At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Denver.  Both of these teams come into this game off big wins.  Dallas blew out San Antone on Saturday, 123-109, while Denver ran past Portland last night, 124-95.  When these two Western Conference rivals met last month, the Nuggets blew out the Mavs in Denver, 106-75.  But that 31-point loss has triggered a very good 63% ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost their previous meeting by 30+ points.   Even worse for Denver:  it's 19-41-1 ATS on the road off a win by more than 8 points.  Take Dallas minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset Toronto, 127-121, as an 7.5-point road underdog, on Saturday for their 3rd win of the season.  But, as faithful followers know, I love to go against bad NBA teams, with sub-.300 records, off wins.  And especially if they're playing at home off a road win as an underdog of more than 7 points.  Dating back 32 seasons, our bad teams have covered just 42% off that upset win.  Take Sacramento minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings here, in Cleveland, between the clubs.  The Cavaliers won Round 1 on Saturday, by two points, so we'll take the Celts in the rematch.  Over the last 42 years, road favorites have cashed 62% of the 2nd of back to back regular season meetings, if they lost the first meeting SU/ATS.  Take Boston.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNC-Greensboro Spartans minus the points over Coppin State.  This will be the Eagles' 5th game in 7 days -- all on the road -- and they've played these games in the states of Illinois, New Jersey, Connecticut, and now North Carolina.  In its first four, Coppin State has gone 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS.  But one disturbing stat is that it's given up 103, 97, 81 and 89 points in its first four games, which is 13.5 ppg higher than its defensive average last season.  These two teams met in Baltimore last season, and the Eagles came away with an 85-80 victory.  I look for the Spartans to avenge that defeat, as it falls into 70-28 and 45-12 ATS Revenge systems of mine, as well as a 20-1 ATS angle which plays on certain revenge-minded teams against foes that give up 90+ points per game.  Take North Carolina-Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Denver.  Last Sunday, the Broncos blew out Dallas, 30-16, as a double-digit underdog.  We had a big play on Denver last week, but will go against them here, as a home favorite.  Indeed, over the last 42 years, NFL teams with a win percentage greater than .300, off a double-digit win as a double-digit underdog, have covered just 10 of 40 games.  That doesn't bode well for Denver on Sunday.  Nor does the fact that the Broncos are a woeful 13-26 ATS as a home favorite of more than 2 points off an upset win.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  The Cards will be without QB Kyler Murray, and WR Deandre Hopkins this afternoon.  And that's enough for us to pull the trigger on Carolina (which will be starting its own backup QB in PJ Walker).  The Cardinals pulled off an upset last week against division rival San Francisco.  And that upset win over a division foe has triggered a very good 110-48-4 ATS system of mine, as well as a 119-73 ATS angle.  The Panthers have won + covered 5 straight in this series, including 10-point and 18-point upset wins the past two seasons.  Finally, the Cardinals are a dreadful 10-28 ATS as home favorites vs. foes not off an ATS win.  Take the Panthers as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.  Jeff Linder took over the Wyoming basketball program last season, and the Cowboys played great toward the end of the season.  They went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS to finish the regular season.  And then they also covered the point spread in both Mountain West tourney games, including a narrow 3-point loss (as a 15.5-point underdog) against #1-seeded San Diego State to finish the 2020-21 season.  Wyoming got this year off on a great note, as it blew out Detroit on Thursday, 85-47, as a 4.5-point favorite, for its 7th straight ATS win, dating back to last year.  I look for the Cowboys to notch their 8th straight cover this afternoon against a Pine Bluff team which has allowed 90+ points in each of its first two games this season.  Additionally, the Cowboys are 9-0 ATS their last nine (and 16-5 ATS their last 21) off a cover by 11+ points.  Lay the points with the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Tennessee.  The Titans pulled off a stunning upset last week, as a 7-point road underdog, for their fifth straight victory and ATS win.  And their last four wins were all upsets, as they also upset the Colts, in overtime, two weeks ago, and the Chiefs and Bills before that.  Unfortunately for the Titans, favorites (or PK) off 3 straight covers have gone 0-9 ATS their last 9, and 22-53-2 ATS their last 75, while favorites off 4 straight upset wins have covered just 14% since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Saints suffered an upset loss at the hands of the Falcons.  But NFL teams off upset losses have covered 52 of 75 vs. .750 (or better) teams off upset wins, if our team off the loss wasn't getting 6+ points in the current game.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Cleveland.  The Browns upset division rival Cincinnati, 41-16, last Sunday, and will try to make it two upsets in a row when they take on the Patriots.  But underdogs are a wallet-breaking 60-94 ATS off upset wins by 20+ points.  And .500 (or better) teams have gone 6-24 straight-up, and have covered just 7 of 30 games, against the Patriots in Foxboro, if our road team wasn't getting more than 7 points.  Take New England to blow out the Browns.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Lions are winless (0-8) on the season.  But they've actually performed better "in Vegas" than the 5-3 Steelers.  Detroit has gone 4-4 ATS, while Pittsburgh is 3-5 ATS after its point spread defeat this past Monday vs. Chicago.  We'll take the points with the Lions, as winless teams have gone 70-39 ATS as road underdogs of +7 (or more) points, if they were matched up against an opponent off a point spread defeat.  Take Detroit.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Football Team + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  When these two teams last met, the Bucs ousted Washington from the Playoffs, in a 31-23 win, as a 13.5-point road favorite.  Once again, the Bucs are favored by a big number on the road, and we'll grab the points with the home underdog.  Indeed, over the last 42 years, NFL teams playing with revenge from a playoff defeat in the previous season have covered 73.3% when installed as a double-digit underdog.  Even better:  home underdogs priced from +7 to +13 points have gone 43-16 ATS vs. defending Super Bowl champions.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, Urban Meyer's Jaguars upset Buffalo, 9-6, as a massive 14.5-point underdog.  Can they pull off back-to-back upsets?  It's definitely not likely, for several reasons.  First, last week's game was at home, vs. a non-division foe, while this is on the road, against a division rival.  And NFL road underdogs of more than 4 points have gone 13-98 SU and 35-73-3 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 4 points.  Likewise, NFL teams off upset wins at home vs. non-division foes have gone 94-129 ATS on the road vs. division rivals, including 38-68 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take the Colts minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Yale.  