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Jimmy Boyd NBA Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-16-13 | Toronto Raptors v. Atlanta Hawks -6 | 113-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Hawks -
The Atlanta Hawk |
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04-15-13 | Memphis Grizzlies -4 v. Dallas Mavericks | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider on Memphis -
These teams met back in February with Memphis picking up a 90-84 victory over Dallas. The Mavericks are 1-10 ATS over the last two seasons when they are revenging a loss where the team scored less than 85 points. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record. Defensively the Grizzlies are one of the best teams in the league. They have held opponents to an average of 89.4 points per game this season. In their last five games they have held opponents to an outstanding 83.4 points per game so it is safe to say the Grizzlies defense is playing extremely well right now. The Mavericks defense has been horrible this season. They are allowing 103.6 points per game in division matchups. It is tough for any team to win when they are allowing that many points. The Mavericks are not playing for anything in this game and the Grizzlies have won six of the eight head to head meetings between these teams. After missing the playoffs for the first time since 2000 the Mavericks should underwhelm for this matchup against Memphis. |
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04-15-13 | Denver Nuggets -5.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 112-111 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Denver Nuggets
The Milwaukee Bucks have lost four straight games and three of those four losses came by double digits. Ever since the Bucks secured the 8th spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs it seems they decided to give up on the remainder of the regular season. You should always play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Milwaukee when they are coming off three or more consecutive losses when playing in an April game. This system is 36-13 (74%) ATS. The Nuggets are averaging 103.6 points per game on the road while the Bucks are allowing 100.9 points per game at home. This matchup falls into another system to play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Denver when they are scoring 102 points per game or more and playing against a poor defensive team that is allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 52-19 (73%) ATS over the last five seasons. |
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04-15-13 | Washington Wizards +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Washington Wizards +
The Washington Wizards are 33-16-2 in their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. They are facing a Nets team that is playing on back to back nights traveling from Toronto after an 87-93 loss to the Raptors. Brooklyn |
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04-15-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Orlando Magic +3.5 | 102-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Orlando Magic +
The Chicago Bulls have been playing down to their level of competition all season and they are getting far too much credit from the oddsmakers. Chicago is 10-19 against teams with a losing record this season and when that team is winning only 25% to 40% of their games that number tightens up to 4-13 ATS. When the Bulls have been a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points they are 6-22 ATS this season. Chicago has secured their spot in the playoffs and they do not have much to play for at this point in the season. The Magic may not be making the playoffs this season, but they are still playing for pride and their home fan base. The magic are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing against teams from the Eastern Conference and they are 3-1-1 when those games have come against the Central division. |
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04-15-13 | New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats -1.5 | 95-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on Charlotte -
It is extremely unlikely that the Knicks will risk an injury to a key player when they face off against Charlotte tonight. New York has locked up the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference so they do not have much to play for until the postseason. New York is already missing Tyson Chandler, Kenyon Martin, Amare Stoudemire, Rasheed Wallace and Marcus Camby so it is almost a certainty that the remainder of the Knicks talent will not see the court tonight. Charlotte may have missed the postseason by a long shot, but they still have something to play for. The Bobcats are playing for pride and looking for their 20th win on the season. Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams from the Atlantic Division and playing at home should provide them with enough of an offensive boost to get past the Knicks tonight. Charlotte already owns a 2-0 ATS record over New York this season and the last game played in Charlotte was decided by just two points back when the Knicks were playing their top players. |
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04-14-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 196 | Top | 86-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer on Spurs/Lakers UNDER
San Antonio has been trending heavily towards the under in recent games. They have gone under the total is 7 of their last 10 games. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when you have a team like San Antonio that is outscoring their opponents by an average of 6 or more points per game when playing on Sunday. This system is 167-91 (65%) over the last five seasons. The Lakers have gone under at a rate of 10-1 in their last 11 home games when playing against a team with a winning road record. They are also 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games played on Sunday. These teams have a strong head to head history of getting into a low scoring battle. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 games played at Los Angeles and it is 20-7 the last 27 meetings overall. These angles are a combined 42-11 (79%) to the under. With the Lakers fighting to keep that 8th spot in in the Western Conference playoffs race I expect to see them really step it up defensively. Their defense certainly plays much better at home than they go on the road holding opponents to 3.6 points per game less than their overall average. The offense does not get much of a boost with just 6 tenths of a point in increased scoring production when playing at home. |
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04-14-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Toronto Raptors +3.5 | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Raptors +
The Raptors are hot coming into this game winning four of their last five straight up and against the spread. Brooklyn is on the third leg of a three game road stretch and they are 7-19 ATS over the last three seasons when playing in a road game and coming off two consecutive road games. They are facing a Toronto team that has shot over 45% from the field in five of their last six games. In the last five head to head meetings between these teams the home team is 4-0-1 ATS. Going back even further the Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games being played at Toronto. The Nets are not a team that is going to light up the scoreboard with points. They average just 96.4 points per game when playing on the road while the defense is allowing 95.3 points per game. The numbers for Toronto are actually identical at 96.4 points per game at home and 95.3 allowed by the Raptors. Considering how evenly matched these teams are and that the last matchup was played at Brooklyn and decided by 7 points the change in venue should be more than enough to change the outcome of this game. |
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04-14-13 | Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks UNDER 194 | 80-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Pacers UNDER
Indiana has failed to cover the spread in their last four games. They are 19-5 to the under when they have failed to cover 3 or more consecutive games over the last three seasons. The under is 5-2 in the Pacers last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. That is a perfect fit for an under angle from the Knicks as they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in the previous game. The under is also 4-1 in New York |
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04-13-13 | Phoenix Suns +5.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 93-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
4* No Limit Play on Suns +
The Minnesota Timberwolves have a strong history of playing poorly against Pacific Division teams. They are 5-20 ATS in their last 25 home games against the Pacific Division over the least three seasons. Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in their last five games and they have given up an average of 102 points per game. They are playing a Suns team that has had trouble getting points on the board, but that will have no problem scoring points in today |
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04-12-13 | Philadelphia 76ers +6 v. Washington Wizards | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on 76ers +
Philadelphia is the better team and even though they are playing on the road tonight, they are receiving too many points. You should always play against favorites like Washington when they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning only 25-40% of their games playing another team with a losing record. This system is 61-29 (68%) since 1996. The 76ers are coming off a shootout with Atlanta that ended with the Hawks picking up a 124-101 victory. Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when coming off a double digit loss at home and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day of rest. They face a Wizards team that is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Eastern Conference teams and 1-4 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 76ers also own the head to head history for these teams. They are 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games played at Washington. |
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04-12-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Toronto Raptors -3 | 88-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Toronto Raptors -
The Bulls have a bad habit of playing down to their level of competition. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against any team with a losing record. They are also playing on back to back nights after picking up a 7 point win over the Knicks last night. At this point in the season those back to back games can take their toll on a team and the Bulls are in a perfect spot to look past the Raptors today. This is a repeat game from just a few nights ago in which the Raptors traveled to Chicago and picked up a three point win straight up over the Bulls. A change in venue only makes the Raptors look even more favorable since they will be playing on their home court. The Bulls offense has struggled on the road this season averaging just 93.4 points per game. They face a Raptors team that is scoring 96.8 points per game while holding their opponents to 95.5 in home games. |
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04-12-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Indiana Pacers -5.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
5* Vegas Insider on Pacers -
The Nets have picked up two wins over the Pacers this season but we should see a completely different result tonight. In the last game between these teams the Pacers shot 34.4% from the field and 22.7% on three point attempts. That anomaly is very unlikely to take place again since the Pacers have averaged 43.6% shooting at home and the Brooklyn defense is not overly talented. You should always play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Pacers when they are playing in a double revenge situation following two straight losses to their opponent when that same opponent is coming off an upset win over a division rival. This system is 44-17 (72%) ATS. The Pacers have are solid from their home court sitting on a 30-9 straight up record. They are playing with an extra day of rest over the Nets in today |
