SCOTT SPREITZER'S 2ND RD NCAA DOG OF THE YEAR! 3-0: Scott Spreitzer SWEPT the books on Thursday with a perfect 3-0, 100% BIG DANCE card! After going 12-3, 80% last year from opening Thursday thru' the title game, Scott's at it again! Grab his NCAA 2ND RD *UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR!* The "live pup" owns a 100% situation! Extend Scott's 15-5, 75% Tourney Run!
Game: St. Louis at Memphis Mar 16 2012 6:50PM
Prediction: St. Louis
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm taking the points with St. Louis on Friday. Rick Majerus and contrasting styles in the NCAA tournament? We know how this song usually ends. Majerus certainly didn't have the most talented or quickest teams when he coached the Utah Utes. Yet, they normally represented themselves well in the tourney, making two trips to the Sweet-16, one to the Elite-8, and they even played in the national championship game in 1998. This St. Louis team looks like yet another Majerus "tough out." The first couple years his teams didn't allow many points, but it was because the Billikens had very little offensive talent and had to try to force a "snails paced" tempo. But this year's edition gets it done at both ends. Their defensive play is outstanding, allowing just 57.5 ppg on 41.1% shooting, including 32% from behind the arc. They will disrupt the Memphis attack. The Billikens are strong on the other end, where they average nearly 70 ppg on 45% shooting, including 36.2% from the arc. No less than 8 players average over 15 minutes played per game. SLU has "bigs" who can drag the opponents bigger players outside and "nail" shots from the deep perimeter. They can also take the ball and score in the paint. Memphis is a bit small and they need more of an unorthodox style of play - helped out by turnovers and disorganized play from their opponents. Majerus-coached teams provide none of the above. The Tigers cruised their way through a mediocre C-USA conference, including a tourney played on their home floor. But they have covered just 8 of their last 33 non-conference games. They're also 0-7 ATS against teams that outscore their opposition by at least 8 ppg. Memphis gave up 79 ppg in those outings. Meanwhile, SLU is on an 8-2 ATS run outside of the A-10, and 9-2 ATS against teams that outscore their opponents by at least 4 ppg. Memphis averaged 72 ppg in those 11 outings, while allowing just 64 ppg. I'm grabbing the points with St. Louis on Friday. Thanks! GL! Scott.