Kevin Willard's Pirates got their campaign off to a promising start with a 93-49 victory over the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, as a 27-point favorite.  Now, they'll take on Yale, which should, once again, compete for the Ivy League title (which would be its 5th in 7 seasons).   The Pirates are 13-0 vs. Ivy League foes since 1990, and have gone 9-0 SU/ATS in their nine games against Ivy Leaguers since 2006.  The average margin of victory has been 18.2 ppg, while they've covered the spread by an average of 7.55 ppg.  Seton Hall is also 48-31-1 ATS its last 80 non-conference games, including 24-12-1 ATS here, at home.  But the clincher for us this afternoon is that Seton Hall is 12-0 ATS its last 12, and 22-2 ATS its last 24, vs. foes off a SU win, following a game where Seton Hall covered the spread by 12+ points, including a perfect 12-0 ATS here, at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  We played on Minnesota last night, and were rewarded with a 107-83 blowout win against the LA Lakers.  Minny will now stay in Los Angeles to play the Clippers, and they'll be out for revenge since they lost twice at home to the Clippers earlier this month.  Unfortunately for L.A., it's 7-18 ATS at home in the regular season vs. double-revenge-minded opponents, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit win.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Colorado.  Last year, the Buffaloes upset UCLA, 48-42, in Boulder, as a 7-point home underdog.  But with revenge on its mind, we'll lay the points with the Bruins, as it falls into a 68-36 ATS system of mind, which plays on certain rested home teams vs. unrested foes.  Even worse, last week, the Buffaloes upset Oregon State, 37-34, as an 11.5-point home dog.  Unfortunately, over the last 42 years, unrested teams off home upset wins have covered just 32.4% on the road vs. rested conference foes.  Take UCLA to blow out Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over the Alcorn State Braves.  The Pilots come into this game off a 122-78 blowout of Willamette, and now will welcome the Braves to Chiles Center.  The Braves have started their 2021-22 campaign in the Pacific Northwest, and visited the cities of Pullman and Seattle, Washington earlier this week.  They lost those games to Washington State (85-67) and Seattle (69-66), and will finish this stretch with a game at #1-ranked Gonzaga, in Spokane, on Monday.  We will lay the points with Portland tonight, as the Pilots have gone 35-8 SU and 29-13-1 ATS when laying more than 3 points to non-conference foes.  Also, the Braves fall into negative 26-74 ATS and 43-98 ATS systems of mine, based on the stats of their first two games.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies have won (and covered) four straight games, dating back to their stunning upset of then-undefeated Alabama.  We played on the Aggies in that upset win, but will step in and go against them as a road favorite in Oxford.  Texas A&M has gone 25-63 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. .636 (or better) foes, including 4-12 ATS as a favorite, if A&M won at home the previous game.  Take Ole Miss.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over New Mexico.  The Bulldogs were shocked last week, 40-14, as a 4.5-point home favorite by Boise State.  But off that upset loss, in which they failed to cover the spread by more than 30 points, we'll look for Fresno to bounce back this evening.  This is Fresno's final home game of the year, and teams playing their final home game, off a loss by 20+ points, have gone 46-22 ATS when favored by 14+ points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Stanford.  It's not often that one finds a team which has lost its last 11 meetings to an opponent also favored by more than 11 against that same opponent.  But that's our situation today, and we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Beavers.  Oregon State comes into this game off back to back upset losses at California, and at Colorado.  The good news is that they're playing a 3-6 Stanford team which is off 4 straight SU/ATS defeats, including a 52-7 loss to Utah last Friday.  We'll lay the points with the Beavers, as NCAA teams off back to back ATS losses as a road favorite have bounced back to cover 60% since 1980 vs. losing opposition.  Take Oregon State.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Miami.  The Jazz come into this game off a home upset loss at the hands of the Indiana Pacers.   And they will no doubt be looking to make amends in this game -- also in front of their home faithful.  Last week, we played on the Miami Heat at home vs. Utah, and were rewarded with a 118-115 victory, as a 1-point underdog.  This afternoon, though, we will back the homestanding Jazz in this revenge match.  Utah is 52-32-1 ATS when priced from -3.5 and -8.5, and playing with revenge, if Utah was off a SU/ATS loss in its previous game.  And Utah's also won the last 3 meetings against the Heat here in Salt Lake City by 18, 15 and 27 points.  Take the Jazz to blow out Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Evansville.  The Bruins lost their season opener, 92-80, to Ohio, as a 4-point favorite.  But that game was on the road; the Bruins are now back home where they've gone 19-1 SU and 15-5 ATS since Jan. 4, 2020.  Belmont is also 64% ATS off a double-digit loss when matched up against non-conference foes, and it's 4-1 ATS its last five home openers.  Meanwhile, Evansville is a woeful 14-27-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off an upset defeat, including 1-9-1 ATS if their opponent lost its previous game by more than 8 points.  Lay the points with Belmont.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Saint Peter's.   The Peacocks are 0-1 following their loss at VCU on Tuesday, while the Johnnies are 1-0 after walloping Mississippi Valley State, 119-61, as a 44-point home favorite.  That SU/ATS home win extended St. John's point spread success at home to 24-11 ATS their last 35, and they're 13-4 ATS their last 17 non-conference home games.  Even better:  Big East teams are 42-21 ATS in non-conference games following a win by 44+ points.  Take St. John's minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilers will look to make it three-upsets-in-a-row when they visit the Big 10-leading Buckeyes in Columbus.  Last week, the Boilermakers knocked off then-undefeated Michigan State, 40-29, as a 2.5-point home underdog.  And the previous week, Purdue upset Nebraska, in Lincoln.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams fail to cover the spread more often than not following a win over an undefeated team (with a 5-0 or better record), including 31.5% when installed as a double-digit underdog vs. another good team, with a win percentage > .800.  Even worse for Purdue:  it catches Ohio State off back to back ATS losses to Penn State and Nebraska.  But the Buckeyes are 17-6 ATS vs. .666 (or better) Big 10 foes, if the Buckeyes were off back to back ATS losses to Big 10 foes.  Take Ohio State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Troy.  Billy Napier's men have won 8 straight games, and have sewn up their Sun Belt division championship.  Their next goal is to earn home field advantage in the Sun Belt Title game played next month.  To that end, I don't expect a letdown this afternoon vs. Troy.  