. The Bulldogs offense hasn't been all that electric this season. It's largely been a disappointment, in fact. However, Mississippi State has also run up against a pretty brutal schedule since Week 4, facing the gauntlet of Alabama at home, Arkansas and Auburn on the road, Kentucky at home and Texas A&M on the road with a couple of gimme non-conference matchups mixed in (the Bulldogs scored 41 points in wins over Western Michigan and Southern Miss). Note that the 'over' is 11-3 in Mississippi State's last 14 lined home contests, leading to an average total of 59.4 points. Take the over (10*). |
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11-22-23 | Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and New York at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I expect goals to come at a premium as the Flyers look to extend their five-game winning streak on Long Island on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 in Philadelphia's last six road games after scoring four goals or more in each of its previous two contests, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of just 4.7 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 10-2 in the Islanders last 12 home games following consecutive games that totalled seven goals or more, which is also the situation here, leading to an average total of only 4.4 goals in that spot. The Isles have been downright awful defensively this season but perhaps a win to snap a seven-game slide in their most recent contest will give them a lift here. The Flyers have actually been a better defensive team on the road than at home this season, yielding just 2.7 goals per contest compared to their season average of 2.9 goals per game allowed. Take the under (8*). |
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11-18-23 | Utah v. Arizona UNDER 46.5 | Top | 18-42 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
Pac-12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Utah and Arizona at 2:30 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring games last week but I expect a different story to unfold as they match up in Tucson on Saturday. Utah is a better defensive team than it has shown in recent weeks but keep in mind it has run into USC, Oregon and Washington - three of the top offensive teams not just in the Pac-12 but in the country - in the last four games. Here, it draws a more manageable matchup in Arizona. The Wildcats have been rolling offensively but aren't likely to overwhelm the Utes talented defense. On the flip side, Utah has yet to complete 20 or more passes in a game this season, clearly missing QB Cam Rising. The Utes figure to lean on their ground attack again this week, although they'll be facing a Wildcats defense that has been stout against the run, holding opponents to just 3.2 yards per rush on the campaign. Take the under (10*). |
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11-14-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans UNDER 240 | 110-131 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and New Orleans at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. Any time we get what I consider to be a quality team playing at home on a long losing streak, I'm going to take a long look at the 'under'. That's the case on Tuesday as the Pelicans look to snap their five-game SU and ATS losing skid and earn some quick revenge after dropping a 136-124 decision at home against these same Mavericks on Sunday. The Pelicans got baited into a track meet in that game, ultimately hoisting up 92 field goal attempts in the double-digit loss. When New Orleans was enjoying success during a 4-1 start to the campaign, it was playing at a far more methodical pace, attempting 87 or fewer field goals in three of its first five contests. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 17-5 the last 22 times New Orleans has come off six or seven losses in its last eight games, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of just 213.5 points in that situation. While the Mavs are coming off consecutive wins, they can't be pleased with their defensive play having allowed 127, 126 and 124 points over their last three contests. Note that the 'under' has gone 12-4 in their last 16 games following a road victory by 10 points or more. Take the under (8*). |
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11-14-23 | Duke v. Michigan State OVER 141.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Duke and Michigan State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. While I do like Duke to bounce back from Friday's home loss against Arizona, I don't think the oddsmakers have its backers any favors by installing them as two-possession favorites against Michigan State at the United Center on Tuesday. Michigan State enters with perhaps just as big of a chip on its shoulder after it dropped a stunning home-opening loss to James Madison (before bouncing back with a blowout victory over Southern Indiana). Regardless, I expect both teams to go flat out in an effort to re-establish themselves in the national rankings (the Blue Devils fell from second to ninth while the Spartans tumbled from fourth all the way to 18th). Note that Michigan State has allowed each of its first two opponents to get out and run with both hoisting up at least 60 field goal attempts. Duke won't shy away from pushing the pace here as it has attempted 59 and 65 field goals through two contests. You only have to go back to the 2022 NCAA Tournament to find the last time these storied programs met and the result was an 85-76 Duke victory. Take the over (10*). |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars OVER 45 | Top | 34-3 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. The 49ers come out of their bye week and look to snap a three-game losing streak in Jacksonville on Sunday afternoon. With WR Deebo Samuel and LT Trent Williams set to return it should be all systems go for the 49ers offense. Note that San Francisco turned the football over three times in each of its last two games with a number of potential scoring drives going awry as a result. The Niners still scored 17 points in each of those two contests and should be able to improve on that production here. Jacksonville has scored 20 or more points in five straight games and I don't expect it to go away quietly on Sunday. You can be sure QB Trevor Lawrence hasn't forgotten a stinker of a performance at home against the Niners during his rookie season in 2021. That was back when Jacksonville was guided by head coach Urban Meyer and Lawrence's weapons included the likes of RB James Robinson and WRs Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault Jr. The fact that the Jags even scored 10 points on that day was admirable. Take the over (10*). |
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11-11-23 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams are coming off disappointing performances with the Lightning losing at home against the Blackhawks two nights ago and the Hurricanes fresh off a 5-2 defeat against the Panthers last night. I would anticipate both teams tightening things up defensively on Saturday and it's worth noting that we've seen a shutout pitched in each of the last three meetings in this series including a 3-0 Lightning victory on this ice back in October. Carolina got off to a miserable start defensively this season but prior to last night's contest it had held six straight opponents to three goals or fewer and four of those foes to less than three markers. The Bolts allowed five goals against Chicago on Thursday but have still given up just 2.7 goals per game on home ice this season. Take the under (8*). |
