SCOTT SPREITZER'S CONF TOTAL G.O.M.! *9-1 NBA Run!: Scott Spreitzer ROCKED the books in the NBA again last night. He's 9-1, 90% in the NBA the last 10 days and 26-11, 70% in the NBA since March 1st. Scott's also on a dominating 9-2, 82% Totals run with his last 11 overall! Grab the NBA CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH as Scott looks to extend the run to 10-1, 91%!
Game: Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets Apr 7 2012 8:05PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing the Over between the Hawks & Bobcats on Saturday. I played the Under in Charlotte's road game at Milwaukee last night and we cashed the ticket thanks to a low-scoring 80-point second half between the two teams. I mentioned in my analysis, "...this is the Bucks' 5th game in 7 nights and I suspect they're not going to be flying up and down the floor for four quarters." We got what we thought we would. The Bucks pushed the tempo in the first half then slammed the door in the second half, leading to an easy Under. That's the thing about the Bobcats. The opposing team can control the tempo - and even change the tempo mid-stream. I expect the Hawks to push the tempo in this one and we're talking about another total that I believe has been adjusted too much. These teams have met three times this season with ATL winning all three by scores of 120-93, 111-81, and 102-96. All three games topped totals that were set in the 180s, just like tonight's. ATL can and will look to score often because they already know that's their blueprint to beating Charlotte. The Bobcats will oblige with the faster pace. Atlanta is on a 4-0 Over run and 6-1 Over in their last seven. The Hawks have been scoring a lot of points of late, sans Chicago - a fierce defensive team. ATL has averaged 101.7 ppg in their other six most recent contests. They're facing a Charlotte team that's anything but fierce, ranked 28th in both points allowed per game and FG percentage allowed. Over the last three seasons, in the second half of the year, Charlotte is 12-2 to the Over against teams making at least 36% of their treys...ATL makes 37%...5th best in the league. And when Charlotte has lost two straight by double-digits to an opponent, they're on a 10-1 Over run the next time out. The Bucks controlled the tempo in both the first and second half against Charlotte last night. I expect ATL to do the same - without slowing down over the final 24 minutes. The series is on a 6-1 Over run in Charlotte. I'm playing the Over between the Hawks & Bobcats. Thanks! GL! Scott.