Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error (23-11-1 s/Feb 12): Larry has been 'handing out presents' (in the form of ATS winners) from the NBA's Opening Day, this past Christmas. He's 55-32-1 or 54-32-2 with all NBA releases TY, including a current run of 23-11-1 since Feb 12. Join this 28-year vet tonight for this Oddsmaker's Error, a "double-digit ATS winner!"
Game: Utah Jazz at Sacramento Kings Mar 22 2012 10:05PM
Prediction: Sacramento Kings
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: My 9* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Sac Kings at 10:05 ET.
The last time the Utah Jazz visited Sacramento (Feb 28) they got beat 103-96, their fourth consecutive loss which dropped them to a season-worst three games below .500. The Jazz return to Sacramento tonight on a four-game winning streak and at 24-22, just a half-game out of the eighth playoff spot in the West. Meanwhile, the Kings despite being only 17-29, will be trying to close out a nine-game homestand by winning their FOURTH game in a row. Utah’s last two victories have come over the West's elite, a 103-99 win at the Pacific Division-leading Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday (without Jefferson), and then a 97-90 home win over conference-leading Oklahoma City on Tuesday. Utah comes in on quite a ‘high.’ "It's all about confidence right now," said Al Jefferson, who had 16 points vs the Thunder, after missing the previous two games to attend his grandmother's funeral. "We should be very confident right now," coach Tyrone Corbin said. "We're understanding that we need to count on each other, especially at the defensive end of the floor and depending on each other to make the right plays." The Jazz are holding opponents to 96.5 PPG on 43.0 percent shooting during their current four-game winning streak, but slowing down the Kings may not be very easy. New head coach Keith Smart has made some lineup adjustments and they’ve all worked well. He’s named Washington Huskies rookie Isaiah Thomas (10.1-3.4 APG) as the starting PG, moving Tyreke Evans (17.0-5.1-4.8) to small forward. Shooting guard Thornton (18.9) is thriving with this lineup, averaging 30.3 PPG during Sacramento’s three-game winning streak with Thomas averaging 17.0 PPG and 5.0 APG over the last five games. No. 1 pick Jimmer Fredette (7.4) is the odd-man out these days, averaging only 2.4 PPG in 11.6 MPG over the last five. Center DeMarcus Cousins (16.6-10.7) is clearly happier with Smart replacing Westphal and then there is the 6-11 Thompson, who had been in a somewhat of a funk the last 1 1/2 seasons. He played at Rider and entered the league averaging 11.1-7.4 and 12.5-8.5 his first two seasons, before doing little last year (8.8-6.1). His seasonal average is just 8.5-6.7 this year but he’s posted four straight double-doubles (17.3-13.3), reminding all just how effective he can be. The Jazz own an excellent one-two duo inside with Jefferson (18.9-9.3) and Millsap (16.1-8.9) plus own a deep bench. It’s not good news that SF Josh Howard (8.7-3.7) is now out for the year or that SG Bell (6.6) continues to be slowed by a bothersome groin injury but Miles (9.2) and Hayward (10.0-3.0-2.9) have played well at the SF or SG spot plus PG Harris (10.2-4.5 APG), rookie Burks (6.5) and Tinsley (8.6 PPG over his last five) are around in the backcourt. Favors (8.5-5.8) scored 35 points and added 27 rebounds when Jefferson missed two games recently and 6-11 rookie Kanter is averaging 4.9 PPG and 4.9 RPG in 14 minutes of play. While I like the Jazz, one can’t ignore that they are just 6-16 SU on the road, allowing 102.5 PPG (jazz own the second-fewest road wins in the West, ahead of only Sacramento's four.). Meanwhile, the Kings have averaged a whopping 118.0 PPG in beating the Celtics, T-wolves and Grizzlies, these past three games. Expect the Kings to end their record nine-game homestand with a win and given this pointspread, a win virtually ensures a cover!