SCOTT SPREITZER'S DIAMOND DOG G.O.W.! 126-90 Run!!: Scott Spreitzer GOES YARD with his first MLB DIAMOND DOG GAME OF THE WEEK of the new season. Scott suffered an extra-inning loss yesterday (Nationals), but enters Monday on a long-term 126-90 MLB run! The Diamond Dog comes with TWO 100% winning situations! Grab it here, then SLAM the books on Monday night!
Game: San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Apr 16 2012 8:40PM
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Grade: Winner (115)
Reason: I'm backing the underdog San Diego Padres on Monday. The record says 2-8, but the Padres are so close to owning a winning record through their first 10 games of the season. SDG has already lost more than their share of 1-run games...three to be exact. They already have multiple extra-inning losses, and yesterday's 5-4 defeat to the Dodgers marked yet another loss coming in the other team's last at-bat. But it was even worse than that. SDG was tied 4-4 with L.A. in the top of the 9th and had two men on base with no outs. A controversial triple-play later and the Padres went to the bottom of the 9th where they lost in L.A.'s last at-bat. But I really like the pitching matchup in this one. Cory Luebke is an up-and-comer, and he's been "spot on" in six career appearances (two starts) at Coors Field. The lefty has allowed Colorado just 6 earned runs and 16 base runners with 17 Ks in 17 1/3 IP, for a 3.12 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and an 8.84 Ks per 9 IP mark - to go along with a .183 BAA at Coors Field. You'll see he had one good and one bad start this season, but dig a little deeper and you'll find that the lefty is "punching out" more than one batter per inning. I believe we're catching Luebke at a very nice price. The Rockies send former Oriole hurler Jeremy Guthrie to the bump. The righty has allowed 5 walks with just 2 strikeouts in his first two starts with Colorado...not a good sign. Colorado starting pitching has been roughed-up, lasting less than 5 full innings in three straight starts and in five of their last six. The Rockies enter on a 3-10 slide at home since last season, and they're on a 0-7 slide at home against southpaws. Meanwhile, the Friars are on a 6-2 run at Coors Field, a 4-0 run against the Rockies overall, and they're 6-1 against teams with a losing record. The better starting pitcher and likely even the better team is getting an underdog price. I'll grab it. I'm playing the Padres on Monday.