Ray Monohan ALL Sports Top Picks
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-22-11||Indiana Pacers v. Portland Trail Blazers -5.5||Top||92-97||Loss||-110||11 h 41 m||Show|
The Portland Trail Blazers may have a slew of injuries but they continue to adjust and continue to perform well.
Even without Greg Oden, Brandon Roy and now Marcus Camby, the Blazers have still won four straight and are in eight in the Western Conference.
Power forward LaMarcus Aldridge has grown up in a big way as he has averaged 25.9 points per game with 10.1 rebounds in his last 18 (all without Roy).
The Blazers are 11-2 at home since the start of December and that's bad news for a Pacers team that has dropped 11 of its last 12 on the road. The Pacers defense has collapsed in recent games as they have given up 224 points per game in their last two games. Center Roy Hibbert missed the team's last contest and their defense will be weakened again if he's held out on Saturday. He's questionable with a respiratory illness.
The Pacers have just three wins in their last 12 games, they are 1-4 against the spread in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points and they are just 5-13 this season when facing a team with a winning record. Bet the Blazers. 10* play.
|01-20-11||Los Angeles Clippers v. Portland Trail Blazers -3.5||Top||93-108||Win||100||10 h 2 m||Show|
The Los Angeles Clippers are growing up quickly, but they haven't shown the capacity to win tough road games quite yet.
The Clippers recorded their highest scoring output in nearly two seasons with a 126-111 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves last night but they won't be able to do those numbers tonight.
The Blazers have owned the Clippers at the Rose Garden as they are 10-0 versus Los Angeles in the last 10 meetings at home. The Clippers have struggled offensively in many of those meetings, averaging just 87.8 points per game in their last four.
The Blazers are 10-2 in their last 12 home games and are averaging 100.6 points per game. Bet the Blazers to derail the Clippers momentum on Thursday night.
|01-16-11||Ottawa Senators v. Washington Capitals UNDER 5.5||Top||1-3||Win||100||14 h 54 m||Show|
Ottawa goes to the nations capital on Sunday sporting a 17-22-4 record, while the Washington Capitals record is 24-14-4. The last meeting between these teams was in Ottawa on the 19th of December. A 3-2 Washington win.
Both teams can't score right now - Caps have scored more than three just once in their last 16 games while Sens are 1-8 in their last nine and have scored just nine goals in those eight losses.
Jason Spezza is out again.
Sens power play just 2 for their last 26; Caps power play just eight for their last 78.
Under is 16-7-2 in OTT last 25 overall. Under is 10-4 in WAS last 14 vs. Northeast. Under is 34-16-2 in WAS last 52 overall. OTT are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Washington.
|01-15-11||Green Bay Packers +115 v. Atlanta Falcons||Top||48-21||Win||115||125 h 10 m||Show|
The Green Bay Packers will visit the Georgia Dome for the second time this season in just one of four regular season rematches this weekend in the NFL.
The Packers fell short by a field goal in the late-November meeting but this time, the result will be different.
Much has been made about the Atlanta Falcons and their home-field advantage but the New Orleans Saints went into the Georgia Dome in Week 16 and proved to everyone that the Falcons are still very much human at home. Green Bay will do the same.
It's hard not to factor momentum into this contest as the Packers, who had to win out the final two weeks of the regular season, have essentially been playing playoff football since December. Even with Aaron Rodgers shelved in a trip to Gillette Stadium, the Packers gave the Patriots all they could handle, then they stomped the New York Giants at home and topped the Chicago Bears in Week 17. Last week, they were in control the entire way in Philadelphia en route to a 21-16 win.
Most impressive was the fact that they muted Michael Vick, who was expected to be a defensive nightmare. Defense wins championships and the Packers, who held the explosive Eagles to just 16 points, have the NFC's No. 1 scoring defense.
Atlanta may have lost momentum with a Week 16 lost to New Orleans and then a bye week last week. Rust may be in effect.
The Falcons are just 3-3 against the spread versus teams with a winning record, which indicates that they've done a lot of their damage against weak foes this season. The Packers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog and they'll make it 4-1 as they exact some revenge and get another hard-fought road win. 10* play.
|01-13-11||Orlando Magic -1 v. Oklahoma City Thunder||Top||124-125||Loss||-110||15 h 8 m||Show|
The Orlando Magic have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA as they had won nine straight prior to last night's overtime loss in New Orleans. The Magic are tearing through just about everybody right now and their offense is clicking. Last night was just the third time in the last 10 games that they have been held under 100 points.
The Thunder are laboring in the paint right now, which is bad news considering Dwight Howard is coming to town. On Wednesday night, the Thunder coughed up a season-high 70 points in the paint. Considering the Magic are such a strong inside-out team, the Thunder will be in trouble if they let Howard run wild on the interior.
