Ryan’s 30* Round One Game of the Year: Ryan is 2-0 ATS w/his 30* Titan Games of the Year and this is the Round One edition. His research always shows you the dominant reasons his play has a very high probability of winning against the spread for you. Featured are specific fundamental matchups + several game situations w/1 hitting 82% ATS winners.
Game: Texas at Cincinnati Mar 16 2012 12:15PM
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: 30* graded play on Texas as they take on Cincinnati in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game and advance to the second round. Texas has a huge advantage rebounding the basketball and this will be a dominant reason they win this game. Sound rebounding limits an opponent’s second chance scoring opportunities and missed shots can lead to fast break 2-on-1 or 3-on-2 scoring opportunities. The sim shows a high probability that Cincinnati will have four to nine fewer rebounds than Texas. In past games, the Bearcats are just 14-49 ATS (-39.9 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. I also strongly believe you will see Texas use their length and athleticism on the offensive end successfully leading to far more second chance scoring opportunities than Cincinnati will have in this game. Cincinnati ranks 257th in the nation allowing opponents to average 36.0 rebounds per game. Texas also has a vastly superior offense that ranks 52nd in the nation averaging 73.1 points per game. By comparison, the Bearcats rank 146th in the nation averaging 68.5 points per game. Cincy has a solid defense ranking 31st in the nation allowing 61.2 PPG. However, this is more than offset by the fact that Texas is a robust 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points per game over the last two seasons. Take Texas as your Round One Game of the Year.