**EARLY** Burns' first TOTAL OF THE YEAR! *82-41!*: Ben Burns' success with MLB TOTALS reached LEGENDARY STATUS in 2011. This afternoon, the internationally renowned "Totals Expert" gives you his first of 2012. Off a winning Friday, Burns is 6-2-1 the L3 days. (He's also 82-41 his L100+ on the diamond!) Join him for this BLOCKBUSTER & WIN SOME BIG MONEY before sundown!
Game: San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks Apr 7 2012 4:10PM
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm playing on Arizona and SF to finish UNDER the total. Yesterday's opener didn't pan out to be quite the pitcher's duel that some might have imagined. It finished above the number with nine combined runs, a 5-4 victory for the home team. I feel 'under' bettors were just a day early though, as I feel that we'll see some strong pitching this afternoon. We're also getting a higher O/U line to work with than was available for Friday's game; every half run represents a significant difference. Hudson went 7-1 with a superb 1.69 ERA in 2010 after the Dbax acquired him from Chicago at the trade deadline. Last season, he followed it up by going 16-12 with a 3.49 ERA in 33 starts. It should be mentioned that Hudson was 7-6 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.25 WHIP on the road but an even better 9-6 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home. When pitching at home he gave up fewer walks and home runs, while striking out more. Also, note that Hudson was 2-0 with a superb 2.37 ERA this spring, too. In his final spring start, Hudson was dominant, limiting the Dodgers to a single run through five shutout innings. After that game Hudson was quoted as saying: “I feel comfortable with everything right now. I can't say enough about how good the ball feels coming out of my hand. I'm ready to go, ready for the season to start." Bumgarner is certainly no slouch and was also tough in the spring, despite going 0-2. In fact, he had a 2.59 ERA - much better than the 5.93 ERA he had the previous spring, when he then proceeded to struggle out of the gate to start the season. Both starters have been very tough against today's opponent. Bumgarner is 3-0 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.156 WHIP vs. Arizona. Meanwhile, Hudson is 4-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.032 WHIP vs. SF. With the line on Arizona having climbed up to or above the -125 mark, note that the UNDER is 26-12-2 the last 40 times that the Dbax were listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range. (The Under was 20-16-1 when they played at home with te line ranged from +100 to -125.) Regardless of where this line finishes, I expect a well-pitched affair that stays beneath the number. *9