Last week, the Cajuns failed to cover the spread vs. Georgia State.  But that sets up our play this afternoon, as Louisiana is 20-3-1 ATS on the road when not laying double-digits, if they were off a conference ATS loss in their previous game.  Finally, the Trojans are 0-6 ATS as a home dog priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points.  Take Louisiana Lafayette minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Iowa.  The Gophers stumbled last week at home vs. Illinois, but had won (and covered) four straight prior to that.  They'll now take on a scuffling Iowa team which has dropped its last three to the point spread.  And Iowa's offense has managed a meager 31 points combined in its three previous games.  I'm not a fan of playing on College Football teams that can't score.  Indeed, NCAA teams off 3 ATS losses, that have scored 31 or less combined points in those three games, have covered just 5 of 25 when not getting more than 17 points (and just 1 off 11 when installed as a favorite).  Take Minnesota + the points over Iowa.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over UAB.  Marshall comes into this game off 4 straight wins, and 3 straight covers, which sets them up in several 'momentum' systems of mine that have records of 93-50, 45-17 and 244-138 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Herd plays this game with revenge from a loss to UAB last season.  And Marshall is 15-3 SU and 12-6 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast.  The Ramblers opened their season with a 103-45 victory over Coppin State, and will now welcome another squad of Eagles to Joseph J. Gentile Arena.  Florida Gulf Coast also won its season opener in blowout fashion, 94-57, vs. Florida National.  But the Ramblers are 24-6 ATS after holding their previous opponent to less than 50 points, including 9-1 ATS vs. foes that average more than 75 ppg.  Take Loyola-Chicago minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Oklahoma.  The Bears are 7-2, but lost last week, 30-28, as a 7.5-point favorite in Fort Worth against TCU.  We played against the Bears as a road favorite in that game, but will switch gears, and take the points with Dave Aranda's men as a home dog against the 9-0 Sooners.  Indeed, over the last 42 seasons, home dogs of less than 8 points, with a > .750 win percentage, have covered 89% after getting upset on the road in their previous game.  And Baylor's 23-6 ATS at home vs. foes not off a loss, including 10-0 ATS if Baylor wasn't laying 2+ points.  Take the home dog Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State.  The Eagles will be playing their fourth game in five days when they take on UConn in this early game on Saturday (after playing a 7 pm game the night before).  And they've lost their first three by an average of 91.67 ppg, while failing to cover the spread by an average of 8.33 ppg.  Meanwhile, UConn will be well-rested following its 99-48 pasting of Central Connecticut St on Tuesday, as a 34.5-point favorite.  And the Huskies also fall into a 150-95 ATS 'momentum' system of mine, based on its 51-point win.  We will lay the big number here, and go against a road-weary Eagles squad.  Take Connecticut.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Villanova.  This is a great early season match-up between two of the top four teams in the country.  We'll lay the points with Mick Cronin's Bruins, as they're 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 11-1 ATS their last 12) games vs. non-conference foes.  And Villanova is a dreadful 3-14 SU and 4-12-1 ATS as a non-conference underdog of +3 (or more) points!  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  After a 3-1 start to the season, Minnesota has proceeded to lose its next 6 games, with most of the losses coming after it built up a significant, double-digit lead in the game.  Indeed, two games ago, it blew a 16-point lead vs. Memphis, and lost in overtime.  Then, in the game prior to that, it was up by 21 over the Clippers.  Minnesota was up by 13 over Orlando, and it also enjoyed a 14-point lead vs. Denver, before falling by 2 points, 93-91.  The T-Wolves just have to put four quarters together, rather than three.  Los Angeles will once again be without LeBron James tonight.  It's true that L.A. has won (and covered) its last two games.  But the Lakers are a soft 40-67-4 ATS at home in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 14-26-3 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Minnesota.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Denver.  The Nuggets come into this game off 3 straight wins, with the last two as home underdogs, while the Hawks have dropped 5 straight, with the last three on the road.  Unfortunately for Denver, winning teams, off back to back home dog wins, have covered just 31.2% since 1995 vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Take Atlanta + the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The 'Huskers lost their opener to Western Illinois, 75-74, but I look for them to rebound tonight in front of their home faithful.  Nebraska is a solid 24-12 ATS as a home favorite of 13 or less points vs. non-conference foes, if Nebraska was off a loss in its previous game.  Additionally, when playing at home, the Big 10 Conference has dominated WAC Conference foes, as Big 10 teams have cashed 67% over the last 32 years, including a perfect 9-0 ATS when priced from -7 to -13 points.   Take the Cornhuskers.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Houston.   After starting the season with a difficult schedule (only 2 of Portland's first 12 opponents own a losing record), the Blazers get to (finally) step down in class tonight to play a really bad team.  Portland falls into a very 379-238 ATS system of mine which is based on playing on certain teams with much better win percentages than their foe.  Meanwhile, the Rockets are 1-10 SU/ATS as a home underdog vs. a foe off a loss.  Take Portland.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Kings come into this game off a blowout loss to San Antonio, 136-117.  But that was a difficult situation for Sacramento, as the Spurs were returning home off an upset loss.  Here, the Kings will be playing an opponent off 3 straight wins.  And Sacramento is a solid 33-17 ATS its last 50 road games off a road loss, including 4-1 ATS as a favorite off a double-digit loss.  The Thunder are 1-5 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Sacramento minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After starting the season as an underdog in its first 12 games, the Cavaliers are favored for the first time tonight.  So, yes, it's true the Cavs went 9-3 ATS in the underdog role.  But the burden is greater when you're laying points rather than taking them.  And Cleveland is a horrid 2-13 ATS the past two seasons as a favorite.  Even worse, dating back to 2017, the Cavs are 25-54-2 ATS as a home favorite.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Radford.  The Cavs were upset here, in Charlottesville, 66-58 by Navy on Tuesday night.  But Virginia typically bounces back off losses under Tony Bennett, and especially off non-conference defeats.  Indeed, Virginia's covered its last nine in that situation, and is 19-3-1 ATS since he took over the coaching reins in 2009.  Moreover, ACC Conference teams off a home upset loss, have cashed 78% as a home favorite vs. .550 (or better) non-conference foes.  Take Virginia.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Niagara.  