At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over North Texas.  The Eagles were thrashed last week, 66-24, by the Tulane Green Wave, as a 3.5-point underdog.  And that was the 3rd straight point spread loss by Southern Miss to start the season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against Southern Miss after last week's debacle, where they failed to cover the spread by 38.5 points.  But consider that teams that are winless ATS, at Game 3 forward, that failed to cover the spread by 35+ points in their previous game, have cashed 60% ATS over the last 41 years.  That bodes well for the Golden Eagles tonight.  As does the fact that Conference USA underdogs are 63-31-4 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, when matched up against a conference foe off a loss.  Moreover, North Texas is a miserable 16-34 ATS in conference games when the pointspread was between +6.5 and -6.5 points.  Finally, the Mean Green fall into negative 285-395 and 90-196 ATS systems of mine that go against certain home favorites off straight-up losses.  Take the Golden Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over Navy.  We played on the Midshipmen in their last game, a 27-24 upset win over Tulane (after trailing 24-0 at halftime).  Now, Navy will travel to Fort Collins to take on its military rival, who will be playing its first game of the season today.  Like many rivalries, this has been an underdog-oriented series.  Since 1992, the underdog has gone 19-8 ATS, including 6-1 ATS at home.  Additionally, the Falcons are 18-8-1 ATS their last 27 as an underdog, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS at home.  And they're 88-63-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Finally, Navy has covered just 14 of 41 off an upset win when playing a non-conference foe, including 4-15 ATS its last 19 as a favorite.  Take Air Force + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Blue Devils have started this season 0-3 -- its worst start in the 13-year tenure of coach David Cutcliffe -- with three double-digit losses to Notre Dame, Boston College and Virginia.  But Cutcliffe believes his team is "close" to breaking through with a win, as he's been heartened by how his team has looked in practice.  The Blue Devils have been at their best when dressed up as an underdog, as they're 30-15-1 ATS their last 46, including 9-1 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +14.5 points.  Take Duke.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies + the points over Alabama.  The Aggies will look to snap their 7-game losing streak to the Crimson Tide when these two SEC Conference rivals meet in Tuscaloosa, on Saturday afternoon.  In Texas A/M's first game, it edged Vanderbilt, 17-12, as a 31.5-point favorite, while Alabama comes into this game off a 38-19 win at Missouri, as a 28.5-point favorite.  We'll take the Aggies as a double-digit underdog, as SEC Conference teams have gone 145-81 ATS in the regular season against .500 (or better) SEC Conference rivals, if our 'play-on' team was off a SU win, but an ATS loss.  Additionally, the Aggies fall into 52-21, 41-14 and 32-6 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Memphis.  The Mustangs are 3-0, and have been scoring a lot of points this season.  They tallied 50 last week vs. SF Austin, and 65 the previous week at North Texas.  For the season, they're averaging 48.67 ppg.  As faithful followers know, I love playing on NCAA teams that can score.  And NCAA home underdogs off back to back games where they scored 48+ points, have cashed 69.2% since 1980, including 76.1% when playing with revenge.  With SMU, indeed, playing with revenge from a 54-48 loss to Memphis last year, our 76.1% tightener is satisfied.  Take SMU.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over the TCU Horned Frogs.  Texas lost last season, 37-21, to TCU, so it will be out for revenge this afternoon, in Austin.  The Longhorns' offense has been quite impressive this season, as it's averaging 61 ppg, on 582.5 ypg of total offense.  One of the things I like to do is play on revenge-minded teams that can score.  Since 1980, NCAA teams that average 55 ppg have cashed 78.7% when favored, and playing with revenge.  Even better:  TCU is a horrible 16-42-1 ATS vs. .600 (or better) revenge-minded opponents.  Lay the points with the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  This NBA Finals match-up had the potential to be a fascinating series.  Unfortunately, the Heat sustained injuries in Game 1, and now will be hard-pressed to upset the Lakers.  But I love Miami + the points in this Game 2, as the adjusted point spread has more-than-compensated for the concomitant loss of talent.  And one of the things I love to do when betting NBA playoffs is to take a team in Game 2 when it's getting significantly more (or laying significantly less) points in Game 2 than it did in Game 1.  Sometimes this happens due to injuries (like in this game), while other times, the line gets adjusted off an unexpected result in Game 1.  But what I've found is that it generally pays (87% since 1990) to play on the team getting a better number in Game 2 than in Game 1.  Likewise, teams off a loss in Game 1 have gone 48-31 ATS in Game 2 when they were an underdog of more than nine points.  This will be a competitive game tonight.  Take Miami + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Both of these teams enter today's game with identical 2-0 records.  But the Cougars have played the much more difficult schedule.  BYU opened its season with a 55-3 blowout of Navy.  And then it followed that up with a 48-7 trouncing of Troy State last week.  We played on BYU in last Saturday's victory, and we'll come right back with it tonight, as it's outscored its opponents by 46.5 points per game.  And that bodes well for it here, as teams that outscore their opponents by an average of 44+ points per game have covered 63% since 1980 when they were at home or on a neutral field.  Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 0-11 ATS when priced between +23 and +31.5 against non-conference foes.  Take Brigham Young.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Denver.  In this match-up of winless teams, we'll take the homestanding New York Jets minus the points.  It's true that the Jets are 0-3 ATS, while Denver is 2-1 ATS.  But winless SU/ATS teams have cashed 65% over the last 40 years, at Game 3 forward, if they were matched up against a losing team with a .500 (or better) ATS record.  And on Thursday Night Football, teams that have yet to win a game have cashed 70% at home (and 81% if they weren't favored by more than 5 points).  Take the New York Jets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Arizona.  The Lions are 0-2 (so, what else is new?) to start the year -- the 7th time in 15 seasons they've started 0-2.  But they've been able to move the ball, as they've scored 21+ points in both games (vs. Chicago and Green Bay).  And 0-2 SU/ATS teams have cashed 60% in Week 3 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  Detroit is 37-11 ATS on the road off a loss by more than 12 points, while Arizona is 8-18 ATS at home vs. foes with a W/L percentage less than .140.  Finally, since 1980, road teams off back to back SU/ATS division losses have cashed 60% vs. non-division foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the Las Vegas Raiders.  Last week, the Patriots went into a difficult Seattle venue, and lost to the Seahawks, 35-30, as a road underdog.  Meanwhile, the Raiders christened their new Allegiant Stadium with a 34-24 comeback win over New Orleans.  Unfortunately for the Raiders, they will have to face an ornery Patriots team which will not want to fall to 1-2.  And New England is an awesome 10-0 SU and ATS off a straight-up loss when playing an .833 (or better) opponent off a win.  Finally, NFL road underdogs off back to back wins, in which they tallied more than 30 points, have cashed just 31.4% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Patriots.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills over the Los Angeles Rams.  This line opened at -3, and has come way down -- to the point where I want to now step in and take the home team.  I had no interest in laying 3 points, but the value now squarely rests on the Bills.  