At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks beat the league's #1 team on Sunday, while the Spurs were stunned, 113-106, at home by Sacramento.  I love the Spurs to bounce back this evening, as NBA teams off 7-point (or worse) defeats have gone 115-77, 60% ATS, vs. foes off upset wins over .667 (or better) teams.  San Antonio has also cashed 75% since April 18, 1993 off an upset loss as a double-digit home favorite.  Lay the points with the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Lakers come into tonight's game off back to back wins (and covers) over Charlotte (129-115) and New Orleans (130-102), while the Thunder suffered their biggest upset loss of the season, on Sunday, when they fell to Dallas, as a 12.5-point favorite (106-103).  OKC will once again be favored by double-digits tonight, and I expect a much different result than the last time these two teams met (the Lakers upset OKC, 138-128, on Jan. 17).  First of all, the Lakers are an awful 33-62-4 ATS in the regular season off back to back wins and covers, if their opponent was off a loss.  And, second, the Thunder are 32-15 ATS in the Regular season when playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if the Thunder owned a winning record.  Lay the points with OKC.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks' injury list is extensive for tonight's game:  Nikola Mirotic (Out), Malcolm Brogdon (Out), Pau Gasol (Out), Donte DiVincenzo (Out), Khris Middleton (Questionable), Tony Snell (Questionable).  They played yesterday in Atlanta (also minus Eric Bledsoe and Giannis Antetokounmpo), and went into overtime in a 136-135 loss.  That sets up Milwaukee in a bad situation tonight, as unrested teams are 25-44 ATS after playing in a high-scoring game (262+ points) the day before.  Certainly, this is a big game for both of these teams, as each is fighting for playoff positions.  But Brooklyn's urgency is a bit greater as it sits just a half-game behind Detroit for 6th, and is in front of Miami by the same amount for the 7th spot.  Milwaukee, meanwhile, still has 3 games of breathing room between it and Toronto for the #1 spot (with just five games to play).  Brooklyn lost at home to these Bucks, 113-94, in their last meeting.  But Brooklyn is 14-1 ATS, including 11-0 ATS its last 11, when playing with revenge and not getting more than 6 points.  Take the Nets.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Sacramento.  The Spurs earned a playoff berth last night when Sacramento lost to Houston.  And that moved the Spurs into the NBA record books as they've now made the Playoffs for 22 seasons in a row (tied with the 76ers franchise, 1950-71)!  Tonight, the Spurs will take on Sacramento.  And San Antonio will look to avenge its loss at Sacramento last month.  This is a huge game for the Spurs as they want to win each of their last six games to avoid finishing in 8th place, and drawing the Warriors in the Opening Round.  San Antonio is 48-26 ATS off a win, if it was playing with revenge against an opponent off a loss, and the Spurs weren't favored by 13+ points.  Take San Antonio to blow out the Kings.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Michigan State.  Mike Krzyzewski has owned Tom Izzo, with seven straight wins in this series.  This evening, I look for Duke to rip off its 8th straight win vs. Michigan State.  Yes, it's true that the Spartans come into this game off impressive wins over LSU (80-63) and Minnesota (70-50), while Duke has yet to cover the spread in the Tourney.  But Number 1-seeded teams have covered 68% off back to back ATS losses, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Duke falls into several of my very best systems, with records of 287-191, 32-8 and 164-81 ATS.  Lay the small number with the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers upset Tennessee, in overtime, on Thursday.  Unfortunately, single-digit underdogs (or PK) off upset wins have cashed just 57 of 132 NCAA Tournament games vs. foes off a point spread loss.  And teams off overtime wins are a horrid 29% ATS since 2001, including 9-38 ATS when priced from -3 to +10 points.  Take Virginia.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are off to a 3-0 ATS start to this Tournament.  And they've won each game in blowout fashion, with wins by 15 (Northern Kentucky), 20 (Buffalo) and 19 (Michigan).  Unfortunately, NCAA Tourney teams have cashed just 18.7% over the last 29 years off three ATS wins, if they won those three games by 15+ points.  Take Gonzaga today to blow out Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Wildcats have rebounded off their loss to Tennessee in the SEC Conference Tournament with back to back wins (and covers) over Abilene Christian and Wofford.  On Friday, the Wildcats will take on the 33-3 Houston Cougars.  And Kentucky is at its very best in the post-season when matched up against top-level teams with a win percentage of .750 (or better), if Kentucky is not off 3+ ATS wins.  Since 1991, the Wildcats are an awesome 42-14-2 ATS, including 11-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament.  Lay the points with Kentucky.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Oregon.  The Ducks, as a 12 seed, are the lowest seed remaining in this Tourney.  They upset Wisconsin in the first round, and then caught a break by getting to play 13-seed Cal Irvine last Sunday.  Oregon was favored by 4.5 in that game, and won, 73-54.  Unfortunately, Oregon won't be catching a break in the Sweet 16, as they'll have to play the 2nd best team in the Tournament.  And teams seeded #11 (or worse), that won as a favorite in Round 2, are a horrid 0-13 straight up and 3-9-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round.  Admittedly, the Ducks are the hottest team left in the Tournament, with 10 straight wins and covers.  But that's never been a positive indicator in this NCAA Tournament, as teams off 9+ ATS wins have covered just 22% over the past 26 years.  Take Virginia.  NCAA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Florida State.  Number 1 seeds have dominated, lately, in the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 Round.  Over the last four seasons, they've gone 12-0 straight-up, and 10-1-1 ATS.  And, dating back to 1990, #1 seeds, priced from -6 to -10 points, are 37-4 straight-up and 27-13-1 ATS in the Sweet 16.  This is also a huge revenge game for Gonzaga, which lost in last season's Sweet 16 Round to these same Seminoles.  Last season, the Bulldogs were a #4 seed, but they were still favored by 6 over the 9th-seeded Seminoles, who pulled off the upset, 75-60.  However, in the post-season, over the last 18 years, teams playing with revenge from an upset Tourney loss, in which they failed to cover by more than 7 points, have gone 12-0 straight-up and 10-0-2 ATS (including 6 outright upset wins)!   Take Gonzaga to blow out the Seminoles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Colorado, in the quarterfinals of the NIT Tournament.  The Buffaloes won and covered their first two games in this NIT Tournament.  But both of those were played in Boulder.  This game will be in Austin, Texas.  And Colorado is a horrid 9-27 straight-up and 8-27-1 ATS in its last 36 lined road games, including 2-18 ATS when the Buffaloes owned a W/L percentage greater than .600.  Even worse:  the Buffs are 9-24 ATS off back to back ATS wins, including 1-9 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Meanwhile, the Big 12 Conference has been strong (8-1 ATS their last nine) in the NIT Tournament, at the quarterfinal round forward.  