The Purple Eagles will pay a visit to Ohio State in Columbus this evening, but they've had scant success vs. opponents from the elite conferences (ACC, Big 10, Pac 12, SEC, Big 12), as they've gone 1-17 straight-up, and 4-9-1 ATS.  Even worse, the Purple Eagles fall into a negative 47-96 ATS system of mine based on their season opening loss to Xavier, on Tuesday.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Northern Illinois.  The Hoosiers have dominated schools from the Mid-American Conference, as they're 24-1 straight-up, and 17-8 ATS, including 7-2 ATS when laying 20+ points.  Meanwhile, Northern Illinois has won just 1 of its 20 games vs. Big 10 foes since 1990, and has covered just one of its last 11.  Take the Hoosiers minus the points.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Northern Arizona.  The Lumberjacks were blown out in their first game, 81-52, by Arizona.  And they'll now travel to Seattle to play another Pac-12 team -- Washington -- which also lost its season opener, on Thursday.  Northern Arizona has now lost 14 straight games to Pac-12 conference foes, and has gone 4-10 ATS in those games. That doesn't bode well for Shane Burcar's men tonight.  Nor does the fact that Washington is 8-0 ATS its last eight non-conference games off an upset loss as a 5-point (or greater) favorite.  Lay the points with the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Kennesaw St.  This will be the 3rd meeting in as many seasons between these schools.  Last year, the Blue Jays blew out Kennesaw, 93-58, as a 37.5-point favorite.  And two years ago, the Blue Jays won by 26, as a 25.5-point favorite.  The Owls lost at Iowa State, 84-73, as a 15-point underdog to open their 2021-22 campaign, and will travel to Omaha to take on the Blue Jays tonight, who opened with a 90-77 win (though an ATS defeat) against Arkansas-Pine Blue.  We'll go against the Owls, as they're 1-6 ATS off a point spread win, and 16-30 ATS as a road underdog.  Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are an awesome 60-3 SU and 43-20 ATS at home when favored vs. a non-conference foe, including 12-1 ATS their last 13 off a point spread defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers minus the points over the North Carolina Tar Heels.  Mack Brown's men handed Wake Forest its first loss in nine games, with a thrilling, come-from-behind, 58-55 victory in Chapel Hill last Saturday.  We played on North Carolina in that game, but will fade them in the Steel City tonight, as teams off wins over undefeated teams (with an 8-0 or better record) are a soft 38% ATS since 1980 on the road, including just 26% ATS vs. winning foes.  North Carolina is 0-11 ATS off a home win over a conference foe, and a dreadful 11-28 ATS on the conference road against foes with a better conference record, if the Tar Heels weren't getting more than 10 points.  Meanwhile, Pitt is 32-16 ATS vs. winning conference foes, if the Panthers defeated a conference foe in their previous game.  Take the Panthers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers minus the points over Vermont.  The Panthers lost here, at home, to Nicholls State, 62-58, on Tuesday.  Northern Iowa shot just 30% from the floor, while the Colonels hit 49%.  I look for Northern Iowa to bounce back tonight, as the Panthers are 4-0 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes if the Panthers were off an upset loss.  Likewise, since 2010, Missouri Valley Conference teams are 40-3 straight-up, and 33-9-1 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, if our MVC team was upset in its previous game.  Northern Iowa is also 61-36 ATS as a home favorite of less than 7 points, while Vermont has covered just 20% vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Northern Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors have sprinted out to a 9-1 record, but we will go against Steph Curry & Co. tonight.  Minnesota comes into this game on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, but .676 (or better) NBA teams have covered just 21 of 62 vs. foes off 5 SU/ATS losses.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Denver.  Nikola Jokic has been suspended, so he won't play tonight.  And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Indiana.  The Pacers have covered four straight entering tonight, and are 18-8-2 ATS their last 28 as road favorites, including 9-1 ATS vs. Western Conference foes.  Lay the points with the Pacers.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls upset Brooklyn, 118-95, on Monday.  But Chicago is 30-47 ATS at home off a home upset win.  And .700 (or better) NBA teams have cashed just 36% since 1997 at home off an upset home win.  Take Dallas.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Memphis.  The Hornets have lost their last 5 games SU/ATS.  But NBA road dogs off 5 (or more) SU/ATS losses have covered 56.7% since 1990.  Take Charlotte.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Central Michigan.  We played on Kent State last week against Northern Illinois, and were rewarded with a 52-47 win (and cover).  And we also played on Central Michigan, as a 9-point road underdog vs. Western Michigan, and the Chips won that game outright, 42-30.  But off that huge road upset win, we'll fade the Chippewas tonight.  Indeed, Central Michigan has covered just 2 of 12 MAC Conference games following an upset win in a game they were an underdog of +3 (or more) points.  And they're 4-10 their last 14 games as home favorites vs. conference foes.  Meanwhile, Kent State is 6-0 ATS off a SU/ATS win, if its opponent is off an upset win.  And the road team has covered 5 of 7 in this series.  Finally, MAC teams off upset wins as a dog of more than 7 points, have covered their subsequent game vs. a conference foe just 39% of the time.  Grab the points with Kent State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks ripped the Bucks five days ago at Fiserv Center, 113-98.  But we'll grab the points with Milwaukee in this rematch, as the Bucks fall into a 137-68 ATS revenge system of mine.   Even better, the Bucks are 30-10-2 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points, including 14-2 ATS on the road.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  At 7-4, the Cavaliers are easily the most surprising team in this young seasons, and especially because they've been an underdog in all 11 games this season.  This will be the 12th straight game they're a dog (a streak which should end Friday vs. Detroit), and we'll fade Cleveland here, at home.  Indeed, winning teams, installed as a home underdog, have covered just 37.3% since 1990 off 4+ SU/ATS wins.  Take Washington.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Orlando.  The Nets were upset in their last game, 118-95, by Chicago, while Orlando pulled off an upset as a double-digit underdog, 107-100, vs. Utah.  Unfortunately, for the homestanding Magic, NBA teams off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have covered just 38% in the regular season over the past 32 years at home vs. foes off upset losses.  Take Brooklyn to bounce back with a resounding win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over the Miami-Ohio RedHawks.  Bulls QB Kyle Vantrease left their previous game following a sack, but Buffalo coach Maurice Linguist stated last Thursday that he "fully expect[s] [him] to be ready."  But if Vantrease happens to be unavailable, then the Bulls will turn to back-up Matt Myers, who started five of Buffalo's games during the 2019 season.  