The Thunder just aren't a very good defensive team right now as they allow 101.5 points per game - and 112 last night in Houston. Against a streaking offensive team like Orlando, that simply won't cut it. 10* play.
|01-10-11||Oregon +110 v. Auburn||Top||19-22||Loss||-100||28 h 25 m||Show|
The Auburn Tigers may have the sexy attractions for the bettors in this game - the No. 1 ranking overall, Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Cam Newton, the SEC pedigree - but the Oregon Ducks are the better football team.
Auburn had a cupcake schedule this season as they only played four true road games this season. To contrast, Oregon had to play at Tennessee, at Arizona State, at USC, at Cal and at Oregon State.
The Ducks have the better defense as well - especially since it had to go through the rigors of the Pac 10, which is the better offensive conference. They have the Pac 10's top-ranked rushing defense and are ranked 15th in the nation against the run. Their scoring defense ranks 12th (18.4 points per game) while Auburn's is 54th (24.7 points per game). The Ducks defense is also among the leaders in the nation in sacks per game with 2.58.
Auburn has displayed a bad tendency to fall behind in some games this season and they've had to ride Newton in a number of big comebacks. But Auburn also hasn't fallen behind to a team like Oregon, which will simply run away with the game if they get any sort of lead.
The Ducks also have an experience edge as they played in the Rose Bowl just last season. For Auburn, this is their first taste of a major bowl game, which is different than anything they've faced.
Oregon is the better team and they'll win this game outright. 10* play.
|01-08-11||New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks +10.5||Top||36-41||Win||100||122 h 26 m||Show|
The New Orleans Saints have a cupcake matchup this weekend as they face the first team in NFL history to qualify for the playoffs with a losing record.
But the Saints have only won one road playoff game in their franchise history and that came in the Super Bowl last season.
On top of that, the Saints have issues in their backfield right now as running backs Chris Ivory and Pierre Thomas will miss this game. The Saints have struggled this season when they have been one-dimensional on offense.
The Saints are an indoors team that has to travel to the west to play a game outdoors. Not only that, they are being asked to cover 11 points.
The Saints are just 1-4 against the spread when facing a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have played better at home than away this season as they have covered five of eight spreads.
New Orleans should win but this game will be closer than the odds makers expect. 10* play.
|01-04-11||Arkansas v. Ohio State -3||Top||26-31||Win||100||18 h 53 m||Show|
The Ohio State Buckeyes have struggled against SEC teams in bowl season (0-9) but this matchup should be a bit different.
For starters, unlikely their last two SEC BCS embarrassments (against Florida and LSU), they are not facing the best team in the conference. Arkansas is still good but clearly, with losses to Alabama and Auburn, they are below the cusp.
Ohio State matches up really well against the Razorbacks. Most SEC teams have stifling run defense but not the Razorbacks. Ohio State lives and dies by the run, which means it's a great news for them that Arkansas gives up just under 160 rushing yards per game.
Secondly, Arkansas is a passing oriented team and they'll be going up against the No. 4 passing defense in the country. Ohio State has only given up seven passing touchdowns this season while picking off 18 passes.
The Buckeyes do struggle against SEC teams but this is one that they should beat. They'll have the better defense on the field and if they'll be able to run, this will be an easy one for them. 10* play.
|01-03-11||Florida Panthers v. Carolina Hurricanes -165||Top||4-3||Loss||-165||5 h 42 m||Show|
The Carolina Hurricanes have dominated the Florida Panthers in their recent meetings in Raleigh and that should continue on Monday.
The Hurricanes have won six of the last seven at the RBC Center and 28 of the last 38 meetings overall.
The Hurricanes have been scoring goals in bunches recently, which has led to a three-game winning streak. They have 14 goals in their last three and their power play is 5-for-12 in that span.
They should catch a break on Monday as Panthers backup goaltender Scott Clemmensen is expected to make the start. He is just 1-6-2 lifetime against the Hurricanes with a 3.52 GAA. For the Canes, Ward has won his last three starts while giving up just six goals in those games and his GAA at home this season is a sparkling 2.27.
The Hurricanes have won seven of their last 10 and should be fresh for this contest. Florida played on Sunday night and is just 2-5 in back-to-back games this season. This will also be their third road game in four nights. 10* play.
|01-02-11||St. Louis Rams v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 41.5||Top||6-16||Win||100||31 h 28 m||Show|
The Seattle Seahawks will host the St. Louis Rams on Sunday night in a winner-takes-the-NFC-West showdown.
Offense should be hard to come by in this one as the Seahawks unit is regularly pathetic but may be without starting quarterback Matt Hasselbeck. Even if he plays, the passing game has been lifeless in recent weeks and the running game has been dormant all season long. The Seahawks rank 30th in the NFL in rushing yards per game with just 85.5.
The Seahawks have lost three straight and seven of their last nine while scoring just 15.3 points per game in those seven losses. Even so, they are a team that plays better at home - especially their defense.