Take Texas to blow out the Buffaloes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  These two teams met 13 days ago in Indianapolis, and the Pacers came away with a 2-point victory, as a 1-point home favorite.  That game kick-started a 1-5 SU/ATS stretch for the Thunder, which reached its lowest point this past Monday when they lost to the woeful Grizzlies, 115-103.  OKC is now in 7th place in the Western Conference.  But I love OKC to bounce back on this Wednesday.  Indiana hasn't been able to beat quality teams on the road this season.  Since December 19, the Pacers are 0-10 straight up and 2-8 ATS on the road vs. foes with a win percentage of .481 (or better).  And OKC is 43-21-2 ATS in the regular season when playing with same-season revenge vs. Eastern Conference foes that won their previous game.  Take the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Wichita State.  The Shockers will attempt to become the first NIT Tournament team (in the Tourney's 82-year history) to knock off its Region's Top 3 Seeds.  Wichita has already won blowouts at Furman (76-70) and at Clemson (63-55).  Unfortunately for the Shockers, NIT Tourney teams are a soft 34-54 ATS away from home after covering the point spread by 6+ points in each of their previous two games.  Take Indiana to blow out Wichita.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  The key factor in this game is WVU's home court.  The Mountaineers have been solid over the years in the post-season, when playing at home.  Since 1990, they've cashed 64%, including a perfect 3-0 ATS when laying 9+ points.  Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina has been awful in the post-season when playing away from home (8-27 straight-up; 5-10 ATS (with 20 non-lined games).  And when the point spread on the game was in the single-digits (i.e., below 10), then the Chanticleers were 1-7 ATS.  West Virginia blew out Grand Canyon, 77-63, here, at home, in its first round game.  In contrast, Coastal Carolina struggled, somewhat, at home vs. Howard, and failed to cover the 11-point spread in an 81-72 win.  WVU is 48-20-1 ATS at home off a home win, including 19-3 ATS if its opponent failed to cover the point spread in its previous game.  Take the Mountaineers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Buffalo.  The Bulls won the Mid-American Conference this season, and are 30-3 on the year.  But Mid-American Conference teams are an awful 0-11 straight-up and 2-9 ATS as underdogs of +3.5 (or more) points off an NCAA Tournament win.  And MAC Conference teams are also 1-23 straight-up and 5-17-2 ATS vs. Big 12 foes with a win percentage of .800 (or better), including 0-7 ATS their last seven.  We played on the Red Raiders in their Friday victory over Northern Kentucky.  Texas Tech won that game, 72-57, as a 13-point favorite.  And the Red Raiders are now 10-1 straight-up and 9-2 ATS their last 11 games.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Chicago.  The Jazz went into Atlanta on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, but left with their tail between their legs after the Hawks upset them, 117-114, as a 7.5 point underdog.  I look for Quin Snyder's men to bounce back on this Saturday, as they're 19-9 ATS off a loss this season.  Meanwhile, Chicago's an awful 2-10 ATS at home off a win.  Lay the points with Utah.  NBA GAME OF THE WEEK!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks defeated the Hoosiers by a point earlier this season.  But that game was played in Fayetteville.  On the road, Arkansas has consistently burned money for bettors over the years.  Indeed, the Razorbacks are a miserable 16-33 on the road vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-10 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points with Indiana.  High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, on Friday afternoon, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Cal Irvine.  The Wildcats were seeded #1 in their Big 12 Conference tourney, but were bounced out by the Iowa State Cyclones.  They're now seeded 4th in this NCAA Tournament against a 13th-seeded Anteaters squad, which has won 16 straight games.  We'll lay the points with the Wildcats, as NCAA Tourney teams, seeded #4 or #3, that lost as a top 2-seeded team in either the quarter-finals or semi-finals of their conference tourney, have cashed 63.2% since 1990 vs. foes off SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Kansas State falls into my favorite Tourney system which is 155-58 ATS since 1990.  Finally, Big West Conference teams are a horrid 23-52 ATS vs. Big 12 member schools, including 6-25 ATS when priced from -3 to +13 points.  Take Kansas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Phoenix.  The Pistons come into tonight's game vs. the Suns off a road loss, at Cleveland.  But I love Detroit to rebound off that defeat, and blow out the Suns tonight.  Detroit already pounded Phoenix earlier this season, 118-107.  And that was Detroit's fourth straight double-digit win vs. the Suns (by an average of 22.25 ppg).  Even more impressive is the fact that the Pistons are a super 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings vs. the Suns.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Syracuse.  Baylor enters this Tournament ice cold, with four straight losses.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Baylor.  But teams off 4+ losses have actually cashed 65.3% over the last 29 years in the post-season (non-conference) tournaments, if they were at home, or on a neutral court.  Moreover, Baylor is a spectacular 57-25-4 ATS off back to back defeats, including 7-0 ATS when priced from PK to +2.5.  And, finally, the Big 12 Conference has dominated the ACC Conference lately, with a 25-7 SU and 23-9 ATS record over the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 11-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4.5 to +3.5 points.  Take Baylor.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie

At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Fairleigh Dickinson.  The Bulldogs were upset by rival St. Mary's to end their West Coast Conference season.  Gonzaga, though, is an awesome 24-2 SU and 16-9 ATS off a loss.  Even better:  #1-seeded teams are a solid 60% in the post-season off an upset loss, if they're playing the 2nd of back to back games away from home.  Take the Zags minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the COLLEGE INSIDER TOURNAMENT, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Buccaneers had covered nine straight games prior to losing to Radford in the semifinals of the Big South Conference tourney.  We'll take the Bucs to bounce back at home tonight vs. the Owls, as the Owls have covered just two of their last 11 post-season games.  Finally, Charleston Southern falls into a 69-27 ATS Tourney system of mine which plays on certain home teams in Conference tourneys.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the points over Murray State.  The Racers upset Belmont in the Championship game of the Ohio Valley Tournament, and are 27-4 this season.  Meanwhile, Marquette was upset by Seton Hall to end its Big East season, and finished with a 24-9 overall record.  Over the last 29 seasons, teams off upset defeats have covered 64.3% vs. .750 (or better) foes off upset wins.  Take Marquette.