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11-11-23 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 43 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
Big Ten Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Northwestern and Wisconsin at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. While Iowa is getting all the attention for its extremely low-scoring games in the Big Ten this season, Wisconsin isn't far behind - or shouldn't be moving forward anyway. The Badgers have scored 14 points or less in three of their last four games as they deal with a cluster of key injuries on the offensive side of the football. Their defense has been less impacted and checks in having held eight of nine opponents to 24 points or less this season. Northwestern has shown flashes on offense but has stagnated as usual for the most part. The Wildcats are coming off a 10-7 loss to Iowa last week. In four road games this season Northwestern has produced 7, 14, 9 and 7 points. Wisconsin has scored 35 and 42 points in the last two meetings in this series but I don't expect it to come close to that level of production on Saturday. Take the under (10*). |
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11-10-23 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 222.5 | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Phoenix at 10:10 pm et on Friday. The first matchup between these two teams this season was low-scoring as the Lakers defeated the Suns 100-95 in Los Angeles. I expect a different story to unfold in Friday's rematch in the desert. As usual, the Lakers have had no interest in slowing down opposing teams, allowing six of eight opponents to hoist up more than 90 field goal attempts this season. You'd be hard-pressed to find a team playing worse defensive basketball right now with Los Angeles having allowed 47, 46, 41 and 51 made field goals over its last four contests. It's been a similar story for the Suns. They've allowed five of six opponents to get off more than 90 field goal attempts since facing the Lakers on October 26th. Each of their last five opponents have knocked down at least 42 field goals. Take the over (8*). |
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11-10-23 | Arizona v. Duke OVER 153.5 | 78-73 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Duke at 7 pm et on Friday. While the betting majority will likely be on this play with us on Friday, that doesn't mean it's the wrong one. I simply feel this game will resemble a pro-style contest with the Wildcats and Blue Devils vying to remain perfect on the young campaign. Duke probably doesn't want to get involved in a track meet with Arizona but I'm not sure it will have a choice in the matter, even at home. The Wildcats will run, run and run some more and it's just too early in the season for the Blue Devils to truly have their wits about them defensively. On the flip side, Duke is favored for a reason in this contest and it will undoubtedly hold its own offensively against what projects to be an average Arizona defense (its first opponent of the season Morgan State turned the basketball over 25 times and made good on only 22 field goals yet still put up 59 points). Take the over (8*). |
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11-09-23 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 233 | 120-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Orlando at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. The oddsmakers are projecting a track meet between these two teams in Mexico City on Thursday but I don't see it unfolding that way. The Magic have gotten off to a 4-3 start to the campaign thanks to a stout defense that has held all seven opponents to fewer than 90 field goal attempts. That has come at the expense of their offense at times as they've played a fairly methodical style (by today's NBA standards), making good on 40 or fewer field goals in five of seven contests. Atlanta plays no such tough defense but I do think we see it shy away from an up-and-down affair here after falling short in precisely that type of contest last time out in Oklahoma City. Following a red hot five-game shooting stretch, Atlanta knocked down just 38-of-102 field goal attempts against the Thunder. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 10-0 in the Magic's last 10 road games following a home loss and 50-32 in their last 82 contests following an ATS defeat. These NBA games played in Mexico City have had a tendency to be lower-scoring with last year's matchup between the Heat and Spurs producing 212 total points. Prior to that the Spurs and Suns combined to score 218 points in 2019. The Magic played a pair of games here in 2018 with those contests reaching 188 and 185 points. Take the under (8*). |
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11-09-23 | Wild v. Rangers UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game between these two teams last Saturday in Minnesota as the Wild rallied for a 5-4 shootout victory. Minnesota has no hope of being a true contender this season if it can't button things up defensively. The Wild have allowed 4.1 goals per game but I do think they're a better defensive team than they've shown. Meanwhile, the Rangers check in allowing just 2.2 goals per contest on home ice this season. I would anticipate some offensive regression over the next couple of games after they scored nine goals in their last two contests. Note that the 'under' is 28-12 with New York coming off a home victory in which it scored four goals or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of just 5.5 goals in that situation. Take the under (8*). |
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11-08-23 | Kings v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. This sets up as an ideal bounce-back spot for the Golden Knights as they return home off a rare loss in Anaheim on Sunday. Vegas scored just twice in that contest but should rebound nicely at home, where it averages 4.0 goals per game this season. The Kings are coming off a shutout victory in Philadelphia - their first clean sheet of the season. While I don't expect Los Angeles to keep Vegas off the scoreboard here, I do think the Kings can hang with the Golden Knights offensively, noting that they're averaging a whopping 4.8 goals per game on the road this season. We've seen 12 straight meetings in this series total at least six goals but the Kings three-game 'under' streak heading into this clash is looming large and holding this posted total at exactly six goals at the time of writing. Despite Los Angeles' recent run of 'under' results, the 'over' is actually 24-14 when it comes off an 'under' over the last two seasons, with that situation resulting in an average total of 7.0 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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11-07-23 | Penguins v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | 2-0 | Win | 107 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Penguins scored an incredible 10 goals last time out but that came against the lowly Sharks (who proceeded to give up 10 goals in their next game as well). I don't expect Pittsburgh to come close to repeating that performance on Tuesday, noting that its opponent, Anaheim, has held nine of its last 10 opponents to three goals or less. The Ducks have scored at least four goals in five straight games but have actually fired fewer than 30 shots on goal in each of their last four contests. Meanwhile, the Pens have held three consecutive opponents to 27 shots on goal or fewer. The 'over' has cashed in all three meetings between these two teams going back to last season, including a 4-3 Ducks victory in Pittsburgh back on October 30th. Take the under (8*). |