Indeed, Buffalo falls into a great system of mine which is 74-33 ATS since 1981 which plays on certain winning teams not laying more than 1 points.  Yes, Buffalo failed to cover the spread last week in its win over the Dolphins.  But it still won, and is 2-0 on the season.  And the Bills also are 50-22 ATS at home off a point spread loss, if they're playing a foe off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Rams are 2-0, following their upset win last week vs. Philly.  Unfortunately, winning teams are a soft 256-332 ATS on the road off upset wins, provided they weren't laying more than six points.  Take the Bills at home.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Troy.  Both of these teams come into tonight's affair off blowout wins on the road.  The Trojans trounced Middle Tennessee St. in Murfreesboro, 47-14, while the Cougars annihilated Navy, 55-3, in Annapolis.  One difference, though, between the teams.  BYU has had the last 19 days off, while Troy played last Saturday.  We'll lay the points with the Cougars, as rested NCAA home favorites, of less than 40 points, are 128-76 ATS in non-conference home games, if they own a win percentage greater than .750.  Take the Cougars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Miami-Fla.  Miami defeated Louisville, 47-34, last Saturday.  But it gave up over 500 yards to Louisville, which outgained Miami, 506 to 485.  The Hurricanes, though, benefited from three Louisvlle turnovers, and that was the Cardinals' undoing.  Meanwhile, the Seminoles had last week off to lick their wounds following a season-opening loss to Georgia Tech on Sept. 12.  There's no doubt that Florida State will be enormously motivated to bounce back today, especially given that it's playing with revenge from a 17-point defeat to these Hurricanes last season.  We'll grab the double-digit with Florida State, as rested, revenge-minded teams, off a season-opening loss, have cashed 66% since 1980 vs. unrested foes.  Even better:  the underdog in this rivalry has gone 26-12-1 ATS over the last 40 years.  Take Florida State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets got back into the series with a blowout win over Los Angeles on Tuesday. We stayed away from that Game, but will jump back into the fray tonight, and play on the Los Angeles Lakers.  Since 1990, #3-seeded NBA teams are a poor 37-57-3 ATS after upsetting their opponent in the previous playoff game.  Even better:  LeBron James teams are a jaw-dropping 21-0 straight-up, and 17-4 ATS as a favorite in the Playoffs vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over New Orleans.  Last seasons, the Saints won 13 games.  But NFL teams that won 13+ games the previous season have covered just 43 of 108 road openers when installed as a favorite.  Last Sunday, the Raiders went into Charlotte, and defeated the Carolina Panthers, 34-30.  Off that win, we'll play on Las Vegas in its home opener tonight.  Since 1980, winning teams, off a SU/ATS win, have cashed 65.3% at home on Monday Nights.  Even better:  the Saints are 3-10 their last 13 road openers, and they're an awful 0-7 ATS their last seven road openers when favored by 3 or more points.  Take Las Vegas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Los Angeles.  We played on the Lakers in Game 1, and were rewarded with a 126-114 victory, as a 7-point favorite.  We'll switch gears tonight, and grab the points, as .600 (or better) underdogs, at the quarterfinal round forward, have cashed 60% in Game 2 of an NBA series off a SU loss in Game 1.  Additionally, the Nuggets are a terrific 36-13-1 ATS when not favored by 3+ points, if they lost by more than five points in their previous game, including 12-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Nuggets + the points in Game 2.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  Last year, the Ravens demolished Houston 41-7, as a 3.5-point favorite, which was Houston's worst loss in its franchise history when it had a winning record at the time of the game.  So, Houston's going to be out for revenge, here at home, on this Sunday afternoon.  We'll grab the points with the Texans, as they fall into a 62.7% ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that had a winning record the previous season.  Additionally, since 1980, home dogs of +6 or more points have cashed 67% if they were off a 14-point (or worse) defeat in Week 1, and their opponent was off a 14-point (or greater) victory.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Kansas City.  We played on the Chiefs in their home opener last week, and they rewarded us with a 34-20 victory over Houston.  And that extended the record of defending Super Bowl champs to 14-4-2 ATS in season openers since 2001.  Unfortunately, defending champs are a horrid 3-13 ATS in Week 2 as a road favorite after winning their season opener, including 0-6 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win.  And .501 (or better) home underdogs have cashed 64.1% over the past 41 years when playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  This is a perfect letdown spot for the Chiefs, and especially because Kansas City also has a Monday Night game next week vs. the Baltimore Ravens, their closest competitor for AFC Conference supremacy.  Take the Chargers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over Washington.  Both of these teams pulled off upsets in Week 1.  The Cards took down a very good 49ers team, 24-20, while Washington defeated Philly, 27-17 (after initially falling behind, 17-0).  It's exceptionally hard to pull off back to back upsets to start the NFL season.  Indeed, underdogs of more than 5 points in Week 2, that won outright as an underdog of more than 5 points in Week 1, have gone 1-28 straight-up, and 10-18-1 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for Washington on Sunday.  Nor does the fact that, since 1980, NFL teams that won 25% (or less) of their games the previous season have gone 0-17 SU and 4-13 ATS as an underdog of 4+ points off an upset win in Week 1.  We'll lay the points with Arizona, as I look for the Cardinals to rout Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Green Bay.  The Packers upset the Vikings in Week 1, 43-34, while Detroit fell to Chicago, 27-23.  And that loss by Detroit was after it led by 17 points in the 4th quarter.  Green Bay is favored by almost a touchdown, but it's not defeated Detroit by 7 or more points in any of the last six meetings (and by more than 7 points in any of the last 10 games).  The Lions are 4-2 straight-up in the last six games, and won by an average of 12 points per game.  We'll grab the points with Detroit, as NFC North division teams are a fantastic 63-33-4 ATS off a loss when matched up against a division foe off a win, including 25-9 ATS on the road.  Even better:  the Packers are 1-9 ATS their last 10 off a SU/ATS road win.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the New York Jets.  Last season, the Niners lost just three games.  So, it was a bit of a surprise last week when they were upset at home by the Arizona Cardinals.  The good news for San Francisco is that favorites in Week 2, off an upset loss in Week 1, have cashed 63% over the last 40 years, if they had a .750 (or better) W/L record the previous season.  Additionally, the Niners are 8-0 ATS as a road favorite of -5 (or more) points off an upset loss as a 3-point (or greater) favorite.  Take the Niners.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over Dallas.  Both the Falcons and Cowboys suffered Week 1 losses last Sunday.  Atlanta was upset, 38-25, at home by Seattle, while Dallas fell by three on the road to the L.A. Rams.  We'll grab the points with the Falcons, as road teams have cashed 65.9% over the past 40 years if they were upset in their season opener, and lost by 10+ points.  Additionally, the Falcons fall into 48-9 and 57-17 ATS systems of mine that play on certain road teams off blowout losses.  Take Atlanta + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Titans have dominated their AFC South division rival in Nashville, as the Titans have won six straight (4-1-1 ATS), with the last two by margins of 22 and 21 points.  Since 1999, the Titans are 16-5 SU and 13-7-1 ATS at home vs. Jacksonville.  Last Sunday, the Jaguars stunned Indianapolis, 27-20, as a touchdown underdog.  We'll look for a letdown today, as NFL road underdogs off an upset win by 7+ points over a division rival, are a soft 83-128-4 ATS.  