At 3:10 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Belmont.  The Bruins have been a great offensive team this season, as they average 87.2 ppg.  But I believe they'll find it a tad difficult to score against this Maryland club, which gives up just 65.1 ppg.  Even worse:  In the NCAA Tourney, teams seeded #3 (or worse), that average 86+ points per game, are an awful 0-16 ATS as underdogs of less than 12 points (or PK).  Take Maryland.

At 12:40 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Yale.  Yale comes into this game off three straight wins -- over Princeton (twice) and Harvard in the Ivy League title game.  But all three of those games were played on Yale's home court.  And, dating back to 1990, teams that had the benefit of winning their conference tournament on their home court have burned $$$ in their first NCAA tourney game.  Even worse for Yale:  it's a woeful 2-13 ATS as an underdog priced from +4 to +9 points.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Baptist Lancers + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions have been an historically poor traveler, as they've covered just 65 of 155 road games.  That doesn't bode well for them tonight, as a small road favorite.  Even worse:  West Coast Conference teams (like Loyola) are a horrid 0-9 SU/ATS their last nine on the road in the post-season.  Finally, Loyola was upset by Pepperdine, as a 4.5-point favorite in the West Coast Conference tourney.  And road favorites have cashed just 34.3% over the past 29 years in the post-season tournaments off an upset defeat.  Take California Baptist.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Chicago.  The Wizards are mathematically still alive for a Playoff spot, but just barely.  They come into tonight's game off a 21-point loss to Utah, and trail 8th-seeded Miami by 4.5 games with just 11 to play.  That makes tonight's game against the 20-52 Bulls ultra-important.  I fully expect the Wizards to rebound off that blowout loss, as they had covered seven of eight going into that game.  And there's no shame in losing to the Jazz right now, as Utah's won its last four games by 17, 20, 16 and 21 points.  Meanwhile, Chicago is coming off an upset win at Phoenix.  We had a play on Chicago that night, but will go against the Bulls today.  One of my stocks-in-trade is to go against certain bad teams off wins.  The Bulls certainly fit the bill tonight, as they fall into several of my best negative systems, with records of 63-121, 202-317 and 138-233 ATS.  Throw in the fact that Chicago is a miserable 5-14 ATS at home this season vs. other losing teams, and we'll pull the trigger on the Wizards.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Central Michigan. The Blue Demons lost to St Johns, 82-74, to end their Big East season.  That game, however, was played in St. John's home town of New York City.  Tonight's game will be back in Chicago, where the Demons are 12-6 this season.  We'll lay the points, as Mid-American Conference teams are an awful 30-57 ATS as non-conference underdogs away from home, priced from +3 to +5.5 points, including 5-26 ATS their last 31, and 4-16 ATS in the Tournaments.  Additionally, DePaul's cashed 67% as a home favorite in the post-season off a SU loss.  And it also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 135-55 ATS since 1990.  Take DePaul.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Longwood Lancers + the points over Southern Mississippi.  Over the last 29 years, there have been 101 home underdogs in the post-season (non-conference) tourneys, and the Lancers are the only double-digit home underdog among them.  Over the last five seasons, home dogs in these tournaments have cashed 63.8%, and we'll grab the points with Longwood tonight.  The Lancers fall into 67-27 and 17-0 ATS tourney systems of mine.  Meanwhile, Southern Miss is a poor 2-9 SU and 3-7-1 ATS on the road in the post-season, including 0-5 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take Longwood.