The Rams are an indoors team that is traveling west to play outdoors in frigid temperatures. They aren't running the ball particularly well, which is never a good sign when heading out on the road.
Running back Steven Jackson is averaging just 3.7 yards per carry this season and has never had a 100-yard rushing game against Seattle. In the second half of the season, his yards per carry average is even lower at 3.5.
This has the makings of an ugly defensive struggle. The under is 3-1 in the four games that the Rams have been favored this season and it's 11-5 in their last 16 divisional games.
With Charlie Whitehurst likely starting for a toothless Seahawks team and the Rams taking a young offense on the road outdoors, look for a low-scoring contest in this one. 10* play.
|01-02-11||Jacksonville Jaguars v. Houston Texans -3||Top||17-34||Win||100||23 h 3 m||Show|
The Jacksonville Jaguars are still playing for a playoff spot in Week 17 but they aren't going to get it. For starters, they need the Indianapolis Colts to lose at home. Secondly, they need to defeat the Houston Texans, which they have already done once this season, but they'll need to do it without their starting backfield.
Both quarterback David Garrard and running back Maurice Jones-Drew will not suit up for this game, which puts the burden on Trent Edwards and Rashad Jennings. The Houston Texans defense is pathetic but it should be able to look a bit better against Edwards, who was cut by the Buffalo Bills earlier this season.
The Texans won't have Andre Johnson at their disposal on Sunday but they still have an explosive offense. They'll have a big edge in their backfield as both Matt Schaub and Arian Foster are Pro Bowl-caliber players (Foster was selected to the 2011 Pro Bowl).
This is also a revenge game where the Texans lost a heartbreaker in Jacksonville on a last-second Hail Mary pass.
With the recent rumors that head coach Gary Kubiak will be back in 2011 with Wade Phillips manning the defense, the Texans can use this game as a springboard for next season. They'll be charged up for this one while the Jags won't be able to match points with them on offense. 10* play.
|01-01-11||Michigan v. Mississippi State -4||Top||14-52||Win||100||25 h 33 m||Show|
The Michigan Wolverines have had a brutal defense all season and it's not going to magically get better for their New Year's Day bowl against the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
Overall, this is just a matchup of two teams heading in different directions.
Since taking over for Mississippi State, Dan Mullen has guided the Bulldogs in the right direction and they are thrilled to be playing in a big bowl on New Year's Day. The offense has become dangerous and the defense is still rugged, which means the Bulldogs are no longer in the basement of the SEC.
Meanwhile, Michigan looked like they were trending upwards to start the season but that balloon quickly deflated. They finished up the year losing their last two games by a combined score of 85-35. On top of that, head coach Rich Rodriguez had to plead publicly just to keep his job.
It's a matchup of two good offenses but only one team has a defense to speak of: Mississippi State. They have a tough SEC defensive line that will be able to get a few stops while Michigan won't. 10* play.
|01-01-11||Penn State v. Florida -7||Top||24-37||Win||100||24 h 51 m||Show|
Penn State was beaten up a few times by teams that could run the ball, which is bad news considering who they are facing on New Year's Day.
The Nittany Lions have failed several times this season against teams that can run the ball well. Alabama worked them over on the ground in the first half of their meeting, Iowa ran all over them, as did Ohio State and Illinois. In their five losses this season, Penn State gave up an average of 212.2 rushing yards per game.
That's bad news considering the Gators are known as a rushing team.
On top of that, there will be a huge emotional edge for Florida as this will be the final game for head coach Urban Meyer. The players are going to go full boar to send him off well.
Penn State's offense hasn't faced SEC-type speed readily this season and that could lead to a few mistakes from their quarterbacks. This one won't be a close contest. Bet Florida. 10* play.
|12-31-10||Atlanta Hawks v. Oklahoma City Thunder -5||Top||94-103||Win||100||17 h 17 m||Show|
The Atlanta Hawks started the 2010-11 season with an impressive stretch of wins on the road but as the calendar year finishes up, they are struggling away from home.
The Hawks started the season with four straight road wins and wins in seven of their first nine away games. But now they are just 9-8 on the road as they have lost six of their last eight on the road.
They are struggling to score away from home and that will be compounded by the fact that they will be without forward Marvin Williams after he injured his back in the Hawks most recent game this week. The Hawks are averaging just 85.3 points per game on the road in December.
The Thunder are 7-2 in their last nine home games and are 14-5 against the spread in their last 19 when facing a team from the Southeast Conference. They are also 10-4 straight up against teams from the East.
Bet the Thunder to end the year on a high note and roll the Hawks. 10* play.
|12-31-10||Florida State v. South Carolina -3||Top||26-17||Loss||-105||17 h 36 m||Show|
The Florida State Seminoles will take on the South Carolina Gamecocks in the Chick-fil-A bowl. Unfortunately, they may not be at full strength for the game.