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11-07-23 | Northern Iowa v. North Texas UNDER 129.5 | 77-83 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Northern Iowa and North Texas at 8 pm et on Tuesday. No team played slower than North Texas last season as it ranked 363rd out of 363 teams in adjusted tempo but that was by design as it also finished 18th in adjusted defensive efficiency, riding that hard-nosed defensive style to a NIT championship. While Ross Hodge is the new head coach, nothing is likely to change as Hodge has been running the Mean Green Eagles defense for a number of years. All indications are that his players have bought in during practices and I don't anticipate North Texas missing a beat defensively out of the gate this season. Northern Iowa returns its top five scorers from last season under long-time head coach Ben Jacobson. The Panthers have been a middling bunch in terms of pace under Jacobson but there's been a renewed focus on playing good defensive basketball entering the 23-24 campaign. “We were awful last year defensively,” Jacobson said in late October. “We’ve spent a lot of time working (on that). So we have got a defensive team we can count on.” I believe this total will prove too high. Take the under (8*). |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 47 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
NFC East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Philadelphia at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. These two offenses balled out last Sunday as the Cowboys exploded for 43 points in a rout of the Rams while the Eagles rallied to secure a 38-31 road win over the Commanders. I expect nothing of the sort in terms of offensive production on Sunday as Dallas heads to Philadelphia. The Cowboys lived in the Rams backfield last Sunday, ultimately leading to plenty of mistakes and short fields for the offense. It's unlikely they'll enjoy the same level of success against an elite Eagles offensive line here. Philadelphia got away from its ground game last week but that was almost entirely game-script dependent as it trailed much of the way, ultimately running the football just 22 times. It was a similar story a few weeks ago against the Jets in New York. Here, I look for a far more run-centric approach from the Eagles in a game where they've been installed as a home favorite. Note that the 'under' has gone 9-1 in the Cowboys last 10 games where the line was posted between +3 and -3, as is the case here. The 'under' is a long-term 50-20 in the Eagles last 70 games after their previous contest totalled 60 or more points and 17-6 in their last 23 home games after a win by seven points or less against a divisional foe, with both of those situations in play here. Take the under (10*). |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks v. Ravens UNDER 44 | 3-37 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Baltimore at 1 pm et on Sunday. We'll call for a Ravens letdown offensively after they scored 30+ points in each of their last two games. With that said, I'm not convinced the Seahawks are set up favorably here either as they come off last Sunday's thrilling come-from-behind win over the Browns. Seattle's offense appeared to be cleared for takeoff out of the gates this season but save for some flashes of brilliance (ie. the game-winning drive last Sunday), hasn't really lived up to expectations. Since scoring 37 points against Carolina on September 24th - its second straight game scoring 30+ points - Seattle has been held to 24, 13, 20 and 24 points over its last four games. The Seahawks lone tough defensive opponent over that stretch was Cincinnati and they were held to just 13 points in that contest. Both teams want to run the football consistently and I think this game stays tight enough all the way that they'll stick with pounding the rock - an 'under' bettor's best friend. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 14-5 in the Ravens last 19 games as a favorite and 9-2 in their last 11 home contests. Take the under (8*). |
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11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs OVER 50 | 14-21 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Kansas City at 9:30 am et on Saturday. The Chiefs have seen the 'under' cash in four straight games entering Sunday's much-anticipated clash with the Dolphins in Germany. I look for a different story to unfold as this game has shootout potential. Miami did welcome back Jalen Ramsey, earlier than expected, from a knee injury last week, bolstering their defense. I still consider the Dolphins defense to be beatable and am confident we'll see the Chiefs rebound offensively following last Sunday's dismal showing in Denver. The Broncos defense has proven to have Kansas City's number in two meetings this season. The last time Miami lined up against Kansas City back in 2020 it was tagged for 33 points in a six-point home defeat. The Fins aren't likely to shy away from a shootout here. There's optimism that Terron Armstead could return to strengthen their offensive line. Even if he can't go, I look for Miami's offense to put forth a better showing than we saw in its most recent spotlight game against Philadelphia two weeks ago. The Chiefs defense has held up incredibly well this season, but has shown signs of sagging a bit lately, yielding 115, 139 and 153 rushing yards over its last three games. If the Fins can get their ground attack rolling downhill the sky's the limit for their passing game on Sunday as the Chiefs simply don't have the personnel to match up against the duo of Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill (spoiler alert: No team does). Take the over (8*). |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets OVER 226.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Denver at 10:10 pm et on Friday. The Nuggets have reeled off five straight 'under' results to open the season but I think we have a catalyst for change in play as they come off their first defeat of the campaign in Minnesota two nights ago. Denver had an off night shooting the basketball against the T'Wolves, knocking down just 38-of-96 field goal attempts. Prior to that, the Nuggets had made good on more than 40 field goals in all four games, topping out at a whopping 53 made field goals in a win in Oklahoma City. On the flip side, Denver has been terrific defensively but does figure to get tested here. Dallas has knocked down 47, 44 and 42 field goals in its first three games before being held to just 37 in a slow-paced game against the Bulls. Keep in mind, the Mavericks still scored 114 points in that most recent contest and a slower-paced affair was to be expected against Chicago. Defensively, the Mavs warts have yet to be exposed thanks to their strong offensive production. They've actually allowed all four opponents to make good on 42 or more field goals this season and the Nuggets ripped them for a blistering 88-of-162 (54.3%) shooting in two meetings in Denver last season. Take the over (10*). |