Lay the points with the Titans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over Buffalo.  Each of these teams were involved in games with double-digit margins of victory last Sunday.  Miami lost by 10 to New England, while Buffalo won by 10 over the NY Jets.  The Bills, though, have been a horrible team off a double-digit win over a division rival, as they've covered just 12 of 50 since 1981.  Meanwhile, Miami falls into 133-70 and 295-223 ATS systems of mine that play on certain divisional home underdogs vs. unrested winning opponents.  Take the Dolphins + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Not much was expected of the Yellow Jackets this season, as they were picked to finish last in the ACC preseason poll.  But Georgia Tech stunned Florida State in Tallahassee last week, as a 13-point underdog.  Unfortunately for the Yellow Jackets, teams off an upset conference road win to start the season generally have letdowns their next game, as they've covered just 35% over the past 41 years.  The Knights are 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 when priced from -5.5 to -21.5 points.  Lay it.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over Appalachian State.  Both Marshall and App State opened their 2020 campaigns with solid wins.  Marshall blew out Eastern Kentucky, 59-0, while the Mountaineers took care of Charlotte, 35-20.  We'll fade Appalachian State, as Sun Belt Conference favorites, with a .500 or better record, are an awful 0-12 ATS their last 12 (and 1-17 ATS their last 18) as favorites vs. non-conference foes off a straight-up win.  Take Marshall.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on Navy + the points over Tulane.  The Midshipmen were blown out at home in their first game of the season, 55-3, by BYU, as a 1.5-point underdog.  Meanwhile, Tulane went into South Alabama, and defeated the Jaguars by three points, 27-24.  The fact that Navy lost to BYU should not have come as a surprise, as the Midshipmen are 8-16 their last 24 home openers.  But Navy's gone 12-5-1 ATS its last 18 road openers, and it's 119-65 ATS its last 184 away from Annapolis, including 33-8 ATS off a home defeat.  Take Navy to rebound this afternoon.  Grab the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Denver.   The Nuggets come into this game off back to back upset wins to defeat the Clippers in seven games.  Unfortunately for Denver, NBA teams off back to back upset wins have only cashed the opening game of a series eight of 29 games since 1991.  That doesn't bode well for Denver.  Nor does the fact that LeBron James' teams have gone 50-27 ATS in his career when they were favored by 2+ points, provided they were not leading in the series.  Finally, teams off back to back playoff wins have only covered 24 of 63 games if they were an underdog away from home, and they were off back to back covers by 10+ points.  Take Los Angeles minus the points in Game 1.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Browns were roasted, 38-6, in Week 1 by the Baltimore Ravens.  But I love Cleveland to rebound on this Thursday night vs. its AFC North division rival, Cincinnati.  The last thing any NFL teams wants to do to start a season is go 0-2, and especially if each of its first two games are division contests.  Indeed, over the last 30 years, favorites have cashed 70.3% in division games in Week 2, if they lost to another division foe in Week 1, including 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS the last eight.  That bodes well for Cleveland tonight.  As does the fact that NFL teams that failed to cover the spread by 23+ points in Week 1, have rebounded to go 21-7 ATS in Week 2 vs. an opponent also off a loss, if our team was not getting 10+ points.  Take Cleveland minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Miami.  The Celtics lost Game 1 in overtime, 117-114, and now trail the Miami Heat 1-0 in the series.  We'll lay the points with Boston as it's 23-13 ATS when it trails by exactly one game in a Playoff series, including 16-5 ATS away from home.  Even better:  Boston is 50-30 ATS its last 80 vs. the Heat, including 26-9 ATS when the line was between +4.5 and -4.5 points.  And, finally, teams off a SU/ATS win to open a series have cashed just 36% over the last 31 years if they scored more than 115 points in their Game 1 victory.  Take Boston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Denver.  The Clippers surely did not expect this quarterfinals series to last this long.  But here we are, and the Clippers now have their backs against the wall.  I expect them to react well to the pressure, and to take care of business tonight.  It's true that Denver showed its mettle by coming back from large deficits twice in the last two games.  Still, NBA teams are a dreadful 26-46 ATS off back to back upset wins, if they were an underdog of 8+ points in those two victories.  Meanwhile, the Clippers are 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS off a straight-up loss, if priced between -4 and -8 points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Tennessee.  It's tough to make money going against the Broncos at home when they're an underdog, or a short favorite.  Indeed, since 1981, Denver's gone 50-22 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points.  Even better:  Denver's 28-11 ATS its last 37 home openers when not favored by double-digits, including 5-0 ATS as an underdog!  The Broncos have also dominated the Titans, with a record of 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take Drew Lock & Co. to upset the Titans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Over the years, Pittsburgh has significantly underperformed as road favorites of -2 or more points vs. non-division foes.  Since 1980, they've covered just 24 of 76 games. Additionally, dating back to 1983, home underdogs of +5 or more points have cashed 59% in September if it was Week 1, or they were not off a straight-up loss.  Yesterday, we saw the two big home underdogs (Jacksonville, Washington) pull off major upsets.  And I look for another upset by the Giants on Monday Night Football this evening.  Take the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, in EARLY action on this Sunday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Denver.  The #3-seeded Nuggets upset Los Angeles in Game 5 to force this sixth game.  But it's still an uphill climb for Denver, as it trails 3-games-to-2 in the series.  We'll go against Denver this afternoon, as #3-seeded Playoff teams are a dismal 35-57-3 ATS off an upset playoff win.  And the Clippers are 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS their last 11 away from home, if they lost their previous game, and are favored by 4 (or more) points.  Lay it!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons over the Seattle Seahawks.  These two teams met last season here in Atlanta, and the Seahawks came away with a 27-20 victory.  But Atlanta was ravaged with injuries for that game, and was actually installed as a 7.5-point home underdog.  The two teams are much more even in talent for this game, and I have 83-49, 66-35 and 86-53 ATS systems on the Falcons.  Moreover, the Seahawks have always done great in their home opener, and extremely poorly in their road opener.  Dating back to 1999, the Seahawks have covered just 4 of 21 road openers.  Meanwhile, they're 13-4 ATS their last 17 home openers.  Similarly, the Falcons are a fantastic 17-4 ATS their last 21 home openers, but 4-12 ATS their last 16 road openers.  I expect those two trends to stay true to form this afternoon.  Additionally, over the last 16 seasons, in Week 1, non-division home teams have cashed 63% when playing with revenge from a home loss to a non-division foe the previous season.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over Green Bay.  Last year, both of these teams made the playoffs, but the Packers defeated Minnesota in both regular season meetings.  I love Minnesota to avenge those defeats, as they fall into a division double-revenge system of mine which is 23-6 ATS since 1987, including a perfect 15-0 ATS when priced from -2 to -7 points!  Even better:  the Packers are 1-7 straight-up, and 1-6-1 ATS when getting 2+ points from a division rival it defeated twice the previous season.  