Quarterback Christian Ponder has had two minor surgeries over the last month and he's had both elbow and shoulder problems. He should be fine to start this game but how will he hold up after a few hits?
The Seminoles need him at full speed because the Gamecocks weakness on defense is their secondary. If he's not healthy and sharp - and he isn't 100% - then the Gamecocks will have huge edge.
South Carolina's offense has plenty of weapons, including running back Marcus Lattimore. He's going to get a steady dose in this bowl and when the Seminoles cheat up to stop him, the Stephen Garcia will hit AlShon Jeffery for big plays in the passing game.
An SEC team is regularly the bet against an ACC school. On top of that, the Gamecocks have the edge on the sidelines with Steve Spurrier coaching against Jimbo Fisher. Spurrier will relish the chance to beat up Florida State again.
Take the Gamecocks. 10* play.
|12-30-10||Washington v. Nebraska -14||Top||19-7||Loss||-105||322 h 14 m||Show|
Razor's 9* UW/NEB 2010 HOLIDAY BOWL ATS Winner!
Washington Huskies (6-6 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-3 SU, 5-7 ATS)
10:00PM ET - Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego CA
The Washington Huskies and Nebraska Cornhuskers square off in the Holiday Bowl in a rematch from earlier this year.
On September 18th, the Huskers went to Washington and destroyed the Huskies 56-21. While the two teams come into this game in opposite moods, the result should still be the same.
Nebraska had BCS expectations but leg injuries to quarterback Taylor Martinez - and a couple of tough losses to Texas A&M and Oklahoma at the end of the season - threw everything off track. Meanwhile, the Huskies barely qualified for bowl season as they won their last three games to finish 6-6. Their last three wins came against UCLA, California and Washington State - not exactly three titans.
With some time off, Martinez will be healthy for this game and will again wreak havoc on a Huskies defense, which allows 31.2 points per game. It may be Jake Locker's last contest before he hits the pro's but a good Nebraska defense will again show why he's going to be a bust in the NFL.
Lay the points with the Huskers. 9* Play.
|12-28-10||North Carolina State v. West Virginia -2.5||Top||23-7||Loss||-110||77 h 43 m||Show|
The West Virginia Mountaineers will take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack in the Champs Sports Bowl, which is a classic matchup of offense versus defense.
But in this game, the Mountaineers defense will dominate the Wolfpack offense.
West Virginia excels at getting into the backfield and North Carolina State has neither a good ground game or good offensive line to slow them down. The Mountaineers didn't give up more than 21 points in a game this season and allowed just 15 touchdowns, which was the fewest in the nation. They also had 22 takeaways and 40 sacks.
The Mountaineers offense has plenty of playmakers with quarterback Geno Smith, running back Noel Devine and receiver Jock Sanders.
The Wolfpack simply don't have a defense to match here. Their unit gives up just under 228 passing yards per game and allowed 20 touchdowns and only had eight interceptions.
West Virginia will move the ball and score while North Carolina State will get stuck in the mud. Bet the Mountaineers. 10* play.
|12-26-10||Tennessee Titans v. Kansas City Chiefs -5||Top||14-34||Win||100||24 h 18 m||Show|
The Kansas City Chiefs need to keep winning to keep the San Diego Chargers off their heels, and the good news is that they finish up the season with their final two contests at home.
The Chiefs host the Titans this week, who are in complete disarray. The Titans ended their six-game losing streak at home last week but that was against the Houston Texans, and on top of that, they needed to pull out all of the stops. Quarterback Kerry Collins should have been intercepted a couple of times in the first quarter (dropped picks) and the Titans needed to complete a couple of gambles on fourth down.
This week, they face a much tougher opponent and they have to head on the road. The Titans have lost their last three road games by an average margin of 13.3 points per game.
The biggest issue for the Titans will be their 17th-ranked rush defense. The Chiefs have the No. 1 rushing offense in the NFL and they are going to pound the Titans on the ground. If the game is forced on Collins arm, he won't be as lucky as he was last week.
The Chiefs need this game whereas the Titans are playing for their coach, who some of them may not have as much faith in after his rift with quarterback Vince Young. Bet the Chiefs. 10* play.
|12-25-10||Dallas Cowboys -7 v. Arizona Cardinals||Top||26-27||Loss||-100||18 h 17 m||Show|
The Dallas Cowboys travel to Arizona on Saturday to face the hapless Cardinals, in what should very well be a blowout.
The Cowboys have been very competitive since firing Wade Phillips as they have four wins in six games with two 30-27 losses to the New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles - two teams that could be representing the NFC in the Super Bowl.
On the other hand, the Cardinals have been completely listless down the stretch of a season and aside from a six-turnover effort from the Denver Broncos, the Cardinals have eight losses in their last nine games.
The Cowboys haven't scored less than 27 points in a game after Jason Garrett took over and they have averaged 32.2 points per game. The Cardinals are hapless on offense with rookie quarterback John Skelton running the show as he has completed less than 50% of his passes and has yet to throw a touchdown through two starts.