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04-11-13 | New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 191 | 111-118 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Total Dominator on Bulls/Knicks UNDER
The Bulls beat New York back on January 11th as well as on December 21st this season. This matchup falls into a system to play the under when one of the teams, in this case it is New York, is revenging two consecutive straight up losses against an opponent as a favorite when they are a good team winning 60-57% of their games playing another team with a winning record. This system is 121-72 (63%) in favor of the under. When playing at home the Bulls defense has held opponents to 90.3 points per game. Their offense has only scored slightly more than the defense is allowing at 92.8 points per game which indicates the slow pace of play for games played in Chicago. The Knicks offense has not done that well on the road averaging just 96.8 points per game and they have faced few defenses that are as tough and scrappy as this Bulls team. Coach Tom Thibodeau for Chicago is 30-11 to the under after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread as the coach of Chicago. The Bulls have already gone under the total in four of their last five games. The Knicks should also be playing with a little more of a defensive effort after allowing the Bulls to score 108 points in their last game. |
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04-10-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 204.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER
This game falls into a system to play on the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 points and one team, in this matchup it is San Antonio, has gone under the total by 48 or more points in their last 10 games and they are winning 60-75% of their games on the season playing another team with a winning record. This system is 38-14 (73%) to the under throughout the last five seasons. The Spurs are 6-0 to the under in their last 6 consecutive road games and they are 5-1 to the under when playing against teams winning 60% or more of their games on the season. They are facing a Nuggets team that is 5-1 to the under in their last 6 home games and 4-1 to the under at home against teams with a winning record on the road. These team specific trends are a combined 20-3 (87%) to the under this season. San Antonio is very solid defensively and they have held opponents to an average of 96.2 points per game this season. They are playing exceptionally well lately holding opponents to just 92.2 points per game in their last 5 games. It is unfortunate for Spurs fans, but the offense is not performing well over that same time span. They are averaging that same 92.2 points per game offensively. They face a Denver defense that has held opponents to 97.7 points per game. The Spurs will be one of the better defensive units the Nuggets have faced on their home court so it is unlikely they will reach their typical scoring average which makes the under a no brainer in this game. |
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04-10-13 | New Orleans Hornets v. Sacramento Kings -6 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Kings -
New Orleans and Sacramento will battle it out as two of the worst teams in the league face off tonight. The home team laying the points is the smart play in this game as New Orleans has won a mere 11 games on the road this season. Sacramento is one game under .500 at home and it is because of their ability to score at will. The Kings average 104.1 points per game on their home court. New Orleans is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games while Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season. The Kinds are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. In the last 30 head to head meetings between these teams the home team has earned a 22-8 ATS record and in the last 7 the favorite is 5-2 ATS. All signs point to an easy Sacramento win in this game. |
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04-09-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Golden State Warriors -6.5 | Top | 89-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
5* Vegas Insider on Golden State Warriors -
The Timberwolves are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when playing against a team winning 60% or more of their home games this season. Golden State is an impressive 26-12 at home this year. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing straight up record. Minnesota is 29-47 this season and they are an embarrassingly bad 10-27 when playing on the road. When playing at home the Warriors are scoring 101.4 points per game and holding opponents to 97.2 points per game. They should be able to beat their averages with ease against a Timberwolves team that allows 100.6 on the road while scoring only 95.2 points per game. The Warriors are hot coming into this game averaging 104.4 points per game in their last five games. They have shot just under 50% from the field while holding opponents to 45.6% shooting. In the last matchup between these teams the Warriors picked up a one point win on the road at Minnesota. A change in venue should be more than enough to cover the -6.5 point line set for today |
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04-09-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets -14 | 98-101 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
3* Bailout Blowout on Houston Rockets -
This matchup falls into a system to play on a good team like Houston that is outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game when they are coming off a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This system is 121-79 (61%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. This game falls into another system to play on favorites like Houston when they are an explosive offensive team averaging over 102 points per game after three or more consecutive games scoring 110 points or more against an average offensive team scoring 92-98 points per game. This system is 27-7 (79%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. The Suns have not performed well against good shooting teams over the last 2 seasons as they have an 8-24 (75%) ATS record against teams making over 46% of their shots. Phoenix is one of the worst road teams in the league with a 7-30 straight up record and a defense that is allowing 105.7 points per game. That is a losing combination for Phoenix and should result in a big blowout win for the Rockets today. The last matchup between these teams being played at Houston was won by 30 points by the Rockets. |
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04-09-13 | Washington Wizards +10 v. New York Knicks | 99-120 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Washington Wizards +
The Knicks were in a shootout with the Thunder on Sunday in a game that ended with a 125-120 final score. This matchup falls into a system to play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Washington after a loss by 10 or more and playing against an opponent that is coming off a combined score of 215 points or more. This system is 114-72 (61.3%) since 1996. The Knicks are not the Miami Heat so it is likely their win streak will come to an end soon. It may not happen in today's game against Washington, but this game should certainly end much closer than the 10 points we are receiving. They are facing a Washington team that has been undervalued on the road this season which has led to a winning ATS road record for the Wizards. Washington |
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04-07-13 | Dallas Mavericks v. Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 | 96-91 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
3* Bailout Blowout on Portland +
The Mavericks are really struggling having lost two of their last three games. Portland is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the road. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a straight up win. In head to head matchups between these teams the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Portland may not have a great overall record on the season, but they are a respectable 22-15 at home. The Trail Blazers average 99.8 points per game on their home court and they are a solid free throw shooting team at 78.2%. They face a Mavericks team that is allowing 103.5 points per game on the road and sitting on a 14-24 road record. Dallas is poor defensively when it comes for forcing turnovers too. The Mavericks average just 14 per game. Take the points, but the oddsmakers may have favored the wrong team in this matchup. |
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04-07-13 | Chicago Bulls -4.5 v. Detroit Pistons | 85-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Chicago Bulls -
Detroit has lost their last two games against Boston and Minnesota. This game falls into a system to play against underdogs like Detroit when they are revenging a loss against their opponent and they are off 2 road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This system is 99-50 (66%) ATS. This matchup falls into another system to play on road favorites like Chicago when they are a good ball handling team committing 14.5 or less turnovers per game playing against a poor pressure defense team forcing 14.5 or less turnovers and when they are holding opponents to 43.5% to 45.5% shooting against a poor defensive team like Detroit that is allowing 45.5% to 47.5% after 42 or more games. This system is 187-117 (62%) ATS since 1996. |
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04-06-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 193 | Top | 97-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Spurs UNDER
The Hawks offense has been struggling on the road. They average 95.9 points per game and they will have their hands full against a San Antonio defense that has held opponents to 93.7 points per game at home. The Atlanta Hawks are 4-0 to the under in their last four games overall and they are 5-1 to the under following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. They are playing in a back to back situation which also favors the under at a rate of 10-3 the last 13 games playing with no rest. The Spurs have also gone under the total in their last 4 games and they are 5-0 to the under in their last 5 games against Southeast division teams. San Antonio is 13-3 to the under in their last 16 games following a straight up loss this season. In head to head matchups between these teams the under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 games played at San Antonio. The Spurs defense has played extremely well at home. The offense has been struggling recently averaging only 93.2 points per game in their last five games. All signs point to this game ending with a low score. |
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04-05-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns +8 | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
5* No Brainer on Phoenix Suns +
Golden State is coming into this game with a 3-10 ATS record in their last 13 road games and a 3-8 ATS record in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Golden State is also 0-9 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. The Golden State defense has been the biggest problem when playing on the road. The Warriors are allowing 102.8 points per game while averaging 99.9 in scoring. In head to head meetings between these teams the home team is 6-2 over the last 8 games. The Warriors have not won more than two consecutive games since February and their poor play on the road may prevent them from picking up that third win today. Phoenix has held opponents to 97.1 points per game and they have covered two of their last three games when playing at home. In the last matchup between these teams the Warriors pulled off a 10 point victory on their home court. Considering we have a change in venue and the oddsmakers have left the line the same the Suns have become the value play in this rematch. Phoenix shot 53% from the three point line in the last game and the soft Golden State defense playing on the road should make for an easy cover for the Suns. |
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04-05-13 | Milwaukee Bucks +8 v. New York Knicks | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Milwaukee Bucks +