At 9:10 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Temple.  Belmont falls into an NCAA Tourney systems, which is 62-30 ATS.  That angle plays on certain teams off a double-digit loss (Belmont fell to Murray State, 77-65, to end its season).  But before that defeat, Belmont had won its previous 14 games (10-2-2 ATS)!  I won't step in front of Belmont tonight, given the short price, as .833 (or better) NCAA Tourney teams have cashed 69 percent as favorites of -8 or less points, if they were off a loss to end their season.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Utah Valley.  The Matadors are double-digit underdogs this evening, and it's hard to turn down that many points with a team which was 16-4-1 ATS as an underdog/PK this season (and 20-7-2 ATS, overall).  Northridge also falls into a 100% Perfect, 16-0 ATS Tourney system of mine.  Take the points with the Matadors.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over South Dakota State.  Texas ended its season with losses in five of its last six games.  One problem for the Longhorns was that their leading scorer, Kerwin Roach II (14.7 ppg), missed five of those six games due to suspension.  But he returned for Texas' final Big 12 game of the season -- a 65-57 loss to Kansas in the quarterfinals.  The NIT Tournament committee seeded Texas #2 in its region, so it will start this tourney at home, in Austin.  And the Longhorns won 12 of their 18 home games this season.  That bodes well for Texas tonight, as home teams have cashed 78% in the post-season tourneys since 1991 if they owned a .666 (or better) home W/L percentage, and lost their three previous games SU/ATS.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials over Cornell.  This game will be played in Coraopolis, PA, where Robert Morris was 12-3 SU and 8-5 ATS this season.  Cornell, meanwhile, won just six of its 17 games away from home.  And it lost its last four road games by 24, 23, 18 and 9 points.  Yet the Big Red have been installed as a road favorite.  We'll go against Cornell, as road favorites have covered just 10 of 34 games to open a post-season tournament.  Take Robert Morris.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Phoenix.  The Suns won their last game -- at New Orleans -- but are just 17-54 on the season.  And I love playing against certain bad teams off wins.  Phoenix, tonight, certainly fits the bill, as they fall into a negative 36-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain .333 (or worse) teams off a win.  The Suns are a poor 1-8 ATS at home their last nine after back to back road games.  And they're 9-21 ATS at home off a point spread win.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Golden State.  Gregg Popovich's crew is currently the hottest team in the NBA, with eight straight wins.  And they're now within shouting distance of a top 4 seed (and home court advantage) in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.  As things currently stand, San Antone is in 6th place in the West, but just a half-game ahead of the eighth-seeded Clippers, so each game has significant importance to the team.  Tonight, the Spurs will welcome the West's best team, the 47-21 Warriors, to the Alamo City.  When these two teams last met, Golden State ran the Spurs out of the gym, with a 141-102 cakewalk.  I look for the Spurs to avenge that defeat, as they're a perfect 17-0 ATS at home vs. foes with a .600 to .750 win percentage, if the Spurs were playing with revenge from a loss by more than 21 points.  Take San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Minnesota.  James Harden will likely suit up tonight, per his coach, Mike D'Antoni.  And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Houston in this important game.  The Rockets have lost the last two meetings to the T-Wolves but are 13-4 ATS their last 17 when playing with double revenge.  And they also fall into a great 67-35 ATS Revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3:15 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Cincinnati.  These two teams met just seven days ago in Cincinnati, and the Cougars blew out the Bearcats, 85-69.  And Houston also won the first meeting, 65-58, at home.  That bodes well for Houston this afternoon vs. the 27-6 Bearcats, as College Basketball underdogs of +1.5 (or more) points, with a win percentage greater than .700, have cashed just 35 of 97 times when playing with double-revenge.  Take the Cougars minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia St. Panthers minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Mavericks have won and covered five straight games, heading into this Championship round match.  They've been installed as an underdog vs. the Panthers, who defeated them in each of the two regular season meetings this season (63-58; 77-71).  And it's actually the 3rd straight Tournament game in which Texas Arlington has been the underdog.  That doesn't bode well for them this afternoon, as Sun Belt Conference teams have cashed just once in 10 Title games when they were off an upset win in the Semi-Finals (and their foe was not).  Take Georgia St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over Oregon.  The Ducks won and covered for the 7th straight time last night when they stormed back in the 2nd half and won in overtime vs. the Utah Utes.  But off that overtime win, we will fade the Ducks tonight.  One reason is Oregon's long ATS win streak.  And the Ducks fall into a negative 29-79 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on long point spread win streaks.  Additionally, Washington falls into 41-5, 63-27 and 56-18 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in the Conference tourneys with stellar records (the Huskies have won 17 of 20 Pac-12 Conference games this season, and earned the #1 seed in the Tournament).  Finally, Washington is 24-15-1 ATS in its last 40 Pac-12 Conference games, and Top 2-seeded teams have cashed 19 of their last 24 Pac-12 Tourney games (including 9-0 ATS when priced from +2 to -4.5 points).  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over Portland.  Both of these teams played last night, and each put another game into the win column.  The Spurs were at home, and notched their seventh straight win with a blowout of New York.  Meanwhile, Portland went into the Big Easy, and defeated New Orleans, 122-110.  The Spurs have an advantage tonight due to Portland's travel situation.  And San Antone is also a super 94-56-2 ATS vs. unrested foes, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  Take the Spurs minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons moved into this Mid-American Conference Championship round game with wins over Ball State and and Northern Illinois.  This will be a much taller task for Bowling Green, as #1-seeded Buffalo is on an 11-game win streak.  Even worse:  Mid-American Conference underdogs of +4 (or more) points, with a .636 (or better) conference win percentage, have gone 99-151 ATS, if they were off a win vs. a conference foe in their previous game.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Seton Hall.  This is a big revenge game for the Wildcats, who lost to the Pirates in their final regular season game.  The Wildcats are a super 67% ATS as a favorite in the post-season since 1990 when playing with revenge.  And they're also 21-6 ATS off a point spread defeat.  With the Wildcats in off an ATS loss to Xavier yesterday, we'll lay the points with the Wildcats.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones + over Kansas.  The Cyclones play this game with revenge from an 80-76 loss at Kansas, on January 21.  And Iowa State is 53-26-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss on the road earlier in the season (including 13-6 in the Tournament).  