Take the Cowboys to roll the Cardinals on Christmas Day. 10* pick.
|12-23-10||Carolina Panthers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -14||Top||3-27||Win||100||8 h 49 m||Show|
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Carolina Panthers on Thursday Night Football tonight and it should be a walk in the park for Pittsburgh.
Even if Carolina was at full strength, this would be a tough matchup for them as they are a run-oriented team going on the road to face the No. 1 run defense in the NFL.
Now that they are shorthanded, this will be an insurmountable task.
Rookie quarterback Jimmy Clausen has been awful as a starter. On the season, the Panthers have just two wins and both came at home to San Francisco and Arizona.
The bottom line here is that the Steelers will be able to stack the box, stuff the Panthers running game and force the game on Clausen, who leads the NFL's 32nd-ranked pass offense.
The Steelers offense should be able to move the ball regularly in this game and part of that will be based on their defense forcing three-and-outs and putting their offense in good field position.
It's just hard to fathom the Panthers being able to pass the ball well enough to make this close. They run a very complex 3-4 defense and Clausen hasn't seen anything like it.
The Steelers will dominate on both sides of the ball and earn the win and cover. 10* play.
|12-23-10||Navy v. San Diego State -3||Top||14-35||Win||100||7 h 25 m||Show|
The San Diego State Aztecs are a college football team on the rise but it looks like most bettors don't know about them. The line on this contest opened up at five but has been dropping non-stop to the point where we only have to lay a field goal with the Aztecs.
For starters, this game will be played in San Diego, which means this will pretty much be a home game for the Aztecs. It has been raining heavily in San Diego, which might give Navy the edge because they are reliant on the ground game but San Diego State's defense is tailored to stop a team like this.
The Aztecs are fifth in the nation with tackles per loss per game (7.58) and they have recorded 28 sacks on the year. Their aggressive front should be able to generate some negative plays and put Navy into some uncomfortable passing situations.
If the defense doesn't, the offense should.
San Diego State has an explosive offense that averages 448.8 yards per game and 35 points per game. They have four losses on the season but when you consider none was more than five points - a 40-35 loss to TCU - you start to see just how good of a team San Diego State is.
They are a team on the rise and while most of the nation is still behind on the times, this will be their coming out party. They will be a power player in the Mountain West for years to come. 10* pick.
|12-22-10||Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers -1||Top||97-92||Loss||-105||10 h 58 m||Show|
The Los Angeles Clippers have won three straight games are playing with a lot of confidence nowadays, which is why we are going to bet them on Wednesday night.
We documented earlier on in the season that the Clippers had found a good coach in Vinny Del Negro, a centerpiece in Blake Griffin and a foundation for success. Now a lot of their early season close calls are turning into wins and the Clippers are building momentum.
The Rockets are a bad defensive team and the Clippers are 11-4 against the spread this season versus teams that allow 99 points per game or more. The other main factor here is that the Rockets may be a bit road-weary as this will be their third road game in four nights, and their fourth game in six nights overall.
Take the Clippers to earn their fourth straight win and cover the spread.
|12-22-10||Utah v. Boise State -17||Top||3-26||Win||100||115 h 12 m||Show|
Razor's 8* Utah/Boise St. 2010 MAACO BOWL Winner!
Utah Utes (10-2 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) vs. Boise St. Broncos (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS)
8:00PM ET - Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas NV
The Boise State Broncos were expecting to play in a much better bowl than the MAACO Bowl but they'll have to make the most of it when they face Utah on Wednesday.
The Broncos are very much an elite team and their only stumble was in Nevada, who is a Top 25 team. The Wolfpack had a miraculous win to derail Boise State's season but realistically, the Broncos are BCS good.
Utah has only faced one elite team this year when they hosted TCU at home and they were smoked 47-7.
On Wednesday, without their starting quarterback, Jordan Wynn, expect a similar result.
Some people think the Broncos might not be in this game mentally but they have a senior class of players that is going to want to make one lasting impression before moving on. Hammering Utah will be that lasting memory. Lay the points with Boise State. 8* Play.
|12-20-10||Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Clippers -3.5||Top||90-113||Win||100||22 h 25 m||Show|
Razor's 10* Monday Night NBA $teamRoller! **TOP PLAY**
Minnesota (6-22) at L.A. Clippers (7-21)
10:30 PM ET - Staples Center, Los Angeles, California
The Los Angeles Clippers ended their awful road woes with back-to-back wins in Detroit and in Chicago, and now they look to carry momentum over as another team with plenty of its own road problems, the Minnesota Timberwolves, visits on Monday night.
The Timberwolves are 1-28 in their last 29 away from home and part of the problem - at least this year - has been defense. They are one of the worst defense teams in the NBA as is, giving up 109.9 points per game but that number actually balloons to 112.6 on the road.
