Larry Ness' Weekend Wipeout Winner: 36-23 s/Dec 23: It's been a steady stream of NBA winners for 28-yr vet Larry Ness since the season's Xmas Day opening, untill this week. Even though this year is a lockout-shortened one, there are still FOUR weeks remaining. Larry returns to his winning ways tonight with a Weekend Wipeout Winner (36-23 in all sports s/Dec) destined to 'FLY OVER' the total!
Game: Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers Mar 31 2012 7:35PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: My 9* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Atlanta/Philadelphia Over at 7:35 ET.
I went 'over' a very low total last Saturday with Toronto/Chicago (low 180s), winning with some room to spare (game went to OT with a final of 102-101 but was a winning 'ticket' in regulation, tied at 94-all). Here's how I concluded that analysis.
The Bulls have beaten Toronto in both meetings this season, with the Raptors averaging a woeful 73.0 PPG. With that in mind, one wonders how the Bulls will take Toronto too seriously plus one can’t help but think the Raptors, buoyed by a win over the streaking Knicks last night, won’t be intent on a better showing. These teams met four times last year and the scores were 110-93, 111-91, 118-113 and 113-100. That’s a game average of 212.3 PPG, or about 28 points more than the opening total for this game. I like to look for reversals in form and this type of game fits perfectly. Now all I need is for Toronto and Chicago to comply. Go O-V-E-R on this very low total.
Atlanta and Philly have played twice this year as well, games which have ended with 166 and 185 total points. Both teams played last night, Philly getting creamed in Washington (97-76) and the Hawks ‘cooling off’ the red-hot Knicks in Atlanta, 100-90. I sure expect Philly to bounce back here, as the 76ers are a solid 18-10 at home (17-11 ATS) but I will look to last year’s four meetings, which averaged 197.8 PPG (three of the four were 200 points or higher), to give me my play on the over (just like Tor/Chi last Saturday night). Tonight’s total opened 179 and the first move was on the under. Déjà vu like Last Saturday? I’m betting Y-E-S!