Sam Martin's 20* CBB EARLY RISER (12:15 ET - $25)!: Yesterday Sam cashed BOTH OF HIS DAYTIME CBB PLAYS, and riding a CURRENT 4-1 WINNING START WITH HIS NCAA TOURNAMENT PACKAGES, the Whiz Kid looks to stay hot with his first winner on Friday!! Join Sam for an EARLY WINNER (12:15 ET) and cash in for JUST $25!!
Game: Texas at Cincinnati Mar 16 2012 12:15PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: 20* Play on Cincinnati. Not only do we get to back a Cincinnati team with a huge momentum advantage here early Friday, but we also get to back the team in this matchup that has played extremely well on the road all season long. The Bearcats come into this tournament winners of four of their last five games overall (and seven of their last nine), which included a run all the way to the Big East Title Game against Louisville. And while the Bearcats came up short offensively in that game, their defense played extremely well, which has been indicative of how well this team has been playing over the last month or so.
Cincinnati has really been playing well on both ends of the court in their recent winning run, which includes wins over both Marquette and Syracuse, but it's their defensive play that really gives them an advantage here in this game. Texas isn't used to going up against good defenses in an offense-happy Big 12 Conference, however you wouldn't know it by looking at their shooting percentages.
The Longhorns only shoot 43.5% on the season, and away from home Texas is just 5-10 while allowing 76 points per game. By comparison, Cincinnati is 9-6 on the road (11-4 ATS) despite playing in a much tougher conference. The Longhorns are also not a very good rebounding team, which is huge in what we expect to be a slow, half-court type of game. Bearcats not only carry the momentum here, but are much more prepared for this tournament than Texas is, and we look for Cincy's defense to lead them to a relatively easy victory! 20* Play on Cincinnati.