Milwaukee has a history of playing in close games against Atlantic Division teams. They are 47-18 ATS in their last 65 against Atlantic teams. In head to head history between these teams the Bucks own a 7-2 ATS record in the last 9 games played at New York. The Knicks have allowed 48.5% and 50% shooting in their last two games so they are trending in the wrong direction. The Milwaukee offense has played well this season averaging 99.2 points per game. They are a good rebounding team pulling in 52 boards per game against a Knicks team averaging only 48 rebounds per game at home. The Bucks also have an advantage when it comes to assists, blocks and avoiding foul trouble. They are getting too many points today in what should be a very close game. |
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04-04-13 | Dallas Mavericks +7 v. Denver Nuggets | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Dallas +
The Mavericks are coming off a tough loss to the Lakers, scoring only 81 points in that game. They have had a day of rest coming into today |
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04-03-13 | New Orleans Hornets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 197 | Top | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer on Hornets/Warriors UNDER
Golden State has gone under the total in five of their last seven games. They are 5-0 to the under in their last 5 games against Southwest Division teams and they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season. They are well rested coming into this game so there should not be any tired legs on the defensive end of the court. The Hornets are 7-3 to the under in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days of rest. The extra rest for both teams should help improve their defensive numbers. Golden State is allowing 97.4 points per game at home while New Orleans is allowing 97.6 points per game. The Hornets defense has been better in their last five games holding opponents to 94.8 per game. The style of play from these teams indicates this game should be low scoring. The last time these teams met was back on March 18th and the total was 196 points with the teams scoring a combined 165 points in a 93-72 game. Both teams are playing well right now with the Hornets winning four of their last six and Golden State winning five of their last seven. These recent win streaks have been because of solid defensive performances. |
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04-03-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz -2.5 | 113-96 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
3* Bailout Blowout on Jazz -
Denver is coming off a home game against Brooklyn in which they were outrebounded by 19 boards. The Nuggets pulled off the win because they shot 57% from the field but that is not likely to happen again today when they play at Utah. This matchup falls into a system to play against underdogs like Denver when they are 3+ on rebounding margin and coming off a game where they were outrebounded by their opponent by 15 or more boards. This system is 51-21 (71%) ATS. The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the NBA with a 28-9 straight up record and a 23-13 ATS record. They are averaging 100.9 points per game at home while holding opponents to 95 points per game. Denver may be scoring 103.4 points per game on the road, but their defense is allowing 104.4 per game. You can |
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04-03-13 | Detroit Pistons v. Boston Celtics -7.5 | 93-98 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Celtics -
Boston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams winning 40% or less of their road games. They are also 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games overall. They are facing a Detroit team that is having a horrible season with a 25-50 record. The Celtics have struggled recently and a game against this soft Detroit team is just what they need to bounce back. Boston has a 25-11 overall record at home while Detroit is 10-28 when playing on the road. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Atlantic Division teams and they are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win. |
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04-03-13 | New York Knicks v. Atlanta Hawks -3.5 | 95-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Hawks -
The Atlanta Hawks are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games when playing on 1 day of rest. They have a great home record at 24-13 straight up and average 99.9 points per game on their home court. The Knicks are averaging 96.1 points per game on the road and allowing 96.6 on the defensive end. Obviously, anytime your defense is allowing more points than you are scoring it is a recipe for disaster. These teams last met on January 27th in New York with the Knicks squeaking out a 2 point win over the Hawks. A change in venue should be more than enough to change the end result of this game. New York is suffering through a lot of injuries right now so it looks as though their 9 game win streak will come to an end tonight against this solid Atlanta Hawks team. |
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04-03-13 | Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -3.5 | 78-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Raptors -
The Raptors do a great job of limiting turnovers averaging only 13 per game. Washington is 17-34 ATS in road games when playing against good ball handling teams that are committing 14 or less turnovers per game over the last 3 seasons. The Raptors are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season. We are getting some added value here because Washington has played well recently which forced the oddsmakers to make this line a little smaller than it should be. Washington is 7-29 on the road this season and they are playing on back to back nights. Playing in back to back games is tough enough at this point in the season but playing that second leg on the road makes things even tougher. This should be a blowout win for the Raptors. |
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04-02-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Washington Wizards -2 | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Wizards -
The last time these teams played in January the Bulls managed only 73 points as Washington won in a blowout. You should always play against underdogs like Chicago when they are revenging a loss where they scored 75 points or less and they have a 45-55% win percentage on the season. This system is 100-57 (64%) ATS. The Bulls defense has struggled on the road allowing 95 points per game while forcing only 13 turnovers per game. They now face a Wizards team that is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Washington is a respectable 24-13 (65%) ATS on their home court this season. The Bulls are beat up with injuries right now. They squeaked off a one point victory over a horrible Detroit team on Sunday after a straight up loss to Dallas on Saturday. The Bulls are trending in the wrong direction making the Wizards the smart play in today |
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04-01-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Los Angeles Clippers -4 | 109-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
3* Bailout Blowout on Clippers -
The Pacers are playing their 9th game in the last two weeks. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Indiana when they have won four of their last five games but they are a tired team playing 8 or more games in the last 14 days. This system is 69-41 (63%) ATS over the last five seasons. Los Angeles is coming off an 81 point performance on the road against Houston so a home game is just what the Clippers need to turn things around. This game falls into another system to play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Clippers when they are scoring 98 to 102 points per game against a team averaging 92 to 98 points per game after scoring 85 points or less in their last game. This system is 33-11 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against NBA Pacific. The Clippers on the other hand are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 against Central division teams and they are 4-0 ATS in home games against teams with a losing road record. The Clippers should have a big game against a Pacers team that struggles on the road. |
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04-01-13 | Charlotte Bobcats +12 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 102-131 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
4* No Limit on Bobcats +
Milwaukee is ice cold losing five of their last six games and allowing 100 points or more in five consecutive games. You should always play on underdogs of 10 points or more like Charlotte when they are allowing 103 or more points per game on the season and playing against an opponent coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in 2 straight games. This system is 49-21 (70%) ATS. Charlotte has covered their last three consecutive games against the spread and they have covered five of their last seven going back to the middle of March. The oddsmakers have still not given them the respect they have earned since they come into this game as a double digit dog against a very poor Milwaukee team. Milwaukee Head Coach Jim Boylan is 0-8 ATS against Southeast Division opponents and he is 8-20 ATS in the second half of the season as the coach of the Bucks. Boylan has proven he is taking this Milwaukee team in the wrong direction. With how bad the Bucks have been playing there is no reason they should be a double digit favorite over anyone. |
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03-31-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs -1 | 88-86 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* No Brainer on Spurs -
San Antonio has one of the best home court advantages in the league. The Spurs are 32-4 straight up at home and average 105.6 points per game while allowing only 94.2 points per game. They are one of the few teams in the league shooting over 50% from the field and almost 40% on three point attempts. The Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Heat on the other hand are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent is coming off a game where they scored 100 points or more. In head to head meetings between these teams Miami is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games. The Heat may get all the publicity for their long win streak but the reality is, San Antonio has only 2 more losses than the Heat do this season. The Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 games when playing in San Antonio. With the Spurs having such a great home court advantage these teams will only be one game apart after today |
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03-30-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Utah Jazz OVER 193.5 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Total Annihilator on Nets/Jazz OVER
Brooklyn has gone over the total in six of their last seven road games. They are also 5-1 to the over against Western Conference Teams and 4-1 to the over when playing on 0 days of rest. The Jazz are also a team that trends to the over when playing without rest as they are 5-1 the last six games played without getting a day off. The Jazz have a great home court advantage and that has helped their offense shine when playing in Utah. They are averaging 100.1 points per game at home while their defense is allowing an average of 98.6 points per game. Brooklyn is a solid offensive team and should not have a problem going above their 96.1 point per game average against the weak Jazz defense. With both of these teams playing without rest we have a matchup that is sure to be light on defense which should push this game above the total. |
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03-30-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider on Thunder -