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11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse UNDER 51 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston College and Syracuse at 7:30 pm et on Friday. I think everyone wants to believe in this Syracuse offense but it's just not there this season. The Orange have been held to 34 points in their last four games combined. That's no fluke. They're quite simply playing awful football right now. I do have faith in the Syracuse defense, led by its back-end, here at home, however. The Orange have allowed 38+ points in three straight games. This is a matchup they can handle though. Boston College mustered only 21 points in last week's win over lowly Connecticut. The Eagles have found their ground game and they're willing to hang their hat on it right now having rushed for 200+ yards in four straight games and 300+ in two of those contests. Defensively, the Eagles have incredibly held all but one of their eight opponents to 18 pass completions or fewer. Take the under (8*). |
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11-02-23 | TCU v. Texas Tech OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Big 12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between TCU and Texas Tech at 7 pm et on Thursday. We're working with a considerably lower posted total than we saw in last year's matchup between these two teams. After all, that game reached 'only' 58 total points and both teams are coming off dismal offensive showings in their most recent game. I do think we'll see plenty of points on the board on Thursday, however, as this game has shootout potential. Few opponents have bombed away on the TCU defense this season. But we know it's possible as Colorado ripped the Horned Frogs for 38-of-47 passing for over 500 yards back in Week 1. While it has been somewhat game-script dependent, Texas Tech is coming off a pair of games in which it aired it out 49 and 37 times. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders ground attack has churned out 153 or more rushing yards in seven straight games. TCU won't shy away from slinging it all over the field either, noting that it has completed at least 21 passes in all eight games so far this season with three 300+ passing yard games. The Horned Frogs have racked up over 100 rushing yards in all eight games this season. Neither team has had a tendency to hold onto the football for long stretches with both averaging right around 27 minutes per game in terms of time of possession. I think that quick-strike potential will be there all night long in Lubbock. Take the over (10*). |
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11-01-23 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 6 | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Calgary at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. You can make the argument that the Flames have been the league's biggest disappointment in the first month of the season. Their offense is downright awful as they've produced a grand total of six goals during their current five-game losing streak. That includes just one goal scored during a recent two-game homestand. I do expect Calgary to bounce back with a gritty performance here, however, following Sunday's ugly 5-2 defeat against the rival Oilers in the Heritage Classic. Note that only three of Calgary's nine opponents have scored more than three goals this season. Dallas checks in off a high-scoring game on Monday at home against the Blue Jackets. I don't think the Stars will be interested in a back-and-forth affair here in the first night of a back-to-back in Alberta. On the season, Dallas is allowing just 2.6 goals per game with that number dropping to 2.0 in three road contests. Take the under (8*). |
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11-01-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Texas and Arizona at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game between these two teams last night as the Rangers held on for an 11-7 victory to push the Diamondbacks to the brink of elimination. This Game 5 matchup will feature a rematch of Game 1 of the series with Nathan Eovaldi going up against Zac Gallen. While Eovaldi has been a good luck charm for the Rangers in these playoffs (they've yet to lose with him on the mound), Gallen has struggled. I do think we'll see the latter rise to the occasion in this must-win game at home though, noting that his strikeout-to-walk ratio nearly doubles at home compared to on the road and he has recorded a sparkling 2.47 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 16 outings at Chase Field this season. There's been no real difference whether Eovaldi has been on the road or at home this season and while he didn't have his best stuff in the series-opener, he still struck out eight while walking only one in 4 2/3 innings of work. The bullpens were asked to take on a lot of mop-up duty last night. Here, I look for both teams relief corps' to lock right back in as this figures to be a tightly-contested affair. Take the under (8*). |
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11-01-23 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Bucks are coming off a high-scoring game against the Heat on Monday. I expect a different story to unfold as they head to Toronto on Wednesday. The Raptors have lost three games in a row but there issues have been at the offensive end of the floor. They've actually seen the 'under' go 3-1 in their four games this season and they've held the opposition to 94, 104, 114 and 99 points. The Bucks have gotten off 82, 86 and 87 field goal attempts through three games so they're not exactly playing at a frenetic pace. They shot the lights out against the Heat on Monday but will be hard-pressed to do so on the road against the Raptors here. Toronto has allowed just one of four opponents to knock down more than 38 field goals this season. Note that the 'under' is 18-8 in the Bucks last 26 road games when coming off an ATS victory. Take the under (8*). |
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10-31-23 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 115-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Phoenix at 10 pm et on Tuesday. The betting market continues to have a tough time figuring out the Suns as they continue on without Devin Booker and Bradley Beal. Kevin Durant got plenty of help from his supporting cast in Phoenix's 126-104 rout of Utah on Saturday. The Suns draw another mouth-watering matchup on Tuesday as they host the Spurs, who just got dominated by a 123-83 score against the Clippers in Los Angeles on Sunday. There are going to be plenty of growing pains for this San Antonio squad. The Spurs have employed a matador-like defense through three games, allowing 47, 52 and 47 made field goals (to their credit the middle game was aided by overtime). I do think we see a bounce-back of sorts from the Spurs offense on Tuesday after they connected on just 30-of-80 field goal attempts on Sunday. Phoenix has held all three of its opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals this season yet has still given up 100 or more points in every contest. Note that the 'over' is a long-term 136-102 with the Spurs playing on the road after scoring 90 points or less in their previous game. Take the over (8*). |