Finally, the Vikings are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS their last five home openers, while the Packers are a poor 4-7 ATS their last 11 road openers.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  Last season, the Chanticleers went into Lawrence, and upset the Jayhawks, 12-7, as a 7-point underdog.  We'll lay the points with Kansas in this rematch, as Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 73% over the last 20 years at home when playing with revenge vs. non-conference foes.  Even better:  Kansas is an awesome 33-6 SU and 25-14 ATS when favored by 3 or more points, including 6-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Louisville.  These two Bluegrass State rivals met in Nashville last season, and the Cardinals came out on top, 38-21, as a 10.5-point favorite.  That was the 11th straight time Louisville has defeated Western Kentucky, dating back to 1982.  So, there's nothing the Hilltoppers' coach, Tyson Helton, will want more than to end that losing streak tonight.  Both of these teams had rebirths last season under 1st-year coaches.  Helton led the Hilltoppers to a 9-4 record, following a 3-9 campaign in 2018.  And Scott Satterfield guided Louisville to an 8-5 record after the Cards went 2-10 in 2018.  One of the things I love to do in College Football is to play on certain revenge-minded teams, and the Hilltoppers fall into several of my better revenge angles, with records of 129-72, 22-6, 72-31, 58-22 and 80-37 ATS.  The Cardinals have been installed as a double-digit favorite, but they're a wallet-busting 5-15 ATS their last 20 as a home favorite of more than 10 points.  And they're 3-14 ATS their last 17 as a home favorite, priced from -6 to -13.5, vs. non-conference foes.  Grab the points with Western Kentucky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane minus the points over South Alabama.  Last week, the Jaguars went into Hattiesburg, and upset Southern Miss, 32-21, as a 12-point underdog.  Prior to that win, the Jaguars had not won away from home in 15 games.  South Alabama will be back home for this game, but I don't believe a 2nd straight upset is in the offing.  Indeed, the Jaguars fall into two negative "letdown" systems of mine that go against certain teams off upset wins that have records of 106-181 and 67-113 ATS since 1980.  The Jaguars are an awful 35.7% ATS at home off a straight-up win, while Tulane has cashed 75% as a favorite vs. foes off upset wins.  And the Green Wave's coach, Willie Fritz, has gone 28-13 ATS as a favorite in his career, whether here at Tulane (since 2016), or at Georgia Southern before that (2014-15).  Take the Green Wave to blow out South Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Houston.  Last January, these two teams met in the quarterfinals, and we had a play on Kansas City minus 8.5 points, and also had our NFL Total of the Year on the over 51.  The Texans jumped out to a 24-0 lead, but then collapsed, and lost 51-31.  One of the things I highlighted last season in my breakdown of that Playoff game was that Houston was the only team -- of the 12 that qualified for the post-season -- which had a negative scoring differential.  And they also had the 2nd-worst defense of any Playoff team, as they gave up 24.06 ppg in the regular season.  Yes, it's a new season, so Houston's defensive numbers don't carry over to this year.  Still, it's worth noting that the Chiefs have dominated teams that allow 23.66 points or more, as they're 32-8 SU and 26-13-1 ATS their last 40.  Some may look for a Super Bowl hangover in Week 1, but that theory has never actually been validated by the data.  Indeed, defending Super Bowl champs are on a 16-3 SU and 13-4-2 ATS run in Week 1 since 2001.  Kansas City also falls into 11-0, 47-14, 82-49 and 65-28 ATS systems of mine.  And it ended last season on an 8-0-1 ATS run.  I won't step in front of this freight train at home, even with most of the seats empty.  Lay the points with the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Raptors were blown out by 22 points on Monday night, so they are in a MUST-WIN situation tonight.  I love the Raptors to bounce back, as they've gone 11-1 SU/ATS off a loss by more than 11 points.  Additionally, .600 (or better) teams have cashed 79% in Game 6 of the quarterfinals, if down 3-games-to-2, and off a double-digit loss.  Grab the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Clippers were upset by the #3-seeded Nuggets, 110-101, on Saturday.  But off that upset win, we will fade Denver in this Game 3.  Since 1990, #3-seeded NBA teams have been awful off an upset playoff win, and especially when installed as an underdog of more than 5 points.  In that role, they've gone 2-25 straight-up, and 7-19-1 ATS.  Even better, Kawhi Leonard's teams have gone 24-1 straight-up, and 19-6 ATS their last 25 off a loss by more than eight points, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  Lay the points with Doc Rivers' men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Houston.  In LeBron James' storied career, his teams (Cleveland, Miami, Los Angeles) have been terrific in the NBA Playoffs when they were favored by at least 2 points, and were not winning the series.  Dating back to his first season in the Playoffs (2006), LeBron's teams have gone 61-14 straight-up, and 48-27 ATS, including 7-0 straight-up and 5-2 ATS when down 1 game to none.  That's one reason I love LeBron & Co. to bounce back off their dismal effort on Friday.  Another is that teams seeded #3 (or worse) and installed as underdogs of more than 5 points away from home, have covered just 71 of 183 games off an upset playoff win. Take the Lakers in Game #2.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Miami.  The Heat will aim to go 8-0 SU/ATS in the playoffs with a win and cover this afternoon.  But their long SU/ATS win streak has led to a big movement in this point spread.  If Miami was an underdog once again (they were a 5-point underdog in the series' first three games), I would consider grabbing the points.  But they're a small favorite now.  Consider that underdogs up 3-games-to-none have gone 14-4-1 ATS.  However, small favorites of less than 3 points (or PK) have only covered 4 of 13 when up 3-games-to-none.  We'll grab the value with Milwaukee, and fade the Heat.  For technical support, also consider that, over the last 29 years, sub-.666 teams off an upset win that had covered their previous seven games have cashed just 47 of 139 games.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets needed 7 games to put away a game Oklahoma City squad.  And their reward for that victory is a date against the #1-seeded Lakers.  In contrast to Houston, Los Angeles had a relatively easy time against the #8-seeded Trail Blazers (though the Lakers were aided, somewhat, by key injuries to Portland).  We'll fade Mike D'Antoni's men, as underdogs of +6 to +11.5 points have cashed just 32% in Game 1 of a series, if their previous Playoff series went the distance.  And #1-seeds are an awesome 67% in Game 1 of a quarterfinals series, if priced from -4.5 to -11.5 points.  It's true that the Rockets have won the last two meetings vs. the Lakers.  But L.A. is a staggering 38-3 straight-up when favored, and playing with double-revenge, including 5-0 ATS their last five; 11-2 ATS their last 13; and 70.9% ATS since Feb. 18, 2003.  Take the Lakers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Heat have stormed out to a 2-games-to-none series lead, so this Game 3 becomes a virtual 'must-win' for the Bucks, given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-games-to-none deficit.  We'll lay the points with the Bucks, as favorites of more than 4 points have cashed 70.3 since 1990 in the quarterfinals, if they were down 2 games in the series.  And, since Giannis Antetokounmpo entered the league, the Bucks are 39-28 ATS off exactly two losses.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over Boston.  The #2-seeded Raptors are down 2-games-to-none, and are in a "virtual" must-win situation tonight, given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit to win a 7-game series.  We'll take Toronto, as NBA favorites off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and down 2-games-to-none in a series, have covered 60.8% over the last 30 years.  Even better:  the Raptors are an awesome 44-19 ATS off exactly two SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raptors in Game 3.