The Bucks have had a very busy schedule the past few days. You should always play against the home team when they are playing their third game in four days and they are coming off a game in which they scored and allowed over 100 points. This system is 77-40 (66%) ATS over the last five seasons. You should always play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like OKC when they are an excellent offensive team averaging 102 points per game or more and playing against a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 46-19 (71%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Thunder are in the perfect situation to have a big game. They are coming off an upset loss to Minnesota and facing a Milwaukee team that has lost four of their last five games. The Thunder offense has been almost unstoppable this season averaging 106 points per game and they have the luxury of facing one of the worst home defenses in the league. |
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03-30-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 206 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Clippers/Rockets UNDER
The Rockets are playing solid defense right now holding opponents to 94.8 points per game in their last five games. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when the total is between 200 to 209.5 points and there is a well-rested team like Houston playing 4 or less games in 10 days and they are winning 51-60% of their games and playing another team with a winning record. This system is 50-16 (76%) to the under over the last five seasons. The Clippers defense has been solid all season holding opponents to 94.3 points per game. They should have no problem keeping Houston in line considering Los Angeles is one of the best teams in the league. The Rockets are 29-13 to the under when the total is set between 200 to 209.5 over the last two seasons. With the Rockets playing solid defense and going up against one of the best teams in the league this game should have no problem staying under the total. |
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03-30-13 | Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 99-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Grizzlies -
This is Minnesota |
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03-30-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 186.5 | 99-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Grizzlies/TWolves OVER
Both of these teams have played a lot of games recently and the first thing tired teams give up on is defense. Minnesota has scored over 100 points in four of their last five games while the Grizzlies have gone over the total in their last four consecutive games. Neither team has a good defense to begin with and the fact that they are both playing tired should make the over an easy cover. This game falls into a system to play on the over when the total is 180 to 189.5 points and the home team is making 33% or less of their three point attempts and playing on a Saturday game. This system is 47-25 (65%) over the last five seasons. Minnesota is also 4-1 to the over in their last five games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. |
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03-29-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Denver Nuggets -6.5 | 87-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Nuggets -
Brooklyn is an overrated team. They have not performed well against good teams and that has led to a 4-9 ATS record in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. The Nuggets on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record and 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Nets are playing their 6th game of an 8 game road stretch against Denver tonight. They are trending in the wrong direction going from an average shooting percentage of 52.4% in their first two games to barely over 45% in their last three games. The Nets were allowing opponents an average of 41 rebounds per game and they have now allowed an average of 53 in their last two games. The Nuggets won 15 consecutive games before dropping back to back games on the road against New Orleans and San Antonio. They have had a day of rest and now have the luxury of playing on their home court where they have earned a 32-3 record. All signs point to Denver getting right back to their winning ways with a blowout win over Brooklyn. |
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03-29-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder -8 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 93-101 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Thunder -
This matchup falls into a system to play on road favorites like Oklahoma City when they are coming off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. This system is 70-26 (73%) over the last five seasons. That system tights up to 31-8 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons when the road favorite is playing against a home team coming off a home loss. The Thunder are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when that team is winning less than 40% of their games. Conversely, the Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in their last 16 games against a team winning 60% or more of their games. Minnesota is also 2-12 ATS against Northwest Division teams. The Thunder are one of the best teams in the league and they are hot covering double digit spreads in two of their last three games. They are facing a Minnesota team that has lost four of their last six games and they are one of the few teams in the league below .500 on their home court. |
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03-29-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics OVER 194.5 | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
3* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Celtics OVER
Atlanta |
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03-28-13 | Sacramento Kings v. Phoenix Suns +2 | 117-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* Bailout Blowout Phoenix Suns +
The Kings should not be favored on the road against anyone. They are coming off an upset win over Golden State and playing on back to back nights now traveling to Phoenix. This puts Sacramento in the perfect spot for a letdown game. The Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games coming off a straight up win and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Suns also own the head to head history between these teams with a 10-2 ATS record on the last 12 meetings in Phoenix and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall. Sacramento has one of the worst road defenses in the league allowing 105 points per game on 47.5% shooting. They have won only 7 games away from home out of 37 total games. In Sacramento |
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03-27-13 | Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 120-117 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Lakers -
The Timberwolves are playing in a back to back situation traveling from Detroit last night. You should always play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Minnesota when they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning 25-40% of their games on the season. This system is 58-25 (70%) since 1996. The last time these teams played the Lakers handed the TWolves a 116-94 beat down. This game also falls into a system to play against home teams revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 points or more and that home team is playing on back to back days. This system is 104-50 (68%) over the last five seasons. |
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03-27-13 | Memphis Grizzlies +1 v. New York Knicks | 101-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
5* Vegas Insider on Grizzlies +
The Knicks have been plagued by injuries in the second half of the season. Tonight they face a tough Memphis team that is coming off an embarrassing loss to Washington. The Grizzlies should be set for a big game against the Knicks since they are the more rested team as New York is playing in a back to back traveling from Boston last night. You should always play against teams like New York when they are revenging a loss of 10 points or more and their opponent is coming off a road loss and the line is between +3 to -3. This system is 109-64 (63%) over the last five seasons. You should also play on road teams like Memphis when they were beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their last game and they are a good team winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. This system is 55-35 (61%) over the last five seasons. Memphis has a better ATS record on the road at 20-14 than the Knicks do at home with a 19-15 ATS record. The Grizzlies defense has been solid on the road holding opponents to 89.7 points per game. They should have no problem picking up a win over New York tonight. |
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03-27-13 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 197 | 92-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Bucks/76ers OVER
Both of these teams have been playing horrible defense recently. In their last five games the Bucks have allowed 101.6 points per game on 48.1% shooting and the 76ers have allowed 102.4 points per game on 48.2% shooting. You should always play on the over when the total is 190 to 199.5 points and the road team has allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games playing against an opponent that allowed 105 points or more in their previous game. This system is 188-124 (60%) since 1996. Milwaukee is 5-2 to the over in their last 7 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games and they are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 79ers are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 home games against teams with a losing record and 5-1 in their last 6 home games overall. With both of these defenses struggling the way they are this game should have no problem going over the total. |
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03-26-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Detroit Pistons OVER 196 | 105-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Twolves/Pistons OVER
Both of these teams are bad defensively. You should always play on the over when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting and two average rebounding teams after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 222-146 (60.3%) since 1996. The over is 7-2 in Minnesota |
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03-25-13 | Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 v. Utah Jazz | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on 76ers +
The Jazz are struggling right now having lost their last four games and traveling from Dallas after last night |
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03-25-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7.5 | 94-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Pacers -
The Pacers have won three of their last four games and they are playing at home where they own a 28-8 record. They are facing an Atlanta team that is playing in a back to back situation traveling from Milwaukee last night. This is the second leg of a four game road stretch for Atlanta so the Hawks should look a bit sluggish in today |
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03-24-13 | Philadelphia 76ers +3 v. Sacramento Kings | 117-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Philadelphia 76ers +
The 76ers have lost their last two games but it has not been because they are playing bad. In the loss against Denver the 76ers shot 55.1% from the field and still came up just one point shy. You should always play against home favorites like Sacramento when they are revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points and their opponent is coming off two or more road losses. This system is 92-49 (65%) since 1996. Sacramento |
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03-24-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 203.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Bucks/Hawks UNDER
Atlanta has gone under the total in their last two games while Milwaukee has gone under in their last three. You should always play on the under when the total is between 200 to 209.5 and the home team has gone under the total by 30 points or more in their last three games. This system is 124-75 (62%) over the last five seasons. This matchup falls into another system to play on the under. You should take the under when the total is 200 points or more and one of the teams has been beaten by the spread by 18 points or more in their last game, like Atlanta, and when they are playing against an opponent that has gone under the total by 30 or more points in the last three games. This system is 29-9 (76%) over the last five seasons. Milwaukee is 11-2 to the under when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Bucks are the only real scoring threat in this game as they average 100 points per game at home. They seem to be in a shooting rout right now averaging 34% from the field in their last two games so it seems unlikely they will be able to match that home scoring average in today |