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10-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 214.5 | 109-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Cleveland at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. The 'under' cashed in all five games in last April's playoff series between these two teams. The Knicks also enter this contest off an incredibly low-scoring game against New Orleans on Saturday. With that being said, the contrarian in me believes we're in for a higher-scoring game than expected on Tuesday. Cleveland has been playing at a fast pace, hoisting up 94, 92 and 99 field goal attempts through three games. While Darius Garland remains sidelined, there's a chance Donovan Mitchell could return on Tuesday after sitting out the second of back-to-backs on Saturday. The Knicks have also played at a reasonably quick tempo, getting off 90 or more field goal attempts in all three games. Note that the 'over' is 30-18 in the Knicks last 48 games as a favorite including 1-0 this season. The 'over' also cashed in both regular season meetings between these two teams in 22-23. Take the over (8*). |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off relatively high-scoring overtime affairs on Saturday with the Rangers prevailing in Vancouver and the Jets losing in Montreal. This is a low total by today's NHL standards but I don't believe it will prove low enough. Note that each of the last five matchups in this series has produced five goals or less. The Jets got off to a brutal start defensively this season allowing 19 goals in their first four games but they've since turned it around, yielding just just eight goals in regulation time over their last four contests. Meanwhile, the Rangers have given up just five goals in the first four games of their current road trip and have held an incredible five of eight opponents to a single goal or less this season. Take the under (8*). |
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10-29-23 | Bengals v. 49ers OVER 43.5 | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and San Francisco at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way the Bengals set up in this game as they look to avenge a 2021 home loss against the 49ers. With that being said, I have plenty of respect for the oddsmakers and believe the 49ers are favored by nearly a touchdown for a reason on Sunday afternoon. So that leaves us well-positioned for points on the board as the Bengals check in healthy off their bye week and the 49ers appear in better shape back at home with QB Brock Purdy having shaken off the possible concussion he suffered on Monday against Minnesota. Speaking of injuries, 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey looked no worse for wear on Monday and he'll be up against a Cincinnati defense that has been Charmin-soft against the run this season, yielding just shy of 5.0 yards per rush. San Francisco would be well-suited to employ a quick-strike offensive gameplan with Trent Williams likely to sit once again. Getting the ball out quickly will be paramount for Brock Purdy but keep in mind, the Bengals defense is loaded with ball hawks in the secondary, capable of leading to splash plays that either put points directly on the scoreboard or lead to short fields for a very capable Cincinnati offense. I think this is a game Bengals QB Joe Burrow has had circled. As I mentioned, the last time these two teams met in 2021, Burrow threw for 348 yards and two touchdowns in a 26-23 home loss against a Jimmy Garoppolo-led 49ers squad. Of note, Deebo Samuel ran the football eight times for 37 yards and a touchdown in that game but was rendered ineffective in the passing game. Samuel won't play on Sunday but McCaffrey can certainly fill the void out of the backfield. The duo of George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk went off for 19 (yes 19!) catches for 213 yards and two touchdowns in that 2021 meeting. Take the over (8*). |
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10-29-23 | Saints v. Colts UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-27 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Indianapolis at 1 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring 'over' results last week and that's led to this total being bet up a few points since opening. I believe it's a move in the wrong direction. The Saints have aired it out 50+ times in consecutive weeks. That's not how this offense is built as head coach Dennis Allen and QB Derek Carr are as risk-averse as it gets. I do expect the Saints to find some success in this game but road teams haven't been running away and hiding on the Colts here in Indianapolis this season with their four home games all decided by 10 points or less. Indy put up a whopping 38 points against Cleveland last Sunday but I'm not counting on a repeat performance. After turning the football over four times in each of the last two weeks, there's reason to believe we'll see Shane Steichen's Colts scale back their offensive gameplan for QB Garnder Minshew against an elite Saints defense on Sunday. Note that the 'under' is 4-1 in the last five meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 47.5 | Top | 35-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
Pac-12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Oregon and Utah at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring 'over' results last week - in the last two weeks, in fact. I expect a reversal of course here on Saturday as the Ducks travel to face the Utes. Oregon has looked downright unstoppable at times this season but Washington State actually managed to lay out a pretty good blueprint for slowing the Ducks high-powered offense for the better part of the first half last week. I expect the Utes, who own one of the best defenses in the nation, to turn in a strong performance here at home, where they've allowed just 39 points in four games this season. Note that last year the Utes travelled to Autzen Stadium and limited the Ducks to just 20 points in a three-point defeat. On the flip side, the Ducks defense doesn't get nearly the credit or attention it deserves, largely due to the team's electric offense. Favored on the road, there's nothing for Oregon's defense to fear with the Utes still dealing with inconsistent play at the quarterback position. Take the under (10*). |
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10-26-23 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 229 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams saw their respective season openers stay 'under' the total but I expect a different story to unfold as the Suns and Lakers match up in Los Angeles on Thursday. The Suns actually allowed Golden State to get off a whopping 101 field goal attempts on Tuesday but the Warriors couldn't make the most of their opportunities, knocking down only 36 of those attempts in a four-point loss. Meanwhile, Phoenix played with pace (95 field goal attempts) and shot reasonably well (42 made field goals), even with key offseason acquisition Bradley Beal sidelined (he's questionable to play on Thursday as well). The Lakers limited Denver to just 91 FG attempts on Tuesday but the Nuggets had little trouble against L.A.'s sieve-like defense, connecting on 48 of those shot attempts. I did come away impressed with the Lakers ability to at least match the Nuggets tempo (91 FG attempts). They simply had an off night shooting - something I expect them to rectify in their home-opener on Thursday. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 17-5 with the Suns coming off a victory over a division opponent over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of 233.5 points in that situation. Take the over (10*). |
