Past Results

Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns

**ALL VERY EARLY** Burns' 3-GAME SMASH PASS!: Ben Burns lost w/ the Royals in extra innings yesterday but came right back & won w/ the Rockies in the bottom of the 9th. Now 9-4 his L13 MLB (& 92-46 his L138!) is looking to SMASH THE BOOKS on Sunday. He starts things off w/ a TRIO OF GEMS, each of which he feels will WIN BIG. Set your alarms for EARLY, then prepare to go for the S-W-E-E-P!

Game: Cleveland Indians (r) at Kansas City Royals (r) Apr 15 2012 2:10PM
Prediction: Kansas City Royals (r)
Grade: Loser (-150)
Reason: I'm playing on KANSAS CITY @ +1.5 RUNS, on the run-line. Tough loss for the Royals yesterday. They spotted the Indians a 9-1 lead, rallied back to tie the game 9-9, only to lose 11-9 in the 10th inning. Runs figure to be harder to come by this afternoon though, which makes every one of them become valuable. Here, we're able to get a very reasonable price with the run-line (+1.5 run) option for the home team, which I feel is providing excellent value. Mendoza lost his last start. However, it wasn't his fault. KC just didn't give him any run support. The final score was 1-0. Jimenez also pitched well for Cleveland in his first start. However, the Indians still lost. With this being an afternoon game, note that the Indians are a dismal 40-67 (-21.7) in day games the past few seasons - and that's just against the moneyline. Naturally, a number of those 40 victories came by one run too. Meanwhile, KC is a much better 47-55 (+5.3) vs. the moneyline in their day games. Likewise, a good number of those 55 losses came by just a run. Prior to this series, two of KC's losses had been by a single run. Meanwhile, Cleveland's only victory, prior to this series, came by a single run. While yesterday's game was decided by two runs, it was tied after nine innings, so was very close. Even with that result, four of the last eight meetings between these teams has been decided by a single run. While I expect the Royals to bounce back with the outright victory, in a game that could easily be close, I'll improve my odds of cashing by laying the extra wood and playing on the run-line. *7

Game: New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Apr 15 2012 1:35PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Off a shutout loss yesterday and a 3-5 start overall, fans in Philadelphia are starting to grow restless. They've been playing with Utley and Howard have been struggling to score runs. However, I agree with Charlie Manuel that its far too early to push the panic button. Manuel was quoted as saying: 'We're eight games in, it doesn't faze me at all. I hate to use the word 'early' because I come to the ballpark every day and I want to win, but there's no sense in panicking. We're going to score runs, we're going to compete, we're going to hold the fort until our guys get back.' With Hamels on the mound, I expect Manuel's crew to bounce back here. Hamels did take a loss in his first start. However, he did only allow three earned runs and the fact that he had 9 K's (without walking a batter) shows he was able to dominate hitters. Although his career record against them isn't great, Hamels' most recent start against the Mets saw him allow one run on just four hits, through seven complete innings. Hamels has now allowed two or fewer earned runs in five of his last eight starts vs. the Mets, going more than six complete innings in all five of those games. Pelfrey's last start vs. the Phillies saw him allow five runs on nine hits, in just three innings. Pelfrey didn't get a decision in his first start. However, the fact that he gave up 10 hits (and a walk) in 5 2/3 innings is hardly a great sign. (That translates to a 1.94 WHIP.) With the Mets a terrible 6-14 in Pelfrey's last 20 road starts and with the Phillies a lucrative 59-33 (+10.9) the past few seaons, when playing a game with an O/U line of less than 7.5, I'm laying the wood and expecting the home team to bounce back and avoid the sweep. *6

Game: Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Apr 15 2012 1:05PM
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on TORONTO. The Orioles have taken the first two games of this series. However, I fully expect the Jays to bounce back and avoid the sweep here. Drabek gets the call and he's already off to a 1-0 start with a superb 1.69 ERA. He limited the Red Sox to three hits and one run through 5 1/3 innings. On the other hand, Matsuz is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.50 WHIP. He allowed four runs in four innings, giving up six hits while walking four. Drabek lost but delivered a quality start he allowed three run in six innings) in his lone appearance against the O's. That was in September of 2010 though. A better pitcher than he was then, Drabek now gets to face the O's at home. Matsuz, on the other hand, is 0-2 with a terrible 18.54 ERA and 3.371 WHIP in three starts against the Jays. Even with the last two losses, the Jays are still 15-5 the last 20 times that they were a host in this series, 27-11 the last 38 in the series overall. With Drabek getting the better of Matsuz, I expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats here. *7