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03-23-13 | Brooklyn Nets +8.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets +
The Brooklyn Nets are a good team and they are a solid 4 games above .500 when playing on the road this season. The Nets are on fire coming into this game winning their last two and scoring an average of 116 points in those games. You should always play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points when they are scoring 92-98 points per game on the season after 42 or more games and coming off two straight games scoring 110 points or more when they are playing against an average defensive team allowing 92-98 points per game. This system is 23-5 (82%) ATS! You should also play on any team that has gone over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games like Brooklyn when they are playing in a non-conference matchup. This system is 114-69 (62%) since 1996. Brooklyn |
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03-23-13 | Sacramento Kings v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Nuggets/Kings UNDER
This total is set much higher than it should be. You should always play on the under when the game involves a team like Denver that is averaging 71% or less on free throws and 46% shooting or better from the field. This system is 139-101 (58%) over the last five seasons. The Nuggets are a poor free throw shooting team averaging only 69.6% so they will not be adding a lot of points when the clock is stopped. Sacramento |
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03-22-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 212.5 | 78-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Cavs/Rockets UNDER
Cleveland is coming off a close loss to Miami and their defense looked impressive in that game. You should play the under when the total is 210 points or more and a team is revenging a same season loss like Cleveland and they are off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This system is 50-27 (65%) over the last five seasons. This matchup falls into another system to play the under when the total is greater than 210 points and one of the teams, in this case Houston, has been beaten by the spread by 18 or more points in their last three games playing against an opponent that has gone over the total by 18 or more points in the last three games. This system is 113-82 (62%) in favor of the under. The Cavaliers are going to need to score over 100 points for this game to go over the total. That is a feat they have accomplished only 2 times in their last 10 games. It seems very unlikely they will be able to do it against this Houston team that has gone under the total in six of their last seven games. |
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03-22-13 | Detroit Pistons v. Miami Heat OVER 199 | 89-103 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Heat/Pistons OVER
You should always play on the over in a game involving a team that has 7 or more consecutive wins and they have won 75% or more of their games on the season playing a team with a losing record. This system is 110-70 (61.1%) to the over. When that team is off 8 or more consecutive wins, that system tightens up to 82-52 in favor of the over. Detroit may not have a great overall record but they can still get a lot of points on the board. The Pistons have gone over the total in five of their last six games. Their defense is allowing 101.6 points per game on the road which has been a big factor in this recent stretch of overs, but the offense has been performing well too averaging over 95 points per game in three of their last five games. |
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03-21-13 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Chicago Bulls -5 | 99-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NBA Main Event on Bulls -
This game galls into a system to play on an average defensive team allowing 92-98 points per game like Chicago when they are playing a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season and coming off two games with a combined score of 205 points or more. This system is 113-63 (64%) since 1996. Portland has really struggled on the road this season. They have a 9-25 straight up record and a 13-20 record against the spread. The reason they have been unsuccessful on the road is because of their defense. Portland is allowing 102.1 points per game and 48.1% shooting from the field. The Portland offense has been average at best on the road scoring 95.8 points per game. They now face a Bulls team that is holding opponents to 89.7 points per game at home. Chicago is the better team overall and playing at home should make it easy for the Bulls to cover the number today. |
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03-20-13 | Utah Jazz v. Houston Rockets UNDER 209 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
5* Total Dominator on Rockets/Jazz UNDER
You should always play the under when the total is greater than or equal to 200 and one of the teams, in this case Houston, is a well-rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, and they have won 51% to 60% of their games playing another winning team. This system is 68-27 (71.6%) over the last 5 seasons. You also want to play on the under when the total is greater than 200 and the home team has gone under the total by 24 or more points in their last three games and the game involves two teams with a winning record. This system is 65-29 (69%) over the last 5 seasons. The Jazz have gone 4-0 to the under in their last 4 games when they are playing with only 1 day of rest and they are 5-1 to the under against teams from the Southwest division. The Rockets are 5-1 to the under against Western Conference teams and 4-1 to the under in their last five home games. |
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03-20-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 199 | 113-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Total No Brainer on Mavs/Nets UNDER
Both Dallas and Brooklyn are coming off big wins. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when the total is set between 190-199.5 points and the home team is off a win by 10 points or more against an opponent off a win by 15 points or more. This system is 128-77 (62.4%) to the under since 1996. Brooklyn has played a soft schedule their last four games and they have managed to score over 100 points in each of those matchups. Their recent scoring success has driven this total up higher than it should be. You should also play on the under when one of the teams has gone over the total by 6 or more points in four consecutive games and that team has a winning record and the total is set between 190-199.5 points. This system is 50-24 (67.6%) in favor of the under. |
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03-19-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 | 114-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Thunder -
Oklahoma City is the hot team coming into this matchup. Denver may have a solid win streak in play, but they are trending in the wrong direction. The Nuggets in their last four games have gone from above 50% shooting down to 45.5%. They are coming off a close battle with the Bulls last night and now have to travel from Chicago to Oklahoma City to play in a back to back against the Thunder. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Denver after they have covered three of their last four games against the spread in a game involving two good teams winning 60 to 70% of their games on the season. This system is 48-23 (67.6%) over the last five seasons. This game also falls into a system to play on a team holding their opponents to 92-98 points per game like Oklahoma City when they are playing a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42+ games and coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in two straight games. This system is 112-62 (64.4%) ATS. |
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03-18-13 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 189 | Top | 105-103 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer on Heat/Celtics UNDER
Miami is 8-1 to the under in their last 9 games when playing without rest and they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 road games. When playing on the road against a team with a winning home record, the Heat are 5-2 to the under in their last 7 games. In their last 5 matchups against teams winning 60% or more of their games on the season the Celtics are 4-1 to the under. The last time these teams played the total reached 198 points, but that was only because they went to double overtime. The score at the end of regulation was 174 points in that game. It is unlikely these teams will go to double overtime again making the under the value play in this matchup. Neither of these teams takes a lot of shots with both the Celtics and Heat averaging fewer than 80 field goal attempts per game. The Heat have gone under the total in three of their last four games and the Celtics defense has been solid at home holding opponents to 42.6% shooting. The style of play for these teams makes the under a no brainer. |
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03-18-13 | Washington Wizards v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 189 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
3* Total Annihilator on Wizards/Bobcats OVER
You should always play the over when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points with the home team is coming off a game where they allowed 105 points or more and they are playing against an opponent that is coming off a game scoring 110 points or more. This system is 62-30 (67.4%) in favor of the over. You should also play the over when the game involves an average offensive team scoring 92-98 points and coming off a game with a combined score of 225 points or more like Washington, against a horrible defensive team that is allowing 102 or more points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 50-19 (72.5%) in favor of the over. |
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03-18-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 190.5 | 111-90 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Indiana/Cleveland UNDER
You should always play the under when the total is between 180 to 190.5 points and the road team is off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games on the season. This system is 48-18 (72.7%) in favor of the under. This total has been driven up because the Pacers have been on a run of games going over the total. You should also play the under when one of the teams has played 5 or more consecutive overs and they are outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game. This system is 154-95 (61.8%) since 1996. |
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03-18-13 | Indiana Pacers -7 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 111-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Indiana -
You should always play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Cleveland when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This system is 81-39 (67.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games this season and they are 8-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a losing home record. Cleveland is a young team and they are struggling without Kyrie Irving who is out with a shoulder injury. Indiana has done well against Central Division teams posting a 6-1 ATS record their last 7 compared to a 4-12 ATS record for Cleveland. The Cavaliers have lost six of their last eight games and this is just the matchup the Pacers need to snap out of their two game skid. |
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03-17-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets -7.5 | 108-78 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Rockets -
