Fargo's MLB SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (BLOWOUT ALERT!): There is no doubt Matt has struggled on the bases the last few days but Tuesday presents a great opportunity to bounce back! Going back to last season he is on a BLAZING 61-36-1 (62.9%) short-term MLB run and long term he is a MASSIVE 187-116-1 (61.7%) L304 MLB plays! He has isolated a game tonight that spells ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT!
Game: Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers Apr 24 2012 8:10PM
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: Milwaukee won the opener of this series last night behind a strong effort from Zack Greinke but it was much closer than it had hoped as the bullpen nearly gave it away. The Brewers are just 4-7 over their last 11 games but this is the perfect opponent to help turn things around. They have won 10 in a row over the Astros since a 5-0 loss in Houston on May 1st as well as five straight wins at home. Milwaukee moved back to .500 at home and it is now 55-20 in its last 75 games as a favorite. After a 3-1 start to the season, the Astros are 3-10 over their last 13 games and this is more in line with what we expected from them this season. Houston has obviously been an underdog in every one of its road games this season but this is the lowest moneyline so far which presents great value with the Brewers. Five of those six road losses have come by a single run so while they have played tough, they do not have what it takes to win the close games. Houston is 12-39 in its last 51 road games. While the Astros are a perfect opponent for he Brewers, they are a perfect opponent for Randy Wolf as well. He has yet to toss a quality outing this season and Milwaukee is 0-3 through his first three starts but his success against the Astros will turn that around. He is 4-0 with a 1.08 ERA in his last six starts against Houston and he was 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in three matchups last season. The Brewers are 7-0 in Wolf's last seven home starts against teams with a losing record and 4-0 in his last four home starts against Houston. The Astros counter with Bud Norris who is a solid young pitcher in the rotation and he has pitched well this season, posting two quality outings in three starts. Houston is 3-0 in those games but this is where it comes to an end as his last two games against Milwaukee last season were dreadful as he allowed 11 runs in 10.1 innings and he has struggled on the road throughout his career with a 4.61 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 33 starts. The are 1-6 in his last seven road starts against teams with a losing record. 8* (960) Milwaukee Brewers