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10-25-23 | UTEP v. Sam Houston State OVER 36.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between UTEP and Sam Houston State at 8 pm et on Wednesday. I think UTEP 'under' bettors have been lulled into a false sense of security after they reeled off three consecutive 'under' results. Tonight's opponent, winless Sam Houston State, has found a little something offensively in recent games with QB Keegan Shoemaker showing signs of progress, throwing for six touchdowns and just two interceptions while running for 124 yards over the last three games. The Bearkats haven't stuck with the run at all this season but figure to feast on a UTEP defense that has hemorrhaged 5.1 yards per rush this season if they so choose. Sam Houston State's defense hasn't lived up to expectations this season, part of that has been due to simply being on the field way too much thanks to an inefficient offense. Miners RB Deion Hankins has gotten better as the season has gone on, rushing for 265 yards over the last three games and I expect him to be the focal point of the offense here as well. While run plays are generally an 'under' bettors best friend, I think there's a good chance UTEP runs all over the Sam Houston State defense on Wednesday. Sitting at 0-7 on the campaign, the Bearkats certainly haven't learned how to 'take the air out of the football' playing with a lead at this level (it's their first year in FBS) and I feel that lends itself to a back-and-forth affair that creeps 'over' the low posted total on Wednesday. Take the over (8*). |
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10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Golden State at 10 pm et on Tuesday. When it comes to most sports, I don't put a great deal of stock into preseason results. I generally make an exception when it comes to the NBA, however. There's more of a tendency to see regular rotations, even if the starters aren't playing regular minutes, and we can get a feel for the way teams will play once the regular season commences. With that being said, through the first four games of the preseason, Suns opponents have been 'filling it up'. In games against the Pistons, Nuggets and Trail Blazers (twice), Phoenix yielded 46, 43, 42 and 41 made field goals in regulation time. That was despite only one of those opponents reaching 90 or more field goal attempts. The Warriors do figure to push the pace on the Suns in their home opener on Tuesday. Save for a game against the Kings in which Steph Curry and Chris Paul sat out, they've looked sharp in the preseason, knocking down 45+ field goals in three of four contests. Phoenix has given its new-look, star-studded starting five enough run in the preseason to lead me to believe we won't see a great deal of rust on Tuesday. In last year's four meetings in this series, the Suns made good on 47, 44, 41 and 46 field goals. Of note, they still put up 125 points in the game where they 'only' knocked down 41 shots. Take the over (8*). |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings OVER 43 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
MNF Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Minnesota at 8:15 pm et on Monday. The 49ers got bogged down offensively in a bad weather game (against a very good defense) in Cleveland last Sunday ending their streak of five straight games scoring 30 or more points to open the season. I expect them to pick right back up on Monday as they draw a mouth-watering matchup under the Bank of America Stadium roof in Minnesota. The Vikings only hope on defense is that their blitz-happy nature can force 49ers QB Brock Purdy into a couple of crucial mistakes but I'm more confident in Purdy's ability to pick apart a very beatable Vikes secondary. Even without all-world WR Justin Jefferson, I do think the Minnesota offense can test an extremely stout 49ers defense. Rookie WR Jordan Addison flashed in the absence of JJ last Sunday in Chicago. The Vikes offense got off to a strong start in that contest before slowing down in the second half. While most have given up on RB Alexander Mattison, I think he has plenty of tread left on his tires. Note that he contributed a touchdown run in Minnesota's wild 34-26 loss in San Francisco the last time these two teams met in November of 2021. The Vikes manufactured 26 points in that contest despite Jefferson being held out of the end zone. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is a perfect 7-0 with Minnesota priced as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points over the last three seasons with that situation totalling an average of 61.2 points. Even if we downgrade the Vikes offense with Jefferson sidelined, they still figure to approach the 20-point mark. Take the over (10*). |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Jacksonville and New Orleans at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. While the contrarian in me would love to back the 'over' with the Saints riding a six-game 'under' streak to start the season, I don't see where the points are going to come from on Thursday night in New Orleans. While it may be lost on the average fan or bettor, the Saints have major issues on their offensive line with a number of players either injured or downright ineffective. The Jaguars boast a pass rush that's capable of taking advantage of the Saints o-line woes and I think that leads to New Orleans employing a rather conservative offensive gameplan on Thursday night. We can expect plenty of dump-off passes from QB Derek Carr to RB Alvin Kamara against a Jags defense that concedes such plays regularly. While the Saints wide receivers do have a favorable matchup against a Jags secondary that has been leaky at the best of times and will be missing key CB Tyson Campbell, I'm not convinced Carr will have enough time in the pocket to take advantage. On the flip side, the Jags will either trot out QB Trevor Lawrence on a short week on a gimpy knee or backup C.J. Beathard who has barely seen an NFL field over the last few seasons. Either way, expect Doug Pederson to employ a similarly conservative gameplan to that of the Saints. RB Travis Etienne will likely be force-fed in this game but whether that leads to anything other than modest gains remains to be seen as the Saints defense has yielded just 3.5 yards per rush this season and has yet to allow an opposing running back to reach the end zone. The Jags were involved in a game that totalled 57 points last week but that actually sets us up nicely here as the 'under' is 11-3 the last 14 times they've come off a game that totalled 50+ points, resulting in just 39.7 total points in that situation. Take the under (8*). |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers UNDER 51 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Los Angeles at 8:15 pm et on Monday. Dallas has yet to see consecutive games go 'over' the total this season and I don't think we'll see that change on Monday night. Last week's debacle against the 49ers can't be pinned on the Cowboys defense. Dallas turned the football over four times in that contest. If you're going to give a team as good as the Niners that many extra possessions, they're going to take advantage and they did scoring 42 points. Here, I look for a much cleaner performance from the Cowboys offense while the defense bounces back as well. While Dallas has proven to be pass-happy with Mike McCarthy calling the plays, it has still topped out at just 253 passing yards in a game this season. I look for the Chargers to employ a balanced offensive attack with RB Austin Ekeler back at full strength. The loss of WR Mike Williams to a season-ending injury hurts against a defense like the Cowboys. Keenan Allen remains an elite wide receiver but not necessarily a field-stretcher like Williams is. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 27-13 with the Cowboys coming off a road loss by two touchdowns or more while the 'under' has gone 60-39 in the Chargers last 99 home games that have seen a total set at 45.5 or higher. Take the under (8*). |