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Heat have taken three of four vs. Milwaukee this season.  But I love the Bucks to bounce back off their Game 1 upset loss on Monday.  Since Mike Budenholzer assumed the head coaching duties, Milwaukee is 35-9 straight-up, and 30-14 ATS off a loss, including 19-5 ATS off a loss by 7+ points.  Even better:  in the 2nd round of the NBA Playoffs, underdogs of more than 4 points, off back to back wins by more than 10 points, are a horrid 1-19 SU and 3-17 ATS.  Finally, the Heat have covered just 1 of their last 16 when facing a revenge-minded foe off an upset loss.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets pulled even with Utah in this series with a 119-107 win in Game 6.  Now, after being an underdog in Games 3 through 6, Denver's been installed as a small favorite for Game 7 (though not as big as a favorite as it was in Games 1 + 2).  The Nuggets are a horrid 0-17 ATS away from home as a favorite (or PK) off a win by more than eight points, including a blowout, 19-point loss in Game 2 of this series.  Meanwhile, the Jazz are a super 43-25 ATS on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including 18-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Jazz + the points in this decisive Game 7.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Celtics snapped Toronto's 8-game winning streak on Sunday, when they upset Toronto, 112-94, as a 2-point underdog.  That extended Boston's current win streak to 5 games.  But turnabout is fair play, and we'll look for the Raptors to level this series at 1-game apiece this evening.  Toronto is a super 32-15-1 ATS off an ATS loss, including 12-5 ATS when playing with revenge.  And it's 11-0 SU/ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, and covered those 11 games by an average of 9.36 points.  Number 3 seeds, like Boston, are an awful 32-57 ATS off an upset playoff win vs. their opponent.  Lay the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Nuggets have been demolished over the last two ball games, as they've given up 124 points in back-to-back games to the Jazz.  On the other hand, they also gave up more than 124 points in Game 1, but they won that game (135-125) in overtime.  Down 2-games-to-1, we'll grab the points with the underdog Nuggets, as teams down 2-1 in a series have cashed 80.9% of the time off a loss by more than 22 points.  Even better:  Denver's an awesome 30-16 ATS when playing with double-revenge, including a perfect 5-0 ATS off a loss by 15 points or more.  Take the Nuggets to level this series at 2 games apiece.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Houston.  The Thunder were actually favored by a point in Game 1.  But after falling behind 2-games-to-none to James Harden & Co., the Thunder now find themselves installed as a small underdog in Game 3.  I believe it's an overreaction, so we'll step in and take the points with OKC.  Admittedly, the Thunder have lost their last three games SU/ATS.  But Oklahoma City is a tremendous 29-9 ATS away from home when they were on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And prior to dropping these two Playoff games to Houston, Oklahoma City had covered the last five meetings (and nine of the last 11).  Since 1990, NBA teams off back to back Playoff losses by 13+ points have covered 59%, so we'll grab the points with the Thunder on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas.  The Clippers lost Game 2, 127-114, as a 5-point favorite.  But they had won (and covered) the previous five games in this series.  I love Los Angeles to bounce back tonight in Game 3, as NBA teams that failed to cover Game 2 by 18+ points, have rebounded to cover Game 3 58% of the time since 1990.  Doc Rivers' men are 27-13 their last 40 when playing with revenge from a defeat earlier in the season.  And they're an awesome 30-10 ATS their last 40 off a straight-up loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced from -4 to -7 points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  Damian Lillard & Co. upset the Lakers in Game 1, 100-93.  But Portland's never performed well off a Playoff victory, as it's 25-45-3 ATS, including 5-17 ATS when getting more than four points.  Meanwhile, LeBron James' teams have gone 47-26 ATS in the Playoffs if they weren't winning the series, and were favored by two or more points.  And his teams have also gone 97-66 ATS in his career when favored, and playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a straight-up win.  It's true that the Lakers have dropped their last six to the spread.  But NBA teams have gone 13-2 ATS in the Playoffs when priced from -4 to -9.5 points, if they were on a 6-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Take the L.A. Lakers.  Good luck, always....Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic stunned Milwaukee, 122-110, as a 13.5-point underdog on Tuesday.  But off that defeat, we'll lay the points with the Bucks in Game 2.  Since Mike Budenholzer took over as head coach, the Bucks are an awesome 34-9 SU and 29-14 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 18-5 ATS when priced from -7 to -13 points!  Moreover, teams that owned a win percentage at least .05 better than their opponent, have cashed over 69% since 1990 off a loss to start the opening round of the Playoffs.  Meanwhile, the Magic are a dreadful 3-12 ATS away from home as an underdog of 3+ points following a Playoff win vs. their opponent.  Take the Bucks to blow out Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Denver.  The Jazz handed their backers a really bad beat on Monday, as they fell in overtime by 10 points, as a 4.5-point underdog.  Still, Donovan Mitchell was brilliant in defeat, as he led the way with 57 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists.  Remarkably, the Nuggets, who have won greater than 65% of their games the past two seasons, are a jaw-dropping 0-16 ATS their last 16 away from home as a favorite off a win by more than eight points!  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto.  In Game 1, the Raptors smacked the Nets, 134-110.  But I love taking double-digit underdogs off a SU/ATS double-digit loss vs. foes off a SU/ATS double-digit win, as they're 474-374 ATS.  Even better:  The Nets are a solid 42-25 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a perfect 12-0 ATS when getting more than 9 points.  Take Brooklyn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Indiana.  These two teams met at the conclusion of the regular season, and we played on the Pacers in their blowout victory.  That was also Indiana's second straight upset win heading into these playoffs.  Unfortunately, over the last 30 seasons, NBA teams off back to back upset wins to end the regular season generally do poorly in Game 1 of the Playoffs, as they've covered just 33% of the time.  Also, Erik Spoelstra's teams are 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS when favored in Game 1 of a Playoff series, including a perfect 5-0 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Miami Heat.  These two teams met four days ago, and Miami got the better of Indy, 114-92, as a 4-point favorite.  These two teams will also play each other in the first round of the Playoffs, so this is a "tune-up" for both squads.  I expect Indiana will want to gain a measure of confidence, and play better this afternoon than it did on Monday.  Indiana also falls into a 228-148 ATS revenge system of mine, based on the fact it has lost all three meetings to the Heat this season.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Utah.  Although the Spurs can still reach the playoffs for the 23rd consecutive season, their chances to do so are small, as they need at least two of three other teams (Memphis, Phoenix, Portland) to lose today, while they win their own game vs. the Jazz.  By the time this game tips off, the Spurs will know whether they've been knocked out, or if they're still alive.  But even if they're knocked out, I still expect them to put forth a solid effort to end the season on a high note, because that's what a Gregg Popovich team would do.  The Spurs fall into 115-55 and 98-45 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Heat come into this game off a 114-92 win over Indiana, while the Thunder were blown out, 128-101 by the Phoenix Suns.  We played on Phoenix in that game, as the Suns have been "playing to win."  