Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-01-15 | New Orleans Pelicans -7.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Pelicans - New Orleans currently sits in 9th place in the Western Conference, just 2.5-games out of the 8th and final playoff spot. Losing to a team like the Lakers, home or away, is simply not an option for the Pelicans at this point in the season. Los Angeles is coming off a win at Philadelphia in their last game, but haven't won back-to-back games since February and this is not a great spot for the Lakers. Getting motivated this late in the season can be extremely hard for a bad team like LA and even more so when they are coming off a lengthy 5-game road trip with their last two coming completely on the other side of the country. The other big key here is that New Orleans has had their way with the Lakers this season, winning all three matchups, including each of the last two by 16+ points. Their dominance over LA has a lot to do with the Lakers not having anyone who can matchup against Anthony Davis, who is averaging 25.7 points on 69% shooting, 8.7 rebounds and 4 blocks in the 3 games during the season series. Lakers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 after playing 2 straight road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, while the Pelicans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games with a total set at 195 to 199.5 and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6. These trends combine to form a 80% (39-10) system in favor of the Pelicans. Take New Orleans! |
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04-01-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Portland Trail Blazers -3 | 126-122 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Clippers/Blazers NBA Heavy Hitter on Blazers - This is a great spot and price to back the Trail Blazers at home against the Clippers. Portland has won 4 straight and are 7-1 over their last 8 home games with the only loss coming against the league's best team in Golden State. Speaking of the Warriors, Los Angeles just played a huge home game against Golden State last night that they desperately wanted to win. The Clippers ended up losing the contest and in the process they had all 5 starters play at least 39 minutes. It's going to be extremely difficult for them to come back with the kind of energy needed to compete with the Blazers on the road. Clippers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after their starters combined for more than 160 minutes the previous day, 8-17 ATS in their last 25 after a game with a combined score of 205 or more and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Portland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 following a SU win and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4. These trends combine to form a strong 73% (47-17) system in favor of the Trail Blazers. Take Portland! |
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04-01-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic +9.5 | 103-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Magic + As difficult as it may be to back Orlando given the recent performance of these two teams, I think the Magic are showing some great value here as a 9.5-point home dog. The Spurs are clearly trying to make a push for one of the top seeds in the Western Conference, but they also aren't going to push their veterans to the max and have nothing left for the playoffs. With San Antonio playing on no rest, don't be surprised to see some of their key players not play or have a strict minutes restriction. This will also be the Spurs 3rd game in 4 days and 6th in the last 9 days, which I believe increases the likelihood that some players get some rest. Orlando on the other hand is coming into this game having not played since last Friday. I look for this team to come out extremely motivated against the defending champs on their home floor and keep in mind they only lost by 7 at San Antonio earlier this season. There's a solid system in play here as well. Home underdogs who failed to cover the spread in their last game and are playing their 3rd or less game in the last 10 days are 84-47 ATS since 1996. That's a 64% System in favor of the Magic. Take Orlando! |
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03-31-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -2 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -103 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
5* GS/LAC Western Conference Game of the Month on Clippers - While Golden State has won 9 straight and 14 of 15 overall, this is a great spot to go against the Warriors, as they clinched the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference with their last win at Milwaukee. The focus now for Golden State will be getting ready for the playoffs, and that will like result in key players getting some time off. The Clippers have won 7 straight, but they are still in a battle for playoff seeding, including home court in the first round. This game simply means a lot more to Los Angeles and I expect them to deliver at home. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams that allow 98-102 ppg after a combined score of 205+ in each of their last two games are 42-16 ATS since 1996. That's a 72% system in favor of the Clippers. Take Los Angeles! |
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03-30-15 | Phoenix Suns +8.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 86-109 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Suns + This may seem like a great spot to go against the Suns, who have lost 3 straight, will possibly be without point guard Brandon Knight (questionable), playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and recently fell at home to the Blazers 81-87 (3/27), but I think these factors have forced the books to overvalue Portland in this spot. The Blazers have won 3 straight, but all 3 of those wins have come by 6-points or less. Prior to that they had dropped 5 straight and they too are playing on little rest. While Portland was off yesterday, they had just played 4 games in 5 days prior to their break. Another factor here is that the Blazers have a huge road game at the Clippers on deck Wednesday that will be televised nationally on NBATV. Phoenix is 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games when listed as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 when listed as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. They are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games after 2 or more consecutive losses and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 0 days rest. These trends combine to form a strong 74% (54-19) system in favor of the Suns. Take Phoenix! |
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03-30-15 | Houston Rockets v. Toronto Raptors -2 | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Rockets/Raptors NBA Vegas Insider on Raptors - The Raptors are showing some tremendous value here as a mere 2-point home favorite against the Rockets. Toronto is an impressive 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against Houston and are catching the Rockets in a great spot. Houston just played at Washington yesterday, making the trip to Toronto that much more difficult on no rest. You also have to factor in that Houston is playing short-handed right now. While Howard has recently returned, he's going to get the night off. Beverley has been lost for the season and Motiejunas and Jones are both out with injuries. It's also worth noting that Rockets are just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 road games after 2 or more wins. Adding to all of this is a big time system backing the Raptors. Favorites that are allowing opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field on the season after holding their previous opponent to 35% or less are 25-3 ATS since 1996. That's a 89% system in favor of the Raptors. Take Toronto! |
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03-30-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 193 | Top | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
5* NBA Total of the Month on 76ers/Lakers OVER I'm not expecting a whole lot of defense to be played in tonight's matchup between two of the worst teams in the league. These two teams did combine for just 188 points on 3/22, but that was with the 76ers shooting a mere 36.0% from the field. It was the Lakers best defensive effort since December of 2013, which has me confident that it's not going to repeat itself, especially considering LA will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set and their 5th straight on the road overall. OVER is 6-1 in the Lakers last 7 games after their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 22-11 in their last 33 when they come in having lost 12 or more of their last 15. OVER is also 42-27 in the 76ers last 69 home games after going under the total in their last game and 7-3 in their last 10 against an opponent that allowed 100+ in their last game. These trends combine to form a strong 65% (77-42) system. Take the OVER! |
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03-29-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 207 | Top | 119-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
5* Non-Conference Total of the Month on Clippers/Celtics UNDER The books have set the mark too high for Sunday's showdown between the Clippers and Celtics. Boston has held each of their last 3 opponents to 93 points or less, while LA has held each of their last 4 under the century mark. These two teams combined for just 195 points in their previous meeting this season and I'm expecting a similar combined score in the rematch. Another big key here to this one going under the mark is that both of these teams are fighting for playoff spots. The Clippers are a 1/2 game back of the Blazers for the No.4 spot and home court in the first round, while Boston is just a 1/2 game ahead of Brooklyn and 1 in front of both Indiana and Charlotte for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Adding to this is a strong system. UNDER is 55-23 over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 200 to 209.5 where the home team is revenging a loss against an opponent that is coming in off a road win by 10+ points. That's a 71% system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-29-15 | Houston Rockets v. Washington Wizards UNDER 205.5 | 99-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NBA Early Bird Total Dominator on Rockets/Wizards UNDER These early start times that come with the Sunday slate have a strong tendency to go under the total and I think we are getting plenty of value here. Both of these teams are fighting for home court in the playoffs, which is going to add to the defensive intensity. Washington is only allowing 96.5 ppg at home and are scoring just 94.4 ppg over their last 5. These two teams combined for 207 points in the previous meeting this season and that was with both teams shooting over 46% from the field. I look for both teams to have a much harder time from the field in the rematch. UNDER is 30-19 in the Rockets last 49 when the total is set at 200 or more points, 15-5 in the Wizards last 20 after a win by 3 points or less and 14-4 in Washington's last 18 after a combined score of 205+ in their last game. These trends combine to form a 68% (59-28) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-28-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder -4 v. Utah Jazz | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Thunder - Oklahoma City will be all business when they take the floor against the Jazz on Saturday, as they were embarrassed last time out in a 39-point loss at San Antonio. Utah had been playing well, but have dropped 4-straight. The Jazz also just played last night in the thin air of Denver and this will be their 3rd game in the last 4 overall. Thunder on the other hand come in off a full 2-days of rest, which is big part of why I'm taking OKC and laying the points on the road. Thunder are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 110+ points in each of their last 2 games, while the Jazz are just 16-28 ATS in their last 44 home games against up-tempo teams who average 83 or more shots/game. Adding to all this is a strong system backing a fade of Utah. Home teams that have gone over the total by 30 or more points in their last 3 games combined are just 53-95 ATS in games played on Saturday over the last 5 seasons. That's a 64% system in favor of the Thunder. Take Oklahoma City! |
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03-27-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Washington Wizards -3.5 | 107-110 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* Hornets/Wizards NBA Heavy Hitter on Wizards - Washington failed to cover in their first game back home from a 4-game west coast road trip, falling 101-103 to the Pacers as a 3-point favorite. It was the Wizards 4th straight loss overall and I believe it has them showing some great value here as a small home favorite against the struggling Hornets. Charlotte has dropped 2 straight and 7 of their last 9 overall, which started with an ugly 26-point loss to the Wizards. Washington could be without Beal for this one, but I don't think it's going to matter. The Wizards are 25-11 at home and will certainly be motivated given their recent results. Charlotte on the other hand is in a tough spot. They returned home following a 5-game road trip and are now back on the road before returning home tomorrow to face Atlanta. Home favorites off 2 or more consecutive losses are 96-65 ATS on Friday over the last 5 seasons. We also see a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Hornets, as team revenging a home loss of 10 or more off a close home loss by 3 or less are just 43-86 ATS since 1996. That's a 67% long-term system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! |
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03-25-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194.5 | 111-89 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Cavs/Grizzlies UNDER The books have set the mark too high in what I feel is going to be an offensive struggle for both teams. The Grizzlies are back to playing their brand of basketball and have been putting on a defensive clinic at home of late, allowing a mere 84.7 ppg over their last 10 home games. Adding to that is the fact that not once during this stretch did Memphis eclipse the 100-point mark offensively. Cleveland held the Grizzlies to just 91 points in the previous meeting this season and are much better defensive team now than they were in December. UNDER is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game, 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record and 8-0 in their last 8 after a cover as a double digit favorite in their last game. These trends combine to form a perfect 100% (17-0) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-25-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New York Knicks +14.5 | 111-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Knicks + The public wants absolutely nothing to do with the Knicks and everything to do with going against them. That's especially going to be the case here with New York having lost 4 straight and fresh off a 21-point home loss to Memphis, while the Clippers enter having won 4 straight. Regardless of how big a disparity there is between these two teams, this is a lot of points for a road team to be laying, especially given the fact that this is LA's first game on 3-game east coast swing after having not left the state of California in nearly two weeks. The Clippers are just 57-86 (40%) ATS in their last 143 road games when they come in having won 2 or more consecutive games, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the Eastern Conference and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Adding to all of this is a strong system. Underdogs of 10+ points who are revenging a loss where they scored 85 or fewer points against an opponent off a home win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread are 48-19 ATS since 1996. That's a 72% system in favor of the Knicks. Take New York! |
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03-25-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards -3.5 | Top | 103-101 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
5* NBA Game of the Month on Wizards - Both of these teams come into this game in the midst of a minor slump. The Pacers have dropped 6 straight, while the Wizards come in having lost 3 in a row. The key thing to note hear is that Washington's poor play came on west coast trip which included two games against two of the elite teams in the Clippers and Warriors sandwiched around a game against the Kings. Indiana's poor play has come with them playing 4 of their last 5 at home and they are just 12-22 on the road. Washington is a completely different team at home than on the road. The Wizards are 25-10 SU at home, where they have won 5 straight, including recent wins over both the the Grizzlies and Trail Blazers. Offensively the Wizards shoot the ball at a much better clip at home and also get after it more defensively. Indiana is getting to much respect from their recent run and I feel like this is a great spot to take advantage of a short line with a better team at home. Indiana is a mere 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games played in March, 16-28 ATS in their last 44 when playing 6 or more in a span of 10 days and 6-21 ATS in their last 27 when they come in having failed to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Take Washington! |
