Fargo's 10* NBA SATURDAY ENFORCER (28-19 NBA RUN): Matt is coming off a tough 1-2 Friday in the NBA but he is still 90-62-4 L156 NBA Plays! He is a COMMANDING 28-19-1 ATS (60%) since the All-Star break and is back with another HUGE REPORT! Matt is UNLEASHING another GEM as he has an NBA Enforcer Saturday! Join him as it is an ABSOLUTE BLOCKBUSTER that results in an EASY COVER!
Game: Memphis Grizzlies at Milwaukee Bucks Mar 31 2012 8:35PM
Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: Milwaukee is coming off a cakewalk last night as it won in Cleveland by 37 points and now returns home sitting in ninth place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half behind the Knicks for the final playoff spot. That makes this and every game big for the Bucks which are three games under .500 overall and just a game over .500 at home. Even though the starters saw limited action last night because of the blowout win, playing the second of back-to-back nights is not in their favor. Milwaukee is 6-11 overall this season when playing with no rest and it has been horrible in this scenario, going 3-10 ATS when that first game is on the road including 2-7 ATS when traveling from the road to back home. We won with a very similar scenario exactly one week ago as the Bucks won in Charlotte by 20 points on Friday night and then lost at home against Indiana by 21 points as short favorites. They have beaten up on the bad teams but the Bucks are just 9-20 against teams ranked in the NBA's top 16. After two straight win, the Grizzlies lost last night in Houston and it was a very costly loss as they saw the Rockets and Nuggets close to within a half-game of them for sixth place in the Western Conference standings. Memphis is just a game and a half out of ninth place so nothing is secure making the situation pretty similar to that of Milwaukee where every game is getting more and more important. The Grizzlies are 9-3 ATS playing with no rest including an impressive 3-1 ATS in back-to-back road games. While those numbers are impressive for this season, going back further reveals an incredible run as Memphis is 23-4 ATS in its last 27 games when playing with no rest and a lot of that comes down to coaching. Under head coach Lionel Hollins, the Grizzlies are 31-15 ATS as road underdogs of less than six points and while Memphis has struggled somewhat within its own conference, it has beaten up on the Eastern Conference, going 10-3 straight up and 8-4-1 ATS. 10* (809) Memphis Grizzlies