And the fact that OKC was annihilated gives an indication as to what its mindset is at this late stage of the NBA season.  I expect a similar result tonight.  We'll lay the points with the much more interested club (Miami), which also falls into 81-37 and 115-54 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Dallas.  If the Blazers can win their final two games, they will make the Playoffs "play-in" series, so there's great incentive tonight -- much more so than the Mavericks possess, since Dallas is guaranteed to be either the #6 or #7 seed.  Portland plays with revenge from a 133-125 defeat in January, but McCollum and Nurkic were out for that game.  Both will be on the floor tonight.  We'll lay the points with the Trail Blazers, as they fall into a 128-63 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a "late season" system which is 79-36 ATS.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Oklahoma City.  This 8-game re-start schedule in Orlando was, of course, necessary for several reasons.  The most important were that the players needed to shake off the rust to prepare for the playoffs, and teams on the outside-looking-in needed a final opportunity to make a run at the post-season.  And that last reason has impelled the Phoenix Suns to play their best basketball of the year.  Phoenix is the lone unbeaten team at Disney World, with a 5-0 SU/ATS record.  And it retains a shot to make the play-in round, if it wins its final three games.  The first of those is this afternoon against a Thunder squad which blew out Washington yesterday.  Phoenix will thus have an advantage in terms of rest.  And NBA teams playing with extra rest have gone 14-9 ATS at Disney.  We'll lay the points with the Suns, as we look for them to win (and cover) their 6th straight game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In the preseason, I released two NBA futures plays:  the Clippers to win the Western Conference, and the Bucks to win the Eastern Conference.  And I still believe that will be the Finals match-up in October.  The Clippers, for the most part, have nothing to play for in their remaining four games.  They're 2 games ahead of Denver for the #2 seed, and have a game vs. the Nuggets on Wednesday.  Los Angeles could go 1-3 in its final four games, but would still get the #2 seed if it defeated Denver next week.  So, that's pretty much the highest priority game on L.A.'s schedule.  Portland, on the other hand, needs to win each of its last four games because, if it slips up just once, it could miss the Playoffs.  Portland, thus, has a big edge in the "motivation' department this afternoon.  And it also falls into a 212-132 ATS revenge system of mine, as it lost by 20 points at Los Angeles when the two teams last met.  The Trail Blazers are 9-0-2 ATS their last 11 (and 22-7-2 ATS their last 31) when playing with revenge from a loss by 12+ points, if they weren't getting more than 4 points.  Take the Trail Blazers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  The Bucks pulled a rare clunker in their last game, as they lost outright as an 18.5-point favorite to Brooklyn.  It was the 3rd biggest NBA upset in the past 30 seasons!  But off that defeat, I love Mike Budenholzer's men to bounce back this afternoon, as his Milwaukee teams are 32-7 straight-up and 27-12 ATS off a loss, including 9-1 ATS when priced from -9 to -11 points.  It also will help Milwaukee that Budenholzer has promised to play his starters more than on Tuesday, when none played more than 20 minutes.  The Heat are a poor 15-26 ATS off a win this season.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Portland.  The Rockets are 2-0 in Walt Disney World, and have defeated two very good teams (Milwaukee, Dallas).  Tonight, they'll get a relative breather when they take on Portland.  The Blazers have struggled to a 28-37 ATS mark this season, and are 24-38 ATS their last 62 when priced between +3.5 and +9.5 points.  Meanwhile, Houston plays with double-revenge, and is 20-7 ATS its last 27 when playing with double-revenge.  Take the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston.  We played against the Heat yesterday, and got the $$$ with Toronto.  But we will switch gears and grab the points with Erik Spoelstra's men this evening, as Miami is 17-6 ATS off a loss this season.  And the Heat fall into a great 109-46 ATS system of mine which plays on certain unrested teams off a loss vs. foes off a win.  Grab the points.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Indiana.  The Magic are playing great ball, with 5 straight wins (and six straight covers), and fall into a 123-87 ATS system of mine which plays are certain revenge-minded squads.  With Orlando, indeed, playing with revenge from a 111-106 defeat, we'll lay the points with the Magic.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs moved to 2-0 since the restart yesterday when they upset the Grizzlies, 108-106, as a 3-point underdog.  San Antonio is trying to make the playoffs for the 23rd consecutive year, but it still has an uphill battle to qualify for the post-season in 2020.  After opening its Walt Disney schedule against two teams below .500 (Kings, Grizzlies), the Spurs' schedule will be difficult from this point forward, with games against the Sixers, Jazz (twice), Rockets, Nuggets and Pelicans.  The Spurs are an awful 11-24-1 ATS off a win vs. foes off an upset loss, including 2-10 ATS as an underdog of less than nine points.  And this is a horrible match-up for San Antone, as LaMarcus Aldridge and Trey Lyles are out, and it will have no one on the inside to guard Joel Embiid.  Take the 76ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Miami.  The Raptors come into this game off a big win over the Lakers -- their fifth straight, overall.  But I don't foresee a letdown tonight, as Toronto will be seeking major revenge from a beatdown administered by Miami back in January.  In that previous meeting between these two teams, the Raptors had their worst offensive game since 2015, as they shot just 31% from the floor, and scored just 76 points, in an 8-point defeat.  But the Raptors are a spectacular 14-1 ATS away from home (including 10-0 ATS their last 10) when they are matched up against a team that held them to 82 or less points in the previous meeting.  And Toronto also falls into a 106-47 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with Nick Nurse's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Mavs absolutely collapsed in the final minute of Friday night's game vs. Houston.  They led by seven points with 45 seconds left, but lost in overtime, 153-149.  To put that defeat in perspective, consider that NBA teams were 711-2 in the previous 713 games when leading by 7+ points with a minute or less to go in regulation!  So, Dallas will seek to redeem itself tonight vs. a Phoenix team which blew out the Mavs, 133-104, in the last meeting.  The Mavericks are an awesome 47-28-1 ATS off a loss when playing with revenge vs. a foe off a straight-up win.  And Phoenix is 2-9 ATS its last 11 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels blew out Virginia Tech yesterday to advance to this 2nd round game vs. Syracuse on Wednesday night.  Unfortunately, the Tar Heels will be at a significant disadvantage tonight since the Orange will be well-rested, as they have not played since Saturday.  And rested ACC Conference teams have gone 34-18 ATS vs. unrested foes in the ACC Tournament, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if they were playing with revenge, and not favored by 9+ points.  Take Syracuse to blow out North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Appalachian St.  These two Sun Belt Conference rivals met twice earlier this season, with each team winning SU/ATS on its own home court.  This Quarterfinals match-up will be played in San Marcos, so the Bobcats will have the advantage -- especially given that they blew out the Mountaineers, 82-57, here, earlier this year.  The Bobcats fall into one of my favorite Tourney systems, which is 47-14 ATS since 1990.  That angle plays on certain home teams in conference tourney games vs. foes off wins.  And the Bobcats also fall into 96-47, 160-114 and 76-47 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off defeats to end their regular season.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Washington.  