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03-24-15 | Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 194 | 88-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Heat/Bucks UNDER I'm expecting both of these teams to come out with a lot of energy here defensively. The Bucks are only giving up just 96.6 ppg at home and will be motivated here to snap a 6-game losing streak that has them 3.5-games ahead of 9th place Charlotte. Miami is only 2-games in front of the Hornets so they too will be motivated to get a win. The Heat will also be playing with triple-revenge, as they have lost all 3 previous meetings against Milwaukee this season. One of the keys here is that the Heat are averaging just 92.6 ppg on the road and managed just 75 points in their last game at Oklahoma City. Milwaukee has scored 90 or fewer in 3 of their last 5 overall and Miami is only giving up 96.6 ppg on the road. UNDER is 11-3 in the Heat's last 14 road games off a loss by 10+ points and 10-1 this season when playing against a marginal losing team that's won between 40% to 49% of their games. UNDER is also 7-2 in the Bucks last 9 after allowing 100+ points in their last game and 13-3 in their last 16 after 2 straight games with 10 or more steals. These trends combine to form a strong 82% (41-9) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-23-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. New York Knicks +13 | 103-82 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NBA Non-Conference Vegas Insider on Knicks +13 With the Grizzlies coming into this game off back-to-back double-digit wins over the Mavericks and Trail Blazers and the Knicks off a couple of ugly losses on the road to the 76ers (81-97) and Raptors (89-106), this may seem like a decent price to back Memphis against New York. I don't think that's the case at all. The Grizzlies are 7.5-games out of 1st in the west and know that the top spot is out of question. They are also a comfortable 2.5-games ahead of 3rd seed Houston with just 12 games left to play. I believe the focus here for Memphis is to get a win and not use up to much energy before Wednesday's huge home game against the Cavaliers. Not to mention they host the Warriors on Friday and turnaround and travel to San Antonio on Sunday. This is the definition of a trap game. Adding to this is the fact that Memphis is just 14-34 ATS in their last 48 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more points and just 13-26 ATS in their last 39 with a total set at 180 to 189.5 points. On top of that the Knicks are 27-11 ATS in their last 38 off back-to-back double-digit road defeats. Take New York +13! |
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03-22-15 | Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 212.5 | 75-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
3* NBA Total Annihilator on Heat/Thunder UNDER The books have set the bar too high for this one. The Thunder have scored 100+ points in 22-straight games, but will be going up against a tough Miami defense without several key pieces of their offense. Durant, Ibaka, Collison are all out with injuries and Kanter is questionable to play with an ankle injury. Miami on the other hand continues to play without Chris Bosh. Another big factor here is the early start time on Sunday, which has historically led to lower-scoring games. These two teams also combined for just 180 points in the first meeting back on Jan. 20. UNDER is 11-3 in the Heat's last 14 non-conference road games and 10-2 in their last 12 games played on Sunday. UNDER is also 19-10 in Thunder's last 29 when playing against a team with a losing record and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 home games after finishing over the total in each of their last 4 games. These trends combine to form a 76% (48-15) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-20-15 | Washington Wizards +6.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 99-113 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
3* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Wizards + Washington has won 5 straight and are back to playing up to their potential. The Clippers have won two straight, but I haven't really been impressed with of late. They are just 4-4 over their last 8 games with the 4 wins coming against the Timberwolves, Thunder, Hornets and Kings. I don't know that the Wizards will have enough here to win this game outright, but I look for them to have no problem keeping this withing 7-points for the cover. The Clippers are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against the Eastern Conference, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played on Friday and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Adding to this is a strong system telling us to fade Los Angeles, as home favorites off a win by 10+ points over a division rival are just 14-35 ATS on Friday over the last 5 seasons. That's a 71% system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! |
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03-18-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 208.5 | 95-114 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
3* Hawks/Warriors Late Night Total Annihilator on UNDER These two teams combined for 240 points in Atlanta in their previous meeting this season, but there's not near the hype the second time around and both teams will be playing without two of their most important plays. Golden State won't have Klay Thompson and the Hawks will be without Kyle Korver. These are two of the best shooters in the game, that really make it difficult on opposing defenses with how much attention they have to pay to them. Not having them on the floor is going to make life much easier for both defenses, which I believe will have this one finishing well below the mark. You also have to factor in that both teams have a better understanding of what the other likes to do offensively after already facing each other. UNDER is 6-2 in the Hawks last 8 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 5-2 in the Warriors last 7 home games and 4-1 in their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER! |
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03-18-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls -1.5 | 86-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Bulls/Pacers NBA Heavy Hitter on Bulls - The Bulls have been treading water without Rose, Butler and Gibson, as they have lost 5 of their last 6. I believe it has Chicago showing some big time value here as a small home favorite against the Pacers. Indiana isn't exactly playing their best basketball. In their last two games they have lost 89-93 at home to the Celtics and 98-117 at home to the Raptors. The Bulls are clearly playing short-handed right now, which is why I think this is a good spot to back them coming off a full 2 days of rest. You also have to keep in mind that the Bulls have played 5 of their last 6 on the road during their 1-5 stretch and the Pacers are just 12-20 on the road. Indiana is 4-15 ATS in their last 18 road games after playing 5 straight games as a favorite and are just 6-20 ATS in the month of March over the last two seasons. Chicago lost 84-98 at Indiana back on 3/6, which is important to note as the Bulls are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. These trends combine to form a 75% (58-19) system in favor of the Bulls. Take Chicago! |
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03-18-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | Top | 92-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Cavs - This may seem like a big number to back the Cavs at home against the Nets off back-to-back wins, but Cleveland is on a mission to secure that No. 2 seed and will be extra motivated after getting embarrassed at Miami 92-106 in their last game. Brooklyn's two game winning streak is far from impressive, as they knocked off the 76ers and Timberwolves. Prior to that the Nets had dropped 5 straight and 10 of their last 14 overall. Cleveland has won 13 straight at home and during this stretch are outscoring opponents by 15.7 ppg, which is why I'm not to concerned laying the big number here. It's also worth noting that the Cavaliers will be at full strength, as Kevin Love is expected to return after sitting out the last two. Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win by 10 or more points, while Cleveland is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Adding to this is a strong system. Home favorites of 10+ points who have went over the total by 30+ points in their last 5 games, who have won 60% to 75% of their games and are playing a team with a losing record are 41-16 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a strong 72% system in favor of the Cavaliers. Take Cleveland! |
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03-17-15 | Orlando Magic +11.5 v. Houston Rockets | 94-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Magic/Rockets NBA Heavy Hitter on Magic + This is a great spot to back Orlando as a double-digit road dog against the Rockets. The Magic will be motivated to snap a 4-game losing streak and are showing some solid value here due to their lopsided 15-point loss at home to the Cavaliers. The big key here is Houston is in a prime letdown spot, as they pulled out a big 100-98 win on the road over the Clippers, which concluded a difficult 4-game stretch on the road. I just don't see the Rockets coming out highly motivated here, which will make it hard for them to cover a massive spread like this. Orlando has thrived on the road this season. The Magic are an impressive 14-6 ATS as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games when playing against a team with a winning record. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their last game and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Western Conference. These trends combine to form a strong 80% (39-10) system in favor of the Magic. Take Orlando! |
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03-16-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Sacramento Kings +5 | 110-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NBA Vegas Insider on Kings + The Kings are showing some great value here as a 5-point home underdog against the Hawks. Atlanta comes in off a 91-86 road win over the Lakers yesterday and are expected to rest Horford, while Korver and Scott both sit with injuries. We have seen the Hawks lose recently at Philadelphia 84-92 and at Denver 102-115. With a 10-game lead over the Cavs, Atlanta can afford to not put their best foot forward in these tough scheduling spots. Another key here is that Sacramento will be returning home from a lengthy 8-game road trip, which saw them go just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. The important thing here to note is that the Kings are an impressive 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Atlanta on the other hand is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games overall. These trends combine to form a strong 82% (23-5) system in favor of the Kings. Take Sacramento! |
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03-16-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers -5 | 117-98 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Pacers - These two teams are headed in completely different directions down the stretch run and I think we are seeing some solid value here due to the difference in records. Toronto is 39-27, while Indiana is 30-35. However, the Raptors are a mere 2-10 over their last 12, while the Pacers 10-2 over their last 12. Not only is Indiana playing the better basketball of the two, they have a big advantage here in terms of scheduling. The Pacers come in off a days rest, while the Raptors will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in their last 4 days overall. Another big key here is that Indiana won't be overlooking Toronto, as they have lost each of the previous two meetings this season. Home teams playing with double revenge against an opponent that's off a upset home loss by 15+ points as a favorite are 61-28 ATS since 1996. That's a 69% system in favor of the Pacers. Take Indiana! |
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03-16-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Washington Wizards -2 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Wizards - After an ugly stretch that saw them lose 6-straight, Washington has returned to form with three straight blowout wins over the Hornets (95-69), Grizzlies (107-87) and Kings (113-97) and I look for them to carry over that momentum with a win at home against the Trail Blazers. Portland has won 3 straight and 8 of 9 overall, but find themselves in a difficult scheduling spot. The Trail Blazers not only will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this will be their 3rd game in the last 4 days overall. Adding to this is the fact that the Trail Blazers are just a 16-14 team on the road, compared to 28-6 at home. Washington will also be playing with revenge here, as they lost 96-103 at Portland back on Jan. 24. The Wizards are an impressive 30-18 ATS in their last 48 when revenging a loss to an opponent where they allowed 100+ points. Washington is also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win by more than 10 points, while the Blazers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games with a total set at 195 to 199.5 points. These trends combine to form a strong 68% (43-20) system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! |
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03-15-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 201.5 | Top | 123-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
5* Eastern Conference Total of the Month on Magic/Cavs UNDER 201.5 The books have set the mark too high for this one, which isn't a big surprise given that the Cavaliers come in off a game against the Spurs where the two teams combined for 253 points. Prior to that Cleveland had held Dallas to 94 points and the Suns to just 79 in their last two games. Orlando isn't a great defensive team, but have been playing much better on that side of the ball since making a coaching change. The Magic have held 12 of their 15 opponents under the century mark. It's also worth noting that each of the two previous meetings this season have seen 187 and 180 points. UNDER is 14-5 in the Cavaliers last 19 after allowing 105+ points in their last game, 8-1 in their last 9 off a win by 6 points or less and 13-4 in their last 17 games played on Sunday. These trends combine to form a strong 78% (35-10) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-14-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 | Top | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Nets/76ers OVER I'm expecting these two teams to fly over the total tonight. Brooklyn has allowed 100+ in three straight and 5 of their last 6. The only exception being a home game against a Utah team that is playing extremely well on the defensive end. The 76ers were able to snap out of their recent shooting funk with 114 points on 47% shooting in a home win over the Kings last time out and I look for that to carry over to this one. The other big key here is that the 76ers are not a strong defensive team and will gladly let this game turn into a shootout. OVER is 22-9 in the 76ers last 31 home games after playing two straight as a home dog, 5-0 in their last 5 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 13-4 in their last 17 home games versus teams who are called for 21 or fewer fouls per game. OVER is also 4-1 in the Nets last 5 when facing an opponent who allowed 100 or more points in their last game. These trends combine to form a strong 76% (44-14) system. Take the OVER! |
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03-13-15 | Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors -5.5 | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Raptors - Toronto has lost 9 of their last 10, but a lot of that has had to do with it being a brutal stretch for the Raptors. During this stretch Toronto has played just two home games and they came against two of the best teams in the league in Golden State and Cleveland. Retuning home against a below average Miami team is the perfect spot for the Raptors to bounce back. Miami has gone a respectable 8-6 over their last 14 games, but it's not as impressive as you might think. Those 8 wins have come against the likes of the Knicks (twice) 76ers, Magic, Suns, Lakers, Kings, and Nets. The Heat won and covered last time out, but are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 after covering the number in their last game and just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 after having won 2 of their last 3. Miami is also a mere 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. These trends combine to form a strong 75% (41-14) system in favor of the Raptors. Take Toronto! |
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03-12-15 | Houston Rockets -2 v. Utah Jazz | 91-109 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Rockets/Jazz NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Rockets - The Jazz have put together a nice run of late, winning three straight and 8 of their last 10 overall, but I look for them to struggle to keep up with a motivated Rockets that will be looking to bounce back from last night's 100-105 loss at Portland. The big key here is that Houston has owned the Jazz of late, winning each of the last 3 meetings by double-digits, including a 15-point home win in the most recent meeting on Jan. 10. The Rockets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games off a SU loss and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 against a team with a losing record. Utah on the other hand is 10-24 ATS in their last 34 after 2 or more straight wins and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after going under the total in 6 or more consecutive games. These trends add up to form a strong 76% (64-20) system in favor of the Rockets. Take Houston! |
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03-11-15 | Chicago Bulls -5.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NBA Eastern Conference No Brainer on Bulls - The perception on Chicago is not good right now, as the Bulls have dropped 3 straight and continue to play without 3 of their best players in Rose, Butler and Gibson. While they aren't a serious contender without those 3 healthy, I believe we are seeing a big overreaction here. Chicago's 3 losses have come on the road against the Pacers and Spurs and at home against the Grizzlies. Indiana and San Antonio are two of the hottest teams right now and Memphis has the 3rd best record overall. If anything this is a prime spot for the Bulls to bounce back against a horrible 76ers team that is getting a little too much respect for their 92-84 win at home against the Hawks last time out. Atlanta rested both Millsap and Carroll, plus were in a huge letdown spot after that big win over the Cavaliers the night before. Prior to that win Philadelphia had dropped 9 of 10 and I fully expect them to go back to their losing ways tonight. Chicago is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games when they come in having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, while the 76ers are just 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games after losing 3 of their last 4 and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 3 or more days rest. Adding to all of this is a strong system. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or worse), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 69-34 ATS since 1996. That's a 67% system in favor of the Bulls. Take Chicago! |