Not that the Clippers are favored often - even at home - they are 1-0 both straight up and against the spread in the only other time they were at home favored by 3.5 to six points this season.
For the Timberwolves, this will be the last game of their six-game road trip and fatigue could come into play. This will be their fifth game in seven nights as this has been one jam-packed trip.
The Clippers have won the last two meetings at Staples Center and should make it three in a row against a worn down Timberwolves squad.
|12-19-10||Houston Texans +1.5 v. Tennessee Titans||Top||17-31||Loss||-110||74 h 56 m||Show|
Sunday AFC South Beatdown! Razor Ray's 10* Houston/Tennessee Winner!
Houston Texans (5-8 SU, 4-8-1 ATS) vs. Tennessee Titans (5-8 SU, 6-7 ATS)
LP Field - 1:00PM ET
The Houston Texans can't seem to get out of their own way recently but the Tennessee Titans are a team that is coming apart at the seams.
While Houston lost in heartbreaking fashion once again this past Monday - they are the first team in NFL history to trail by 14 points or more in four games, come back to tie or take the lead, and then still lose - they are still the better team than Tennessee.
The Titans have been nosediving ever since head coach Jeff Fisher benched quarterback Vince Young and the duo had a blowup. Recent reports came out this week that the locker room is divided over the coach and the quarterback, and the fact that owner Bud Adams supports the quarterback and not the coach is paving the way for Fisher to lose the grip on the team. The Titans have lost six straight games and their effort has been questioned regularly.
On Sunday, they'll face a Texans squad that has a brutal defense but still has an elite offense. With Matt Schaub, Arian Foster and Andre Johnson, the Texans should at least be able to put up points. On defense, the weakness of their unit is the secondary but the good news is that Tennessee is not a great passing team. Star running back Chris Johnson has just 169 total rushing yards in his last three games.
The Titans look like they've quit on the year while the Texans tend to play better when the pressure is off. They are the better of the two teams and should cover as a small road underdog.
|12-18-10||New York Knicks -4.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers||Top||102-109||Loss||-110||19 h 38 m||Show|
Razor's ON FIRE! 9* NBA ATS Easy $ Beatdown! NY/CLE
New York Knicks (16-10) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (7-18)
7:30PM ET - Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH
The New York Knicks have been cooled off since their eight-game winning streak but a matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers should get them back on track.
The Knicks were one of the hottest teams in the NBA until they ran into the Boston Celtics on Thursday and the Miami Heat on Friday. Those two elite teams handed the Knicks two home losses, but now that they are back on the road against a feeble Eastern Conference opponent, they should find the win column again.
The Knicks have been solid on the road this season, posting a record of 10-4 and covering the spread in 12 of those 14 contests.
For Cleveland, the wheels have simply come off the wagon. After starting 4-3, they are just 3-16 in their last 19 games and they are currently mired in a 10-game losing streak.
The Knicks are 6-1 against the spread in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 and have covered 33 of their last 47 in that scenario. At the same token, the Cavs are just 4-9 ATS this year against good offensive teams that average 99 points per game or more.
Lastly, win or lose, the Knicks have been excellent against the spread recently. They have covered the spread in 14 of their last 16 games. Bet them make it 15 of 17 on Saturday. 9* Play.
|12-18-10||Dallas Stars v. Columbus Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5||Top||2-1||Win||100||8 h 39 m||Show|
Razor's Saturday NHL Total$ Freezout!
Dallas (18-10-3) vs. Columbus (16-12-3)
7:00PM ET - Nationwide Arena, Columbus OH
The Dallas Stars and Columbus Blue Jackets meet up on Saturday night and we're going to play the under. The Stars got their No. 1 goalie back on Thursday as Kari Lehtonen returned from injury but he was a tad rusty, allowing four goals but still stopped 39 of 43 shots.
Lehtonen has a 2.64 GAA on the season and should look a little bit better in his second start after the time off.
Both of these teams don't do a good job with their power plays as Columbus' power play converts just 12.7% of their opportunities, which ranks them in the basement of that category, but the Stars aren't much better at 16.7%.
Blue Jackets goalie Steve Mason is 2-1-1 versus the Stars with a GAA of 2.36. And if Mathieu Garon is in net, he's won three straight starts versus Dallas.
The under is 9-2 after the Stars have given up four or more goals in their previous game, which means they'll look to tighten up the back end once again after losing 4-3 to San Jose in their previous contest. The under is also 8-3 in the Blue Jackets last 11 home games where the total is 5.5.
Four of the last five meetings in Columbus have gone under and six of the last nine meetings overall have as well. We'll look for those trends to continue tonight.
|12-18-10||Northern Illinois v. Fresno State +1.5||Top||40-17||Loss||-110||54 h 26 m||Show|
Saturday Profit$. Razor Ray's 2010 Humanitarian Bowl 10* ATS Beatdown!
