Hollywood Sports' BLOWOUT BOOKIE BUSTER: Frank Sawyer's Hollywood Sports was 2-1 on Wednesday to fuel his RED HOT 13-5 (72%) WINNING STREAK in All-Sports. Frank also enjoys a SIZZLING 23-13 (64%) NBA run and now he spots a situation that has B-L-O-W-O-U-T written all over it while being backed by an EXPLOSIVE 32-12 combined angle. CA$H-IN this EASY WINNER!
Game: Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Mar 29 2012 8:05PM
Prediction: Miami Heat
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Miami Heat minus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks. Miami (35-13) has lost two games in a row after their 105-90 loss in Indiana to the Pacers on Monday. We attribute these losses to just a response to the grind of March in a season squeezed by the lockout. LeBron James is also nursing a sore elbow that has impacted his jump shot. He converted only 9 of his 21 shots against the Pacers. With three days to rest, James should be in better form in this one. The Heat also return to South Beach after playing their last three games on the road so that should certainly help. Additionally, Miami should rebound in this spot given the personality of this team as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games following a double-digit loss. Furthermore, the Heat have covered 8 of their last 11 games after a defensive lapse which saw their last opponent score at least 100 points. These team trends are complemented by an empirical bounce-back angle that has been 71% effective over the last five seasons. Home favorites with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range who look to rebound from a double-digit loss on the road have then bounced-back to cover the point spread if facing a team with a winning record in 41 of the last 58 situations where these conditions applied.
Dallas (29-22) has won two straight games -- as well as six of their last eight games -- after their 90-81 win versus Houston on Tuesday. The Mavericks are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games played with one day of rest in-between contests. Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games. And the Mavs have failed to cover the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams that allowed at least 100 points in their last game. Together, these team trends produce our specific 32-12-1 ATS combined winning angle for this situation. Lastly, because this is just the Mavericks' second game in the last five days, they fall into an empirical "play-against" angle that has been 67% effective over the last five seasons. In games played in March, underdogs in the 3.5-9.5 range who are playing just their second game in the last five days have then failed to cover the point spread in 68 of the last 102 situations where these conditions applied. Look for the Heat to silence their recent critics with a dominant performance against the defending NBA champions. 20* NBA Blowout Bookie Buster with the Miami Heat minus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks. Best of luck for us -- Frank.