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03-10-15 | Toronto Raptors +7.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | 107-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Raptors/Spurs NBA Vegas Insider on Raptors + Toronto is showing some great value here as a 7.5-point road dog against the Spurs. The Raptors are simply being undervalued right now due to the fact that they have gone just 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. San Antonio on the other hand has won 5 straight and are 4-1 ATS during this stretch. However, the Spurs have played a favorable schedule during this stretch and that has them slightly overvalued. Toronto showed some positive signs in their last game, losing by a final of just 104-108 at Oklahoma City as a 7-point underdog and I'm looking for a similar type outcome in this one. Keep in mind that the Raptors won 87-82 at San Antonio back on Feb. 8. It's also worth noting that this is a bit of a look ahead spot for the Spurs, who will host LeBron James and company Thursday night in the TNT nightcap. San Antonio is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 in the 2nd half against team who attempt 18 or more 3-point shots per game. Toronto on the other hand is a perfect 8-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons after a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog. These trends combine to form a strong 83% (25-5) system in favor of the Raptors. Take Toronto! |
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03-09-15 | Washington Wizards +1.5 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 95-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wizards/Hornets Southeast Game of the Month on Wizards + This line is begging for you to take the Hornets as a small home favorite. Charlotte is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games, while the Wizards are a mere 2-7 SU and 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9. Not to mention the Hornets have won both of the previous two meetings this season. Charlotte is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100+ points in their last game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. I look for the Hornets to struggle to match the Wizards intensity after having to use a lot of energy to rally late to beat the Pistons yesterday in a high-scoring affair. We also find a strong system in play backing a fade of Washington. Favorites that are shooting 33% or worse from behind the 3-point line are 34-70 ATS in the month of March over the last 5 seasons. That's a 67% system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! |
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03-08-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 193.5 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Hornets/Pistons UNDER These two teams combined for just 184 points in their only other meeting this season and I'm expecting a similar low-scoring affair in this one. Charlotte has scored 100+ in 3 straight games and are simply not built to sustain that kind of offensive success, but in the short term it has created some great value here. The Hornets are only averaging 95.0 ppg and are a team built on their effort defensively. Charlotte has held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 94 points or less, while the Pistons have scored 95 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. While Detroit hasn't been playing great defensively of late, they hold New Orleans to just 88 points two games ago and figure to be highly motivated to snap a 5-game losing streak. UNDER is 14-4 in the Hornets last 18 after scoring 100+ in 2 or more consecutive games, 7-2 in their last 9 road games and 8-1 in their last 9 when coming in having won 5 or 6 of their last 7. UNDER is also 12-3 in the Pistons last 15 games after allowing 100+, 6-1 in their last 7 following a SU loss and 4-0 in their last 4 at home after a road trip of 7 or more days. These trends combine to form a 82% (51-11) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-08-15 | Chicago Bulls v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 193.5 | 105-116 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
3* Bulls/Spurs NBA Total Annihilator on UNDER Great situation here to back the under, as we have a nationally televised game with an early start time between two fundamentally sound defensive teams. With the injuries the Bulls are dealing with, their only hope of staying competitive is to give max effort defensively. While the Spurs are averaging 110 over their last 4, it's come against some bad defensive teams in the Kings (twice), Suns and Nuggets. The Bulls have held the Spurs to fewer than 90 points twice in the last 3 meetings and it would come as a surprise if Chicago was able to top 90 points given their current form. San Antonio is only allowing 95.4 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 20-9 in the Bulls 29 road games this season and 12-3 when listed as a road dog. UNDER is also 14-6 in the Spurs last 20 non-conference games, 23-8 in their last 31 home games after scoring 120 or more in their last contest, 7-2 in their last 9 on Sunday and 12-3 in their last 15 following an ATS loss. These trends combine to form a 74% (88-31) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-07-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers +10 | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on 76ers + This is the perfect spot to go against the Hawks, as they are primed for a letdown after last night's huge home win over the Cavaliers. The books are begging for you take Atlanta at the line and the public is taking the bait. I just don't see the Hawks being all that interested here, as they have the Eastern Conference locked up. You also have to take into consideration that the Hawks may rest some key players here in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, which head coach Mike Budenholzer has done recently. Either way I look for the 76ers to keep this one surprisingly close. Philadelphia is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games when revenging a road loss to an opponent. These two trends combine to form a strong 77% (24-7) system in favor of the 76ers. Take Philadelphia! |
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03-06-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 97-106 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
5* Cavs/Hawks NBA Eastern Conf Game of the Year on Cavs - This game means a lot more to the Cavaliers than it does the Hawks. Atlanta has a comfortable 10-game lead in the east and are all but a shoe-in to take home the No. 1 seed. Cleveland on the other hand is fighting for position and will be out for double-revenge after losing each of the last two meetings. The key here is that this is a different Cavaliers team than the one the Hawks beat up on earlier in the season. Cleveland has gone 20-4 over their last 24 games and three of those losses came in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. The Cavs come in with a full day of rest and I look for them to come out an make a statement. The Hawks won 104-96 as a 8.5-point home favorite against the Rockets on Wednesday, which sets them up in a good spot to fade. Atlanta is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 when playing with 2 days of rest and 2-13 ATS in their last 15 home games off a win where they failed to cover the spread. Adding to this is the fact that Cleveland is a dominant 10-2 ATS in their 12 games in the 2nd half against opponents who are scoring 99+ points/game and winning these contests by an average of 11.4 ppg. These trends add up to form a strong 78% (42-12) system in favor of the Cavaliers. Take Cleveland! |
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03-06-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187.5 | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
3* NBA Total Annihilator on Bulls/Pacers UNDER Both of these teams come into this contest off a strong offensive performance. The Bulls scored 108 last night against the Thunder, while the Pacers put up 105 against the Knicks. That's going to have to public looking to back the over with this low total, but the real value here is with the under. These two division rivals have a history of playing low-scoring games. Each of the last 4 meetings have seen a combined score of 189 or less. With the Bulls playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and without the services of Rose, Butler or Gibson, it's highly unlikely Chicago will flirt with 100 points in back-to-back nights. The important thing here is the Bulls will bring the intensity defensively and Indiana is far from a strong offensive team and are averaging just 90.2 ppg in their last 5 against Chicago. UNDER is 15-4 in the Bulls last 19 road games after two or more consecutive wins, 8-1 in their last 9 road games after winning at least 4 of their last 7 and 11-3 on the season when listed as a road underdog. UNDER is also 20-9 in the Pacers last 29 off 3 or more consecutive wins and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 home games after winning 3 of their previous 4. These trends combine to form a 78% (62-17) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-05-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 199.5 | 105-108 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Thunder/Bulls TNT Total Annihilator on UNDER The Thunder are averaging 112.2 ppg over their last 5 and seen each of their last 4 finish over the total. Their recent offensive surge along with this being a nationally televised game on TNT, has the total inflated. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Chicago and 5-1 in the last 6 overall. Chicago is without three of their better offensive players in Rose, Butler and Gibson and have no choice but to turn their focus to the defensive end of the floor to remain competitive. The Bulls are only averaging 90.4 ppg and allowing 89.2 ppg over their last 5. Big key here is the Thunder won't be looking to push the tempo after playing a grueling overtime game at Philadelphia last night. Adding to that is the fact that this will be Oklahoma City's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in the last 8 days overall. Plus, Chicago comes in off 2-days rest, so we can expect max energy defensively here. UNDER is 31-14 in the Bulls last 45 off a home win, 14-4 in their 18 after playing two straight games as an underdog, 7-1 in their last 8 against a team with a winning record and 6-1 in their last 7 against the Western Conference. UNDER is also 4-1 in the Thunder's last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 15-4 in their last 19 after a combined score of 205+ in 4 or more straight games. These trends combine to form a 75% (77-25) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-04-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 | 100-85 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NBA Vegas Insider on Timberwolves - The Nuggets snapped a 6-game losing streak in their first game after firing head coach Brian Shaw, but I'm not expecting that to carry over on the road. Denver is a mere 8-21 on the road and find themselves playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. I just don't see them having the energy to keep pace with the Timberwolves, who have looked like a completely different team of late. While Minnesota has lost 3 straight and are just 2-4 since the All-Star break, two of those losses came on the road to the Rockets and Bulls and the other two at home against the Clippers and Grizzlies by a combined 9-points. Kevin Garnett is changing the mentality of this team and brought some excitement back to Minnesota. Denver is just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 0 days rest, while the Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following a SU loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when playing on a full days rest and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against the Western Conference. These trends combine to form a 88% (29-4) system in favor of the Timberwolves. Take Minnesota! |
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03-04-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Brooklyn Nets -5.5 | 115-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt Rout on Nets - This is a great spot to back the Nets as a relatively small home favorite against the Hornets. Charlotte has won two straight and 3 of their last 4, but are just 3-6 in their last 9 overall. Most importantly their three wins have been less than impressive. They went on the road and beat the Bulls in Chicago's first game after finding out they had lost Rose to another knee injury and the other two came against bottom feeders in the Magic and Lakers. On top of that 5 of their 6 losses during this stretch have come by 7 or more points. Brooklyn on the other hand is in the midst of one of their best stretches of the season. The Nets have won 4 of 6, including a 104-94 road win at Dallas and 110-108 home win over the Warriors in their last 2 games. They haven't lost at home since late January and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 overall. Charlotte is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing 100+ points in their previous game and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent who scored 100+ points in their last contest. Hornets are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after a combined score of 205+ in their last game, while Brooklyn is a dominant 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games in the month of March. These trends combine to form a 89% (32-4) system in favor of the Nets. Take Brooklyn! |
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03-03-15 | Houston Rockets v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 199.5 | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month on Rockets/Hawks UNDER These two teams combined for just 203 points in the Hawks 104-97 win at Houston in their previous meeting this season. That contest had a total of just 197 points and now we find the total sitting even higher with the Rockets playing without potential MVP James Harden, who had 18 points and 14 assists in that earlier defeat. This will be Houston's first game this season without Harden and not having him on the floor is going to have their offense struggling to get going. It also wouldn't come as a big surprise with Harden suspended for just 1-game if the rest of the Rockets players didn't take this game all that seriously. A lot is made of the Hawks efficiency offensively, which covers up the fact that this is a very good defensive team that is only allowing 95.1 ppg at home. It's also worth noting that Atlanta has scored 100+ just once in their last 6 games and have not had a game finish with a combined score of 200 or more since Feb. 9. UNDER is 24-15 in the Rockets last 39 games with a total set at 200 or more points and 39-19 in their last 58 road games when they come in having scored 100+ in 4 straight games. UNDER is also 15-4 in Houston's last 19 in the 2nd half against teams who are outscoring opponents by 6+ points/game and 20-8 in the Hawks last 28 home games in the 2nd half against teams with a winning record. Adding to this is a strong system. UNDER is 70-28 since 1996 in games where you have a team off a road win against a division rival (Hawks) against an opponent off a close home win by 3 points or less (Rockets). That's a 71% system in play tonight. Take the UNDER! |
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03-03-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Charlotte Hornets -8 | 103-104 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt Rout on Hornets - I'm backing the Hornets at home against the Lakers, who are poised for a letdown on the road after playing 4 of their previous 5 at home. Los Angeles had their 3-game winning streak snapped in a 101-108 home loss to the Thunder, who were playing without Durant and Westbrook. The Hornets come in off an impressive 15-point win at Orlando (98-83) and will be highly motivated here as they take their home court for the first time in over a week. Charlotte also will be out to snap a 3-game home skid. The Lakers have been scoring well at home, but I don't expect that to carry over to the road, where they are averaging just 97.7 ppg, especially given that they will be facing a Hornets team that is only allowing 96.5 ppg on their home floor. Los Angeles is a mere 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 versus a team with a losing record. Charlotte is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 in the 2nd half against up-tempo teams who are averaging 83+ shots/game, 15-4 in their last 19 at home in the 2nd half against teams who are averaging 14 or less turnovers/game, 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 off a SU win by more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home against a team with a road winning percent less than 40%. These trends combine to form a 75% (66-22) system in favor of the Hornets. Take Charlotte! |
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03-02-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 193 | 114-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NBA Total No Brainer on Raptors/76ers UNDER The books have completely missed the mark in this one. Each of the last two meetings between these two teams have seen a combined score of 184 or less, including a mere 177 points in the most recent meeting at Philadelphia. I'm expecting a similar low-scoring affair tonight, as we have a highly motivated Toronto team that is looking to snap a 5-game losing streak and a Philadelphia team that is averaging just 86.9 ppg in division matchups and will be without their leading scorer Robert Covington. UNDER is 10-0 in the 76ers last 10 off a blowout loss by 20+ points, 21-9 in Philadelphia's last 30 after playing their last previous game as a road underdog, 20-6 in their last 26 when revenging a same season loss and 8-3 in the Raptors last 11 off a SU loss. These trends combine to form a 77% (59-18) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-01-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 198.5 | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
4* Pelicans/Nuggets NBA Total Annihilator on UNDER This is way to many points for this matchup. The Pelicans are still without Davis and Anderson and are averaging just 96.5 ppg on the road for the season. The Nuggets on the other hand are a complete mess offensively right now. Denver hasn't scored 100 points in 5 straight and have failed to surpass 82 points in 3 of their last 5. Adding to this is the fact that the last time these two teams met, they combined for a mere 178 points. UNDER is 12-3 in the Nuggets last 15 off a blowout loss by 20+ points, 21-6 in their last 27 against teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game and 10-1 in their last 11 in the 2nd half of the season versus teams who average 7 or less steals per game. UNDER is also 6-2 in the Pelicans last 8 road games, 7-2 in their last 9 against at team that's won less than 40% of their games and 7-1 in their last 8 against an opponent who allowed 100+ points in their last contest. These trends add up to form a 81% (63-15) system. Take the UNDER! |
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03-01-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Orlando Magic UNDER 187.5 | 98-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