These two teams met last weekend in Tucson, and the Huskies upset Arizona, 69-63.  That also was Washington's 2nd straight upset win on the road.  We'll fade the Huskies in this Pac-12 Tourney game, as teams off two road upset wins have cashed just 38% in the Conference Tourneys over the past 30 years, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Arizona minus the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials minus the points over Fordham.  In this Opening Round match-up in the Atlantic 10 Tournament, we have two teams that are not playing very good basketball.  The Rams have lost 11 of 12 since their 59-54 victory over George Washington, on January 22.  And George Washington hasn't played much better, as it's 4-8 SU and 5-7 ATS over its last 12 games.  We'll lay the points with George Washington, as it falls into a 41-13 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as 44-9 and 60-18 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Additionally, Atlantic 10 Conference favorites of less than 13 points have gone 169-104 ATS in the A-10 Tournament since 1992, including 37-19 ATS if it lost all the season's previous meetings vs. its opponent.  Take George Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Golden State.  We played against Kawhi Leonard & Co. this past Sunday, and were rewarded with an upset win by the Lakers.  But off that upset defeat, we'll lay the points with the Clippers tonight, as Los Angeles is a spectacular 29-7 SU and 26-10 ATS off a loss.  Additionally, the Warriors won a rare game this past Saturday when they upset the 76ers, 118-114.  Unfortunately for Steve Kerr's men, they're a poor 55-82-2 ATS off a straight-up win, including 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS as an underdog of 8+ points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over St. Mary's.  The West Coast Conference should just give the Bulldogs a bye into the final game.  After all, this is the 20th season in a row that Gonzaga has reached the title game.  And the Bulldogs have gone 15-5 in those games (but 15-3 straight-up and 12-6 ATS if one eliminates the two title games played on their opponent's home court).  The Gaels, once again, had a great regular season.  But they've never done well in the post-season, and especially not when matched-up against the better teams.  Indeed, St. Mary's is 1-12 ATS as an underdog of 5+ points in the post-season.  Likewise, the Gaels are 12-28 ATS vs. foes that have a scoring margin of 5+ points.  Finally, the Bulldogs fall into 41-6, 102-51 and 18-2 ATS systems of mine.  Take Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stony Brook Seawolves minus the points over Hartford.  The Hawks took both meetings vs. the Seawolves this season, including a double-digit win here, in February.  But Stony Brook falls into a 397-275 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 2nd system which is 81-28 that plays against certain teams off wins.  Even better:  America East Conference teams have gone 42-21 ATS in the Tournament when playing with revenge, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when playing with double revenge.  Take Stony Brook.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra.  These two teams will meet in the Colonial Athletic Association title game this evening, in Washington, D.C.  They met twice earlier this season, and the Pride took both meetings.  But each of those two regular season games went down to the wire, as Hofstra won the first game, 74-72, at Northeastern, and the second game, at home, 75-71.  I look for the 3rd time to be the charm for the Huskies, as College teams have cashed 65% of Conference Championship games over the last 20 years when playing with revenge from 2 narrow regular season losses by 5 or less points.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers minus the points over Fairfield.  The Jaspers come into this Metro Atlantic Tourney game off three straight double-digit losses, yet have been installed as a favorite against an opponent which handed it two defeats this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the Jaspers, but we'll step in and lay the small number, as favorites have covered 60% in the post-season since 1990 off back to back double-digit losses, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Manhattan.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Panthers lost at home to Wake Forest as a 6.5-point favorite earlier in the season, and have dropped all four meetings since 2017.  Notwithstanding this history, the Panthers have been installed as the favorite in this opening round game of the ACC Tournament.  We'll lay the points, as ACC Conference teams have cashed 67% since 1990 in the post-season, if playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, and not favored in the tournament game by 3+ points.  Take the Panthers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Eagles lost at home, 76-75, to Arkansas St. to end its regular season.  But it will have another opportunity to win a home game tonight, in this Sun Belt Conference tourney game.  These two teams met twice earlier this season, and the Eagles won both games SU/ATS -- including a 20-point victory here in Statesboro.  Georgia Southern is now 6-2 in the last eight meetings.  Even better:  the Eagles are a solid 16-4 ATS at home, or on a neutral court when playing off a SU/ATS loss vs. a foe off a SU win, while the Rajin' Cajuns have covered just two of nine tourney games when playing with double-revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season.  Lay the points with Georgia Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm eastern, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over Hofstra.  The Pride come into this game on a 10-1 SU/ATS win streak, including back to back blowout wins over James Madison (97-81) and Drexel (61-43).  And they also blew out today's opponent -- Delaware -- by 16 points in the last meeting, 16 days ago.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Pride.  But .700 (or better) teams off back to back SU/ATS wins by more than 15 points, that also defeated their revenge-minded Tournament opponent by more than 15 points earlier in the season, have covered just 40% over the last 30 seasons.  That doesn't bode well for Hofstra this evening.  Nor does the fact that the Blue Hens are 10-2-1 ATS their last 13 Tournament games.  Take Delaware + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Towson.  These two teams met at Northeastern last Sunday, and the Tigers came away with a hard-fought 75-72 victory.  That was Towson's 3rd straight win (both SU and ATS), as well.  But we'll go against the Tigers tonight, as Northeastern's 8-1 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Tigers are a poor 42-63-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-5 ATS in the post-season.  And Northeastern also falls into 60-33 and 126-94 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take the Huskies minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Cleveland.  The Spurs will have a scheduling advantage tonight, as they had Saturday off, while Cleveland played here, at home, vs. the Nuggets.  And the Spurs are a super 96-65 ATS vs. unrested foes.  But that's not the best part.  If the Spurs lost failed to cover the spread by more than 11 points in their previous game, then our unrested opponents have gone 0-29 straight-up, and 3-26 ATS vs. San Antonio!  With the Spurs, indeed, off a blowout loss to the Nets where they failed to cover by 16.5 points, we will lay the wood with San Antonio tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Washington.  The Wizards and Heat have traded home victories over the first three meetings this season.  But I love Miami to break through and win tonight on Washington's home court, notwithstanding Miami's current 4-game road losing streak.  The Wizards come into this game off a 118-112 victory over Atlanta, as a 5.5-point favorite, while Miami lost by 6 at New Orleans, as a 1.5-point underdog (Miami's second straight ATS loss).  Unfortunately for the Wizards, they're an awful 16-29 ATS off a SU/ATS win when facing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +7 points.  And the Wizards have also covered just one of their last 11 (and 22 of their last 62) vs. foes off back to back ATS defeats.  Meanwhile, Miami's a superb 41-16-3 ATS off back to back point spread losses, including 26-6 ATS on the road!  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Mavericks were blown out by 20 points at North Dakota St. last weekend.  But that 20-point loss has triggered a great 45-10 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in tourney games off double-digit losses.  Additionally, the Golden Eagles have covered just 5 of their last 25 post-season games, including 1-11 ATS off back to back wins.  Take Omaha + the points tonight.

