Burns' *10 BEST BET! (10-2 L12 NBA, 29-10 L7 Days): Ben Burns DID IT AGAIN Sunday! Burns was a SWEET 4-1 for the day, incl. a PERFECT 2-0 in the NBA. Just like last March, Ben is DOMINATING THE HARDWOOD. Its not just his NCAA either. NBA is now a SENSATIONAL 10-2-1 (11-2 for most!) the L13. Perhaps even more impressive, with last Monday's 5-1 card, Burns is 29-10 the L7 days!
Game: Washington Wizards at San Antonio Spurs Mar 12 2012 8:35PM
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm playing on Washington and San Antonio to finish UNDER the total. Both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games recently. The Spurs have seen each of their last two games finish above the total. Meanwhile, the Wizards have seen three straight games top the number. That's helped in creating a very generous number here, one well above the 200 mark. I feel that's providing us with excellent value. Yes, the Spurs last two games got "out of hand" a bit. They beat the Knicks 118-105 and followed it up with a 120-108 loss vs. the Clippers, on Friday. The 120 points was (tied for) the most that the Spurs have allowed this season. Off that loss, I expect Popovich to emphasize an improved defensive effort here. Note that the previous time that the Spurs allowed 120 was on 1/17 at Miami. Their following game came at Orlando. Clearly unhappy with their previous effort, the Spurs limited the Magic to a mere 83 points. In fact, that 85-83 final was among their lowest scoring games of the season. Not surprisingly, it stayed below the total by greater than 20 points. Even with the recent high-scoring games here, the Spurs have see the UNDER go a lucrative 13-6 in games here at San Antonio. That includes a 2-0 UNDER mark when the Spurs were favored at home by more than a dozen points. Games here are averaging 193.5 points. Note that the UNDER is 49-31-1 the past few seasons when the Wizards gave up 105 or more in their previous game and 51-34 when they were off a double-digit loss. During that stretch, the UNDER is also a profitable 95-63-3 when Washington was an underdog. Looking at last season's meeting here and we find that the Spurs dominated defensively. The game had an O/U line of 201 but the final score was only 94-80. With the Spurs again cranking up the defensive intensity, I look for the final combined score to again prove lower than expected. *10