3* Hornets/Magic NBA Total Dominator on UNDER This game has a defensive battle written all over it, as neither of these teams are capable of a whole lot offensively. The Hornets come in averaging a mere 91.6 ppg over their last 5, while the Magic are scoring just 93.0 ppg over their last 5. These two division rivals are very familiar with one another and this will be their 4th meeting this season, which adds to the value here. UNDER is 13-4 in the Hornets last 17 games overall, 6-1 in their last 7 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. UNDER is 7-1 in the Magic's last 8 overall, 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU loss. These trends combine to form a 84% (41-8) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-28-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 207.5 | 101-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Spurs/Suns NBA Total Annihilator on UNDER I'm expecting a much lower scoring game than the total that's been set for this matchup. Each of the previous two meetings between these two teams this season have seen 195 or less combined points and the last time they played in Phoenix they combined for just 183. The big key here is that both of these teams are coming in on little rest. The Spurs will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days. The Suns also are playing 3 in 4 and 6 in the last 9 days. Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace in this one and both teams are going to be highly motivated defensively with just 4.5-games separating the two in the standings. UNDER is 11-2 in the Spurs last 13 road games after going over the total in their last contest, 21-9 in the Suns last 30 games in the 2nd half against teams that are called for 21 or fewer fouls, 4-0 in San Antonio's last 4 when playing on 0 days rest and 6-2 in Phoenix's last 8 games against a team that's won 60% or more of their games. These trends combine to form a 75% (38-13) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-28-15 | Atlanta Hawks -5 v. Miami Heat | 93-91 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt Rout on Hawks - I have no problem backing the Hawks here as a mere 5-point road favorite against the Heat. Both teams will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, which I actually think favors the Hawks, who are a lot deeper than the Heat. Miami is also not nearly as good at home as they are on the road. The Heat are 10-16 at home compared to 15-16 on the road. Miami is 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games after playing 2 or more consecutive road games, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after having won 2 of their last 3 and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams who average 6 or more made 3-pointers a game. Atlanta on the other hand is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 21-8 ATS in their last 29 off 3 or more SU wins and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. These trends add up to form a 73% (104-38) system in favor of the Hawks. Take Atlanta! |
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02-27-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 207 | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Thunder/Blazers NBA Total Annihilator on Thunder/Blazers UNDER I believe we are getting some great value here on the UNDER, as the books have inflated the total in this one due both teams coming off high-scoring games and due to the fact that this will be a nationally televised game on ESPN. The key here is that these two teams have a history of finishing below the mark. In fact, the UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings overall and 4-1 in the last 5 played in Portland. Another key factor is that we have the Thunder playing without Durant and coming in off an overtime game last night against the Suns. This will also be Oklahoma City's 5th game in the last 7 days overall. The Thunder simply aren't going to be able to play at a fast pace. It's also worth noting that the Blazers have held each of their last 5 opponents to 98 or fewer points and are only averaging 93.0 ppg over their last 3. UNDER is 14-2 in the Trail Blazers last 16 home games with a total greater than 200, 12-4 in their last 16 home games after playing two straight games as a favorite and 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 100+ in their last game. UNDER is also 22-8-2 in Oklahoma City's last 32 against a team with a winning record, 4-0 in their last 4 versus a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 4-1 in their last 5 following a SU loss. These trends combine to form a 79% (64-17) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-27-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Chicago Bulls -6 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Bulls - With the recent news of the Bulls losing Rose to another knee injury and Chicago losing their first game without him 86-98 at home to the Hornets, the public has quickly backed off this team. Minnesota on the other hand comes in off an impressive 99-77 win at home over the Wizards. I believe we are seeing a huge overreaction not only to the Rose injury, but based on the last game. It shouldn't have come as a big surprise to see Chicago stumble in their first game without Rose, as his injury really came out of nowhere and the focus just wasn't there. Minnesota is actually the team poised for a letdown, after laying everything they had on the line in Garnett's first game back. The Timberwolves are also not nearly as good on the road, where they have gone a miserable 5-23 this season. Minnesota is just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 following a SU win and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the Eastern Conference, while the Bulls are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after a SU loss by 10+ points. These trends combine to form a 74% (23-8) system in favor of the Bulls. Take Chicago! |
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02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 199 | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NBA Total No Brainer on Cavaliers/Pacers UNDER These two teams met earlier this month in Indiana and the Pacers came away with a surprising 103-99 home win, which is one of just two losses the Cavaliers have suffered over their last 20 games. While that last meeting finished above the mark set for this one, I look for a much lower scoring game in the rematch. Indiana is going to be motivated against James, while Cleveland will be motivated with revenge. That's not the only key factor favoring a low-scoring game. The Cavaliers will be without starting point guard Kyrie Irving and aren't going to be looking to push the pace in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Keep in mind that the Pacers are allowing just 96.4 ppg at home and Cleveland is giving up a mere 94.2 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 9-2 in the Cavaliers last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record, 21-5 in their last 26 against an opponent who allowed 100 or more in their last game and 10-3 in their last 13 following a SU win. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Pacers last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record and 12-3 in their last 15 home games against teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers/game. These trends combine to form a 79% (59-16) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-26-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Cavaliers - The Cavaliers are showing great value here as a small home favorite against the Warriors. Cleveland has turned the corner and are arguably playing the best basketball of any team in the league right now. The Cavaliers have won 16 of 19 overall and 10 straight at home by an impressive 15.2 ppg. The Warriors did hand Cleveland a 112-94 defeat on their home floor back on Jan. 9, but the Cavaliers had yet to hit their stride and were playing without LeBron James. That loss only adds fuel to the fire for this matchup for Cleveland. That earlier loss and the Warriors amazing start to the season is a big reason why the Cavaliers are showing such great value at home. The key here is that Golden State has been extremely overvalued of late due to their strong start. The Warriors are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Cavaliers are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 home games revenging a loss of 10 or more points, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 following a SU win, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games overall and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 against the Western Conference. These trends combine to form a 79% (49-13) system in favor of the Cavaliers. Take Cleveland! |
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02-25-15 | Washington Wizards v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2 | 77-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Timberwolves - The Timberwolves are showing some solid value here as small home favorite against the Wizards. Washington has been in a complete free fall of late, as they come in having lost 4 straight and 9 of 11 overall. This may seem like a good spot for them to bounce back against a Minnesota team that has been one of the worst in the league, but the Timberwolves are playing much better basketball of late and will be extremely motivated to get revenge from an ugly 14-point loss at Washington earlier this season. The big key here is this is a horrible spot for the Wizards. Washington comes in off a huge home game against the Warriors last night and are going to find it difficult to find the energy needed to play on the road with no rest. It's not just the back-to-back that's going to limit the Wizards. This will be their 4th game in the last 6 days. Washington is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 after playing a game with a combined score of 205 or more points and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against up-tempo teams that are averaging 83 or more shots per game. Wizards are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams with losing records, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on no rest and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 following a SU loss. These trends combine to form a 81% (43-10) system in favor of the Timberwolves. Take Minnesota! |
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02-25-15 | Brooklyn Nets -2.5 v. New Orleans Pelicans | 96-102 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Nets/Pelicans ATS No Brainer on Nets - The Nets come in to this one off back-to-back road wins over the Lakers (114-105) and Nuggets (110-82) and I look for them to carry over that momentum with a road win over the short-handed Pelicans. New Orleans has won two straight, but aren't going to be able to maintain this success with the likes of Anthony Davis and Ryan Anderson both sidelined with injuries. The Nets quietly got better at the trade deadline by dealing away aging veteran Kevin Garnett and adding in Thaddeus Young, who gives them some a big contributor off the bench to go with Lopez. It's also worth noting that Brooklyn had been playing well even before the trade, as they have now covered 7 of their last 10. The Nets are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 off a road blowout win by 20+ points. We also find a strong system in play backing a fade of the Pelicans. Teams off two or more upset wins as an underdog against an opponent off 2 or more straight covers as a favorite are 19-46 ATS since 1996. That's a 71% System in favor of the Nets. Take Brooklyn! |
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02-24-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 205.5 | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
4* NBA Total Dominator on Raptors/Mavericks UNDER The books have set the mark too high in this one, as I don't see this game reaching 200 points. While these are two of the highest scoring teams in the NBA on the season, Toronto is averaging just 92.0 ppg over their last 5 and the Mavericks are putting up just 95.4 ppg over their last 5. It's also important to note that both teams have also been limiting opponents on the defensive end. The Raptors are allowing just 90.6 ppg over their last 5 and Dallas is giving up just 96.4. Dallas is still trying to get use to playing with Rondo and are also adjusting to a new rotation with the addition of Amar'e Stoudemire. It's going to take some time before they get going offensively. This will be the Mavericks 4th game in the last 6 days and the Raptors 4th in the last 5. Neither team figures to be playing at a fast pace due to the lack of rest, which also adds some great value to this one going below the mark. UNDER is 8-1 in the Mavericks last 9 home games after going under the total in 2 or more consecutive games, 7-0 in their last 7 against the Eastern Conference and 5-0-1 in their last 6 at home against a team that's won 60% or more of their road games. UNDER is also 9-1 in the Raptors last 10 after a close loss by 3 points or less and 13-4 in their last 17 against teams outscoring opponents by 3+ points/game. These trends combine to form a 88% (42-6) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-23-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 193.5 | 71-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NBA Eastern Conference Total Annihilator on Bulls/Bucks UNDER I'm expecting a low scoring affair tonight between these two Central Division rivals. Both teams come in playing well and there's just 3.5-game separating the two. Chicago has won 5 of 6, while the Bucks have taken 9 of their last 11. Not only am I expecting both teams to bring the defensive intensity, but the Bucks current form adds some value here to this one. Milwaukee was active at the trade deadline, trading away Brandon Knight, while acquiring Michael Carter-Williams, Tyler Ennis and Miles Plumlee. Carter-Williams hasn't played in either of the Bucks first two games since the break and is doubtful tonight. Milwaukee also hasn't any time to practice and form some chemistry, as they get ready to play the second of a back-to-back set and 3rd in 4 overall. Each of the Bucks first two games since the break have been extremely low-scoring largely due to this. They combined for just 170 points in a 89-81 win over the Nuggets on Friday and just 183 in yesterday's 86-97 loss to Atlanta. Adding to this is the fact that each of the first two meetings this season have combined for 182 or less. UNDER is 15-5 in the Bucks last 20 off 2 or more consecutive games that finished under the total, 9-1 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 or more in their last game, 8-1 in their last 9 against at team that's won 60% or more of their games and 4-1 in their last 5 when playing on no rest. UNDER is also 21-12 in the Bulls last 33 with a total of 190 to 199.5 and 32-16 when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. These trends combine to form a 71% (89-36) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-23-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 102-113 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
5* NBA Game of the Month on Timberwolves + The Timberwolves are showing some great value here as a near double-digit underdog to the Rockets. Minnesota has quietly started playing much better basketball of late and the books are slow to adjust based on their 12-42 overall record. The Timberwolves returned from the All-Star break with a win at home over the Suns, giving them 4 wins in their last 6 games. The Rockets bounced back from a 110-111 loss at Dallas with a 98-76 blowout win at home over the Raptors, which is also playing into this inflated line. The key thing here is that Houston was all business against Toronto after losing to the Mavericks. I don't see that same intensity here in what will be their 3rd game in 4 days and a much bigger home game against the Clippers on deck, who they recently lost to by 15-points back on Feb. 11. The Rockets won the most recent meeting 114-112 at Minnesota, which sets up the Timberwolves in a profitable spot. Minnesota is 12-4 ATS this season revenging a home loss. The Timberwolves are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when playing on 2 days rest. It's also worth noting that Houston is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. These trends combine to form a dynamite 84% (27-5) system in favor of the Timberwolves. Take Minnesota! |
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02-22-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 194 | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
5* Western Conference Total of the Month on Grizzlies/Blazers UNDER The books have set the mark too high in this one. Memphis will be playing their first game since the All-Star break and will be looking to start off strong after going into the break with an embarrassing 89-105 loss at Oklahoma City. The Trail Blazers are also going to be motivated here after an ugly 76-92 loss at Utah in their first game back from the break. Portland is a strong offensive team, but will take some time to adjust to the additions of Alonzo Gee and Arron Afflalo. I look for the Trail Blazers to struggle to get going offensively here against one of the best defensive teams in the league. Portland is better defensively than people give them credit for, especially at home where they are allowing just 93.1 ppg. UNDER is 19-9 in Portland's 28 home games this season, 22-10 in their last 32 home games after failing to cover the spread last time out and 27-12 in their last 39 off an upset loss by 10+ points. Adding to this is a strong system. UNDER is 63-23 over the last 5 seasons on Sunday when you have a total of 190 to 199.5, with a team playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. That's a 73% long-term system backing this one to go below the mark. Take the UNDER! |