You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points coming off a home loss like Golden State when they are trying to revenge a home loss against their opponent. This system is 126-67 (65.3%) over the last five seasons. This is a tough spot for Golden State to be in. They are coming off an embarrassing loss to Chicago getting only one day of rest and now traveling to Houston to take on a Rockets team that has won five of their last seven games. Golden State has been overrated all season. They are one of the few teams above .500 whose scoring average is less than their points allowed average. It appears things are finally catching up to them as the Warriors are 6-15 ATS in the second half of the season this year. Houston is averaging 111.3 points per game on their home court and Golden State is allowing 104.4 points on the road. While neither team will ever be accused of being great defensively, the Rockets style of play is getting into a shootout with their opponent and the Warriors simply don |
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03-17-13 | Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 196 | 108-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Heat/Raptors UNDER
Miami is not a team that needs to score a lot of points to win games. They have scored over 100 points in only three of their last nine games and they still have a 9.6 point margin of victory in that span. This means their defense is being undervalued by the oddsmakers when the total is set this high. In that same nine game span the under is 6-2-1 with the average total being set at 195 points. This game falls into a system to play the under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points and both the home team and opponent are coming off a win by 10 points or more. This system is 111-62 (64.2%) ATS. The Raptors are 6-0 to the under in their last six games against Southeast division teams. In head to head games between these teams the under is 5-2 in the 7 meetings. |
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03-16-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Utah Jazz -1.5 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter Jazz -
You should always play on home favorites when they are a well-rested team playing their 2nd game in 5 days against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days. This system is 36-9 (80%) over the last five seasons. A well-rested Utah team on their home court is big trouble for Memphis. The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the league. They are 23-8 straight up and 19-12 ATS at home this season. The Jazz respond well after a loss. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They also play well against good teams at home. Utah is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams winning 60% or more of their road games this season. With Memphis playing on a back to back traveling from Denver the Jazz are the smart play in this game. Their home court advantage is hard enough for teams to overcome and since Utah is playing on two days of rest they should come out looking sharp today. |
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03-16-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. San Antonio Spurs -14 | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Spurs -
San Antonio is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Central division teams and they are 20-7 ATS in home games against teams winning less than 40% of their road games. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS against teams winning 60% or more of their games. In head to head matchups between these teams the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. And Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings played at San Antonio. San Antonio |
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03-16-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Washington Wizards OVER 189.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer Wizards/Suns OVER
You should always play the over in a game involving two teams averaging 92-98 points per game after one of those teams has allowed 105 points or more in three straight games. The Suns gave up 108 to Denver, 111 to Houston and 107 to Atlanta. This system is 45-18 (71.4%) over the last 5 seasons. The first thing a tired team gives up on is playing defense. This is why you should play the over when the total is 180-189.5 and one of the teams is off a road loss by 10 points or more and they are an extremely tied team playing their 3rd game in 4 days. This system is 120-77 (61%) over the last 5 seasons. The Suns are bad enough on defense allowing 104.6 points per game on the road and playing tired means this game should be an offensive show. |
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03-15-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 195 | Top | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer on Grizzlies/Nuggets UNDER
A strong offensive performance from a team will impact the total line more than a strong defensive performance. This is why you should play the under when the total is between 190.5 and 199.5 after one team is coming off a game where they allowed 85 points or less like Memphis and their opponent has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 80-45 (64%) ATS. You should also play the under when one team is off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, like Denver, and their opponent is off a road win by 10 points or more. This system is 94-46 (67%) ATS. Both Memphis and Denver are trending towards the under. Denver has gone under the total in three of their last four games while Memphis has gone under in three of their last five games. The Grizzlies are a very defense oriented team. They are holding opponents to an average score of 89.4 points per game. Memphis is 17-7 to the under after allowing 85 points or less this season. They are one of the best teams in the league and should have no problem controlling the pace of this game. |
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03-15-13 | Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 202.5 | 107-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Total Dominator on Heat/Bucks UNDER
As good as Miami is, they are not a team that blows up the scoreboard each night. You should always play the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 and the road team is a very good team outscoring their opponents by 6 or more points per game and they are playing against an opponent coming off a performance where they allowed 105 points or more. This system is 47-22 (68%) to the under through the last 5 seasons. Miami is 5-1-1 to the under in their last seven games. In their last 10 games the total has been set above 200 only three times. Miami is 4-1 to the under in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Milwaukee is 7-1-1 to the under in their last 9 games following a loss. Milwaukee is certainly not an offensive powerhouse so this total appears to be set quite a bit higher than it should be. |
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03-15-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers +7 v. Dallas Mavericks | 86-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Cleveland Cavs +
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cleveland has been a good team to play on lately covering the number in 9 of their last 12 games. It appears the oddsmakers have still not adjusted the lines to reflect the Cavaliers improving talent level making them a heavy underdog in this game against Dallas. The Cavaliers are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings at Dallas. The main reason for their success is directly related to how bad the Mavericks defense has played. They are allowing 102.3 points per game in all games and 100.6 per game on their home court. It is hard to cover such a large number when your defense gives up that many points and your offense only averages 101.4 points per game. |
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03-14-13 | New York Knicks v. Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Portland -
The New York Knicks are really hurting right now. They are in the middle of a five game road stretch with a 0-2 start. They are playing in a back to back situation coming from a blowout loss against Denver last night. The Knicks average margin of defeat in these last two games is 26 points. Injuries have plagued key players for New York and they are simply not the same team with Carmelo Anthony nursing a knee injury. The Knicks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning home record. Portland is 4-1 ATS in their last five against Atlantic division teams. Portland is coming off a pair of losses and they should be able to bounce back strong against this beat up Knicks team. The Trail Blazers are 29-14 ATS in home games after having lost two of their last three games over the last three seasons. |
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03-13-13 | New York Knicks +9 v. Denver Nuggets | 94-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Knicks +
You should always play against a team revenging a loss like Denver where the opponent scored 100 points or more and that opponent is off a blowout loss of 20 points or more. This system is 86-46 (65%) over the last five seasons. The Knicks had a poor shooting performance in the loss to Golden State. They shot 27.4% from the field and that is not likely to occur again considering New York averages 44% on the season. The hot streak that Denver is on has forced the oddsmakers to drive this line up much higher than it should be. The fact that New York had such a poor performance in their last outing adds even more value. You should always play on road teams after a blowout loss by 20 points or more when they are playing against an opponent that has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 53-25 (68%) ATS. |
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03-13-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 188 | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Clippers UNDER
You should always play the under in a game involving two good teams winning 60% to 75% of their games when playing in March. This system is 86-40 (68%) over the last five seasons. The second half of the NBA season can take its toll on even the best of teams and a tired team will not score as many points because they will not be out running on fast break plays. The under is 4-1 in the Grizzlies last five games against teams with a winning record and the Clippers are 4-0 to the under in that same scenario. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 head to head meetings between these teams. The Memphis defense is one of the best in the league holding opponents to 89.5 points per game. The oddsmakers have set this total based on the offensive production of the Clippers at home rather than the defensive numbers for both teams making the UNDER a value play. |
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03-13-13 | Detroit Pistons +12 v. Golden State Warriors | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Pistons +
The Warriors are struggling as they come into this game against the Pistons. They have lost two of their last three games because of poor shooting performances. The Warriors have not covered a double digit line at home in over a month when they faced the Phoenix Suns. You should always play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread when they are playing against an opponent that has failed to cover 5 of the last 7 against the spread. This system is 26-5 (84%) over the last five seasons. You should also play against favorites of 10 or more points after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game. A strong performance like that has a tendency to drive a line up much higher than it should be. In this specific case that win was related to a 27% shooting performance from New York. It had very little to do with Golden State playing well. This system is 115-73 (61.2%) ATS. |
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03-13-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets -11 | 81-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Rockets -
Phoenix is one of the league |
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03-13-13 | Toronto Raptors +5.5 v. Boston Celtics | 88-112 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Raptors +