Take the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Diego St.  The Aztecs pulled off a big upset last night when they defeated top-seeded Nevada.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams have cashed just 14% when matched up against .813 (or better) teams after upsetting the top seed in the Semi-Final round.  Take Utah St.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers over Texas State.  The Panthers come into this afternoon's game on a 3-game SU/ATS winning streak.  And they also play with revenge from a 13-point home defeat to the Bobcats back on January 24.  Georgia State is an awesome 31-14-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 5-0 ATS their last five, and 15-3 ATS when the point spread was 6 points or less.  And the Panthers also fall into 44-7 and 58-20 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine that play on certain teams that covered the spread by 8+ points in their previous game.  Finally, the Panthers have an advantage today in that they received a "bye" into this semi-final round, while the Bobcats had to play yesterday.  And, since 2007, teams that received a bye into the semi-finals have covered 70% of the time vs. unrested foes off a quarter-final round win.  Take Georgia State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies over Fresno State.  The Aggies are 25-6 this season, and have won their last eight games in a row.  It's true that they failed to cover last night as a double-digit favorite.  However, the price is much cheaper tonight.  There's no way I will step in front of this freight train, and especially not in this price range.  Indeed, over the last 25 years, the Aggies have cashed 68% in the Conference Tourney when the line was 8 points or less, including 11-0 ATS its last 11 if Utah State was off a point spread defeat.  Take the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Iowa.  We played on the Hawkeyes last night, and were rewarded with a blowout win over Illinois.  The Hawkeyes now will try to upset a Wolverines team which was defeated by Michigan State, 75-63, in its final regular season game.  Michigan, though, is a spectacular 70-27 SU and 61-32-1 ATS off a loss, including 11-1 ATS its last 12.  Take Michigan minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Volunteers were upset on the road by Auburn to end their regular season.  I fully expect the Vols to rebound tonight, as top 3-seeded SEC Conference teams have cashed 75% in the Tourney over the past 29 years if they were upset in their final regular season game.  Lay the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers stunned the 2nd-seeded Texas Tech Red Raiders last night.  But it's "out of the frying pan, and into the fire" for the Mountaineers, as they will now have to face the 3rd-seeded Jayhawks.  And Kansas has generally destroyed its opponents when such foes were off an upset Tourney win, in which they covered the point spread by double-digits.  Since 1992, the Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama.  Avery Johnson's Crimson Tide upset Ole Miss last night to advance to this quarterfinal round game.  And they also upset Kentucky when the two teams last met in January.  The Wildcats, meanwhile, lost against the spread vs. Florida to end their regular season.  But we'll lay the points with Kentucky tonight, as SEC Conference teams have covered 75% over the last 29 years in the Tourney, if they were off an ATS loss, and favored against a team which defeated it in the season's previous meeting.  Even better:  the Wildcats are 34-16 ATS in the post-season off a point spread defeat.  This will be a rout.  Take Kentucky minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over SMU.  The Bearcats are 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.  And they also lost their last two games, both straight-up and ATS, to end their regular season.  So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Cincy, and on the Mustangs, who won and covered their last two games.  But since 1990, Tourney teams seeded #2 or better have covered 79% if they lost their two previous games SU/ATS while their opponent won their two previous games SU/ATS.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Central Michigan.  The 18th-ranked Bulls failed to cover the point spread in their last four regular season games.  But they bounced back in a big way yesterday with a blowout win (82-46) over Akron to kick off what they hope will be a run to the MAC Conference Tournament Championship.  This evening, they will look to make it two-in-a-row, and they'll battle the Chippewas, who upset Kent State yesterday.  The Chips are also on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  However, double-digit underdogs off an upset Conference Tourney win (and off 3 SU/ATS wins, overall), have covered just 35% of Conference Tourney games since 1990.  Take Buffalo.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over South Alabama.  The eighth-seeded Jaguars upset Louisiana-Lafayette last night, while Texas State was upset, on the road, by Texas Arlington to end its regular season.  The good news, though, for the Bobcats is that teams off upset road losses have covered 73% since 1990 vs. 8th-seeded (or worse) foes off an upset Tourney win.  Take Texas State.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Illinois.  The Hawkeyes come into this game on an 8-game point spread losing streak.  And they've also lost their last four games straight-up.  Still, Iowa throttled Illinois earlier this season, 95-71, as a 9-point home favorite.  I don't foresee much changing tonight, given that Illinois had to go to overtime to win last night, 74-69 in its Tourney opener vs. Northwestern.  Illinois is a poor 7-23 ATS off a win, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Iowa falls into 59-26, 85-45 and 18-6 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a string off losses.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Kansas.  Texas stumbled down the stretch with back to back losses, 70-51 at Texas Tech and 69-56 at home (as a 7-point favorite) vs. TCU.  However, Texas is a super 45-23-1 ATS off a home defeat, including 3-0 ATS in the Tourneys, and 16-3 ATS if they lost their previous game by more than 10 points.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Southern Utah. The Bears were stunned, 89-78, as a 13-point home favorite by Northern Arizona in their final regular season game.  Off that horrible game, we will back Northern Colorado to bounce back this evening.  Generally speaking, teams off double-digit losses as double-digit favorites do bounce back in their next game, including 141-106, 57% ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points with the Bears.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners over UAB.  The Roadrunners were blown out, 81-48, by Southern Mississippi to end their regular season.  Off that debacle, we'll play on UTSA this evening.  One reason I am not unnerved by that 33-point loss is that the Roadrunners were great against the point spread this season, with a 16-9 ATS record.  And NCAA teams with a winning ATS record have cashed 57% ATS in the Conference Tourneys off a 15-point (or worse) defeat.  UTSA also falls into 21-1, 45-10 and 47-18 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Roadrunners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs over Louisiana Tech.  Old Dominion comes into this game off back to back upset losses.  Still, ODU was 13-5 in Conference USA play this season.  And teams with a .601 (or better) conference W/L percentage have covered 67% since 1990 in the Conference Tourneys, if they were off back to back upset losses. Take Old Dominion.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Indiana.  