Burns' *10* THURS. TOTAL OF MONTH (67% IN TOURNEY): Ben Burns has released three O/U plays in the Big Dance. Two won by double-digits. The third (MSU "under") also appeared like it was destined to result in an EASY WINNER. However, a late "foul fest" caused it to top the number. He was a PERFECT 5-0 w/ his other 10* NCAA plays on the weekend. He avenges the lone blemish in a HUGE way here!
Game: Louisville at Michigan State Mar 22 2012 7:45PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on Louisville and Michigan State to finish UNDER the total. I played on both these teams to finish below the total in their last game. While both games played out pretty much as I expected, I had to settle for going 1-1 with those selections. Louisville stayed well below the total but a late "foul-fest" caused the Spartans to see their game against St. Louis to finish above the number. (I did win with StL in the same game.) Still, that game only finished with 126 points, while the Louisville game finished with just 115. Off thir 59-56 win over New Mexico, low-scoring games and March go hand-in-hand for the Cardinals. The UNDER is now 14-3 their last 17 games played in the month of March. When matched up against another team (MSU allows 59.4) which allows fewer than 64 points per game, the Cardinals have seen the UNDER go a lucrative 11-1. Even with the 126 points scored in the game against St. Louis, the Spartans have still seen the UNDER go a profitable 54-31-1 the last 86 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 120s, including a 14-8 UNDER mark in neutral court games with an O/U line in the 120s. Not surprisingly, given their tournament numbers, the Cardinals have seen the UNDER go 4-0 the last four times that they played a neutral court game with a total in the 120s. This one figures to be another defensive battle. *10