The Celtics are struggling right now dropping their last two games by big margins against Oklahoma City and Charlotte. You should always play against a team like Boston when they are coming off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more points and they are winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. This system is 91-48 (65.5%) ATS. The Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games. They come into today |
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03-12-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota T
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03-12-13 | New Orleans Hornets +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | 98-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on New Orleans Hornets +
Brooklyn lost last night on the road against Philadelphia and now they have to travel home to take on New Orleans in a back to back game without rest. The Nets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and playing without rest does not do anything to inspire confidence that they can improve on that number. Brooklyn is also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Western Conference teams and more specifically 1-8 ATS against Southwest Division teams. The struggles for Brooklyn have come on the defensive end of the court. In their last four games they have forced an average of 11.5 turnovers per game. They allowed 52.6% shooting in their game last night against Philadelphia. |
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03-12-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Miami Heat UNDER 197 | 81-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Hawks/Heat UNDER
The Atlanta Hawks have gone under the total in four of their last five road games and under in five of their last seven overall. The Miami Heat have gone under the total in three of their last five games overall with one game going over and one game ending on a push. In head to head meetings between these teams the under is 14-3 in the last 17 games played at Miami. As good as the Heat are, they do have their weaknesses. They are not a great rebounding team averaging 45.7 boards per game at home. Atlanta is 15-5 to the under against teams averaging 48 or less rebounds per game over the last two seasons. The Hawks are a good team holding opponents to 96.1 points per game on the road. Atlanta knows they cannot win this game if they get into a shootout with the Heat so they should have a game plan in place that will slow down Miami's scoring and help keep this game under the total. |
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03-11-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -1.5 | 93-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider on San Antonio Spurs -
The Spurs are a great team and they are coming off an embarrassing loss to Portland. They have now had a couple days of rest and should get back to their true form against Oklahoma City tonight. You should always play on a good team outscoring opponents by an average of 3 or more points per game after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This system is 118-73 (62%) over the last five seasons. The Thunder are playing in a back to back situation tonight. They faced the Boston Celtics last night on their home court and will now travel to San Antonio to take on the well-rested Spurs. You should play on home favorites like San Antonio when they are playing their 2nd game in 5 days against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days. This system is 34-9 (79%) over the last five seasons. These teams are very evenly matched. They share similar offensive numbers as well as overall records that are almost identical, with a slight edge going to the Spurs. In the second half of the season we have to give the nod to not only the team playing on more rest, but the team playing on their home court. The Spurs should rebound from the loss to Portland with a big win over the Thunder today. |
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03-11-13 | Brooklyn Nets -5.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 97-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
4* No Brainer on Brooklyn Nets -
Philadelphia is going through a really bad stretch right now. They have lost 12 of their last 13 games and are coming off three straight losses on the road. They are now playing in a back to back after traveling from Orlando last night. You should play against a team with two straight losses against an opponent when they are coming off three or more consecutive road losses. This system is 77-40 (66%) over the last five seasons. You should also play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points when they are a tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning 25-40% of their games on the season. This system is 58-24 (71%) since 1996. The Nets are the well-rested team, and they already have a better win percentage on the road than the 76ers have at home. Brooklyn has won three straight by a double digit margin and that trend of domination over their opponents will continue tonight against Philadelphia. |
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03-10-13 | Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | 96-98 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Portland Blazers -
Lately these teams are trending in opposite directions. Portland is hot having won four of their last six straight up and while New Orleans has lost five of their last six. The Trail Blazers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against Western Conference teams. The New Orleans Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against Western Conference teams. The Hornets are playing in a back to back situation. They were in Memphis last night where they were handed an 11 point loss and then had to travel straight home to take on Portland today. New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing in a back to back with no rest. New Orleans has one of the worst home records of any team in the NBA. They are 11-20 straight up and have a 13-18 ATS record on their home court. Their offense has actually performed better on the road than they have at home. They average 93 points per game while allowing 95.2 points per game in home games. Portland may not be a great team, but they are certainly the better team and should have no problem handing New Orleans their fourth straight loss. |
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03-09-13 | Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 v. Golden State Warriors | 103-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
4* HEAVY HITTER on Milwaukee +
In the second half of the season a well rested team is usually a safe play. You should always play against home favorites like Golden State after they have lost 4 or 5 of their last six games playing in a back to back situation. This system is 96-53 (64.4%) over the last five seasons. Milwaukee is playing on two days of rest and they have won four of their last five games. They are the hot team coming into this game playing a Golden State team that has been overrated for most of the season. It appears to be catching up to the Warriors as they have dropped five of their last seven games. A key indicator that the Warriors are overrated is the fact that they average 100.8 points per game while allowing 101.4 points per game. When teams are giving up more points than they are scoring, yet have a winning record it usually means they have played a soft schedule and are not as talented as their record makes them appear. Take the points with Milwaukee. |
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03-09-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves +15 v. Denver Nuggets | 88-111 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on Minnesota +
This is way too many points to be giving Minnesota today. You should always play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Minnesota when they have lost 2 of their last 3 games but they are playing on 2 or more days of rest. This system is 28-7 (80%) over the last five seasons. In head to head meetings between these teams Minnesota is 10-1 ATS when playing at Denver. The Nuggets are playing on just one day of rest and they are coming off a big win over the Clippers so they are in a spot to have a let down performance against Minnesota. The Nuggets defense has been horrible this season allowing 101.6 points per game. The well rested team getting a large number of points is the smart play in this game. |
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03-08-13 | Washington Wizards +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | 78-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
3* NO DOUBT ROUT on Wizards +
The Wizards may be 5-23 away from home, but they are an impressive 17-10 ATS on the road. The Washington Wizards are 20-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and 10-1 ATS when that team is barely over .500, winning 51% to 60% of their games on the season. Brooklyn does not play pressure defense. They are getting 13 turnovers per game while committing 14 of their own. Washington is 20-10 ATS against poor pressure defensive teams that are forcing less than 14 turnovers per game this season. That lack of pressure defense is also a sign that Brooklyn is not a very physical team. Washington is 29-17 ATS against teams committing 21 or less fouls per game this season. Brooklyn is struggling right now having lost four of their last six games. They are coming off three games with 19, 21 and 24 turnovers respectively. They picked up a win against Charlotte with that many turnovers, but the Wizards will dominate Brooklyn if they pull that same stunt. Considering how poor Brooklyn is playing taking the points is the smart play in this game. |
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03-08-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Charlotte Bobcats +14.5 | 116-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
3* ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Bobcats +
Even though the Bobcats have a bad overall record they do have some bright spots. They are a great ball handling team averaging just 13 turnovers per game. You should always play against road favorites of 10 or more points when they are allowing 41.5% to 43.5% shooting and committing 14-5-16.5 turnovers playing against a team allowing 45.5% to 47.5% shooting and committing less than 14.5 turnovers. This system is 32-12 (72.7%) the last 44 times this matchup scenario has occurred. The cold play of the Bobcats and the hot play of the Thunder has forced the oddsmakers to make this line much larger than it should be making Charlotte the value play. You should always play on a cold team failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games against an opponent that has covered the spread 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. This system is 90-51 (63.8%) since 1996. |
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03-08-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 204.5 | Top | 116-94 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5* Total NO BRAINER on Bobcats/Thunder UNDER
The Thunder have gone under the total in 4 of their last 6 games while the Bobcats have gone under in 10 of their last 13 games. Oklahoma may have the explosive offense but they are playing in a back to back situation and coming from a hard fought battle against the Knicks at New York. Charlotte is playing on a day of rest and the only three games in the last 13 that have gone over the total have come when the Bobcats were forced to play in a back to back situation. You should play the under in games involving a team allowing 103+ points per game on the season coming off a blowout loss by 20 points or more. This system is 226-147 (60.6%) since 1996. You should also play the under in games where the total is greater than 200 and the road team, Oklahoma City, is averaging 102 or more points per game against a team that averages 92-98 points per game, after allowing 55 or more points in the first half in two straight games. This system is 37-12 (75.5%) to the under over the last five seasons. When teams are allowing a big first half they make defensive adjustments to ensure they do not fall behind early which also helps keep games under the total. |