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02-22-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. New York Knicks UNDER 197.5 | 101-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NBA Early Bird Over/Under Total Annihilator on Cavs/Knicks UNDER The books have set the mark too high for this early matchup on Sunday between the Knicks and Cavaliers. Cleveland returned from the All-Star break with a blowout 127-89 win at Washington on ESPN and I just don't see them being 100% invested in this one. New York is one of the worst teams in the league and the Cavaliers know they can show up for half this game and come away with a win. While Cleveland is just going through the motions, I expect the Knicks to come out with a lot of energy at home against LeBron James and company. New York not only is one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA (92.4 ppg), they are 28th in the league in pace (92.9). The Knicks know they have know chance if this turns into a shootout, which will have them trying to limit the number of possessions in this game. UNDER is 12-3 in the Cavaliers last 15 games played on Sunday, 22-3 in their last 25 after 5 or more consecutive games that finished over the total and 7-1 in their last 8 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. UNDER is also 15-6 in the Knicks last 21 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 off a SU loss by more than 10 points. These trends combine to form a dynamite 81% (61-14) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-21-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Houston Rockets -2 | 76-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Raptors/Rockets NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Rockets - The Rockets are showing some great value here at basically a pick'em at home against the Raptors. Toronto is simply being overvalued here after last night's 25-point road win over the Hawks as a 5.5-point underdog. Houston on the other hand lost 100-111 at Dallas in their first game back from the break. The thing to keep in mind is that the Rockets were short handed last night after making a couple of last minutes trades. They will be welcoming their new additions of Pablo Prigioni and K.J. McDaniels to the lineup tonight and I look for Houston to respond here with a big win at home. The Rockets are a dominant 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after a SU loss and 23-12 ATS in their last 35 home games against a team with a winning record. We also find a strong system in play. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 in a game involving 2 poor defensive teams (98-102 ppg) after a combined score of 205 or more points in 2 straight games are 41-15 ATS since 1996. That's a 73% system in favor of the Rockets. Take Houston! |
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02-20-15 | Boston Celtics v. Sacramento Kings -3.5 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Celtics/Kings NBA Vegas Insider on Kings - The Kings were expecting a lot better than the 18-34 mark they took into the All-Star break, but there's reason to get excited about the future in Sacramento. The Kings have brought in George Karl to take over at head coach and I look for an inspired effort in his debut tonight. While the Kings will be highly motivated to win their first game under Karl, the Celtics find themselves in a difficult spot. Boston made a trade for Suns point guard Isaiah Thomas in exchange for Marcus Thorton, but Thomas isn't expected to be available for this contest. That's a problem considering both Jared Sullinger and Kelly Olynyk are both out indefinitely. The Celtics only player who is expected to suit up tonight that is averaging double-figures on the season is Avery Bradley at 13.4 ppg. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have been beaten by the spread by 48 or more combined points in their last 10 games against an opponent that has gone under the total by 48 or more combined points in their last 7 games are 65-31 ATS since 1996. That's a 68% system in favor of the Kings. Take Sacramento! |
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02-20-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 | 109-111 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Timberwolves - The Suns were extremely active at the trade deadline and as a result are going to be short-handed tonight. Phoenix traded away both Isaiah Thomas and Goran Dragic. While they did acquire Brandon Knight from Milwaukee, he's not expected to be available for this contest. It's going to take some time for Phoenix to adjust to life without Thomas and Dragic. Simply put, this is a great spot for the Timberwolves to get a win at home. Minnesota started to get healthy going into the break and had won three straight before losing their last two against two of the best teams in the league in Atlanta and Golden State. Minnesota has lost each of the first two meetings this season, but were extremely competitive in a 111-113 home loss back on Jan. 6. The Timberwolves are 29-15 ATS in their last 44 games when playing with double-revenge, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against the Western Conference. Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 overall and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Adding to this is a strong system. teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are coming off a home loss (Timberwolves), playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 69-32 ATS since 1996. That's a 68% system in favor of the Timberwolves. Take Minnesota! |
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02-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -3 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 127-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Cavaliers - The Cavaliers went into the All-Star break with an ugly 98-113 loss to the Bulls in a nationally televised game on TNT. Even with that defeat, Cleveland went into the break having won 14 of 16 and I look for them to come out with a statement win against the Wizards on ESPN. Washington made a trade for Ramon Sessions, but he's not expected to be available. The Wizards are still without the services of Bradley Beal and they went into the break having lost 6 of their last 8. Washington is just 17-40 ATS in their last 57 home games in the 2nd half of the season against teams who have won 60% to 70% of their games and just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days. Adding to all of this is a strong system backing a fade of the Wizards. Home teams revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points against an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite to a division rival are just 11-42 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 79% system in favor of the Cavaliers. Take Cleveland! |
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02-19-15 | San Antonio Spurs -3 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 115-119 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Spurs/Clippers NBA Vegas Insider on Spurs - The Clippers finished up with back-to-back blowout wins at Dallas (115-98) and at home against the Rockets (110-95) prior to the All-Star break, despite the fact that they were without All-Star power forward Blake Griffin. I just don't see them maintaining that level of success without Griffin and I look for them to struggle coming out of the break against the Spurs. San Antonio will be all business in this one, as they haven't forgot about that 20-point loss the Clippers handed them on their home floor back on Jan. 31. The Spurs are finally healthy and are poised to go on big run down the stretch. Keep in mind that San Antonio had won each of the previous 4 meetings in the series, including a 113-103 road win in their last visit to LA, which just so happened to be the first game both teams after last year's All-Star break. Clippers are just 11-21 ATS in their last 32 games against teams that are averaging 99+ points/game, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 off 3 or more days of rest and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, who are playing just their 3rd or less game in 10 days are 36-12 ATS since 1996. That's a 75% system in favor of the Spurs. Take San Antonio! |
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02-11-15 | Houston Rockets +3.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 95-110 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Rockets/Clippers Late Night Bailout on Rockets + This might seem like a great spot to back the Clippers as a small home favorite. LA comes in off an impressive 115-98 win at Dallas and will be catching the Rockets in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. However, I think the real value here is with Houston. The Clippers will be returning home from a lengthy 8-game road trip in what will be their final game before the All-Star break. Teams tend to relax at home after a long road trip and I expect that to be the case here. The Clippers lost All-Star Blake Griffin in a 108-131 loss at Oklahoma City. To no surprise they came out extremely motivated in their game against the Mavericks, setting up a huge letdown spot. Houston hasn't been effected when playing with no rest, as the Rockets are 8-4 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back set. The Rockets have also been one of the best road teams in the NBA, going 18-8 away from home. Houston will also be out for revenge from an ugly 85-102 home loss to the Clippers earlier this season. The catalyst for LA in that win was Griffin, who had 30 and 10 on 11-20 of shooting. Adding to all of this a strong system backing a fade of the Clippers. Home teams who have lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, who are playing their 5th game in 7 days are a mere 38-79 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 68% system in favor of the Rockets. Take Houston! |
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02-11-15 | Washington Wizards +5 v. Toronto Raptors | 93-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Wizards + I think we are dealing with a bit of an inflated line here due to the Wizards having recently lost at home to the Raptors 116-120 back on Jan. 31. Washington also got embarrassed at Toronto 84-103 earlier this season. This is the Wizards last crack at the Raptors during the regular season and I look for them to get their revenge in a big statement win going into the All-Star break. Toronto isn't going to take this game lightly by any means, but I'm not expecting their best effort here. The Raptors are laid everything on the line in a hard fought 87-82 home win over the Spurs last time out. The Wizards come in off two impressive wins over the Nets (114-77) and Magic (96-80), where they got back to putting the focus into the defensive side of the ball. Something they didn't have when allowing 120 points to the Raptors in that last meeting. Washington is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games after allowing 85 points or less in their last contest. Toronto is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games when listed as a favorite of 6-points or less and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games when they come in having won 8 or more of their last 10 games. These add up to a strong 77% (55-16) system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! |
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02-10-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers -2 | 106-96 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Lakers/Nuggets NBA Late Night Vegas Insider on Lakers - This is a great spot to back the Lakers at home against the Nuggets, who have lost 6 straight and 13 of 14 overall. The Nuggets not only are playing bad basketball going into the All-Star break, but they are in a tough scheduling spot in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. That's even more a concern when factor in the tempo of last night's 114-124 loss to the Thunder, along with the fact that this is Denver's last game before the break, where they will have a full 9 days off before playing against on Feb. 20. The Lakers on the other hand come in on a full days rest and will be returning home for their first game at the Staples Center since upsetting the Bulls 123-118. It's worth noting that the Lakers won the previous meeting 111-103 at Denver back on Dec. 30. The Nuggets are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 off a double-digit loss in their last game, 5-13 ATS in their last 18 after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games and 5-14 ATS in their 19 games this season against a team with a losing record. Adding to this is a strong system backing a fade of the Nuggets. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are revenging a home loss against an opponent off a road loss by 10 or more points are just 16-44 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 73% system in favor of the Lakers. Take Los Angeles! |
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02-09-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder -6 v. Denver Nuggets | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* Thunder/Nuggets NBA Late Night Bailout on Thunder - The Thunder are still two-games out of 8th place in the Western Conference and simply can't afford to lose against a struggling team like the Nuggets. Denver has lost 5 straight and 12 of their last 13 overall. Oklahoma City will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after yesterday's 131-108 home win over the Clippers and I think that's the only reason we aren't seeing them favored by more in this spot. The key thing to keep in mind is that the Thunder could actually be the team playing with more energy in this one. Denver has several players battling flu-like symptoms. After Friday's 88-98 loss at Detroit, head coach Brian Shaw stated that the Nuggets have 5 or 6 guys under the weather and went on to say that "We're trying to hang on and keep battling. Hopefully, we can ... (recuperate), re-energize, reboot and give a better effort after the All-Star break." Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring 105+ points, while the Nuggets are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when listed as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 3-15 ATS in their last 18 home games off a road loss by 10 or more points and 0-9 ATS when playing with 2 days of rest. These trends add up to form a 86% (44-7) system in favor of the Thunder. Take Oklahoma City! |
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02-09-15 | Orlando Magic v. Washington Wizards UNDER 197 | Top | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
5* NBA No Limit Total Top Play on Magic/Wizards UNDER I believe the books have set the total too high for tonight's matchup between the Wizards and Magic. Washington is coming of a 114-77 home win over the Nets, where they held Brooklyn to just 33.8% shooting. The Wizards had lost their previous 5, so I'm not expecting them to relax at all and I look for the energy to be there again defensively at home. Orlando on the other hand has been a much stronger defensive team since they fired head coach Jacque Vaughn. The Magic held the Lakers to just 97-points in their first game without Vaughn and held Chicago to 98 yesterday. Prior to these two games, Orlando had allowed 100+ in 14 straight games. Adding to this is the fact that these two teams have a history of playing low-scoring games. Each of the last have seen a combined score of 191 or less and the Wizards are holding the Magic to just 91.5 ppg over the last 4. UNDER is 18-7-1 in Orlando's last 26 road games versus a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 14-6-1 in their last 21 when playing on 0 days rest. UNDER is also 4-1 in Washington's last 5 games following a SU win, 4-1 in their last 5 at home against a team with a lsing record and 19-7-1 in their last 27 when playing on 1 days rest. These trends add up to form a 73% (59-22) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-08-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets -4.5 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
5* Blazers/Rockets Western Conf Game of the Month on Rockets - Good spot here to go against the Trail Blazers, who just lost in overtime last night against the Mavericks. That extra 5-minutes of action is going to make it hard for Portland to bounce back with the kind of effort needed to win on the road against the Rockets. All 5 starters played at least 37 minutes with everyone but Brook Lopez playing at least 40 minutes. Tired legs is the last thing you want against James Harden and Houston's uptempo attack. I look for the Rockets to come out really looking to push the tempo here and they shouldn't have much a problem doing so. This will be just their 3rd game in the month of February and each of the previous two have both come at home. Houston is 23-11 ATS in their last 34 home games when playing against a team with a winning record, 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games after playing their last game as a favorite and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games after a non-conference matchup. Portland is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 following a SU loss, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on the road. These trends combine to form a 78% (62-18) system in favor of the Rockets. Take Houston! |
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02-08-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Orlando Magic UNDER 202.5 | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
3* NBA Total Annihilator on Bulls/Magic UNDER These two teams combined for 235 points at Chicago back on Jan. 12 and I believe it has forced the books to overreact and set this total a lot higher than what it should be. Keep in mind that the total in the previous contest was just 190. Chicago is coming in off an impressive 107-72 win at New Orleans last night, snapping their 3-game losing streak. While the Bulls will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, Jimmy Butler was the only player to play more than 30 minutes (34). Chicago has some revenge on their minds against the Magic and I look for them to come out motivated defensively in this one. Orlando rallied to beat the Lakers 103-97 in their first game after firing their head coach and held LA to a mere 40.2% shooting. It was the first time in 13 games that the Magic held an opponent under 45%. I look for them to come out with another strong defensive effort in this one. UNDER is 32-17 over the last 3 seasons when the Bulls are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, 13-3 in Chicago's last 16 road games off a win by 10+ points and 12-3 in the Magic's last 15 after a win by 6-points or less. These add up to form a strong 71% (57-23) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-07-15 | Charlotte Hornets -7 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 81-89 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NBA Vegas Insider on Hornets - The Hornets are quietly playing some of their best basketball of the season and I look for them to have no problem disposing of the 76ers by double-digits tonight. Charlotte has won 12 of their last 15 overall and have already knocked off Philadelphia twice this season, including a 109-91 win on the road back on Dec. 19. One of the big keys here is we are catching the 76ers in the 2nd game of back-to-back and without their best offensive player in Michael Carter-Williams. It's been hard enough for Philadelphia to score at full strength and it figures to be a huge challenge tonight. Charlotte is only giving up 85.4 ppg over their last 5 contests. The Hornets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 following a ATS win last time out, 13-4 ATS in their last 17 off a SU win, 15-5-3 ATS in their last 23 road games against a team with a losing home record and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. These trends combine to form a 78% (39-11) system in favor of the Hornets. Take Charlotte! |
