4* VEGAS INSIDER on Wisc-Milwaukee +3

Milwaukee is catching three points in a spot where they should likely be the favorite.
The Panthers have the offensive firepower to blow this game open if Detroit doesn't show up early.

Detroit has been one of the most inconsistent defensive teams in the Horizon League all season.
They rank near the bottom of the conference in effective field goal percentage defense and points allowed per possession.

The Titans struggle to defend the perimeter and give up way too many open looks from downtown.
Milwaukee’s guards are high-volume shooters who will look to exploit those gaps every time down the floor.

The Panthers play with a fast tempo and rank in the top tier of the league for offensive rebounding.
They create constant second-chance opportunities that eventually break an opponent's spirit.

Detroit doesn’t have the bench depth to keep up with Milwaukee's rotation for a full forty minutes.
The Titans have a tendency to fade late in the second half when their starters run out of gas.

Milwaukee has been a great investment on the road lately, covering the spread in four of their last five away games.
They match up perfectly against Detroit’s defensive schemes and know how to manufacture points in the paint.

The Panthers are also much more reliable at the free-throw line in crunch time.
In a game projected to be this close, you want the team that doesn't leave points at the stripe.

Detroit’s home-court advantage has been minimal this year with low attendance and a poor ATS record at home.
This feels like a game where the road dog has the better talent and much better coaching.

Grab the points with the superior offensive team in this conference clash.
The value is clearly on the Panthers to keep this within a possession or win it outright.

I like the Wisc-Milwaukee +3 (-105)

5* NO BRAINER on James Madison -4½

Louisiana is in a brutal situational spot tonight. They just played a high-energy game yesterday and now have to turn around and face a rested James Madison squad on zero days of rest.

The Ragin' Cajuns are severely shorthanded with key contributors Jamyron Keller and Sean Elkinton both out for the season with foot injuries. Sophomore Jaxon Olvera had to play out of his mind to carry them past Georgia State yesterday.

Asking a young guard to repeat a career-high 29-point performance on 24 hours of rest against this JMU defense is a massive ask. The Dukes have been waiting for this matchup since losing a three-point heartbreaker to the Cajuns back in February.

James Madison has the fresh legs and much better depth to pull away in the second half of this tournament clash. They have a significant edge on the glass with Eddie Ricks III and Justin McBride controlling the interior.

Louisiana ranks near the bottom of the conference in defensive efficiency and won't have the energy to close out on shooters late in this game. JMU is the superior shooting team and will capitalize on the open looks that come from a tired defense.

The Dukes are also much better at taking care of the ball and should win the turnover battle comfortably. This is a classic "fade the tired team" spot in a tournament setting where the deeper rotation almost always prevails.

The Ragin' Cajuns had their moment yesterday, but their thin bench and heavy minutes will catch up to them here. Expect the Dukes to push the pace and eventually break this game open in transition.

Bet James Madison -4.5.

5* NO BRAINER on Ohio +2½

Ohio is catching points in a spot where they should be the favorite.

The Bobcats come into this matchup with one of the most efficient offenses in the country.

They rank inside the top 50 nationally in effective field goal percentage and rarely beat themselves.

This team takes care of the ball and forces opponents to defend for the full shot clock on every possession.

Massachusetts wants to turn this game into a physical street fight.

They play a high-intensity style, but they struggle when teams move the ball quickly and accurately.

UMass is prone to picking up heavy foul trouble when they get beat on the perimeter.

Ohio’s guards are elite at drawing contact and getting to the free-throw line.

The Bobcats shoot over 77 percent as a team from the stripe and won't waste those opportunities.

UMass has struggled with consistency over the final stretch of the regular season.

They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on their home floor.

The Minutemen rely far too much on high-variance three-point shooting to stay in games.

When those shots aren't falling, their half-court offense completely stalls out.

Ohio’s perimeter defense is disciplined and ranks near the top of the league in contested shots.

The Bobcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games away from home.

They are battle-tested and always seem to play their best basketball once March hits the calendar.

Ohio has the veteran leadership and the scoring depth to win this game in the final minutes.

The oddsmakers are giving too much credit to the home-court name value in this spot.

Take the better offensive team and the points.

Bet Ohio +2.5.

5* NO BRAINER on NC State +10½

Duke is giving up too many points on the road in a rivalry spot that looks like a trap. The Blue Devils just locked up the ACC regular-season title and have a massive game against North Carolina coming up this weekend.

This is a classic letdown spot where the top team in the country might lack focus in a tough place like the Lenovo Center. NC State is 11-4 at home this season and they are desperate for a signature win to lock up an NCAA Tournament bid.

The Wolfpack lead the ACC in turnover margin and steals per game. They use their defensive pressure to get easy fast-break points which is the best way to stop Duke from setting up their half-court defense.

Duke has the talent edge but the betting public always overvalues them on the road. The Blue Devils are only 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 road games when they are favored by eight points or more.

NC State is the best three-point shooting team in the conference at over 38%. If their guards hit a few shots early in this game the Blue Devils will have a hard time building a double-digit lead.

The Wolfpack have some injury concerns in the paint with Musa Sagnia but Ven-Allen Lubin is playing his best ball of the season. Lubin is coming off a 24-point performance and has the strength to battle Duke's big men for rebounds.

This is a "white-out" game with a rowdy home crowd that will stay loud for all 40 minutes. Ten and a half points is way too much respect for a road favorite in a rivalry game on a Big Monday stage.

I like the NC State +10.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Belmont +1½

Belmont is the best team in the Missouri Valley and catching points here is a massive gift from the oddsmakers.

The Bruins have already locked up the regular-season conference title and they are playing like a group ready for a deep run in March.

Belmont leads the entire country in effective field goal percentage and they rarely beat themselves with turnovers.

They just set a program record with 21 three-pointers in their last game against Evansville.

This offense is clicking at the perfect time and has too many weapons for the Redbirds to track for 40 minutes.

Illinois State is solid at home, but they do not have the perimeter speed to stop Belmont's ball movement.

The Redbirds rank high in defensive rebounding, but that stat is useless if the Bruins are making everything they throw up.

Belmont is a dominant 11-2 on the road this season and has an average margin of victory of nearly 16 points in away games.

They are the most efficient road team in the nation and have already beaten Illinois State by double digits earlier this year.

Guard Win Miller is a game-time decision with an ankle issue, but this roster is deep enough to handle one absence without losing a step.

The Bruins have veteran leadership and a coaching staff that won't let them let off the gas before the conference tournament.

Expect Belmont to dictate the pace early and use their superior shooting to pull away in the second half.

I like the Belmont +1.5 (-112)

5* NO BRAINER on UAB  -4½

UAB is a much better team at home than they are on the road. They play with a level of intensity at Bartow Arena that most conference opponents simply cannot match.

North Texas wants to turn this game into a slow-paced grind. They play at one of the slowest tempos in the country and rely on a set defense to keep games ugly.

UAB has the athleticism to break that rhythm today. They are elite at turning defensive rebounds into fast-break points before the Mean Green can get their defense set.

The Blazers are dominant on the offensive glass. They rank near the top of the league in second-chance points and will create multiple looks on most possessions.

North Texas struggles against teams that can beat them physically inside. They do not have the frontcourt depth to handle the Blazers' rotation for a full 40 minutes.

UAB is also very disciplined at getting to the free-throw line. They attack the rim constantly and draw enough fouls to keep the clock stopped and the scoreboard moving.

The Blazers are coming into this game with plenty of rest after their last game on Thursday. They have had three full days to prepare for the specific defensive looks North Texas shows.

UAB has covered the spread in four of their last five home games against teams with a winning record. They know how to take care of business in front of their own fans.

The Mean Green often struggle to find consistent scoring when they are forced to play from behind. If UAB gets an early lead, North Texas will have a very hard time catching up.

Expect the Blazers to use their superior size and depth to wear down the visitors. The pace will eventually favor the home team in the second half.

Bet UAB -4.5 (-112).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Cal Poly +7

UC San Diego is laying too many points in a spot where they have already proven they can't handle this matchup. Cal Poly pulled off a 67-65 upset over the Tritons earlier this season and they have the defensive blueprint to keep this one just as tight.

The Mustangs are currently on a heater for bettors having covered the spread in three straight games. They have been a cash machine as an underdog this year with a strong 13-9-1 ATS record in that role.

UC San Diego has been the opposite when it comes to meeting expectations at the window. The Tritons are just 9-12 ATS as a favorite this season and frequently struggle to put away scrappy conference opponents.

This game will be decided by whether the Tritons can find easy looks from the perimeter. Cal Poly has been elite at running shooters off the three-point line lately and forcing teams into contested mid-range looks.

Both squads are coming off games this past Thursday night so fatigue shouldn't favor either side. However, Cal Poly enters with massive confidence after dropping 102 points in their win over Long Beach State two days ago.

The Mustangs' offense has found a new gear in late February while their defense remains physical in the paint. Both rosters are at full health with no reported injuries which means we get a true look at this rivalry.

In a Big West battle that likely comes down to the final few possessions, seven points is a massive cushion. Cal Poly has the rebounding edge and the momentum to stay inside the number or win outright again.

I like the Cal Poly +7 (-105).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Harvard +2

Harvard is the more efficient team on both ends of the floor and getting points here is a mistake by the books.

The Crimson rank near the top of the Ivy League in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage allowed.

They force opponents into long, grueling possessions that often end in contested jumpers late in the shot clock.

Penn relies heavily on the three-point shot and Harvard’s perimeter defense is among the best in the conference at limiting clean looks.

The Quakers have been incredibly inconsistent this month and their high turnover rate is a massive liability in a close game.

Both teams are playing their second game in 24 hours after hitting the court on Friday night.

Harvard has the deeper bench and better conditioning to handle the quick turnaround of the Ivy League weekend.

Fresh legs will be the deciding factor in the final ten minutes when shots start falling short.

The Palestra is a historic venue but the atmosphere is baked into this line too heavily.

Harvard has covered the spread in four of their last five road games against the Quakers.

Penn’s interior defense is a major weakness and they do not have the length to bother Harvard at the rim.

The Crimson are 6-2 ATS as a road underdog this season because they protect the ball and win the rebounding battle.

Penn is near the bottom of the league in offensive rebounding and will not get the second-chance points they need to cover this number.

You are getting the more disciplined team and the better defensive unit with a bucket in your pocket.

This game should be a pick'em and I expect the Crimson to win this one outright.

I like the Harvard +2 (-115)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Missouri State +7½

Missouri State catches way too many points here against a Sam Houston team that is limping to the finish line with a decimated roster.

The Bearkats have six players out for the season and are essentially running a five-man show with very little bench support.

Freshman Jacob Walker is playing outstanding basketball at point guard, but he is being forced into massive minutes that invite a late-game collapse.

Missouri State is coming off a gritty performance on the road against Louisiana Tech where they lost by a single bucket.

The Bears have lost several games lately, but they are consistently staying within striking distance and keeping games competitive.

They hold a major size advantage in the paint and should dominate the glass against a Sam Houston lineup that lacks height and depth.

Sam Houston needs to force turnovers to win big, but Missouri State’s backcourt has become much more disciplined with the ball this month.

If the Bears can limit the transition opportunities and force a half-court battle, they have the advantage.

The Bearkats won the first meeting by nine, but that was before their injury situation reached this critical level.

Missouri State has also been a strong play on the road, covering the spread in six of their last nine games as a significant underdog.

Expect the Bears to slow the tempo and keep this game within a couple of possessions until the very end.

Sam Houston is gassed and simply doesn't have the bodies to pull away for a double-digit victory tonight.

I like the Missouri State +7.5 (-108)

3* HEAVY HITTER on Furman PK

Furman is the much more efficient team on the offensive end of the floor.
The Paladins rank near the top of the SoCon in effective field goal percentage and rarely beat themselves with turnovers.

Western Carolina struggles to run opponents off the three-point line.
The Catamounts rank outside the top 200 in perimeter defense and give up too many clean looks to high-volume shooters.

Furman thrives on the perimeter and has the spacing to exploit Western Carolina’s slow defensive rotations.
The Paladins have covered the spread in five of their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record.

This is a massive revenge spot for Furman after losing the first meeting between these two earlier this season.
Coach Bob Richey is known for making elite tactical adjustments the second time he sees a conference opponent.

Western Carolina relies heavily on offensive rebounding to generate second-chance scoring.
Furman has significantly improved on the glass and ranks second in the conference in defensive rebounding rate over the last month.

The Catamounts lack the backcourt depth to keep up if this game is played at a high tempo.
Furman’s veteran guards are some of the most experienced in the country and won't be rattled by the road environment.

If this game comes down to the final minute, Furman has a major edge at the free-throw line.
They shoot over 76 percent as a team and have multiple playmakers who can create their own shot in late-clock situations.

The market is giving too much credit to the home court in this matchup.
The talent gap between these two rosters is much wider than a pick'em line suggests.

Furman is peaking at the right time as they look to lock up a top seed for the conference tournament.

Bet Furman PK (-115).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Nebraska -4½

Nebraska comes into Los Angeles with all the momentum against a USC team that is currently falling apart.
The Trojans have lost four straight games and are struggling with significant depth issues due to a brutal injury report.

Leading scorer Chad Baker-Mazara is less than 100 percent after limping through the second half of a blowout loss to UCLA on Tuesday.
With Rodney Rice already out for the season, USC simply doesn't have the scoring depth to keep up with a top-15 program.

Nebraska features one of the best defenses in the nation, ranking 16th in points allowed.
They have held four straight opponents to 64 points or fewer during this current stretch of dominance.

The Trojans' offense is completely disjointed without their primary ball handlers at full strength.
Freshman Alijah Arenas has been battling illness and hasn't looked like his usual self in recent outings.

The Huskers are 24-4 for a reason and are focused on locking up a top seed for the tournament.
They aren't just winning games; they are smothering teams in the half-court and winning the battle on the glass.

USC is 13-14 against the spread this year and has failed to cover in three of their last five contests.
Nebraska has the veteran presence and the shooting efficiency to take the crowd out of this game early.

The line is sitting at 4.5, but the talent gap right now is much wider than two possessions.
Expect the Nebraska defense to frustrate a tired Trojans squad that is struggling to find any consistency.

I like the Nebraska -4.5 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Towson -5

Towson is one of the toughest outs in the CAA when they are playing at SECU Arena.
The Tigers come into this matchup with a dominant 10-3 record on their home floor.

Pat Skerry has his squad playing elite defensive basketball right now.
They currently rank 28th in the country in points allowed per game.

This is a nightmare matchup for a Campbell team that has been a disaster on the road.
The Fighting Camels are just 4-12 away from home this season.

They struggle to find any consistency on the defensive end of the floor.
Campbell ranks 308th nationally in points allowed and gives up way too many easy looks.

Towson already handled business in the first meeting this season with a nine-point win.
The Tigers have the clear advantage in the paint and on the boards.

Jack Doumbia Jr. and Tyler Coleman are coming off big performances in the win over Elon.
They possess the size and strength to bully a smaller Campbell frontcourt.

Campbell also had to travel from Philadelphia after a tough loss to Drexel on Thursday.
Towson stayed put at home and will have the fresher legs in the second half.

The Tigers are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 home games for a reason.
They don't beat themselves and they thrive in these short-spread situations.

Look for Towson’s rebounding to create the second-chance points needed to cover this number.
Expect the Tiger defense to clamp down on the perimeter and force Campbell into long, contested possessions.

Bet Towson -5 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on IUPU Ft Wayne -1

Purdue Fort Wayne is simply the more efficient team in this matchup.
The Mastodons bring a top-tier offense that ranks much higher in effective field goal percentage.

IU Indianapolis continues to struggle on the defensive end of the floor.
They give up far too many open looks from the perimeter and rank near the bottom of the conference in defensive rating.

Fort Wayne loves to spread the floor and hunt for open three-pointers.
The Jaguars do not have the speed on the perimeter to close out on shooters for forty minutes.

The Jaguars are also prone to turning the ball over when facing ball pressure.
Fort Wayne thrives on defensive disruptions and turns those mistakes into easy transition points.

This is a very short line for a road favorite that has much better depth.
IUI hasn't shown the ability to string together enough stops to stay in games against high-octane offenses.

The Mastodons have a significant edge at the free-throw line as well.
In a close game, you want the team that consistently knocks down shots from the stripe late in the second half.

The Jaguars have been inconsistent on their home floor all season long.
They often lose their rhythm and fall apart during the final ten minutes of the game.

Fort Wayne’s veteran guard play will be the deciding factor in this spot.
They take care of the basketball and rarely beat themselves with unforced errors.

I expect the Mastodons to dictate the tempo from the opening tip.
They will push the pace and force IUI into a high-scoring track meet they cannot win.

The line is far too low for the actual talent gap between these two rosters.
Take the better shooting team and the more disciplined coaching staff.

I like the IUPU Ft Wayne -1 (-110)

5* NO BRAINER on Xavier -4½

Xavier is the play here because Georgetown simply cannot guard the perimeter in a hostile road environment.

The Musketeers have been a different animal at the Cintas Center all season long.

They shoot nearly eight percent better from three-point range at home compared to their road splits.

Georgetown enters this matchup ranking near the bottom of the Big East in effective field goal percentage defense.

The Hoyas struggle to rotate when teams move the ball and use the full width of the floor.

Xavier leads the conference in assists and they will exploit those defensive gaps all afternoon.

Georgetown also has a major turnover problem that gets magnified on the road.

The Musketeers thrive on transition points and average over 16 points per game off turnovers at home.

The Hoyas have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games away from home.

Xavier is a stout 10-3 ATS in their last 13 Saturday home games over the last two seasons.

This is a massive revenge spot for the Musketeers after a tough loss in D.C. earlier this winter.

Xavier has the clear advantage on the glass and should limit Georgetown to one shot per possession.

The Hoyas lack the frontcourt depth to stay out of foul trouble against Xavier’s aggressive style.

Expect the Musketeers to push the tempo and pull away late in the second half.

The number is far too low for a team that protects their home floor this well.

Bet Xavier -4.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Virginia +10

Ten points is way too many to give a team that kills the clock like Virginia.

The Cavaliers rank near the bottom of the country in adjusted tempo every single season.

They force opponents into 30-second possessions and limit the total number of shots in the game.

When you reduce the number of possessions, a double-digit spread becomes much harder to cover.

Duke wants to run and use their athleticism in the open floor.

Virginia’s transition defense is elite and they rarely allow easy baskets before the defense is set.

The Blue Devils have struggled this month when forced to execute in a crowded half-court set.

Duke is also coming off a high-intensity rivalry game and is in a natural letdown spot here.

Virginia has the discipline to stay within striking distance even if their shots aren't falling early.

The Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog of 7 or more.

Duke’s offensive rebounding advantage is neutralized by Virginia’s fundamental box-outs.

The Blue Devils often rely on the three-pointer at home, but Virginia's perimeter defense is designed to take away the arc.

This is going to be a low-scoring grind that likely comes down to the final few minutes.

Duke might get the win, but they won't have enough possessions to pull away by double digits.

Bet Virginia +10 (-110).

5* NO BRAINER on South Alabama -5

South Alabama is a flat-out nightmare to score against. They rank fourth in the nation in field goal percentage defense and hold opponents to a staggering 38.4% from the floor.

Southern Miss is a bottom-tier shooting team that cannot find the bottom of the net. They are hitting less than 30% from beyond the arc and will find zero breathing room against this Jaguars perimeter defense.

The Golden Eagles struggle with ball security and turn it over more than 13 times per game. South Alabama is elite at forcing mistakes and turning those empty possessions into easy transition buckets.

South Alabama already went into Hattiesburg and beat this team by six points earlier this month. Now they return home to Mobile for the regular-season finale with a 20-win season already in the bag.

Southern Miss is stumbling into the finish line after a physical loss at Arkansas State on Wednesday. They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games.

The Jaguars have a rest disadvantage after playing a game last night, but they are the much deeper and more disciplined team. Their defensive intensity does not take nights off, especially in front of a home crowd on a Friday night.

Expect the Jaguars to suffocate the Southern Miss offense from the opening tip. This line is way too short for a top-tier Sun Belt defense playing at home against a .500 squad that cannot shoot.

I like the South Alabama -5 (-110)

5* NO BRAINER on Montana -7½

Sacramento State is a total disaster on the road this season and enters tonight's matchup with an 0-14 record away from home. The Hornets have lost five straight games and their defense is a turnstile, allowing over 83 points per game.

The injury situation makes things even worse for the visitors. Star guard Mikey Williams is out for a fifth straight game, and big man Jeremiah Cherry is hobbled with a leg injury.

Montana is a top-25 team nationally in field goal percentage, hitting 49.3% of their shots. They should have a field day against a Sacramento State defense that ranks near the bottom of the country in field goal percentage allowed.

Money Williams is the best player on the floor and is coming off a season where he is averaging over 19 points and five assists. He will be the primary playmaker against a Hornets perimeter defense that just gave up 86 points to Idaho.

This is a massive revenge spot for the Grizzlies. They dropped the first meeting between these two on February 1st and will be looking to balance the scales at Dahlberg Arena.

The Grizzlies are 9-6 at home and possess a much higher offensive ceiling than the shorthanded Hornets. Sacramento State is currently ranked 360th in opponent rebounding, meaning Montana will get plenty of second-chance points tonight.

Everything points toward a double-digit win for the home team in Missoula. Sacramento State simply doesn't have the depth or the health to keep pace for 40 minutes.

Bet Montana -7.5.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Oral Roberts +5

Oral Roberts is a completely different team when playing in Tulsa compared to their struggles on the road.
The Golden Eagles have earned six of their seven total wins this season at the Mabee Center.

Denver enters this matchup following an emotional two-point win over St. Thomas.
The Pioneers have been unreliable away from home all year, posting a mediocre 6-10 record in road contests.

Denver’s defense is the main vulnerability here, as they consistently give up over 78 points per game.
Oral Roberts shoots the ball well enough to exploit a Denver perimeter defense that allows over eight made three-pointers per night.

The Golden Eagles are also hunting for revenge after losing the first meeting by double digits in January.
While Denver’s Carson Johnson is a high-volume scorer, the Pioneers' inconsistency in defensive transition makes this spread too wide.

Oral Roberts has found some rhythm lately, coming off a double-digit win against Kansas City.
Forward Ty Harper is averaging 16.5 points per game and should find plenty of scoring lanes against a Denver defense that lacks a consistent shot-blocking presence.

The Pioneers rely heavily on winning the turnover battle to fuel their offense, but Oral Roberts traditionally takes much better care of the basketball at home.
Denver is also facing a potential letdown spot in their final stretch of conference play before moving to the WCC next season.

The Mabee Center remains one of the toughest environments in the Summit League for visiting teams.
Expect a high-possession game where the home underdog keeps the final score within a single possession.

Bet Oral Roberts +5 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Stony Brook +4½

Stony Brook is catching way too many points against a Monmouth team they nearly beat three weeks ago.

The Seawolves lost that first meeting by a single point on their home floor.

Now they head to New Jersey with a serious edge in recent form.

Stony Brook has been a covering machine lately with an 8-2 ATS record over their last 10 games.

They have actually covered this 4.5-point spread in nine of those ten contests.

The Seawolves are playing their best basketball of the season at the right time.

They come in on a two-game winning streak after tough wins against Drexel and Hampton.

Monmouth is heading in the opposite direction.

The Hawks have dropped two straight games and looked flat on the defensive end.

They sit at 14-14 on the season and have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last ten outings.

Monmouth has struggled to put teams away and they don't have the offensive consistency to justify laying two possessions here.

Stony Brook is the more disciplined team on the glass and in the half-court.

They will slow this game down and force Monmouth into a defensive grind.

This is a classic late-February conference battle that should go down to the final minute.

The Seawolves have shown they can hang tough in close games on the road all month.

Monmouth has won the last four in the series but those games have been getting tighter and tighter.

Stony Brook has no reported injuries and is operating at full strength for this road trip.

Expect a physical game where the underdog keeps it well within the number.

I like the Stony Brook +4.5 (-110)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Tulsa -4

Tulsa is the much better team in this matchup and the line isn't reflecting the defensive gap.

The Golden Hurricane rank near the top of the conference in effective field goal percentage defense.

They specialize in running shooters off the line and forcing tough contested twos.

Tulane relies almost entirely on the three-pointer to keep games competitive.

If those shots aren't falling early, the Green Wave don't have a secondary scoring option inside.

Tulsa has a massive advantage on the boards in this spot as well.

Tulane is one of the worst rebounding teams in the country and gives up way too many second-chance points.

Tulsa’s bigs are active and should dominate the offensive glass for easy put-backs.

The schedule also heavily favors the road team here.

Tulane is playing its third game in six days after a long road trip.

Tulsa has been rested and waiting for this game since Saturday night.

Expect the Green Wave to hit a wall midway through the second half when the legs get heavy.

Tulsa is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.

They are disciplined with the ball and won't give Tulane free points through turnovers.

Tulane’s defensive transition has been a disaster lately and Tulsa will exploit that pace.

This number should be closer to six or seven points given the rest disadvantage for the home side.

Take the better defensive team with the fresher legs to win and cover.

I like the Tulsa -4 (-110)

5* NO BRAINER on Western Carolina +1½

Western Carolina is a different animal when they play inside the Ramsey Center. They are currently riding a four-game winning streak and have found their rhythm at the perfect time.

Mercer is a talented squad but they are a shell of themselves on the road this season. The Bears own a dismal 5-10 road record and struggle to find consistent scoring when they travel.

The Catamounts are looking for revenge after dropping the first meeting between these two back in January. Being at home gives them the defensive intensity they lacked in that double-digit loss.

Western Carolina is 8-3 straight up on their home floor this year. They have also been a reliable bet lately and have covered the spread in five of their last seven home games.

Mercer relies heavily on Baraka Okojie but the Catamounts have the perimeter length to disrupt his vision. WCU has been stifling opponents during this streak and just shut down two high-powered offenses in back-to-back games.

The battle on the boards will favor the home side tonight. Cord Stansberry is coming off a career-best rebounding performance and should help WCU limit Mercer to one shot per possession.

Mercer leads the league in steals but they tend to gamble too much when they aren't in their home arena. Western Carolina’s turnover rate has plummeted over the last two weeks as they have simplified their offensive sets.

Getting points with a home team playing its best basketball of the year is the clear sharp move. The momentum and the venue are both leaning heavily toward the Catamounts in this spot.

I like the Western Carolina +1.5 (-105)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Davidson +3

Davidson is catching three points in a game that looks like a pure coin flip on paper.

The Wildcats have owned this head-to-head series historically and they are primed for revenge after a double-overtime loss to the Dukes back in December.

This matchup is all about offensive efficiency and taking care of the basketball.

Davidson is one of the most disciplined teams in the Atlantic 10 and they currently rank 25th nationally in three-point shooting at nearly 38 percent.

The Wildcats commit just 10.7 turnovers per game and won’t give Duquesne the easy transition buckets they crave.
Duquesne plays a much faster tempo but their defense is a major vulnerability that Davidson can exploit.

The Dukes are giving up nearly 76 points per game and they consistently struggle to close out on elite perimeter shooters.
Davidson has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings between these two programs.

The Wildcats are also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games as an underdog.
Both teams are coming off road losses last Saturday and have had three full days to rest and regroup.

While Duquesne is tough at home, they rely heavily on forcing turnovers to fuel their scoring runs.
If Davidson continues to value the rock and hits their season average from deep, they will stay inside this number.

I expect a tight, back-and-forth battle that comes down to the final two minutes.
Getting a full possession of cushion with the better shooting team is the sharp play here.

I like the Davidson +3 (-110).

5* NO BRAINER on Dayton +5½

4* VEGAS INSIDER on West Virginia +2

West Virginia is catching the points here in a game they are fully capable of winning outright. The Mountaineers have found their rhythm and are playing their most physical basketball of the season right now.

Oklahoma State is struggling to protect the rock and ranks near the bottom of the conference in turnover rate. West Virginia’s aggressive defensive style is built to exploit exactly that kind of weakness.

The Cowboys have been a disaster for bettors over the last month. They are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss and lack a consistent secondary scoring option.

This is a clear revenge spot for the Mountaineers after dropping a close home game earlier in the season. Teams in this spot during late February conference play usually show up with much higher intensity.

West Virginia has a significant edge when it comes to effective field goal percentage over their last five outings. They are finally hitting their outside shots which is opening up the interior for their frontcourt.

Oklahoma State relies way too much on the three-pointer to stay competitive in Big 12 play. If they aren't shooting lights out from deep, they don't have the offensive rebounding numbers to manufacture second-chance points.

The Mountaineers have covered the spread in four of their last five trips to Stillwater. They aren't intimidated by this environment and have the veteran guards needed to handle the road noise.

West Virginia also gets to the free throw line at a much higher clip than the Cowboys. In a game with a short two-point spread, those easy points at the stripe often decide the cover.

Oklahoma State’s defense has been sliding lately, allowing high-percentage looks at the rim during this recent skid. They are failing to rotate effectively and are getting beat in transition far too often.

Take the points with the road underdog that has more ways to win this game in the final minutes. The value is clearly on the Mountaineers in this matchup.

I like the West Virginia +2 (-110)

5* NO BRAINER on Kansas +3

Kansas getting points at Allen Fieldhouse is a rare gift you have to capitalize on immediately.

Bill Self has been the head coach in Lawrence for 23 years and he has only been a home underdog six times.

The Jayhawks are a perfect 40-0 on Big Monday at home during his tenure.

That is a historic level of dominance in this specific time slot and venue that cannot be ignored.

Kansas is coming off a rare home loss to Cincinnati on Saturday where they looked flat.

The Jayhawks have not lost back-to-back games at the Phog since the 1988-89 season.

Self is 138-24 straight up following a loss and he is a perfect 6-0 in that bounce-back spot this season.

Expect a massive response from a team that just got embarrassed in front of their own fans.

Houston is a national title contender but they have officially hit a wall this month.

The Cougars have lost two straight games and are suddenly struggling to find consistent scoring.

They are just 1-4 ATS in their last five outings as the betting market has finally caught up to their rating.

Kansas has the interior length with Flory Bidunga to neutralize Houston’s offensive rebounding.

Bidunga is shooting 66% from the floor and will force the Cougars' frontcourt into foul trouble.

Darryn Peterson is the most talented playmaker in this matchup and he thrives when the game speeds up.

Houston wants a slow, grinding half-court game but Kansas will use their transition offense to break the press.

The energy in the building will be the difference in a game where the talent gap is non-existent.

We are backing a desperate powerhouse program in the best home-court environment in college basketball.

I like the Kansas +3.

5* NO BRAINER on Drexel +2

Drexel catching points at home is the wrong side of this line.
The Dragons are one of the toughest outs in the CAA when playing at the Daskalakis Athletic Center.

They own a massive home-court advantage that the market continues to undervalue.
Towson comes into this game after a physical road battle this past Thursday night.

The Tigers are playing their second road game in four days and the legs will be heavy.
Drexel excels at controlling the pace and forcing teams into long, late-clock possessions.

The Dragons rank near the top of the conference in defensive rebounding percentage.
They will limit the second-chance points that Towson relies on to win games.

The Tigers' offense struggles significantly when they cannot dominate the offensive glass.
Drexel’s effective field goal percentage defense is even better when they play at home.

They contest every perimeter shot and rarely send opponents to the free-throw line.
Towson is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record.

Drexel has covered the spread in four of their last five games as a home underdog.
The Dragons have better backcourt depth and much better ball security than the Tigers.

They avoid the live-ball turnovers that lead to easy transition buckets for the road team.
Drexel is the more disciplined squad and they are peaking at the right time of the season.

In a tight conference matchup, I trust the home defense to get the stop when it matters.
We are getting the more efficient defensive team on their own floor with a points cushion.

I like the Drexel +2.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Montana +2½

Montana is in a prime spot to bounce back after a disappointing performance on Thursday night. They are catching Weber State in a massive letdown situation.

The Wildcats are coming off an emotional overtime victory against Montana State just 48 hours ago. That was a high-intensity battle that drained their energy and likely left their legs heavy for this quick turnaround.

The Grizzlies have the defensive advantage in this contest. They allow only 73 points per game, while Weber State’s defense has been leaky, giving up 77 per outing this season.

Money Williams is the most dangerous scorer on the court tonight. He is averaging nearly 20 points per game and has the ability to take over when the shot clock runs low or the offense stalls.

Weber State struggles to get consistent stops when they aren't shooting the lights out from the perimeter. Their defensive efficiency has been a major liability, especially when forced to defend for the full thirty seconds.

Montana does a great job of protecting the basketball and limiting transition opportunities for their opponents. They will keep this game at a controlled pace, which significantly favors the road underdog.

The Wildcats have been a poor investment at the betting window lately. They are just 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games and have struggled to cover as home favorites.

Look for the Grizzlies to exploit a tired Weber State perimeter defense that just chased shooters for 45 minutes on Thursday. Montana has the veteran presence to keep this game tight or win it outright in Ogden.

I like the Montana +2.5 (-105)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Liberty -8

Liberty is playing at a level right now that most mid-majors simply cannot match.
The Flames enter this game on a 17-game winning streak and have been nearly untouchable in their own building all season.

They rank among the national leaders in effective field goal percentage and rarely beat themselves with mental mistakes.
The Flames play a disciplined, slow-tempo style that forces opponents to defend for the full 30 seconds every possession.

Western Kentucky wants to push the pace, but they do not have the defensive discipline to stop Liberty’s half-court execution.
The Hilltoppers just gave up 87 points to Delaware and have struggled to get stops consistently throughout February.

Injuries are also starting to catch up with the Western Kentucky frontcourt at the worst possible time.
Missing both Bryant Selebangue and Louie Semona has left the Hilltoppers thin and extremely vulnerable in the paint.

Liberty is going to exploit that lack of size and depth with constant movement and high-percentage looks near the rim.
Even though the Flames played a close game last night, their system is built on precision and spacing rather than raw athleticism.

Fatigue is rarely an issue for a team that shoots this well and executes this efficiently in its own arena.
The Flames have covered the spread in 13 of their last 20 home games because they don't let up when they have a lead.

Western Kentucky is a miserable 2-7 against the spread in their last nine road contests and lacks the bench depth to keep up for 40 minutes.
Liberty already beat them by seven points on the road earlier this year and is much more explosive at home.

Back in Lynchburg, this margin should be in the double digits by the middle of the second half.
The Flames will use their superior shooting and ball security to wear down a depleted Hilltoppers roster.

I like the Liberty -8 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Montana State +1

The market is giving Weber State too much credit for playing at home in this spot. Montana State is the more efficient team on both ends of the floor right now.

The Bobcats rank significantly higher in effective field goal percentage over their last five games. They are shooting the lights out from deep and forcing teams to scramble on the perimeter.

Weber State has struggled to close out on shooters lately. They are allowing opponents to shoot over 38 percent from beyond the arc in conference play.

Montana State does a much better job of taking care of the basketball. They rank near the top of the Big Sky in turnover margin and rarely give away empty possessions.

Weber State relies heavily on getting to the free-throw line to stay in games. Montana State plays a disciplined style of defense that avoids cheap fouls and keeps opponents off the stripe.

The Bobcats have also been a covering machine on the road lately. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games away from home when the spread is three points or fewer.

Weber State is coming off a grueling road trip and might have some heavy legs in the second half. Montana State has had four days to prep for this specific matchup and should look like the fresher team.

The wrong team is favored here based on recent shooting splits and defensive efficiency. I expect the Bobcats to win this one outright behind their superior backcourt play.

I like the Montana State +1.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Campbell +1½

Campbell is getting points at home in a game they should probably be favored to win. The Fighting Camels have been a completely different team in Buies Creek this season.

William & Mary enters this matchup struggling to find any rhythm on the road. The Tribe has dropped five of their last six away from home and often struggles with the travel.

The defensive metrics favor Campbell heavily in this spot. They rank near the top of the CAA in effective field goal percentage defense when playing on their home floor.

William & Mary relies far too much on the three-point shot to stay competitive. When those shots don't fall on the road, they lack the post presence to keep up.

Campbell does a great job of forcing teams into long, grinding possessions. They will frustrate the Tribe by taking away the fast break and forcing them to execute in the half-court.

The rebounding battle is another huge edge for the Camels tonight. William & Mary is one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the conference and gives up too many boards.

Campbell will feast on second-chance opportunities and put-backs. They are also much more disciplined when it comes to taking care of the basketball.

The Tribe ranks in the bottom third of the country in turnover rate. Campbell will turn those mistakes into easy transition buckets to pull away.

This is a clear revenge spot for Campbell after losing a heartbreaker earlier in the season. They have had this date circled and have the rest advantage playing at home.

The home-court advantage is worth more than the 1.5 points we are getting on the spread. Trust the better defensive team to get the stop when it matters most.

I like the Campbell +1.5 (-115).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Ole Miss +9½

Texas A&M is being asked to cover nearly double digits while they are in the middle of a four-game losing streak. One of these teams has to win tonight, but there is no reason to believe the Aggies have the offensive efficiency right now to pull away from a conference rival.

The Rebels have lost seven straight games themselves, which has inflated this line well past where it should be for an SEC matchup. Chris Beard is a high-level tactical coach whose teams typically stay competitive even when the results aren't going their way.

Texas A&M’s style under Bucky McMillan relies on extreme pressure and forcing turnovers to generate easy points. Ole Miss has the veteran backcourt depth to handle that heat and keep their turnover rate under control for 40 minutes.

The Rebels feature elite individual scorers like AJ Storr and Malik Dia who can create their own shots when the offense breaks down late in the shot clock. When the pace speeds up in a "Bucky Ball" game, the variance increases, and that almost always favors the team getting 9.5 points.

The Aggies have been a poor investment for bettors lately, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. They have struggled to put teams away because of inconsistent perimeter shooting and a defensive rating that has cratered during this skid.

Ole Miss has shown they can grit out tough road environments, including several close losses to top-tier SEC competition earlier this February. Expect a scrappy, high-possession game where the Rebels do enough at the free-throw line to keep this within a few buckets.

I like the Ole Miss +9.5.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Marshall -3½

Marshall is one of the toughest places to play in the Sun Belt. The Herd thrive on high-possession games and they get a favorable matchup tonight at the Cam Henderson Center.

South Alabama comes into this contest struggling to find consistency on the road. The Jaguars have dropped four of their last five away from home and are failing to cover the number in those spots.

The Jaguars lack the depth to keep up with Marshall’s pace for a full 40 minutes. Marshall ranks near the top of the conference in adjusted tempo and looks to push the ball after every defensive rebound.

South Alabama’s defense is prone to giving up open looks from beyond the arc. They currently rank outside the top 200 nationally in three-point percentage defense.

Marshall is shooting at a much higher clip from deep in their home gym compared to on the road. That gap in shooting efficiency is going to be the main difference in this game.

The Herd also do a great job of forcing turnovers and turning them into easy transition buckets. South Alabama’s backcourt has been sloppy lately, coughing the ball up on over 20% of their possessions in recent games.

The schedule also favors the home team here. Marshall stayed put after their Saturday game, while South Alabama is on the back end of a grueling road trip with heavy travel.

The Jaguars looked tired in the second half of their game two nights ago. Now they have to face a Marshall squad that never stops running and wears opponents down.

The line is sitting at 3.5 but the data suggests this should be closer to 6. We are getting strong value on a home favorite that matches up perfectly against a tired defense.

Marshall is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Expect them to control the tempo and pull away late.

I like the Marshall -3.5 (-105)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Seton Hall -2½

Seton Hall heads into Hinkle Fieldhouse with a massive chip on their shoulder today.
The Pirates were embarrassed by Butler earlier this season on their home floor and this is a classic revenge spot.

Shaheen Holloway has his squad peaking at the right time while Butler is in a complete freefall.
The Bulldogs have lost five straight games and every single one of those losses came by double digits.

Butler's roster is decimated by injuries right now.
Azavier Robinson is done for the year with a wrist injury and starting point guard Finley Bizjack is highly questionable with a bad arm.

Thad Matta is down to just nine available players and that lack of depth is a death sentence against a physical Pirates team.
Seton Hall dominated the boards 45-27 in the first meeting and they should own the paint again tonight.

Adam Clark is the hottest player in the Big East right now after dropping 31 points in his last outing.
He is averaging over 22 points and five assists over his last five games and Butler has no one healthy enough to slow him down.

The Pirates have much more to play for as they fight to stay in the NCAA Tournament conversation.
Butler's defensive eFG% has plummeted during this losing streak and they are giving up way too many easy looks in transition.

Laying less than a bucket on the road is a gift when you consider the health and momentum of these two programs.
Expect the Pirates to use their superior athleticism to wear down a tired Bulldogs bench over forty minutes.

I like the Seton Hall -2.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on St. Peter's -4

St. Peter’s is going to suffocate Fairfield with their defensive pressure in this matchup.
The Peacocks are the best defensive unit in the MAAC and it shows whenever they play at home.

Fairfield relies heavily on perimeter shooting to stay competitive in road games.
Saint Peter’s ranks in the top tier of the country at defending the three-point line and forcing contested looks.

The Peacocks hold opponents to a very low eFG% because they don't give up easy buckets at the rim.
Fairfield’s shooters will be under constant pressure for 40 minutes and likely won't find their rhythm.

Saint Peter’s plays at one of the slowest paces in college basketball.
They shorten the game and make every single Fairfield turnover count double.

The Stags have struggled against the spread when traveling to face elite defensive teams.
They are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record.

St. Peter's is elite at winning the battle on the offensive glass.
They get second-chance points that kill the momentum of teams like Fairfield who want to run.

This line is short because Fairfield has a high scoring average against weaker conference opponents.
That offense disappears when they have to play a physical grind in Jersey City.

The Peacocks have been a covering machine at home lately, going 5-1 ATS in their last six.
Expect them to control the tempo from the opening tip and pull away late.

I like the St. Peter's -4 (-115)

5* NO BRAINER of the Month on Niagara +5½

Niagara is catching too many points as a home underdog in a classic MAAC rivalry spot.
The Gallagher Center is one of the most unique and hostile environments in the conference, featuring a tight layout that rattles visiting shooters.

Iona enters this matchup as the "name brand" team, but they have consistently been overvalued on the road this season.
The Gaels are just 3-4 against the spread in their last seven games when favored by 5.5 points or more.

Both teams are playing their second game in three days after Friday night contests.
While Iona had to travel after their win at Canisius, Niagara has been settled in at home and avoids the late-night bus legs.

The Purple Eagles have shown significant resilience at home lately, covering the spread in 14 of their last 20 games in this building.
They are also a perfect 1-0 against the spread this season when catching 5.5 points or more on their home floor.

Iona’s offense is missing a key piece with Keshawn Williams out for the season with a knee injury.
Without his depth in the backcourt, the Gaels' perimeter rotation is thinner and more susceptible to fatigue in these quick-turnaround Sunday matinees.

Niagara does an excellent job of slowing down the tempo and forcing opponents into contested half-court looks.
They rank near the top of the league in effective field goal percentage defense when playing at home.

The Gaels have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games overall.
Expect a physical, low-scoring grind where the home dog keeps it within a possession or two until the final buzzer.

Bet Niagara +5.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Minnesota +6½

Washington is falling apart at the seams because of a massive wave of injuries.

The Huskies have lost star freshman JJ Mandaquit and top scoring threat Desmond Claude for the remainder of the season.

They currently have 10 different players on the injury report and are literally running out of bodies in the rotation.

It is almost impossible to build any chemistry when only three players on the entire roster have appeared in every game this year.

Minnesota isn't a national powerhouse, but they are playing much more competitive basketball than this line suggests.

The Gophers proved their ceiling by upsetting No. 10 Michigan State recently and were a couple of plays away from beating Maryland last weekend.

Minnesota also enters this matchup with a big rest advantage.

The Gophers haven't played since last Sunday, while Washington is coming off a hard-fought loss to Penn State this past Wednesday.

Cade Tyson is the best player on the floor tonight, and he is averaging 19.4 points per game for Minnesota.

Washington’s defense is a mess right now, giving up nearly 75 points per contest during their current three-game slide.

The Huskies are also struggling to score, shooting a miserable 30% from the floor in their most recent outing.

Minnesota’s defense is much more reliable and holds opponents to under 69 points per game on the season.

The Gophers are also dangerous from the perimeter after knocking down 14 three-pointers in their last game.

This is a battle between two teams sitting at the bottom of the Big Ten standings.

There is absolutely no reason Washington should be favored by almost seven points given their current state of health.

Expect a tight, low-scoring battle that comes down to the final few possessions.

I like the Minnesota +6.5 (-115)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Ohio State +4½

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Cornell -2½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Western Illinois +6½

Western Illinois is being undervalued at home in this OVC matchup.

Arkansas-Little Rock is the flashier team but they struggle with consistency on the road.

The Trojans have failed to cover the spread in three of their last five games away from home.

Western Illinois plays one of the slowest tempos in the entire conference.

They force opponents into long possessions and heavily contested jumpers.

When you slow the game down this much, 6.5 points is a massive cushion.

The Leathernecks are elite at crashing the offensive glass on their home floor.

They currently rank near the top of the OVC in second-chance scoring opportunities.

Little Rock relies heavily on three-point shooting to stretch their leads.

Those outside shots rarely fall at the same high clip in a gym like Western Hall.

The Trojans also have a habit of fouling when they cannot dictate the pace.

Western Illinois should spend plenty of time at the free-throw line tonight.

Those easy points at the stripe will help keep this game within a possession or two.

Little Rock is coming off a high-intensity win and could be sleepwalking in this spot.

The Leathernecks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog.

The home court advantage in Macomb is real and the market is not accounting for it.

Expect a low-scoring grind that keeps the underdog well within this number.

I like the Western Illinois +6.5 (-110)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on IU Indianapolis +5½

Northern Kentucky is being asked to cover a big number in a building where they historically struggle to pull away.
The Norse are a completely different team when they aren't playing in front of their own fans.

Their offensive efficiency drops significantly whenever they leave their home floor.
They rely on a deliberate, slow pace that naturally keeps games close and within reach for the opponent.

IU Indianapolis has become a very tough out at home this season under their current system.
They focus on high-pressure defense and winning the physical battle on the boards.

The Jaguars rank near the top of the Horizon League in offensive rebounding rate.
Those extra possessions are huge when you are catching more than two buckets at home.

Northern Kentucky struggles to defend the perimeter when they are forced into late-clock rotations.
IUI has the shooters to punish them if the Norse collapse too hard on the drive.

The Norse are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against conference opponents.
They often find ways to win these matchups, but they rarely blow teams out in this environment.

IU Indianapolis is currently 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games when catching points.
They have the grit to turn this into a physical, low-scoring grind that favors the underdog.

NKU’s free throw shooting has been a major liability in tight road games all year.
That makes it very dangerous to lay 5.5 points with a team that can't close the door at the line.

The Jaguars will use their bench depth to keep the defensive pressure high for forty minutes.
Expect a tight finish that stays within one or two possessions until the final horn.

The value is clearly on the home dog in a classic conference trap spot.
IUI is playing with far too much confidence right now to be faded at this number.

Bet IU Indianapolis +5.5 (-115).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Stanford -2

Stanford has the clear advantage on the perimeter in this matchup. Their offensive system is clicking, ranking inside the top 50 nationally for effective field goal percentage.

Boston College hasn't shown the defensive discipline to stop high-volume three-point teams lately. The Eagles are giving up way too many open looks from the corners and late rotations.

The Cardinal protect the basketball better than almost anyone else in the ACC. They aren't going to gift Boston College easy transition points or "pick-six" buckets off live-ball turnovers.

This short spread is a bargain considering the efficiency gap between these two programs. Stanford is simply the more consistent team on both ends of the floor right now.

The Eagles rely heavily on getting to the free-throw line to keep their offense moving. Stanford plays a disciplined brand of defense and rarely puts opponents in the bonus early in either half.

Stanford has also been a road warrior this month, covering the spread in four of their last five games away from home. They haven't let the cross-country travel affect their shooting rhythm.

The Cardinal have a significant edge on the defensive glass. They limit teams to one shot per possession, which kills the momentum for an inconsistent BC offense that needs second-chance points.

Look for Stanford to exploit the lack of rim protection in the Eagles' frontcourt. They will use high ball screens to force BC into mismatches they simply cannot handle.

The depth of the Cardinal bench will be the factor that puts this game away in the final ten minutes. They can stay fresh while the BC starters start to lose their legs.

I like the Stanford -2 (-115).

5* NO BRAINER of the Week on Tulane +1½

Tulane is sitting in a great spot as a home underdog tonight.
They play a fast style that is very hard to prepare for on a short turnaround.

Temple has struggled with ball security throughout the conference schedule.
They are facing a Green Wave defense that specializes in forcing mistakes and creating chaos.

Tulane thrives in transition and gets easy buckets when teams get sloppy.
The Owls do not have the backcourt depth to handle 40 minutes of constant pressure.

Temple is also playing its second road game in four days.
Travel fatigue often hits teams hard in the second half of these mid-week conference swings.

Tulane’s shooting percentages at home are significantly higher than their road averages.
They are hitting a high clip from beyond the arc in this building.

Temple relies too much on perimeter scoring but lacks the consistency to win a shootout.
If their primary guards are not efficient early, they have no way to keep pace.

The Green Wave have been excellent in this role lately.
They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog.

You are getting points with the more explosive offense on their own floor.
This line is asking the wrong team to be the favorite.

I expect Tulane to win this game outright and control the tempo from the tip.
There is no reason for them to be getting points in this matchup.

I like the Tulane +1.5.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on VCU -12

VCU is currently the most physical team in the Atlantic 10 and they are peaking at the right time.
They enter this matchup having covered the spread in four of their last five road games.

La Salle is reeling and lacks the backcourt depth to survive against this high-pressure defense.
The Explorers rank near the bottom of the country in turnover rate and that is a recipe for disaster tonight.

VCU is elite at turning steals into quick transition points at the other end of the floor.
The Rams are also shooting the ball with a ton of confidence from the perimeter.

They boast an effective field goal percentage that dwarfs what La Salle produces on a nightly basis.
The Explorers struggle to defend the three-point line and consistently give up open looks to quality shooters.

On the glass, VCU has a significant size advantage that should lead to a heavy dose of second-chance points.
La Salle is one of the worst rebounding teams in the conference and lacks the length to compete in the paint.

The Explorers have failed to cover in six of their last eight games as a home underdog.
VCU is 9-2 straight up in their last 11 meetings with La Salle and most of those wins were blowouts.

The styles simply do not mesh well for the Explorers here.
La Salle wants to slow the game down but they cannot handle the Rams' defensive length and speed.

The Rams are deep enough to maintain their intensity for the full 40 minutes without wearing down.
This is a significant mismatch in terms of both coaching and raw athleticism on the court.

VCU will dictate the tempo from the opening tip and should have this game put away by the under-eight timeout.
The double-digit spread looks high but it is not high enough for a matchup this lopsided.

I like the VCU -12 (-110)

5* NO BRAINER on Arizona State -2½

Arizona State is back home in Tempe where they play their best basketball. They have a clear advantage in the backcourt tonight against an Oklahoma State team that cannot take care of the rock.

The Sun Devils thrive on forcing mistakes and getting out in transition for easy buckets. Oklahoma State ranks near the bottom of the Big 12 in turnover percentage when playing away from home.

Arizona State’s perimeter defense will be the biggest difference-maker in this matchup. They hold opponents to a very low effective field goal percentage by running shooters off the line.

The Cowboys have not traveled well throughout this season. They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games against conference opponents.

Arizona State is coming off a short rest but they historically play much better in their own gym. The energy in Desert Financial Arena usually fuels a big second-half run for the Sun Devils.

Oklahoma State struggles to score when they cannot get to the free-throw line. Arizona State does a great job of defending without fouling, which takes away the Cowboys' best way to stay close.

The Sun Devils are finally healthy in the frontcourt and should win the battle on the glass. Limiting Oklahoma State to one shot per possession will prevent them from hanging around late in the game.

This line is too short for a home favorite that matches up this well defensively. I expect the Sun Devils to pull away late in the second half.

Bet Arizona State -2.5 (-110).

5* NO BRAINER on Drake -2½

Drake is the clear play here despite their recent three-game slide. They are back home at the Knapp Center where they have historically owned this head-to-head matchup.

The Bulldogs have won eight straight games against Valparaiso. They have also walked away with a victory in nine of the last ten meetings overall.

Valparaiso is a completely different team when they leave their home floor. They have struggled mightily as a visitor and carry a dismal 2-8 road record this season.

The Beacons are coming off an emotional overtime win against Evansville on February 6. Now they have to travel to face a hungry Drake team that is desperate to stop the bleeding.

Drake’s offense is much more efficient and reliable than Valpo's. The Bulldogs are averaging over 77 points per game while shooting 45% from the field.

Jalen Quinn is the best player on the court in this matchup. He averages 19.4 points per game and will be a major problem for a Valparaiso defense that lacks lateral quickness.

Valparaiso struggles to find consistent scoring and shoots just 41% as a team. They simply do not have the offensive firepower to keep pace in a hostile environment like Des Moines.

Drake takes elite care of the basketball and only turns it over 10 times per game. Those extra possessions are the difference-maker when the spread is this short.

Valparaiso has several rotation players like Isaiah Barnes and Nick Lombardi listed as questionable for tonight. Their lack of depth will be exposed in the second half of this game.

Drake has been giving up too many points lately, but Valpo isn't the team to exploit that weakness. Expect the Bulldogs to control the tempo and win this game by double digits.

I like the Drake -2.5 (-110).

5* NO BRAINER on Charlotte +9½

Charlotte is catching way too many points in a matchup where they have the schematic advantage to keep things tight. The 49ers are 7-3 in American Conference play and currently sit tied for second in the league standings.

Memphis has been the definition of mediocre this season with an 11-11 record and major issues sustaining momentum. The Tigers are coming off an emotional win over UAB, but that game saw Sincere Parker explode for a 40-point outlier performance that is unlikely to repeat today.

Charlotte plays at one of the slowest paces in the entire country and excels at grinding games down to a halt. This deliberate style limits the number of possessions and makes it incredibly difficult for a favorite like Memphis to pull away by double digits.

The 49ers shoot 36 percent from three-point range in conference play and have the perimeter shooters to exploit a Memphis defense that can be undisciplined. Dezayne Mingo and Ben Bradford lead a backcourt that is comfortable operating in high-pressure environments on the road.

Memphis is still dealing with depth issues as Ashton Hardaway and Hasan Abdul Hakim remain questionable with health concerns. Charlotte is also monitoring Frank Oguche and David Gomez, but the core of their rotation remains intact and ready for this spot.

The Niners are coming off a loss to Wichita State, which provides plenty of motivation to get back on track against a big-name opponent. Expect a low-possession, defensive battle that stays competitive until the final whistle.

The 9.5-point cushion is a massive gift for a team that has been far more reliable than Memphis all winter.

I like the Charlotte +9.5 (-112)

3* HEAVY HITTER on CS-Northridge -9½

CS-Northridge is a different beast when they play on their home floor. They play with a pace and intensity that most Big West teams simply cannot match for forty minutes.

That high-speed pressure is a nightmare for a UC Riverside team that prefers to grind out possessions. The Highlanders want to slow this game down, but Northridge forces you to run.

Riverside has struggled significantly with ball security in true road games this season. They are coughing it up on nearly 20% of their possessions when they travel.

CSUN is elite at turning those mistakes into easy transition buckets. You cannot give this Matadors offense free points and expect to keep it within single digits.

The shooting numbers also point toward a blowout in Northridge. The Matadors rank near the top of the conference in effective field goal percentage at home.

Riverside does not have the perimeter defenders to stop Northridge from getting to the rim. Once the Highlanders start rotating, the open threes will be there all night.

We also have a major rest advantage to consider here. CSUN has stayed local all week while Riverside is coming off a grueling road trip.

The Highlanders' legs usually go flat in the second half of these back-to-back road weekends. Expect a close game early followed by a massive Northridge run after halftime.

Northridge is 8-2 ATS in their last ten games as a home favorite. They know how to put teams away and they do not take their foot off the gas.

Riverside’s offense is too one-dimensional to mount a comeback once they fall behind. They lack the consistent three-point shooting to trade blows with a high-octane Matador squad.

I like the CS-Northridge -9.5 (-110).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Alabama +3½

Alabama is catching too many points in a rivalry game that usually comes down to the final minute. Nate Oats has the Crimson Tide leading the nation in three-point attempts and ranking fourth in scoring at nearly 92 points per game.

Auburn is always tough at Neville Arena, but they are sweating the status of star forward Keyshawn Hall. Hall is questionable with a finger injury, and losing his 21 points per game would be a massive blow to the Tigers' offensive efficiency.

Alabama has its own health issues with guard Labaron Philon questionable due to a thigh bruise. However, the Tide just dropped 100 points on league-leading Texas A&M this past Wednesday, proving they can score with anyone even when shorthanded.

The 174.5 total suggests this will be a high-speed track meet from the opening tip. In a high-possession game, Alabama’s volume-heavy three-point attack provides a huge ceiling that Auburn often struggles to contain.

The Tigers' defense is built on aggressive pressure, but Alabama ranks 28th nationally in turnover rate. If the Tide take care of the ball and exploit the transition looks Auburn gives up, they will keep this within the number or win it outright.

Alabama won in this building in dramatic fashion last year and covers at a high rate as a road underdog in the SEC. Getting 3.5 points in what should be a one-possession game in the final minute is the clear sharp play.

Bet Alabama +3.5 (-105).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Temple -3

Temple is the superior team in this matchup and this short number is a gift on the road. The Owls have found their rhythm in conference play while East Carolina is stuck in a tailspin.

Temple’s backcourt is the deciding factor here. They protect the basketball and rarely beat themselves with unforced turnovers.

East Carolina ranks near the bottom of the AAC in effective field goal percentage. They simply do not have the shooters to keep pace if Temple hits a few early shots.

The Pirates rely on offensive rebounding to generate points, but the Owls are disciplined on the glass. Temple limits second-chance opportunities and forces teams to beat them in the half-court.

Temple has been a road warrior lately, covering the spread in four of their last five games away from home. They are comfortable playing in hostile environments and don't rattle easily.

East Carolina’s offense has completely stalled out. They have failed to crack the 65-point mark in three straight outings and look lost in their sets.

The Owls' perimeter defense is elite and will force the Pirates into contested jumpers late in the shot clock. Temple also holds a major advantage at the free-throw line, which is crucial in a game with a small spread.

The Owls shoot nearly 78% as a team from the stripe while ECU struggles to hit 70%. Those easy points will be the difference in the final four minutes.

East Carolina has been a disaster for bettors as a home underdog this season. They have failed to cover in five of their last six games when getting points on their own floor.

Expect Temple's depth and superior guard play to take over in the second half. The Owls are the more talented, more disciplined, and more reliable team in this spot.

I like the Temple -3 (-110).

5* NO BRAINER on Loyola-Chicago +9½

Loyola-Chicago is catching way too many points in this A-10 clash. The Ramblers have a gritty defensive identity that travels well on the road.

Davidson is tough at home, but they lack the explosive offense to cover a nearly double-digit spread. The Wildcats rely heavily on the three-ball and floor spacing to generate their points.

Loyola ranks among the best in the conference at defending the perimeter and limiting high-quality looks. They force opponents into long possessions and difficult shots late in the shot clock.

This slow-tempo style limits the total number of possessions for both teams. In a low-possession game, a 9.5-point head start is massive for the underdog.

The Ramblers are also very disciplined when it comes to the glass. They do not give up many second-chance points, which is vital for staying competitive on the road.

Loyola comes into this game with a rest advantage after having a full week to prepare. Davidson had a high-intensity battle on Tuesday night and could be looking at a letdown spot here.

The Ramblers have been great for bettors lately, going 4-1 ATS in their last five away games. They have the veteran leadership in the backcourt to handle the crowd and stay composed.

Loyola takes care of the ball and avoids the empty possessions that lead to easy transition buckets. If they can keep this game in the half-court, they will be within striking distance all night.

Davidson likely wins the game, but it should be a one or two-possession fight until the final minute. This line is inflated because of Davidson's home-court reputation.

Take the points with a Ramblers team that knows how to mud it up and keep things close.

Bet Loyola-Chicago +9.5 (-108).

5* NO BRAINER on California Baptist -10

California Baptist is unbeatable at the Fowler Events Center. They enter this matchup with a perfect 11-0 record on their home floor.

Tarleton State is heading the opposite direction. The Texans have lost six straight games and look completely lost on the offensive end.

They shot just 34 percent from the field in their last outing. You cannot expect to win on the road in the WAC with that kind of shooting.

CBU has the most explosive player on the court in Dominique Daniels Jr. He leads a high-powered unit that just put up 87 points in their last win.

The Lancers are on a six-game winning streak and playing their best basketball of the season. There is also a major revenge factor at play here.

Tarleton stole an overtime win against the Lancers back in early January. CBU has been waiting for this rematch to prove that result was a fluke.

The Lancers are a different beast at home where they have never lost to the Texans. Tarleton is just 3-7 on the road and recently got blown out by 28 points against Utah Valley.

The Texans turn the ball over nearly 15 times per game. That is a recipe for disaster against a CBU team that excels at scoring in transition.

Tarleton lacks the depth to keep up if this game turns into a track meet. CBU has more weapons and a much higher ceiling on the offensive end.

The Lancers are winning by an average of nearly 10 points at home this year. This line is too low for a team with this much momentum and home-court dominance.

I expect a double-digit victory as the Texans continue their late-season slide.

I like the California Baptist -10 (-110)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on UAB  -2½

UAB is the play here because they protect the rock better than almost anyone in the country.
The Blazers rank eighth nationally in turnovers per game and lead the American in assist-to-turnover ratio.

Memphis is the complete opposite when it comes to discipline on the offensive end.
The Tigers are coughing up the ball nearly 14 times per game and struggle to find a consistent flow in the half-court.

Bartow Arena is a house of horrors for visiting teams and will be rocking for this rivalry game.
UAB is coming in with massive momentum after a successful road trip that has them sitting at 14-8 on the season.

The Blazers own a significant edge on the glass where they rank 14th in the country in total rebounds.
They are especially dangerous on the offensive end and generate easy second-chance points through physical play in the paint.

Memphis is currently shorthanded with Curtis Givens and Abdul Hakim dealing with recent injuries and illness.
The Tigers just dropped a disappointing home game to Tulane and look like a team searching for an identity on the defensive end.

Even with João Das Chagas out for the season, UAB’s physical style and fast-break efficiency should wear down the Tigers.
The Blazers average over 15 fast-break points per game and will exploit every live-ball turnover Memphis commits.

Penny Hardaway’s squad has high-end talent but they haven't shown the mental toughness to win these tough road spots lately.
Andy Kennedy has this UAB group playing fundamentally sound basketball and they have had four days of rest to prepare for this matchup.

Expect the Blazers to control the pace and limit the extra possessions Memphis needs to pull the road upset.
This number is short enough to lay with the more reliable team playing in front of a sellout home crowd.

I like the UAB -2.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Texas-Arlington +1½

Texas-Arlington is simply the better team on both ends of the floor. They have a massive physical edge in the paint that Utah Tech cannot match.

The Trailblazers are one of the weakest rebounding teams in the conference. They give up far too many second-chance points to teams that play with this much aggression.

UTA comes into this matchup with four full days of rest. They won big last Saturday and had plenty of time to get their legs back for this trip to St. George.

Utah Tech relies way too much on the three-point shot to keep games close. They have been cold lately and are shooting under 31% from deep over their last five games.

The Mavericks have an elite perimeter defense that specializes in taking away the arc. They rank in the top 50 nationally in three-point percentage defense.

Arlington also does a much better job of getting to the free-throw line. In a game with a spread this tight, free points at the stripe are usually the difference.

Utah Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games. The betting market is still giving them too much credit for home-court advantage.

UTA is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit win. They know how to carry momentum from one game to the next.

The Mavericks are the more efficient team in transition. They force turnovers at a high rate and turn those mistakes into easy points.

Utah Tech struggles to take care of the ball against heavy pressure. Arlington will speed them up and force them into bad decisions all night long.

The wrong team is favored in this spot. Arlington has the defense and the rebounding to win this game comfortably on the road.

I like the Texas-Arlington +1.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on San Francisco -7½

San Francisco has been waiting for this rematch since a heartbreaking double-overtime loss to the Lions in early January.
That defeat is the main reason the Dons aren't sitting higher in the WCC standings, and they have a massive revenge edge tonight.

Loyola Marymount is currently in a total tailspin, riding a six-game losing streak with no end in sight.
They were completely embarrassed in their last game, losing by 31 points to Santa Clara while turning the ball over 22 times.

The Lions simply cannot protect the rock right now, and that is a disaster against a San Francisco defense that thrives on pressure.
The Dons rank among the conference leaders in defensive efficiency and will feast on those transition opportunities.

San Francisco forward David Fuchs is playing some of his best basketball, coming off a dominant 30-point, 9-rebound performance.
He should dominate the paint against an LMU frontcourt that just got out-rebounded by double digits in their last outing.

Even if forward Ndewedo Newbury is limited or out with his leg injury, the Dons have the depth to cover this number at home.
The Lions have seen their shooting percentages crater on the road, and War Memorial Gym is one of the toughest places to play in the West.

San Francisco has had three full days of rest and preparation, while LMU looks like a team that has completely checked out.
The Dons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games, and they won't let off the gas in a major bounce-back spot.

Expect the Dons to control the tempo from the tip and turn this into a double-digit blowout by the mid-second half.
The Lions are reeling, and this is the worst possible matchup for a team struggling with confidence and ball security.

I like the San Francisco -7.5 (-110).

3* HEAVY HITTER on New Mexico State +1½

New Mexico State is being undervalued in this road spot against a Louisiana Tech team that is struggling to find consistent scoring.

The Aggies have turned into one of the best defensive units in Conference USA this season.

They prioritize the glass and limit second-chance points, which is the exact recipe to frustrate the Bulldogs.

Louisiana Tech relies heavily on their perimeter shooting to win games at home.

However, the Bulldogs are shooting just 31% from deep over their last three contests.

New Mexico State ranks in the top 50 nationally in three-point defense.

They run shooters off the line and force opponents into tough, contested mid-range jumpers.

The Aggies also have a significant edge at the free-throw line.

They get to the stripe nearly 22 times per game, while Louisiana Tech struggles with foul discipline in the paint.

Expect New Mexico State to control the tempo and keep this a low-possession game.

Louisiana Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as a home favorite.

The Bulldogs have a thin bench and fatigue started to show in the second half of their game this past Saturday.

New Mexico State has the depth to keep fresh bodies on the floor and win the battle in the final five minutes.

This line is essentially a pick'em, but the Aggies are the more disciplined team on both ends of the floor right now.

They are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games and have the interior size to dominate the paint tonight.

I like the New Mexico State +1.5 (-105).

3* HEAVY HITTER on St. Joe's +2½

St. Joseph's is the wrong underdog tonight at Hagan Arena.
The Hawks are a dominant 10-2 at home this season and getting points in their own gym is a massive value spot.

George Washington comes into Philadelphia on a downward slide after a 14-point home loss to Fordham on Saturday.
The Revolutionaries have lost two straight and have struggled to find consistency away from home with a 3-5 road record.

St. Joe's is heading in the opposite direction with three consecutive wins under their belt.
They have also dominated this specific matchup lately, winning four straight games against George Washington.

Injuries are a major factor here as GW is dealing with a very thin rotation.
Key contributors Trey Moss and Ty Bevins are both ruled out, which leaves the Revolutionaries without much scoring punch off the bench.

This depth problem will be exposed by a St. Joe's defense that features the A-10's premier shot-blocker in Justice Ajogbor.
Ajogbor anchors the paint and forces teams to beat the Hawks from the outside, where GW has been highly inconsistent.

On the other end of the floor, the Hawks are shooting the ball with high efficiency at home.
Dasear Haskins has been a flamethrower from deep lately, hitting 46 percent of his threes since the start of conference play.

St. Joe's matches up perfectly with GW's high-tempo style because they do not turn the ball over.
The Hawks rank near the top of the conference in taking care of the rock and will limit GW's transition opportunities.

The crowd at Hagan Arena is one of the toughest in the A-10 for opposing teams to navigate.
Expect the Hawks to feed off that energy and win this game comfortably on the scoreboard.

I like the St. Joe's +2.5 (-115).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Southern Illinois +9

Southern Illinois is catching way too many points in this Missouri Valley showdown.

The spread is inflated based on home-court bias and doesn't reflect how these two teams actually match up.

The Salukis play at one of the slowest tempos in the entire country.

They force opponents into long possessions and deep shot clocks on every single trip.

When you limit the total number of possessions in a game, every point becomes much more valuable for the underdog.

Illinois State does not have the offensive firepower to pull away and hide in a game like this.

The Redbirds struggle with shooting consistency and generally fail to thrive in a grind-it-out environment.

Southern Illinois brings a top-tier defensive unit that ranks high in effective field goal percentage allowed.

They excel at contesting the three-point line and forcing teams into mid-range jumpers.

The Salukis also do a great job of taking care of the basketball and avoiding live-ball turnovers.

Illinois State does not play an aggressive enough style of defense to disrupt the Salukis' offensive sets.

This should be a low-possession, low-scoring affair where neither team gets much breathing room.

Nine points is a massive cushion in a game that will likely be played in the low 60s.

The Salukis have a long history of keeping these rivalry games tight regardless of where they are played.

They have covered the spread in four of their last five trips to this arena.

Expect a physical battle that comes down to the final few possessions.

Take the points with the live underdog in a classic conference defensive struggle.

I like the Southern Illinois +9 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Canisius +3

Canisius and Niagara meet for another "Battle of the Bridge" and the wrong team is favored in this rivalry spot.

Niagara is laying three points at home, but they haven't shown the consistency to justify being a favorite against their biggest rival.

The Golden Griffins have the clear advantage on the offensive glass in this matchup.

They are one of the best teams in the MAAC at creating second-chance points and Niagara has been soft in the paint all season.

Canisius plays a physical brand of basketball that tends to frustrate the Purple Eagles' backcourt.

Niagara is prone to turnovers when pressured and Canisius thrives on turning those mistakes into easy transition buckets.

The Purple Eagles are also struggling with their perimeter defense lately.

They are giving up way too many open looks from three-point range and the Griffs have the shooters to capitalize.

In a rivalry game like this, the intensity usually leads to a lower-scoring, grind-it-out affair.

Points are at a premium and getting a full possession of cushion is a gift for bettors.

Canisius has covered the spread in four of their last five road games.

They are not intimidated by the atmosphere at the Gallagher Center and have historically played well in this building.

Niagara’s offense relies too heavily on individual playmaking.

When their shots are not falling, they do not have a reliable secondary option to keep them in games.

The Griffs are the more disciplined team and they shoot a higher percentage from the free-throw line.

That efficiency will be the difference in the final two minutes of a tight contest.

I expect this game to come down to the final shot.

I like the Canisius +3.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Auburn +5½

Auburn is catching way too many points against a Tennessee team that isn't defending the paint like they used to. The Volunteers currently rank 11th in the SEC in two-point field goal percentage allowed during conference play.

The Tigers enter this matchup on a four-game win streak and boast the highest defensive efficiency rating in the league over the last month. They also lead the SEC in free-throw attempt rate, which spells trouble for a Tennessee defense that fouls at a high frequency.

Tennessee is coming off a grueling overtime win at Georgia on Wednesday where their main contributors logged massive minutes. Star guard Ja'Kobi Gillespie played 41 minutes in that contest and may struggle to maintain his defensive intensity against Auburn’s fresh legs.

The Volunteers are also nursing multiple injuries with rotation pieces Jaylen Carey and Troy Henderson both listed as probable but likely limited. Auburn has their own depth issues with Abdul Bashir and Emeka Opurum out, but head coach Steven Pearl has shown he can adjust his rotation on the fly.

Keyshawn Hall is the best player on the floor right now and should be the difference maker after dropping 31 points against Texas earlier this week. His ability to create his own shot late in the shot clock will be vital in a tough road environment.

Auburn travels well because they don't rely on high-variance three-point shooting to stay in games. They attack the rim and get to the charity stripe, which is the exact formula needed to keep this game within a possession.

In a high-intensity rivalry where the defensive metrics actually favor the underdog, getting 5.5 points is a gift. Expect a back-and-forth battle that is decided in the final minute.

I like the Auburn +5.5 (-110).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Brown PK

Brown is the right side in this Ivy League battle.
This is the second game of the classic Friday-Saturday back-to-back.

Dartmouth spent last night on the road and had to travel again to reach Providence.
Brown stayed at home and didn't have to deal with a bus ride after their Friday game.

The travel fatigue usually shows up in the second half of these Saturday matchups.
Brown has a major edge when it comes to defensive efficiency.

They rank much higher in effective field goal percentage defense than Dartmouth.
The Big Green struggle to score when they can't get easy looks at the rim.

Brown’s length on the perimeter will make life difficult for Dartmouth's shooters.
The Bears also dominate the boards in this matchup.

Dartmouth gives up too many offensive rebounds and second-chance points.
Those extra possessions are killers for a road team on short rest.

Brown plays with a faster tempo that wears down tired legs.
Dartmouth wants to slow it down, but they won't be able to dictate the pace tonight.

The Big Green have been a poor bet on the road all season.
They lack the depth to keep up with Brown’s rotation in a high-speed game.

Brown is the more physical team and will win the battle in the paint.
The Bears’ ability to get to the free-throw line will be the deciding factor late.

Expect Brown to pull away as Dartmouth's legs give out in the final ten minutes.
The home court is worth more than a pick-em line here.

I like the Brown PK (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on UL - Lafayette +3½

Louisiana is catching points at home and that is a massive mistake by the oddsmakers.

The Ragin' Cajuns are a completely different team when they play inside the Cajundome.

Georgia Southern comes into this matchup after a grueling road game on Thursday night.

They are playing their second game in three days and the fatigue will show in the second half.

Louisiana excels at pushing the pace and forcing opponents into high-speed track meets.

Georgia Southern’s defensive rotations tend to slow down significantly when their legs are heavy.

The Cajuns rank near the top of the Sun Belt in effective field goal percentage at home.

They shoot the three-pointer with much more confidence and consistency in their own gym.

Louisiana also holds a significant edge in the turnover department.

They force a high volume of mistakes and transition those steals into easy buckets.

Georgia Southern has struggled with ball security and composure in loud road environments all season.

The rebounding battle also favors the home side in this spot.

Louisiana is aggressive on the offensive glass and creates far too many second-chance opportunities.

This is a clear revenge spot for the Cajuns after dropping a close game to the Eagles earlier this year.

Conference home dogs getting more than a bucket are a consistent moneymaker for professional bettors.

Louisiana has the depth and the perimeter shooting to win this game outright.

I like the UL - Lafayette +3.5 (-110)

5* NO BRAINER on Southern Utah +6½

Southern Utah is catching way too many points in a matchup against a team they already dismantled earlier this month. The Thunderbirds cruised to a 74-52 victory over Abilene Christian on January 17, proving they have the defensive blueprint to neutralize the Wildcats' system.

Abilene Christian enters this game in a complete tailspin, having dropped four of their last five contests. They are struggling to find any offensive rhythm and their defensive rotations were repeatedly exposed in a home loss to Utah Tech this past Thursday.

The Wildcats rely almost exclusively on forcing turnovers to spark their transition game. Southern Utah’s backcourt handles that pressure as well as anyone in the conference and limited the Wildcats to just 52 points in their first meeting.

Southern Utah also holds a clear advantage in the paint that should manifest on the boards today. They dominated the glass in the previous matchup and have the size to prevent Abilene Christian from getting the easy second-chance buckets they desperately need.

Abilene Christian has been a nightmare for bettors lately, posting a 7-10 record against the spread and failing to cover in three of their last four home games. While the Thunderbirds have struggled on the road, they have the psychological edge and the personnel to keep this within a single possession.

Expect a physical, lower-scoring battle that favors the underdog getting more than two full possessions. Abilene Christian doesn't have the shooting efficiency right now to pull away from a team that already knows how to beat them.

I like the Southern Utah +6.5 (-115)

5* NO BRAINER on Tennessee State -4½

Tennessee State is the sharp side in this OVC clash.
The Tigers have been a dominant force at the Gentry Center with a 7-1 record on their home floor this season.

Little Rock has been a disaster for bettors when traveling.
The Trojans are just 4-9 on the road and have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six away games.

Tennessee State already proved they are the better team by going into Little Rock and taking a five-point win earlier this month.
Returning home for the rematch gives the Tigers a massive psychological and statistical edge.

The injury report is working heavily against the Trojans tonight.
The loss of K.K. Robinson for the season has gutted their backcourt depth and scoring options.

Tennessee State possesses one of the most explosive offenses in the conference.
They average over 81 points per game while the Trojans have struggled to crack the 72-point mark.

Travis Harper II is the best player on the floor and is coming off a dominant 30-point performance.
He should have no problem finding his rhythm against a thin Little Rock defense that lacks a primary stopper.

The Tigers also hold a significant advantage on the glass.
They are one of the best rebounding teams in the league and will limit Little Rock to one shot per possession.

Little Rock’s turnover problems will be their downfall in a hostile environment.
They cough up the ball over 13 times per game and the Tigers are elite at turning those mistakes into transition points.

Tennessee State has covered four straight games when favored at home.
This line is too short for a team with this much of a mismatch in terms of both health and home-court advantage.

I like the Tennessee State -4.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on The Citadel -2½

VMI is a mess right now and heading into a hostile environment at McAlister Field House.
They have lost six games in a row and their road record is a pathetic 1-8 this season.

The Citadel already went into Lexington and smoked these guys by 14 points less than two weeks ago.
Getting the Bulldogs at home while only laying 2.5 points is a gift.

The Keydets are one of the worst shooting teams in the country, ranking 350th in field goal percentage.
They rely way too much on the three-pointer but only hit 31% of their attempts away from home.

The Citadel's defense is disciplined enough to run them off the line and force contested shots in the paint.
The Bulldogs are also playing with high confidence after a 19-point comeback win against Furman.

VMI is likely shorthanded tonight with Rickey Bradley Jr. listed as questionable with an undisclosed injury.
He is a key piece of their rotation and without him, their already struggling offense loses its primary spark.

The Keydets simply don't have the size or the defensive stops to keep this close on the road.
They rank near the bottom of the country in total rebounding and give up way too many second-chance points.

VMI gives up nearly 80 points per game and their transition defense is basically non-existent.
The Bulldogs have the rest advantage and have historically performed well in this military rivalry when playing in Charleston.

Expect The Citadel to control the glass and the tempo from the opening tip.
The value is clearly on the home side against a VMI team that hasn't covered a spread in five straight games.

Bet The Citadel -2.5 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Western Carolina +11

Western Carolina heads into Freedom Hall tonight with a massive number on their side.

The public sees a 1-10 road team and wants to run the other way.

I see a rivalry matchup where one team has owned the head-to-head series for years.

Western Carolina has won eight of the last ten meetings against East Tennessee State.

That includes a 72-68 win just two weeks ago on January 14th.

The Catamounts were 7.5-point underdogs in that game and won outright.

Now we are getting 11 points because the venue shifted to Johnson City.

ETSU is admittedly a different beast at home with an 11-1 record at Freedom Hall.

They just dismantled The Citadel by 29 points and are shooting nearly 50% from the floor.

But the Catamounts have found a recipe that works against the Buccaneers' defense.

Western Carolina is coming off its own 30-point blowout win over VMI on Saturday.

Marcus Kell is the engine for this offense and he is coming off an efficient 18-point performance.

WCU is also one of the better offensive rebounding teams in the SoCon, averaging over 12 per game.

Those second-chance points are crucial when you are trying to keep a game within two possessions.

The Buccaneers are 15-6 and sitting at the top of the conference, but they rarely blow out WCU.

The Catamounts are 6-4 against the spread in the last ten meetings between these two schools.

Eleven points is too much respect for a favorite that has struggled to put this specific opponent away.

Expect a high-energy game that stays much tighter than the oddsmakers suggest.

I like the Western Carolina +11.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Louisiana Tech +2½

Louisiana Tech is catching points despite being the clearly superior team on both ends of the floor. The Bulldogs own one of the most suffocating defenses in the country, currently ranking second nationally in scoring defense.

They also rank fifth in the nation in field goal percentage defense. LA Tech already proved they could shut down this UTEP offense by beating the Miners by 12 points just a month ago.

The Bulldogs bring massive momentum into El Paso after three straight double-digit comeback wins. That type of toughness is exactly what you want when backing a road underdog.

UTEP is currently reeling with a 7-13 record and is stuck at the bottom of the Conference USA standings. They are dealing with a thin rotation as guard Tyreese Watson is out for the season and forward David Tubek remains questionable.

The Miners rely on transition points to survive, but LA Tech is elite at getting back and forcing teams into half-court sets. The Bulldogs have a significant edge on the glass and should dominate the second-chance scoring battle.

LA Tech has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings between these two programs. They are simply the more efficient team and should be favored even on the road.

Bet Louisiana Tech +2.5 (-115).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Illinois State +3½

Illinois State is catching too many points in a game they can win outright.
The Redbirds have been a cash cow lately, covering the spread in six of their last seven games as an underdog.

Murray State is struggling to find any rhythm on the offensive end right now.
The Racers are shooting under 42 percent from the floor over their last three games.

Illinois State hangs its hat on a tough, physical interior defense.
They rank near the top of the Missouri Valley in defensive effective field goal percentage.

Murray State relies heavily on the three-pointer to win, but the shots aren't falling.
They are hitting just 31 percent from deep in home games throughout this month.

The Redbirds control the tempo and force teams into a half-court grind.
This slow pace limits total possessions and makes every point on the spread more valuable.

Murray State is a miserable 4-9 against the spread when favored at home this season.
They simply do not have the scoring punch to pull away from a disciplined defensive team.

Illinois State also holds a significant advantage on the boards.
They are one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the conference.

Those second-chance opportunities will be the difference in a tight conference battle.
The Racers are coming off a flat performance and haven't shown they can cover this number.

Both teams are well-rested after playing their last games on Saturday.
This favors the underdog, as Illinois State has the legs to keep their defensive intensity high for 40 minutes.

Expect the Redbirds to keep this within a single bucket until the final buzzer sounds.
There is a massive lack of scoring punch for the home team right now.

I like the Illinois State +3.5.

5* NO BRAINER on Xavier +7

Seven points is far too many to give a disciplined Xavier team in this spot.
Seton Hall plays at one of the slowest tempos in the country and thrives on defensive grinds.

In a low-possession game, every point is magnified and covering a spread this large is a tall task.
Xavier brings a much more balanced offensive attack to the floor tonight.

The Musketeers rank significantly higher in effective field goal percentage and three-point accuracy.
Seton Hall’s offense often goes through long droughts where they struggle to find consistent scoring.

They lack the elite shot-makers needed to pull away from a quality conference opponent.
Xavier is also excellent at protecting the rim and won't allow Seton Hall easy looks in the paint.

The Musketeers have been road warriors lately and have covered in four of their last five away games.
They also have a major advantage at the free-throw line where they rank near the top of the Big East.

That is a critical factor for a road underdog looking to keep a game within the number late.
Seton Hall is coming off a high-intensity game this past Saturday and could be in a letdown spot.

The Pirates’ bench is thin and foul trouble could quickly become a major issue against Xavier’s aggressive guards.
Xavier has the veteran leadership to handle the hostile environment and stay composed during Seton Hall runs.

The data suggests this game will be a possession-by-possession battle decided in the final minute.
Grabbing seven points with the better shooting team is the sharp play in a rivalry match.

I like the Xavier +7

3* HEAVY HITTER on Duquesne -3

Duquesne is the clear side here as they return home following a massive 71-59 road win over Loyola Chicago. They are finally finding their rhythm in Atlantic 10 play and look like a different team than they did a month ago.

St. Bonaventure is heading in the complete opposite direction right now. The Bonnies are coming off a humiliating 97-62 home loss to Saint Louis and have dropped four straight games on the road.

The backcourt advantage for the Dukes is overwhelming in this matchup. Tarence Guinyard is playing like an All-Conference talent, leading the team in scoring and assists while limiting turnovers.

Jimmie Williams is providing the perfect secondary punch for Duquesne. He is coming off a career-high 10 rebounds and gives the Dukes a physical edge on the perimeter that the Bonnies simply cannot match.

Depth is a massive concern for St. Bonaventure tonight. They are dealing with a cluster of injuries to key rotation pieces like Amar'e Marshall and Xander Wedlow, leaving them thin on the bench.

It is nearly impossible to trust a defense that just allowed 97 points on their own floor. Their rotations are slow and they are currently ranked near the bottom of the league in defending the three-point line.

Duquesne is much more efficient at UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse where they shoot the ball with high confidence. They will exploit a Bonnies team that has shown very little fight away from home this month.

This line is far too low given the current trajectory of these two programs. Take the team with the healthy stars and the home-court advantage to win this by double digits.

I like the Duquesne -3.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Loyola-Chicago +3½

The public is going to be all over St. Joe's in this spot after their big win over Dayton on Saturday. That is exactly why we are looking the other direction with the home dog.

St. Joe's is a completely different team when they leave Philadelphia. The Hawks are a dominant 11-2 at home but have been a disaster on the road with a 1-6 record this season.

This is a massive letdown spot for the Hawks. Teams often struggle to find that same intensity in a road gym right after a emotional win over a top-tier conference opponent.

Loyola-Chicago has struggled through a seven-game losing streak but they are due for a bounce-back at the Gentile Arena. Despite the recent slump, the Ramblers have historically won 11 of their last 13 home night games against Atlantic 10 competition.

The matchup in the paint will be a defensive battle. St. Joe's has a premier rim protector in Justice Ajogbor, but Loyola counters with Miles Rubin who is one of the top shot-blockers in the country.

Loyola has dealt with a banged-up backcourt with Justin Moore and Kayde Dotson missing time recently. However, the Ramblers have enough depth with Nic Anderson and Deywilk Tavarez to keep this game within a possession.

The line is telling the story here. If St. Joe's were as good as their recent win suggests, they should be favored by more than 3.5 against a five-win team.

The oddsmakers are begging you to take the favorite, but the Hawks' road shooting and turnover issues make them a risky play. Trust the home-court urgency for a Loyola team desperate to snap their skid.

Bet Loyola-Chicago +3.5.

5* NO BRAINER of the Month on Arizona State +8½

Arizona State is getting too many points in this spot after proving they can compete with the upper tier of the Big 12.
The Sun Devils are fresh off a dominant 14-point win over Cincinnati and have shown they can handle hostile environments.

Arizona State has been a bankable underdog all season with a 7-4 record against the spread in that role.
The main reason for this late-season surge is the play of guard Moe Odum.

Odum is the engine of this offense and is coming off a massive 33-point masterpiece where he dominated every facet of the game.
He gives the Sun Devils a legitimate closer who can create his own shot when the shot clock winds down.

UCF has a glossy 15-4 record but they have been a major disappointment for bettors when asked to lay wood.
The Knights are just 4-6 against the spread as favorites this season and frequently let teams hang around late.

Arizona State is thin in the rotation with Marcus Adams Jr. and Adante’ Holiman still sidelined with injuries.
Even with a short bench, the Sun Devils have played with a high level of defensive intensity that keeps them in every contest.

UCF relies on second-chance points and transition buckets to fuel their offense.
Arizona State matches up well here because they have the length and speed to disrupt passing lanes and limit easy looks.

The Knights are coming off a high-scoring road win at Colorado and are in a prime letdown spot returning home.
Asking them to cover nearly double digits against a team with the guard play of ASU is a tall order.

Expect the Sun Devils to dictate the tempo and force UCF into a half-court game where the Knights often struggle to execute.
This should be a two-possession game right down to the final buzzer.

Bet Arizona State +8.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on BYU +3½

Arizona arrives in Provo with a perfect 20-0 record, but this is their most dangerous trap of the season. The Marriott Center is one of the most hostile environments in the Big 12 and BYU is catching 3.5 points as a Top-15 home underdog.

BYU is coming off an emotional win against Utah where freshman phenom AJ Dybantsa set a school record with 43 points on Saturday. He is the most explosive scorer in the country right now and Arizona’s perimeter defense will have its hands full.

Both teams are playing their second game in three days after Saturday conference matchups. This short rest situation favors the home team, especially at the high altitude in Provo.

Arizona has been dominant, but they only make 6.3 three-pointers per game, which ranks near the bottom of the country. They rely heavily on inside scoring and midrange jumpers to move the needle.

BYU has the offensive variance to break Arizona's streak because they rank near the top of the nation in three-point attempts and transition pace. If the Cougars get hot from deep, Arizona does not have the perimeter volume to keep up in a shootout.

The Wildcats' scoring average drops by nearly 10 points per game when they leave Tucson. They are averaging 94.3 points at home but only 84.5 on the road this season.

BYU won this matchup on the road last season and they have the confidence to pull the outright upset tonight. I expect a high-scoring battle that comes down to the final possession.

The Cougars are 17-2 for a reason and getting more than a possession at home is too much value to pass up. I am riding with the home dog and the hot hand of Dybantsa.

I like the BYU +3.5 (-112)

5* NO BRAINER on Duke -6½

Duke at home is a different animal and this number is far too low.

The Blue Devils are coming off a dominant performance on Saturday and have all the momentum.

Louisville is forced to travel to Durham on just one day of rest after a grueling road game.

The Cardinals have been sloppy with the ball and struggle against elite pressure.

Duke ranks in the top tier of the ACC in defensive turnover rate.

They will turn those Louisville mistakes into easy transition buckets all night long.

Duke also holds a massive edge in effective field goal percentage.

They are hitting nearly 40 percent of their threes when playing at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Louisville’s perimeter defense is leaky and gives up too many open looks to quality shooters.

The Blue Devils have the bench depth to keep fresh legs on the floor during this quick turnaround.

Louisville’s starters logged heavy minutes just two days ago and will likely fade in the second half.

Duke’s second unit is contributing over 20 points per game and provides a huge spark.

The Blue Devils have covered the spread in four of their last five home games.

Louisville is just 2-7 against the spread in their last nine road trips.

The atmosphere at Cameron will be too much for this Louisville squad to handle under pressure.

Duke should use a big run early in the second half to put this game out of reach.

Trust the more talented team with the better coaching staff to get the job done.

Bet Duke -6.5.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Weber State +8

Weber State is catching too many points in a high-stakes rivalry spot on Saturday night. Montana State is currently riding a six-game home winning streak, which has forced this spread to an inflated number.

The Bobcats looked sharp against Idaho State on Thursday, but they are stepping up in class against a potent Weber State offense. The Wildcats hold a significant advantage on the boards that will likely decide the outcome of this game.

Weber State averages nearly 37 rebounds per game compared to just 30 for the Bobcats. Dominating the glass will limit second-chance opportunities for Montana State and keep the Wildcats in control of the pace.

Weber State is the more efficient scoring team in this matchup. They put up nearly 84 points per night and feature multiple playmakers who can create their own shots late in the shot clock.

Tijan Saine and Edwin Suarez lead a veteran roster that has the experience to handle the hostile environment in Bozeman. Both teams are fully healthy with no major injuries reported, so we are seeing the best versions of these rosters tonight.

Montana State boasts the best NET ranking in the Big Sky, but they have shown vulnerabilities on the defensive end. They allow over 70 points per game and often struggle to put away opponents who can match their intensity.

Weber State has the physicality in the paint to exploit Montana State's lack of interior depth. This game marks the end of a grueling road stretch for the Wildcats after playing in Missoula on Thursday night.

While travel is a factor, the "Battle of the Cats" always brings out the best in both programs. Historical trends favor the underdog in this rivalry when the spread climbs toward double digits.

The Wildcats have the scoring power and the rebounding edge to turn this into a forty-minute fight. I expect them to play with high energy as they look to erase the taste of their mid-week loss to Montana.

I like the Weber State +8.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Bradley -5½

Bradley is a different animal when they play at Carver Arena. They come into this matchup with a massive home-court advantage and all the momentum.

The Braves have won five straight games in Peoria. They just took down a very solid Indiana State squad on Wednesday night.

Illinois-Chicago is a mediocre 10-10 team that has not found its footing on the road in conference play. The Flames are turning the ball over too much and Bradley is exactly the type of team to exploit that.

The Braves play a very disciplined style of basketball and rarely beat themselves. They rank near the top of the MVC in defensive efficiency and they do not give up easy buckets in the paint.

UIC relies far too much on their outside shooting to keep games close. They are hitting less than 32% from deep on the road which is a recipe for disaster in this building.

Bradley’s size and length on the perimeter will make life miserable for the UIC guards. The Braves also have a clear edge on the boards and should win the battle for second-chance points easily.

The Braves are 12-2 this season when they are the betting favorite. They have a knack for pulling away in the second half when opponents start to wear down.

Expect Bradley to dictate the pace from the opening tip. This line is too short for a team that has been dominant at home all season.

I like the Bradley -5.5 (-112).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Duquesne -5

Duquesne is the much stronger side in this matchup and the line is giving way too much credit to the home floor.
Loyola-Chicago is currently in a tailspin with six straight losses and no clear path out of the basement.

The Ramblers are dealing with a massive injury crisis that has gutted their rotation at the worst possible time.
Key contributors Xavier Amos and Justin Moore are both sidelined, leaving the offense without its primary playmakers.

Loyola has failed to protect Gentile Arena all season and currently holds a dismal 3-9 record on their home court.
Duquesne brings a level of physicality and toughness on the interior that the Ramblers simply cannot match.

The Dukes are relentless on the glass and recently pulled down 17 offensive rebounds in a single game.
That extra effort leads to second-chance points that will break a depleted Loyola defense by the second half.

Jimmie Williams is playing at an elite level right now and is coming off a massive 28-point performance.
He will be the best player on the floor and should have his way with a very thin Loyola backcourt.

Loyola has failed to cover the spread in five straight games because they cannot find consistent scoring.
They are turning the ball over too often and giving up easy transition buckets to disciplined teams like Duquesne.

The Dukes won the last meeting between these two by 13 points and the roster gap has only widened since then.
Expect Duquesne to pull away late as their depth and rebounding advantage wear down the shorthanded Ramblers.

Bet Duquesne -5 (-105)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Massachusetts -2½

UMass is the clear side here as they head into Buffalo with all the momentum. The Minutemen are coming off a gritty win over Toledo and look like the more physical team in this matchup.

Buffalo is trending in the wrong direction at the worst possible time. They have dropped four games in a row and their defense has completely fallen apart during this skid.

The Bulls are giving up way too many easy looks at the rim and struggle to close out on shooters. They are also likely missing a major piece of their rotation with guard Daniel Freitag questionable due to a concussion.

If Freitag is out, Buffalo loses a key ball-handler against a UMass defense that loves to pressure the perimeter. Frank Martin has this UMass squad playing a high-effort style that wears opponents down over forty minutes.

The Minutemen are superior on the glass and should dominate the second-chance points category tonight. Buffalo’s interior defense is currently too soft to keep UMass from getting high-percentage looks near the basket.

UMass has been much more reliable for bettors lately and they have the size to dominate this game. They have the defensive discipline and the rebounding edge to go on the road and cover this short number.

The Bulls are reeling and do not have the current form to suggest they can stop the bleeding against a physical opponent. Lay the small number with the better defensive team in a prime bounce-back spot for their conference standing.

I like the Massachusetts -2.5 (-105)

5* NO BRAINER on St Bonaventure +8½

Getting 8.5 points with a home underdog in a tough Atlantic 10 environment is the value play here.
St. Bonaventure is notoriously difficult to beat at the Reilly Center and they rarely get blown out on their own floor.

This line assumes St. Louis will dictate a high-speed game that favors their offensive efficiency.
However, the Bonnies are excellent at limiting possessions and forcing teams into half-court battles.

The Billikens have struggled to maintain their high eFG% on the road where the rims are less friendly.
St. Bonaventure ranks in the top tier of the conference in defensive rebounding and should limit second-chance points tonight.

The Bonnies do not turn the ball over often, which prevents St. Louis from getting out in transition for easy buckets.
St. Bonaventure is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games as an underdog against conference opponents.

St. Louis is coming off a physical battle earlier this week and might show some tired legs in the second half.
Expect this to be a two or three-possession game throughout the final ten minutes.

The crowd in Olean will be a major factor in keeping the Bonnies energized on the defensive end.
St. Bonaventure's ability to control the tempo will frustrate the visitors and keep the score low.

Winning by nine or more on the road in this conference is a massive task for any team.
The spread is simply too wide for a matchup between two teams that know each other this well.

Bet St Bonaventure +8.5 (-115).

5* NO BRAINER of the Week on Long Beach State +3½

Long Beach State is catching way too many points in a rivalry game they have already dominated in the recent past. The Beach enters tonight on a three-game winning streak and finally looks like the premier contender in the Big West.

They are playing with high confidence after taking down CSUN and UC Riverside in back-to-back road and home spots. Cal State Fullerton is headed in the opposite direction, dropping two straight games while surrendering over 80 points in both contests.

The Titans' defensive efficiency has fallen off a cliff lately. They are allowing 84.8 points per game this season and lack the lateral quickness to stay in front of the aggressive LBSU backcourt.

Long Beach State has the clear edge in offensive flow and shot creation. They have significantly improved their shooting percentages since Dallas Washington returned to the lineup to provide a secondary scoring threat.

Roster depth is a massive advantage for the visitors in this matchup. Fullerton is struggling to fill out its rotation with key contributors Timo George and Riley Parker both ruled out due to injuries.

Losing that veteran depth hurts a Titans team that is already prone to scoring droughts. Long Beach State will exploit those gaps with a transition game that ranks among the fastest in the conference.

Gavin Sykes is the best player on the floor and should have his way with a porous Fullerton perimeter defense. Sykes is averaging nearly 19 points per game and has the "green light" to attack early and often.

The Beach also holds a significant advantage on the glass. They are much more athletic in the paint and should generate enough second-chance points to keep the Titans under constant pressure.

The underdog has been the sharp side to back in this series, covering in 60% of the last ten meetings. Taking more than a possession with the hotter, healthier team is the only way to play this.

I like the Long Beach State +3.5 (-112).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Montana -5

Montana is catching Weber State at the perfect time and the price is right.

The Grizzlies return home after a dominant 26-point road win over Northern Arizona where they looked elite on both ends.

They are firing on all cylinders offensively and just put up 98 points behind a massive performance from Te'Jon Sawyer.

Weber State is trending the opposite direction after a disappointing home loss to Idaho on Saturday where their offense went cold.

The Wildcats have struggled to find consistency on the road where their shooting numbers take a significant dip compared to playing in Ogden.

Montana’s defense is currently the top unit in the Big Sky when it comes to effective field goal percentage defense.

They force teams into long possessions and contested jumpers which will frustrate a Weber State squad that relies heavily on one or two scorers.

The Grizzlies have won three straight meetings against the Wildcats and covered the spread in all of them.

Dahlberg Arena is one of the toughest environments in the conference and Montana has been a covering machine in Missoula.

They have covered the spread in five of their last six home games and historically dominate this series on their own floor.

Weber State lacks the bench depth to keep up if this game turns into a track meet in the second half.

Montana has a balanced attack and multiple shooters who can exploit a Weber State transition defense that looked slow in their last outing.

The Grizzlies also hold a major edge at the free-throw line where they shoot nearly 80% as a team.

That efficiency is key for covering a mid-range spread when the visiting team has to foul late.

I like the Montana -5 (-110)

3* HEAVY HITTER on North Dakota State -4

North Dakota State is currently the class of the Summit League and enters this contest with a perfect 6-0 conference record.
The Bison have a massive defensive edge that isn't being fully reflected in this short spread.

NDSU is holding opponents to just 70 points per game this season.
Denver is surrendering a massive 85.1 points per contest, which is one of the worst defensive marks in the nation.

The Bison offense is powered by a balanced attack featuring Markhi Strickland, Damari Wheeler-Thomas, and Trevian Carson.
Strickland ranks 18th nationally in field goal percentage and should feast on a soft Pioneers interior tonight.

Denver plays at a high tempo but lacks the defensive discipline to stop high-efficiency offenses.
The Pioneers have a losing record overall and have consistently folded against the top tier of the conference.

Trevian Carson’s defensive pressure will be a major problem for the Denver backcourt.
He ranks 22nd in the nation in steals and will trigger easy transition buckets for the Bison.

North Dakota State is 16-5 overall and 5-3 on the road this season.
They are led by a veteran group that won't be rattled by the altitude or the home-court environment in Denver.

Denver is still finding its identity under a first-year head coach and lacks the depth to keep up for forty minutes.
The Pioneers allow teams to shoot nearly 50% from the floor, which plays right into NDSU's efficient style.

The talent gap in this matchup is significantly wider than the four points suggested by the oddsmakers.
Expect the Bison to control the pace and pull away comfortably in the second half.

I like the North Dakota State -4.

3* HEAVY HITTER on SE Missouri State -5½

SE Missouri State is in a prime spot to close their home stand with a big conference cover.

The Redhawks are fresh off a beatdown of UT Martin where they held the league leaders to just 50 points.

That defensive energy is real and it creates a massive advantage at the Show Me Center.

Little Rock has been a disaster on the road this season, posting a mediocre 4-8 record away from home.

The Trojans struggle with ball security and cough it up nearly 14 times per game.

SEMO is much more disciplined with the rock and will capitalize on those extra possessions.

We also have a clear psychological edge in this matchup.

The Redhawks have taken the last two meetings in this series, including a 19-point blowout in the conference tournament.

They know how to crack this Little Rock defense which allows a high eFG% to conference opponents.

SEMO is shooting the ball with confidence and just needs to maintain their pace to win this going away.

The Trojans don't have the defensive depth to keep up if this becomes a high-possession game.

Little Rock has been idle since Saturday and that long layoff often leads to rust on the road.

The Redhawks have the better backcourt and the momentum after their Tuesday night masterclass.

Lay the points with the home team in a clear mismatch of current form.

I like the SE Missouri State -5.5 (-106).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Washington State -2½

Washington State is the much better team in this spot despite being on the road. This short line is a gift because of the massive gap in interior efficiency.

The Cougars rank inside the top 50 nationally in effective field goal percentage. San Diego is outside the top 200 in defensive rating and struggles to stop anyone at the rim.

WSU controls the glass on both ends of the floor. They are currently out-rebounding opponents by nearly seven boards per game.

San Diego is giving up way too many second-chance points during their recent slide. The Toreros have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five outings.

The Toreros also have a major problem taking care of the basketball. They turn it over on nearly 20% of their possessions, which is a recipe for disaster against this defense.

Washington State converts those mistakes into easy transition buckets and doesn't let teams back into the game. The Cougars are coming off a big win last Saturday and have had three full days of rest to prepare for this road trip.

San Diego lacks the depth to keep up if this game turns into a track meet. Wazzu has more options off the bench and better overall shooting from the perimeter.

Expect the Cougars to pull away late in the second half once the Toreros get into foul trouble. The size advantage for WSU will be the difference-maker in the paint all night.

I like the Washington State -2.5 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Syracuse -3½

Syracuse is a completely different beast when they play inside the JMA Wireless Dome. The Orange are looking to bounce back fast after a disappointing overtime loss to Boston College last Saturday.

Head coach Adrian Autry has this team playing elite defense at home this season. Syracuse holds a dominant 9-2 all-time record against Virginia Tech when playing in New York.

Virginia Tech is the ultimate home-court hero that falls apart on the road. The Hokies are 11-1 at home but have managed only one win in a true road environment all year.

Their perimeter shooting takes a massive hit away from home and the task gets even harder tonight. Key guard Tyler Johnson is officially ruled out for the Hokies with an ankle injury.

Losing a primary ball-handler is a nightmare when facing the length and pressure of this Syracuse defense. The Orange thrive on forcing turnovers and turning those mistakes into easy transition buckets.

Donnie Freeman should have his way in the paint against a thin Hokies frontcourt. Freeman is coming off a monster 19-point, 14-rebound performance and leads an Orange squad that is elite at offensive rebounding.

Virginia Tech lacks the size to keep Syracuse off the glass for forty minutes. The Hokies rank near the bottom of the conference in defensive rebounding percentage and will give up too many second-chance looks.

Syracuse has covered the spread in seven of their last ten games overall. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech is a poor 4-6 against the spread over their last ten outings and looks tired.

The Orange are more athletic at every position and will wear down a Hokies rotation that is missing a key piece. Expect Syracuse to control the tempo and pull away mid-way through the second half.

The Dome will be rocking for this ACC showdown and the home team is the only way to look. This line is far too short for a team that is nearly unbeatable in its own building.

I like the Syracuse -3.5.

5* NO BRAINER on Sam Houston State -5

Kennesaw State is walking into a trap in Huntsville tonight because they are missing their primary engine. Leading scorer Simeon Cottle is suspended indefinitely, leaving a massive 20-point-per-game hole in an offense that relies on high-volume scoring.

The Owls play at the fourth-fastest pace in the country, but that speed is a liability without their best ball-handler. They already rank 237th nationally in turnovers per possession and will struggle to maintain rhythm in a hostile road environment.

Sam Houston is a dominant 7-1 at home this season and possesses the defensive discipline to exploit Kennesaw’s sloppy play. The Bearkats excel at forcing contested looks and rank significantly higher in overall defensive efficiency.

The shooting splits favor the home team heavily in this matchup. Sam Houston knocks down 36% of their looks from beyond the arc, while the Owls rank 212th in opponent three-point shooting percentage.

Kennesaw State managed a win in their last outing without Cottle, but that was a home game where they rode a career night from RJ Johnson. Repeating that performance on the road against a disciplined Sam Houston defense is a much tougher ask.

The Bearkats have the rebounding strength to negate Kennesaw’s second-chance opportunities and keep the game played on their terms. Expect Sam Houston to pull away in the second half as the Owls' depth issues and turnover problems mount.

This line is far too short for a team missing its superstar against one of the best home teams in Conference USA.

I like the Sam Houston State -5 (-114)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Fordham +5

Fordham is catching too many points in this Atlantic 10 battle tonight.
The Rams have built their identity on a high-pressure defense that makes every possession a total struggle.

That style is exactly what you want when backing a road underdog in conference play.
Davidson prefers a clean game with plenty of space to find their open shooters.

Fordham is going to take that space away and force this into a half-court grind.
The Rams rank near the top of the conference in defensive turnover percentage and effective field goal defense.

They fly to the ball and force opponents into tough, contested jumpers late in the shot clock.
Davidson has shown they can go cold for long stretches when they are pushed out of their comfort zone.

The Wildcats are also struggling to reward bettors at home lately.
They are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games when favored on their own court.

Fordham has had four full days to rest and prepare since their last game on Saturday.
They are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog of five points or fewer.

The Rams also have a significant edge on the offensive glass.
They create second-chance opportunities that keep the clock moving and keep the score tight.

Davidson lacks the interior size to stop Fordham from winning the battle for loose balls and rebounds.
Expect a physical, low-scoring game that is decided in the final two minutes.

Getting five points with a live dog that plays this hard on the defensive end is a massive edge.
I like the Fordham +5 (-110).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Auburn -2½

Auburn travels to Oxford tonight with a massive offensive edge. The Tigers are scoring 86.7 points per game, which ranks 30th in the nation.

The primary advantage here is Auburn's ability to live at the free-throw line. They rank top five nationally in free throws made and consistently put opponents in foul trouble.

Keyshawn Hall is the engine of this offense. He is putting up 20.9 points and 7.9 rebounds per game while proving nearly impossible to stop one-on-one.

Ole Miss has been tough at home this season, but they haven't faced this kind of offensive pressure. The Rebels allow over 70 points per game and lack the interior depth to bang with Auburn for forty minutes.

The Tigers are also finding secondary scoring from Filip Jovic. He is coming off a breakout 23-point game and gives Auburn a versatile weapon that stretches the defense.

Auburn has dominated this rivalry lately, winning nine of the last ten meetings. They know how to exploit the specific weaknesses in the Rebels' defensive scheme.

Both teams come in with two days of rest after Saturday victories. Auburn’s recent win over South Carolina showed they can execute in tight games late on the road.

This line is too short for a team with Auburn's scoring ceiling. They have too many ways to hurt you and have far more depth than the Rebels.

Expect Auburn’s transition game to be the difference in the second half. They will force the pace and outlast an Ole Miss squad that relies too heavily on its starters.

I like the Auburn -2.5 (-110).

5* NO BRAINER on DePaul +8

The line on this game is giving too much credit to the home-court advantage at Hinkle Fieldhouse. DePaul is no longer the bottom-feeder they used to be in the Big East.

Chris Holtmann has this team playing a much tougher brand of basketball. Their defensive rotations are sharp and they aren't giving up the easy looks they did in previous seasons.

Butler has struggled with consistency throughout this January stretch. They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as a home favorite.

The Bulldogs are a jump-shooting team that goes through long scoring droughts. When the threes aren't falling, they don't have the size inside to manufacture easy points.

DePaul is currently ranking in the top tier of the conference in defensive rebounding. They are limiting opponents to one shot per possession which is key for a road underdog.

The Blue Demons have also shown plenty of poise on the road lately. They hung tough in a hostile environment last Saturday and shouldn't be intimidated by this atmosphere.

Butler's offensive efficiency numbers are inflated by a soft non-conference schedule. Against physical Big East defenses, they are scoring five points fewer per game than their season average.

DePaul has improved their ball security significantly over the last month. By limiting live-ball turnovers, they prevent Butler from getting out in transition for easy layups.

This should be a lower-possession game with both teams favoring a disciplined half-court set. In a slow-paced game, an eight-point spread is very difficult for a struggling favorite to cover.

The Blue Demons have the defensive grit to keep this game competitive until the final whistle. I expect a tight battle that comes down to the final few possessions.

Bet DePaul +8.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Minnesota +8½

Eight and a half points is way too much respect for a Buckeyes team that has struggled to cover big numbers at home.
Ohio State is coming off an emotional win over UCLA and now faces a gritty Minnesota squad that specializes in keeping games close.

The Gophers are one of the most disciplined teams in the nation, ranking in the top 15 for the fewest turnovers per game.
When you only give the ball away six times a night, it is incredibly difficult for an opponent to build a double-digit lead through transition points.

Minnesota’s offense is led by Cade Tyson, who is second in the Big Ten at nearly 21 points per game and can match Bruce Thornton bucket for bucket.
The Buckeyes are still navigating a thin frontcourt with Brandon Noel out indefinitely, which leaves them vulnerable on the defensive glass and interior rotation.

Even with Christoph Tilly returning to the lineup, the Buckeyes lack the depth to sustain a blowout against a team that has ranked 37th in efficiency since December.
Minnesota has played every game tough lately, with heartbreakers against Wisconsin and USC proving they belong on the same floor as the conference leaders.

The Gophers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with Ohio State and consistently play them down to the wire.
The Buckeyes are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games as a home favorite of seven points or more.

Don't let Minnesota's three-game losing streak fool you; this team is playing at a much higher level than this inflated line suggests.
Take the points with a Gophers team that takes care of the ball and has the best individual scorer on the floor.

I like the Minnesota +8.5.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Dartmouth -1

Princeton is 0-9 on the road this season.
The Tigers have lost eight straight games away from home and show no signs of stopping the slide.

They just dropped a physical road game at Harvard on Saturday and now have to travel to Hanover for a quick Monday turnaround.
This is a tough scheduling spot for a team that has struggled to find any consistency outside of their home gym.

Dartmouth is a different animal at Leede Arena where they play with much more offensive urgency.
The Big Green are averaging nearly eight points more per game than the Tigers this season.

Princeton relies heavily on their perimeter shooting but their eFG% takes a massive hit on the road.
They are currently struggling to defend the paint and giving up way too many second-chance points.

The home team has won seven of the last eight games involving Princeton.
Dartmouth has the size advantage to exploit a Tigers frontcourt that lacks consistent rim protection.

Expect the Big Green to dominate the glass and win the battle for extra possessions.
Princeton’s fatigue will show in the second half of their second road game in three days.

Dartmouth is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games and has already proven they can handle this Princeton system.
They have the better offensive efficiency in this matchup and the crowd behind them.

I like the Dartmouth -1 (-110).

5* NO BRAINER on Washington State +6

The edge in this matchup is Washington State’s massive advantage on the glass against a San Francisco frontcourt that is currently short-handed.

The Dons were bullied on the boards in their last game against Saint Mary’s, surrendering 39 rebounds while looking soft in the paint.

That is a major problem against a Cougars team that recently posted a +26 rebounding margin and has several guys capable of double-doubles.

San Francisco is missing Mookie Cook due to a knee injury and has Ndewedo Newbury listed as questionable with a leg issue.

Losing that depth in the rotation makes it very difficult for the Dons to keep WSU center ND Okafor away from the rim.

Okafor is shooting nearly 60% from the floor and ranks among the conference leaders in blocked shots, providing a defensive anchor that keeps games close.

The Cougars also feature a legit weapon in freshman Ace Glass, who is averaging nearly 16 points per game and can create his own shot when the shot clock runs late.

While the Cougars have struggled with turnovers, their ability to force teams into slow, half-court grinds helps them stay within striking distance on the road.

San Francisco has dropped two of its last three games and has shown significant vulnerabilities when their three-pointers aren’t falling.

Washington State has the defensive length on the perimeter to contest those shots and turn this into a low-possession, ugly game.

Getting six points with a team that dominates the offensive glass and has the best individual scorer on the floor is a gift.

Expect the Cougars to play this within a possession or two right until the final buzzer.

I like the Washington State +6.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Hawaii -2

Hawaii is laying points on the road for a reason. They come into the Thunderdome with the best defensive efficiency in the Big West.

The Rainbow Warriors are holding opponents to under 31 percent from beyond the arc this season. UC-Santa Barbara relies heavily on the three-pointer to stay competitive in conference play.

If the Gauchos aren't hitting from deep, they have no secondary scoring options. Hawaii dominates the defensive glass and rarely allows second-chance points.

The Gauchos are currently dealing with a thin rotation and depth issues in the frontcourt. Their interior defense has surrendered over 50 percent shooting on two-point attempts over the last three games.

Hawaii ranks near the top of the country in effective field goal percentage. They play a disciplined, high-IQ style of basketball that travels well in road environments.

The Gauchos have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games. They are struggling to find a consistent rhythm and the market has not adjusted to their current slump.

The Rainbow Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight trips to Santa Barbara. They clearly feel comfortable playing in this building and match up well against the UCSB system.

Hawaii’s size inside will be a massive problem for a smaller Gauchos lineup. Expect the Warriors to control the paint and dictate the tempo from the jump.

This line opened at Hawaii -1 and has already been steamed up to -2. The professional money is clearly backing the road favorite in this spot.

Hawaii is the more complete team on both ends of the floor and features much better veteran leadership. They will limit turnovers and force UCSB into tough, contested jumpers all night.

I like the Hawaii -2.0 (-105).

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Furman -5½

Furman is the clearly superior side in this rivalry matchup on their home floor.
The Paladins bring a lockdown defense that holds opponents to just 41.6% shooting from the field.

Wofford is struggling to get stops and ranks 309th in the country in opponent field goal percentage.
The Terriers allow nearly 77 points per game and let teams shoot over 46% against them.

Furman will exploit those defensive gaps with an offense shooting a sharp 47.3% this season.
Guard Alex Wilkins is playing like a star and just dropped a career-high 28 points in his last game.

Wofford is also getting bullied on the glass every time they step on the court.
The Paladins have a massive +7.7 rebounding margin while Wofford barely breaks even.

Furman creates constant second-chance points and limits the Terriers to one-and-done possessions.
The Terriers are coming off a rough loss to Chattanooga on Wednesday where their offense went cold late.

They are a miserable 2-6 against teams with a winning record and look lost in hostile environments.
Furman is a dominant 8-2 at Timmons Arena and has covered three straight games comfortably.

The Paladins have massive revenge on their minds after losing to Wofford in the conference tournament last March.
Wofford’s defense is too leaky to keep this within two possessions against a top-tier SoCon offense.

Expect Furman to control the paint and stretch this lead to double digits by the final horn.
The Terriers do not have the depth or the defensive discipline to hang around for 40 minutes.

I like the Furman -5.5 (-110).

3* HEAVY HITTER on Southern Indiana +8½

Tennessee State is being asked to cover a big number here just two days after an absolute marathon. They are coming off a 105-100 overtime win against Morehead State that likely drained their starters.

Key contributors for the Tigers played heavy minutes in that high-scoring track meet. Now they have to turn around and find the energy for another physical conference battle.

Southern Indiana is in a much better spot physically and mentally right now. They are fresh off a comfortable 17-point win over Tennessee Tech this past Thursday.

The Screaming Eagles have struggled for much of the season, but they finally found a rhythm offensively. Ismail Habib is playing with a ton of confidence and can exploit a TSU defense that just gave up triple digits.

Tennessee State plays at one of the fastest tempos in the OVC. That high pace usually leads to plenty of variance and makes it difficult for favorites to pull away and stay away.

Southern Indiana has been a reliable underdog lately, covering the spread in four of their last five games when catching eight or more points on the road. They are elite at slowing the game down and forcing teams into half-court sets.

The Tigers are only 3-2 ATS in their last five games and have a habit of letting inferior teams hang around. If their legs are heavy from the Thursday night thriller, their perimeter shooting will be the first thing to disappear.

I expect this game to stay within two or three possessions deep into the second half. Southern Indiana has the rebounding depth to limit second-chance points and frustrate the home crowd.

Take the points with the road underdog that has the fresher legs and more momentum. This is a perfect letdown spot for a Tennessee State team coming off a massive emotional victory.

Bet Southern Indiana +8.5.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Drake +4

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER of the Week on Boise State -5½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Cal Poly +6½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Eastern Illinois +6½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Florida International +4½

The oddsmakers are giving Kennesaw State too much credit for home-court advantage in this spot.

Catching 4.5 points with a team that thrives on chaos is a gift in a game with this much projected pace.

Both programs play at a top-75 tempo nationally, which naturally increases the variance and total possessions.

When a game features this many possessions, the underdog becomes a lot more live, especially one that can force turnovers.

Florida International’s defensive pressure is the biggest factor in this matchup.

The Panthers are forcing a turnover on nearly 21% of defensive possessions this season.

Kennesaw State has been sloppy with the ball lately and struggles when they are forced into a track meet.

The Owls' defense has also been a sieve recently, especially when defending the interior.

They are allowing opponents to shoot high percentages at the rim and don't have the length to disrupt FIU's slashers.

FIU has proven they can travel, covering the spread in four of their last five games as a road underdog.

The Panthers are comfortable playing from behind and have the shooters to erase leads quickly if they fall behind.

Kennesaw State is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games when favored by four or more points.

They have a bad habit of letting teams hang around because they cannot get consistent stops in the final five minutes.

This game should be a toss-up that comes down to the final two possessions.

I’ll take the points with the more disruptive defensive unit that is used to playing in tight windows.

I like the Florida International +4.5 (-115)

4* VEGAS INSIDER on Sam Houston State +1

Sam Houston State is the better team in this matchup. The oddsmakers are giving Jacksonville State too much credit for playing on their home floor.

The Bearkats bring one of the toughest defenses in the conference to the court tonight. They specialize in forcing turnovers and making every look difficult for the opponent.

Jacksonville State has been inconsistent on the offensive end all season. They struggle with ball security and frequently hit long scoring droughts when they face high-pressure teams.

Sam Houston features a veteran backcourt that won't be bothered by a rowdy road environment. These guards have played in plenty of big games and know how to handle the ball in late-game situations.

The Bearkats are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games when playing as a road underdog. They have proven they can cover numbers and win outright on the road.

Jacksonville State is coming off a physical weekend game and showed signs of fatigue in the second half of their last outing. Sam Houston had an extra day to get their legs back and prepare for this specific road trip.

The Bearkats have dominated the head-to-head series lately. They have won three of the last four meetings between these two programs and match up well against the Gamecocks' style.

Sam Houston is the more disciplined team on both ends of the court. They have the depth to keep the defensive pressure on for all forty minutes.

I expect the Bearkats' perimeter defense to be the deciding factor in the final minutes. Take the point with the more reliable squad.

I like the Sam Houston State +1.0 (-115).