Northern Illinois Huskies (10-3 SU, 9-2-1 ATS )vs. Fresno St. Bulldogs (8-4 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Bronco Stadium - Boise, Idaho - 5:30PM ET
A couple of Fridays ago, Northern Illinois looked like a shoe-in to be the MAC Champions. As a 17-point favorite over Miami of Ohio, the Huskies lost outright and then their head coach, Jerry Kill, took off for Minnesota.
Now the Huskies have to pick up the pieces to face a high-powered Fresno State team, that has one of the more underrated coaches around: Pat Hill.
The Bulldogs are going to use the blueprint that the Redhawks used to beat Northern Illinois and aim to duplicate it.
Fresno State has played some tough competition this year and rides into this game on a two-game winning streak. They nearly upended nationally-ranked Nevada, which could have been the signature win of their season but they fell just short 35-34.
The Bulldogs have an excellent pass rush and that should counteract the Huskies ground game, which they need to rely on to succeed. Considering that the Huskies are a program in transition and were hoping to play in a much bigger bowl game, bet against them here. Fresno State will win this game outright.
|12-16-10||Toronto Maple Leafs v. Calgary Flames -140||Top||2-5||Win||100||11 h 10 m||Show|
Razor Ray's NHL All-Canadian Can Of Whoop-A$$!
Toronto Maple Leafs (12-14-4) vs. Calgary Flames (13-15-3)
Scotiabank Saddledome - 9:35PM ET
The Toronto Maple Leafs might be in a bit of tough spot on Thursday when they visit the Calgary Flames. They are coming off a big revenge win over the Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday night and have another one coming up against Vancouver on Saturday. Sandwiched in between is a Flames contest at the Saddledome, which is a place the Leafs haven't had much success.
With the win in Edmonton, the Leafs have just four road wins on the year. In those 13 road games, they have been outscored by a margin of 1.3 goals per game.
On top of that, the Leafs don't fare well in non-conference contests either as they are just 13-28 in their last 41 against the West. Or more recently TOR are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. Northwest. Head to head the home team in this series is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.
Toronto is likely to start Jean-Sebastien Giguere, who is 8-6-2 with a 2.67 goals-against average in 17 games this campaign. Miikka Kiprusoff has posted 3 shutouts and a 2.73 GAA in 26 outings for the Flames this season despite an 11-14-1 record. The former Vezina Trophy recipient has faced the Maple Leafs seven times, going 4-1-1 with one goose-egg and a 3.14 GAA.
Calgary have won their last 2 matchups vs. the Leafs, and Calgary has won their last 5 games at home and should push that streak further with a win tonight. 7* Play.
|12-16-10||San Francisco 49ers v. San Diego Chargers -9||Top||7-34||Win||100||27 h 44 m||Show|
Razor's Thursday Night NFL Network 8* $teaming-Mad Side!
San Francisco 49ers (5-8 SU, 6-7 ATS) vs. San Diego Chargers (7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS)
Qualcomm Stadium - 8:20PM ET (NFL NETWORK)
Writeup to follow.
|12-15-10||Phoenix Coyotes +100 v. New Jersey Devils||Top||0-3||Loss||-100||8 h 1 m||Show|
Razor's 10* Wednesday NHL ATS Wipeout! (Pho/NJ)
Phoenix Coyotes (14-8-6) vs. New Jersey Devils (8-19-2)
Prudential Center - 7:05PM ET
The New Jersey Devils are the worst team in the NHL and they should have their hands full with a very good Phoenix Coyotes squad on Wednesday. The Devils might be at home but Phoenix has actually played very well on the road this year. They have the best road winning percentage among Western Conference teams and they have won six of their last seven away from home. In that span, they have given up just 12 goals. That figures to be a problem for the low-scoring Devils, who have just 53 goals on the season (two of which were credited from shootout wins). Coyotes netminder Ilya Bryzgalov is 6-1-2 in his last 10 starts and he hasn't allowed more than three goals in any of those games. Bet the Coyotes in this game as the Devils are hapless.
|12-15-10||Los Angeles Clippers v. Philadelphia 76ers -200||Top||91-105||Win||100||7 h 27 m||Show|
The Philadelphia 76ers have quietly been one of the hotter teams in the NBA over the last couple of weeks, so we'll play the trend. They have won six of their last eight games, covered 11 of their last 12 spreads and have been very competitive since their 3-13 start. Their only two losses in their last eight games have come by a total of six points. The big factor for the 76ers has been their commitment to defense. Their last eight opponents have scored just 86.9 points per game. The Los Angeles Clippers visit on Wednesday night and they have lost all 10 of their road games this season and 37 of their last 40. They have also lost nine straight versus the Eastern Conference. The 76ers are on a back-to-back situation, which is why we'll play the moneyline here opposed to the spread. The trends favor them heavily.