Ohio State has dropped its last three games, including an overtime heartbreaker on Sunday vs. Wisconsin.  The good news for the Buckeyes this afternoon is that they will be playing an Indiana team off a 16-point home blowout of Rutgers (and an 18-point road win at Illinois two games back).  Why is this good?  Because Indiana is an awful 33-55 ATS away from home after covering the spread in back to back games.  And it's 0-8 ATS away from home after winning its previous game by 15+ points.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Providence.  The #1-seeded Wildcats were upset in their final regular season game -- 79-75 at Seton Hall.  We'll take the 'Cats to bounce back this afternoon, as teams off upset losses away from home to end the regular season have rebounded to cover the spread 59% of the time in the Conference Tourney.  Even better:  Villanova won both meetings this season vs. Providence, including an 18-point blowout on Feb. 13.  Take Villanova.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Oregon.  Wazzu has lost five straight games -- both SU and ATS -- while Oregon has won and covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Cougars.  But I have a great 39-9 ATS system, as well as a 26-3 ATS angle, that both play on certain teams off 5 straight losses (and 3 straight ATS losses).  The Cougars are also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 post-season games.  Take Washington State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Suns were a 17-point road underdog on Sunday night, in Oakland.  And they had lost 18 straight games to Golden State going into that game.  But they pulled the biggest upset in the NBA in over 3 years (and equaled the biggest ROAD upset in almost 21 years) when they won outright, 115-111.  Faithful followers, though, know that I love going against bad teams off wins.  And Phoenix -- with a 16-52 record -- certainly fits the bill.  Tonight, the Suns have been installed as a single-digit home underdog vs. Utah.  And that doesn't bode well for them, as they've lost by double-digits to the Jazz in each of the last four meetings, including identical 116-88 scores in each of the last two meetings!  It's true that Utah has stumbled to the eighth seed in the current race for a Western Conference playoff berth.  The good news for Utah, though, with respect to tonight's game is that it's 20-10 off an ATS loss this season, while Phoenix is 9-20 ATS at home off an ATS win.  And the Jazz are also 83-53 ATS in the regular season as a favorite off an upset loss at home.  And they've cashed 75% over the past 21 years as a rested road favorite of -7+ points off a loss.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Florida International.  This is a rematch of a game played four days ago on the Panthers home court.  Florida International did win that home game, 73-58.  But that sets up North Texas to get revenge today, as teams off a SU/ATS road loss in their final regular season game have covered 57% of the time when they're matched up against the very same foe in the Conference tourney.  Take North Texas.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Pittsburgh.  After losing 13 straight games (both SU and ATS) - which was the first time it has happened in the 29 years my database covers (and maybe the first time ever) - the Panthers have ripped off 2 straight wins and covers.  We actually played on Pitt in the first of those two wins (against Notre Dame), though we laid off yesterday's game vs. Boston College.  We won't lay off tonight's game, though, as Syracuse falls into an 85-47 ATS system of mine, based on its 67-55 loss to Clemson on Saturday.  And it's also 7-1 ATS off a double-digit loss this season.  Additionally, Syracuse has defeated Pitt four straight times.  And the Panthers are a poor 5-13 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  Take Syracuse.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham.  The Spiders have dropped four straight games heading into this Atlantic 10 Tourney.  But Fordham hasn't done much better, with losses in five of its last six games (and 16 of its last 19).  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as favorites on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks have cashed 71% of Tournament games provided they weren't upset in their previous game.  Take Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Fighting Irish are currently riding a 7-game losing streak, as they haven't won since February 10.  And their opponent on that day?  These Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.  Notre Dame won that game, 69-59.  And we'll look for the Irish to defeat Georgia Tech once again on this Tuesday afternoon, as favorites on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks have cashed 70% of Tournament games provided they weren't upset in their previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Pepperdine.  The Dons have dropped three straight games.  But this losing streak has triggered several of my best systems, with records of 89-41, 75-35 and 237-163.  Moreover, in the West Coast Conference Tournament, teams off 3 ATS losses have covered 75% of the time, including a perfect 7-0 ATS when favored by more than a point.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over LSU.  The Commodores were blitzed, 84-48, as a 1.5-point home underdog vs. Arkansas.  The good news is that SEC Conference teams have generally rebounded off horrible losses, as they've cashed 77% as underdogs in Conference games off a loss where they failed to cover by 30+ points.  Take Vanderbilt + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears + the points over Furman.  The Bears suffered their worst Southern Conference defeat as NC Greensboro blew them out by 27 points last Saturday.  But we'll grab the points with Mercer, as losing teams, off a double-digit SU/ATS loss (and 2 SU/ATS losses, overall), have cashed 78.5% since 1990 in the Tourneys vs. winning teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Mercer.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State.  These two teams just met seven days ago, and Western Illinois lost by 20, 86-66.  But we'll take the double-digit underdog in this re-match, as underdogs have covered a solid 58.4% in the Summit League Tourney.  The Leathernecks also fall into 75-35 and 84-46 ATS systems of mine.  Take Western Illinois.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over North Carolina.  UNC went into Durham, and routed the Blue Devils, 88-72, in late February.  But we'll grab the points with Duke in this rematch, as the revenging team in this series has covered 10 straight away from home if it wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Take Duke.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers + the points over Drake.  The Panthers have been a consistently good tournament team over the years, and especially when they owned a winning Missouri Valley Conference record.  Since 1994, they've cashed 71.4% in this role.  Northern Iowa has also dominated the Bulldogs, as they've gone 39-18-3 ATS in the series, including 13-0-1 ATS their last 14 off a game in which they covered by 6+ points.  Take Northern Iowa.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset Kansas, 81-68, in Norman, on Tuesday.  Unfortunately, they're an awful 0-17 ATS away from home off a conference win, if they weren't getting 10+ points.  Take Kansas State.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls over Central Florida.  The Owls have been extremely dominant at home when not laying more than 6 points.  They're 60-27-2 ATS in this role, including 42-14-1 ATS vs. Conference foes (and then 32-7 ATS when Pk'em or favored).  Take Temple to blow out UCF.