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02-07-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Washington Wizards -6 | 77-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Wizards - It's been a miserable stretch here for the Wizards, while Brooklyn comes in having won 3 straight. I believe this has Washington undervalued at home. The Wizards aren't going to take this game lightly, as they are going to come out extremely motivated to snap their current 5-game losing streak. Brooklyn on the other hand is in a bad spot here. The Nets just got done playing last night at home against rival New York. Not only will Brooklyn be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set on the road, but this will be their 3rd game in the last 5 days. Brooklyn is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when playing on no rest. Adding to this is a strong system backing a fade of the Nets. Teams revenging a straight up loss against an opponent off an upset loss to a division rival are 43-79 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 65% system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! |
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02-06-15 | Utah Jazz +5 v. Phoenix Suns | 93-100 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Jazz + The Suns come into this contest riding a season worst 3-game losing streak and the perception is that they are going to bounce back at home against the Jazz. I don't think that will be the case at all. While Utah has last 4 of their last 5, they have been extremely competitive during this stretch against some of the elite teams in the Western Conference. The Jazz lost by 5-points to the Clippers, upset the Warriors 110-100, lost a heartbreaker to Portland 102-103 and held their own in a 10-point loss to the Grizzlies. One of things that you have to like about getting points with Utah in this matchup, is the fact that they won 118-91 at home against Phoenix back on Nov. 1. It was the Jazz's 3rd straight win in the series, which tells us they are a bad matchup for the Suns. Home teams revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points are 48-88 ATS when playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back over the last 5 seasons. Utah is 33-16 ATS in their last 49 road games in the 2nd half of the season against terrible defensive teams that are allowing 103+ points/game, 13-1 ATS in their last 14 road games after two or more consecutive overs and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games after allowing 100+ in 3 straight games. These trends combine to form a 77% (57-17) system in favor of the Jazz. Take Utah! |
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02-06-15 | Philadelphia 76ers +7 v. Boston Celtics | 96-107 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
4* 76ers/Knicks Atlantic Game of the Week on 76ers + The 76ers are quietly playing some of their best basketball of the season and I think we are getting some great value here. Philadelphia has won 3 of their last 5, including a 105-98 win at home against the Nuggets last time out. Boston has won 2 straight, but were fortunate to escape with a 104-100 win at home against the Nuggets and the other came against the struggling Knicks. The Celtics aren't a good enough team to be laying this many points, especially in a tough scheduling spot that has them playing their 3rd game in the last 4 days. Boston could also have a difficult time taking the 76ers seriously, as they already won by 11 at Philadelphia and 18 at home in the two previous matchups this season. The 76ers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on Friday. Celtics are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games against teams who make 6 or more 3-point shots/game and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 at home with a total of 195 to 199.5 points. These trends combine to form a 73% (47-17) system in favor of the 76ers. Take Philadelphia! |
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02-06-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 197 | Top | 99-103 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
5* NBA No Limit Total Top Play on Pacers/Cavs UNDER I'm expecting a much lower scoring game than what the books are anticipating with this total. Cleveland comes in off an impressive offensive performance against the Clippers, but I just don't see them coming out with that same level of intensity offensively on the road against a bad team like the Pacers in the second game of a back-to-back set. Indiana knows that their only chance of winning this game is to slow down the tempo and really turn up the energy defensively. The Pacers have done a pretty good job of that at home, where they are holding opponents to just 96.3 ppg on the season. On the flip side of this, Indiana figures to have a difficult time scoring against a Cavaliers defense that is allowing just 90.4 ppg in their last 5. Adding to this is the fact Cleveland hasn't allowed 100 points in 10 straight and should have no problem slowing down a Pacers offense that is only averaging 95.5 ppg at home. UNDER is 11-2 in the Pacers 13 home games this season against teams who are forcing 14 or fewer turnovers/game, 10-1 in the Cavaliers last 11 road games against teams outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 road games against a team with a losing home record and 22-4 in their last 26 against an opponent that allowed 100 or more in their last game. These trends combine to form a 86% (50-8) system. Take the UNDER! |
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02-05-15 | Washington Wizards +1 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
5* NBA Southeast Division Game of the Month on Wizards + The Wizards are coming into this contest having lost 4 straight and have failed to cover the number in each of their last 8 games. That includes a 88-92 loss at home to Hornets on Monday. Getting back in the win column combined with revenge against Charlotte, gives us confidence that we will get Washington's best effort in this one. While the Hornets have gone an impressive 11-3 over their last 14 games, they are playing without star point guard and leading scorer Kemba Walker. While Charlotte defeated the Wizards without Walker and are 5-1 without him, those other 4 wins have come against the likes of the Nuggets, Knicks, Timberwolves and Pacers. Wizards are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 road games after playing their last contest as an underdog, while the Hornets are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Adding to this is a strong system. Road teams that are revenging a home loss against an opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 70-35 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 67% system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! |
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02-04-15 | Denver Nuggets +3 v. Boston Celtics | 100-104 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS Rout on Nuggets + It's been a rough stretch for Denver, who has lost 10 of their last 11, which includes an ugly 98-105 loss at Philadelphia last night. Boston on the other hand comes in off a 108-97 win at New York. First instinct would be to back the Celtics laying just 3-points at home, but I think the books are setting a big trap here. Boston has won consecutive games just once since the middle of December and are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 following a SU win by more than 10-points. It's also worth noting that the Celtics have really struggled at home of late. Boston has last 4 straight at the Garden and 7 of their last 9 overall. Denver is 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, while The Celtics are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games against teams who make 6 or more 3-pointers per game. Adding to all of this is a strong system. Road teams that are allowing 103+ ppg after trailing in their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 94-41 ATS since 1996. That's a 70% system in favor of the Nuggets. Take Denver! |
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02-04-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Boston Celtics OVER 200.5 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month on Nuggets/Celtics OVER I'm not expecting a whole lot of defense to be played in this one. Both the Celtics and Nuggets will be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and not a whole lot of motivation here given how poorly these two teams have been playing of late. Denver is just 1-10 in their last 11 games, while the Celtics are a 7-16 in their last 23. Both teams come in off less than impressive efforts defensively. The Celtics allowed New York to score 97 points on 49.4% shooting last night, while Denver allowed the 76ers lackluster offense to put up 105 points. The Nuggets also gave up 104 in their previous game against the offensively challenged Hornets. OVER is 26-13 in the Nuggets last 39 revenging a same season loss, 21-9 in their last 30 road games after playing two straight games as a favorite and 6-1 in their last 7 against a team with a losing record. OVER is also 19-9 in the Celtics last 28 home games against poor pressure defensive teams (14 or less turnovers/game), 16-7-1 in their last 24 following a SU win and 4-0 in their last 4 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Adding to all of this is a strong system. OVER is 50-22 over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 to 209.5 points that features two bad teams (25% to 40%) facing off in the 2nd half of the season. That's a 69% system. Take the OVER! |
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02-03-15 | Utah Jazz v. Portland Trail Blazers -8.5 | 102-103 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT on Trail Blazers - This is a perfect spot to back the Trail Blazers at home. Portland comes in having lost 3 straight and 8 of 10 overall, but the thing to keep in mind is that 6 of those 8 losses have come on the road and another came at home against the Clippers. Portland is 20-5 at home on the season and we can expect one of the Blazers best efforts of the season tonight. Utah comes in off an impressive 110-100 win at home over the Warriors. While to some that might look like a win to build off of, I think the Jazz are in for a letdown here after that big upset. This will be Utah's first road game in over 10 days and it's well known that this is a team that struggles on the road. Utah is just 36-60 (38%) ATS in their last 96 road games after playing 3 or more straight games at home. Adding to all of this is a strong system backing a fade of the Jazz. Underdogs off an upset win as an underdog by 10 or more points against an opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 7-24 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 77% system in favor of the Trail Blazers. Take Portland! |
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02-02-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +12 v. Dallas Mavericks | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Timberwolves + The Timberwolves are showing some great value here as a double-digit underdog against the Mavericks. Dallas is simply being overvalued due to the fact that they come in off back-to-back blowout wins over the Heat (93-72) and Magic (108-93), along with a recent 98-75 win at Minnesota back on Jan. 21. The thing to keep in mind is that since that ugly loss at home to the Mavericks, Minnesota has welcomed the return of Kevin Martin and are expected to get back starting point guard Ricky Rubio tonight. Dallas on the other hand will be without their starting point guard in Rajon Rondo. I look for the Mavericks to struggle to come out with intensity needed to turn this one into a rout, especially given how easily they beat the Timberwolves in the last meeting and the fact that they have a huge game on deck Wednesday at Golden State that will be televised on ESPN. Minnesota is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 off a double-digit loss at home and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. Dallas on the other hand is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record and 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 against the Western Conference. Adding to this is a great system backing a fade of Dallas. Favorites of 10 or more who have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games are 8-29 ATS in the month of February since 1996. That's a 78% system in favor of the Timberwolves. Take Minnesota! |
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02-02-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Toronto Raptors OVER 203.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month on Raptors/Bucks OVER I'm expecting a very high scoring game tonight between the Bucks and Raptors. Toronto comes in averaging 116.8 ppg over their last 5 contests, while Milwaukee is averaging a respectable 103.0 ppg over their last 5 outings. In the previous meeting this season at Toronto in the series, these two combined for 207 points with the Bucks only managing 83 points on 36.5% shooting. I look for Milwaukee to provide a lot more offense this time, which should have this one flying well over the mark set by the books. Adding to this is the fact that the OVER is 8-0 in the Bucks last 8 trips to Toronto. This is also a solid spot to back the OVER with the Raptors off back-to-back road wins by 5 points or less. Teams in this spot have seen the OVER go 118-65 (65%) since 1996. The OVER is 14-3 in the Bucks last 17 games in the 2nd half of the season against teams who are allowing opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field, 14-4 in their last 18 road games when listed as an underdog of 6.5 to 9 points and 11-2 in their last 13 when they come in having won 4 of 5. OVER is also 11-2 in Raptors last 13 after allowing 105+ in 2 straight games and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 off a SU win. These trends combine to form a dynamite 83% (55-11) system. Take the OVER! |
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02-01-15 | Miami Heat +3.5 v. Boston Celtics | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
3* Heat/Celtics NBA Main Event on Heat + I look for the Heat to bounce back from a difficult home loss to the Mavericks. Miami allowed Dallas to go on a 37-2 run in the 2nd half to erase a 16-point deficit. There's no way that loss has sat well with the Heat players and I look for them to take out their frustration on the Celtics. Boston has lost 2 straight and are just 6-14 in their last 20. The Celtics are only 9-14 at home compared to 7-15 on the road and 1-5 SU in their last 6 at home. Miami on the other hand has been a much better road team than they have at home. The Heat are 12-11 away from home, compared to 8-15 on the road. While Dwayne Wade won't be available, there's a good chance that Luol Deng will return to the Heat. However, the real key player in this matchup is emerging big man Hassan Whiteside, who figures to have a field day against a Celtics starting 5 that doesn't start anyone over 6'9 and will be without one of their top scorers in reserve Kelly Olynyk. Boston is just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games after dropping 3 of their last 4 and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games after playing their last game as an underdog. Miami on the other hand is 34-19 ATS in their last 53 road games versus poor defensive teams that are allowing 99+ ppg. We also have a proven long-term system backing a fade of the Celtics. Teams revenging a straight up loss to an opponent as a favorite, that are off a cover where they lost outright as an underdog are just 157-246 since 1996. That's a 61% system in favor of the Heat. Take Miami! |
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01-31-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs -5 | 105-85 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
3* Clippers/Spurs NBA Late Night Bailout on Spurs - I think we are going to some great value here with the Spurs. San Antonio has won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall, but are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. I believe their lackluster ATS run of late, combined with a big time opponent in the Clippers, has provided with a golden spot to take the Spurs at home. San Antonio is finally starting to get healthy and I look for this team to go a big run here leading up to the All-Star break. The Clippers on the other hand are coming off a lackluster performance on the road against the Pelicans, which saw them lose 103-108 as a 8-point favorite. It's also worth noting that this is a bad scheduling spot for LA, who is not only playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but will be playing their 3rd straight road game in the span of just 4 days. Spurs on the other hand will be playing just 2nd game in the last 6 days. San Antonio is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games played in the 2nd half of the season against a team that's outscoring opponents by 3+ ppg, while the Clippers are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 after allowing 100+ in their last game, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 on the road and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when playing on no rest. These trends combine to form a 79% (45-12) system in favor of the Spurs. Take San Antonio! |
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01-31-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Washington Wizards -4 | 120-116 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Raptors/Wizards NBA Vegas Insider on Wizards - The Wizards are showing some great value here as a mere 4-point home dog, largely due to the fact that the Raptors come in getting way to much respect here after winning 5 straight. The key thing here is that this is an absolute brutal spot for Toronto, who will not only being playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but their 4th in the last 5 days. The Wizards are 18-6 at home this season, where they outscoring opponents by 7 ppg (101.9 to 94.9). I believe Washington's strong home defense will be the difference in this one, as the Raptors are giving up 105.3 ppg on the road. Toronto simply isn't going to have the energy to keep up offensively with what their defense is going to allow. It's also worth noting that the Wizards will be out for revenge from an ugly 84-103 loss at Toronto back on Nov. 7. Washington is 27-14 ATS in their last 41 when revenging a loss where they allowed 100 or more points. The Wizards are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games, while Toronto is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 versus a team that's won more than 60% of their games. These last two trends combine to give us a strong 78% (18-5) system in favor of the Raptors. Take Toronto! |