In their last game, the Bulls were favored by 13.5, but were stunned by Bowling Green, 56-44.  And the Falcons not only came into the game ranked #119 in the country in scoring (19.5 ppg), but they hadn't won a conference game since November 2, 2019 - a string of 12 straight MAC defeats.  But off that embarrassing loss, I expect coach Linguist to have his players' full attention this week, especially since they need to win at least 2 of their final 3 games to attain Bowl eligibility.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off upset home losses, as a favorite of -13 (or more) points, to conference foes with an 0-4 (or worse) conference record, have bounced back nicely in their next game to cover the spread 73.9% of the time since 1980.  Grab the points with Buffalo.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Lakers.  Last night, we played on the Hornets (and lost) against the Clippers, as Charlotte blew a 9-point lead with just over 7 minutes left in the game.  We'll come right back with Charlotte tonight, as NBA teams playing at Staples Center on back to back nights in the regular season have covered 59% after losing the first of two back-to-back meetings against the Clippers/Lakers.  Take Charlotte.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Miami Heat.  The Nuggets are on a 3-game ATS losing streak, which sets them up well tonight at home vs. Miami.  Denver is a powerful 22-2-1 ATS its last 25 regular season games vs. .400 (or better) foes, if Denver was off 3+ ATS losses.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Memphis.  After going into Milwaukee, and upsetting the Bucks, the T-wolves have gone on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, which culminated with a 20-point loss on Saturday vs. the Clippers, after being up by 20 at one point in the game!  But Minnesota was outscored 57-27 in the 2nd half.  We'll take the T-wolves tonight + the points at Memphis, as Minny is 6-1 off back to back double-digit home losses, while the Grizzlies are a horrid 29-75 ATS vs. sub-.600 foes off losses by 18+ points.  Take Minnesota.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In this young NBA season, there have been an awful lot of big blowouts, including seven by 30 (or more) points.  And one of these games occurred Friday, when Sacramento routed Charlotte, 140-110.  But 5 of the other 6 teams that lost by 30 points went on to cover the spread in their next game.  And I look for Charlotte to do the same here, as it falls into a 97-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout defeats.  Take the Hornets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Washington.  The Bucks blew a 21-point lead in their last game -- a 113-98 loss to New York.  But a hallmark of Mike Budenholzer's coaching tenure with the Bucks is that his team bounces back off losses, and especially in the regular season, where they are 48-18 SU and 41-25 ATS.  And one of the best subsets of that 41-25 applies tonight, as Milwaukee is 13-1 ATS as a road favorite in Eastern Conference games.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs are 6-4 and, improbably, all six wins have been of the upset variety.  Indeed, the Cavs have been underdogs in ALL 10 of their games this season.  Certainly, if they keep winning at a 60% clip, they'll start to be favored in a significant amount of games.  Still, Cleveland is a very young team, as all five of its starters are less than 25 years of age.  And young teams are prone to ups-and-downs.  I look for Cleveland to suffer one of those proverbial "bumps in the road" tonight, off their 3-game win streak.  Unfortunately, NBA underdogs of +7 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins in which they covered by 7+ points, have gone 66-90 ATS vs. foes off SU/ATS wins.  Take New York minus the points.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Green Bay Packers.  This game should have been a showcase for the two best quarterbacks in the game, but Aaron Rodgers contracted COVID-19, so he's on the shelf.  Jordan Love will now start for the Packers, so there's quite a mismatch behind center.  Green Bay has been terrific with Rodgers starting at quarterback (127-86-5 ATS in his career), but has burned money when he's been sidelined (7-11 ATS).  It's true that the Packers are on a 7-game SU/ATS win streak.  But NFL underdogs of more than 6 points, off 4 (or more) wins, have gone 1-17 SU and 3-15 ATS in the regular season vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points with Kansas City.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Arizona.  We played on the 49ers in the first meeting, and lost as a 5-point underdog, 17-10.  We'll take San Francisco to avenge that defeat in this rematch, as it falls into several of my favorite NFL systems, which have records of 243-148, 40-19, 224-141, and 225-128 ATS since 1980.  Even worse for Arizona.  It lost its first game, as a 6.5-point home favorite, vs. Green Bay last week.  But, dating back to 1987, .680 (or better) teams, off an upset loss, have cashed just 33.9% vs. foes off a straight-up win.  That doesn't bode well for Arizona to bounce back.  Take the Niners minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Cowboys have covered each of their first 7 games.  Unfortunately, NFL teams that start the season with a 4-0 (or better) ATS record have covered just 39.4% at home vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  With the Broncos, indeed, off a SU/ATS win last week vs. Washington, the elements of our angle are satisfied.  Denver also falls into 224-121 and 191-97 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams with winning ATS records.  Grab the points with the Broncos.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Buffalo.  The Jaguars finally got into the win column two games ago, when they beat Miami, but then lost to the Seahawks, 31-7, last week.  The Jags have been installed as a double-digit home underdog vs. the 5-2 Bills.  And it's been very profitable over the years to take double-digit home dogs, and especially if they were competitive in at least one of their two previous games, and their opponent wasn't off a SU loss.  In this situation, our double-digit home dogs have gone 84-48-2 ATS.  Even better, home dogs off a 23-point loss have gone 178-122 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take the Jaguars + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Cleveland.  Last week, we played against the Bengals following their huge upset win at Baltimore.  So, it wasn't a surprise that they suffered the biggest upset of any NFL team this season when they lost, 34-31, as a 10.5-point favorite to the New York Jets.  But off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take the Bengals to bounce back strong in this division rivalry.  Indeed, over the last 42 years, teams that lost on the road as a double-digit favorite have bounced back to cover the spread 60% of the time, including 80% ATS if they weren't favored by 3 points in the current game!  Even better:  the Bengals are 16-4 ATS their last 20 division home games when priced from -2 to -5.5 points.  Take the Bengals minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  Last week, we played on the Saints in their upset win, as a 4-point home dog, over the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.  But teams generally suffer letdowns following such games, and are a wallet-busting 39% ATS after a home upset win over defending champions, including 10-24 ATS their last 24 if they were an underdog of 4+ points in that upset win.  