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10-16-23 | Coyotes v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and New York at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I think the Coyotes are going to prove to be one of the more exciting teams to watch in the NHL this season and they certainly showed why in their season-opener on Friday - a 4-3 shootout win over the Devils. Here, they're running into a tough spot as the Rangers return home off a blowout loss in Columbus on Saturday. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 6-0 with New York coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 8.1 goals. Small sample size, I know, but I think the play sets up well here as the Coyotes are brimming with talent up front but perhaps subpar at the back-end and shouldn't shy away from another high-scoring affair. Having scored just three goals combined in two losses against the Rangers last season, the Coyotes know that type of offensive production just isn't going to cut it in this particular matchup. Take the over (8*). |
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10-15-23 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 43.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
NFC North Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Vikings season is obviously swirling down the drain following another loss last Sunday, not to mention the fact that all-world WR Justin Jefferson will miss a considerable number of weeks due to injury. With that being said, Minnesota is in a smash spot against the Bears on Sunday and should finally be able to get rolling offensively. Thought to be one of the best 'over' bets on a weekly basis out of the gates this season, you would have to go back to Week 2 to find the last time a game involving the Vikes found its way 'over' the total. That should change here. The Bears defense has already given up a whopping eight rushing touchdowns through five games this season. Chicago's secondary has been ravaged by injuries and even without Jefferson, Minnesota's passing game remains dynamic with rookie WR Jordan Addison, K.J. Osborn and TE T.J. Hockenson in line to eat on Sunday afternoon. On the flip side, it's all systems go for Bears QB Justin Fields after he got going against the Commanders last week. Minnesota has managed to pick off just one pass all season in contrast with eight passing touchdowns allowed. That's about par for the course given the Vikes personnel deficits in pass defense. I can't imagine Chicago bothering to bang its head against the wall running the ball in this game, instead electing to attack Minnesota's burnable secondary through the air. Take the over (10*). |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday. It's not being priced like it but I believe this game has shootout potential as Seattle comes out of its bye week with a date with the Bengals in Cincinnati. This matchup sets up favorably for the Seahawks offense as Cincinnati checks in allowing a whopping 5.0 yards per rush on the season. I always think of Seattle as a run-first team under Pete Carroll and sophomore RB Kenneth Walker is quietly having a terrific season. Of course, that doesn't mean that the Seahawks aren't comfortable taking to the air. There's reason to believe QB Geno Smith will be more comfortable in the pocket this week with a trio of starting offensive linemen set to return. When given time, there's no reason the Seahawks offense shouldn't be able to take the lid off the Bengals pass defense will field-stretchers D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Locket and even Jaxon Smith-Njigba who has yet to have a breakout performance. There's little reason to worry about the Bengals offense after they feasted on the Cardinals in Arizona last week. QB Joe Burrow appears to have put his nagging calf injury behind him and Seattle always seems to be vulnerable on defense, regardless the personnel it sends to the field. When the Bengals offense is right, it is one of the most dynamic in the entire NFL. Take the over (8*). |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 36 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. The Chiefs are well-positioned to feast on a matador-like Broncos defense on Thursday night. With that being said, we've seen Kansas City play down to the competition in these primetime games in recent years and it's not as if the Chiefs offense has been humming, scoring 27 points or less in four of five games this season and now playing on a short week with TE Travis Kelce banged-up (but likely to play). As for the Denver offense, it figures to get stuck in the mud against a Chiefs defense that has quietly gone about its business, holding all five opponents to 21 points or less this season. There's absolutely nothing appealing about this matchup as far as the Broncos offense goes with the Kansas City defense all but eliminating opponents' big play potential and Denver unable to stretch the field, no matter the opponent. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a long-term 15-3 with the Broncos coming off three or more consecutive games in which they allowed 25+ points. The 'under' is also a long-term 42-22 with the Chiefs installed as a home favorite of between 7.5 and 14 points. Take the under (8*). |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
ALDS Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Minnesota at 4:05 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way the 'under' sets up in Game 3 of this series on Tuesday afternoon in Minnesota. Astros starter Cristian Javier had a tough regular season as a whole. Big things were expected of the young right-hander after a phenomenal 2022 campaign but he struggled for the most part. The good news is, he did close out the campaign in solid form, posting a 2.30 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his last three starts. Also note that Javier, while young, has been here before, logging a 4-1 record to go along with a 2.20 ERA with 38 strikeouts in 14 career playoff appearances. Twins starter Sonny Gray has recorded a 2.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP this season - Cy Young Award-caliber numbers for the underrated right-hander. Gray tossed five shutout innings against the Blue Jays in the Wild Card round. For his career, Gray owns a 2.39 ERA with 24 strikeouts in five postseason appearances. Both bullpens are in solid form and of course the off day on Monday helps their cause. Also note that Bill Miller will be the umpire on Tuesday and he has seen the 'under' cash at a 440-363 clip over the course of his career, including a 17-12 mark this season. Take the under (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-24 | Heat v. Magic UNDER 215.5 | Top | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions OVER 49 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 51 h 49 m | Show |
01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
01-19-24 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 237.5 | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
01-19-24 | St. Peter's v. Fairfield UNDER 135.5 | Top | 67-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
01-18-24 | Rangers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
01-17-24 | Canadiens v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
01-16-24 | Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
01-16-24 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson OVER 150.5 | Top | 93-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
01-16-24 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 142.5 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
