Lasrry Ness' Las Vegas Insider (3-1 TY)-Day: After a split on Thursday, Larry made it a 2-0 sweep in Friday's MLB, winning a pair of Weekly Wipeout Winners (AL & NL) in B-L-O-W-O-U-T fashion (was over 7 in TB's 7-6 win and over 7 1/2 in StL's 11-5 win!). The winning continues this afternoon with Larry's latest Las Vegas Insider. "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." Want in?
Game: Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Apr 7 2012 1:10PM
Prediction: Atlanta Braves
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Atl Braves at 1:10 ET.
Atlanta collapsed in September last year (ala the Red Sox) and despite finishing near the bottom of the league in offense last season, chose not to make any off-season moves to improve their lineup (finished 22nd in MLB in runs scored and 26th in batting average last season). The opening of the 2012 season was not a good harbinger for Atlanta, as the Braves had just four hits and struck out eight times in a 1-0 loss at Citi Field. The Mets didn’t look much better but the fact that Johan Santana made a successful return to the mound in his first start in 19 months since undergoing shoulder surgery and the team’s retooled bullpen combined for four scoreless innings from four different relievers, have to be positives. Now on to game two of this three-game series Saturday afternoon. Jair Jurrjens had a 2.60 ERA in 2009 and after an off year in 2010, sailed into last year’s All Star break 12-3 (2.38 ERA). However, he would win only once more and sat out September with a knee injury that eventually required surgery. That being said, he was 13-6 with a 2.96 ERA in his 23 starts (team was 16-7). Jurrjens did not have a good March overall but he said he's healthy and ready to go after allowing two runs over 13 innings of work in his final two spring training starts. RA Dickey gets the call for the Mets. The knuckleballer began his career way back in 2001 with Texas and followed an 11-9 (2.84 ERA) season in 2010 with the Mets by going 8-13 with a 3.28 ERA last season (team was 15-17 in his starts), although he had a 2.45 ERA over his final 12 starts. Jurrjens is 8-4 with a 2.94 ERA in 13 career starts vs the Mets (teams are 8-5) while Dickey is just 1-4 with a 3.37 ERA in seven career starts vs the Braves (teams are 2-5). What’s more, Dickey has struggled with slow starts throughout his career. In nine major league seasons, he is 7-8 with a 5.10 ERA in April and went 1-3 with a 3.82 ERA in the first month of the 2011 season.Jurrjens over Dickey gives us the edge here.