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01-30-15 | Dallas Mavericks -8.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 93-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas Insider Game of the Month on Mavericks - This is the perfect spot to back Dallas, as I look for them to come out with one of their best performances of the season. The Mavericks have dropped a season-high 4 straight and questions are coming up whether the Rondo trade was a bad move. Getting back in the win column and proving their doubters wrong would have been plenty of motivation, but Dallas will also be playing with revenge from a 96-105 home loss to Miami back on Nov. 9. In that previous loss to the Heat earlier this season, Miami got 30-points from Luol Deng and 20 from Dwayne Wade, who went a combined 22 of 37 (59%) from the field. Unfortunately for the Heat, both Wade and Deng will be sitting out this one with injuries, which is going to allow Dallas to focus their attention on stopping Bosh and thus making it extremely difficult for the Heat to generate any offense. Another thing to keep in mind, is that Dallas has won more games on the road (16) than they have at home (14), while the Heat are the exact opposite. Miami is 8-14 at home, compared to 12-9 on the road. The Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against the Eastern Conference and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus teams that have won fewer than 40% of their home games. Miami on the other hand is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100+ in their last game, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 against the Western Conference's Southwest division and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Adding to all of this is a strong system in play. Road Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have been beaten by the spread by 24 or more combined points in their last 3 games against an opponent that's gone under the total by 54 or more combined points in their last 10 are 31-8 ATS since 1996. That's a dynamite 80% system in favor of the Mavericks. Take Dallas! |
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01-30-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 94-103 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
4* Timberwolves/76ers NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Timberwolves - Minnesota snapped a 5-game losing streak in an impressive 110-98 home win over the Celtics on Wednesday and I look for the Timberwolves to carry over that momentum with another easy win against the 76ers. What a lot of people are overlooking with Minnesota, is the fact that they are starting to get healthy, as both Nikola Pekovic and Kevin Martin have both returned from injury. One of the big reasons that we are getting solid value here with Minnesota, is the fact that the 76ers come in off a 86-69 win over the Pistons. The thing to keep in mind with that victory is Detroit has been on a free fall since losing Brandon Jennings and were playing in an absolutely brutal spot. The Pistons not only were in the second game of a back-to-back, but they were also playing their 4th overall in 5 days. Prior to that win, Philadelphia had lost 8 of their previous 9 with all 8 losses coming by at least 5 points. The 76ers are not any good and I look for them to struggle to keep this one competitive. While these two teams have similar records, you have to keep in mind that Minnesota plays in the much tougher conference and have had most of their key guys out with injury. Adding to all of this is a great system. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are an average offensive team (92-98 ppg) against a poor defensive team (98-102 ppg), following a win by 10+ points are 30-10 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 75% system in favor of the Timberwolves. Take Minnesota! |
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01-29-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 199 | 69-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Nuggets/Grizzlies TNT Total Annihilator on UNDER I'm expecting a low scoring contest tonight between the Nuggets and Grizzlies. Memphis has surrendered 100+ points just once in their last 8 games and during this stretch are holding opponents to just 92.3 ppg. Denver has eclipsed the century mark just once in their last 4 games and are only averaging 98.4 ppg on the road. The Nuggets come in off a strong defensive effort last night in a 93-85 win at New Orleans and I look for them to bring that same intensity defensively against the Grizzlies, especially with this being a nationally televised game on TNT. This should also have Memphis bringing their "A" game defensively. However, the big key here is pace. The Grizzlies come in ranked 26th in the league with a pace of 94.2. While Denver is 5th at 98.3, the Nuggets won't be playing up to their normal tempo. Partly due to Memphis being able to control the pace at home and mainly due to Denver playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 4th in 5 days overall. UNDER is 19-6 in the Grizzlies last 25 off a division road win, 20-8 in their last 28 after a blowout win by 15+ points and 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a road winning % of less than 40%. UNDER is also 14-4-1 in Nuggets last 19 when their opponent scores 100+ in their previous game, 6-1 in their last 7 games played on Thursday and 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. These trends combine to form a dynamite 78% (68-19) system. Take the UNDER! |
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01-28-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets -3.5 | Top | 94-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
5* NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month on Rockets - The Rockets are showing exceptional value here as a small home favorite against the Mavericks. Not only is Dallas in the midst of a minor slump with 3 straight losses, the Mavericks are in an awful scheduling spot, as they are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and will be playing their 3rd game in the last 4 days overall. Dallas is 2-6 ATS when playing on 0 rest and just 1-8 ATS this season when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Rockets already knocked off Dallas at home 95-92 back on Nov. 22 and have won 3 of their last 4 at home against the Mavericks. Dallas is also a mere 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 against the Western Conference and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against a division opponent. It's important to note that last night the Mavericks fell 90-109 at home to the Grizzlies as a 6-point favorite, as that sets up a great system to go against Dallas. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning record on the season, who are off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more points and up against a team with a winning record are just 9-30 ATS since 1996. That's a 77% long-term system in favor of the Rockets. Take Houston! |
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01-28-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 194 | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NBA Total Dominator on Pistons/76ers UNDER The 76ers have seen each of their last 5 and 12 of their last 13 finish UNDER the total and I'm expecting that trend to continue tonight against the Pistons. Philadelphia comes in averaging a horrific 89.5 ppg and it doesn't figure to get any better with leading scorer Tony Wroten out with a torn ACL and second leading score Michael Carter-Williams questionable with the flu. While the Pistons have allowed 100+ in each of their last 4 games, they are certainly capable of keeping this 76ers offense in check. On top of this, Detroit doesn't figure to be playing up to their typical pace. The Pistons will not only be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but will be playing their 4th game in the last 5 days. It's also worth noting that Detroit is without one of their top offensive playmakers in Brandon Jennings, who was recently lost for the year with a torn Achilles. UNDER is 7-1 in the Pistons last 8 games when they come in having covered 3 of their last 4 and 0-3 this season when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days. UNDER is also 9-2 in 76ers last 11 after 2 straight games where they shot 39% or worse and 14-4 in their last 18 revenging a same season loss to an opponent. These trends combine to form a 83% (33-7) system. Take the UNDER! |
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01-28-15 | Portland Trail Blazers +6 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 94-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Trail Blazers/Cavaliers NBA Vegas Insider on Trail Blazers + It might seem like a bad idea to go against the Cavaliers given their recent form, but I think this is the perfect spot to fade Cleveland. The Trail Blazers come into this contest off a full 3-days of rest, while the Cavaliers will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Adding to the poor scheduling spot for Cleveland, is the fact that the Cavaliers are not a deep team. Four of their five starters played at least 32 minutes in last night's win over the Pistons, including 42 from point guard Kyrie Irving, who also played 41 minutes in Sunday's game against Cleveland. I look for a well rested Blazers team to take advantage of the tired legs of the Cavs and not only cover, but potentially win this game outright. Keep in mind that Portland had their way at home against Cleveland in a 101-82 home win back on Nov. 4. Cavaliers are just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days and a mere 5-13 ATS this season when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Portland on the other hand is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 off an upset win as an underdog. We also have a strong system in play. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are solid defensive team (41.5% to 43.5% shooting) against a poor defensive team (45.5% to 47.5%) are 40-14 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 74% system in favor of the Trail Blazers. Take Portland! |
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01-27-15 | Milwaukee Bucks +4 v. Miami Heat | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Bucks + The Heat come into this game off an impressive 96-84 win at Chicago on Sunday as a 7.5-point underdog and I believe it has Miami overvalued at home. The thing you have to keep in mind with the Heat, is that they are a much better road team than they are home. Miami is just 8-13 SU and 8-13 ATS at AmericanAirlines Arena. The Bucks have been one of the surprise teams early on and come in having covered 2 straight. They rolled over the Pistons 101-86 at home on Saturday and kept it respectable in a 95-101 loss at San Antonio as a 11.5-point underdog. Milwaukee already won at Miami 91-84 back on Nov. 16 and followed that up with a 109-85 home win over the Heat on Dec. 5. The Bucks clearly matchup well with Miami and I fully expect them to win this game outright. Milwaukee is 17-5 ATS this season when playing against a team with a losing record, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 against teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game. Heat are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams who attempt 18 or more 3-pointers/game and 4-15 ATS in their last 19 versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game. Adding to all of this is a strong system in play, as road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a solid defensive team (41.5% to 43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5% to 47.5%) are 40-14 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 74% system in favor of the Bucks. Take Milwaukee! |
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01-27-15 | Toronto Raptors -3.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 104-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Raptors - The Raptors aren't getting the same respect that they were just a month ago. Toronto has gone just 5-8 since opening the season 24-7 and during this recent downfall have gone a mere 2-10-1 ATS. I believe it has the Raptors extremely undervalued as a small road favorite against the Pacers. Indiana comes in off an impressive 106-99 win at Orlando, which saw them shoot a season-best 51.8% from the field. I'm not buying that as anything more than taking advantage of a horrible Magic defense. The Pacers are only shooting 42.9% from the field on the season against opponents that on average have allowed 45.1% shooting. Prior to their hot shooting against Orlando, Indiana had dropped 7 straight and I expect them to return to their losing ways tonight. Indiana is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100+ points last time out. The Pacers are also a dismal 0-7 ATS this season at home when revenging a loss to an opponent (lost 94-106 at Toronto on Dec. 12). Toronto is 21-10 ATS over the last 2 seasons when playing against a team that's won only 25% to 40% of their games and 21-4 ATS in their last 25 versus strong rebounding teams that are outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. These trends combine to form a DYNAMITE 80% (60-15) system in favor of the Raptors. Take Toronto! |
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01-25-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 209 | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
5* NBA No Limit Total Top Play on Pacers/Magic UNDER The books have completely missed the mark on this one. The Magic come into this game ranked 24th in scoring at 95.7 ppg and the Pacers are 27th at 94.7 ppg. We are simply getting an inflated total here due to Orlando having gone OVER the total in each of their last 7 games, including each of their last two with totals of 209 and 206.5. You have to go all the way back to March of 2010 to find the last time these two teams played a game with a combined score of at least 209 points. Each of their last 20 games in the series have finished below the mark set for this game, including an earlier matchup this season which saw a combined score of just 181 points. UNDER is 13-4 in the Magic's last 17 games played on Sunday and 87-2 in their last 10 against a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 14-3-1 in the Pacers' last 18 games against a team with a losing record. Adding to all of this a strong system. UNDER is 24-5 since 1996 in games with a total of 200 or more points when you have an average team that is +/- 3 ppg differential (Pacers) against a poor team with a -3 to -7 ppg differential, that trailed in their last 2 games by 10 or more at the half. That's a 83% system backing this one to go below the mark. Take the UNDER! |
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01-25-15 | Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186.5 | 96-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Heat/Bulls NBA Total No Brainer on UNDER Just as I expected, the Bulls carried over the momentum from their 104-81 blowout win at home of the Spurs on Thursday with a 102-98 win at Dallas the next night. I look for Chicago to maintain their renewed focus on the defensive end against the Heat, which should have this game finishing well below the mark. Slowing down Miami doesn't figure to be too difficult a task, as the Heat have failed scored fewer than 90 points in each of their last 3 games and have topped 100 just once in their last 11 games. It's also worth noting that Miami plays at the slowest pace of any team in the league and Chicago doesn't figure to be pushing the tempo here in what will be their 3rd game in 4 days. These two teams played back in the middle of December and combined for just 168 points in a 93-75 Bulls wins at Miami. It was the third straight in the series that finished with 183 or less combined score. UNDER is a perfect 10-0 in the Heat's 10 games played in the month of January and 13-4 in their last 17 games played as a road underdog. UNDER is also 15-4 in the Bulls last 19 home games with a total set between 185 and 189.5 points. These trends combine to form a dynamite 83% (38-8) system. Take the UNDER! |
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01-24-15 | Detroit Pistons -2 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 86-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Pistons/Bucks NBA Heavy Hitter on Pistons - Detroit has quietly been playing some of the best basketball of any team in the league over the last month. The Pistons are 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS since the day after Christmas and are showing some great value here as a mere 2-point home favorite against the slumping Bucks. Milwaukee has dropped two straight, both at home, to the Raptors and Jazz. One of the big keys here is that Detroit will be playing with double-revenge, as they lost 86-98 at Milwaukee on Nov. 25 and 88-104 at home on Nov. 28. The important thing to keep in mind is that both of those two losses came prior to the Pistons getting rid of Josh Smith, which coincided with their current 12-3 run. Detroit is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when playing on a full 2 days of rest. Milwaukee on the other hand is just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. These trends combine to from a sizzling 81% (17-4) system in favor of the Pistons. Take Detroit! |
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01-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Denver Nuggets -9 | Top | 100-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
5* NBA Game of the Month on Nuggets - This may seem like a lot of points to lay on the Nuggets, who come into tonight's contest having dropped 4 straight, but this is a perfect spot to back Denver and fade the Celtics. The Nuggets are going to be extremely motivated at home to put an end to their losing streak, while Boston is in a horrible scheduling spot. The Celtics come in off a highly contested 90-89 win at Portland last night and now face the difficult task of going to play in one of thin air of Denver on no rest. Adding to this is the fact that the win over the Blazers isn't all that impressive given Portland's injury problems right now. Prior to that win, Boston had lost 4 of their last 5 and each of their previous 3 by at least 9 points. It's also worth noting that while Boston is going to be tired, Denver comes in on a full 2 days of rest. History is also on our side in this one. Denver has won 5 straight at home with their last loss to the Celtics at the Pepsi Center coming back in 2009. The smallest margin of victory for Denver during their home winning streak against Boston is 7-points and the last time they hosted the Celtics they won by 31 (129-98). Adding to all of this is a strong system. Teams off 2 straight losses by 10 or more points against an opponent coming off a game where both teams scored 90 or fewer points are 46-19 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 71% system in favor of the Nuggets. Take Denver! |