At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over New York.  The Kings have been a pleasant surprise this season.  But they're still on the outside-looking-in when it comes to the Playoffs.  So, they'll need to catch fire down the stretch if they are to catch either the Clippers or the Spurs for the final Western Conference berth.  The good news for Sacramento this afternoon is that it's favored.  And the Kings have gone 13-0 straight-up and 12-1 ATS their last 13 as a favorite vs. non-division opponents.  Additionally, the Kings fall into a 152-65 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off straight-up losses.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Notre Dame.  The Panthers have lost 13 straight games, and have failed to cover the point spread in each of those 13 games.  My basketball database goes back to 1990 and includes 133,749 games.  But this is the first time in the past 29 seasons where a team has lost AND failed to cover the spread in 13 straight games.  But upon close inspection, the Panthers have been fairly competitive throughout this losing streak.  Their average point spread differential has "only" been -4.80 points per game.  To put this in perspective, when a team has failed to cover the point spread this season, they've failed to do so, on average, by 8.92 ppg.  The Panthers fall into 111-52 and 84-45 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on long losing streaks.  And Notre Dame is an awful 1-8 ATS vs. ACC Conference foes off back to back losses.  Take Pitt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Denver.  The Warriors were embarrassed by the Celtics, here at home, on Tuesday.  Boston blew out the Champs, 128-95, as a 6.5-point underdog.  I love Steve Kerr's crew to bounce back tonight, as the Warriors are 38-3 straight-up, and 30-11 ATS as favorites of 6 or more points, if they were off a loss, and their foe was off a win.  Take Golden State.  NBA TV Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Joseph's Hawks + the points over VCU.  The Hawks were upset by Rhode Island, 86-86, on Tuesday.  So, they will look to bounce back on this Friday at VCU.  I believe they will, as the underdog has cashed nine straight in this series.  Also, since 1996, NCAA double-digit road underdogs have gone 358-258 ATS off an upset loss, if they were playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take St Joe's.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over San Diego.  The Toreros have had scant success as a conference favorite over the years.  Over the last 19+ years, they've covered just 55 of 144, including 9-31-1 ATS their last 41.  That doesn't bode well for San Diego tonight.  Even worse:  the Toreros defeated the Pilots by 11 just two weeks ago.  But San Diego is an awful 13-32-2 ATS at home, or on neutral courts, against revenge-minded foes off a loss.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Matadors pulled off a huge upset in their last game, as they went into Honolulu and upset the Rainbow Warriors, 84-73, as an 8-point dog.  But off that win, we'll fade Northridge as a home underdog, as Big West home dogs have cashed just 82 of 215 Conference games off an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) road underdog.  Take UCSB minus the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Tennessee-Martin.  These two teams met four weeks ago in Tennessee, and the Skyhawks upset the Gamecocks, 66-64, as a 9-point home underdog.  Unfortunately for Tennessee-Martin, Ohio Valley Conference teams have cashed just 11% in the Conference Tourney if they won the previous meeting as a 5-point (or greater) underdog.  Even better:  the Gamecocks fall into 174-93 and 95-55 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Lay the points. OVC Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Houston.  The Mustangs were upset by the Cougars, 69-58, at home back in January.  But I love SMU to avenge that defeat, as it's cashed 67% since 2008 when playing with revenge from a home loss earlier in the season.  Meanwhile, Houston falls into a negative 255-415 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams with superior records.  Take SMU + the double-digits.

At 5:00 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes minus the points over St. Peter's.  Marist plays this Tournament game with double revenge, including an upset home loss to the Peacocks in the most recent meeting.  That game -- back on February 22 -- kick-started Marist's current losing streak, which reached four games this past Sunday when the Red Foxes lost at home to Rider.  We'll lay the points with Marist in this early evening game, as Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference teams have covered 71% in the Conference Tourney if they were playing with double-revenge, and were not getting 3+ points.  Additionally, Marist is 23-11-1 ATS when playing with revenge, if it was off a straight-up home defeat.  Finally, Marist falls into 85-62 and 57-37 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off 4+ losses.  Take the Red Foxes.  MAAC Tourney Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over New Orleans.  The Jazz were stunned by these Pelicans two nights ago, when New Orleans overcame a 19-point deficit to down Utah, 115-112.  That was also New Orleans' second straight upset win, as it also defeated Denver, 120-112, as a 13.5-point dog on Saturday.  Unfortunately for New Orleans, teams off back to back upset wins as 8-point (or greater) underdogs, have cashed just 31.3% vs. non-division foes since 1990.  And the Pelicans are also 0-5 SU/ATS in their last five home games vs. the Jazz.  Take Utah to avenge Monday's loss.  Lay the points.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Florida International.  This game is part of a new regular-season scheduling format employed by Conference USA.  The new format was motivated to give its better teams an opportunity to garner more wins against stronger competition, in order to provide them with an increased chance to make the NCAA Tournament.  For the Conference's final four games of the season, teams are grouped according to their W/L records, and play teams within their group.  And whether a game is played at home, or on the road is determined by a pre-set formula.  Thus, when teams play a Conference opponent twice in the regular season, there will be a 50% chance that one of the teams will have had both of the meetings at home.  And that's the case in this game, tonight.  Marshall already defeated Florida International, 105-97, when these two teams met here, in Huntington, in January.  The Herd was laying 9 points for that game.  But the point spread is more favorable this evening due, in part, to the fact that Florida International comes into this game off 3 straight upset wins.  Unfortunately for the Panthers, single-digit underdogs off 3 upset wins, have covered just 77 of 194 games.  Take Marshall to blow out Florida International.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies upset Duke, 77-72, as a 3-point underdog in their last game.  Unfortunately, road teams have covered just 40% of the time after upsetting Duke over the past 29 seasons.  