Burns' *10* TNT ROAST! (5-0 last Thurs, 29-8 L37!): Ben Burns SWEPT THE BOARD (again) last Thursday, delivering a PERFECT 5-0 CARD. That brings his "Thursday Streak" to an INSANE 29-8. Last week's SWEEP included a LAUGHER w/ his weekly "Roast" on Ohio State. This week's version is on TNT. Enjoy!
Game: Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers Mar 29 2012 10:30PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm playing on LA. Its true that the Thunder are a very good team and that they have a superior overall record. However, its also true that the Lakers' home record (20-4) remains significantly superior to Oklahoma City's 16-8 mark on the road. That said, I feel the Lakers are providing us with excellent value here. The Lakers are outscoring opponents by a 97.5 to 89.1 margin here at LA this season. The Lakers hit 47.4% of their shots at home while holding opposing teams to only 41.3% of theirs. Meanwhile, the Thunder are outscoring opponents by a far less significant margin on the road, 99.7 to 99.2. They shoot 45.4% on the road while opposing teams shoot 43.6%. Going back further finds OKC at 67-50 on the road the past 2+ seasons while the Lakers are 97-26 at home. The Thunder pounded the Lakers on 2/23, this season's lone meeting. However, that was at OKC. Note that the Lakers are 50-24 the last few seasons when attempting to avenge an earlier loss, 10-6 their last 16 in that situation. The Thunder did defeat the Lakers here once last spring. However, that was the first time that the Thunder had ever won here (since moving from Seattle to OKC) and the Lakers are still a commanding 11-1 the last 12 series meetings here. The Thunder are off a big 109-95 win at Portland on Tuesday. However, note that they're a dismal 5-12 ATS (9-8 SU) when off a game in which they score 105 or more points. While the Lakers haven't been very good at the betting window of late, unlike their usual home games, they don't need to cover a large number here. Ultimately, I look for the homecourt to be the difference as the revenge-minded Lakers remind the Thunder and the rest of the league, that they're still a force to be reckoned with. *10