We also played against the Falcons last week, and got the $$$ when Carolina upset Atlanta on the road.   But I expect a bounce-back here, as the Falcons are a super 24-9 their last 33 as a road underdog, including 15-3 ATS if they weren't off a win in their previous game.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Southern Cal.  This is a horrible weekend for USC to make the trip to Tempe.  Last week, the Sun Devils were upset here, at home, by Washington State.  And Arizona State was a 16.5-point favorite in that game.  To say the Sun Devils will want to make amends for that embarrassing loss is an understatement.  Even worse, it was ASU's second straight loss, as they fell at Utah in their game before that.  It's true that Southern Cal has won the last two meetings in this series, and the last three meetings here, in Tempe.  But revenge-minded Pac-12 Conference teams, off back to back losses, and favored by 8+ points at home, have covered 13 games in a row.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Utah.  We played against the Heat on Thursday, and were rewarded with a 95-78 blowout victory by Boston.  That game snapped Miami's five game win streak.  Tonight, we'll switch gears, and lay the points with Miami against the team which has had the league's #1 record over this, and last sesaon -- the Utah Jazz.  Miami falls into a great 94-42 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses, if they're matched up against a .677 (or better) foe off a straight-up win.  Additionally, .670 (or better) NBA teams have gone 159-106 ATS off a loss by 15+ points, if they're not favored by 3+ points.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Washington.  Mario Cristobal's Ducks are ranked #4 in the latest NCAA Football rankings, and will be out to prove they deserve this lofty position when they take on the Huskies tonight, in Seattle.  Last week, the Ducks fell short "in Vegas," as they won by 23 vs. Colorado, but failed to cover the 24.5-point spread.  Unfortunately for Washington, it's a horrid 7-29 ATS at home vs. conference foes off a conference point spread defeat.  Oregon also fits a very strong 279-189 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS losses.  Lay the points with the Ducks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gators lost last week to #1-ranked Georgia -- their 2nd consecutive defeat -- and will no doubt want to take out their frustrations on the over-matched Gamecocks.  At 4-4 on the season, Florida needs two more wins to qualify for the post-season, and I expect it to go all out today in Columbia.  The Gators are big road favorites, but NCAA teams that are favored by 20+ points, have gone 27-12 ATS off back to back losses, if they failed to cover the spread in those two defeats by 9+ points.  Take Florida minus the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Houston.  We played on Houston last Saturday, and they rewarded us with a win over then-undefeated SMU.  But off that big, emotional win, I look for a letdown today.  Indeed, the Cougars fall into a negative 22-67 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off wins over top-tier opponents.  And the Bulls are in a great spot here, off their blowout loss at East Carolina, as they're 10-1 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Bulls as a big home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over LSU.  Nick Saban's men come into this game with an extra week off to rest, and prepare for LSU.  The Crimson Tide are 23-10 ATS in the regular season when playing with an extra week of rest, and favored by 6+ points.  Meanwhile, the Tigers are 23-40 ATS in the regular season when playing a rested opponent.  Finally, 'Bama is 7-0 SU/ATS at home the past two seasons vs. SEC Conference foes.  Lay the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack won SU/ATS last season in Raleigh vs. these Seminoles, 38-22, as a 13-point home favorite.  But that triumph has triggered super 91-32 and 197-97 ATS revenge systems (that we also used last night on Boston College).  Additionally, the Wolfpack have struggled on the road in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 7.5 (or less) points, as they've gone 14-35-2 ATS, including 2-15 ATS vs. revenge-minded conference opponents.  Finally, Florida State is 7-1 ATS as a single-digit underdog, when playing with revenge against a conference foe.  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Baylor.  Gary Patterson's tenure as TCU head coach has ended mid-way through his 21st season, so veteran coach Jerry Kill will take over for the rest of the season.  TCU has nowhere to go but up, in my opinion, following three double-digit SU/ATS losses to Oklahoma, West Virginia, and Kansas State.  And this point spread is inflated following the news of Patterson's departure, so I like the value with the Horned Frogs.  TCU has covered 11 of the last 14 meetings against Baylor.  And Baylor's 11-25 ATS vs. foes off three losses, including 0-9 ATS away from home vs. non-winning foes.  Take TCU + the points.

At 3:30 pm our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Navy.  The Irish will welcome the Midshipmen to South Bend, as they look for their 4th straight win and cover following last week's 44-34 home victory over North Carolina.  Meanwhile, Navy upset Tulsa on the road last Friday, 20-17, as a 12-point road dog.  But that upset win has triggered several negative systems of mine that go against Navy, including one with a 94-36 ATS record since 1980.  The Irish are 14-3-3 ATS vs. foes off upset wins, if that foe also covered the spread by 15+ points in its upset victory.  Take Notre Dame.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Oklahoma State.  WVU comes into this game off back to back wins over TCU and Iowa State.   And last week's win was most impressive, as the Mountaineers were a 7.5-point underdog against the then-22nd-ranked Cyclones.  This afternoon, WVU is once again a home underdog against #11 Oklahoma State, which enters on a 6-game ATS win streak.  Even though Okie State is red-hot, we'll grab the points with Neal Brown's men, as Big 12 Conference underdogs, off back to back wins, have gone 42-15 ATS at home, or on a neutral field, in the regular season when playing a conference foe which didn't fail to cover the spread in its previous game.  Take the Mountaneers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Wake Forest.  This is an odd situation, as it matches up two ACC schools, but -- because of scheduling limitations -- will be a "non-conference" game for the Conference standings!  We played on the undefeated Demon Deacons in their last road game -- a 70-56 rout of Army on Oct 23 -- but will now go the other way and play against them on Tobacco Road.  On the surface, it may look difficult to take North Carolina, given that it's off a double-digit loss to Notre Dame last week, and has failed to cover each of its last three games. But consider that undefeated teams, with a record of 5-0 or better, are a poor 38% ATS away from home the past 42 seasons vs. foes off three ATS losses.  Wake Forest's perfect season ends today.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 am, in an EARLY game, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Air Force.  This game will be played on a neutral field, in Arlington, Texas.  