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03-06-13 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 185 | 85-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NBA TOTAL DOMINATOR on Grizzlies/Blazers UNDER
When teams are getting blowout wins it is usually because their defense is playing well. The Grizzlies just held Orlando to 82 points. Portland has played a couple of back to back soft games so they may not be prepared when facing this stout Grizzlies defense. You should always play the under when one of the teams is coming off a win by 10 or more points like Portland, and they are playing against an opponent off a win by 20 or more points. This system is 351-248 (58.6%) since 1996. When that team |
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03-06-13 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Atlanta Hawks -8.5 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
4* NBA HEAVY HITTER on Hawks -8
The Philadelphia 76ers are struggling right now having lost 9 of their last 10 games. Things are not getting much easier as they face a tough Atlanta team in Atlanta and playing on a back to back after getting pounded on by Boston last night. Philadelphia has lost their last 5 consecutive road games and they are now 6-20 straight up on the road on the season. The 76ers are 2-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team winning between 51-60% of their games over the last 2 seasons and they are 4-15 ATS against good shooting teams that are making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are putting up a solid 100.2 points per game at home while the 76ers are scoring only 90.2 points per game on the road. Atlanta is coming off a six game road stretch and they have a day of rest going into this matchup with this 76ers tonight. The well-rested team is the smart play because not only are the 76ers tired, they are in a serious slump right now too. |
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03-06-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Charlotte Bobcats +9 | 99-78 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NBA HIGH ROLLER on Bobcats +
The Brooklyn Nets are in a slump right now. They have lost four of their last five games and have averaged only 88.8 points per game in that span. The oddsmakers have undervalued the Bobcats considering how poorly Brooklyn has been playing. When Brooklyn gets into a slump it tends to last a while. They are 9-20 ATS after having lost three of their last four games over the last two seasons. This is Brooklyn |
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03-05-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +5 | 120-113 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Sacramento Kings +
The Denver Nuggets are one of the most inconsistent road teams in the league. They have not won three road games in a row all season long. They beat Charlotte and Portland in their last two road games but they are playing a back to back after facing Atlanta on their home court last night. The Sacramento Kings are a well rested team that have won two of their last three games. Playing on their home court against a team that is not rested at all and giving the Kings points makes them a strong value play. Denver is allowing 104 points per game on the road and Sacramento has been scoring 102.7 per game on their home court. Denver has two wins over Sacramento this season, but the Kings are 12-2 ATS when revenging two straight losses of 10 points or more against an opponent over the last two seasons. Sacramento is 11-7 at home since Dec. 5 and with Denver sitting on a 13-19 road record it appears the oddsmakers may have made an error on this line. |
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03-04-13 | Toronto Raptors +6 v. Golden State Warriors | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Toronto Raptors +
Golden State is playing in one of the toughest stretches they will see this season. They just finished five consecutive road games and get only one day of rest before playing against Toronto tonight. You should always play against favorites like Golden State when they have had 4 or more consecutive losses and they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days. This system is 41-16 (71.9%) since 1996. The Raptors play well against good teams and they do not get a lot of respect from the oddsmakers in the process. Toronto is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games. They are 6-2 ATS on the road overall and 5-2 in their last 7 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Golden State is 1-5 in their last 5 games overall and 2-7 ATS following a loss. When the Warriors allow 100 points or more in their last game they are 2-6 ATS. The Golden State defense has been horrible allowing 101.5 points per game. They are an overrated team whose scoring average of 100.9 points is actually less than their points allowed. |
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03-04-13 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Portland Trail Blazers -12.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
3* High Roller on Portland -
The Portland Trailblazers are playing on a lot more rest than the Charlotte Bobcats. Portland is on their 3rd game in the last 8 days while Charlotte is playing their 4th consecutive road game in the last 7 days. This is also a back to back game for the Bobcats. They received a 36 point beat down from Sacramento last night. Portland tough place to play which is why the Trailblazers are 19-10 on their home court and 4-1 ATS at home in their last 5 games. The Bobcats are a bad road team, allowing 103.5 points per game while scoring only 90.4 and sitting on an 0-5 ATS record their last 5 road games. The Trailblazers are the hot team coming into this game winning 2 of their last 3 games and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. Charlotte has lost six consecutive games straight up and ATS. This is their final game on a four game road stretch and they are playing like they can |
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03-04-13 | New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 | 102-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavs +
The Cavaliers are a young team that has been improving all season. They have now won four of their last six games and six of their last seven ATS. The Knicks appear to be moving in the opposite direction losing five of their last eight and they are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Cleveland will have Kyrie Irving back for this game which should help provide them with an immediate boost in production. Cleveland is 14-3 ATS against Eastern Conference teams and an even more impressive 4-0 ATS against the Atlantic division. The Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against Eastern Conference teams and 0-5-1 in their last 6 games coming off a straight up loss. The Knicks are barely a .500 team on the road and they are below .500 ATS. The recent success for Cleveland has been in large part because of their ability to prevent their opponent from getting a rebound advantage. With the exception of their loss to the Clippers, the Cavaliers have held their last seven opponents to an average of less than 45 rebounds per game. The Cavaliers also own the head to head advantage on games played at Cleveland with a 5-0 ATS record. |
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03-03-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 179 | 92-97 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
5* Total NO BRAINER on Pacers/Bulls UNDER
You should always play the under when one team allowed 40 points or less in the first half in two straight games like the Chicago Bulls have done. This system is 126-75 (62.7%) to the under over the last five seasons. The Bulls defense is playing well right now and they have gone under the total in four of their last six games. The Pacers defense has been solid all season allowing a mere 88.8 points per game at home. Chicago is 32-12 to the under when they are revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. That number tightens up to 15-2 to the under when they are revenging a road loss of 10 points or more. Both of these teams had uncharacteristic performances in the last meeting with each team allowing over 100 points. That should have both teams making defensive adjustments for today |
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03-03-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers -7 | 92-97 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Pacers -
The last time these teams met the Pacers crushed the Bulls with a 111-101 final score. The Bulls are 2-2 in their last four games and they have been struggling since the start of February with a 6-8 record. The Pacers on the other hand have really turned things on winning 11 of their last 14 games. Indiana is 17-10 ATS when playing at home giving them one of the strongest home court advantages in the NBA. It has been an inconsistent season for Chicago this year which explains why they are 8-17 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Pacers are 25-12 ATS as a favorite this season and 11-3 ATS in home games after playing on the road. This game may not be the shootout it was last month when these teams met, but the end result should be about the same with the Pacers getting a big win over Chicago. The Bulls struggles in the second half of the season make Indiana the smart play in this matchup. |
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03-03-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Thunder +
The oddsmakers may have the wrong team favored in this matchup but we will take the points on the thunder. You should play against home favorites like the Clippers when they are playing a double revenge game against an opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite. This system is 73-35 (67.6%) over the last five seasons. You should play on road teams like Oklahoma City where the line is +3 to -1 after a road game where both teams scored 100 points or more and they are a well-rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days. This system is 31-9 (77.5%) over the last five seasons. The last time these teams played in Oklahoma City the Thunder dominated the Clippers by 12 points. The Thunder shot 52.6% against a soft Clippers defense. A change in venue is not enough to change the end results as the Thunder should roll in this game. |
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03-03-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 204.5 | 108-104 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
5* Total NO BRAINER on Clippers/Thunder UNDER
Well rested teams play better defense and both the Clippers and Thunder have played 6 or less games over the last two weeks. You should always play the under when the total is 200 or more and the home team has a winning record and is a well-rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days playing another team with a winning record. This system is 201-136 (59.6%) to the under over the last five seasons. You should also play the under when the road team, Oklahoma City, is off an upset loss as a road favorite and they have a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team. This system is 62-25 (71.3%) since 1996. Since the Clippers were blown out in the last game against the Thunder they will come into this game with a defense oriented game plan. They cannot allow the Thunder to score 109 points again if they want to win this game. |
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03-03-13 | Miami Heat v. New York Knicks UNDER 198 | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator Knicks/Heat UNDER
This game falls into a system to play the under when a team like Miami is revenging two consecutive straight up losses to an opponent as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. This system is 120-72 (62.5%) since 1996. Without a doubt the Miami Heat will be coming into this game with a plan of attack that prevents the Knicks from turning this game into a shootout. The Heat are allowing 95.4 points per game on the road this season while the Knicks have allowed 94.9 points per game at home. Neither team gets into foul trouble which means there will be very few points put on the board with the clock stopped. The Knicks are not shooting well right now at 41.5% in their last five games. The Under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven games following an ATS win and 8-3-1 in the Heat |