6* Moneyline Pick.
|12-14-10||Toronto Raptors v. Charlotte Bobcats -4.5||Top||91-97||Win||100||9 h 40 m||Show|
Razor's ON FIRE! 7* NBA ATS Easy $ Beatdown! Tor/Char
Toronto Raptors (9-15 SU, 13-10-1 ATS) vs. Charlotte Bobcats (8-15 SU, 9-12-2 ATS)
Time Warner Cable Arena - 7:05PM ET
Writeup coming shortly.
|12-12-10||Denver Broncos -4 v. Arizona Cardinals||Top||13-43||Loss||-110||49 h 7 m||Show|
Razor's Sunday Battle Of The Basement Winning $ide!
Denver Broncos (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS) vs. Arizona Cardinals (3-9 SU, 3-9 ATS)
University of Phoenix Stadium - 4:15PM ET
The Denver Broncos travel to Arizona to face the hapless Cardinals and this is strictly a play-against Arizona.
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona, and Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Yes I know the Denver Broncos have been mathematically eliminated from the NFL playoffs, but they're not as bad as Arizona.
Denver has had its fair share of struggles this year, which is why head coach Josh McDaniels was fired this week, but they haven't been nearly as bad as Arizona. Running backs coach Eric Studesville will serve as interim coach for the final four games of the season.
The Broncos are nothing special but they are at least decent. They have a good quarterback in Kyle Orton, a decent passing game with a number of receiving weapons and their defense shouldn't be so overmatched this week. Orton is having a career year. He has 20 touchdown passes against four interceptions and is fourth in the NFL with 3,487 yards.
Look for them to put forth a good performance for their new (and interim) head coach Eric Studesville. The Broncos are 7-0-1 all-time against the Cardinals, including a 37-20 victory at Arizona in 2006.
The Cardinals simply can't get anything going on offense and compounding their problems is a murky quarterback situation this week.
Derek Anderson and Max Hall have both been brutal, to say the least, but Hall is out (dislocated shoulder) and Anderson (concussion) is more than likely out as well. That leaves the duties to rookie John Skelton, who is a fifth-round pick out of Fordham. Coming from a small school likely Fordham, he's less than NFL-ready and he's never started an NFL game. This could be very UGLY.
Bet the Broncos. 10* play.
|12-12-10||Cleveland Browns v. Buffalo Bills -1||Top||6-13||Win||100||62 h 10 m||Show|
Stick It To Your Man $unday!
Cleveland (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS) vs. Buffalo (2-10 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)
Ralph Wilson Stadium - 1:00PM ET
Oddsmakers currently have the Bills listed as 1-point favorites.
The Cleveland Browns enter this week's contest in Buffalo playing their second straight road game. Their first one went well as they eked out a victory in Miami but we all know, winning two straight on the road is always tough.
The Browns will have to rely on their running game once again this week as the weather might call for snow and/or freezing rain. But the Browns will be far too predictable and that should allow the Bills to focus more of their defense on stopping Peyton Hillis.
Cleveland is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road, and Buffalo is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
Of the two quarterbacks, Jake Delhomme is far more mistake prone and that is a big concern - especially on a second straight road game. It won't be pretty but the Bills will get their third win on the year at home this week.
Although it started the season 0-8, Buffalo had shown signs of turning things around prior to last week
|12-11-10||Portland -6 v. Denver||Top||71-64||Win||100||7 h 54 m||Show|
Razor's Saturday CBB Hoops B-L-O-W-O-U-T
Portland (7-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Denver (2-7 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Magness Arena 6:00PM ET
The 7-3 Portland Pilots will look to bounce-back today after a loss to No. 21 Washington. They shouldn't have a problem doing that against Denver, who is 2-7 on the year and 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
Portland is a good squad that can stretch the floor with their shooting. They average 7.7 three-pointers per game and shoot 43.5% from beyond the arc.
The real issue for Denver is they have no size on their roster. They get smoked on the glass on a nightly basis and are a -7 in the rebound margin.
Take Portland to rebound after a tough loss as they are clearly the better team in this spot.
|12-10-10||New York Knicks -2.5 v. Washington Wizards||Top||101-95||Win||100||7 h 15 m||Show|
Friday NBA Steam! Razor Ray's Knicks/Wiz Winning Side!
New York (14-9 SU, 15-7-1 ATS) vs. Washington (6-15 SU, 9-12 ATS)
Verizon Center - 7:00 PM ET
The opening line on this matchup saw most books at -5.
The New York Knicks are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now and on Friday night, they are going to face one that can't be much colder.
The Knicks have won six straight overall, seven straight on the road and have lost just once in their last 11 games. My Man Amare has been on fire. Stoudemire has scored 30 or more points in six straight games and can tie the franchise record of seven straight 30-point performances set by Willie Naulls in 1962. Plus he's third in the NBA with a 25.7 scoring average. PG Raymond Felton isn't playing too shabby either. Did you like Wednesday