And the Hokies also fall into a 58-100 ATS letdown system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset victories.  Take Florida State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans + the points over Charleston Southern.  The Buccaneers have been installed as a big, double-digit favorite tonight in this Big South Conference Tournament game.  However, Big South Conference favorites of more than 6 points have cashed just 38.2% in the Tournament.  Additionally, the Spartans fall into two of my favorite Tourney systems, with records of 84-44 and 75-33 ATS since 1990.  Finally, the Buccaneers have covered just two of their last 13 off a straight-up win.  Take South Carolina Upstate.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Michigan State.  We played against MSU on Saturday, and got the cash with Indiana, which upset the Spartans as a 6-point underdog.  We'll go against the Spartans again tonight, as they've covered just 29.4% off an upset loss, when priced from -12.5 to -22 points.  The Spartans also fall into several negative systems of mine that go against certain teams off losses, with records of 132-234, 47-97 and 31-74 ATS, while Nebraska falls into a very good 509-292 ATS system which plays on certain teams off blowout losses (Nebraska lost by 29 in its last game).  Take the Cornhuskers.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns upset the Lakers, 118-109, as a 7-point home underdog in their previous game.  But off that upset win, we will fade Phoenix tonight, as double-digit home dogs have covered just 24.5% since 1990 off wins as a home dog (or PK).  Also, Malcolm Brogdon and Eric Bledsoe should be back in action tonight, after sitting out Milwaukee's loss to the Utah Jazz.  That's enough for us to pull the trigger on Monday on a big play on the Bucks.  Lay the points.  NBA GAme of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Atlanta.  We played on the Hawks yesterday in Chicago, and easily got the cash when the Hawks won outright, as a 4-point underdog.  But off that upset win on the road, we'll fade the Hawks tonight in Miami.  Atlanta's covered just 36.6% since 1990 on the road, if it upset its opponent in the previous meeting.  And the Hawks did upset the Heat in the last meeting, as they won, 106-82, as a 6.5-point home underdog.  Lay the points with the Heat.  Southeast Division Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Temple.  These two teams met in New Orleans, back on February 2, and the Green Wave covered the spread as a double-digit underdog.  I look for Tulane to once again get the $$$, as Temple is a horrid 3-25 ATS vs. foes with a win percentage less than .600, if Temple was favored at home by more than 10 points.  Take the points with the Green Wave.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Charlotte.  The 49ers are 6-20 on the season, and have yet to cover the point spread as a favorite (0-3 ATS).  They lost earlier this season in El Paso, but I don't look for them to avenge that defeat, as they're a poor 3-13 ATS when playing with same-season revenge.  Finally, UTEP falls into a strong 96-47 ATS system of mine.  Take the Miners.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over New Orleans.  Last night the Pelicans blew out Phoenix, 130-116.  However, we will play against New Orleans tonight, as unrested NBA teams off a win, have covered just 31.5% vs. .545 (or better) teams off a loss.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers won, 125-118, at New York, on Thursday.  But off that upset win, we will fade Cleveland vs. Detroit this afternoon.  One of the things I love to do in the NBA is go against certain bad teams off wins.  And this game definitely fits the bill, as Cleveland has won just 24% of its games this season.  And, since 1990, NBA teams that have won less than 25 percent of their games have cashed just 137 of 327 games as a home underdog when they won their previous game.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans upset their rival, Michigan, last weekend.  But off that victory, I expect a letdown this afternoon in Bloomington, as Michigan State falls into a negative 58-99 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins.  Also, Indiana is a strong 27-14 ATS as a home underdog when it didn't have a losing record.  Take the Hoosiers.  NCAA Hoops High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cornell Big Red + the points over Yale, as Cornell falls into 411-220, 97-46, 175-85 and 234-130 ATS systems of mine.  These two teams met 13 days ago in Ithaca, and the Bulldogs came away with a six-point win, 98-92.  We'll grab the points with the Big Red, as Ivy League road underdogs are 106-79-1 when playing with same-season revenge, if they're off back to back losses.  With Cornell off 3 straight defeats, we'll take the points with the road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Utah.  The Nuggets will have an advantage tonight, given that Utah played last night, while Denver was rested.  And that fact is key for one of my systems, which is 222-102 ATS, which plays on certain rested teams vs. unrested foes.  Even better:  the road team hasn't won any of the last 10 meetings between these two teams, and hasn't covered the point spread in any of the games, either (0-9-1 ATS).  That bodes well for the Nuggets tonight.  Finally, Utah has covered just 16 of 49 as a road underdog, priced from +3 to +8.5 points, while Denver is 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS at home when rested, and playing an unrested foe.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Denver Pioneers minus the points over Western Illinois.  The Leathernecks blew out Denver earlier this season, 78-60, at home.  We'll take the Pioneers tonight in this revenge situation, as they also come into this game on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak.  However, since 1990, teams off 3+ SU/ATS losses have cashed 65.7% as a favorite, if they were playing with revenge from an 18-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season.  Moreover, Western Illinois defeated Oral Roberts last Saturday, 75-66, as a 2-point home favorite.  But it's a poor 29-50 ATS as a road underdog, and 14-30-2 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over Fresno State.  The Cowboys have lost their last four games to the point spread, and have dropped their last three games, straight-up.  Wyoming falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 339-211, 410-220, 415-248, 83-27 and 174-85 ATS.  We'll grab the points with Wyoming, as Mountain West underdogs of +13.5 (or more) points are 157-103-3 ATS vs. winning opponents that are not off a double-digit loss.  Take the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores + the points over Drake.  These two teams met last month in Terre Haute, and the Bulldogs edged Indiana State, 68-62.  We'll take the underdog Sycamores in this revenge role, as they are 23-8-1 their last 32 when playing with revenge on the road from a home defeat earlier in the season.  Additionally, Indiana State falls into a super 124-61 ATS system of mine.  Take the Sycamores.