At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The NBA couldn't be happier that the two best Western Conference teams both reside in Los Angeles, as this budding rivalry should provide great entertainment in late May.  The Lakers have been installed as an underdog in this game, notwithstanding the fact they have won 10 of 11 games, own the conference's best record, and just beat Milwaukee, the league's #1 team.  The only thing not on the Lakers' regular season resume is a win over the rival Clippers, as the Lakers lost the first two meetings of the season.  We'll grab the points, as LeBron James' teams have gone 52-36 ATS when playing with double-revenge vs. a division foe.  Meanwhile, the Clippers are an awful 59-109-4 ATS vs. .589 (or better) foes playing with double-revenge, including 11-31 ATS as a favorite!  Finally, the Lakers are 11-5 straight-up, and 13-3 ATS their last 16 as underdogs.  Take the Lakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Michigan.  The #25-ranked Michigan Wolverines have had a very successful season under first-year coach Juwan Howard, as have the Top 10-ranked Maryland Terrapins under ninth-year head coach Mark Turgeon (though they have dropped their last two games).  This will be the final regular season game for each team before the Big 10 Conference Tourney starts next week.  And Michigan has been awful in the underdog role, when playing its final road game of the season, as it's gone 0-6 SU/ATS its last six, with all six losses by DOUBLE-DIGITS, and its average defeat by 19.66 ppg.  It doesn't get much uglier than that.  Even better:  Maryland's 28-14-1 ATS off back to back conference defeats.  Take the Terrapins.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Pacific.  These two teams split the season series, with each team taking a game on its opponent's home floor.  It's true that the Tigers are playing very well, with seven wins in their last eight games, including a 71-64 victory over San Diego last Saturday, as a 4-point favorite.  Unfortunately, they're a horrid 0-17-1 ATS in the post-season off a SU/ATS win over a conference foe.  Yikes!  The Dons, meanwhile, are also playing well, and won their fourth in a row last night with a 29-point blowout win over Loyola Marymount.  And San Francisco's 21-8 ATS off a SU/ATS win by more than 18 points, and 13-2 SU its last 15 vs. the Tigers.  Finally, West Coast Conference Tourney favorites have gone 72-45-6 ATS when favored by less than 13 points.  Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the NC Greensboro Spartans minus the points over UT-Chattanooga.  The Mocs defeated the Spartans last Saturday, 74-72, as a 3.5-point underdog.  But that upset win has set-up Chattanooga in several negative systems of mine, with records of 54-86, 141-222 and 47-101 ATS since 1990.  Even worse:  the Mocs are an awful 1-9 ATS their last 10 tourney games off a straight-up win, while the Spartans are a strong 15-4 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year.  Take NC Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Murray State.  The Bruins are red-hot, with 11 straight wins coming into this Ohio Valley title game.  These two teams also met last season in the Ohio Valley Conference Championship game, and the Bruins were upset by Murray State, 77-65.  We'll take Belmont to turn the tables on Murray State, as NCAA teams off 9 (or more) wins have cashed 60% in the championship game of the Conference Tourneys over the last 28 years.  Lay the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Elon.  The Dukes lost both meetings to the Phoenix this season, but they've cashed 69% over the past 25 years when playing with double-revenge, while Elon has covered just 20% over the last 15 seasons against an opponent it defeated twice earlier in the season.  The Dukes also fall into 15-2, 84-39 and 89-60 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine that play on certain teams on losing streaks.  Take James Madison + the points.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Valparaiso Crusaders plus the points over Missouri State.  Both of these teams are playing good basketball.  The Bears have gone 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS with their lone ATS loss in this stretch to Vaparaiso, while Valpo has cashed 7 of its last 9, including an upset win over Loyola-Chicago yesterday.  We'll grab the points with the underdog Crusaders, as they're 8-3 ATS their last 11 vs. Missouri St, while the Bears are 4-13 ATS as a favorite in the Missouri Valley Conference tourney.  Take Valparaiso.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Rockets come into this evening's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to the New York Knicks and Los Angeles Clippers.  But Houston was 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS immediately preceding this losing streak.  I love Houston to rebound today on the road, as it's a super 84-51 ATS on the road off back to back SU/ATS defeats.  Admittedly, the Hornets are playing well, as they've covered five straight.  But Charlotte's a very poor 10-30 ATS at home off 3 straight ATS wins, including 4-19 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Finally, the Rockets have dominated the Hornets, as they're 17-1 SU and 11-4-3 ATS since 2011.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Dragons have dropped seven straight games (1-6 ATS), but we'll lay the points with them this afternoon, as they fall into a 78-28 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams in the Conference tourneys.  Drexel lost just nine days ago at Wilmington, 76-65.  And revenge-minded favorites of 4 points or less have gone 17-2 ATS in the Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney if they were off a loss to end the regular season.  Take Drexel.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Rutgers.  The Boilermakers lost, 70-63, at Rutgers earlier this season.  But the Scarlet Knights were playing much better basketball at that time, as they were 16-5, and ranked among the Top 25.  Unfortunately, since that game, the Scarlet Knights have gone 3-6, including 0-5 away from home!  For the season, Rutgers has won just one of its 11 games away from home, so that doesn't bode well against a Purdue squad which is 11-4 SU at home, and 9-6 ATS.  Even better:  the Boilermakers are 68-46 ATS as single-digit home favorite vs. winning Big 10 Conference foes.  Finally, Rutgers falls into a negative 69-146 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on the road off a win.  Lay the points with Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Wyoming.  The Cowboys have won two straight games after upsetting Nevada last night, as a 10.5-point underdog.  And that followed another upset win as a double-digit underdog vs. Colorado St. to start their Conference tournament play.  Unfortunately, it's highly unlikely that the Cowboys will pull off another win as a double-digit underdog tonight, as the Aggies won both meetings this season by 20+ points.  For technical support, consider that teams off outright wins in the quarter-finals round of a Conference tournament have only covered the spread 37% of the time over the last 30 years vs. foes off an ATS loss.  And teams off back to back SU/ATS wins in the Conference Tourney have covered just 1 of 18 in the semi-final round if they lost by 20+ points in the season's previous meeting.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Ohio U.  The RedHawks were blown out by 31 points by Ohio U. back on February 8, 77-46.  But since that game, Miami has gone 6-1 ATS, including three straight point spread wins coming into tonight's game.  We'll lay the points with the RedHawks, as favorites off 3+ ATS wins have cashed 73% over the past 27 sesaons, if they had revenge from a loss to a conference foe by more than 28 points.  Take Miami-Ohio.