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01-23-15 | New Orleans Pelicans -7 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational Vegas Insider on Pelicans - New Orleans is showing some great value here as a mere 7-point favorite against the Timberwolves. The Pelicans absolutely destroyed Minnesota in their previous meeting this season, winning 139-91 at home. New Orleans simply isn't getting a lot of respect from the books right now, due to the fact that they are just 4-5 SU and 4-5 ATS over their last 9 games. The Pelicans are coming in off a 96-80 home win over the Lakers as a 7-point favorite, while Minnesota is fresh off an 80-105 loss at Charlotte on Monday and 75-98 home loss to the Mavs on Wednesday. This is a game New Orleans can't afford to lose given how competitive things are in the Western Conference. Minnesota on the other hand is struggling to stay focused at this point in the season and I'm not expecting a great effort here from the Timberwolves, who are just 3-16 at home this season. The Pelicans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 against the Western Conference and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when playing on Friday. Minnesota on the other hand is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 at home against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 3-8 ATS after failing to cover last time out. Adding to all of this is a strong system. Road favorites that have gone under the total by 36 or more combined points in their last 5 games, who have a winning percentage between 45%-55% are 32-8 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 80% system in favor of the Pelicans. Take New Orleans! |
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01-23-15 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks UNDER 206 | 106-113 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
3* NBA Total Dominator on Knicks/Magic UNDER The books have set the bar too high for this one. These two teams combined for just 192 points in New York back on Nov. 12 and that's the same kind of outcome I'm expecting to see tonight. This line has simply been inflated due to the Magic going OVER the total in 6 straight, including a 246 combined score in their last game against Detroit. The key here is that the Magic's last 6 games have come against the likes of the Blazers, Bulls, Rockets, Grizzlies, Thunder and Pistons, who are all very capable offensive teams. The Knicks are not anywhere close to being a good offensive team, as they come in averaging 92.8 ppg. Only the 76ers at 90.1 ppg average fewer. New York hasn't topped the century mark since late December (11 straight games) and have seen the UNDER go 16-5 in their 21 home games. It's also worth mentioning that neither of these teams like to play at a frantic pace. In fact, the Knicks play at the second slowest pace in the league at 92.6, while Orlando is 16th at 96.1. With the game being played at New York and the Knicks well rested (just 2nd game in last 4 days), I look for them to control the tempo, which should have this one finishing well below the mark. UNDER is 13-5 in the Magic's last 18 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games, 16-6 in their last 22 road games with a total set above 200 points, and 15-2 in their last 17 road games when they come having lost at least 8 of their last 10. UNDER is 12-3 in Knicks last 15 at home, and 5-1 in their last 6 at home against a team with a losing road record. These trends combine to form a 78% (61-17) system. Take the UNDER! |
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01-22-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Chicago Bulls +6 | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Bulls/Spurs TNT Vegas Insider on Bulls + The Bulls are way undervalued right now due to their recent rough stretch, but I'm expecting a big bounce back performance at home in a nationally televised game against the defending champs. I look for Derrick Rose's rant after Chicago's most recent loss at Cleveland to light a fire under this team and have them easily cover this spread. In fact, I like the Bulls to win here outright, but will take the points as insurance. Another thing playing into this inflated spread on the Spurs, is the fact that San Antonio has won and covered in each of their last 4 games. While two of those came on the road, they barely edged out a 5-point win at Charlotte and defeated the Nuggets by 10, but caught Denver in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 4th in the last 5 days overall. Since Thibodeau took over as coach of the Bulls, they have gone 50-33 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games and 15-4 ATS in the 2nd half against teams that have won 60% to 70% of their games. Take Chicago! |
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01-21-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Sacramento Kings -5.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NBA Non-Conference ATS Knockout on Kings - This a great spot to back the Kings, who are going to come out extremely motivated to put an end to their 4-game losing streak. The thing to keep in mind is that three of those losses came against some of the elite teams in the West in the Mavericks, Clippers and Trail Blazers. I look for Sacramento to have no problem getting back on track against the Nets, who have dropped 8 of their last 9 overall and are still without the services of starting point guard Deron Williams. Without Williams on the floor, Brooklyn has gone a mere 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS this season. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 overall, but are being undervalued here due to the fact that they are 1-4 SU during this stretch. Sacramento is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss, while Brooklyn is 2-8 ATS in their last 10, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 off a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. These trends combine to form a 78% (29-8) system in favor of the Kings. Take Sacramento! |
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Jimmy Boyd NBA Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-01-15 | New Orleans Pelicans -7.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
04-01-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Portland Trail Blazers -3 | 126-122 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
04-01-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic +9.5 | 103-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
03-31-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -2 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -103 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
03-30-15 | Phoenix Suns +8.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 86-109 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
03-30-15 | Houston Rockets v. Toronto Raptors -2 | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
03-30-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 193 | Top | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
03-29-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 207 | Top | 119-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
03-29-15 | Houston Rockets v. Washington Wizards UNDER 205.5 | 99-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
03-28-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder -4 v. Utah Jazz | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
03-27-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Washington Wizards -3.5 | 107-110 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
03-25-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194.5 | 111-89 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
03-25-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New York Knicks +14.5 | 111-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
03-25-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards -3.5 | Top | 103-101 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
03-24-15 | Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 194 | 88-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
03-23-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. New York Knicks +13 | 103-82 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
03-22-15 | Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 212.5 | 75-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
03-20-15 | Washington Wizards +6.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 99-113 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
03-18-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 208.5 | 95-114 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
03-18-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls -1.5 | 86-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
03-18-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | Top | 92-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
03-17-15 | Orlando Magic +11.5 v. Houston Rockets | 94-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
03-16-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Sacramento Kings +5 | 110-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
03-16-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers -5 | 117-98 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
03-16-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Washington Wizards -2 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
03-15-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 201.5 | Top | 123-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
03-14-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 | Top | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
03-13-15 | Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors -5.5 | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
03-12-15 | Houston Rockets -2 v. Utah Jazz | 91-109 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
03-11-15 | Chicago Bulls -5.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
03-10-15 | Toronto Raptors +7.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | 107-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
03-09-15 | Washington Wizards +1.5 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 95-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
03-08-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 193.5 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
03-08-15 | Chicago Bulls v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 193.5 | 105-116 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
03-07-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers +10 | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
03-06-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 97-106 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
03-06-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187.5 | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
03-05-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 199.5 | 105-108 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
03-04-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 | 100-85 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
03-04-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Brooklyn Nets -5.5 | 115-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
03-03-15 | Houston Rockets v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 199.5 | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
03-03-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Charlotte Hornets -8 | 103-104 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
03-02-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 193 | 114-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
03-01-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 198.5 | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
03-01-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Orlando Magic UNDER 187.5 | 98-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
02-28-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 207.5 | 101-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
02-28-15 | Atlanta Hawks -5 v. Miami Heat | 93-91 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
02-27-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 207 | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
02-27-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Chicago Bulls -6 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 199 | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
02-26-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
02-25-15 | Washington Wizards v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2 | 77-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
02-25-15 | Brooklyn Nets -2.5 v. New Orleans Pelicans | 96-102 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
02-24-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 205.5 | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
02-23-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 193.5 | 71-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
02-23-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 102-113 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
02-22-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 194 | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
02-22-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. New York Knicks UNDER 197.5 | 101-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
02-21-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Houston Rockets -2 | 76-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
02-20-15 | Boston Celtics v. Sacramento Kings -3.5 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
02-20-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 | 109-111 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
02-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -3 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 127-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
02-19-15 | San Antonio Spurs -3 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 115-119 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
02-11-15 | Houston Rockets +3.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 95-110 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
02-11-15 | Washington Wizards +5 v. Toronto Raptors | 93-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
02-10-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers -2 | 106-96 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
02-09-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder -6 v. Denver Nuggets | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
02-09-15 | Orlando Magic v. Washington Wizards UNDER 197 | Top | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
02-08-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets -4.5 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
02-08-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Orlando Magic UNDER 202.5 | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
02-07-15 | Charlotte Hornets -7 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 81-89 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
02-07-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Washington Wizards -6 | 77-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
02-06-15 | Utah Jazz +5 v. Phoenix Suns | 93-100 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
02-06-15 | Philadelphia 76ers +7 v. Boston Celtics | 96-107 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
02-06-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 197 | Top | 99-103 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
02-05-15 | Washington Wizards +1 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
02-04-15 | Denver Nuggets +3 v. Boston Celtics | 100-104 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
02-04-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Boston Celtics OVER 200.5 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
02-03-15 | Utah Jazz v. Portland Trail Blazers -8.5 | 102-103 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
02-02-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +12 v. Dallas Mavericks | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
02-02-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Toronto Raptors OVER 203.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
02-01-15 | Miami Heat +3.5 v. Boston Celtics | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
01-31-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs -5 | 105-85 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
01-31-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Washington Wizards -4 | 120-116 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
01-30-15 | Dallas Mavericks -8.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 93-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
01-30-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 94-103 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
01-29-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 199 | 69-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
01-28-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets -3.5 | Top | 94-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
01-28-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 194 | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
01-28-15 | Portland Trail Blazers +6 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 94-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
01-27-15 | Milwaukee Bucks +4 v. Miami Heat | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
01-27-15 | Toronto Raptors -3.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 104-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
01-25-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 209 | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
01-25-15 | Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186.5 | 96-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
01-24-15 | Detroit Pistons -2 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 86-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
01-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Denver Nuggets -9 | Top | 100-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
01-23-15 | New Orleans Pelicans -7 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
01-23-15 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks UNDER 206 | 106-113 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
01-22-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Chicago Bulls +6 | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
01-21-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Sacramento Kings -5.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |