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Jimmy Boyd Basketball Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-01-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Los Angeles Clippers -4 | 109-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
3* Bailout Blowout on Clippers -
The Pacers are playing their 9th game in the last two weeks. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Indiana when they have won four of their last five games but they are a tired team playing 8 or more games in the last 14 days. This system is 69-41 (63%) ATS over the last five seasons. Los Angeles is coming off an 81 point performance on the road against Houston so a home game is just what the Clippers need to turn things around. This game falls into another system to play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Clippers when they are scoring 98 to 102 points per game against a team averaging 92 to 98 points per game after scoring 85 points or less in their last game. This system is 33-11 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against NBA Pacific. The Clippers on the other hand are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 against Central division teams and they are 4-0 ATS in home games against teams with a losing road record. The Clippers should have a big game against a Pacers team that struggles on the road. |
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04-01-13 | George Mason v. Santa Clara UNDER 145.5 | 73-81 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
3* Total DOMINATOR on George Mason UNDER
The Santa Clara Broncos are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 home games. They will have their hands full when they take on this George Mason defense that has held opponents to 65.1 points per game this season. George Mason is also one of the few teams who has performed better defensively on the road than they have on their home court. Santa Clara beat Purdue and Wright State on the road as an underdog. You should always play the under when the total is between 140 and 149.5 and one of the teams is coming off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. This system is 83-45 (65%) to the under over the last five seasons. Teams that get hot shooting will eventually have an off night. Santa Clara is no different which is why you should play the under when the total is between 140 to 149.5 points and they are shooting 36.5% or more on three point attempts and have played three straight games shooting over 47% playing against a team holding opponents to 32-36.5% on three point attempts. This system is 216-137 (61.2%) to the under since 1997. |
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04-01-13 | Charlotte Bobcats +12 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 102-131 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
4* No Limit on Bobcats +
Milwaukee is ice cold losing five of their last six games and allowing 100 points or more in five consecutive games. You should always play on underdogs of 10 points or more like Charlotte when they are allowing 103 or more points per game on the season and playing against an opponent coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in 2 straight games. This system is 49-21 (70%) ATS. Charlotte has covered their last three consecutive games against the spread and they have covered five of their last seven going back to the middle of March. The oddsmakers have still not given them the respect they have earned since they come into this game as a double digit dog against a very poor Milwaukee team. Milwaukee Head Coach Jim Boylan is 0-8 ATS against Southeast Division opponents and he is 8-20 ATS in the second half of the season as the coach of the Bucks. Boylan has proven he is taking this Milwaukee team in the wrong direction. With how bad the Bucks have been playing there is no reason they should be a double digit favorite over anyone. |
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03-31-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs -1 | 88-86 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* No Brainer on Spurs -
San Antonio has one of the best home court advantages in the league. The Spurs are 32-4 straight up at home and average 105.6 points per game while allowing only 94.2 points per game. They are one of the few teams in the league shooting over 50% from the field and almost 40% on three point attempts. The Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Heat on the other hand are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent is coming off a game where they scored 100 points or more. In head to head meetings between these teams Miami is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games. The Heat may get all the publicity for their long win streak but the reality is, San Antonio has only 2 more losses than the Heat do this season. The Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 games when playing in San Antonio. With the Spurs having such a great home court advantage these teams will only be one game apart after today |
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03-31-13 | Duke +3.5 v. Louisville | 63-85 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Duke +
Louisville has been hot and that may have this line slightly inflated considering how evenly matched these teams are. You should always play on a team like Duke after going under the total by 48 points or more in their last 7 games when they are playing in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1 conferences. This system is 41-15 (73%) over the last five seasons. Duke is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral court games. Their offense averages 77.6 points per game which outpaces Louisville by 3.6 per game. The defensive differences between these teams are a bit misleading. The ACC is stacked with offensive talent while the Big East was not. This game falls into another system to play against a favorite like Louisville after 9 or more consecutive wins when they are a top level team winning 80% or more of their games on the season. This system is 349-250 (58%) ATS over the last five seasons. The recent success for Louisville has driven this line up higher than it should be for two very evenly matched teams. |
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03-31-13 | Michigan +3 v. Florida | 79-59 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Elite 8 Game of the Year on Michigan +
The Michigan Wolverines proved in their win over Kansas that they are a team that never gives up. They face a Florida team that has not earned their way into the Elite 8 this season. They had the softest schedule coming into the Elite 8 and they had a very soft schedule in SEC play all season. Michigan is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. They are also 5-1 in their last 6 non-conference games too. Florida on the other hand is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. The Michigan offense is in a completely different class over Florida. They average 75.4 points per game playing in the Big Ten Conference which is arguably the best defensive conference in college basketball. The Gators average 71.7 per game against soft SEC opponents. |
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03-30-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Utah Jazz OVER 193.5 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Total Annihilator on Nets/Jazz OVER
Brooklyn has gone over the total in six of their last seven road games. They are also 5-1 to the over against Western Conference Teams and 4-1 to the over when playing on 0 days of rest. The Jazz are also a team that trends to the over when playing without rest as they are 5-1 the last six games played without getting a day off. The Jazz have a great home court advantage and that has helped their offense shine when playing in Utah. They are averaging 100.1 points per game at home while their defense is allowing an average of 98.6 points per game. Brooklyn is a solid offensive team and should not have a problem going above their 96.1 point per game average against the weak Jazz defense. With both of these teams playing without rest we have a matchup that is sure to be light on defense which should push this game above the total. |
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03-30-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider on Thunder -
The Bucks have had a very busy schedule the past few days. You should always play against the home team when they are playing their third game in four days and they are coming off a game in which they scored and allowed over 100 points. This system is 77-40 (66%) ATS over the last five seasons. You should always play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like OKC when they are an excellent offensive team averaging 102 points per game or more and playing against a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 46-19 (71%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Thunder are in the perfect situation to have a big game. They are coming off an upset loss to Minnesota and facing a Milwaukee team that has lost four of their last five games. The Thunder offense has been almost unstoppable this season averaging 106 points per game and they have the luxury of facing one of the worst home defenses in the league. |
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03-30-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 206 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Clippers/Rockets UNDER
The Rockets are playing solid defense right now holding opponents to 94.8 points per game in their last five games. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when the total is between 200 to 209.5 points and there is a well-rested team like Houston playing 4 or less games in 10 days and they are winning 51-60% of their games and playing another team with a winning record. This system is 50-16 (76%) to the under over the last five seasons. The Clippers defense has been solid all season holding opponents to 94.3 points per game. They should have no problem keeping Houston in line considering Los Angeles is one of the best teams in the league. The Rockets are 29-13 to the under when the total is set between 200 to 209.5 over the last two seasons. With the Rockets playing solid defense and going up against one of the best teams in the league this game should have no problem staying under the total. |
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03-30-13 | Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 99-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Grizzlies -
This is Minnesota |
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03-30-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 186.5 | 99-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Grizzlies/TWolves OVER
Both of these teams have played a lot of games recently and the first thing tired teams give up on is defense. Minnesota has scored over 100 points in four of their last five games while the Grizzlies have gone over the total in their last four consecutive games. Neither team has a good defense to begin with and the fact that they are both playing tired should make the over an easy cover. This game falls into a system to play on the over when the total is 180 to 189.5 points and the home team is making 33% or less of their three point attempts and playing on a Saturday game. This system is 47-25 (65%) over the last five seasons. Minnesota is also 4-1 to the over in their last five games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. |
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03-30-13 | Wichita State +4.5 v. Ohio State | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on Wichita State +
Ohio State has been very lucky to advance this far in the NCAA Tournament and they have been involved in some very close games. Last second three point attempts have saved the Buckeyes but their luck may be running out when they face this undervalued Wichita State team. You should always play against neutral court teams like Ohio State after two straight games making 50% or more of their 3 point shot attempts in a game involving two teams shooting 69-73% from the free throw line. This system is 25-4 (86%) ATS. There has been a lot of talk about how strong the Big Ten conference is defensively. Well Wichita State is not far behind. The Shockers have held opponents to 60.7 points per game on 39.6% shooting from the field. They are +8 in the rebounding margin and play just as well on the road as they do at home with a 15-6 road record. Offensively the Shockers average 69.8 points per game which is right in line with Ohio State. Wichita State has not allowed above 36% shooting during the NCAA Tournament while Ohio State has played back to back games allowing 44.2%. The Buckeyes cannot continue to play so poor defensively because there is no way they can continue shooting at the pace they have in their last two games. This game could be an upset in the making, but definitely take the points. |
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03-30-13 | Evansville v. East Carolina UNDER 151.5 | 58-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Evansville/East Carolina UNDER
East Carolina has won their last three home games coming into this matchup and all three have gone under the total. This game falls into a system to play the under when the home team is off three or more consecutive home wins and they are a good team winning 60-80% of their games playing against an opponent that is winning 51-60% of their games. This system is 45-14 (76%) in favor of the under. Evansville has had a three day break coming into this game and they were definitely making defensive adjustments after allowing over 50% shooting in their last two games. This matchup falls into another system to play on the under when the road team has allowed 50% shooting or more in their last two games and they are shooting above 36.5% on three point attempts and playing against a team holding opponents to 32-36.5% shooting on three point shots. This system is 51-24 (68%) to the under over the last five seasons. |
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03-29-13 | Michigan State v. Duke -2 | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 83 h 13 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Duke -
Duke is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral court games. The Big Ten may be the conference with the most ranked teams, but the ACC could certainly make an argument for the most potent offensive teams. Duke is averaging 77.8 points per game this season shooting 47.7% from the field and over 40% from beyond the three point line. They do an excellent job of avoiding turnovers averaging just 11 per game compared to 14 by Michigan State. Keith Appling is the best player on Michigan State |
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03-29-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Denver Nuggets -6.5 | 87-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Nuggets -
Brooklyn is an overrated team. They have not performed well against good teams and that has led to a 4-9 ATS record in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. The Nuggets on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record and 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Nets are playing their 6th game of an 8 game road stretch against Denver tonight. They are trending in the wrong direction going from an average shooting percentage of 52.4% in their first two games to barely over 45% in their last three games. The Nets were allowing opponents an average of 41 rebounds per game and they have now allowed an average of 53 in their last two games. The Nuggets won 15 consecutive games before dropping back to back games on the road against New Orleans and San Antonio. They have had a day of rest and now have the luxury of playing on their home court where they have earned a 32-3 record. All signs point to Denver getting right back to their winning ways with a blowout win over Brooklyn. |
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03-29-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder -8 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 93-101 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Thunder -
This matchup falls into a system to play on road favorites like Oklahoma City when they are coming off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. This system is 70-26 (73%) over the last five seasons. That system tights up to 31-8 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons when the road favorite is playing against a home team coming off a home loss. The Thunder are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when that team is winning less than 40% of their games. Conversely, the Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in their last 16 games against a team winning 60% or more of their games. Minnesota is also 2-12 ATS against Northwest Division teams. The Thunder are one of the best teams in the league and they are hot covering double digit spreads in two of their last three games. They are facing a Minnesota team that has lost four of their last six games and they are one of the few teams in the league below .500 on their home court. |
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03-29-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics OVER 194.5 | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
3* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Celtics OVER
Atlanta |
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03-29-13 | Michigan +2 v. Kansas | 87-85 | Win | 100 | 81 h 54 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Michigan +
The Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 12 teams and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a neutral court. Michigan also has a history of success in the NCAA Tournament with a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games. Kansas has struggled against Big Ten opponents as they have a 4-12 ATS record in their last 16 against the conference. When teams hit big win streaks the oddsmakers are forced to drive the lines up on that team to ensure even action. This seems to be the care in today |
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03-28-13 | Sacramento Kings v. Phoenix Suns +2 | 117-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* Bailout Blowout Phoenix Suns +
The Kings should not be favored on the road against anyone. They are coming off an upset win over Golden State and playing on back to back nights now traveling to Phoenix. This puts Sacramento in the perfect spot for a letdown game. The Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games coming off a straight up win and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Suns also own the head to head history between these teams with a 10-2 ATS record on the last 12 meetings in Phoenix and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall. Sacramento has one of the worst road defenses in the league allowing 105 points per game on 47.5% shooting. They have won only 7 games away from home out of 37 total games. In Sacramento |
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03-28-13 | Syracuse v. Indiana -5 | 61-50 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 8 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on Indiana -
Based on what we have seen in the NCAA Tournament so far, it is obvious the Big Ten is the power conference. The Indiana Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East opponents and they are 16-6 in their last 22 non-conference games. Syracuse on the other hand is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big Ten opponents. Indiana is a great rebounding team. They average 38 boards per game while allowing their opponents to pull in only 31 per game. Syracuse is 0-8 ATS over the last two seasons against dominant rebounding teams that are outrebounding their opponents by 7 or more boards per game. The Hoosiers play well when they are getting a lot of games in. They are 7-1 ATS when playing their 3rd game in a week this season. Indiana |
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03-27-13 | Santa Clara +1 v. Wright State | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Santa Clara +
Santa Clara is the better team in this matchup and they are solid when playing on the road. The Broncos average 74.1 points per game this season compared to 61.8 for Wright State. The Broncos are winning the rebounding, turnover and shooting percentage margins too. Santa Clara is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Wright State Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record. Wright State |
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03-27-13 | Providence +9 v. Baylor | 68-79 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
5* NIT Game of the Year on Providence +
Baylor |
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03-27-13 | Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 120-117 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Lakers -
The Timberwolves are playing in a back to back situation traveling from Detroit last night. You should always play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Minnesota when they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning 25-40% of their games on the season. This system is 58-25 (70%) since 1996. The last time these teams played the Lakers handed the TWolves a 116-94 beat down. This game also falls into a system to play against home teams revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 points or more and that home team is playing on back to back days. This system is 104-50 (68%) over the last five seasons. |
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03-27-13 | Brigham Young +5.5 v. Southern Miss | 79-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on BYU +
BYU is coming off a confidence boosting pounding of Mercer earlier this week. You should always play on an underdog like BYU when they are coming off a win by 15 points or more and they are averaging 74-78 points per game and playing against a team with a defense that allows 63-67 points per game. This system is 74-44 (63%) over the last five seasons. BYU is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 when playing against Conference USA teams. They play well against good teams too. The Cougars are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Southern Miss on the other hand is 2-8-1 in their last 11 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Both of these teams are solid on the offensive and defensive end of the court. The Cougars have an advantage when it comes to turnovers. They are averaging only 12 per game compared to 15 by the Golden Eagles. The Cougars are also a better rebounding team averaging 39 per game compared to only 36 for Southern Miss. This is too many points for the Cougars to be receiving against a team they matchup so well against. |
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03-27-13 | Memphis Grizzlies +1 v. New York Knicks | 101-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
5* Vegas Insider on Grizzlies +
The Knicks have been plagued by injuries in the second half of the season. Tonight they face a tough Memphis team that is coming off an embarrassing loss to Washington. The Grizzlies should be set for a big game against the Knicks since they are the more rested team as New York is playing in a back to back traveling from Boston last night. You should always play against teams like New York when they are revenging a loss of 10 points or more and their opponent is coming off a road loss and the line is between +3 to -3. This system is 109-64 (63%) over the last five seasons. You should also play on road teams like Memphis when they were beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their last game and they are a good team winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. This system is 55-35 (61%) over the last five seasons. Memphis has a better ATS record on the road at 20-14 than the Knicks do at home with a 19-15 ATS record. The Grizzlies defense has been solid on the road holding opponents to 89.7 points per game. They should have no problem picking up a win over New York tonight. |
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03-27-13 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 197 | 92-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Bucks/76ers OVER
Both of these teams have been playing horrible defense recently. In their last five games the Bucks have allowed 101.6 points per game on 48.1% shooting and the 76ers have allowed 102.4 points per game on 48.2% shooting. You should always play on the over when the total is 190 to 199.5 points and the road team has allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games playing against an opponent that allowed 105 points or more in their previous game. This system is 188-124 (60%) since 1996. Milwaukee is 5-2 to the over in their last 7 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games and they are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 79ers are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 home games against teams with a losing record and 5-1 in their last 6 home games overall. With both of these defenses struggling the way they are this game should have no problem going over the total. |
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03-26-13 | Bradley +11 v. Northern Iowa | 77-90 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Bradley +
This is a rematch from a February 10th game in which Northern Iowa won by three points. You should always play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Bradley when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent and they are winning 51-60% of their games on the season playing another team with a winning record. This system is 116-52 (65%) over the last five seasons. Bradley has played well against winning teams. They are 401 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning straight up record. They are also 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games following three or more consecutive home games so they should have no problem playing at Northern Iowa today. The Panthers have been struggling recently. They are 3-3 in their last six games and 1-5 ATS in that span playing some pretty bad teams. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing road record. These teams are pretty even from a statistical standpoint. Both of them average 65-68 points per game, they both do a good job of controlling turnovers and neither team is great at rebounding. Considering the last game was decided by a mere three points the line today seems excessive making Bradley the value play. |
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03-26-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Detroit Pistons OVER 196 | 105-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Twolves/Pistons OVER
Both of these teams are bad defensively. You should always play on the over when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting and two average rebounding teams after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 222-146 (60.3%) since 1996. The over is 7-2 in Minnesota |
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03-25-13 | Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 v. Utah Jazz | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on 76ers +
The Jazz are struggling right now having lost their last four games and traveling from Dallas after last night |
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03-25-13 | Cal Irvine v. Oral Roberts -4 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on Oral Roberts -
Oral Roberts is shooting 46.2% from the field this season, but they are shooting 48% when playing on their home court. You should always play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Oral Roberts when they are shooting between 45-47.5% and playing against a defense allowing 40% or less in a game involving two teams committing 14.5 or less turnovers per game after 15 or more games. This system is 72-33 (69%) over the last 5 seasons. The Oral Roberts defense is much better than UC Irvine's. They are holding opponents to 63.5 points per game at home while UC Irvine is allowing 68.4 points per game on the road. The Golden Eagles also have an offensive advantage. They are scoring 73.9 points per game at home while UC Irvine is averaging only 66.4 points per game on the road. The Golden Eagles are shooting 74% from the free throw line compared to only 66.7% from UC Irvine. Overall Oral Roberts is just a much better team and they should have no problem covering such a small number tonight. |
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03-25-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7.5 | 94-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Pacers -
The Pacers have won three of their last four games and they are playing at home where they own a 28-8 record. They are facing an Atlanta team that is playing in a back to back situation traveling from Milwaukee last night. This is the second leg of a four game road stretch for Atlanta so the Hawks should look a bit sluggish in today |
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03-24-13 | Creighton v. Duke -5 | 50-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Duke -
This is a Duke team that almost always plays well in tournament matchups. The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral court games. Creighton on the other hand has a history of struggling in the NCAA Tournament with a 1-5 ATS record in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The Blue Devils lost to Maryland in the ACC Tournament and they had an underwhelming performance against Albany in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament. It appears the oddsmakers have may have over adjusted for today's matchup against Creighton. Duke is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. Creighton's soft schedule in the Missouri Valley Conference will not have them prepared for this game against Duke. The Bluejay's defense looks good statistically because of the poor competition they have faced. Duke has put up an average of 78.1 points per game and their scoring potential is something Creighton has not seen this season. |
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03-24-13 | Philadelphia 76ers +3 v. Sacramento Kings | 117-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Philadelphia 76ers +
The 76ers have lost their last two games but it has not been because they are playing bad. In the loss against Denver the 76ers shot 55.1% from the field and still came up just one point shy. You should always play against home favorites like Sacramento when they are revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points and their opponent is coming off two or more road losses. This system is 92-49 (65%) since 1996. Sacramento |
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03-24-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 203.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Bucks/Hawks UNDER
Atlanta has gone under the total in their last two games while Milwaukee has gone under in their last three. You should always play on the under when the total is between 200 to 209.5 and the home team has gone under the total by 30 points or more in their last three games. This system is 124-75 (62%) over the last five seasons. This matchup falls into another system to play on the under. You should take the under when the total is 200 points or more and one of the teams has been beaten by the spread by 18 points or more in their last game, like Atlanta, and when they are playing against an opponent that has gone under the total by 30 or more points in the last three games. This system is 29-9 (76%) over the last five seasons. Milwaukee is 11-2 to the under when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Bucks are the only real scoring threat in this game as they average 100 points per game at home. They seem to be in a shooting rout right now averaging 34% from the field in their last two games so it seems unlikely they will be able to match that home scoring average in today |
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03-23-13 | Brooklyn Nets +8.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets +
The Brooklyn Nets are a good team and they are a solid 4 games above .500 when playing on the road this season. The Nets are on fire coming into this game winning their last two and scoring an average of 116 points in those games. You should always play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points when they are scoring 92-98 points per game on the season after 42 or more games and coming off two straight games scoring 110 points or more when they are playing against an average defensive team allowing 92-98 points per game. This system is 23-5 (82%) ATS! You should also play on any team that has gone over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games like Brooklyn when they are playing in a non-conference matchup. This system is 114-69 (62%) since 1996. Brooklyn |
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03-23-13 | Sacramento Kings v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Nuggets/Kings UNDER
This total is set much higher than it should be. You should always play on the under when the game involves a team like Denver that is averaging 71% or less on free throws and 46% shooting or better from the field. This system is 139-101 (58%) over the last five seasons. The Nuggets are a poor free throw shooting team averaging only 69.6% so they will not be adding a lot of points when the clock is stopped. Sacramento |
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03-23-13 | Wichita State +6.5 v. Gonzaga | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Wichita State +
Gonzaga has been on quite a tear recently, but they have played a soft schedule throughout the season. They will have their hands full when they face a physical Wichita State team. You should always play against favorites like Gonzaga after 9 or more consecutive wins when that team has won 80% or more of their games on the season. This system is 346-249 (58%) over the last five seasons. The proof is in the numbers when it comes to Gonzaga being an overrated team. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. They almost lost to Southern, a team they were favored to beat by 22 points. Gonzaga is not a very physical team which is why they stay out of foul trouble. There are times when that style of play is fine, but against Wichita State it will not work. Head Coach Gregg Marshall is 11-3 against teams who are called for 3+ less fouls per game than their opponents as the coach of Wichita State. The physical play of the Shockers could end up giving the Bulldogs a bit of a shock today. |
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03-23-13 | Virginia Commonwealth v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 53-78 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
5* No Brainer of the Year on Michigan -
The Michigan Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral court games. They are facing a VCU team that has been a bit inconsistent against the spread. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The high pressure style of play the VCU Rams use will not work against a top tier team like Michigan. The Wolverines average a mere 9 turnovers per game and if VCU can |
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03-22-13 | Minnesota -3 v. UCLA | 83-63 | Win | 100 | 81 h 33 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Minnesota -
Minnesota played in the toughest conference in college basketball this season and that should have them prepared for a big game against UCLA. You should play on a team like Minnesota after going under the total by 48 or more points in their last seven games and they are playing in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1 conferences. This angle is 37-13 (74%) over the last 5 seasons. This is a Minnesota team that started the season with a 13-1 non-conference record. In conference play they picked up wins over Michigan State, Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana, all teams that are substantially better than UCLA. Strength of schedule is heavily in favor of the Golden Gophers. UCLA |
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03-22-13 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Notre Dame | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 80 h 8 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Iowa State +
Notre Dame has a history of under performing in the NCAA Tournament. The Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. They are in for some trouble today when they face one of the most underrated teams coming out of the Big 12. Iowa State is coming off a loss to Kansas in the big 12 conference tournament. The Cyclones are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. Iowa State averages 79.6 points per game and they are one of the most dangerous teams in college basketball is they get hot from beyond the three point line. Notre Dame does not run a pressure defense which suits Iowa State |
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03-22-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 212.5 | 78-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Cavs/Rockets UNDER
Cleveland is coming off a close loss to Miami and their defense looked impressive in that game. You should play the under when the total is 210 points or more and a team is revenging a same season loss like Cleveland and they are off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This system is 50-27 (65%) over the last five seasons. This matchup falls into another system to play the under when the total is greater than 210 points and one of the teams, in this case Houston, has been beaten by the spread by 18 or more points in their last three games playing against an opponent that has gone over the total by 18 or more points in the last three games. This system is 113-82 (62%) in favor of the under. The Cavaliers are going to need to score over 100 points for this game to go over the total. That is a feat they have accomplished only 2 times in their last 10 games. It seems very unlikely they will be able to do it against this Houston team that has gone under the total in six of their last seven games. |
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03-22-13 | Detroit Pistons v. Miami Heat OVER 199 | 89-103 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Heat/Pistons OVER
You should always play on the over in a game involving a team that has 7 or more consecutive wins and they have won 75% or more of their games on the season playing a team with a losing record. This system is 110-70 (61.1%) to the over. When that team is off 8 or more consecutive wins, that system tightens up to 82-52 in favor of the over. Detroit may not have a great overall record but they can still get a lot of points on the board. The Pistons have gone over the total in five of their last six games. Their defense is allowing 101.6 points per game on the road which has been a big factor in this recent stretch of overs, but the offense has been performing well too averaging over 95 points per game in three of their last five games. |
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03-21-13 | Montana v. Syracuse -12.5 | 34-81 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout Syracuse -
You should always play against a team like Montana when they have covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, and they have won 80% or more of their games playing against an opponent that has won 60% to 80% of their games on the season. This system is 124-76 (62%) over the last 5 seasons. Syracuse will be, without a doubt, the toughest team Montana has faced this season. Montana |
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03-21-13 | Missouri v. Colorado St +3 | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 56 h 50 m | Show | |
5* NCAA Tournament GOY on Colorado State +
Missouri has struggled in the second half of the season. They have lost two of their last three games coming into this matchup against Colorado State. The Tigers are 1-7 when playing against a team winning 60% to 80% of their games after the 15 game point in the season. Colorado State returned four starters from last season compared to only one from Missouri. That kind of experience will be huge in the biggest game these teams have played this season. The Rams also have an advantage on defense, holding opponents to 62.9 points per game. Colorado State |
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03-21-13 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Chicago Bulls -5 | 99-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NBA Main Event on Bulls -
This game galls into a system to play on an average defensive team allowing 92-98 points per game like Chicago when they are playing a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season and coming off two games with a combined score of 205 points or more. This system is 113-63 (64%) since 1996. Portland has really struggled on the road this season. They have a 9-25 straight up record and a 13-20 record against the spread. The reason they have been unsuccessful on the road is because of their defense. Portland is allowing 102.1 points per game and 48.1% shooting from the field. The Portland offense has been average at best on the road scoring 95.8 points per game. They now face a Bulls team that is holding opponents to 89.7 points per game at home. Chicago is the better team overall and playing at home should make it easy for the Bulls to cover the number today. |
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03-21-13 | South Dakota St v. Michigan -11 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 53 h 29 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Michigan -
You should always play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Michigan after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against an opponent coming off a game committing 8 or less turnovers. This angle is 73-36 (67%) since 1997. Michigan certainly has the better defense between these teams as they have held opponents to 62.9 points per game. The scrappy play by the Wolverines will force South Dakota State to make bad decisions. When it comes to coaching, Michigan has a huge advantage in this game. John Beilein is 20-7 ATS in post-season tournament game in all games he has coached since 1997. This is a coach that knows how to prepare for a big game and he will certainly have his Wolverines ready for South Dakota State. The Big 10 is arguably the toughest conference in college basketball. The strength of schedule played by Michigan will have the Wolverines ready to dominate their weaker opponent. In the NCAA Tournament good teams never let off the gas so this game will turn into a blowout. |
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03-21-13 | Davidson v. Marquette -3 | 58-59 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 35 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Marquette -
Davidson has played so well lately that the oddsmakers were forced to put out a tight line on this game. The problem is the fact that Davidson has played such a soft schedule it has skewed their statistics. You should play against a team like Davidson after four games shooting 47% or better in a game involving two teams taking less than 55 attempts per game after 15 or more games in the season. This system is 66-37 (64%) over the last 5 seasons. The style of play from Davidson is a perfect matchup for Marquette to get a big win. Marquette is 21-9 ATS against defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 42% or less after 15 or more games over the last two seasons. Marquette |
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03-20-13 | Long Beach State +12.5 v. Baylor | 66-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on Long Beach State +
The confidence for these Baylor players has to be at a season low. The Bears have lost 9 of their last 13 games. Long Beach State has had a slightly better finish to their regular season winning 8 of their last 13 games. They are coming off a tough loss to UC-Irvine. You should always play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Long Beach State when they are off an upset loss as a favorite, playing only their 3rd game in a week. This system is 134-83 (62%) since 1997. Baylor has not been very consistent in recent years. They are 3-12 ATS after covering two of their last three games over the last two seasons. Long Beach State is playing well even though they lost in their last game. They have averaged just under 50% shooting from the field in their last two games and they have held their opponents to under 30 rebounds while collecting an average of 38.5 of their own. Baylor is coming off a 36.7% shooting performance against Oklahoma State and they have allowed over 45% shooting in two of their last three games. This double digit line is too many points for such an inconsistent Baylor team to cover against Long Beach State. |
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03-20-13 | Oral Roberts +4 v. UT Arlington | 84-76 | Win | 100 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Oral Roberts +
The scoring potential of this Oral Roberts team is much greater than it is for Texas Arlington. The Golden Eagles are averaging 70.3 points per game. They are led in scoring by Warren Niles who has been unstoppable averaging 19.1 points per game. Texas Arlington ranks 263rd among division one teams in scoring with 63.9 points per game. They are one of the few teams in the country that has more trouble scoring at home than they do on the road averaging only 61.9 points per game. The Mavericks are also one of the worst shooting teams in the country at 41.2% from the field and 65.3% from the free throw line. |
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03-20-13 | Utah Jazz v. Houston Rockets UNDER 209 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
5* Total Dominator on Rockets/Jazz UNDER
You should always play the under when the total is greater than or equal to 200 and one of the teams, in this case Houston, is a well-rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, and they have won 51% to 60% of their games playing another winning team. This system is 68-27 (71.6%) over the last 5 seasons. You also want to play on the under when the total is greater than 200 and the home team has gone under the total by 24 or more points in their last three games and the game involves two teams with a winning record. This system is 65-29 (69%) over the last 5 seasons. The Jazz have gone 4-0 to the under in their last 4 games when they are playing with only 1 day of rest and they are 5-1 to the under against teams from the Southwest division. The Rockets are 5-1 to the under against Western Conference teams and 4-1 to the under in their last five home games. |
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03-20-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 199 | 113-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Total No Brainer on Mavs/Nets UNDER
Both Dallas and Brooklyn are coming off big wins. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when the total is set between 190-199.5 points and the home team is off a win by 10 points or more against an opponent off a win by 15 points or more. This system is 128-77 (62.4%) to the under since 1996. Brooklyn has played a soft schedule their last four games and they have managed to score over 100 points in each of those matchups. Their recent scoring success has driven this total up higher than it should be. You should also play on the under when one of the teams has gone over the total by 6 or more points in four consecutive games and that team has a winning record and the total is set between 190-199.5 points. This system is 50-24 (67.6%) in favor of the under. |
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03-20-13 | Fairfield +6 v. Kent State | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 34 h 24 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Fairfield +
Fairfield has more experience playing in the post season returning three starters from last season compared to only one from Kent State. You should always play on a road team like Fairfield after scoring 60 points or less in their last game with 2 more starters returning from last year than their opponent. This system is 267-200 (57.2%) over the last five seasons. The better defensive team in this game is definitely Fairfield. They have held opponents to 58.8 points per game compared to 68.9 points allowed by Kent State on their home court. In their last five games Fairfield has held opponents to 51.2 points per game. Many times these post season games are decided by coaching. This is an area where Fairfield has another advantage. Sydney Johnson is 27-12 ATS after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997. Rob Senderoff is 1-11 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of Kent State. |
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03-19-13 | Ohio +7.5 v. Denver | 57-61 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Ohio +
This is a lot of points for Ohio to be receiving considering they have the better overall record and a similar strength of schedule. You should always play on road teams as an underdog like Ohio when they are off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games on the season playing another team with a winning record. This system is 86-48 (64.2%) ATS. Ohio has played really well against non-conference teams. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games while Denver is 3-7 ATS against their last 10 non-conference opponents. Denver is a poor rebounding team averaging just 25 per game which includes a mere 5 boards on the offensive end. Ohio will also have an advantage with the turnover margin. The Bobcats force an average of 18 turnovers per game while committing only 13 turnovers of their own. |
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03-19-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 | 114-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Thunder -
Oklahoma City is the hot team coming into this matchup. Denver may have a solid win streak in play, but they are trending in the wrong direction. The Nuggets in their last four games have gone from above 50% shooting down to 45.5%. They are coming off a close battle with the Bulls last night and now have to travel from Chicago to Oklahoma City to play in a back to back against the Thunder. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Denver after they have covered three of their last four games against the spread in a game involving two good teams winning 60 to 70% of their games on the season. This system is 48-23 (67.6%) over the last five seasons. This game also falls into a system to play on a team holding their opponents to 92-98 points per game like Oklahoma City when they are playing a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42+ games and coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in two straight games. This system is 112-62 (64.4%) ATS. |
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03-19-13 | Rider v. Hartford +3 | 63-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Hartford +
Rider is coming off a one point loss to Fairfield. You should always play against a team averaging 63-67 points per game after a loss by 6 points or less when they are playing against a team that averages 63 or less points per game. This system is 125-80 (61%) over the last five seasons. Hartford is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing road record. In Rider |
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03-18-13 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 189 | Top | 105-103 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer on Heat/Celtics UNDER
Miami is 8-1 to the under in their last 9 games when playing without rest and they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 road games. When playing on the road against a team with a winning home record, the Heat are 5-2 to the under in their last 7 games. In their last 5 matchups against teams winning 60% or more of their games on the season the Celtics are 4-1 to the under. The last time these teams played the total reached 198 points, but that was only because they went to double overtime. The score at the end of regulation was 174 points in that game. It is unlikely these teams will go to double overtime again making the under the value play in this matchup. Neither of these teams takes a lot of shots with both the Celtics and Heat averaging fewer than 80 field goal attempts per game. The Heat have gone under the total in three of their last four games and the Celtics defense has been solid at home holding opponents to 42.6% shooting. The style of play for these teams makes the under a no brainer. |
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03-18-13 | Washington Wizards v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 189 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
3* Total Annihilator on Wizards/Bobcats OVER
You should always play the over when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points with the home team is coming off a game where they allowed 105 points or more and they are playing against an opponent that is coming off a game scoring 110 points or more. This system is 62-30 (67.4%) in favor of the over. You should also play the over when the game involves an average offensive team scoring 92-98 points and coming off a game with a combined score of 225 points or more like Washington, against a horrible defensive team that is allowing 102 or more points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 50-19 (72.5%) in favor of the over. |
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03-18-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 190.5 | 111-90 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Indiana/Cleveland UNDER
You should always play the under when the total is between 180 to 190.5 points and the road team is off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games on the season. This system is 48-18 (72.7%) in favor of the under. This total has been driven up because the Pacers have been on a run of games going over the total. You should also play the under when one of the teams has played 5 or more consecutive overs and they are outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game. This system is 154-95 (61.8%) since 1996. |
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03-18-13 | Indiana Pacers -7 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 111-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Indiana -
You should always play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Cleveland when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This system is 81-39 (67.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games this season and they are 8-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a losing home record. Cleveland is a young team and they are struggling without Kyrie Irving who is out with a shoulder injury. Indiana has done well against Central Division teams posting a 6-1 ATS record their last 7 compared to a 4-12 ATS record for Cleveland. The Cavaliers have lost six of their last eight games and this is just the matchup the Pacers need to snap out of their two game skid. |
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03-17-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets -7.5 | 108-78 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Rockets -
You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points coming off a home loss like Golden State when they are trying to revenge a home loss against their opponent. This system is 126-67 (65.3%) over the last five seasons. This is a tough spot for Golden State to be in. They are coming off an embarrassing loss to Chicago getting only one day of rest and now traveling to Houston to take on a Rockets team that has won five of their last seven games. Golden State has been overrated all season. They are one of the few teams above .500 whose scoring average is less than their points allowed average. It appears things are finally catching up to them as the Warriors are 6-15 ATS in the second half of the season this year. Houston is averaging 111.3 points per game on their home court and Golden State is allowing 104.4 points on the road. While neither team will ever be accused of being great defensively, the Rockets style of play is getting into a shootout with their opponent and the Warriors simply don |
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03-17-13 | Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 196 | 108-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Heat/Raptors UNDER
Miami is not a team that needs to score a lot of points to win games. They have scored over 100 points in only three of their last nine games and they still have a 9.6 point margin of victory in that span. This means their defense is being undervalued by the oddsmakers when the total is set this high. In that same nine game span the under is 6-2-1 with the average total being set at 195 points. This game falls into a system to play the under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points and both the home team and opponent are coming off a win by 10 points or more. This system is 111-62 (64.2%) ATS. The Raptors are 6-0 to the under in their last six games against Southeast division teams. In head to head games between these teams the under is 5-2 in the 7 meetings. |
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03-17-13 | North Carolina v. Miami (Fla) -2.5 | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on Miami -
Miami is 15-6 ATS when playing against teams with a winning record this season and they are 8-2 ATS when that team has won between 60% and 80% of their games. Miami owns a 2-0 record in the series against North Carolina this season and their margin of victory in those two games averages out to 17.5 points. The Hurricanes know how to beat the Tar Heels and they have already proven they are the best team in the ACC. It may come as a surprise to many, but Roy Williams is 4-13 ATS in conference tournament games as the coach of North Carolina. Now the Tar Heels will face one of the toughest defenses in the ACC. The Hurricanes are holding opponents to 59.8 points per game on 39.4% shooting. They do an exceptional job of avoiding turnovers, averaging 11 per game, as well as making their opponent earn their points in the paint by averaging 5 blocks per game. The Tar Heels are going to try to force the Hurricanes into a shootout and Jim Larranaga is not going to let that happen. North Carolina gives up 70.8 points per game when they are playing away from home. Both Florida State and Maryland let North Carolina control the pace of the game and that is a mistake this top ranked Miami team is not going to make. |
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03-16-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Utah Jazz -1.5 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter Jazz -
You should always play on home favorites when they are a well-rested team playing their 2nd game in 5 days against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days. This system is 36-9 (80%) over the last five seasons. A well-rested Utah team on their home court is big trouble for Memphis. The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the league. They are 23-8 straight up and 19-12 ATS at home this season. The Jazz respond well after a loss. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They also play well against good teams at home. Utah is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams winning 60% or more of their road games this season. With Memphis playing on a back to back traveling from Denver the Jazz are the smart play in this game. Their home court advantage is hard enough for teams to overcome and since Utah is playing on two days of rest they should come out looking sharp today. |
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03-16-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. San Antonio Spurs -14 | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Spurs -
San Antonio is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Central division teams and they are 20-7 ATS in home games against teams winning less than 40% of their road games. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS against teams winning 60% or more of their games. In head to head matchups between these teams the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. And Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings played at San Antonio. San Antonio |
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03-16-13 | Syracuse v. Louisville -5 | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Louisville -
Louisville has returned to their mid-season form. This is a team that was ranked #1 in the nation and they are playing like they want to earn that spot back. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 13 games since their 3 game skid in January. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games this season and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 overall. Syracuse is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games and they have really been struggling in conference play. The Louisville defense is playing exceptionally well right now holding their last 6 opponents to under 40% shooting from the field and forcing an average of 18.25 turnovers per game in their last four games. Even though the Orange are 3-0 in the Big East Tournament they are not on a hot streak by any means. They have squeaked off two out of three wins by only 3 points and the defense has forced an average of only 10 turnovers over game in their last four games while allowing an average of 42.1% shooting from the field. Louisville is the hot team in this game and they have always been the team to beat in the Big East. The Orange are coming off an overtime game against Georgetown and those extra minutes can really wear a team down this late in the season when playing on back to back nights. |
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03-16-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Washington Wizards OVER 189.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer Wizards/Suns OVER
You should always play the over in a game involving two teams averaging 92-98 points per game after one of those teams has allowed 105 points or more in three straight games. The Suns gave up 108 to Denver, 111 to Houston and 107 to Atlanta. This system is 45-18 (71.4%) over the last 5 seasons. The first thing a tired team gives up on is playing defense. This is why you should play the over when the total is 180-189.5 and one of the teams is off a road loss by 10 points or more and they are an extremely tied team playing their 3rd game in 4 days. This system is 120-77 (61%) over the last 5 seasons. The Suns are bad enough on defense allowing 104.6 points per game on the road and playing tired means this game should be an offensive show. |
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03-16-13 | Cal Poly Slo v. Pacific -2.5 | 55-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Pacific -
Close games always come down to the turnover margin. Pacific has averaged only 9.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. UC-Irvine has been extremely inconsistent in the turnovers column this season. They ended the regular season averaging 14.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. You should always play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Pacific after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers playing against an opponent that committed 8 or less turnovers in their last game. This system is 69-36 (66%) ATS. The Pacific Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. This is a revenge game for Pacific too. They lost on the road at UC-Irvine back in February shooting 33.3% from the field. This is a Tigers team that shoots 45.3% on average so that poor shooting effort is not likely to take place in today |
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03-15-13 | Massachusetts v. Temple -5 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Temple -
Temple finished conference play in dominating fashion. They have now won seven consecutive games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Atlantic 10 opponents. Massachusetts is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral court games. They are coming off a game in which they struggled against George Washington giving up 50 rebounds. Massachusetts is a bad defensive team. They rank 293rd among division one teams in points allowed at 71.7 points per game. In their last five games they have given up 45% shooting and lost the rebounding margin by -5 boards per game. Temple will be one of the best teams they have faced in this recent stretch. In the last game between these teams Temple picked up a 1 point win on the road at Massachusetts. Playing on a neutral court is more than enough to widen that margin of victory above today |
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03-15-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 195 | Top | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
5* Total No Brainer on Grizzlies/Nuggets UNDER
A strong offensive performance from a team will impact the total line more than a strong defensive performance. This is why you should play the under when the total is between 190.5 and 199.5 after one team is coming off a game where they allowed 85 points or less like Memphis and their opponent has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 80-45 (64%) ATS. You should also play the under when one team is off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, like Denver, and their opponent is off a road win by 10 points or more. This system is 94-46 (67%) ATS. Both Memphis and Denver are trending towards the under. Denver has gone under the total in three of their last four games while Memphis has gone under in three of their last five games. The Grizzlies are a very defense oriented team. They are holding opponents to an average score of 89.4 points per game. Memphis is 17-7 to the under after allowing 85 points or less this season. They are one of the best teams in the league and should have no problem controlling the pace of this game. |
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03-15-13 | Arizona -4 v. UCLA | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Arizona -
UCLA played a 5 minute game against Arizona State last night. They were dominated by the Sun Devils for 35 minutes until turning it on to pick up a win late in the second half. Now they face an Arizona Wildcats team that is talented enough to hold on to a big lead like the Sun Devils couldn't. Arizona has won four of their last six against the spread and they are playing for revenge after UCLA pulled off an upset against the Wildcats two weeks ago. That was on UCLA |
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03-15-13 | Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 202.5 | 107-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Total Dominator on Heat/Bucks UNDER
As good as Miami is, they are not a team that blows up the scoreboard each night. You should always play the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 and the road team is a very good team outscoring their opponents by 6 or more points per game and they are playing against an opponent coming off a performance where they allowed 105 points or more. This system is 47-22 (68%) to the under through the last 5 seasons. Miami is 5-1-1 to the under in their last seven games. In their last 10 games the total has been set above 200 only three times. Miami is 4-1 to the under in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Milwaukee is 7-1-1 to the under in their last 9 games following a loss. Milwaukee is certainly not an offensive powerhouse so this total appears to be set quite a bit higher than it should be. |
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03-15-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers +7 v. Dallas Mavericks | 86-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Cleveland Cavs +
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cleveland has been a good team to play on lately covering the number in 9 of their last 12 games. It appears the oddsmakers have still not adjusted the lines to reflect the Cavaliers improving talent level making them a heavy underdog in this game against Dallas. The Cavaliers are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings at Dallas. The main reason for their success is directly related to how bad the Mavericks defense has played. They are allowing 102.3 points per game in all games and 100.6 per game on their home court. It is hard to cover such a large number when your defense gives up that many points and your offense only averages 101.4 points per game. |
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03-15-13 | Syracuse +2.5 v. Georgetown | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider on Syracuse +
This is a double revenge game for Syracuse who didn't even score 40 points in their last matchup against Georgetown. This is a team that should be fired up and ready to explode with a huge offensive performance today. The Orange have a solid defense too. They have allowed over 65 points only one time in their last eight games. Syracuse is 21-9 ATS on neutral courts as an underdog of 6 points or less. There were a couple anomalies in the lat game between these teams. First of all, Syracuse was held to a season low of 31.9% from the field. Second, James Southerland went 0-8 shooting, scoring only one point. Southerland has scored 20 points in both of the Big East tournament games so it seems extremely unlikely that either of those poor shooting efforts from Syracuse will take place again today. |
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03-14-13 | New York Knicks v. Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Portland -
The New York Knicks are really hurting right now. They are in the middle of a five game road stretch with a 0-2 start. They are playing in a back to back situation coming from a blowout loss against Denver last night. The Knicks average margin of defeat in these last two games is 26 points. Injuries have plagued key players for New York and they are simply not the same team with Carmelo Anthony nursing a knee injury. The Knicks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning home record. Portland is 4-1 ATS in their last five against Atlantic division teams. Portland is coming off a pair of losses and they should be able to bounce back strong against this beat up Knicks team. The Trail Blazers are 29-14 ATS in home games after having lost two of their last three games over the last three seasons. |
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03-14-13 | Prairie View A&M +2 v. Alcorn State | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 46 h 55 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Prairie View A&M +
Alcorn State is averaging 60.5 points per game this season so it is no surprise that all of their offensive statistics are not very favorable. This game falls into a system to play on teams like Prairie View A&M when the line is +3 to -3 and they are averaging 63-67 points per game coming off a blowout loss by 20 points or more playing against a horrible team averaging less than 63 points per game. This system is 44-20 (69%) ATS. Prairie View A&M not only has the better scoring ability, but they are dominating Alcorn State in the rebounds column. A&M pulls in 40.5 boards per game compared to 32.2 by State. The additional shot attempts created from those extra rebounds is more than enough of a difference to help Prairie View pick up a win. This is also a revenge game for Prairie View as they were beat by 6 points back on February 28th. Alcorn State shot 54.9% in that game and even if they land somewhere between their season average and the 54.9% they shot in the last game they will be on the losing end of this matchup with Prairie View A&M. |
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03-14-13 | Arizona St v. UCLA -4 | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
3* Main Event on UCLA -
Arizona State is coming off an overtime game last night against Stanford. College teams are not conditioned to play in back to back situations because they rarely occur throughout the season. Throw an overtime game into the mix and we should see a very tired Arizona State team. UCLA already has a small rebounding advantage over the Sun Devils and they should be able to open up that margin in today |
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03-14-13 | Arizona St v. UCLA UNDER 136 | 75-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
5* Total No Brainer on Arizona St/UCLA UNDER
This game should be run at a very slow pace. Arizona State is coming off an overtime game against Stanford last night and they simply will not have the energy to push the ball quickly up and down the court. Both of these teams have favored the under all season long. They are a combined 9-18 to the under. The under is 10-1 in Arizona State |
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03-14-13 | Minnesota -2 v. Illinois | 49-51 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 55 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota -
Minnesota is the better team even though the Golden Gophers have struggled in conference play. Nobody in the Big Ten played as difficult of a road schedule as Minnesota did. It took its toll on Minnesota as they had a weak finish to the regular season. That tough stretch of games has created a lot of value for tonight |
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03-14-13 | Charlotte U +4.5 v. Richmond | Top | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 37 h 56 m | Show |
5* Vegas Insider on Charlotte +
Charlotte has a big defensive advantage coming into this game. They have held opponents to 41.1% shooting this season which makes them one of the better defensive units Richmond has faced. Richmond is 2-10 ATS against good defensive teams that are allowing a shooting percentage below 42% on the year. This is a big revenge game for Charlotte. The 49ers were embarrassed by the Spiders when these teams met back in January. Charlotte was ice cold from beyond the three point line while Richmond shot almost 50% from the field and 45% on 3 point attempts. Those are anomalies that are extremely unlikely to occur again, especially since Richmond will not have the luxury of playing on their home court. These teams ended the regular season going in opposite directions. Charlotte got hot beating Duquesne on the road and picking up a big win over St Josephs. Richmond also picked up a win on their home court against Duquesne but dropped games to Dayton and Virginia Commonwealth. The win over St Josephs had to act as a big confidence booster for Charlotte as they come into this game trying to keep their season alive and revenge their early season loss. |
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03-13-13 | New York Knicks +9 v. Denver Nuggets | 94-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Knicks +
You should always play against a team revenging a loss like Denver where the opponent scored 100 points or more and that opponent is off a blowout loss of 20 points or more. This system is 86-46 (65%) over the last five seasons. The Knicks had a poor shooting performance in the loss to Golden State. They shot 27.4% from the field and that is not likely to occur again considering New York averages 44% on the season. The hot streak that Denver is on has forced the oddsmakers to drive this line up much higher than it should be. The fact that New York had such a poor performance in their last outing adds even more value. You should always play on road teams after a blowout loss by 20 points or more when they are playing against an opponent that has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 53-25 (68%) ATS. |
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03-13-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 188 | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Clippers UNDER
You should always play the under in a game involving two good teams winning 60% to 75% of their games when playing in March. This system is 86-40 (68%) over the last five seasons. The second half of the NBA season can take its toll on even the best of teams and a tired team will not score as many points because they will not be out running on fast break plays. The under is 4-1 in the Grizzlies last five games against teams with a winning record and the Clippers are 4-0 to the under in that same scenario. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 head to head meetings between these teams. The Memphis defense is one of the best in the league holding opponents to 89.5 points per game. The oddsmakers have set this total based on the offensive production of the Clippers at home rather than the defensive numbers for both teams making the UNDER a value play. |
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03-13-13 | Detroit Pistons +12 v. Golden State Warriors | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Pistons +
The Warriors are struggling as they come into this game against the Pistons. They have lost two of their last three games because of poor shooting performances. The Warriors have not covered a double digit line at home in over a month when they faced the Phoenix Suns. You should always play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread when they are playing against an opponent that has failed to cover 5 of the last 7 against the spread. This system is 26-5 (84%) over the last five seasons. You should also play against favorites of 10 or more points after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game. A strong performance like that has a tendency to drive a line up much higher than it should be. In this specific case that win was related to a 27% shooting performance from New York. It had very little to do with Golden State playing well. This system is 115-73 (61.2%) ATS. |
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03-13-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets -11 | 81-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Rockets -
Phoenix is one of the league |
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03-13-13 | Toronto Raptors +5.5 v. Boston Celtics | 88-112 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Raptors +
The Celtics are struggling right now dropping their last two games by big margins against Oklahoma City and Charlotte. You should always play against a team like Boston when they are coming off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more points and they are winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. This system is 91-48 (65.5%) ATS. The Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games. They come into today |
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03-13-13 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina -5.5 | 70-59 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on South Carolina -
South Carolina was favored by 9 points the last time these teams played back on March 6th. Nothing has changed since then to justify this line being cut almost in half. Mississippi State won that game but there were a lot of anomalies that are extremely unlikely to take place again. The Bulldogs shot 51.1% from the field and held the Gamecocks to a mere 28 rebounds. Those numbers are by far the best of the season for Mississippi State and the worst team in the conference has little to no chance at repeating that performance. The Bulldogs are 0-4 in their last 4 neutral court games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games coming off an ATS win. They average only 60.6 points per game while allowing 76.6 per game when playing away from their home court. Mississippi State is by far the worst team in the conference and while South Carolina is certainly not a great team, they should have no problem revenging that March 6th loss. |
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03-13-13 | Fresno State v. Colorado St -9.5 | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
5* Heavy Hitter on Colorado State -
Fresno State has lost five of their last eight games coming into this matchup. They have won their last two games against Air Force and UNLV because of poor shooting from their opponents. It is unlikely a team like Colorado State, that has won 24 games this season, is going to shoot an average of 30% from the field like Air Force and UNLV did. This same matchup was played just a couple weeks ago with Colorado State winning by 7 points. Fresno State shot 50% in that game, a feat they have accomplished only one time in their last 13+ games. Fresno only averages 38.9% from the field this season. Colorado State is definitely the hot team coming into this game winning three out of their last four games. You should always play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Colorado State when they are coming off two straight wins against conference rivals, and they are a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games playing a bad team winning only 20% to 40% of their games on the season. This system is 106-62 (63.1%) over the last 5 seasons. Colorado State is an excellent rebounding team playing against a poor rebounding team. Fresno is averaging only 32 rebounds per game with 9 of those coming on the offensive end of the court. Colorado State pulls in 41 boards per game with an average of 14 offensive rebounds. The Rams should dominate the boards and dominate this game with a blowout win over the Bulldogs. |
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03-13-13 | Seton Hall v. Syracuse UNDER 123.5 | 63-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
5* Total No Brainer Syracuse/Seton Hall UNDER
The Seton Hall defense is playing well right now. They ended the regular season holding Rutgers to 56 points and South Florida to 42 points. The Syracuse defense has played well all season. The have held opponents to 59.6 points per game on 37.3% shooting from the field. What makes this under such a value play is the fact that Seton Hall |
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03-13-13 | Seton Hall v. Syracuse -12.5 | 63-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Syracuse -
Seton Hall is playing in a back to back game after going to overtime with South Florida last night. This late in the season they will have to be exhausted when they take on a well-rested Syracuse team. The Orange run a right defense holding opponents to 59.6 points per game away from home and that is big trouble for Seton Hall who averages 64.1 points per game and scored only 46 total points with an overtime session last night. The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Seton Hall has been very inconsistent this season, like most teams with a losing record, which explains why they are 1-4 ATS coming off an ATS win. These teams played less than a month ago on Seton Hall |
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03-12-13 | Howard +4.5 v. Delaware State | 61-73 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Howard +
Delaware State is a bad team, but when playing away from home they are really bad. Head Coach Greg Jackson is 2-9 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of Delaware State. They are scoring a mere 57.3 points per game and allowing 68.3 defensively in road games this season. You should play on underdogs like Howard when they are shooting 40% or less on the season against a defensive team allowing 42.5% to 45% after 15 or more games in the season. This system is 181-126 (59%) over the last five seasons. A game against a soft defense like Delaware State is just what Howard needs to pick up a win. These teams just played 10 days ago. That game was decided by 3 points in favor of Delaware State. Now we are on a neutral court with Howard playing for revenge and to keep their season alive. They are certainly the more motivated team and considering how close this last game was we have to give them the nod today. |
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03-12-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota T
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03-12-13 | Nevada +4 v. Wyoming | 81-85 | Push | 0 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on Nevada +
Wyoming is really struggling right now losing by 22 to Colorado State and 11 to New Mexico in their last two games. You should always play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Nevada when they are scoring 67-74 points per game against a defensive team allowing 63 or less points per game after 15+ games, and their opponent is coming off 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. This system is 46-17 (73%) since 1997. The Wyoming Cowboys are playing through injuries. Leonard Washington is by far the Cowboys best player and he is nursing a back injury. Washington is probable for today |
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03-12-13 | New Orleans Hornets +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | 98-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
3* Oddsmakers Error on New Orleans Hornets +
Brooklyn lost last night on the road against Philadelphia and now they have to travel home to take on New Orleans in a back to back game without rest. The Nets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and playing without rest does not do anything to inspire confidence that they can improve on that number. Brooklyn is also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Western Conference teams and more specifically 1-8 ATS against Southwest Division teams. The struggles for Brooklyn have come on the defensive end of the court. In their last four games they have forced an average of 11.5 turnovers per game. They allowed 52.6% shooting in their game last night against Philadelphia. |
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03-12-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Miami Heat UNDER 197 | 81-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
3* Total Dominator on Hawks/Heat UNDER
The Atlanta Hawks have gone under the total in four of their last five road games and under in five of their last seven overall. The Miami Heat have gone under the total in three of their last five games overall with one game going over and one game ending on a push. In head to head meetings between these teams the under is 14-3 in the last 17 games played at Miami. As good as the Heat are, they do have their weaknesses. They are not a great rebounding team averaging 45.7 boards per game at home. Atlanta is 15-5 to the under against teams averaging 48 or less rebounds per game over the last two seasons. The Hawks are a good team holding opponents to 96.1 points per game on the road. Atlanta knows they cannot win this game if they get into a shootout with the Heat so they should have a game plan in place that will slow down Miami's scoring and help keep this game under the total. |
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03-11-13 | Saint Marys CA +5.5 v. Gonzaga | 51-65 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on St Mary
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03-11-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -1.5 | 93-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider on San Antonio Spurs -
The Spurs are a great team and they are coming off an embarrassing loss to Portland. They have now had a couple days of rest and should get back to their true form against Oklahoma City tonight. You should always play on a good team outscoring opponents by an average of 3 or more points per game after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This system is 118-73 (62%) over the last five seasons. The Thunder are playing in a back to back situation tonight. They faced the Boston Celtics last night on their home court and will now travel to San Antonio to take on the well-rested Spurs. You should play on home favorites like San Antonio when they are playing their 2nd game in 5 days against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days. This system is 34-9 (79%) over the last five seasons. These teams are very evenly matched. They share similar offensive numbers as well as overall records that are almost identical, with a slight edge going to the Spurs. In the second half of the season we have to give the nod to not only the team playing on more rest, but the team playing on their home court. The Spurs should rebound from the loss to Portland with a big win over the Thunder today. |
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03-11-13 | Brooklyn Nets -5.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 97-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
4* No Brainer on Brooklyn Nets -
Philadelphia is going through a really bad stretch right now. They have lost 12 of their last 13 games and are coming off three straight losses on the road. They are now playing in a back to back after traveling from Orlando last night. You should play against a team with two straight losses against an opponent when they are coming off three or more consecutive road losses. This system is 77-40 (66%) over the last five seasons. You should also play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points when they are a tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning 25-40% of their games on the season. This system is 58-24 (71%) since 1996. The Nets are the well-rested team, and they already have a better win percentage on the road than the 76ers have at home. Brooklyn has won three straight by a double digit margin and that trend of domination over their opponents will continue tonight against Philadelphia. |
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03-10-13 | Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | 96-98 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Heavy Hitter on Portland Blazers -
Lately these teams are trending in opposite directions. Portland is hot having won four of their last six straight up and while New Orleans has lost five of their last six. The Trail Blazers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against Western Conference teams. The New Orleans Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against Western Conference teams. The Hornets are playing in a back to back situation. They were in Memphis last night where they were handed an 11 point loss and then had to travel straight home to take on Portland today. New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing in a back to back with no rest. New Orleans has one of the worst home records of any team in the NBA. They are 11-20 straight up and have a 13-18 ATS record on their home court. Their offense has actually performed better on the road than they have at home. They average 93 points per game while allowing 95.2 points per game in home games. Portland may not be a great team, but they are certainly the better team and should have no problem handing New Orleans their fourth straight loss. |
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03-10-13 | Northwestern +19.5 v. Michigan State | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider on Northwestern +
Northwestern has struggled lately which is what drove this line up much higher than it should be. You should always play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Northwestern after 7 or more consecutive losses when they are playing only their 2nd game in eight days. This system is 167-107 (61%) ATS. The oddsmakers were forced to make this line so big because of the Wildcats struggles against Purdue, Wisconsin and Illinois but they put together better games against Ohio State and Penn State recently. The well-rested team this late in the season getting such an inflated line is the smart play in this game. This is way too many points for Northwestern to receive considering how strong their defense has been this season. The Wildcats have held opponents to 63 points per game on the road. Michigan State averages only 68.8 points per game and even though Northwestern may not have a great conference record, they are good enough to keep this game within the almost 20 points we are getting today. |
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03-10-13 | Indiana v. Michigan OVER 145.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
3* Total No Brainer on Michigan Indiana OVER
Not only are Michigan and Indiana two of the strongest offenses in the Big Ten Conference, they are among the best in all of division one basketball. The Wolverines average 77.9 points per game at home while Indiana is scoring an average of 76.3 per game on the road. In the last five head to head meetings between these teams the over is 4-1 so it should come as no surprise that this game is expected to be a shootout. Indiana has gone over the total four out of their last five games on the road. The Hoosiers put up 81 points against Michigan the first time these teams met and although this game is being played at a different venue both teams should be able to score at will again. Michigan has been shooting well, averaging 49.8% on their home court. They are coming off an 80 point performance at Purdue and should have no problem staying motivated to score when they face a conference rival like Indiana. Michigan knows they are going to need to score over 75 points to have any chance at beating an Indiana team that has averaged 81.1 points per game in all games and ranks 3rd among division one teams in points scored this season. |
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03-09-13 | Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 v. Golden State Warriors | 103-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
4* HEAVY HITTER on Milwaukee +
In the second half of the season a well rested team is usually a safe play. You should always play against home favorites like Golden State after they have lost 4 or 5 of their last six games playing in a back to back situation. This system is 96-53 (64.4%) over the last five seasons. Milwaukee is playing on two days of rest and they have won four of their last five games. They are the hot team coming into this game playing a Golden State team that has been overrated for most of the season. It appears to be catching up to the Warriors as they have dropped five of their last seven games. A key indicator that the Warriors are overrated is the fact that they average 100.8 points per game while allowing 101.4 points per game. When teams are giving up more points than they are scoring, yet have a winning record it usually means they have played a soft schedule and are not as talented as their record makes them appear. Take the points with Milwaukee. |