And each of this teams come into this morning's game off losses to what was -- at least then -- an undefeated opponent.  Army was wiped out, 70-56, by unbeaten Wake Forest two weeks ago, while Air Force lost two weeks ago at home, as a 3-point favorite, to then-undefeated San Diego State.  Unfortunately, Air Force's upset defeat sets it up in a negative 43-115 ATS system today which goes against certain winning teams off upset losses.  Even worse:  the Falcons are 1-15 ATS their last 16 away from home off an upset loss!  Grab the points with Army.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Indiana.  To say the Trail Blazers' recent road trip was a failure would be an understatement, as it not only lost all three games, but it was favored to win each of them.  So, Portland returns home tonight to take on the Pacers, who upset the Knicks in their last game.  The good news for Portland is that it has won (and covered) its last three home games, with three blowout wins over the Suns (134-105), Grizzlies (116-96) and Clippers (111-92).  I look for Portland to win/cover its fourth straight home game tonight, as Indiana is a horrid 0-4 straight-up, and 1-3 ATS on the road, with its only cover by a mere 1.5 points.  Portland has won 11 of the last 12 meetings at home vs. Indiana, and has covered 8 of those 12.  Lay the points with the Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these clubs here in Minneapolis.  The T-Wolves lost, 126-111, in the first game.  But I love them to avenge that defeat tonight, as they fall into 185-122 and 141-73 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, NBA teams playing regular season back to back games against the same opponent have covered 60% if they lost at home by 15+ points in the first meeting.  Take the T-Wolves.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Eagles are 0-4 SU in ACC play, with blowout losses (by 14+ points) in each of their last three games.  That sets them up well for this game, as home teams that are off a SU/ATS loss, and are winless in conference play (with an 0-4 or worse record), have cashed 58.4% the past 42 years vs. foes off a point spread win.  Moreover, Boston College falls into a great 196-97 ATS revenge system of mine, based on their 40-14 loss at Virginia Tech last season.  Take the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Wizards are 5-3, but have dropped their last two games to the Hawks and Raptors.  Tonight, they'll welcome the Grizzlies, who come into our Nation's Capitol off back to back home wins over the Nuggets.  We'll take Washington, as the Wizards are 26-11-1 ATS off back to back losses, when playing at home against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Wizards.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  Tonight's game will wrap up a 4-game home stand for the Lakers.  And L.A. has won the first three.  I don't expect a letdown tonight, especially given that the Thunder handed the Lakers a loss in Oklahoma City back on Oct. 27.  But Los Angeles was playing that night without rest.  And it also had to go to overtime in San Antonio the night before.  Here, Los Angeles is rested, and hasn't had to travel in over a week.  In his career, LeBron James' teams have gone 99-74-1 ATS as a rested, revenge-minded home favorite, including 12-1 ATS when priced from -11 to -14, and 45-29 ATS when playing with revenge from a road upset loss.  Lay the points with Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Miami, as it falls into a 313-217 ATS system of mine.  We played on the Celtics last night against Orlando, and were rewarded with a blowout win.  Tonight will be Boston's 3rd game in four nights, but we'll still come right back with Boston in this game, as it is a jaw-dropping 51-14 ATS as a road underdog when playing its 3rd game in four nights.  Take Boston + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Utah Jazz.  The Jazz have picked up this regular season where they left off last regular season, as they're off to a 6-1 SU record, including back to back victories over the Bucks and Kings coming into tonight's game.  Meanwhile, Atlanta is 4-4 after losing in Brooklyn yesterday.  But it's also worth noting that it is a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS at home. Even better:  the Hawks are a super 15-1 ATS their last 16 (and 73-34 ATS their last 107) at home off a loss, when playing a non-division foe off back to back wins, provided Atlanta wasn't favored by 3+ points.  Take the Hawks here, at home.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Sixers have to travel to the Motor City after playing (and beating) the Chicago Bulls, 103-98, last night in Philly.  Meanwhile, the Pistons are rested, as they haven't played since their blowout home loss on Tuesday, at the hands of the Milwaukee Bucks.  Detroit was a 4.5-point home dog, yet lost that game by 28!  The good news is that rested, losing teams have covered 62.6% since 1990 as home dogs off a home loss in which they failed to cover the spread by more than 23 points, if they were matched up against a winning opponent (and 75% ATS if its opponent was unrested).  Detroit also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 288-189 ATS since 1990.  Take the Pistons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Sacramento.  We played on the Kings last night, as a big road underdog at Utah, and were rewarded with an easy game where the Kings were never losing against the spread.  But we will fade Sacramento as a home favorite tonight, as it's 18-38-4 ATS as a favorite when playing without rest, if its opponent is off a SU/ATS loss.  With the Pelicans, indeed, off a 12-point loss at Phoenix, we'll grab the points with New Orleans tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Spurs have been saddled with a difficult early schedule that's included games against Milwaukee (twice), Dallas, Denver and the Lakers.  And they've played well, and have covered the point spread by 2.5 ppg, on average.  In contrast, the Mavericks have NOT played well, and have failed to cover the spread by an average of 8.64 ppg.  The Spurs did lose their last game, 131-118, at Indiana.  But the Spurs are 85-51 ATS at home off a double-digit loss, if their opponent wasn't off a double-digit loss.  Take San Antonio.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Memphis Grizzlies.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back games at Memphis between these teams.  We played on the Grizzlies as a 1.5-point favorite in the first game, on Monday.  But we'll take the revenge-minded road team tonight.  This game is also priced near pk'em, and when you get back to back competitively-priced regular season games between the same two teams, the loser of Game 1 has covered Game 2 a very good 73.6% of the time, including 89% on the road.  Take the Nuggets.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Cleveland.  We had a big play on the Cavaliers on Monday, and were rewarded with an outright win, as a 5-point road underdog, at Charlotte.  And that was Cleveland's 2nd straight ATS win, and 5th of its last 6 games.  But we will switch gears, and play against J.B. Bickerstaff's men tonight, as they'll take on a Trail Blazers club off back to back upset losses.  Unfortunately for the Cavs, they're a poor 47-74 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And Cleveland is also 7-15 ATS against the Blazers, including 1-7 ATS if Portland was off a SU/ATS loss.  Finally, Cleveland falls into negative 0-21 and 38-74 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams with .500 (or better) records off a win.  