01-16-24 | Nuggets v. 76ers OVER 227.5 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
01-15-24 | Canucks v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
01-13-24 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans OVER 44.5 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets UNDER 229.5 | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
01-12-24 | Quinnipiac v. Marist UNDER 139.5 | Top | 66-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
01-11-24 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 237 | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
01-10-24 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 233.5 | Top | 141-105 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
01-09-24 | Raptors v. Lakers OVER 233.5 | Top | 131-132 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
01-09-24 | Houston v. Iowa State UNDER 131.5 | Top | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
01-07-24 | Canisius v. Rider OVER 147 | Top | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 46 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 34.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
01-05-24 | Heat v. Suns UNDER 229.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
01-03-24 | Pelicans v. Wolves UNDER 223.5 | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
12-31-23 | Washington State v. Colorado OVER 144.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
12-31-23 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 42 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
12-29-23 | Hornets v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 119-133 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
12-29-23 | Washington v. Colorado OVER 155 | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 129-113 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
12-27-23 | Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
12-26-23 | Hornets v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
12-25-23 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 31 m | Show |
12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears OVER 43 | Top | 16-27 | Push | 0 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans OVER 41.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
12-22-23 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
12-22-23 | Bruins v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
12-20-23 | Red Wings v. Jets OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
12-19-23 | Spurs v. Bucks OVER 249.5 | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
12-18-23 | Panthers v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
12-18-23 | Bulls v. 76ers UNDER 230 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills OVER 49 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
12-16-23 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 217 | Top | 116-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
12-16-23 | Avalanche v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
12-15-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies UNDER 212 | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
12-15-23 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
12-14-23 | Lightning v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
12-14-23 | Wolves v. Mavs UNDER 229.5 | Top | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
12-13-23 | Sabres v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
12-11-23 | Flames v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
12-09-23 | Army v. Navy UNDER 28.5 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
12-08-23 | Penguins v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
12-06-23 | Hurricanes v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
12-05-23 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
12-03-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
12-03-23 | Broncos v. Texans OVER 47 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 44 | Top | 31-13 | Push | 0 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
11-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State OVER 54 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 27 m | Show |
11-22-23 | Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
11-18-23 | Utah v. Arizona UNDER 46.5 | Top | 18-42 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
11-14-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans UNDER 240 | 110-131 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
11-14-23 | Duke v. Michigan State OVER 141.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars OVER 45 | Top | 34-3 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
11-11-23 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
11-11-23 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 43 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
11-10-23 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 222.5 | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
11-10-23 | Arizona v. Duke OVER 153.5 | 78-73 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
11-09-23 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 233 | 120-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
11-09-23 | Wild v. Rangers UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
11-08-23 | Kings v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
11-07-23 | Penguins v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | 2-0 | Win | 107 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
11-07-23 | Northern Iowa v. North Texas UNDER 129.5 | 77-83 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 47 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
11-05-23 | Seahawks v. Ravens UNDER 44 | 3-37 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs OVER 50 | 14-21 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 5 m | Show | |
11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets OVER 226.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse UNDER 51 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
11-02-23 | TCU v. Texas Tech OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
11-01-23 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 6 | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
11-01-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
11-01-23 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
10-31-23 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 115-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
10-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 214.5 | 109-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
10-30-23 | Rangers v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
10-29-23 | Bengals v. 49ers OVER 43.5 | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
10-29-23 | Saints v. Colts UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-27 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 47.5 | Top | 35-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
10-26-23 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 229 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
10-25-23 | UTEP v. Sam Houston State OVER 36.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 11 m | Show | |
10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings OVER 43 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers UNDER 51 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
10-16-23 | Coyotes v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
10-15-23 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 43.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 36 h 44 m | Show | |
10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show |