Lay the points with Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  This was not the start that first-year head coach Ime Udoka had hoped for.  After losing in double-overtime on Saturday to the Wizards, the Celtics blew a 19-point lead in a 14-point defeat to the Chicago Bulls.  And that was the first time in the shot clock era that an NBA team entered the 4th quarter with a 14-point (or greater) lead, and lost by 14+ points.  I love the Celtics to rebound tonight, as Boston's scoring margin on the road this season is +3.5, while Orlando's scoring margin at home is -17.0.  Even better:  the Magic upset Minnesota, as an 8.5-point road underdog on Monday.  But home dogs off an upset win as a dog of more than 8 points have cashed just 40 percent over the last 32 years vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Northern Illinois.  The Huskies won at Central Michigan in their last game, 39-38, as a 6-point road underdog.  Unfortunately, Mid-American Conference road teams have covered just 34% of conference games since 1999 as underdogs following an upset win over a conference foe as a 5-point (or greater) underdog.  Admittedly, the Huskies have dominated this series with 10 straight wins vs. Kent State.  But they were favored to win nine of those 10 games (by an average of 10.5 ppg), including -14.5, -7, -8, -25.5, -7 and -23 in the past six seasons.  Tonight, though, Kent has been installed as a home favorite for the first time in this series.  And they fall into an 81-44 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Golden Flashes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Western Michigan.  The Chips come into this game off an upset home loss at the hands of Northern Illinois.  Central Michigan was favored by 6 points, but lost, 39-38.  Western Michigan also lost its last game, as it fell at Toledo, 34-15, as a 1.5-point favorite.  We'll take the points with the Chippewas, as Mid-American Conference teams are 35-10 ATS off an upset home loss, if they were playing an opponent also off a straight-up loss, including 20-3 ATS if our team was favored by 4+ points in their previous game.  Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers and Rockets will play the 2nd of back-to-back games here, at Staples Center.  Los Angeles won Round 1 on Sunday night, as it bested Houston, 95-85, but failed to cover the 11-point spread.  We'll play against Los Angeles in this rematch, as the Lakers are an awful 4-17 ATS in the second of back-to-back regular season meetings vs. an opponent. including 1-11 ATS if they won the first meeting, straight-up.  And home favorites of more than 9 points are a poor 31-47 ATS in the 2nd of back to back regular season meetings vs. an opponent they defeated in their previous game.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Utah Jazz.  These two teams met earlier this season in Sacramento, where the Jazz were favored by 6 points.  The game was tied in the late stages at 95, but Utah finished the game on a 15-6 run to cover the number.  The game was evenly played except around the 3-point arc, where Utah dominated, as it made 16 long-distance shots to Sacramento's 8.  Still, the Kings have been competitive this season, as they've only lost one game by 10+ points, so I expect another highly competitive game this evening.  This will be the Kings' 4th (and final) road game on a 4-game trek, and they're 32-17 ATS on the road off a road defeat.  Even better:  Sacramento is 27-14 ATS as a revenge-minded road underdog, including a virtually perfect 11-1 ATS when priced from +6 to +9.5 points.  Take the Kings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Denver.  This is the first of a back-to-back 2-game set between these clubs in Memphis (they'll also play Wednesday).  We'll take the homestanding Grizzlies tonight, as Denver comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins, including an upset win at Minnesota on Saturday.  Unfortunately for the Nuggets, they're 41-69 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, including 6-26 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Memphis, on the other hand, checks in off a 129-103 upset loss to Miami here, two nights ago.  But rested home teams, off a home upset loss by more than 25 points, have gone 53-34 ATS.  Lay the points with the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  The Hawks have played six games this season:  two at home, four on the road.  And they're a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS at home, but a winless 0-4 ATS on the road.  The good news for Atlanta is that it's back home tonight to take on a Wizards team which defeated it by 11 this past Thursday.  The Hawks are an awesome 52-24-3 ATS at home if they lost the previous meeting to their opponent by more than 10 points, if their foe was off back to back wins, including 14-1-1 ATS their last 16.  And the Wizards are a wallet-busting 36-78 ATS on the road, if they won the previous meeting by more than 10 points.  Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  We played on each of Boston and Chicago as underdogs on Saturday, and won easily with Chicago, but lost a heartbreaker on Boston in double-overtime.  We'll come right back with Boston tonight, in this home game vs. the Bulls, as Boston is 20-8-2 ATS off back-to-back ATS losses, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. foes that covered by 10+ in their previous game.  Meanwhile, the Bulls are 18-38 ATS off a SU/ATS win, if they weren't favored by 2+ points in their current game.  Take Boston.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Charlotte.  After ripping off 3 straight upset wins against Atlanta, Denver and the Los Angeles Clippers, the Cavaliers played the Lakers evenly before fading in the 4th quarter, in a 12-point loss (as a 7.5-point underdog).  We actually played against Cleveland in that game, so we were happy with that result.  The Cavs followed up that loss with a 9-point defeat in Phoenix, but covered the 10-point spread for their 4th cover in their last five games -- all on the road.  Cleveland's 6-game road trip will conclude tonight in Charlotte, and the Cavs will benefit from Charlotte having to play the 2nd day of a back-to-back set.  So far, in this early NBA season unrested teams are a soft 3-6 ATS vs. foes off a loss, and underdogs off back to back losses are 12-1 ATS vs. foes off a win.  I really like the way the Cavs are playing.  Take Cleveland + the points.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over Dallas.  The Cowboys have won five straight games, yet find themselves installed as a road underdog tonight, as they might be without their quarterback, Dak Prescott, who is a 'game-time decision.'  We'll lay the points with Minnesota, and play against Dallas, as .800 (or better) NFL underdogs, at Game 7 forward, have covered just 31% of non-division games since 1980 when matched up against a non-winning opponent.  Take the Vikings to hand Dallas its first loss since Week 1.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the ponts over Tampa Bay.  The defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers routed the Chicago Bears, 38-3, last weekend.  Unfortunately, defending Super Bowl champs have covered just 33% as road favorites the following week after winning by 20+ points.  Moreover, Sean Payton has gone 59-27 ATS as coach of the Saints vs. .500 (or better) foes off a SU win.  Take New Orleans + the points.